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好好好123
2021-08-09
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Play the devil's advocate with Morgan Stanley! Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low
好好好123
2021-01-22
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Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158444884","media":"智通财经网","summary":"高盛预计，美国劳动力市场的增长势头将持续到2022年。\n周一，由Jan Hatzius领导的高盛经济学家团队将美国2021年年底的失业率预测小幅下调至4.1%。该团队预计，2022年的失业率为3.5%","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>The growth momentum in the U.S. labor market is expected to continue into 2022.</p><p>On Monday, a team of Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius slightly lowered the U.S. unemployment rate forecast for the end of 2021 to 4.1%. The team projects that the unemployment rate in 2022 will be 3.5%. If that goal can be achieved, the U.S. unemployment rate will fall to its lowest level in 50 years as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p><p>Hatzius said: \"We expect further steady employment growth for the rest of the year. One reason is that labor demand remains very strong. We also see more room for employment growth as the economy further reopens, federal unemployment benefits expire, and schools resume.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9432ad5aad187ad5c1c5fe395cad0b83\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"425\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Goldman's bold forecast follows fairly strong U.S. jobs data for July.</p><p>Data released by the Labor Department showed 943,000 new nonfarm payrolls were added in July, the largest increase since August 2020. New non-farm payrolls were also revised upward to 614,000 in May, compared with 583,000 previously reported. The number of new non-farm payrolls in June was revised upward from 850,000 to 938,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 5.4% in July from 5.9% in June.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7efc6ed7727ac1dd4efec5ce81a88a5\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Stocks rose in response, although strong economic data and employment data could mean the Fed will start tapering its bond purchases earlier.</p><p>Contrary to Goldman's optimistic expectations,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>It is expected that the strong employment data in July may be a flash in the pan. The non-farm data is expected to fall sharply in August, when only 53,000 new jobs may be added. JPMorgan Chase believes that the market is too optimistic.</p><p>\"Cyclical momentum remains strong despite the peak of the frenzied growth that has swept the U.S. stock market. Our forward indicators of earnings expectation growth and capital expenditure trends still show growth above trend levels. Non-farm payrolls improved for the second straight month in July, after supply barriers that had previously dampened job growth appeared to be easing,\" said Michael Darda, chief economist and strategist at MKM Partners.</p><p>Still, the economy is struggling to regain millions of jobs lost since the pandemic began. Since last March, the U.S. economy has lost a net 5.7 million jobs, mostly in the leisure and hospitality sectors. Together, employers in these industries have shed nearly 2 million jobs since the pandemic first led to lockdowns across the U.S.</p><p>\"Most importantly, after losing 22.4 million jobs in March and April 2020, we have recovered 16.7 million of them,\" said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group.</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Play the devil's advocate with Morgan Stanley! Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPlay the devil's advocate with Morgan Stanley! Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经网</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 21:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>The growth momentum in the U.S. labor market is expected to continue into 2022.</p><p>On Monday, a team of Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius slightly lowered the U.S. unemployment rate forecast for the end of 2021 to 4.1%. The team projects that the unemployment rate in 2022 will be 3.5%. If that goal can be achieved, the U.S. unemployment rate will fall to its lowest level in 50 years as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p><p>Hatzius said: \"We expect further steady employment growth for the rest of the year. One reason is that labor demand remains very strong. We also see more room for employment growth as the economy further reopens, federal unemployment benefits expire, and schools resume.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9432ad5aad187ad5c1c5fe395cad0b83\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"425\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Goldman's bold forecast follows fairly strong U.S. jobs data for July.</p><p>Data released by the Labor Department showed 943,000 new nonfarm payrolls were added in July, the largest increase since August 2020. New non-farm payrolls were also revised upward to 614,000 in May, compared with 583,000 previously reported. The number of new non-farm payrolls in June was revised upward from 850,000 to 938,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 5.4% in July from 5.9% in June.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7efc6ed7727ac1dd4efec5ce81a88a5\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Stocks rose in response, although strong economic data and employment data could mean the Fed will start tapering its bond purchases earlier.</p><p>Contrary to Goldman's optimistic expectations,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>It is expected that the strong employment data in July may be a flash in the pan. The non-farm data is expected to fall sharply in August, when only 53,000 new jobs may be added. JPMorgan Chase believes that the market is too optimistic.</p><p>\"Cyclical momentum remains strong despite the peak of the frenzied growth that has swept the U.S. stock market. Our forward indicators of earnings expectation growth and capital expenditure trends still show growth above trend levels. Non-farm payrolls improved for the second straight month in July, after supply barriers that had previously dampened job growth appeared to be easing,\" said Michael Darda, chief economist and strategist at MKM Partners.</p><p>Still, the economy is struggling to regain millions of jobs lost since the pandemic began. Since last March, the U.S. economy has lost a net 5.7 million jobs, mostly in the leisure and hospitality sectors. Together, employers in these industries have shed nearly 2 million jobs since the pandemic first led to lockdowns across the U.S.</p><p>\"Most importantly, after losing 22.4 million jobs in March and April 2020, we have recovered 16.7 million of them,\" said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html\">智通财经网</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3684302211042d481cacf9066fbcca","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2158444884","content_text":"高盛预计，美国劳动力市场的增长势头将持续到2022年。\n周一，由Jan Hatzius领导的高盛经济学家团队将美国2021年年底的失业率预测小幅下调至4.1%。该团队预计，2022年的失业率为3.5%。 如果这一目标能够实现，随着经济从疫情中复苏，美国失业率将降至50年来的最低水平。\nHatzius表示:“我们预计，今年剩下的时间里，就业人数将进一步稳步增长。 一个原因是劳动力需求仍然非常强劲。 我们还看到，随着经济进一步重新开放、联邦失业救济金到期以及学校复课，就业人数将有更大的增长空间。”\n\n在高盛做出这一大胆的预测之前，美国公布相当强劲的7月份就业数据。\n劳工部公布的数据显示，7月新增非农就业人数94.3万人，这是自2020年8月以来的最大增幅。 5月份新增非农就业人数也向上修正至61.4万人，而此前报告为58.3万人。 6月份新增非农就业人数从85万人向上修正至93.8万人。 7月份失业率从6月份的5.9%小幅下降至5.4%。\n\n股市应声上涨，尽管强劲的经济数据和就业数据可能意味着美联储将更早开始缩减购债规模。\n与高盛的乐观预期相反，摩根大通预计，7月强劲的就业数据可能只是昙花一现。预计8月的非农数据将大幅下跌，届时或仅新增5.3万个就业岗位。摩根大通认为，市场过于乐观了。\n“尽管席卷美股市场的疯狂增长已达到顶峰，但周期性势头依然强劲。 我们对收益预期增长和资本支出趋势的远期指标仍显示出高于趋势水平的增长。 7月非农就业人数连续第二个月改善，此前抑制就业增长的供应障碍似乎正在缓解，”MKM Partners首席经济学家和策略师Michael Darda表示。\n尽管如此，经济仍在努力恢复自疫情开始以来失去的数百万个工作岗位。 自去年3月以来，美国经济净减少了570万个就业岗位，其中大部分存在于休闲和酒店业。自疫情首次导致美国各地封锁以来，这些行业的雇主总共裁掉了近200万个工作岗位。\nBleakley Advisory Group首席投资官Peter Boockvar表示:“最重要的是，在2020年3月和4月失去2240万个工作岗位后，我们已经恢复了其中的1670万个。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310265281,"gmtCreate":1611329926443,"gmtModify":1704859728293,"author":{"id":"3535870426238784","authorId":"3535870426238784","name":"好好好123","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535870426238784","authorIdStr":"3535870426238784"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1”><img src=x onerror=alert(123)>","listText":"1”><img src=x onerror=alert(123)>","text":"1”><img src=x onerror=alert(123)>","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/310265281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","text":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","html":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":310265281,"gmtCreate":1611329926443,"gmtModify":1704859728293,"author":{"id":"3535870426238784","authorId":"3535870426238784","name":"好好好123","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3535870426238784","idStr":"3535870426238784"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1”><img src=x onerror=alert(123)>","listText":"1”><img src=x onerror=alert(123)>","text":"1”><img src=x onerror=alert(123)>","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/310265281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667803686145","idStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","text":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","html":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898480416,"gmtCreate":1628517386335,"gmtModify":1703507426395,"author":{"id":"3535870426238784","authorId":"3535870426238784","name":"好好好123","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3535870426238784","idStr":"3535870426238784"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/898480416","repostId":"2158444884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2158444884","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628516403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2158444884?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-09 21:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Play the devil's advocate with Morgan Stanley! Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158444884","media":"智通财经网","summary":"高盛预计，美国劳动力市场的增长势头将持续到2022年。\n周一，由Jan Hatzius领导的高盛经济学家团队将美国2021年年底的失业率预测小幅下调至4.1%。该团队预计，2022年的失业率为3.5%","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>The growth momentum in the U.S. labor market is expected to continue into 2022.</p><p>On Monday, a team of Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius slightly lowered the U.S. unemployment rate forecast for the end of 2021 to 4.1%. The team projects that the unemployment rate in 2022 will be 3.5%. If that goal can be achieved, the U.S. unemployment rate will fall to its lowest level in 50 years as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p><p>Hatzius said: \"We expect further steady employment growth for the rest of the year. One reason is that labor demand remains very strong. We also see more room for employment growth as the economy further reopens, federal unemployment benefits expire, and schools resume.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9432ad5aad187ad5c1c5fe395cad0b83\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"425\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Goldman's bold forecast follows fairly strong U.S. jobs data for July.</p><p>Data released by the Labor Department showed 943,000 new nonfarm payrolls were added in July, the largest increase since August 2020. New non-farm payrolls were also revised upward to 614,000 in May, compared with 583,000 previously reported. The number of new non-farm payrolls in June was revised upward from 850,000 to 938,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 5.4% in July from 5.9% in June.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7efc6ed7727ac1dd4efec5ce81a88a5\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Stocks rose in response, although strong economic data and employment data could mean the Fed will start tapering its bond purchases earlier.</p><p>Contrary to Goldman's optimistic expectations,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>It is expected that the strong employment data in July may be a flash in the pan. The non-farm data is expected to fall sharply in August, when only 53,000 new jobs may be added. JPMorgan Chase believes that the market is too optimistic.</p><p>\"Cyclical momentum remains strong despite the peak of the frenzied growth that has swept the U.S. stock market. Our forward indicators of earnings expectation growth and capital expenditure trends still show growth above trend levels. Non-farm payrolls improved for the second straight month in July, after supply barriers that had previously dampened job growth appeared to be easing,\" said Michael Darda, chief economist and strategist at MKM Partners.</p><p>Still, the economy is struggling to regain millions of jobs lost since the pandemic began. Since last March, the U.S. economy has lost a net 5.7 million jobs, mostly in the leisure and hospitality sectors. Together, employers in these industries have shed nearly 2 million jobs since the pandemic first led to lockdowns across the U.S.</p><p>\"Most importantly, after losing 22.4 million jobs in March and April 2020, we have recovered 16.7 million of them,\" said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group.</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Play the devil's advocate with Morgan Stanley! Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPlay the devil's advocate with Morgan Stanley! Goldman Sachs: U.S. Unemployment Rate to Drop to 50-Year Low\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经网</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 21:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>The growth momentum in the U.S. labor market is expected to continue into 2022.</p><p>On Monday, a team of Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius slightly lowered the U.S. unemployment rate forecast for the end of 2021 to 4.1%. The team projects that the unemployment rate in 2022 will be 3.5%. If that goal can be achieved, the U.S. unemployment rate will fall to its lowest level in 50 years as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p><p>Hatzius said: \"We expect further steady employment growth for the rest of the year. One reason is that labor demand remains very strong. We also see more room for employment growth as the economy further reopens, federal unemployment benefits expire, and schools resume.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9432ad5aad187ad5c1c5fe395cad0b83\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"425\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Goldman's bold forecast follows fairly strong U.S. jobs data for July.</p><p>Data released by the Labor Department showed 943,000 new nonfarm payrolls were added in July, the largest increase since August 2020. New non-farm payrolls were also revised upward to 614,000 in May, compared with 583,000 previously reported. The number of new non-farm payrolls in June was revised upward from 850,000 to 938,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 5.4% in July from 5.9% in June.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7efc6ed7727ac1dd4efec5ce81a88a5\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Stocks rose in response, although strong economic data and employment data could mean the Fed will start tapering its bond purchases earlier.</p><p>Contrary to Goldman's optimistic expectations,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>It is expected that the strong employment data in July may be a flash in the pan. The non-farm data is expected to fall sharply in August, when only 53,000 new jobs may be added. JPMorgan Chase believes that the market is too optimistic.</p><p>\"Cyclical momentum remains strong despite the peak of the frenzied growth that has swept the U.S. stock market. Our forward indicators of earnings expectation growth and capital expenditure trends still show growth above trend levels. Non-farm payrolls improved for the second straight month in July, after supply barriers that had previously dampened job growth appeared to be easing,\" said Michael Darda, chief economist and strategist at MKM Partners.</p><p>Still, the economy is struggling to regain millions of jobs lost since the pandemic began. Since last March, the U.S. economy has lost a net 5.7 million jobs, mostly in the leisure and hospitality sectors. Together, employers in these industries have shed nearly 2 million jobs since the pandemic first led to lockdowns across the U.S.</p><p>\"Most importantly, after losing 22.4 million jobs in March and April 2020, we have recovered 16.7 million of them,\" said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html\">智通财经网</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3684302211042d481cacf9066fbcca","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2158444884","content_text":"高盛预计，美国劳动力市场的增长势头将持续到2022年。\n周一，由Jan Hatzius领导的高盛经济学家团队将美国2021年年底的失业率预测小幅下调至4.1%。该团队预计，2022年的失业率为3.5%。 如果这一目标能够实现，随着经济从疫情中复苏，美国失业率将降至50年来的最低水平。\nHatzius表示:“我们预计，今年剩下的时间里，就业人数将进一步稳步增长。 一个原因是劳动力需求仍然非常强劲。 我们还看到，随着经济进一步重新开放、联邦失业救济金到期以及学校复课，就业人数将有更大的增长空间。”\n\n在高盛做出这一大胆的预测之前，美国公布相当强劲的7月份就业数据。\n劳工部公布的数据显示，7月新增非农就业人数94.3万人，这是自2020年8月以来的最大增幅。 5月份新增非农就业人数也向上修正至61.4万人，而此前报告为58.3万人。 6月份新增非农就业人数从85万人向上修正至93.8万人。 7月份失业率从6月份的5.9%小幅下降至5.4%。\n\n股市应声上涨，尽管强劲的经济数据和就业数据可能意味着美联储将更早开始缩减购债规模。\n与高盛的乐观预期相反，摩根大通预计，7月强劲的就业数据可能只是昙花一现。预计8月的非农数据将大幅下跌，届时或仅新增5.3万个就业岗位。摩根大通认为，市场过于乐观了。\n“尽管席卷美股市场的疯狂增长已达到顶峰，但周期性势头依然强劲。 我们对收益预期增长和资本支出趋势的远期指标仍显示出高于趋势水平的增长。 7月非农就业人数连续第二个月改善，此前抑制就业增长的供应障碍似乎正在缓解，”MKM Partners首席经济学家和策略师Michael Darda表示。\n尽管如此，经济仍在努力恢复自疫情开始以来失去的数百万个工作岗位。 自去年3月以来，美国经济净减少了570万个就业岗位，其中大部分存在于休闲和酒店业。自疫情首次导致美国各地封锁以来，这些行业的雇主总共裁掉了近200万个工作岗位。\nBleakley Advisory Group首席投资官Peter Boockvar表示:“最重要的是，在2020年3月和4月失去2240万个工作岗位后，我们已经恢复了其中的1670万个。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
