I see two paths to market acti

2022-06-15

I see two paths to market action this week:

Monday and Tuesday fell sharply. Rebound after rate hike path announced on Wednesday

Stop the fall tonight, rebound tomorrow. Wednesday was up and then down.

I think Wednesday will bounce anyway for two reasons:

1. The market plunged ahead of schedule in anticipation of more stringent monetary tightening. So if Wednesday's rate decision does not exceed expectations, the market will bottom out and rally.

2、$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is the market's best feedback on fear. When the VIX hits 36, the market rebounds. Today's premarket VIX is up to 33. It can be found from previous observation that the faster VIX rises, the faster it falls back, especially if it exceeds 30 in one day, it can quickly bottom out.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

HarryCox
2022-06-16
HarryCox
We need to know we are in a bearish market now. We can have rebound but that is not reverse.
WernerBilly
2022-06-16
WernerBilly
Wednesday - Friday, rebound. Next week drop.
JTC
2022-06-15
JTC
try
Jc74
2022-06-15
Jc74
👌
AG84CL
2022-06-15
AG84CL
👍🏻
KenMKH
2022-06-15
KenMKH
[Strong]

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":9055955403,"tweetId":"9055955403","gmtCreate":1655233191403,"gmtModify":1676535590255,"author":{"id":4095083744390050,"authorId":4095083744390050,"authorIdStr":"4095083744390050","name":"EL1296","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5bb7c1eebc3e576ca7b002c65dc549","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":9,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>I see two paths to market action this week:Monday and Tuesday fell sharply. Rebound after rate hike path announced on WednesdayStop the fall tonight, rebound tomorrow. Wednesday was up and then down.I think Wednesday will bounce anyway for two reasons:1. The market plunged ahead of schedule in anticipation of more stringent monetary tightening. So if Wednesday's rate decision does not exceed expectations, the market will bottom out and rally.2、$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is the market's best feedback on fear. When the VIX hits 36, the market rebounds. Today's premarket VIX is up to 33. It can be found from previous observation that the faster VIX rises, the faster it falls back, especially if it exceeds 30 in one day, it can quickly bottom out.</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>I see two paths to market action this week:Monday and Tuesday fell sharply. Rebound after rate hike path announced on WednesdayStop the fall tonight, rebound tomorrow. Wednesday was up and then down.I think Wednesday will bounce anyway for two reasons:1. The market plunged ahead of schedule in anticipation of more stringent monetary tightening. So if Wednesday's rate decision does not exceed expectations, the market will bottom out and rally.2、$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is the market's best feedback on fear. When the VIX hits 36, the market rebounds. Today's premarket VIX is up to 33. It can be found from previous observation that the faster VIX rises, the faster it falls back, especially if it exceeds 30 in one day, it can quickly bottom out.</body></html>","text":"I see two paths to market action this week: Monday and Tuesday fell sharply. Rebound after rate hike path announced on Wednesday Stop the fall tonight, rebound tomorrow. Wednesday was up and then down. I think Wednesday will bounce anyway for two reasons: 1. The market plunged ahead of schedule in anticipation of more stringent monetary tightening. So if Wednesday's rate decision does not exceed expectations, the market will bottom out and rally. 2、$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is the market's best feedback on fear. When the VIX hits 36, the market rebounds. Today's premarket VIX is up to 33. It can be found from previous observation that the faster VIX rises, the faster it falls back, especially if it exceeds 30 in one day, it can quickly bottom out.","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055955403","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["VIX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":633,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":102357313,"gmtCreate":1655328852913,"gmtModify":1663251954035,"authorId":9000000000000164,"author":{"id":9000000000000164,"authorId":9000000000000164,"name":"HarryCox","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4349551d5d3fb187ceb1f3fd738413a3","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9055955403,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"We need to know we are in a bearish market now. We can have rebound but that is not reverse.","text":"We need to know we are in a bearish market now. We can have rebound but that is not reverse.","html":"We need to know we are in a bearish market now. We can have rebound but that is not reverse.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":102357271,"gmtCreate":1655328571383,"gmtModify":1663251954250,"authorId":9000000000000349,"author":{"id":9000000000000349,"authorId":9000000000000349,"name":"WernerBilly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3c9f1e4d056b8f2c66c22a8930b166","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9055955403,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Wednesday - Friday, rebound. Next week drop.","text":"Wednesday - Friday, rebound. Next week drop.","html":"Wednesday - Friday, rebound. Next week drop.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":102335111,"gmtCreate":1655234761475,"gmtModify":1663251865842,"authorId":4101201374267140,"author":{"id":4101201374267140,"authorId":4101201374267140,"name":"JTC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/754a98e4afa81145de009d1bb1448a48","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3dee1aa3a3a3c1814833a4d3f8a5669","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9055955403,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"try","text":"try","html":"try","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":102335109,"gmtCreate":1655234759143,"gmtModify":1663251864944,"authorId":4112422511274572,"author":{"id":4112422511274572,"authorId":4112422511274572,"name":"Jc74","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9055955403,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"👌","text":"👌","html":"👌","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":102335126,"gmtCreate":1655235027901,"gmtModify":1663251864925,"authorId":4089883010732620,"author":{"id":4089883010732620,"authorId":4089883010732620,"name":"AG84CL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7deee0e4b324448c68b111a50079fb3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9055955403,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"👍🏻 ","text":"👍🏻 ","html":"👍🏻 ","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":102335108,"gmtCreate":1655234750545,"gmtModify":1663251864443,"authorId":4094620808221590,"author":{"id":4094620808221590,"authorId":4094620808221590,"name":"KenMKH","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9055955403,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[Strong]","text":"[Strong]","html":"[Strong]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/9055955403"}