ToughCoyote
2023-03-09

The U.S. recession risk is growing, and the U.S. 2-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 5.08 percent on Wednesday, the highest level since 2007; the 10-year yield is below 4%, 30 Annual yields are also falling, and the yield curve inversion is often a precursor to the recession.

In addition, the Fed's latest economic brown book said that the U.S. economy has grown slightly in the beginning of the year, but the previous photos are still not optimistic. The possibility of 50 basis points can suppress the possibility of inflation, but the director of the Federal Reserve said that there is still no decision to raise interest rates, mainly because it needs to look at non-agricultural data, US economy GDP, CPI, PMI, PPI Waiting for the index to determine the possibility of raising interest rates, so the stock market will gain interest after the Fed announced last night.

This sentence can regain the confidence of investors to invest in the stock market. According to the market expectation of 70% interest rate hike of 50 basis points, mainly with reference to the previous CPI 6.5% and the previous month CPI 6.4%, the inflation decline is slow, falling to the target CPI2% There is still a long way to go, so the trend of the stock market actually reflects the market's expectations for the stock market in advance.

For the current situation in the stock market, I will conservatively short Tesla.us To do hedging, it is because the stock market has a great opportunity to focus on the decline, and the possibility of losing a heavy loss is the possibility of a heavy loss.

$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ Bearish

@TigerStars @MillionaireTiger @Tiger_chat 

How to Interpret Powell's Testimony?
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to testify before Congress on 7th and 8th March. Powell on Tuesday cautioned that interest rates are likely to head higher than central bank policymakers had expected. The stock market plunged after his speech. Some investors argue that the market is over-reacting. --------- [Topic] How do you interpret Powell's testimony? How do you expect Powell's testimony tonight? How will the testimony affect rate hike expectations?
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