vibzee
vibzee
Follow the trend, wealth is your friend
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avatarvibzee
2023-03-14

Schwab: Time To Buy May Be Nigh

$Charles Schwab(SCHW)$ Today's CPI data and the drop in the break-even point for TIPs suggest that the Fed is making very good progress on the inflation front. This may go some way to quelling interest rate jerks like we saw last year and this year. My portfolio includes top stocks like SCHW. I don't sell great companies that are going through transitional issues.
Schwab: Time To Buy May Be Nigh
avatarvibzee
2023-03-20
$Meta Platforms(META)$ I liked META in Q4, but I exited on the way up. I'm short now, although much less so today than earlier last week. I'm not a fan of Zucker, nor do I think the company is wise to spend money on developing Metaverse IP. However, my main reason for being short is technical: the need to close the gap left behind. It's also counterintuitive. I think the world just bought into this idea of increasing revenue by cutting costs too soon.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-18

Reason for long HUBC

$HUB Security(HUBC)$ Israeli technology investors are very familiar with the TLV-NYC pipeline. With clients such as Lockheed Martin and the Pentagon already on its client list, it is clear that HUB's future lies in the US. The deal has been a year in the making and is exactly the kind of aggressive positioning HUB needs to realize its full potential as a global disruptor in classified computing. These are HUB's strengths.
Reason for long HUBC
avatarvibzee
2023-03-20
$Adobe(ADBE)$ ADBE will have a lower implied move, which is not necessarily a bad thing. Because a company like ADBE has such a large market cap and needs a lot of capital to drive earnings in the stock, the actual move in these stocks will also be lower. We can see that in their most recent reports, EPS is usually in line with estimates.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-14
$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ I think that as long as there is a degree of macro uncertainty about the state of the economy over the next 12 months, the headwinds for advertising will remain. I'm keeping a close eye on Google,meta and some ad industry news to try and keep my finger on the pulse of it, but Unity is likely to fail or succeed alongside other platforms that rely on digital advertising.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-07
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  In the years of the pandemic (especially 2020 and 2021), their revenues grew by more than 20%. Then in 2022, revenues did not grow at all due to a variety of unfavourable factors, Apple's policy changes being one of them.But they rebounded strongly through a series of actions, including laying off 11,000 employees, launching a new subscription service and betting on the meta-universe industry, and its share price didn't rally more than 100% for no reason.Whether investors want to keep crying about the past or look to the future is everyone's choice.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-28

Payments is a game of scale.

$PayPal(PYPL)$ If you like lenders, PYPL indeed does fall outside of the spectrum. In that space, it's still more of a payments tech company, and less of a lender, although it's making inroads into BNPL. While that space is popular, it's nascent, and likely facing more regulatory headwinds. Also, it's hard to build a moat there. Apple Pay is a signfiicant threat to PYPL, and it appears that its installed base is a significant moat. PYPL is pushing for more "one-click checkout" to facilitate the conversion process, and improve the stickiness with its merchants and consumers. Payments is a game of scale.
Payments is a game of scale.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-28
$Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$I don't know if this will squeeze despite the massive shorting and lack of bankruptcy. But, even if there is no squeeze, this stock should be in the $8-20 range based on fundamentals. Buy buy baby alone is estimated at a 1b value.Sub 1.50 is crazy and this is an easy long money maker for me knowing they aren't going bankrupt. Though, a squeeze could be fantastic and appreciated.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-10
Especially with the common shares diluting to subsidize everything and with the interest rate at 0.5%, paying 20% for the preferred shares to be listed is good. Right now the interest rate is 4.5% and FCELB pays 10%, so the risk is much higher compared to the reward. As up to 500 million shares can be issued at $4 per share, there will be billions of dollars of cash available to continue paying the preferred dividend. I think this makes sense. đŸ˜‚ $FuelCell(FCEL)$
avatarvibzee
2023-04-01
$Silvergate Capital(SI)$ I don’t know that their old numbers can be trusted and I haven’t seen them telling investors at this stage. Thinking it can liquidate for $600 mln seems VERY optimistic IMOWell, I closed out my long puts at SI 80 cents for a $25 mln market cap and thus ended up being short puts.So, if SI can stay at $1.50 for a while that would be nice but, yes, not counting on it going much higher…
avatarvibzee
2023-04-01
$Shopify Inc(SHOP)$ There is no end in sight for the war in Europe and inflation is still well above the FED target. It is the responsibility of SHOP management to adjust to the new economic realities and so far they have failed.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-28
$Bank of America(BAC)$ I agree completely that it's underpriced but I don't think it's been a rational trade it when I picked it up for $20 back in 2020 it was being an irrational trade now. Now Office REITs are being irrationally traded.
avatarvibzee
08-06
$Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL though I was going to be down huge but surprisingly I closed the remaining of my positions with -36% instead of -100% 😮💨. IV saved the day. Great SR flip at $195. Previous resistance becomes new support. No position yet.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-09
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$  Is there any growth anywhere? Year-on-year growth is -3%. Even if x now we assume 25-30% growth, paying 10x the revenue today is insane. Furthermore, their operating margin is -100%. They're losing twice as much as they're earning. It's insanity on steroids. Good luck with your investments.
avatarvibzee
2023-04-01
$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ the bulls will hold their buy rating. The forever bears will probably point to falling margins as a reason not to buy. Think they don’t visit enough Lulu shops! It’s always busy and almost everything is full priced
avatarvibzee
09-10
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ For those of you who bought AMD at much lower prices a while back, you should know that Kamala will have you paying nearly DOUBLE the long term capital gains when you sell.[LOL][LOL][LOL] Ridiculous. But, someone has to pay for all those expensive government welfare programs, including those involving illegal immigrants. If it can not get compensation from other points, successful investors will have to pay for it according to Kamala!!![Sad][Sad][Sad]
avatarvibzee
09-20
$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ If there's resistance around 282 to 284 then a reversal, I'm shorting it long term. If it breaks above that area I'll short it from a higher level. I usually don't predict short term moves on this stock. More a long term bear on this.
avatarvibzee
2023-04-03

15x multiple to such a valuable entity

my main point was that applying a 15x multiple to such a valuable entity, especially when its effectively the other half of Apple, Nvda, AMD and essential to their survival, with no substitutes - no reasonable person when objectively trying to value such an enterprise I think should be able to say 15x is “fair”. That ought to be like the worst case. The company trades at a discount because most people don’t realize its importance and think - oh China!The situation is similar to the lack of investor understand and appreciation when Apple traded at 5-6x PE ex cash some years ago. Most investors are lazy lemmings and only buy with the crowd when something is going up and sell when its down. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$
15x multiple to such a valuable entity
avatarvibzee
2023-03-09
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  AMAZON's P/E ratio remains above 60, although the stock is trading at a 50% discount to its highs. Unfortunately, the stock is unable to compress multiples due to stagnant growth and unsatisfactory performance. I believe this is a good long-term value, but the next 1-2 years could see lower pricing for the stock, especially when the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates and the discount rate on the treasury fund is rising.
avatarvibzee
2023-03-06
$Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$  Never buy without reaching 71 cents. The Hudson's Bay deal basically allows Hudson's Bay to buy discounted preferred shares and convert them into common shares and then sell them to the public at a profit. BBBY dilutes through an intermediary, not through a direct issue. It feels like they are trying to break the rules.

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