Both short sell and going long

2022-03-14

Both short sell and going long are just strategic approach to beat the market. Anyways to stay afloat in the current volatile environment, no one should be going too deep or holding for too long. Personally, I learnt this the hard way.

Short-Sellers Are Scarce and That’s Some of The Best News the Stock Market’s Had Lately

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

0billionaire
2022-03-14
0billionaire
Keeping a keen observation of the market is the ability that every excellent investor needs to have. The market is changing rather than static.
cozyzi
2022-03-14
cozyzi
The most important thing in investment is to keep a clear head and never get hot headed to do something.
JONESTea
2022-03-14
JONESTea
Yes, the market changes too fast. We should be flexible and adjust our investment strategy in time.
wigglyz
2022-03-14
wigglyz
Your word is profund.
YMCheah
2022-03-14
YMCheah
ok

Leave a comment

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Personally, I learnt this the hard way.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036740993","repostId":1160469103,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160469103","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1647147111,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160469103?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-13 12:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Short-Sellers Are Scarce and That’s Some of The Best News the Stock Market’s Had Lately","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160469103","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The U.S. stock market should be given the benefit of the doubt over the next 12 months, according to","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market should be given the benefit of the doubt over the next 12 months, according to an analysis of short sellers’ recent transactions.</p><p>This upbeat message may incline you to view short sellers more positively. They’ve never had a particularly good reputation, since many believe — I think wrongly — that there’s something untoward about betting that a stock’s price will go down.</p><p>For this column, I’m not interested in short-sellers’ integrity and virtue (or lack thereof). My focus instead is on whether their behavior can be used to time the market.</p><p>The answer is a resounding yes, according to research conducted by Matthew Ringgenberg, a finance professor at the University of Utah and one of academia’s leading experts on short selling. In research published in the Journal of Financial Economics in 2016, he reported that “short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns.”</p><p>In an interview earlier this week, Ringgenberg added that short interest for the most part has continued to do an admirable job in the six years since his research was published. A year ago I reported that Ringgenberg’s data was bullish for the subsequent 12 months: “Short-selling may be helping to keep the bull market alive,” I wrote.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c235acc6ce62839261bb7c42ddc66285\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"722\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Fortunately for the market now, short-sellers’ message is slightly more bullish than it was a year ago. This is evident in the chart above, which plots an equally weighted average of individual stocks’ short-interest ratios. Notice that this average today is slightly lower (and so more bullish) than it was in early 2021.</p><p>What’s more noteworthy is the contrast with how short sellers behaved leading up to and during 2008’s Great Financial Crisis (GFC). As you can see from the chart, they became increasingly bearish over a couple of years prior to the GFC, and became even more bearish in the first months of 2008, just as the bear market was beginning. It’s a relief that the short sellers are not reacting in the same way now. The “short seller data do not support an expectation of a bear market,” Ringgenberg said.</p><p>At the same time, it should be noted that short sellers haven’t reacted to the market’s recent selloff by becoming significantly more bullish. So the market outlook hasn’t gotten any better either.</p><p>Ringgenberg summed up the current message of the short sellers: “The market over the next 12 months is likely to behave much as it has in recent years.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Short-Sellers Are Scarce and That’s Some of The Best News the Stock Market’s Had Lately</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShort-Sellers Are Scarce and That’s Some of The Best News the Stock Market’s Had Lately\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-13 12:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market should be given the benefit of the doubt over the next 12 months, according to an analysis of short sellers’ recent transactions.</p><p>This upbeat message may incline you to view short sellers more positively. They’ve never had a particularly good reputation, since many believe — I think wrongly — that there’s something untoward about betting that a stock’s price will go down.</p><p>For this column, I’m not interested in short-sellers’ integrity and virtue (or lack thereof). My focus instead is on whether their behavior can be used to time the market.</p><p>The answer is a resounding yes, according to research conducted by Matthew Ringgenberg, a finance professor at the University of Utah and one of academia’s leading experts on short selling. In research published in the Journal of Financial Economics in 2016, he reported that “short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns.”</p><p>In an interview earlier this week, Ringgenberg added that short interest for the most part has continued to do an admirable job in the six years since his research was published. A year ago I reported that Ringgenberg’s data was bullish for the subsequent 12 months: “Short-selling may be helping to keep the bull market alive,” I wrote.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c235acc6ce62839261bb7c42ddc66285\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"722\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Fortunately for the market now, short-sellers’ message is slightly more bullish than it was a year ago. This is evident in the chart above, which plots an equally weighted average of individual stocks’ short-interest ratios. Notice that this average today is slightly lower (and so more bullish) than it was in early 2021.</p><p>What’s more noteworthy is the contrast with how short sellers behaved leading up to and during 2008’s Great Financial Crisis (GFC). As you can see from the chart, they became increasingly bearish over a couple of years prior to the GFC, and became even more bearish in the first months of 2008, just as the bear market was beginning. 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So the market outlook hasn’t gotten any better either.</p><p>Ringgenberg summed up the current message of the short sellers: “The market over the next 12 months is likely to behave much as it has in recent years.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160469103","content_text":"The U.S. stock market should be given the benefit of the doubt over the next 12 months, according to an analysis of short sellers’ recent transactions.This upbeat message may incline you to view short sellers more positively. They’ve never had a particularly good reputation, since many believe — I think wrongly — that there’s something untoward about betting that a stock’s price will go down.For this column, I’m not interested in short-sellers’ integrity and virtue (or lack thereof). My focus instead is on whether their behavior can be used to time the market.The answer is a resounding yes, according to research conducted by Matthew Ringgenberg, a finance professor at the University of Utah and one of academia’s leading experts on short selling. In research published in the Journal of Financial Economics in 2016, he reported that “short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns.”In an interview earlier this week, Ringgenberg added that short interest for the most part has continued to do an admirable job in the six years since his research was published. 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The market is changing rather than static.","text":"Keeping a keen observation of the market is the ability that every excellent investor needs to have. The market is changing rather than static.","html":"Keeping a keen observation of the market is the ability that every excellent investor needs to have. The market is changing rather than static.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100819896,"commentId":"100819896","gmtCreate":1647222239230,"gmtModify":1663245095334,"authorId":9000000000000355,"author":{"id":9000000000000355,"idStr":"9000000000000355","authorId":9000000000000355,"name":"cozyzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60528b508747d2305a5e8066c4645143","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9036740993,"objectIdStr":"9036740993","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"The most important thing in investment is to keep a clear head and never get hot headed to do something.","text":"The most important thing in investment is to keep a clear head and never get hot headed to do something.","html":"The most important thing in investment is to keep a clear head and never get hot headed to do something.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100821902,"commentId":"100821902","gmtCreate":1647234056101,"gmtModify":1663245103632,"authorId":3479274761348791,"author":{"id":3479274761348791,"idStr":"3479274761348791","authorId":3479274761348791,"name":"JONESTea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b0f79d4f29376830c0e69c50604a7b","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9036740993,"objectIdStr":"9036740993","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Yes, the market changes too fast. We should be flexible and adjust our investment strategy in time.","text":"Yes, the market changes too fast. We should be flexible and adjust our investment strategy in time.","html":"Yes, the market changes too fast. We should be flexible and adjust our investment strategy in time.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100820056,"commentId":"100820056","gmtCreate":1647222971744,"gmtModify":1663245096148,"authorId":3479274725915373,"author":{"id":3479274725915373,"idStr":"3479274725915373","authorId":3479274725915373,"name":"wigglyz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11f0390f4344fa15e794478b64ee460f","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9036740993,"objectIdStr":"9036740993","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Your word is profund.","text":"Your word is profund.","html":"Your word is profund.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100820751,"commentId":"100820751","gmtCreate":1647227125022,"gmtModify":1663245097853,"authorId":4093412032856690,"author":{"id":4093412032856690,"idStr":"4093412032856690","authorId":4093412032856690,"name":"YMCheah","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8c6bc88c9b9cd996e3220b4fce094f37","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.05.27","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9036740993,"objectIdStr":"9036740993","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<u>ok</u>","text":"<u>ok</u>","html":"<u>ok</u>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/9036740993"}