highhand
2022-07-25

The Big Guns are Out This Week 

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$Revenue from online ads is expected to decline as the economy slows down. In the Q1 22, 80% of Google's total revenue came from Google advertising, including revenue from Google search, ads on YouTube, and the Google network 

- Alphabet is trying to generate growth from other avenues, as well.  These notably include self-driving car technology leader Waymo, drone-delivery business Wing, and healthcare units Calico and Verily. 

- Google Cloud has also become a huge growth driver for Alphabet. Revenue for the cloud hosting business soared nearly 44% year over year in Q1 to $5.8 billion.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$Microsoft is expected to grow both its top and bottom lines and outperform most of its Big Tech rivals this earnings season.

- We can expect the strength of the US dollar to weigh on results as numerous multinational firms tempered expectations. Microsoft makes over half of its sales outside of the US.

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$The Meta What? The market expects Meta to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2022.

- Looks like Meta have to depend on virtual revenues in the meantime, before the Metaverse turns a profit. They do have the lowest price to earnings ratio though.

$Apple(AAPL)$Expected to show a major deceleration in sales growth. Analysts predict that revenue will climb by about 2% from a year earlier, the slowest pace since 2020.

- However, Apple have a strong product pipeline in place for the next 12 months or so which includes iPhone 14,  Apple watch Series 8, updated iPad Pro models with an M2 chip, a new low-end iPad with a USB-C port, and many more. What slowdown?

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$Everyone brace for a rough second-quarter earnings report.  Revenue is likely to increase at the slowest rate since the internet bubble burst in 2001, and it might not grow at all for the first time ever.

- There's a chance high inflation and recessionary concerns may cause consumers to cut back on their spending on the e-commerce giant's site. 

Who to choose?

It's tough ranking these 5 big boys. Each has their own niche and many revenue segments that overlap too. 

At this moment, Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet rank above Amazon and Meta for me, just for a combination of expected growth, strong moat and reasonable PE valuation.

@TigerStars@Tiger_chat

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • BenjiFuji
    2022-07-26
    BenjiFuji
    Nice write up. Quite aligned. How much will you valuate Microsoft?
    • 123321AlexReplyBenjiFuji
      gogogo
    • BenjiFujiReplyhighhand
      Ya, the eternal issue. Cheap can always get cheaper. Greed knows no bounds & foolishness is aplenty. Thanks bro [Great]
    • highhand
      need to see Q2 earnings. PE between 20-25 sounds good. even now, can accumulate for long term. problem is we always want the best deal for it to be cheaper.
  • Lionel8383
    2022-07-27
    Lionel8383
    Amazon might dip after earnings, might scoop up some if it happens. AWS is a solid segment of their business
  • Mungerism
    2022-07-27
    Mungerism
    Ads revenue came up quite well after announcement phew!
  • 和我一起成长
    2022-07-27
    和我一起成长
    连续跌两天了[捂脸][捂脸]
  • Weiss
    2022-07-27
    Weiss
    awesome analysis!
  • Johnnych
    2022-07-27
    Johnnych
    Goog最好在95以下建仓
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