highhand
2023-04-04

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Sell the News!

On Friday, Tesla stock went up 6%. Everyone was expecting good delivery numbers.

Then on Monday, the Q1 numbers were confirmed.  Tesla deliveries of 423k beat Wall Street estimates of 421k. And guess what, the stock price dropped. 

This is classic "Buy the rumor, Sell the News".

The analysts are now worried about margins after Tesla cut vehicle prices by up to 20% over Q1. We have to wait till Q2 earnings (estimated 19 Apr) to find out if material and operational costs can compensate the price reduction. 

Not all is gloomy. Look at the first plot and you see Tesla still leading the EV companies in terms of vehicle delivery. $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$   the next closest competitor had a drop in vehicle delivery in Q1. 


Tesla Price Action

It's in a consolidation phase for about a month. Currently, stock price is at 194.77. 

The 50 day MA should provide some support, if price weakens in the next few days. The 50MA is now at 188.73. 

180 and 170 should provide further support, if 50MA support breaks. I don't expect 170 to be broken, unless there is major bad news like product delay e.g. cyber truck.

If overall market is bullish, we can expect break out >215 after Q2 earnings are done.

There has been recent  hype about cybertruck. Recently, a cyber vault product which is an integrated charging system was released, but only to the Chinese market. We also had some test drive videos of cybertruck on social media. That creates a lot of positive energy for the stock.


Ultimately, I'm hoping for a reasonably good Q2 for Tesla. Stock price should hold on to 200 as a very strong support soon, once it's PE drops and uptrend continues. 

@TigerStars  @MillionaireTiger  @CaptainTiger  @Tiger_chat  

Target price for Tesla after delivery data?
Tesla released the latest 3Q deliveries of 466,140; surpassing the estimates of 455K units. ------------------ How do you view Tesla's delivery data? What's your target price for Tesla? Are you bullish/bearish on Tesla stock price?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • NiceOne
    2023-04-05
    NiceOne
    Quite an extraordinary analysis, man. You're amazing!
  • HarryCox
    2023-04-04
    HarryCox
    I am holding TSLA and I hope it can go to $250.
  • CaesarHicks
    2023-04-04
    CaesarHicks
    Yes sell the news, it's a good time to sell at higher price.
  • FrankRebecca
    2023-04-04
    FrankRebecca
    Home-charing will be very attractive for users.
  • PenelopeHood
    2023-04-04
    PenelopeHood
    200 is really very strong support level for me.
  • BerniceCarter
    2023-04-04
    BerniceCarter
    Only for Chinese market? Sounds good.
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