SPX. IXIC. and BTC Monthly Volatility Analyis in January

exlux99
2023-01-04

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX January Monthly Volatility Analyis 2023

Currently the IV for SPX is at 6.25%, down from 6.67% last month.
From the volatility current percentile we are located on 58th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:
Bullish: 6.544%
Bearish: 6.106%
With this in mind we have currently 81.1% that the market is going to stay within the next channel
TOP Limit: 4154
BOT Limit: 3635
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :
38.18% to hit the previous monthly high
56.52% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from the technical analysispoint of view, currently ( going from -100 to +100)
Weekly Timeframe: -26.67% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH
Monthly Timeframe: -13.33% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH

2.$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Nasdaq January Monthly Volatility Analyis 2023

Currently the IV for Nasdaq is at 7.66%, down from 7.8% last month.
From the volatility current percentile we are located on 93th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:
Bullish: 6.55%
Bearish: 8.58%
With this in mind we have currently 80.2% that the market is going to stay within the next channel
TOP Limit: 11987
BOT Limit: 10250
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :
37.5% to hit the previous monthly high
64.4% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from the technical analysispoint of view, currently ( going from -100 to +100)
Weekly Timeframe: -66.67% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH
Monthly Timeframe: -40% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH

3.DAX January 2023 Volatility Analysis

Currently the volatility for DAX is at 6.28%, up from 6.13% last month.
From the volatility current percentile we are located on 57th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:
Bullish: 5.686%
Bearish: 5.885%
With this in mind we have currently 84.1% that the market is going to stay within the next channel
TOP Limit: 14850
BOT Limit: 13135
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :
34.43% to hit the previous monthly high
57.86% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from thetechnical analysispoint of view, currently
Weekly Timeframe: 40% of rating moving averages is indicating BULLISH
Monthly Timeframe: 66.67% of rating moving averages is indicating BULLISH

4.BTCUSD January 2023 Volatility Analysis

Currently the volatility for BTC is at 14.38%, up from 13.56% last month.
From the volatility current percentile we are located on 91th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:
Bullish: 9.975%
Bearish: 20.186%
With this in mind we have currently 88.9% that the market is going to stay within the next channel
TOP Limit: 18781
BOT Limit: 14275
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :
35.71% to hit the previous monthly high
50.8% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from thetechnical analysispoint of view, currently
Weekly Timeframe: 80% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH
Monthly Timeframe: 61.54% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH

5.ETHUSD January 2023 Volatility Analysis

Currently the volatility for BTC is at 14.38%, up from 13.56% last month.
From the volatility current percentile we are located on 91th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement:
Bullish: 24.1%
Bearish: 29.24%
With this in mind we have currently 66.7% that the market is going to stay within the next channel
TOP Limit: 1357
BOT Limit: 1033
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a :
28.13% to hit the previous monthly high
56.41% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from thetechnical analysispoint of view, currently
Weekly Timeframe: 80% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH
Monthly Timeframe: 72.73% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/41tFVb7I-ETHUSD-January-2023-Volatility-Analysis/

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