$Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ BE is ripping after hours. Shares are near 270.86, up about 7.09 percent. The catalyst is clear. Bloom Energy is set to join the S&P 500 on September 21 as part of the latest quarterly rebalance. Adding to it, UBS raised its price target to 325 from 300 and kept a Buy rating in place. It's not all clean upside, though. There's an ongoing securities class action tied to the stock, with a deadline later this month, so the story does carry some risk. Still, index inclusion tends to bring fresh institutional buying, and that flow looks like the main driver right now. Worth tracking how it holds up once the initial excitement settles.
$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ I'm expecting a drop to my price target of $15.00 or lower before year end. Honestly, that's the point where I plan to go long. The current price just doesn't make sense to me and would need to fall quite a bit from here.
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ If this stock is really going to move, it needs to get above $150 and hold there. The next earnings report is going to be a big deal. Make or break for the stock. I think we could touch that $225 high sooner rather than later.
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ Working with a 12–18 month price target of $300, based mostly on execution. The Q2 story looks like this: revenue was up 92% year over year. Connectivity revenue rose 66% on Starlink subscriber growth. SpaceX has $14.1 billion in contracted AI cloud sales. Starship completed reentry and came back intact. Falcon Heavy got NASA's $4.3 billion Roman Space Telescope deployed. SpaceX and Nvidia are working on the first Starmind orbital-compute satellite. Starbase Louisiana is meant to expand long-term Starship launch capacity, and the extra spectrum is a plus for Starlink Direct-to-Cell. SpaceX is now running across launch, connectivity and AI. As long as execution keeps coming through, I'm comfortable holding the $300 target.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ Made my money from 120 to 123 on SOXL, now moving back to SOXS. I get the sense Warsh will give a somewhat hawkish conference on rates, which should help SOXS. As always, I never hold over the weekend, whether it's SOXS or SOXL.
$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ This is why AAOI is aggressively ramping laser manufacturing capacity. The more they deliver for 1.6T, the higher the gross margin. By Q3, Q4 next year, when they deliver the CPO laser or EOSAP module to different customers, the gross margin will be even higher, because gross margin for laser is about 55%-65%. For EOSAP, the gross margin should be more than 50%, and that's more like Q3, Q4 next year. In the short term, the most important factor for gross margin improvement is the percentage of 1.6T transceiver, because gross margin is very good.
$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ I think this will trade above $120 for the next few months. I wouldn't go short until after EOY. Next earnings will most likely be as strong as this past quarter.
$SK hynix(SKHY)$ Analysts say SKHY has the largest percentage upside among memory stocks through the end of the year, at a minimum of 45%. Worth checking the numbers on that.
$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ The 800G ramp in Q2 played out pretty much as expected. Revenue hit $12.8 million, or 11.9% of total data center revenue, up more than tenfold year-over-year and more than doubled sequentially. Looking ahead, 800G revenue is expected to grow by nearly 5 times sequentially in Q3, with continued strong growth expected beyond that.
$SK hynix(SKHY)$ SK hynix bought back 650,000 of its own shares on the market on the 20th and again on the 21st, spending 1.0908 trillion won and 1.1335 trillion won respectively, according to the Korea Exchange (KRX). That amounts to 2.2243 trillion won purchased over the two days since the buyback began. The company disclosed that it would buy an additional 650,000 shares on the 24th, and mechanical buying of around 1 trillion won a day is expected to flow in daily until the pledged 40 trillion won is exhausted.
$Direxion Daily MSCI South Korea Bull 3x Shares(KORU)$ After a pretty brutal crash, KORU has bounced 75% off the low of 11.65. A lot of that wipeout seemed to come from over-leveraged Korean retail traders getting blown up on margin calls. From where I stand, that's exactly why I scale into and out of leveraged products gradually. I never go all-in on a single ETF at once and I never touch margin. Some of those Korean traders just come across as a bunch of amateurs to me. LOL The moving averages still look weak, but RSI and MACD are starting to show some bullish recovery signs.