At the end of October, before the US presidential election, we specifically pointed out that gold had reached the medium and long-term target position, and it was time to take profits. At that time, the price of gold was around 2750. Although there were higher highs afterwards, looking back now, it was obviously a suitable appearance. In addition to price changes, more importantly, short-term and medium-term trends, and even long-term structures, gold shows obvious signs of loosening.First of all, from the perspective of the weekly situation, gold broke through the swing low last week, which was the first time since the autumn of 2023, when gold had not yet set a new record high. Generally speaking, if this low point is no longer gradually raised, it means that the obvious rally has stoppe

The much-anticipated U.S. election finally revealed its outcome last week: although Trump seems to be very close to Harris in traditional polls, it actually ended with Trump's big victory. With the second entry of this old acquaintance, the capital market also began to give some feedback. So what assets and changes are worth watching for us?About the crypto marketThere is no doubt that this is the strongest variety after the news that Trump is about to take office. Mainstream coins represented by Bitcoin and a number of altcoins have experienced huge gains in just one week. On the one hand, Trump showed the characteristics of a pro-crypto market during the election campaign; on the other hand, his main election assistant, Musk, is also very keen to "shout" on social media.Although we were

The U.S. 2024 election is just around the corner, and early voting results provide important information about the race.Trump's Winning Percentage Slips, Harris Odds Reverse?Trump's win percentage has slipped in recent times and his polling support has suffered.Since the end of October, Trump's campaign has been hit with a series of negative events, including controversial comments and alleged betting market manipulation, which has seen his probability of winning the election go from up to down, and is now down to 52%.In contrast, Harris' win probability has also improved to 52 percent, with the two sides once again tied.This shows the tension and uncertainty of the election.According to data as of Nov. 2, 67 million voters have cast ballots, with 41 percent of them registered Democrats an

Since Japan launched its rate hike, the Japanese stock market has entered a high sideways consolidation stage, with the Nikkei 225 index rising by less than 3% in October. Recently, in the 50th House of Representatives election in Japan, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party lost its ruling position for the first time since 2009, and the Japanese stock market and exchange rate fluctuated greatly in the short term, which brought great uncertainty to Japan's monetary and fiscal policies in the future.There are downside risks to the economyAccording to published data, the Japanese government's second-quarter GDP growth rate was lowered from 0.8% to 0.7%, and the annualized quarter-on-quarter growth rate was lowered from 3.1% to 2.9%. Among them, the month-on-month growth rate of private final c

The final chapter of the annual drama American election will come soon. As a hot spot that was regarded as more important than the Fed's interest rate cut at the beginning of the year, how will the election results affect the short-term, medium-and long-term development of the market?In terms of short-term fluctuations, we believe that the main difference between Harris and Trump will be the option of controlling the market. Although the risky assets represented by U.S. stocks have maintained a slow bull pattern recently, the continued weakness of oil prices still indicates that the market is currently expensive.If Trump takes office, it is very likely that he will start smashing the market after officially entering the White House. Or on the day of the general election, it is expected tha

Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of OIL Futures CL_F published in members area of the website.  As our members know the commodity has been showing incomplete sequences in the cycle from the 94.63 peak. Recently OIL has given us the recovery that reached our selling zone. The commodity found sellers right at the Blue Box area and made the decline as expected. In the further text we are going to explain the Elliott Wave Forecast and trading strategy. OIL Elliott Wave  H4 Chart 10.05.2024 The commodity is giving us clear 3 waves correction , forming Elliott Wave Zig Zag Pattern. The price has already reached the extreme zone at 74.35-78.91 (Blue Box – sellers zone).  We don’t recommend buying OIL and pre

The last time we talked about cryptocurrency was 2-3 months ago, when Bitcoin had just completed a mid-level zigzag adjustment, and it looked like it was about to restart its rally. However, the advancement of the market is another result. The larger A-B-C correction has not broken through the downward channel by mid-October. Considering the approaching time of the U.S. election and the high levels of gold and the other two carriages of the U.S. stock index, the time to keep a long position seems to be increasingly limited at present.From the perspective of the weekly level, Bitcoin once fell below the 50,000 mark in the previous round of deep exploration, which made its height drop significantly even if the subsequent upward market was launched. At present, according to the form, it may b

Although domestic investors are focusing on chinese stock market, which opened today, as external observers and traders, we are always paying attention to the changes in the futures market. During the National Day holiday, the performance of crude oil was remarkable, but it was expected. Relatively speaking, the rise of the U.S. dollar index, which had been falling before, after the interest rate cut is also worthy of attention.We have talked about the logic of the rebound of the US dollar before the interest rate decision. A very important point is that in the latest round of interest rate hike-interest rate cut cycle, the foreign exchange market reflects the trend of expected rise/fall and reverse operation after landing. The fact that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates ahead of t