Jas2davir personal page - To The Moon

Jas2davir

Jas2davir

Profile：Lambo to the moon, or bust

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2022-12-27

Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount

Apple Down 25%, Meta 65%, Amazon 49% As Tech Stocks Hit Rough Patch In 2022: 4 Factors That Could Work In Sector's Favor In 2023

2022-12-28

Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that Basket

Tesla: Shares Dropping Like A Stone - Now A Bargain

2023-02-05

Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long. Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.

Tesla: Pricing Power At A Fair Value

2023-02-25

Nice time to crash hard

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2022-12-22

Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn if you're so thirsty for tech

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2021-06-19

It’s gonna crash? Should we cash out?

Ex-Tesla president sold stocks worth $247 million since June 10-SEC filing

03-26

Doubt it will do much

Tesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers

2023-04-08

I need the Easter egg bullshit

2022-12-30

No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl

Tesla: Buy The Bloodbath

2022-07-29

Lmao so true

Options Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them

2023-09-30

Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-03-04

Prepared and hopeful it does

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2022-12-27

Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.

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2022-12-21

Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.

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2021-12-27

Hmm I’m buying to sell at 12 for quick money

Nikola shares surged 5% in premarket trading

2021-06-18

Wow

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2023-03-29

Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov

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2022-12-01

Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.

Sam Bankman-Fried Says He "Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud"

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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will continue to dip, horrible aimless company, with a ceo more concerned with rubbish, in sea market china cars are cheaper with better facilities","listText":"Confirm will continue to dip, horrible aimless company, with a ceo more concerned with rubbish, in sea market china cars are cheaper with better facilities","text":"Confirm will continue to dip, horrible aimless company, with a ceo more concerned with rubbish, in sea market china cars are cheaper with better facilities","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/296269412175984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":288475475296280,"gmtCreate":1711461227367,"gmtModify":1711461230824,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Doubt it will do much&nbsp;","listText":"Doubt it will do much&nbsp;","text":"Doubt it will do much","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/288475475296280","repostId":"1153835421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153835421","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1711460515,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153835421?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-03-26 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153835421","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company's website","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla shares gained 5.4% in morning trading Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6e29aa307686525e8aa644bbfb370f2\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p>Musk also is requiring Tesla staff to give demonstrations of FSD to new buyers and owners of serviced vehicles, according to two emails verified by a Tesla source.</p><p>The move comes as Tesla sales and margins are under pressure because of price competition and softening demand. FSD is an add-on priced at $12,000, enabling vehicles to navigate city streets.</p><p>Tesla calls its driver-assisting systems Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, but says the features do not make its vehicles autonomous and require active driver supervision. Musk has for years missed his promise of achieving full autonomy, and Tesla&#39;s driver assistant software is under regulatory scrutiny over safety and marketing.</p><p>&#34;All US cars that are capable of FSD will be enabled for a one month trial this week,&#34; Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in a post on social media platform X on Monday.</p><p>The trial has been offered on new sales of Tesla models X, S, and Y, according to Tesla&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s margins have been hurt by a price war with rivals that started more than a year ago. In January, Tesla warned of &#34;notably lower&#34; sales growth this year as it focuses on the production of its next-generation EV, which is code-named &#34;Redwood.&#34;</p><p>The company is also dealing with a rise in regulatory scrutiny of its self-driving systems and other areas in the United States and in some European countries. In December, Tesla recalled nearly all of its 2 million vehicles on U.S. roads to install new safeguards.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-03-26 21:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla shares gained 5.4% in morning trading Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6e29aa307686525e8aa644bbfb370f2\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p>Musk also is requiring Tesla staff to give demonstrations of FSD to new buyers and owners of serviced vehicles, according to two emails verified by a Tesla source.</p><p>The move comes as Tesla sales and margins are under pressure because of price competition and softening demand. FSD is an add-on priced at $12,000, enabling vehicles to navigate city streets.</p><p>Tesla calls its driver-assisting systems Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, but says the features do not make its vehicles autonomous and require active driver supervision. Musk has for years missed his promise of achieving full autonomy, and Tesla&#39;s driver assistant software is under regulatory scrutiny over safety and marketing.</p><p>&#34;All US cars that are capable of FSD will be enabled for a one month trial this week,&#34; Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in a post on social media platform X on Monday.</p><p>The trial has been offered on new sales of Tesla models X, S, and Y, according to Tesla&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s margins have been hurt by a price war with rivals that started more than a year ago. In January, Tesla warned of &#34;notably lower&#34; sales growth this year as it focuses on the production of its next-generation EV, which is code-named &#34;Redwood.&#34;</p><p>The company is also dealing with a rise in regulatory scrutiny of its self-driving systems and other areas in the United States and in some European countries. In December, Tesla recalled nearly all of its 2 million vehicles on U.S. roads to install new safeguards.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153835421","content_text":"Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company's website.Tesla shares gained 5.4% in morning trading Tuesday.Musk also is requiring Tesla staff to give demonstrations of FSD to new buyers and owners of serviced vehicles, according to two emails verified by a Tesla source.The move comes as Tesla sales and margins are under pressure because of price competition and softening demand. FSD is an add-on priced at $12,000, enabling vehicles to navigate city streets.Tesla calls its driver-assisting systems Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, but says the features do not make its vehicles autonomous and require active driver supervision. Musk has for years missed his promise of achieving full autonomy, and Tesla's driver assistant software is under regulatory scrutiny over safety and marketing.\"All US cars that are capable of FSD will be enabled for a one month trial this week,\" Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in a post on social media platform X on Monday.The trial has been offered on new sales of Tesla models X, S, and Y, according to Tesla's website.Tesla's margins have been hurt by a price war with rivals that started more than a year ago. In January, Tesla warned of \"notably lower\" sales growth this year as it focuses on the production of its next-generation EV, which is code-named \"Redwood.\"The company is also dealing with a rise in regulatory scrutiny of its self-driving systems and other areas in the United States and in some European countries. In December, Tesla recalled nearly all of its 2 million vehicles on U.S. roads to install new safeguards.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":240042174119936,"gmtCreate":1699623112290,"gmtModify":1699625116291,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>I'm fuckin bleeding","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>I'm fuckin bleeding","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I'm fuckin bleeding","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/240042174119936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":225192081035304,"gmtCreate":1696058282874,"gmtModify":1696062301278,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....","listText":"Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....","text":"Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/225192081035304","repostId":"2371562330","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2371562330","pubTimestamp":1696044620,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2371562330?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-09-30 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Stocks That Turned $10,000 Into $1.5 million (or More)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2371562330","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These incredible stocks turned patient investors into millionaires.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Long-term investing offers a path to incredible wealth generation. Even if other stocks in your portfolio wind up being complete duds, owning just a small handful of big winners through the years can be enough to deliver life-changing returns. </p><p>With that in mind, read on for a look at two stocks that could have turned $10,000 into more than $1.5 million if you held on to them for 20 years. </p><h2 id=\"id_1667140323\">Netflix turned $10,000 into more than $1.5 million</h2><p>If you invested $10,000 in Netflix and held on to your position over the last 20 years, your holdings would now be worth over $1,585,000. When <strong>Netflix</strong> went public in 2002, few could have imagined how massively influential and successful it would go on to become. Its competitors were clearly caught off guard.</p><p>At the time, Blockbuster was still top dog in the video-rental space. The former rental leader famously turned down a chance to buy out Netflix for $50 million. Today, the company has a market capitalization of $168 billion, and Blockbuster is defunct.  </p><p>While Netflix started out as a mail-based video rental platform, it was the pivot to streaming video that ultimately drove incredible success for the business and delivered incredible returns for shareholders. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/801ff0992078d145864139d481248fa0\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\"/></p><p>NFLX Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts</p><p>Netflix pioneered the subscription-streaming revolution, and its sales and earnings skyrocketed as adoption for the new distribution model took hold. The company now has over 238 million subscribers worldwide, and it&#39;s delivered life-changing returns for its long-term shareholders. </p><p>But even though Netflix has put up incredible returns over the last two decades, the stock is actually down big from its lifetime high. The company&#39;s share price is off roughly 45% from the peak that it hit amid a surge of pandemic-driven engagement and strong bullish momentum for growth stocks in November 2021.  </p><h2 id=\"id_2490959546\">Nvidia turned $10,000 into nearly $3 million</h2><p><strong>Nvidia</strong> went public in 1999 -- the same year that it debuted the world&#39;s first graphics processing unit (GPU). Admittedly, the GeForce 256 wasn&#39;t the first graphics card, but it did have the distinction of being the first to put the processing hardware on a single chip. </p><p>Early in the company&#39;s history, Nvidia&#39;s unusually powerful processors were used almost exclusively to run graphically intensive PC games. Growth for the gaming industry helped the company record impressive sales and earnings performance, but it was the push into data centers that kicked off a revolution and transformed the business. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00ebd5b7d2f5fd2036393cd2ff1ec9ee\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\"/></p><p>NVDA Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts</p><p>Because GPUs perform much better than other processors for some computationally intensive tasks, Nvidia saw a surge in demand in conjunction with the rise of cloud computing.</p><p>In 2022, the company&#39;s data center segment finally overtook the gaming segment to become its biggest sales generator. This year, the company has seen explosive growth powered by demand for processors capable of running advanced artificial intelligence (AI) software. </p><p>Nvidia is up 187% in 2023 alone, and it now has a market capitalization of roughly $1.03 trillion and ranks as the world&#39;s sixth-largest company.</p><p>With the benefit of hindsight, making a buy-and-hold investment in Nvidia stock 20 years ago would have been one of smartest investing plays you could have made. Gains of more than 29,730% over the last two decades mean that a $10,000 investment in the stock would now be worth approximately $2,983,000.</p><h2 id=\"id_675847102\">What do these incredible stocks have in common?</h2><p>At first glance, Netflix and Nvidia might not look particularly similar -- but there are shared threads running through both of their world-beating success stories. Both companies leveraged strong foundations in order to branch into new product and service categories that wound up powering incredible growth.</p><p>Thanks to excellent leadership and high-level execution, Netflix and Nvidia were able to capitalize on emerging opportunities, shape entire industries, and make their shareholders rich.</p><p>Identifying companies with that kind of explosive potential is no easy task, but long-term investors really only need one win of that magnitude to score life-changing returns. </p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Stocks That Turned $10,000 Into $1.5 million (or More)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Stocks That Turned $10,000 Into $1.5 million (or More)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-30 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/29/2-stocks-that-turned-10000-into-15-million-or-more/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Long-term investing offers a path to incredible wealth generation. Even if other stocks in your portfolio wind up being complete duds, owning just a small handful of big winners through the years can ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/29/2-stocks-that-turned-10000-into-15-million-or-more/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/09/29/2-stocks-that-turned-10000-into-15-million-or-more/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2371562330","content_text":"Long-term investing offers a path to incredible wealth generation. Even if other stocks in your portfolio wind up being complete duds, owning just a small handful of big winners through the years can be enough to deliver life-changing returns. With that in mind, read on for a look at two stocks that could have turned $10,000 into more than $1.5 million if you held on to them for 20 years. Netflix turned $10,000 into more than $1.5 millionIf you invested $10,000 in Netflix and held on to your position over the last 20 years, your holdings would now be worth over $1,585,000. When Netflix went public in 2002, few could have imagined how massively influential and successful it would go on to become. Its competitors were clearly caught off guard.At the time, Blockbuster was still top dog in the video-rental space. The former rental leader famously turned down a chance to buy out Netflix for $50 million. Today, the company has a market capitalization of $168 billion, and Blockbuster is defunct.  While Netflix started out as a mail-based video rental platform, it was the pivot to streaming video that ultimately drove incredible success for the business and delivered incredible returns for shareholders. NFLX Revenue (TTM) data by YChartsNetflix pioneered the subscription-streaming revolution, and its sales and earnings skyrocketed as adoption for the new distribution model took hold. The company now has over 238 million subscribers worldwide, and it's delivered life-changing returns for its long-term shareholders. But even though Netflix has put up incredible returns over the last two decades, the stock is actually down big from its lifetime high. The company's share price is off roughly 45% from the peak that it hit amid a surge of pandemic-driven engagement and strong bullish momentum for growth stocks in November 2021.  Nvidia turned $10,000 into nearly $3 millionNvidia went public in 1999 -- the same year that it debuted the world's first graphics processing unit (GPU). Admittedly, the GeForce 256 wasn't the first graphics card, but it did have the distinction of being the first to put the processing hardware on a single chip. Early in the company's history, Nvidia's unusually powerful processors were used almost exclusively to run graphically intensive PC games. Growth for the gaming industry helped the company record impressive sales and earnings performance, but it was the push into data centers that kicked off a revolution and transformed the business. NVDA Revenue (TTM) data by YChartsBecause GPUs perform much better than other processors for some computationally intensive tasks, Nvidia saw a surge in demand in conjunction with the rise of cloud computing.In 2022, the company's data center segment finally overtook the gaming segment to become its biggest sales generator. This year, the company has seen explosive growth powered by demand for processors capable of running advanced artificial intelligence (AI) software. Nvidia is up 187% in 2023 alone, and it now has a market capitalization of roughly $1.03 trillion and ranks as the world's sixth-largest company.With the benefit of hindsight, making a buy-and-hold investment in Nvidia stock 20 years ago would have been one of smartest investing plays you could have made. Gains of more than 29,730% over the last two decades mean that a $10,000 investment in the stock would now be worth approximately $2,983,000.What do these incredible stocks have in common?At first glance, Netflix and Nvidia might not look particularly similar -- but there are shared threads running through both of their world-beating success stories. Both companies leveraged strong foundations in order to branch into new product and service categories that wound up powering incredible growth.Thanks to excellent leadership and high-level execution, Netflix and Nvidia were able to capitalize on emerging opportunities, shape entire industries, and make their shareholders rich.Identifying companies with that kind of explosive potential is no easy task, but long-term investors really only need one win of that magnitude to score life-changing returns.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946631927,"gmtCreate":1680933747269,"gmtModify":1680933753305,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I need the Easter egg bullshit&nbsp;","listText":"I need the Easter egg bullshit&nbsp;","text":"I need the Easter egg bullshit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946631927","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570785151777611","authorId":"3570785151777611","name":"和我一起成长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6593d7bbd7b4389a340efec1020c5a2e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"Fun and exciting games","text":"Fun and exciting games","html":"Fun and exciting games"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941129751,"gmtCreate":1680065157973,"gmtModify":1680066781137,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov&nbsp;","listText":"Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov&nbsp;","text":"Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941129751","repostId":"1129951895","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129951895","pubTimestamp":1680056088,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129951895?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-29 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock - I Have Warned You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129951895","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a prob","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.</li><li>This is obviously a problem for the EV maker&#39;s profit margins.</li><li>A recession is near, and the EV market is not going through its best days.</li><li>Tesla stock is ridiculously overvalued.</li><li>I would not recommend to short sell Tesla stock, either.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15402ca3ce706835733f8b286527cedb\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>jetcityimage</p><p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gained sincemy last article. Yet, the recent banking crisis and, most importantly, the fact the company was forced to decrease its Model S and Model X prices make me somewhat concerned. I mentioned inmy previous article that as a popular stock,Tesla might well risein value. However, the fundamentals were not there and are even worse now. But let me explain this later on.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s news</h2><p>Let me first mention that Model S and Model X models are considered to beluxurious. In my view, electric vehicles generally are considered to be premium-class goods. Indeed, it is much cheaper to buy a used car powered on normal petrol than it is to buy an electric vehicle (&#34;EV&#34;). But Model S and Model X are more expensive than other cars produced by Tesla. The demand for such premiumgoods produced by Tesla is normally inelastic to price cuts. Let me explain.</p><p>Higher-income, environmentally cautious consumers that also like Elon Musk&#39;s brand are likely to be Tesla&#39;s potential customers. They want to buy a higher-class good and are not prevented from doing so even if the price of this good rises somewhat. But recently Tesla&#39;s management even had to decrease the prices of its higher-class cars<i>twice</i>. To me, this signals a substantial fall in demand. And the management is doing the best it can to somehow mitigate the situation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37395688a1638838e425bc1117e759\" tg-width=\"565\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Oilprice.com</p><p>Please have a lookat the table above. Before January 12, Tesla&#39;s Model X Plaid used to cost $138,990. Now its price is only $109 990. This is Tesla&#39;s most expensive model, and the costs to produce it are also the highest of the whole product range. The prices for other models were also substantially cut.</p><p>Obviously, this means that Tesla&#39;s profit margins should fall even lower. The impact of these price cuts on<i>long-term</i>demand still remains to be seen.</p><p>Theinvestor&#39;s presentationalso signaled that Tesla did not provide specifics about the company&#39;s new models. There is nothing tragic about a<i>conservative</i>company not coming up with new products and outstanding innovations every year, indeed. But in order to compensate for this, it has to be a very stable cash cow to provide real value for its investors. Tesla, however, positions itself as a high-growth company but has not<i>recently</i>come up with any innovations. Instead, a lot has been said about the company&#39;s past achievements.</p><h2>The industries Tesla operates in</h2><p>I would rather agree with the thesis that the industries Tesla operates in, namely electric vehicles, energy storage, and artificial intelligence, all have a bright future. After all, the green energy trend is very popular in many countries. Climate-conscious consumers are all of Tesla&#39;s existing and potential customers. However, there are too many unknowns, in my opinion.</p><p>The whole electric vehicle market is facing fairly thin profit margins. But it is still quite strange to say that only Tesla would be the one to gain as soon as the whole sector manages to lower the costs and boost the revenues. I know many Tesla fans expect Elon Musk&#39;s company to become the next Apple (AAPL) in terms of profitability and cash reserves. They also say Tesla would maintain its leading market position and become a cash cow. But too many assumptions are made here.</p><p>A relatively small proportion of Tesla&#39;s business is indeed devoted to energy storage. Obviously, quite little revenue is generated by this. Although this business division has been showing excellent growth, the company reportedly postponed its solar roof installations. Moreover, in autumn 2022 one of its Megapack batteries caught fire at a power storage site in California.</p><p>As concerns Tesla&#39;s artificial intelligence technologies, the company is not monetizing these just yet. It has splendid projects to use AI to cut production costs, but these plans have not come true just yet. Moreover, artificial intelligence technologies are quite new and we cannot accurately predict just how profitable they may be for Tesla. Yet, the valuations take these mega-plans into account.</p><h2>Macroeconomic risks for Tesla stock</h2><p>The risks for Tesla stock are obvious, in my view, now when the banking system is not going through its best days. TSLA is a typical glamorous and overvalued stock. It is rising during fair days and is doing bad when the global economy is suffering. The Fed still predicts one more interest hike this year in spite of the whole banking turmoil. All investors, myself included, would not do well in that case. But particularly at risk are companies that are not very profitable. Also, stocks that are overvalued would not do particularly well. The most obvious example is that of TSLA stock. I will explain this in the next section of my article.</p><h2>Valuations</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s stock is still overvalued in spite of the fact it is trading sufficiently below its all-time highs.</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the company&#39;s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio history.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cad2e820c78b04f89b43d3fdd949bf1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Sure, compared to what it used to be before, TSLA stock seems to be excellent value for money. But a P/E of 53 is unreasonable, even for a high-tech company with a bright future.</p><p>The same is true of the company&#39;s price-to-free cash flow (P/CF) ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dacbf517cc9f522da89e3c5d66eaee2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>The current P/FCF of 88 is extremely high, especially given the fact the company&#39;s cash position has improved.</p><p>To finish off my valuation analysis, let me also show you Tesla&#39;s price-to-book (P/B) ratio graph.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/632086a60cde6f6501cd8eefe9a3cb58\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Just a friendly reminder that a &#34;good&#34; P/B ratio should ideally be between 1 and 3. Tesla&#39;s is almost 14.</p><p>So, TSLA is extremely overvalued, especially if we assume a recession is near.</p><h2>Risks to my thesis</h2><ul><li>The first risk is the fact Tesla stock is very popular and many investors seek opportunities to add to their positions.</li><li>The Fed will start easing, thus preventing recession. This is obviously bullish for all companies, not just Tesla.</li><li>Tesla will become the &#34;next Apple&#34; in terms of debt, cash, profitability, and market size. However, it is still a risk to pay so much money for a company that is forced to substantially reduce its profit margins and is facing so much competition.</li><li>After all, the company&#39;s cash position has improved. The revolving credit facility has been extended and Tesla&#39;s credit rating is finally one notch above junk.</li><li>Tesla has some new technologies, including artificial intelligence and smart production innovations. I gave the company credit for these inmy previous article.</li></ul><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Overall, Tesla, Inc. is being forced to cut its pricing even for the most luxurious models, which is quite a worrying sign. TSLA stock is overvalued. We might face a recession in the near future, which would mean even more downside for both Tesla&#39;s EV business and its stock price. At the same time, I would not short-sell TSLA stock, either, given Tesla&#39;s cash and debt improvements. So, overall, I remain cautiously bearish on TSLA stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock - I Have Warned You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock - I Have Warned You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-29 10:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4590615-tesla-stock-i-have-warned-you><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a problem for the EV maker's profit margins.A recession is near, and the EV market is not going through ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4590615-tesla-stock-i-have-warned-you\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4590615-tesla-stock-i-have-warned-you","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1129951895","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a problem for the EV maker's profit margins.A recession is near, and the EV market is not going through its best days.Tesla stock is ridiculously overvalued.I would not recommend to short sell Tesla stock, either.jetcityimageTesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gained sincemy last article. Yet, the recent banking crisis and, most importantly, the fact the company was forced to decrease its Model S and Model X prices make me somewhat concerned. I mentioned inmy previous article that as a popular stock,Tesla might well risein value. However, the fundamentals were not there and are even worse now. But let me explain this later on.Tesla's newsLet me first mention that Model S and Model X models are considered to beluxurious. In my view, electric vehicles generally are considered to be premium-class goods. Indeed, it is much cheaper to buy a used car powered on normal petrol than it is to buy an electric vehicle (\"EV\"). But Model S and Model X are more expensive than other cars produced by Tesla. The demand for such premiumgoods produced by Tesla is normally inelastic to price cuts. Let me explain.Higher-income, environmentally cautious consumers that also like Elon Musk's brand are likely to be Tesla's potential customers. They want to buy a higher-class good and are not prevented from doing so even if the price of this good rises somewhat. But recently Tesla's management even had to decrease the prices of its higher-class carstwice. To me, this signals a substantial fall in demand. And the management is doing the best it can to somehow mitigate the situation.Oilprice.comPlease have a lookat the table above. Before January 12, Tesla's Model X Plaid used to cost $138,990. Now its price is only $109 990. This is Tesla's most expensive model, and the costs to produce it are also the highest of the whole product range. The prices for other models were also substantially cut.Obviously, this means that Tesla's profit margins should fall even lower. The impact of these price cuts onlong-termdemand still remains to be seen.Theinvestor's presentationalso signaled that Tesla did not provide specifics about the company's new models. There is nothing tragic about aconservativecompany not coming up with new products and outstanding innovations every year, indeed. But in order to compensate for this, it has to be a very stable cash cow to provide real value for its investors. Tesla, however, positions itself as a high-growth company but has notrecentlycome up with any innovations. Instead, a lot has been said about the company's past achievements.The industries Tesla operates inI would rather agree with the thesis that the industries Tesla operates in, namely electric vehicles, energy storage, and artificial intelligence, all have a bright future. After all, the green energy trend is very popular in many countries. Climate-conscious consumers are all of Tesla's existing and potential customers. However, there are too many unknowns, in my opinion.The whole electric vehicle market is facing fairly thin profit margins. But it is still quite strange to say that only Tesla would be the one to gain as soon as the whole sector manages to lower the costs and boost the revenues. I know many Tesla fans expect Elon Musk's company to become the next Apple (AAPL) in terms of profitability and cash reserves. They also say Tesla would maintain its leading market position and become a cash cow. But too many assumptions are made here.A relatively small proportion of Tesla's business is indeed devoted to energy storage. Obviously, quite little revenue is generated by this. Although this business division has been showing excellent growth, the company reportedly postponed its solar roof installations. Moreover, in autumn 2022 one of its Megapack batteries caught fire at a power storage site in California.As concerns Tesla's artificial intelligence technologies, the company is not monetizing these just yet. It has splendid projects to use AI to cut production costs, but these plans have not come true just yet. Moreover, artificial intelligence technologies are quite new and we cannot accurately predict just how profitable they may be for Tesla. Yet, the valuations take these mega-plans into account.Macroeconomic risks for Tesla stockThe risks for Tesla stock are obvious, in my view, now when the banking system is not going through its best days. TSLA is a typical glamorous and overvalued stock. It is rising during fair days and is doing bad when the global economy is suffering. The Fed still predicts one more interest hike this year in spite of the whole banking turmoil. All investors, myself included, would not do well in that case. But particularly at risk are companies that are not very profitable. Also, stocks that are overvalued would not do particularly well. The most obvious example is that of TSLA stock. I will explain this in the next section of my article.ValuationsTesla's stock is still overvalued in spite of the fact it is trading sufficiently below its all-time highs.Let's start with the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio history.Data byYChartsSure, compared to what it used to be before, TSLA stock seems to be excellent value for money. But a P/E of 53 is unreasonable, even for a high-tech company with a bright future.The same is true of the company's price-to-free cash flow (P/CF) ratio.Data byYChartsThe current P/FCF of 88 is extremely high, especially given the fact the company's cash position has improved.To finish off my valuation analysis, let me also show you Tesla's price-to-book (P/B) ratio graph.Data byYChartsJust a friendly reminder that a \"good\" P/B ratio should ideally be between 1 and 3. Tesla's is almost 14.So, TSLA is extremely overvalued, especially if we assume a recession is near.Risks to my thesisThe first risk is the fact Tesla stock is very popular and many investors seek opportunities to add to their positions.The Fed will start easing, thus preventing recession. This is obviously bullish for all companies, not just Tesla.Tesla will become the \"next Apple\" in terms of debt, cash, profitability, and market size. However, it is still a risk to pay so much money for a company that is forced to substantially reduce its profit margins and is facing so much competition.After all, the company's cash position has improved. The revolving credit facility has been extended and Tesla's credit rating is finally one notch above junk.Tesla has some new technologies, including artificial intelligence and smart production innovations. I gave the company credit for these inmy previous article.ConclusionOverall, Tesla, Inc. is being forced to cut its pricing even for the most luxurious models, which is quite a worrying sign. TSLA stock is overvalued. We might face a recession in the near future, which would mean even more downside for both Tesla's EV business and its stock price. At the same time, I would not short-sell TSLA stock, either, given Tesla's cash and debt improvements. So, overall, I remain cautiously bearish on TSLA stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940207466,"gmtCreate":1677913437056,"gmtModify":1677913440473,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Prepared and hopeful it does&nbsp;","listText":"Prepared and hopeful it does&nbsp;","text":"Prepared and hopeful it does","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940207466","repostId":"1188147335","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1188147335","pubTimestamp":1677896169,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188147335?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-04 10:16","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Why The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188147335","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid Oc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We&#39;ve seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid October.</li><li>Incidentally, a textbook 20% bear market rally took the S&amp;P 500 from 3,500 to 4,200 in about three months.</li><li>However, I&#39;m highly skeptical that the worst is behind us.</li><li>Unfortunately, inflation remains more persistent than anticipated, the Fed should continue tightening, and the economy will likely worsen as we advance.</li><li>Furthermore, stocks are not cheap, and my &#34;all-in&#34; bear market bottom target remains 3,000-3,200, roughly 20%-25% lower from here.</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500/SPX (SP500) had an excellent rally from its mid-October bottom at 3,500. After calling the bottom in my &#34;Stocks Are Heading Higher&#34; article, I indicated that the likely top for the rally would arrive in the 4,000-4,200. The market recently topped out around 4,200, after a textbook 20% bear market rally. Now, the SPX is at another critical inflection point, and despite a 6% correction from the recent high, the market could go significantly lower as we advance in the coming months. In addition to deteriorating technical conditions, inflation remains persistent.</p><p>Moreover, we&#39;re seeing worsening economic indicators, implying that the increased rate environment reflects poorly on the economy. Furthermore, due to the persistent inflation problem, the Fed will probably continue raising the benchmark rate, remaining relatively hawkish. Consumer sentiment and other crucial consumer-related readings will likely worsen along with the labor market leading to more pain on Main Street. As corporate profits worsen in the near term, the stock market will probably head lower, causing some panic on Wall Street in the coming months.</p><p>SPX - At Another Inflection Point<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e4c150b976cb211ccb6f5f67170f37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SPX(StockCharts.com)</p><p>The SPX is around critical support at 3,940 - 4,000, coinciding with the 50, and the 200-day moving averages. If the SPX decisively breaks down below this crucial support level, the market could swiftly drop to 3,800 support. If the 3,800 support breaks down, the market will likely retest 3,500 and move lower toward my long-term bear market bottom level at 3,000-3,200. This drop would equate to approximately 20-25% more downside from current levels. Unfortunately, due to the deteriorating fundamental factors surrounding the economy, there&#39;s a high probability that the SPX will revisit the 3,500 - 3,000 before achieving a true bottom. The peak-to-trough decline (4,800 to 3,000) would equate to a drop of approximately 38%, easily comparable to previous bear markets in recent history.</p><p><b>There&#39;s a Chance</b></p><p>Although the probability is relatively low, SPX&#39;s support could hold here, and we may see the market rebound and move higher. However, due to the challenging macroeconomic environment, the near-term upside is likely limited, and the path of least resistance is to the downside now. Also, it&#39;s premature to call an end to the bear market, and I am highly skeptical that a new bull market began in October and that the SPX will reach new highs soon.</p><p>Why Inflation Remains a Big Problem</p><p><b>CPI Inflation</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10057ace35cbf6a1921aa9cae02f6d0b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"302\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CPI(TradingEconomics.com )</p><p>Inflation peaked at around 9% last year, and the Fed has raised rates significantly, utilizing other programs like QT to bring the inflation problem under control. There&#39;s been some success as inflation has come down from the ultra-high levels not seen in the last forty years. Nevertheless, inflation is still running red hot above 6%, while the Fed&#39;s target rate remains at 2%. Moreover, after several months of constructive inflation readings, January&#39;s CPI came in hotter than expected.</p><p><b>The Recent CPI Report</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f7c22ef79685f6f2789bc39233660b5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"156\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CPI (January)(Investing.com )</p><p>The market expected a drop to 6.2%, but the CPI came in at 6.4%, missing estimates and barely budging from the prior month&#39;s reading of 6.5%. Moreover, it&#39;s not just the CPI. Other critical inflation readings like the PCE also reversed, coming in hotter than anticipated.</p><p><b>PCE Inflation</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/100421b03f101dd14bf7039f266d679c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>PCE inflation(Investing.com )</p><p>The PCE inflation readings were substantially higher than expected. We see the PCE at 5.4% vs. the expected 5%. Moreover, the PCE was even higher than the previous month&#39;s 5.3% reading. So, inflation is moving in the wrong direction, and this trend of persistently higher-than-expected inflation could continue. Furthermore, the PCE reading is critical as it&#39;s the Fed&#39;s preferred inflation gauge. Therefore, we will likely continue seeing tighter monetary for longer, which is a negative development for stocks and other risk assets.</p><p><b>Is the Fed Doing Too Much or Not Enough?</b></p><p>Unfortunately, the Fed is between a rock and a hard place. Remember all that talk about inflation being a transitory phenomenon and everything should be fine? I remember this specific rhetoric as the Fed printed money like there was no tomorrow. I always expressed that inflation would not be as &#34;transitory&#34; as the Fed claimed and that the economy would suffer significantly. Well, here we are. The Fed is battling highly persistent inflation, anything but transitory, and the economy is worsening considerably.</p><p><b>The Worsening Economy</b></p><p>Have you seen the recent economic readings? I see many problems, and they&#39;re not likely to go away anytime soon. Let&#39;s put inflation aside and look at some troubling critical economic data that&#39;s come out recently.</p><p>Just from the start of February, we&#39;ve seenISM manufacturing PMI, factory orders, consumer expectations, industrial production, building, housing, GDP, consumer confidence, oil inventories, and other crucial data points come in worse than expected. Moreover, the worse-than-expected data is coming in below lowered estimates, and even most of the better-than-anticipated data does not look great.</p><p><b>Is the Labor Market an Exception?</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada4e0ca1e2a60decab85dee6c4f940a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Jobs data(Investing.com)</p><p>The latest nonfarm payrolls report came in significantly better than expected. The economy added 517K jobs while expectations were for 185K. The unemployment rate also dropped to a rock bottom of 3.4%. So, how can the economy worsen while the labor market remains this robust? First, the labor market data is a lagging indicator, not indicative of future results. Secondly, the labor market appeared very strong in other cycles just before the worst part of a downturn began. And thirdly, the labor market may be one of the last dominoes standing, and when it falls, it could drag the stock market substantially lower. We&#39;ve recently seen numerous companies reporting mass layoffs. These firings take time to filter through the system and should impact payroll reports negatively in the coming months. Moreover, not all jobs are the same. As major corporations cut hundreds of thousands of relatively high-paying jobs to improve efficiency and increase profitability, those fortunate enough to find new jobs will likely fill lower-paying positions. As this phenomenon persists, millions of consumers could suffer due to being pinched from multiple sides by high inflation and lower wages.</p><p><b>Valuations Are Not Cheap Anymore</b></p><p>We&#39;ve seen many companies&#39; earnings stagnate or decline in recent quarters. As the consumer continues to soften, lower earnings could continue as we advance in the near/intermediate term. Also, we&#39;ve seen many stocks appreciate considerably in the recent rally. Thus, while many valuations appeared cheap and attractive, with the SPX around 3,500, many companies are not cheap anymore and could become even more expensive as earnings and future estimates stumble in the coming months.</p><p><b>Shiller P/E Ratio</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5c0cae380760ab0af564889c1e421d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Shiller P/E(multpl.com)</p><p>We&#39;ve seen the Shiller P/E (cyclically adjusted &#34;CAPE&#34;) ratio come down some from the bubble days of November 2021. However, at around 29, the CAPE is still highly elevated, implying that most stocks are not cheap and likely have more room to fall as we grind through this bear market. The historical mean for the CAPE is 17, roughly 40% below its current level. If the CAPE reverts to its mean in this bear market, we could see the SPX bottom around 2,400. However, this ultra-bearish 50% peak-to-trough decline scenario is not a high-probability event due to the Fed and other factors. Nevertheless, the CAPE should move lower before going higher again, and my estimate for a bottom is around the 22-23 level, roughly in line with the 3,000-3,200 level in the SPX.</p><p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p>We&#39;ve seen a textbook 20% bear market rally lift stocks from the profoundly oversold 3,500 level in the SPX. Many stocks have appreciated considerably, some by 100% or more in this relatively short time frame. However, the rally ended around 4,200 due to the lack of constructive catalysts capable of propelling stocks into a new bull market. Moreover, we see persistently high inflation, and the recent progress is overshadowed by the higher-than-anticipated inflation results last month. Therefore, the Fed will likely continue raising interest rates and could remain hawkish for longer as the inflation problem persists.</p><p>Moreover, critical economic indicators and many corporate profits continue worsening, implying more pain ahead for Main Street and Wall Street. Furthermore, most stocks are not cheap here. Thus, many could drop precipitously if the selling accelerates. If SPX breaks below support (decisively) around 4,000, it could cascade to 3,800 next and 3,500 or lower afterward. My bear market bottom &#34;all-in&#34; buy-in range remains around 3,000-3,200, roughly 20-25% below current levels.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-04 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid October.Incidentally, a textbook 20% bear market rally took the S&P 500 from 3,500 to 4,200 in about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188147335","content_text":"SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid October.Incidentally, a textbook 20% bear market rally took the S&P 500 from 3,500 to 4,200 in about three months.However, I'm highly skeptical that the worst is behind us.Unfortunately, inflation remains more persistent than anticipated, the Fed should continue tightening, and the economy will likely worsen as we advance.Furthermore, stocks are not cheap, and my \"all-in\" bear market bottom target remains 3,000-3,200, roughly 20%-25% lower from here.The S&P 500/SPX (SP500) had an excellent rally from its mid-October bottom at 3,500. After calling the bottom in my \"Stocks Are Heading Higher\" article, I indicated that the likely top for the rally would arrive in the 4,000-4,200. The market recently topped out around 4,200, after a textbook 20% bear market rally. Now, the SPX is at another critical inflection point, and despite a 6% correction from the recent high, the market could go significantly lower as we advance in the coming months. In addition to deteriorating technical conditions, inflation remains persistent.Moreover, we're seeing worsening economic indicators, implying that the increased rate environment reflects poorly on the economy. Furthermore, due to the persistent inflation problem, the Fed will probably continue raising the benchmark rate, remaining relatively hawkish. Consumer sentiment and other crucial consumer-related readings will likely worsen along with the labor market leading to more pain on Main Street. As corporate profits worsen in the near term, the stock market will probably head lower, causing some panic on Wall Street in the coming months.SPX - At Another Inflection PointSPX(StockCharts.com)The SPX is around critical support at 3,940 - 4,000, coinciding with the 50, and the 200-day moving averages. If the SPX decisively breaks down below this crucial support level, the market could swiftly drop to 3,800 support. If the 3,800 support breaks down, the market will likely retest 3,500 and move lower toward my long-term bear market bottom level at 3,000-3,200. This drop would equate to approximately 20-25% more downside from current levels. Unfortunately, due to the deteriorating fundamental factors surrounding the economy, there's a high probability that the SPX will revisit the 3,500 - 3,000 before achieving a true bottom. The peak-to-trough decline (4,800 to 3,000) would equate to a drop of approximately 38%, easily comparable to previous bear markets in recent history.There's a ChanceAlthough the probability is relatively low, SPX's support could hold here, and we may see the market rebound and move higher. However, due to the challenging macroeconomic environment, the near-term upside is likely limited, and the path of least resistance is to the downside now. Also, it's premature to call an end to the bear market, and I am highly skeptical that a new bull market began in October and that the SPX will reach new highs soon.Why Inflation Remains a Big ProblemCPI InflationCPI(TradingEconomics.com )Inflation peaked at around 9% last year, and the Fed has raised rates significantly, utilizing other programs like QT to bring the inflation problem under control. There's been some success as inflation has come down from the ultra-high levels not seen in the last forty years. Nevertheless, inflation is still running red hot above 6%, while the Fed's target rate remains at 2%. Moreover, after several months of constructive inflation readings, January's CPI came in hotter than expected.The Recent CPI ReportCPI (January)(Investing.com )The market expected a drop to 6.2%, but the CPI came in at 6.4%, missing estimates and barely budging from the prior month's reading of 6.5%. Moreover, it's not just the CPI. Other critical inflation readings like the PCE also reversed, coming in hotter than anticipated.PCE InflationPCE inflation(Investing.com )The PCE inflation readings were substantially higher than expected. We see the PCE at 5.4% vs. the expected 5%. Moreover, the PCE was even higher than the previous month's 5.3% reading. So, inflation is moving in the wrong direction, and this trend of persistently higher-than-expected inflation could continue. Furthermore, the PCE reading is critical as it's the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Therefore, we will likely continue seeing tighter monetary for longer, which is a negative development for stocks and other risk assets.Is the Fed Doing Too Much or Not Enough?Unfortunately, the Fed is between a rock and a hard place. Remember all that talk about inflation being a transitory phenomenon and everything should be fine? I remember this specific rhetoric as the Fed printed money like there was no tomorrow. I always expressed that inflation would not be as \"transitory\" as the Fed claimed and that the economy would suffer significantly. Well, here we are. The Fed is battling highly persistent inflation, anything but transitory, and the economy is worsening considerably.The Worsening EconomyHave you seen the recent economic readings? I see many problems, and they're not likely to go away anytime soon. Let's put inflation aside and look at some troubling critical economic data that's come out recently.Just from the start of February, we've seenISM manufacturing PMI, factory orders, consumer expectations, industrial production, building, housing, GDP, consumer confidence, oil inventories, and other crucial data points come in worse than expected. Moreover, the worse-than-expected data is coming in below lowered estimates, and even most of the better-than-anticipated data does not look great.Is the Labor Market an Exception?Jobs data(Investing.com)The latest nonfarm payrolls report came in significantly better than expected. The economy added 517K jobs while expectations were for 185K. The unemployment rate also dropped to a rock bottom of 3.4%. So, how can the economy worsen while the labor market remains this robust? First, the labor market data is a lagging indicator, not indicative of future results. Secondly, the labor market appeared very strong in other cycles just before the worst part of a downturn began. And thirdly, the labor market may be one of the last dominoes standing, and when it falls, it could drag the stock market substantially lower. We've recently seen numerous companies reporting mass layoffs. These firings take time to filter through the system and should impact payroll reports negatively in the coming months. Moreover, not all jobs are the same. As major corporations cut hundreds of thousands of relatively high-paying jobs to improve efficiency and increase profitability, those fortunate enough to find new jobs will likely fill lower-paying positions. As this phenomenon persists, millions of consumers could suffer due to being pinched from multiple sides by high inflation and lower wages.Valuations Are Not Cheap AnymoreWe've seen many companies' earnings stagnate or decline in recent quarters. As the consumer continues to soften, lower earnings could continue as we advance in the near/intermediate term. Also, we've seen many stocks appreciate considerably in the recent rally. Thus, while many valuations appeared cheap and attractive, with the SPX around 3,500, many companies are not cheap anymore and could become even more expensive as earnings and future estimates stumble in the coming months.Shiller P/E RatioShiller P/E(multpl.com)We've seen the Shiller P/E (cyclically adjusted \"CAPE\") ratio come down some from the bubble days of November 2021. However, at around 29, the CAPE is still highly elevated, implying that most stocks are not cheap and likely have more room to fall as we grind through this bear market. The historical mean for the CAPE is 17, roughly 40% below its current level. If the CAPE reverts to its mean in this bear market, we could see the SPX bottom around 2,400. However, this ultra-bearish 50% peak-to-trough decline scenario is not a high-probability event due to the Fed and other factors. Nevertheless, the CAPE should move lower before going higher again, and my estimate for a bottom is around the 22-23 level, roughly in line with the 3,000-3,200 level in the SPX.The Bottom LineWe've seen a textbook 20% bear market rally lift stocks from the profoundly oversold 3,500 level in the SPX. Many stocks have appreciated considerably, some by 100% or more in this relatively short time frame. However, the rally ended around 4,200 due to the lack of constructive catalysts capable of propelling stocks into a new bull market. Moreover, we see persistently high inflation, and the recent progress is overshadowed by the higher-than-anticipated inflation results last month. Therefore, the Fed will likely continue raising interest rates and could remain hawkish for longer as the inflation problem persists.Moreover, critical economic indicators and many corporate profits continue worsening, implying more pain ahead for Main Street and Wall Street. Furthermore, most stocks are not cheap here. Thus, many could drop precipitously if the selling accelerates. If SPX breaks below support (decisively) around 4,000, it could cascade to 3,800 next and 3,500 or lower afterward. My bear market bottom \"all-in\" buy-in range remains around 3,000-3,200, roughly 20-25% below current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957247350,"gmtCreate":1677335765871,"gmtModify":1677379522254,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Damn that was a long read&nbsp;","listText":"Damn that was a long read&nbsp;","text":"Damn that was a long read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957247350","repostId":"1117520516","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117520516","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677334099,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117520516?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-25 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117520516","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks rais","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117520516","content_text":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.Read the full letter here:To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?What We DoCharlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.* * * * * * * * * * * *At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.The Secret SauceIn August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.The Past Year in BriefBerkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.* * * * * * * * * * * *A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.And that is a promise we can make.* * * * * * * * * * * *Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.58 Years – and a Few FiguresIn 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.Some Surprising Facts About Federal TaxesDuring the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.* * * * * * * * * * * *Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”* * * * * * * * * * * *At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.Nothing Beats Having a Great PartnerCharlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.* * * * * * * * * * * *I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.A Family Gathering in OmahaCharlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.* * * * * * * * * * * *Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957253248,"gmtCreate":1677310304684,"gmtModify":1677310309710,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice time to crash hard","listText":"Nice time to crash hard","text":"Nice time to crash hard","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957253248","repostId":"1110185356","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1110185356","pubTimestamp":1677279824,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110185356?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-25 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warnings of a Stock Market Bubble Finally Prove Too Much for S&P 500","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110185356","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The PEG model points to an extended market with few precedentsThe danger: Growth is at risk while va","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>The PEG model points to an extended market with few precedents</li><li>The danger: Growth is at risk while valuation pressure builds</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06727b1d024d7d22569de6ff6c978bb3\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Wagering on the stock market bounce was always a long shot. Now it looks like a sucker’s bet.</p><p>While the reemergence of hotter-than-forecastinflationwas the proximate cause of the latest plunge, another force is also at play in the second-longest series of weekly declines since May: high valuations. One lens that takes account of the increasingly anemic growth expected in S&amp;P 500 earnings shows equities as richly priced as they’ve been in almost three decades of data.</p><p>The model, a tool of Fidelity Investments legend Peter Lynch a generation ago, is thePEG ratio, the market’s price-earnings multiple divided by its forecast growth rate. The higher it is, the more expensive shares are — and right now, at about 1.8 based on longer-term estimates, the indicator’s message strikes many as ominous.</p><p>Stretched multiples at a time of stiffening Federal Reserve resolve to whip inflation now is a cocktail investors have wanted no part of in February. Over a holiday-shortened week that concluded with an unexpected acceleration in the central bank’s preferredinflationgauge, the S&amp;P 500 slid 2.7%, extending a downdraft that risks erasing all of 2023 gains.</p><p>“Valuations do seem stretched on most earnings multiples, but when you insert the level of growth and the fact that growth is slowing, they look even more stretched,” Peter van Dooijeweert, head of multi-asset solutions at Man Solutions, said by phone. “Either the Fed needs to pivot and rates have to come down, or when the Fed pivots, earnings will resume a very strong growth trajectory. Those are pretty big things to wish for.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2934f95ebe29904990c553bc152d7127\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since peaking earlier this month, the S&amp;P 500 has erased more than half of a year-to-date gain that at one point reached almost 10%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has already wiped out its 2023 advance after falling four weeks in a row.</p><p>The retreat is a moment of reckoning for bulls who have defiedfalling profitsand rising rates to bid up shares. At 18 times profits, the S&amp;P 500 is trading just slightly above its 10-year average. Yet when stacked next to a wave of profit downgrades, the picture is less reassuring.</p><p>Amid mounting concern over an economic recession, Wall Street analysts are cutting profit forecasts. The expected rate of income growth for 2023 has turnednegative, down from a positive projection of almost 10% inJune, data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence show.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d1484e5b9f9e6c13d3ba1483d24e76\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It’s not just for this year that earnings sentiment is souring. Forecast profits for the next three to five years have seen a broad reduction, with the pace of expansion shaved by half since the start of 2022, according to data compiled by Yardeni Research.</p><p>At the center of the downgrades is concern that the post-pandemic boom, driven by unprecedented government stimulus and a swift shift to online spending, is unsustainable.</p><p>The worsening growth outlook has led to a relentless surge in the PEG ratio. As it stands now, based on long-term profit forecasts, the S&amp;P 500 is roughly 20% more expensive than it ever was during the internet bubble.</p><p>“The current nosebleed level of valuations seen in the US PEG ratio is a result of the ‘growth’ long-term EPS rug being pulled out from under investors,” Albert Edwards, the notoriously glum global strategist at Societe Generale, wrote in a note this week. “This all means that the current PE of around 18x is very vulnerable, and not just against sharply higher cash/bond yields (TINA is dead and buried),” he said, referring to the abbreviation for “there is no alternative” to buying stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6eb1e201a68c691d6a57b2a86e0fb0ea\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Like many valuation models, the PEG isn’t a great timing tool. Its prior high, made in mid-2020, saw stocks continue to march upward for more than a year. The ratio also peaked in 2009 and 2016, neither of which proved an immediate death knell for bulls.</p><p>Theoretically, stretched valuations are no hurdle for equities as long as corporate profits are able to catch up. Whether that will happen again this time is the biggest question facing equity investors today.</p><p>In the eyes of Ed Yardeni, the founder of his namesake firm, the PEG ratio reflects two warring narratives — one showing investors are willing to look past any short-term roadblocks and pay up for stocks, and another reflecting mounting skepticism over growth.</p><p>“It’s signaling caution because you got a tug of war between the relative pessimism of analysts and the relative optimism of investors,” Yardeni said. “It may just turn out that it’s a tug of war where neither side makes any progress, which is what it could be for a little while.”</p><p>Since June, the S&amp;P 500 has been mostly stuck in an 800-point band, creating headaches for bulls and bears alike. Over the stretch, the index’s closing prices averaged at 3,939 — about 30 points away from where it ended Friday.</p><p>With the benchmark gauge surging as much as 17% from its October low, some market watchers have viewed the rebound as the start of anew bullmarket. To David Donabedian, chief investment officer of CIBC Private Wealth US, it’s too early to call the all-clear given stocks have yet to start looking like bargains.</p><p>“It didn’t say that back inOctobereither when we had the beginning of this market rally,” Donabedian said. “So to me, we have not seen that capitulation phase that every bear market has where investors throw in the towel, give up hope and you get a market that looks objectively inexpensive. We’re not there yet.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warnings of a Stock Market Bubble Finally Prove Too Much for S&P 500</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarnings of a Stock Market Bubble Finally Prove Too Much for S&P 500\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-25 07:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-24/bubble-math-is-too-much-for-s-p-500-with-down-market-weeks-piling-up><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The PEG model points to an extended market with few precedentsThe danger: Growth is at risk while valuation pressure buildsWagering on the stock market bounce was always a long shot. Now it looks like...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-24/bubble-math-is-too-much-for-s-p-500-with-down-market-weeks-piling-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-24/bubble-math-is-too-much-for-s-p-500-with-down-market-weeks-piling-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110185356","content_text":"The PEG model points to an extended market with few precedentsThe danger: Growth is at risk while valuation pressure buildsWagering on the stock market bounce was always a long shot. Now it looks like a sucker’s bet.While the reemergence of hotter-than-forecastinflationwas the proximate cause of the latest plunge, another force is also at play in the second-longest series of weekly declines since May: high valuations. One lens that takes account of the increasingly anemic growth expected in S&P 500 earnings shows equities as richly priced as they’ve been in almost three decades of data.The model, a tool of Fidelity Investments legend Peter Lynch a generation ago, is thePEG ratio, the market’s price-earnings multiple divided by its forecast growth rate. The higher it is, the more expensive shares are — and right now, at about 1.8 based on longer-term estimates, the indicator’s message strikes many as ominous.Stretched multiples at a time of stiffening Federal Reserve resolve to whip inflation now is a cocktail investors have wanted no part of in February. Over a holiday-shortened week that concluded with an unexpected acceleration in the central bank’s preferredinflationgauge, the S&P 500 slid 2.7%, extending a downdraft that risks erasing all of 2023 gains.“Valuations do seem stretched on most earnings multiples, but when you insert the level of growth and the fact that growth is slowing, they look even more stretched,” Peter van Dooijeweert, head of multi-asset solutions at Man Solutions, said by phone. “Either the Fed needs to pivot and rates have to come down, or when the Fed pivots, earnings will resume a very strong growth trajectory. Those are pretty big things to wish for.”Since peaking earlier this month, the S&P 500 has erased more than half of a year-to-date gain that at one point reached almost 10%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has already wiped out its 2023 advance after falling four weeks in a row.The retreat is a moment of reckoning for bulls who have defiedfalling profitsand rising rates to bid up shares. At 18 times profits, the S&P 500 is trading just slightly above its 10-year average. Yet when stacked next to a wave of profit downgrades, the picture is less reassuring.Amid mounting concern over an economic recession, Wall Street analysts are cutting profit forecasts. The expected rate of income growth for 2023 has turnednegative, down from a positive projection of almost 10% inJune, data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence show.It’s not just for this year that earnings sentiment is souring. Forecast profits for the next three to five years have seen a broad reduction, with the pace of expansion shaved by half since the start of 2022, according to data compiled by Yardeni Research.At the center of the downgrades is concern that the post-pandemic boom, driven by unprecedented government stimulus and a swift shift to online spending, is unsustainable.The worsening growth outlook has led to a relentless surge in the PEG ratio. As it stands now, based on long-term profit forecasts, the S&P 500 is roughly 20% more expensive than it ever was during the internet bubble.“The current nosebleed level of valuations seen in the US PEG ratio is a result of the ‘growth’ long-term EPS rug being pulled out from under investors,” Albert Edwards, the notoriously glum global strategist at Societe Generale, wrote in a note this week. “This all means that the current PE of around 18x is very vulnerable, and not just against sharply higher cash/bond yields (TINA is dead and buried),” he said, referring to the abbreviation for “there is no alternative” to buying stocks.Like many valuation models, the PEG isn’t a great timing tool. Its prior high, made in mid-2020, saw stocks continue to march upward for more than a year. The ratio also peaked in 2009 and 2016, neither of which proved an immediate death knell for bulls.Theoretically, stretched valuations are no hurdle for equities as long as corporate profits are able to catch up. Whether that will happen again this time is the biggest question facing equity investors today.In the eyes of Ed Yardeni, the founder of his namesake firm, the PEG ratio reflects two warring narratives — one showing investors are willing to look past any short-term roadblocks and pay up for stocks, and another reflecting mounting skepticism over growth.“It’s signaling caution because you got a tug of war between the relative pessimism of analysts and the relative optimism of investors,” Yardeni said. “It may just turn out that it’s a tug of war where neither side makes any progress, which is what it could be for a little while.”Since June, the S&P 500 has been mostly stuck in an 800-point band, creating headaches for bulls and bears alike. Over the stretch, the index’s closing prices averaged at 3,939 — about 30 points away from where it ended Friday.With the benchmark gauge surging as much as 17% from its October low, some market watchers have viewed the rebound as the start of anew bullmarket. To David Donabedian, chief investment officer of CIBC Private Wealth US, it’s too early to call the all-clear given stocks have yet to start looking like bargains.“It didn’t say that back inOctobereither when we had the beginning of this market rally,” Donabedian said. “So to me, we have not seen that capitulation phase that every bear market has where investors throw in the towel, give up hope and you get a market that looks objectively inexpensive. We’re not there yet.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955557372,"gmtCreate":1675609417096,"gmtModify":1676539009061,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long.&nbsp; Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.&nbsp;","listText":"Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long.&nbsp; Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.&nbsp;","text":"Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long. Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955557372","repostId":"2308089266","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959737130,"gmtCreate":1673065625620,"gmtModify":1676538783164,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure if you want to be Bankrupted when Elon sells again. dont hold Tesla just short sell take any profit and run. Don't be a bag holder for a company where the ceo himself Don't give a shit about the company.&nbsp;","listText":"Sure if you want to be Bankrupted when Elon sells again. dont hold Tesla just short sell take any profit and run. Don't be a bag holder for a company where the ceo himself Don't give a shit about the company.&nbsp;","text":"Sure if you want to be Bankrupted when Elon sells again. dont hold Tesla just short sell take any profit and run. Don't be a bag holder for a company where the ceo himself Don't give a shit about the company.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959737130","repostId":"2301620946","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2301620946","pubTimestamp":1673051740,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2301620946?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-07 08:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now the Time to Go All-In on Tesla Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2301620946","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla stock has never been this inexpensive, but there are some good reasons for that.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>If you think Tesla is just a consumer EV play, then it&#39;s not a compelling buy.</li><li>But if you think Tesla will become a major player in the commercial trucking industry and be a leader in autonomous technology, then it&#39;s a great time to buy.</li><li>Tesla could fail to meet its lofty goals over the next couple of years.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> stock had a rough first day of the 2023 trading calendar year, falling 12.2%. But shares were down as much as 15% at one point during the session.</p><p>The sell-off was largely due to Tesla&#39;s disappointing delivery numbers for Q4 2022, which were released on Monday when markets were closed. Tesla achieved record deliveries of 1.314 million vehicles in 2022, including 405,278 deliveries in Q4 alone. But many analysts, such as Wedbush Securities&#39; Dan Ives, were expecting a Q4 delivery figure in the range of 415,000 to 420,000.</p><p>Tesla produced 8.5% more vehicles than it delivered for the quarter. It remains to be seen if the gap between production and deliveries was due to decreasing demand or logistics issues. Either way, the lower-than-expected delivery number adds yet another cause for concern to a stock that is down a staggering 59% in the last three months.</p><p>With the stock hitting a two-year intraday low on Monday, is now the time to go all-in? Or could there be more pain ahead for the electric vehicle (EV) industry leader?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9647ab92415cfa85ca674b8957ba91b9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2>A tale of two investment theses</h2><p><b>Daniel Foelber:</b> As tempting as it may be to buy Tesla amid the steep sell-off, I think investors should first take a step back and decide what they believe Tesla&#39;s value proposition really is.</p><p>There are many facets to Tesla&#39;s business. The core is the production and sale of electric cars to consumers, which has a lot of room for growth in its own right.</p><p>But the bigger growth story is arguably the company&#39;s penetration into the trucking industry, as well as its proprietary autonomous driving technology.</p><p>There are plenty of companies that are working on lowering emissions for Class 8 trucks by substituting diesel for compressed natural gas or using alternative fuels. But no company has achieved the milestones that Tesla has with its electric semi-truck. In November of last year, Tesla&#39;s semi-truck achieved 500 miles of range with a full load. By comparison, <b>Volvo</b>&#39;s electric FM truck has a range of over 235 miles. However, the electric semi-truck race is just as much about cost and availability as it is about specs. Even so, Tesla&#39;s progress indicates that the electric semi-truck industry could one day end up being more profitable for Tesla than its consumer cars. But that&#39;s a big &#34;if.&#34; And in the meantime, it&#39;s going to cost a lot of money to scale semi-truck production.</p><p>In addition to the semi-truck and autonomous driving markets, there&#39;s the opportunity for Tesla to expand its renewable energy generation and storage efforts, which remain a sideshow at this point.</p><p>Investors interested in the EV industry are getting a rare opportunity to buy Tesla stock at its lowest forward price to earnings ratio ever. However, the stock is still more expensive today than it was from 2016 to 2019 based on its tangible book value.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/febd5852afe0bfb3481820aec769acae\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"496\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>TSLA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts</span></p><p>The company is likely to take market share in a slowdown because it has the balance sheet and operating margin to handle weakening demand better than its EV competitors. That advantage alone justifies opening a starter position in Tesla stock.</p><p>But if you&#39;re the kind of investor that believes Tesla has a chance to disrupt the autonomous driving industry and take market share across the transportation industry (including the trucking industry), then making Tesla a top-10 -- or even top-five -- holding makes a lot of sense, especially at this price.</p><h2>Accumulation is a safer approach</h2><p><b>Howard Smith:</b> Investors have had high expectations for Tesla over the past three years, and have assigned it a correspondingly high valuation. But for those that believe the company and EV sector will continue to grow, the 65% drop in the stock price in 2022 provides a compelling opportunity to invest in the industry leader. I do believe that, and I did recently add Tesla shares to my portfolio. That doesn&#39;t mean it&#39;s necessarily a good idea to jump in with an outsized position, however.</p><p>That&#39;s especially true with Tesla, since it is in a still-evolving sector and could disappoint investors in the near term. A case in point was its recently announced fourth-quarter vehicle delivery data. The shortfall in deliveries came as demand has been impacted by increasing competition, slowing global economies, and the effects of COVID-19 spreading in China.</p><p>Looking at the bigger picture, however, the company&#39;s growth remains strong. Its production increased 47% in 2022 versus 2021. But deliveries only increased 40%, leading investors to believe Tesla might not, in fact, meet its previous projections to average 50% growth over the next few years.</p><p>That said, now seems to be a good time to begin buying, or adding to your position. Even if Tesla grows earnings by only 30%, it recently was priced at a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of below 1.0 based on 2023 estimates. Accumulating shares makes sense now for long-term investors, but there may be better prices to add more later. That&#39;s a good reason not to jump in all at once.</p><h2>Tesla is a battleground stock for a reason</h2><p>As swift and brutal as the Tesla stock sell-off has been, there are valid reasons why Tesla stock deserved to fall. The valuation had gotten nosebleed, to put it lightly. Tesla stock rose 743% in 2020 and then <i>another</i> 50% in 2021 for a two-year gain of -- wait for it -- 1,263%.</p><p>Tesla stock could easily set new all-time highs in the future. The problem with stock prices rising so quickly is that the company has to hit lofty goals to make the valuation reasonable. And as impressive as Tesla&#39;s growth has been, a mix of macroeconomic and self-inflicted challenges are making those lofty goals increasingly unlikely. Missing delivery expectation paired with the possibility of a recession (and slowing demand for discretionary purchases like cars) adds another layer of issues impacting Tesla.</p><p>In sum, now isn&#39;t the time to go all-in on Tesla stock. But it is the perfect opportunity to reassess what your investment thesis for Tesla is, as well as if you want to open a starter position in Tesla or add to Tesla stock now that it&#39;s at a reasonable valuation.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now the Time to Go All-In on Tesla Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now the Time to Go All-In on Tesla Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-07 08:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/06/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-tesla-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSIf you think Tesla is just a consumer EV play, then it's not a compelling buy.But if you think Tesla will become a major player in the commercial trucking industry and be a leader in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/06/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-tesla-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/06/is-now-the-time-to-go-all-in-on-tesla-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301620946","content_text":"KEY POINTSIf you think Tesla is just a consumer EV play, then it's not a compelling buy.But if you think Tesla will become a major player in the commercial trucking industry and be a leader in autonomous technology, then it's a great time to buy.Tesla could fail to meet its lofty goals over the next couple of years.Tesla stock had a rough first day of the 2023 trading calendar year, falling 12.2%. But shares were down as much as 15% at one point during the session.The sell-off was largely due to Tesla's disappointing delivery numbers for Q4 2022, which were released on Monday when markets were closed. Tesla achieved record deliveries of 1.314 million vehicles in 2022, including 405,278 deliveries in Q4 alone. But many analysts, such as Wedbush Securities' Dan Ives, were expecting a Q4 delivery figure in the range of 415,000 to 420,000.Tesla produced 8.5% more vehicles than it delivered for the quarter. It remains to be seen if the gap between production and deliveries was due to decreasing demand or logistics issues. Either way, the lower-than-expected delivery number adds yet another cause for concern to a stock that is down a staggering 59% in the last three months.With the stock hitting a two-year intraday low on Monday, is now the time to go all-in? Or could there be more pain ahead for the electric vehicle (EV) industry leader?Image source: Tesla.A tale of two investment thesesDaniel Foelber: As tempting as it may be to buy Tesla amid the steep sell-off, I think investors should first take a step back and decide what they believe Tesla's value proposition really is.There are many facets to Tesla's business. The core is the production and sale of electric cars to consumers, which has a lot of room for growth in its own right.But the bigger growth story is arguably the company's penetration into the trucking industry, as well as its proprietary autonomous driving technology.There are plenty of companies that are working on lowering emissions for Class 8 trucks by substituting diesel for compressed natural gas or using alternative fuels. But no company has achieved the milestones that Tesla has with its electric semi-truck. In November of last year, Tesla's semi-truck achieved 500 miles of range with a full load. By comparison, Volvo's electric FM truck has a range of over 235 miles. However, the electric semi-truck race is just as much about cost and availability as it is about specs. Even so, Tesla's progress indicates that the electric semi-truck industry could one day end up being more profitable for Tesla than its consumer cars. But that's a big \"if.\" And in the meantime, it's going to cost a lot of money to scale semi-truck production.In addition to the semi-truck and autonomous driving markets, there's the opportunity for Tesla to expand its renewable energy generation and storage efforts, which remain a sideshow at this point.Investors interested in the EV industry are getting a rare opportunity to buy Tesla stock at its lowest forward price to earnings ratio ever. However, the stock is still more expensive today than it was from 2016 to 2019 based on its tangible book value.TSLA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YChartsThe company is likely to take market share in a slowdown because it has the balance sheet and operating margin to handle weakening demand better than its EV competitors. That advantage alone justifies opening a starter position in Tesla stock.But if you're the kind of investor that believes Tesla has a chance to disrupt the autonomous driving industry and take market share across the transportation industry (including the trucking industry), then making Tesla a top-10 -- or even top-five -- holding makes a lot of sense, especially at this price.Accumulation is a safer approachHoward Smith: Investors have had high expectations for Tesla over the past three years, and have assigned it a correspondingly high valuation. But for those that believe the company and EV sector will continue to grow, the 65% drop in the stock price in 2022 provides a compelling opportunity to invest in the industry leader. I do believe that, and I did recently add Tesla shares to my portfolio. That doesn't mean it's necessarily a good idea to jump in with an outsized position, however.That's especially true with Tesla, since it is in a still-evolving sector and could disappoint investors in the near term. A case in point was its recently announced fourth-quarter vehicle delivery data. The shortfall in deliveries came as demand has been impacted by increasing competition, slowing global economies, and the effects of COVID-19 spreading in China.Looking at the bigger picture, however, the company's growth remains strong. Its production increased 47% in 2022 versus 2021. But deliveries only increased 40%, leading investors to believe Tesla might not, in fact, meet its previous projections to average 50% growth over the next few years.That said, now seems to be a good time to begin buying, or adding to your position. Even if Tesla grows earnings by only 30%, it recently was priced at a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of below 1.0 based on 2023 estimates. Accumulating shares makes sense now for long-term investors, but there may be better prices to add more later. That's a good reason not to jump in all at once.Tesla is a battleground stock for a reasonAs swift and brutal as the Tesla stock sell-off has been, there are valid reasons why Tesla stock deserved to fall. The valuation had gotten nosebleed, to put it lightly. Tesla stock rose 743% in 2020 and then another 50% in 2021 for a two-year gain of -- wait for it -- 1,263%.Tesla stock could easily set new all-time highs in the future. The problem with stock prices rising so quickly is that the company has to hit lofty goals to make the valuation reasonable. And as impressive as Tesla's growth has been, a mix of macroeconomic and self-inflicted challenges are making those lofty goals increasingly unlikely. Missing delivery expectation paired with the possibility of a recession (and slowing demand for discretionary purchases like cars) adds another layer of issues impacting Tesla.In sum, now isn't the time to go all-in on Tesla stock. But it is the perfect opportunity to reassess what your investment thesis for Tesla is, as well as if you want to open a starter position in Tesla or add to Tesla stock now that it's at a reasonable valuation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927393489,"gmtCreate":1672389782742,"gmtModify":1676538683733,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl&nbsp;","listText":"No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl&nbsp;","text":"No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927393489","repostId":"2295554929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2295554929","pubTimestamp":1672415137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2295554929?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-30 23:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Buy The Bloodbath","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2295554929","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryTesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short int","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3><b>Summary</b></h3><ul><li>Tesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.</li><li>Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short interest for Tesla.</li><li>However, Tesla has a very attractive valuation and risk profile right now.</li></ul><p>A unique buying opportunity has revealed itself for shares of electric vehicle company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> which experienced an intensifying sell-off in December that is putting Tesla on track to its worst month ever. After Tesla lost more than $800B in market cap this year and controversy mounted over Elon Musk&#39;s time-consuming involvement with Twitter/stock sales, I believe the risk profile and the valuation are at their most attractive points in years. Considering that China&#39;s economy is reopening and that Tesla has the most mature footprint in the EV industry, I believe the valuation drop and negative sentiment overhang make Tesla very compelling as a long-term EV investment.</p><h2>Tesla is ending a terrible year with its worst monthly performance ever</h2><p>Tesla is ending FY 2022 with massive valuation losses that have yielded enormous windfall profits for short sellers that bet against the electric vehicle company at the beginning of the year. Tesla&#39;s shares have experienced a bloodbath this year, losing 68% YTD and 42% so far this month, making December 2022 potentially the worst month for the electric vehicle company ever.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b016866b26d76d99fd4332604cbff3fd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h2>Controversies are weighing on Tesla&#39;s valuation, soaring short interest</h2><p>There are multiple controversies that played a role in Tesla&#39;s stock plunge, including the extraordinary amount of time Elon Musk spends on Twitter, COVID-19 lockdowns in China that interrupted the ramp of Tesla&#39;s Model 3 and Model Y as well as his unprecedented sales of Tesla stock in order to finance the acquisition of Twitter. According to a disclosure made on December 14, 2022, Elon Musk recently sold 22M shares of Tesla between December 12 and December 14, resulting in transaction proceeds of $3.6B. Although Elon Musk later said on Twitter Spaces that he won&#39;t sell any more shares over the next 18-24 months, investors don&#39;t seem to believe it, at least for now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f395d39826c8e23997eeb11280dd73cf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: Electrek</p><p>Additionally, a big problem for Tesla has been that short sellers took advantage of Tesla&#39;s downfall in December which resulted in a soaring short interest ratio for shares of Tesla. Soaring short interest, in my opinion, could also be seen as a contrarian indicator.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/573fa987e96d402354e65cdec79cde4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: Yahoo Finance</p><p>But putting all this noise aside, I believe investors that focus on Tesla&#39;s achievements in the EV industry and potential for long-term growth actually get really good value now.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s factory output in China recovered and reached a fresh high</h2><p>After multiple production setbacks in FY 2022 due to factory lockdowns in China, production and deliveries at Tesla&#39;s Shanghai Gigafactory are ramping up rapidly. Tesla delivered 100,291 electric vehicles in November, showing 90% year-over-year growth. It was also a new 4-month reopening high for Tesla and it is an achievement the electric vehicle company can build on in the coming months. With about 100,000 electric vehicles produced in November, Tesla could achieve a 1.2M production volume in FY 2023, but potentially much more as I expect a ramp in production after the Gigafactory in Shanghai reopens after the Chinese New Year. The new delivery record is good news for investors, chiefly because the market ignored it and seems overly obsessed with other non-production related factors surrounding Tesla. A contrarian indicator, perhaps? I think so!</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d60d5fc681c7265ba2a21f440844f2e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: InsideEVs</p><p>The broad reopening of the Chinese economy and the easing of COVID-19 restrictions could be a catalyst for Tesla&#39;s growth in deliveries, but the real reason to buy Tesla, I believe, is the valuation: after a near-70% drawdown in the firm&#39;s valuation this year, Tesla is actually compellingly cheap, at least based off of its historical standard.</p><h2>Is Tesla&#39;s unprecedented price drop alone a reason to buy the shares?</h2><p>The 42% decline in Tesla&#39;s valuation in December and 68% decline in 2022 has reduced a lot of the premium that was built into the EV firm&#39;s valuation in the past. Since Tesla was punished for a variety of factors that were totally unrelated to Tesla&#39;s execution (Twitter distraction, stock sales) or of only temporary nature, such as China&#39;s factory lockdowns, I believe Tesla is currently extremely attractively valued based on a variety of metrics.</p><p>Tesla is the leading EV company in the world (based on output and revenues) and is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 20.4x and that&#39;s despite Tesla being projected to generate 34% year-over-year EPS growth in FY 2023. Compared against its historical valuation, Tesla is a bargain with its P/E ratio trading more than 50% below its 1-year average P/E ratio of 46.6x.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08d92a1d38d6366b57078028e1112f60\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Given the expected launch of the Cybertruck next year and a continual recovery in China-based production volumes, I believe a change in investor sentiment could also drive an upwards revaluation of Tesla&#39;s revenue estimates. The trend for Tesla&#39;s revenue estimates was generally a positive one in FY 2022, despite production limitations and other distractions. According to Seeking Alpha-provided estimates, Tesla is expected to grow its revenues 37% in FY 2023 and 26% in FY 2024, with the Cybertruck expected to make its first revenue contributions in the second half of next year. I believe that Tesla could deliver 80-90 thousand Cybertrucks in FY 2023 before ramping deliveries up to 200 thousand by FY 2024.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d31f4107435d218d22ae093fe331b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Based off of revenues, Tesla is also looking increasingly attractive with the firm&#39;s revenue potential now being cheaper than that of Lucid Group (LCID), despite Tesla already delivering millions of cars to customers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abd29ac0744982704419373383495922\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Right now, Tesla&#39;s forward P/S ratio is 56% below its 1-year average P/S ratio. Almost all of the under-performance relative to the 1-year P/S average has occurred since the end of October.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f7b416c0976165ab4b552eeefb86682\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h2>Tesla is oversold</h2><p>What makes Tesla especially attractive, I believe, is the technical sentiment reflected in the Relative Strength Index. Tesla has become widely oversold based on this index lately and shows a value of 20.2. Tesla hasn&#39;t been this technically oversold in at least a year. While I don&#39;t decide how and where to invest based on RSI, it can be seen as a contrarian indicator (in connection with Tesla&#39;s soaring short interest).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/715da9e1d601b67ca63adac3a1600654\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h2>Risks with Tesla</h2><p>There are many risks with Tesla including the possibility of further stock sales on the part of Elon Musk which could further depress Tesla&#39;s share price, but likely only in the near term as the recovery in Tesla&#39;s China production is a strong catalyst for delivery growth in FY 2023. Additionally, Tesla&#39;s short interest may remain high in the short term as bears seek to exploit Tesla&#39;s draw-down to the fullest. In the longer term, however, real economic concerns should take precedence for Tesla investors and I definitely see pricing and demand risks here for the electric vehicle sector. EV companies may see compressing vehicle margins as inflation continues to pressure consumers and higher raw material/battery costs represent a challenge as well. Since Tesla has the most mature production footprint in the sector, I believe Tesla is in the best position to deal with such risks.</p><h2>Final thoughts</h2><p>Tesla had a terrible December with the price of the EV firm&#39;s shares dropping 42% so far this month and December 2022 will likely end as the worst month for Tesla&#39;s shares ever. There are reasons for the decline in Tesla&#39;s market cap, but none, I believe, are related to either Tesla&#39;s execution or Tesla&#39;s growth prospects. The fact that Tesla&#39;s short interest has soared in December and short sellers piled on the EV company, resulting in oversold technical sentiment, is actually the precise reason why I like Tesla more than ever.</p><p>The market has become too fearful of Tesla due to a series of unfavorable news, but I believe all of the factors discussed here (Twitter, stock sales, production setbacks) are transitory and Tesla could soon be able to recover from this unprecedented sell-off, especially if the market&#39;s focus returns to Tesla&#39;s improving delivery growth and a reopening Chinese economy. Since the shares have a very attractive valuation and the best risk profile in years, I believe investors should lean into the fear and buy the bloodbath!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Buy The Bloodbath</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Buy The Bloodbath\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-30 23:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567014-tesla-stock-bloodbath-buy><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567014-tesla-stock-bloodbath-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567014-tesla-stock-bloodbath-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2295554929","content_text":"SummaryTesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short interest for Tesla.However, Tesla has a very attractive valuation and risk profile right now.A unique buying opportunity has revealed itself for shares of electric vehicle company Tesla which experienced an intensifying sell-off in December that is putting Tesla on track to its worst month ever. After Tesla lost more than $800B in market cap this year and controversy mounted over Elon Musk's time-consuming involvement with Twitter/stock sales, I believe the risk profile and the valuation are at their most attractive points in years. Considering that China's economy is reopening and that Tesla has the most mature footprint in the EV industry, I believe the valuation drop and negative sentiment overhang make Tesla very compelling as a long-term EV investment.Tesla is ending a terrible year with its worst monthly performance everTesla is ending FY 2022 with massive valuation losses that have yielded enormous windfall profits for short sellers that bet against the electric vehicle company at the beginning of the year. Tesla's shares have experienced a bloodbath this year, losing 68% YTD and 42% so far this month, making December 2022 potentially the worst month for the electric vehicle company ever.Data by YChartsControversies are weighing on Tesla's valuation, soaring short interestThere are multiple controversies that played a role in Tesla's stock plunge, including the extraordinary amount of time Elon Musk spends on Twitter, COVID-19 lockdowns in China that interrupted the ramp of Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y as well as his unprecedented sales of Tesla stock in order to finance the acquisition of Twitter. According to a disclosure made on December 14, 2022, Elon Musk recently sold 22M shares of Tesla between December 12 and December 14, resulting in transaction proceeds of $3.6B. Although Elon Musk later said on Twitter Spaces that he won't sell any more shares over the next 18-24 months, investors don't seem to believe it, at least for now.Source: ElectrekAdditionally, a big problem for Tesla has been that short sellers took advantage of Tesla's downfall in December which resulted in a soaring short interest ratio for shares of Tesla. Soaring short interest, in my opinion, could also be seen as a contrarian indicator.Source: Yahoo FinanceBut putting all this noise aside, I believe investors that focus on Tesla's achievements in the EV industry and potential for long-term growth actually get really good value now.Tesla's factory output in China recovered and reached a fresh highAfter multiple production setbacks in FY 2022 due to factory lockdowns in China, production and deliveries at Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory are ramping up rapidly. Tesla delivered 100,291 electric vehicles in November, showing 90% year-over-year growth. It was also a new 4-month reopening high for Tesla and it is an achievement the electric vehicle company can build on in the coming months. With about 100,000 electric vehicles produced in November, Tesla could achieve a 1.2M production volume in FY 2023, but potentially much more as I expect a ramp in production after the Gigafactory in Shanghai reopens after the Chinese New Year. The new delivery record is good news for investors, chiefly because the market ignored it and seems overly obsessed with other non-production related factors surrounding Tesla. A contrarian indicator, perhaps? I think so!Source: InsideEVsThe broad reopening of the Chinese economy and the easing of COVID-19 restrictions could be a catalyst for Tesla's growth in deliveries, but the real reason to buy Tesla, I believe, is the valuation: after a near-70% drawdown in the firm's valuation this year, Tesla is actually compellingly cheap, at least based off of its historical standard.Is Tesla's unprecedented price drop alone a reason to buy the shares?The 42% decline in Tesla's valuation in December and 68% decline in 2022 has reduced a lot of the premium that was built into the EV firm's valuation in the past. Since Tesla was punished for a variety of factors that were totally unrelated to Tesla's execution (Twitter distraction, stock sales) or of only temporary nature, such as China's factory lockdowns, I believe Tesla is currently extremely attractively valued based on a variety of metrics.Tesla is the leading EV company in the world (based on output and revenues) and is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 20.4x and that's despite Tesla being projected to generate 34% year-over-year EPS growth in FY 2023. Compared against its historical valuation, Tesla is a bargain with its P/E ratio trading more than 50% below its 1-year average P/E ratio of 46.6x.Data by YChartsGiven the expected launch of the Cybertruck next year and a continual recovery in China-based production volumes, I believe a change in investor sentiment could also drive an upwards revaluation of Tesla's revenue estimates. The trend for Tesla's revenue estimates was generally a positive one in FY 2022, despite production limitations and other distractions. According to Seeking Alpha-provided estimates, Tesla is expected to grow its revenues 37% in FY 2023 and 26% in FY 2024, with the Cybertruck expected to make its first revenue contributions in the second half of next year. I believe that Tesla could deliver 80-90 thousand Cybertrucks in FY 2023 before ramping deliveries up to 200 thousand by FY 2024.Data by YChartsBased off of revenues, Tesla is also looking increasingly attractive with the firm's revenue potential now being cheaper than that of Lucid Group (LCID), despite Tesla already delivering millions of cars to customers.Data by YChartsRight now, Tesla's forward P/S ratio is 56% below its 1-year average P/S ratio. Almost all of the under-performance relative to the 1-year P/S average has occurred since the end of October.Data by YChartsTesla is oversoldWhat makes Tesla especially attractive, I believe, is the technical sentiment reflected in the Relative Strength Index. Tesla has become widely oversold based on this index lately and shows a value of 20.2. Tesla hasn't been this technically oversold in at least a year. While I don't decide how and where to invest based on RSI, it can be seen as a contrarian indicator (in connection with Tesla's soaring short interest).Data by YChartsRisks with TeslaThere are many risks with Tesla including the possibility of further stock sales on the part of Elon Musk which could further depress Tesla's share price, but likely only in the near term as the recovery in Tesla's China production is a strong catalyst for delivery growth in FY 2023. Additionally, Tesla's short interest may remain high in the short term as bears seek to exploit Tesla's draw-down to the fullest. In the longer term, however, real economic concerns should take precedence for Tesla investors and I definitely see pricing and demand risks here for the electric vehicle sector. EV companies may see compressing vehicle margins as inflation continues to pressure consumers and higher raw material/battery costs represent a challenge as well. Since Tesla has the most mature production footprint in the sector, I believe Tesla is in the best position to deal with such risks.Final thoughtsTesla had a terrible December with the price of the EV firm's shares dropping 42% so far this month and December 2022 will likely end as the worst month for Tesla's shares ever. There are reasons for the decline in Tesla's market cap, but none, I believe, are related to either Tesla's execution or Tesla's growth prospects. The fact that Tesla's short interest has soared in December and short sellers piled on the EV company, resulting in oversold technical sentiment, is actually the precise reason why I like Tesla more than ever.The market has become too fearful of Tesla due to a series of unfavorable news, but I believe all of the factors discussed here (Twitter, stock sales, production setbacks) are transitory and Tesla could soon be able to recover from this unprecedented sell-off, especially if the market's focus returns to Tesla's improving delivery growth and a reopening Chinese economy. Since the shares have a very attractive valuation and the best risk profile in years, I believe investors should lean into the fear and buy the bloodbath!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":70,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924862604,"gmtCreate":1672224583609,"gmtModify":1676538655514,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that&nbsp;Basket&nbsp;","listText":"Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that&nbsp;Basket&nbsp;","text":"Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that Basket","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924862604","repostId":"1177985721","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924098327,"gmtCreate":1672128315069,"gmtModify":1676538638397,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.&nbsp;","listText":"Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.&nbsp;","text":"Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924098327","repostId":"1115836796","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115836796","pubTimestamp":1672124538,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115836796?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-27 15:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk Says He Won’t Sell Tesla Shares for Two Years: Time to Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115836796","media":"Invezz","summary":"Elon Musk says he won't sell any more of Tesla shares for at least two years.Canaccord Genuity analy","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Elon Musk says he won&#39;t sell any more of Tesla shares for at least two years.</li><li>Canaccord Genuity analyst continues to see upside in Tesla shares to $275.</li><li>Tesla shares are currently down nearly 70% versus the start of the year.</li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc</a> was in focus after Elon Musk made yet another promise that he won’t trim his equity stake in the electric vehicles manufacturer any further for at least two years.</p><h3>Tesla shares still continued to sell-off</h3><p>The announcement did little to relieve the ongoing sell-off, though, since Musk made such a vow in April as well.</p><p>And then he went on to sell another $15 billion worth of Tesla shares between then and now. According to Howard Fischer – a former U.S. SEC attorney:</p><blockquote>If Musk sells another billion or so dollars of shares in the near future, and that exerts downward price pressure on Tesla’s share price, investors might have decent claim for securities fraud.</blockquote><p>For the year, Tesla shares are now down nearly 70%. Still, a Canaccord Genuity analyst says the EV company remains a great pick for 2023.</p><h3>Tesla shares could benefit from several tailwinds</h3><p>In a recent note, George Gianarikas talked of several tailwinds that could boost the stock price next year. To begin with, he expects a pick up in demand as China reopens.</p><blockquote>We see this as a moment in time to properly discern signal from noise. With the current pressure and some patience – trust this holiday coal will turn into a long-term performance diamond.</blockquote><p>Potential benefit from the “Inflation Reduction Act” was among other reasons cited for the constructive view. Production at the gigafactories in Berlin and Austin, the analyst added, seems also on track.</p><p>Nonetheless, Gianarikas lowered his price target on Tesla shares to $275 – but that still suggests the stock could more than double from here.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655782831344","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk Says He Won’t Sell Tesla Shares for Two Years: Time to Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk Says He Won’t Sell Tesla Shares for Two Years: Time to Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-27 15:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://invezz.com/news/2022/12/25/elon-musk-wont-sell-tesla-shares/><strong>Invezz</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk says he won't sell any more of Tesla shares for at least two years.Canaccord Genuity analyst continues to see upside in Tesla shares to $275.Tesla shares are currently down nearly 70% versus...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://invezz.com/news/2022/12/25/elon-musk-wont-sell-tesla-shares/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://invezz.com/news/2022/12/25/elon-musk-wont-sell-tesla-shares/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115836796","content_text":"Elon Musk says he won't sell any more of Tesla shares for at least two years.Canaccord Genuity analyst continues to see upside in Tesla shares to $275.Tesla shares are currently down nearly 70% versus the start of the year.Tesla Inc was in focus after Elon Musk made yet another promise that he won’t trim his equity stake in the electric vehicles manufacturer any further for at least two years.Tesla shares still continued to sell-offThe announcement did little to relieve the ongoing sell-off, though, since Musk made such a vow in April as well.And then he went on to sell another $15 billion worth of Tesla shares between then and now. According to Howard Fischer – a former U.S. SEC attorney:If Musk sells another billion or so dollars of shares in the near future, and that exerts downward price pressure on Tesla’s share price, investors might have decent claim for securities fraud.For the year, Tesla shares are now down nearly 70%. Still, a Canaccord Genuity analyst says the EV company remains a great pick for 2023.Tesla shares could benefit from several tailwindsIn a recent note, George Gianarikas talked of several tailwinds that could boost the stock price next year. To begin with, he expects a pick up in demand as China reopens.We see this as a moment in time to properly discern signal from noise. With the current pressure and some patience – trust this holiday coal will turn into a long-term performance diamond.Potential benefit from the “Inflation Reduction Act” was among other reasons cited for the constructive view. Production at the gigafactories in Berlin and Austin, the analyst added, seems also on track.Nonetheless, Gianarikas lowered his price target on Tesla shares to $275 – but that still suggests the stock could more than double from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9925757527,"gmtCreate":1672116795870,"gmtModify":1676538637000,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount&nbsp;","listText":"Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount&nbsp;","text":"Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925757527","repostId":"1107087281","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922199818,"gmtCreate":1671710697835,"gmtModify":1676538580035,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn&nbsp;if you're so thirsty for tech","listText":"Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn&nbsp;if you're so thirsty for tech","text":"Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn if you're so thirsty for tech","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922199818","repostId":"2293285346","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2293285346","pubTimestamp":1671696064,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2293285346?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-22 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down Almost 30% This Month, Is Tesla Stock a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2293285346","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock has been absolutely hammered.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Following the stock&#39;s nosedive, an opportunistic purchase of Tesla shares may make sense.</li><li>The electric car maker&#39;s management team expects strong growth in vehicle deliveries in the years ahead.</li><li>Tesla&#39;s upcoming Cybertruck launch could be a major catalyst for the company.</li></ul><p>Shares of <b>Tesla</b> have cratered this month, falling more than 29% as of market close on Dec. 21. This decline adds to an already brutal year for the stock, bringing Tesla shares&#39; total year-to-date return to a loss of more than 60%. Ouch.</p><p>This begs the question: Has the stock become oversold, creating a buying opportunity for investors?</p><p>Let&#39;s take a look.</p><h2>Business momentum</h2><p>While the electric car maker&#39;s stock has been slammed this year, the underlying business is doing quite well. Tesla&#39;s third-quarter vehicle deliveries, for instance, rose 42% year over year. Growth was impressive sequentially, too; Tesla&#39;s record third-quarter deliveries of 343,830 were up from deliveries of 254,695 in the second quarter.</p><p>What about demand for its vehicles? Demand for vehicles that will be shipped in the final quarter of the year is &#34;excellent,&#34; according to comments from Tesla CEO Elon Musk in the company&#39;s fourth-quarter earnings call. Indeed, demand is trending so well that Musk said the company expects to &#34;sell every car that we make for as far in the future as we can see.&#34;</p><p>The company&#39;s vehicle production is also going well, with Tesla management saying in the company&#39;s third-quarter earnings call that it achieved a production volume of 2,000 cars per week at its new factory in Germany. Its new factory in Texas should hit this same milestone soon, management added. Meanwhile, production at the company&#39;s factory in Fremont, California hit record levels during the period.</p><p>Finally, the company is doing well, too. Free cash flow was $3.3 billion during Q3, up 148% year over year. Bolstering its balance sheet is $21.1 billion of cash and marketable securities, up $2.2 billion sequentially.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>With momentum like this, investors should expect Tesla stock to look cheap -- and it doesn&#39;t (at least at first glance). Shares trade at about 42 times earnings. This premium prices in significant earnings growth going forward.</p><p>But the premium is arguably reasonable, if not too low, relative to management&#39;s long-term growth expectations and considering two major catalysts the company has in the works for 2023 and beyond. Tesla&#39;s long-term view for its business, which it lays out in the outlook section of its quarterly letters to shareholders, is that the company can grow vehicle deliveries at an average rate of about 50% annually over &#34;a multi-year horizon...&#34; And based on the company&#39;s execution in recent years, this may be possible.</p><p>Strong growth next year also seems likely when investors consider two big catalysts for the business: The expected launch of Tesla&#39;s Cybertruck next year, and the company&#39;s explosive growth in its energy storage business.</p><h2>Is it time to buy?</h2><p>Tesla stock&#39;s valuation is starting to look attractive in the context of the business&#39;s underlying momentum. While it&#39;s always possible that growth doesn&#39;t pan out as expected (particularly in the near term as macroeconomic uncertainty potentially leads to some consumers delaying vehicle purchases), the company&#39;s recent growth and its exciting product pipeline make a good case for the stock.</p><p>Sure, there are always risks to owning the notoriously volatile stock, but it may make sense to make Tesla shares a small percentage of your portfolio at this price.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down Almost 30% This Month, Is Tesla Stock a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown Almost 30% This Month, Is Tesla Stock a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-22 16:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/21/down-almost-30-this-month-is-tesla-stock-a-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFollowing the stock's nosedive, an opportunistic purchase of Tesla shares may make sense.The electric car maker's management team expects strong growth in vehicle deliveries in the years ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/21/down-almost-30-this-month-is-tesla-stock-a-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/21/down-almost-30-this-month-is-tesla-stock-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2293285346","content_text":"KEY POINTSFollowing the stock's nosedive, an opportunistic purchase of Tesla shares may make sense.The electric car maker's management team expects strong growth in vehicle deliveries in the years ahead.Tesla's upcoming Cybertruck launch could be a major catalyst for the company.Shares of Tesla have cratered this month, falling more than 29% as of market close on Dec. 21. This decline adds to an already brutal year for the stock, bringing Tesla shares' total year-to-date return to a loss of more than 60%. Ouch.This begs the question: Has the stock become oversold, creating a buying opportunity for investors?Let's take a look.Business momentumWhile the electric car maker's stock has been slammed this year, the underlying business is doing quite well. Tesla's third-quarter vehicle deliveries, for instance, rose 42% year over year. Growth was impressive sequentially, too; Tesla's record third-quarter deliveries of 343,830 were up from deliveries of 254,695 in the second quarter.What about demand for its vehicles? Demand for vehicles that will be shipped in the final quarter of the year is \"excellent,\" according to comments from Tesla CEO Elon Musk in the company's fourth-quarter earnings call. Indeed, demand is trending so well that Musk said the company expects to \"sell every car that we make for as far in the future as we can see.\"The company's vehicle production is also going well, with Tesla management saying in the company's third-quarter earnings call that it achieved a production volume of 2,000 cars per week at its new factory in Germany. Its new factory in Texas should hit this same milestone soon, management added. Meanwhile, production at the company's factory in Fremont, California hit record levels during the period.Finally, the company is doing well, too. Free cash flow was $3.3 billion during Q3, up 148% year over year. Bolstering its balance sheet is $21.1 billion of cash and marketable securities, up $2.2 billion sequentially.ValuationWith momentum like this, investors should expect Tesla stock to look cheap -- and it doesn't (at least at first glance). Shares trade at about 42 times earnings. This premium prices in significant earnings growth going forward.But the premium is arguably reasonable, if not too low, relative to management's long-term growth expectations and considering two major catalysts the company has in the works for 2023 and beyond. Tesla's long-term view for its business, which it lays out in the outlook section of its quarterly letters to shareholders, is that the company can grow vehicle deliveries at an average rate of about 50% annually over \"a multi-year horizon...\" And based on the company's execution in recent years, this may be possible.Strong growth next year also seems likely when investors consider two big catalysts for the business: The expected launch of Tesla's Cybertruck next year, and the company's explosive growth in its energy storage business.Is it time to buy?Tesla stock's valuation is starting to look attractive in the context of the business's underlying momentum. While it's always possible that growth doesn't pan out as expected (particularly in the near term as macroeconomic uncertainty potentially leads to some consumers delaying vehicle purchases), the company's recent growth and its exciting product pipeline make a good case for the stock.Sure, there are always risks to owning the notoriously volatile stock, but it may make sense to make Tesla shares a small percentage of your portfolio at this price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926733413,"gmtCreate":1671629570232,"gmtModify":1676538566235,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.","listText":"Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.","text":"Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926733413","repostId":"1108645302","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1108645302","pubTimestamp":1671636353,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108645302?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-21 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Does Elon Musk Still Want to Be the CEO of Tesla?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108645302","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shareholders are losing patience with the self-described reluctant chief executive.Tesla CEO Elon Mu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shareholders are losing patience with the self-described reluctant chief executive.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f23208204e7493963eadf2c6195fd7ab\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"654\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Tesla CEO Elon Musk.Photographer: Joshua Lott/Getty Images</span></p><p>Elon Musk has said on several occasions lately —on Twitter, from a courtroom stand, on Twitter again, then back at the same court — that he doesn’t want to be a CEO.</p><p>He said so before and after he became the chief executive of a fifth company, which appears to have been one too many, at least for Tesla shareholders to stomach. Since April 4, the day Musk disclosed that he’d taken a stake in Twitter, the car and clean-energy company that accounts for a third of hisnet worth has lost about $749 billion of market value.</p><p>Taking a Twitter poll on whether he should step down as head of Twitter — and a decisive vote that found yes, he should — hasn’t stopped Tesla’s hammering. Overpaying for the social media company using tens of billions ofhis Tesla shares has proven disastrous. It hasn’t helped that Musk has oscillated from arguing that Twitter is doing better under his leadership, to describing it as in the fast lane toward bankruptcy, or that he’s repeatedly assured his followers that he was done selling Tesla stock, only to then dump more again and again.</p><p>When will Tesla’s shareholders or board of directors conclude that enough is enough? Some are already there.</p><p>“As his fanboy, I invested [because] of Elon,” Leo KoGuan, one of Tesla’s biggest individual shareholders, tweeted last week. “Of course, I prefer Elon to be CEO but he abandoned Tesla.”</p><p>There’s been no indication Tesla directors feel the same. Several members of the board, including his brother Kimbal, have stood by Musk through it all: the regrettable SolarCity acquisition, the April Fools’ Day tweeting about Tesla going bankrupt, the calling a critic a pedophile.</p><p>After Musk made the false and reckless claim he had the funding to take Tesla private, the Securities and Exchange Commission tried to strengthen Tesla’s corporate governance by removing him as chairman and forcing the board to add two independent directors. The effort was doomed from the start — one of the directors added was billionaire Larry Ellison, Musk’s friend and confidant, who left the board less than four years later. He and other directors said nothing publicly about Musk telling 60 Minutes he didn’t respect the SEC, or using the initials of the agency to refer to himself receiving oral sex.</p><p>Privately, Ellison and other fans of Musk’s have explained away Musk’s behavior to Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the senior associate dean of leadership programs at the Yale School of Management. After all, had the professor ever managed to fly rockets into space and land them upright back on Earth?</p><p>“It’s true, I haven’t been able to do that, and you have to acknowledge the engineering genius and entrepreneurial will that he has is exceptional,” Sonnenfeld said of Musk in a phone interview. “It’s historic, and the world is, on balance, somewhat better off that he’s on the planet.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f98e6efc891b34d8d98ca04e935c0c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Tesla Roadster that SpaceX launched toward Mars in 2018.Photographer: Handout/Getty Images North America</span></p><p>That said, the Twitter poll Musk has vowed to abide by was just one of the recent votes against him. Last week, Sonnenfeld hosted the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute’s annual CEO summit, where chairmen, presidents and CEOs responded confidentially to questions on a range of topics dominating business news headlines.</p><p>Musk didn’t fare well among 100 of his peers: 98% said he overpaid for Twitter; 79% said he’d become a detriment to the value of the companies he runs; 56% think companies should stop advertising on Twitter.</p><p>“There have been some standout technological triumphs,” Sonnenfeld said of Musk’s track record. “But we could match each and every one of them with 10 failures that the media looks past because he dangles the new, shiny object and distracts you.”</p><p>Where, for example, are the 1 million robotaxis that Musk said almost four years ago would be on the road three years ago? Where is the Roadster (Sonnenfeld calls it “the <i>Chitty Chitty Bang Bang</i> car”) that Musk claimed would be able to fly, packing SpaceX thrusters in place of the rear seats? The CEO showed a prototype five years ago and promised a launch two years ago. It has yet to hit the market.</p><p>“Tesla is executing better than ever!” Musk tweeted last week in response to a shareholder who quarreled with him on Tuesday. “We don’t control the Federal Reserve. That is the real problem here.”</p><p>Investors haven’t been buying that argument, perhaps since Musk has provided ample evidence that he’s preoccupied with Twitter. On the day he fell from the top spot on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Musk dropped in on a Twitter Spaces with Marc Andreessen and other admirers, spending about 25 minutes talking artificial intelligence, his approach to using and running the social media service, the boos he got on stage at Dave Chappelle’s stand-up show in San Francisco, and how much punishment Sam Bankman-Fried deserves.</p><p>Tesla didn’t come up until the very end.</p><p>“Speaking of Tesla,” Musk said. “I have a Tesla meeting that I’m late for. I have to step off.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Does Elon Musk Still Want to Be the CEO of Tesla?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoes Elon Musk Still Want to Be the CEO of Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-21 23:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-21/does-elon-musk-still-want-to-be-the-ceo-of-tesla><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shareholders are losing patience with the self-described reluctant chief executive.Tesla CEO Elon Musk.Photographer: Joshua Lott/Getty ImagesElon Musk has said on several occasions lately —on Twitter,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-21/does-elon-musk-still-want-to-be-the-ceo-of-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-21/does-elon-musk-still-want-to-be-the-ceo-of-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108645302","content_text":"Shareholders are losing patience with the self-described reluctant chief executive.Tesla CEO Elon Musk.Photographer: Joshua Lott/Getty ImagesElon Musk has said on several occasions lately —on Twitter, from a courtroom stand, on Twitter again, then back at the same court — that he doesn’t want to be a CEO.He said so before and after he became the chief executive of a fifth company, which appears to have been one too many, at least for Tesla shareholders to stomach. Since April 4, the day Musk disclosed that he’d taken a stake in Twitter, the car and clean-energy company that accounts for a third of hisnet worth has lost about $749 billion of market value.Taking a Twitter poll on whether he should step down as head of Twitter — and a decisive vote that found yes, he should — hasn’t stopped Tesla’s hammering. Overpaying for the social media company using tens of billions ofhis Tesla shares has proven disastrous. It hasn’t helped that Musk has oscillated from arguing that Twitter is doing better under his leadership, to describing it as in the fast lane toward bankruptcy, or that he’s repeatedly assured his followers that he was done selling Tesla stock, only to then dump more again and again.When will Tesla’s shareholders or board of directors conclude that enough is enough? Some are already there.“As his fanboy, I invested [because] of Elon,” Leo KoGuan, one of Tesla’s biggest individual shareholders, tweeted last week. “Of course, I prefer Elon to be CEO but he abandoned Tesla.”There’s been no indication Tesla directors feel the same. Several members of the board, including his brother Kimbal, have stood by Musk through it all: the regrettable SolarCity acquisition, the April Fools’ Day tweeting about Tesla going bankrupt, the calling a critic a pedophile.After Musk made the false and reckless claim he had the funding to take Tesla private, the Securities and Exchange Commission tried to strengthen Tesla’s corporate governance by removing him as chairman and forcing the board to add two independent directors. The effort was doomed from the start — one of the directors added was billionaire Larry Ellison, Musk’s friend and confidant, who left the board less than four years later. He and other directors said nothing publicly about Musk telling 60 Minutes he didn’t respect the SEC, or using the initials of the agency to refer to himself receiving oral sex.Privately, Ellison and other fans of Musk’s have explained away Musk’s behavior to Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the senior associate dean of leadership programs at the Yale School of Management. After all, had the professor ever managed to fly rockets into space and land them upright back on Earth?“It’s true, I haven’t been able to do that, and you have to acknowledge the engineering genius and entrepreneurial will that he has is exceptional,” Sonnenfeld said of Musk in a phone interview. “It’s historic, and the world is, on balance, somewhat better off that he’s on the planet.”The Tesla Roadster that SpaceX launched toward Mars in 2018.Photographer: Handout/Getty Images North AmericaThat said, the Twitter poll Musk has vowed to abide by was just one of the recent votes against him. Last week, Sonnenfeld hosted the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute’s annual CEO summit, where chairmen, presidents and CEOs responded confidentially to questions on a range of topics dominating business news headlines.Musk didn’t fare well among 100 of his peers: 98% said he overpaid for Twitter; 79% said he’d become a detriment to the value of the companies he runs; 56% think companies should stop advertising on Twitter.“There have been some standout technological triumphs,” Sonnenfeld said of Musk’s track record. “But we could match each and every one of them with 10 failures that the media looks past because he dangles the new, shiny object and distracts you.”Where, for example, are the 1 million robotaxis that Musk said almost four years ago would be on the road three years ago? Where is the Roadster (Sonnenfeld calls it “the Chitty Chitty Bang Bang car”) that Musk claimed would be able to fly, packing SpaceX thrusters in place of the rear seats? The CEO showed a prototype five years ago and promised a launch two years ago. It has yet to hit the market.“Tesla is executing better than ever!” Musk tweeted last week in response to a shareholder who quarreled with him on Tuesday. “We don’t control the Federal Reserve. That is the real problem here.”Investors haven’t been buying that argument, perhaps since Musk has provided ample evidence that he’s preoccupied with Twitter. On the day he fell from the top spot on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Musk dropped in on a Twitter Spaces with Marc Andreessen and other admirers, spending about 25 minutes talking artificial intelligence, his approach to using and running the social media service, the boos he got on stage at Dave Chappelle’s stand-up show in San Francisco, and how much punishment Sam Bankman-Fried deserves.Tesla didn’t come up until the very end.“Speaking of Tesla,” Musk said. “I have a Tesla meeting that I’m late for. I have to step off.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965935036,"gmtCreate":1669869079325,"gmtModify":1676538260396,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.","listText":"Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.","text":"Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965935036","repostId":"2288145346","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288145346","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1669847881,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2288145346?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-01 06:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sam Bankman-Fried Says He \"Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288145346","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, attempted to distance himself from any suggestion of fraud in his first public appearance since his company&#39;s collapse stunned investors and left creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.</p><p>Speaking at the New York Times&#39; Dealbook Summit with Andrew Ross Sorkin, Bankman-Fried said that he did not knowingly commingle customer funds on FTX with funds at his proprietary trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p>The liquidity crunch at FTX came after Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion of FTX customer funds to Alameda Research, Reuters reported, citing two people familiar with the matter. At least $1 billion in customer funds had vanished, the people said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried told Reuters the company did not &#34;secretly transfer&#34; but rather misread its &#34;confusing internal labeling.</p><p>FTX filed for bankruptcy and Bankman-Fried stepped down as chief executive on Nov. 11, after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal.</p><p>&#34;By late on Nov. 6 we were putting together all of the data... that obviously should have been part of the dashboards I was always looking at... and when we looked at that, there was a serious problem there,&#34; Bankman-Fried said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried added that he &#34;didn&#39;t ever try to commit fraud&#34; and that he was &#34;shocked&#34; by the events of the past few weeks that led to the company&#39;s demise.</p><p>The implosion marked a stunning fall from grace for the 30-year-old entrepreneur who rode a cryptocurrency boom to a net worth that Forbes pegged a year ago at $26.5 billion. After launching FTX in 2019, he became an influential political donor and pledged to donate most of his earnings to charities.</p><p>Since FTX filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried has distanced himself from the image he projected in media interviews and on Capitol Hill, telling a Vox reporter his advocacy for a crypto regulatory framework was &#34;just PR&#34; and his discussions on ethics within the industry were at least partly a front.</p><h2>U.S. AFFILIATES</h2><p>Bankman-Fried said he was &#34;confused&#34; as to why FTX&#39;s U.S. entity is not processing customer withdrawals. Redemptions are currently paused for both U.S. and international customers.</p><p>&#34;To my knowledge all American customers and all American regulated businesses here are, I think at least in terms of client assets, are okay,&#34; he said, adding that derivatives contracts at one of its U.S. subsidiaries were &#34;fully collateralized.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sam Bankman-Fried Says He \"Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSam Bankman-Fried Says He \"Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-01 06:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, attempted to distance himself from any suggestion of fraud in his first public appearance since his company&#39;s collapse stunned investors and left creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.</p><p>Speaking at the New York Times&#39; Dealbook Summit with Andrew Ross Sorkin, Bankman-Fried said that he did not knowingly commingle customer funds on FTX with funds at his proprietary trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p>The liquidity crunch at FTX came after Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion of FTX customer funds to Alameda Research, Reuters reported, citing two people familiar with the matter. At least $1 billion in customer funds had vanished, the people said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried told Reuters the company did not &#34;secretly transfer&#34; but rather misread its &#34;confusing internal labeling.</p><p>FTX filed for bankruptcy and Bankman-Fried stepped down as chief executive on Nov. 11, after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal.</p><p>&#34;By late on Nov. 6 we were putting together all of the data... that obviously should have been part of the dashboards I was always looking at... and when we looked at that, there was a serious problem there,&#34; Bankman-Fried said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried added that he &#34;didn&#39;t ever try to commit fraud&#34; and that he was &#34;shocked&#34; by the events of the past few weeks that led to the company&#39;s demise.</p><p>The implosion marked a stunning fall from grace for the 30-year-old entrepreneur who rode a cryptocurrency boom to a net worth that Forbes pegged a year ago at $26.5 billion. After launching FTX in 2019, he became an influential political donor and pledged to donate most of his earnings to charities.</p><p>Since FTX filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried has distanced himself from the image he projected in media interviews and on Capitol Hill, telling a Vox reporter his advocacy for a crypto regulatory framework was &#34;just PR&#34; and his discussions on ethics within the industry were at least partly a front.</p><h2>U.S. AFFILIATES</h2><p>Bankman-Fried said he was &#34;confused&#34; as to why FTX&#39;s U.S. entity is not processing customer withdrawals. Redemptions are currently paused for both U.S. and international customers.</p><p>&#34;To my knowledge all American customers and all American regulated businesses here are, I think at least in terms of client assets, are okay,&#34; he said, adding that derivatives contracts at one of its U.S. subsidiaries were &#34;fully collateralized.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288145346","content_text":"Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, attempted to distance himself from any suggestion of fraud in his first public appearance since his company's collapse stunned investors and left creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.Speaking at the New York Times' Dealbook Summit with Andrew Ross Sorkin, Bankman-Fried said that he did not knowingly commingle customer funds on FTX with funds at his proprietary trading firm, Alameda Research.The liquidity crunch at FTX came after Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion of FTX customer funds to Alameda Research, Reuters reported, citing two people familiar with the matter. At least $1 billion in customer funds had vanished, the people said.Bankman-Fried told Reuters the company did not \"secretly transfer\" but rather misread its \"confusing internal labeling.FTX filed for bankruptcy and Bankman-Fried stepped down as chief executive on Nov. 11, after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal.\"By late on Nov. 6 we were putting together all of the data... that obviously should have been part of the dashboards I was always looking at... and when we looked at that, there was a serious problem there,\" Bankman-Fried said.Bankman-Fried added that he \"didn't ever try to commit fraud\" and that he was \"shocked\" by the events of the past few weeks that led to the company's demise.The implosion marked a stunning fall from grace for the 30-year-old entrepreneur who rode a cryptocurrency boom to a net worth that Forbes pegged a year ago at $26.5 billion. After launching FTX in 2019, he became an influential political donor and pledged to donate most of his earnings to charities.Since FTX filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried has distanced himself from the image he projected in media interviews and on Capitol Hill, telling a Vox reporter his advocacy for a crypto regulatory framework was \"just PR\" and his discussions on ethics within the industry were at least partly a front.U.S. AFFILIATESBankman-Fried said he was \"confused\" as to why FTX's U.S. entity is not processing customer withdrawals. Redemptions are currently paused for both U.S. and international customers.\"To my knowledge all American customers and all American regulated businesses here are, I think at least in terms of client assets, are okay,\" he said, adding that derivatives contracts at one of its U.S. subsidiaries were \"fully collateralized.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992584314,"gmtCreate":1661341021940,"gmtModify":1676536499507,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Been noticing $blk dip 11-20% everytime and climbs again, imo everytime it hits 580-600 it's worth buying in to potentially earn 11-20% but you MUST exit and take profit immediately when it gains 10-15% so you don't get caught in the bear trap&nbsp;","listText":"Been noticing $blk dip 11-20% everytime and climbs again, imo everytime it hits 580-600 it's worth buying in to potentially earn 11-20% but you MUST exit and take profit immediately when it gains 10-15% so you don't get caught in the bear trap&nbsp;","text":"Been noticing $blk dip 11-20% everytime and climbs again, imo everytime it hits 580-600 it's worth buying in to potentially earn 11-20% but you MUST exit and take profit immediately when it gains 10-15% so you don't get caught in the bear trap","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992584314","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902507269,"gmtCreate":1659716111455,"gmtModify":1704723283987,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not going great atm :(","listText":"Not going great atm :(","text":"Not going great atm :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902507269","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9925757527,"gmtCreate":1672116795870,"gmtModify":1676538637000,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount&nbsp;","listText":"Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount&nbsp;","text":"Dump tsla, maybe buy in stocks that are FAANG that are in a discount","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925757527","repostId":"1107087281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107087281","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1672110341,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107087281?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-27 11:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Down 25%, Meta 65%, Amazon 49% As Tech Stocks Hit Rough Patch In 2022: 4 Factors That Could Work In Sector's Favor In 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107087281","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER KEY POINTSTech stocks have led 2022's market sell-off and have underperformed the broader mar","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>ZINGER KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Tech stocks have led 2022&#39;s market sell-off and have underperformed the broader market.</li><li>Big techs alone have lost $2.5 trillion in market value, according to JPMorgan.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0434da7b30b89f97d71c6d77ee2c0c\" tg-width=\"941\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tech stocks just had their annus horribilis. The sell-off in the space was so indiscriminate that most shed billions or millions from their market capitalizations.</p><p>The tech-heavy <b>Nasdaq Composite Index</b> has lost almost twice as much as the broader <b>S&amp;P 500 Index</b>, underlining the skewed nature of the market sell-off toward the tech space.</p><p><b>Falling Off The Cliff:</b> The economy did have a part in the tech meltdown, but it alone cannot be squarely blamed. Tech stocks were on an extended run between 2016 and 2021, pushing valuations of many equities to unsustainable levels, Christopher Baggini,global head of equity strategy of JPMorgan Asset &amp; Wealth Management, said in a note.</p><p>These valuations, according to the analyst, could not be sustained in a higher interest rate environment. The situation got worse with the “complicated dynamics of slowing economic growth, uneven demand, inventory management and gradually improving supply chains,” he said.</p><p>For taking stock of the ravages, we don’t have to look past the big techs, which now look like a pale shadow of their old selves.</p><p>The FAANG stocks, save <b>Apple Inc.</b> are down by much more than the Nasdaq Composite as well as the <b>Nasdaq 100 Index</b>. <b>Meta Platforms Inc.</b> has the worst loss for the year so far in this category, followed by <b>Netflix Inc.</b> and <b>Amazon Inc.</b>.</p><p>Apple also has had its fair share of problems, especially with the concentration of its production base in China hurting output and shipments.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ff3bc30c2cd00e27908b0a1d5f3939\" tg-width=\"2880\" tg-height=\"1523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Proprietary chart</span></p><p>It was against this backdrop that these companies began shifting their focus on operational discipline in a bid to preserve margins. The result: thousands of employees taken off payrolls, cost cuts, projects shelved and unprofitable divisions shut down.</p><p>Meta for one announced massive layoffs numbering 11,000 in November. When <b>Elon Musk</b> took <b>Twitter</b> private, he planned a three-quarter reduction in payrolls.</p><p><b>Future Is Tense:</b> Despite the extremely attractive valuations, not many analysts agree that a reversal is around the corner. Macroeconomic headwinds could prove to be a pushback for the sector, as circumspect consumers abstain from huge purchases.</p><p>The <b>Federal Reserve</b> under <b>Jerome Powell</b> has signaled that rate hikes could continue well into 2023, albeit at a slower pace. This has a direct bearing on consumer spending. Inflationary pressure, though abating, still runs high, leaving consumers with less real income to splurge on consumer discretionary items.</p><p>Tech supply chains still remain constrained amid adverse geopolitical challenges. Chinais being hit by one COVID-19wave after another, leading to production disruptions at big U.S. tech companies such as Apple, which are heavily reliant on the country.</p><p>To make matters worse, competitive pressure is intensifying, hurting revenues. A case in point is <b>TikTok</b>, which has been blamed for part of the weaknesses at most other communication tech companies.</p><p>Even amid all these dark clouds, there are a few silver linings.</p><h2>4 Themes Supportive Of Tech Stocks:</h2><p><b>1. Potential Easing Of Dollar Strength:</b> Most technology companies, especially big techs, conduct businesses globally and derive a substantial portion of their revenue in local currencies. As the dollar continued to rise against other major currencies amid the Fed’s aggressive tightening, it shaved some percentage points off topline growth.</p><p>Forex volatility is a headwind for big techs, which have 35%-40% revenue exposure to Europe, and a stronger dollar is a 400-basis-point top-line headwind, Wedbushanalyst Daniel Ivessaid, Axios reported.</p><p>With the Fed expected to slow down the pace of rate hikes or even pause in the new year, analysts see the greenback weakening in 2023. This should remove one of the overhangs around the tech space.</p><p><b>2. M&amp;A, Consolidation:</b> Valuations of tech companies are below the past five-year averages, Ives said in a recent note.</p><p>This, the analyst said, could lead to a spate of M&amp;A transactions in the space in 2023. The M&amp;A wave has already begun. Tech-focused privateequity firm <b>Thoma Bravo</b> announced earlier this month a deal to buy <b>Coupa Software Inc.</b></p><p><b>3. Lean, Mean Structures:</b> Industry veterans and analysts blame much of the current predicament on the excesses of tech companies, which bloated their cost structures.</p><p>From irrational exuberance, companies are now coming to terms with the stark reality, and this has forced them to announce massive layoffs and rethink priorities. Most have begun focusing on a smaller number of high-priority growth areas, JPMorgan analysts said in a recent commentary.</p><p>The analysts pointed to Amazon’s flexibility in pushing first-party versus third-party inventory and its Prime offering, Alphabet’s focus on diversifying its revenue streams by developing its non-ad business and Meta leaning toward its AI discovery engine, ad and business platforms as well as its multiyear transition to the metaverse.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4579314d1fa6c2ef480282ed83b16d48\" tg-width=\"5760\" tg-height=\"3014\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: JPMorgan</span></p><p>“Overall, key opportunities for Big Tech in 2023 include rightsizing cost structures through headcount reduction and greater operating discipline, increasing focus on profits and cash flow, leaning responsibly into new growth drivers and gaining market share during this tough macro period,” JPMorgan’s tech analyst Doug Anmuthsaid.</p><p><b>4. Supportive Valuations:</b> Big techs alone have lost a combined market cap of $2.5 trillion in 2022, JPMorgan estimates.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f9cf7097880df3a75e83d71184780cd\" tg-width=\"5760\" tg-height=\"3288\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p>The oversold levels typically suggest a rebound may be around the corner. This time around, the upcoming year is fraught with risks.</p><p>Consumer tech companies could face the brunt of negativity as COVID-19 tailwinds abate, energy prices rise in Europe and global economic activity slows, Franklin Templeton said in its 2023 technology sector outlook. Valuations are nearing the point, where they have begun to reflect expectations of below-trend growth continuing into 2023, the firm said.</p><p><b>Price Action:</b> The <b>Invesco QQQ </b> ended Friday&#39;s session up 0.22%, at $267.36, according toBenzinga Pro data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Down 25%, Meta 65%, Amazon 49% As Tech Stocks Hit Rough Patch In 2022: 4 Factors That Could Work In Sector's Favor In 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Down 25%, Meta 65%, Amazon 49% As Tech Stocks Hit Rough Patch In 2022: 4 Factors That Could Work In Sector's Favor In 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-27 11:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2>ZINGER KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Tech stocks have led 2022&#39;s market sell-off and have underperformed the broader market.</li><li>Big techs alone have lost $2.5 trillion in market value, according to JPMorgan.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0434da7b30b89f97d71c6d77ee2c0c\" tg-width=\"941\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tech stocks just had their annus horribilis. The sell-off in the space was so indiscriminate that most shed billions or millions from their market capitalizations.</p><p>The tech-heavy <b>Nasdaq Composite Index</b> has lost almost twice as much as the broader <b>S&amp;P 500 Index</b>, underlining the skewed nature of the market sell-off toward the tech space.</p><p><b>Falling Off The Cliff:</b> The economy did have a part in the tech meltdown, but it alone cannot be squarely blamed. Tech stocks were on an extended run between 2016 and 2021, pushing valuations of many equities to unsustainable levels, Christopher Baggini,global head of equity strategy of JPMorgan Asset &amp; Wealth Management, said in a note.</p><p>These valuations, according to the analyst, could not be sustained in a higher interest rate environment. The situation got worse with the “complicated dynamics of slowing economic growth, uneven demand, inventory management and gradually improving supply chains,” he said.</p><p>For taking stock of the ravages, we don’t have to look past the big techs, which now look like a pale shadow of their old selves.</p><p>The FAANG stocks, save <b>Apple Inc.</b> are down by much more than the Nasdaq Composite as well as the <b>Nasdaq 100 Index</b>. <b>Meta Platforms Inc.</b> has the worst loss for the year so far in this category, followed by <b>Netflix Inc.</b> and <b>Amazon Inc.</b>.</p><p>Apple also has had its fair share of problems, especially with the concentration of its production base in China hurting output and shipments.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ff3bc30c2cd00e27908b0a1d5f3939\" tg-width=\"2880\" tg-height=\"1523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Proprietary chart</span></p><p>It was against this backdrop that these companies began shifting their focus on operational discipline in a bid to preserve margins. The result: thousands of employees taken off payrolls, cost cuts, projects shelved and unprofitable divisions shut down.</p><p>Meta for one announced massive layoffs numbering 11,000 in November. When <b>Elon Musk</b> took <b>Twitter</b> private, he planned a three-quarter reduction in payrolls.</p><p><b>Future Is Tense:</b> Despite the extremely attractive valuations, not many analysts agree that a reversal is around the corner. Macroeconomic headwinds could prove to be a pushback for the sector, as circumspect consumers abstain from huge purchases.</p><p>The <b>Federal Reserve</b> under <b>Jerome Powell</b> has signaled that rate hikes could continue well into 2023, albeit at a slower pace. This has a direct bearing on consumer spending. Inflationary pressure, though abating, still runs high, leaving consumers with less real income to splurge on consumer discretionary items.</p><p>Tech supply chains still remain constrained amid adverse geopolitical challenges. Chinais being hit by one COVID-19wave after another, leading to production disruptions at big U.S. tech companies such as Apple, which are heavily reliant on the country.</p><p>To make matters worse, competitive pressure is intensifying, hurting revenues. A case in point is <b>TikTok</b>, which has been blamed for part of the weaknesses at most other communication tech companies.</p><p>Even amid all these dark clouds, there are a few silver linings.</p><h2>4 Themes Supportive Of Tech Stocks:</h2><p><b>1. Potential Easing Of Dollar Strength:</b> Most technology companies, especially big techs, conduct businesses globally and derive a substantial portion of their revenue in local currencies. As the dollar continued to rise against other major currencies amid the Fed’s aggressive tightening, it shaved some percentage points off topline growth.</p><p>Forex volatility is a headwind for big techs, which have 35%-40% revenue exposure to Europe, and a stronger dollar is a 400-basis-point top-line headwind, Wedbushanalyst Daniel Ivessaid, Axios reported.</p><p>With the Fed expected to slow down the pace of rate hikes or even pause in the new year, analysts see the greenback weakening in 2023. This should remove one of the overhangs around the tech space.</p><p><b>2. M&amp;A, Consolidation:</b> Valuations of tech companies are below the past five-year averages, Ives said in a recent note.</p><p>This, the analyst said, could lead to a spate of M&amp;A transactions in the space in 2023. The M&amp;A wave has already begun. Tech-focused privateequity firm <b>Thoma Bravo</b> announced earlier this month a deal to buy <b>Coupa Software Inc.</b></p><p><b>3. Lean, Mean Structures:</b> Industry veterans and analysts blame much of the current predicament on the excesses of tech companies, which bloated their cost structures.</p><p>From irrational exuberance, companies are now coming to terms with the stark reality, and this has forced them to announce massive layoffs and rethink priorities. Most have begun focusing on a smaller number of high-priority growth areas, JPMorgan analysts said in a recent commentary.</p><p>The analysts pointed to Amazon’s flexibility in pushing first-party versus third-party inventory and its Prime offering, Alphabet’s focus on diversifying its revenue streams by developing its non-ad business and Meta leaning toward its AI discovery engine, ad and business platforms as well as its multiyear transition to the metaverse.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4579314d1fa6c2ef480282ed83b16d48\" tg-width=\"5760\" tg-height=\"3014\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: JPMorgan</span></p><p>“Overall, key opportunities for Big Tech in 2023 include rightsizing cost structures through headcount reduction and greater operating discipline, increasing focus on profits and cash flow, leaning responsibly into new growth drivers and gaining market share during this tough macro period,” JPMorgan’s tech analyst Doug Anmuthsaid.</p><p><b>4. Supportive Valuations:</b> Big techs alone have lost a combined market cap of $2.5 trillion in 2022, JPMorgan estimates.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f9cf7097880df3a75e83d71184780cd\" tg-width=\"5760\" tg-height=\"3288\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p>The oversold levels typically suggest a rebound may be around the corner. This time around, the upcoming year is fraught with risks.</p><p>Consumer tech companies could face the brunt of negativity as COVID-19 tailwinds abate, energy prices rise in Europe and global economic activity slows, Franklin Templeton said in its 2023 technology sector outlook. Valuations are nearing the point, where they have begun to reflect expectations of below-trend growth continuing into 2023, the firm said.</p><p><b>Price Action:</b> The <b>Invesco QQQ </b> ended Friday&#39;s session up 0.22%, at $267.36, according toBenzinga Pro data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","META":"Meta Platforms","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AAPL":"苹果","NFLX":"奈飞","AMZN":"亚马逊","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107087281","content_text":"ZINGER KEY POINTSTech stocks have led 2022's market sell-off and have underperformed the broader market.Big techs alone have lost $2.5 trillion in market value, according to JPMorgan.Tech stocks just had their annus horribilis. The sell-off in the space was so indiscriminate that most shed billions or millions from their market capitalizations.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has lost almost twice as much as the broader S&P 500 Index, underlining the skewed nature of the market sell-off toward the tech space.Falling Off The Cliff: The economy did have a part in the tech meltdown, but it alone cannot be squarely blamed. Tech stocks were on an extended run between 2016 and 2021, pushing valuations of many equities to unsustainable levels, Christopher Baggini,global head of equity strategy of JPMorgan Asset & Wealth Management, said in a note.These valuations, according to the analyst, could not be sustained in a higher interest rate environment. The situation got worse with the “complicated dynamics of slowing economic growth, uneven demand, inventory management and gradually improving supply chains,” he said.For taking stock of the ravages, we don’t have to look past the big techs, which now look like a pale shadow of their old selves.The FAANG stocks, save Apple Inc. are down by much more than the Nasdaq Composite as well as the Nasdaq 100 Index. Meta Platforms Inc. has the worst loss for the year so far in this category, followed by Netflix Inc. and Amazon Inc..Apple also has had its fair share of problems, especially with the concentration of its production base in China hurting output and shipments.Source: Proprietary chartIt was against this backdrop that these companies began shifting their focus on operational discipline in a bid to preserve margins. The result: thousands of employees taken off payrolls, cost cuts, projects shelved and unprofitable divisions shut down.Meta for one announced massive layoffs numbering 11,000 in November. When Elon Musk took Twitter private, he planned a three-quarter reduction in payrolls.Future Is Tense: Despite the extremely attractive valuations, not many analysts agree that a reversal is around the corner. Macroeconomic headwinds could prove to be a pushback for the sector, as circumspect consumers abstain from huge purchases.The Federal Reserve under Jerome Powell has signaled that rate hikes could continue well into 2023, albeit at a slower pace. This has a direct bearing on consumer spending. Inflationary pressure, though abating, still runs high, leaving consumers with less real income to splurge on consumer discretionary items.Tech supply chains still remain constrained amid adverse geopolitical challenges. Chinais being hit by one COVID-19wave after another, leading to production disruptions at big U.S. tech companies such as Apple, which are heavily reliant on the country.To make matters worse, competitive pressure is intensifying, hurting revenues. A case in point is TikTok, which has been blamed for part of the weaknesses at most other communication tech companies.Even amid all these dark clouds, there are a few silver linings.4 Themes Supportive Of Tech Stocks:1. Potential Easing Of Dollar Strength: Most technology companies, especially big techs, conduct businesses globally and derive a substantial portion of their revenue in local currencies. As the dollar continued to rise against other major currencies amid the Fed’s aggressive tightening, it shaved some percentage points off topline growth.Forex volatility is a headwind for big techs, which have 35%-40% revenue exposure to Europe, and a stronger dollar is a 400-basis-point top-line headwind, Wedbushanalyst Daniel Ivessaid, Axios reported.With the Fed expected to slow down the pace of rate hikes or even pause in the new year, analysts see the greenback weakening in 2023. This should remove one of the overhangs around the tech space.2. M&A, Consolidation: Valuations of tech companies are below the past five-year averages, Ives said in a recent note.This, the analyst said, could lead to a spate of M&A transactions in the space in 2023. The M&A wave has already begun. Tech-focused privateequity firm Thoma Bravo announced earlier this month a deal to buy Coupa Software Inc.3. Lean, Mean Structures: Industry veterans and analysts blame much of the current predicament on the excesses of tech companies, which bloated their cost structures.From irrational exuberance, companies are now coming to terms with the stark reality, and this has forced them to announce massive layoffs and rethink priorities. Most have begun focusing on a smaller number of high-priority growth areas, JPMorgan analysts said in a recent commentary.The analysts pointed to Amazon’s flexibility in pushing first-party versus third-party inventory and its Prime offering, Alphabet’s focus on diversifying its revenue streams by developing its non-ad business and Meta leaning toward its AI discovery engine, ad and business platforms as well as its multiyear transition to the metaverse.Source: JPMorgan“Overall, key opportunities for Big Tech in 2023 include rightsizing cost structures through headcount reduction and greater operating discipline, increasing focus on profits and cash flow, leaning responsibly into new growth drivers and gaining market share during this tough macro period,” JPMorgan’s tech analyst Doug Anmuthsaid.4. Supportive Valuations: Big techs alone have lost a combined market cap of $2.5 trillion in 2022, JPMorgan estimates.Source: TradingViewThe oversold levels typically suggest a rebound may be around the corner. This time around, the upcoming year is fraught with risks.Consumer tech companies could face the brunt of negativity as COVID-19 tailwinds abate, energy prices rise in Europe and global economic activity slows, Franklin Templeton said in its 2023 technology sector outlook. Valuations are nearing the point, where they have begun to reflect expectations of below-trend growth continuing into 2023, the firm said.Price Action: The Invesco QQQ  ended Friday's session up 0.22%, at $267.36, according toBenzinga Pro data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924862604,"gmtCreate":1672224583609,"gmtModify":1676538655514,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that&nbsp;Basket&nbsp;","listText":"Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that&nbsp;Basket&nbsp;","text":"Untrustworthy ceo who's Flippant on if he's selling or holding. Better off not putting any eggs in that Basket","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924862604","repostId":"1177985721","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177985721","pubTimestamp":1672242021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177985721?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-28 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Shares Dropping Like A Stone - Now A Bargain","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177985721","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla stock is dropping like a stone and now down by approximately 70% YTD.There is a lot of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Tesla stock is dropping like a stone and now down by approximately 70% YTD.</li><li>There is a lot of noise surrounding the world&#39;s leading electric car maker, including (1) Musk selling shares, (2) Musk being CEO of Twitter, and (3) macro challenges.</li><li>These concerns should prove to be temporary. And from a fundamental perspective - in relation to Tesla&#39;s long-term potential - the stock looks undervalued.</li><li>I calculate a fair implied price per share for TSLA equal to $294.19/share.</li></ul><h3>Thesis</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> stock is dropping like a stone and now down by approximately 70% YTD. For reference, this loss of value is worse than what investors needed to suffer with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> (down about 65% YTD), and the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) has only lost about 20%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fde4b5693a019a70b9ea28b00512c6a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Personally, I am confident to argue that the current sell-off provides investors with an attractive buying opportunity. To be fair, there is a lot of noise surrounding the world&#39;s leading electric car marker, including (1) Elon Musk selling shares, (2) Elon Musk being CEO of Twitter, and (3) various macroeconomic challenges. But these concerns should prove to be temporary. And from a fundamental perspective - in relation to Tesla&#39;s long-term potential - the stock clearly looks undervalued at FWD x26 EV/EBIT.</p><h3>Is It Elon Musk, Or Interest Rates?</h3><p>With some Tesla investors, the narrative is building that Tesla&#39;s sharp sell-off is strongly correlated to Elon Musk&#39;s takeover of Twitter. Ross Gerber for example, a notable Tesla bull, has implied that Elon Musk&#39;s behavior/ actions have erased $600 billion in market capitalization. But Musk quickly defended himself with the argument that the sell-off has been caused by higher interest rates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7c1869f3ca5aa92bb963e223f8f0dbe\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Let us look these two positions with a little bit more context.</p><h3>Elon Musk Shifting Focus Away From Tesla</h3><p>A key argument why some investors believe that Tesla shares are falling is anchored on the simple observation that Tesla shares have lost approximately 40% since the Twitter deal closed on 27th October, while the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) is down by only 2%.</p><p>Some investors are clearly concerned that with the Twitter acquisition, Elon Musk will lose focus on his role as Tesla&#39;s CEO - now being Chief Executive Officer of Tesla, SpaceX, Twitter, The Boring Company and Neuralink.</p><p>Moreover, there has been some evidence that Elon Musk is shifting additional resources away from Tesla, not only his own time and energy. In late October, Musk invited about 50 Tesla engineers to the Twitter headquarters, asking their support in improving various algorithms on the social media platform. However, Musk argued that the commitment was non-material to Tesla&#39;s business operations: (emphasis added)</p><blockquote>This was an after hours — just if you’re interested in evaluating, helping me evaluate Twitter engineering ... that’d be nice. I think it lasted for a few days and it was over.</blockquote><p>In any case, Elon Musk has by now said that he will step down as Twitter&#39;s CEO, as soon as a suitable successor is found.</p><h3>Elon Musk Selling Shares</h3><p>Enormous blocks of share sales is another observation linked to Musk&#39;s acquisition of Twitter. Since the Twitter deal has been announced, Musk has sold nearly $23 billion worth of stock, despite his promise in April that he won&#39;t. Of course, selling $23 billion of equity in a bear market adds strong downward pressure to prices, and the action certainly pressures both investor confidence as well as sentiment.</p><p>Now once again Elon Musk has promised to not sell any shares - until at least 12 months. But will investors trust this promise?</p><blockquote>I won’t sell stock until, I don’t know, probably two years from now. Definitely not next year under any circumstances and probably not the year thereafter</blockquote><h3>Interest Rates</h3><p>Meanwhile, Elon Musk argued that Tesla &#39;is executing better than ever&#39;, and the reason for the stock&#39;s sell-off is due to higher interest rates. While the interest rate argument might be true to some extent, looking at the basic DCF formula...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a63228358f96949ea5eab01cfd2f807\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>... investors should consider that since the Twitter deal closed, the Fed raised the funds rate by only 50 basis points. However you structure the DCF formula, it is hard to mathematically (and reasonably) prove a $600 billion loss of value due to only 0.5% higher interest rates.</p><p></p><p>Moreover, while Tesla&#39;s share price might indeed be more sensible to higher interest rates than the S&amp;P 500 (Tesla is a long duration growth asset), the performance discrepancy of Tesla and the S&amp;P 500 for the past few months is simply too excessive to be explained by interest rates.</p><h3>Macroeconomic Challenges</h3><p>The real reason why Tesla shares are slipping might simply be the uncertainty and fundamental pressure related to macroeconomic challenges. Elon Musk has already voiced concerns that the economy might fall into a recession in 2023 and Tesla car sales might suffer accordingly.</p><p>I think we are in a recession, and I think 2023 is going to be quite a serious recession ...</p><p>... It’s going to be, in my opinion, comparable to 2009. I don’t know if it’s going to be a little worse or a little better, but I think it’s, in my view, likely to be comparable. That means demand for any kind of optional, discretionary item, especially if it’s a big-ticket item, will be lower.</p><p>Notably, Tesla shares fell as much as 10% after the car maker announced price discounts of $7,500 to US consumers - an announcement that clearly hints on demand concerns. The thesis of demand concerns is supported by Tesla.com website traffic data from Semrush, which highlights that interest for cars could be falling off a cliff.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bb5f6a810d444856a2b1e1c7233ba7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Valuation</h3><p>Valuing Tesla, I continue to believe Tesla could sell an estimated 10 million cars per year by 2030 and achieve an average sales price per car of $65,000. Furthermore, I continue to assume:</p><blockquote>a net-profit margin of 15.5%, which is only slightly above Tesla&#39;s 2022 net profit margin and in my opinion a very reasonable assumption if one consider increased economies of scale. (Note that I expect sales volume to almost 10x).</blockquote><blockquote>In addition, I argue that for every dollar that Tesla generates selling cars, the company will be able to sell 20 cents of software solutions and insurance (for reference, Apple generates about 30 cents worth of services for every dollar of hardware sales). For Tesla&#39;s software business, I argue 35% net-profit margin is reasonable -- in line with margins of leading tech/internet companies.</blockquote><p>However, I slightly increase my cost of equity estimate - to 11% as compared to 10% prior. The rationale behind this increase is that Tesla&#39;s value is anchored on the future, and betting on the future remains speculative. It is thus, in my opinion, only reasonable to demand an attractive reward for such a speculation.</p><p>Based on the above variables, I calculate a fair implied price per share for TSLA equal to $294.19/share.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dfe9835e449e0a31e6e5df9e8b1e608\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Risks and Headwinds</h3><p>As I see it, there has been no major risk update since I initiated coverage on Tesla stock, except for those discussed in previous sections. Thus, I would like to highlight what I have written before:</p><blockquote>Although Tesla has proven to be more resilient than what investors thought, both in relation to a challenging macro-economy and fading risk-sentiment, I believe the major risk for Tesla stock remains that a worsening macroeconomic backdrop will pressure investors risk-sentiment to such a degree that Tesla stock&#39;s growth multiples compress. Or in other words, investors should acknowledge that much of Tesla&#39;s share price performance remains driven by general sentiment towards stocks (Tesla&#39;s beta vs the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is about 1.7). Accordingly, investors should be prepared to stomach volatility, even though Tesla&#39;s fundamental outlook remains unchanged.</blockquote><blockquote>Personally, I do not believe that increasing competition in the race for electrification will influence the demand for Tesla -- like &#34;other&#34; smart phone makers do not influence the demand for iPhones. The increased competition could, however, exacerbate Tesla&#39;s supply challenges, as more competition chases for a limited supply of raw materials and key manufacturing components.</blockquote><h3>Investor Takeaway</h3><p>I have never thought I would say this, but Tesla stock now appears to be trading in bargain territory. Personally, I would argue that the headwinds presented in the prior sections of this article could be classified as temporary, or noise. Long-term, Tesla remains the leading EV maker, with a strong brand and the world&#39;s most extensive network of EV charging stations.</p><p>Personally, I calculate that TSLA stock should be fairly valued at about $294.19/share (which indicates almost 150% upside). Buy.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Shares Dropping Like A Stone - Now A Bargain</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Shares Dropping Like A Stone - Now A Bargain\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-28 23:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566641-tesla-shares-dropping-now-bargain-buy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla stock is dropping like a stone and now down by approximately 70% YTD.There is a lot of noise surrounding the world's leading electric car maker, including (1) Musk selling shares, (2) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566641-tesla-shares-dropping-now-bargain-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4566641-tesla-shares-dropping-now-bargain-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177985721","content_text":"SummaryTesla stock is dropping like a stone and now down by approximately 70% YTD.There is a lot of noise surrounding the world's leading electric car maker, including (1) Musk selling shares, (2) Musk being CEO of Twitter, and (3) macro challenges.These concerns should prove to be temporary. And from a fundamental perspective - in relation to Tesla's long-term potential - the stock looks undervalued.I calculate a fair implied price per share for TSLA equal to $294.19/share.ThesisTesla stock is dropping like a stone and now down by approximately 70% YTD. For reference, this loss of value is worse than what investors needed to suffer with Meta Platforms (down about 65% YTD), and the S&P 500 (SPY) has only lost about 20%.Personally, I am confident to argue that the current sell-off provides investors with an attractive buying opportunity. To be fair, there is a lot of noise surrounding the world's leading electric car marker, including (1) Elon Musk selling shares, (2) Elon Musk being CEO of Twitter, and (3) various macroeconomic challenges. But these concerns should prove to be temporary. And from a fundamental perspective - in relation to Tesla's long-term potential - the stock clearly looks undervalued at FWD x26 EV/EBIT.Is It Elon Musk, Or Interest Rates?With some Tesla investors, the narrative is building that Tesla's sharp sell-off is strongly correlated to Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter. Ross Gerber for example, a notable Tesla bull, has implied that Elon Musk's behavior/ actions have erased $600 billion in market capitalization. But Musk quickly defended himself with the argument that the sell-off has been caused by higher interest rates.Let us look these two positions with a little bit more context.Elon Musk Shifting Focus Away From TeslaA key argument why some investors believe that Tesla shares are falling is anchored on the simple observation that Tesla shares have lost approximately 40% since the Twitter deal closed on 27th October, while the S&P 500 (SPY) is down by only 2%.Some investors are clearly concerned that with the Twitter acquisition, Elon Musk will lose focus on his role as Tesla's CEO - now being Chief Executive Officer of Tesla, SpaceX, Twitter, The Boring Company and Neuralink.Moreover, there has been some evidence that Elon Musk is shifting additional resources away from Tesla, not only his own time and energy. In late October, Musk invited about 50 Tesla engineers to the Twitter headquarters, asking their support in improving various algorithms on the social media platform. However, Musk argued that the commitment was non-material to Tesla's business operations: (emphasis added)This was an after hours — just if you’re interested in evaluating, helping me evaluate Twitter engineering ... that’d be nice. I think it lasted for a few days and it was over.In any case, Elon Musk has by now said that he will step down as Twitter's CEO, as soon as a suitable successor is found.Elon Musk Selling SharesEnormous blocks of share sales is another observation linked to Musk's acquisition of Twitter. Since the Twitter deal has been announced, Musk has sold nearly $23 billion worth of stock, despite his promise in April that he won't. Of course, selling $23 billion of equity in a bear market adds strong downward pressure to prices, and the action certainly pressures both investor confidence as well as sentiment.Now once again Elon Musk has promised to not sell any shares - until at least 12 months. But will investors trust this promise?I won’t sell stock until, I don’t know, probably two years from now. Definitely not next year under any circumstances and probably not the year thereafterInterest RatesMeanwhile, Elon Musk argued that Tesla 'is executing better than ever', and the reason for the stock's sell-off is due to higher interest rates. While the interest rate argument might be true to some extent, looking at the basic DCF formula...... investors should consider that since the Twitter deal closed, the Fed raised the funds rate by only 50 basis points. However you structure the DCF formula, it is hard to mathematically (and reasonably) prove a $600 billion loss of value due to only 0.5% higher interest rates.Moreover, while Tesla's share price might indeed be more sensible to higher interest rates than the S&P 500 (Tesla is a long duration growth asset), the performance discrepancy of Tesla and the S&P 500 for the past few months is simply too excessive to be explained by interest rates.Macroeconomic ChallengesThe real reason why Tesla shares are slipping might simply be the uncertainty and fundamental pressure related to macroeconomic challenges. Elon Musk has already voiced concerns that the economy might fall into a recession in 2023 and Tesla car sales might suffer accordingly.I think we are in a recession, and I think 2023 is going to be quite a serious recession ...... It’s going to be, in my opinion, comparable to 2009. I don’t know if it’s going to be a little worse or a little better, but I think it’s, in my view, likely to be comparable. That means demand for any kind of optional, discretionary item, especially if it’s a big-ticket item, will be lower.Notably, Tesla shares fell as much as 10% after the car maker announced price discounts of $7,500 to US consumers - an announcement that clearly hints on demand concerns. The thesis of demand concerns is supported by Tesla.com website traffic data from Semrush, which highlights that interest for cars could be falling off a cliff.ValuationValuing Tesla, I continue to believe Tesla could sell an estimated 10 million cars per year by 2030 and achieve an average sales price per car of $65,000. Furthermore, I continue to assume:a net-profit margin of 15.5%, which is only slightly above Tesla's 2022 net profit margin and in my opinion a very reasonable assumption if one consider increased economies of scale. (Note that I expect sales volume to almost 10x).In addition, I argue that for every dollar that Tesla generates selling cars, the company will be able to sell 20 cents of software solutions and insurance (for reference, Apple generates about 30 cents worth of services for every dollar of hardware sales). For Tesla's software business, I argue 35% net-profit margin is reasonable -- in line with margins of leading tech/internet companies.However, I slightly increase my cost of equity estimate - to 11% as compared to 10% prior. The rationale behind this increase is that Tesla's value is anchored on the future, and betting on the future remains speculative. It is thus, in my opinion, only reasonable to demand an attractive reward for such a speculation.Based on the above variables, I calculate a fair implied price per share for TSLA equal to $294.19/share.Risks and HeadwindsAs I see it, there has been no major risk update since I initiated coverage on Tesla stock, except for those discussed in previous sections. Thus, I would like to highlight what I have written before:Although Tesla has proven to be more resilient than what investors thought, both in relation to a challenging macro-economy and fading risk-sentiment, I believe the major risk for Tesla stock remains that a worsening macroeconomic backdrop will pressure investors risk-sentiment to such a degree that Tesla stock's growth multiples compress. Or in other words, investors should acknowledge that much of Tesla's share price performance remains driven by general sentiment towards stocks (Tesla's beta vs the S&P 500 (SPX) is about 1.7). Accordingly, investors should be prepared to stomach volatility, even though Tesla's fundamental outlook remains unchanged.Personally, I do not believe that increasing competition in the race for electrification will influence the demand for Tesla -- like \"other\" smart phone makers do not influence the demand for iPhones. The increased competition could, however, exacerbate Tesla's supply challenges, as more competition chases for a limited supply of raw materials and key manufacturing components.Investor TakeawayI have never thought I would say this, but Tesla stock now appears to be trading in bargain territory. Personally, I would argue that the headwinds presented in the prior sections of this article could be classified as temporary, or noise. Long-term, Tesla remains the leading EV maker, with a strong brand and the world's most extensive network of EV charging stations.Personally, I calculate that TSLA stock should be fairly valued at about $294.19/share (which indicates almost 150% upside). Buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955557372,"gmtCreate":1675609417096,"gmtModify":1676539009061,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long.&nbsp; Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.&nbsp;","listText":"Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long.&nbsp; Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.&nbsp;","text":"Don't be fooled, you should always go short onTesla. Elon is 1 filing away from liquidating more stocks onto fools who are going long. Be cautious and smart with your investment especially when the ceo is flippant and can't seem to make up his mind.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955557372","repostId":"2308089266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2308089266","pubTimestamp":1675555775,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2308089266?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-05 08:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Pricing Power At A Fair Value","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308089266","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe current Tesla, Inc. share price is trading near the intrinsic value of the company.Existi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The current Tesla, Inc. share price is trading near the intrinsic value of the company.</li><li>Existing margins are solid and indicate stable product lines with pricing power.</li><li>Core technologies are transferable to additional product lines.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66d2917dce2f3a60b38114d0167a3b3b\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Tesla Risks and Returns  Justin Sullivan</span></p><h2>The Value of Software</h2><p>Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is not just a car company; it is a technology company. This has been a hot topic of debate, especially since it makes 95% of revenue from selling cars. We need to pull Tesla&#39;s revenue streams apart a little bit to understand why its core offering is software. The Tesla motor&#39;s carbon fiber wrap impresses the mechanical engineer in me, but the software in the Tesla is the game changer.</p><p>I am lucky enough to be a beta tester for Full Self Driving (&#34;FSD&#34;). My Model 3 received FSD Beta in September of 2022, and it is amazing. A few days after I got the upgrade, I let it take me and my son from his soccer game all the way home with no input from me. Although a necessary 3 lane change in 100 meters was less than comfortable, stop lights, signs, and almost everything else was handled well by the system. My background in machine learning and data science gives me a deep appreciation of what the team has accomplished. Still, this is Seeking Alpha, and we should focus on the numbers, more specifically the numbers with dollar signs in front of them.</p><p>Tesla has increased the cost of its Full Self Driving capability from $6,000 in 2019 to $15,000; not bad pricing power for software in beta that isn&#39;t really fully self-driving yet. The take rate on the FSD add-on is now around 14%, however, I believe that shows a purposeful reversion caused by Tesla pricing policies. The chart below shows the FSD take rate since late 2016.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9011064222279def6ac65015c4e6d2f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Teslike Order Tracker</span></p><p>The company began raising prices on the FSD option in Quarter 3 of 2019 and continued until the most recent price increase to $15k at the end of 2022. The take rate is now back down to the level it started at. I don&#39;t believe the increase in price is Tesla giving up, as other authors have argued. I have experienced a massive increase in capabilities and functionality moving from Enhanced Autopilot to FSD. Tesla also has multiple options for leveraging this technology in other products, as can be seen from the application of the FSD algorithms to their humanoid robot, Optimus. The team applied the same Artificial Intelligence techniques used in FSD to create the bot in under a year.</p><p>Tesla products are cool for sure, however, cool products do not make a successful company. Only solid business fundamentals can do that.</p><h2>Long-Term Growth Prospects</h2><p>The following chart shows Tesla compared with the rest of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) for context regarding earnings on unleveraged net tangible assets. The blue shaded area here shows the distribution of all other companies in the S&amp;P 500 since 2013. Tesla is way up at the top, above the 85th percentile.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14e5ca37a57e3c4aba44972d5b22df56\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Authors Image from Financial Modeling Prep Data</span></p><p>Warren Buffett uses unleveraged net tangible assets to decide what he calls the long-term economic prospects of a business. His logic is simple, increasing earnings without major capital requirements is a better business to be in. It takes money to make money, but you want it to take as little money as possible.</p><p>At a Return on Unleveraged Net Tangible Assets of 14.7% Tesla is well above the rest of the S&amp;P 500, which is centered around 6.1%. The recent massive increase shown in the chart above demonstrated pricing power during an economic shock. Other SA authors have pointed out the Tesla has the ability to capitalize on more segments of the value chain than other car companies such as Ford (F) or General Motors (GM). I see this as a positive for the overall business model and demonstrates the pricing power of the product lines rather than a negative on margins. GM and Ford were left watching the dealerships soak up most of the increased margins.</p><p>The chart below shows that Tesla does forecast a decrease in margins until at least February of 2024. The decrease in margins expected reaches a level that normalizes back to long-term trends and still maintains a very healthy 14%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/131986e94678c661b3a9e018da7faf80\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Authors Image from Financial Modeling Prep Data</span></p><p>It is important to understand that this margin prediction is not based on my opinion. It is the result of analyst forecasts from major brokerage houses for both earnings and revenue.</p><h2>Risk Reward Forecast</h2><p>Here we explore risk and reward for TSLA stock over the next two annual earnings cycles.</p><p>The below chart is a prediction of value at risk and potential return of holding Tesla stock. As shown by the blue intrinsic value region in the chart below, Tesla is in the center of its intrinsic value region. The large drop at the end of the 3erd Quarter of 2022 is the result of the decrease in margins shown in the chart above.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/223c1ae44e6103a8a05ce44c339cb4ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Authors Image from Financial Modeling Prep Data</span></p><p>Tesla now has a value at risk of 52%, while potential returns are only 8%. This 8% is based on the long-term intrinsic value that Tesla has traded at. Long term, the company has solid fundamentals, so as a buy and hold you can do well. The range of predicted values in 2024 is very large, so over the near term Tesla is a momentum and sentiment play. I can&#39;t predict how well a near-term trade will turn out, but the odds are in favor of the long momentum position.</p><p>For an explanation of the risk return forecast, look at this article on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> (V). It also provides a link to a video of the long-term performance of that estimate.</p><p>The algorithms do a pretty good job of predicting long-term price movement, but price will go outside the blue bands. Those bands are only there to show you where the price should be 90% of the time. This forecast, and forecasts for other stocks as well, tend to lag price when it goes down and lead when it goes up. This makes it useful to figure out risk in a stock, but it is less reliable for market timing. I am unaware of any market timing schemes that stand up to robust analysis.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Tesla, Inc. offers amazing products that have the potential to change the world. The potential and existing value of these products were only briefly explored in this article. The company is using core technologies to explore new markets which may lead to exceptional returns for shareholders. Tesla, Inc. is currently fairly valued based on long-term trading trends and high trading ranges around intrinsic company value. However, Tesla stock is only suitable for those willing to hold on through extreme share price volatility.</p><p><i>This article is written by Alpha Investment Research for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Pricing Power At A Fair Value</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Pricing Power At A Fair Value\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-05 08:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4575203-tesla-pricing-power-at-a-fair-value><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe current Tesla, Inc. share price is trading near the intrinsic value of the company.Existing margins are solid and indicate stable product lines with pricing power.Core technologies are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4575203-tesla-pricing-power-at-a-fair-value\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4084":"特种房地产投资信托","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4575203-tesla-pricing-power-at-a-fair-value","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308089266","content_text":"SummaryThe current Tesla, Inc. share price is trading near the intrinsic value of the company.Existing margins are solid and indicate stable product lines with pricing power.Core technologies are transferable to additional product lines.Tesla Risks and Returns  Justin SullivanThe Value of SoftwareTesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is not just a car company; it is a technology company. This has been a hot topic of debate, especially since it makes 95% of revenue from selling cars. We need to pull Tesla's revenue streams apart a little bit to understand why its core offering is software. The Tesla motor's carbon fiber wrap impresses the mechanical engineer in me, but the software in the Tesla is the game changer.I am lucky enough to be a beta tester for Full Self Driving (\"FSD\"). My Model 3 received FSD Beta in September of 2022, and it is amazing. A few days after I got the upgrade, I let it take me and my son from his soccer game all the way home with no input from me. Although a necessary 3 lane change in 100 meters was less than comfortable, stop lights, signs, and almost everything else was handled well by the system. My background in machine learning and data science gives me a deep appreciation of what the team has accomplished. Still, this is Seeking Alpha, and we should focus on the numbers, more specifically the numbers with dollar signs in front of them.Tesla has increased the cost of its Full Self Driving capability from $6,000 in 2019 to $15,000; not bad pricing power for software in beta that isn't really fully self-driving yet. The take rate on the FSD add-on is now around 14%, however, I believe that shows a purposeful reversion caused by Tesla pricing policies. The chart below shows the FSD take rate since late 2016.Teslike Order TrackerThe company began raising prices on the FSD option in Quarter 3 of 2019 and continued until the most recent price increase to $15k at the end of 2022. The take rate is now back down to the level it started at. I don't believe the increase in price is Tesla giving up, as other authors have argued. I have experienced a massive increase in capabilities and functionality moving from Enhanced Autopilot to FSD. Tesla also has multiple options for leveraging this technology in other products, as can be seen from the application of the FSD algorithms to their humanoid robot, Optimus. The team applied the same Artificial Intelligence techniques used in FSD to create the bot in under a year.Tesla products are cool for sure, however, cool products do not make a successful company. Only solid business fundamentals can do that.Long-Term Growth ProspectsThe following chart shows Tesla compared with the rest of the companies in the S&P 500 (SP500) for context regarding earnings on unleveraged net tangible assets. The blue shaded area here shows the distribution of all other companies in the S&P 500 since 2013. Tesla is way up at the top, above the 85th percentile.Authors Image from Financial Modeling Prep DataWarren Buffett uses unleveraged net tangible assets to decide what he calls the long-term economic prospects of a business. His logic is simple, increasing earnings without major capital requirements is a better business to be in. It takes money to make money, but you want it to take as little money as possible.At a Return on Unleveraged Net Tangible Assets of 14.7% Tesla is well above the rest of the S&P 500, which is centered around 6.1%. The recent massive increase shown in the chart above demonstrated pricing power during an economic shock. Other SA authors have pointed out the Tesla has the ability to capitalize on more segments of the value chain than other car companies such as Ford (F) or General Motors (GM). I see this as a positive for the overall business model and demonstrates the pricing power of the product lines rather than a negative on margins. GM and Ford were left watching the dealerships soak up most of the increased margins.The chart below shows that Tesla does forecast a decrease in margins until at least February of 2024. The decrease in margins expected reaches a level that normalizes back to long-term trends and still maintains a very healthy 14%.Authors Image from Financial Modeling Prep DataIt is important to understand that this margin prediction is not based on my opinion. It is the result of analyst forecasts from major brokerage houses for both earnings and revenue.Risk Reward ForecastHere we explore risk and reward for TSLA stock over the next two annual earnings cycles.The below chart is a prediction of value at risk and potential return of holding Tesla stock. As shown by the blue intrinsic value region in the chart below, Tesla is in the center of its intrinsic value region. The large drop at the end of the 3erd Quarter of 2022 is the result of the decrease in margins shown in the chart above.Authors Image from Financial Modeling Prep DataTesla now has a value at risk of 52%, while potential returns are only 8%. This 8% is based on the long-term intrinsic value that Tesla has traded at. Long term, the company has solid fundamentals, so as a buy and hold you can do well. The range of predicted values in 2024 is very large, so over the near term Tesla is a momentum and sentiment play. I can't predict how well a near-term trade will turn out, but the odds are in favor of the long momentum position.For an explanation of the risk return forecast, look at this article on Visa (V). It also provides a link to a video of the long-term performance of that estimate.The algorithms do a pretty good job of predicting long-term price movement, but price will go outside the blue bands. Those bands are only there to show you where the price should be 90% of the time. This forecast, and forecasts for other stocks as well, tend to lag price when it goes down and lead when it goes up. This makes it useful to figure out risk in a stock, but it is less reliable for market timing. I am unaware of any market timing schemes that stand up to robust analysis.ConclusionTesla, Inc. offers amazing products that have the potential to change the world. The potential and existing value of these products were only briefly explored in this article. The company is using core technologies to explore new markets which may lead to exceptional returns for shareholders. Tesla, Inc. is currently fairly valued based on long-term trading trends and high trading ranges around intrinsic company value. However, Tesla stock is only suitable for those willing to hold on through extreme share price volatility.This article is written by Alpha Investment Research for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957253248,"gmtCreate":1677310304684,"gmtModify":1677310309710,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice time to crash hard","listText":"Nice time to crash hard","text":"Nice time to crash hard","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957253248","repostId":"1110185356","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922199818,"gmtCreate":1671710697835,"gmtModify":1676538580035,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn&nbsp;if you're so thirsty for tech","listText":"Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn&nbsp;if you're so thirsty for tech","text":"Don't buy, dump that shit and move on to stable stocks. Buy coke or PepsiCo if there's a dip or amzn if you're so thirsty for tech","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922199818","repostId":"2293285346","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162252297,"gmtCreate":1624065774719,"gmtModify":1703827957869,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s gonna crash? Should we cash out?","listText":"It’s gonna crash? Should we cash out?","text":"It’s gonna crash? Should we cash out?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/162252297","repostId":"2144218770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144218770","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624060559,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2144218770?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-19 07:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ex-Tesla president sold stocks worth $247 million since June 10-SEC filing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144218770","media":"Reuters","summary":"BERKELEY, Calif., June 18 (Reuters) - Long-time Tesla Inc executive and president Jerome Guillen, wh","content":"<p>BERKELEY, Calif., June 18 (Reuters) - Long-time Tesla Inc&nbsp;executive and president Jerome Guillen, who left the company earlier in June, has sold an estimated $274 million worth of shares after exercising stock options since June 10, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SEC.UK\">$(SEC.UK)$</a>.</p>\n<p>The filing, which was submitted to the SEC on Tuesday, said that Guillen expected to sell 215,718 shares for $129 million that day, and that he offloaded another 145,289 stocks worth $89.6 million on June 14, and 90,111 stocks worth $55 million on June 10.</p>\n<p>\"It could raise some eyebrows for investors,\" Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives said, adding that investors are going to watch closely to see if he sells more.</p>\n<p>Guillen, a former Mercedes engineer who was with Tesla since 2010, oversaw the company's entire vehicles business before being named president of the Tesla Heavy Trucking unit in March. He left the company on June 3.</p>\n<p>The departure of Guillen, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of Tesla's top four leaders, including CEO Elon Musk, has sparked market concerns about Tesla's future vehicle programs like the Semi electric trucks and new batteries called 4680 cells.</p>\n<p>Stock options give employees and executives the right to buy their company's stock at a specified price for a certain period of time. When share prices rise above the exercise price, they can buy the stocks at discounted prices.</p>\n<p>It was not immediately known how much Guillen paid to exercise the options.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ex-Tesla president sold stocks worth $247 million since June 10-SEC filing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEx-Tesla president sold stocks worth $247 million since June 10-SEC filing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-19 07:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BERKELEY, Calif., June 18 (Reuters) - Long-time Tesla Inc&nbsp;executive and president Jerome Guillen, who left the company earlier in June, has sold an estimated $274 million worth of shares after exercising stock options since June 10, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SEC.UK\">$(SEC.UK)$</a>.</p>\n<p>The filing, which was submitted to the SEC on Tuesday, said that Guillen expected to sell 215,718 shares for $129 million that day, and that he offloaded another 145,289 stocks worth $89.6 million on June 14, and 90,111 stocks worth $55 million on June 10.</p>\n<p>\"It could raise some eyebrows for investors,\" Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives said, adding that investors are going to watch closely to see if he sells more.</p>\n<p>Guillen, a former Mercedes engineer who was with Tesla since 2010, oversaw the company's entire vehicles business before being named president of the Tesla Heavy Trucking unit in March. He left the company on June 3.</p>\n<p>The departure of Guillen, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of Tesla's top four leaders, including CEO Elon Musk, has sparked market concerns about Tesla's future vehicle programs like the Semi electric trucks and new batteries called 4680 cells.</p>\n<p>Stock options give employees and executives the right to buy their company's stock at a specified price for a certain period of time. When share prices rise above the exercise price, they can buy the stocks at discounted prices.</p>\n<p>It was not immediately known how much Guillen paid to exercise the options.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144218770","content_text":"BERKELEY, Calif., June 18 (Reuters) - Long-time Tesla Inc executive and president Jerome Guillen, who left the company earlier in June, has sold an estimated $274 million worth of shares after exercising stock options since June 10, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission $(SEC.UK)$.\nThe filing, which was submitted to the SEC on Tuesday, said that Guillen expected to sell 215,718 shares for $129 million that day, and that he offloaded another 145,289 stocks worth $89.6 million on June 14, and 90,111 stocks worth $55 million on June 10.\n\"It could raise some eyebrows for investors,\" Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives said, adding that investors are going to watch closely to see if he sells more.\nGuillen, a former Mercedes engineer who was with Tesla since 2010, oversaw the company's entire vehicles business before being named president of the Tesla Heavy Trucking unit in March. He left the company on June 3.\nThe departure of Guillen, one of Tesla's top four leaders, including CEO Elon Musk, has sparked market concerns about Tesla's future vehicle programs like the Semi electric trucks and new batteries called 4680 cells.\nStock options give employees and executives the right to buy their company's stock at a specified price for a certain period of time. When share prices rise above the exercise price, they can buy the stocks at discounted prices.\nIt was not immediately known how much Guillen paid to exercise the options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566532164444643","authorId":"3566532164444643","name":"ZEROHERO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62813b6df1c4722e559d112fadd5486a","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"Holding on for 5 years at least","text":"Holding on for 5 years at least","html":"Holding on for 5 years at least"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":288475475296280,"gmtCreate":1711461227367,"gmtModify":1711461230824,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Doubt it will do much&nbsp;","listText":"Doubt it will do much&nbsp;","text":"Doubt it will do much","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/288475475296280","repostId":"1153835421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153835421","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1711460515,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153835421?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-03-26 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153835421","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company's website","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla shares gained 5.4% in morning trading Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6e29aa307686525e8aa644bbfb370f2\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p>Musk also is requiring Tesla staff to give demonstrations of FSD to new buyers and owners of serviced vehicles, according to two emails verified by a Tesla source.</p><p>The move comes as Tesla sales and margins are under pressure because of price competition and softening demand. FSD is an add-on priced at $12,000, enabling vehicles to navigate city streets.</p><p>Tesla calls its driver-assisting systems Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, but says the features do not make its vehicles autonomous and require active driver supervision. Musk has for years missed his promise of achieving full autonomy, and Tesla&#39;s driver assistant software is under regulatory scrutiny over safety and marketing.</p><p>&#34;All US cars that are capable of FSD will be enabled for a one month trial this week,&#34; Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in a post on social media platform X on Monday.</p><p>The trial has been offered on new sales of Tesla models X, S, and Y, according to Tesla&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s margins have been hurt by a price war with rivals that started more than a year ago. In January, Tesla warned of &#34;notably lower&#34; sales growth this year as it focuses on the production of its next-generation EV, which is code-named &#34;Redwood.&#34;</p><p>The company is also dealing with a rise in regulatory scrutiny of its self-driving systems and other areas in the United States and in some European countries. In December, Tesla recalled nearly all of its 2 million vehicles on U.S. roads to install new safeguards.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Gains Over 5% As EV Giant Give One Month Driver-Assist Technology Trial for Customers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-03-26 21:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla shares gained 5.4% in morning trading Tuesday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6e29aa307686525e8aa644bbfb370f2\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p>Musk also is requiring Tesla staff to give demonstrations of FSD to new buyers and owners of serviced vehicles, according to two emails verified by a Tesla source.</p><p>The move comes as Tesla sales and margins are under pressure because of price competition and softening demand. FSD is an add-on priced at $12,000, enabling vehicles to navigate city streets.</p><p>Tesla calls its driver-assisting systems Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, but says the features do not make its vehicles autonomous and require active driver supervision. Musk has for years missed his promise of achieving full autonomy, and Tesla&#39;s driver assistant software is under regulatory scrutiny over safety and marketing.</p><p>&#34;All US cars that are capable of FSD will be enabled for a one month trial this week,&#34; Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in a post on social media platform X on Monday.</p><p>The trial has been offered on new sales of Tesla models X, S, and Y, according to Tesla&#39;s website.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s margins have been hurt by a price war with rivals that started more than a year ago. In January, Tesla warned of &#34;notably lower&#34; sales growth this year as it focuses on the production of its next-generation EV, which is code-named &#34;Redwood.&#34;</p><p>The company is also dealing with a rise in regulatory scrutiny of its self-driving systems and other areas in the United States and in some European countries. In December, Tesla recalled nearly all of its 2 million vehicles on U.S. roads to install new safeguards.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153835421","content_text":"Tesla will give a one-month trial of its driver-assist technology Full Self-Driving (FSD) to existing and new customers in the United States, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk and the company's website.Tesla shares gained 5.4% in morning trading Tuesday.Musk also is requiring Tesla staff to give demonstrations of FSD to new buyers and owners of serviced vehicles, according to two emails verified by a Tesla source.The move comes as Tesla sales and margins are under pressure because of price competition and softening demand. FSD is an add-on priced at $12,000, enabling vehicles to navigate city streets.Tesla calls its driver-assisting systems Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, but says the features do not make its vehicles autonomous and require active driver supervision. Musk has for years missed his promise of achieving full autonomy, and Tesla's driver assistant software is under regulatory scrutiny over safety and marketing.\"All US cars that are capable of FSD will be enabled for a one month trial this week,\" Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed in a post on social media platform X on Monday.The trial has been offered on new sales of Tesla models X, S, and Y, according to Tesla's website.Tesla's margins have been hurt by a price war with rivals that started more than a year ago. In January, Tesla warned of \"notably lower\" sales growth this year as it focuses on the production of its next-generation EV, which is code-named \"Redwood.\"The company is also dealing with a rise in regulatory scrutiny of its self-driving systems and other areas in the United States and in some European countries. In December, Tesla recalled nearly all of its 2 million vehicles on U.S. roads to install new safeguards.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946631927,"gmtCreate":1680933747269,"gmtModify":1680933753305,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I need the Easter egg bullshit&nbsp;","listText":"I need the Easter egg bullshit&nbsp;","text":"I need the Easter egg bullshit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946631927","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570785151777611","authorId":"3570785151777611","name":"和我一起成长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6593d7bbd7b4389a340efec1020c5a2e","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"Fun and exciting games","text":"Fun and exciting games","html":"Fun and exciting games"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927393489,"gmtCreate":1672389782742,"gmtModify":1676538683733,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl&nbsp;","listText":"No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl&nbsp;","text":"No thanks I rather buy Amazon or aapl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927393489","repostId":"2295554929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2295554929","pubTimestamp":1672415137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2295554929?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-30 23:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Buy The Bloodbath","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2295554929","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryTesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short int","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3><b>Summary</b></h3><ul><li>Tesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.</li><li>Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short interest for Tesla.</li><li>However, Tesla has a very attractive valuation and risk profile right now.</li></ul><p>A unique buying opportunity has revealed itself for shares of electric vehicle company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> which experienced an intensifying sell-off in December that is putting Tesla on track to its worst month ever. After Tesla lost more than $800B in market cap this year and controversy mounted over Elon Musk&#39;s time-consuming involvement with Twitter/stock sales, I believe the risk profile and the valuation are at their most attractive points in years. Considering that China&#39;s economy is reopening and that Tesla has the most mature footprint in the EV industry, I believe the valuation drop and negative sentiment overhang make Tesla very compelling as a long-term EV investment.</p><h2>Tesla is ending a terrible year with its worst monthly performance ever</h2><p>Tesla is ending FY 2022 with massive valuation losses that have yielded enormous windfall profits for short sellers that bet against the electric vehicle company at the beginning of the year. Tesla&#39;s shares have experienced a bloodbath this year, losing 68% YTD and 42% so far this month, making December 2022 potentially the worst month for the electric vehicle company ever.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b016866b26d76d99fd4332604cbff3fd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h2>Controversies are weighing on Tesla&#39;s valuation, soaring short interest</h2><p>There are multiple controversies that played a role in Tesla&#39;s stock plunge, including the extraordinary amount of time Elon Musk spends on Twitter, COVID-19 lockdowns in China that interrupted the ramp of Tesla&#39;s Model 3 and Model Y as well as his unprecedented sales of Tesla stock in order to finance the acquisition of Twitter. According to a disclosure made on December 14, 2022, Elon Musk recently sold 22M shares of Tesla between December 12 and December 14, resulting in transaction proceeds of $3.6B. Although Elon Musk later said on Twitter Spaces that he won&#39;t sell any more shares over the next 18-24 months, investors don&#39;t seem to believe it, at least for now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f395d39826c8e23997eeb11280dd73cf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: Electrek</p><p>Additionally, a big problem for Tesla has been that short sellers took advantage of Tesla&#39;s downfall in December which resulted in a soaring short interest ratio for shares of Tesla. Soaring short interest, in my opinion, could also be seen as a contrarian indicator.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/573fa987e96d402354e65cdec79cde4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: Yahoo Finance</p><p>But putting all this noise aside, I believe investors that focus on Tesla&#39;s achievements in the EV industry and potential for long-term growth actually get really good value now.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s factory output in China recovered and reached a fresh high</h2><p>After multiple production setbacks in FY 2022 due to factory lockdowns in China, production and deliveries at Tesla&#39;s Shanghai Gigafactory are ramping up rapidly. Tesla delivered 100,291 electric vehicles in November, showing 90% year-over-year growth. It was also a new 4-month reopening high for Tesla and it is an achievement the electric vehicle company can build on in the coming months. With about 100,000 electric vehicles produced in November, Tesla could achieve a 1.2M production volume in FY 2023, but potentially much more as I expect a ramp in production after the Gigafactory in Shanghai reopens after the Chinese New Year. The new delivery record is good news for investors, chiefly because the market ignored it and seems overly obsessed with other non-production related factors surrounding Tesla. A contrarian indicator, perhaps? I think so!</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d60d5fc681c7265ba2a21f440844f2e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: InsideEVs</p><p>The broad reopening of the Chinese economy and the easing of COVID-19 restrictions could be a catalyst for Tesla&#39;s growth in deliveries, but the real reason to buy Tesla, I believe, is the valuation: after a near-70% drawdown in the firm&#39;s valuation this year, Tesla is actually compellingly cheap, at least based off of its historical standard.</p><h2>Is Tesla&#39;s unprecedented price drop alone a reason to buy the shares?</h2><p>The 42% decline in Tesla&#39;s valuation in December and 68% decline in 2022 has reduced a lot of the premium that was built into the EV firm&#39;s valuation in the past. Since Tesla was punished for a variety of factors that were totally unrelated to Tesla&#39;s execution (Twitter distraction, stock sales) or of only temporary nature, such as China&#39;s factory lockdowns, I believe Tesla is currently extremely attractively valued based on a variety of metrics.</p><p>Tesla is the leading EV company in the world (based on output and revenues) and is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 20.4x and that&#39;s despite Tesla being projected to generate 34% year-over-year EPS growth in FY 2023. Compared against its historical valuation, Tesla is a bargain with its P/E ratio trading more than 50% below its 1-year average P/E ratio of 46.6x.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08d92a1d38d6366b57078028e1112f60\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Given the expected launch of the Cybertruck next year and a continual recovery in China-based production volumes, I believe a change in investor sentiment could also drive an upwards revaluation of Tesla&#39;s revenue estimates. The trend for Tesla&#39;s revenue estimates was generally a positive one in FY 2022, despite production limitations and other distractions. According to Seeking Alpha-provided estimates, Tesla is expected to grow its revenues 37% in FY 2023 and 26% in FY 2024, with the Cybertruck expected to make its first revenue contributions in the second half of next year. I believe that Tesla could deliver 80-90 thousand Cybertrucks in FY 2023 before ramping deliveries up to 200 thousand by FY 2024.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d31f4107435d218d22ae093fe331b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Based off of revenues, Tesla is also looking increasingly attractive with the firm&#39;s revenue potential now being cheaper than that of Lucid Group (LCID), despite Tesla already delivering millions of cars to customers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abd29ac0744982704419373383495922\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Right now, Tesla&#39;s forward P/S ratio is 56% below its 1-year average P/S ratio. Almost all of the under-performance relative to the 1-year P/S average has occurred since the end of October.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f7b416c0976165ab4b552eeefb86682\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h2>Tesla is oversold</h2><p>What makes Tesla especially attractive, I believe, is the technical sentiment reflected in the Relative Strength Index. Tesla has become widely oversold based on this index lately and shows a value of 20.2. Tesla hasn&#39;t been this technically oversold in at least a year. While I don&#39;t decide how and where to invest based on RSI, it can be seen as a contrarian indicator (in connection with Tesla&#39;s soaring short interest).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/715da9e1d601b67ca63adac3a1600654\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h2>Risks with Tesla</h2><p>There are many risks with Tesla including the possibility of further stock sales on the part of Elon Musk which could further depress Tesla&#39;s share price, but likely only in the near term as the recovery in Tesla&#39;s China production is a strong catalyst for delivery growth in FY 2023. Additionally, Tesla&#39;s short interest may remain high in the short term as bears seek to exploit Tesla&#39;s draw-down to the fullest. In the longer term, however, real economic concerns should take precedence for Tesla investors and I definitely see pricing and demand risks here for the electric vehicle sector. EV companies may see compressing vehicle margins as inflation continues to pressure consumers and higher raw material/battery costs represent a challenge as well. Since Tesla has the most mature production footprint in the sector, I believe Tesla is in the best position to deal with such risks.</p><h2>Final thoughts</h2><p>Tesla had a terrible December with the price of the EV firm&#39;s shares dropping 42% so far this month and December 2022 will likely end as the worst month for Tesla&#39;s shares ever. There are reasons for the decline in Tesla&#39;s market cap, but none, I believe, are related to either Tesla&#39;s execution or Tesla&#39;s growth prospects. The fact that Tesla&#39;s short interest has soared in December and short sellers piled on the EV company, resulting in oversold technical sentiment, is actually the precise reason why I like Tesla more than ever.</p><p>The market has become too fearful of Tesla due to a series of unfavorable news, but I believe all of the factors discussed here (Twitter, stock sales, production setbacks) are transitory and Tesla could soon be able to recover from this unprecedented sell-off, especially if the market&#39;s focus returns to Tesla&#39;s improving delivery growth and a reopening Chinese economy. Since the shares have a very attractive valuation and the best risk profile in years, I believe investors should lean into the fear and buy the bloodbath!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Buy The Bloodbath</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Buy The Bloodbath\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-30 23:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567014-tesla-stock-bloodbath-buy><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567014-tesla-stock-bloodbath-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567014-tesla-stock-bloodbath-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2295554929","content_text":"SummaryTesla has seen an accelerating decline in December with the stock losing 42%.Other controversies surrounding Elon Musk have created negative sentiment overhang, resulting in a soaring short interest for Tesla.However, Tesla has a very attractive valuation and risk profile right now.A unique buying opportunity has revealed itself for shares of electric vehicle company Tesla which experienced an intensifying sell-off in December that is putting Tesla on track to its worst month ever. After Tesla lost more than $800B in market cap this year and controversy mounted over Elon Musk's time-consuming involvement with Twitter/stock sales, I believe the risk profile and the valuation are at their most attractive points in years. Considering that China's economy is reopening and that Tesla has the most mature footprint in the EV industry, I believe the valuation drop and negative sentiment overhang make Tesla very compelling as a long-term EV investment.Tesla is ending a terrible year with its worst monthly performance everTesla is ending FY 2022 with massive valuation losses that have yielded enormous windfall profits for short sellers that bet against the electric vehicle company at the beginning of the year. Tesla's shares have experienced a bloodbath this year, losing 68% YTD and 42% so far this month, making December 2022 potentially the worst month for the electric vehicle company ever.Data by YChartsControversies are weighing on Tesla's valuation, soaring short interestThere are multiple controversies that played a role in Tesla's stock plunge, including the extraordinary amount of time Elon Musk spends on Twitter, COVID-19 lockdowns in China that interrupted the ramp of Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y as well as his unprecedented sales of Tesla stock in order to finance the acquisition of Twitter. According to a disclosure made on December 14, 2022, Elon Musk recently sold 22M shares of Tesla between December 12 and December 14, resulting in transaction proceeds of $3.6B. Although Elon Musk later said on Twitter Spaces that he won't sell any more shares over the next 18-24 months, investors don't seem to believe it, at least for now.Source: ElectrekAdditionally, a big problem for Tesla has been that short sellers took advantage of Tesla's downfall in December which resulted in a soaring short interest ratio for shares of Tesla. Soaring short interest, in my opinion, could also be seen as a contrarian indicator.Source: Yahoo FinanceBut putting all this noise aside, I believe investors that focus on Tesla's achievements in the EV industry and potential for long-term growth actually get really good value now.Tesla's factory output in China recovered and reached a fresh highAfter multiple production setbacks in FY 2022 due to factory lockdowns in China, production and deliveries at Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory are ramping up rapidly. Tesla delivered 100,291 electric vehicles in November, showing 90% year-over-year growth. It was also a new 4-month reopening high for Tesla and it is an achievement the electric vehicle company can build on in the coming months. With about 100,000 electric vehicles produced in November, Tesla could achieve a 1.2M production volume in FY 2023, but potentially much more as I expect a ramp in production after the Gigafactory in Shanghai reopens after the Chinese New Year. The new delivery record is good news for investors, chiefly because the market ignored it and seems overly obsessed with other non-production related factors surrounding Tesla. A contrarian indicator, perhaps? I think so!Source: InsideEVsThe broad reopening of the Chinese economy and the easing of COVID-19 restrictions could be a catalyst for Tesla's growth in deliveries, but the real reason to buy Tesla, I believe, is the valuation: after a near-70% drawdown in the firm's valuation this year, Tesla is actually compellingly cheap, at least based off of its historical standard.Is Tesla's unprecedented price drop alone a reason to buy the shares?The 42% decline in Tesla's valuation in December and 68% decline in 2022 has reduced a lot of the premium that was built into the EV firm's valuation in the past. Since Tesla was punished for a variety of factors that were totally unrelated to Tesla's execution (Twitter distraction, stock sales) or of only temporary nature, such as China's factory lockdowns, I believe Tesla is currently extremely attractively valued based on a variety of metrics.Tesla is the leading EV company in the world (based on output and revenues) and is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 20.4x and that's despite Tesla being projected to generate 34% year-over-year EPS growth in FY 2023. Compared against its historical valuation, Tesla is a bargain with its P/E ratio trading more than 50% below its 1-year average P/E ratio of 46.6x.Data by YChartsGiven the expected launch of the Cybertruck next year and a continual recovery in China-based production volumes, I believe a change in investor sentiment could also drive an upwards revaluation of Tesla's revenue estimates. The trend for Tesla's revenue estimates was generally a positive one in FY 2022, despite production limitations and other distractions. According to Seeking Alpha-provided estimates, Tesla is expected to grow its revenues 37% in FY 2023 and 26% in FY 2024, with the Cybertruck expected to make its first revenue contributions in the second half of next year. I believe that Tesla could deliver 80-90 thousand Cybertrucks in FY 2023 before ramping deliveries up to 200 thousand by FY 2024.Data by YChartsBased off of revenues, Tesla is also looking increasingly attractive with the firm's revenue potential now being cheaper than that of Lucid Group (LCID), despite Tesla already delivering millions of cars to customers.Data by YChartsRight now, Tesla's forward P/S ratio is 56% below its 1-year average P/S ratio. Almost all of the under-performance relative to the 1-year P/S average has occurred since the end of October.Data by YChartsTesla is oversoldWhat makes Tesla especially attractive, I believe, is the technical sentiment reflected in the Relative Strength Index. Tesla has become widely oversold based on this index lately and shows a value of 20.2. Tesla hasn't been this technically oversold in at least a year. While I don't decide how and where to invest based on RSI, it can be seen as a contrarian indicator (in connection with Tesla's soaring short interest).Data by YChartsRisks with TeslaThere are many risks with Tesla including the possibility of further stock sales on the part of Elon Musk which could further depress Tesla's share price, but likely only in the near term as the recovery in Tesla's China production is a strong catalyst for delivery growth in FY 2023. Additionally, Tesla's short interest may remain high in the short term as bears seek to exploit Tesla's draw-down to the fullest. In the longer term, however, real economic concerns should take precedence for Tesla investors and I definitely see pricing and demand risks here for the electric vehicle sector. EV companies may see compressing vehicle margins as inflation continues to pressure consumers and higher raw material/battery costs represent a challenge as well. Since Tesla has the most mature production footprint in the sector, I believe Tesla is in the best position to deal with such risks.Final thoughtsTesla had a terrible December with the price of the EV firm's shares dropping 42% so far this month and December 2022 will likely end as the worst month for Tesla's shares ever. There are reasons for the decline in Tesla's market cap, but none, I believe, are related to either Tesla's execution or Tesla's growth prospects. The fact that Tesla's short interest has soared in December and short sellers piled on the EV company, resulting in oversold technical sentiment, is actually the precise reason why I like Tesla more than ever.The market has become too fearful of Tesla due to a series of unfavorable news, but I believe all of the factors discussed here (Twitter, stock sales, production setbacks) are transitory and Tesla could soon be able to recover from this unprecedented sell-off, especially if the market's focus returns to Tesla's improving delivery growth and a reopening Chinese economy. Since the shares have a very attractive valuation and the best risk profile in years, I believe investors should lean into the fear and buy the bloodbath!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":70,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903767552,"gmtCreate":1659078026176,"gmtModify":1676536254943,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lmao so true&nbsp;","listText":"Lmao so true&nbsp;","text":"Lmao so true","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903767552","repostId":"1176798714","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176798714","pubTimestamp":1659075356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176798714?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-29 14:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Options Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176798714","media":"Financial Post","summary":"Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the timeA trader works on the floor of the New York ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the time</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0748a1e2612a79a2a4415a77a6b9dd73\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"846\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. PHOTO BY REUTERS/BRENDAN MCDERMID FILES</span></p><p>When I first started in the investment world, I quickly discovered the joy — and pain — of trading options. At first, like most traders, I thought buying calls and puts was the key to quick riches. But after multiple losses as a 21-year-old, it became very clear to me that the riches were to be obtained from selling options, not buying them. Now, years later, I continue to sell options — mostly covered calls — to supplement my income.</p><p>Selling a covered call gives you a premium (the option premium) and gives another investor the “option” to buy your stock at a fixed defined price, at a fixed expiry date in the future. For example, an option seller might get $2 to sell a $50 September call option on XYZ when XYZ shares are trading at $45. If XYZ goes above $50 before the expiry date (the third Saturday of each month), then the seller is obligated to sell their stock at $50. If XYZ fails to hit $50, he keeps his stock. Either way, the option seller keeps the $2 premium (options trade in 100 share contracts). So the potential upside is $7/share ($50 minus $45, plus $2 premium). The minimum return is $2/share. If XYZ declines, the maximum potential loss is whatever the stock goes to, minus the $2 call option premium received. Why do I think covered calls are an interesting strategy these days? Well, here are five reasons:</p><p><b>The</b> <b><i>seller</i></b> <b>of options wins 95 per cent of the time</b></p><p>Like being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money. Why then, does the options market continue to exist? Well, there is of course a legitimate hedging need for options. But the main reason is … greed. When an options buyer is right, the leverage is miraculous. One can buy a short-term $0.50 option, at times, and see it go to $10, once in a while. Quick fortunes can be made if the market moves quickly and sharply. But, that is not the norm. The majority of options buyers — despite dreams of riches in their heads — typically just see their investment expire worthless. The option seller just keeps their money, thank you very much.</p><p><b>Time is guaranteed</b></p><p>The market is a risky place, as investors have clearly been reminded in 2022. Nothing is guaranteed. Can the biggest company in Canada decline 75 per cent in six months? It just did. But one thing that is guaranteed is time. Sure as sunrise, each day clicks by, and each day every option is worth less in time value. As options tick by to expiration, the option seller is guaranteed that less time is available before expiry. Thus, time is the only real guarantee in the investment world. When you sell options, you are not necessarily trading stocks — you are selling <i>time</i>.</p><p><b>Premiums are treated as capital gains</b></p><p>Unless you are an extremely active trader and your main source of income is options trading, and you are a professional, the CRA treats options income as capital gains. Thus, for most investors, this means the lowest tax rate on income possible. Thus, one can supplement their income and keep more of their money. If a stock does move higher and is about to be called away, an investor can always buy back the option to cancel it, and the loss on that trade can be deducted from capital gains.</p><p><b>Bear markets are ‘slightly’ less painful</b></p><p>The extra income from call options can reduce the pain a bit in a bear market. Sure, your stock might have declined from $75 to $50 in the past six months, but you might have picked up $10 or so in options premiums during that time. You have still lost money (on paper) of course, but the income still makes the bear market a little more BEARable (sorry, couldn’t resist). In addition, when markets are volatile, options premiums also increase in value, so in a roller-coaster market your option premium income can increase nicely. Still not great, but again, the higher income makes the weaker market slightly less painful.</p><p><b>Investors overestimate short-term stock market volatility</b></p><p>Options premiums can range wildly, depending on the underlying company, its volatility, dividends, balance sheet risk, sector and other factors. I prefer to only utilize one-month options for one reason: investors tend to overestimate stock volatility. In a 30 to 35-day period, the average stock simply does not move too much. But there are always investors who seem willing to bet on individual stock moves. Some stocks can provide call option premiums of five per cent to seven per cent,<i>per month</i>. Sure, sometimes markets will move a lot, and option sellers will have to sell a stock once in a while. But if an investor sells covered calls on 10 positions or so, it is not likely that many will move enough to get called away. And if they do, so what? If the option strike price is higher than the current price, investors still make lots of money — just less than they would if they had done nothing. But making money in the current market is tough. Are we really going to complain about making less money in a bear market?</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1647907663456","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Options Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOptions Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 14:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://financialpost.com/investing/peter-hodson-options-are-a-great-way-to-lose-money-unless-youre-the-one-selling-them><strong>Financial Post</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the timeA trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. PHOTO BY REUTERS/BRENDAN MCDERMID FILESWhen I first started in the investment world,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://financialpost.com/investing/peter-hodson-options-are-a-great-way-to-lose-money-unless-youre-the-one-selling-them\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://financialpost.com/investing/peter-hodson-options-are-a-great-way-to-lose-money-unless-youre-the-one-selling-them","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176798714","content_text":"Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the timeA trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. PHOTO BY REUTERS/BRENDAN MCDERMID FILESWhen I first started in the investment world, I quickly discovered the joy — and pain — of trading options. At first, like most traders, I thought buying calls and puts was the key to quick riches. But after multiple losses as a 21-year-old, it became very clear to me that the riches were to be obtained from selling options, not buying them. Now, years later, I continue to sell options — mostly covered calls — to supplement my income.Selling a covered call gives you a premium (the option premium) and gives another investor the “option” to buy your stock at a fixed defined price, at a fixed expiry date in the future. For example, an option seller might get $2 to sell a $50 September call option on XYZ when XYZ shares are trading at $45. If XYZ goes above $50 before the expiry date (the third Saturday of each month), then the seller is obligated to sell their stock at $50. If XYZ fails to hit $50, he keeps his stock. Either way, the option seller keeps the $2 premium (options trade in 100 share contracts). So the potential upside is $7/share ($50 minus $45, plus $2 premium). The minimum return is $2/share. If XYZ declines, the maximum potential loss is whatever the stock goes to, minus the $2 call option premium received. Why do I think covered calls are an interesting strategy these days? Well, here are five reasons:The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the timeLike being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money. Why then, does the options market continue to exist? Well, there is of course a legitimate hedging need for options. But the main reason is … greed. When an options buyer is right, the leverage is miraculous. One can buy a short-term $0.50 option, at times, and see it go to $10, once in a while. Quick fortunes can be made if the market moves quickly and sharply. But, that is not the norm. The majority of options buyers — despite dreams of riches in their heads — typically just see their investment expire worthless. The option seller just keeps their money, thank you very much.Time is guaranteedThe market is a risky place, as investors have clearly been reminded in 2022. Nothing is guaranteed. Can the biggest company in Canada decline 75 per cent in six months? It just did. But one thing that is guaranteed is time. Sure as sunrise, each day clicks by, and each day every option is worth less in time value. As options tick by to expiration, the option seller is guaranteed that less time is available before expiry. Thus, time is the only real guarantee in the investment world. When you sell options, you are not necessarily trading stocks — you are selling time.Premiums are treated as capital gainsUnless you are an extremely active trader and your main source of income is options trading, and you are a professional, the CRA treats options income as capital gains. Thus, for most investors, this means the lowest tax rate on income possible. Thus, one can supplement their income and keep more of their money. If a stock does move higher and is about to be called away, an investor can always buy back the option to cancel it, and the loss on that trade can be deducted from capital gains.Bear markets are ‘slightly’ less painfulThe extra income from call options can reduce the pain a bit in a bear market. Sure, your stock might have declined from $75 to $50 in the past six months, but you might have picked up $10 or so in options premiums during that time. You have still lost money (on paper) of course, but the income still makes the bear market a little more BEARable (sorry, couldn’t resist). In addition, when markets are volatile, options premiums also increase in value, so in a roller-coaster market your option premium income can increase nicely. Still not great, but again, the higher income makes the weaker market slightly less painful.Investors overestimate short-term stock market volatilityOptions premiums can range wildly, depending on the underlying company, its volatility, dividends, balance sheet risk, sector and other factors. I prefer to only utilize one-month options for one reason: investors tend to overestimate stock volatility. In a 30 to 35-day period, the average stock simply does not move too much. But there are always investors who seem willing to bet on individual stock moves. Some stocks can provide call option premiums of five per cent to seven per cent,per month. Sure, sometimes markets will move a lot, and option sellers will have to sell a stock once in a while. But if an investor sells covered calls on 10 positions or so, it is not likely that many will move enough to get called away. And if they do, so what? If the option strike price is higher than the current price, investors still make lots of money — just less than they would if they had done nothing. But making money in the current market is tough. Are we really going to complain about making less money in a bear market?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":225192081035304,"gmtCreate":1696058282874,"gmtModify":1696062301278,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....","listText":"Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....","text":"Stupid article, so lemme just board my Time Machine go to the future see which stock is performing well then take a time machine back and diamond Hands it....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/225192081035304","repostId":"2371562330","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940207466,"gmtCreate":1677913437056,"gmtModify":1677913440473,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Prepared and hopeful it does&nbsp;","listText":"Prepared and hopeful it does&nbsp;","text":"Prepared and hopeful it does","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940207466","repostId":"1188147335","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924098327,"gmtCreate":1672128315069,"gmtModify":1676538638397,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.&nbsp;","listText":"Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.&nbsp;","text":"Bullshit he said the same time multiple times andhe sold dipping the price heavily.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924098327","repostId":"1115836796","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926733413,"gmtCreate":1671629570232,"gmtModify":1676538566235,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.","listText":"Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.","text":"Time to dump and move on person is extremely untrustworthy he's flippant and will likely sell moreshares at the next rally.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926733413","repostId":"1108645302","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9009895616,"gmtCreate":1640597402467,"gmtModify":1676533528111,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm I’m buying to sell at 12 for quick money&nbsp;","listText":"Hmm I’m buying to sell at 12 for quick money&nbsp;","text":"Hmm I’m buying to sell at 12 for quick money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9009895616","repostId":"1112647100","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112647100","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640595752,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112647100?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 17:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nikola shares surged 5% in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112647100","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nikola shares continue to surged 5% in premarket trading after soaring nearly 18% last trading day a","content":"<p>Nikola shares continue to surged 5% in premarket trading&nbsp;after soaring nearly 18% last trading day&nbsp;aimed the electric-truck maker posted a photograph of its first customer delivery and promised “more to come” on social-media platform&nbsp;Twitter.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72087432b60db02bc8d8b88877c3db8a\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nikola shares surged 5% in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNikola shares surged 5% in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-27 17:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nikola shares continue to surged 5% in premarket trading&nbsp;after soaring nearly 18% last trading day&nbsp;aimed the electric-truck maker posted a photograph of its first customer delivery and promised “more to come” on social-media platform&nbsp;Twitter.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72087432b60db02bc8d8b88877c3db8a\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKLA":"Nikola Corporation"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112647100","content_text":"Nikola shares continue to surged 5% in premarket trading after soaring nearly 18% last trading day aimed the electric-truck maker posted a photograph of its first customer delivery and promised “more to come” on social-media platform Twitter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168502880,"gmtCreate":1623977886240,"gmtModify":1703825193886,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168502880","repostId":"1167804746","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941129751,"gmtCreate":1680065157973,"gmtModify":1680066781137,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov&nbsp;","listText":"Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov&nbsp;","text":"Where was the fuckin warning in 2021 Nov","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941129751","repostId":"1129951895","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965935036,"gmtCreate":1669869079325,"gmtModify":1676538260396,"author":{"id":"3560811483744101","authorId":"3560811483744101","name":"Jas2davir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e62174ebad7965b2b27ef308304519ed","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.","listText":"Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.","text":"Lmfao fraudater claiming he didn't commit fraud.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965935036","repostId":"2288145346","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288145346","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1669847881,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2288145346?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-01 06:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sam Bankman-Fried Says He \"Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288145346","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, attempted to distance himself from any suggestion of fraud in his first public appearance since his company&#39;s collapse stunned investors and left creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.</p><p>Speaking at the New York Times&#39; Dealbook Summit with Andrew Ross Sorkin, Bankman-Fried said that he did not knowingly commingle customer funds on FTX with funds at his proprietary trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p>The liquidity crunch at FTX came after Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion of FTX customer funds to Alameda Research, Reuters reported, citing two people familiar with the matter. At least $1 billion in customer funds had vanished, the people said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried told Reuters the company did not &#34;secretly transfer&#34; but rather misread its &#34;confusing internal labeling.</p><p>FTX filed for bankruptcy and Bankman-Fried stepped down as chief executive on Nov. 11, after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal.</p><p>&#34;By late on Nov. 6 we were putting together all of the data... that obviously should have been part of the dashboards I was always looking at... and when we looked at that, there was a serious problem there,&#34; Bankman-Fried said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried added that he &#34;didn&#39;t ever try to commit fraud&#34; and that he was &#34;shocked&#34; by the events of the past few weeks that led to the company&#39;s demise.</p><p>The implosion marked a stunning fall from grace for the 30-year-old entrepreneur who rode a cryptocurrency boom to a net worth that Forbes pegged a year ago at $26.5 billion. After launching FTX in 2019, he became an influential political donor and pledged to donate most of his earnings to charities.</p><p>Since FTX filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried has distanced himself from the image he projected in media interviews and on Capitol Hill, telling a Vox reporter his advocacy for a crypto regulatory framework was &#34;just PR&#34; and his discussions on ethics within the industry were at least partly a front.</p><h2>U.S. AFFILIATES</h2><p>Bankman-Fried said he was &#34;confused&#34; as to why FTX&#39;s U.S. entity is not processing customer withdrawals. Redemptions are currently paused for both U.S. and international customers.</p><p>&#34;To my knowledge all American customers and all American regulated businesses here are, I think at least in terms of client assets, are okay,&#34; he said, adding that derivatives contracts at one of its U.S. subsidiaries were &#34;fully collateralized.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sam Bankman-Fried Says He \"Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSam Bankman-Fried Says He \"Didn't Ever Try to Commit Fraud\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-01 06:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, attempted to distance himself from any suggestion of fraud in his first public appearance since his company&#39;s collapse stunned investors and left creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.</p><p>Speaking at the New York Times&#39; Dealbook Summit with Andrew Ross Sorkin, Bankman-Fried said that he did not knowingly commingle customer funds on FTX with funds at his proprietary trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p>The liquidity crunch at FTX came after Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion of FTX customer funds to Alameda Research, Reuters reported, citing two people familiar with the matter. At least $1 billion in customer funds had vanished, the people said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried told Reuters the company did not &#34;secretly transfer&#34; but rather misread its &#34;confusing internal labeling.</p><p>FTX filed for bankruptcy and Bankman-Fried stepped down as chief executive on Nov. 11, after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal.</p><p>&#34;By late on Nov. 6 we were putting together all of the data... that obviously should have been part of the dashboards I was always looking at... and when we looked at that, there was a serious problem there,&#34; Bankman-Fried said.</p><p>Bankman-Fried added that he &#34;didn&#39;t ever try to commit fraud&#34; and that he was &#34;shocked&#34; by the events of the past few weeks that led to the company&#39;s demise.</p><p>The implosion marked a stunning fall from grace for the 30-year-old entrepreneur who rode a cryptocurrency boom to a net worth that Forbes pegged a year ago at $26.5 billion. After launching FTX in 2019, he became an influential political donor and pledged to donate most of his earnings to charities.</p><p>Since FTX filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried has distanced himself from the image he projected in media interviews and on Capitol Hill, telling a Vox reporter his advocacy for a crypto regulatory framework was &#34;just PR&#34; and his discussions on ethics within the industry were at least partly a front.</p><h2>U.S. AFFILIATES</h2><p>Bankman-Fried said he was &#34;confused&#34; as to why FTX&#39;s U.S. entity is not processing customer withdrawals. Redemptions are currently paused for both U.S. and international customers.</p><p>&#34;To my knowledge all American customers and all American regulated businesses here are, I think at least in terms of client assets, are okay,&#34; he said, adding that derivatives contracts at one of its U.S. subsidiaries were &#34;fully collateralized.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288145346","content_text":"Nov 30 (Reuters) - Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, attempted to distance himself from any suggestion of fraud in his first public appearance since his company's collapse stunned investors and left creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.Speaking at the New York Times' Dealbook Summit with Andrew Ross Sorkin, Bankman-Fried said that he did not knowingly commingle customer funds on FTX with funds at his proprietary trading firm, Alameda Research.The liquidity crunch at FTX came after Bankman-Fried secretly moved $10 billion of FTX customer funds to Alameda Research, Reuters reported, citing two people familiar with the matter. At least $1 billion in customer funds had vanished, the people said.Bankman-Fried told Reuters the company did not \"secretly transfer\" but rather misread its \"confusing internal labeling.FTX filed for bankruptcy and Bankman-Fried stepped down as chief executive on Nov. 11, after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal.\"By late on Nov. 6 we were putting together all of the data... that obviously should have been part of the dashboards I was always looking at... and when we looked at that, there was a serious problem there,\" Bankman-Fried said.Bankman-Fried added that he \"didn't ever try to commit fraud\" and that he was \"shocked\" by the events of the past few weeks that led to the company's demise.The implosion marked a stunning fall from grace for the 30-year-old entrepreneur who rode a cryptocurrency boom to a net worth that Forbes pegged a year ago at $26.5 billion. After launching FTX in 2019, he became an influential political donor and pledged to donate most of his earnings to charities.Since FTX filed for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried has distanced himself from the image he projected in media interviews and on Capitol Hill, telling a Vox reporter his advocacy for a crypto regulatory framework was \"just PR\" and his discussions on ethics within the industry were at least partly a front.U.S. AFFILIATESBankman-Fried said he was \"confused\" as to why FTX's U.S. entity is not processing customer withdrawals. Redemptions are currently paused for both U.S. and international customers.\"To my knowledge all American customers and all American regulated businesses here are, I think at least in terms of client assets, are okay,\" he said, adding that derivatives contracts at one of its U.S. subsidiaries were \"fully collateralized.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}