🌊SEA Predictions & History At A Glance👀

LMSunshine
2022-11-21

🌊 $Sea Ltd(SE)$ have been rather popular recently after releasing its Q3 earnings so I decided to do some research on it using the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) and Yahoo Finance (YF).

(1) WSJ Q4 2022 and Q1 2023 earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be higher than Q3. EPS in FY2023 and FY2024 are expected to be higher than FY2022.

(2) YF EPS in FY2023 are expected to be higher than FY2022. Revenue for FY2023 are also expected to be higher than FY2022 but year-on-year sales growth is expected to decline from 21.7% to 14.6%. Growth estimates for Q3 was -31.0% and projection for Q4 is 18.8% BUT no industry/sector/S&P500 comparisons were provided.

(3) 🌊SE stock history: It exploded in 2020 and reached a high of 372.70 in 2021💥🐂💥🐂 Ever since then, it has been on a downward trend all the way reaching a 52-Week low of 40.66🪨🪨🪨and closing at 56.94 on 18/11.

(4) YF reported a range of analysts that all have a overweight, outperform, or buy rating.

(5) WSJ analysts have a current consensus rating of overweight with 21 buy, 7 hold, and 1 sell. The average target price is $92.79 with a range of $40 to $159.

🤔💭My Thoughts:

(1) 🌊 has taken steps to increase profitability finally by laying off 10% of its workforce over the past 6 months👍👍👍

(2) Tencent divested about 14.5 million of 🌊 shares, reducing its stake to 18.7% from 21.3% in Jan 2022.

➡️ Although Tencent said it INTENDS to retain the substantial majority of its stake in 🌊 for the long term🤷🏻‍♀️🤷🏻‍♀️🤷🏻‍♀️, I will be CAUTIOUS as Tencent has been divesting quite a bit in recent months which means that 🌊 might be at risk for further divesting‼️

(3) The share price of 🌊 has been beaten down badly like META🥊🥊🥊 & presents as a good buy IF the management continues to show it can bring the company to profitability.

(4) 🇺🇸 is likely going into stagflation which means there will be further sell-off of equities, exerting further pressure on the price of 🌊 $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $TQQQ(TQQQ)$ 

It is unclear where the 🇺🇸 economy is heading at this moment, so I will likely wait till after 🌊 Q4 earnings release to assess its sustainability in performance. 1 quarter of improvement doesn’t give me enough confidence to commit into 🌊 as yet. I would rather buy safer stocks like $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ where the company is profitable even in a downturn and when the whole chip sector isn't doing well. Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 will you buy 🌊 now because it’s at a good price or will you wait till after Q4 to decide❓Do share your thoughts & reasons in the comments section with me🤓 Love our convos🥰 Please help to click on the “Like” & “Share/Repost” buttons, so that more 🐯🐯🐯 can access these information & we can all benefit together❣️Many thanks🤗

As usual-🤔💭 Consider POV & Actions of investors + 👩🏻‍💻👨🏻‍💻 Research + 🗑FOMO & Greed = Investing Wisely 🤓🤗 + Accumulating Wealth 💵💰

@TigerStars @CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger @Tiger_chat 

Target price for SE after jumping 36%?
After Q3 earnings, $Sea Ltd(SE)$ jumped 36% last night and gave investors confidence. Investors' sentiment on Sea shifts after the not-bad earnings. ---- [TOPIC] What's your target prices for Sea after Q3 earnings? Are your Sea holdings above SEA levels after 36% jump? Will $Sea Ltd(SE)$ be reducted by $TENCENT(00700)$ after it divested $JD.com(JD)$ and $Meituan(03690)$ ? ---- [REWARDS] Every post above 50 characters will get at least 50 coins~
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • LuckyPiggie
    2022-11-21
    LuckyPiggie
    TSMC is a great company and biz is stable. Unfortunately it got squeezed betw 2 big elephants 🐘... Will CN n TW war , I doubt it at least for next 10yrs.
    Moving operations to US /Jap is a good move ? im not quite sure. [Bless] US is very smelly one  💩 [LOL]
  • LuckyPiggie
    2022-11-21
    LuckyPiggie
    Biz model that burn cash to run will be hard to sustain in high INT environment. This year been bad for SE for their Shopee n Games biz. The only positive pt on Shopee is their biz is mainly in Asia. Can they increase revenue in Asia or expand out of Asia ... yet to be seen
  • th0mastan
    2022-11-22
    th0mastan
    Very heavy head and shoulder pattern
  • cat101
    2022-11-22
    cat101
    Rebound on the way
    • LMSunshine
      Thanks for sharing your thoughts😊 Hope to hear more from you in my future posts🤓
  • didiling
    2022-11-22
    didiling
    thanks for sharing
    • LMSunshine
      Welcome🥰 If you enjoy reading my post, you can follow me and be updated whenever I post🤓
  • zerolih
    2022-11-22
    zerolih
    I use Shopee often and the benefits has been reduced recently, probably SE is trying to save cost
    • LMSunshine
      Thanks for sharing🥰 Hope to hear more from you in my future posts🤓 That’s 👍 for SE from a profitability point of view. With reduced discounts, will they lose customers?
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