Mkoh
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avatarMkoh
15:56

Why Politician ETFs Make Perfect Sense: Finally, a Way to Invest Like the People Who Write the Rules

In a world where hedge fund managers slave away with PhDs, algorithms, and sleepless nights just to eke out a few basis points above the S&P 500, ordinary investors have been missing the obvious cheat code: copy the lawmakers who literally regulate the market.Enter the Unusual Whales Subversive Democratic Trading ETF (NANC) and its red-team counterpart, the Republican-focused GOP ETF. These glorious funds let you outsource your portfolio decisions to the professionals in Washington—people whose day job involves access to briefings, committee hearings, regulatory previews, and the occasional lobbyist steak dinner. Why spend hours poring over 10-Ks when you can just ride the coattails of folks who might know if a bill is about to pass (or get killed) before the rest of us? It makes perfe
Why Politician ETFs Make Perfect Sense: Finally, a Way to Invest Like the People Who Write the Rules
avatarMkoh
11:45
My profit strategy in any market:Deeply understand the asset, its fundamentals, and incentives driving participants. Identify persistent mispricings vs. true value (edge from info, analysis, or timing). Enter positions with asymmetric upside (limited downside, high convexity). Size bets by conviction and portfolio risk (Kelly or fractional). Manage risk ruthlessly: stops, hedges, position limits. Exit when thesis changes or value is realized—not by price target alone. Discipline > prediction. Compound small edges. Never risk ruin.
avatarMkoh
09:16

Big Tech Earnings Showdown: MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, META Who’s the Real Winner Right Now?

I just finished digging through the latest quarterly earnings from the Magnificent Four. Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta.  I came away with a pretty clear hierarchy in my mind. While all four crushed expectations again, not all earnings are created equal, and not all of these stocks deserve the same allocation in your portfolio today.Here’s my take as someone who’s been following these names closely for years. Earnings Quality:  The Foundation That Matters MostIf there’s one thing that separates great long-term compounders from the rest, it’s earnings quality. In my view, Microsoft stands head and shoulders above the pack.MSFT’s business is the cleanest: high-margin, recurring software and cloud revenue that prints cash with impressive consistency. Azure continues to show r
Big Tech Earnings Showdown: MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, META Who’s the Real Winner Right Now?
avatarMkoh
04-29 16:29

Breakdown of Visa(V US) latest earnings

Visa delivered a strong beat in its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings (ended March 31, 2026), reinforcing its position as a high-quality compounder in the global payments ecosystem. Net revenue rose 17% year-over-year to $11.2 billion, marking the strongest growth pace since 2022 (and the fastest organic growth in over a decade when adjusting for prior one-offs). Non-GAAP EPS climbed 20% to $3.31, comfortably beating consensus estimates of around $3.09–$3.10. GAAP net income reached $6.0 billion ($3.14 per share), aided by a lower year-ago litigation provision but still reflecting robust underlying performance Key Operating MetricsPayments volume: Grew 9% in constant dollars to approximately $3.7 trillion. Processed transactions: Increased 9% to 66 billion. Revenue breakdown showed balanced strength
Breakdown of Visa(V US) latest earnings
avatarMkoh
04-29 11:45
Even with EPS/revenue beats (common for Alphabet), the stock often drops or stays flat (~-8% or flat in recent cases). Investors weigh heavy AI/cloud capex (hurting near-term free cash flow and margins) against growth, plus forward guidance on ad/search strength. The market prices in high expectations; "good but not good enough" news sells off. Q1 2026 results (due today after close) will likely follow this pattern.
avatarMkoh
04-28 19:08
IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF) is primed for growth due to its dominant position as the largest, most liquid Bitcoin spot ETF from BlackRock. It offers easy, regulated access to BTC in traditional brokerage accounts with low fees (~0.25%), institutional-grade custody via Coinbase, and massive daily volume—capturing the lion's share of recent inflows (often 75%+). With $62B+ AUM and holding over 800k BTC (3.8% of supply), it benefits from ongoing institutional adoption, potential 401(k) flows, and bullish BTC outlooks for 2026 amid its scarcity narrative. As the go-to vehicle for Wall Street, IBIT is set to capture more capital as Bitcoin matures.
avatarMkoh
04-27
$Visa(V)$ till booth business
avatarMkoh
04-25

Using Berkshire Hathaway method to analyse Stryker Corporation (NYSE: SYK) — The "Medical Toll Bridge"

The Business: A Portfolio of Mini-Monopolies Stryker is a diversified MedTech giant that has effectively de-risked its revenue stream. No single product line accounts for more than 15% of total sales. MedSurg & Neurotechnology: The "Utility" arm. These are the beds, lights, and power tools every hospital must have to function. Orthopaedics: The "Ecosystem" arm. This is anchored by the Mako Robotic-Arm Assisted Technology.   The "Buffett" Moat (High Switching Costs): Once a surgeon spends years mastering the Mako robotic system for knee and hip replacements, they are highly unlikely to switch to a competitor. The system becomes the "operating system" of the surgeon's career. Furthermore, Stryker is deeply embedded in hospital procurement workflows, making them a "preferred ven
Using Berkshire Hathaway method to analyse Stryker Corporation (NYSE: SYK) — The "Medical Toll Bridge"
avatarMkoh
04-25
$MSTR 20260424 160.0 PUT$ full premium at expiry 
avatarMkoh
04-24

Using the Buffet style to analyse Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE)

Warren, Charlie always said, "A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price." Today, we present a business that embodies the "toll bridge" model better than almost any other in the financial sector: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). The Business: A Digital Toll Bridge ICE is not just the New York Stock Exchange. It is a three-headed infrastructure giant:   Exchanges: Global dominance in energy (Brent Crude), interest rates, and equities. Fixed Income & Data Services: High-margin, recurring revenue from providing the "blood" (data) the market needs to breathe.   Mortgage Technology: An end-to-end digital ecosystem for the U.S. residential mortgage market.   The "Buffett" Check: Is it understandable? Yes. They provide the ra
Using the Buffet style to analyse Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE)
avatarMkoh
04-24

The Cramer Paradox: When Bullishness Becomes a Bear Signal

In the high-octane world of financial media, Jim Cramer is a titan. With his frantic energy, soundboard of sirens, and "Booyah!" catchphrases, the host of CNBC’s Mad Money has spent decades as the self-appointed gatekeeper of Wall Street for the retail investor. However, in recent years, a curious phenomenon has emerged: the more confidently Cramer screams "Buy!", the more certain a segment of the internet becomes that it’s time to sell.   What started as a collection of unfortunate clips has morphed into a full-blown financial subculture, culminating in an investment vehicle designed specifically to bet against him. From "Bear Stearns is Fine" to Meme Legend Cramer’s track record is a mix of high-volume calls—he makes thousands of recommendations a year—and a few spectacularly p
The Cramer Paradox: When Bullishness Becomes a Bear Signal
avatarMkoh
04-23
OCBC has arguably become the most "promising" pick of the trio for Q1. While it traditionally played second fiddle to DBS in terms of aggressive growth, its conservative management is paying off in the current environment. Why it looks promising: OCBC’s share price recently touched record highs (surpassing S$22), making it the standout performer YTD. It is benefiting from the strongest loan growth among the three (nearly 7% YoY), fueled by a strategic push into ASEAN corporate lending and a resilient Singapore mortgage book.  The "Secret Sauce": Unlike its peers, OCBC has managed to keep its asset quality exceptionally clean, with Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) hitting multi-quarter lows. With its market cap crossing the S$100 billion mark, it is no longer just a "value play" but a pri
avatarMkoh
04-23

AI Capex: Billions Spent, Returns Still Coming

Big Tech is pouring unprecedented capital into artificial intelligence infrastructure, and the market is watching closely for proof that the spending is paying off. With Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta all scheduled to report earnings next week, investors will scrutinise not just the headline numbers but the trajectory of AI-related expenditure versus measurable returns.So far in 2026, hyperscalers have shown no signs of slowing their build-out. Data centre construction, GPU clusters, and energy partnerships continue at a blistering pace. Nvidia and the broader semiconductor supply chain have ridden this wave higher in April, delivering strong performance as demand signals remain robust. Yet the critical question persists: are we still in the infrastructure phase where costs lead rev
AI Capex: Billions Spent, Returns Still Coming
avatarMkoh
04-22

The Dual Engines of Disruption: How Mythos AI Models are Reshaping the Global Economy

As we move through 2026, the term "Mythos" has become synonymous with a radical industrial divide. Between Anthropic’s Claude Mythos (the digital disruptor) and Mythos AI (the physical autonomous pilot), the corporate landscape is being split into clear winners and losers. Below is an analysis of the specific companies poised to thrive and those most at risk. The Cybersecurity Frontier (Claude Mythos) The release of Claude Mythos in early 2026 proved that AI could find "zero-day" vulnerabilities at a scale humans cannot match. This creates a massive shift in the software and security sectors.   The Winners: Defensive Partners & Agile Giants The "Glasswing" Coalition: Anthropic’s controlled release (Project Glasswing) includes Amazon (AWS), Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Nvidia
The Dual Engines of Disruption: How Mythos AI Models are Reshaping the Global Economy
avatarMkoh
04-20

Navigating the Hormuz Crisis: Why Your DCA Strategy is Your Best Defense

When a critical chokepoint like the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the market doesn't just react—it recalibrates. For a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) investor, this is the time to ensure your monthly outlays are flowing into assets that either hedge against the disruption or possess the structural resilience to ignore the noise. The "Energy Hedge" ETFs If the Strait stays closed, energy prices may remain elevated for longer than the market currently predicts. Integrating energy-focused ETFs into your DCA plan can act as a natural hedge against the rising costs you'll see at the pump or on your utility bill.   Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE): Instead of betting on the commodity itself, this ETF holds the "blue chips" of energy (like ExxonMobil and Chevron). These companies often
Navigating the Hormuz Crisis: Why Your DCA Strategy is Your Best Defense
avatarMkoh
04-20
$Bank of America(BAC)$ option assignment 
avatarMkoh
04-19

The STI at 5,000: Top of the Mountain or Just a Base Camp?

For many of us who have spent years watching the Straits Times Index (STI) move with the speed of a sleepy turtle, the last two years have been nothing short of a "face-rip" rally. After being the "underdog" for so long, seeing the STI smashing through all-time highs feels a bit surreal. If you’ve been holding our local banks and blue chips, your portfolio is likely looking the healthiest it has in a decade. But as the index cruises past the 3,600 and 3,700 levels, the "kiasu" instinct starts kicking in: Is it time to take profit, or is there still meat on the bone? 1. Top of the Cycle or a Long Overdue Re-rating? When a market hits an all-time high (ATH), the "fear of heights" is natural. But we need to look at the fundamentals versus the noise. The Valuation Reality: Unlike the S&P 5
The STI at 5,000: Top of the Mountain or Just a Base Camp?
avatarMkoh
04-18

Markets at All-Time Highs: Are Investors Pricing Earnings to Perfection and Ignoring Macro Risks?

As of mid-April 2026, the S&P 500 has surged to fresh record territory, closing above 7,000 for the first time and reaching 7,126 on April 17. The Nasdaq has also notched new highs, while the Dow has clawed back toward its peaks. This rally follows a volatile start to the year marked by a sharp correction in late March, driven largely by relief over a tentative U.S.-Iran ceasefire and resilient corporate earnings.But with the index now trading at elevated valuations, a critical question looms: Are investors pricing in flawless earnings delivery while downplaying persistent macroeconomic headwinds? The Earnings Optimism Driving the RallyThe bull case rests on exceptionally strong profit momentum. FactSet data shows analysts now project 18% year-over-year earnings growth for the full-yea
Markets at All-Time Highs: Are Investors Pricing Earnings to Perfection and Ignoring Macro Risks?
avatarMkoh
04-18
avatarMkoh
04-17

Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT): Nutrition Headwinds Persist, But Medical Devices and Diagnostics Point to Recovery and Long-Term Value

Abbott Laboratories, a diversified healthcare giant with a 135+ year history, has faced investor frustration in early 2026. Its stock has pulled back sharply, trading around $95–$96 as of mid-April 2026 following a roughly 6% drop after Q1 results. The primary culprit? Continued weakness in the nutrition segment, which includes household names like Similac infant formula and Ensure adult shakes. This drag has overshadowed solid growth elsewhere, raising questions about near-term recovery and whether ABT remains a compelling long-term holding. The Nutrition Drag: What’s Happening?Abbott’s nutrition business has been a consistent underperformer. In Q4 2025, worldwide nutrition sales fell 8.9% year-over-year to $1.94 billion (9.1% organic decline), driven by U.S. market share losses—partly fr
Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT): Nutrition Headwinds Persist, But Medical Devices and Diagnostics Point to Recovery and Long-Term Value

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