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Zudpha
2022-08-16
$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$
Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre
Zudpha
2022-08-18
$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$
if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive.
Zudpha
2022-08-31
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$
Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth
Zudpha
2022-08-16
$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$
Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid
Zudpha
2021-07-12
$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$
GG
Zudpha
2021-03-17
Inflation is coming..
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Zudpha
2021-07-21
Bullish day ahead
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Zudpha
2021-07-12
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
It’s happening
Zudpha
2021-01-27
Beautifully designed device with cutting edge technology. AAPL!
Apple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst
Zudpha
2022-09-20
Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great.
Zudpha
2021-03-17
Good read
Is Now The Time To Buy Stock In Pinduoduo, Starbucks, Roblox, Moderna Or Nikola?
Zudpha
2023-12-28
Join the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes
Zudpha
2023-12-28
Join us for prizes and attempts
@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅
Zudpha
2023-12-28
Tiger Tycoon
Find out more here:
Tiger Tycoon
Get ready to WIN up to $888!
Tiger Tycoon
Zudpha
2022-08-31
Very prudent approach. Survive another day
Charlie Munger Predicted "Considerable Trouble" For Markets: SPY Implications
Zudpha
2022-08-31
$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$
Zudpha
2021-07-22
Well… what to do
Zudpha
2021-07-21
hehe this might be cool
Zudpha
2021-07-12
Before it is too late
Zudpha
2021-03-17
Interesting
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes","listText":"Join the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes","text":"Join the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256827878891520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256827400482912,"gmtCreate":1703735897925,"gmtModify":1703735902790,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join us for prizes and attempts","listText":"Join us for prizes and attempts","text":"Join us for prizes and attempts","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256827400482912","repostId":"248312805347464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":248312805347464,"gmtCreate":1701660745864,"gmtModify":1703059991513,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256826649932032,"gmtCreate":1703735867102,"gmtModify":1703741485094,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"title":"Tiger Tycoon","htmlText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.heytigers.com/activity/market/2024/tiger-tycoon?adcode=20231208151108&skin=1&os=iOS&account_id=50723840&utm_source=invite&utm_campaign=20231208151108&utm_medium=tiger_community&platform=iOS&shareID=be6d2f26b6be6a3d030ce615f6996a53&invite=LFMIJX&lang=en_AU#/\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","listText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.heytigers.com/activity/market/2024/tiger-tycoon?adcode=20231208151108&skin=1&os=iOS&account_id=50723840&utm_source=invite&utm_campaign=20231208151108&utm_medium=tiger_community&platform=iOS&shareID=be6d2f26b6be6a3d030ce615f6996a53&invite=LFMIJX&lang=en_AU#/\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","text":"Find out more here: Tiger Tycoon Get ready to WIN up to $888!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256826649932032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910544243,"gmtCreate":1663650994582,"gmtModify":1676537308945,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great. ","listText":"Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great. ","text":"Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910544243","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930639953,"gmtCreate":1661946130574,"gmtModify":1676536609290,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very prudent approach. Survive another day","listText":"Very prudent approach. Survive another day","text":"Very prudent approach. Survive another day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930639953","repostId":"1122895763","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122895763","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662045547,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122895763?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Charlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122895763","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Earlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face "considerable trouble."</li><li>We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic developments and its implications for the S&P 500.</li><li>We also share our approach to investing in the current environment.</li></ul><p>Billionaire investor Charlie Munger - Warren Buffett's partner at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> - recently opined that "considerable trouble" was coming for markets at the Daily Journal's (DJCO) annual meeting earlier this year, stating:</p><blockquote><i>What we're getting iswretched excess and danger for the country. Everybody loves it because it's like a bunch of people getting drunk at a party; they're having so much fun getting drunk that they don't think about the consequences. Eventually, there will be considerable trouble because of the wretched excess, that's the way it's usually worked in the past.</i></blockquote><p>He went on define what he meant by wretched excess:</p><blockquote><i>Certainly, the great short squeeze in GameStop (GME) was wretched excess. Certainly, the bitcoin (BTC-USD) thing is wretched excess. I would argue venture capital is throwing too much money too fast, and there's a considerable wretched excess in venture capital and other forms of private equity...There's never been anything quite like what we're doing now. We do know from what's happened in other nations, if you try and print too much money it eventually causes terrible trouble. We're closer to terrible trouble than we've been in the past, but it may still be a long way off."</i></blockquote><p>While the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF</a> has delivered -8.57% returns since that meeting, it has not yet experienced the "considerable trouble" of which Mr. Munger spoke:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa9e327d28d335c1ba952173a78d8bcb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY Total Return Price data by YCharts</p><p>However, we can certainly see that the wretched excess has continued in the months since and the symptoms of it have also increased. While the crypto bubble has continued to burst, with bitcoin down an addition 56% since Mr. Munger's remarks, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GME</a> continues to enjoy an elevated valuation:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a461d8b52be2c08bfdea7bd63aa4a6f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>GME data by YCharts</p><p>We can also see that interest rates remain near historic lows - despite rising considerably in recent months - and the highly inflated money supply has remained relatively flat since Mr. Munger made his remarks:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/657129e113ae6df9d1e40ca014384412\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US Long-Term Interest Rates data by YCharts</p><p>We can also see that market indexes and especially housing prices remain elevated:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13c7438df5f55651979a20fdff9651ff\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY data by YCharts</p><p>However, the consequences of all this excess and bubble-like behavior are beginning to be felt, with GDP declining for two quarters in a row and inflation soaring to four-decade highs in recent months:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be6eb93157e6cb1f12a1b5b0d7519ff8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US Consumer Price Index YoY data by YCharts</p><p>In this article, we will discuss the implications that this has for the SPY as well as our investing approach in the current environment.</p><h3>Implication #1: Forward Returns Are Likely To Be Lackluster</h3><p>The biggest takeaway from Mr. Munger's remarks in light of current macroeconomic and market conditions is that forward returns for the SPY are likely to be lackluster. The reasons for this are pretty straightforward:</p><p>1. The economic growth outlook is weak, if not negative for the foreseeable future. Without strong economic growth, earnings growth is bound to be weak as well.</p><p>2. Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical averages. According to datacompiledby Current Market Valuation based on an equally weighted average of the Yield Curve, Buffett indicator, P/E Ratio, Interest Rate, Margin Debt, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models based on historical data, the market is currently towards the upper end of the fairly valued range. This means that it is almost overvalued, implying that the market is likely to experience lackluster, if not poor, returns for the foreseeable future. The SPY is overvalued according to the Yield Curve, Buffett Indicator, P/E Ratio, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models, is slightly above fair value according to the Interest Rate model, and slightly below fair value according to the Margin Debt model.</p><p>3. Interest rates are likely to rise further, based on persistently high inflation and the Federal Reserve's latestcomments. Higher interest rates in the near future will make the market seem overvalued at present according to the Interest Rate model, adding further weight to the argument that the market is overvalued at the moment. Higher interest rates will also act like gravity on asset valuations, driving them lower.</p><p>When you combine weak growth with a lack of multiple expansion (and in fact likely multiple compression), very low dividend yields, and likely interest rate increases, there are no real catalysts to drive stock market returns.</p><h3>Implication #2: Volatility Will Likely Be Elevated For The Foreseeable Future</h3><p>That said, interest rates do remain historically cheap and there is still a lot of excess capital sloshing around in the global markets. As a result, there will still likely be plenty of dip buying, especially on any hints of inflation declining, the economy weathering the current headwinds better than expected, and/or the Federal Reserve beginning to change its hawkish stance. As the bulls and bears continue to duke it out in aggressive fashion, with bulls aggressively buying dips and bears aggressively selling rips on renewed fears of a recession and/or further interest rate hikes, volatility will likely remain elevated.</p><p>On top of that, with geopolitical risks mounting in East Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, there are plenty of potential further catalysts for sending stocks plunging lower at a minute's notice.</p><h3>Implication #3: A Market Crash Is Very Possible</h3><p>As already indicated in implication #2, a market crash is also very possible at the moment. The reasons for it are simple:</p><p>1. As already highlighted, valuations are already bloated, so a crash would not require a stark departure from historical valuation levels. In fact, a crash might be necessary to fully correct financial markets from all of the artificial stimulus from central bankers over the past decade.</p><p>2. There are numerous catalysts which could spark a market crash, and they seem more likely at the moment than at any time in recent memory: any number of geopolitical crises, ranging from a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, to the war in Europe going nuclear, to a major energy crisis if a war begins between Iran and Saudi Arabia, a massive cyber-attack that significantly disrupts the global economy, a major new pandemic or variant of COVID-19 emerging, or even possibly a major global recession.</p><h3>Investor Takeaway</h3><p>While these are certainly complicated, if not extremely challenging, times for investors trying to navigate the markets, we are remaining fully invested. However, we are keeping the following principles in mind to guide us with greater prudence during this period:</p><p>1. We are being highly selective by only investing in securities that appear to have a clear margin of safety, while keeping a small weighting in our most cyclical positions and overweighting our most defensive positions.</p><p>2. We are avoiding taking on any personal leverage through this period in order to minimize our risk of outsized losses in the event of a market crash and to give us the capacity to potentially create some dry powder to capitalize on a market crash.</p><p>3. We are also investing in securities that profit from elevated volatility as we believe that - even in a scenario where the markets do not experience a full-fledged crash - volatility levels will likely be above average for the foreseeable future due to the geopolitical and macroeconomic jitters that are gripping the markets with increasing frequency. As the chart below indicates, volatility as depicted by theVIXis up significantly from where it was before COVID-19 and is even up in 2022 relative to the second half of 2021.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61315c652f099418782c73479f3dd50a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>VIXdata by YCharts</p><p>For those who choose to continue investing in low-cost index funds like SPY, we are not bullish in the short-term, as - for the reasons outlined in this article - we expect lackluster economic growth, elevated valuations, rising interest rates, and the rising risks of a black swan event to suppress broad market total returns for the foreseeable future. As a result, we encourage investors to be more selective in the current environment than to blindly buy the broader market. At the same time, for those committed to passive investing over the long term, remaining fully invested with a practice of consistent long-term dollar cost averaging and prudent personal financial management is unlikely to deliver disappointing results over the course of decades. For that reason, we give the SPY a Hold rating right now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Charlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCharlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 23:19 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face \"considerable trouble.\"We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122895763","content_text":"SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face \"considerable trouble.\"We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic developments and its implications for the S&P 500.We also share our approach to investing in the current environment.Billionaire investor Charlie Munger - Warren Buffett's partner at Berkshire Hathaway - recently opined that \"considerable trouble\" was coming for markets at the Daily Journal's (DJCO) annual meeting earlier this year, stating:What we're getting iswretched excess and danger for the country. Everybody loves it because it's like a bunch of people getting drunk at a party; they're having so much fun getting drunk that they don't think about the consequences. Eventually, there will be considerable trouble because of the wretched excess, that's the way it's usually worked in the past.He went on define what he meant by wretched excess:Certainly, the great short squeeze in GameStop (GME) was wretched excess. Certainly, the bitcoin (BTC-USD) thing is wretched excess. I would argue venture capital is throwing too much money too fast, and there's a considerable wretched excess in venture capital and other forms of private equity...There's never been anything quite like what we're doing now. We do know from what's happened in other nations, if you try and print too much money it eventually causes terrible trouble. We're closer to terrible trouble than we've been in the past, but it may still be a long way off.\"While the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF has delivered -8.57% returns since that meeting, it has not yet experienced the \"considerable trouble\" of which Mr. Munger spoke:SPY Total Return Price data by YChartsHowever, we can certainly see that the wretched excess has continued in the months since and the symptoms of it have also increased. While the crypto bubble has continued to burst, with bitcoin down an addition 56% since Mr. Munger's remarks, GME continues to enjoy an elevated valuation:GME data by YChartsWe can also see that interest rates remain near historic lows - despite rising considerably in recent months - and the highly inflated money supply has remained relatively flat since Mr. Munger made his remarks:US Long-Term Interest Rates data by YChartsWe can also see that market indexes and especially housing prices remain elevated:SPY data by YChartsHowever, the consequences of all this excess and bubble-like behavior are beginning to be felt, with GDP declining for two quarters in a row and inflation soaring to four-decade highs in recent months:US Consumer Price Index YoY data by YChartsIn this article, we will discuss the implications that this has for the SPY as well as our investing approach in the current environment.Implication #1: Forward Returns Are Likely To Be LacklusterThe biggest takeaway from Mr. Munger's remarks in light of current macroeconomic and market conditions is that forward returns for the SPY are likely to be lackluster. The reasons for this are pretty straightforward:1. The economic growth outlook is weak, if not negative for the foreseeable future. Without strong economic growth, earnings growth is bound to be weak as well.2. Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical averages. According to datacompiledby Current Market Valuation based on an equally weighted average of the Yield Curve, Buffett indicator, P/E Ratio, Interest Rate, Margin Debt, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models based on historical data, the market is currently towards the upper end of the fairly valued range. This means that it is almost overvalued, implying that the market is likely to experience lackluster, if not poor, returns for the foreseeable future. The SPY is overvalued according to the Yield Curve, Buffett Indicator, P/E Ratio, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models, is slightly above fair value according to the Interest Rate model, and slightly below fair value according to the Margin Debt model.3. Interest rates are likely to rise further, based on persistently high inflation and the Federal Reserve's latestcomments. Higher interest rates in the near future will make the market seem overvalued at present according to the Interest Rate model, adding further weight to the argument that the market is overvalued at the moment. Higher interest rates will also act like gravity on asset valuations, driving them lower.When you combine weak growth with a lack of multiple expansion (and in fact likely multiple compression), very low dividend yields, and likely interest rate increases, there are no real catalysts to drive stock market returns.Implication #2: Volatility Will Likely Be Elevated For The Foreseeable FutureThat said, interest rates do remain historically cheap and there is still a lot of excess capital sloshing around in the global markets. As a result, there will still likely be plenty of dip buying, especially on any hints of inflation declining, the economy weathering the current headwinds better than expected, and/or the Federal Reserve beginning to change its hawkish stance. As the bulls and bears continue to duke it out in aggressive fashion, with bulls aggressively buying dips and bears aggressively selling rips on renewed fears of a recession and/or further interest rate hikes, volatility will likely remain elevated.On top of that, with geopolitical risks mounting in East Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, there are plenty of potential further catalysts for sending stocks plunging lower at a minute's notice.Implication #3: A Market Crash Is Very PossibleAs already indicated in implication #2, a market crash is also very possible at the moment. The reasons for it are simple:1. As already highlighted, valuations are already bloated, so a crash would not require a stark departure from historical valuation levels. In fact, a crash might be necessary to fully correct financial markets from all of the artificial stimulus from central bankers over the past decade.2. There are numerous catalysts which could spark a market crash, and they seem more likely at the moment than at any time in recent memory: any number of geopolitical crises, ranging from a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, to the war in Europe going nuclear, to a major energy crisis if a war begins between Iran and Saudi Arabia, a massive cyber-attack that significantly disrupts the global economy, a major new pandemic or variant of COVID-19 emerging, or even possibly a major global recession.Investor TakeawayWhile these are certainly complicated, if not extremely challenging, times for investors trying to navigate the markets, we are remaining fully invested. However, we are keeping the following principles in mind to guide us with greater prudence during this period:1. We are being highly selective by only investing in securities that appear to have a clear margin of safety, while keeping a small weighting in our most cyclical positions and overweighting our most defensive positions.2. We are avoiding taking on any personal leverage through this period in order to minimize our risk of outsized losses in the event of a market crash and to give us the capacity to potentially create some dry powder to capitalize on a market crash.3. We are also investing in securities that profit from elevated volatility as we believe that - even in a scenario where the markets do not experience a full-fledged crash - volatility levels will likely be above average for the foreseeable future due to the geopolitical and macroeconomic jitters that are gripping the markets with increasing frequency. As the chart below indicates, volatility as depicted by theVIXis up significantly from where it was before COVID-19 and is even up in 2022 relative to the second half of 2021.VIXdata by YChartsFor those who choose to continue investing in low-cost index funds like SPY, we are not bullish in the short-term, as - for the reasons outlined in this article - we expect lackluster economic growth, elevated valuations, rising interest rates, and the rising risks of a black swan event to suppress broad market total returns for the foreseeable future. As a result, we encourage investors to be more selective in the current environment than to blindly buy the broader market. At the same time, for those committed to passive investing over the long term, remaining fully invested with a practice of consistent long-term dollar cost averaging and prudent personal financial management is unlikely to deliver disappointing results over the course of decades. For that reason, we give the SPY a Hold rating right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930692142,"gmtCreate":1661945069188,"gmtModify":1676536609134,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fcf41dada2444e6554b080ef33b867c7","width":"1284","height":"2352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930692142","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930696792,"gmtCreate":1661945032918,"gmtModify":1676536609066,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth","text":"$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3f1c7003ac08d9c09158df49280b7b9","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930696792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991046715,"gmtCreate":1660760198640,"gmtModify":1676536392749,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive. ","text":"$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$ if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1aba6fe3357f778e5af9e65dd0d56618","width":"1284","height":"2352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991046715","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993101224,"gmtCreate":1660637656971,"gmtModify":1676536370178,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRPU.SI\">$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$</a> Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRPU.SI\">$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$</a> Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid","text":"$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$ Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c914f47a792ee96ca602d400852e483d","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993101224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"content":"Are malls managed by Sasseur in tier-1 city or tier-2 or 3? Lockdwn lifted. But if a covid-suspect is detected, enforcemt will spring into action to lockdwn the place. Just Google IKEA news. Stupid.","text":"Are malls managed by Sasseur in tier-1 city or tier-2 or 3? Lockdwn lifted. But if a covid-suspect is detected, enforcemt will spring into action to lockdwn the place. Just Google IKEA news. Stupid.","html":"Are malls managed by Sasseur in tier-1 city or tier-2 or 3? Lockdwn lifted. But if a covid-suspect is detected, enforcemt will spring into action to lockdwn the place. Just Google IKEA news. Stupid."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993109260,"gmtCreate":1660637389952,"gmtModify":1676536370121,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre","text":"$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$ Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1545bf4274f8446803bcbdaed33f8c7d","width":"1284","height":"2352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993109260","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176762523,"gmtCreate":1626916692562,"gmtModify":1703480489659,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well… what to do","listText":"Well… what to do","text":"Well… what to do","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a63b4cc754c9b98b68b8f0f5605deff9","width":"1125","height":"2484"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176762523","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176168793,"gmtCreate":1626872423212,"gmtModify":1703479630500,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bullish day ahead","listText":"Bullish day ahead","text":"Bullish day ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176168793","repostId":"1199453596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199453596","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626868481,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199453596?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199453596","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures mixed.\nTreasury yields extend gains.\nVerizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Co","content":"<ul>\n <li>Futures mixed.</li>\n <li>Treasury yields extend gains.</li>\n <li>Verizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola Co and Anthem, Inc. posted earnings results in premarket.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin Storms Back Over $31,000.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(July 21) US equity futures, European bourses and Treasury yields rose for a second day clawing back much of the week's losses that were sparked by fears over spiking COVID-19 cases, as well as the \"peak growth\" and \"peak inflation\" narratives, as bargain hunters helped the S&P 500 to all but erase Monday’s slide in a rally led by cyclicals such as industrial stocks even though the dollar notched further gains on concerns over the impact of a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.</p>\n<p><b>“The correction we had is healthy to clear some of the excess out of the market and to get better balancing between growth and value,</b>” Katie Koch, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s co-head of fundamental equity, said on Bloomberg Television. “From a long-term perspective we are really still very constructive on equity markets, so we’d encourage clients to be overweight risk assets.”</p>\n<p>At 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 77 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 E-minis were ip 2.75 points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 45.25 points, or 0.31%. Bitcoin recovered from its drop below 30,000 jumping back over $31,000 ahead of a conference that sees Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Woodspeak on cryptos.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cc4ef529489e25f7c52e4a3f54940d\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Here are some of the biggest U.S. movers today:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Cryptocurrency-related stocks jump in premarket trading, tracking a rebound for Bitcoin back above the $30,000 level. Marathon Digital (MARA) rises 6.9% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) gains 6.3%.</li>\n <li>Moderna (MRNA) slips 1.5% ahead of its inclusion into the S&P 500 Index.</li>\n <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 0.3% in premarket trading with most analysts maintaining a positive view on the stock despite second-quarter results and forecast for subscriber growth that came in below expectations.</li>\n <li>Next shares surge as much as 11%, the most since April 2020, after the U.K. retailer raised its profit forecast again as shoppers returned to stores after the end of lockdowns. RBC sees consensus estimates being increased by mid-to-high single digits.</li>\n <li>Thule rises as much as 11% in its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 10 as the maker of bike racks and bags beats the highest profit estimate in the consensus range.</li>\n <li>ASML shares rise as much as 4.6%, the most intraday since May 5, after the company reported record orders that Oddo BHF (outperform) says were “slightly above expectations.”</li>\n <li>SAP’s shares fall more than 5.1% after earnings, with analysts underwhelmed by the software giant’s slightly raised outlook for cloud revenue.</li>\n <li>Ubisoft shares drop as much as 4.3% to a two-month low after giving a sales update. Jefferies notes the video game maker’s guidance remains a wide range.</li>\n <li>Daimler shares fall as much as 4% in Frankfurt after lowering the sales outlook for its Mercedes-Benz division amid a chip shortage. Warburg says the reduction “is clearly negative” while noting that the margin target corridor for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans was confirmed.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Result posted in premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>1) ASML</b>-ASML reports €4.0 billion net sales and €1.0 billion net income in Q2 2021 Net sales now expected to grow by around 35% in 2021.Q2 net sales of €4.0 billion, gross margin of 50.9%, net income of €1.0 billion; Q2 net bookings of €8.3 billion; ASML expects Q3 2021 net sales between €5.2 billion and €5.4 billion and a gross margin between 51% and 52%; ASML announces a new share buyback program of up to €9 billion to be executed by December 31, 2023.</p>\n<p><b>2) Coca-Cola</b> - Coca-Cola rallied almost 2% in premarket trading following an upbeat quarter. Coca-Cola came in 12 cents above estimates withadjusted quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share, with revenue beating forecasts as venues like stadiums and movie theaters reopened. Coca-Cola also raised its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p><b>3) </b><b>Verizon</b> - Verizon beats on Q2 earnings, issues robust FY21 outlook. Verizon Communications Inc reported second-quarter FY21 operating revenue growth of 10.9% year-on-year to $33.8 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $32.68 billion. Wireless revenue growth, strong Fios and Verizon Media results, and increased wireless equipment revenue drove the revenue numbers.</p>\n<p><b>4) Johnson & Johnson</b> - Johnson & Johnson Q2 earnings beat expectations; raises FY21 outlook, sees $2.5B sales from COVID vaccine. Johnson & Johnson reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $2.48 per share, almost 50% higher than the $1.67 posted a year ago and better than the consensus of $2.27. Net sales increased 27% Y/Y to $23.3 billion, and ahead of the $22.1 billion consensus.</p>\n<p>Treasury 10-year yields rose further above 1.2% though it remains to be seen if the recovery in yields has legs amid lingering concerns about the delta virus variant that led traders to pare back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Treasuries bear-steepened with long-end yields cheaper by 3bp-4bp as U.S. stock futures rise to weekly highs, with focus turning to corporate earnings. Treasury 10-year yields 1.243%, were cheaper by ~2bp on the day and mildly underperforming bunds and gilts; long-end-led losses steepen 2s10s and 5s30s by ~2bp. The Asian session produced gains for Treasuries, led by Aussie bonds, that began to erode during European morning helped by 10-year futures block sale. U.S. session’s main event is 20-year bond reopening.</p>\n<p>In FX, the dollar index edged up 0.07% to 93.030, with the euro down 0.07% to $1.1771. The Bloomberg dollar index advanced to its highest since early April and risk-sensitive currencies rallied as a slew of corporate earnings took the focus off the coronavirus. The Aussie headed for its longest run of losses since September amid stricter virus curbs and a weaker-than-expected retail sales print. The Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar led G-10 gains while the yen underperformed.</p>\n<p>In commodities, Brent crude oil climbed back above $70 a barrel. The precious metals complex moved in tandem with yields, with spot gold in a tight range just above USD 1,800/oz (1,803-13/oz) and spot silver north of USD 25/oz (24.76-25.12/oz). Base metals have nursed overnight losses as the risk appetite across the markets offers base metals with some solace from China’s NDRC resuming its jawboning.<b>Chinese state media noted that China is to auction 30k tonnes of copper, 90k tonnes of aluminium, and 50k tonnes of zinc from state reserves later this month</b>, whilst the NDRC urged stepping up supervision on commodity prices and ensure overall price level targets this year.</p>\n<p>On day after sliding below $30,000, a key support level which many said has to hold, it did just that with bitcoin storming higher and back over $31,000.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 19:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Futures mixed.</li>\n <li>Treasury yields extend gains.</li>\n <li>Verizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola Co and Anthem, Inc. posted earnings results in premarket.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin Storms Back Over $31,000.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(July 21) US equity futures, European bourses and Treasury yields rose for a second day clawing back much of the week's losses that were sparked by fears over spiking COVID-19 cases, as well as the \"peak growth\" and \"peak inflation\" narratives, as bargain hunters helped the S&P 500 to all but erase Monday’s slide in a rally led by cyclicals such as industrial stocks even though the dollar notched further gains on concerns over the impact of a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.</p>\n<p><b>“The correction we had is healthy to clear some of the excess out of the market and to get better balancing between growth and value,</b>” Katie Koch, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s co-head of fundamental equity, said on Bloomberg Television. “From a long-term perspective we are really still very constructive on equity markets, so we’d encourage clients to be overweight risk assets.”</p>\n<p>At 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 77 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 E-minis were ip 2.75 points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 45.25 points, or 0.31%. Bitcoin recovered from its drop below 30,000 jumping back over $31,000 ahead of a conference that sees Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Woodspeak on cryptos.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cc4ef529489e25f7c52e4a3f54940d\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Here are some of the biggest U.S. movers today:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Cryptocurrency-related stocks jump in premarket trading, tracking a rebound for Bitcoin back above the $30,000 level. Marathon Digital (MARA) rises 6.9% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) gains 6.3%.</li>\n <li>Moderna (MRNA) slips 1.5% ahead of its inclusion into the S&P 500 Index.</li>\n <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 0.3% in premarket trading with most analysts maintaining a positive view on the stock despite second-quarter results and forecast for subscriber growth that came in below expectations.</li>\n <li>Next shares surge as much as 11%, the most since April 2020, after the U.K. retailer raised its profit forecast again as shoppers returned to stores after the end of lockdowns. RBC sees consensus estimates being increased by mid-to-high single digits.</li>\n <li>Thule rises as much as 11% in its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 10 as the maker of bike racks and bags beats the highest profit estimate in the consensus range.</li>\n <li>ASML shares rise as much as 4.6%, the most intraday since May 5, after the company reported record orders that Oddo BHF (outperform) says were “slightly above expectations.”</li>\n <li>SAP’s shares fall more than 5.1% after earnings, with analysts underwhelmed by the software giant’s slightly raised outlook for cloud revenue.</li>\n <li>Ubisoft shares drop as much as 4.3% to a two-month low after giving a sales update. Jefferies notes the video game maker’s guidance remains a wide range.</li>\n <li>Daimler shares fall as much as 4% in Frankfurt after lowering the sales outlook for its Mercedes-Benz division amid a chip shortage. Warburg says the reduction “is clearly negative” while noting that the margin target corridor for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans was confirmed.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Result posted in premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>1) ASML</b>-ASML reports €4.0 billion net sales and €1.0 billion net income in Q2 2021 Net sales now expected to grow by around 35% in 2021.Q2 net sales of €4.0 billion, gross margin of 50.9%, net income of €1.0 billion; Q2 net bookings of €8.3 billion; ASML expects Q3 2021 net sales between €5.2 billion and €5.4 billion and a gross margin between 51% and 52%; ASML announces a new share buyback program of up to €9 billion to be executed by December 31, 2023.</p>\n<p><b>2) Coca-Cola</b> - Coca-Cola rallied almost 2% in premarket trading following an upbeat quarter. Coca-Cola came in 12 cents above estimates withadjusted quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share, with revenue beating forecasts as venues like stadiums and movie theaters reopened. Coca-Cola also raised its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p><b>3) </b><b>Verizon</b> - Verizon beats on Q2 earnings, issues robust FY21 outlook. Verizon Communications Inc reported second-quarter FY21 operating revenue growth of 10.9% year-on-year to $33.8 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $32.68 billion. Wireless revenue growth, strong Fios and Verizon Media results, and increased wireless equipment revenue drove the revenue numbers.</p>\n<p><b>4) Johnson & Johnson</b> - Johnson & Johnson Q2 earnings beat expectations; raises FY21 outlook, sees $2.5B sales from COVID vaccine. Johnson & Johnson reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $2.48 per share, almost 50% higher than the $1.67 posted a year ago and better than the consensus of $2.27. Net sales increased 27% Y/Y to $23.3 billion, and ahead of the $22.1 billion consensus.</p>\n<p>Treasury 10-year yields rose further above 1.2% though it remains to be seen if the recovery in yields has legs amid lingering concerns about the delta virus variant that led traders to pare back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Treasuries bear-steepened with long-end yields cheaper by 3bp-4bp as U.S. stock futures rise to weekly highs, with focus turning to corporate earnings. Treasury 10-year yields 1.243%, were cheaper by ~2bp on the day and mildly underperforming bunds and gilts; long-end-led losses steepen 2s10s and 5s30s by ~2bp. The Asian session produced gains for Treasuries, led by Aussie bonds, that began to erode during European morning helped by 10-year futures block sale. U.S. session’s main event is 20-year bond reopening.</p>\n<p>In FX, the dollar index edged up 0.07% to 93.030, with the euro down 0.07% to $1.1771. The Bloomberg dollar index advanced to its highest since early April and risk-sensitive currencies rallied as a slew of corporate earnings took the focus off the coronavirus. The Aussie headed for its longest run of losses since September amid stricter virus curbs and a weaker-than-expected retail sales print. The Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar led G-10 gains while the yen underperformed.</p>\n<p>In commodities, Brent crude oil climbed back above $70 a barrel. The precious metals complex moved in tandem with yields, with spot gold in a tight range just above USD 1,800/oz (1,803-13/oz) and spot silver north of USD 25/oz (24.76-25.12/oz). Base metals have nursed overnight losses as the risk appetite across the markets offers base metals with some solace from China’s NDRC resuming its jawboning.<b>Chinese state media noted that China is to auction 30k tonnes of copper, 90k tonnes of aluminium, and 50k tonnes of zinc from state reserves later this month</b>, whilst the NDRC urged stepping up supervision on commodity prices and ensure overall price level targets this year.</p>\n<p>On day after sliding below $30,000, a key support level which many said has to hold, it did just that with bitcoin storming higher and back over $31,000.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199453596","content_text":"Futures mixed.\nTreasury yields extend gains.\nVerizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola Co and Anthem, Inc. posted earnings results in premarket.\nBitcoin Storms Back Over $31,000.\n\n(July 21) US equity futures, European bourses and Treasury yields rose for a second day clawing back much of the week's losses that were sparked by fears over spiking COVID-19 cases, as well as the \"peak growth\" and \"peak inflation\" narratives, as bargain hunters helped the S&P 500 to all but erase Monday’s slide in a rally led by cyclicals such as industrial stocks even though the dollar notched further gains on concerns over the impact of a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.\n“The correction we had is healthy to clear some of the excess out of the market and to get better balancing between growth and value,” Katie Koch, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s co-head of fundamental equity, said on Bloomberg Television. “From a long-term perspective we are really still very constructive on equity markets, so we’d encourage clients to be overweight risk assets.”\nAt 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 77 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 E-minis were ip 2.75 points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 45.25 points, or 0.31%. Bitcoin recovered from its drop below 30,000 jumping back over $31,000 ahead of a conference that sees Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Woodspeak on cryptos.\n\nHere are some of the biggest U.S. movers today:\n\nCryptocurrency-related stocks jump in premarket trading, tracking a rebound for Bitcoin back above the $30,000 level. Marathon Digital (MARA) rises 6.9% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) gains 6.3%.\nModerna (MRNA) slips 1.5% ahead of its inclusion into the S&P 500 Index.\nNetflix (NFLX) gains 0.3% in premarket trading with most analysts maintaining a positive view on the stock despite second-quarter results and forecast for subscriber growth that came in below expectations.\nNext shares surge as much as 11%, the most since April 2020, after the U.K. retailer raised its profit forecast again as shoppers returned to stores after the end of lockdowns. RBC sees consensus estimates being increased by mid-to-high single digits.\nThule rises as much as 11% in its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 10 as the maker of bike racks and bags beats the highest profit estimate in the consensus range.\nASML shares rise as much as 4.6%, the most intraday since May 5, after the company reported record orders that Oddo BHF (outperform) says were “slightly above expectations.”\nSAP’s shares fall more than 5.1% after earnings, with analysts underwhelmed by the software giant’s slightly raised outlook for cloud revenue.\nUbisoft shares drop as much as 4.3% to a two-month low after giving a sales update. Jefferies notes the video game maker’s guidance remains a wide range.\nDaimler shares fall as much as 4% in Frankfurt after lowering the sales outlook for its Mercedes-Benz division amid a chip shortage. Warburg says the reduction “is clearly negative” while noting that the margin target corridor for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans was confirmed.\n\nFinancial Result posted in premarket:\n1) ASML-ASML reports €4.0 billion net sales and €1.0 billion net income in Q2 2021 Net sales now expected to grow by around 35% in 2021.Q2 net sales of €4.0 billion, gross margin of 50.9%, net income of €1.0 billion; Q2 net bookings of €8.3 billion; ASML expects Q3 2021 net sales between €5.2 billion and €5.4 billion and a gross margin between 51% and 52%; ASML announces a new share buyback program of up to €9 billion to be executed by December 31, 2023.\n2) Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola rallied almost 2% in premarket trading following an upbeat quarter. Coca-Cola came in 12 cents above estimates withadjusted quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share, with revenue beating forecasts as venues like stadiums and movie theaters reopened. Coca-Cola also raised its full-year forecast.\n3) Verizon - Verizon beats on Q2 earnings, issues robust FY21 outlook. Verizon Communications Inc reported second-quarter FY21 operating revenue growth of 10.9% year-on-year to $33.8 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $32.68 billion. Wireless revenue growth, strong Fios and Verizon Media results, and increased wireless equipment revenue drove the revenue numbers.\n4) Johnson & Johnson - Johnson & Johnson Q2 earnings beat expectations; raises FY21 outlook, sees $2.5B sales from COVID vaccine. Johnson & Johnson reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $2.48 per share, almost 50% higher than the $1.67 posted a year ago and better than the consensus of $2.27. Net sales increased 27% Y/Y to $23.3 billion, and ahead of the $22.1 billion consensus.\nTreasury 10-year yields rose further above 1.2% though it remains to be seen if the recovery in yields has legs amid lingering concerns about the delta virus variant that led traders to pare back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Treasuries bear-steepened with long-end yields cheaper by 3bp-4bp as U.S. stock futures rise to weekly highs, with focus turning to corporate earnings. Treasury 10-year yields 1.243%, were cheaper by ~2bp on the day and mildly underperforming bunds and gilts; long-end-led losses steepen 2s10s and 5s30s by ~2bp. The Asian session produced gains for Treasuries, led by Aussie bonds, that began to erode during European morning helped by 10-year futures block sale. U.S. session’s main event is 20-year bond reopening.\nIn FX, the dollar index edged up 0.07% to 93.030, with the euro down 0.07% to $1.1771. The Bloomberg dollar index advanced to its highest since early April and risk-sensitive currencies rallied as a slew of corporate earnings took the focus off the coronavirus. The Aussie headed for its longest run of losses since September amid stricter virus curbs and a weaker-than-expected retail sales print. The Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar led G-10 gains while the yen underperformed.\nIn commodities, Brent crude oil climbed back above $70 a barrel. The precious metals complex moved in tandem with yields, with spot gold in a tight range just above USD 1,800/oz (1,803-13/oz) and spot silver north of USD 25/oz (24.76-25.12/oz). Base metals have nursed overnight losses as the risk appetite across the markets offers base metals with some solace from China’s NDRC resuming its jawboning.Chinese state media noted that China is to auction 30k tonnes of copper, 90k tonnes of aluminium, and 50k tonnes of zinc from state reserves later this month, whilst the NDRC urged stepping up supervision on commodity prices and ensure overall price level targets this year.\nOn day after sliding below $30,000, a key support level which many said has to hold, it did just that with bitcoin storming higher and back over $31,000.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176168993,"gmtCreate":1626872369012,"gmtModify":1703479629344,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hehe this might be cool","listText":"hehe this might be cool","text":"hehe this might be cool","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5f9339d3020bdbe999b91a9ec7ef954","width":"1125","height":"3542"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176168993","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142066025,"gmtCreate":1626104636067,"gmtModify":1703753574500,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$</a>GG","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$</a>GG","text":"$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$GG","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f55084dc342512841dfe3a8061e83d1a","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142066025","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142061310,"gmtCreate":1626104563530,"gmtModify":1703753572218,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Before it is too late","listText":"Before it is too late","text":"Before it is too late","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f27b97fa95b34f5c2d987ecaf48d46","width":"1125","height":"2884"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142061310","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142063895,"gmtCreate":1626104521217,"gmtModify":1703753571241,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>It’s happening ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>It’s happening ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$It’s happening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142063895","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325410100,"gmtCreate":1615911512900,"gmtModify":1704788446382,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325410100","repostId":"1168341766","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325437064,"gmtCreate":1615911440558,"gmtModify":1704788445388,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inflation is coming..","listText":"Inflation is coming..","text":"Inflation is coming..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325437064","repostId":"1184825941","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184825941","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615909414,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184825941?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-16 23:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warning: The Fed is About to Blow Up the Bond Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184825941","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Inflation expectations continue to soar.\nThe US 5-year Breakeven Rate just hit 2.6%. Granted I’m not","content":"<p>Inflation expectations continue to soar.</p>\n<p>The US 5-year Breakeven Rate just hit 2.6%. Granted I’m not a genius Fed official, but what does this image look like to you?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c76b78caf91c2084c740c5769431b0ab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"193\">Remember, the Fed believes inflation won’t hit even 2% for three more years.</p>\n<p>And then there’s the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury which is about to break its multi-decade downtrend for the second time since 1982.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b289fe55d4f63bc90f17a00499d7c14\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"303\">By the way, the first break occurred when the Fed attempted to normalize monetary policy by raising rates and shrinking its balance sheet. THIS breakout is occurring while interest rates are at ZERO and the Fed is running a $125 billion per month QE program!</p>\n<p>Those who believe that all this money printing and subsequent inflation it will unleash means stocks will forever go up need to brush up on their history.</p>\n<p>Stocks love inflation at first, but that love quickly turns to hate. During the last bout of hot inflation in the 1970s, stocks initially bubbled up before CRASHING nearly 50% in the span of two years, wiping out ALL of their initial gains and then some.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26f125e99cea943113ef9393e0cb49fd\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"303\">As I keep warning, inflation is going to ANNIHILATE investors’ portfolios.</p>\n<p><b>Those who are properly prepared. however, will make literal fortunes.</b></p>\n<p>On that note, if you’re worried about weathering a potential market crash, we’ve reopened our <i><b>Stock Market Crash Survival Guide</b></i> to the general public.</p>\n<p>Within its 21 pages we outline which investments will perform best during a market meltdown as well as how to take out “Crash insurance” on your portfolio (these instruments returned TRIPLE digit gains during 2008).</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warning: The Fed is About to Blow Up the Bond Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarning: The Fed is About to Blow Up the Bond Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-16 23:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-03-16/warning-fed-about-blow-bond-market><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Inflation expectations continue to soar.\nThe US 5-year Breakeven Rate just hit 2.6%. Granted I’m not a genius Fed official, but what does this image look like to you?\nRemember, the Fed believes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-03-16/warning-fed-about-blow-bond-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-03-16/warning-fed-about-blow-bond-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184825941","content_text":"Inflation expectations continue to soar.\nThe US 5-year Breakeven Rate just hit 2.6%. Granted I’m not a genius Fed official, but what does this image look like to you?\nRemember, the Fed believes inflation won’t hit even 2% for three more years.\nAnd then there’s the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury which is about to break its multi-decade downtrend for the second time since 1982.\nBy the way, the first break occurred when the Fed attempted to normalize monetary policy by raising rates and shrinking its balance sheet. THIS breakout is occurring while interest rates are at ZERO and the Fed is running a $125 billion per month QE program!\nThose who believe that all this money printing and subsequent inflation it will unleash means stocks will forever go up need to brush up on their history.\nStocks love inflation at first, but that love quickly turns to hate. During the last bout of hot inflation in the 1970s, stocks initially bubbled up before CRASHING nearly 50% in the span of two years, wiping out ALL of their initial gains and then some.\nAs I keep warning, inflation is going to ANNIHILATE investors’ portfolios.\nThose who are properly prepared. however, will make literal fortunes.\nOn that note, if you’re worried about weathering a potential market crash, we’ve reopened our Stock Market Crash Survival Guide to the general public.\nWithin its 21 pages we outline which investments will perform best during a market meltdown as well as how to take out “Crash insurance” on your portfolio (these instruments returned TRIPLE digit gains during 2008).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325434684,"gmtCreate":1615911397048,"gmtModify":1704788444413,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b3a5f274aebc2f624e4f02c1206fc1","width":"1125","height":"3085"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325434684","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325435700,"gmtCreate":1615911345700,"gmtModify":1704788442955,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$</a>great stock to own","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$</a>great stock to own","text":"$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$great stock to own","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137051d95c98ecaa06c145edfd4da7d1","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325435700","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9993109260,"gmtCreate":1660637389952,"gmtModify":1676536370121,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre","text":"$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$ Proven management and stable yield for Industrial and data centre","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1545bf4274f8446803bcbdaed33f8c7d","width":"1284","height":"2352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993109260","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991046715,"gmtCreate":1660760198640,"gmtModify":1676536392749,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive. ","text":"$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$ if the inflation has peak we can see REITspicking up again. Occupancy rate has been high and rental reversion is positive.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1aba6fe3357f778e5af9e65dd0d56618","width":"1284","height":"2352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991046715","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930696792,"gmtCreate":1661945032918,"gmtModify":1676536609066,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Z74.SI\">$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$</a>Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth","text":"$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$Turnaround in place with the return in travel. Going to boost roaming and selling of SIM. With good dividend and growth","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3f1c7003ac08d9c09158df49280b7b9","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930696792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993101224,"gmtCreate":1660637656971,"gmtModify":1676536370178,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRPU.SI\">$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$</a> Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRPU.SI\">$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$</a> Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid","text":"$SASSEUR REIT(CRPU.SI)$ Will it ever recover With the Chinese lockdown ? the Management is solid","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c914f47a792ee96ca602d400852e483d","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993101224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"content":"Are malls managed by Sasseur in tier-1 city or tier-2 or 3? Lockdwn lifted. But if a covid-suspect is detected, enforcemt will spring into action to lockdwn the place. Just Google IKEA news. Stupid.","text":"Are malls managed by Sasseur in tier-1 city or tier-2 or 3? Lockdwn lifted. But if a covid-suspect is detected, enforcemt will spring into action to lockdwn the place. Just Google IKEA news. Stupid.","html":"Are malls managed by Sasseur in tier-1 city or tier-2 or 3? Lockdwn lifted. But if a covid-suspect is detected, enforcemt will spring into action to lockdwn the place. Just Google IKEA news. Stupid."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142066025,"gmtCreate":1626104636067,"gmtModify":1703753574500,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$</a>GG","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$</a>GG","text":"$WEN 20210820 29.0 CALL(WEN)$GG","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f55084dc342512841dfe3a8061e83d1a","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142066025","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325437064,"gmtCreate":1615911440558,"gmtModify":1704788445388,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inflation is coming..","listText":"Inflation is coming..","text":"Inflation is coming..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325437064","repostId":"1184825941","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176168793,"gmtCreate":1626872423212,"gmtModify":1703479630500,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bullish day ahead","listText":"Bullish day ahead","text":"Bullish day ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176168793","repostId":"1199453596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142063895,"gmtCreate":1626104521217,"gmtModify":1703753571241,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>It’s happening ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>It’s happening ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$It’s happening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142063895","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":313176906,"gmtCreate":1611677655005,"gmtModify":1704862034064,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Beautifully designed device with cutting edge technology. AAPL!","listText":"Beautifully designed device with cutting edge technology. AAPL!","text":"Beautifully designed device with cutting edge technology. AAPL!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/313176906","repostId":"1141309013","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141309013","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1611655201,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141309013?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-26 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141309013","media":"nasdaq","summary":"Shares ofApple(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-t","content":"<p>Shares of<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-time highs in 2021.</p><p>That's according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives. Today, Ives raised his price target on Apple's stock to $175 from $160, but also laid out a bull case for why the stock could climb to as high as $225. His new base target represents potential gains for investors of roughly 26% over the stock's closing price of about $139 on Friday. It's his compelling argument for the bull case, however, that should have investors more excited.</p><p>Ives cited the potential for \"eye-popping\" iPhone sales, saying that checks of Apple's supply chain in Asia showed strong demand for the device. The analyst now believes Apple could have sold as many as 90 million iPhones during the December quarter, roughly 35% over the analyst's already robust forecast. Ives sees this upward trend continuing over the March and June quarters.</p><p>\"We believe based on the current trajectory and in a bull case Cupertino has potential to sell north of 240 million units (~250 million could be in the cards -- an eye-popping figure)\" Ives wrote in a note to clients, \"which would easily eclipse the previous Apple record of 231 million units sold in [fiscal year 2015].\"</p><p>Will Apple stock hit $225?</p><p>There have long been prognostications of a supercycle for the iPhone maker. It has an installed base of more than 1.4 billion active devices, with the iPhone accounting for an estimated 950 million of those.</p><p>The current thinking suggests that as many as 350 million iPhone buyers could upgrade their device this year. To put that number in context, Apple sold roughly 185 million iPhones in 2019. Given the demand for a 5G-enabled iPhone, and the number of devices due for an upgrade, it's certainly possible Apple could sell 89% more iPhones in 2021 -- but that's certainly a high bar.</p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-26 18:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/apple-stock-could-surge-62-to-%24225-according-to-this-analyst-2021-01-25><strong>nasdaq</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares ofApple(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-time highs in 2021.That's according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives. Today, Ives raised his price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/apple-stock-could-surge-62-to-%24225-according-to-this-analyst-2021-01-25\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/apple-stock-could-surge-62-to-%24225-according-to-this-analyst-2021-01-25","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141309013","content_text":"Shares ofApple(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-time highs in 2021.That's according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives. Today, Ives raised his price target on Apple's stock to $175 from $160, but also laid out a bull case for why the stock could climb to as high as $225. His new base target represents potential gains for investors of roughly 26% over the stock's closing price of about $139 on Friday. It's his compelling argument for the bull case, however, that should have investors more excited.Ives cited the potential for \"eye-popping\" iPhone sales, saying that checks of Apple's supply chain in Asia showed strong demand for the device. The analyst now believes Apple could have sold as many as 90 million iPhones during the December quarter, roughly 35% over the analyst's already robust forecast. Ives sees this upward trend continuing over the March and June quarters.\"We believe based on the current trajectory and in a bull case Cupertino has potential to sell north of 240 million units (~250 million could be in the cards -- an eye-popping figure)\" Ives wrote in a note to clients, \"which would easily eclipse the previous Apple record of 231 million units sold in [fiscal year 2015].\"Will Apple stock hit $225?There have long been prognostications of a supercycle for the iPhone maker. It has an installed base of more than 1.4 billion active devices, with the iPhone accounting for an estimated 950 million of those.The current thinking suggests that as many as 350 million iPhone buyers could upgrade their device this year. To put that number in context, Apple sold roughly 185 million iPhones in 2019. Given the demand for a 5G-enabled iPhone, and the number of devices due for an upgrade, it's certainly possible Apple could sell 89% more iPhones in 2021 -- but that's certainly a high bar.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","text":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","html":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910544243,"gmtCreate":1663650994582,"gmtModify":1676537308945,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great. ","listText":"Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great. ","text":"Allow DDA for foreign currency will be great.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910544243","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325410100,"gmtCreate":1615911512900,"gmtModify":1704788446382,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325410100","repostId":"1168341766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168341766","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615906124,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168341766?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-16 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now The Time To Buy Stock In Pinduoduo, Starbucks, Roblox, Moderna Or Nikola?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168341766","media":"Benzinga","summary":"One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”That’s why Benzinga","content":"<p>One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”</p><p>That’s why Benzinga created the Why Is It Moving, or WIIM, feature inBenzinga Pro. WIIMs are a one-sentence description as to why that stock is moving.</p><p>Here’s the latest news and updates for Pinduoduo, Starbucks, Roblox, Moderna and Nikola.</p><p><b>Pinduoduo Inc - ADR</b>PDD 3.79%shares are trading higher in Tuesday's premarket session after Cathie Wood's ARK Invest revealed that it bought 196,517 shares Monday.</p><p>BTIG analyst Peter Saleh upgraded<b>Starbucks Corporation</b>SBUX 2.58%from Neutral to Buy and announced a $130 price target for the coffee house company.</p><p><i>See also: How to Buy Stocks</i></p><p>Stifel analyst Drew Crum initiated coverage of <b>Roblox Corp</b>RBLX 3.92%with a Buy rating and $85 price target.</p><p>According to apress release,<b>Moderna Inc</b>MRNA 6.15%has announced that the first participants have been dosed in the Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273, the company's vaccine candidate against COVID-19, in children ages 6 months to less than 12 years.</p><p>Our teamreported Mondaythat <b>Nikola Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:NKLA) is planning to raise capital by the way of a $100-million stock sale to investors, according to a filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p>Nikola says net proceeds from the offering will be used for “general corporate purposes” and for funding the completion of its manufacturing facility in Arizona.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now The Time To Buy Stock In Pinduoduo, Starbucks, Roblox, Moderna Or Nikola?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now The Time To Buy Stock In Pinduoduo, Starbucks, Roblox, Moderna Or Nikola?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-16 22:48 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20185874/is-now-the-time-to-buy-stock-in-pinduoduo-starbucks-roblox-moderna-or-nikola><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”That’s why Benzinga created the Why Is It Moving, or WIIM, feature inBenzinga Pro. WIIMs are a one-sentence description...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20185874/is-now-the-time-to-buy-stock-in-pinduoduo-starbucks-roblox-moderna-or-nikola\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","PDD":"拼多多","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20185874/is-now-the-time-to-buy-stock-in-pinduoduo-starbucks-roblox-moderna-or-nikola","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168341766","content_text":"One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”That’s why Benzinga created the Why Is It Moving, or WIIM, feature inBenzinga Pro. WIIMs are a one-sentence description as to why that stock is moving.Here’s the latest news and updates for Pinduoduo, Starbucks, Roblox, Moderna and Nikola.Pinduoduo Inc - ADRPDD 3.79%shares are trading higher in Tuesday's premarket session after Cathie Wood's ARK Invest revealed that it bought 196,517 shares Monday.BTIG analyst Peter Saleh upgradedStarbucks CorporationSBUX 2.58%from Neutral to Buy and announced a $130 price target for the coffee house company.See also: How to Buy StocksStifel analyst Drew Crum initiated coverage of Roblox CorpRBLX 3.92%with a Buy rating and $85 price target.According to apress release,Moderna IncMRNA 6.15%has announced that the first participants have been dosed in the Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273, the company's vaccine candidate against COVID-19, in children ages 6 months to less than 12 years.Our teamreported Mondaythat Nikola Corporation(NASDAQ:NKLA) is planning to raise capital by the way of a $100-million stock sale to investors, according to a filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.Nikola says net proceeds from the offering will be used for “general corporate purposes” and for funding the completion of its manufacturing facility in Arizona.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256827878891520,"gmtCreate":1703736001684,"gmtModify":1703736005942,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes","listText":"Join the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes","text":"Join the tiger tycoon challenge, it's like monopoly and you get to win prizes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256827878891520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256827400482912,"gmtCreate":1703735897925,"gmtModify":1703735902790,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join us for prizes and attempts","listText":"Join us for prizes and attempts","text":"Join us for prizes and attempts","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256827400482912","repostId":"248312805347464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":248312805347464,"gmtCreate":1701660745864,"gmtModify":1703059991513,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? 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Survive another day","listText":"Very prudent approach. Survive another day","text":"Very prudent approach. Survive another day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930639953","repostId":"1122895763","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122895763","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662045547,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122895763?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Charlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122895763","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Earlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face "considerable trouble."</li><li>We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic developments and its implications for the S&P 500.</li><li>We also share our approach to investing in the current environment.</li></ul><p>Billionaire investor Charlie Munger - Warren Buffett's partner at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> - recently opined that "considerable trouble" was coming for markets at the Daily Journal's (DJCO) annual meeting earlier this year, stating:</p><blockquote><i>What we're getting iswretched excess and danger for the country. Everybody loves it because it's like a bunch of people getting drunk at a party; they're having so much fun getting drunk that they don't think about the consequences. Eventually, there will be considerable trouble because of the wretched excess, that's the way it's usually worked in the past.</i></blockquote><p>He went on define what he meant by wretched excess:</p><blockquote><i>Certainly, the great short squeeze in GameStop (GME) was wretched excess. Certainly, the bitcoin (BTC-USD) thing is wretched excess. I would argue venture capital is throwing too much money too fast, and there's a considerable wretched excess in venture capital and other forms of private equity...There's never been anything quite like what we're doing now. We do know from what's happened in other nations, if you try and print too much money it eventually causes terrible trouble. We're closer to terrible trouble than we've been in the past, but it may still be a long way off."</i></blockquote><p>While the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF</a> has delivered -8.57% returns since that meeting, it has not yet experienced the "considerable trouble" of which Mr. Munger spoke:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa9e327d28d335c1ba952173a78d8bcb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY Total Return Price data by YCharts</p><p>However, we can certainly see that the wretched excess has continued in the months since and the symptoms of it have also increased. While the crypto bubble has continued to burst, with bitcoin down an addition 56% since Mr. Munger's remarks, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GME</a> continues to enjoy an elevated valuation:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a461d8b52be2c08bfdea7bd63aa4a6f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>GME data by YCharts</p><p>We can also see that interest rates remain near historic lows - despite rising considerably in recent months - and the highly inflated money supply has remained relatively flat since Mr. Munger made his remarks:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/657129e113ae6df9d1e40ca014384412\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US Long-Term Interest Rates data by YCharts</p><p>We can also see that market indexes and especially housing prices remain elevated:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13c7438df5f55651979a20fdff9651ff\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY data by YCharts</p><p>However, the consequences of all this excess and bubble-like behavior are beginning to be felt, with GDP declining for two quarters in a row and inflation soaring to four-decade highs in recent months:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be6eb93157e6cb1f12a1b5b0d7519ff8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US Consumer Price Index YoY data by YCharts</p><p>In this article, we will discuss the implications that this has for the SPY as well as our investing approach in the current environment.</p><h3>Implication #1: Forward Returns Are Likely To Be Lackluster</h3><p>The biggest takeaway from Mr. Munger's remarks in light of current macroeconomic and market conditions is that forward returns for the SPY are likely to be lackluster. The reasons for this are pretty straightforward:</p><p>1. The economic growth outlook is weak, if not negative for the foreseeable future. Without strong economic growth, earnings growth is bound to be weak as well.</p><p>2. Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical averages. According to datacompiledby Current Market Valuation based on an equally weighted average of the Yield Curve, Buffett indicator, P/E Ratio, Interest Rate, Margin Debt, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models based on historical data, the market is currently towards the upper end of the fairly valued range. This means that it is almost overvalued, implying that the market is likely to experience lackluster, if not poor, returns for the foreseeable future. The SPY is overvalued according to the Yield Curve, Buffett Indicator, P/E Ratio, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models, is slightly above fair value according to the Interest Rate model, and slightly below fair value according to the Margin Debt model.</p><p>3. Interest rates are likely to rise further, based on persistently high inflation and the Federal Reserve's latestcomments. Higher interest rates in the near future will make the market seem overvalued at present according to the Interest Rate model, adding further weight to the argument that the market is overvalued at the moment. Higher interest rates will also act like gravity on asset valuations, driving them lower.</p><p>When you combine weak growth with a lack of multiple expansion (and in fact likely multiple compression), very low dividend yields, and likely interest rate increases, there are no real catalysts to drive stock market returns.</p><h3>Implication #2: Volatility Will Likely Be Elevated For The Foreseeable Future</h3><p>That said, interest rates do remain historically cheap and there is still a lot of excess capital sloshing around in the global markets. As a result, there will still likely be plenty of dip buying, especially on any hints of inflation declining, the economy weathering the current headwinds better than expected, and/or the Federal Reserve beginning to change its hawkish stance. As the bulls and bears continue to duke it out in aggressive fashion, with bulls aggressively buying dips and bears aggressively selling rips on renewed fears of a recession and/or further interest rate hikes, volatility will likely remain elevated.</p><p>On top of that, with geopolitical risks mounting in East Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, there are plenty of potential further catalysts for sending stocks plunging lower at a minute's notice.</p><h3>Implication #3: A Market Crash Is Very Possible</h3><p>As already indicated in implication #2, a market crash is also very possible at the moment. The reasons for it are simple:</p><p>1. As already highlighted, valuations are already bloated, so a crash would not require a stark departure from historical valuation levels. In fact, a crash might be necessary to fully correct financial markets from all of the artificial stimulus from central bankers over the past decade.</p><p>2. There are numerous catalysts which could spark a market crash, and they seem more likely at the moment than at any time in recent memory: any number of geopolitical crises, ranging from a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, to the war in Europe going nuclear, to a major energy crisis if a war begins between Iran and Saudi Arabia, a massive cyber-attack that significantly disrupts the global economy, a major new pandemic or variant of COVID-19 emerging, or even possibly a major global recession.</p><h3>Investor Takeaway</h3><p>While these are certainly complicated, if not extremely challenging, times for investors trying to navigate the markets, we are remaining fully invested. However, we are keeping the following principles in mind to guide us with greater prudence during this period:</p><p>1. We are being highly selective by only investing in securities that appear to have a clear margin of safety, while keeping a small weighting in our most cyclical positions and overweighting our most defensive positions.</p><p>2. We are avoiding taking on any personal leverage through this period in order to minimize our risk of outsized losses in the event of a market crash and to give us the capacity to potentially create some dry powder to capitalize on a market crash.</p><p>3. We are also investing in securities that profit from elevated volatility as we believe that - even in a scenario where the markets do not experience a full-fledged crash - volatility levels will likely be above average for the foreseeable future due to the geopolitical and macroeconomic jitters that are gripping the markets with increasing frequency. As the chart below indicates, volatility as depicted by theVIXis up significantly from where it was before COVID-19 and is even up in 2022 relative to the second half of 2021.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61315c652f099418782c73479f3dd50a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>VIXdata by YCharts</p><p>For those who choose to continue investing in low-cost index funds like SPY, we are not bullish in the short-term, as - for the reasons outlined in this article - we expect lackluster economic growth, elevated valuations, rising interest rates, and the rising risks of a black swan event to suppress broad market total returns for the foreseeable future. As a result, we encourage investors to be more selective in the current environment than to blindly buy the broader market. At the same time, for those committed to passive investing over the long term, remaining fully invested with a practice of consistent long-term dollar cost averaging and prudent personal financial management is unlikely to deliver disappointing results over the course of decades. For that reason, we give the SPY a Hold rating right now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Charlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCharlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 23:19 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face \"considerable trouble.\"We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122895763","content_text":"SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face \"considerable trouble.\"We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic developments and its implications for the S&P 500.We also share our approach to investing in the current environment.Billionaire investor Charlie Munger - Warren Buffett's partner at Berkshire Hathaway - recently opined that \"considerable trouble\" was coming for markets at the Daily Journal's (DJCO) annual meeting earlier this year, stating:What we're getting iswretched excess and danger for the country. Everybody loves it because it's like a bunch of people getting drunk at a party; they're having so much fun getting drunk that they don't think about the consequences. Eventually, there will be considerable trouble because of the wretched excess, that's the way it's usually worked in the past.He went on define what he meant by wretched excess:Certainly, the great short squeeze in GameStop (GME) was wretched excess. Certainly, the bitcoin (BTC-USD) thing is wretched excess. I would argue venture capital is throwing too much money too fast, and there's a considerable wretched excess in venture capital and other forms of private equity...There's never been anything quite like what we're doing now. We do know from what's happened in other nations, if you try and print too much money it eventually causes terrible trouble. We're closer to terrible trouble than we've been in the past, but it may still be a long way off.\"While the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF has delivered -8.57% returns since that meeting, it has not yet experienced the \"considerable trouble\" of which Mr. Munger spoke:SPY Total Return Price data by YChartsHowever, we can certainly see that the wretched excess has continued in the months since and the symptoms of it have also increased. While the crypto bubble has continued to burst, with bitcoin down an addition 56% since Mr. Munger's remarks, GME continues to enjoy an elevated valuation:GME data by YChartsWe can also see that interest rates remain near historic lows - despite rising considerably in recent months - and the highly inflated money supply has remained relatively flat since Mr. Munger made his remarks:US Long-Term Interest Rates data by YChartsWe can also see that market indexes and especially housing prices remain elevated:SPY data by YChartsHowever, the consequences of all this excess and bubble-like behavior are beginning to be felt, with GDP declining for two quarters in a row and inflation soaring to four-decade highs in recent months:US Consumer Price Index YoY data by YChartsIn this article, we will discuss the implications that this has for the SPY as well as our investing approach in the current environment.Implication #1: Forward Returns Are Likely To Be LacklusterThe biggest takeaway from Mr. Munger's remarks in light of current macroeconomic and market conditions is that forward returns for the SPY are likely to be lackluster. The reasons for this are pretty straightforward:1. The economic growth outlook is weak, if not negative for the foreseeable future. Without strong economic growth, earnings growth is bound to be weak as well.2. Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical averages. According to datacompiledby Current Market Valuation based on an equally weighted average of the Yield Curve, Buffett indicator, P/E Ratio, Interest Rate, Margin Debt, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models based on historical data, the market is currently towards the upper end of the fairly valued range. This means that it is almost overvalued, implying that the market is likely to experience lackluster, if not poor, returns for the foreseeable future. The SPY is overvalued according to the Yield Curve, Buffett Indicator, P/E Ratio, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models, is slightly above fair value according to the Interest Rate model, and slightly below fair value according to the Margin Debt model.3. Interest rates are likely to rise further, based on persistently high inflation and the Federal Reserve's latestcomments. Higher interest rates in the near future will make the market seem overvalued at present according to the Interest Rate model, adding further weight to the argument that the market is overvalued at the moment. Higher interest rates will also act like gravity on asset valuations, driving them lower.When you combine weak growth with a lack of multiple expansion (and in fact likely multiple compression), very low dividend yields, and likely interest rate increases, there are no real catalysts to drive stock market returns.Implication #2: Volatility Will Likely Be Elevated For The Foreseeable FutureThat said, interest rates do remain historically cheap and there is still a lot of excess capital sloshing around in the global markets. As a result, there will still likely be plenty of dip buying, especially on any hints of inflation declining, the economy weathering the current headwinds better than expected, and/or the Federal Reserve beginning to change its hawkish stance. As the bulls and bears continue to duke it out in aggressive fashion, with bulls aggressively buying dips and bears aggressively selling rips on renewed fears of a recession and/or further interest rate hikes, volatility will likely remain elevated.On top of that, with geopolitical risks mounting in East Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, there are plenty of potential further catalysts for sending stocks plunging lower at a minute's notice.Implication #3: A Market Crash Is Very PossibleAs already indicated in implication #2, a market crash is also very possible at the moment. The reasons for it are simple:1. As already highlighted, valuations are already bloated, so a crash would not require a stark departure from historical valuation levels. In fact, a crash might be necessary to fully correct financial markets from all of the artificial stimulus from central bankers over the past decade.2. There are numerous catalysts which could spark a market crash, and they seem more likely at the moment than at any time in recent memory: any number of geopolitical crises, ranging from a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, to the war in Europe going nuclear, to a major energy crisis if a war begins between Iran and Saudi Arabia, a massive cyber-attack that significantly disrupts the global economy, a major new pandemic or variant of COVID-19 emerging, or even possibly a major global recession.Investor TakeawayWhile these are certainly complicated, if not extremely challenging, times for investors trying to navigate the markets, we are remaining fully invested. However, we are keeping the following principles in mind to guide us with greater prudence during this period:1. We are being highly selective by only investing in securities that appear to have a clear margin of safety, while keeping a small weighting in our most cyclical positions and overweighting our most defensive positions.2. We are avoiding taking on any personal leverage through this period in order to minimize our risk of outsized losses in the event of a market crash and to give us the capacity to potentially create some dry powder to capitalize on a market crash.3. We are also investing in securities that profit from elevated volatility as we believe that - even in a scenario where the markets do not experience a full-fledged crash - volatility levels will likely be above average for the foreseeable future due to the geopolitical and macroeconomic jitters that are gripping the markets with increasing frequency. As the chart below indicates, volatility as depicted by theVIXis up significantly from where it was before COVID-19 and is even up in 2022 relative to the second half of 2021.VIXdata by YChartsFor those who choose to continue investing in low-cost index funds like SPY, we are not bullish in the short-term, as - for the reasons outlined in this article - we expect lackluster economic growth, elevated valuations, rising interest rates, and the rising risks of a black swan event to suppress broad market total returns for the foreseeable future. As a result, we encourage investors to be more selective in the current environment than to blindly buy the broader market. At the same time, for those committed to passive investing over the long term, remaining fully invested with a practice of consistent long-term dollar cost averaging and prudent personal financial management is unlikely to deliver disappointing results over the course of decades. For that reason, we give the SPY a Hold rating right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930692142,"gmtCreate":1661945069188,"gmtModify":1676536609134,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A17U.SI\">$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$ASCENDAS REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(A17U.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fcf41dada2444e6554b080ef33b867c7","width":"1284","height":"2352"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930692142","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176762523,"gmtCreate":1626916692562,"gmtModify":1703480489659,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well… what to do","listText":"Well… what to do","text":"Well… what to do","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a63b4cc754c9b98b68b8f0f5605deff9","width":"1125","height":"2484"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176762523","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176168993,"gmtCreate":1626872369012,"gmtModify":1703479629344,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hehe this might be cool","listText":"hehe this might be cool","text":"hehe this might be cool","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5f9339d3020bdbe999b91a9ec7ef954","width":"1125","height":"3542"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176168993","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142061310,"gmtCreate":1626104563530,"gmtModify":1703753572218,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Before it is too late","listText":"Before it is too late","text":"Before it is too late","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f27b97fa95b34f5c2d987ecaf48d46","width":"1125","height":"2884"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142061310","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325434684,"gmtCreate":1615911397048,"gmtModify":1704788444413,"author":{"id":"3556589927947246","authorId":"3556589927947246","name":"Zudpha","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/942fc4fbbda638066474b18a62e7e42a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556589927947246","authorIdStr":"3556589927947246"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b3a5f274aebc2f624e4f02c1206fc1","width":"1125","height":"3085"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325434684","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}