1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.41% which declined from 3.56% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 80th percentile, and according to VIX we are on 65th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 24.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 3890
BOT: 3616
This can also be translated as a 75.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
38% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 3930
66% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 3700
2.$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ NASDAQ Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 4.42% which declined from 4.6% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 89th percentile, and according to VIX we are on 77th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a very volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 23.6% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 11280
BOT: 10300
This can also be translated as a 76.4% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
36% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 11600
66% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 10650
3.$DJIA(DJIA)$ Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.25% which declined from 3.45% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 55th percentile, and according to VXD we are on 30th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a stable market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 20.7% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 33385
BOT: 31160
This can also be translated as a 79.3% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
35% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 33100
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 31700
4.DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.45% which declined from 3.59% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 36th percentile, and according to DVOL we are on 15th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a quiet market.
And as a matter of fact we can that this was case for the last weeks but at the same time , one has to be aware that during this "quiet times", things can change radically.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 18.2% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 13880
BOT: 12920
This can also be translated as a 81.8% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
73% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 13500
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 13000
5.$Gold - main 2212(GCmain)$ GOLD Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 2.5% which declined from 2.58% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 80th percentile, and according to GVZ we are on 86th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a HIGHLY volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 22.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 1725
BOT: 1637
This can also be translated as a 77.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 1681
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 1616
6.$Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2212(MCLmain)$ Crude Oil Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 6.63% which declined from 6.88% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 61th percentile, and according to OVX we are on 85th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 29.1% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 97.25
BOT: 84.73
This can also be translated as a 70.9% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
71% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 93.05
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 85.5
7.SILVER Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 4.08% which declined from 4.55% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 26th percentile, and according to SILVERIV we are on 42th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is stable market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 32.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 21.8
BOT: 19.9
This can also be translated as a 67.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 20.9
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 18.8
8.BTCUSD Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 8.02% which declined from 8.27% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 27th percentile, and according to DVOL we are on 8th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a quiet market.
And as a matter of fact we can that this was case for the last months, but at the same time , one has to be aware that during this "quiet times", things can change radically.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 20% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 22600
BOT: 19200
This can also be translated as a 80% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 21500
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 20000
9.EUR USD Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 1.65% which declined from 1.63% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 84th percentile, and according to EVZ we are on 52th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 21.7% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 1.007
BOT: 0.974
This can also be translated as a 78.3% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 0.9985
27% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 0.974
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/QTkCemyD-EUR-USD-Volatility-Forecast-7-11-November-2022/
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