Mivecs personal page - To The Moon

Mivecs

Mivecs

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2022-08-10

$GoPro(GPRO)$How nice it will be for this % gained on my others stocks list

2022-06-25

$GoPro(GPRO)$Omg

2022-09-11

Well done

A Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease

2022-07-28

$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$Omg

2022-06-11

Keep it up

Want $5,000 in Passive Income? 2 High-Dividend Stocks to Buy Now With $200,000

2022-06-11

Keep it up

NIO Stock Is Getting Interesting

2023-01-04

Keep it up

2022-12-23

Keep it up

2022-09-13

Keep it up

US STOCKS-Wall Street Posts Fourth Straight Day of Gains Ahead of CPI Report

2022-09-10

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Come onnn

2022-08-27

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$till when

2022-07-09

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$lol lol lol

2022-07-07

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Let's rise

2022-09-06

$BlackBerry(BB)$Ong

2022-08-14

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Still down

2022-08-10

Keep it up

Is TQQQ A Buy After A 25% Rally In The Last Month?

2022-07-24

Keep it up

There Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?

2022-05-19

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Oh oh oh

2023-04-05

Keep it up let go All right

2023-01-14

Keep it up, let go go go

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://www.heytigers.com/activity/market/2024/tiger-tycoon?adcode=20231208151108&amp;actionID=fdcdcb5883c616c8bc7c364a9c66d7fc&amp;skin=1&amp;os=iOS&amp;account_id=50152385&amp;utm_source=invite&amp;utm_campaign=20231208151108&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=6f157c9de1c82bfacd0b1903dd468644&amp;invite=PI0LSS&amp;lang=en_US#/\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","listText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.heytigers.com/activity/market/2024/tiger-tycoon?adcode=20231208151108&amp;actionID=fdcdcb5883c616c8bc7c364a9c66d7fc&amp;skin=1&amp;os=iOS&amp;account_id=50152385&amp;utm_source=invite&amp;utm_campaign=20231208151108&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=6f157c9de1c82bfacd0b1903dd468644&amp;invite=PI0LSS&amp;lang=en_US#/\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","text":"Find out more here: Tiger Tycoon Get ready to WIN up to $888!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257045409829056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256824708473032,"gmtCreate":1703735339500,"gmtModify":1703741347870,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Tiger Tycoon","htmlText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.heytigers.com/activity/market/2024/tiger-tycoon?adcode=20231208151108&amp;skin=1&amp;os=iOS&amp;account_id=50152385&amp;utm_source=invite&amp;utm_campaign=20231208151108&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=0ed3c3d063c788219f03ffaa2f8d9188&amp;invite=PI0LSS&amp;lang=en_US#/\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","listText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.heytigers.com/activity/market/2024/tiger-tycoon?adcode=20231208151108&amp;skin=1&amp;os=iOS&amp;account_id=50152385&amp;utm_source=invite&amp;utm_campaign=20231208151108&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=0ed3c3d063c788219f03ffaa2f8d9188&amp;invite=PI0LSS&amp;lang=en_US#/\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","text":"Find out more here: Tiger Tycoon Get ready to WIN up to $888!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256824708473032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256824938537152,"gmtCreate":1703735298065,"gmtModify":1703735300398,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great great great, nice move","listText":"Great great great, nice move","text":"Great great great, nice 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Well done","listText":"Keep it up tiger. Well done","text":"Keep it up tiger. Well done","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944981220","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945791852,"gmtCreate":1681575730177,"gmtModify":1681575734029,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up, well done tiger&nbsp;","listText":"Keep it up, well done tiger&nbsp;","text":"Keep it up, well done tiger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945791852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945224614,"gmtCreate":1681489381239,"gmtModify":1681489384101,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well done..... tiger well done&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Well done..... tiger well done&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Well done..... tiger well done","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945224614","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945166917,"gmtCreate":1681402862540,"gmtModify":1681402866148,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up, tiger.... nice","listText":"Keep it up, tiger.... nice","text":"Keep it up, tiger.... nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945166917","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945014850,"gmtCreate":1681320292170,"gmtModify":1681320295985,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up, well done tiger","listText":"Keep it up, well done tiger","text":"Keep it up, well done tiger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945014850","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942529735,"gmtCreate":1681258040827,"gmtModify":1681258044199,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Welll well done. Keep it up&nbsp;","listText":"Welll well done. Keep it up&nbsp;","text":"Welll well done. Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942529735","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942130703,"gmtCreate":1681148454002,"gmtModify":1681148456905,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice nice game tiger","listText":"Nice nice game tiger","text":"Nice nice game tiger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942130703","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946752284,"gmtCreate":1681061078449,"gmtModify":1681061084121,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice initiative thanks tiger","listText":"Nice initiative thanks tiger","text":"Nice initiative thanks tiger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946752284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946433887,"gmtCreate":1681014674850,"gmtModify":1681014680165,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go tiger, nice game&nbsp;","listText":"Let's go tiger, nice game&nbsp;","text":"Let's go tiger, nice game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946433887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9907990326,"gmtCreate":1660119694367,"gmtModify":1703478129088,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GPRO\">$GoPro(GPRO)$</a>How nice it will be for this % gained&nbsp;on&nbsp;my others stocks list","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GPRO\">$GoPro(GPRO)$</a>How nice it will be for this % gained&nbsp;on&nbsp;my others stocks list","text":"$GoPro(GPRO)$How nice it will be for this % gained on my others stocks list","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/866c7f876b3fb9745b04250be991bc51","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907990326","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048352954,"gmtCreate":1656146915179,"gmtModify":1676535776626,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GPRO\">$GoPro(GPRO)$</a>Omg","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GPRO\">$GoPro(GPRO)$</a>Omg","text":"$GoPro(GPRO)$Omg","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/46117b97c52f7ad70778c3dc7a73e22f","width":"1284","height":"2325"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048352954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932027642,"gmtCreate":1662858191486,"gmtModify":1676537150781,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well done&nbsp;","listText":"Well done&nbsp;","text":"Well done","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932027642","repostId":"2266398293","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2266398293","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662857059,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2266398293?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-11 08:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266398293","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an important low right around Election Day in November.</p><p>That should give some hope to beleaguered investors whose stock holdings have suffered double-digit losses so far this year. A meaningful rally could be just a few weeks away.</p><p>I&#39;m referring to the historical pattern in the stock market of pre-midterm weakness and post-midterm strength. This pattern is plotted in the chart below, which is based on the average July-December performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average  in the last 17 midterm election years (since 1954).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db8dce7f85a1b3a6cc790f3a79ff21a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Though the date of the average in this chart is in October, the actual lows in the historical record can come earlier or later. Much depends on when the stock market begins to anticipate the outcome of the midterms and therefore discounts it. A good guess is that the low this year will be later, given the uncertainty about the election outcome -- especially in the U.S. Senate.</p><p>It&#39;s always possible that the pre-midterm low will occur in advance of Election Day. It wouldn&#39;t be inconsistent with the historical record for this year&#39;s low to have occurred the day after Labor Day, in fact. As of Sept. 9, the S&amp;P 500   was more than 4% higher than that low.</p><p>It&#39;s worth noting how remarkable it is for any pattern to emerge when averaging together many years worth of stock market gyrations. Though each year carves out a unique path, the highs and lows usually cancel each other out, leaving the average to be a gradual upward-sloping line. A pattern has to be quite pronounced in the historical data for a deviation to appear that is as stark as the one in the accompanying chart.</p><p>This pre- and post-midterm pattern is so pronounced that it is the source of the famous seasonal pattern known as the &#34;Halloween Indicator,&#34; according to which the stock market is strongest between Oct. 31 and May 1 and weakest the other six months of the year. Yet take away the six months before- and after mid-term elections and the Halloween Indicator disappears.</p><p>The underlying data appear in the table below. The cell marked with a single asterisk (*) refers to the current six-month period, while the cell marked with a double asterisk (**) corresponds to the six-month period that begins at the end of October 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/200d68de48ef106579622d3fc32df9ff\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>So if you are tempted to bet on the Halloween Indicator, your time is fast approaching. If you miss it, you won&#39;t have another chance until the 2026 midterms.</p><p>Credit for discovering that the Halloween Indicator traces to the months prior to and subsequent to the midterms goes to Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International, and Kam Fong Chan, a senior lecturer in finance at the University of Queensland in Australia. Their research into this pattern appeared in July 2021 in the Journal of Financial Economics.</p><p>The likely source of the pattern, according to the researchers, is the uncertainty that exists prior to the midterms and the resolution of that uncertainty after the election. They note that it appears not to matter which party dominates Congress prior to the midterms and which becomes the majority party afterwards. The pattern exists, they believe, because the stock market craves certainty, even when the source of that certainty may not be in accord with every investor&#39;s political preferences.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Strong Market Rally Could Be Just Weeks Away If the U.S. Midterm Elections Can Put Anxious Stock Investors at Ease\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 08:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an important low right around Election Day in November.</p><p>That should give some hope to beleaguered investors whose stock holdings have suffered double-digit losses so far this year. A meaningful rally could be just a few weeks away.</p><p>I&#39;m referring to the historical pattern in the stock market of pre-midterm weakness and post-midterm strength. This pattern is plotted in the chart below, which is based on the average July-December performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average  in the last 17 midterm election years (since 1954).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db8dce7f85a1b3a6cc790f3a79ff21a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Though the date of the average in this chart is in October, the actual lows in the historical record can come earlier or later. Much depends on when the stock market begins to anticipate the outcome of the midterms and therefore discounts it. A good guess is that the low this year will be later, given the uncertainty about the election outcome -- especially in the U.S. Senate.</p><p>It&#39;s always possible that the pre-midterm low will occur in advance of Election Day. It wouldn&#39;t be inconsistent with the historical record for this year&#39;s low to have occurred the day after Labor Day, in fact. As of Sept. 9, the S&amp;P 500   was more than 4% higher than that low.</p><p>It&#39;s worth noting how remarkable it is for any pattern to emerge when averaging together many years worth of stock market gyrations. Though each year carves out a unique path, the highs and lows usually cancel each other out, leaving the average to be a gradual upward-sloping line. A pattern has to be quite pronounced in the historical data for a deviation to appear that is as stark as the one in the accompanying chart.</p><p>This pre- and post-midterm pattern is so pronounced that it is the source of the famous seasonal pattern known as the &#34;Halloween Indicator,&#34; according to which the stock market is strongest between Oct. 31 and May 1 and weakest the other six months of the year. Yet take away the six months before- and after mid-term elections and the Halloween Indicator disappears.</p><p>The underlying data appear in the table below. The cell marked with a single asterisk (*) refers to the current six-month period, while the cell marked with a double asterisk (**) corresponds to the six-month period that begins at the end of October 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/200d68de48ef106579622d3fc32df9ff\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>So if you are tempted to bet on the Halloween Indicator, your time is fast approaching. If you miss it, you won&#39;t have another chance until the 2026 midterms.</p><p>Credit for discovering that the Halloween Indicator traces to the months prior to and subsequent to the midterms goes to Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International, and Kam Fong Chan, a senior lecturer in finance at the University of Queensland in Australia. Their research into this pattern appeared in July 2021 in the Journal of Financial Economics.</p><p>The likely source of the pattern, according to the researchers, is the uncertainty that exists prior to the midterms and the resolution of that uncertainty after the election. They note that it appears not to matter which party dominates Congress prior to the midterms and which becomes the majority party afterwards. The pattern exists, they believe, because the stock market craves certainty, even when the source of that certainty may not be in accord with every investor&#39;s political preferences.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266398293","content_text":"If the U.S. midterm election cycle this year is like past ones, the stock market will carve out an important low right around Election Day in November.That should give some hope to beleaguered investors whose stock holdings have suffered double-digit losses so far this year. A meaningful rally could be just a few weeks away.I'm referring to the historical pattern in the stock market of pre-midterm weakness and post-midterm strength. This pattern is plotted in the chart below, which is based on the average July-December performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average  in the last 17 midterm election years (since 1954).Though the date of the average in this chart is in October, the actual lows in the historical record can come earlier or later. Much depends on when the stock market begins to anticipate the outcome of the midterms and therefore discounts it. A good guess is that the low this year will be later, given the uncertainty about the election outcome -- especially in the U.S. Senate.It's always possible that the pre-midterm low will occur in advance of Election Day. It wouldn't be inconsistent with the historical record for this year's low to have occurred the day after Labor Day, in fact. As of Sept. 9, the S&P 500   was more than 4% higher than that low.It's worth noting how remarkable it is for any pattern to emerge when averaging together many years worth of stock market gyrations. Though each year carves out a unique path, the highs and lows usually cancel each other out, leaving the average to be a gradual upward-sloping line. A pattern has to be quite pronounced in the historical data for a deviation to appear that is as stark as the one in the accompanying chart.This pre- and post-midterm pattern is so pronounced that it is the source of the famous seasonal pattern known as the \"Halloween Indicator,\" according to which the stock market is strongest between Oct. 31 and May 1 and weakest the other six months of the year. Yet take away the six months before- and after mid-term elections and the Halloween Indicator disappears.The underlying data appear in the table below. The cell marked with a single asterisk (*) refers to the current six-month period, while the cell marked with a double asterisk (**) corresponds to the six-month period that begins at the end of October 2022.So if you are tempted to bet on the Halloween Indicator, your time is fast approaching. If you miss it, you won't have another chance until the 2026 midterms.Credit for discovering that the Halloween Indicator traces to the months prior to and subsequent to the midterms goes to Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International, and Kam Fong Chan, a senior lecturer in finance at the University of Queensland in Australia. Their research into this pattern appeared in July 2021 in the Journal of Financial Economics.The likely source of the pattern, according to the researchers, is the uncertainty that exists prior to the midterms and the resolution of that uncertainty after the election. They note that it appears not to matter which party dominates Congress prior to the midterms and which becomes the majority party afterwards. The pattern exists, they believe, because the stock market craves certainty, even when the source of that certainty may not be in accord with every investor's political preferences.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903106515,"gmtCreate":1658977368037,"gmtModify":1676536238847,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>Omg","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LKCO\">$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$</a>Omg","text":"$Luokung Technology Corp(LKCO)$Omg","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b32681408f896795411b296616fe5ce","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903106515","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579055745518144","authorId":"3579055745518144","name":"买在高点","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/554e067bd3fc8ede2b7a087a6134c5f0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Me too, brother","text":"Me too, brother","html":"Me too, brother"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056912848,"gmtCreate":1654920383284,"gmtModify":1676535535187,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up&nbsp;","listText":"Keep it up&nbsp;","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056912848","repostId":"2242917328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242917328","pubTimestamp":1654916194,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2242917328?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-11 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want $5,000 in Passive Income? 2 High-Dividend Stocks to Buy Now With $200,000","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242917328","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments can help you build a diversified portfolio that generates regular income.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Passive income can be especially valuable during a down market. Moreover, dividend stocks tend to outperform their non-dividend-paying peers, simply because generating enough cash to pay a regular dividend requires consistent execution and disciplined capital allocation. In other words, dividend stocks are typically backed by high-quality businesses.</p><p>With that in mind, $200,000 split evenly across these two investments would generate $5,000 per year in passive income while also providing exposure to some of Warren Buffett&#39;s largest holdings and leaving room for share price appreciation.</p><p>Let&#39;s dive in.</p><h2>1. Walker &amp; Dunlop</h2><p><b>Walker &amp; Dunlop</b> is a commercial real estate services company with two primary operating segments. Through its capital markets platform, it originates loans (primarily in multifamily housing), and it provides debt brokerage and property sales services. Through its servicing and asset management platform, the company offers loan serving, housing industry research, and investment management services focused on the affordable housing sector.</p><p>Walker &amp; Dunlop is the fourth-largest lender in the commercial real estate space and the largest provider of capital in the multifamily housing industry. To reinforce its competitive position, the company has made several key acquisitions of late, including its $696 million buyout of Alliant last year. That move strengthened its affordable housing platform, boosting assets under management eightfold to $16 billion.</p><p>Financially, Walker &amp; Dunlop has produced solid results over the past year. Revenue soared 26% to $1.4 billion, fueled by especially strong results in its debt brokerage and property sales business lines, and earnings climbed 6% to $8.48 per diluted share.</p><p>More importantly, shareholders have reason to believe the company can maintain that momentum in the coming years. Single-family home prices have skyrocketed across the United States over the past decade, which has created a need for affordable, multifamily units. That trend should drive demand for Walker &amp; Dunlop&#39;s lending and asset management services.</p><p>More broadly, U.S. commercial real estate loans totaled $890 billion last year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. That puts Walker &amp; Dunlop in front of a big opportunity, and as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the largest players in the industry, the company is well-positioned to capture market share. That should translate into share-price appreciation for investors.</p><p>Additionally, Walker &amp; Dunlop currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.60 per share, which works out to a dividend yield of 2.28%. To that end, an investment of $100,000 would generate $2,280 in passive income each year. That&#39;s why this stock is a smart long-term investment.</p><h2>2. Vanguard High Dividend Yield <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a></h2><p>The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VYM\">Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF</a></b> is an index fund with exposure to 443 different stocks. Among its top 10 holdings are <b>Chevron</b>, <b>Bank of America</b>, and <b>Coca-Cola</b> -- three stocks that collectively comprise more than 25% of Warren Buffett&#39;s portfolio through <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The fund also includes positions in blue chips like <b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> and <b>Home Depot</b>. To that end, investors benefit from instant diversification, and with an expense ratio of just 0.06%, you would pay only $60 per year on a $100,000 portfolio.</p><p>Currently, the dividend yield on the ETF sits at 2.72%, meaning a $100,000 portfolio would generate $2,720 in passive income on an annual basis. Of course, a broad index fund doesn&#39;t offer the same upside potential as a mid-cap stock like Walker &amp; Dunlop, but the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF is the safer of the two investments discussed in this article. That peace of mind is especially valuable in turbulent market environments (like the current one).</p><p>In summary, investing in Walker &amp; Dunlop and the Vanguard High Yield Dividend ETF can help diversify your portfolio while leaving room for share-price appreciation. Additionally, with $200,000 split evenly between both, you would earn a collective $5,000 in passive income each year.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want $5,000 in Passive Income? 2 High-Dividend Stocks to Buy Now With $200,000</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant $5,000 in Passive Income? 2 High-Dividend Stocks to Buy Now With $200,000\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-11 10:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/10/want-5000-passive-income-2-dividend-stocks-to-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Passive income can be especially valuable during a down market. Moreover, dividend stocks tend to outperform their non-dividend-paying peers, simply because generating enough cash to pay a regular ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/10/want-5000-passive-income-2-dividend-stocks-to-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WD":"Walker & Dunlop","VYM":"红利股ETF-Vanguard"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/10/want-5000-passive-income-2-dividend-stocks-to-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242917328","content_text":"Passive income can be especially valuable during a down market. Moreover, dividend stocks tend to outperform their non-dividend-paying peers, simply because generating enough cash to pay a regular dividend requires consistent execution and disciplined capital allocation. In other words, dividend stocks are typically backed by high-quality businesses.With that in mind, $200,000 split evenly across these two investments would generate $5,000 per year in passive income while also providing exposure to some of Warren Buffett's largest holdings and leaving room for share price appreciation.Let's dive in.1. Walker & DunlopWalker & Dunlop is a commercial real estate services company with two primary operating segments. Through its capital markets platform, it originates loans (primarily in multifamily housing), and it provides debt brokerage and property sales services. Through its servicing and asset management platform, the company offers loan serving, housing industry research, and investment management services focused on the affordable housing sector.Walker & Dunlop is the fourth-largest lender in the commercial real estate space and the largest provider of capital in the multifamily housing industry. To reinforce its competitive position, the company has made several key acquisitions of late, including its $696 million buyout of Alliant last year. That move strengthened its affordable housing platform, boosting assets under management eightfold to $16 billion.Financially, Walker & Dunlop has produced solid results over the past year. Revenue soared 26% to $1.4 billion, fueled by especially strong results in its debt brokerage and property sales business lines, and earnings climbed 6% to $8.48 per diluted share.More importantly, shareholders have reason to believe the company can maintain that momentum in the coming years. Single-family home prices have skyrocketed across the United States over the past decade, which has created a need for affordable, multifamily units. That trend should drive demand for Walker & Dunlop's lending and asset management services.More broadly, U.S. commercial real estate loans totaled $890 billion last year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. That puts Walker & Dunlop in front of a big opportunity, and as one of the largest players in the industry, the company is well-positioned to capture market share. That should translate into share-price appreciation for investors.Additionally, Walker & Dunlop currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.60 per share, which works out to a dividend yield of 2.28%. To that end, an investment of $100,000 would generate $2,280 in passive income each year. That's why this stock is a smart long-term investment.2. Vanguard High Dividend Yield Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETFThe Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF is an index fund with exposure to 443 different stocks. Among its top 10 holdings are Chevron, Bank of America, and Coca-Cola -- three stocks that collectively comprise more than 25% of Warren Buffett's portfolio through Berkshire Hathaway. The fund also includes positions in blue chips like Johnson & Johnson and Home Depot. To that end, investors benefit from instant diversification, and with an expense ratio of just 0.06%, you would pay only $60 per year on a $100,000 portfolio.Currently, the dividend yield on the ETF sits at 2.72%, meaning a $100,000 portfolio would generate $2,720 in passive income on an annual basis. Of course, a broad index fund doesn't offer the same upside potential as a mid-cap stock like Walker & Dunlop, but the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF is the safer of the two investments discussed in this article. That peace of mind is especially valuable in turbulent market environments (like the current one).In summary, investing in Walker & Dunlop and the Vanguard High Yield Dividend ETF can help diversify your portfolio while leaving room for share-price appreciation. Additionally, with $200,000 split evenly between both, you would earn a collective $5,000 in passive income each year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056916796,"gmtCreate":1654920361515,"gmtModify":1676535535177,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep&nbsp;it up&nbsp;","listText":"Keep&nbsp;it up&nbsp;","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056916796","repostId":"1179127588","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179127588","pubTimestamp":1654916262,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179127588?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-11 10:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Stock Is Getting Interesting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179127588","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNIO stock recently fell 7% in one trading day after its Q1 earnings release.Earnings exceeded","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>NIO stock recently fell 7% in one trading day after its Q1 earnings release.</li><li>Earnings exceeded what analysts expected but were bad in absolute terms, as the net loss widened.</li><li>I&#39;m more optimistic toward NIO now than I was in the past because its price has come down while its revenue has grown.</li><li>I still assign it a &#39;hold&#39; rating, though, because I&#39;m not yet ready to recommend it to others due to the high-risk level.</li></ul><p><b>NIO</b>(NYSE:NIO) has never been my favorite Chinese stock. I&#39;ve generally rated it a &#39;hold&#39; in my articles, seeing it as a high-growth company with some major financial downsides. NIO grew revenue at 122% in the 12 months before the recent earnings release, which is certainly impressive. However, the company is also rapidly increasing its share count, making every shareholder&#39;s ownership claim smaller over time. NIO isn&#39;t the worst offender on earth when it comes to dilution; its share count popped dramatically in 2019 then slowed down afterward. The share count increase was significant enough to merit a mention though: it grew by 67% CAGR between 2018 and 2022.</p><p>For me, this dilution was, until recently, enough of a concern to avoid NIO stock. NIO&#39;s revenue is growing faster than its share count, but the one offsets the other enough that the growth looks less impressive after adjusting for dilution.</p><p>That was pretty much the end of the story for me for a long time. As a fan of Chinese tech stocks, I had researched NIO and decided that it didn&#39;t have the financial soundness other Chinese companies have. It&#39;s issuing equity to fuel growth, and it still isn&#39;t profitable. Case closed.</p><p>Or so it seemed. While I was content to leave NIO alone for a good while, I started thinking about the success Warren Buffett had with his <b>BYD</b>(OTCPK:BYDDF) investment. Buffett bought the stock in 2008 for a mere $232 million, and the position grew to be worth $5.9 billion. I considered buying some BYD, but the stock looked overheated: it was rallying very hard on the day I considered buying it. NIO seemed like a company that could eventually go on to become &#34;the next BYD,&#34; so I snapped up a couple of shares. Representing far less than 1% of my portfolio, the shares I bought are almost nothing, but some developments occurred that made me feel that they would be worth a tiny portfolio allocation.</p><p>On Thursday, June 9, I noticed NIO stock falling on an earnings beat. That was when I bought. What intrigued me was how much cheaper the stock had gotten due to the combination of a lower price and higher revenue. The combination of these two factors brought NIO&#39;s price/sales ratio down to 5.6, which isn&#39;t exorbitantly high for a company with NIO&#39;s growth track record. In its most recent quarter, the company&#39;s sales grew at 25%, with a massive Chinese lockdown in the picture. If the company can avoid lockdowns and other political headwinds in the next year it should be able to accelerate its revenue growth considerably; a return to 100% growth would make its 5.6 sales multiple appear cheap. This combination of a moderate valuation and growth potential is enticing. Nevertheless, I still rate the stock a hold, as I wouldn&#39;t feel comfortable recommending it to a less risk-tolerant investor, nor would I give it a heavy weighting in my own portfolio.</p><p><b>Competitive Landscape</b></p><p>One of the reasons why I&#39;m maintaining my &#39;hold&#39; rating on NIO is because of the competitive landscape it finds itself in. EV is a very competitive space, with one company -<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) -- having the most brand recognition, and another - BYD - having the biggest market share in China.</p><p>NIO, right now, can&#39;t touch the advantages that either of those companies has. It isn&#39;t selling as many cars as either, and it doesn&#39;t have as much name recognition. However, it has the potential to improve. Prior to the Q1 lockdowns, NIO had a 122% revenue growth rate. Even with the lockdowns, it managed 25% growth. The pre-lockdown growth rate was much higher than that of Tesla, yet NIO still has a far lower sales multiple than TSLA does. As a comparative valuation play, NIO looks like it has promise.</p><p>The comparison to BYD is less flattering. BYD is growing deliveries by250% year-over-year, which is a much faster growth rate than NIO. It&#39;s also doing a lot more deliveries to begin with: in 2021, it sold 593,743 cars. Recently, BYD made waves when it was revealed that it was selling batteries to Tesla. That was considered a big deal because it reversed what was once considered Tesla&#39;s big advantage over other EVs: battery production.</p><p>NIO is certainly no BYD-tier industry titan. However, it doesn&#39;t compete with BYD head-to-head. NIO mainly sells luxury cars, BYD sells a mix of cars and commercial vehicles. So, there is room for both companies in the Chinese EV market.</p><p><b>Financials</b></p><p>As we&#39;ve seen, NIO has an &#39;OK&#39; competitive position. It&#39;s no BYD or Tesla, but it&#39;s a real company selling ever growing numbers of cars every year. Viewed as a speculative small cap play, it has promise. As for whether NIO is fulfilling its promise, we need to look at the company&#39;s financials to see whether that&#39;s the case.</p><p>In its most recent quarter, NIO delivered:</p><ul><li><p>$1.56 billion in revenue, up 24.2%.</p></li><li><p>$228 million in gross profit, down 6.9%.</p></li><li><p>A $345 million operating loss, worsened by 640%.</p></li><li><p>A $281 million net loss, worsened by 295%.</p></li></ul><p>As you can see, most of the profit metrics got worse. Revenue grew, although it decelerated from previous quarters. It&#39;s not hard to see why NIO sold off after reporting these widening losses. When a company&#39;s losses increase in magnitude, it becomes worth less, assuming it was valued accurately prior to the losses. With that said, NIO&#39;s release beat on not only the top line but also the bottom line, so it&#39;s not clear why it sold off after earnings. It suggests that analysts covering the stock were not very confident in the appraisal of fair value they held prior to the release.</p><p>To be perfectly honest, even the fact that NIO had a strong top line showing was impressive. Lockdowns were in effect in much of China in the quarter just reported, and NIO factories were known to have been affected by them. Given the headwinds present at the time, the earnings release was relatively strong, although the possibility of future lockdowns certainly merits caution.</p><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Having looked at NIO&#39;s most recent quarter, we can now turn to its balance sheet. According to Seeking Alpha Quant, NIO boasts the following balance sheet metrics:</p><ul><li><p>Assets: $13.7 billion.</p></li><li><p>Liabilities: $7.8 billion.</p></li><li><p>Equity: $5.3 billion.</p></li><li><p>Debt: $1.7 billion.</p></li><li><p>Current assets: $10 billion.</p></li><li><p>Current liabilities: $5 billion.</p></li><li><p>Cash: $2.5 billion.</p></li><li><p>Cash + short term securities: $7.7 billion</p></li></ul><p>From the figures above, we can calculate:</p><ul><li><p>A current ratio of 2, suggesting excellent liquidity.</p></li><li><p>A cash ratio of 1.54, again suggesting excellent liquidity.</p></li><li><p>A debt/equity ratio of 0.32, suggesting strong solvency.</p></li></ul><p>Put simply, NIO&#39;s balance sheet is very good. It scores well on both liquidity and solvency, and has enough cash to pay off ALL of its debt! The only caveat I&#39;d mention here is that much of this was achieved by selling equity instead of borrowing. In today&#39;s market conditions NIO won&#39;t be able to raise as much money by selling stock compared to what it was able to sell in the past, so it may have to borrow more in the future.</p><p><b>The Bullish Case</b></p><p>So far we&#39;ve seen that NIO recently delivered lackluster earnings, but has a strong balance sheet. Pretty mixed signals on the financials front. However, there is a bullish case to be made here. Assuming that we can avoid truly severe lockdowns in China over the next few years, then NIO should be able to ramp up its revenue growth considerably. Remember that the company was growing sales at 122% before the lockdown-induced deceleration to 25%. If operations at NIO&#39;s factories get back to normal, then it could experience revenue acceleration. If it can get back to 100% growth, then some of its valuation multiples will begin to look low. NIO currently trades at 5.6 times sales, 5.7 times book value, and 100 times operating cash flow. These multiples definitely look steep, but with sales growing at 100% year-over-year, they aren&#39;t impossible to justify. Notably, the sales multiple is far lower than Tesla&#39;s, and NIO&#39;s pre-Q1 growth was far higher than that company&#39;s. So there is significant potential here.</p><p><b>Risks &amp; Challenges</b></p><p>As we&#39;ve seen, NIO is a very fast growing company with a strong balance sheet. If it can get over its current COVID-induced woes, it may become a winner. However, there are many risks and challenges to be aware of here. Enough that I&#39;m still rating it a &#39;hold&#39; even though I did pick up a few shares myself. These risks and challenges include:</p><ul><li><p><b>Equity sales and debt issuance.</b>NIO&#39;s share count grew at 67% CAGR between 2018 and 2022. It still has more share sales planned. If its stock keeps going down then it may have to borrow to finance operations, which will take a bite out of the healthy balance sheet metrics I mentioned earlier. To be frank, NIO really needs the COVID situation in China to moderate before it can truly take off. If that doesn&#39;t happen then dilution and/or borrowing will become necessary.</p></li><li><p><b>Competition.</b> Competition in the EV sector is fierce, and NIO is not China&#39;s market leader. It is far behind BYD on deliveries, and also on revenue. There are smaller competitors to contend with as well. NIO is a much smaller cap company than BYD is, so it has more potential to really soar in a best-case scenario. But it is definitely an underdog.</p></li><li><p><b>Regulatory issues.</b> Chinese stocks are currently facing regulatory pressure from the United States. The U.S. wants more ability to do on-site auditing before it will give Chinese companies the go-ahead to remain listed on the NYSE. NIO is one of the companies that has been identified as not meeting U.S. auditing requirements. If NIO has to list exclusively in Hong Kong, then U.S. investors may find it not worth the hassle to invest in. Potentially it could underperform relative to a U.S. company with identical fundamentals.</p></li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Stock Is Getting Interesting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Stock Is Getting Interesting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-11 10:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4517787-nio-stock-is-getting-interesting><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNIO stock recently fell 7% in one trading day after its Q1 earnings release.Earnings exceeded what analysts expected but were bad in absolute terms, as the net loss widened.I'm more optimistic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4517787-nio-stock-is-getting-interesting\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4517787-nio-stock-is-getting-interesting","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179127588","content_text":"SummaryNIO stock recently fell 7% in one trading day after its Q1 earnings release.Earnings exceeded what analysts expected but were bad in absolute terms, as the net loss widened.I'm more optimistic toward NIO now than I was in the past because its price has come down while its revenue has grown.I still assign it a 'hold' rating, though, because I'm not yet ready to recommend it to others due to the high-risk level.NIO(NYSE:NIO) has never been my favorite Chinese stock. I've generally rated it a 'hold' in my articles, seeing it as a high-growth company with some major financial downsides. NIO grew revenue at 122% in the 12 months before the recent earnings release, which is certainly impressive. However, the company is also rapidly increasing its share count, making every shareholder's ownership claim smaller over time. NIO isn't the worst offender on earth when it comes to dilution; its share count popped dramatically in 2019 then slowed down afterward. The share count increase was significant enough to merit a mention though: it grew by 67% CAGR between 2018 and 2022.For me, this dilution was, until recently, enough of a concern to avoid NIO stock. NIO's revenue is growing faster than its share count, but the one offsets the other enough that the growth looks less impressive after adjusting for dilution.That was pretty much the end of the story for me for a long time. As a fan of Chinese tech stocks, I had researched NIO and decided that it didn't have the financial soundness other Chinese companies have. It's issuing equity to fuel growth, and it still isn't profitable. Case closed.Or so it seemed. While I was content to leave NIO alone for a good while, I started thinking about the success Warren Buffett had with his BYD(OTCPK:BYDDF) investment. Buffett bought the stock in 2008 for a mere $232 million, and the position grew to be worth $5.9 billion. I considered buying some BYD, but the stock looked overheated: it was rallying very hard on the day I considered buying it. NIO seemed like a company that could eventually go on to become \"the next BYD,\" so I snapped up a couple of shares. Representing far less than 1% of my portfolio, the shares I bought are almost nothing, but some developments occurred that made me feel that they would be worth a tiny portfolio allocation.On Thursday, June 9, I noticed NIO stock falling on an earnings beat. That was when I bought. What intrigued me was how much cheaper the stock had gotten due to the combination of a lower price and higher revenue. The combination of these two factors brought NIO's price/sales ratio down to 5.6, which isn't exorbitantly high for a company with NIO's growth track record. In its most recent quarter, the company's sales grew at 25%, with a massive Chinese lockdown in the picture. If the company can avoid lockdowns and other political headwinds in the next year it should be able to accelerate its revenue growth considerably; a return to 100% growth would make its 5.6 sales multiple appear cheap. This combination of a moderate valuation and growth potential is enticing. Nevertheless, I still rate the stock a hold, as I wouldn't feel comfortable recommending it to a less risk-tolerant investor, nor would I give it a heavy weighting in my own portfolio.Competitive LandscapeOne of the reasons why I'm maintaining my 'hold' rating on NIO is because of the competitive landscape it finds itself in. EV is a very competitive space, with one company -Tesla(TSLA) -- having the most brand recognition, and another - BYD - having the biggest market share in China.NIO, right now, can't touch the advantages that either of those companies has. It isn't selling as many cars as either, and it doesn't have as much name recognition. However, it has the potential to improve. Prior to the Q1 lockdowns, NIO had a 122% revenue growth rate. Even with the lockdowns, it managed 25% growth. The pre-lockdown growth rate was much higher than that of Tesla, yet NIO still has a far lower sales multiple than TSLA does. As a comparative valuation play, NIO looks like it has promise.The comparison to BYD is less flattering. BYD is growing deliveries by250% year-over-year, which is a much faster growth rate than NIO. It's also doing a lot more deliveries to begin with: in 2021, it sold 593,743 cars. Recently, BYD made waves when it was revealed that it was selling batteries to Tesla. That was considered a big deal because it reversed what was once considered Tesla's big advantage over other EVs: battery production.NIO is certainly no BYD-tier industry titan. However, it doesn't compete with BYD head-to-head. NIO mainly sells luxury cars, BYD sells a mix of cars and commercial vehicles. So, there is room for both companies in the Chinese EV market.FinancialsAs we've seen, NIO has an 'OK' competitive position. It's no BYD or Tesla, but it's a real company selling ever growing numbers of cars every year. Viewed as a speculative small cap play, it has promise. As for whether NIO is fulfilling its promise, we need to look at the company's financials to see whether that's the case.In its most recent quarter, NIO delivered:$1.56 billion in revenue, up 24.2%.$228 million in gross profit, down 6.9%.A $345 million operating loss, worsened by 640%.A $281 million net loss, worsened by 295%.As you can see, most of the profit metrics got worse. Revenue grew, although it decelerated from previous quarters. It's not hard to see why NIO sold off after reporting these widening losses. When a company's losses increase in magnitude, it becomes worth less, assuming it was valued accurately prior to the losses. With that said, NIO's release beat on not only the top line but also the bottom line, so it's not clear why it sold off after earnings. It suggests that analysts covering the stock were not very confident in the appraisal of fair value they held prior to the release.To be perfectly honest, even the fact that NIO had a strong top line showing was impressive. Lockdowns were in effect in much of China in the quarter just reported, and NIO factories were known to have been affected by them. Given the headwinds present at the time, the earnings release was relatively strong, although the possibility of future lockdowns certainly merits caution.Balance SheetHaving looked at NIO's most recent quarter, we can now turn to its balance sheet. According to Seeking Alpha Quant, NIO boasts the following balance sheet metrics:Assets: $13.7 billion.Liabilities: $7.8 billion.Equity: $5.3 billion.Debt: $1.7 billion.Current assets: $10 billion.Current liabilities: $5 billion.Cash: $2.5 billion.Cash + short term securities: $7.7 billionFrom the figures above, we can calculate:A current ratio of 2, suggesting excellent liquidity.A cash ratio of 1.54, again suggesting excellent liquidity.A debt/equity ratio of 0.32, suggesting strong solvency.Put simply, NIO's balance sheet is very good. It scores well on both liquidity and solvency, and has enough cash to pay off ALL of its debt! The only caveat I'd mention here is that much of this was achieved by selling equity instead of borrowing. In today's market conditions NIO won't be able to raise as much money by selling stock compared to what it was able to sell in the past, so it may have to borrow more in the future.The Bullish CaseSo far we've seen that NIO recently delivered lackluster earnings, but has a strong balance sheet. Pretty mixed signals on the financials front. However, there is a bullish case to be made here. Assuming that we can avoid truly severe lockdowns in China over the next few years, then NIO should be able to ramp up its revenue growth considerably. Remember that the company was growing sales at 122% before the lockdown-induced deceleration to 25%. If operations at NIO's factories get back to normal, then it could experience revenue acceleration. If it can get back to 100% growth, then some of its valuation multiples will begin to look low. NIO currently trades at 5.6 times sales, 5.7 times book value, and 100 times operating cash flow. These multiples definitely look steep, but with sales growing at 100% year-over-year, they aren't impossible to justify. Notably, the sales multiple is far lower than Tesla's, and NIO's pre-Q1 growth was far higher than that company's. So there is significant potential here.Risks & ChallengesAs we've seen, NIO is a very fast growing company with a strong balance sheet. If it can get over its current COVID-induced woes, it may become a winner. However, there are many risks and challenges to be aware of here. Enough that I'm still rating it a 'hold' even though I did pick up a few shares myself. These risks and challenges include:Equity sales and debt issuance.NIO's share count grew at 67% CAGR between 2018 and 2022. It still has more share sales planned. If its stock keeps going down then it may have to borrow to finance operations, which will take a bite out of the healthy balance sheet metrics I mentioned earlier. To be frank, NIO really needs the COVID situation in China to moderate before it can truly take off. If that doesn't happen then dilution and/or borrowing will become necessary.Competition. Competition in the EV sector is fierce, and NIO is not China's market leader. It is far behind BYD on deliveries, and also on revenue. There are smaller competitors to contend with as well. NIO is a much smaller cap company than BYD is, so it has more potential to really soar in a best-case scenario. But it is definitely an underdog.Regulatory issues. Chinese stocks are currently facing regulatory pressure from the United States. The U.S. wants more ability to do on-site auditing before it will give Chinese companies the go-ahead to remain listed on the NYSE. NIO is one of the companies that has been identified as not meeting U.S. auditing requirements. If NIO has to list exclusively in Hong Kong, then U.S. investors may find it not worth the hassle to invest in. Potentially it could underperform relative to a U.S. company with identical fundamentals.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950778899,"gmtCreate":1672846466211,"gmtModify":1676538747123,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up","listText":"Keep it up","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950778899","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":34,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922247189,"gmtCreate":1671786374142,"gmtModify":1676538593364,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up","listText":"Keep it up","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922247189","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935159904,"gmtCreate":1663050936408,"gmtModify":1676537191946,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up","listText":"Keep it up","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935159904","repostId":"2267757983","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2267757983","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663014277,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2267757983?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-13 04:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Posts Fourth Straight Day of Gains Ahead of CPI Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2267757983","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street extended its winning streak on Monday, rallying to a sharply higher close as","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street extended its winning streak on Monday, rallying to a sharply higher close as investors awaited crucial inflation data that could provide clues about the duration and severity of the Federal Reserve&#39;s tightening policy.</p><p>Energy and technology shares helped the three major U.S. stock indexes touch two-week highs and notch their fourth straight session of gains, in which growth stocks were slightly favored over value.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s consumer price index, expected before Tuesday&#39;s opening bell, is this week&#39;s main event, and will be scrutinized for any signs regarding the number and size of future interest rate hikes from the Fed.</p><p>&#34;CPI is expected to see a little bit of a decrease,&#34; said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. &#34;The market is hoping that news translates into smaller rate hikes after the Sept FOMC meeting.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Because of that, you&#39;re seeing a risk-on type of mentality today,&#34; Pavlik added.</p><p>On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed the central bank remains &#34;strongly committed&#34; to tackling decades-high inflation, and that it would &#34;keep at it until the job is done.&#34;</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters expect monthly CPI to have contracted 0.1% in August from July, edging down to 8.1% year-on-year, mainly due to the recent cool-down of commodity prices.</p><p>Financial markets have currently priced in a 92% probability that the Federal Open Markets Committee will implement its third straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike at the conclusion of next week&#39;s policy meeting, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch tool.</p><p>&#34;The market has now fully priced in 75 basis points for September,&#34; Pavlik said. &#34;The market is hoping the next one is 50 basis points and that we&#39;ll see a slight decrease in rate hikes after that, and Wall Street can live with that.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 229.63 points, or 0.71%, to 32,381.34, the S&amp;P 500 gained 43.05 points, or 1.06%, to 4,110.41 and the Nasdaq Composite added 154.10 points, or 1.27%, to 12,266.41.</p><p>All 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 closed green. Energy companies, boosted by rising crude prices, enjoyed the biggest percentage gain.</p><p>Economically sensitive transports outperformed the broader market, while market-leading megacaps provided the most lift.</p><p>A 3.9% jump in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a> shares gave the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq their biggest boost, days after the gadget maker unveiled updates to its iPhone and Apple Watch.</p><p>Drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb rose 3.1% following the Food and Drug Administration&#39;s approval of its psoriasis drug late on Friday.</p><p>Rival Amgen Inc, maker of psoriasis drug Otezla, slid 4.1%.</p><p>Twitter Inc ended the session down 1.8% amid its legal wrangling against <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc</a> chief Elon Musk for scrapping a deal to acquire the social media platform.</p><p>Car selling platform Carvana Co hopped 15.5% higher following Piper Sandler&#39;s upgrade of the stock to &#34;overweight.&#34;</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.37-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 47 new highs and 59 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.63 billion shares, compared with the 10.22 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Posts Fourth Straight Day of Gains Ahead of CPI Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Posts Fourth Straight Day of Gains Ahead of CPI Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-13 04:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street extended its winning streak on Monday, rallying to a sharply higher close as investors awaited crucial inflation data that could provide clues about the duration and severity of the Federal Reserve&#39;s tightening policy.</p><p>Energy and technology shares helped the three major U.S. stock indexes touch two-week highs and notch their fourth straight session of gains, in which growth stocks were slightly favored over value.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s consumer price index, expected before Tuesday&#39;s opening bell, is this week&#39;s main event, and will be scrutinized for any signs regarding the number and size of future interest rate hikes from the Fed.</p><p>&#34;CPI is expected to see a little bit of a decrease,&#34; said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. &#34;The market is hoping that news translates into smaller rate hikes after the Sept FOMC meeting.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Because of that, you&#39;re seeing a risk-on type of mentality today,&#34; Pavlik added.</p><p>On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed the central bank remains &#34;strongly committed&#34; to tackling decades-high inflation, and that it would &#34;keep at it until the job is done.&#34;</p><p>Economists polled by Reuters expect monthly CPI to have contracted 0.1% in August from July, edging down to 8.1% year-on-year, mainly due to the recent cool-down of commodity prices.</p><p>Financial markets have currently priced in a 92% probability that the Federal Open Markets Committee will implement its third straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike at the conclusion of next week&#39;s policy meeting, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch tool.</p><p>&#34;The market has now fully priced in 75 basis points for September,&#34; Pavlik said. &#34;The market is hoping the next one is 50 basis points and that we&#39;ll see a slight decrease in rate hikes after that, and Wall Street can live with that.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 229.63 points, or 0.71%, to 32,381.34, the S&amp;P 500 gained 43.05 points, or 1.06%, to 4,110.41 and the Nasdaq Composite added 154.10 points, or 1.27%, to 12,266.41.</p><p>All 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 closed green. Energy companies, boosted by rising crude prices, enjoyed the biggest percentage gain.</p><p>Economically sensitive transports outperformed the broader market, while market-leading megacaps provided the most lift.</p><p>A 3.9% jump in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a> shares gave the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq their biggest boost, days after the gadget maker unveiled updates to its iPhone and Apple Watch.</p><p>Drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb rose 3.1% following the Food and Drug Administration&#39;s approval of its psoriasis drug late on Friday.</p><p>Rival Amgen Inc, maker of psoriasis drug Otezla, slid 4.1%.</p><p>Twitter Inc ended the session down 1.8% amid its legal wrangling against <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc</a> chief Elon Musk for scrapping a deal to acquire the social media platform.</p><p>Car selling platform Carvana Co hopped 15.5% higher following Piper Sandler&#39;s upgrade of the stock to &#34;overweight.&#34;</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.37-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 47 new highs and 59 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.63 billion shares, compared with the 10.22 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2267757983","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street extended its winning streak on Monday, rallying to a sharply higher close as investors awaited crucial inflation data that could provide clues about the duration and severity of the Federal Reserve's tightening policy.Energy and technology shares helped the three major U.S. stock indexes touch two-week highs and notch their fourth straight session of gains, in which growth stocks were slightly favored over value.The Labor Department's consumer price index, expected before Tuesday's opening bell, is this week's main event, and will be scrutinized for any signs regarding the number and size of future interest rate hikes from the Fed.\"CPI is expected to see a little bit of a decrease,\" said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. \"The market is hoping that news translates into smaller rate hikes after the Sept FOMC meeting.\"\"Because of that, you're seeing a risk-on type of mentality today,\" Pavlik added.On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed the central bank remains \"strongly committed\" to tackling decades-high inflation, and that it would \"keep at it until the job is done.\"Economists polled by Reuters expect monthly CPI to have contracted 0.1% in August from July, edging down to 8.1% year-on-year, mainly due to the recent cool-down of commodity prices.Financial markets have currently priced in a 92% probability that the Federal Open Markets Committee will implement its third straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike at the conclusion of next week's policy meeting, according to CME's FedWatch tool.\"The market has now fully priced in 75 basis points for September,\" Pavlik said. \"The market is hoping the next one is 50 basis points and that we'll see a slight decrease in rate hikes after that, and Wall Street can live with that.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 229.63 points, or 0.71%, to 32,381.34, the S&P 500 gained 43.05 points, or 1.06%, to 4,110.41 and the Nasdaq Composite added 154.10 points, or 1.27%, to 12,266.41.All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 closed green. Energy companies, boosted by rising crude prices, enjoyed the biggest percentage gain.Economically sensitive transports outperformed the broader market, while market-leading megacaps provided the most lift.A 3.9% jump in Apple Inc shares gave the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq their biggest boost, days after the gadget maker unveiled updates to its iPhone and Apple Watch.Drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb rose 3.1% following the Food and Drug Administration's approval of its psoriasis drug late on Friday.Rival Amgen Inc, maker of psoriasis drug Otezla, slid 4.1%.Twitter Inc ended the session down 1.8% amid its legal wrangling against Tesla Inc chief Elon Musk for scrapping a deal to acquire the social media platform.Car selling platform Carvana Co hopped 15.5% higher following Piper Sandler's upgrade of the stock to \"overweight.\"Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.37-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.78-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 47 new highs and 59 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.63 billion shares, compared with the 10.22 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936828144,"gmtCreate":1662755967089,"gmtModify":1676537132430,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Come onnn","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Come onnn","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Come onnn","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b58892cdd6727eb9e559a614dd0bd15e","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936828144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994352759,"gmtCreate":1661567765073,"gmtModify":1676536543341,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>till when","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>till when","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$till when","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a91c559e22856c4d4d2f935a08700ee5","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994352759","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073679395,"gmtCreate":1657339460117,"gmtModify":1676535995042,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>lol lol lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>lol lol lol","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$lol lol lol","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8f6b3d1d97c36c2ef1970894d6d14d8","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073679395","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079111705,"gmtCreate":1657157216207,"gmtModify":1676535960864,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Let's&nbsp; rise","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Let's&nbsp; rise","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Let's rise","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/83bbbe2dfb37a1b434b933e15cc7ed07","width":"1284","height":"2445"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079111705","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931189105,"gmtCreate":1662422874107,"gmtModify":1676537055181,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>Ong","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>Ong","text":"$BlackBerry(BB)$Ong","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/701e42cadba7b47b4305dcaf4c54cf7f","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931189105","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999037047,"gmtCreate":1660439674291,"gmtModify":1676533469744,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Still down&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Still down&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Still down","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a02b73df76ea2e8bc126e8bf17f7ad8e","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999037047","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907907158,"gmtCreate":1660119528677,"gmtModify":1703478127621,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up","listText":"Keep it up","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907907158","repostId":"1146749001","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146749001","pubTimestamp":1660145460,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146749001?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-10 23:31","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Is TQQQ A Buy After A 25% Rally In The Last Month?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146749001","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTQQQ has enjoyed a large rebound as broader markets have had a good run in the last month.Whi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TQQQ has enjoyed a large rebound as broader markets have had a good run in the last month.</li><li>While I missed the rally, I still think we could see lower prices and a better entry point in the future.</li><li>This is primarily due to the rich valuation of the largest components of the underlying QQQ ETF.</li></ul><p>Since I wrote my last article on the ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:TQQQ) a little more than a month ago, the broader markets have rallied, leading to an approximate 25% return from the last week of June. I&#39;m maintaining a hold fornow, but the last month shows the power of the triple-leveraged exchange-traded funds (&#34;ETFs&#34;) if you have some skill (or luck, take your pick) on the short-term timing of the market. The other possibility is that you lose all those gains in a week as you feel the other side of the double-edged sword that are leveraged ETFs.</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>TQQQ has stayed on my watchlist for all of 2022, as I intend to hold my nose and buy a small position if the market selloff worsens. While TQQQ isn&#39;t suitable for a large position, it could be an interesting way for investors to play a rebound in large-cap growth. I would rather be late to buy TQQQ than early, but it is hard to know when that is. While the markets have rallied as of late, the valuations on the major components of the ETF make me think we could see better prices to buy TQQQ ahead.</p><p><b>Top 10 Holdings</b></p><p>Most of you are familiar with the top 10 holdings of TQQQ. There has been some shuffling in 2022 due to some stocks being hit harder than others. For the most part, the top 10 is made up of the tech giants like Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f0785a885a0d65f1c95431c66719c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>QQQ Top 10 (proshares.com)</p><p><b>Apple &amp; Microsoft</b></p><p>I will be writing full articles on these two blue-chip tech giants at some point in the next couple of weeks, but my opinion on these two companies really hasn&#39;t changed much, even after the most recent quarterly earnings. I held positions in both in the past, but I&#39;m pretty much neutral on both with the current valuations. Because these two companies make up nearly a quarter of the ETF, they will be huge drivers of returns moving forward. If shares continue to bounce back like they have in the last month, with both up double digits, TQQQ should be just fine. If shares of Apple and Microsoft suffer, that will have an outsized impact on TQQQ, even if the rest of the stocks are performing better.</p><p><b>Amazon</b></p><p>Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) shares have had an even better run than Apple or Microsoft in the last month, as shares have jumped almost 30%. While I haven&#39;t had much of a chance to dig into the most recent quarterly report yet, Amazon is the last big tech company I own. There is a lot of debate on the valuation, but I think it is attractive right now. As long as the advertising and AWS segments keep humming along, I will continue to own shares. They have been investing in the other segments of the business, which should pay off over the next couple of years.</p><p><b>Tesla, Google &amp; Facebook</b></p><p>These three companies in the top 10 holdings are the tech companies that I have no interest in owning. The reasoning is different for all three, but I will keep this section brief. Tesla (TSLA) is the public company that most closely resembles a circus in my mind, with a P.T. Barnum-like character at the top in Elon Musk. I also have some nagging questions on their financials, stock sales, as well as other problems that keep me out of Tesla. Despite my caution on Tesla, the stock has rallied more than 30% in the last month.</p><p>Google (GOOG,GOOGL) and Facebook/Meta Platforms (META) have both had smaller rallies in the last month. Outside of the valuation and margin profile, there isn&#39;t much that I like about either company, to be honest. I don&#39;t like the companies, I don&#39;t like their histories, I don&#39;t like their operations, and I don&#39;t like their founders. I know that these opinions might not be popular, but I would rather invest in other companies for a variety of reasons.</p><p><b>Nvidia</b></p><p>NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the one company on the top 10 list that I have been looking closer at lately. Like Amazon and Tesla, Nvidia has seen a huge rally in the last month (30%). The valuation is still rich, but it has come down significantly from its peak in late 2021. I don&#39;t think it&#39;s a buy yet, but with the potential of the business over the next decade, Nvidia will be a stock that stays on my watchlist permanently. As far as the semiconductor industry goes, Nvidia is recognized as an innovator for several different areas, including crypto, gaming, and data centers, and the future looks bright to me.</p><p><b>Pepsi &amp; Costco</b></p><p>PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) and Costco (COST) are not tech companies like the others in the top 10 holdings, but they are also richly valued. They are up slightly over the last month. Both companies are trading well above their average multiples, and well above what I would consider fair value for a company growing at those rates. You can count on stable and growing dividends from both, but I would rather be selling both stocks than buying them.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>TQQQ has rallied hard over the last month. While I want to own the ETF at some point, I&#39;m not trying to be on the wrong end of a leveraged ETF because it can get ugly in a hurry. The top 10 is dominated by the large tech giants, but I think most of the companies are still too expensive to go long here. I am bullish on Amazon, and I like Nvidia as well, while that valuation is still expensive, so I&#39;m hoping for a lower entry point. The rest of the top 10 isn&#39;t appealing to me for various reasons. I plan to write up a handful of the top 10 in more detail at some point in the near future, but when it comes to TQQQ, I&#39;m still waiting for the fear and capitulation sign that I&#39;m looking for.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is TQQQ A Buy After A 25% Rally In The Last Month?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs TQQQ A Buy After A 25% Rally In The Last Month?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-10 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531573-is-tqqq-a-buy-after-a-25-percent-rally-in-the-last-month?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A12><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTQQQ has enjoyed a large rebound as broader markets have had a good run in the last month.While I missed the rally, I still think we could see lower prices and a better entry point in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531573-is-tqqq-a-buy-after-a-25-percent-rally-in-the-last-month?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A12\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531573-is-tqqq-a-buy-after-a-25-percent-rally-in-the-last-month?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146749001","content_text":"SummaryTQQQ has enjoyed a large rebound as broader markets have had a good run in the last month.While I missed the rally, I still think we could see lower prices and a better entry point in the future.This is primarily due to the rich valuation of the largest components of the underlying QQQ ETF.Since I wrote my last article on the ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:TQQQ) a little more than a month ago, the broader markets have rallied, leading to an approximate 25% return from the last week of June. I'm maintaining a hold fornow, but the last month shows the power of the triple-leveraged exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") if you have some skill (or luck, take your pick) on the short-term timing of the market. The other possibility is that you lose all those gains in a week as you feel the other side of the double-edged sword that are leveraged ETFs.Investment ThesisTQQQ has stayed on my watchlist for all of 2022, as I intend to hold my nose and buy a small position if the market selloff worsens. While TQQQ isn't suitable for a large position, it could be an interesting way for investors to play a rebound in large-cap growth. I would rather be late to buy TQQQ than early, but it is hard to know when that is. While the markets have rallied as of late, the valuations on the major components of the ETF make me think we could see better prices to buy TQQQ ahead.Top 10 HoldingsMost of you are familiar with the top 10 holdings of TQQQ. There has been some shuffling in 2022 due to some stocks being hit harder than others. For the most part, the top 10 is made up of the tech giants like Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT).QQQ Top 10 (proshares.com)Apple & MicrosoftI will be writing full articles on these two blue-chip tech giants at some point in the next couple of weeks, but my opinion on these two companies really hasn't changed much, even after the most recent quarterly earnings. I held positions in both in the past, but I'm pretty much neutral on both with the current valuations. Because these two companies make up nearly a quarter of the ETF, they will be huge drivers of returns moving forward. If shares continue to bounce back like they have in the last month, with both up double digits, TQQQ should be just fine. If shares of Apple and Microsoft suffer, that will have an outsized impact on TQQQ, even if the rest of the stocks are performing better.AmazonAmazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) shares have had an even better run than Apple or Microsoft in the last month, as shares have jumped almost 30%. While I haven't had much of a chance to dig into the most recent quarterly report yet, Amazon is the last big tech company I own. There is a lot of debate on the valuation, but I think it is attractive right now. As long as the advertising and AWS segments keep humming along, I will continue to own shares. They have been investing in the other segments of the business, which should pay off over the next couple of years.Tesla, Google & FacebookThese three companies in the top 10 holdings are the tech companies that I have no interest in owning. The reasoning is different for all three, but I will keep this section brief. Tesla (TSLA) is the public company that most closely resembles a circus in my mind, with a P.T. Barnum-like character at the top in Elon Musk. I also have some nagging questions on their financials, stock sales, as well as other problems that keep me out of Tesla. Despite my caution on Tesla, the stock has rallied more than 30% in the last month.Google (GOOG,GOOGL) and Facebook/Meta Platforms (META) have both had smaller rallies in the last month. Outside of the valuation and margin profile, there isn't much that I like about either company, to be honest. I don't like the companies, I don't like their histories, I don't like their operations, and I don't like their founders. I know that these opinions might not be popular, but I would rather invest in other companies for a variety of reasons.NvidiaNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the one company on the top 10 list that I have been looking closer at lately. Like Amazon and Tesla, Nvidia has seen a huge rally in the last month (30%). The valuation is still rich, but it has come down significantly from its peak in late 2021. I don't think it's a buy yet, but with the potential of the business over the next decade, Nvidia will be a stock that stays on my watchlist permanently. As far as the semiconductor industry goes, Nvidia is recognized as an innovator for several different areas, including crypto, gaming, and data centers, and the future looks bright to me.Pepsi & CostcoPepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) and Costco (COST) are not tech companies like the others in the top 10 holdings, but they are also richly valued. They are up slightly over the last month. Both companies are trading well above their average multiples, and well above what I would consider fair value for a company growing at those rates. You can count on stable and growing dividends from both, but I would rather be selling both stocks than buying them.ConclusionTQQQ has rallied hard over the last month. While I want to own the ETF at some point, I'm not trying to be on the wrong end of a leveraged ETF because it can get ugly in a hurry. The top 10 is dominated by the large tech giants, but I think most of the companies are still too expensive to go long here. I am bullish on Amazon, and I like Nvidia as well, while that valuation is still expensive, so I'm hoping for a lower entry point. The rest of the top 10 isn't appealing to me for various reasons. I plan to write up a handful of the top 10 in more detail at some point in the near future, but when it comes to TQQQ, I'm still waiting for the fear and capitulation sign that I'm looking for.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900306848,"gmtCreate":1658634441185,"gmtModify":1676536185481,"author":{"id":"3556245754656290","authorId":"3556245754656290","name":"Mivecs","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5baf89038ae3bd070054bf273f7ac270","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up","listText":"Keep it up","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900306848","repostId":"2253092009","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253092009","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1658625886,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2253092009?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-24 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"There Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253092009","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June's distressingly high 9.1% increase i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June&#39;s distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see a slow pace of decline.</p><p>Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, pointed to many indicators that 9.1% might have been the top. Gasoline prices have fallen around 10% from their mid-June high point of $5.02 a gallon, according to AAA. Wheat futures prices have fallen by 37% since mid-May and corn futures prices are down 27% from mid-June. The cost of shipping goods from East Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 11.4% lower than a month ago, according to Xeneta, a Norway-based transportation-data and procurement firm.</p><p>Easing price pressures and improvements in backlogs and supplier delivery times in business surveys suggest that supply-chain snarls are unraveling. Mr. Hyman noted that money-supply growth has slowed sharply, evidence that monetary tightening is starting to bite.</p><p>Inflation expectations also fell recently -- an upbeat signal for the Fed, which believes that such expectations influence wage and price-setting behavior and thus actual inflation. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment survey showed that longer-term inflation expectations slipped from June&#39;s 3.1% reading to 2.8% in late June and early July, matching the average rate during the 20 years before the pandemic.</p><p>Bond investors are less worried about inflation, based on the &#34;break-even inflation rate&#34; -- the difference between the yield on regular five-year Treasury bonds and on inflation-indexed bonds -- which has dropped to 2.67% from an all-time high of 3.59% hit in late March.</p><p>Inflation-based derivatives and bonds are projecting that the annual increase in the CPI will fall to 2.3% in just a year, around the Fed&#39;s 2% target (which uses a different price index), according to the Intercontinental Exchange. Roberto Perli, economist at Piper Sandler, calls such an outcome &#34;optimistic but not totally implausible.&#34; From February through early June, investors thought inflation would still be between 4% and 5% in a year.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s a step in the right direction, but ultimately, even if June is the peak, we&#39;re still looking at an environment where inflation is too hot,&#34; said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, who expects fourth-quarter inflation between 7.5% and 7.8%. &#34;So peak or not, inflation is going to remain painful through the end of the year.&#34;</p><p>And the slower it is to ebb, the larger the likelihood of a damaging downturn, said Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank.</p><p>Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is considered a better measure of inflation trends, was 5.9% in June, down from a peak of 6.5% in March. But Ms. House and Mr. Ryan both expect core inflation to revive and peak sometime around September, as strong price growth for housing and other services combines with low base comparisons in the 12-month calculation.</p><p>&#34;The more persistent inflation pressures, the higher the Federal Reserve needs [interest rates] to go to address them,&#34; said Mr. Ryan. &#34;That argues for a larger recession risk.&#34;</p><p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said the central bank wants to see clear and convincing evidence that price pressures are subsiding before slowing or suspending rate increases.</p><p>&#34;The moment of truth comes at the end of this year,&#34; said Mr. Hyman. &#34;If the Fed keeps on raising rates, then they&#39;d invert the yield curve. I think that would increase the odds of recession enormously. It would probably also lower inflation, although it also seems to already be slowing, and will probably be even slower by then.&#34;</p><p>Aichi Amemiya, U.S. economist at Nomura, said that though it is too early to call it, his forecast sees June as the peak for the annual measure of overall inflation. However, the month-over-month change in core CPI will be key to watch in coming months, he said. If it slows from June&#39;s pace of 0.7% to 0.3% on a sustained basis by year-end, he expects the Fed to start planning to ease up on rate increases. That, however, will be hard to achieve, said Mr. Amemiya, &#34;which means the Fed will likely continue tightening even after the economy enters a recession.&#34;</p><p>Around the turn of the year, economists were generally confident that inflation would peak in early 2022, as energy prices stabilized and supply-chain pressures eased. Then Russia invaded Ukraine, and energy prices soared. Buzz about  &#34;the peak&#34; crescendoed again when inflation slid to an 8.3% annual rate in April, from 8.5% in March. But gasoline prices flared up again, and gains in food and rent picked up, too.</p><p>There is plenty of potential for another reversal in coming months, said Ms. House.</p><p>&#34;When we look at ongoing core inflation pressures, it wouldn&#39;t take much in the way of a commodities price shock for us to reach another high,&#34; she said, adding that possible examples include an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a hurricane that shuts down an oil refinery, or an outage at a key semiconductor or auto plant. &#34;We all hope we&#39;re at the peak. But hope is not really an inflation strategy right now.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>There Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThere Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-24 09:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June&#39;s distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see a slow pace of decline.</p><p>Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, pointed to many indicators that 9.1% might have been the top. Gasoline prices have fallen around 10% from their mid-June high point of $5.02 a gallon, according to AAA. Wheat futures prices have fallen by 37% since mid-May and corn futures prices are down 27% from mid-June. The cost of shipping goods from East Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 11.4% lower than a month ago, according to Xeneta, a Norway-based transportation-data and procurement firm.</p><p>Easing price pressures and improvements in backlogs and supplier delivery times in business surveys suggest that supply-chain snarls are unraveling. Mr. Hyman noted that money-supply growth has slowed sharply, evidence that monetary tightening is starting to bite.</p><p>Inflation expectations also fell recently -- an upbeat signal for the Fed, which believes that such expectations influence wage and price-setting behavior and thus actual inflation. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment survey showed that longer-term inflation expectations slipped from June&#39;s 3.1% reading to 2.8% in late June and early July, matching the average rate during the 20 years before the pandemic.</p><p>Bond investors are less worried about inflation, based on the &#34;break-even inflation rate&#34; -- the difference between the yield on regular five-year Treasury bonds and on inflation-indexed bonds -- which has dropped to 2.67% from an all-time high of 3.59% hit in late March.</p><p>Inflation-based derivatives and bonds are projecting that the annual increase in the CPI will fall to 2.3% in just a year, around the Fed&#39;s 2% target (which uses a different price index), according to the Intercontinental Exchange. Roberto Perli, economist at Piper Sandler, calls such an outcome &#34;optimistic but not totally implausible.&#34; From February through early June, investors thought inflation would still be between 4% and 5% in a year.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s a step in the right direction, but ultimately, even if June is the peak, we&#39;re still looking at an environment where inflation is too hot,&#34; said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, who expects fourth-quarter inflation between 7.5% and 7.8%. &#34;So peak or not, inflation is going to remain painful through the end of the year.&#34;</p><p>And the slower it is to ebb, the larger the likelihood of a damaging downturn, said Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank.</p><p>Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is considered a better measure of inflation trends, was 5.9% in June, down from a peak of 6.5% in March. But Ms. House and Mr. Ryan both expect core inflation to revive and peak sometime around September, as strong price growth for housing and other services combines with low base comparisons in the 12-month calculation.</p><p>&#34;The more persistent inflation pressures, the higher the Federal Reserve needs [interest rates] to go to address them,&#34; said Mr. Ryan. &#34;That argues for a larger recession risk.&#34;</p><p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said the central bank wants to see clear and convincing evidence that price pressures are subsiding before slowing or suspending rate increases.</p><p>&#34;The moment of truth comes at the end of this year,&#34; said Mr. Hyman. &#34;If the Fed keeps on raising rates, then they&#39;d invert the yield curve. I think that would increase the odds of recession enormously. It would probably also lower inflation, although it also seems to already be slowing, and will probably be even slower by then.&#34;</p><p>Aichi Amemiya, U.S. economist at Nomura, said that though it is too early to call it, his forecast sees June as the peak for the annual measure of overall inflation. However, the month-over-month change in core CPI will be key to watch in coming months, he said. If it slows from June&#39;s pace of 0.7% to 0.3% on a sustained basis by year-end, he expects the Fed to start planning to ease up on rate increases. That, however, will be hard to achieve, said Mr. Amemiya, &#34;which means the Fed will likely continue tightening even after the economy enters a recession.&#34;</p><p>Around the turn of the year, economists were generally confident that inflation would peak in early 2022, as energy prices stabilized and supply-chain pressures eased. Then Russia invaded Ukraine, and energy prices soared. Buzz about  &#34;the peak&#34; crescendoed again when inflation slid to an 8.3% annual rate in April, from 8.5% in March. But gasoline prices flared up again, and gains in food and rent picked up, too.</p><p>There is plenty of potential for another reversal in coming months, said Ms. House.</p><p>&#34;When we look at ongoing core inflation pressures, it wouldn&#39;t take much in the way of a commodities price shock for us to reach another high,&#34; she said, adding that possible examples include an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a hurricane that shuts down an oil refinery, or an outage at a key semiconductor or auto plant. &#34;We all hope we&#39;re at the peak. But hope is not really an inflation strategy right now.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253092009","content_text":"Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June's distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see a slow pace of decline.Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, pointed to many indicators that 9.1% might have been the top. Gasoline prices have fallen around 10% from their mid-June high point of $5.02 a gallon, according to AAA. Wheat futures prices have fallen by 37% since mid-May and corn futures prices are down 27% from mid-June. The cost of shipping goods from East Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 11.4% lower than a month ago, according to Xeneta, a Norway-based transportation-data and procurement firm.Easing price pressures and improvements in backlogs and supplier delivery times in business surveys suggest that supply-chain snarls are unraveling. Mr. Hyman noted that money-supply growth has slowed sharply, evidence that monetary tightening is starting to bite.Inflation expectations also fell recently -- an upbeat signal for the Fed, which believes that such expectations influence wage and price-setting behavior and thus actual inflation. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment survey showed that longer-term inflation expectations slipped from June's 3.1% reading to 2.8% in late June and early July, matching the average rate during the 20 years before the pandemic.Bond investors are less worried about inflation, based on the \"break-even inflation rate\" -- the difference between the yield on regular five-year Treasury bonds and on inflation-indexed bonds -- which has dropped to 2.67% from an all-time high of 3.59% hit in late March.Inflation-based derivatives and bonds are projecting that the annual increase in the CPI will fall to 2.3% in just a year, around the Fed's 2% target (which uses a different price index), according to the Intercontinental Exchange. Roberto Perli, economist at Piper Sandler, calls such an outcome \"optimistic but not totally implausible.\" From February through early June, investors thought inflation would still be between 4% and 5% in a year.\"It's a step in the right direction, but ultimately, even if June is the peak, we're still looking at an environment where inflation is too hot,\" said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, who expects fourth-quarter inflation between 7.5% and 7.8%. \"So peak or not, inflation is going to remain painful through the end of the year.\"And the slower it is to ebb, the larger the likelihood of a damaging downturn, said Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank.Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is considered a better measure of inflation trends, was 5.9% in June, down from a peak of 6.5% in March. But Ms. House and Mr. Ryan both expect core inflation to revive and peak sometime around September, as strong price growth for housing and other services combines with low base comparisons in the 12-month calculation.\"The more persistent inflation pressures, the higher the Federal Reserve needs [interest rates] to go to address them,\" said Mr. Ryan. \"That argues for a larger recession risk.\"Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said the central bank wants to see clear and convincing evidence that price pressures are subsiding before slowing or suspending rate increases.\"The moment of truth comes at the end of this year,\" said Mr. Hyman. \"If the Fed keeps on raising rates, then they'd invert the yield curve. I think that would increase the odds of recession enormously. It would probably also lower inflation, although it also seems to already be slowing, and will probably be even slower by then.\"Aichi Amemiya, U.S. economist at Nomura, said that though it is too early to call it, his forecast sees June as the peak for the annual measure of overall inflation. However, the month-over-month change in core CPI will be key to watch in coming months, he said. If it slows from June's pace of 0.7% to 0.3% on a sustained basis by year-end, he expects the Fed to start planning to ease up on rate increases. That, however, will be hard to achieve, said Mr. Amemiya, \"which means the Fed will likely continue tightening even after the economy enters a recession.\"Around the turn of the year, economists were generally confident that inflation would peak in early 2022, as energy prices stabilized and supply-chain pressures eased. Then Russia invaded Ukraine, and energy prices soared. Buzz about  \"the peak\" crescendoed again when inflation slid to an 8.3% annual rate in April, from 8.5% in March. But gasoline prices flared up again, and gains in food and rent picked up, too.There is plenty of potential for another reversal in coming months, said Ms. House.\"When we look at ongoing core inflation pressures, it wouldn't take much in the way of a commodities price shock for us to reach another high,\" she said, adding that possible examples include an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a hurricane that shuts down an oil refinery, or an outage at a key semiconductor or auto plant. \"We all hope we're at the peak. 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