Quantitative Metrics Suggest Bank of America Is Oversold

MortimerDodd
2022-07-13
  • Bank of America(BAC) stock is a viable value play as its business verticals are starting to align once more.
  • Quantitative metrics indicate that BAC stock is oversold.
  • Relative valuation metrics convey a value gap.

Bank of America(NYSE:BAC) stock could be on the cusp of surging. The bank passed its stress test earlier this month and subsequently raised its dividend to22 cents per share. I know many investors might fear a recession. However, there’s always uncertainty around. I’d rather buy banking stocks below book value instead of investing in high-beta tech names. Furthermore, investors are in dividend-seeking mode as the fight against inflation continues, which suits Bank of America as it possesses a lucrative, sustainable, and high-yielding dividend profile. Additionally, BAC stock is oversold amid investors acting risk averse during this bear market.

I believe BAC stock is an excellent investment opportunity at its current price. Let’s dive deeper into the asset’s prospects.

Analysis of BAC Stock Verticals

Although declines in the public equity market have been a burden, Bank of America’s verticals seem well-positioned and its stress test illustrates just that. BAC’s most recent stress test revealed a10.6% common equity tier 1, well above the industry-required4.5%. The bank’s positive stress test results convey its ability to maximize its risk-return utility by investing in assets with favorable risk profiles.

Furthermore, Bank of America recently reported robust first-quarter earnings. During the quarter, the bank delivered1.78% year-over-year revenue growth, spurred on by more robust deposit and loan growth. Additionally, BAC beat its earnings target by six cents per share as it managed to dodge rising input costs.

Considering the recent drawback in the equity market’s resilience, I’m not sure we’ll see the best second-quarter from Bank of America, but it will likely pick up the pace toward the back-end of the year. I say this because I expect the debt market to bolster the bank’s earnings amid rising interest rates. Also, it’s possible that the equity market could stabilize, which could create a more conducive environment for underwriting, brokerage, and mergers & acquisitions.

BAC Stock Price Levels

BAC stock’s approximate 30% year-to-date drawdown is a bit extreme. The stock has an all-time 5% monthly value at risk of 14.34%, meaning that its stock has historically lost 14.34% of its value in 5% of its traded months. In addition, BAC stock has a beta of1.39x, which isn’t overly risky. Thus, BAC stock’s quantitative metrics show its recent drawdown is most likely overdone.

Bank of America stock stacks up well from a relative valuation vantage point. Its price-to-book ratio of0.94ximplies that the market underscores its balance sheet, and its price/earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.18x indicates that BAC stock’s earnings-per-share growth is overlooked by many.

Concluding Thoughts

BAC stock is still a risky bet when considering global economic quarrels. However, I’d rather bid my money on a best-in-class undervalued banking stock instead of splashing it on growth stories. Bank of America’s prospects are sound and aligned with what I believe is a classic value play.

$Bank of America(BAC)$

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • AlexTeddySG
    2022-07-14
    AlexTeddySG
    Excellent post and I would fully agree. There are lots of economic and panic headwinds however $Bank of America(BAC)$ is a promising bet. I m accumulating indeed.
  • Traderabbit
    2022-07-14
    Traderabbit
    building up a position
  • Mkoh
    2022-07-14
    Mkoh
    agree but with sentiment so poor I can't see BAC rising much
  • XIXICHOW
    2022-07-13
    XIXICHOW

  • Gowithflow
    2022-07-14
    Gowithflow
    good read
  • Huat1333
    2022-07-14
    Huat1333
    yes..long . minus - 32% [Speechless] [Sad]
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