After Shigeru Ishiba was re-elected as Prime Minister of Japan on November 11th, the Japanese economy still faces several major challenges, among which it is particularly important to seek a balance between inflation and economic growth. Recently, the Japanese stock market has fallen into a range-bound trend, and the yen exchange rate no longer depreciates unilaterally. By next year, the direction of Shigeru Ishiba's economic stimulus is to increase residents' income and fight inflation through subsidies, but the effect remains to be seen. The tariff increase imposed by Trump's new administration may have an additional impact on the Japanese economy, and the sustainability of Japan's debt is also problematic. Therefore, the Japanese stock market has not yet ushered in a new upward driver.
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I don't think it is necessary to emphasize the prospect of the medium-term trend of the market. From the short-term trend outlook, I mean the period from mid-December to the end of the month before New Year's Day. Whether there is still a red envelope market in the market, whether the level is large or not, the main external factor isTonight's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.It's quite simple,If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of a dovish interest rate cut, then we will usher in a big red envelope market; If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of hawkish interest rate cuts, then we will have a market, but it is expected to be structural, just like the shocks you saw in the past November-December.So, how do you determine whether it is a pigeon or an eag
What to expect from this week's Fed meeting
This Thursday night is the last Federal Reserve interest rate meeting this year, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference after the meeting. The continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points at this meeting has been fully expected by the market, so the market focus will be on the wording of the Fed meeting announcement and the content of Powell's subsequent speech. As Trump will officially take office next year, how the chairman of the Federal Reserve deals with this "new" president is also one of the key points of this meeting. To put it simply, it may be difficult for the Federal Reserve to avoid "political" issues with a neutral position at this meeting. The media are happy to speculate whether the Federal Reserve is with the new president. " Whether to "do it o
What to expect from this week's Fed meeting
Gold Chartbook — Pullback almost complete
After reaching a new all-time high of USD 2,790 on October 30th, 2024, gold $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ prices experienced a sharp and rapid pullback, hitting a low of USD 2,535 on November 14th. This correction was driven by a combination of speculative profit-taking and broader market dynamics following the U.S. Presidential election. However, geopolitical tensions soon reignited demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, leading to a swift rebound to USD 2,720. From there, another sudden wave of selling pressure emerged, reflecting ongoing volatility in the gold-market.In the past two weeks, however, gold has demonstrated remarkable resilience, consistently attracting buyers on dips toward the USD 2,610 to USD 2,625 range. This “buy-on-dip” beha
Gold Chartbook — Pullback almost complete
Yen And Japan Equity Market Outlook 2025
Yen And Japan Equity Market Outlook 2025
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Quantum computing breakthrough makes $Alphabet(GOOG)$ the best-performing Magnificent 7 stock.Beofre the Santa Rally, SGX $STI.SI(STI.SI)$ 's telecom stocks can provide handsome dividends to safeguard your portfolio.Happy investings and supercharge purchasing power with Cash Boost Account! Join telegram to win SGD10, How to open a CBA.Historical Dividend Plays:💰Weekly Dividend Play: C6L, S59, S63 Airline Stocks on the Rise💰3 Real E
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Is Trump Really So Great for Bitcoin?
Judging from the existing answers, it is naturally yes. But what needs to be clear is that there is still more than a month before Trump actually moves into the White House.Before the general election, we once discussed the market in Bitcoin, when the price was still brewing a breakthrough below 70,000. "There is not much time left for the bulls" was the main judgment at the time. Because structurally speaking, the adjustment cycle is completely sufficient and sufficient for more than half a year, and that price position, whether it is Harris or Trump, will push for a breakthrough. Then sure enough, the bulls made the final breakthrough. Of course, it must be admitted that after the election results were released, this short-squeeze rise still exceeded expectations. Previously, the high po
Is Trump Really So Great for Bitcoin?
OPEC+ Delays Oil Output Hike Until April,What It Means For Oil Price
Last week, the non-farm data of the United States was released. As suggested by last week's article, the market's attention is not on the economic data of the past two months, but more on the effectiveness of Trump's economic policies after he took office. Therefore, the market performance was relatively flat last week, and the U.S. stock index hit a new high tepid. It is estimated that the pace of the Fed's interest rate cut has not changed much, and it is estimated that there will be a clearer trend after Trump takes office next year.Although the price fluctuation was not large last week, for the oil market, the news announced by OPEC + is very important and needs everyone's attention. This news is that OPEC + announced that additional voluntary production cuts will be postponed for thre
OPEC+ Delays Oil Output Hike Until April,What It Means For Oil Price
US Dollar Index Fundamental Analysis Outlook For Next Week
Looking back at last week, after three consecutive weeks of sharp rises, the US dollar finally ushered in a correction, and the single-week decline was relatively large, nearly half of the previous increase. However, the weekly line of the the US Dollar Index still shows an obvious bullish technical form. Combined with the current fundamental situation, it is more likely that the market outlook will remain strong. In terms of non-US currencies, the yen surged due to inflation data; Looking ahead to this week, the U.S. non-farm payrolls report and public speeches of Federal Reserve officials will be the focus of the market.Global foreign exchange focus review and fundamental summaryAfter rising for three consecutive weeks, the US dollar experienced a weekly correction, and the follow-up tre
US Dollar Index Fundamental Analysis Outlook For Next Week
💰Weekly Dividend Play: C6L, S59, S63 Airline Stocks on the Rise
US stocks $.SPX(.SPX)$ notch another gain and new record on narrow rally.Making holiday plans? SGX's $STI.SI(STI.SI)$ airline stocks prove decent dividends to shareholders.Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!1. Tuesday Market recapThe $.SPX(.SPX)$ eked out another closing record and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ rose 0.3%, with $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ being the best-performing S&P 500 stock, gaining 6.9% after enhancing its ability to sell cloud services to the US government.On the late night of December 3, South Korea declared a state of emergency
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Is the U.S. stock market changing its leader or brewing a correction?
Nvidia, the leader of U.S. stocks in the past two years, has not performed well in the past few weeks. Although the financial report is not bad, as the main promoter of the "predecessor" Biden, it is obvious that some glory is no longer in the context of Trump's second entry into the palace. The fall in the weekly level of the previous week directly affected the price pattern. Will this mean that the U.S. stock market will take the lead in the change in the future cycle, or will the trend itself change?Nvidia once fell below the weekly low at the end of October last week. Although it finally recovered and left a lower shadow line, it still ended the bullish pattern of "higher lows" after the June adjustment. Looking forward, the fall of the weekly swing low can be traced back to a year ago
Is the U.S. stock market changing its leader or brewing a correction?
US Jobs Report At The End Of The Year : What To Expect?
Next week is the beginning of the month, and the non-farm data will come again. The current non-farm data is the basis for the market to speculate on the path of the Fed's interest rate cut. If the data continues to improve, the rate of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will slow down, from the previous expectation of cutting interest rates at every meeting, to cutting interest rates at every other meeting, or even stopping cutting interest rates. This has an impact on the overall trend of commodities.Gold does not react strongly to the pace of interest rate cutsFrom the perspective of impact, the impact on gold and other varieties is not great. The current important impact of gold prices lies in geopolitics, and fluctuations also come from the uncertainty of conflict news. The sha
US Jobs Report At The End Of The Year : What To Expect?
2025 Outlook of US Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar under Trump's Administration
[Cool]Dear tigersRecently, investment banks have provided their outlooks for the year 2025, and it seems that the $.SPX(.SPX)$ 7000-point mark might not be just a dream!In this article, Tiger Analysis team provided a forward-looking analysis on the expectations for US stocks $.SPX(.SPX)$ , the dollar $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ , gold $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ , and the crypto $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ market under the new policies anticipated from Trump's administration, for the purpose of discussion only.1. The Impact of Trump's New Administration on Five Key
2025 Outlook of US Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar under Trump's Administration
Gold suddenly plummeted, why?
The decline in gold prices overnight was indeed a bit sharp:PicturesYesterday, the big K line of gold fell by 3.36%, equivalent to 91.15 US dollars, and the amplitude ranged from the highest 2721 to 2615. Both the amplitude and the decline have exceeded 1106, which is the big K line after the results of the US presidential election in November. There It fell 3.10% to 85.05 US dollars.The short-term decline of gold is mainly related to the following reasons:First, it is related to the cooling of geopolitical tensions.Last week, Russia and Ukraine launched missiles at each other, which triggered a rise in risk aversion. However, the situation in the region did not escalate further over the weekend. In addition, the market has reported this week that Israel may reach a ceasefire agreement wit
Gold suddenly plummeted, why?
💰3 Real Estate Dividend Picks to Exercise Barbell Strategy: 9CI,H78,TQ5
Tips: On Thursday, US markets will close for Thanksgiving holiday, and on Friday, will close early, with expected trading volumes remaining low.The impact of Trump’s tariff threats may cause the tide to change, with crypto showing some shifts.SGX's commercial real estate stocks prove decent dividend to shareholders. $STI.SI(STI.SI)$Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!Market recapThe impact of Trump’s tariff threats continues to unfold. On November 25, President-elect Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tariff on all products entering the US from Mexico and Canada. Additionally, he declared that an extra 10% tariff would be levied on goods from China. As a result, most Chinese stocks experienced declines, with the Na
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Jake Behan:GS Calling for a Rally Into Year End, Charts in Focus
By Jake BehanHead of Capital Markets of Direxion InvestmentEditor’s Note: Happy reading and reach out if questions on anything. Happy Thanksgiving to all! $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ put up a volatile session following its earnings announcement which underwhelmed on its revenue forecast for the current quarter, exceeding analysts’ estimates by a mere $400 million rather than a preferred $1B. Reality seems to be setting in for the company as projections have failed to show ‘blowout’ expectations for two consecutive quarters now. NVDU/NVDD were expectedly busy, $Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares(NVDU)$ currently stands as our 4th biggest getter of inflows YTD. Per Barclays, “post earnings there seems to be no
Jake Behan:GS Calling for a Rally Into Year End, Charts in Focus
Is NOW The Time To Buy Oil!?
The period from Trump's victory in the US election to his official entry into the White House looks expected to make a smooth transition. In addition to Biden's official statement, the crude oil market also gave the same signal. Although the key low of 63.6 was repeatedly tested, the bulls were able to save the day, which implies that there will be no obvious change in risk appetite in the short term.The three key range positions of crude oil: 63-70-84 respectively represent the lowest point of the range, the level of repurchased crude oil reserves previously stated by the US government, and the central axis price in the past two years. Although after the first quarter of this year, oil prices remained trading below the central axis level, and seemed to rebound one wave after another, the
Is NOW The Time To Buy Oil!?
Risk Aversion Sentiment Is Back ,It`s Time To Buy Gold Now?
After Trump was elected president of the United States, the market once believed that there could be a peaceful solution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict in a short period of time. But instead，the media revealed that the U.S. government had lifted restrictions on Ukraine's use of weapons provided by the United States to attack targets in Russia in depth, then Russia updated its nuclear policy, and then the two countries began to fire missiles to each other to escalate the conflict, which dispelled the market from Russia. The idea that the Ukrainian conflict can end in a short time has renewed risk aversion in the market.Gold prices have soared strongly, and new highs are expectedSince the conflict has escalated, the war premium (risk aversion) squeezed in the last two weeks has returned, cau
Risk Aversion Sentiment Is Back ,It`s Time To Buy Gold Now?
Gold, Long Term Top?
At the end of October, before the US presidential election, we specifically pointed out that gold had reached the medium and long-term target position, and it was time to take profits. At that time, the price of gold was around 2750. Although there were higher highs afterwards, looking back now, it was obviously a suitable appearance. In addition to price changes, more importantly, short-term and medium-term trends, and even long-term structures, gold shows obvious signs of loosening.First of all, from the perspective of the weekly situation, gold broke through the swing low last week, which was the first time since the autumn of 2023, when gold had not yet set a new record high. Generally speaking, if this low point is no longer gradually raised, it means that the obvious rally has stoppe
Gold, Long Term Top?
The Fed is hawkish, U.S. stocks and gold are about to usher in a new round of correction
There were not many big events last week, but the market was not small at all. Since the US election, nothing in the financial market has risen smoothly except the US dollar and Bitcoin, and even the varieties that Trump intends to suppress have fallen one after another. At present, the market is still in the honeymoon period when the market expects the effectiveness of Trump's policies, and the main line has not changed much, which means that before Trump really takes office, strong varieties will continue to be strong, while weak varieties are more likely to continue to fall. Everyone should pay attention to it.The chairman of the Federal Reserve said at an event in Dallas last week that the current recovery momentum of the U.S. economy is good, the labor market is stable, and although i
The Fed is hawkish, U.S. stocks and gold are about to usher in a new round of correction
Gold Chartbook — Pullback into the last FOMC meeting in 2024
Gold $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ prices came under significant pressure following Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Over all, gold plummeted more than 9% since its new all time-high at USD 2,790 on Wednesday, 30th of October, 2024. This substantial decline came as no surprise as we had anticipated a wave of profit-taking in the gold-market. This sharp downturn was primarily driven by a surge in bond yields, a rallying stock market, and a strengthening U.S. dollar, all of which made gold less attractive to investors.The market’s reaction to Trump’s win was largely influenced by expectations of his proposed policies, which many believe could reignite inflation. Concerns about potential tariffs and immigration
Gold Chartbook — Pullback into the last FOMC meeting in 2024