Analysis on 25 October: US Macro Economy

KyleRodda
2022-10-25

Your morning bite. US stocks extend rally. Gilts surge on Sunak Prime Ministership.

Stocks:

Wall Street extended its recovery. The S&P500 rose 1.2% and the NASDAQ jumped 1.1% Health care and consumer staples led the charge. SPl Futures are pointing to a 28 point jumpfor the ASX200 this morning.

Rates/bonds:

US PMl data undershot expectations and pointed to a rapidly slowing US economy. PMls in Europe were also disappointing. Despite that, the Us 10 year yield edged higher, rising to 4.25%. Futures continue to point a terminal Fed Funds Rate of 5%. The 10year Gilt yield plunged 31 points after it was revealed Rishi Sunak would be the next UK prime minister.

FX:

The US Dollar Index rose 0.4%.The Pound and Euro was practically flat. But Japan'sefforts to stabilize its currency is becoming a bigger challenge with the Yen falling 0.9% to around 149. Despite the risk-on turn on Wall Street, the AUD/USD dropped back to the low 0.63 handle.

Commodities:

Commodities seemed to be driven by a combination of a stronger Dollar and higher yields. Brent Crude was very slightly lower. Gold dropped 0.5% to about $US1650.

Crypto:

Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight range and is fetching around $US19,000

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  $DJIA(DJIA)$  $Light Crude Oil - main 2212(CLmain)$  $Australian Dollar - Dec 2022(AUD2212)$

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