Earnings Calendar (19 Feb 2024) This week has several earnings of interest. Without a doubt, many eyes will be upon the earnings of Nvidia. Other earnings of interest will include that of Walmart, Home Depot, Rivian, Moderna, Block and HSBC. Recent performance of Nvidia Nvidia has seen a stellar surge in its value from a year ago. The 52-week range is between 204.21 to 746.11. It is one of the biggest companies in the world with a market cap of $1.794T. With a TTM PE ratio of 96.18, is this too expensive or is this reasonable? Observations: There is a strong revenue growth over the last few years thanks to its products, a key hardware enabler for AI. Net income for TTM has reached $18.88B, compared to $4.368B from a year ago. Basic EPS has risen from 1.76 to 7.65 It seems to have a co

With a $280 billion government rescue plan announced by the authorities to steam the stock market rout and restored market confidence, the Chinese stock market has been buoyed by the prospect that the market may have bottomed out. Also in an attempt to revive the domestic electric vehicle industry, China has promised to help its EV makers expand overseas through overcoming foreign trade restrictions and improving their overseas compliance capabilities. At the same time, Jack Ma and Joe Tsai, the co-founders of Alibaba, have overtaken SoftBank to emerge as the e-commerce giant's top and second-largest shareholders respectively, after the duo took advantage of its earlier depressed share prices to aggressively scooped up its shares, as votes of their confidence over the recovery of the tech

13F reflects the holdings and I have highlighted some of the interesting activities (sales & purchases). As these took place in Q4/2023, it cannot be a timely tool but it helps to identify concerns and opportunities seen by these great investors. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust Observations: The sales are very interesting to me as they have exited some strong companies totally that include some members of the Magnificent 7, namely, a complete 100% exit of Meta, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, and Nvidia. From the recent runs, the Q4 sales do seem to be too early. Jim Cramer names his 'Magnificent Seven' stocks that are the real deal The Magnificent 7 includes Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Tesla & Alphabet (Google). On top of this, they seem to have exited complet

$Trip.com Group Limited(TCOM)$  The global travel industry is rebounding, fueled by pent-up demand and digital adoption. Within this landscape, Trip.com a leading online travel platform, stands poised to capitalize on the upswing. But is it a sound investment opportunity for you? Let's delve into the company's strengths, potential risks, and what investors should consider. Riding the Travel Wave: Trip.com boasts impressive statistics: it holds the largest market share in China, operates globally across multiple platforms like Ctrip and Skyscanner, and reported strong Q4 2023 results, exceeding analyst expectations. This success hinges on several factors: * Dominant Presence in China: Trip.com enjoys a well-established brand and loyal customer

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  Should You Invest in Amazon: Amazon, the retail giant, has been making headlines this week with a mix of exciting announcements, strategic partnerships, and regulatory hiccups. This flurry of news paints a complex picture for potential investors, leaving them to wonder: is now the right time to buy into Amazon? On the Bright Side: * Stellar Q4 Earnings: Despite missing revenue expectations, Amazon reported strong growth in its cloud computing (AWS) and advertising businesses. AWS remains the global leader in cloud services, boasting consistent growth and profitability. The advertising segment also saw impressive gains, demonstrating the company's diversification beyond retail. * New Ventures and P

My investing muse Updates about layoffs news in the past week: McKinsey & Co. has warned about 3,000 of the firm’s consultants that their performance was unsatisfactory and will need to improve. - Fortune FRENCH digital payments company Worldline said on Wednesday (Feb 7) it would cut its global workforce by around 8 per cent as part of a cost reduction plan initially announced in October. - Business Times 40% of 2000 Singaporeans (polled) felt they were likely to lose their jobs in the next three months, compared to 25% in the same period last year. - NTUC. Aren't things looking good? Orsted, the world’s largest offshore wind developer planned to become a leaner and more efficient organization: a reduction of 800 jobs worldwide, a pause for dividends and a retreat from markets in Nor

News and my thoughts from the last week (12 Feb 2024) Stock price movements after earnings depend on performance, expectations, and outlook. "I can be wrong" is a good paradigm. Same for investing, Same for life. The US has a shortfall in refinery capacity 18.1M bpd and consumes about 20.07M bpd as of EIA 2022. Supply shortage is possible. Oil market will face supply shortage by end of 2025, Occidental CEO says - CNBC Over 430,000 customers were without power across the state, according to a USA TODAY power outage tracker. - USA Today Businesses first go to China for their factory and they stay on for their customers. WSJ: Why the FAA Still Can’t Fix Boeing? FAA does not need to fix Boeing. Boeing needs to demonstrate due diligence and compliance for FAA's review. To afford the median-pri

Earnings Calendar (12 Feb 2024) There are a few earnings of interest for the coming week starting 12 Feb 2024 including Monday, Shopify, Occidental, Coinbase and Cisco. Let us look at Coinbase. Observations: Since 2019, there has been an increase in revenue. However, there is a steep drop in revenue for 2022. 2022 ended in an operating loss of $2.67B. Observations for TTM: TTM revenue has reached $2.78B TTM total expenses have fallen from $5.86B to $4.12B. There is an improvement in EPS from -11.81 to -3.20. However, the business continues to experience net loss. The stock has risen 138% from a year ago. Investing has recommended the stock as a “Strong Buy”. There is a strong crypto ETF interest in the market. From the article above, there are concerns about the impact of ETF

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for SPY last week again! Are we ready to profit from the mother of all coins again? Let’s get ready to do so in the months ahead 🤩 Bitcoin rose 5% on Friday to one-month highs, powered by what analysts said was a flurry of buying ahead of April's halving event and as recent outflows from exchange-traded funds slowed. The price rose to a session peak of $47,705, the most since January, after the first U.S. listed spot bitcoin exchange traded products received regulatory approval. The world's largest cryptocurrency was last up 3.5% at $46,946, set for a rise of 10% this week, its most in a week since October. Ether was up 2.5% at $2,486. Bitcoin hit a two-year high just above $49,000 in January, but has since trended lower, under pres

Absolutely sell put,can get premium and bought stock why not

[Happy]  GLOBAL HEALTH

$PayPal(PYPL)$ This isn't a bank, PayPal is a fintech that permits customers to hold cash in supposedly segregated accounts. Yet, PayPal deliberately mismatches those payables due and a portion of customer funds go into corporate cash flow. For years, they maintained a multi billion dollar account payable shortfall of customer balances and have increased that mismatch every year since 2019. If every customer tried to remove 100% of their account credit balances at once, PayPal would need to immediately borrow the difference between accounts payable and accounts receivable from a bank to make good the difference, or alternatively, freeze withdrawals. It's right there, in the filings, should you choose to look.

$PayPal(PYPL)$ The change in reporting to include stock based compensation expense in non-GAAP numbers is the detail missed by many. I didn’t even notice it until others on the board pointed it out and then I listened to the call. I really liked what Alex had to say on the call. 9% revenue growth is solid. Cash flow machine. I like that they guided revenue 1 quarter out. 6-7% more top line growth expected. Who cares about the stock, it will catch up over time. Great opportunity to buy more at market open if it actually opens in the high 50s. Great quarter!

$PayPal(PYPL)$ PYPL beat earnings, provided conservative guidance and dropped 8% in the always mysterious after hours. Conservative guidance reduces the likelihood of bad news on future earnings. Conservatism results in the timely recognition of bad news and in the delayed recognition of difficult-to-verify good news. Good news will be recognized when stronger verification requirements have been met. This was a smart, transparent earnings call. Better than aggressive guidance not based on fact that could lead to bad news next quarter.