US Main Indices Weekly Volatility Forecast-SPX,IXIC,VIX,OIL&GOLD

exlux99
2022-11-01

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 3.57% , up from expected 3.4% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 72th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 2.6% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 2.8% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 10.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 4044
BOT: 3778


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
79% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
27% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

2.$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ NASDAQ Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 4.9% , up from expected 3.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 80th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 3.5% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 3.25% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 10.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:
TOP: 12040
BOT: 11150
Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

3.VIX$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 12.11% , up from expected 8.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 10th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 9.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 11.6% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 22.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 29.3
BOT: 24.5


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
35% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
60% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

4.Crude OIL$Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2212(MCLmain)$ Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 6.5% , up from expected 5.47% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 80th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 5% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 4.75% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 15.6% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 93
BOT: 83.5


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

5.GOLD$Gold - main 2212(GCmain)$ Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 3.65% , up from expected 1.7% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 90th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 1.78% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 1.51% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 26.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 1672
BOT: 1617


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

6.EURUSD Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 1.8% , up from expected 1.32% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 85th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 0.966% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 1.092% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 29.6% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 1.008
BOT: 0.981


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

7.BTCUSD Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 8.6% , down from expected 9% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 46th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 7.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 5% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 31.7% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 22484
BOT: 18773


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
27% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

8.DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 3.82% , up from expected 2.7% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 50th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 2.49% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 1.84% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 20.2% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 13617
BOT: 12891


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

9.NIFTY Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022

Currently the volatility for this week is around 2.21% , down from expected 2.23% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 3th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 1.609% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 1.909% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 33.9% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:


TOP: 18309
BOT: 17510


Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/c21J4NmV-NIFTY-Weekly-Volatility-Forecast-31-10-04-11-2022/

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