太古A候57元吸納

HoChe
2023-03-21

太古A(019,市值520億元;B股,087,市值279億元;A+B總市值799億元)股價今年以來跌13%,跑輸恆指(同期跌幅4%)。候進一步回落時吸納。

1)太古本月9日中午宣佈末績,2022財年(12月年結)營收912億元,微升1.8%,股東應佔盈利41.95億元(A股 EPS 2.81元),增幅25%。佔82%的太古地產(1972),去年賺79.8億元,增12%;佔45%的國泰航空(293),去年蝕65.48億元,增18%。

2)彭博綜合券商預測,2023財年,太古「經調整盈利」(不計特殊項目)95.01億元(A股 EPS 6.45元),現價60.05元,預測PE 9.3倍。太地今年「經調整盈利」預測79.67億元(EPS 1.37元),現價20.05元,預測PE 14.6倍。國泰今年「經調整盈利」預測28.83億元(EPS 0.39元),現價7.17元,預測PE 18.6倍,PB 0.34倍.

3)太古A 2023財年預測PB 0.34倍,過去6年平均0.38倍。太地今年預測PB 0.40倍,過去6年平均0.51倍。國泰今年預測PB 0.89倍,過去6年平均0.80倍。

4)太古A今年預測股息率5.1釐,太古地產5.2釐,國泰只有0.5釐以下象徵式股息率。

5)去年底,太古淨借貸 / 股東資金總額比率18%,財政穩健。

6)太古3月9日宣佈業績,3月10日至昨日,日日回購A股,共回購296萬股,耗資近1.76億元。太古A估值較太地與國泰吸引,現價60.05元,候57元吸納,目標71元(PB見0.40倍);若能以57元成功買入,潛在回報25%。大摩(3月)睇71元,里昂(3月)睇65元。

$太古股份公司A(00019)$

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