Economic sentiment has caught down to investor sentiment — closing a previous wide and yawning gap, so what’s next?
I noted the divergence in the chartearlier this year, where market sentiment had collapsed to levels consistent with bear market and economic recession. And it’s looking more and more like the market got it right…
For reference, the black line in that chart is a composite view of economic sentiment (manufacturing, consumer, small business, housing industry, services sector). Basically how people are feeling about the economy.
We’re always interested in both the movement and the level of this type of indicator. And in this respect, it does not look good, and maybe even has further to go.
That brings me to the next one: investor sentiment vs investors actual allocations to equities. It echoes what I’ve been talking about with regards to investors saying they are bearish, but not necessarily really *doing* anything about it at scale.
So the open question I’ll leave you with at this point is: will we see the black line in this chart come down too?$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$
https://chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and-p500-chartstorm-18-december
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