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2022-07-17

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Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire

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09:25","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249540083","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda&#39;s giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.</p><p>Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang&#39;s company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.</p><p>But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: &#34;I&#39;m confident that we will overcome this.&#34;</p><p>And he did.</p><p>Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.</p><p>Crucially: the man nicknamed &#39;Big Shot&#39; in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.</p><p>Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.</p><p>&#34;Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,&#34; Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. &#34;It&#39;s just heart warming.&#34;</p><p>This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.</p><h2>Massive short squeeze</h2><p>Mr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan&#39;s production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.</p><p>On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan&#39;s headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn&#39;t leave until early the next morning.</p><p>More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals &#39;visionary&#39; who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fears</p><p>The crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang&#39;s position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.</p><p>The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.</p><p>To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.</p><p>Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he&#39;d built Tsingshan into the world&#39;s largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China&#39;s east coast. Along the way, he&#39;d acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.</p><p>The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn&#39;t pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.</p><p>Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.</p><p>If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What&#39;s more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn&#39;t clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan&#39;s most valuable assets.</p><p>JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.</p><h2>Personal guarantee</h2><p>Mr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.</p><p>Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn&#39;t enough. They wouldn&#39;t be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn&#39;t seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.</p><p>So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn&#39;t pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.</p><p>More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market&#39;s darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continues</p><p>It wasn&#39;t much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.</p><p>When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.</p><p>The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange&#39;s regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME&#39;s decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange&#39;s six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.</p><p>Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.</p><p>It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn&#39;t.</p><p>Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China&#39;s lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.</p><p>By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.</p><p>By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.</p><p>People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan&#39;s losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn&#39;t concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.</p><p>Now &#39;Big Shot&#39; is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.</p><p>And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.</p><p>&#34;A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,&#34; he says. &#34;The market is still functioning, but it&#39;s struggling.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-17 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JJN":"镍ETN-iPath","NICK.UK":"镍ETF","NIC.AU":"Nickel Industries Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249540083","content_text":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang's company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: \"I'm confident that we will overcome this.\"And he did.Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.Crucially: the man nicknamed 'Big Shot' in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.\"Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,\" Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. \"It's just heart warming.\"This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.Massive short squeezeMr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan's production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia's invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan's headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn't leave until early the next morning.More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals 'visionary' who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fearsThe crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang's position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he'd built Tsingshan into the world's largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China's east coast. Along the way, he'd acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn't pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What's more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn't clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan's most valuable assets.JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.Personal guaranteeMr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn't enough. They wouldn't be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn't seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn't pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market's darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continuesIt wasn't much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange's regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME's decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange's six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn't.Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China's lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan's losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn't concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.Now 'Big Shot' is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.\"A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,\" he says. \"The market is still functioning, but it's struggling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072186998,"gmtCreate":1657984287214,"gmtModify":1676536090652,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072186998","repostId":"1144090895","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144090895","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657936858,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144090895?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-16 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bearish ETF Strategies for a Pessimistic Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144090895","media":"VettaFi","summary":"After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets ag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets against equities. Exchange traded fund investors can also hedge against further market risks with bearish or inverse strategies.</p><p>According to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.’s analysis of futures tracking major stock indexes, asset managers and hedge funds raised bets against U.S. stocks to the highest level since 2016 on fears over a global slowdown, theWall Street Journalreported.</p><p>Additionally, according to a survey by the National Association of Active Investment Managers, the average active investor pared back stock exposure this year and reduced equity allocations to the lowest levels since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>“Everybody’s focused on recession risk,” Parag Thatte, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, told the WSJ.</p><p>Adding to bets of a recession, the bond market’s recession indicator, an inverted yield curve, recently reached its widest level in two decades—the majority of past recessions were preceded by an inverted yield curve or when yields on later-dated bonds dip below yields of short-term debt.</p><p>Meanwhile, many market observers have raised bets that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by a full percentage point at the next meeting, something that hasn’t happened in decades, which further added to the belief that policymakers would drag the economy into a slowdown.</p><p>According to Deutsche Bank estimates, investors have now steadily diminished their exposure to stocks to some of the lowest levels of the past 12 years. In addition, bullish bets in the options market among traders slipped to the lowest level since April 2020.</p><p>“We’ve now determined that it’s better to be slightly short rather than long,” Martin Bergin, president at Dunn Capital Management, told the WSJ. “If there’s a bounce, we’ll start to take on more long exposure.”</p><p>ETF traders who are looking to protect their portfolios from potential pullbacks ahead may consider some exposure to bearish or inverse ETFs to hedge against further falls.</p><p>For example, the <b>ProShares Short S&amp;P500 (SH)</b> takes a simple inverse or -100% daily performance of the S&amp;P 500 index. Alternatively, for the more aggressive trader, leveraged options include the<b>ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P500 ETF (SDS)</b>, which tries to reflect -2x or -200% of the daily performance of the S&amp;P 500, the<b>Direxion Daily S&amp;P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS)</b>, which takes -3x or -300% of the daily performance of the S&amp;P 500, and the<b>ProShares UltraPro Short S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPXU)</b>, which also takes -300% of the daily performance of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Those who want to hedge against risk in the Dow Jones Industrial Average can use inverse ETFs to bolster their long equities positions. The <b>ProShares Short Dow 30 ETF(DOG)</b> tries to reflect -100% of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. For more aggressive traders, the <b>ProShares UltraShort Dow 30 ETF (DXD)</b> takes the -200% of the Dow Jones, and the <b>ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30 (SDOW)</b> reflects the -300% of the Dow.</p><p>Lastly, investors can also hedge against a dipping Nasdaq through bearish options as well. For instance, the <b>ProShares Short QQQ ETF (PSQ)</b> takes the inverse or -100% daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index. For the aggressive trader, the <b>ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID)</b> tracks the double inverse or -200% performance of the Nasdaq-100, and the <b>ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ)</b> reflects the triple inverse or -300% of the Nasdaq-100.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1657246608114","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bearish ETF Strategies for a Pessimistic Outlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBearish ETF Strategies for a Pessimistic Outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-16 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.etftrends.com/bearish-etf-strategies-for-a-pessimistic-outlook/><strong>VettaFi</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets against equities. Exchange traded fund investors can also hedge against further market risks with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.etftrends.com/bearish-etf-strategies-for-a-pessimistic-outlook/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXS":"Direxion每日三倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.etftrends.com/bearish-etf-strategies-for-a-pessimistic-outlook/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144090895","content_text":"After a punishing first half of the year for the stock markets, traders continued to ramp up bets against equities. Exchange traded fund investors can also hedge against further market risks with bearish or inverse strategies.According to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s analysis of futures tracking major stock indexes, asset managers and hedge funds raised bets against U.S. stocks to the highest level since 2016 on fears over a global slowdown, theWall Street Journalreported.Additionally, according to a survey by the National Association of Active Investment Managers, the average active investor pared back stock exposure this year and reduced equity allocations to the lowest levels since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.“Everybody’s focused on recession risk,” Parag Thatte, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, told the WSJ.Adding to bets of a recession, the bond market’s recession indicator, an inverted yield curve, recently reached its widest level in two decades—the majority of past recessions were preceded by an inverted yield curve or when yields on later-dated bonds dip below yields of short-term debt.Meanwhile, many market observers have raised bets that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by a full percentage point at the next meeting, something that hasn’t happened in decades, which further added to the belief that policymakers would drag the economy into a slowdown.According to Deutsche Bank estimates, investors have now steadily diminished their exposure to stocks to some of the lowest levels of the past 12 years. In addition, bullish bets in the options market among traders slipped to the lowest level since April 2020.“We’ve now determined that it’s better to be slightly short rather than long,” Martin Bergin, president at Dunn Capital Management, told the WSJ. “If there’s a bounce, we’ll start to take on more long exposure.”ETF traders who are looking to protect their portfolios from potential pullbacks ahead may consider some exposure to bearish or inverse ETFs to hedge against further falls.For example, the ProShares Short S&P500 (SH) takes a simple inverse or -100% daily performance of the S&P 500 index. Alternatively, for the more aggressive trader, leveraged options include theProShares UltraShort S&P500 ETF (SDS), which tries to reflect -2x or -200% of the daily performance of the S&P 500, theDirexion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS), which takes -3x or -300% of the daily performance of the S&P 500, and theProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 ETF (SPXU), which also takes -300% of the daily performance of the S&P 500.Those who want to hedge against risk in the Dow Jones Industrial Average can use inverse ETFs to bolster their long equities positions. The ProShares Short Dow 30 ETF(DOG) tries to reflect -100% of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. For more aggressive traders, the ProShares UltraShort Dow 30 ETF (DXD) takes the -200% of the Dow Jones, and the ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30 (SDOW) reflects the -300% of the Dow.Lastly, investors can also hedge against a dipping Nasdaq through bearish options as well. For instance, the ProShares Short QQQ ETF (PSQ) takes the inverse or -100% daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index. For the aggressive trader, the ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID) tracks the double inverse or -200% performance of the Nasdaq-100, and the ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ) reflects the triple inverse or -300% of the Nasdaq-100.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071535382,"gmtCreate":1657552599746,"gmtModify":1676536024241,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071535382","repostId":"2250493079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250493079","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657553267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250493079?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250493079","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>All but one of my &#34;three stocks to avoid&#34; column last week went according to plan, but it wasn&#39;t enough. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- <b>Coinbase</b>, <b>H&amp;R <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a></b>, and <b>WD-40</b>-- finished up 23%, up 1%, and down 13%, respectively, averaging out to a 3.7% increase.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> experienced a 1.9% ascent, but the investments I figured would fare rose nearly twice as much. I was wrong. But I have still been correct in 25 of the past 38 weeks.</p><p>Where do I go to next? I see <b>Conagra</b>, <b>Coinbase</b>, and <b>ExxonMobil</b> as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let&#39;s go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.</p><h2><b>Conagra</b></h2><p>There&#39;s a good chance that there&#39;s some Conagra in your kitchen. Scour your fridge or pantry, and you may find some Slim Jim beef jerky, Pam non-stick spray, Hunt&#39;s ketchup, or Log Cabin maple syrup. There are dozens of Conagra brands that are literally and figuratively household names. I&#39;m still con Conagra this week.</p><p>The brand giant reports financial results on Thursday morning. It hasn&#39;t been very impressive lately. It has failed to exceed analyst profit targets in back-to-back quarters, and Wall Street expectations have been trending lower in recent months. Being a haven for premium brands isn&#39;t a lot of fun when the economy&#39;s wobbly and folks are trading down to lower-margin store brands. Wall Street sees revenue at Conagra climbing just 3% this year as well as 2023. It&#39;s hard to get excited about this week&#39;s financial update with that backdrop.</p><h2><b>Coinbase</b></h2><p>The one stock that burned me last week was Coinbase. It soared 23%, more than offsetting the other two selections that failed to beat the market. But I&#39;m not sure the rally is sustainable. Crypto markets have bounced back, but confidence is rattled for digital currency traders. A couple of notable platforms have either frozen assets or filed for bankruptcy protection.</p><p>Recovery won&#39;t be easy, and you can be sure that the once beefy yields that folks were earning on some of these platforms aren&#39;t coming back anytime soon. Coinbase is the top dog, and it will survive the current crisis. It has a strong balance sheet, and it didn&#39;t go deep into the risk spectrum to deliver staking rewards for its users.</p><p>However, Coinbase was reeling even before lesser platforms were exposed. Retail trading volume plummeted 58% sequentially in this year&#39;s first quarter, and the second quarter that concluded last week probably isn&#39;t going to hold up much better. Crypto prices may be starting to stabilize now that stock prices are also showing some resiliency, but a lot of scorched investors are going to stay away for now.</p><h2><b>ExxonMobil</b></h2><p>Stocks were rallying last week, but one of the hottest industries of 2022 took a breather. Oil and gas stocks declined as energy costs inched lower. Will the sector rotation continue in the week ahead?</p><p>You don&#39;t want to bet against ExxonMobil over the long haul. The integrated oil major has more going for it than just the recent pain at the pump. However, sector rotation makes hot industries mortal during the shift. Did you realize that ExxonMobil&#39;s surge over the past year has dropped its once meteoric yield to just 4.1%? If stocks continue to rally it&#39;s a safe bet that ExxonMobil will be a laggard for now.</p><p>It&#39;s going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you&#39;re looking for safe stocks, you aren&#39;t likely to find them in Conagra, Coinbase, and ExxonMobil this week.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>All but one of my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week went according to plan, but it wasn't enough. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Coinbase, H&R Block...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","CAG":"康尼格拉","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250493079","content_text":"All but one of my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week went according to plan, but it wasn't enough. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Coinbase, H&R Block, and WD-40-- finished up 23%, up 1%, and down 13%, respectively, averaging out to a 3.7% increase.The S&P 500 experienced a 1.9% ascent, but the investments I figured would fare rose nearly twice as much. I was wrong. But I have still been correct in 25 of the past 38 weeks.Where do I go to next? I see Conagra, Coinbase, and ExxonMobil as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.ConagraThere's a good chance that there's some Conagra in your kitchen. Scour your fridge or pantry, and you may find some Slim Jim beef jerky, Pam non-stick spray, Hunt's ketchup, or Log Cabin maple syrup. There are dozens of Conagra brands that are literally and figuratively household names. I'm still con Conagra this week.The brand giant reports financial results on Thursday morning. It hasn't been very impressive lately. It has failed to exceed analyst profit targets in back-to-back quarters, and Wall Street expectations have been trending lower in recent months. Being a haven for premium brands isn't a lot of fun when the economy's wobbly and folks are trading down to lower-margin store brands. Wall Street sees revenue at Conagra climbing just 3% this year as well as 2023. It's hard to get excited about this week's financial update with that backdrop.CoinbaseThe one stock that burned me last week was Coinbase. It soared 23%, more than offsetting the other two selections that failed to beat the market. But I'm not sure the rally is sustainable. Crypto markets have bounced back, but confidence is rattled for digital currency traders. A couple of notable platforms have either frozen assets or filed for bankruptcy protection.Recovery won't be easy, and you can be sure that the once beefy yields that folks were earning on some of these platforms aren't coming back anytime soon. Coinbase is the top dog, and it will survive the current crisis. It has a strong balance sheet, and it didn't go deep into the risk spectrum to deliver staking rewards for its users.However, Coinbase was reeling even before lesser platforms were exposed. Retail trading volume plummeted 58% sequentially in this year's first quarter, and the second quarter that concluded last week probably isn't going to hold up much better. Crypto prices may be starting to stabilize now that stock prices are also showing some resiliency, but a lot of scorched investors are going to stay away for now.ExxonMobilStocks were rallying last week, but one of the hottest industries of 2022 took a breather. Oil and gas stocks declined as energy costs inched lower. Will the sector rotation continue in the week ahead?You don't want to bet against ExxonMobil over the long haul. The integrated oil major has more going for it than just the recent pain at the pump. However, sector rotation makes hot industries mortal during the shift. Did you realize that ExxonMobil's surge over the past year has dropped its once meteoric yield to just 4.1%? If stocks continue to rally it's a safe bet that ExxonMobil will be a laggard for now.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Conagra, Coinbase, and ExxonMobil this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071938233,"gmtCreate":1657447682622,"gmtModify":1676536009075,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071938233","repostId":"1116439526","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116439526","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657425774,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1116439526?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-10 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s China Sales Increase Provides Little Substance","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116439526","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Don't letTesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA) latest China sales report fool you. This stock still has a long way to","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Don&#39;t let<b>Tesla&#39;s</b>(NASDAQ:<b>TSLA</b>) latest China sales report fool you. This stock still has a long way to drop!</li><li>Tesla&#39;s broad-based sales are declining for the first time in two years.</li><li>The U.S. Treasury yield curve implies that contractionary monetary policies could wane on durable goods.</li><li>Tesla is overvalued and exhibits unfavorable beta sensitivity.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b>TSLA</b>) surprised the market with its June preliminary deliveries report, which unveiled a 1.42x month-over-month increase in Chinese regional sales. Regionally, the electric vehicle giant sold more than 78,000 vehicles last month, a 1.35x year-over-year increase. Many investors are likely to jump on a recovery play as the company’s sales recovery could be misinterpreted for early-stage momentum. However, it’s necessary to recognize that Tesla’s China sales could be a temporary uptick as regional political risk remains elevated. In addition, TSLA stock has significant valuation issues, causing the current market environment to act unkindly toward it. Moreover, Tesla’s beta sensitivity means that it could be one of the major losers if a bear market persists.</p><p>Generally speaking, I believe TSLA stock is overhyped and set for further declines. Let’s dive deeper into it!</p><p><b>Tesla’s Prospective Sales</b></p><p>Investors shouldn’t be overwhelmed by TSLA’s latest China sales surge. Much of the sales have to do with the supply-side, where factories were allowed to produce again after certain pandemic restrictions were lifted. As such, sales proliferated. Additionally, Chinese pandemic lockdown policies have been inconsistent, to say the least. Thus, the question beckons whether Tesla’s China sales are sustainable in the long haul.</p><p>Furthermore, Tesla’s broad-based sales are taking a dip. The firm’s second-quarter sales report conveyed a decline in quarterly sales for the first time in two years. Tesla produced 258,000 vehicles in the quarter and delivered 254,659, reconciling to a 17.9% year-over-year decrease. Although much of the firm’s receding sales figure was down to production constraints, there’s much reason to believe that the economic climate is taking its toll on consumers.</p><p>I want to elaborate on the economy and what it means for TSLA stock. The U.S. Treasury Yield Curve implies that interest rates could settle above the 3% level before declining again. This means that the leading consumer economy in the world will be subject to contractionary monetary policies, which could see global consumer spending power wane. Moreover, the contraction of economic growth will likely affect the automotive industry as durable goods sales negatively correlate with rising interest rates. As such, Tesla could see its five-year compound annual growth rate of 48.72% retrace to a growth trend more stationary to gross domestic product growth soon.</p><p><b>Price Level Concerns With TSLA Stock</b></p><p>Using relative valuation metrics to assess growth stocks usually isn’t prudent. Nonetheless, whenever a bear market appears, it is probable that risk-averse investors will sell their overvalued assets first. TSLA stock is trading at11.29xits sales, 52.32x its cash flow, and 77.09x its earnings. Thus, it is safe to say that we’re looking at an overvalued stock here.</p><p>Additionally, TSLA stock’s high beta status could coalesce with its poor valuation metrics to cause a tremendous drawdown. Tesla’s beta coefficient of 2.13 means that it exhibits excess sensitivity to the broader market, which is exactly what you do not want in a bear market.</p><p>So, all matters considered, I think TSLA stock is a strong sell!</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s China Sales Increase Provides Little Substance</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s China Sales Increase Provides Little Substance\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-10 12:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/category/todays-market/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Don't letTesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA) latest China sales report fool you. This stock still has a long way to drop!Tesla's broad-based sales are declining for the first time in two years.The U.S. Treasury ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/category/todays-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/category/todays-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116439526","content_text":"Don't letTesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA) latest China sales report fool you. This stock still has a long way to drop!Tesla's broad-based sales are declining for the first time in two years.The U.S. Treasury yield curve implies that contractionary monetary policies could wane on durable goods.Tesla is overvalued and exhibits unfavorable beta sensitivity.Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) surprised the market with its June preliminary deliveries report, which unveiled a 1.42x month-over-month increase in Chinese regional sales. Regionally, the electric vehicle giant sold more than 78,000 vehicles last month, a 1.35x year-over-year increase. Many investors are likely to jump on a recovery play as the company’s sales recovery could be misinterpreted for early-stage momentum. However, it’s necessary to recognize that Tesla’s China sales could be a temporary uptick as regional political risk remains elevated. In addition, TSLA stock has significant valuation issues, causing the current market environment to act unkindly toward it. Moreover, Tesla’s beta sensitivity means that it could be one of the major losers if a bear market persists.Generally speaking, I believe TSLA stock is overhyped and set for further declines. Let’s dive deeper into it!Tesla’s Prospective SalesInvestors shouldn’t be overwhelmed by TSLA’s latest China sales surge. Much of the sales have to do with the supply-side, where factories were allowed to produce again after certain pandemic restrictions were lifted. As such, sales proliferated. Additionally, Chinese pandemic lockdown policies have been inconsistent, to say the least. Thus, the question beckons whether Tesla’s China sales are sustainable in the long haul.Furthermore, Tesla’s broad-based sales are taking a dip. The firm’s second-quarter sales report conveyed a decline in quarterly sales for the first time in two years. Tesla produced 258,000 vehicles in the quarter and delivered 254,659, reconciling to a 17.9% year-over-year decrease. Although much of the firm’s receding sales figure was down to production constraints, there’s much reason to believe that the economic climate is taking its toll on consumers.I want to elaborate on the economy and what it means for TSLA stock. The U.S. Treasury Yield Curve implies that interest rates could settle above the 3% level before declining again. This means that the leading consumer economy in the world will be subject to contractionary monetary policies, which could see global consumer spending power wane. Moreover, the contraction of economic growth will likely affect the automotive industry as durable goods sales negatively correlate with rising interest rates. As such, Tesla could see its five-year compound annual growth rate of 48.72% retrace to a growth trend more stationary to gross domestic product growth soon.Price Level Concerns With TSLA StockUsing relative valuation metrics to assess growth stocks usually isn’t prudent. Nonetheless, whenever a bear market appears, it is probable that risk-averse investors will sell their overvalued assets first. TSLA stock is trading at11.29xits sales, 52.32x its cash flow, and 77.09x its earnings. Thus, it is safe to say that we’re looking at an overvalued stock here.Additionally, TSLA stock’s high beta status could coalesce with its poor valuation metrics to cause a tremendous drawdown. Tesla’s beta coefficient of 2.13 means that it exhibits excess sensitivity to the broader market, which is exactly what you do not want in a bear market.So, all matters considered, I think TSLA stock is a strong sell!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073106422,"gmtCreate":1657294306567,"gmtModify":1676535986514,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073106422","repostId":"2249066752","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249066752","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1657295638,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249066752?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-08 23:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs Blowout Means More Pressure for Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249066752","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Another blowout jobs number and continued wage growth will likely stiffen resolve at the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Another blowout jobs number and continued wage growth will likely stiffen resolve at the Federal Reserve for another three-quarter point rate increase at the central bank&#39;s July meeting, as the welcome news of a still strong job market clashes with concern that it will have to cool ease inflation.</p><p>U.S. firms added 372,000 jobs in June, a far larger number than expected that pushed private employment back above its pre-pandemic level and kept the unemployment rate at an ultra-low 3.6%.</p><p>Wages continuted to rise at a 5.1% annual rate, only slightly lower than the prior month.</p><p>While that is likely to cool speculation of an impending recession, it could fuel uncertainty about whether the Fed will need to become more aggressive in its use of higher interest rates to cool the economy and bring consumer inflation down from the current 40-year high of more than 8%.</p><p>&#34;I am fully supportive of moving 75 basis points,&#34; at the July meeting, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic said on CNBC. &#34;This report just reaffirms that the economy is strong and that there is still a lot of momentum in the labor market and that is a good thing.&#34;</p><p>Bostic said he was taking a &#34;wait and see&#34; attitude about further rate hikes as he parses signs that the economy may be slowing overall against upcoming inflation and jobs reports - a debate that will frame what the Fed does beyond its July meeting.</p><p>Several Fed officials have now endorsed a three-quarter point increase at the July session, but have left open using further large hikes if inflation does not clearly turn lower.</p><p>For that to happen central bank officials feel the labor market will also have to cool, and so far it has shown little evidence of doing so. Job openings data for May showed there are still nearly 2 openings for each unemployed person.</p><p>Traders bet on bigger Fed rate hikes after the report, with interest-rate futures contracts now even reflecting a small chance the Fed raises rates by a full percentage point in July. Rate futures contracts now reflect a base case view the Fed&#39;s policy rate will be in the 3.5%-3.75% range by year end, higher than Fed policymakers themselves predicted just three weeks ago.</p><p>&#34;This calls into question...the narratiave that recession is imminent,&#34; said Nela Richardson, chief economist for payrll processor ADP. &#34;This is a bonus for the Fed. They can be aggressive.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs Blowout Means More Pressure for Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs Blowout Means More Pressure for Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-08 23:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Another blowout jobs number and continued wage growth will likely stiffen resolve at the Federal Reserve for another three-quarter point rate increase at the central bank&#39;s July meeting, as the welcome news of a still strong job market clashes with concern that it will have to cool ease inflation.</p><p>U.S. firms added 372,000 jobs in June, a far larger number than expected that pushed private employment back above its pre-pandemic level and kept the unemployment rate at an ultra-low 3.6%.</p><p>Wages continuted to rise at a 5.1% annual rate, only slightly lower than the prior month.</p><p>While that is likely to cool speculation of an impending recession, it could fuel uncertainty about whether the Fed will need to become more aggressive in its use of higher interest rates to cool the economy and bring consumer inflation down from the current 40-year high of more than 8%.</p><p>&#34;I am fully supportive of moving 75 basis points,&#34; at the July meeting, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic said on CNBC. &#34;This report just reaffirms that the economy is strong and that there is still a lot of momentum in the labor market and that is a good thing.&#34;</p><p>Bostic said he was taking a &#34;wait and see&#34; attitude about further rate hikes as he parses signs that the economy may be slowing overall against upcoming inflation and jobs reports - a debate that will frame what the Fed does beyond its July meeting.</p><p>Several Fed officials have now endorsed a three-quarter point increase at the July session, but have left open using further large hikes if inflation does not clearly turn lower.</p><p>For that to happen central bank officials feel the labor market will also have to cool, and so far it has shown little evidence of doing so. Job openings data for May showed there are still nearly 2 openings for each unemployed person.</p><p>Traders bet on bigger Fed rate hikes after the report, with interest-rate futures contracts now even reflecting a small chance the Fed raises rates by a full percentage point in July. Rate futures contracts now reflect a base case view the Fed&#39;s policy rate will be in the 3.5%-3.75% range by year end, higher than Fed policymakers themselves predicted just three weeks ago.</p><p>&#34;This calls into question...the narratiave that recession is imminent,&#34; said Nela Richardson, chief economist for payrll processor ADP. &#34;This is a bonus for the Fed. They can be aggressive.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249066752","content_text":"(Reuters) - Another blowout jobs number and continued wage growth will likely stiffen resolve at the Federal Reserve for another three-quarter point rate increase at the central bank's July meeting, as the welcome news of a still strong job market clashes with concern that it will have to cool ease inflation.U.S. firms added 372,000 jobs in June, a far larger number than expected that pushed private employment back above its pre-pandemic level and kept the unemployment rate at an ultra-low 3.6%.Wages continuted to rise at a 5.1% annual rate, only slightly lower than the prior month.While that is likely to cool speculation of an impending recession, it could fuel uncertainty about whether the Fed will need to become more aggressive in its use of higher interest rates to cool the economy and bring consumer inflation down from the current 40-year high of more than 8%.\"I am fully supportive of moving 75 basis points,\" at the July meeting, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic said on CNBC. \"This report just reaffirms that the economy is strong and that there is still a lot of momentum in the labor market and that is a good thing.\"Bostic said he was taking a \"wait and see\" attitude about further rate hikes as he parses signs that the economy may be slowing overall against upcoming inflation and jobs reports - a debate that will frame what the Fed does beyond its July meeting.Several Fed officials have now endorsed a three-quarter point increase at the July session, but have left open using further large hikes if inflation does not clearly turn lower.For that to happen central bank officials feel the labor market will also have to cool, and so far it has shown little evidence of doing so. Job openings data for May showed there are still nearly 2 openings for each unemployed person.Traders bet on bigger Fed rate hikes after the report, with interest-rate futures contracts now even reflecting a small chance the Fed raises rates by a full percentage point in July. Rate futures contracts now reflect a base case view the Fed's policy rate will be in the 3.5%-3.75% range by year end, higher than Fed policymakers themselves predicted just three weeks ago.\"This calls into question...the narratiave that recession is imminent,\" said Nela Richardson, chief economist for payrll processor ADP. \"This is a bonus for the Fed. They can be aggressive.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079217482,"gmtCreate":1657203929346,"gmtModify":1676535968897,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079217482","repostId":"2249459423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249459423","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657208203,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249459423?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-07 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Nvidia Really A Bargain Or Is There More Pain Ahead?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249459423","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia lost nearly 35% of its value in a matter of months, when the broader market fell by le","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Nvidia lost nearly 35% of its value in a matter of months, when the broader market fell by less than 15% during the same period.</li><li>Although this dynamic is counterintuitive to Nvidia&#39;s improving business fundamentals, there is a solid reason for it.</li><li>Unfortunately for shareholders who bought at the highs, the company&#39;s share price might not recover to its 2021 highs anytime soon.</li></ul><p>About ten months ago I took a deep dive into <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA&#39;s</a> share price and laid out my thesis on why investors should be less concerned about the company&#39;s business fundamentals and laser focused on its momentum exposure.</p><p>Although thismight sound counterintuitive, since sooner or later fundamentals matter, Nvidia is still at the mercy of factors that have little to do with the company&#39;s actual performance. That is why, since September of last year, the company lost nearly 35% of its value, while at the same time the S&amp;P 500 fell by slightly less than 15%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdb65cce970f34d2aeacdfd2b31ac71d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Such a large drop relative to the broader market was disappointing even when adjusting for Nvidia&#39;s high beta of 1.6. Contrary to this abysmal share price performance, however, the company continued to grow its quarterly sales numbers at a nearly 50% rate.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e15815bfc09727371b477bf89f4a94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Not only that, but both gross and operating margins continued to improve over the past few quarters since I covered the company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89db1405a7e4c9d299b65404553554a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>A somehow slowing topline growth rate could be partially to blame, however, Nvidia&#39;s revenue forward growth rate is not very different now from what it was back in September of 2021.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603bf1b08117128bd80fd3deae02c63f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>As a matter of fact, AMD (AMD) forward revenue growth rate is much higher now than it was back then and yet the company&#39;s share price performed remarkably similar to that of Nvidia, thus also significantly underperforming the S&amp;P 500 even on a risk adjusted basis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feae396374468950c5e366af1e28a850\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h3>So what happened?</h3><p>To put it briefly, the risk that I highlighted in September materialized. Although I will not go into the details again in this article, I will highlight that momentum exposure of Nvidia combined with the monetary tightening (or at least the expectations of it) were the main factors for the company&#39;s poor performance during the past 10-month period.</p><p>I also explained how the whole process works in my thought piece called &#39;The Cloud Space In Numbers: What Matters The Most&#39;, where I did a case study based on another high-growth sector.</p><p>Monetary tightening has a profound impact on high duration stocks and unfortunately, Nvidia is still one of the most heavily exposed companies to rising interest rates in the semiconductor space.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06f73d8185b657e7c3045f0fdd9e39e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Even though the relationship between forward revenue growth rate and forward P/E ratios has weakened significantly since September of last year, the flattening of the slope of the trend line above was what caused the companies at the top right-hand corner to perform so poorly even as their business fundamentals improved.</p><p>One of the reasons why Nvidia is still so far above the trend line above, is that in addition to its industry-leading growth rate, it also has one of the highest margins within the broader semiconductors peer group. The premium pricing of Nvidia&#39;s GPUs also sets it apart from AMD, which is valued at much lower multiples.</p><h3>Is Nvidia stock a bargain?</h3><p>Nvidia is arguably one of the highest quality semiconductor companies, with enormous growth opportunities in data centers and the automotive sector. However, it now trades at more than twice the industry average forward P/E ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7856a9f7e7b2dace82df33f3ec1bfc4e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"263\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Moreover, recent developments in the GPU market, resulted in never before seen premiums for Nvidia&#39;s products on the back of robust demand from consumers, data centers and cryptocurrency miners. All that propelled margins to levels far above its historical results and the sector median estimates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ed63ee078dc5e43574939faba9caa43\" tg-width=\"494\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>This, however, does not mean that Nvidia is suddenly a bargain, simply because a high growth and highly profitable company is trading at forward Non-GAAP P/E ratio of below 30x.</p><p>The main reason why the absolute value of its forward P/E ratio could be misleading is that the semiconductor industry is highly cyclical. Therefore, during cycle peaks, P/E ratios tend to be low due to high profits and share prices reflecting the risk of slower future sales growth.</p><p>Although, the recent push towards digitalization has somehow dispelled the risk of semiconductors being cyclical, the industry remains closely related to the business cycle (see below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dd24b3cbc9dfbd04a89a8c6cdb27818\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>More importantly for Nvidia&#39;s share price, however, is the fact that it still exhibits high correlation with the MTUM less VLUE index - an index that takes a long position in iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) and a short position in iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (VLUE).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8d575869822d2149a84ac8caea4fcf5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>As a result, Nvidia&#39;s share price will continue to be highly sensitive to the momentum trade and more specifically to the overall liquidity in the equity market. Having said that, should the current monetary tightening cycle continue, Nvidia will likely continue to underperform even in the case of the company&#39;s fundamentals remaining strong.</p><p>On the contrary, should the Federal Reserve reverse course and embark on yet another monetary loosening journey, then Nvidia could potentially return to its 2021&#39;s highs. Although such a scenario should not be ruled out, it remains highly uncertain. Moreover, if it does not occur, then it will take many years before Nvidia returns to its all-time highs, all that provided that the company retains its industry leadership.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Nvidia Really A Bargain Or Is There More Pain Ahead?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Nvidia Really A Bargain Or Is There More Pain Ahead?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-07 23:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521864-is-nvidia-bargain-or-is-there-pain-ahead><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia lost nearly 35% of its value in a matter of months, when the broader market fell by less than 15% during the same period.Although this dynamic is counterintuitive to Nvidia's improving ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521864-is-nvidia-bargain-or-is-there-pain-ahead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521864-is-nvidia-bargain-or-is-there-pain-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249459423","content_text":"SummaryNvidia lost nearly 35% of its value in a matter of months, when the broader market fell by less than 15% during the same period.Although this dynamic is counterintuitive to Nvidia's improving business fundamentals, there is a solid reason for it.Unfortunately for shareholders who bought at the highs, the company's share price might not recover to its 2021 highs anytime soon.About ten months ago I took a deep dive into NVIDIA's share price and laid out my thesis on why investors should be less concerned about the company's business fundamentals and laser focused on its momentum exposure.Although thismight sound counterintuitive, since sooner or later fundamentals matter, Nvidia is still at the mercy of factors that have little to do with the company's actual performance. That is why, since September of last year, the company lost nearly 35% of its value, while at the same time the S&P 500 fell by slightly less than 15%.Such a large drop relative to the broader market was disappointing even when adjusting for Nvidia's high beta of 1.6. Contrary to this abysmal share price performance, however, the company continued to grow its quarterly sales numbers at a nearly 50% rate.Not only that, but both gross and operating margins continued to improve over the past few quarters since I covered the company.A somehow slowing topline growth rate could be partially to blame, however, Nvidia's revenue forward growth rate is not very different now from what it was back in September of 2021.As a matter of fact, AMD (AMD) forward revenue growth rate is much higher now than it was back then and yet the company's share price performed remarkably similar to that of Nvidia, thus also significantly underperforming the S&P 500 even on a risk adjusted basis.So what happened?To put it briefly, the risk that I highlighted in September materialized. Although I will not go into the details again in this article, I will highlight that momentum exposure of Nvidia combined with the monetary tightening (or at least the expectations of it) were the main factors for the company's poor performance during the past 10-month period.I also explained how the whole process works in my thought piece called 'The Cloud Space In Numbers: What Matters The Most', where I did a case study based on another high-growth sector.Monetary tightening has a profound impact on high duration stocks and unfortunately, Nvidia is still one of the most heavily exposed companies to rising interest rates in the semiconductor space.Even though the relationship between forward revenue growth rate and forward P/E ratios has weakened significantly since September of last year, the flattening of the slope of the trend line above was what caused the companies at the top right-hand corner to perform so poorly even as their business fundamentals improved.One of the reasons why Nvidia is still so far above the trend line above, is that in addition to its industry-leading growth rate, it also has one of the highest margins within the broader semiconductors peer group. The premium pricing of Nvidia's GPUs also sets it apart from AMD, which is valued at much lower multiples.Is Nvidia stock a bargain?Nvidia is arguably one of the highest quality semiconductor companies, with enormous growth opportunities in data centers and the automotive sector. However, it now trades at more than twice the industry average forward P/E ratio.Moreover, recent developments in the GPU market, resulted in never before seen premiums for Nvidia's products on the back of robust demand from consumers, data centers and cryptocurrency miners. All that propelled margins to levels far above its historical results and the sector median estimates.This, however, does not mean that Nvidia is suddenly a bargain, simply because a high growth and highly profitable company is trading at forward Non-GAAP P/E ratio of below 30x.The main reason why the absolute value of its forward P/E ratio could be misleading is that the semiconductor industry is highly cyclical. Therefore, during cycle peaks, P/E ratios tend to be low due to high profits and share prices reflecting the risk of slower future sales growth.Although, the recent push towards digitalization has somehow dispelled the risk of semiconductors being cyclical, the industry remains closely related to the business cycle (see below).More importantly for Nvidia's share price, however, is the fact that it still exhibits high correlation with the MTUM less VLUE index - an index that takes a long position in iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) and a short position in iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (VLUE).As a result, Nvidia's share price will continue to be highly sensitive to the momentum trade and more specifically to the overall liquidity in the equity market. Having said that, should the current monetary tightening cycle continue, Nvidia will likely continue to underperform even in the case of the company's fundamentals remaining strong.On the contrary, should the Federal Reserve reverse course and embark on yet another monetary loosening journey, then Nvidia could potentially return to its 2021's highs. Although such a scenario should not be ruled out, it remains highly uncertain. Moreover, if it does not occur, then it will take many years before Nvidia returns to its all-time highs, all that provided that the company retains its industry leadership.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070792909,"gmtCreate":1657102945001,"gmtModify":1676535949692,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070792909","repostId":"1143122296","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143122296","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657098407,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143122296?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-06 17:06","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Copper Crash Deepens as Recession Fears Dominate Metals Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143122296","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US slowdown, Europe gas crisis woes taking a tollEconomic bellwether falls almost 5% after slumping on TuesdayCopper plunged below $7,500 a ton as fears of a global economic slowdown piled pressure on","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>US slowdown, Europe gas crisis woes taking a toll</li><li>Economic bellwether falls almost 5% after slumping on Tuesday</li></ul><p>Copper plunged below $7,500 a ton as fears of a global economic slowdown piled pressure on industrial metals and deepened their retreat from record highs just months ago.</p><p>Investors are fretting over a range of threats to demand, from Europe’s gas crisis to a US slowdown. After a 4.2% slump on Tuesday to its lowest close in 19 months, copper fell almost 5% on Wednesday. Aluminum, zinc and tin also tumbled.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20b0d8581c5caa4b3c530bc817312ffb\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The last quarter was the worst for metals since the great financial crisis in 2008, and July has brought little relief as fears of a recession dominate markets. It’s a rapid turnaround from March, when the LMEX Index of six metals soared to an all-time high amid fears that Russia’s attack on Ukraine would fuel shortages.</p><p>Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting are due later Wednesday for more clues on the bank’s thinking about monetary tightening, ahead of another rate decision in late July. The chances of a US economic contraction are now38%, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.</p><p>Copper fell as much as 4.9% to $7,291.50 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, the lowest since November 2020 before trading at $7,440 a ton by 7:10 a.m local time. Aluminum dropped 1.4% and zinc was down 0.6%</p><p>The sell-off across metals is also slamming miners, withRio Tinto Ltd.shedding 7.2% in Australia and BHP Group down 5.5%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Copper Crash Deepens as Recession Fears Dominate Metals Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCopper Crash Deepens as Recession Fears Dominate Metals Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-06 17:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/copper-crash-deepens-as-recession-fears-dominate-metals-trading><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US slowdown, Europe gas crisis woes taking a tollEconomic bellwether falls almost 5% after slumping on TuesdayCopper plunged below $7,500 a ton as fears of a global economic slowdown piled pressure on...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/copper-crash-deepens-as-recession-fears-dominate-metals-trading\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JJT":"锡ETN-iPath"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/copper-crash-deepens-as-recession-fears-dominate-metals-trading","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143122296","content_text":"US slowdown, Europe gas crisis woes taking a tollEconomic bellwether falls almost 5% after slumping on TuesdayCopper plunged below $7,500 a ton as fears of a global economic slowdown piled pressure on industrial metals and deepened their retreat from record highs just months ago.Investors are fretting over a range of threats to demand, from Europe’s gas crisis to a US slowdown. After a 4.2% slump on Tuesday to its lowest close in 19 months, copper fell almost 5% on Wednesday. Aluminum, zinc and tin also tumbled.The last quarter was the worst for metals since the great financial crisis in 2008, and July has brought little relief as fears of a recession dominate markets. It’s a rapid turnaround from March, when the LMEX Index of six metals soared to an all-time high amid fears that Russia’s attack on Ukraine would fuel shortages.Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting are due later Wednesday for more clues on the bank’s thinking about monetary tightening, ahead of another rate decision in late July. The chances of a US economic contraction are now38%, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.Copper fell as much as 4.9% to $7,291.50 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, the lowest since November 2020 before trading at $7,440 a ton by 7:10 a.m local time. Aluminum dropped 1.4% and zinc was down 0.6%The sell-off across metals is also slamming miners, withRio Tinto Ltd.shedding 7.2% in Australia and BHP Group down 5.5%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070148640,"gmtCreate":1657033525280,"gmtModify":1676535935803,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070148640","repostId":"1170895202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047042189,"gmtCreate":1656839821341,"gmtModify":1676535902572,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047042189","repostId":"2248980919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248980919","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656848586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248980919?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-03 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248980919","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second q","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-03 19:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248980919","content_text":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044285740,"gmtCreate":1656770228180,"gmtModify":1676535891429,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044285740","repostId":"2248681169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248681169","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656727452,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248681169?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-02 10:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Augmented Reality Stock: Apple vs. Nvidia","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248681169","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both companies could be major players in the AR space, but one is more of a sure thing.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Apple&#39;s long-rumored AR device may be just around the corner.</li><li>Nvidia is already powering AR across a variety of settings.</li></ul><p>In the technology sector, there are always new trends and fads, each with the promise of becoming &#34;the next big thing.&#34; One of the more prominent emerging technologies over the past several years has been augmented reality (AR). Put simply, AR is the ability to combine the real world with a digital one. Two prominent examples of this technology are the popular mobile game Pokémon Go and the app <b>Snapchat</b>.</p><p>Because there are already use cases for AR, it&#39;s easy to see this as more of an ongoing trend than a passing fad. Therefore, it&#39;s natural for future-minded investors to seek ways to invest in the space. There are two companies that I think are particularly well positioned to be at the center of AR for years to come: <b>Apple</b> and <b>Nvidia</b>. Let&#39;s see which is the better stock to own.</p><h2><b>1. Apple</b></h2><p>Already one of the largest companies in the world, Apple has made an indelible mark on our society with its line of consumer electronics like phones, tablets, smartwatches, and computers. Part of what has made Apple so successful is its ability to consistently innovate and enter new product lines. At any given time, there are numerous rumors swirling around about what might be Apple&#39;s next big product.</p><p>Apple has long been expected to release some kind of AR product, likely in the form of glasses or goggles. Recently, Apple CEO Tim Cook made comments that seem to indicate something may be on the horizon, teasing, &#34;I couldn&#39;t be more excited about the opportunities we&#39;ve seen in this space. And sort of stay tuned and you&#39;ll see what we have to offer.&#34;</p><p>To be clear, rumors and vague interview comments are not an investing thesis, but Apple does have a track record of launching new products that go on to see great success. Additionally, Apple has been a player in this space for years, introducing AR capabilities on its iPhone and iPad starting in 2017.</p><p>Even without a confirmed AR product, Apple continues to be a good investment. In the second quarter of 2022, Apple posted a record $93.7 billion in quarterly revenue, a 9% year-over-year increase. That comes on top of 54% revenue growth in the year-ago quarter, and was driven by year-over-year growth in every product category other than the iPad. Additionally, Apple is trading for a price to earnings (P/E) multiple of 23, which is slightly below the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>&#39;s average of 24.</p><h2><b>2. Nvidia</b></h2><p>From its start building PC graphics cards, Nvidia has grown to be a leading provider of chips for a variety of use cases, including gaming, data centers, and the automotive industry. As it pertains to AR, Nvidia&#39;s technology is already being used in a variety of ways by large enterprise customers. Nvidia&#39;s chips are powering virtual car showrooms, surgical training, and architectural walkthroughs, showing the everyday use cases for this technology.</p><p>One of the most commonly cited consumer uses for AR is in gaming, which comprises approximately 43% of Nvidia&#39;s sales. In Q1 of 2023, gaming revenue was a record $3.6 billion, good for a 31% year-over-year increase. One of the Nvidia products that led to this growth was its Nvidia RTX technology, which can help deliver AR experiences over 5G networks. As AR expands in the gaming space, Nvidia stands to benefit from the secular tailwinds.</p><p>Even after the tech sell-off we&#39;ve seen this year, Nvidia trades at a premium, with its current P/E at 41. However, that is the lowest that multiple has been since late 2019. Nvidia grew its revenue more than 46%, is profitable, and generated more than $1 billion in free cash flow in Q1, so this premium price is to be expected.</p><h2><b>Which is the better buy?</b></h2><p>From a valuation standpoint, it could be argued that Apple is a bargain at its current valuation. That said, until we see an actual AR product, its role in this emerging technology is uncertain. For that reason, I think Nvidia is the better AR stock. It&#39;s already producing the chips that are powering AR technologies in a variety of industries and doesn&#39;t rely on one consumer product for its AR exposure. For investors who feel the premium valuation is worth it, Nvidia is my pick for the better augmented reality stock.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Augmented Reality Stock: Apple vs. Nvidia</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Augmented Reality Stock: Apple vs. Nvidia\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-02 10:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/01/better-augmented-reality-stock-apple-vs-nvidia/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSApple's long-rumored AR device may be just around the corner.Nvidia is already powering AR across a variety of settings.In the technology sector, there are always new trends and fads, each ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/01/better-augmented-reality-stock-apple-vs-nvidia/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/01/better-augmented-reality-stock-apple-vs-nvidia/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248681169","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple's long-rumored AR device may be just around the corner.Nvidia is already powering AR across a variety of settings.In the technology sector, there are always new trends and fads, each with the promise of becoming \"the next big thing.\" One of the more prominent emerging technologies over the past several years has been augmented reality (AR). Put simply, AR is the ability to combine the real world with a digital one. Two prominent examples of this technology are the popular mobile game Pokémon Go and the app Snapchat.Because there are already use cases for AR, it's easy to see this as more of an ongoing trend than a passing fad. Therefore, it's natural for future-minded investors to seek ways to invest in the space. There are two companies that I think are particularly well positioned to be at the center of AR for years to come: Apple and Nvidia. Let's see which is the better stock to own.1. AppleAlready one of the largest companies in the world, Apple has made an indelible mark on our society with its line of consumer electronics like phones, tablets, smartwatches, and computers. Part of what has made Apple so successful is its ability to consistently innovate and enter new product lines. At any given time, there are numerous rumors swirling around about what might be Apple's next big product.Apple has long been expected to release some kind of AR product, likely in the form of glasses or goggles. Recently, Apple CEO Tim Cook made comments that seem to indicate something may be on the horizon, teasing, \"I couldn't be more excited about the opportunities we've seen in this space. And sort of stay tuned and you'll see what we have to offer.\"To be clear, rumors and vague interview comments are not an investing thesis, but Apple does have a track record of launching new products that go on to see great success. Additionally, Apple has been a player in this space for years, introducing AR capabilities on its iPhone and iPad starting in 2017.Even without a confirmed AR product, Apple continues to be a good investment. In the second quarter of 2022, Apple posted a record $93.7 billion in quarterly revenue, a 9% year-over-year increase. That comes on top of 54% revenue growth in the year-ago quarter, and was driven by year-over-year growth in every product category other than the iPad. Additionally, Apple is trading for a price to earnings (P/E) multiple of 23, which is slightly below the S&P 500's average of 24.2. NvidiaFrom its start building PC graphics cards, Nvidia has grown to be a leading provider of chips for a variety of use cases, including gaming, data centers, and the automotive industry. As it pertains to AR, Nvidia's technology is already being used in a variety of ways by large enterprise customers. Nvidia's chips are powering virtual car showrooms, surgical training, and architectural walkthroughs, showing the everyday use cases for this technology.One of the most commonly cited consumer uses for AR is in gaming, which comprises approximately 43% of Nvidia's sales. In Q1 of 2023, gaming revenue was a record $3.6 billion, good for a 31% year-over-year increase. One of the Nvidia products that led to this growth was its Nvidia RTX technology, which can help deliver AR experiences over 5G networks. As AR expands in the gaming space, Nvidia stands to benefit from the secular tailwinds.Even after the tech sell-off we've seen this year, Nvidia trades at a premium, with its current P/E at 41. However, that is the lowest that multiple has been since late 2019. Nvidia grew its revenue more than 46%, is profitable, and generated more than $1 billion in free cash flow in Q1, so this premium price is to be expected.Which is the better buy?From a valuation standpoint, it could be argued that Apple is a bargain at its current valuation. That said, until we see an actual AR product, its role in this emerging technology is uncertain. For that reason, I think Nvidia is the better AR stock. It's already producing the chips that are powering AR technologies in a variety of industries and doesn't rely on one consumer product for its AR exposure. For investors who feel the premium valuation is worth it, Nvidia is my pick for the better augmented reality stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045774017,"gmtCreate":1656665976239,"gmtModify":1676535874028,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045774017","repostId":"1102372049","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102372049","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656664923,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102372049?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 16:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart | Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022; Energy Was the Only Winner","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102372049","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - U","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - Ukraine war, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory, with the S&amp;P 500 declining 20.58%, notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.</p><p>The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop tumbling 29.51%, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962, crashing 15.31%.</p><p>Meanwhile, VIX soared nearly 67% in H1 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5815e5fb2947c5dfc11deaac3cc7dfdd\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Energy Sector Was the Only Winner</b></p><p>From the perspective of 11 S&amp;P500 sectors, energy was the only winner with a 23.95% gain, aided by crude prices spiking oversupply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Meanwhile, five S&amp;P500 sectors fell over 20% in H1 2022, the technology sector was the biggest loser with a 34.01% decline due to the Fed&#39;s rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc7a7e6e0586095a533d78147d8304d\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>&#34;All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,&#34; said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. &#34;I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?&#34;</p><p>&#34;I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,&#34; Kim added.</p><p><b>Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022 As Recession Fears Rose</b></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c0816c071e146939a083f4f43042ef4\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Mega-cap companies also experienced a hard time in H1 2022. Nvidia was the biggest loser in the top 10 U.S. companies, tumbling 48.46%; Tesla was kicked out of the $1 trillion clubs after crashing 36.29%, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon slid 20%. However, UnitedHealth and J&amp;J were the winners by rising 2.29% and 3.76%, separately.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Musk spoke about the possibility of an upcoming recession. He expected the economy to suffer for 12 to 18 months and noted that companies with a negative cash flow needed to fold in order for this to happen so that they can &#34;stop consuming resources.&#34;</p><p>Musk himself is feeling the pressure— in early June, he wrote an email to Tesla employees saying he had a &#34;super bad feeling&#34; about the state of the economy and planned to cut 10% of the company&#39;s total workforce.</p><p>This week, Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg delivered the news to employees delivering a pointed warning that coincides with a wave of layoffs at Australian startups.</p><p>“If I had to bet, I’d say that this might be one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” said Zuckerberg.</p><p>Meta had initially planned to hire 10,000 new engineers in 2022, Zuckerberg said. In addition to reducing hiring, the company was leaving certain positions unfilled in response to attrition and “turning up the heat” on performance management to weed out staffers unable to meet more aggressive goals, he said. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here,” Zuckerberg said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart | Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022; Energy Was the Only Winner</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart | Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022; Energy Was the Only Winner\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-01 16:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - Ukraine war, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory, with the S&amp;P 500 declining 20.58%, notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.</p><p>The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop tumbling 29.51%, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962, crashing 15.31%.</p><p>Meanwhile, VIX soared nearly 67% in H1 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5815e5fb2947c5dfc11deaac3cc7dfdd\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Energy Sector Was the Only Winner</b></p><p>From the perspective of 11 S&amp;P500 sectors, energy was the only winner with a 23.95% gain, aided by crude prices spiking oversupply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Meanwhile, five S&amp;P500 sectors fell over 20% in H1 2022, the technology sector was the biggest loser with a 34.01% decline due to the Fed&#39;s rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc7a7e6e0586095a533d78147d8304d\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>&#34;All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,&#34; said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. &#34;I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?&#34;</p><p>&#34;I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,&#34; Kim added.</p><p><b>Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022 As Recession Fears Rose</b></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c0816c071e146939a083f4f43042ef4\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Mega-cap companies also experienced a hard time in H1 2022. Nvidia was the biggest loser in the top 10 U.S. companies, tumbling 48.46%; Tesla was kicked out of the $1 trillion clubs after crashing 36.29%, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon slid 20%. However, UnitedHealth and J&amp;J were the winners by rising 2.29% and 3.76%, separately.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Musk spoke about the possibility of an upcoming recession. He expected the economy to suffer for 12 to 18 months and noted that companies with a negative cash flow needed to fold in order for this to happen so that they can &#34;stop consuming resources.&#34;</p><p>Musk himself is feeling the pressure— in early June, he wrote an email to Tesla employees saying he had a &#34;super bad feeling&#34; about the state of the economy and planned to cut 10% of the company&#39;s total workforce.</p><p>This week, Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg delivered the news to employees delivering a pointed warning that coincides with a wave of layoffs at Australian startups.</p><p>“If I had to bet, I’d say that this might be one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” said Zuckerberg.</p><p>Meta had initially planned to hire 10,000 new engineers in 2022, Zuckerberg said. In addition to reducing hiring, the company was leaving certain positions unfilled in response to attrition and “turning up the heat” on performance management to weed out staffers unable to meet more aggressive goals, he said. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here,” Zuckerberg said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPL":"苹果","JNJ":"强生","V":"Visa","MSFT":"微软",".DJI":"道琼斯","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","UNH":"联合健康",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102372049","content_text":"In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - Ukraine war, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory, with the S&P 500 declining 20.58%, notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop tumbling 29.51%, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962, crashing 15.31%.Meanwhile, VIX soared nearly 67% in H1 2022.Energy Sector Was the Only WinnerFrom the perspective of 11 S&P500 sectors, energy was the only winner with a 23.95% gain, aided by crude prices spiking oversupply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.Meanwhile, five S&P500 sectors fell over 20% in H1 2022, the technology sector was the biggest loser with a 34.01% decline due to the Fed's rate hikes.\"All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,\" said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. \"I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?\"\"I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,\" Kim added.Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022 As Recession Fears RoseMega-cap companies also experienced a hard time in H1 2022. Nvidia was the biggest loser in the top 10 U.S. companies, tumbling 48.46%; Tesla was kicked out of the $1 trillion clubs after crashing 36.29%, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon slid 20%. However, UnitedHealth and J&J were the winners by rising 2.29% and 3.76%, separately.Moreover, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Musk spoke about the possibility of an upcoming recession. He expected the economy to suffer for 12 to 18 months and noted that companies with a negative cash flow needed to fold in order for this to happen so that they can \"stop consuming resources.\"Musk himself is feeling the pressure— in early June, he wrote an email to Tesla employees saying he had a \"super bad feeling\" about the state of the economy and planned to cut 10% of the company's total workforce.This week, Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg delivered the news to employees delivering a pointed warning that coincides with a wave of layoffs at Australian startups.“If I had to bet, I’d say that this might be one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” said Zuckerberg.Meta had initially planned to hire 10,000 new engineers in 2022, Zuckerberg said. In addition to reducing hiring, the company was leaving certain positions unfilled in response to attrition and “turning up the heat” on performance management to weed out staffers unable to meet more aggressive goals, he said. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here,” Zuckerberg said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045697939,"gmtCreate":1656603458921,"gmtModify":1676535861607,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045697939","repostId":"1198352533","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198352533","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656592265,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198352533?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-30 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Rose 4.7% in May, around Multi-Decade Highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198352533","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Inflation held at stubbornly high levels in May, though the monthly increased was slightly less than","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Inflation held at stubbornly high levels in May, though the monthly increased was slightly less than expected, according to a gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve.</p><p>Core personal consumption expenditures prices rose 4.7% from a year ago, 0.2 percentage points less than the previous month but still around levels last seen in the 1980s. Wall Street had been looking for a reading around 4.8%.</p><p>On monthly basis, the measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3%, slightly less than the 0.4% Dow Jones estimate.</p><p>Headline inflation, however, shot higher, rising 0.6% for the month, much faster than the 0.2% gain in April. That kept year-over-year inflation at 6.3%, the same as in April and down slightly from March’s 6.6%, which was the highest reading since January 1982.</p><p>In addition, the report reflected pressures on consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of all economic activity in the U.S.</p><p>While personal income rose 0.5% in May, ahead of the 0.4% estimate, income after taxes and other charges, or disposable personal income, declined 0.1%. Spending adjusted for inflation fell 0.4%, a sharp drop from the 0.3% gain in April.</p><p>The personal saving rate edged higher, rising to 5.4%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month.</p><p>Fed officials are watching the data closely as they seek to control runaway inflation. Central bank policymakers generally watch core inflation more closely because they believe monetary policy is less effective at controlling the ups and downs of gas and grocery prices.</p><p>However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said in recent days that he also is watching headline numbers closely as well as gas prices average about $4.86 a gallon.</p><p>The consumer price index, which measures a broad range of goods and services and is more closely watched by the public, rose 8.6% in May, its highest level since late 1981.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Rose 4.7% in May, around Multi-Decade Highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Rose 4.7% in May, around Multi-Decade Highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-30 20:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Inflation held at stubbornly high levels in May, though the monthly increased was slightly less than expected, according to a gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve.</p><p>Core personal consumption expenditures prices rose 4.7% from a year ago, 0.2 percentage points less than the previous month but still around levels last seen in the 1980s. Wall Street had been looking for a reading around 4.8%.</p><p>On monthly basis, the measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3%, slightly less than the 0.4% Dow Jones estimate.</p><p>Headline inflation, however, shot higher, rising 0.6% for the month, much faster than the 0.2% gain in April. That kept year-over-year inflation at 6.3%, the same as in April and down slightly from March’s 6.6%, which was the highest reading since January 1982.</p><p>In addition, the report reflected pressures on consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of all economic activity in the U.S.</p><p>While personal income rose 0.5% in May, ahead of the 0.4% estimate, income after taxes and other charges, or disposable personal income, declined 0.1%. Spending adjusted for inflation fell 0.4%, a sharp drop from the 0.3% gain in April.</p><p>The personal saving rate edged higher, rising to 5.4%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month.</p><p>Fed officials are watching the data closely as they seek to control runaway inflation. Central bank policymakers generally watch core inflation more closely because they believe monetary policy is less effective at controlling the ups and downs of gas and grocery prices.</p><p>However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said in recent days that he also is watching headline numbers closely as well as gas prices average about $4.86 a gallon.</p><p>The consumer price index, which measures a broad range of goods and services and is more closely watched by the public, rose 8.6% in May, its highest level since late 1981.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198352533","content_text":"Inflation held at stubbornly high levels in May, though the monthly increased was slightly less than expected, according to a gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve.Core personal consumption expenditures prices rose 4.7% from a year ago, 0.2 percentage points less than the previous month but still around levels last seen in the 1980s. Wall Street had been looking for a reading around 4.8%.On monthly basis, the measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3%, slightly less than the 0.4% Dow Jones estimate.Headline inflation, however, shot higher, rising 0.6% for the month, much faster than the 0.2% gain in April. That kept year-over-year inflation at 6.3%, the same as in April and down slightly from March’s 6.6%, which was the highest reading since January 1982.In addition, the report reflected pressures on consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of all economic activity in the U.S.While personal income rose 0.5% in May, ahead of the 0.4% estimate, income after taxes and other charges, or disposable personal income, declined 0.1%. Spending adjusted for inflation fell 0.4%, a sharp drop from the 0.3% gain in April.The personal saving rate edged higher, rising to 5.4%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month.Fed officials are watching the data closely as they seek to control runaway inflation. Central bank policymakers generally watch core inflation more closely because they believe monetary policy is less effective at controlling the ups and downs of gas and grocery prices.However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said in recent days that he also is watching headline numbers closely as well as gas prices average about $4.86 a gallon.The consumer price index, which measures a broad range of goods and services and is more closely watched by the public, rose 8.6% in May, its highest level since late 1981.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042561016,"gmtCreate":1656500914835,"gmtModify":1676535841105,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042561016","repostId":"1155818917","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155818917","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656499630,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155818917?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-29 18:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Mester: Some Risk Longer-Term Inflation Expectations Continue to Rise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155818917","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - There is risk in the United States that businesses and households could see price pressu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - There is risk in the United States that businesses and households could see price pressures persisting for a long time and central bankers must act resolutely to bring inflation down, Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester said on Wednesday.</p><p>&#34;The fact that the salient prices of gasoline and food remain elevated suggests that there is some risk that longer-term inflation expectations of households and businesses will continue to rise,&#34; Mester told the European Central Bank&#39;s annual forum in Sintra, Portugal.</p><p>&#34;Central banks will need to be resolute and intentional in taking actions to bring inflation down,&#34; she said.</p><p>Earlier on Wednesday, Mester told CNBC that if economic conditions remain the same, she will push for a 75 basis point interest rate rise at the U.S. central bank&#39;s next policy meeting on July 26-27, as the Fed more swiftly tightens financial conditions to curb price pressures running at more than three times its 2% target</p><p>Two weeks ago, the Fed raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point - its biggest increase since 1994 - to a range of 1.50% to 1.75%, and signaled its policy rate would rise to 3.4% by the end of this year.</p><p>It also flagged its upcoming meeting would bring either a 50 or 75 basis point increase as officials debate how quickly they need to get rates to a level designed to restrict economic activity.</p><p>Policymakers cited a poor inflation expectations reading ahead of the last meeting as part of the reason they delivered the bigger-than-expected increase of 75 basis points, amid fears household and business expectations of price increases were drifting further away from the Fed&#39;s goal.</p><p>In her remarks, Mester cautioned against complacency by central banks globally after years in which inflation struggled to rise above their goals and noted that policymakers&#39; actions are an important element in keeping expectations anchored.</p><p>&#34;The more costly error is assuming inflation expectations are anchored when they are not,&#34; Mester said.</p><p>&#34;Inflation expectations are determined not only by movements in inflation but also by policymakers&#39; actions to follow through on their strongly stated commitment to return inflation to its longer-run goal.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Mester: Some Risk Longer-Term Inflation Expectations Continue to Rise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Mester: Some Risk Longer-Term Inflation Expectations Continue to Rise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-29 18:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - There is risk in the United States that businesses and households could see price pressures persisting for a long time and central bankers must act resolutely to bring inflation down, Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester said on Wednesday.</p><p>&#34;The fact that the salient prices of gasoline and food remain elevated suggests that there is some risk that longer-term inflation expectations of households and businesses will continue to rise,&#34; Mester told the European Central Bank&#39;s annual forum in Sintra, Portugal.</p><p>&#34;Central banks will need to be resolute and intentional in taking actions to bring inflation down,&#34; she said.</p><p>Earlier on Wednesday, Mester told CNBC that if economic conditions remain the same, she will push for a 75 basis point interest rate rise at the U.S. central bank&#39;s next policy meeting on July 26-27, as the Fed more swiftly tightens financial conditions to curb price pressures running at more than three times its 2% target</p><p>Two weeks ago, the Fed raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point - its biggest increase since 1994 - to a range of 1.50% to 1.75%, and signaled its policy rate would rise to 3.4% by the end of this year.</p><p>It also flagged its upcoming meeting would bring either a 50 or 75 basis point increase as officials debate how quickly they need to get rates to a level designed to restrict economic activity.</p><p>Policymakers cited a poor inflation expectations reading ahead of the last meeting as part of the reason they delivered the bigger-than-expected increase of 75 basis points, amid fears household and business expectations of price increases were drifting further away from the Fed&#39;s goal.</p><p>In her remarks, Mester cautioned against complacency by central banks globally after years in which inflation struggled to rise above their goals and noted that policymakers&#39; actions are an important element in keeping expectations anchored.</p><p>&#34;The more costly error is assuming inflation expectations are anchored when they are not,&#34; Mester said.</p><p>&#34;Inflation expectations are determined not only by movements in inflation but also by policymakers&#39; actions to follow through on their strongly stated commitment to return inflation to its longer-run goal.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155818917","content_text":"(Reuters) - There is risk in the United States that businesses and households could see price pressures persisting for a long time and central bankers must act resolutely to bring inflation down, Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester said on Wednesday.\"The fact that the salient prices of gasoline and food remain elevated suggests that there is some risk that longer-term inflation expectations of households and businesses will continue to rise,\" Mester told the European Central Bank's annual forum in Sintra, Portugal.\"Central banks will need to be resolute and intentional in taking actions to bring inflation down,\" she said.Earlier on Wednesday, Mester told CNBC that if economic conditions remain the same, she will push for a 75 basis point interest rate rise at the U.S. central bank's next policy meeting on July 26-27, as the Fed more swiftly tightens financial conditions to curb price pressures running at more than three times its 2% targetTwo weeks ago, the Fed raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point - its biggest increase since 1994 - to a range of 1.50% to 1.75%, and signaled its policy rate would rise to 3.4% by the end of this year.It also flagged its upcoming meeting would bring either a 50 or 75 basis point increase as officials debate how quickly they need to get rates to a level designed to restrict economic activity.Policymakers cited a poor inflation expectations reading ahead of the last meeting as part of the reason they delivered the bigger-than-expected increase of 75 basis points, amid fears household and business expectations of price increases were drifting further away from the Fed's goal.In her remarks, Mester cautioned against complacency by central banks globally after years in which inflation struggled to rise above their goals and noted that policymakers' actions are an important element in keeping expectations anchored.\"The more costly error is assuming inflation expectations are anchored when they are not,\" Mester said.\"Inflation expectations are determined not only by movements in inflation but also by policymakers' actions to follow through on their strongly stated commitment to return inflation to its longer-run goal.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046831110,"gmtCreate":1656325470930,"gmtModify":1676535806252,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9046831110","repostId":"1189103894","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189103894","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656320720,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189103894?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-27 17:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tencent, JD.com, NIKE, BioNTech SE, Jefferies And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189103894","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Naspers subsidiary Prosus NV sold more than 131.8 million shares in JD.com it got from Tencent Holdi","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Naspers subsidiary Prosus NV sold more than 131.8 million shares in <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a></b> it got from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCEHY\">Tencent Holding Ltd.</a>,</b> about a 4% stake in the online retailer, Prosus said in a statement. “JD.com does not form part of the group’s core strategic focus,” it said in a filing Monday. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a></b> jumped over 5% in premarket trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>NIKE, Inc.</b> to report quarterly earnings at $0.81 per share on revenue of $12.07 billion after the closing bell. Nike shares fell 0.1% to $112.76 in after-hours trading.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>&#39;s two investigational omicron-specific COVID-19 vaccines elicited robust immune response against the strain and its subvariants, according to data from a phase 2/3 study released June 25. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b> rose nearly 5% in premarket trading.</li><li><b>Borqs Technologies, Inc.</b> reported a 1-for-16 reverse stock split, effective June 27. Borqs Technologies shares dipped 16.7% to $0.1480 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>Jefferies Financial Group Inc.</b> to have earned $0.51 per share on revenue of $1.26 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. Jefferies Financial shares fell 0.1% to $27.82 in after-hours trading.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.</b> reported the acquisition of a DaVita Kidney Care property for $2.2 million. FCPT shares gained 1.6% to close at $27.06 on Friday.</li><li>Analysts expect <b>Concentrix Corporation</b> to post quarterly earnings at $2.84 per share on revenue of $1.58 billion after the closing bell. Concentrix shares slipped 0.1% to $145.24 in after-hours trading.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tencent, JD.com, NIKE, BioNTech SE, Jefferies And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTencent, JD.com, NIKE, BioNTech SE, Jefferies And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-27 17:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/06/27857026/nike-jefferies-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-monday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Naspers subsidiary Prosus NV sold more than 131.8 million shares in JD.com it got from Tencent Holding Ltd., about a 4% stake in the online retailer, Prosus said in a statement. “JD.com does not form ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/06/27857026/nike-jefferies-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-monday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JD":"京东","BRQS":"播思科技","NKE":"耐克","CNXC":"Concentrix Corp","JEF":"杰富瑞","FCPT":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/06/27857026/nike-jefferies-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-monday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189103894","content_text":"Naspers subsidiary Prosus NV sold more than 131.8 million shares in JD.com it got from Tencent Holding Ltd., about a 4% stake in the online retailer, Prosus said in a statement. “JD.com does not form part of the group’s core strategic focus,” it said in a filing Monday. JD.com jumped over 5% in premarket trading.Wall Street expects NIKE, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $0.81 per share on revenue of $12.07 billion after the closing bell. Nike shares fell 0.1% to $112.76 in after-hours trading.Pfizer and BioNTech SE's two investigational omicron-specific COVID-19 vaccines elicited robust immune response against the strain and its subvariants, according to data from a phase 2/3 study released June 25. BioNTech SE rose nearly 5% in premarket trading.Borqs Technologies, Inc. reported a 1-for-16 reverse stock split, effective June 27. Borqs Technologies shares dipped 16.7% to $0.1480 in the after-hours trading session.Analysts are expecting Jefferies Financial Group Inc. to have earned $0.51 per share on revenue of $1.26 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. Jefferies Financial shares fell 0.1% to $27.82 in after-hours trading.Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported the acquisition of a DaVita Kidney Care property for $2.2 million. FCPT shares gained 1.6% to close at $27.06 on Friday.Analysts expect Concentrix Corporation to post quarterly earnings at $2.84 per share on revenue of $1.58 billion after the closing bell. Concentrix shares slipped 0.1% to $145.24 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048719366,"gmtCreate":1656258371355,"gmtModify":1676535793665,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048719366","repostId":"1191010488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191010488","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656202469,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191010488?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-26 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett's 4 Rules for Investing in a Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191010488","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as theS&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dipthat bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's managed through 12 more bear markets not including this one.Despite those downturns, Buffett has managed to create billions in value for himself and the shareholders of the company he runs,Berkshire Hathaway. If any investor is qualified to share wisdom on investing in bear markets, it's Buffett.So it m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as the S&amp;P 500 was on its way to a 35% dip that bottomed in 1942. Since then, he&#39;s managed through 12 more bear markets not including this one.</p><p>Despite those downturns, Buffett has managed to create billions in value for himself and the shareholders of the company he runs, Berkshire Hathaway. If any investor is qualified to share wisdom on investing in bear markets, it&#39;s Buffett.</p><p>So it makes sense to lean on his expertise to get through this tough climate with your wealth intact, right? To get you started, here are four of Buffett&#39;s famous rules for investing in a bear market.</p><p>1. Buy quality merchandise on sale</p><blockquote><i>&#34;Whether we&#39;re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.&#34;</i></blockquote><p>Buffett invests in high-quality businesses -- companies with a proven ability to create shareholder value through all economic climates. In his view, bear markets provide opportunities to buy these quality stocks at lower prices.</p><p>As an example, Buffett&#39;s response earlier this year to the tech stock sell-off was to buy more of his favorite technology company, Apple. Although Apple already comprised more than 40% of Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s portfolio, Buffett bought another 3.78 million shares.</p><p>You can mimic his strategy by identifying stocks you love for their long-term prospects. If your budget allows, increase your investing activity and pad your share counts while prices remain low.</p><p>2. Hold forever</p><blockquote><i>&#34;Our favorite holding period is forever.&#34;</i></blockquote><p>When you buy stocks you&#39;d like to hold forever, bear markets become far less stressful. Since your plan is to hold for the long run, you don&#39;t have to do anything when the market goes sideways. No reshuffling your portfolio and no guessing when share prices will bottom out. Your only job is to wait.</p><p>3. Stay calm</p><blockquote><i>&#34;The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect.&#34;</i></blockquote><p>It&#39;s normal and useful to second-guess your &#34;hold forever&#34; plan when circumstances change. Certainly, there will be times when you should drop a stock you thought was a keeper.</p><p>The distinction you must make is whether circumstances have changed permanently or temporarily. And that&#39;s easier to do when you can analyze what&#39;s happening calmly and rationally. If you let your emotions take over, they can convince you to scrap your plan, cut your losses, or take some other dramatic action that&#39;s sure to dampen your long-term returns.</p><p>4. Keep your distance</p><p>Buffett said this when asked what advice he had for investors in tough markets:<i>&#34;I would tell them: Don&#39;t watch the market too closely.&#34;</i></p><p>Let&#39;s say you&#39;re confident that your &#34;hold forever&#34; stocks can withstand a temporary bear market. And for that reason, you&#39;re not going to react to falling share prices. In that scenario, what&#39;s the benefit of tracking every bump along the way? There isn&#39;t one.</p><p>It&#39;s OK to keep some distance from financial headlines when the market is going crazy. Consider it a survival strategy that helps you stay calm and stick to your investing plan.</p><p>Buy or do nothing</p><p>When a bear market sets in, you&#39;ll see Buffett mostly buy or hold. If you&#39;re questioning whether those are the right moves for your portfolio, remember this: Buffett is worth about $95 billion, and he has invested through more bear markets than almost anyone. His tactics can help you emerge from this bear market stronger and wealthier than ever.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's 4 Rules for Investing in a Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's 4 Rules for Investing in a Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-26 08:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1943735/how-to-pick-great-value-stocks-like-warren-buffett?art_rec=home-home-top_stories-ID01-txt-1943735><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as the S&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dip that bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1943735/how-to-pick-great-value-stocks-like-warren-buffett?art_rec=home-home-top_stories-ID01-txt-1943735\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1943735/how-to-pick-great-value-stocks-like-warren-buffett?art_rec=home-home-top_stories-ID01-txt-1943735","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191010488","content_text":"Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as the S&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dip that bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's managed through 12 more bear markets not including this one.Despite those downturns, Buffett has managed to create billions in value for himself and the shareholders of the company he runs, Berkshire Hathaway. If any investor is qualified to share wisdom on investing in bear markets, it's Buffett.So it makes sense to lean on his expertise to get through this tough climate with your wealth intact, right? To get you started, here are four of Buffett's famous rules for investing in a bear market.1. Buy quality merchandise on sale\"Whether we're talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.\"Buffett invests in high-quality businesses -- companies with a proven ability to create shareholder value through all economic climates. In his view, bear markets provide opportunities to buy these quality stocks at lower prices.As an example, Buffett's response earlier this year to the tech stock sell-off was to buy more of his favorite technology company, Apple. Although Apple already comprised more than 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, Buffett bought another 3.78 million shares.You can mimic his strategy by identifying stocks you love for their long-term prospects. If your budget allows, increase your investing activity and pad your share counts while prices remain low.2. Hold forever\"Our favorite holding period is forever.\"When you buy stocks you'd like to hold forever, bear markets become far less stressful. Since your plan is to hold for the long run, you don't have to do anything when the market goes sideways. No reshuffling your portfolio and no guessing when share prices will bottom out. Your only job is to wait.3. Stay calm\"The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect.\"It's normal and useful to second-guess your \"hold forever\" plan when circumstances change. Certainly, there will be times when you should drop a stock you thought was a keeper.The distinction you must make is whether circumstances have changed permanently or temporarily. And that's easier to do when you can analyze what's happening calmly and rationally. If you let your emotions take over, they can convince you to scrap your plan, cut your losses, or take some other dramatic action that's sure to dampen your long-term returns.4. Keep your distanceBuffett said this when asked what advice he had for investors in tough markets:\"I would tell them: Don't watch the market too closely.\"Let's say you're confident that your \"hold forever\" stocks can withstand a temporary bear market. And for that reason, you're not going to react to falling share prices. In that scenario, what's the benefit of tracking every bump along the way? There isn't one.It's OK to keep some distance from financial headlines when the market is going crazy. Consider it a survival strategy that helps you stay calm and stick to your investing plan.Buy or do nothingWhen a bear market sets in, you'll see Buffett mostly buy or hold. If you're questioning whether those are the right moves for your portfolio, remember this: Buffett is worth about $95 billion, and he has invested through more bear markets than almost anyone. His tactics can help you emerge from this bear market stronger and wealthier than ever.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048109930,"gmtCreate":1656152342220,"gmtModify":1676535777368,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048109930","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4581":"高盛持仓","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BCS":"巴克莱银行","BK4521":"英国银行股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","C":"花旗","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","JPM":"摩根大通","UBS":"瑞银","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041436376,"gmtCreate":1656083625595,"gmtModify":1676535764897,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041436376","repostId":"1143013850","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143013850","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656075988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143013850?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-24 21:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 42% From Its High, Could Tesla Stock Rebound After Its Stock Split?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143013850","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"This electric car company is battling supply chain issues and rising costs.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Tesla recently announced plans for a 3-for-1 stock split, pending a shareholder vote in August.</li><li>Stock splits occasionally result in share price appreciation.</li><li>Macroeconomic headwinds have hindered Tesla throughout the second quarter.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> is planning a 3-for-1 stock split, according to a recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Of course, the company still needs to obtain the approval of shareholders -- the measure will be put to a vote at the annual meeting on Aug. 4 -- but many investors are already excited about the implications.</p><p>While stock splits have no direct impact on business performance, they do reduce the price of each share, which makes the stock more accessible to retail investors. That occasionally translates into price appreciation, simply because new investors start buying. And with Tesla down 42% from its high, a post-split rebound probably sounds pretty good to shareholders.</p><p>Unfortunately, stock splits don&#39;t always trigger price appreciation, and there are several other variables at play.</p><p><b>Tesla is facing headwinds</b></p><p>Tesla was firing on all cylinders in the first quarter. Despite supply chain disruptions and the rising cost of materials, the company still managed to grow vehicle production and deliveries by 69% and 68%, respectively. In turn, Tesla once again topped the market in terms of electric car sales, capturing a 15.5% market share.</p><p>That led to stellar first-quarter financial results. Revenue skyrocketed 81% to $18.8 billion,operating margin expanded more than 13 percentage points to 19.2%, andGAAPearnings soared more than sevenfold to $2.86 per diluted share. So why is the stock down?</p><p>The market tends to be forward-looking, and investors are worried about what they see on the horizon. First, pandemic-related lockdowns in China resulted in a 22-day closure at Gigafactory Shanghai, and 18 of those days fell in the second quarter.</p><p>Second, supply chain issues slowed the reopening of Gigafactory Shanghai, with production falling as low as 200 vehicles on at least one day in May, according to Reuters. For context, Tesla churned out about 1,200 vehicles per day in China in late April. Collectively, those issues may result in lower-than-expected production numbers for the second quarter.</p><p>More broadly, many would-be buyers might delay purchasing a new car in the current macroeconomic environment. Rising interest rates make auto loans less attractive, and rampant inflationhas already led Tesla to raise its vehicle prices several times this year. In the near term, those headwinds could put downward pressure on Tesla&#39;s share price, especially if the company fails to impress Wall Street with its second-quarter results.</p><p>Countless variables factor into a stock&#39;s price at any given moment, which makes it virtually impossible to forecast short-term price action. More importantly, splitting a stock is like cutting a cake. The number of slices has no impact on the desirability of the cake, and the number of shares has no impact on the value of the company.</p><p>That being said, patient investors should consider picking up a few shares of Tesla right now.</p><p><b>Tesla has an ambitious vision</b></p><p>Tesla has made tremendous progress in terms of manufacturing efficiency. The company posted an industry-leading operating margin of 14.6% in the third quarter of 2021, and that figure has only gone up from there. Better yet, Tesla is well-positioned to maintain or even improve its efficiency in the coming years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d6392e3198fc1bc9f7169a336dcd7f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: TESLA</span></p><p>The company recently began outfitting the Model Y with 4680 battery cells, a proprietary product that promises to reduce production costs by 56% and boost range by 54%. That&#39;s especially impressive because Tesla already pays less than any other automaker to build its current battery packs, and battery packs are the most expensive part of an electric car. In other words, Tesla is working to reinforce its cost advantage.</p><p>The company is also ramping production at the new Gigafactories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany. Those efforts will likely drag on margins in the near term, but a European presence should reduce logistics costs and make Tesla more profitable in the long run.</p><p>However, Tesla&#39;s greatest source of profitability will eventually be full self-driving (FSD) technology, according to CEO Elon Musk. Tesla has a robotaxi slated for production in 2024, and it plans to start an autonomous ride hailing platform once its FSD software is ready for action.</p><p>For context, Ark Invest believes autonomous ride hailing platforms will generate $2 trillion in annual profits by 2030. Of course, that number is theoretical at this point, but it supports Musk&#39;s assertion that FSD will be the long-term profit driver.</p><p>Tesla currently trades at 96 times earnings, an outlandish valuation when compared to other automakers. But if the company successfully executes on its ambitious vision, the current share price may look like a bargain a decade down the road. For that reason, I think it&#39;s OK to buy this growth stock right now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 42% From Its High, Could Tesla Stock Rebound After Its Stock Split?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 42% From Its High, Could Tesla Stock Rebound After Its Stock Split?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-24 21:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/24/down-42-could-tesla-rebound-after-its-stock-split/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla recently announced plans for a 3-for-1 stock split, pending a shareholder vote in August.Stock splits occasionally result in share price appreciation.Macroeconomic headwinds have ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/24/down-42-could-tesla-rebound-after-its-stock-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/24/down-42-could-tesla-rebound-after-its-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143013850","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla recently announced plans for a 3-for-1 stock split, pending a shareholder vote in August.Stock splits occasionally result in share price appreciation.Macroeconomic headwinds have hindered Tesla throughout the second quarter.Tesla is planning a 3-for-1 stock split, according to a recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Of course, the company still needs to obtain the approval of shareholders -- the measure will be put to a vote at the annual meeting on Aug. 4 -- but many investors are already excited about the implications.While stock splits have no direct impact on business performance, they do reduce the price of each share, which makes the stock more accessible to retail investors. That occasionally translates into price appreciation, simply because new investors start buying. And with Tesla down 42% from its high, a post-split rebound probably sounds pretty good to shareholders.Unfortunately, stock splits don't always trigger price appreciation, and there are several other variables at play.Tesla is facing headwindsTesla was firing on all cylinders in the first quarter. Despite supply chain disruptions and the rising cost of materials, the company still managed to grow vehicle production and deliveries by 69% and 68%, respectively. In turn, Tesla once again topped the market in terms of electric car sales, capturing a 15.5% market share.That led to stellar first-quarter financial results. Revenue skyrocketed 81% to $18.8 billion,operating margin expanded more than 13 percentage points to 19.2%, andGAAPearnings soared more than sevenfold to $2.86 per diluted share. So why is the stock down?The market tends to be forward-looking, and investors are worried about what they see on the horizon. First, pandemic-related lockdowns in China resulted in a 22-day closure at Gigafactory Shanghai, and 18 of those days fell in the second quarter.Second, supply chain issues slowed the reopening of Gigafactory Shanghai, with production falling as low as 200 vehicles on at least one day in May, according to Reuters. For context, Tesla churned out about 1,200 vehicles per day in China in late April. Collectively, those issues may result in lower-than-expected production numbers for the second quarter.More broadly, many would-be buyers might delay purchasing a new car in the current macroeconomic environment. Rising interest rates make auto loans less attractive, and rampant inflationhas already led Tesla to raise its vehicle prices several times this year. In the near term, those headwinds could put downward pressure on Tesla's share price, especially if the company fails to impress Wall Street with its second-quarter results.Countless variables factor into a stock's price at any given moment, which makes it virtually impossible to forecast short-term price action. More importantly, splitting a stock is like cutting a cake. The number of slices has no impact on the desirability of the cake, and the number of shares has no impact on the value of the company.That being said, patient investors should consider picking up a few shares of Tesla right now.Tesla has an ambitious visionTesla has made tremendous progress in terms of manufacturing efficiency. The company posted an industry-leading operating margin of 14.6% in the third quarter of 2021, and that figure has only gone up from there. Better yet, Tesla is well-positioned to maintain or even improve its efficiency in the coming years.IMAGE SOURCE: TESLAThe company recently began outfitting the Model Y with 4680 battery cells, a proprietary product that promises to reduce production costs by 56% and boost range by 54%. That's especially impressive because Tesla already pays less than any other automaker to build its current battery packs, and battery packs are the most expensive part of an electric car. In other words, Tesla is working to reinforce its cost advantage.The company is also ramping production at the new Gigafactories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany. Those efforts will likely drag on margins in the near term, but a European presence should reduce logistics costs and make Tesla more profitable in the long run.However, Tesla's greatest source of profitability will eventually be full self-driving (FSD) technology, according to CEO Elon Musk. Tesla has a robotaxi slated for production in 2024, and it plans to start an autonomous ride hailing platform once its FSD software is ready for action.For context, Ark Invest believes autonomous ride hailing platforms will generate $2 trillion in annual profits by 2030. Of course, that number is theoretical at this point, but it supports Musk's assertion that FSD will be the long-term profit driver.Tesla currently trades at 96 times earnings, an outlandish valuation when compared to other automakers. But if the company successfully executes on its ambitious vision, the current share price may look like a bargain a decade down the road. For that reason, I think it's OK to buy this growth stock right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9043746148,"gmtCreate":1655971454484,"gmtModify":1676535742920,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9043746148","repostId":"1106238377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106238377","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655967665,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106238377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-23 15:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Twitter Stock Rebound To $50?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106238377","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTwitter has been in the news recently, but for all the wrong reasons.Fake news and political ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Twitter has been in the news recently, but for all the wrong reasons.</li><li>Fake news and political mayhem resulted in President Trump being banned from the platform.</li><li>Jack Dorsey, the man who conceptualized Twitter and twice served as its CEO dramatically quit and left the company.</li><li>The share price collapsed and is currently trading below its 2013 IPO price, despite a top line CAGR of 29% over that period.</li><li>Elon Musk has acquired a 10% stake and is attempting a take-over. But what is really going on? Is Twitter a good investment opportunity? We’ll answer all of these questions and more.</li></ul><p><b>What’s The History Of Twitter?</b></p><p>You need to understand the history of Twitter in order to evaluate it as an investment, so don’t skip this part!</p><p>Contrary to popular belief, Twitter was not founded by Jack Dorsey.</p><p>Twitter Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) was born out of a podcasting company called Odeo in 2006, which in turn had been founded by Evan Williams and Noah Glass.</p><p>Shortly after Odeo was launched Apple launched its own podcasting service which presented a strategic dilemma for Williams and Glass. What to do?</p><p>In the event, what they did was to pivot. They bought into a pitch that one of their junior employees, Jack Dorsey, had made. The idea was to launch a group messaging service and this ultimately became Twitter.</p><p>So far, so good.</p><p>The Twitter idea was based around SMS text messaging. Bear in mind that this is before the iPhone existed and so predates smart phones generally. In those days, and of critical importance, SMS messages were limited to 140 characters and enabled one-to-one communication. In 2006 group communication wasn’t a thing and social networking was embryonic. So it is fair to say that the Twitter concept was well ahead of its time.</p><p>You may be thinking to yourself that today we have Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and other group messaging services, so Twitter has become marginalized and had squandered its opportunity to claim dominance in this space.</p><p>If so, you have missed a critical element in the Twitter investment thesis.</p><p>Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, LinkedIn and other social media platforms focus on the user interacting with his or her existing network of friends, family or work place acquaintances.</p><p>Twitter is different. It focuses on the user interacting with complete strangers based on common interests and, more importantly, intelligence and information sharing.</p><p>I cannot overstate the importance of this distinction.</p><p>My wife loves Facebook because it allows her to keep up with what Kim Kardashian had for breakfast or who Britney Spears is marrying this week. It allows her to look at the vacation photographs of her old school friends. In short, it is a quasi-voyeuristic means of wasting time. It is no more productive than watching reality TV shows. It is great for people with too much time on their hands. In terms of productivity, while some people promote their business interests on Facebook, for most people it is an unproductive means of spending time. One might argue that it serves as a distraction from spending time productively doing something else, and so it destroys productivity generally.</p><p>Twitter is different. It is the go to place for people wanting to share ideas and knowledge. Said differently, it is a tool that is used to create productive value. It is the electronic town-square where the intelligentsia congregate. It is the social media hub preferred by politicians, journalists, financiers, business people and other educated influential people.</p><p>Until he was banned, Donald Trump used Twitter as his primary means of communication to drive public relations. Today it is still favoured by Barack Obama (who is at the head of the leader board with 132 million followers), President Biden, Elon Musk, Bill Gates and so many others. The Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi is the most followed Asian person on Twitter. None of these people waste their day on Facebook or Instagram or TikTok.</p><p>If you are interested in sport and music, Twitter is the place that the stars tend to make big announcements. These include Justin Bieber, Katy Perry, Rihanna, Cristiano Ronaldo, Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, Lady Gaga, Shakira, LeBron James to name but a few. All of these people have millions of followers on Twitter.</p><p>In short, news is being made on Twitter all of the time. Announcements are being made on Twitter. Valuable opinions are being shared on Twitter. Most of the activity on Twitter is productive activity.</p><p>On Twitter you will form a network of people with whom you are not acquainted and with whom you are highly unlikely to ever be acquainted, but with whom you have overlapping interests. It is a place to share thoughts and opinions, where one might seek information and knowledge amongst strangers. In this regard it is the electronic version of ancient Athens where people would gather to listen to the likes of Socrates and Plato, to challenge ideas and to debate.</p><p>So, Twitter is not in competition with Facebook and other social media platforms because it offers something entirely different. It is, to a large extent, enjoying a monopoly in the niche in which it operates.</p><p>Interestingly, Twitter (market cap $28bn) is currently approximately 5% the size of Facebook (market cap $460bn), but in terms of societal relevance and importance it is arguably higher up the scale.</p><p>Facebook has 1.6 billion daily users, while Twitter has close to 250 million. That suggests a huge untapped TAM for Twitter to capture.</p><p>So, you may ask:</p><ul><li><p>Why has Twitter’s share price stagnated since IPO while other social media platforms have sky-rocketed in value?</p></li><li><p>Is there still an opportunity to unlock explosive growth? If so, what is the investment thesis moving forward?</p></li></ul><p>These are exactly the questions that you ought to be asking. This article presents the answers.</p><p><b>Why Is The Twitter Share Price Down?</b></p><p>The answer to this loaded question is that the share price may now be lower than it was at Twitter’s IPO in 2013, but the value of the company has increased significantly over the same period.</p><p>Following Twitter’s IPO in November of 2013, the first trade was a little over $45. Today, while I write this article, it trades for less than that ($38 to be precise). So in the eight and a half years since Twitter went public, its share price is down and early investors are very unhappy.</p><p>To put this in context, the last decade has seen the most lax monetary policy with an expansion in money supply and negative real term interest rates, all of which has acted as an accelerator for IT based intangible asset heavy companies to flourish.</p><p>Even after the huge correction of 2022, Facebook (META) isup350% over the period from November 2013 to today (from $50 to $175), while Twitter is down 15% ($45 to $38). So what gives?</p><p>The problem was not so much with the business or indeed its subsequent performance, but with the share price. While Twitter is arguably under-priced today (more on this later), it was vastly over-priced in 2013. Investors back at the IPO had no chance of making any kind of reasonable return in the short to medium term because a decade of future growth was already baked into the share price. Said differently, the intrinsic value of the business needed the best part of ten years to catch up with the over-inflated market valuation.</p><p>I always remind myself that investing in a great company at the wrong price makes for a poor investment. This kept me away from Twitter over the last decade.</p><p>However, now it appears that the share price may be below intrinsic value and so for the first time I am now becoming interested in this investment opportunity.</p><p><b>What’s The Problem With Twitter?</b></p><p>Despite having a virtual monopoly in the space in which it operates, and having had a first mover advantage, the performance of the Twitter management team has been poor. This can be broken down into specific failings:</p><ol><li><p><b>Big Egos In The Way of Good Business</b></p><p>Twitter has been a victim of over inflated egos for 15 years. When Dorsey suggested that Odeo pivot to an SMS messaging service in 2006 (see first part of this article), Williams and Glass bought into the idea and Jack was named CEO. After that, rather than working together, these over inflated egos were locked in conflict with each other. There have been books written about it. Dorsey was fired in 2008 and Evan Williams, the Odeo founder, took control. In 2009, Williams brought one of his friends, DickCostolo, in to Twitter as COO. Believe it or not, Costololanded at Twitter and sent his first Tweet which read: &#34;<i>First full day, Twitter COO tomorrow. Task number one, undermine CEO, consolidate power</i>.&#34;  Initially it was taken as a joke but, truth is stranger than fiction, and in October 2010 Williams was fired by the venture capital firms backing the business and he is replaced by… you guessed it, Costolo. So Dick Costolo serves as the CEO until 2015. At that point, Costolo is pushed out and guess who comes back as CEO now?! Jack Dorsey. What a mess! By this point Dorsey was also acting CEO of his other listed company, Square (now called Block). It is fair to ask if anyone has the capacity to effectively manage two public tech companies. I would argue not. In any event, had there not been so much back-stabbing, and if Dorsey had been CEO from the beginning to see his vision through, then it may all have been very different. After all, many of the most successful tech companies were founder led: think Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Steve Jobs. But the story doesn’t end there. There are more twists to this saga. By 2019 activist investors Elliot and Silver Lake were involved in the business. They recognised that Twitter had so much untapped potential and so they sought to unlock its true value. The changes that they introduced (more on this later) were very positive, but they culminated in Jack Dorsey resigning at the end of 2021 and leaving the company the very same day without serving any notice. Did he really leave voluntarily or was he pushed? Who cares? So, the good news is that the big egos have now all gone and the business is in the hands of shrewd capitalists which bodes well for the future.</p></li><li><p><b>Corporate Greed At The Expense of Shareholders</b></p><p>Stock Based Compensation has been abused at Twitter. In the period 2014 to 2019 (6 years), Twitter’s SBC totalled $3.1 billion which was 20.3% of its top line revenue and 170% of its reported EBITDA! Rather than the company being run for the benefit of its shareholders (the way that it is supposed to work), US tech companies, such as Twitter, are being run for the benefit of their over paid management teams who are syphoning off money in the form of SBC in order to enrich themselves at the expense of shareholders. Twitter did repurchase $245 million of common stock in 2020, but issued almost double that in stock based compensation so arguably the buy back was simply used to mask the SBC abuse. So while Twitter shareholders have seen a negative capital return since the 2013 IPO, Jack Dorsey has gone from being a humble employee on a regular wage to becoming a billionaire. I hear you objecting that he invented Twitter and so deserves a payback. Others may be objecting that he has made some of his wealth from his other company Square. Well, in response to the first objection, Dorsey’s net worth was $2.2bn on the day of the Twitter IPO and that was his payback for his invention. There was no need to treat the company as a cash cow for employees. In response to the second objection, Square was the product of his financial windfall from Twitter and so without one there would not be the other. In any event, Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index calculated Dorsey’s net worth in 2022 at $12.3bn and so between the IPO and today Dorsey has seen his wealth increase by 500% while his shareholders have watched the IPO share price of $45 drop to $38, a loss of 15%. Is that right? I’ll leave you to make up your own mind! My opinion, for what its worth, is that SBC is a wealth transfer from shareholders to senior management and ought to be the subject of very strict regulation because it amounts to market abuse.</p></li><li><p><b>Poor Corporate Culture</b></p><p>Twitter had low staff morale and high employee turnover. This made it difficult to hire or retain the best people.</p></li><li><p><b>Trolls</b></p><p>The platform was not well policed and was mired with people harassing and abusing each other. It actually began to lose users and had negative revenue growth in 2017 as a result.</p></li><li><p><b>Bad Tech Infrastructure</b></p><p>The tech stack was poorly designed which meant that development was dangerous. Essentially, the way that modern IT businesses operate is that they build modular components into a tech stack that combines to form the overall product. If one module is changed and encounters an issue, the rest of the stack is unaffected and the business can continue. However, at Twitter there was effectively a single module and so a small change could have destabilised the entire platform. Consequently, the safest course of action was simply to maintain the status quo and to make as few changes as possible. In fact, in almost a decade to 2020 there were really only two primary enhancements. The first was a doubling in the number of characters that make up a Tweet from 140 to 280; and second, the timeline changed from being chronological to being algorithmic which enabled it to feel a little more relevant for users. The look and feel was largely unchanged and an unevolved platform has hindered Twitter in its ability to grow and to better engage its user base.</p></li></ol><p><b>Is Twitter A Failing Company?</b></p><p>Answering this loaded question, the answer is categorically “No”. In fact, the opposite is true. Twitter is a company going from strength to strength.</p><p>To his credit, when he returned in 2015, Dorsey recognised some of the key failings at the company and in the period 2017-2021 he focused on an organizational shake-up. There were four pillars of improvement at the heart of his plan:</p><ol><li><p>Improving employee talent and morale</p></li><li><p>Increasing the focus of the team</p></li><li><p>Cleaning up abuse and harassment on the platform, and</p></li><li><p>Rebuilding the tech stack in a modular configuration and simultaneously adding new functionality (more on this later)</p></li></ol><p>Dorsey’s efforts were rewarded and the health of the business began to improve. Revenue growth returned in 2018, and user growth accelerated in 2019.</p><p>Operating margins turned positive for the first time in the company’s history in 2017 which was a significant milestone.</p><p>Fast forward to today and top line revenue is up 7.9x on where it was at its IPO (CAGR 29%) and more than double where it was in 2017</p><p>Today Twitter is arguably a far better business than it has ever been in its lifetime, yet ironically it is available at the lowest share price!</p><p>However, don’t go and click that buy button on the screen just yet. An intelligent investor buys based on fundamentals not on price action. Just because it is trading lower now than it has in the past does not mean that it is a great investment.</p><p>The key reason for the under-performance of the share price was that the IPO price was way too rich. Twitter was trading at 52x sales back then. Utter madness and there is a lesson to be learned there. As I said earlier, my number one rule is that even a great company at the wrong price makes for a poor investment. At 52x sales, if the company was able to perform the impossible and convert all of its top line revenue into profit (implying zero costs, zero tax and zero financing costs) then the investor would only see a 1.9% earnings yield on investment. Not even close to the hurdle rate for an intelligent investor. Layer on costs, taxes and financing costs and the return promised by the company at IPO based on a silly valuation was negative. It should come as no surprise then that early investors have experienced a capital loss on investment over the past 10 years.</p><p>From its IPO to today, Twitter achieved top line growth of 688.5% (from $665m to $5.2bn). However, the total return seen by shareholders was -3.1% (yes that is negative). In other words, ten years worth of 29% compounded annual growth was already baked in to the IPO price. Said differently, investors at the IPO gave away 10 years worth of 29% compounded growth by over paying back then! Ouch!</p><p>Twitter is on target to generate $6bn of revenue this year and it has a $30bn enterprise value, so it is available at a far more reasonable 5x sales today, although against recent operating margins and profit margins it is still not necessarily a bargain. The big question is how far can the turnaround take it and how much margin expansion is achievable?</p><p>In order to answer that question, we need to understand the Twitter business model.</p><p><b>What is the Twitter Business Model?</b></p><p>There are two types of people on Twitter: the user and the creator. Creators put quality content onto the platform and so attract the users. It is something of a fly-wheel situation. Twitter provides creators with the tools that they need to attract their followers. More users means more reason for creators to produce content. This leads to more followers and it attracts more users, and so on. That is the Twitter moat. It has a fantastic network effect. The key creators have literally millions of Twitter followers which is a valuable thing. Followers are what creators crave because that results in influence, power and the opportunity to monetize the user base.</p><p>Barack Obama can send his thoughts and ideas to 132 million people with the click of a button. Why would he or any other creator give that up to use an alternative platform? They wouldn’t. Twitter has an entrenched position, a wide moat. It’s very difficult for a competitor to take that away from Twitter now.</p><p>Most users of the platform don’t pay to use it. That means that the users are not the customers but the commodity. Twitter monetizes them through advertising (circa 90% of revenue). The balancing 10% of the top line comes from Twitter reselling aggregated user data and by providing user tools on a SaaS basis at a reasonably high margin.</p><p>That&#39;s it in a nutshell, that&#39;s the business.</p><p><b>Who Runs Twitter?</b></p><p>The board of directors is very strong and looks like this currently:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4ea5086ec0ad8bcbdf3fe992921e35a\" tg-width=\"435\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Twitter Board of Directors(Twitter)</p><p>Although Jack Dorsey is no longer the CEO, he is still on the board of directors.</p><p>Jack Dorsey’s sudden and unexpected resignation as CEO sent a shock wave through the market. Most CEOs give notice to leave and stay for an orderly handover to their successor. Bear in mind that Dorsey owns over 2.25% of Twitter and so it would be in his interest to remove all friction from the transition process. But that’s not what he does. Instead he says,&#34;I&#39;m done today, and the new CEO is Parag Agrawal.&#34; That kind of behaviour does not inspire confidence and so the share price was hit.</p><p>As you know, market sentiment follows market narrative. The narrative follows the stock price. The stock price has been a disaster and so the backwards-looking narrative is negative, as is sentiment. Twitter needs to dig itself out of this hole but the actions of Mr Dorsey only made it worse.</p><p>The business is now being guided, at least in part, by activist investors Elliott Management Corp and Silver Lake. They are both heavily invested and were instrumental in the turn around of the business so far.</p><p>The company is trying to reinvent the narrative and at the end of 2021, Elliott issued the following statement:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d14fa3c0b678b00340135b0f0f0483b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Elliott Management statement on Twitter(CNBC)</p><p>Back to the change of CEO story, Mr Agrawal, previously the CTO at Twitter, was largely an unknown quantity to shareholders. So that didn’t help allay concerns of shareholders. However, I take comfort in the fact that a very competent board approved of the new CEO.</p><p>It is also worth pointing out that Bret Taylor was appointed chairman of Twitter at the same time. He is highly respected in Silicon Valley and he is co-CEO of the very successful Salesforce.</p><p>I’m not concerned about the departure of Dorsey. In the first instance, he needed guidance from activist investors to really begin the process of turning the business around. Second, he seems to have an enormous ego, which is not a good trait for a CEO. Third, he presided over what I describe as outrageous abuse of stock based compensation at the company. Fourth, he is CEO at Block (formerly Square), and there is no way one person can properly manage two public tech companies.</p><p>Mark Zuckerberg once described Twitter as “the clown car in the gold mine” because it had squandered such a wonderful gold plated opportunity in the past.</p><p>Now that the clowns are gone it has the best chance to achieve its true potential.</p><p><b>How Will Twitter Evolve?</b></p><p>In the future, in order to drive value, Twitter needs to focus on three core KPIs:</p><ol><li><p>User acquisition (expand its user base)</p></li><li><p>Generate more user engagement</p></li><li><p>Drive more revenue per unit of engagement</p></li></ol><p>I’ll explain how it is addressing this challenge.</p><p>The first iteration of Twitter, which didn’t change until recently, made it challenging to sign up, to sign in and to get going. Navigation wasn’t easy and finding people with common interests to connect with was challenging. This friction acted as an impediment to growth.</p><p>However, this is all changing.</p><ul><li><p>Now users can use a Google ID or Apple ID to sign in quickly and easily.</p></li><li><p>Twitter uses algorithms to do all of the heavy lifting. For example, recently Twitter addressed this issue with a feature called Topics. In the past, if you wanted to learn more about your favourite football team then you needed to fish around Twitter to find people who were publishing information on your team. Today you simply click the Topic that you like, so the name of the football team, and the rest happens automatically. Not only that, but the platform now suggests Topics based on your activity. Far less friction which is great for user acquisition and engagement.</p></li><li><p>Once on the service, Twitter provides users with an incentive to come back more frequently and to spend more time on the platform. This means connecting users to the content that they love, content that they cannot find elsewhere. Referring back to the fly-wheel mentioned earlier, this means making it easy for creators to produce engaging content and Twitter is enhancing its suite of tools for creators.</p></li></ul><p>This is all driving user engagement and increasing user numbers. This then needs to be monetized.</p><p>To increase revenue per engagement requires using machine learning to better understand what users are looking for and to deliver timely, targeted, quality adverts. Google is the master of this. Rather than just flashing up brand recognition adverts in a scatter-gun approach (like the pitch side adverts at the Super Bowl), instead they use a sniper rifle to target specific users and attempt to drive a purchase through a call to action, otherwise known as direct response advertising. This is higher margin advertising because the return on advertising spend (ROAS) is so much higher due to the targeting.</p><p>Targeted advertising is easier today with the Topics feature mentioned earlier because Twitter is now being told by users what they are most interested in. No need to second guess by reading between the lines which is what Facebook and Google do. So Twitter has a real advantage in that regard.</p><p>Twitter currently has approximately a 5% market share in advertising from large brands but has less than 0.5% of the advertising market from Small and Medium sized Enterprises ((SMEs)). The latter is where it needs to focus its attention. This goes back to the point made earlier about brand advertising versus transactional advertising linked to e-commerce.</p><p>None of this is difficult. It simply requires the focus of good management. SMEs need the tools provided by Twitter to design and deploy their own advertising campaigns and choose how to target them. Twitter can do the rest.</p><p>So far we have looked at enhancing the business as it is. But we can also layer on top of that commercial opportunities that have not been properly exploited.</p><p>Top of that list is subscriptions. Twitter has two different kinds of subscriptions:</p><ol><li><p>Creator subscriptions enable charges to be levied by people creating valuable compelling content. So, you may be prepared to subscribe to the Twitter feed of The New York Times for example, or your favourite sports commentator. Most of this revenue goes to the creator and so this is less of a top-line boost for Twitter, but it does create a strong incentive for creators to fuel the fly-wheel by constantly producing great content in order to protect the subscription revenue. This indirectly benefits Twitter through greater user engagement.</p></li><li><p>Premium feature subscriptions. This is offering software as a service called Twitter Blue in the form of creator tools. It is interesting that if a creator is earning good money from his or her creator subscriptions then they will want to subscribe to Twitter premium tools. And so not only is Twitter taking a percentage of the creator subscription, but it is also, indirectly, taking another piece of it in the form of premium feature subscriptions. SaaS business has high operating leverage and so this is very high margin, recurring revenue, and largely untapped today. In this bucket we also need to consider Tweet Deck which was acquired by Twitter about a decade ago. It is effectively a power tool for people who spend their entire day on Twitter. Historically it has been offered as a value added free service, no idea why but perhaps it is because it has seen very little investment for over eight years. However, Twitter has revamped Tweet Deck and will be rolling it out on a fee paying subscription basis. So even more high margin business. All of this helps push average margins up (more on this later).</p></li></ol><p>The next untapped opportunity is the ability to transact seamlessly inside the platform. This removes friction and creates more user engagement. It also feeds directly off the SME advertising push. E-commerce is a huge opportunity.</p><p>Finally, we need to look at all of this in terms of ARPU (average revenue per user) because Twitter has an opportunity to push this number significantly higher.</p><p>Facebook has a more diverse user base. Its users come from all walks of life and all demographics. By contrast, not everyone uses Twitter. Instead it appeals to a niche of the market. Twitter users are typically more affluent, higher income and higher educated people than Facebook users. Against that backdrop one would expect Twitter to generate a higher ARPU than Facebook, but it doesn’t. Facebook is generating more than three times the revenue per user.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dc15568766d55aa464f7b9c19bba966\" tg-width=\"636\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>ARPU social media companies(PostBeyond.com)</p><p>So, think about this. If Twitter is only able to match Facebook in terms of ARPU in the future, then that means revenue growth of 300%. Given that Twitter has a more affluent user base and arguably more valuable content, there is no reason to think that it can’t exceed the Facebook ARPU.</p><p>Twitter has, finally, moved to an innovation phase. Over the last couple of years they have been playing with a raft of new services from e-commerce, recorded audio, live audio, subscription services sold by Twitter (not the creators) and professional profiles that are not dissimilar to LinkedIn. It has the user base to expand in all of these areas and from which it is able to increase its ARPU from non-advertising revenue.</p><p>So if we add the non-advertising revenue to the opportunity that Twitter has to increase its targeted advertising as discussed above, this starts to look super interesting.</p><p>Twitter is not only growing again but its growth is accelerating.</p><p>COVID-19 certainly provided a much needed boost for Twitter, but it is still growing users at a double digit rate.</p><p>It doesn’t take a genius to work out that if ARPU grows and user numbers grow then you benefit from a multiplicative effect.</p><p><b>Is Twitter A Good Investment?</b></p><p>First, it is important to know why Twitter has been a bad investment historically so that you are able to understand why it may be better in the future.</p><p>The first trade post IPO was at $45.10 and today the stock trades closer to $38.00, which is a total annual return of -2.12% (Twitter doesn’t pay dividends)</p><p>Let’s break out the fundamental reasons why investors have seen a such a poor return on their investment. Since IPO:</p><ul><li><p>Revenue has grown 688.5% (this is where the good news ends for shareholders)</p></li><li><p>The share count has expanded by 27.9% (diluting shareholders)</p></li><li><p>Adjusted owner earnings margins have declined by 90.2% (not good for shareholder returns)</p></li><li><p>The over inflated IPO sales multiple has contracted by 89.4% (destroying shareholder value)</p></li></ul><p>The cumulative effect of all of this (the mathematics is beyond the scope of this article but know this, it is a multiplicative function) means that on total return basis sales growth contributed 2.66% to total returns over the period while the dilution shaved 0.38% off that number, the declining margins shaved 2.27% off that number and the multiple contraction shaved 2.13% off that number.</p><p>2.66% - 0.38% - 2.27% - 2.13% =<i>-2.12%</i>CAGR from IPO to now (-17% Total Return from IPO until today)</p><p>This has seen the share price slide from $45 at IPO down to $37 and change today.</p><p>So, what does this mean for the future?</p><p><b>What’s The Fair Value of Twitter?</b></p><p>In 2018 and 2019, prior to its heavy growth investment today, EBITDA margins were over 20% but today they have been compressed to 10.4%. Now consider that Facebook has an EBITDA margin near 45% and you can imagine how much margin expansion is possible for Twitter. It should certainly be able to expand its margin to around 25% after the heavy investment in turning the business around is complete. So this is our first bull case assumption.</p><p>We know that Twitter targets to expand its user base aggressively, to increase its user engagement and to increase its ARPU - the latter two will see a benefit flowing both from the new users plus more engagement from existing users.</p><p>Targets set by Twitter at the beginning of 2021 were that by the end of 2023 it aims to have 315m daily active users (the number was 200m when the target was set so that’s an aggressive number), but it is moving in the right direction finding itself in the mid 200s today (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ff7957561f0b530113b6ff748e7ebd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Twitter daily active users(Statistica)</p><p>The revenue target for the end of 2023 was set at $7.5bn. It was $3.7bn at the end of 2020 when the target was set and $5.1bn a year later at the end of 2021, so it appears on track to achieve this.</p><p>Twitter may actually exceed its target numbers. So, let’s say that by the end of 2023 it achieves its 315m users. Twitters annual ARPU is approximately $25 in North America, but if we assume a 10% uplift to $27.50 (which is easily achievable given that Facebook achieves $62 ARPU in North America) then that gets us to $8.7bn top line revenue well ahead of target.</p><p>Alternatively, at an ARPU of $27.50 if Twitter hits its $7.5bn target then it only needs to increase its daily active users to 273m rather than the 315m.</p><p>Either way, let us use the $7.5bn top line number as our second assumption.</p><p>It seems appropriate at this juncture to quickly deal with the noise created by Elon Musk in relation to fake accounts and bots being active on Twitter. I am discounting that noise because it washes out in my numbers. Allow me to explain. If the actual number of active daily real users is lower than our assumptions then the ARPU per real user must be higher because our ARPU numbers are based on the number of users (the two are inextricably linked). We are assuming a 10% increase on ARPU and so it doesn’t matter what the starting point really is, a 10% uplift is a 10% uplift. The result is the same.</p><p>The final assumption is the multiple. Twitter currently trades on a difficult to justify 5x sales multiple. Even if it achieves a very ambitious profit margin of 25%, then that means an earnings yield for the investor of only 5%. Inflation is pushing risk free rates higher and so earnings yields will need to move the same way. This would suggest a multiple contraction rather than an expansion in coming years.</p><p>Although Twitter is nowhere close to a 25% margin today, bear in mind that it is a business that invests heavily on in-house development of intangible assets. These are off balance sheet assets due to international accounting standards which means that they are expensed immediately rather than being amortized over time. Expensed investment steepens the shareholder return curve. It depresses the front end but boosts the back end. This is because investments that are all paid for today will yield benefits for years to come and so there is a mismatch between the accounting treatment of revenues and of costs. In other words, after the investments have been made, operating leverage should kick-in.</p><p>So let’s stick to a very ambitious 25% forward profit margin. This is our final assumption.</p><p>Today the Enterprise Value of Twitter is $30bn, so if it hits its $7.5bn top line target by the end of 2023 and the sales multiple contracts to 3x (in line with its peers and producing an 8% earnings yield against an assumed profit margin of 25%), you arrive at an enterprise value closer to $22.5bn.</p><p>Looking at it slightly differently, $7.5bn top line and a 25% profit margin (very optimistic) gives $1.875bn earnings. Apply an earnings multiple of perhaps 12x (which implies an earnings yield of 8.5%) and we come out at $22.5bn market cap.</p><p>Why would you pay $30bn for this business today when it is likely to be worth only $22.5bn in two years time (implying a valuation today of $19bn on an NPV basis at a discount rate of 8.5%).</p><p>And all of this assumes that Twitter hits its very ambitious targets.</p><p>In February this year Twitter announced a $4bn share buyback program but stock repurchases are only accretive to shareholder value if the price being paid for the shares is less than its intrinsic value (the accretion is the positive differential). Share buy backs at over inflated prices destroy shareholder value and are often only used to mask excessive SBC. (This is a fascinating area of corporate finance which too few investors understand. The detail is beyond the scope of this article but I dedicate a chapter of my book to this topic if anyone is interested in learning more.)</p><p>In any event, we seem to have established that the market valuation of Twitter is beyond its intrinsic value and so the $4bn stock buy back announcement at these over inflated levels is in fact bad news for investors.</p><p><b>How does Twitter compare to Peers Including Facebook?</b></p><p>We have already looked at the differences in the business models from a qualitative perspective, but it is also useful to compare financial fundamentals on a peer-to-peer basis. I’ve brought Snapchat (SNAP) and Pinterest (PINS) in to the mix for comparative purposes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5d34fcd0ef2f01f55516e2517dd85ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Twitter Facebook Pinterest Snapchat Compared(Author&#39;s Analysis)</p><p>Allow me to talk you through this table.</p><p>The top part in yellow is the standard sized analysis. Very useful for comparing businesses operating on a different scale.</p><p>Essentially, we are looking at inputs and outputs on the basis of each $100 worth of sales.</p><p>Twitter is the most capital intensive company and, by my calculations, needs $145 worth of capital to generate $100 of sales. Snapchat and Facebook are at similar levels closer to $100 of capital per $100 of sales. Pinterest is the winner here and is very capital light requiring only $33 of capital to generate the same $100 of sales.</p><p>From that $100 of revenue, both Facebook and Pinterest generate a similar level of around $80 of gross profit. Snapchat and Twitter trail behind as they only convert around $60 of sales into gross revenue.</p><p>Now we have allocation of capital to consider.</p><p>I have split these out into Maintenance Capital and Growth Capital. Both Twitter and Pinterest appear to be investing heavily in growth and so I have assumed a ratio of 1:2. Looking at the financial reports of Facebook and Snapchat it appears that they have a more even split and so I have used a 1:1 ratio. None of this is particularly material to this high level analysis, but I wanted to explain the presentation.</p><p>Either way, the deduction of Maintenance Capital and Growth Capital from Gross Profit gives us the EBIT number.</p><p>Facebook is the clear leader here having generated nearly $37 of EBIT from every $100 of sales. Pinterest comes second, but doesn’t even achieve half of the Facebook EBIT number at about the $15 level.</p><p>It is worth pointing out here that although Pinterest only achieved $15 of EBIT, it did it with $33 of invested capital. Facebook generated a far better $37 of EBIT, but it needed $102 of invested capital to achieve it. Turning this on its head, for every $102 of invested capital at Pinterest it will generate $45 of EBIT. From this perspective, Pinterest is arguably the better business (whether you prefer Pinterest or Facebook as an investment at this stage is down to personal preference but whichever way you go, both of these businesses look far more attractive than either Twitter or Snapchat).</p><p>Twitter is investing heavily and so its EBIT number is barely positive now, but this will change as soon as the turnaround investment is complete and I would expect it to be up in the $15 to $25 range at that point. Snapchat is still a loss making business and so its EBIT number is horribly negative.</p><p>The next line item on my table is SBC. As you can see, for every $100 of sales revenue generated Facebook pays out $8 of SBC, Twitter $13, Pinterest $15 and Snapchat $26. Know this, for Snapchat, if 26% of top line revenue goes out the door into the pockets of employees its very difficult for shareholders to ever generate a good return (perhaps this is one of the reasons that Snapchat is still loss making). In relation to the other three companies, SBC was originally used by tech start-ups as a means of paying employees prior to the point of break even when cash flow was dangerously tight but future prospects were bright. In these circumstances SBC makes some sense. But for a company like Facebook with very strong positive cash flows, it can afford to pay its people with cash and SBC is entirely unnecessary. It misaligns the interests of shareholders and employees because it amounts to a wealth transfer from the former to the latter. Award staff with performance bonuses instead – that aligns interests. SBC is today one of the most abused aspects of corporate finance and it is something I dislike immensely. It is a huge red flag for me when investing (that’s another chapter in my book if you are interested!)</p><p>Next we have performance metrics. Facebook smashes this one out of the park. It generates 3x more revenue per employee than any of the other businesses in our comparison. It also generates more than double the ARPU of Twitter and Pinterest. Snapchat is left in the dust by all three on this measure.</p><p>In terms of financial health, both Pinterest and Facebook utilize very low levels of debt in their business while both Twitter and Snapchat use approximately 50% debt. On a debt to EBITDA basis Facebook is in the best health but Pinterest is not far behind.</p><p>Now we are down in the pink section. We have already established that both Facebook and Pinterest look like the better companies from an investment perspective. Now look at the sales multiple that they trade on. Both similar at 3.1x enterprise value. Twitter by comparison is trading at nearly 5x EV. That makes no sense and confirms what I said earlier in my valuation when I suggested that a 30% to 40% multiple contraction is most likely for Twitter.</p><p>Facebook is the only company of this group that looks to have a fair valuation. Against an EBIT margin of 37% it offers investors an EBIT yield of 11.6%. None of the others meet the hurdle rate for an intelligent investor.</p><p>In terms of top line growth, all are strong but based on an average of the past few years,Pinterestand Snapchat have been the strongest. Twitter is accelerating its growth due to its heavy investment. But it is worth bearing in mind that the bigger a company becomes, the more difficult it is to sustain strong growth. Facebook is by far the biggest company in the group and by a significant order of magnitude. Against this backdrop, 22% top line growth is nothing short of incredible.</p><p>Finally, I’ve included the forward earnings multiple and free cash flow multiple for the sake of completeness. The issue here is that heavy investment by Twitter and Pinterest depresses short term earnings as mentioned earlier, so these are not really very useful comparative indicators on this occasion. However, it is worthy of note that Facebook looks very reasonably priced on these metrics.</p><p><b>Will Elon Musk Buy Twitter?</b></p><p>Should we be concerned about the noise that Musk is making about Twitter and fake accounts? I would say no. My theory goes like this. Musk is often reported to be the richest man in the world. But it is not cash wealth, it is paper wealth. Most of it is tied up in Tesla stock. Musk has publicly stated several times that he believes the stock to be over priced in the market. He actually expressed these opinions on Twitter!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a86cf5957f5ca454aa94d58bd1f6c39b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Elon Musk Tesla Stock Price Too High(CNBC)</p><p>So what do you do if your wealth is tied up in over inflated stock?</p><ul><li><p>He can’t sell the stock on the market because that would cause panic and the share price would collapse.</p></li><li><p>He can’t sell the entire company because no other business would pay such a nonsensical price (Tesla is priced on the market at more than every other auto manufacturer combined and only accounts for 1% of cars manufactured and it has awful profit margins compared to the likes of Toyota, the market leader).</p></li></ul><p>So what would you do?</p><p>The answer is simple. You use your over inflated currency (Tesla stock) to buy another asset, in this case Twitter. Musk fans can’t see what is happening and laud him but this is undoubtedly part of an exit strategy for him to cash in some of his chips.</p><p>So Musk would take Twitter private see through the Twitter turnaround and exit after a few years via another IPO. So he extracts $44bn of value from his Tesla stock without causing the share price to collapse. He then exits in a few years with a large cash payout. If the Twitter value increases then that’s a bonus for him. If not, I don’t think he cares. This is just a special purpose vehicle for converting paper wealth into cash. Genius.</p><p>So why is Musk now making so much noise after having his bid accepted? Well, the value of Tesla stock has collapsed between the acceptance of his Twitter bid and now and so the plan has hit a bump in the road. If he completes the deal now, it won’t be worth as much to him as it was a couple of months ago because his over inflated currency is a little less over inflated. So, my theory is that Musk is playing for time in the hope that the Tesla share price recovers. Just my theory. You may have a different one.</p><p>Either way it doesn’t impact my assessment of the Twitter investment opportunity.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>I conclude this article with my thoughts on whether Twitter is a good investment. On the basis of the case that I have set out above, I would say that there are far better places to put my money right now. I have demonstrated that Facebook, at its current valuation, is one of them.</p><p>Is there any other evidence in support of my conclusion? I believe so and here’s why:</p><ol><li><p>On April 2022 Elon Musk acquired 9.2% of Twitter for approximately $42.67 per share. He then followed up with a bid for the remainder of the company at $54.00 per share. Does this mean that Twitter is worth $54? I would argue not. I have explained why I believe Musk is interested in acquiring Twitter. There is an ulterior motive. I believe that his bid is way higher than the intrinsic value of the business.</p></li><li><p>When someone bids for a public company it usually acts as a catalyst for others to evaluate the opportunity and, more often than not, other bids come in at higher prices and the first bidder is forced to improve. That hasn’t happened with Musk and Twitter. Why? I would suggest that others have looked at it and concluded that Musk is over paying and that they could not improve on his bid.</p></li><li><p>The most sensible fit would be for Facebook to buy Twitter. It could leverage its existing infrastructure to extract more value from Twitter than anyone else. But it has expressed no interest. Such a deal would attract the attention of the competition authorities and may be blocked, but it is worth a try. Twitter is very complimentary to the Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp business franchise. This hasn’t happened either.</p></li><li><p>In the past, both Disney and Salesforce have looked to acquire Twitter but after conducting due diligence they have walked away. It wasn’t the business that put them off. It can only be the market valuation being well above intrinsic value.</p></li><li><p>After Musk made his bid for Twitter it was very quickly accepted by the Twitter board of directors (a very competent group of people). Why? They didn’t attempt to negotiate, they just accepted. Generally that doesn’t happen unless the vendor believes that the price being offered is too good to be true. This view is cemented by the fact that Musk has been making lots of noise about fake accounts and threatening to walk away, but the board of Twitter is holding him firmly to the terms of the deal.</p></li><li><p>If the new CEO believed that there was a great deal of value to be unlocked in the short term then he would want to preside over that transition. Not only would it be lucrative for him, but he would earn the kudos of being the man who made Twitter great again. But he has chosen to accept Musk’s offer instead. This is a compelling argument to suggest that there is no short term upside in Twitter right now.</p></li></ol><p>Alternatively, in order to add balance to this last point I shall put out an alternative theory. In 2011 Agrawal was completing his doctoral studies in computer science at Stanford University. After that he was a salaried employee, one of 7,000 at Twitter. Suddenly, Mr Agrawal finds himself in the top job as CEO at the age of 38. He is earning $12.5m per year in that post and if a takeover happens during his tenure he would be awarded a $60m bonus. If you were Mr Agrawal, would you be tempted to approve the takeover approach regardless of Twitter’s prospects?</p><p>I am certainly not prepared to invest in Twitter at current prices. If the Musk takeover happens then shareholders achieve $54 which is a nice uplift on the present $38 price, but the fact that the gap in prices is so wide suggests to me that the market believes that the most probable outcome is that the deal fails.</p><p>Personally, I would become interested after a multiple contraction to bring the share price down in to the $20 to $25 range. That would be closer to intrinsic value and may introduce some kind of margin of safety. At the current $38 price I believe that there is as much chance of the stock dropping $16 as there is of it climbing by the same amount to Musk’s bid price. In fact, so many people have bought the stock blindly seeking to capitalise on the takeover arbitrage, that a move to the downside is likely to trigger stop losses and push the stock sharply lower.</p><p>I think it highly unlikely that the stock will hold at current levels of $38. It will either jump higher if Musk seals the deal or drop violently if the deal collapses. Perhaps the best trade is a long Twitter straddle position!</p><p>Alternatively, perhaps a long/short position: long META, short TWTR may be worth considering. This is more risky because of the uncertainty around the outcome of the Musk buyout of Twitter.</p><p>I believe that there will be a good opportunity to invest long in Twitter. I simply don’t believe that now is the time.</p><p>I hope that this article has provided you with the information to make up your own mind. It is not to be construed as investment advice, just the humble opinions of the author. Please seek professional investment advice before investing.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Twitter Stock Rebound To $50?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Twitter Stock Rebound To $50?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-23 15:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519752-can-twitter-stock-rebound-to-50?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A17><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTwitter has been in the news recently, but for all the wrong reasons.Fake news and political mayhem resulted in President Trump being banned from the platform.Jack Dorsey, the man who ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519752-can-twitter-stock-rebound-to-50?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A17\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519752-can-twitter-stock-rebound-to-50?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A17","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106238377","content_text":"SummaryTwitter has been in the news recently, but for all the wrong reasons.Fake news and political mayhem resulted in President Trump being banned from the platform.Jack Dorsey, the man who conceptualized Twitter and twice served as its CEO dramatically quit and left the company.The share price collapsed and is currently trading below its 2013 IPO price, despite a top line CAGR of 29% over that period.Elon Musk has acquired a 10% stake and is attempting a take-over. But what is really going on? Is Twitter a good investment opportunity? We’ll answer all of these questions and more.What’s The History Of Twitter?You need to understand the history of Twitter in order to evaluate it as an investment, so don’t skip this part!Contrary to popular belief, Twitter was not founded by Jack Dorsey.Twitter Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) was born out of a podcasting company called Odeo in 2006, which in turn had been founded by Evan Williams and Noah Glass.Shortly after Odeo was launched Apple launched its own podcasting service which presented a strategic dilemma for Williams and Glass. What to do?In the event, what they did was to pivot. They bought into a pitch that one of their junior employees, Jack Dorsey, had made. The idea was to launch a group messaging service and this ultimately became Twitter.So far, so good.The Twitter idea was based around SMS text messaging. Bear in mind that this is before the iPhone existed and so predates smart phones generally. In those days, and of critical importance, SMS messages were limited to 140 characters and enabled one-to-one communication. In 2006 group communication wasn’t a thing and social networking was embryonic. So it is fair to say that the Twitter concept was well ahead of its time.You may be thinking to yourself that today we have Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and other group messaging services, so Twitter has become marginalized and had squandered its opportunity to claim dominance in this space.If so, you have missed a critical element in the Twitter investment thesis.Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, LinkedIn and other social media platforms focus on the user interacting with his or her existing network of friends, family or work place acquaintances.Twitter is different. It focuses on the user interacting with complete strangers based on common interests and, more importantly, intelligence and information sharing.I cannot overstate the importance of this distinction.My wife loves Facebook because it allows her to keep up with what Kim Kardashian had for breakfast or who Britney Spears is marrying this week. It allows her to look at the vacation photographs of her old school friends. In short, it is a quasi-voyeuristic means of wasting time. It is no more productive than watching reality TV shows. It is great for people with too much time on their hands. In terms of productivity, while some people promote their business interests on Facebook, for most people it is an unproductive means of spending time. One might argue that it serves as a distraction from spending time productively doing something else, and so it destroys productivity generally.Twitter is different. It is the go to place for people wanting to share ideas and knowledge. Said differently, it is a tool that is used to create productive value. It is the electronic town-square where the intelligentsia congregate. It is the social media hub preferred by politicians, journalists, financiers, business people and other educated influential people.Until he was banned, Donald Trump used Twitter as his primary means of communication to drive public relations. Today it is still favoured by Barack Obama (who is at the head of the leader board with 132 million followers), President Biden, Elon Musk, Bill Gates and so many others. The Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi is the most followed Asian person on Twitter. None of these people waste their day on Facebook or Instagram or TikTok.If you are interested in sport and music, Twitter is the place that the stars tend to make big announcements. These include Justin Bieber, Katy Perry, Rihanna, Cristiano Ronaldo, Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, Lady Gaga, Shakira, LeBron James to name but a few. All of these people have millions of followers on Twitter.In short, news is being made on Twitter all of the time. Announcements are being made on Twitter. Valuable opinions are being shared on Twitter. Most of the activity on Twitter is productive activity.On Twitter you will form a network of people with whom you are not acquainted and with whom you are highly unlikely to ever be acquainted, but with whom you have overlapping interests. It is a place to share thoughts and opinions, where one might seek information and knowledge amongst strangers. In this regard it is the electronic version of ancient Athens where people would gather to listen to the likes of Socrates and Plato, to challenge ideas and to debate.So, Twitter is not in competition with Facebook and other social media platforms because it offers something entirely different. It is, to a large extent, enjoying a monopoly in the niche in which it operates.Interestingly, Twitter (market cap $28bn) is currently approximately 5% the size of Facebook (market cap $460bn), but in terms of societal relevance and importance it is arguably higher up the scale.Facebook has 1.6 billion daily users, while Twitter has close to 250 million. That suggests a huge untapped TAM for Twitter to capture.So, you may ask:Why has Twitter’s share price stagnated since IPO while other social media platforms have sky-rocketed in value?Is there still an opportunity to unlock explosive growth? If so, what is the investment thesis moving forward?These are exactly the questions that you ought to be asking. This article presents the answers.Why Is The Twitter Share Price Down?The answer to this loaded question is that the share price may now be lower than it was at Twitter’s IPO in 2013, but the value of the company has increased significantly over the same period.Following Twitter’s IPO in November of 2013, the first trade was a little over $45. Today, while I write this article, it trades for less than that ($38 to be precise). So in the eight and a half years since Twitter went public, its share price is down and early investors are very unhappy.To put this in context, the last decade has seen the most lax monetary policy with an expansion in money supply and negative real term interest rates, all of which has acted as an accelerator for IT based intangible asset heavy companies to flourish.Even after the huge correction of 2022, Facebook (META) isup350% over the period from November 2013 to today (from $50 to $175), while Twitter is down 15% ($45 to $38). So what gives?The problem was not so much with the business or indeed its subsequent performance, but with the share price. While Twitter is arguably under-priced today (more on this later), it was vastly over-priced in 2013. Investors back at the IPO had no chance of making any kind of reasonable return in the short to medium term because a decade of future growth was already baked into the share price. Said differently, the intrinsic value of the business needed the best part of ten years to catch up with the over-inflated market valuation.I always remind myself that investing in a great company at the wrong price makes for a poor investment. This kept me away from Twitter over the last decade.However, now it appears that the share price may be below intrinsic value and so for the first time I am now becoming interested in this investment opportunity.What’s The Problem With Twitter?Despite having a virtual monopoly in the space in which it operates, and having had a first mover advantage, the performance of the Twitter management team has been poor. This can be broken down into specific failings:Big Egos In The Way of Good BusinessTwitter has been a victim of over inflated egos for 15 years. When Dorsey suggested that Odeo pivot to an SMS messaging service in 2006 (see first part of this article), Williams and Glass bought into the idea and Jack was named CEO. After that, rather than working together, these over inflated egos were locked in conflict with each other. There have been books written about it. Dorsey was fired in 2008 and Evan Williams, the Odeo founder, took control. In 2009, Williams brought one of his friends, DickCostolo, in to Twitter as COO. Believe it or not, Costololanded at Twitter and sent his first Tweet which read: \"First full day, Twitter COO tomorrow. Task number one, undermine CEO, consolidate power.\"  Initially it was taken as a joke but, truth is stranger than fiction, and in October 2010 Williams was fired by the venture capital firms backing the business and he is replaced by… you guessed it, Costolo. So Dick Costolo serves as the CEO until 2015. At that point, Costolo is pushed out and guess who comes back as CEO now?! Jack Dorsey. What a mess! By this point Dorsey was also acting CEO of his other listed company, Square (now called Block). It is fair to ask if anyone has the capacity to effectively manage two public tech companies. I would argue not. In any event, had there not been so much back-stabbing, and if Dorsey had been CEO from the beginning to see his vision through, then it may all have been very different. After all, many of the most successful tech companies were founder led: think Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Steve Jobs. But the story doesn’t end there. There are more twists to this saga. By 2019 activist investors Elliot and Silver Lake were involved in the business. They recognised that Twitter had so much untapped potential and so they sought to unlock its true value. The changes that they introduced (more on this later) were very positive, but they culminated in Jack Dorsey resigning at the end of 2021 and leaving the company the very same day without serving any notice. Did he really leave voluntarily or was he pushed? Who cares? So, the good news is that the big egos have now all gone and the business is in the hands of shrewd capitalists which bodes well for the future.Corporate Greed At The Expense of ShareholdersStock Based Compensation has been abused at Twitter. In the period 2014 to 2019 (6 years), Twitter’s SBC totalled $3.1 billion which was 20.3% of its top line revenue and 170% of its reported EBITDA! Rather than the company being run for the benefit of its shareholders (the way that it is supposed to work), US tech companies, such as Twitter, are being run for the benefit of their over paid management teams who are syphoning off money in the form of SBC in order to enrich themselves at the expense of shareholders. Twitter did repurchase $245 million of common stock in 2020, but issued almost double that in stock based compensation so arguably the buy back was simply used to mask the SBC abuse. So while Twitter shareholders have seen a negative capital return since the 2013 IPO, Jack Dorsey has gone from being a humble employee on a regular wage to becoming a billionaire. I hear you objecting that he invented Twitter and so deserves a payback. Others may be objecting that he has made some of his wealth from his other company Square. Well, in response to the first objection, Dorsey’s net worth was $2.2bn on the day of the Twitter IPO and that was his payback for his invention. There was no need to treat the company as a cash cow for employees. In response to the second objection, Square was the product of his financial windfall from Twitter and so without one there would not be the other. In any event, Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index calculated Dorsey’s net worth in 2022 at $12.3bn and so between the IPO and today Dorsey has seen his wealth increase by 500% while his shareholders have watched the IPO share price of $45 drop to $38, a loss of 15%. Is that right? I’ll leave you to make up your own mind! My opinion, for what its worth, is that SBC is a wealth transfer from shareholders to senior management and ought to be the subject of very strict regulation because it amounts to market abuse.Poor Corporate CultureTwitter had low staff morale and high employee turnover. This made it difficult to hire or retain the best people.TrollsThe platform was not well policed and was mired with people harassing and abusing each other. It actually began to lose users and had negative revenue growth in 2017 as a result.Bad Tech InfrastructureThe tech stack was poorly designed which meant that development was dangerous. Essentially, the way that modern IT businesses operate is that they build modular components into a tech stack that combines to form the overall product. If one module is changed and encounters an issue, the rest of the stack is unaffected and the business can continue. However, at Twitter there was effectively a single module and so a small change could have destabilised the entire platform. Consequently, the safest course of action was simply to maintain the status quo and to make as few changes as possible. In fact, in almost a decade to 2020 there were really only two primary enhancements. The first was a doubling in the number of characters that make up a Tweet from 140 to 280; and second, the timeline changed from being chronological to being algorithmic which enabled it to feel a little more relevant for users. The look and feel was largely unchanged and an unevolved platform has hindered Twitter in its ability to grow and to better engage its user base.Is Twitter A Failing Company?Answering this loaded question, the answer is categorically “No”. In fact, the opposite is true. Twitter is a company going from strength to strength.To his credit, when he returned in 2015, Dorsey recognised some of the key failings at the company and in the period 2017-2021 he focused on an organizational shake-up. There were four pillars of improvement at the heart of his plan:Improving employee talent and moraleIncreasing the focus of the teamCleaning up abuse and harassment on the platform, andRebuilding the tech stack in a modular configuration and simultaneously adding new functionality (more on this later)Dorsey’s efforts were rewarded and the health of the business began to improve. Revenue growth returned in 2018, and user growth accelerated in 2019.Operating margins turned positive for the first time in the company’s history in 2017 which was a significant milestone.Fast forward to today and top line revenue is up 7.9x on where it was at its IPO (CAGR 29%) and more than double where it was in 2017Today Twitter is arguably a far better business than it has ever been in its lifetime, yet ironically it is available at the lowest share price!However, don’t go and click that buy button on the screen just yet. An intelligent investor buys based on fundamentals not on price action. Just because it is trading lower now than it has in the past does not mean that it is a great investment.The key reason for the under-performance of the share price was that the IPO price was way too rich. Twitter was trading at 52x sales back then. Utter madness and there is a lesson to be learned there. As I said earlier, my number one rule is that even a great company at the wrong price makes for a poor investment. At 52x sales, if the company was able to perform the impossible and convert all of its top line revenue into profit (implying zero costs, zero tax and zero financing costs) then the investor would only see a 1.9% earnings yield on investment. Not even close to the hurdle rate for an intelligent investor. Layer on costs, taxes and financing costs and the return promised by the company at IPO based on a silly valuation was negative. It should come as no surprise then that early investors have experienced a capital loss on investment over the past 10 years.From its IPO to today, Twitter achieved top line growth of 688.5% (from $665m to $5.2bn). However, the total return seen by shareholders was -3.1% (yes that is negative). In other words, ten years worth of 29% compounded annual growth was already baked in to the IPO price. Said differently, investors at the IPO gave away 10 years worth of 29% compounded growth by over paying back then! Ouch!Twitter is on target to generate $6bn of revenue this year and it has a $30bn enterprise value, so it is available at a far more reasonable 5x sales today, although against recent operating margins and profit margins it is still not necessarily a bargain. The big question is how far can the turnaround take it and how much margin expansion is achievable?In order to answer that question, we need to understand the Twitter business model.What is the Twitter Business Model?There are two types of people on Twitter: the user and the creator. Creators put quality content onto the platform and so attract the users. It is something of a fly-wheel situation. Twitter provides creators with the tools that they need to attract their followers. More users means more reason for creators to produce content. This leads to more followers and it attracts more users, and so on. That is the Twitter moat. It has a fantastic network effect. The key creators have literally millions of Twitter followers which is a valuable thing. Followers are what creators crave because that results in influence, power and the opportunity to monetize the user base.Barack Obama can send his thoughts and ideas to 132 million people with the click of a button. Why would he or any other creator give that up to use an alternative platform? They wouldn’t. Twitter has an entrenched position, a wide moat. It’s very difficult for a competitor to take that away from Twitter now.Most users of the platform don’t pay to use it. That means that the users are not the customers but the commodity. Twitter monetizes them through advertising (circa 90% of revenue). The balancing 10% of the top line comes from Twitter reselling aggregated user data and by providing user tools on a SaaS basis at a reasonably high margin.That's it in a nutshell, that's the business.Who Runs Twitter?The board of directors is very strong and looks like this currently:Twitter Board of Directors(Twitter)Although Jack Dorsey is no longer the CEO, he is still on the board of directors.Jack Dorsey’s sudden and unexpected resignation as CEO sent a shock wave through the market. Most CEOs give notice to leave and stay for an orderly handover to their successor. Bear in mind that Dorsey owns over 2.25% of Twitter and so it would be in his interest to remove all friction from the transition process. But that’s not what he does. Instead he says,\"I'm done today, and the new CEO is Parag Agrawal.\" That kind of behaviour does not inspire confidence and so the share price was hit.As you know, market sentiment follows market narrative. The narrative follows the stock price. The stock price has been a disaster and so the backwards-looking narrative is negative, as is sentiment. Twitter needs to dig itself out of this hole but the actions of Mr Dorsey only made it worse.The business is now being guided, at least in part, by activist investors Elliott Management Corp and Silver Lake. They are both heavily invested and were instrumental in the turn around of the business so far.The company is trying to reinvent the narrative and at the end of 2021, Elliott issued the following statement:Elliott Management statement on Twitter(CNBC)Back to the change of CEO story, Mr Agrawal, previously the CTO at Twitter, was largely an unknown quantity to shareholders. So that didn’t help allay concerns of shareholders. However, I take comfort in the fact that a very competent board approved of the new CEO.It is also worth pointing out that Bret Taylor was appointed chairman of Twitter at the same time. He is highly respected in Silicon Valley and he is co-CEO of the very successful Salesforce.I’m not concerned about the departure of Dorsey. In the first instance, he needed guidance from activist investors to really begin the process of turning the business around. Second, he seems to have an enormous ego, which is not a good trait for a CEO. Third, he presided over what I describe as outrageous abuse of stock based compensation at the company. Fourth, he is CEO at Block (formerly Square), and there is no way one person can properly manage two public tech companies.Mark Zuckerberg once described Twitter as “the clown car in the gold mine” because it had squandered such a wonderful gold plated opportunity in the past.Now that the clowns are gone it has the best chance to achieve its true potential.How Will Twitter Evolve?In the future, in order to drive value, Twitter needs to focus on three core KPIs:User acquisition (expand its user base)Generate more user engagementDrive more revenue per unit of engagementI’ll explain how it is addressing this challenge.The first iteration of Twitter, which didn’t change until recently, made it challenging to sign up, to sign in and to get going. Navigation wasn’t easy and finding people with common interests to connect with was challenging. This friction acted as an impediment to growth.However, this is all changing.Now users can use a Google ID or Apple ID to sign in quickly and easily.Twitter uses algorithms to do all of the heavy lifting. For example, recently Twitter addressed this issue with a feature called Topics. In the past, if you wanted to learn more about your favourite football team then you needed to fish around Twitter to find people who were publishing information on your team. Today you simply click the Topic that you like, so the name of the football team, and the rest happens automatically. Not only that, but the platform now suggests Topics based on your activity. Far less friction which is great for user acquisition and engagement.Once on the service, Twitter provides users with an incentive to come back more frequently and to spend more time on the platform. This means connecting users to the content that they love, content that they cannot find elsewhere. Referring back to the fly-wheel mentioned earlier, this means making it easy for creators to produce engaging content and Twitter is enhancing its suite of tools for creators.This is all driving user engagement and increasing user numbers. This then needs to be monetized.To increase revenue per engagement requires using machine learning to better understand what users are looking for and to deliver timely, targeted, quality adverts. Google is the master of this. Rather than just flashing up brand recognition adverts in a scatter-gun approach (like the pitch side adverts at the Super Bowl), instead they use a sniper rifle to target specific users and attempt to drive a purchase through a call to action, otherwise known as direct response advertising. This is higher margin advertising because the return on advertising spend (ROAS) is so much higher due to the targeting.Targeted advertising is easier today with the Topics feature mentioned earlier because Twitter is now being told by users what they are most interested in. No need to second guess by reading between the lines which is what Facebook and Google do. So Twitter has a real advantage in that regard.Twitter currently has approximately a 5% market share in advertising from large brands but has less than 0.5% of the advertising market from Small and Medium sized Enterprises ((SMEs)). The latter is where it needs to focus its attention. This goes back to the point made earlier about brand advertising versus transactional advertising linked to e-commerce.None of this is difficult. It simply requires the focus of good management. SMEs need the tools provided by Twitter to design and deploy their own advertising campaigns and choose how to target them. Twitter can do the rest.So far we have looked at enhancing the business as it is. But we can also layer on top of that commercial opportunities that have not been properly exploited.Top of that list is subscriptions. Twitter has two different kinds of subscriptions:Creator subscriptions enable charges to be levied by people creating valuable compelling content. So, you may be prepared to subscribe to the Twitter feed of The New York Times for example, or your favourite sports commentator. Most of this revenue goes to the creator and so this is less of a top-line boost for Twitter, but it does create a strong incentive for creators to fuel the fly-wheel by constantly producing great content in order to protect the subscription revenue. This indirectly benefits Twitter through greater user engagement.Premium feature subscriptions. This is offering software as a service called Twitter Blue in the form of creator tools. It is interesting that if a creator is earning good money from his or her creator subscriptions then they will want to subscribe to Twitter premium tools. And so not only is Twitter taking a percentage of the creator subscription, but it is also, indirectly, taking another piece of it in the form of premium feature subscriptions. SaaS business has high operating leverage and so this is very high margin, recurring revenue, and largely untapped today. In this bucket we also need to consider Tweet Deck which was acquired by Twitter about a decade ago. It is effectively a power tool for people who spend their entire day on Twitter. Historically it has been offered as a value added free service, no idea why but perhaps it is because it has seen very little investment for over eight years. However, Twitter has revamped Tweet Deck and will be rolling it out on a fee paying subscription basis. So even more high margin business. All of this helps push average margins up (more on this later).The next untapped opportunity is the ability to transact seamlessly inside the platform. This removes friction and creates more user engagement. It also feeds directly off the SME advertising push. E-commerce is a huge opportunity.Finally, we need to look at all of this in terms of ARPU (average revenue per user) because Twitter has an opportunity to push this number significantly higher.Facebook has a more diverse user base. Its users come from all walks of life and all demographics. By contrast, not everyone uses Twitter. Instead it appeals to a niche of the market. Twitter users are typically more affluent, higher income and higher educated people than Facebook users. Against that backdrop one would expect Twitter to generate a higher ARPU than Facebook, but it doesn’t. Facebook is generating more than three times the revenue per user.ARPU social media companies(PostBeyond.com)So, think about this. If Twitter is only able to match Facebook in terms of ARPU in the future, then that means revenue growth of 300%. Given that Twitter has a more affluent user base and arguably more valuable content, there is no reason to think that it can’t exceed the Facebook ARPU.Twitter has, finally, moved to an innovation phase. Over the last couple of years they have been playing with a raft of new services from e-commerce, recorded audio, live audio, subscription services sold by Twitter (not the creators) and professional profiles that are not dissimilar to LinkedIn. It has the user base to expand in all of these areas and from which it is able to increase its ARPU from non-advertising revenue.So if we add the non-advertising revenue to the opportunity that Twitter has to increase its targeted advertising as discussed above, this starts to look super interesting.Twitter is not only growing again but its growth is accelerating.COVID-19 certainly provided a much needed boost for Twitter, but it is still growing users at a double digit rate.It doesn’t take a genius to work out that if ARPU grows and user numbers grow then you benefit from a multiplicative effect.Is Twitter A Good Investment?First, it is important to know why Twitter has been a bad investment historically so that you are able to understand why it may be better in the future.The first trade post IPO was at $45.10 and today the stock trades closer to $38.00, which is a total annual return of -2.12% (Twitter doesn’t pay dividends)Let’s break out the fundamental reasons why investors have seen a such a poor return on their investment. Since IPO:Revenue has grown 688.5% (this is where the good news ends for shareholders)The share count has expanded by 27.9% (diluting shareholders)Adjusted owner earnings margins have declined by 90.2% (not good for shareholder returns)The over inflated IPO sales multiple has contracted by 89.4% (destroying shareholder value)The cumulative effect of all of this (the mathematics is beyond the scope of this article but know this, it is a multiplicative function) means that on total return basis sales growth contributed 2.66% to total returns over the period while the dilution shaved 0.38% off that number, the declining margins shaved 2.27% off that number and the multiple contraction shaved 2.13% off that number.2.66% - 0.38% - 2.27% - 2.13% =-2.12%CAGR from IPO to now (-17% Total Return from IPO until today)This has seen the share price slide from $45 at IPO down to $37 and change today.So, what does this mean for the future?What’s The Fair Value of Twitter?In 2018 and 2019, prior to its heavy growth investment today, EBITDA margins were over 20% but today they have been compressed to 10.4%. Now consider that Facebook has an EBITDA margin near 45% and you can imagine how much margin expansion is possible for Twitter. It should certainly be able to expand its margin to around 25% after the heavy investment in turning the business around is complete. So this is our first bull case assumption.We know that Twitter targets to expand its user base aggressively, to increase its user engagement and to increase its ARPU - the latter two will see a benefit flowing both from the new users plus more engagement from existing users.Targets set by Twitter at the beginning of 2021 were that by the end of 2023 it aims to have 315m daily active users (the number was 200m when the target was set so that’s an aggressive number), but it is moving in the right direction finding itself in the mid 200s today (see chart below).Twitter daily active users(Statistica)The revenue target for the end of 2023 was set at $7.5bn. It was $3.7bn at the end of 2020 when the target was set and $5.1bn a year later at the end of 2021, so it appears on track to achieve this.Twitter may actually exceed its target numbers. So, let’s say that by the end of 2023 it achieves its 315m users. Twitters annual ARPU is approximately $25 in North America, but if we assume a 10% uplift to $27.50 (which is easily achievable given that Facebook achieves $62 ARPU in North America) then that gets us to $8.7bn top line revenue well ahead of target.Alternatively, at an ARPU of $27.50 if Twitter hits its $7.5bn target then it only needs to increase its daily active users to 273m rather than the 315m.Either way, let us use the $7.5bn top line number as our second assumption.It seems appropriate at this juncture to quickly deal with the noise created by Elon Musk in relation to fake accounts and bots being active on Twitter. I am discounting that noise because it washes out in my numbers. Allow me to explain. If the actual number of active daily real users is lower than our assumptions then the ARPU per real user must be higher because our ARPU numbers are based on the number of users (the two are inextricably linked). We are assuming a 10% increase on ARPU and so it doesn’t matter what the starting point really is, a 10% uplift is a 10% uplift. The result is the same.The final assumption is the multiple. Twitter currently trades on a difficult to justify 5x sales multiple. Even if it achieves a very ambitious profit margin of 25%, then that means an earnings yield for the investor of only 5%. Inflation is pushing risk free rates higher and so earnings yields will need to move the same way. This would suggest a multiple contraction rather than an expansion in coming years.Although Twitter is nowhere close to a 25% margin today, bear in mind that it is a business that invests heavily on in-house development of intangible assets. These are off balance sheet assets due to international accounting standards which means that they are expensed immediately rather than being amortized over time. Expensed investment steepens the shareholder return curve. It depresses the front end but boosts the back end. This is because investments that are all paid for today will yield benefits for years to come and so there is a mismatch between the accounting treatment of revenues and of costs. In other words, after the investments have been made, operating leverage should kick-in.So let’s stick to a very ambitious 25% forward profit margin. This is our final assumption.Today the Enterprise Value of Twitter is $30bn, so if it hits its $7.5bn top line target by the end of 2023 and the sales multiple contracts to 3x (in line with its peers and producing an 8% earnings yield against an assumed profit margin of 25%), you arrive at an enterprise value closer to $22.5bn.Looking at it slightly differently, $7.5bn top line and a 25% profit margin (very optimistic) gives $1.875bn earnings. Apply an earnings multiple of perhaps 12x (which implies an earnings yield of 8.5%) and we come out at $22.5bn market cap.Why would you pay $30bn for this business today when it is likely to be worth only $22.5bn in two years time (implying a valuation today of $19bn on an NPV basis at a discount rate of 8.5%).And all of this assumes that Twitter hits its very ambitious targets.In February this year Twitter announced a $4bn share buyback program but stock repurchases are only accretive to shareholder value if the price being paid for the shares is less than its intrinsic value (the accretion is the positive differential). Share buy backs at over inflated prices destroy shareholder value and are often only used to mask excessive SBC. (This is a fascinating area of corporate finance which too few investors understand. The detail is beyond the scope of this article but I dedicate a chapter of my book to this topic if anyone is interested in learning more.)In any event, we seem to have established that the market valuation of Twitter is beyond its intrinsic value and so the $4bn stock buy back announcement at these over inflated levels is in fact bad news for investors.How does Twitter compare to Peers Including Facebook?We have already looked at the differences in the business models from a qualitative perspective, but it is also useful to compare financial fundamentals on a peer-to-peer basis. I’ve brought Snapchat (SNAP) and Pinterest (PINS) in to the mix for comparative purposes.Twitter Facebook Pinterest Snapchat Compared(Author's Analysis)Allow me to talk you through this table.The top part in yellow is the standard sized analysis. Very useful for comparing businesses operating on a different scale.Essentially, we are looking at inputs and outputs on the basis of each $100 worth of sales.Twitter is the most capital intensive company and, by my calculations, needs $145 worth of capital to generate $100 of sales. Snapchat and Facebook are at similar levels closer to $100 of capital per $100 of sales. Pinterest is the winner here and is very capital light requiring only $33 of capital to generate the same $100 of sales.From that $100 of revenue, both Facebook and Pinterest generate a similar level of around $80 of gross profit. Snapchat and Twitter trail behind as they only convert around $60 of sales into gross revenue.Now we have allocation of capital to consider.I have split these out into Maintenance Capital and Growth Capital. Both Twitter and Pinterest appear to be investing heavily in growth and so I have assumed a ratio of 1:2. Looking at the financial reports of Facebook and Snapchat it appears that they have a more even split and so I have used a 1:1 ratio. None of this is particularly material to this high level analysis, but I wanted to explain the presentation.Either way, the deduction of Maintenance Capital and Growth Capital from Gross Profit gives us the EBIT number.Facebook is the clear leader here having generated nearly $37 of EBIT from every $100 of sales. Pinterest comes second, but doesn’t even achieve half of the Facebook EBIT number at about the $15 level.It is worth pointing out here that although Pinterest only achieved $15 of EBIT, it did it with $33 of invested capital. Facebook generated a far better $37 of EBIT, but it needed $102 of invested capital to achieve it. Turning this on its head, for every $102 of invested capital at Pinterest it will generate $45 of EBIT. From this perspective, Pinterest is arguably the better business (whether you prefer Pinterest or Facebook as an investment at this stage is down to personal preference but whichever way you go, both of these businesses look far more attractive than either Twitter or Snapchat).Twitter is investing heavily and so its EBIT number is barely positive now, but this will change as soon as the turnaround investment is complete and I would expect it to be up in the $15 to $25 range at that point. Snapchat is still a loss making business and so its EBIT number is horribly negative.The next line item on my table is SBC. As you can see, for every $100 of sales revenue generated Facebook pays out $8 of SBC, Twitter $13, Pinterest $15 and Snapchat $26. Know this, for Snapchat, if 26% of top line revenue goes out the door into the pockets of employees its very difficult for shareholders to ever generate a good return (perhaps this is one of the reasons that Snapchat is still loss making). In relation to the other three companies, SBC was originally used by tech start-ups as a means of paying employees prior to the point of break even when cash flow was dangerously tight but future prospects were bright. In these circumstances SBC makes some sense. But for a company like Facebook with very strong positive cash flows, it can afford to pay its people with cash and SBC is entirely unnecessary. It misaligns the interests of shareholders and employees because it amounts to a wealth transfer from the former to the latter. Award staff with performance bonuses instead – that aligns interests. SBC is today one of the most abused aspects of corporate finance and it is something I dislike immensely. It is a huge red flag for me when investing (that’s another chapter in my book if you are interested!)Next we have performance metrics. Facebook smashes this one out of the park. It generates 3x more revenue per employee than any of the other businesses in our comparison. It also generates more than double the ARPU of Twitter and Pinterest. Snapchat is left in the dust by all three on this measure.In terms of financial health, both Pinterest and Facebook utilize very low levels of debt in their business while both Twitter and Snapchat use approximately 50% debt. On a debt to EBITDA basis Facebook is in the best health but Pinterest is not far behind.Now we are down in the pink section. We have already established that both Facebook and Pinterest look like the better companies from an investment perspective. Now look at the sales multiple that they trade on. Both similar at 3.1x enterprise value. Twitter by comparison is trading at nearly 5x EV. That makes no sense and confirms what I said earlier in my valuation when I suggested that a 30% to 40% multiple contraction is most likely for Twitter.Facebook is the only company of this group that looks to have a fair valuation. Against an EBIT margin of 37% it offers investors an EBIT yield of 11.6%. None of the others meet the hurdle rate for an intelligent investor.In terms of top line growth, all are strong but based on an average of the past few years,Pinterestand Snapchat have been the strongest. Twitter is accelerating its growth due to its heavy investment. But it is worth bearing in mind that the bigger a company becomes, the more difficult it is to sustain strong growth. Facebook is by far the biggest company in the group and by a significant order of magnitude. Against this backdrop, 22% top line growth is nothing short of incredible.Finally, I’ve included the forward earnings multiple and free cash flow multiple for the sake of completeness. The issue here is that heavy investment by Twitter and Pinterest depresses short term earnings as mentioned earlier, so these are not really very useful comparative indicators on this occasion. However, it is worthy of note that Facebook looks very reasonably priced on these metrics.Will Elon Musk Buy Twitter?Should we be concerned about the noise that Musk is making about Twitter and fake accounts? I would say no. My theory goes like this. Musk is often reported to be the richest man in the world. But it is not cash wealth, it is paper wealth. Most of it is tied up in Tesla stock. Musk has publicly stated several times that he believes the stock to be over priced in the market. He actually expressed these opinions on Twitter!Elon Musk Tesla Stock Price Too High(CNBC)So what do you do if your wealth is tied up in over inflated stock?He can’t sell the stock on the market because that would cause panic and the share price would collapse.He can’t sell the entire company because no other business would pay such a nonsensical price (Tesla is priced on the market at more than every other auto manufacturer combined and only accounts for 1% of cars manufactured and it has awful profit margins compared to the likes of Toyota, the market leader).So what would you do?The answer is simple. You use your over inflated currency (Tesla stock) to buy another asset, in this case Twitter. Musk fans can’t see what is happening and laud him but this is undoubtedly part of an exit strategy for him to cash in some of his chips.So Musk would take Twitter private see through the Twitter turnaround and exit after a few years via another IPO. So he extracts $44bn of value from his Tesla stock without causing the share price to collapse. He then exits in a few years with a large cash payout. If the Twitter value increases then that’s a bonus for him. If not, I don’t think he cares. This is just a special purpose vehicle for converting paper wealth into cash. Genius.So why is Musk now making so much noise after having his bid accepted? Well, the value of Tesla stock has collapsed between the acceptance of his Twitter bid and now and so the plan has hit a bump in the road. If he completes the deal now, it won’t be worth as much to him as it was a couple of months ago because his over inflated currency is a little less over inflated. So, my theory is that Musk is playing for time in the hope that the Tesla share price recovers. Just my theory. You may have a different one.Either way it doesn’t impact my assessment of the Twitter investment opportunity.ConclusionI conclude this article with my thoughts on whether Twitter is a good investment. On the basis of the case that I have set out above, I would say that there are far better places to put my money right now. I have demonstrated that Facebook, at its current valuation, is one of them.Is there any other evidence in support of my conclusion? I believe so and here’s why:On April 2022 Elon Musk acquired 9.2% of Twitter for approximately $42.67 per share. He then followed up with a bid for the remainder of the company at $54.00 per share. Does this mean that Twitter is worth $54? I would argue not. I have explained why I believe Musk is interested in acquiring Twitter. There is an ulterior motive. I believe that his bid is way higher than the intrinsic value of the business.When someone bids for a public company it usually acts as a catalyst for others to evaluate the opportunity and, more often than not, other bids come in at higher prices and the first bidder is forced to improve. That hasn’t happened with Musk and Twitter. Why? I would suggest that others have looked at it and concluded that Musk is over paying and that they could not improve on his bid.The most sensible fit would be for Facebook to buy Twitter. It could leverage its existing infrastructure to extract more value from Twitter than anyone else. But it has expressed no interest. Such a deal would attract the attention of the competition authorities and may be blocked, but it is worth a try. Twitter is very complimentary to the Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp business franchise. This hasn’t happened either.In the past, both Disney and Salesforce have looked to acquire Twitter but after conducting due diligence they have walked away. It wasn’t the business that put them off. It can only be the market valuation being well above intrinsic value.After Musk made his bid for Twitter it was very quickly accepted by the Twitter board of directors (a very competent group of people). Why? They didn’t attempt to negotiate, they just accepted. Generally that doesn’t happen unless the vendor believes that the price being offered is too good to be true. This view is cemented by the fact that Musk has been making lots of noise about fake accounts and threatening to walk away, but the board of Twitter is holding him firmly to the terms of the deal.If the new CEO believed that there was a great deal of value to be unlocked in the short term then he would want to preside over that transition. Not only would it be lucrative for him, but he would earn the kudos of being the man who made Twitter great again. But he has chosen to accept Musk’s offer instead. This is a compelling argument to suggest that there is no short term upside in Twitter right now.Alternatively, in order to add balance to this last point I shall put out an alternative theory. In 2011 Agrawal was completing his doctoral studies in computer science at Stanford University. After that he was a salaried employee, one of 7,000 at Twitter. Suddenly, Mr Agrawal finds himself in the top job as CEO at the age of 38. He is earning $12.5m per year in that post and if a takeover happens during his tenure he would be awarded a $60m bonus. If you were Mr Agrawal, would you be tempted to approve the takeover approach regardless of Twitter’s prospects?I am certainly not prepared to invest in Twitter at current prices. If the Musk takeover happens then shareholders achieve $54 which is a nice uplift on the present $38 price, but the fact that the gap in prices is so wide suggests to me that the market believes that the most probable outcome is that the deal fails.Personally, I would become interested after a multiple contraction to bring the share price down in to the $20 to $25 range. That would be closer to intrinsic value and may introduce some kind of margin of safety. At the current $38 price I believe that there is as much chance of the stock dropping $16 as there is of it climbing by the same amount to Musk’s bid price. In fact, so many people have bought the stock blindly seeking to capitalise on the takeover arbitrage, that a move to the downside is likely to trigger stop losses and push the stock sharply lower.I think it highly unlikely that the stock will hold at current levels of $38. It will either jump higher if Musk seals the deal or drop violently if the deal collapses. Perhaps the best trade is a long Twitter straddle position!Alternatively, perhaps a long/short position: long META, short TWTR may be worth considering. This is more risky because of the uncertainty around the outcome of the Musk buyout of Twitter.I believe that there will be a good opportunity to invest long in Twitter. I simply don’t believe that now is the time.I hope that this article has provided you with the information to make up your own mind. It is not to be construed as investment advice, just the humble opinions of the author. Please seek professional investment advice before investing.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9043361916,"gmtCreate":1655873700135,"gmtModify":1676535723557,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9043361916","repostId":"1194055308","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194055308","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655867134,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194055308?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-22 11:05","language":"en","title":"ASX Update: Gains Evaporate as US Futures, Oil Turn Bearish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194055308","media":"market herald","summary":"The share market gave up a second day of gains as declining US equity futures sapped buyer enthusias","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91c64871fe39f1428c9585780ebb012d\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The share market gave up a second day of gains as declining US equity futures sapped buyer enthusiasm after last night’s Wall Street rebound.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P/ASX 200</b> faded to a mid-session loss of 19 points or 0.3 per cent after earlier rising as much as 34 points. The index rose yesterday and has not managed back-to-back gains in more than three weeks.</p><p>Gains in energy producers and defensive sectors were outweighed by declines in tech and consumer stocks. The heavyweight materials and financial sectors turned negative late morning.</p><h2>What’s driving the market</h2><p>Tentative optimism briefly crept back into the market as Wall Street roared back from its worst week in two years. The<b>S&amp;P 500</b>surged 2.45 per cent overnight as a broad rally lifted almost 90 per cent of component companies.</p><p>“Equities came back from the holiday Monday in the US to a reprieve,” NAB economist Taylor Nugent said. “Across other assets, price movements were relatively muted in the context of recent price action, but consistent with rebound in risk sentiment,” he added.</p><p>A decline in <b>US futures</b> helped unravel this morning’s initial ASX advance. S&amp;P 500 futures declined 29 points or almost 0.8 per cent.</p><p><b>Oil</b> also moved sharply lower. Brent crude slumped US$3.79 or 3.3 per cent to US$110.86, comfortably erasing overnight gains. <b>Iron ore</b> futures fell 4.1 per cent in Chinese trade.</p><p>Sentiment remained fragile following several weeks of heavy selling that dragged Wall Street into a bear market and the ASX into a technical correction. The golden question for investors is whether share prices had fallen far enough to factor in higher rates, inflationary pressures and slower economic growth.</p><p>“Only time will tell if Tuesday’s recovery in global stocks is another dead cat bounce as there have been multiple false signals in the share market this year,” Kunal Sawhney, chief executive of research group Kalkine, said.</p><p>“It seems important for investors and traders to exercise caution and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the trade. Meanwhile, investors with a long-term horizon can refrain from paying too much attention to such short-term signals.”</p><p>CNBC noted overnight there have been 11 instances during this year’s US bear market where the main indices have bounced more than 2 per cent, only to fall away in subsequent sessions.</p><h2>Going up</h2><p><b>Energy producers</b> led for a second day before a reversal in Brent crude whittled their gains. Beach Energy cut its advance to 1.7 per cent, Woodside Energy 1.02 per cent and Santos 1.2 per cent.</p><p>Queensland coal miner <b>Stanmore Resources</b> bounced 10.08 per cent after slamming government royalty increases. CEO Marcelo Matos said the company was “very disappointed” in the changes.</p><p>“The increases to the royalty rates without formal notice or consultation with the industry are unprecedented. The impact of these increases will be felt the most by workers and suppliers in regional Queensland communities that underpin the resources sector and make it Queensland’s largest export industry,” Matos said.</p><p><b>Fletcher Building</b> climbed 5.41 per cent off a 19-month low after forecasting a $100 million increase in earnings in FY23. The building products manufacturer expects to make $750 million this financial year.</p><p>Other notable advances included Ampol +5.14 per cent, APA Group +4.01 per cent and Iress +3.6 per cent.</p><p>A pair of contract wins in New Zealand helped lift <b>Downer EDI</b> 1.71 per cent. The engineering group was awarded road maintenance contracts by Auckland Transport worth $800 million over ten years.</p><h2>Going down</h2><p>The beleaguered  <b>BNPL</b> sector was back under the pump. Splitit dropped 7.14 per cent to an all-time low. Zip Co fell 8.1 per cent. Afterpay parent Square dipped 0.86 per cent.</p><p>The biggest <b>heavyweight drags</b> were Wesfarmers -1.65 per cent, Fortescue Metals -0.91 per cent and Westpac -0.81 per cent.</p><p><b>St Barbara</b> slumped 13.94 per cent to a six-and-a-half-year low after deferring a decision on expanding operations at its Simberi mine in PNG. The gold miner will instead carry out a strategic review to decide where best to allocate capital across its three operations.</p><p>Waste manager <b>Cleanaway</b> slid 2.8 per cent on news repairs to its New Chum landfill in Queensland will likely continue right through the next financial year and cost up to $40 million. The firm will also incur $6 million in net costs this financial year fixing flood damage at other sites.</p><p>A boardroom rift led to a mass exodus of directors at finance firm <b>Humm Group</b>. Five directors announced they will quit, citing unwillingness to work with Andrew Abercrombie after he opposed the sale of the firm’s consumer finance operation to Latitude. The share price fell 3.81 per cent.</p><p>Asset manager <b>Janus Henderson</b> eased 2.57 per cent. Ali Dibadj will join as CEO.</p><p><b>Fisher &amp; Paykel Healthcare</b> declined 0.62 per cent as its shares traded ex-dividend.</p><h2>Other markets</h2><p><b>Asian markets</b> turned mixed in late-morning action. The Asia Dow shed 0.46 per cent. China’s Shanghai Composite dipped 0.11 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 0.5 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei traded unchanged.</p><p><b>Gold</b> wilted US$10.20 or 0.55 per cent to US$1,828.60 an ounce.</p><p>The <b>dollar</b> declined 0.3 per cent to 69.39 US cents.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1645078131697","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASX Update: Gains Evaporate as US Futures, Oil Turn Bearish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASX Update: Gains Evaporate as US Futures, Oil Turn Bearish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-22 11:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://themarketherald.com.au/asx-update-gains-evaporate-as-us-futures-oil-turn-bearish-2022-06-22/><strong>market herald</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The share market gave up a second day of gains as declining US equity futures sapped buyer enthusiasm after last night’s Wall Street rebound.The S&P/ASX 200 faded to a mid-session loss of 19 points or...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://themarketherald.com.au/asx-update-gains-evaporate-as-us-futures-oil-turn-bearish-2022-06-22/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数","XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数","XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数"},"source_url":"https://themarketherald.com.au/asx-update-gains-evaporate-as-us-futures-oil-turn-bearish-2022-06-22/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194055308","content_text":"The share market gave up a second day of gains as declining US equity futures sapped buyer enthusiasm after last night’s Wall Street rebound.The S&P/ASX 200 faded to a mid-session loss of 19 points or 0.3 per cent after earlier rising as much as 34 points. The index rose yesterday and has not managed back-to-back gains in more than three weeks.Gains in energy producers and defensive sectors were outweighed by declines in tech and consumer stocks. The heavyweight materials and financial sectors turned negative late morning.What’s driving the marketTentative optimism briefly crept back into the market as Wall Street roared back from its worst week in two years. TheS&P 500surged 2.45 per cent overnight as a broad rally lifted almost 90 per cent of component companies.“Equities came back from the holiday Monday in the US to a reprieve,” NAB economist Taylor Nugent said. “Across other assets, price movements were relatively muted in the context of recent price action, but consistent with rebound in risk sentiment,” he added.A decline in US futures helped unravel this morning’s initial ASX advance. S&P 500 futures declined 29 points or almost 0.8 per cent.Oil also moved sharply lower. Brent crude slumped US$3.79 or 3.3 per cent to US$110.86, comfortably erasing overnight gains. Iron ore futures fell 4.1 per cent in Chinese trade.Sentiment remained fragile following several weeks of heavy selling that dragged Wall Street into a bear market and the ASX into a technical correction. The golden question for investors is whether share prices had fallen far enough to factor in higher rates, inflationary pressures and slower economic growth.“Only time will tell if Tuesday’s recovery in global stocks is another dead cat bounce as there have been multiple false signals in the share market this year,” Kunal Sawhney, chief executive of research group Kalkine, said.“It seems important for investors and traders to exercise caution and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the trade. Meanwhile, investors with a long-term horizon can refrain from paying too much attention to such short-term signals.”CNBC noted overnight there have been 11 instances during this year’s US bear market where the main indices have bounced more than 2 per cent, only to fall away in subsequent sessions.Going upEnergy producers led for a second day before a reversal in Brent crude whittled their gains. Beach Energy cut its advance to 1.7 per cent, Woodside Energy 1.02 per cent and Santos 1.2 per cent.Queensland coal miner Stanmore Resources bounced 10.08 per cent after slamming government royalty increases. CEO Marcelo Matos said the company was “very disappointed” in the changes.“The increases to the royalty rates without formal notice or consultation with the industry are unprecedented. The impact of these increases will be felt the most by workers and suppliers in regional Queensland communities that underpin the resources sector and make it Queensland’s largest export industry,” Matos said.Fletcher Building climbed 5.41 per cent off a 19-month low after forecasting a $100 million increase in earnings in FY23. The building products manufacturer expects to make $750 million this financial year.Other notable advances included Ampol +5.14 per cent, APA Group +4.01 per cent and Iress +3.6 per cent.A pair of contract wins in New Zealand helped lift Downer EDI 1.71 per cent. The engineering group was awarded road maintenance contracts by Auckland Transport worth $800 million over ten years.Going downThe beleaguered  BNPL sector was back under the pump. Splitit dropped 7.14 per cent to an all-time low. Zip Co fell 8.1 per cent. Afterpay parent Square dipped 0.86 per cent.The biggest heavyweight drags were Wesfarmers -1.65 per cent, Fortescue Metals -0.91 per cent and Westpac -0.81 per cent.St Barbara slumped 13.94 per cent to a six-and-a-half-year low after deferring a decision on expanding operations at its Simberi mine in PNG. The gold miner will instead carry out a strategic review to decide where best to allocate capital across its three operations.Waste manager Cleanaway slid 2.8 per cent on news repairs to its New Chum landfill in Queensland will likely continue right through the next financial year and cost up to $40 million. The firm will also incur $6 million in net costs this financial year fixing flood damage at other sites.A boardroom rift led to a mass exodus of directors at finance firm Humm Group. Five directors announced they will quit, citing unwillingness to work with Andrew Abercrombie after he opposed the sale of the firm’s consumer finance operation to Latitude. The share price fell 3.81 per cent.Asset manager Janus Henderson eased 2.57 per cent. Ali Dibadj will join as CEO.Fisher & Paykel Healthcare declined 0.62 per cent as its shares traded ex-dividend.Other marketsAsian markets turned mixed in late-morning action. The Asia Dow shed 0.46 per cent. China’s Shanghai Composite dipped 0.11 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 0.5 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei traded unchanged.Gold wilted US$10.20 or 0.55 per cent to US$1,828.60 an ounce.The dollar declined 0.3 per cent to 69.39 US cents.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049412611,"gmtCreate":1655825546433,"gmtModify":1676535712786,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560092322694803","idStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049412611","repostId":"2245394652","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2245394652","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655821697,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2245394652?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-21 22:28","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Looking For Opportunities In The Process Of Capitulation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2245394652","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryNot all sectors or stocks will bottom at the same time in the process of the market capitulat","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Not all sectors or stocks will bottom at the same time in the process of the market capitulating.</li><li>Relative strength off the lows is a good tool to identify an opportunity.</li><li>Alibaba stands out as a growth name that is now at a reasonable price and exhibits signs of relative strength.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8c85537f0746b7212fb5659dedfc8d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>maybefalse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p>I keep hearing that we have not yet hit the capitulation point for markets. At the same time, I have never seen the investing public swing from Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) to Fear Of Holding On (FOHO) so rapidly inmy 30-year career. First of all, there is no day on which everything capitulates (a dramatic word for bottom) at the same time. Stocks, bonds, and commodities will bottom or top as asset classes at different times. Rotating or rebalancing between the three at inflection points can make a big difference in long-term returns.</p><p>Bonds are likely to bottom with yields peaking in advance of the stock market low, because stocks are generally long-duration assets with valuations that are inversely correlated with interest rates. If 3.5% turns out to be the peak in yields for this cycle, then the bottom in the stock market may be behind us. If not, then we probably have more work to do. At the same time, we should see commodities peak in advance of the stock market bottom, because that will indicate that the peak in inflation is behind us. Still, it is impossible to determine when a downtrend or uptrend has reversed until it has developed for some time.</p><p>Secondly, the securities within each asset class do not bottom at the same time. Financials may reverse back up sooner than materials, while Bank of America (BAC) may recover well before Coinbase Global (COIN). For these reasons, there are always opportunities to invest in the market. They are either plentiful or scarce, depending on the macroeconomic and monetary policy backdrop.</p><p>Here is the great irony of it all. In January, it felt like there were unlimited investment opportunities and that it would be relatively easy to make money over the coming 12-month period. Yet it was extremely difficult for me to find good investments at reasonable valuations. It could be done, but there was not a lot from which to choose. Today, I think there are countless attractive investment opportunities based on valuation, yield, and business prospects. I could buy 25 stocks today with a 12-24 month outlook and feel very confident that I would make money. Yet investors are purging stocks like they were the plague, dumping high-quality names with yields as high is 5% that are well positioned to survive the current environment for as long as it lasts. To me, that is the definition of capitulation, but it is a process and not an event.</p><p>Lastly, It is important to remember that what led in the last bull market is not likely to lead at the beginning of the next one. Momentum and growth outperformance gave way to value and quality, as the market decline ensued, and that is likely to continue once we begin to recover. There are names that were classified as growth during that last bull market that have seen such dramatic declines that they now fall into the value camp. I think that is a good place to go shopping today if you are looking for opportunities in the ongoing process of capitulation. Relative strength is a very good tool to time it.</p><p>My latest purchase was Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), which I think is a great example of a name that has swung from growth to what could be construed as value, if not growth at a very reasonable price. This is a name that looks like it has already capitulated because after a 50% decline in the share price over the past 12 months, the stock is starting to exhibit relative strength when compared to the S&amp;P 500. The shares bottomed in May and have made a series of higher bottoms and tops over the past six weeks as the S&amp;P 500 has fallen to new lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82814970671d892ce6928616ef93bd9b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Stockcharts.com</span></p><p>While the valuation has fallen to levels that make it compelling relative to its growth prospects, I think the recent outperformance has more to do with macroeconomic developments than company specific ones. China&#39;s economy continues the process of reopening, as its zero-Covid policy continues to hamper the economic recovery in China, but there has clearly been progress and the eventual return to normal should be a positive catalyst for growth. There are also signs that China is easing its regulation on the technology sector, which is another positive for Alibaba. Even if the shares recover to fall in line with the performance of the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) there is meaningful upside.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/655df57b0fa5c8ef51c05045ea6e22b6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Stockcharts</span></p><p>At less than 14 times this year&#39;s profit estimate with a forecast for double-digit top and bottom line growth for the next several years, I like these shares on pullbacks. I think the risk is low relative to the upside from both a trading and investment standpoint.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3905107574021dd43cd9ff6ef60677\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"1001\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Stockcharts</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Looking For Opportunities In The Process Of Capitulation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Looking For Opportunities In The Process Of Capitulation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-21 22:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519446-looking-for-opportunities-in-the-process-of-capitulation-alibaba?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNot all sectors or stocks will bottom at the same time in the process of the market capitulating.Relative strength off the lows is a good tool to identify an opportunity.Alibaba stands out as a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519446-looking-for-opportunities-in-the-process-of-capitulation-alibaba?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4519446-looking-for-opportunities-in-the-process-of-capitulation-alibaba?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2245394652","content_text":"SummaryNot all sectors or stocks will bottom at the same time in the process of the market capitulating.Relative strength off the lows is a good tool to identify an opportunity.Alibaba stands out as a growth name that is now at a reasonable price and exhibits signs of relative strength.maybefalse/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesI keep hearing that we have not yet hit the capitulation point for markets. At the same time, I have never seen the investing public swing from Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) to Fear Of Holding On (FOHO) so rapidly inmy 30-year career. First of all, there is no day on which everything capitulates (a dramatic word for bottom) at the same time. Stocks, bonds, and commodities will bottom or top as asset classes at different times. Rotating or rebalancing between the three at inflection points can make a big difference in long-term returns.Bonds are likely to bottom with yields peaking in advance of the stock market low, because stocks are generally long-duration assets with valuations that are inversely correlated with interest rates. If 3.5% turns out to be the peak in yields for this cycle, then the bottom in the stock market may be behind us. If not, then we probably have more work to do. At the same time, we should see commodities peak in advance of the stock market bottom, because that will indicate that the peak in inflation is behind us. Still, it is impossible to determine when a downtrend or uptrend has reversed until it has developed for some time.Secondly, the securities within each asset class do not bottom at the same time. Financials may reverse back up sooner than materials, while Bank of America (BAC) may recover well before Coinbase Global (COIN). For these reasons, there are always opportunities to invest in the market. They are either plentiful or scarce, depending on the macroeconomic and monetary policy backdrop.Here is the great irony of it all. In January, it felt like there were unlimited investment opportunities and that it would be relatively easy to make money over the coming 12-month period. Yet it was extremely difficult for me to find good investments at reasonable valuations. It could be done, but there was not a lot from which to choose. Today, I think there are countless attractive investment opportunities based on valuation, yield, and business prospects. I could buy 25 stocks today with a 12-24 month outlook and feel very confident that I would make money. Yet investors are purging stocks like they were the plague, dumping high-quality names with yields as high is 5% that are well positioned to survive the current environment for as long as it lasts. To me, that is the definition of capitulation, but it is a process and not an event.Lastly, It is important to remember that what led in the last bull market is not likely to lead at the beginning of the next one. Momentum and growth outperformance gave way to value and quality, as the market decline ensued, and that is likely to continue once we begin to recover. There are names that were classified as growth during that last bull market that have seen such dramatic declines that they now fall into the value camp. I think that is a good place to go shopping today if you are looking for opportunities in the ongoing process of capitulation. Relative strength is a very good tool to time it.My latest purchase was Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), which I think is a great example of a name that has swung from growth to what could be construed as value, if not growth at a very reasonable price. This is a name that looks like it has already capitulated because after a 50% decline in the share price over the past 12 months, the stock is starting to exhibit relative strength when compared to the S&P 500. The shares bottomed in May and have made a series of higher bottoms and tops over the past six weeks as the S&P 500 has fallen to new lows.Stockcharts.comWhile the valuation has fallen to levels that make it compelling relative to its growth prospects, I think the recent outperformance has more to do with macroeconomic developments than company specific ones. China's economy continues the process of reopening, as its zero-Covid policy continues to hamper the economic recovery in China, but there has clearly been progress and the eventual return to normal should be a positive catalyst for growth. There are also signs that China is easing its regulation on the technology sector, which is another positive for Alibaba. Even if the shares recover to fall in line with the performance of the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) there is meaningful upside.StockchartsAt less than 14 times this year's profit estimate with a forecast for double-digit top and bottom line growth for the next several years, I like these shares on pullbacks. I think the risk is low relative to the upside from both a trading and investment standpoint.Stockcharts","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":195418906,"gmtCreate":1621307026905,"gmtModify":1704355519500,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n cmt&nbsp;","listText":"like n cmt&nbsp;","text":"like n cmt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195418906","repostId":"2136295438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136295438","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1621286069,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2136295438?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 05:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall St ends lower, pulled down by tech stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136295438","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Discovery down after deal to merge with AT&T's media unit* Indexes down: Dow 0.16%, S&P 0.25%, Nas","content":"<p>* Discovery down after deal to merge with AT&amp;T's media unit</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.16%, S&amp;P 0.25%, Nasdaq 0.38%</p><p>May 17 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Monday, weighed down by tech shares as signs of growing inflation worried investors about the potential for tighter monetary policy.</p><p>Of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors that declined, technology, utilities    and communication services&nbsp;were the biggest losers, each down between 0.7% and 0.9%.</p><p>\"What is causing the decline, no surprise to anybody, is the worry about inflation and interest rates,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>\"As a result that's causing the growth group, in particular technology and consumer discretionary stocks, to experience weakness, while some of the more value-oriented groups are holding up a bit better.\"</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 scored its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day jump in more than a month on Friday as investors picked up beaten-down stocks following a pullback earlier in the week on worries about inflation and a sooner-than-expected tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 56.34 points, or 0.16%, to 34,326.01; the S&amp;P 500    lost 10.56 points, or 0.25%, at 4,163.43; and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 50.93 points, or 0.38%, to 13,379.05.</p><p>Earnings this week will be scrutinized for clues on whether rising prices had any impact on consumer demand and if retailers can sustain their strong earnings momentum.</p><p>Cryptocurrency-related stocks like Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain    and Coinbase    fell between 3% and 7% as bitcoin swung in volatile trading after Tesla Inc    boss Elon Musk tweeted about the carmaker's bitcoin holdings.</p><p>With the earnings season at its tail end, overall earnings for S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have climbed 50.6% from a year ago, according to Refinitiv IBES, the strongest pace in 11 years.</p><p>AT&amp;T Inc, owner of HBO and Warner Bros studios, and Discovery Inc   , home to lifestyle TV networks such as HGTV and TLC, said on Monday they will combine their content assets to create a standalone global entertainment and media business. AT&amp;T shares declined 2.69%, while Discovery fell about 5.04%.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.8 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>On the Nasdaq 100 the largest gainer was Trip.Com Group Ltd, which rose 3.8%, while the largest decliner was Comcast Corp, down 5.5%.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.13-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 110 new highs and 63 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall St ends lower, pulled down by tech stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall St ends lower, pulled down by tech stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-18 05:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>* Discovery down after deal to merge with AT&amp;T's media unit</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.16%, S&amp;P 0.25%, Nasdaq 0.38%</p><p>May 17 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Monday, weighed down by tech shares as signs of growing inflation worried investors about the potential for tighter monetary policy.</p><p>Of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors that declined, technology, utilities    and communication services&nbsp;were the biggest losers, each down between 0.7% and 0.9%.</p><p>\"What is causing the decline, no surprise to anybody, is the worry about inflation and interest rates,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>\"As a result that's causing the growth group, in particular technology and consumer discretionary stocks, to experience weakness, while some of the more value-oriented groups are holding up a bit better.\"</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 scored its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day jump in more than a month on Friday as investors picked up beaten-down stocks following a pullback earlier in the week on worries about inflation and a sooner-than-expected tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 56.34 points, or 0.16%, to 34,326.01; the S&amp;P 500    lost 10.56 points, or 0.25%, at 4,163.43; and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 50.93 points, or 0.38%, to 13,379.05.</p><p>Earnings this week will be scrutinized for clues on whether rising prices had any impact on consumer demand and if retailers can sustain their strong earnings momentum.</p><p>Cryptocurrency-related stocks like Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain    and Coinbase    fell between 3% and 7% as bitcoin swung in volatile trading after Tesla Inc    boss Elon Musk tweeted about the carmaker's bitcoin holdings.</p><p>With the earnings season at its tail end, overall earnings for S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to have climbed 50.6% from a year ago, according to Refinitiv IBES, the strongest pace in 11 years.</p><p>AT&amp;T Inc, owner of HBO and Warner Bros studios, and Discovery Inc   , home to lifestyle TV networks such as HGTV and TLC, said on Monday they will combine their content assets to create a standalone global entertainment and media business. AT&amp;T shares declined 2.69%, while Discovery fell about 5.04%.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.8 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>On the Nasdaq 100 the largest gainer was Trip.Com Group Ltd, which rose 3.8%, while the largest decliner was Comcast Corp, down 5.5%.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.13-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 110 new highs and 63 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136295438","content_text":"* Discovery down after deal to merge with AT&T's media unit* Indexes down: Dow 0.16%, S&P 0.25%, Nasdaq 0.38%May 17 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Monday, weighed down by tech shares as signs of growing inflation worried investors about the potential for tighter monetary policy.Of the 11 major S&P sectors that declined, technology, utilities    and communication services were the biggest losers, each down between 0.7% and 0.9%.\"What is causing the decline, no surprise to anybody, is the worry about inflation and interest rates,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.\"As a result that's causing the growth group, in particular technology and consumer discretionary stocks, to experience weakness, while some of the more value-oriented groups are holding up a bit better.\"The S&P 500 scored its biggest one-day jump in more than a month on Friday as investors picked up beaten-down stocks following a pullback earlier in the week on worries about inflation and a sooner-than-expected tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve.The Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 56.34 points, or 0.16%, to 34,326.01; the S&P 500    lost 10.56 points, or 0.25%, at 4,163.43; and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 50.93 points, or 0.38%, to 13,379.05.Earnings this week will be scrutinized for clues on whether rising prices had any impact on consumer demand and if retailers can sustain their strong earnings momentum.Cryptocurrency-related stocks like Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain    and Coinbase    fell between 3% and 7% as bitcoin swung in volatile trading after Tesla Inc    boss Elon Musk tweeted about the carmaker's bitcoin holdings.With the earnings season at its tail end, overall earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to have climbed 50.6% from a year ago, according to Refinitiv IBES, the strongest pace in 11 years.AT&T Inc, owner of HBO and Warner Bros studios, and Discovery Inc   , home to lifestyle TV networks such as HGTV and TLC, said on Monday they will combine their content assets to create a standalone global entertainment and media business. AT&T shares declined 2.69%, while Discovery fell about 5.04%.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.8 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average over the last 20 trading days.On the Nasdaq 100 the largest gainer was Trip.Com Group Ltd, which rose 3.8%, while the largest decliner was Comcast Corp, down 5.5%.Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.13-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 110 new highs and 63 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581456322350824","authorId":"3581456322350824","name":"chashuramen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2639eb955520581bffb33712b025007","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581456322350824","authorIdStr":"3581456322350824"},"content":"pls reply back thx","text":"pls reply back thx","html":"pls reply back thx"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166162628,"gmtCreate":1623997267564,"gmtModify":1703826111044,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pl like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"pl like n comment&nbsp;","text":"pl like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166162628","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175693382?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>\n <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>\n <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>\n <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Technical Thesis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p>\n<p><b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p>BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p>\n<p>Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p>\n<p>When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p>\n<p>One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p>\n<p>Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p>\n<p>Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p>\n<p>BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p>\n<p>Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p>\n<p><b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p>\n<p><b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p>\n<p>Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3555321706323687","authorId":"3555321706323687","name":"KingMeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a4230fd8d7c8381fff3acc8774ac46e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555321706323687","authorIdStr":"3555321706323687"},"content":"do like and reply back. thanks!","text":"do like and reply back. thanks!","html":"do like and reply back. thanks!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347562470,"gmtCreate":1618502321190,"gmtModify":1704711970550,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"comment pls&nbsp;","text":"comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347562470","repostId":"1125635474","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125635474","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618295945,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125635474?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-13 14:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AppLovin: Capitalizing On The Surging Growth Of Mobile Game Apps","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125635474","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAppLovin announced its IPO price range of $75 to $85 per share. The company is selling 25 mil","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>AppLovin announced its IPO price range of $75 to $85 per share. The company is selling 25 million shares.</li><li>At the high end of the IPO price range, the company is aiming to raise $2.1 billion, and it would be valued at $30.4 billion.</li><li>Our base case valuation of AppLovin is an EV of $35.1 billion, implied market cap of $35.7 billion, and target price per share of $99.8.</li><li>The company has been a key beneficiary of the surging growth of popular game apps.</li><li>Despite strong sales growth, its operating margins worsened in 2020 due to higher operating expenses.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>AppLovin<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APP\">AppLovin Corporation</a>  is one of the key beneficiaries of the exploding demand for mobile apps, especially for mobile games. The company's sales growth has been surging in recent years as the company has benefited from both organic growth and has been aggressive in making numerous acquisitions in the past three years.</p><p>Most developers lack access to the marketing, monetization, and data analytics tools required to stand out among the more than 4.8 million mobile apps available on the Apple App Store(NASDAQ:AAPL)and Google Play Store(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL). The company's products and services help many app developers to scale up their business and create a successful app that can be sustained long term. This is where the company's capabilities in app development, marketing, and analytics really stand out.</p><p>There are more than 1.3 million mobile gaming apps on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store.Mobile gamingaccounts for 39% of worldwide app downloads and for 72% of all app store consumer spend by value, according to Sensor Tower.</p><p>Although the company's operating margins declined in the past two years mainly due to higher operating expenses, we believe that the company's profit margins will turn around this year due to a combination of higher economies of scale and lower operating expenses as a percentage of revenues.</p><p><b>Comparable Companies Valuation Analysis</b></p><p>In the comparable companies valuation analysis, we used the following companies as comps to AppLovin:</p><ul><li>Unity Software (U)</li><li>Roblox Corp. (RBLX)</li><li>Activision Blizzard (ATVI)</li><li>Zynga (ZNGA)</li></ul><p>Our base case valuation of AppLovin is an EV of $35.1 billion, implied market cap of $35.7 billion, and implied target price per share of $99.8. This represents 17% upside from the high end of the IPO price range of $85. We have a POSITIVE view of the AppLovin IPO.</p><p>Our base case valuation of AppLovin is based on a 16x EV/S multiple (using 2021 sales estimate), which represents a 10% higher than the average EV/S multiple of the comps. It is also below the EV/S multiple of Unity Software and Roblox which trade at EV/S multiple of 26.8x and 19.2x, respectively.</p><p>The comps' average sales growth in 2020 and 2021 are similar to the sales growth rates of AppLovin in this period. Among the comps, Roblox has the highest sales growth and Activision has the lowest sales growth in 2020 and 2021. Overall, we have assumed higher sales growth for AppLovin versus its peers in 2021 and 2022 and this is one of main reasons why we have applied a 10% higher valuation multiple than the comps.</p><p>However, Roblox is trading at 19.2x EV/S in 2021 and we have applied a 16x EV/S multiple for AppLovin (17% lower valuation multiple than Roblox). We believe the market will attach a slightly higher valuation multiple for Roblox than AppLovin, mainly due to the former company's higher sales growth and operating margins in 2021, and its brand is more recognized worldwide.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b47032411f633c63c676152889baa874\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ea8b356b98201f398b48bd4d57e507a\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a2dfe8877740e842bb1e143c157e39c\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0aec05aa4790c780a95e2527c62896e9\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"548\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ee98f1dd0f1c0becb865f331a283068\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96321e40b2bb290d968a20e0a3832de8\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327d495d893132d12a74cc91d93df055\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Income Statement Forecast</b></p><p>AppLovin generated sales of $1,451.1 million and an operating loss of $62.1 million in 2020. The company's sales have nearly tripled from 2018 to 2020. The company's operating margins declined from 50.1% in 2018 to 19.5% in 2019 and -4.3% in 2020. The major reasons for the lower operating margins are due to higher cost of sales, sales &amp; marketing, R&amp;D, and other operating expenses as a percentage of sales.</p><p>We estimate AppLovin to generate sales of $2.2 billion (up 51% YoY) and an operating profit of $65.2 million in 2021. From 2020 to 2025, we have assumed the company's sales to grow at a CAGR of 28.6%. We have also assumed the company's operating margin to turn positive to 3% in 2021 from -4.3% in 2020. We estimate its operating margins to improve further to 6.8% in 2022, 10.6% in 2023, and 17.8% in 2025. We estimate AppLovin to have sales of $5.1 billion and an operating profit of $0.9 billion in 2025.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e58f808f42f4c3a1e238b587f637063\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"669\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1026d63d84ac8f26d8391d7e91317b9e\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9bf6e155cbc281373a8fac78fd3e08b\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Company Background</b></p><p>Thecompanyoriginally started its business helping customers to improve the smartphone customer experiences for all the users. In recent years, the company has become a much bigger player in the mobile gaming segment and it also helps developers to grow their users and improve the monetization of their apps.</p><p>According to IDC, the company's totalmarket opportunityis estimated to be $189 billion in 2020, growing to $283 billion in 2024, representing a CAGR of 10.6% in this period. This total market size of $184 billion was derived by adding the worldwide total in-app advertising revenue of $101 billion (including gaming and non-gaming in-app display, video, and other advertising, but excluding in-app search advertising) and worldwide direct game spending of $88 billion for 2020.</p><p>AppLovin has invested about $1 billion in 15 acquisitions and partnerships since 2018. It owns more than 200 free-to-play mobile games from 12 studios.AppLovinlaunched a gaming business unit called Lion Studios in July 2018. It also acquired a company called Max in September 2018. Max provides in-app bidding service, which is a type of advertising where mobile publishers can sell their ad inventory in an auction method). AppLovin also owns and operates gaming studios Machine Zone, Belka Games, PeopleFun and Firecraft Studios.</p><p>In February 2021, AppLovin signed an agreement to purchase Adjust for $1 billion (including $598 million in cash and $352 million in convertible securities, and an assumption of up to $40 million in debt). Adjust is a leading mobile app analytics&amp; marketing products company in Germany. Adjust provides tools to prevent mobile advertising fraud and better measure the user base. This acquisition is expected to close in 1H 2021.</p><p>In the IPO prospectus, the company mentioned that it plans to use $75 million of its Class A common shares for charitable purposes. If the company raises $1 billion in the IPO, this would represent nearly 7.5% of total amount. This is a bit unusual to have this large number of shares allocated for charitable purposes. We applaud this move by the CEO and its senior management. Adam Foroughi, the co-founder and CEO of AppLovin, previously co-founded two advertising technology companies, Lifestreet Media Inc. and Social Hour Inc.</p><p><b>AppLovin (Key Metrics)</b></p><p>The table provides the company's key metrics. There has been a strong increase in the monthly active payers which jumped from 0.3 million in 2018 to 1.0 million in 2019 and 1.5 million in 2020. However, the enterprise clients declined from 192 in 2018 to 172 in 2020. The company defines its enterprise clients as third-party business clients from which it has collected more than $125,000 of revenue in the trailing 12 months. Average revenue per monthly active payer increased from $11 in 2018 to $32 in 2019 and $41 in 2020.</p><p>The company's main businesses comprise of its platform and apps. Its platform business mainly includes AppLovin Core Technologies and AppLovin Software. Its apps consist of over 200 free-to-play mobile games in five genres, run by 12 studios including those owned by the company and also those it partners with. The five major game genres offering by the company include casual, hypercasual, match-three, midcore, and card/casino. No single game of the company contributed more than 16% of its total revenue in 2020.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0638b1ba5528bc65ee975156f3bcfd46\" tg-width=\"605\" tg-height=\"225\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company data</span></p><p>The company collects revenue from two sources including business clients and consumers. In 2020, business clients accounted for 49% of total revenue and consumers represented 51% of total revenue.</p><p><b>Business Clients:</b></p><ul><li>The company has a wide range of business clients including Facebook(NASDAQ:FB), Google, and a number of much smaller companies. It had 1,400 business clients at the end of 2020. Nearly 99% of the company's business revenue came from its 172 enterprise clients as of December 31, 2020. The company also had a solid customer retention rate of 118% in 2020 for its enterprise clients.</li><li>AppLovin Software is a comprehensive suite of tools for developers to get their mobile apps discovered and downloaded by the right users, optimize return on marketing spend, and maximize monetization of engagement. AppLovin Software reaches an audience of over 410 million users per day. The company's software solutions provide tools for mobile app developers to expand their businesses by optimizing and automating the marketing and monetization of their apps. Since inception, the company's platform has driven more than 6 billion mobile app installs.</li><li>The company's main software includes AppDiscovery and MAX. Business clients use AppDiscovery to automate, optimize, and manage their app user acquisition investments. They set marketing and user growth goals, and AppDiscovery optimizes their ad spend in an effort to achieve their return on advertising spend targets and other marketing objectives. AppDiscovery comprises the vast majority of revenue from its software.</li><li>Revenue is generated from the advertisers, typically on a performance-based, cost-per-install basis, and shared with the company's advertising publishers, typically on a cost per impression model. Business clients use MAX to optimize purchases of app ad inventory.</li><li>The Compass Analytics tool within MAX provides insights to manage against key performance indicators, understand the long-term value of users, and help manage profitability. Revenue from MAX is generated based on a percentage of client spend. Business clients that purchase advertising inventory from the company's Apps are able to target highly relevant users from its diverse and global portfolio of over 200 mobile games.</li></ul><p><b>Consumers:</b></p><ul><li>The company has also developed and invested in AppLovin Apps, which consist of a globally diversified portfolio of over 200 free-to-play mobile games. These Apps are accessed by nearly 32 million users every day. Consumer revenue is generated when the user of its apps makes an in-app purchase (IAP).</li><li>The company's apps are mostly free-to-play mobile games and generate consumer revenue through in-app purchase of virtual items which are used to enhance gameplay and improve the probabilities of the mobile game progression opportunities.</li><li>During the three months ended December 31, 2020, the company had an average of 2.1 million monthly active payers (MAPs) across its portfolio of apps. Over that period, the company had an average revenue per monthly active payer of $41.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a469e7db2359f56bb1fec2388f2826\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Major Competitors</b></p><p>In the mobile games and other mobile game app related businesses, the major competitors include Unity Software, Activision Blizzard, Tencent Holdings(OTCPK:TCEHY), and Zynga. In the advertising platform business, the company's major competitors include Facebook, Alphabet, and Amazon (AMZN). Many of these companies are also AppLovin's partners and customers. In addition to these mega companies, the company faces competition from thousands of smaller competitors worldwide.</p><p>Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis</p><p>The company has a leveraged balance sheet. Net debt increased from $0.8 billion at the end of 2019 to $1.3 billion at the end of 2020. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio also rose from 260% at the end of 2019 to 315% at the end of 2020. After KKR invested in the company in 2018, it appears that AppLovin was advised to add more leverage and expand the business more aggressively through numerous acquisitions. Through this IPO, the company's balance sheet will become much stronger.</p><p>The company generated positive cash flow from operations and free cash flow in the past two years. Its cash flow from operations and free cash flow averaged $211 million and $207 million, respectively, in 2019 and 2020.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>AppLovin is one of the key beneficiaries of the surging growth of game-related mobile apps. Our base case valuation of AppLovin is EV of $35.1 billion, implied market cap of $35.7 billion, and target price per share of $99.8, which is about 17% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. In recent months, some of the major game-related IPOs including Roblox and Unity Software have done really well, although their share prices have come down from their recent highs. AppLovin will likely be compared against these stocks.</p><p>Despite AppLovin's decline in operating margins in 2020 due to higher operating expenses, it is more likely that investors will focus on the company's ability to continue to scale up the business and generate higher sales growth. There remains some uncertainty in terms of how quickly the company is willing to focus on the probability at the expense of lower sales growth. In addition, there are some concerns about the recent weakening sentiment on the tech-related IPOs.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AppLovin: Capitalizing On The Surging Growth Of Mobile Game Apps</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAppLovin: Capitalizing On The Surging Growth Of Mobile Game Apps\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-13 14:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418129-applovin-capitalizing-growth-mobile-game-apps><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAppLovin announced its IPO price range of $75 to $85 per share. The company is selling 25 million shares.At the high end of the IPO price range, the company is aiming to raise $2.1 billion, and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418129-applovin-capitalizing-growth-mobile-game-apps\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"APP":"AppLovin Corporation"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418129-applovin-capitalizing-growth-mobile-game-apps","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1125635474","content_text":"SummaryAppLovin announced its IPO price range of $75 to $85 per share. The company is selling 25 million shares.At the high end of the IPO price range, the company is aiming to raise $2.1 billion, and it would be valued at $30.4 billion.Our base case valuation of AppLovin is an EV of $35.1 billion, implied market cap of $35.7 billion, and target price per share of $99.8.The company has been a key beneficiary of the surging growth of popular game apps.Despite strong sales growth, its operating margins worsened in 2020 due to higher operating expenses.Investment ThesisAppLovinAppLovin Corporation  is one of the key beneficiaries of the exploding demand for mobile apps, especially for mobile games. The company's sales growth has been surging in recent years as the company has benefited from both organic growth and has been aggressive in making numerous acquisitions in the past three years.Most developers lack access to the marketing, monetization, and data analytics tools required to stand out among the more than 4.8 million mobile apps available on the Apple App Store(NASDAQ:AAPL)and Google Play Store(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL). The company's products and services help many app developers to scale up their business and create a successful app that can be sustained long term. This is where the company's capabilities in app development, marketing, and analytics really stand out.There are more than 1.3 million mobile gaming apps on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store.Mobile gamingaccounts for 39% of worldwide app downloads and for 72% of all app store consumer spend by value, according to Sensor Tower.Although the company's operating margins declined in the past two years mainly due to higher operating expenses, we believe that the company's profit margins will turn around this year due to a combination of higher economies of scale and lower operating expenses as a percentage of revenues.Comparable Companies Valuation AnalysisIn the comparable companies valuation analysis, we used the following companies as comps to AppLovin:Unity Software (U)Roblox Corp. (RBLX)Activision Blizzard (ATVI)Zynga (ZNGA)Our base case valuation of AppLovin is an EV of $35.1 billion, implied market cap of $35.7 billion, and implied target price per share of $99.8. This represents 17% upside from the high end of the IPO price range of $85. We have a POSITIVE view of the AppLovin IPO.Our base case valuation of AppLovin is based on a 16x EV/S multiple (using 2021 sales estimate), which represents a 10% higher than the average EV/S multiple of the comps. It is also below the EV/S multiple of Unity Software and Roblox which trade at EV/S multiple of 26.8x and 19.2x, respectively.The comps' average sales growth in 2020 and 2021 are similar to the sales growth rates of AppLovin in this period. Among the comps, Roblox has the highest sales growth and Activision has the lowest sales growth in 2020 and 2021. Overall, we have assumed higher sales growth for AppLovin versus its peers in 2021 and 2022 and this is one of main reasons why we have applied a 10% higher valuation multiple than the comps.However, Roblox is trading at 19.2x EV/S in 2021 and we have applied a 16x EV/S multiple for AppLovin (17% lower valuation multiple than Roblox). We believe the market will attach a slightly higher valuation multiple for Roblox than AppLovin, mainly due to the former company's higher sales growth and operating margins in 2021, and its brand is more recognized worldwide.Income Statement ForecastAppLovin generated sales of $1,451.1 million and an operating loss of $62.1 million in 2020. The company's sales have nearly tripled from 2018 to 2020. The company's operating margins declined from 50.1% in 2018 to 19.5% in 2019 and -4.3% in 2020. The major reasons for the lower operating margins are due to higher cost of sales, sales & marketing, R&D, and other operating expenses as a percentage of sales.We estimate AppLovin to generate sales of $2.2 billion (up 51% YoY) and an operating profit of $65.2 million in 2021. From 2020 to 2025, we have assumed the company's sales to grow at a CAGR of 28.6%. We have also assumed the company's operating margin to turn positive to 3% in 2021 from -4.3% in 2020. We estimate its operating margins to improve further to 6.8% in 2022, 10.6% in 2023, and 17.8% in 2025. We estimate AppLovin to have sales of $5.1 billion and an operating profit of $0.9 billion in 2025.Company BackgroundThecompanyoriginally started its business helping customers to improve the smartphone customer experiences for all the users. In recent years, the company has become a much bigger player in the mobile gaming segment and it also helps developers to grow their users and improve the monetization of their apps.According to IDC, the company's totalmarket opportunityis estimated to be $189 billion in 2020, growing to $283 billion in 2024, representing a CAGR of 10.6% in this period. This total market size of $184 billion was derived by adding the worldwide total in-app advertising revenue of $101 billion (including gaming and non-gaming in-app display, video, and other advertising, but excluding in-app search advertising) and worldwide direct game spending of $88 billion for 2020.AppLovin has invested about $1 billion in 15 acquisitions and partnerships since 2018. It owns more than 200 free-to-play mobile games from 12 studios.AppLovinlaunched a gaming business unit called Lion Studios in July 2018. It also acquired a company called Max in September 2018. Max provides in-app bidding service, which is a type of advertising where mobile publishers can sell their ad inventory in an auction method). AppLovin also owns and operates gaming studios Machine Zone, Belka Games, PeopleFun and Firecraft Studios.In February 2021, AppLovin signed an agreement to purchase Adjust for $1 billion (including $598 million in cash and $352 million in convertible securities, and an assumption of up to $40 million in debt). Adjust is a leading mobile app analytics& marketing products company in Germany. Adjust provides tools to prevent mobile advertising fraud and better measure the user base. This acquisition is expected to close in 1H 2021.In the IPO prospectus, the company mentioned that it plans to use $75 million of its Class A common shares for charitable purposes. If the company raises $1 billion in the IPO, this would represent nearly 7.5% of total amount. This is a bit unusual to have this large number of shares allocated for charitable purposes. We applaud this move by the CEO and its senior management. Adam Foroughi, the co-founder and CEO of AppLovin, previously co-founded two advertising technology companies, Lifestreet Media Inc. and Social Hour Inc.AppLovin (Key Metrics)The table provides the company's key metrics. There has been a strong increase in the monthly active payers which jumped from 0.3 million in 2018 to 1.0 million in 2019 and 1.5 million in 2020. However, the enterprise clients declined from 192 in 2018 to 172 in 2020. The company defines its enterprise clients as third-party business clients from which it has collected more than $125,000 of revenue in the trailing 12 months. Average revenue per monthly active payer increased from $11 in 2018 to $32 in 2019 and $41 in 2020.The company's main businesses comprise of its platform and apps. Its platform business mainly includes AppLovin Core Technologies and AppLovin Software. Its apps consist of over 200 free-to-play mobile games in five genres, run by 12 studios including those owned by the company and also those it partners with. The five major game genres offering by the company include casual, hypercasual, match-three, midcore, and card/casino. No single game of the company contributed more than 16% of its total revenue in 2020.Source: Company dataThe company collects revenue from two sources including business clients and consumers. In 2020, business clients accounted for 49% of total revenue and consumers represented 51% of total revenue.Business Clients:The company has a wide range of business clients including Facebook(NASDAQ:FB), Google, and a number of much smaller companies. It had 1,400 business clients at the end of 2020. Nearly 99% of the company's business revenue came from its 172 enterprise clients as of December 31, 2020. The company also had a solid customer retention rate of 118% in 2020 for its enterprise clients.AppLovin Software is a comprehensive suite of tools for developers to get their mobile apps discovered and downloaded by the right users, optimize return on marketing spend, and maximize monetization of engagement. AppLovin Software reaches an audience of over 410 million users per day. The company's software solutions provide tools for mobile app developers to expand their businesses by optimizing and automating the marketing and monetization of their apps. Since inception, the company's platform has driven more than 6 billion mobile app installs.The company's main software includes AppDiscovery and MAX. Business clients use AppDiscovery to automate, optimize, and manage their app user acquisition investments. They set marketing and user growth goals, and AppDiscovery optimizes their ad spend in an effort to achieve their return on advertising spend targets and other marketing objectives. AppDiscovery comprises the vast majority of revenue from its software.Revenue is generated from the advertisers, typically on a performance-based, cost-per-install basis, and shared with the company's advertising publishers, typically on a cost per impression model. Business clients use MAX to optimize purchases of app ad inventory.The Compass Analytics tool within MAX provides insights to manage against key performance indicators, understand the long-term value of users, and help manage profitability. Revenue from MAX is generated based on a percentage of client spend. Business clients that purchase advertising inventory from the company's Apps are able to target highly relevant users from its diverse and global portfolio of over 200 mobile games.Consumers:The company has also developed and invested in AppLovin Apps, which consist of a globally diversified portfolio of over 200 free-to-play mobile games. These Apps are accessed by nearly 32 million users every day. Consumer revenue is generated when the user of its apps makes an in-app purchase (IAP).The company's apps are mostly free-to-play mobile games and generate consumer revenue through in-app purchase of virtual items which are used to enhance gameplay and improve the probabilities of the mobile game progression opportunities.During the three months ended December 31, 2020, the company had an average of 2.1 million monthly active payers (MAPs) across its portfolio of apps. Over that period, the company had an average revenue per monthly active payer of $41.Major CompetitorsIn the mobile games and other mobile game app related businesses, the major competitors include Unity Software, Activision Blizzard, Tencent Holdings(OTCPK:TCEHY), and Zynga. In the advertising platform business, the company's major competitors include Facebook, Alphabet, and Amazon (AMZN). Many of these companies are also AppLovin's partners and customers. In addition to these mega companies, the company faces competition from thousands of smaller competitors worldwide.Balance Sheet and Cash Flow AnalysisThe company has a leveraged balance sheet. Net debt increased from $0.8 billion at the end of 2019 to $1.3 billion at the end of 2020. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio also rose from 260% at the end of 2019 to 315% at the end of 2020. After KKR invested in the company in 2018, it appears that AppLovin was advised to add more leverage and expand the business more aggressively through numerous acquisitions. Through this IPO, the company's balance sheet will become much stronger.The company generated positive cash flow from operations and free cash flow in the past two years. Its cash flow from operations and free cash flow averaged $211 million and $207 million, respectively, in 2019 and 2020.ConclusionAppLovin is one of the key beneficiaries of the surging growth of game-related mobile apps. Our base case valuation of AppLovin is EV of $35.1 billion, implied market cap of $35.7 billion, and target price per share of $99.8, which is about 17% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. In recent months, some of the major game-related IPOs including Roblox and Unity Software have done really well, although their share prices have come down from their recent highs. AppLovin will likely be compared against these stocks.Despite AppLovin's decline in operating margins in 2020 due to higher operating expenses, it is more likely that investors will focus on the company's ability to continue to scale up the business and generate higher sales growth. There remains some uncertainty in terms of how quickly the company is willing to focus on the probability at the expense of lower sales growth. In addition, there are some concerns about the recent weakening sentiment on the tech-related IPOs.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3578607602231616","authorId":"3578607602231616","name":"Jacoble","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19e355281937c20e926e5a42ed3b6313","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578607602231616","authorIdStr":"3578607602231616"},"content":"comment on mine too pls","text":"comment on mine too pls","html":"comment on mine too pls"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832924651,"gmtCreate":1629563387073,"gmtModify":1676530071300,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"a","listText":"a","text":"a","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832924651","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881481030,"gmtCreate":1631376040620,"gmtModify":1676530538370,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"aaa","listText":"aaa","text":"aaa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881481030","repostId":"1147045390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147045390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631321547,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147045390?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-11 08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147045390","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple  to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30%","content":"<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p>\n<p>In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p>\n<p>Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p>\n<p>SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p>\n<p>Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p>\n<p>Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p>\n<p>“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p>\n<p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p>\n<p>The ruling is more a positive for companies like&nbsp;Spotify Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Match Group&nbsp;than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and&nbsp;4.2%, respectively.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple’s Risk Is Limited\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-11 08:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147045390","content_text":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.\nIn a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.\nData from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.\nSensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.\nGene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.\nMunster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.\n“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.\nWedbush analyst Dan Ives told Barron’s he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.\nThe ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115670412,"gmtCreate":1622991967636,"gmtModify":1704194147830,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"can a kind soul advise how to LIKE&nbsp;&nbsp;a reply ?&nbsp;","listText":"can a kind soul advise how to LIKE&nbsp;&nbsp;a reply ?&nbsp;","text":"can a kind soul advise how to LIKE a reply ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115670412","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571310539793592","authorId":"3571310539793592","name":"jaywai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b851b00626e38b8250dc613340335154","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571310539793592","authorIdStr":"3571310539793592"},"content":"Click on the comment to open in a separate page. Then you can like individual comments","text":"Click on the comment to open in a separate page. Then you can like individual comments","html":"Click on the comment to open in a separate page. Then you can like individual comments"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054666745,"gmtCreate":1655383847987,"gmtModify":1676535627006,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054666745","repostId":"1138301646","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860377599,"gmtCreate":1632142616511,"gmtModify":1676530709203,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/860377599","repostId":"1130418583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130418583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632138209,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130418583?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-20 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130418583","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as inve","content":"<p>(Sept 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as investors nervously eyed the potential ripple effects of the default of a major Chinese real estate company and ongoing debates over the debt limit in Washington.</p>\n<p>At 07:47 a.m. ET,&nbsp;Dow futures sank by more than 600 points, or 1.79%, in early trading. S&amp;P 500 futures also dropped by more than 1%, adding to losses from last week. The CBOE Volatility Index, or Vix (^VIX), jumped by more than 30% as a confluence of concerns roiled markets.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c25019026526b24ae7ba8fd17ac289\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket</b></p>\n<p>1)&nbsp;China Evergrande Group—&nbsp;Chinese property giant&nbsp;Evergrande tumbled more than 10% on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, spooking Asian markets.&nbsp;The company has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts. Last week Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b> — The pharmaceutical giantsaid Mondaythat trials showed its Covid vaccine was safe and effective when used in children ages 5 to 11. Pfizer and partner BioNTech said they would submit the results for approval “as soon as possible.” Shares of Pfizer were down about 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPI\">Laredo</a> ,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a></b> — Oil and energy stocks dipped in premarket trading on Monday. The SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration ETF is down more than 3% in early trading, on pace for its 3rd straight negative session. Laredo Petroleum is down more than 8%, Callon Petroleum is down roughly 6%, and Occidental Petroleum is down nearly 5%. The losses came as crude oil fell on fears of a global economic slowdown tied to the China property market.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CL\">Colgate-Palmolive</a></b> — The consumer staples stock wasupgradedto buy from hold by Deutsche Bank on Sunday. The investment firm said that Colgate’s difficulties with inflation and in some international markets was already priced in to its stock.</p>\n<p>5)&nbsp;JPMorgan,&nbsp;Bank of America— Bank stocks slid in unison amid a decline in bond yields on slowdown fears. Investors flocked to Treasurys for safety as the stock market is set for its biggest sell-off in months. Big bank stocks took a hit as the falling rates may crimp profits. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase were each down more than 2% in premarket trading. Citizens Financial Group dropped 3%, while Citigroup declined 2.5%.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZNCF\">AstraZeneca Plc</a></b> — The United Kingdom-based pharmaceutical company announced on Monday that its breast cancer drug Enhertu showed positive results in a phase-three trial. Shares of the company were up more than 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> </b>— Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is down 2.75% in the premarket, on pace to snap a 3-day winning streak. Compugen, DraftKings, Coinbase and Square are so of the ETF’s biggest losers this morning.</p>\n<p>Some investors believe this is just normal market action that can occur in September.</p>\n<p>“The reasons for drop this morning are the same as last week: China concerns (Evergrande, regulation, COVID), Fed tapering and possible tax hikes, but nothing new occurred this weekend to justify this mornings’ declines,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.</p>\n<p>Other risky assets declined on Monday.Bitcoinlost 8% tobelow $44,000.</p>\n<p>Most commodities were in the red.Goldwas among the few assets in the green, adding 0.5% to $1,760.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-20 19:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as investors nervously eyed the potential ripple effects of the default of a major Chinese real estate company and ongoing debates over the debt limit in Washington.</p>\n<p>At 07:47 a.m. ET,&nbsp;Dow futures sank by more than 600 points, or 1.79%, in early trading. S&amp;P 500 futures also dropped by more than 1%, adding to losses from last week. The CBOE Volatility Index, or Vix (^VIX), jumped by more than 30% as a confluence of concerns roiled markets.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c25019026526b24ae7ba8fd17ac289\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket</b></p>\n<p>1)&nbsp;China Evergrande Group—&nbsp;Chinese property giant&nbsp;Evergrande tumbled more than 10% on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, spooking Asian markets.&nbsp;The company has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts. Last week Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b> — The pharmaceutical giantsaid Mondaythat trials showed its Covid vaccine was safe and effective when used in children ages 5 to 11. Pfizer and partner BioNTech said they would submit the results for approval “as soon as possible.” Shares of Pfizer were down about 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPI\">Laredo</a> ,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a></b> — Oil and energy stocks dipped in premarket trading on Monday. The SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration ETF is down more than 3% in early trading, on pace for its 3rd straight negative session. Laredo Petroleum is down more than 8%, Callon Petroleum is down roughly 6%, and Occidental Petroleum is down nearly 5%. The losses came as crude oil fell on fears of a global economic slowdown tied to the China property market.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CL\">Colgate-Palmolive</a></b> — The consumer staples stock wasupgradedto buy from hold by Deutsche Bank on Sunday. The investment firm said that Colgate’s difficulties with inflation and in some international markets was already priced in to its stock.</p>\n<p>5)&nbsp;JPMorgan,&nbsp;Bank of America— Bank stocks slid in unison amid a decline in bond yields on slowdown fears. Investors flocked to Treasurys for safety as the stock market is set for its biggest sell-off in months. Big bank stocks took a hit as the falling rates may crimp profits. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase were each down more than 2% in premarket trading. Citizens Financial Group dropped 3%, while Citigroup declined 2.5%.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZNCF\">AstraZeneca Plc</a></b> — The United Kingdom-based pharmaceutical company announced on Monday that its breast cancer drug Enhertu showed positive results in a phase-three trial. Shares of the company were up more than 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> </b>— Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is down 2.75% in the premarket, on pace to snap a 3-day winning streak. Compugen, DraftKings, Coinbase and Square are so of the ETF’s biggest losers this morning.</p>\n<p>Some investors believe this is just normal market action that can occur in September.</p>\n<p>“The reasons for drop this morning are the same as last week: China concerns (Evergrande, regulation, COVID), Fed tapering and possible tax hikes, but nothing new occurred this weekend to justify this mornings’ declines,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.</p>\n<p>Other risky assets declined on Monday.Bitcoinlost 8% tobelow $44,000.</p>\n<p>Most commodities were in the red.Goldwas among the few assets in the green, adding 0.5% to $1,760.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130418583","content_text":"(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as investors nervously eyed the potential ripple effects of the default of a major Chinese real estate company and ongoing debates over the debt limit in Washington.\nAt 07:47 a.m. ET, Dow futures sank by more than 600 points, or 1.79%, in early trading. S&P 500 futures also dropped by more than 1%, adding to losses from last week. The CBOE Volatility Index, or Vix (^VIX), jumped by more than 30% as a confluence of concerns roiled markets.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket\n1) China Evergrande Group— Chinese property giant Evergrande tumbled more than 10% on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, spooking Asian markets. The company has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts. Last week Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months.\n2) Pfizer — The pharmaceutical giantsaid Mondaythat trials showed its Covid vaccine was safe and effective when used in children ages 5 to 11. Pfizer and partner BioNTech said they would submit the results for approval “as soon as possible.” Shares of Pfizer were down about 1% in premarket trading.\n3) Laredo ,Occidental — Oil and energy stocks dipped in premarket trading on Monday. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration ETF is down more than 3% in early trading, on pace for its 3rd straight negative session. Laredo Petroleum is down more than 8%, Callon Petroleum is down roughly 6%, and Occidental Petroleum is down nearly 5%. The losses came as crude oil fell on fears of a global economic slowdown tied to the China property market.\n4) Colgate-Palmolive — The consumer staples stock wasupgradedto buy from hold by Deutsche Bank on Sunday. The investment firm said that Colgate’s difficulties with inflation and in some international markets was already priced in to its stock.\n5) JPMorgan, Bank of America— Bank stocks slid in unison amid a decline in bond yields on slowdown fears. Investors flocked to Treasurys for safety as the stock market is set for its biggest sell-off in months. Big bank stocks took a hit as the falling rates may crimp profits. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase were each down more than 2% in premarket trading. Citizens Financial Group dropped 3%, while Citigroup declined 2.5%.\n6) AstraZeneca Plc — The United Kingdom-based pharmaceutical company announced on Monday that its breast cancer drug Enhertu showed positive results in a phase-three trial. Shares of the company were up more than 1% in premarket trading.\n7) ARK Innovation ETF — Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is down 2.75% in the premarket, on pace to snap a 3-day winning streak. Compugen, DraftKings, Coinbase and Square are so of the ETF’s biggest losers this morning.\nSome investors believe this is just normal market action that can occur in September.\n“The reasons for drop this morning are the same as last week: China concerns (Evergrande, regulation, COVID), Fed tapering and possible tax hikes, but nothing new occurred this weekend to justify this mornings’ declines,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.\nOther risky assets declined on Monday.Bitcoinlost 8% tobelow $44,000.\nMost commodities were in the red.Goldwas among the few assets in the green, adding 0.5% to $1,760.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148336840,"gmtCreate":1625928261980,"gmtModify":1703750981212,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"a","listText":"a","text":"a","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148336840","repostId":"2150370120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150370120","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1625879410,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2150370120?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 Cloud Stocks to Buy on the Next Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150370120","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"How can you capitalize on secular growth trends like digital transformation, artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, analytics, video streaming, work from anywhere, the gig economy, and more? Last time, I covered stocks six through 10 on the list, and today I cover my top five!","content":"<p>Today, I cover my top high-conviction cloud stocks to buy on the next dip. These are high-growth software-as-a-service (SaaS) and cloud stocks that I currently hold in my $1.6 million long-term investing portfolio.</p>\n<p>If you aren't familiar with the terminology, SaaS is simply a component of cloud computing. SaaS refers to software hosted outside of your organization and offered as a subscription-based service. Overall, SaaS generally offers businesses lower total cost of ownership. The latest software updates and enhancements are generally done for you as the client, allowing businesses to have the latest and greatest without additional effort or overhead. Additionally, SaaS enables businesses to shift capital expenses to operating expenses, allowing them to stretch budgets from an accounting perspective.</p>\n<p>Cloud computing refers to servers that are connected through the internet, as well as the software, data centers, and databases that create an online network. Leveraging \"the cloud\" allows users and businesses to consume and analyze data without having to manage databases or software on their own physical, on-premises servers and machines.</p>\n<p>Digital transformation, artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, machine learning, centralized analytics, customer relationship management, enterprise resource planning (ERP), connected TV (CTV), streaming, work from anywhere, the gig economy, and other secular growth trends fuel SaaS and cloud infrastructure. But what are the best stocks to buy in order to ride these waves and boost your portfolio?</p>\n<p>I'll provide 10 total stocks over two articles and videos. Today, I will cover stocks 1 through 10.</p>\n<p>#10.<b>salesforce.com</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CRM) is the leader in customer relationship management (CRM). <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> is a SaaS provider that enables organizations to integrate marketing, sales, service, e-commerce, and IT into a single customer view. Salesforce is acquiring<b>Slack</b> (NYSE:WORK), which has caused volatility in the stock. The leadership team has proven to shareholders many times that they can successfully acquire businesses and add value. I firmly believe that this acquisition will add tremendous value to Salesforce customers. The company plans to build Slack into its Service Cloud products, which will increase employee productivity from anywhere.</p>\n<p>#9.<b>DocuSign</b>(NASDAQ:DOCU) offers more than most people realize. Its business consists of four primary pillars -- manage, prepare, sign, and act -- which collectively are called the DocuSign Agreement Cloud. The company continues to expand offerings, and its recent earnings results prove it. For Q1 FY22, revenues grew 58% year over year to $469 million. Its billings also grew 54% year over year to $527 million with a 125% net dollar retention rate. The below video goes into more detail, breaking down the pillars and solutions.</p>\n<p>#8.<b>Twilio</b> (NYSE:TWLO) is often misunderstood. Sure, it helps companies like Uber and DoorDash connect customers to businesses, but what else does it do? Here is a list of solutions Twilio can offer:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Messaging:</b> You can send and receive SMS, MMS, and OTT messages globally (to and from over 180 countries) and in a scalable manner. For example, Twilio can be used to created automated replies to customers and route important requests to humans for additional interaction.</li>\n <li><b>Customer engagement:</b>Contact centers can leverage Twilio for customer engagement channels, and the tools can be quite complex. For example, Twilio offers AI-powered tools for customer self-service, automatic text notifications, callbacks, etc.</li>\n <li><b>Marketing:</b>Campaigns can use Twilio to send specific, customizable messages with the ability to track data such as click-through rates.</li>\n <li><b>Business email services:</b> Twilio can send and receive emails. Twilio SendGrid Email API allows businesses to create flexible, scalable, and engaging campaigns.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>#7<b>The Trade Desk</b> (NASDAQ:TTD) focuses on the ad-tech space, and it has a tremendous total addressable market (TAM) when you consider the possibilities in CTV. CTV means \"connected TV,\" which is essentially any television connected to the internet. Think<b>Roku</b> (NASDAQ:ROKU), YouTube, part of<b>Alphabet</b> (NASDAQ:GOOGL),<b>Amazon</b> Prime (NASDAQ:AMZN),<b>Disney</b>'s Disney+&nbsp;(NYSE:DIS), and others. Smart TVs are changing the internet, and buying The Trade Desk is the best way to play this space, in my opinion. The company allows its clients to buy advertisements or run global marketing campaigns in areas such as CTV, display ads, and even social media. These are massive secular growth trends, and The Trade Desk can help your portfolio capture some of this growth.</p>\n<p>#6.<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</b> (NASDAQ:ZM) is the epitome of a work-from-home stock, but can it be a large part of the work-from-anywhere movement that is here to stay? The answer, in my opinion, is yes. Zoom is now a verb, and recently Charlie Munger told CNBC that he's \"in love with Zoom\" and thinks it's \"here to stay.\" I agree with him, and the below video shares more details as to why.</p>\n<p>In case you missed the last article, I'll provide some background. If you aren't familiar with the terminology, SaaS is simply a component of cloud computing. SaaS refers to software hosted outside of your organization and offered as a subscription-based service. SaaS generally offers businesses lower total cost of ownership. The latest software updates and enhancements are generally done for the client, allowing businesses to have the latest and greatest without additional effort or overhead. Additionally, SaaS enables businesses to shift capital expenses to operating expenses, allowing them to stretch budgets from an accounting perspective.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><i>Cloud computing</i> refers to servers that are connected through the internet, as well as the software, data centers, and databases that create an online network. Leveraging \"the cloud\" allows users and businesses to consume and analyze data without having to manage databases or software on their own physical, on-premises servers and machines.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Digital transformation, artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, machine learning, centralized analytics, customer relationship management, enterprise resource planning (ERP), connected TV (CTV), streaming, work from anywhere, the gig economy, and other secular growth trends fuel SaaS and cloud infrastructure. But what are the best stocks to buy in order to ride these waves and boost your portfolio?&nbsp;</p>\n<p>#5. <b>Zscaler</b> (NASDAQ:ZS) offers customers a security stack as a cloud service, which offers lower cost and complexity than \"old-school\" traditional gateway methods. Zscaler's global infrastructure brings internet gateways closer to users all around the world, creating a faster and more streamlined experience. The company enables work-from-anywhere cloud security in a highly scalable fashion.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>#4. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a></b> (NASDAQ:DDOG) provides monitoring and analytics tools that give IT teams insights from anywhere and at any time. Datadog, like Zscaler, is very scalable. In fact, most cloud-native providers are highly scalable, which is part of the reason they rank high on the list. Datadog brings information together from across an entire organization into a simple dashboard. Companies that leverage Datadog enjoy benefits such as improved user experience, faster resolutions to interruptions, and overall better business decisions.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Datadog has continuously improved its product suite as well as its partnership network. In fact, Datadog recently announced a new partnership with <b>Microsoft</b> (NASDAQ:DDOG) Azure, which allows streamlined experiences for configuration, purchasing, and even managing Datadog inside the Azure portal. Additionally, on July 1 Datadog announced a partnership with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> to provide real-time monitoring and threat detection across the <b>Salesforce</b> (NASDAQ:DDOG)&nbsp;platform.</p>\n<p>From a product perspective, here are the highlights:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Application performance monitoring (APM) </b>provides visibility into application functionality and health.&nbsp;</li>\n <li><b>Infrastructure monitoring </b>allows businesses to monitor IT infrastructure.</li>\n <li><b>Log management </b>provides visualization and data for any performance problems.</li>\n <li><b>User experience monitoring </b>includes both synthetics and real user monitoring (RUM).</li>\n <li><b>Network performance monitoring </b>allows insights and analysis into network traffic flow from both hybrid and cloud environments.</li>\n <li><b>Incident management and continuous profiler </b>improves workflows.&nbsp;</li>\n <li><b>Security monitoring </b>provides threat detection.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>#3. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a></b> (NYSE:SNOW) offers what it calls a \"data warehouse-as-a-service\" (DaaS), a cloud-based data storage and analytics solution. Interestingly, Snowflake is not a SaaS company since its revenues are over 90% consumption based. Snowflake reduces cost and improves agility. Its data platform is unique in that it is not built on an existing big data platform.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>As you may have heard around the time of the IPO, Snowflake is backed by Warren Buffett's <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A). Snowflake's clients include <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL), <b>Nike</b> (NYSE:NKE), <b>Mastercard</b> (NYSE:MA), and many others. Snowflake is all about big data, and it deserves a top spot on the list.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>#2. <b>Cloudflare</b>'s (NYSE:NET) mission is to help \"build a better internet.\" Cloudflare is actually a network. In fact, it's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the larger networks on the planet. Cloudflare enables a faster and more secure internet for anyone with an internet presence. Cloudflare has data centers across the globe, and it boasts an astonishing 25 million internet properties, a number that grows daily. To date, Cloudflare handles over 17 percent of the Fortune 1000 internet requests, and the company handles 25 million HTTP requests every second on average. Cloudflare is all about the future of the internet, and it belongs in my portfolio as a long-term investment.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>#1 <b>Crowdstrike</b> (NASDAQ:CRWD) is the leader in endpoint security. Crowdstrike's Falcon platform stops breaches through both prevention and response, a process known as endpoint detection and response (EDR). It uses agent-based sensors that can be installed on Mac, Linux, and Windows. Crowdstrike relies on a cloud-hosted SaaS platform that manages data and prevents, detects, and responds to threats. Both malware and non-malware attacks are covered via Crowdstrike's cloud-delivered technologies in a lightweight solution.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Cyberattacks continue to be a major threat, and the total addressable market for cybersecurity is enormous. Crowdstrike has been a monster since its IPO in 2019, growing into a $60 billion market cap company. But I think Crowdstrike is just getting started, and it stands tall as my top high-conviction cloud/SaaS stock for the next decade.</p>\n<p>If you want deeper-dive analysis on these stocks, please watch the video below, where I cover these and many others in the cloud space. These growth stocks can boost your long-term investing portfolio, so please check out the below video and subscribe to make sure you stay on top of this sector.&nbsp;</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 Cloud Stocks to Buy on the Next Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 Cloud Stocks to Buy on the Next Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 09:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/09/top-10-cloud-stocks-to-buy-on-the-next-dip-part-ii/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Today, I cover my top high-conviction cloud stocks to buy on the next dip. These are high-growth software-as-a-service (SaaS) and cloud stocks that I currently hold in my $1.6 million long-term ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/09/top-10-cloud-stocks-to-buy-on-the-next-dip-part-ii/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时","SNOW":"Snowflake","TWLO":"Twilio Inc","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","NET":"Cloudflare, Inc.","DDOG":"Datadog","DOCU":"Docusign","ZM":"Zoom","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","TTD":"Trade Desk Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/09/top-10-cloud-stocks-to-buy-on-the-next-dip-part-ii/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150370120","content_text":"Today, I cover my top high-conviction cloud stocks to buy on the next dip. These are high-growth software-as-a-service (SaaS) and cloud stocks that I currently hold in my $1.6 million long-term investing portfolio.\nIf you aren't familiar with the terminology, SaaS is simply a component of cloud computing. SaaS refers to software hosted outside of your organization and offered as a subscription-based service. Overall, SaaS generally offers businesses lower total cost of ownership. The latest software updates and enhancements are generally done for you as the client, allowing businesses to have the latest and greatest without additional effort or overhead. Additionally, SaaS enables businesses to shift capital expenses to operating expenses, allowing them to stretch budgets from an accounting perspective.\nCloud computing refers to servers that are connected through the internet, as well as the software, data centers, and databases that create an online network. Leveraging \"the cloud\" allows users and businesses to consume and analyze data without having to manage databases or software on their own physical, on-premises servers and machines.\nDigital transformation, artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, machine learning, centralized analytics, customer relationship management, enterprise resource planning (ERP), connected TV (CTV), streaming, work from anywhere, the gig economy, and other secular growth trends fuel SaaS and cloud infrastructure. But what are the best stocks to buy in order to ride these waves and boost your portfolio?\nI'll provide 10 total stocks over two articles and videos. Today, I will cover stocks 1 through 10.\n#10.salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) is the leader in customer relationship management (CRM). Salesforce is a SaaS provider that enables organizations to integrate marketing, sales, service, e-commerce, and IT into a single customer view. Salesforce is acquiringSlack (NYSE:WORK), which has caused volatility in the stock. The leadership team has proven to shareholders many times that they can successfully acquire businesses and add value. I firmly believe that this acquisition will add tremendous value to Salesforce customers. The company plans to build Slack into its Service Cloud products, which will increase employee productivity from anywhere.\n#9.DocuSign(NASDAQ:DOCU) offers more than most people realize. Its business consists of four primary pillars -- manage, prepare, sign, and act -- which collectively are called the DocuSign Agreement Cloud. The company continues to expand offerings, and its recent earnings results prove it. For Q1 FY22, revenues grew 58% year over year to $469 million. Its billings also grew 54% year over year to $527 million with a 125% net dollar retention rate. The below video goes into more detail, breaking down the pillars and solutions.\n#8.Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) is often misunderstood. Sure, it helps companies like Uber and DoorDash connect customers to businesses, but what else does it do? Here is a list of solutions Twilio can offer:\n\nMessaging: You can send and receive SMS, MMS, and OTT messages globally (to and from over 180 countries) and in a scalable manner. For example, Twilio can be used to created automated replies to customers and route important requests to humans for additional interaction.\nCustomer engagement:Contact centers can leverage Twilio for customer engagement channels, and the tools can be quite complex. For example, Twilio offers AI-powered tools for customer self-service, automatic text notifications, callbacks, etc.\nMarketing:Campaigns can use Twilio to send specific, customizable messages with the ability to track data such as click-through rates.\nBusiness email services: Twilio can send and receive emails. Twilio SendGrid Email API allows businesses to create flexible, scalable, and engaging campaigns.\n\n#7The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) focuses on the ad-tech space, and it has a tremendous total addressable market (TAM) when you consider the possibilities in CTV. CTV means \"connected TV,\" which is essentially any television connected to the internet. ThinkRoku (NASDAQ:ROKU), YouTube, part ofAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL),Amazon Prime (NASDAQ:AMZN),Disney's Disney+ (NYSE:DIS), and others. Smart TVs are changing the internet, and buying The Trade Desk is the best way to play this space, in my opinion. The company allows its clients to buy advertisements or run global marketing campaigns in areas such as CTV, display ads, and even social media. These are massive secular growth trends, and The Trade Desk can help your portfolio capture some of this growth.\n#6.Zoom Video (NASDAQ:ZM) is the epitome of a work-from-home stock, but can it be a large part of the work-from-anywhere movement that is here to stay? The answer, in my opinion, is yes. Zoom is now a verb, and recently Charlie Munger told CNBC that he's \"in love with Zoom\" and thinks it's \"here to stay.\" I agree with him, and the below video shares more details as to why.\nIn case you missed the last article, I'll provide some background. If you aren't familiar with the terminology, SaaS is simply a component of cloud computing. SaaS refers to software hosted outside of your organization and offered as a subscription-based service. SaaS generally offers businesses lower total cost of ownership. The latest software updates and enhancements are generally done for the client, allowing businesses to have the latest and greatest without additional effort or overhead. Additionally, SaaS enables businesses to shift capital expenses to operating expenses, allowing them to stretch budgets from an accounting perspective. \nCloud computing refers to servers that are connected through the internet, as well as the software, data centers, and databases that create an online network. Leveraging \"the cloud\" allows users and businesses to consume and analyze data without having to manage databases or software on their own physical, on-premises servers and machines. \nDigital transformation, artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, machine learning, centralized analytics, customer relationship management, enterprise resource planning (ERP), connected TV (CTV), streaming, work from anywhere, the gig economy, and other secular growth trends fuel SaaS and cloud infrastructure. But what are the best stocks to buy in order to ride these waves and boost your portfolio? \n#5. Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS) offers customers a security stack as a cloud service, which offers lower cost and complexity than \"old-school\" traditional gateway methods. Zscaler's global infrastructure brings internet gateways closer to users all around the world, creating a faster and more streamlined experience. The company enables work-from-anywhere cloud security in a highly scalable fashion. \n#4. Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG) provides monitoring and analytics tools that give IT teams insights from anywhere and at any time. Datadog, like Zscaler, is very scalable. In fact, most cloud-native providers are highly scalable, which is part of the reason they rank high on the list. Datadog brings information together from across an entire organization into a simple dashboard. Companies that leverage Datadog enjoy benefits such as improved user experience, faster resolutions to interruptions, and overall better business decisions. \nDatadog has continuously improved its product suite as well as its partnership network. In fact, Datadog recently announced a new partnership with Microsoft (NASDAQ:DDOG) Azure, which allows streamlined experiences for configuration, purchasing, and even managing Datadog inside the Azure portal. Additionally, on July 1 Datadog announced a partnership with Salesforce to provide real-time monitoring and threat detection across the Salesforce (NASDAQ:DDOG) platform.\nFrom a product perspective, here are the highlights:\n\nApplication performance monitoring (APM) provides visibility into application functionality and health. \nInfrastructure monitoring allows businesses to monitor IT infrastructure.\nLog management provides visualization and data for any performance problems.\nUser experience monitoring includes both synthetics and real user monitoring (RUM).\nNetwork performance monitoring allows insights and analysis into network traffic flow from both hybrid and cloud environments.\nIncident management and continuous profiler improves workflows. \nSecurity monitoring provides threat detection.\n\n#3. Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW) offers what it calls a \"data warehouse-as-a-service\" (DaaS), a cloud-based data storage and analytics solution. Interestingly, Snowflake is not a SaaS company since its revenues are over 90% consumption based. Snowflake reduces cost and improves agility. Its data platform is unique in that it is not built on an existing big data platform. \nAs you may have heard around the time of the IPO, Snowflake is backed by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A). Snowflake's clients include Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Nike (NYSE:NKE), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), and many others. Snowflake is all about big data, and it deserves a top spot on the list. \n#2. Cloudflare's (NYSE:NET) mission is to help \"build a better internet.\" Cloudflare is actually a network. In fact, it's one of the larger networks on the planet. Cloudflare enables a faster and more secure internet for anyone with an internet presence. Cloudflare has data centers across the globe, and it boasts an astonishing 25 million internet properties, a number that grows daily. To date, Cloudflare handles over 17 percent of the Fortune 1000 internet requests, and the company handles 25 million HTTP requests every second on average. Cloudflare is all about the future of the internet, and it belongs in my portfolio as a long-term investment. \n#1 Crowdstrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) is the leader in endpoint security. Crowdstrike's Falcon platform stops breaches through both prevention and response, a process known as endpoint detection and response (EDR). It uses agent-based sensors that can be installed on Mac, Linux, and Windows. Crowdstrike relies on a cloud-hosted SaaS platform that manages data and prevents, detects, and responds to threats. Both malware and non-malware attacks are covered via Crowdstrike's cloud-delivered technologies in a lightweight solution. \nCyberattacks continue to be a major threat, and the total addressable market for cybersecurity is enormous. Crowdstrike has been a monster since its IPO in 2019, growing into a $60 billion market cap company. But I think Crowdstrike is just getting started, and it stands tall as my top high-conviction cloud/SaaS stock for the next decade.\nIf you want deeper-dive analysis on these stocks, please watch the video below, where I cover these and many others in the cloud space. These growth stocks can boost your long-term investing portfolio, so please check out the below video and subscribe to make sure you stay on top of this sector.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188946417,"gmtCreate":1623420336639,"gmtModify":1704203210146,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;pl like&nbsp;","listText":"&nbsp;pl like&nbsp;","text":"pl like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188946417","repostId":"2142022769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142022769","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623380100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142022769?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"We put 6 more meme stocks' numbers to the test and the differences are telling","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142022769","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Digging deeper into the the meme stock phenomenon, there are big difference between Palantir, Wendy's, Canoo and other companies.The world of meme stocks is changing every day as traders communicating through Reddit's WallStreetBets channel and other social media set their sights on new targets for short squeezes or find other downtrodden companies to bid up in price.After last week's look at financial results and projections for the four BANG stocks and four other meme companies, what follows i","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Digging deeper into the the meme stock phenomenon, there are big difference between Palantir, Wendy's, Canoo and other companies.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The world of meme stocks is changing every day as traders communicating through Reddit's WallStreetBets channel and other social media set their sights on new targets for short squeezes or find other downtrodden companies to bid up in price.</p>\n<p>After last week's look at financial results and projections for the four BANG stocks and four other meme companies, what follows is the same treatment for six more.</p>\n<p>(The BANG stocks are BlackBerry Ltd. (BB.T), AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>, Nokia Corp. (NOKIA.HE) and GameStop Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>.)</p>\n<p><b>Short squeezes and meme stocks</b></p>\n<p>Traders looking to group together on social media to make quick killings by pushing up share prices of companies at early stages or those going through difficult times have been setting up short squeezes.</p>\n<p>Professional investors have traditionally short-sold shares of companies they believe will perform worse than most other investors or analysts expect. Shorting means borrowing a company's shares and selling them immediately, in the hope of buying them back at a lower price, returning them to the lender and pocketing the difference. If you simply buy a stock hoping it will go up, all you risk is the money you invest. You might get wiped out. But if you short a stock, your risk potential is unlimited. You never know how high the price might rise if you have gotten the trade wrong.</p>\n<p>\"Covering\" a short position is when you buy back the shares to return them to the investor who lent them to you. You are hoping to cover at a lower price than you sold the shares for, to make a profit.</p>\n<p>To have a short position, you need to have a margin account with a broker -- an account that lets you borrow to invest or trade. Because of the risk in taking a short position, if the share price goes against you (higher), your broker will keep increasing its collateral requirements. If you run out of cash as the price keeps rising, you will be forced to cover at a loss. That type of action among a large group of short-sellers pushes the price higher in a spiral -- a short squeeze.</p>\n<p><b>Six more meme stocks</b></p>\n<p>The action changes daily. On June 9, for example, shares of Clover Health Investments Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">$(CLOV)$</a> fell 24% after rising 86% the day before. The stock is 36.6% sold short, according to FactSet.</p>\n<p>Read:Newest meme stock darling Clover Health is popping. Is the SEC watching?</p>\n<p>Here are the six additional meme stocks, following our initial group of eight , sorted by market capitalization as of the close on June 9:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b4fabbee4e18ee1b473200ab3a7c4b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"300\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (PLTR) provides a software platform used by government defense and intelligence agencies. It is the largest company on the list by market cap, but not by revenue, as you can see below. A year-to-date chart of its price performance shows how wild the meme-stock action can be:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d9a8e2dfc61b0e4ff70a8630193cecb\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"1038\"></p>\n<p>Palantir's stock was up 3% for 2021 through June 9, but its market cap had increased by 26% because the company had been raising cash by selling additional shares to investors. The company's following as a meme stock seems to spring more from its growth prospects than from short interest, which peaked at 8.5% of shares available for sale, according to FactSet.</p>\n<p>Wendy's Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">$(WEN)$</a> is another meme stock whose addition to the group may be a bit confusing, as the stock isn't heavily shorted and the company is stable. Thornton McEnery dug into the action on June 8, which may have included confusion over Wendy's ticker symbol , when the stock rose 26%.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">ContextLogic Inc.</a> (WISH) is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of two stocks on the new list that have fallen this year. The mobile e-commerce company's stock opened below its initial public offering price before the IPO.</p>\n<p><b>Short interest</b></p>\n<p>Keeping the group in the same order, here are levels of short interest as percentages of available shares and in dollars:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0875b54168c760b950d250308eb5efd\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>FactSet's data on short positions as a percentage of shares outstanding is updated twice a month. The data was updated overnight between June 9 and 10. The second update takes place around the 25th day of the month.</p>\n<p>Clover is the most heavily shorted stock on the list. Brad Lamensdorf, CEO of ActiveAlts in Westport, Conn., who runs long and short investment strategies, said previously that a short percentage \"over 30% to 40% is outrageously high.\" (Lamensdorf co-manages the AdvisorShares <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HDGE\">Ranger Equity Bear ETF</a> (HDGE), which is meant to be used as a hedging tool.)</p>\n<p>A high percentage of shares sold short makes a stock especially dangerous for the short-sellers, because it can increase the intensity of any short squeeze.</p>\n<p>We have shown the short interest as a percentage of market cap in order to provide context. Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> is an excellent example to provide more context, because the company has such a large market capitalization of $576.8 billion. Only 5.16% of the shares are sold short, but that comes to $29.8 billion in short interest -- the most (in dollars) for any stock in the S&amp;P 500. Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> ranks second for dollars of short interest in the benchmark index, with 1.09% of shares sold short, which comes to $18.1 billion in short interest for a company with a market cap of $1.66 trillion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOEV\">Canoo Inc.</a> (GOEV) is the second-most heavily shorted stock listed above, at 29.5%. The electric-vehicle maker was formed on Dec. 21 through the merger of Canoo Holdings Ltd. and Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. IV, a special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. Canoo expects to produce its first vehicle in mid-2022 in limited quantities, with \"serial production launching in 2023,\" according to its 10-K report filed on March 31.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLNE\">Clean Energy Fuels Corp</a>. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLNE.AU\">$(CLNE.AU)$</a> provides natural gas for use as an alternative to gasoline or diesel for fleets of vehicles. The stock is 6.58% sold-short, but has had a good run this year as the energy sector has recovered.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals</b></p>\n<p>We'll look back at sales results for this group of six meme stocks and then look ahead at sales estimates through 2023.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Looking back</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>First, here's a comparison of annual sales, in millions of dollars for the past five reported fiscal years (where available):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcc4fbd762406f0684e991d289b8b760\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"392\"></p>\n<p>You can see clear growth paths in recent years for Palantir, Wendy's and ContextLogic, while Clean Energy Fuels had understandable challenges from lower natural gas prices in 2020.</p>\n<p>Clover was incorporated on Oct. 18, 2019. It hasn't yet reported annual revenue. For the first quarter, the company reported $200.3 million in sales, up from $165.5 million in the first quarter of 2020. Clover merged with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPOC.U\">Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. III</a> (a SPAC) on Jan. 7.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Looking ahead -- sales</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Starting from a baseline of calendar 2021, here are sales estimates going out through 2023 among Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c11916067fb3829caff57a89cf17f0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<p>Double-digit or better sales growth is expected for all of the companies over the next two years except Wendy's. Price-to-sale ratios, based on closing share prices on June 9 and the 2023 estimates, are included. In comparison, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.5 times its weighted aggregate consensus sales estimate for 2023.</p>\n<p><b>Looking ahead -- earnings</b></p>\n<p>Here are earnings-per-share estimates going out to 2023:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cf06aa00f9303dda82b1c3f8cf34c21\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"500\"></p>\n<p>You might not have expected the EPS projections to be particularly useful, but they underscore how high these stocks are trading. The S&amp;P 500 trades for 18.4 times its consensus EPS estimate for 2023.</p>\n<p>The estimates show expected improvement for Palantir, if it manages to maintain its rapid sales growth. Wendy's is expected to improve EPS significantly even with modest sale growth, in part because of stock buybacks .</p>\n<p><b>Wall Street's opinion</b></p>\n<p>Here's a summary of opinion for this group of meme stocks among Wall Street analysts:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2dfa61b27c34a6c17f5b4d2119126f9\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p>So the Wall Street analysts have the most love for ContextLogic, with 82% \"buy\" or equivalent ratings. Second place goes to Clean Energy Fuels. For that company, the timing, in a year of economic and fuel-price recovery, not to mention the desire among many investors to help lower carbon emissions, seems perfect.</p>\n<p>Wall Street is skeptical of Palantir and Clover Health, but it would seem for different reasons, as Palantir already has a history of rapid sales growth.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>We put 6 more meme stocks' numbers to the test and the differences are telling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWe put 6 more meme stocks' numbers to the test and the differences are telling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-11 10:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Digging deeper into the the meme stock phenomenon, there are big difference between Palantir, Wendy's, Canoo and other companies.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The world of meme stocks is changing every day as traders communicating through Reddit's WallStreetBets channel and other social media set their sights on new targets for short squeezes or find other downtrodden companies to bid up in price.</p>\n<p>After last week's look at financial results and projections for the four BANG stocks and four other meme companies, what follows is the same treatment for six more.</p>\n<p>(The BANG stocks are BlackBerry Ltd. (BB.T), AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>, Nokia Corp. (NOKIA.HE) and GameStop Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>.)</p>\n<p><b>Short squeezes and meme stocks</b></p>\n<p>Traders looking to group together on social media to make quick killings by pushing up share prices of companies at early stages or those going through difficult times have been setting up short squeezes.</p>\n<p>Professional investors have traditionally short-sold shares of companies they believe will perform worse than most other investors or analysts expect. Shorting means borrowing a company's shares and selling them immediately, in the hope of buying them back at a lower price, returning them to the lender and pocketing the difference. If you simply buy a stock hoping it will go up, all you risk is the money you invest. You might get wiped out. But if you short a stock, your risk potential is unlimited. You never know how high the price might rise if you have gotten the trade wrong.</p>\n<p>\"Covering\" a short position is when you buy back the shares to return them to the investor who lent them to you. You are hoping to cover at a lower price than you sold the shares for, to make a profit.</p>\n<p>To have a short position, you need to have a margin account with a broker -- an account that lets you borrow to invest or trade. Because of the risk in taking a short position, if the share price goes against you (higher), your broker will keep increasing its collateral requirements. If you run out of cash as the price keeps rising, you will be forced to cover at a loss. That type of action among a large group of short-sellers pushes the price higher in a spiral -- a short squeeze.</p>\n<p><b>Six more meme stocks</b></p>\n<p>The action changes daily. On June 9, for example, shares of Clover Health Investments Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">$(CLOV)$</a> fell 24% after rising 86% the day before. The stock is 36.6% sold short, according to FactSet.</p>\n<p>Read:Newest meme stock darling Clover Health is popping. Is the SEC watching?</p>\n<p>Here are the six additional meme stocks, following our initial group of eight , sorted by market capitalization as of the close on June 9:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b4fabbee4e18ee1b473200ab3a7c4b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"300\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (PLTR) provides a software platform used by government defense and intelligence agencies. It is the largest company on the list by market cap, but not by revenue, as you can see below. A year-to-date chart of its price performance shows how wild the meme-stock action can be:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d9a8e2dfc61b0e4ff70a8630193cecb\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"1038\"></p>\n<p>Palantir's stock was up 3% for 2021 through June 9, but its market cap had increased by 26% because the company had been raising cash by selling additional shares to investors. The company's following as a meme stock seems to spring more from its growth prospects than from short interest, which peaked at 8.5% of shares available for sale, according to FactSet.</p>\n<p>Wendy's Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">$(WEN)$</a> is another meme stock whose addition to the group may be a bit confusing, as the stock isn't heavily shorted and the company is stable. Thornton McEnery dug into the action on June 8, which may have included confusion over Wendy's ticker symbol , when the stock rose 26%.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">ContextLogic Inc.</a> (WISH) is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of two stocks on the new list that have fallen this year. The mobile e-commerce company's stock opened below its initial public offering price before the IPO.</p>\n<p><b>Short interest</b></p>\n<p>Keeping the group in the same order, here are levels of short interest as percentages of available shares and in dollars:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0875b54168c760b950d250308eb5efd\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>FactSet's data on short positions as a percentage of shares outstanding is updated twice a month. The data was updated overnight between June 9 and 10. The second update takes place around the 25th day of the month.</p>\n<p>Clover is the most heavily shorted stock on the list. Brad Lamensdorf, CEO of ActiveAlts in Westport, Conn., who runs long and short investment strategies, said previously that a short percentage \"over 30% to 40% is outrageously high.\" (Lamensdorf co-manages the AdvisorShares <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HDGE\">Ranger Equity Bear ETF</a> (HDGE), which is meant to be used as a hedging tool.)</p>\n<p>A high percentage of shares sold short makes a stock especially dangerous for the short-sellers, because it can increase the intensity of any short squeeze.</p>\n<p>We have shown the short interest as a percentage of market cap in order to provide context. Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> is an excellent example to provide more context, because the company has such a large market capitalization of $576.8 billion. Only 5.16% of the shares are sold short, but that comes to $29.8 billion in short interest -- the most (in dollars) for any stock in the S&amp;P 500. Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> ranks second for dollars of short interest in the benchmark index, with 1.09% of shares sold short, which comes to $18.1 billion in short interest for a company with a market cap of $1.66 trillion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOEV\">Canoo Inc.</a> (GOEV) is the second-most heavily shorted stock listed above, at 29.5%. The electric-vehicle maker was formed on Dec. 21 through the merger of Canoo Holdings Ltd. and Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. IV, a special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. Canoo expects to produce its first vehicle in mid-2022 in limited quantities, with \"serial production launching in 2023,\" according to its 10-K report filed on March 31.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLNE\">Clean Energy Fuels Corp</a>. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLNE.AU\">$(CLNE.AU)$</a> provides natural gas for use as an alternative to gasoline or diesel for fleets of vehicles. The stock is 6.58% sold-short, but has had a good run this year as the energy sector has recovered.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals</b></p>\n<p>We'll look back at sales results for this group of six meme stocks and then look ahead at sales estimates through 2023.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Looking back</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>First, here's a comparison of annual sales, in millions of dollars for the past five reported fiscal years (where available):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcc4fbd762406f0684e991d289b8b760\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"392\"></p>\n<p>You can see clear growth paths in recent years for Palantir, Wendy's and ContextLogic, while Clean Energy Fuels had understandable challenges from lower natural gas prices in 2020.</p>\n<p>Clover was incorporated on Oct. 18, 2019. It hasn't yet reported annual revenue. For the first quarter, the company reported $200.3 million in sales, up from $165.5 million in the first quarter of 2020. Clover merged with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPOC.U\">Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. III</a> (a SPAC) on Jan. 7.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Looking ahead -- sales</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Starting from a baseline of calendar 2021, here are sales estimates going out through 2023 among Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c11916067fb3829caff57a89cf17f0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<p>Double-digit or better sales growth is expected for all of the companies over the next two years except Wendy's. Price-to-sale ratios, based on closing share prices on June 9 and the 2023 estimates, are included. In comparison, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.5 times its weighted aggregate consensus sales estimate for 2023.</p>\n<p><b>Looking ahead -- earnings</b></p>\n<p>Here are earnings-per-share estimates going out to 2023:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cf06aa00f9303dda82b1c3f8cf34c21\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"500\"></p>\n<p>You might not have expected the EPS projections to be particularly useful, but they underscore how high these stocks are trading. The S&amp;P 500 trades for 18.4 times its consensus EPS estimate for 2023.</p>\n<p>The estimates show expected improvement for Palantir, if it manages to maintain its rapid sales growth. Wendy's is expected to improve EPS significantly even with modest sale growth, in part because of stock buybacks .</p>\n<p><b>Wall Street's opinion</b></p>\n<p>Here's a summary of opinion for this group of meme stocks among Wall Street analysts:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2dfa61b27c34a6c17f5b4d2119126f9\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p>So the Wall Street analysts have the most love for ContextLogic, with 82% \"buy\" or equivalent ratings. Second place goes to Clean Energy Fuels. For that company, the timing, in a year of economic and fuel-price recovery, not to mention the desire among many investors to help lower carbon emissions, seems perfect.</p>\n<p>Wall Street is skeptical of Palantir and Clover Health, but it would seem for different reasons, as Palantir already has a history of rapid sales growth.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WEN":"温蒂汉堡","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","CLNE":"Clean Energy Fuels Corp"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142022769","content_text":"Digging deeper into the the meme stock phenomenon, there are big difference between Palantir, Wendy's, Canoo and other companies.\n\nThe world of meme stocks is changing every day as traders communicating through Reddit's WallStreetBets channel and other social media set their sights on new targets for short squeezes or find other downtrodden companies to bid up in price.\nAfter last week's look at financial results and projections for the four BANG stocks and four other meme companies, what follows is the same treatment for six more.\n(The BANG stocks are BlackBerry Ltd. (BB.T), AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc $(AMC)$, Nokia Corp. (NOKIA.HE) and GameStop Corp. $(GME)$.)\nShort squeezes and meme stocks\nTraders looking to group together on social media to make quick killings by pushing up share prices of companies at early stages or those going through difficult times have been setting up short squeezes.\nProfessional investors have traditionally short-sold shares of companies they believe will perform worse than most other investors or analysts expect. Shorting means borrowing a company's shares and selling them immediately, in the hope of buying them back at a lower price, returning them to the lender and pocketing the difference. If you simply buy a stock hoping it will go up, all you risk is the money you invest. You might get wiped out. But if you short a stock, your risk potential is unlimited. You never know how high the price might rise if you have gotten the trade wrong.\n\"Covering\" a short position is when you buy back the shares to return them to the investor who lent them to you. You are hoping to cover at a lower price than you sold the shares for, to make a profit.\nTo have a short position, you need to have a margin account with a broker -- an account that lets you borrow to invest or trade. Because of the risk in taking a short position, if the share price goes against you (higher), your broker will keep increasing its collateral requirements. If you run out of cash as the price keeps rising, you will be forced to cover at a loss. That type of action among a large group of short-sellers pushes the price higher in a spiral -- a short squeeze.\nSix more meme stocks\nThe action changes daily. On June 9, for example, shares of Clover Health Investments Corp. $(CLOV)$ fell 24% after rising 86% the day before. The stock is 36.6% sold short, according to FactSet.\nRead:Newest meme stock darling Clover Health is popping. Is the SEC watching?\nHere are the six additional meme stocks, following our initial group of eight , sorted by market capitalization as of the close on June 9:\n\nPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) provides a software platform used by government defense and intelligence agencies. It is the largest company on the list by market cap, but not by revenue, as you can see below. A year-to-date chart of its price performance shows how wild the meme-stock action can be:\n\nPalantir's stock was up 3% for 2021 through June 9, but its market cap had increased by 26% because the company had been raising cash by selling additional shares to investors. The company's following as a meme stock seems to spring more from its growth prospects than from short interest, which peaked at 8.5% of shares available for sale, according to FactSet.\nWendy's Co. $(WEN)$ is another meme stock whose addition to the group may be a bit confusing, as the stock isn't heavily shorted and the company is stable. Thornton McEnery dug into the action on June 8, which may have included confusion over Wendy's ticker symbol , when the stock rose 26%.\nContextLogic Inc. (WISH) is one of two stocks on the new list that have fallen this year. The mobile e-commerce company's stock opened below its initial public offering price before the IPO.\nShort interest\nKeeping the group in the same order, here are levels of short interest as percentages of available shares and in dollars:\n\nFactSet's data on short positions as a percentage of shares outstanding is updated twice a month. The data was updated overnight between June 9 and 10. The second update takes place around the 25th day of the month.\nClover is the most heavily shorted stock on the list. Brad Lamensdorf, CEO of ActiveAlts in Westport, Conn., who runs long and short investment strategies, said previously that a short percentage \"over 30% to 40% is outrageously high.\" (Lamensdorf co-manages the AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF (HDGE), which is meant to be used as a hedging tool.)\nA high percentage of shares sold short makes a stock especially dangerous for the short-sellers, because it can increase the intensity of any short squeeze.\nWe have shown the short interest as a percentage of market cap in order to provide context. Tesla Inc. $(TSLA)$ is an excellent example to provide more context, because the company has such a large market capitalization of $576.8 billion. Only 5.16% of the shares are sold short, but that comes to $29.8 billion in short interest -- the most (in dollars) for any stock in the S&P 500. Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ ranks second for dollars of short interest in the benchmark index, with 1.09% of shares sold short, which comes to $18.1 billion in short interest for a company with a market cap of $1.66 trillion.\nCanoo Inc. (GOEV) is the second-most heavily shorted stock listed above, at 29.5%. The electric-vehicle maker was formed on Dec. 21 through the merger of Canoo Holdings Ltd. and Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. IV, a special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. Canoo expects to produce its first vehicle in mid-2022 in limited quantities, with \"serial production launching in 2023,\" according to its 10-K report filed on March 31.\nClean Energy Fuels Corp. $(CLNE.AU)$ provides natural gas for use as an alternative to gasoline or diesel for fleets of vehicles. The stock is 6.58% sold-short, but has had a good run this year as the energy sector has recovered.\nFundamentals\nWe'll look back at sales results for this group of six meme stocks and then look ahead at sales estimates through 2023.\n\nLooking back\n\nFirst, here's a comparison of annual sales, in millions of dollars for the past five reported fiscal years (where available):\n\nYou can see clear growth paths in recent years for Palantir, Wendy's and ContextLogic, while Clean Energy Fuels had understandable challenges from lower natural gas prices in 2020.\nClover was incorporated on Oct. 18, 2019. It hasn't yet reported annual revenue. For the first quarter, the company reported $200.3 million in sales, up from $165.5 million in the first quarter of 2020. Clover merged with Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. III (a SPAC) on Jan. 7.\n\nLooking ahead -- sales\n\nStarting from a baseline of calendar 2021, here are sales estimates going out through 2023 among Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet:\n\nDouble-digit or better sales growth is expected for all of the companies over the next two years except Wendy's. Price-to-sale ratios, based on closing share prices on June 9 and the 2023 estimates, are included. In comparison, the S&P 500 trades for 2.5 times its weighted aggregate consensus sales estimate for 2023.\nLooking ahead -- earnings\nHere are earnings-per-share estimates going out to 2023:\n\nYou might not have expected the EPS projections to be particularly useful, but they underscore how high these stocks are trading. The S&P 500 trades for 18.4 times its consensus EPS estimate for 2023.\nThe estimates show expected improvement for Palantir, if it manages to maintain its rapid sales growth. Wendy's is expected to improve EPS significantly even with modest sale growth, in part because of stock buybacks .\nWall Street's opinion\nHere's a summary of opinion for this group of meme stocks among Wall Street analysts:\n\nSo the Wall Street analysts have the most love for ContextLogic, with 82% \"buy\" or equivalent ratings. Second place goes to Clean Energy Fuels. For that company, the timing, in a year of economic and fuel-price recovery, not to mention the desire among many investors to help lower carbon emissions, seems perfect.\nWall Street is skeptical of Palantir and Clover Health, but it would seem for different reasons, as Palantir already has a history of rapid sales growth.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3555228142062941","authorId":"3555228142062941","name":"AntX1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ed4f343e57c6619d41cd33b9b27c551","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555228142062941","authorIdStr":"3555228142062941"},"content":"Ok pls commeNt and like","text":"Ok pls commeNt and like","html":"Ok pls commeNt and like"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137919134,"gmtCreate":1622282111728,"gmtModify":1704182674850,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pl comment&nbsp;","listText":"pl comment&nbsp;","text":"pl comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137919134","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196224758,"gmtCreate":1621060592374,"gmtModify":1704352605831,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196224758","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163454382?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p>\n<p>A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p>\n<p><b>So what</b></p>\n<p>Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p>\n<p>First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p>\n<p>This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p>\n<p><b>Now what</b></p>\n<p>Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p>\n<p>Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-14 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106852423,"gmtCreate":1620104276862,"gmtModify":1704338721359,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls like n comment&nbsp;","text":"pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/106852423","repostId":"1147234999","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147234999","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620086355,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147234999?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-04 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill Gates and Melinda Gates are splitting up after 27 years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147234999","media":"CNBC","summary":"Bill and Melinda Gates met at $Microsoft$, and the two got married in 1994.The couple, who agreed to give away more than half their wealth, will keep working together on charitable efforts.Financial implications are not immediately clear.Bill Gates, co-founder and former CEO ofMicrosoft, and his wife, Melinda French Gates, said on $Twitter$ on Monday that they will split up after 27 years. The two will keep working together on philanthropic efforts, which have addressed education, gender equalit","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSBill and Melinda Gates met at Microsoft, and the two got married in 1994.The couple, who agreed to give away more than half their wealth, will keep working together on charitable efforts....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/03/bill-gates-and-melinda-gates-are-splitting-up.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill Gates and Melinda Gates are splitting up after 27 years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill Gates and Melinda Gates are splitting up after 27 years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-04 07:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/03/bill-gates-and-melinda-gates-are-splitting-up.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSBill and Melinda Gates met at Microsoft, and the two got married in 1994.The couple, who agreed to give away more than half their wealth, will keep working together on charitable efforts....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/03/bill-gates-and-melinda-gates-are-splitting-up.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/03/bill-gates-and-melinda-gates-are-splitting-up.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1147234999","content_text":"KEY POINTSBill and Melinda Gates met at Microsoft, and the two got married in 1994.The couple, who agreed to give away more than half their wealth, will keep working together on charitable efforts.Financial implications are not immediately clear.Bill Gates, co-founder and former CEO ofMicrosoft, and his wife, Melinda French Gates, said on Twitter on Monday that they will split up after 27 years. The two will keep working together on philanthropic efforts, which have addressed education, gender equality and health care.\"After a great deal of thought and a lot of work on our relationship, we have made the decision to end our marriage,\" Bill and Melinda Gates wrote in a statement that Bill Gatestweeted out.“Over the last 27 years, we have raised three incredible children and built a foundation that works all over the world to enable all people to lead healthy, productive lives. We continue to share a belief in that mission and will continue our work together at the foundation, but we no longer believe we can grow together as a couple in this next phase of our lives. We ask for space and privacy for our family as we begin to navigate this new life.”The decision reflects a personal change at the top of American business.Bill Gates led Microsoft as CEO from its founding with Paul Allen in 1975 until 2000, leaving Steve Ballmer to run the company, while Bill Gates became chairman and chief software architect. In 2008 Gatesgave up his day-to-day roleat the company to spend more time on the nonprofit Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.Last year Bill Gatesstepped downfrom Microsoft’s board asthe coronavirusbecame a force around the world. He began spending more time on the foundation alongside Melinda Gates. The two are co-chairs and trustees of the foundation, which launched in 2000.Bill and Melinda Gates both worked at Microsoft. She had been a general manager at the software company, where she worked on products such as the Encarta encyclopedia, according to herLinkedIn profile. The two met at a dinner for Microsoft employees in 1987. “It took him quite a few months before he asked me out,” Melinda Gateslater said. Bill Gates hadweighed the pros and cons on a blackboard, and in 1994 the couple were married in Hawaii.Financial details of the Gateses parting ways are not yet clear. Bill Gates owns 1.37% of Microsoft’s outstanding shares, which are worth more than $26 billion, according to FactSet. The couple were creators, along with Warren Buffett, of theGiving Pledge, a program that requires participants to give away more than half of their wealth.At one point the couple decided to move $20 billion worth of Microsoft stock to the foundation as they sought to increase their commitment to philanthropy, Bill Gates wrote in a 2019blog post. Today the foundation has more than $51 billion in assets, according to a tax filing, making itone of the world’s wealthiest foundations.“In the case of Melinda, it is a truly equal partner,” Bill Gates said in the 2019 Netflix documentary “Inside Bill’s Brain.” “She’s a lot like me in that she is optimistic and she is interested in science. She is better with people than I am. She’s a tiny bit less hardcore about knowing, you know, immunology, than I am.”In 2015 the two began pursuing areas they were interested in. Bill Gates established Breakthrough Energy, an initiative to slow climate change that includes a venture arm, and Melinda Gates created Pivotal Ventures, a company that makes investments to foster equality.For Valentine’s Day in 2020, Bill Gates posted a photoon Instagramshowing him standing with his arm around Melinda Gates. “I couldn’t ask for a better partner on this journey,” the caption said.Each year for more than a decade the Gateses have published a letter about their foundation work. In thelatest one, published in January, they reflected on the impact of the pandemic, beyond supporting the development of vaccines. “For us, the days became a blur of video meetings, troubling news alerts, and microwaved meals,” they wrote.Bill Gates is the world’s fourth richest person, behindAmazon’sJeff Bezos, LVMH’s Bernard Arnault and Tesla’s Elon Musk, according toForbes.The announcement comes two years after Bezos said he and his wife, MacKenzie, weregetting divorced. Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos are among the world’s richest people, and Amazon and Microsoft compete in the cloud computing business. Amazon said earlier this year that Bezos would be stepping down from his post as CEO and that cloud chief Andy Jassywould succeed him.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576201130234151","authorId":"3576201130234151","name":"JoshTay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6221f48f0e5f3a8cbcf13a9982af9401","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576201130234151","authorIdStr":"3576201130234151"},"content":"reply this comment pls","text":"reply this comment pls","html":"reply this comment pls"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9027730687,"gmtCreate":1654083880049,"gmtModify":1676535391008,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9027730687","repostId":"1185841943","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185841943","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1654080330,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185841943?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-01 18:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart | Top 10 S&P 500 Gainers For May","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185841943","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Among top 10 S&P 500 gainers for last month, oil companies stood out, with Devon, Marathon Oil and O","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Among top 10 S&amp;P 500 gainers for last month, oil companies stood out, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DVN\">Devon</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRO\">Marathon Oil</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a> surging over 25%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d095e785df353539cbc0fc5eae92383f\" tg-width=\"1458\" tg-height=\"2049\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart | Top 10 S&P 500 Gainers For May</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart | Top 10 S&P 500 Gainers For May\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-01 18:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Among top 10 S&amp;P 500 gainers for last month, oil companies stood out, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DVN\">Devon</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRO\">Marathon Oil</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a> surging over 25%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d095e785df353539cbc0fc5eae92383f\" tg-width=\"1458\" tg-height=\"2049\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LUMN":"Lumen Technologies","DXC":"DXC Technology Company","NRG":"NRG能源","OXY":"西方石油","PXD":"先锋自然资源","EPAM":"Epam Systems","DVN":"德文能源","FANG":"Diamondback Energy"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185841943","content_text":"Among top 10 S&P 500 gainers for last month, oil companies stood out, with Devon, Marathon Oil and Occidental surging over 25%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896504448,"gmtCreate":1628590246184,"gmtModify":1703508669468,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"a","listText":"a","text":"a","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896504448","repostId":"1135437633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898625455,"gmtCreate":1628495206677,"gmtModify":1703507034265,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"a","listText":"a","text":"a","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/898625455","repostId":"1184000657","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129597279,"gmtCreate":1624376601391,"gmtModify":1703834985751,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"u can like ur own post and get points&nbsp;","listText":"u can like ur own post and get points&nbsp;","text":"u can like ur own post and get points","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129597279","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":53,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115330029,"gmtCreate":1622949958261,"gmtModify":1704193652896,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"comment&nbsp;","listText":"comment&nbsp;","text":"comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115330029","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106312903?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>\n <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>\n <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p>\n<p>Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p>\n<p>Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p>\n<p>Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p>\n<p>BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p>\n<p>Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p>\n<p>Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p>\n<p>Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p>\n<p>Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p>\n<p>The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 09:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","ZME":"掌门教育","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp.","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.","BZ":"BOSS直聘",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112518752,"gmtCreate":1622885055276,"gmtModify":1704192987970,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls comment&nbsp;","text":"pls comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112518752","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133307871,"gmtCreate":1621693367593,"gmtModify":1704361530889,"author":{"id":"3560092322694803","authorId":"3560092322694803","name":"dahae","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137beae1f6048901843924ba46796740","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560092322694803","authorIdStr":"3560092322694803"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133307871","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2137906121","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1621611396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2137906121?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-21 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2137906121","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Berkshire Hathaway has continued to reduce its stakes in banks.","content":"<p><b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) recently filed its 13F form for the first quarter of 2021, detailing what stock sales and purchases the conglomerate and the legendary investor in charge, Warren Buffett, made during the period. As has been the case for most of the past year, Buffett was active in the financial sector, mostly reducing Berkshire Hathaway's positions in banks. At the company's annual investor day earlier this month, Buffett provided some explanation for all the stock selling he's done in that sector.</p>\n<p>\"I like banks generally,\" he said, \"I just didn't like the proportion we had compared to the possible risk if we got the bad results that so far we haven't gotten.\"</p>\n<p>Let's review the three big changes Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway made to their bank holdings in the first quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2da7d6438277757a73f9e626ebc6fc2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>1. All but eliminating Wells Fargo</h2>\n<p>Everyone knew it was coming, but Buffett all but made it official last quarter, nearly eliminating his position in his onetime favorite bank, <b>Wells Fargo</b> (NYSE:WFC). Berkshire Hathaway sold 51.7 million shares, dropping its stake to a mere 675,000 shares valued at $26.3 million.</p>\n<p>This essentially ends what was an epic run for the Oracle of Omaha and Wells Fargo. Buffett first purchased shares in the large U.S. bank in 1989, and by 1994, he had acquired more than 13% of its outstanding shares. At the end of the third quarter of 2019, before the pandemic, Buffett's stake, which had a rough original cost basis of just below $9 billion, was worth close to $20 billion. And at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point back in 2017, it was reportedly worth as much as $29 billion.</p>\n<p>But as the fallout of Wells Fargo's phony accounts scandal and other revelations about its consumer abuses continued to play out, Buffett began to lose faith in the institution and started trimming his position. It looks like Buffett ultimately ended up making much less on his Wells Fargo investment than he could have, considering he sold more than 323 million shares between the end of Q1 2020 and the end of Q1 2021. During that 12-month period, the bank's shares traded from a low of $21.45 to a high of $39.07. At the end of 2019, they traded north of $53.</p>\n<p>The stock closed at $45.73 on Thursday, and many investors still believe Wells Fargo is undervalued these days, trading at 135% tangible book value (equity minus intangible assets and goodwill). Bank valuations have shot up in recent months, and Wells Fargo in particular could see more tailwinds when the Federal Reserve lifts the $1.95 trillion asset cap that the bank has been operating under since 2018.</p>\n<h2>2. Dumping <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony Financial</a></h2>\n<p>Last quarter, Berkshire Hathaway also eliminated its entire stake in the consumer finance credit card company <b>Synchrony Financial&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:SYF), selling its 21.1 million shares. Synchrony uses what it calls a \"partner-centric\" business model under which it teams up with leading retailers and digital brands that promote Synchrony's credit cards. Consumers can get deals on specific purchases by opening Synchrony credit cards, which are often branded under a retailer's name.</p>\n<p>While I wouldn't say I saw this move coming, it doesn't entirely surprise me. Over the last year, Buffett has become even more selective about which banks he wants to own. He seems to be picking a winner or two in each banking industry subcategory -- for instance, he sold his stake in America's largest bank, <b>JPMorgan Chase</b>, and loaded up on America's second-largest bank, <b>Bank of America</b>.</p>\n<p>Considering that Buffett already has a huge position in <b>American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a></b>, and loves the brand, that is likely going to be his pick for a credit-card-focused holding. Berkshire Hathaway likely made a good profit on that Synchrony investment, though, considering that the stock hit its highest level ever during Q1.</p>\n<h2>3. Trimming U.S. Bancorp again</h2>\n<p>Berkshire Hathaway also sold about 1.45 million shares of <b>U.S. Bancorp</b> (NYSE:USB) in the first quarter -- but it still owns nearly 129.7 million shares. The Oracle of Omaha has sold small quantities of shares of the Minnesota-based regional bank a few times over the last year, and it's a bit unclear why. It does appear that he has made U.S. Bancorp his regional bank pick, though. He sold off his other regional bank holdings, including his stakes in <b>PNC Financial Services Group</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>M&amp;T Bank</b>, in the fourth quarter of 2020.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>One possible explanation relates to Buffett's well-known desire to keep his stakes in those banks below 10%, so he can avoid the additional reporting requirements that a higher ownership level would trigger. At the end of the first quarter, Buffett owned about 8.7% of U.S. Bancorp's outstanding shares. So his stock sale may have simply been a move to prepare for the bank's planned share repurchases, which should accelerate later this year. Last quarter's adjustment should maintain Berkshire Hathaway's stake at a level comfortably under the 10% threshold, even after U.S. Bancorp's total share count is reduced. </p>\n<p>Overall, I still feel confident that Buffett plans to stick with U.S. Bancorp, although I will continue to watch his moves in upcoming quarters to see if he further reduces his stake in it.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 23:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/21/here-are-the-3-bank-moves-warren-buffett-has-made/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) recently filed its 13F form for the first quarter of 2021, detailing what stock sales and purchases the conglomerate and the legendary investor in charge, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/21/here-are-the-3-bank-moves-warren-buffett-has-made/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SYF":"Synchrony Financial","USB":"美国合众银行","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","WFC":"富国银行","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/21/here-are-the-3-bank-moves-warren-buffett-has-made/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2137906121","content_text":"Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) recently filed its 13F form for the first quarter of 2021, detailing what stock sales and purchases the conglomerate and the legendary investor in charge, Warren Buffett, made during the period. As has been the case for most of the past year, Buffett was active in the financial sector, mostly reducing Berkshire Hathaway's positions in banks. At the company's annual investor day earlier this month, Buffett provided some explanation for all the stock selling he's done in that sector.\n\"I like banks generally,\" he said, \"I just didn't like the proportion we had compared to the possible risk if we got the bad results that so far we haven't gotten.\"\nLet's review the three big changes Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway made to their bank holdings in the first quarter.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. All but eliminating Wells Fargo\nEveryone knew it was coming, but Buffett all but made it official last quarter, nearly eliminating his position in his onetime favorite bank, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC). Berkshire Hathaway sold 51.7 million shares, dropping its stake to a mere 675,000 shares valued at $26.3 million.\nThis essentially ends what was an epic run for the Oracle of Omaha and Wells Fargo. Buffett first purchased shares in the large U.S. bank in 1989, and by 1994, he had acquired more than 13% of its outstanding shares. At the end of the third quarter of 2019, before the pandemic, Buffett's stake, which had a rough original cost basis of just below $9 billion, was worth close to $20 billion. And at one point back in 2017, it was reportedly worth as much as $29 billion.\nBut as the fallout of Wells Fargo's phony accounts scandal and other revelations about its consumer abuses continued to play out, Buffett began to lose faith in the institution and started trimming his position. It looks like Buffett ultimately ended up making much less on his Wells Fargo investment than he could have, considering he sold more than 323 million shares between the end of Q1 2020 and the end of Q1 2021. During that 12-month period, the bank's shares traded from a low of $21.45 to a high of $39.07. At the end of 2019, they traded north of $53.\nThe stock closed at $45.73 on Thursday, and many investors still believe Wells Fargo is undervalued these days, trading at 135% tangible book value (equity minus intangible assets and goodwill). Bank valuations have shot up in recent months, and Wells Fargo in particular could see more tailwinds when the Federal Reserve lifts the $1.95 trillion asset cap that the bank has been operating under since 2018.\n2. Dumping Synchrony Financial\nLast quarter, Berkshire Hathaway also eliminated its entire stake in the consumer finance credit card company Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), selling its 21.1 million shares. Synchrony uses what it calls a \"partner-centric\" business model under which it teams up with leading retailers and digital brands that promote Synchrony's credit cards. Consumers can get deals on specific purchases by opening Synchrony credit cards, which are often branded under a retailer's name.\nWhile I wouldn't say I saw this move coming, it doesn't entirely surprise me. Over the last year, Buffett has become even more selective about which banks he wants to own. He seems to be picking a winner or two in each banking industry subcategory -- for instance, he sold his stake in America's largest bank, JPMorgan Chase, and loaded up on America's second-largest bank, Bank of America.\nConsidering that Buffett already has a huge position in American Express, and loves the brand, that is likely going to be his pick for a credit-card-focused holding. Berkshire Hathaway likely made a good profit on that Synchrony investment, though, considering that the stock hit its highest level ever during Q1.\n3. Trimming U.S. Bancorp again\nBerkshire Hathaway also sold about 1.45 million shares of U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) in the first quarter -- but it still owns nearly 129.7 million shares. The Oracle of Omaha has sold small quantities of shares of the Minnesota-based regional bank a few times over the last year, and it's a bit unclear why. It does appear that he has made U.S. Bancorp his regional bank pick, though. He sold off his other regional bank holdings, including his stakes in PNC Financial Services Group and M&T Bank, in the fourth quarter of 2020. \nOne possible explanation relates to Buffett's well-known desire to keep his stakes in those banks below 10%, so he can avoid the additional reporting requirements that a higher ownership level would trigger. At the end of the first quarter, Buffett owned about 8.7% of U.S. Bancorp's outstanding shares. So his stock sale may have simply been a move to prepare for the bank's planned share repurchases, which should accelerate later this year. Last quarter's adjustment should maintain Berkshire Hathaway's stake at a level comfortably under the 10% threshold, even after U.S. Bancorp's total share count is reduced. \nOverall, I still feel confident that Buffett plans to stick with U.S. Bancorp, although I will continue to watch his moves in upcoming quarters to see if he further reduces his stake in it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575366267501972","authorId":"3575366267501972","name":"虎媽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/addaf8f5c70389d895e9f8f49cdc8283","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575366267501972","authorIdStr":"3575366267501972"},"content":"Like n Reply thanKs","text":"Like n Reply thanKs","html":"Like n Reply thanKs"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}