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2020-04-18

$Arcus Biosciences Inc.(RCUS)$？？？？？？？？？？

2021-08-06

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"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%

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14:32","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"\"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history\"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2157487706","media":"FX168","summary":"FX168财经报社(香港)讯 自2020年3月以来，美联储一直保持非常宽松的货币政策，期望令美国劳动力市场回到该联储认为的“最大就业”状态。但Mauldin Companies总裁John Mauldin表示，美联储已经犯下“大错”，其持...","content":"<p><html><body><div><div>FX168 Financial News (Hong Kong) News Since March 2020, the Federal Reserve has maintained a very loose monetary policy, hoping to return the U.S. labor market to what the Federal Reserve considers to be the \"maximum employment\" state. But John Mauldin, president of Mauldin Companies, said the Fed has made a \"big mistake\" and that its continued \"firepower\" monetary policy could have unintended consequences and could even be \"catastrophic.\" He also said that the U.S. stock market is already in a bubble and fears of falling into a bear market.</p><p><img height=\"249\" oldsrc=\"W020210805522795400923.jpg\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/W020210805522795400923.jpg\" width=\"750\"/></p><p>(Screenshot source: Business Insider)</p><p>In a recent report, John Mauldin said of the Fed's easing policy that it could be \"the worst mistake in the history of a central bank,\" according to Business Insider, a well-known financial website.</p><p>\"I think the Fed has made a major policy mistake that could lead directly to a recession,\" the prominent economist and expert on 30 years of market experience wrote in the report.</p><p>Mauldin believes that the Fed's mistake is to continue its asset purchase program at full speed and keep interest rates near zero after the economy has emerged from the crisis phase.</p><p>One of the unintended consequences he cited is that the Federal Reserve is driving down mortgage rates, causing home prices to skyrocket, hurting low-income prospective homebuyers. 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When that happens, investors may start to feel uncertainty about how far and for how long the Fed will let go of the throttle, he said.</p><p>Although Mauldin did not specifically predict the selling magnitude of the stock market, he believes that it is entirely possible that the US stock market will enter a bear market, representing a decline of at least 20% in the broader market.</p><p>He believes that from the current level of U.S. stocks, the overall rate of return may be negative in the next 7 to 10 years.</p><p></div><div><div><ul><li>U.S. stock market</li><li>Federal Reserve</li></ul></div><div><div><div>share</div><div><div></div></div></div><div></div></div></div></div></body></html></p>","source":"fxdaily_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history\"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history\"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">FX168</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 14:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><div><div>FX168 Financial News (Hong Kong) News Since March 2020, the Federal Reserve has maintained a very loose monetary policy, hoping to return the U.S. labor market to what the Federal Reserve considers to be the \"maximum employment\" state. But John Mauldin, president of Mauldin Companies, said the Fed has made a \"big mistake\" and that its continued \"firepower\" monetary policy could have unintended consequences and could even be \"catastrophic.\" He also said that the U.S. stock market is already in a bubble and fears of falling into a bear market.</p><p><img height=\"249\" oldsrc=\"W020210805522795400923.jpg\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/W020210805522795400923.jpg\" width=\"750\"/></p><p>(Screenshot source: Business Insider)</p><p>In a recent report, John Mauldin said of the Fed's easing policy that it could be \"the worst mistake in the history of a central bank,\" according to Business Insider, a well-known financial website.</p><p>\"I think the Fed has made a major policy mistake that could lead directly to a recession,\" the prominent economist and expert on 30 years of market experience wrote in the report.</p><p>Mauldin believes that the Fed's mistake is to continue its asset purchase program at full speed and keep interest rates near zero after the economy has emerged from the crisis phase.</p><p>One of the unintended consequences he cited is that the Federal Reserve is driving down mortgage rates, causing home prices to skyrocket, hurting low-income prospective homebuyers. Then there's inflation, which erodes consumers' savings.</p><p>The Fed's easing measures also have a direct impact on U.S. stocks. Low interest rates have pushed U.S. stock valuations to all-time highs.</p><p>In many ways, the U.S. stock market is in a bubble, Mauldin said.</p><p>Mauldin wrote in the report: \"The Fed appears to have taken on a third mission: to keep the stock market rising. This not only exacerbates the wealth gap, it also borders on malfeasance because at some point, the Fed will have to let go of the accelerator. When that happens, the possibility of another 'taper tantrum' is very high.\"</p><p>He added: \"The Fed should never consider the stock market its responsibility. Doing so (and I think they are doing so) will expose us all to extreme volatility in the future.\"</p><p>Mauldin said he thinks the Fed will signal to start tapering asset purchases as early as this December. When that happens, investors may start to feel uncertainty about how far and for how long the Fed will let go of the throttle, he said.</p><p>Although Mauldin did not specifically predict the selling magnitude of the stock market, he believes that it is entirely possible that the US stock market will enter a bear market, representing a decline of at least 20% in the broader market.</p><p>He believes that from the current level of U.S. stocks, the overall rate of return may be negative in the next 7 to 10 years.</p><p></div><div><div><ul><li>U.S. stock market</li><li>Federal Reserve</li></ul></div><div><div><div>share</div><div><div></div></div></div><div></div></div></div></div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/5244801.shtml\">FX168</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/W020210805523473621562.jpg","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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Mauldin在谈及美联储宽松政策时说，这可能是“央行历史上最糟糕的错误”。这位著名经济学家和30年市场经验的专家在该报告中写道：“我认为美联储已经犯了一个重大的政策错误，可能直接导致经济衰退。”Mauldin认为，美联储所犯的错误就是，在经济已经走出危机阶段之后，继续全速实施资产购买计划，并将利率维持在接近零的水平。他提到的意外后果之一是，美联储正在压低抵押贷款利率，导致房价飙升，伤害了低收入的潜在购房者。然后是通货膨胀，它侵蚀了消费者的储蓄。美联储宽松举措对美国股市也有直接影响。低利率将美股估值推高至历史高位。Mauldin表示，从很多方面来看，美国股市都处于泡沫之中。Mauldin在报告中写道：“美联储似乎承担了第三项使命：保持股市上涨。这不仅加剧了贫富差距，还近乎渎职，因为在某个时候，美联储将不得不松开油门。当这种情况发生时，另一场‘缩减恐慌’(taper tantrum)的可能性非常大。”他补充称：“美联储绝对不应该认为股市是它的责任。这样做(我认为他们正在这样做)会让我们所有人面临未来极端的波动。”Mauldin表示，他认为美联储最早将在今年12月发出开始缩减资产购买规模的信号。他说，当这种情况发生时，投资者可能会开始感到不确定性，不知道美联储将在多大程度上以及在多长时间内松开油门。虽然Mauldin没有具体预测股市的抛售幅度，但他认为，美股市场完全可能由此进入熊市，代表大盘下跌至少20%。他认为，从目前的美股水平来看，可能未来7年至10年，总体回报率都是负数。\n\n\n\n\n\n                                                    美国股市\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    美联储\n                                                \n\n\n\n\n\n分享","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".IXIC":1,"UPRO":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"SPY":1,"SDOW":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SSO":0.6,".SPX":0.6,".DJI":1,"IVV":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":926535921,"gmtCreate":1587140338363,"gmtModify":1705303278622,"author":{"id":"3485906164695325","authorId":"3485906164695325","name":"DadTomy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85fe8fcaa57048956b6db8938a13370","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485906164695325","authorIdStr":"3485906164695325"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCUS\">$Arcus Biosciences Inc.(RCUS)$</a>？？？？？？？？？？","listText":"<a 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Inc.(RCUS)$？？？？？？？？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/926535921","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893297133,"gmtCreate":1628263017622,"gmtModify":1703504278318,"author":{"id":"3485906164695325","authorId":"3485906164695325","name":"DadTomy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85fe8fcaa57048956b6db8938a13370","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3485906164695325","idStr":"3485906164695325"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"2","listText":"2","text":"2","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893297133","repostId":"2157487706","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2157487706","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628145120,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2157487706?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 14:32","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"\"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history\"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2157487706","media":"FX168","summary":"FX168财经报社(香港)讯 自2020年3月以来，美联储一直保持非常宽松的货币政策，期望令美国劳动力市场回到该联储认为的“最大就业”状态。但Mauldin Companies总裁John Mauldin表示，美联储已经犯下“大错”，其持...","content":"<p><html><body><div><div>FX168 Financial News (Hong Kong) News Since March 2020, the Federal Reserve has maintained a very loose monetary policy, hoping to return the U.S. labor market to what the Federal Reserve considers to be the \"maximum employment\" state. But John Mauldin, president of Mauldin Companies, said the Fed has made a \"big mistake\" and that its continued \"firepower\" monetary policy could have unintended consequences and could even be \"catastrophic.\" He also said that the U.S. stock market is already in a bubble and fears of falling into a bear market.</p><p><img height=\"249\" oldsrc=\"W020210805522795400923.jpg\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/W020210805522795400923.jpg\" width=\"750\"/></p><p>(Screenshot source: Business Insider)</p><p>In a recent report, John Mauldin said of the Fed's easing policy that it could be \"the worst mistake in the history of a central bank,\" according to Business Insider, a well-known financial website.</p><p>\"I think the Fed has made a major policy mistake that could lead directly to a recession,\" the prominent economist and expert on 30 years of market experience wrote in the report.</p><p>Mauldin believes that the Fed's mistake is to continue its asset purchase program at full speed and keep interest rates near zero after the economy has emerged from the crisis phase.</p><p>One of the unintended consequences he cited is that the Federal Reserve is driving down mortgage rates, causing home prices to skyrocket, hurting low-income prospective homebuyers. Then there's inflation, which erodes consumers' savings.</p><p>The Fed's easing measures also have a direct impact on U.S. stocks. Low interest rates have pushed U.S. stock valuations to all-time highs.</p><p>In many ways, the U.S. stock market is in a bubble, Mauldin said.</p><p>Mauldin wrote in the report: \"The Fed appears to have taken on a third mission: to keep the stock market rising. This not only exacerbates the wealth gap, it also borders on malfeasance because at some point, the Fed will have to let go of the accelerator. When that happens, the possibility of another 'taper tantrum' is very high.\"</p><p>He added: \"The Fed should never consider the stock market its responsibility. Doing so (and I think they are doing so) will expose us all to extreme volatility in the future.\"</p><p>Mauldin said he thinks the Fed will signal to start tapering asset purchases as early as this December. When that happens, investors may start to feel uncertainty about how far and for how long the Fed will let go of the throttle, he said.</p><p>Although Mauldin did not specifically predict the selling magnitude of the stock market, he believes that it is entirely possible that the US stock market will enter a bear market, representing a decline of at least 20% in the broader market.</p><p>He believes that from the current level of U.S. stocks, the overall rate of return may be negative in the next 7 to 10 years.</p><p></div><div><div><ul><li>U.S. stock market</li><li>Federal Reserve</li></ul></div><div><div><div>share</div><div><div></div></div></div><div></div></div></div></div></body></html></p>","source":"fxdaily_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history\"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"The Fed made the biggest mistake in history\"! Investment bosses say that U.S. stocks are afraid to fall into a bear market, and the broader market plunges at least 20%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">FX168</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 14:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><div><div>FX168 Financial News (Hong Kong) News Since March 2020, the Federal Reserve has maintained a very loose monetary policy, hoping to return the U.S. labor market to what the Federal Reserve considers to be the \"maximum employment\" state. But John Mauldin, president of Mauldin Companies, said the Fed has made a \"big mistake\" and that its continued \"firepower\" monetary policy could have unintended consequences and could even be \"catastrophic.\" He also said that the U.S. stock market is already in a bubble and fears of falling into a bear market.</p><p><img height=\"249\" oldsrc=\"W020210805522795400923.jpg\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/W020210805522795400923.jpg\" width=\"750\"/></p><p>(Screenshot source: Business Insider)</p><p>In a recent report, John Mauldin said of the Fed's easing policy that it could be \"the worst mistake in the history of a central bank,\" according to Business Insider, a well-known financial website.</p><p>\"I think the Fed has made a major policy mistake that could lead directly to a recession,\" the prominent economist and expert on 30 years of market experience wrote in the report.</p><p>Mauldin believes that the Fed's mistake is to continue its asset purchase program at full speed and keep interest rates near zero after the economy has emerged from the crisis phase.</p><p>One of the unintended consequences he cited is that the Federal Reserve is driving down mortgage rates, causing home prices to skyrocket, hurting low-income prospective homebuyers. Then there's inflation, which erodes consumers' savings.</p><p>The Fed's easing measures also have a direct impact on U.S. stocks. Low interest rates have pushed U.S. stock valuations to all-time highs.</p><p>In many ways, the U.S. stock market is in a bubble, Mauldin said.</p><p>Mauldin wrote in the report: \"The Fed appears to have taken on a third mission: to keep the stock market rising. This not only exacerbates the wealth gap, it also borders on malfeasance because at some point, the Fed will have to let go of the accelerator. When that happens, the possibility of another 'taper tantrum' is very high.\"</p><p>He added: \"The Fed should never consider the stock market its responsibility. Doing so (and I think they are doing so) will expose us all to extreme volatility in the future.\"</p><p>Mauldin said he thinks the Fed will signal to start tapering asset purchases as early as this December. When that happens, investors may start to feel uncertainty about how far and for how long the Fed will let go of the throttle, he said.</p><p>Although Mauldin did not specifically predict the selling magnitude of the stock market, he believes that it is entirely possible that the US stock market will enter a bear market, representing a decline of at least 20% in the broader market.</p><p>He believes that from the current level of U.S. stocks, the overall rate of return may be negative in the next 7 to 10 years.</p><p></div><div><div><ul><li>U.S. stock market</li><li>Federal Reserve</li></ul></div><div><div><div>share</div><div><div></div></div></div><div></div></div></div></div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/5244801.shtml\">FX168</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/W020210805523473621562.jpg","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.fx168.com/usstock/2108/5244801.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2157487706","content_text":"FX168财经报社(香港)讯 自2020年3月以来，美联储一直保持非常宽松的货币政策，期望令美国劳动力市场回到该联储认为的“最大就业”状态。但Mauldin Companies总裁John Mauldin表示，美联储已经犯下“大错”，其持续“火力全开”的货币政策可能会带来意想不到的后果，甚至可能会是“灾难性的”。他并表示，美国股市已处于泡沫之中，恐坠入熊市。(截图来源：Business Insider)据知名财经网站Business Insider报道，在最近的一份报告中，John Mauldin在谈及美联储宽松政策时说，这可能是“央行历史上最糟糕的错误”。这位著名经济学家和30年市场经验的专家在该报告中写道：“我认为美联储已经犯了一个重大的政策错误，可能直接导致经济衰退。”Mauldin认为，美联储所犯的错误就是，在经济已经走出危机阶段之后，继续全速实施资产购买计划，并将利率维持在接近零的水平。他提到的意外后果之一是，美联储正在压低抵押贷款利率，导致房价飙升，伤害了低收入的潜在购房者。然后是通货膨胀，它侵蚀了消费者的储蓄。美联储宽松举措对美国股市也有直接影响。低利率将美股估值推高至历史高位。Mauldin表示，从很多方面来看，美国股市都处于泡沫之中。Mauldin在报告中写道：“美联储似乎承担了第三项使命：保持股市上涨。这不仅加剧了贫富差距，还近乎渎职，因为在某个时候，美联储将不得不松开油门。当这种情况发生时，另一场‘缩减恐慌’(taper tantrum)的可能性非常大。”他补充称：“美联储绝对不应该认为股市是它的责任。这样做(我认为他们正在这样做)会让我们所有人面临未来极端的波动。”Mauldin表示，他认为美联储最早将在今年12月发出开始缩减资产购买规模的信号。他说，当这种情况发生时，投资者可能会开始感到不确定性，不知道美联储将在多大程度上以及在多长时间内松开油门。虽然Mauldin没有具体预测股市的抛售幅度，但他认为，美股市场完全可能由此进入熊市，代表大盘下跌至少20%。他认为，从目前的美股水平来看，可能未来7年至10年，总体回报率都是负数。\n\n\n\n\n\n                                                    美国股市\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    美联储\n                                                \n\n\n\n\n\n分享","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".IXIC":1,"UPRO":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"SPY":1,"SDOW":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SSO":0.6,".SPX":0.6,".DJI":1,"IVV":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}