Adestein personal page - To The Moon

Adestein

Adestein

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01-14

Great and fun game to play

2022-01-18

Will accumulate more

Is Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?

2023-06-21

Repost theme theme for marketing

2022-07-18

Volatility to watch and possible action

The S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears

2021-06-30

[Strong]

Facebook Could Be A $500 Stock After Court Tosses FTC Case

2021-06-30

Great

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-04-16

Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please

2023-04-06

Keep hunting and fun

2022-01-08

I like this stock and waiting to enter

InMode Is Bringing a Paradigm Shift to Cosmetic Procedures

2022-06-11

Omg

Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading

2022-05-31

Thanks for sharing

Now Down Almost 50%, Will Meta Platforms Rebound Anytime Soon?

01-12

Up up airdrop get get

01-09

Still enjoying the game but trailing others

2023-06-12

Morning, addicted game and fun

2021-06-29

Cool!

Sorry, the original content has been removed

01-13

Play dan enjoy the game

01-10

Happy gaming and fun everyone

01-08

Go go go enjoy the game

01-07

Great and fun game to play

01-07

Great and fun game to play

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004023773","repostId":"1177851470","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177851470","pubTimestamp":1642430618,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177851470?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-17 22:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177851470","media":"Benzinga","summary":"$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a to","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>$<b>Microsoft Corporation(</b>MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 in the past year, generating a total return of 42%.</p><p>Microsoft is still putting up impressive growth numbers. But with a $2.31 trillion market cap, some investors are wondering if there’s any value left in Microsoft stock.</p><p><b>Earnings:</b> A price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is one of the most basic fundamental metrics for gauging a stock’s value. The lower the PE, the higher the value. For comparison, the S&amp;P 500’s PE is currently at about 29.5, nearly double its long-term average of 15.6.</p><p><b>Microsoft’s PE is currently 34.0, slightly higher than the S&amp;P 500 average as a whole. Microsoft’s PE is also up 30.3% over the past five years, suggesting its earnings multiple is on the high end of its historical range.</b></p><p><b>Growth:</b> Looking ahead to the next four quarters, the S&amp;P 500’s forward PE ratio looks much more reasonable at just 20.9. <b>Unfortunately, Microsoft’s forward earnings ratio of 28.8 doesn’t make the stock undervalued at its current price.</b> In fact, it appears to be slightly overvalued compared to technology sectorpeers that are currently averaging a 27.9 forward earnings multiple.</p><p>However, when it comes to evaluating a stock, earnings aren&#39;t everything.</p><p>Growth rate is also critical for companies that are rapidly building their bottom lines. The price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio (PEG) is a good way to incorporate growth rates into the evaluation process. The S&amp;P 500’s overall PEG is currently about 1; Microsoft’s PEG is 2.0, a potential red flag that the stock has become overheated.</p><p>Price-to-sales ratio is another important valuation metric, particularly for unprofitable companies and growth stocks. The S&amp;P 500’s PS ratio is currently 3.21, nearly twice its long-term average of 1.63. Microsoft’s PS ratio is 12.98, definitely not what a value investor is looking for.</p><p>Finally, Wall Street analysts see decent gains for Microsoft shares over the next 12 months.<b>The average analyst price target among the 36 analysts covering Microsoft is $370, suggesting about 20.4% upside from current levels.</b></p><p><b>The Verdict:</b> At its current valuation, Microsoft stock is showing a couple of warning signs of being overvalued, so investors should proceed with caution.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-17 22:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a total return of 42%.Microsoft is still putting up impressive growth numbers. But with a $2.31 trillion...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177851470","content_text":"$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a total return of 42%.Microsoft is still putting up impressive growth numbers. But with a $2.31 trillion market cap, some investors are wondering if there’s any value left in Microsoft stock.Earnings: A price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is one of the most basic fundamental metrics for gauging a stock’s value. The lower the PE, the higher the value. For comparison, the S&P 500’s PE is currently at about 29.5, nearly double its long-term average of 15.6.Microsoft’s PE is currently 34.0, slightly higher than the S&P 500 average as a whole. Microsoft’s PE is also up 30.3% over the past five years, suggesting its earnings multiple is on the high end of its historical range.Growth: Looking ahead to the next four quarters, the S&P 500’s forward PE ratio looks much more reasonable at just 20.9. Unfortunately, Microsoft’s forward earnings ratio of 28.8 doesn’t make the stock undervalued at its current price. In fact, it appears to be slightly overvalued compared to technology sectorpeers that are currently averaging a 27.9 forward earnings multiple.However, when it comes to evaluating a stock, earnings aren't everything.Growth rate is also critical for companies that are rapidly building their bottom lines. The price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio (PEG) is a good way to incorporate growth rates into the evaluation process. The S&P 500’s overall PEG is currently about 1; Microsoft’s PEG is 2.0, a potential red flag that the stock has become overheated.Price-to-sales ratio is another important valuation metric, particularly for unprofitable companies and growth stocks. The S&P 500’s PS ratio is currently 3.21, nearly twice its long-term average of 1.63. Microsoft’s PS ratio is 12.98, definitely not what a value investor is looking for.Finally, Wall Street analysts see decent gains for Microsoft shares over the next 12 months.The average analyst price target among the 36 analysts covering Microsoft is $370, suggesting about 20.4% upside from current levels.The Verdict: At its current valuation, Microsoft stock is showing a couple of warning signs of being overvalued, so investors should proceed with caution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":758636377374896,"gmtCreate":1687309933071,"gmtModify":1687309936628,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Repost theme theme for marketing","listText":"Repost theme theme for marketing","text":"Repost theme theme for marketing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/758636377374896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072764758,"gmtCreate":1658103803674,"gmtModify":1676536105330,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Volatility to watch and possible action","listText":"&nbsp;Volatility to watch and possible action","text":"Volatility to watch and possible action","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072764758","repostId":"1171216673","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171216673","pubTimestamp":1658126822,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171216673?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-18 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171216673","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLast week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.The ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Last week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.</li><li>The macro backdrop is deteriorating quickly, and that is likely to weigh on stocks heading into next week&#39;s FOMC meeting.</li><li>Can the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally.</li></ul><p>Stocks had a solid finish to the week, thanks to options expiration. But if it had not been for the monthly options expiration, last week would have been a disaster. The S&amp;P 500 (SP500) was down more than 4% at its lows on Thursday morning but finished the week lower by around 1%. The end-of-week comeback was aided by the slow melt of the VIX index (VIX).</p><p>Options expiration managed to keep the markets afloat and did not allow the S&amp;P 500 to drift too far from the significant open interest levels around the 3,800 and 3,850 levels. As the market drifted lower during the week, the higher strike prices&#39; gravity helped lift the index higher throughout Thursday and Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1087749c4a64eb74faaa94e6ef166198\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CBOE Live Vol/ Trade Alert</p><p>That is primarily why the S&amp;P 500 was stuck between 3,845 and 3,860 on Friday after 11 AM. It only managed to move higher in the final 5 minutes of the trading session and closed just above 3,860.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d5c9218e35227c952ae94c2c2bf327\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Trading View</p><p>Monday starts a new options cycle, meaning the push and pull of options start over, and the market will be free to move much more easily. Open interest levels for the S&amp;P 500 will be nearly cut in half with the removal of the July 15 trade date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/977b187047b9f42a957e7c2ae1c32452\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CBOE Live Vol/ Trade Alert</p><p>Additionally, there was a consistent decline in implied volatility levels in the S&amp;P 500 throughout the week. The big intraday rebounds witnessed on Wednesday and Thursday were helped by falling implied volatility throughout the day. It would suggest the intraday price action was more mechanical and options related than due to the underlying macro backdrop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1a95c554925a6fcfdc75aa740ef105e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Macro Factors Forgotten For Now</b></p><p>The macro backdrop this past week was very negative. The CPI report came in much hotter than expected. The market is now betting on a 75 and 100 bps rate hike at the end of July. The odds of a 75 bps rate hike now stand around 70%, while a 100 bps rate hike stands around 30%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6eb066f2ad57e2b88ce053c85c0b6ff7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME</p><p>While retail sales were better than expected, rising by 1.0% month-over-month versus estimates of 0.9%, they were still well below the CPI month-over-month gain of 1.3%. That means retail sales were down 0.3% on a month-over-month basis in <i>real</i> terms. Even on a year-over-year basis, retail sales were negative, rising 8.4%, below the 9.1% year-over-year gain in CPI. In <i>real</i> terms, retail sales fell 0.7% year-over-year and were negative for the fourth straight month. While the declines to this point are modest, it is rare for retail sales to be negative year-over-year in <i>real</i> terms. It has only previously happened in recessions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23850297cf6fd31a46b4ec6832eff964\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>On top of this, the data out of China was just as bad, with second quarter GDP missing consensus estimates by a wide margin, rising by just 0.4%, well short of forecasts for 1.2%. This news was unnoticed by US markets during Friday&#39;s trading session. Still, it didn&#39;t go unnoticed in Asia, with CSI 300 index dropping by around 4% last week and the HK Hang Seng index dropping approximately 6.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d36b1238969edc97e9d15f739fe4e6a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>If that weren&#39;t enough, Europe had its problems, with Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi announcing his intentions to resign. The news caused the Italian 2-year yield to explode higher, which sent the euro sharply lower versus the dollar.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d802f80bfd8388f361e196f6128658f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The euro is trading at its lowest point versus the dollar in nearly 20 years and at parity with the dollar. Couple that with China&#39;s weak economic data and Japan&#39;s reluctance to come off its negative interest rate policy and yield curve control, the dollar has strengthened versus the Japanese yen and the Chinese renminbi too.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6ccc0f82bdcbc76dbad6692f22a2fb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Implied Volatility Saves The Day</b></p><p>The macro backdrop did not support stocks rising and is a big reason markets were down sharply on Wednesday and Thursday morning. But once implied volatility and the VIX index began to melt, stocks got a boost right into Friday&#39;s close.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a1b8e003a50ee69e05d1b5c176386e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Stress Builds</b></p><p>But not all is well beneath the surface. As noted by the spread between the 3-Month USD Libor Rate and the US Effective Fed Funds Rate, a sign of stress may have shown its head in the overnight lending markets. The spread is not high compared to peaks in 2018, 2019, or 2020, but it is at its widest point since Russia invaded Ukraine and needs to be watched closely. The widening spread can signal increased equity market volatility.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c444f4b9b9989639b08c1b0642df18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Given this backdrop, the melt of implied volatility is likely to change this week as the market moves past the VIX options expiration and begins to focus on macro issues along with a European Central Bank and Bank of Japan meeting this week, along with the FOMC meeting on July 27.</p><p><b>FOMC Cycle Should Kick In</b></p><p>The period after the FOMC meeting tends to be bullish. The only period that didn&#39;t see a rally post-FOMC came following the May meeting. Otherwise, we have seen relatively big rallies following the FOMC meeting this year. But the period before the FOMC meeting can be very turbulent, especially 6 to 9 days before the meeting.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834fbfe4ecdf8c8c2b32456c1af66ddb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Trading View</p><p><b>Volatility Rising?</b></p><p>The rallies after the FOMC meeting are usually because the VIX is elevated heading into that meeting. After all, the FOMC meeting creates an event risk. Therefore, traders look to put hedges in place by buying puts, pushing implied volatility up and, as a result, causing the VIX to go higher and stock prices down about 6 to 10 days before the FOMC meeting. Once the event risk passes, there is no reason to have hedges anymore, causing implied volatility to fall and for the market to rally.</p><p>The VIX appears to be set up similar to how it was at the June FOMC meeting. With volatility melting lower, there is potential to push significantly higher between now and the FOMC meeting.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c2827ed751751392e441b5d4342e41b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Trading View</p><p>Interestingly, there has been a turn-up in 10-day realized volatility in the S&amp;P 500. When the spread between 10-day realized volatility and S&amp;P 500 30-day implied volatility widens by about 5 percentage points, it tends to push realized volatility higher, pulling implied volatility higher, which is bearish for stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bb093d9ce1f7d6ddb39e7a61f7c0b62\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Can the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally. Given several geopolitical factors, along with an upcoming central bank meeting from the ECB and BOJ this week and the FOMC next week, the risk for further downside pain is not over yet.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-18 14:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523796-sp-500-may-drop-sharply-as-vix-surge-nears><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLast week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.The macro backdrop is deteriorating quickly, and that is likely to weigh on stocks heading into next ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523796-sp-500-may-drop-sharply-as-vix-surge-nears\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523796-sp-500-may-drop-sharply-as-vix-surge-nears","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171216673","content_text":"SummaryLast week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.The macro backdrop is deteriorating quickly, and that is likely to weigh on stocks heading into next week's FOMC meeting.Can the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally.Stocks had a solid finish to the week, thanks to options expiration. But if it had not been for the monthly options expiration, last week would have been a disaster. The S&P 500 (SP500) was down more than 4% at its lows on Thursday morning but finished the week lower by around 1%. The end-of-week comeback was aided by the slow melt of the VIX index (VIX).Options expiration managed to keep the markets afloat and did not allow the S&P 500 to drift too far from the significant open interest levels around the 3,800 and 3,850 levels. As the market drifted lower during the week, the higher strike prices' gravity helped lift the index higher throughout Thursday and Friday.CBOE Live Vol/ Trade AlertThat is primarily why the S&P 500 was stuck between 3,845 and 3,860 on Friday after 11 AM. It only managed to move higher in the final 5 minutes of the trading session and closed just above 3,860.Trading ViewMonday starts a new options cycle, meaning the push and pull of options start over, and the market will be free to move much more easily. Open interest levels for the S&P 500 will be nearly cut in half with the removal of the July 15 trade date.CBOE Live Vol/ Trade AlertAdditionally, there was a consistent decline in implied volatility levels in the S&P 500 throughout the week. The big intraday rebounds witnessed on Wednesday and Thursday were helped by falling implied volatility throughout the day. It would suggest the intraday price action was more mechanical and options related than due to the underlying macro backdrop.BloombergMacro Factors Forgotten For NowThe macro backdrop this past week was very negative. The CPI report came in much hotter than expected. The market is now betting on a 75 and 100 bps rate hike at the end of July. The odds of a 75 bps rate hike now stand around 70%, while a 100 bps rate hike stands around 30%.CMEWhile retail sales were better than expected, rising by 1.0% month-over-month versus estimates of 0.9%, they were still well below the CPI month-over-month gain of 1.3%. That means retail sales were down 0.3% on a month-over-month basis in real terms. Even on a year-over-year basis, retail sales were negative, rising 8.4%, below the 9.1% year-over-year gain in CPI. In real terms, retail sales fell 0.7% year-over-year and were negative for the fourth straight month. While the declines to this point are modest, it is rare for retail sales to be negative year-over-year in real terms. It has only previously happened in recessions.BloombergOn top of this, the data out of China was just as bad, with second quarter GDP missing consensus estimates by a wide margin, rising by just 0.4%, well short of forecasts for 1.2%. This news was unnoticed by US markets during Friday's trading session. Still, it didn't go unnoticed in Asia, with CSI 300 index dropping by around 4% last week and the HK Hang Seng index dropping approximately 6.6%.BloombergIf that weren't enough, Europe had its problems, with Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi announcing his intentions to resign. The news caused the Italian 2-year yield to explode higher, which sent the euro sharply lower versus the dollar.BloombergThe euro is trading at its lowest point versus the dollar in nearly 20 years and at parity with the dollar. Couple that with China's weak economic data and Japan's reluctance to come off its negative interest rate policy and yield curve control, the dollar has strengthened versus the Japanese yen and the Chinese renminbi too.BloombergImplied Volatility Saves The DayThe macro backdrop did not support stocks rising and is a big reason markets were down sharply on Wednesday and Thursday morning. But once implied volatility and the VIX index began to melt, stocks got a boost right into Friday's close.BloombergStress BuildsBut not all is well beneath the surface. As noted by the spread between the 3-Month USD Libor Rate and the US Effective Fed Funds Rate, a sign of stress may have shown its head in the overnight lending markets. The spread is not high compared to peaks in 2018, 2019, or 2020, but it is at its widest point since Russia invaded Ukraine and needs to be watched closely. The widening spread can signal increased equity market volatility.BloombergGiven this backdrop, the melt of implied volatility is likely to change this week as the market moves past the VIX options expiration and begins to focus on macro issues along with a European Central Bank and Bank of Japan meeting this week, along with the FOMC meeting on July 27.FOMC Cycle Should Kick InThe period after the FOMC meeting tends to be bullish. The only period that didn't see a rally post-FOMC came following the May meeting. Otherwise, we have seen relatively big rallies following the FOMC meeting this year. But the period before the FOMC meeting can be very turbulent, especially 6 to 9 days before the meeting.Trading ViewVolatility Rising?The rallies after the FOMC meeting are usually because the VIX is elevated heading into that meeting. After all, the FOMC meeting creates an event risk. Therefore, traders look to put hedges in place by buying puts, pushing implied volatility up and, as a result, causing the VIX to go higher and stock prices down about 6 to 10 days before the FOMC meeting. Once the event risk passes, there is no reason to have hedges anymore, causing implied volatility to fall and for the market to rally.The VIX appears to be set up similar to how it was at the June FOMC meeting. With volatility melting lower, there is potential to push significantly higher between now and the FOMC meeting.Trading ViewInterestingly, there has been a turn-up in 10-day realized volatility in the S&P 500. When the spread between 10-day realized volatility and S&P 500 30-day implied volatility widens by about 5 percentage points, it tends to push realized volatility higher, pulling implied volatility higher, which is bearish for stocks.BloombergCan the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally. Given several geopolitical factors, along with an upcoming central bank meeting from the ECB and BOJ this week and the FOMC next week, the risk for further downside pain is not over yet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153390965,"gmtCreate":1625008932157,"gmtModify":1703849850119,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","listText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153390965","repostId":"1165468426","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165468426","pubTimestamp":1624976964,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165468426?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 22:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook Could Be A $500 Stock After Court Tosses FTC Case","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165468426","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWins in court against the FTC and States clear up regulatory headwinds.\nSubstantial profits","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wins in court against the FTC and States clear up regulatory headwinds.</li>\n <li>Substantial profits will grow throughout the year.</li>\n <li>Facebook may not have much to fear from future regulation either.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e924941f95567d72af0984753c0d9302\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>naruecha jenthaisong/Moment via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>I started analyzing Facebook (FB) last week and I was surprised how bullish my conclusions were about the company's prospects. With yesterday's wins in federal court, some potential headwinds around litigation are clearing up. I'm now quite bullish on the stock and I think the stock price could be over $500/share by the end of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Facebook scores two wins in court</b></p>\n<p>Facebook scored a significant legal and regulatory victory yesterday with wins in two cases in which they were sued by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and a number of states. Not only are they near-term wins for the company, and but also for reasons I'll discuss in the next section I think they also bode well for the company's future regulatory prospects.</p>\n<p>In the first case, the Federal Trade Commission (\"FTC\") claimed Facebook had gained monopoly power first through its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp and second through making them inoperable with other platforms. The FTC sued for an injunction that would force Facebook to reverse or unwind the acquisitions and make them open their platform to other programs.</p>\n<p>The court held for Facebook and against the Federal Trade Commission(\"FTC\") on two important items and against Facebook on one. First, the court held that the FTC did not show that Facebook had monopoly power in the field of personal social networking by showing that it had more than 60% market share in that field. Second, the court found the FTC waited too long to seek an injunction against the company. But third, the Court thought it might be possible for the FTC to replead its case seeking an injunction against Facebook for anti-competitive conduct under a different legal standard (see pages 50-53).</p>\n<p>In the second case,the court held even more strongly in favor of Facebook&nbsp;and dismissed the states' claims. The states also sued claiming that Facebook was using monopoly power to keep competitors out and that acquiring Instagram and WhatsApp created a monopoly. The court dismissed both claims saying that first, the states had waited too long to bring their suits and that second, there was nothing illegal under current law to require Facebook to make its services interoperable.</p>\n<p>Legally, we can expect a few things. First the states will probably appeal the dismissal of their suit. I don't see this as a big issue. Parties lose lawsuits all the time and they appeal all the time without changing the result. What happens to the FTC suit is much more interesting.</p>\n<p>As noted above, while the judge dismissed the states' case, he kept the FTC case open and only dismissed their complaint (the active piece of paper in the lawsuit). He basically invited them to re-file the case under the different law he cited. The FTC has a few strategic choices to make at this point. First, they can appeal the decision to a higher court. Second, they can re-plead the case in the way the judge left open for them. Third, they can start to look for another option to regulate the company (such as passing another law or creating an administrative rule). Fourth, they can start negotiating with Facebook. I surmise they'll work on each of the above.</p>\n<p>Normally, losing a case has an impact on what I would call the \"atmosphere\" or \"momentum\" around an issue above and beyond the impact of this ruling in particular. So in most cases I would expect a federal agency to feel somewhat embarrassed or humbled and that could have an effect on their decision-making going forward. In this case, with a clear opening to re-plead the case and start over, they may not be as \"gun shy\" as one might expect.</p>\n<p>To the third point,there are already a number of members of Congress who wanted to regulate tech companies such as Facebook, and a number of them arereacting to the court decisionsaying that it shows the need for new legislation. The Biden administration'snew FTC chairwoman Lina Khan has a reputation as a tech critic, but I haven't found anything about a plan of hers to regulate Facebook. So all-in-all, there is certainly some desire for a change in law but I can't see anything in the works that could be put into place in the very near term.</p>\n<p>Fourth, litigants are always negotiating and it's entirely possible that Facebook has offered some kind of concessions already that we don't know about. I don't see that as a likely outcome here.</p>\n<p><b>Future Regulation Shouldn't Worry Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Based on experience watching regulations change in Washington and my reading of the political tea leaves, I want to explain why I'm not concerned that regulation will hamper Facebook's business prospects.</p>\n<p>First and foremost, while most people think of regulation as a system for the government to keep companies from doing things the companies want to do, it's just as true that regulation carves out a space for companies to do lots of other things without fear of adverse legal consequences. Moreover, the regulations can often entrench incumbents by making compliance too expensive or burdensome for new competitors. This was probably the case with thewell-publicized FTC settlement with Herbalife(HLF) whose share price has basically doubled since its settlement five years ago:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae2b9ff7e9edb953d2fae3807d1815a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Regulation building a moat to keep out competitors and ensure profits is also probably a good description of what's happened to tobacco companies such as Philip Morris (PM) and Altria (MO). What would it take for someone to start a new cigarette company? Doesn't seem likely to happen anytime soon. A third reason regulation often doesn't end up hurting profits is the phenomenon ofregulatory capturein which the regulator ends up in effect working for the company! So all this is to say that even if regulation is coming, it may not necessarily be all that bad.</p>\n<p>Second, one of the most likely outcomes sought in litigation is divestiture or interoperability of Instagram and WhatsApp - and that may be fine for Facebook. I use WhatsApp every day (it's much more popular outside the US), and I also have other competing programs such as Telegram and Viber on my phone. The other two services seem fine, but no one I know uses them on a regular basis. Moreover, no one I know who uses WhatsApp does so because of a link to Facebook right now. (Facebook would like to link them through Messenger, though). It's possible that WhatsApp has already won the competition by being first, better capitalized or executing better. So WhatsApp spinning off from Facebook just might not make a difference to the businesses. If Facebook is forced to make its service interoperable, they might still be able to charge other companies a fee for using their assets and this really might not be a bad business move. I'm less familiar with Instagram and its competitors such as Snapchat (SNAP), but I think a similar conclusion is likely.</p>\n<p>Third, even though there are good reasons to regulate Facebook around concerns about itseffects on users' mental health,political extremismandmonopoly poweramong other things, I just don't see much happening because of how politics works. (For an interesting views on Facebook and its effects on users and society, seeZucked by Roger McNamee). Politics normally ends up serving the interests of the wealthy and powerful, and Facebook, its executives and shareholders are now wealthy and powerful. Facebook has proven effective inlobbying and managing government relations, and it is increasing its focus on these. Facebook may also have powerful allies in Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and other tech companies which could be wary of further regulations. Right now, a number of the most powerful people in Congress such as Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi basically represent Silicon Valley which bodes well for Facebook's interests. Even in the event that Republicans take over one or both houses of Congress in the midterms, I don't believe that the recent trend of \"populism\" among many Republicans will overcome the party's core resistance to regulation and support for corporate America.</p>\n<p>So if I had to make a prediction, it would be that Facebook ends up making some kind of concessions that don't affect operations or profitability but allow politicians and regulators to claim that they've accomplished something. This has the added benefit for Facebook of making it less likely that further reform might come in the future.</p>\n<p><b>Facebook's Recent Earnings are great</b></p>\n<p>Even in the Covid-19 effected year of 2020, Facebook's numbers are outstanding and in the most recent quarter they're even stronger. As you can see from this summary of results included in the company's Form 10-K for 2020, earnings and margins are strong and growing:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f921d22e5694000a51c60e069de30b52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"304\"><span>Source: Facebook</span></p>\n<p>Revenue grew by almost $15 billion in each of the previous 4 years, and net income climbed higher and higher for every year except 2019, when its move to $29 billion in 2020 made up for what it lost the year before.</p>\n<p>If all we had to go on were these backwards looking numbers, I would estimate the \"back of the envelope\" value this company by taking multiplying the most recent earnings of $29 billion by 33 for $957 billion and adding excess cash of $62 billion for a&nbsp;<b>market capitalization of $1,019 billion $359/share</b>. Likewise, I would say that valuing it at only 25x last year's earnings plus excess cash yields a valuation of $787 billion, would mean the company was undervalued at a price $277/share. But for the reasons I'll set out below, I think these numbers are too low.</p>\n<p><b>Estimating this year's earning - much, much higher</b></p>\n<p>In the first quarter of 2021, Facebook earned almost $9.5 billion as you can see from this income statement in the most recent Form 10-Q:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3db9a4108a92e18a59dbb1923cd9c903\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"174\"><span>Source: Facebook</span></p>\n<p>It's clear that the first quarter of 2020 had a dramatic reduction in business activity from Covid-19. It would be tough to say how much that effected customers in the first quarter of last year, making a direct comparison very difficult. In order to get a good guess what the strong first quarter means for Facebook, I want to compare the company's user statistics to quarterly profits and make some educated guesses.</p>\n<p>Facebook's earnings presentations give us a description of the monthly active users of all the company's products broken down by quarter:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e25d73bdd71d2f841ab92917e27cee44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"429\"><span>Source: Facebook</span></p>\n<p>As well as revenue:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79d68ef6536f200bbffa310ad257a3ed\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>Source: Facebook</span></p>\n<p>and net income:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7d23e558cff9eb15938c953982d5795\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"381\"><span>Source: Facebook</span></p>\n<p>Looking over these three charts we see that even though monthly average users grow consistently, there is some seasonality to the revenue and earnings.</p>\n<p>I've made my own spreadsheet of this information:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd491880ca77778e76d41d367223b669\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"151\"><span>Source: Author</span></p>\n<p>In light of those numbers showing:</p>\n<p>(1) MAU grows every quarter, but</p>\n<p>(2) Revenue and Net Income change with the seasons,</p>\n<p>I'm willing to make some rough guesses about the rest of this year:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c413f3304ab59e2ca2b56822ee4465c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"114\"><span>Source: Author</span></p>\n<p>To arrive at these estimate, I kept user growth constant and multiplied revenue by 1.44, 1.4 and 1.3 over its prior year. That's a guess, but I think that having been transparent about how I made my estimates, you can adjust that number up or down as you think best. To arrive at net income, I kept the net income/revenue ratio the same as it had been in the same quarter of the prior year. This captures some of the operating leverage and increasing returns to scale inherent in Facebook's business model.</p>\n<p>I estimated that the company would $9.5 plus $7.2 plus $11 plus $14.5 billion of net income this year, for a total of $42.2 billion. That's quite an improvement over last year's $29 billion!</p>\n<p>If these estimates are reasonable and we assume the company increases cash on the balance sheet to $75 billion, at the not-too-optimistic multiple of 25x earnings for a growing company and including the excess cash, that means Facebook stock could be meaningfully&nbsp;<b>undervalued at a market cap of $1,130 billion or $398/share</b>. Because of the growth we see, I really don't think it's unreasonable to arrive at&nbsp;<b>fair value with a 33x multiple on the stock for $1,461 billion or $526/share</b>.</p>\n<p><b>Global Growth and New Products add upside</b></p>\n<p>The estimates I used in the section above may be too low for two reasons. First, they're not accounting for the increasing returns on Facebook's growth outside the US. Facebook's growth inemerging markets such as Indiais extremely valuable because they have both a long runway for adding users, and the users themselves can be expected to become more profitable as GDP and consumption increase over time at rates faster than those in developed markets.</p>\n<p>Facebook is alsoexpanding rapidly into virtual reality. I don't have any way of estimating how big or how profitable this segment will be, but it's not unreasonable to think they'll have a lead in gaming and social segments and widespread adoption could lead to new kinds of unanticipated uses. For the last several years, spending on research and development has served to push the company's earnings down somewhat, but once they release a commercial product, we could begin to see the fruits of their labor.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>With legal and regulatory challenges seeming less difficult and growing profitability, I am quite bullish on shares of Facebook. As always, a number of things could go wrong. If a new political environment becomes much more hostile to \"Big Tech\" or we see the emergence of a social movement to drop Facebook (I've tried to leave a few times myself!) that would depress earnings and change my thesis. At these prices and with this much growth on the horizon, I'm not concerned about those risks. As they say, \"we like the stock.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook Could Be A $500 Stock After Court Tosses FTC Case</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook Could Be A $500 Stock After Court Tosses FTC Case\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 22:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437058-facebook-500-stock-court-tosses-ftc-case><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWins in court against the FTC and States clear up regulatory headwinds.\nSubstantial profits will grow throughout the year.\nFacebook may not have much to fear from future regulation either.\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437058-facebook-500-stock-court-tosses-ftc-case\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437058-facebook-500-stock-court-tosses-ftc-case","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165468426","content_text":"Summary\n\nWins in court against the FTC and States clear up regulatory headwinds.\nSubstantial profits will grow throughout the year.\nFacebook may not have much to fear from future regulation either.\n\nnaruecha jenthaisong/Moment via Getty Images\nI started analyzing Facebook (FB) last week and I was surprised how bullish my conclusions were about the company's prospects. With yesterday's wins in federal court, some potential headwinds around litigation are clearing up. I'm now quite bullish on the stock and I think the stock price could be over $500/share by the end of the year.\nFacebook scores two wins in court\nFacebook scored a significant legal and regulatory victory yesterday with wins in two cases in which they were sued by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and a number of states. Not only are they near-term wins for the company, and but also for reasons I'll discuss in the next section I think they also bode well for the company's future regulatory prospects.\nIn the first case, the Federal Trade Commission (\"FTC\") claimed Facebook had gained monopoly power first through its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp and second through making them inoperable with other platforms. The FTC sued for an injunction that would force Facebook to reverse or unwind the acquisitions and make them open their platform to other programs.\nThe court held for Facebook and against the Federal Trade Commission(\"FTC\") on two important items and against Facebook on one. First, the court held that the FTC did not show that Facebook had monopoly power in the field of personal social networking by showing that it had more than 60% market share in that field. Second, the court found the FTC waited too long to seek an injunction against the company. But third, the Court thought it might be possible for the FTC to replead its case seeking an injunction against Facebook for anti-competitive conduct under a different legal standard (see pages 50-53).\nIn the second case,the court held even more strongly in favor of Facebook and dismissed the states' claims. The states also sued claiming that Facebook was using monopoly power to keep competitors out and that acquiring Instagram and WhatsApp created a monopoly. The court dismissed both claims saying that first, the states had waited too long to bring their suits and that second, there was nothing illegal under current law to require Facebook to make its services interoperable.\nLegally, we can expect a few things. First the states will probably appeal the dismissal of their suit. I don't see this as a big issue. Parties lose lawsuits all the time and they appeal all the time without changing the result. What happens to the FTC suit is much more interesting.\nAs noted above, while the judge dismissed the states' case, he kept the FTC case open and only dismissed their complaint (the active piece of paper in the lawsuit). He basically invited them to re-file the case under the different law he cited. The FTC has a few strategic choices to make at this point. First, they can appeal the decision to a higher court. Second, they can re-plead the case in the way the judge left open for them. Third, they can start to look for another option to regulate the company (such as passing another law or creating an administrative rule). Fourth, they can start negotiating with Facebook. I surmise they'll work on each of the above.\nNormally, losing a case has an impact on what I would call the \"atmosphere\" or \"momentum\" around an issue above and beyond the impact of this ruling in particular. So in most cases I would expect a federal agency to feel somewhat embarrassed or humbled and that could have an effect on their decision-making going forward. In this case, with a clear opening to re-plead the case and start over, they may not be as \"gun shy\" as one might expect.\nTo the third point,there are already a number of members of Congress who wanted to regulate tech companies such as Facebook, and a number of them arereacting to the court decisionsaying that it shows the need for new legislation. The Biden administration'snew FTC chairwoman Lina Khan has a reputation as a tech critic, but I haven't found anything about a plan of hers to regulate Facebook. So all-in-all, there is certainly some desire for a change in law but I can't see anything in the works that could be put into place in the very near term.\nFourth, litigants are always negotiating and it's entirely possible that Facebook has offered some kind of concessions already that we don't know about. I don't see that as a likely outcome here.\nFuture Regulation Shouldn't Worry Facebook\nBased on experience watching regulations change in Washington and my reading of the political tea leaves, I want to explain why I'm not concerned that regulation will hamper Facebook's business prospects.\nFirst and foremost, while most people think of regulation as a system for the government to keep companies from doing things the companies want to do, it's just as true that regulation carves out a space for companies to do lots of other things without fear of adverse legal consequences. Moreover, the regulations can often entrench incumbents by making compliance too expensive or burdensome for new competitors. This was probably the case with thewell-publicized FTC settlement with Herbalife(HLF) whose share price has basically doubled since its settlement five years ago:\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nRegulation building a moat to keep out competitors and ensure profits is also probably a good description of what's happened to tobacco companies such as Philip Morris (PM) and Altria (MO). What would it take for someone to start a new cigarette company? Doesn't seem likely to happen anytime soon. A third reason regulation often doesn't end up hurting profits is the phenomenon ofregulatory capturein which the regulator ends up in effect working for the company! So all this is to say that even if regulation is coming, it may not necessarily be all that bad.\nSecond, one of the most likely outcomes sought in litigation is divestiture or interoperability of Instagram and WhatsApp - and that may be fine for Facebook. I use WhatsApp every day (it's much more popular outside the US), and I also have other competing programs such as Telegram and Viber on my phone. The other two services seem fine, but no one I know uses them on a regular basis. Moreover, no one I know who uses WhatsApp does so because of a link to Facebook right now. (Facebook would like to link them through Messenger, though). It's possible that WhatsApp has already won the competition by being first, better capitalized or executing better. So WhatsApp spinning off from Facebook just might not make a difference to the businesses. If Facebook is forced to make its service interoperable, they might still be able to charge other companies a fee for using their assets and this really might not be a bad business move. I'm less familiar with Instagram and its competitors such as Snapchat (SNAP), but I think a similar conclusion is likely.\nThird, even though there are good reasons to regulate Facebook around concerns about itseffects on users' mental health,political extremismandmonopoly poweramong other things, I just don't see much happening because of how politics works. (For an interesting views on Facebook and its effects on users and society, seeZucked by Roger McNamee). Politics normally ends up serving the interests of the wealthy and powerful, and Facebook, its executives and shareholders are now wealthy and powerful. Facebook has proven effective inlobbying and managing government relations, and it is increasing its focus on these. Facebook may also have powerful allies in Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and other tech companies which could be wary of further regulations. Right now, a number of the most powerful people in Congress such as Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi basically represent Silicon Valley which bodes well for Facebook's interests. Even in the event that Republicans take over one or both houses of Congress in the midterms, I don't believe that the recent trend of \"populism\" among many Republicans will overcome the party's core resistance to regulation and support for corporate America.\nSo if I had to make a prediction, it would be that Facebook ends up making some kind of concessions that don't affect operations or profitability but allow politicians and regulators to claim that they've accomplished something. This has the added benefit for Facebook of making it less likely that further reform might come in the future.\nFacebook's Recent Earnings are great\nEven in the Covid-19 effected year of 2020, Facebook's numbers are outstanding and in the most recent quarter they're even stronger. As you can see from this summary of results included in the company's Form 10-K for 2020, earnings and margins are strong and growing:\nSource: Facebook\nRevenue grew by almost $15 billion in each of the previous 4 years, and net income climbed higher and higher for every year except 2019, when its move to $29 billion in 2020 made up for what it lost the year before.\nIf all we had to go on were these backwards looking numbers, I would estimate the \"back of the envelope\" value this company by taking multiplying the most recent earnings of $29 billion by 33 for $957 billion and adding excess cash of $62 billion for a market capitalization of $1,019 billion $359/share. Likewise, I would say that valuing it at only 25x last year's earnings plus excess cash yields a valuation of $787 billion, would mean the company was undervalued at a price $277/share. But for the reasons I'll set out below, I think these numbers are too low.\nEstimating this year's earning - much, much higher\nIn the first quarter of 2021, Facebook earned almost $9.5 billion as you can see from this income statement in the most recent Form 10-Q:\nSource: Facebook\nIt's clear that the first quarter of 2020 had a dramatic reduction in business activity from Covid-19. It would be tough to say how much that effected customers in the first quarter of last year, making a direct comparison very difficult. In order to get a good guess what the strong first quarter means for Facebook, I want to compare the company's user statistics to quarterly profits and make some educated guesses.\nFacebook's earnings presentations give us a description of the monthly active users of all the company's products broken down by quarter:\nSource: Facebook\nAs well as revenue:\nSource: Facebook\nand net income:\nSource: Facebook\nLooking over these three charts we see that even though monthly average users grow consistently, there is some seasonality to the revenue and earnings.\nI've made my own spreadsheet of this information:\nSource: Author\nIn light of those numbers showing:\n(1) MAU grows every quarter, but\n(2) Revenue and Net Income change with the seasons,\nI'm willing to make some rough guesses about the rest of this year:\nSource: Author\nTo arrive at these estimate, I kept user growth constant and multiplied revenue by 1.44, 1.4 and 1.3 over its prior year. That's a guess, but I think that having been transparent about how I made my estimates, you can adjust that number up or down as you think best. To arrive at net income, I kept the net income/revenue ratio the same as it had been in the same quarter of the prior year. This captures some of the operating leverage and increasing returns to scale inherent in Facebook's business model.\nI estimated that the company would $9.5 plus $7.2 plus $11 plus $14.5 billion of net income this year, for a total of $42.2 billion. That's quite an improvement over last year's $29 billion!\nIf these estimates are reasonable and we assume the company increases cash on the balance sheet to $75 billion, at the not-too-optimistic multiple of 25x earnings for a growing company and including the excess cash, that means Facebook stock could be meaningfully undervalued at a market cap of $1,130 billion or $398/share. Because of the growth we see, I really don't think it's unreasonable to arrive at fair value with a 33x multiple on the stock for $1,461 billion or $526/share.\nGlobal Growth and New Products add upside\nThe estimates I used in the section above may be too low for two reasons. First, they're not accounting for the increasing returns on Facebook's growth outside the US. Facebook's growth inemerging markets such as Indiais extremely valuable because they have both a long runway for adding users, and the users themselves can be expected to become more profitable as GDP and consumption increase over time at rates faster than those in developed markets.\nFacebook is alsoexpanding rapidly into virtual reality. I don't have any way of estimating how big or how profitable this segment will be, but it's not unreasonable to think they'll have a lead in gaming and social segments and widespread adoption could lead to new kinds of unanticipated uses. For the last several years, spending on research and development has served to push the company's earnings down somewhat, but once they release a commercial product, we could begin to see the fruits of their labor.\nConclusion\nWith legal and regulatory challenges seeming less difficult and growing profitability, I am quite bullish on shares of Facebook. As always, a number of things could go wrong. If a new political environment becomes much more hostile to \"Big Tech\" or we see the emergence of a social movement to drop Facebook (I've tried to leave a few times myself!) that would depress earnings and change my thesis. At these prices and with this much growth on the horizon, I'm not concerned about those risks. As they say, \"we like the stock.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153021890,"gmtCreate":1624987798310,"gmtModify":1703849642826,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153021890","repostId":"2147343850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944007352,"gmtCreate":1681613361976,"gmtModify":1681613366814,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please","listText":"Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please","text":"Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944007352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948246453,"gmtCreate":1680730223173,"gmtModify":1680730227115,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep hunting and fun","listText":"Keep hunting and fun","text":"Keep hunting and fun","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948246453","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9006948574,"gmtCreate":1641599591759,"gmtModify":1676533632483,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;I like this stock and waiting to enter","listText":"&nbsp;I like this stock and waiting to enter","text":"I like this stock and waiting to enter","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9006948574","repostId":"2200099214","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2200099214","pubTimestamp":1641304148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2200099214?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-04 21:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"InMode Is Bringing a Paradigm Shift to Cosmetic Procedures","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200099214","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Traditional cosmetic surgery is expensive, invasive, and can be quite risky. This highly profitable company changes all of that.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Let&#39;s talk about what we know about cosmetic surgery. First, it&#39;s costly. It&#39;s invasive, leaves scars, and has long recovery times. Cosmetic surgery is mostly for the rich and famous -- not regular folks, right? Well,<b> InMode</b> (NASDAQ:INMD) has a patented platform that changes the game.</p><p>InMode is the developer, manufacturer, and seller of minimally invasive platforms used primarily for cosmetic procedures and health. The stock at one point had risen over 1,000% after its initial public offering that occurred in 2019 and was up more than 180% by Q4 2021. However, the stock has fallen significantly since Nov. 1, which offers investors a compelling entry point.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/821f4a9be8a37224b20d9a1c8e34cc08\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>INMD data by YCharts</p><p>InMode has several technologies that are approved and on the market. The products include the radio frequency (RF) technologies dubbed Evolve and Evoke, which utilize RF energy for face and body contouring, toning, and tightening. Other technologies are used for hair removal and health applications. The technologies are used in an office setting, not a surgical environment. There is no need for anesthesia or extensive recovery times. This keeps minimizes costs and makes the procedures available to a much broader market.</p><h2>Tremendous growth and margins</h2><p>Revenues have increased prolifically over the past several years. If guidance previously issued for the rest of 2021 holds, the company will have posted another 68% increase over 2020, as shown on the chart below. The pandemic constricted 2020 revenue, yet InMode still grew 32%. Its compound annual growth rate since 2017 is over 59%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1bd843839339b40accafd30d88c2bc6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data source: InMode. Chart by author.</p><p>Even better, the company is highly profitable while it&#39;s growing. In fact, InMode&#39;s profitability puts most companies, even highly successful ones, to shame. When comparing InMode&#39;s margins to heavyweights <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL), <b>Microsoft</b> (NASDAQ:MSFT), and<b> Nvidia</b> (NASDAQ:NVDA), InMode comes out on top in profit margin and operating margin, and nearly in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0599897cd48a4e83dc7a0d82ce853bdb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>INMD Profit Margin data by YCharts</p><p>InMode has a net profit margin and operating margin of over 45%, which is incredible. Microsoft is the winner in EBITDA margin. However, InMode makes a strong showing, especially for a product-based company. The comparison to these high-flying companies outside of the healthcare field shows the tremendous profitability metrics being posted by InMode across sectors.</p><h2>Cash flow for a pristine balance sheet</h2><p>InMode generates a tremendous amount of cash flow because of its incredible margins. Over the first three quarters of 2021, the company generated $1.09 in cash from operations for every dollar of net income produced.  Because of this, the company has no long-term debt and keeps a significant amount of cash on hand; it also has short-term and long-term investments. These investments produce interest revenue, which will increase as rates rise. While most companies pay interest, InMode is receiving interest. This also allows for a small built-in inflation hedge for investors. InMode had more than 5% of its market cap on hand in cash and investments as of its last quarterly report.</p><h2>Is the valuation too high?</h2><p>InMode has decidedly high valuation metrics, as one would expect given the numbers above; however, the valuation has come down significantly from its peak. It is essential to view the metrics in terms of enterprise value (EV) rather than market cap due to the company&#39;s immaculate balance sheet. For instance, InMode&#39;s forward P/E ratio is 37. Although, the forward EV-to-EBITDA ratio is only 30, and the EBITDA and net profit margins are nearly identical. Considering the growth rates and massive market opportunities, this stock still has room to reward investors handsomely.</p><p>There is a danger that new entrants could take market share from InMode. According to the company&#39;s recent investor presentation, its products are patent protected, but InMode holds just seven patents, with 14 pending. Many healthcare companies are able to protect their products with hundreds of patents. The company acknowledges this danger in its annual filing, noting, &#34;We expect that any competitive advantage we may enjoy from our current and future innovations may diminish over time, as companies successfully respond to our, or create their own, innovations.&#34;</p><p>InMode also makes nearly all of its money from the sales of machines. This means that most revenue is nonrecurring. As more devices enter the market, it will be critical to expand internationally and develop more advanced product versions over time to sustain its growth rate.</p><h2>The pullback is a buying opportunity</h2><p>InMode provides a solution for people who are not willing or able to have traditional cosmetic procedures but still have problem areas they would like to address. The opportunity for growth here is tremendous. The company has posted enormous growth already and backed it with outstanding margins and profits. Its balance sheet is exceptional. InMode&#39;s valuation is high; but, this is understandable. After the recent pullback from all-time highs, the stock could be ripe for the picking for long-term investors.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>InMode Is Bringing a Paradigm Shift to Cosmetic Procedures</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInMode Is Bringing a Paradigm Shift to Cosmetic Procedures\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-04 21:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/inmode-is-bringing-a-paradigm-shift-to-cosmetic-su/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Let's talk about what we know about cosmetic surgery. First, it's costly. It's invasive, leaves scars, and has long recovery times. Cosmetic surgery is mostly for the rich and famous -- not regular ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/inmode-is-bringing-a-paradigm-shift-to-cosmetic-su/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4082":"医疗保健设备","RF":"地区金融","MSFT":"微软","BK4543":"AI","BK4538":"云计算","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","INMD":"InMode Ltd.","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","AAPL":"苹果","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/04/inmode-is-bringing-a-paradigm-shift-to-cosmetic-su/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200099214","content_text":"Let's talk about what we know about cosmetic surgery. First, it's costly. It's invasive, leaves scars, and has long recovery times. Cosmetic surgery is mostly for the rich and famous -- not regular folks, right? Well, InMode (NASDAQ:INMD) has a patented platform that changes the game.InMode is the developer, manufacturer, and seller of minimally invasive platforms used primarily for cosmetic procedures and health. The stock at one point had risen over 1,000% after its initial public offering that occurred in 2019 and was up more than 180% by Q4 2021. However, the stock has fallen significantly since Nov. 1, which offers investors a compelling entry point.INMD data by YChartsInMode has several technologies that are approved and on the market. The products include the radio frequency (RF) technologies dubbed Evolve and Evoke, which utilize RF energy for face and body contouring, toning, and tightening. Other technologies are used for hair removal and health applications. The technologies are used in an office setting, not a surgical environment. There is no need for anesthesia or extensive recovery times. This keeps minimizes costs and makes the procedures available to a much broader market.Tremendous growth and marginsRevenues have increased prolifically over the past several years. If guidance previously issued for the rest of 2021 holds, the company will have posted another 68% increase over 2020, as shown on the chart below. The pandemic constricted 2020 revenue, yet InMode still grew 32%. Its compound annual growth rate since 2017 is over 59%.Data source: InMode. Chart by author.Even better, the company is highly profitable while it's growing. In fact, InMode's profitability puts most companies, even highly successful ones, to shame. When comparing InMode's margins to heavyweights Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), InMode comes out on top in profit margin and operating margin, and nearly in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).INMD Profit Margin data by YChartsInMode has a net profit margin and operating margin of over 45%, which is incredible. Microsoft is the winner in EBITDA margin. However, InMode makes a strong showing, especially for a product-based company. The comparison to these high-flying companies outside of the healthcare field shows the tremendous profitability metrics being posted by InMode across sectors.Cash flow for a pristine balance sheetInMode generates a tremendous amount of cash flow because of its incredible margins. Over the first three quarters of 2021, the company generated $1.09 in cash from operations for every dollar of net income produced.  Because of this, the company has no long-term debt and keeps a significant amount of cash on hand; it also has short-term and long-term investments. These investments produce interest revenue, which will increase as rates rise. While most companies pay interest, InMode is receiving interest. This also allows for a small built-in inflation hedge for investors. InMode had more than 5% of its market cap on hand in cash and investments as of its last quarterly report.Is the valuation too high?InMode has decidedly high valuation metrics, as one would expect given the numbers above; however, the valuation has come down significantly from its peak. It is essential to view the metrics in terms of enterprise value (EV) rather than market cap due to the company's immaculate balance sheet. For instance, InMode's forward P/E ratio is 37. Although, the forward EV-to-EBITDA ratio is only 30, and the EBITDA and net profit margins are nearly identical. Considering the growth rates and massive market opportunities, this stock still has room to reward investors handsomely.There is a danger that new entrants could take market share from InMode. According to the company's recent investor presentation, its products are patent protected, but InMode holds just seven patents, with 14 pending. Many healthcare companies are able to protect their products with hundreds of patents. The company acknowledges this danger in its annual filing, noting, \"We expect that any competitive advantage we may enjoy from our current and future innovations may diminish over time, as companies successfully respond to our, or create their own, innovations.\"InMode also makes nearly all of its money from the sales of machines. This means that most revenue is nonrecurring. As more devices enter the market, it will be critical to expand internationally and develop more advanced product versions over time to sustain its growth rate.The pullback is a buying opportunityInMode provides a solution for people who are not willing or able to have traditional cosmetic procedures but still have problem areas they would like to address. The opportunity for growth here is tremendous. The company has posted enormous growth already and backed it with outstanding margins and profits. Its balance sheet is exceptional. InMode's valuation is high; but, this is understandable. After the recent pullback from all-time highs, the stock could be ripe for the picking for long-term investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058472395,"gmtCreate":1654901586017,"gmtModify":1676535528798,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Omg","listText":"Omg","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058472395","repostId":"1146226916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146226916","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1654868068,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146226916?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-10 21:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146226916","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.</p><p>Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $186, down from $265.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95611438e9a9aaed4c7a793dcc8fe79f\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"672\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 21:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.</p><p>Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $186, down from $265.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95611438e9a9aaed4c7a793dcc8fe79f\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"672\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146226916","content_text":"Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $186, down from $265.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027089006,"gmtCreate":1653953154805,"gmtModify":1676535366322,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing","listText":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027089006","repostId":"2239130793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2239130793","pubTimestamp":1653913795,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2239130793?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-30 20:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Now Down Almost 50%, Will Meta Platforms Rebound Anytime Soon?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2239130793","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Down significantly from all-time highs, is it time to buy the world's most powerful social media company?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b> (FB 1.83%) surely hasn&#39;t had the ideal start to 2022. In early February, the social media giant delivered a weak fourth-quarter 2021 earnings report after experiencing its first-ever decline in daily active users on the Facebook platform. All around, growth to wrap up 2021 was patchy -- <b>Apple</b>&#39;s iOS privacy update, coupled with the company&#39;s transition to short-form video (Reels), continued to place pressure on its top line.</p><p>To add fuel to the fire,<b> Snap</b> warned investors earlier this week that the macroeconomic environment has worsened more than anticipated. As a result, the social media company is now likely to report revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) metrics beneath the low end of its Q2 2022 guidance range. As expected, the news had a detrimental impact on other ad-driven companies, including Meta, as investors now fear we&#39;re facing a large-scale slowdown in digital advertising.</p><p>For Meta, a company that generates virtually all its revenue via advertising, this news is certainly not something investors should ignore. But down 46% year to date, is now an optimal time to buy Meta stock?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7636b7506cfdaa218b4630251b423e1e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2>What&#39;s the deal with Meta&#39;s business?</h2><p>After ending last year on a sour note, Meta rebounded nicely to open up 2022. The company&#39;s top line rose 7% year over year to $27.9 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) receded 18% to $2.72, with both metrics finishing on par with Wall Street&#39;s expectations. The flatter growth continued, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg indicated in the Q1 earnings call several obstacles Meta is currently facing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/776c0812c77e8bab97808c68ae74a0a3\" tg-width=\"886\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Similar to his spiel to close out 2021, Zuckerberg pointed to the shift to Reels on Instagram, which currently monetizes more slowly than other segments, and Apple&#39;s iOS privacy changes, which negatively impact its core advertising business, as primary drivers of the slowdown. He also mentioned softness in e-commerce relative to pandemic levels and impacts from the Russo-Ukrainian war as meaningful headwinds.</p><p>As a result, analysts project revenue of $127.1 billion for fiscal 2022, representing 8% growth year over year, and EPS of $11.94, translating to a negative 13% growth from a year ago. Next year, however, Wall Street expects total sales to climb 17% to $148.2 billion and EPS to soar 18% to $14.09, highlighting investor optimism once comparable metrics normalize. While growth may be shaky in 2022 due to a string of near-term headwinds, the company&#39;s historically low valuation is hard to pass over.</p><p>Trading at just 13 times earnings, a steep discount to its five-year mean price-to-earnings multiple of 28, Meta stock appears handsomely valued for long-term investors today. While I&#39;m still not completely sold on its metaverse transition, the company&#39;s $14.9 billion in cash and its debt-to-equity ratio of only 12% eliminate much of my negative attitude toward its money-losing Reality Labs business. The company&#39;s strong balance sheet and cash generation, combined with its wide moat of nearly two billion daily active users, should help Meta investors sleep well at night -- even in spite of its current growing pains.</p><h2>A great time to buy</h2><p>When most investors fall out of love with a stock, that&#39;s often the best time to buy. Today, Meta Platforms is facing a series of headwinds that could impair growth for the foreseeable future. That said, I believe many of these hurdles are short-term in nature and that Meta is poised for a sound recovery in the future.</p><p>Plus, the social media juggernaut enjoys an elite balance sheet and robust cash generation, which will continue to provide financial flexibility as it undergoes its metaverse transformation. Now trading at an all-time low valuation, it wouldn&#39;t be a bad idea to buy shares of the social media leader today.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Now Down Almost 50%, Will Meta Platforms Rebound Anytime Soon?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNow Down Almost 50%, Will Meta Platforms Rebound Anytime Soon?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-30 20:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/now-down-almost-50-will-meta-platforms-rebound-any/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meta Platforms (FB 1.83%) surely hasn't had the ideal start to 2022. In early February, the social media giant delivered a weak fourth-quarter 2021 earnings report after experiencing its first-ever ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/now-down-almost-50-will-meta-platforms-rebound-any/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4581":"高盛持仓","META":"Meta Platforms","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/30/now-down-almost-50-will-meta-platforms-rebound-any/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2239130793","content_text":"Meta Platforms (FB 1.83%) surely hasn't had the ideal start to 2022. In early February, the social media giant delivered a weak fourth-quarter 2021 earnings report after experiencing its first-ever decline in daily active users on the Facebook platform. All around, growth to wrap up 2021 was patchy -- Apple's iOS privacy update, coupled with the company's transition to short-form video (Reels), continued to place pressure on its top line.To add fuel to the fire, Snap warned investors earlier this week that the macroeconomic environment has worsened more than anticipated. As a result, the social media company is now likely to report revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) metrics beneath the low end of its Q2 2022 guidance range. As expected, the news had a detrimental impact on other ad-driven companies, including Meta, as investors now fear we're facing a large-scale slowdown in digital advertising.For Meta, a company that generates virtually all its revenue via advertising, this news is certainly not something investors should ignore. But down 46% year to date, is now an optimal time to buy Meta stock?Image source: Getty Images.What's the deal with Meta's business?After ending last year on a sour note, Meta rebounded nicely to open up 2022. The company's top line rose 7% year over year to $27.9 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) receded 18% to $2.72, with both metrics finishing on par with Wall Street's expectations. The flatter growth continued, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg indicated in the Q1 earnings call several obstacles Meta is currently facing.Similar to his spiel to close out 2021, Zuckerberg pointed to the shift to Reels on Instagram, which currently monetizes more slowly than other segments, and Apple's iOS privacy changes, which negatively impact its core advertising business, as primary drivers of the slowdown. He also mentioned softness in e-commerce relative to pandemic levels and impacts from the Russo-Ukrainian war as meaningful headwinds.As a result, analysts project revenue of $127.1 billion for fiscal 2022, representing 8% growth year over year, and EPS of $11.94, translating to a negative 13% growth from a year ago. Next year, however, Wall Street expects total sales to climb 17% to $148.2 billion and EPS to soar 18% to $14.09, highlighting investor optimism once comparable metrics normalize. While growth may be shaky in 2022 due to a string of near-term headwinds, the company's historically low valuation is hard to pass over.Trading at just 13 times earnings, a steep discount to its five-year mean price-to-earnings multiple of 28, Meta stock appears handsomely valued for long-term investors today. While I'm still not completely sold on its metaverse transition, the company's $14.9 billion in cash and its debt-to-equity ratio of only 12% eliminate much of my negative attitude toward its money-losing Reality Labs business. The company's strong balance sheet and cash generation, combined with its wide moat of nearly two billion daily active users, should help Meta investors sleep well at night -- even in spite of its current growing pains.A great time to buyWhen most investors fall out of love with a stock, that's often the best time to buy. Today, Meta Platforms is facing a series of headwinds that could impair growth for the foreseeable future. That said, I believe many of these hurdles are short-term in nature and that Meta is poised for a sound recovery in the future.Plus, the social media juggernaut enjoys an elite balance sheet and robust cash generation, which will continue to provide financial flexibility as it undergoes its metaverse transformation. Now trading at an all-time low valuation, it wouldn't be a bad idea to buy shares of the social media leader today.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262169140555792,"gmtCreate":1705040882925,"gmtModify":1705040887459,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up airdrop get get","listText":"Up up airdrop get get","text":"Up up airdrop get get","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262169140555792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261108043993136,"gmtCreate":1704757553881,"gmtModify":1704757558359,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still enjoying the game but trailing others","listText":"Still enjoying the game but trailing others","text":"Still enjoying the game but trailing others","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261108043993136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186345846513760,"gmtCreate":1686533867559,"gmtModify":1686533873370,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Morning, addicted game and fun","listText":"Morning, addicted game and fun","text":"Morning, addicted game and fun","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186345846513760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150545899,"gmtCreate":1624923042411,"gmtModify":1703847836041,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool!","listText":"Cool!","text":"Cool!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150545899","repostId":"2146027870","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262433732280488,"gmtCreate":1705104938291,"gmtModify":1705104942574,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Play dan enjoy the game","listText":"Play dan enjoy the game","text":"Play dan enjoy the game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262433732280488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261504040919336,"gmtCreate":1704854124419,"gmtModify":1704854128592,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy gaming and fun everyone","listText":"Happy gaming and fun everyone","text":"Happy gaming and fun everyone","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261504040919336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260746055680232,"gmtCreate":1704669192986,"gmtModify":1704669197383,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go go enjoy the game","listText":"Go go go enjoy the game","text":"Go go go enjoy the game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260746055680232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260382886887472,"gmtCreate":1704580513571,"gmtModify":1704580516930,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great and fun game to play","listText":"Great and fun game to play","text":"Great and fun game to play","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260382886887472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260383300231384,"gmtCreate":1704580505583,"gmtModify":1704580508693,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great and fun game to play","listText":"Great and fun game to play","text":"Great and fun game to 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