8899Nar
8899Nar
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avatar8899Nar
2025-06-05

TMDX AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVE

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVEHERE'S WHY🧵:1) If you believe in CEO execution Transmedics could achieve 10k transplants by 2028 and 20-30k by 2033.Image2) You can convert these numbers in approximately $1.2B and $2.5B of revenue.I assumed a ~2x and not more because kidney procedures will cost less than the other organs ones.3) So, we can assume:• $2.5B revenue in 2033 • 24% profit margin • 30x PE multple: Below medtech mature leaders with good growth profiles (ISRG, EW, BSX)4) The result is $600M of net income by 2033 and a possible $18B market cap.Considering the actual market cap at 4.5B the stock can 4X in ~9 years delivering a 17% CAGR return.5) Si
TMDX AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVE
avatar8899Nar
2025-07-01

Performances of all my Stocks YTD at the End of H1 2025

Performances of all my stocks YTD at the end of H1 2025 :NATAN'S PORTFOLIO: +31.8%S&P500: +5.5% $Robinhood(HOOD)$ +151% $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ +115% $B2Gold(BTG)$ +48% $Alibaba(BABA)$ +34% $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ +26% $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ +17% (sold at +56%) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ +8% $Edwards Lifesciences(EW)$ +6% $PayPal(PYPL)$ -13% $Regeneron
Performances of all my Stocks YTD at the End of H1 2025
avatar8899Nar
2025-08-23

MY TOP 10 UNDERVALUED STOCKS🧵

1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the leading cloud services provider in the accelerating China market at 14x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+32%)2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is down 15% from recent high and remains very undervalued. The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$174 (+45%)3) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ One of the fastest growing ecommerces in the world trading at 8X EV/FCF.Management proved many times its ability to deliver impressive growth and profitability in one of the most competitive market in the world.Natan's fair
MY TOP 10 UNDERVALUED STOCKS🧵
avatar8899Nar
2025-09-02

𝙁𝘼𝙄𝙍 𝙑𝘼𝙇𝙐𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝘼𝙇𝙇 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙋𝘼𝙉𝙄𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝙈𝙔 𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊

Tell me if you agree or not 👇1) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ ~$173Potential upside: +44%2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ ~$174Potential upside: +51%3) $Alibaba(BABA)$ ~$169Potential upside: +21%4) $Robinhood(HOOD)$ ~$87Potential upside: -14%5) $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ ~$364Potential upside: +17% 6) $PayPal(PYPL)$ ~$107Potential upside: +53%7) $Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)$ ~$786Potential upside: +35% 8) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ~$926Potential upside: +25%
𝙁𝘼𝙄𝙍 𝙑𝘼𝙇𝙐𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝘼𝙇𝙇 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙋𝘼𝙉𝙄𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝙈𝙔 𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊
avatar8899Nar
2025-12-01

META IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!PRICE TARGET: $1025POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +60% ✅"Q3 revenue up 26% was impressive. Margin decline from heavy investments may weigh short term, but I remain very bullish long term"ASSUMPTIONS:LTM Revenue: $189.458B5Y Revenue CAGR: 13%2030 Profit Margin: 39%2030 PE Ratio: 27Shares outstanding: 2.572BShares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION:Q3 2030 $META Share Price =189.458 * (1.13)^5 * 0.39 * 27 /[2.572 * (0.99)^5] = 1503$You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Meta I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $640FAIR VALUE: $9331Y PRICE TARGET: $1025POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +60%EXPECTED RETURNS: 18.6%/yearDIVIDEND YIELD: 0.3%For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading lim
META IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!
avatar8899Nar
2025-09-29

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025🧵

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025🧵Since my post these stocks are up 43% on average YTD vs 13% of S&P500 🤯1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world and the leading cloud services provider in China.Natan's fair value: ~$172 (+0%)2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 70% YTD but remains extremely cheap vs peers.The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$174 (+53%)3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 26x Fwd PE.The social networks giant is spending billion of $ in Capex to build their AI data centers.In my opinion Meta wil
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025🧵
avatar8899Nar
02-11

Do You Own HOOD Shares?

$Robinhood(HOOD)$ I believe HHOODOOD can deliver 20%+ CAGR returns over the next 5 years: PRICE TARGET: $148 --> $148 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +85% ✅ ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $4.473B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 22% --> 20% 2030 Profit Margin: 52% 2030 PE Ratio: 35 Shares outstanding: 0.908B Shares reduction: 0%/year VALUATION: Q4 2030 $HOOD SHARE PRICE = 4.473 * (1.20)^5 * 0.52 * 35 / [0.908 * (1.00)^5] = 223$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Robinhood I want to use a 11%. ACTUAL PRICE: $80 FAIR VALUE: $132 PRICE TARGET (1Y): $148 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: 85% EXPECTED RETURNS: 22.8%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: - Do you own $Robinhood(HOOD)$ shares? Image Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Do You Own HOOD Shares?
avatar8899Nar
01-07

MNDY IS VERY UNDERVALUED 👇🏻

$Monday.com Ltd.(MNDY)$ IS VERY UNDERVALUED 👇🏻PRICE TARGET: $230POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +59% ✅ASSUMPTIONS:LTM Revenue: $1.166B5Y Revenue CAGR: 18% 2030 Profit Margin: 20%2030 PE Ratio: 35 Shares outstanding: 0.0533BShares dilution: 0%/yearVALUATION:Q3 2030 $MNDY SHARE PRICE =1.166 * (1.18)^5 * 0.20 * 35 /[0.0533 * (1.00)^5] = 350$You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Monday I want to use 11%ACTUAL PRICE: $145FAIR VALUE: $208PRICE TARGET (1Y): $230POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +59%EXPECTED RETURNS: 19.3%/yearDIVIDEND YIELD: - ImageFor SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
MNDY IS VERY UNDERVALUED 👇🏻
avatar8899Nar
04-19

My Portfolio Update Sharing

𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊 𝙐𝙋𝘿𝘼𝙏𝙀 Natan YTD: -3.6% S&P500 YTD: +4.1% TOTAL RETURNS (Jan 2022) Natan's portfolio: +115.2% *Benchmark: +36.3% S&P500: +58.2% MY POSITIONS: 20.2% | $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ 16.0% | $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ 13.0% | $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 10.7% | $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 8.9% | $Alibaba(BABA)$ 7.4% | $PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT)$ 7.3% | $PayPal(PYPL)$ 5.5% |
My Portfolio Update Sharing
avatar8899Nar
2025-06-12

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)🧵

These stocks are up +32.4% on average YTD vs +3.0% of S&P500 🤯1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the biggest cloud services provider in China at 12x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+34%)Image2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 2X YTD after the unjustified hard sell-off.The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+13%)Image3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 27X Fwd PE.The social networks giant is spending billion of $ in Capex to build their AI data centers.In my opinion Me
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)🧵

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