Omega88
2022-12-27

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ 

Globally, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ leads all others, selling 936,000 units in 2021 (giving the company a market share of ~14%). Close behind was the Volkswagen Group (11%), BYD (9%), GM (7.6%) etc.

Although China has the biggest market for EVs at 34%, there's price war among the different EVs and you can see that most of the China's EV companies are not making significant progress in their car deliveries. Taking XPeng as an example, since hitting the peak of 16k car deliveries in Dec 2021, the number has been decreasing and mostly remained stagnant at around 10k.

For Q3 22, Xpeng delivered

Jul22 - 11,524 cars

Aug22 - 9,578 cars

Sep22 - 8,468 cars

Clearly, it's a challenging to scale up the car deliveries exponentially. Since the peak deliveries of 16k in Dec 2021, the monthly car delivery is on a downtrend. Furthermore, the competition in the EV market has intensified as numerous traditional car markers (Mercedes-Benz, BMW etc) are also investing and building more EV units. Hence, I think the downside will be more for China EV companies (such as XPeng, Nio and Li Auto). The price of raw material for EV battery, lithium, has been soaring to new highs! The price war with Telsa would also lead to lower profit margin! With increasing interest rate hikes, I doubt people would be splashing more money to buy new cars!!

The outlook for $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ Q4 delivery is only at 20k. It's insignificant as compared to Tesla's 300+k per quarter and Ford's 100+k EV per quarter.

Furthermore, Elon Musk has been cashing out from his Tesla positions at $200+ (it's heading below $100 now!!) while Warren Buffett has trimmed his stake in BYD!! What do you think? Let me know your thoughts!!

@Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger  

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Comments

  • YaleBrewster
    2022-12-28
    YaleBrewster
    i think is oversold and undervalue right now. not worry because a lot of big boys bought tons of shares from $13 till $6.5.
  • shining87
    2022-12-28
    shining87
    In my view China is the dominant country for electric vehicles and will continue to be for many years to come. I am thinking that they will reintroduce EV subsidies too due to economic decline and/recession fears.
  • YorkTurner
    2022-12-28
    YorkTurner
    JPMorgan Chase has increased its stake in XPeng by 16.68 million shares since August 26, and now holds 78.58 million shares or more.
  • Fenger1188
    2022-12-29
    Fenger1188
    👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
  • zenor87
    2022-12-28
    zenor87
    ok
  • 建稳的朋友
    2022-12-28
    建稳的朋友
    🙏🙏
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