Weekly Trade Recap: Targets Hit, Risk Kept in Check

SmartReversals
11-02

This week, several key setups played out as projected:

🎯 $Microsoft(MSFT)$ : Reached our bearish target at 514.5 (-1.8%) after losing the CWL.

🎯 $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ : Hit our 186.4 target (+1.8%).

🎯 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Tagged 7,567 as projected, then extended lower to 7,510, marking a -1.5% flush.

🚀 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ : Confirmed our bullish reversal thesis, reaching 335.1 before smoothly hitting our extended 348 target on Wednesday (+8.0%).

🎯 $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ : Hit our 122 target (+2.3%) and continued toward 125.

$MSFT, $SPX, and $AVGO reversed from their respective target areas, offering concrete examples of how institutional positioning can interact with key weekly levels.

But good trading is not just about hitting targets. It is also about knowing when a setup is no longer valid.

Every setup comes with predefined invalidation levels designed to protect capital.

⚠️ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ : The technical outlook pointed higher, but the stock fell 6.4%. Our Central Weekly Level (CWL) at 195.2 provided an immediate exit signal, limiting the loss to roughly 0.8%, including a small buffer.

⚠️ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ : Indicators favored a healthy pullback, but blowout earnings sent the stock surging 11.3%. Our 1,277 risk level — just 0.4% above the prior Friday's close — served as the reference for neutralizing exposure.

📈 The bigger picture:

Across these setups, losses were kept below 0.8%, while winning targets averaged approximately 3.5%.

That is the value of combining technical analysis, modeled price levels, and predefined risk parameters: the goal is not to win every trade, but to keep losses controlled while allowing winning trades room to run.

Consistent risk management creates the asymmetry that matters over time.

See the 5 days performance per sector:

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • PJoo
    11-02
    PJoo
    Evaluating a stock requires analyzing core fundamentals—revenue growth, profit margins, and debt—alongside valuation metrics like P/E ratio. Always assess competitive advantages, macroeconomic trends, and risk management before investing.
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