chiin personal page - To The Moon

chiin

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2023-11-08

Enjoy the game without breaking a sweat

2023-11-07

Trying to earn some attempts to play this game

2023-11-06

Join this Halloween event nowwwwww

2023-11-02

Post requested to get attempts for Halloween evwnt

2023-11-02

Reposting to get attempts for Halloween evwnteee

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!

2023-11-01

Enjoy the game while it last

2023-10-31

Fast game that is way too fast

2023-06-27

This is such q kilar idea hahaha

2023-06-26

A curating hg hove Hingham

2023-06-25

Dhhgggggyyyyyyyyyhbtyyttt

2023-06-22

Posting foe attempts to play the game

2023-06-21

Let's play this game everyone and good luck all

2023-06-19

Down

4 Singapore Stocks Whose Share Prices Are Skidding to Their 52-Week Lows: Can They Recover?

2023-06-19

Okie good luck to all playing the game

2023-06-18

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-06-18

Gu okie, seals n Ross are awesome!!

2023-06-15

I needed mire attempt s to play tiger gamw

2023-06-13

Getting attempts to play this game of tigers!

2023-06-11

Let's join in the fun with Tigers!

2023-06-09

Okie posting to get some attempts to play the game

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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hahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191736942170312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":764557890797808,"gmtCreate":1687709000712,"gmtModify":1687709004338,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A curating hg hove Hingham&nbsp;","listText":"A curating hg hove Hingham&nbsp;","text":"A curating hg hove 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foe attempts to play the game&nbsp;","listText":"Posting foe attempts to play the game&nbsp;","text":"Posting foe attempts to play the game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189907670745232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189558026018936,"gmtCreate":1687304335896,"gmtModify":1687304339817,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's play this game everyone and good luck all","listText":"Let's play this game everyone and good luck all","text":"Let's play this game everyone and good luck all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189558026018936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189046859628576,"gmtCreate":1687179718078,"gmtModify":1687179722502,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Down&nbsp;","listText":"Down&nbsp;","text":"Down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189046859628576","repostId":"2343155177","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2343155177","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1687174896,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2343155177?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-19 19:41","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"4 Singapore Stocks Whose Share Prices Are Skidding to Their 52-Week Lows: Can They Recover?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2343155177","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"These four stocks may be plumbing new lows, but could they be poised for a rebound?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Share prices may fall for several reasons.</p><p>First off, a company may be reporting weaker revenue or profits because of lower demand for its products and/or services.</p><p>As a result, the business may throw out less cash and reduce its dividends, prompting investors to dump its shares.</p><p>Poor sentiment may be another reason for share prices to tumble.</p><p>Investors may believe that the company is facing tough times and will report a weaker set of financials in future periods.</p><p>With such a belief, shares of the company are then sold down as investors head for the exits or switch to more secure businesses.</p><p>However, not all share price falls should be viewed as negative.</p><p>If the problems facing a business are temporary, it can eventually pick itself up and report growing profits again.</p><p>We highlight four Singapore stocks that are touching their 52-week lows and try to determine if they can eventually recover.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C52.SI\">ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited </a></h2><p>ComfortDelGro Corporation, or CDG, is a land transport company with a fleet of around 34,000 buses, taxis, and rental vehicles.</p><p>The group also runs 177 km of light and heavy rail networks in Singapore and New Zealand.</p><p>CDG’s share price has fallen by 9.8% year to date and it recently touched a 52-week low of S$1.01.</p><p>For 2022, the land transport giant had declared a total dividend of S$0.0848, which included a special dividend of S$0.0387, because of the disposal of a property in Alperton, London, and to commemorate the group’s 20th anniversary of its listing.</p><p>Stripping out the special dividends, the core dividend would have been S$0.0461, giving its shares a trailing dividend yield of 4.2%.</p><p>Its fiscal 2023’s first quarter (1Q 2023) business update stated that cost challenges arising from inflation remain, while manpower shortages are still ongoing.</p><p>Revenue for the quarter inched up 2.1% year on year to S$906.4 million.</p><p>However, operating profit fell by 25.6% year on year to S$50.1 million while net profit plunged 56.9% year on year to S$32.8 million.</p><p>Despite the weaker results, CDG did manage to generate a positive free cash flow of S$89.6 million for 1Q 2023.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XZL.SI\">ARA US Hospitality Trust</a></h2><p>ARA US Hospitality Trust, or ARAHT, is a hospitality stapled group with a portfolio of 37 select-service hotels with 4,826 rooms across 19 states in the US.</p><p>The trust’s share price recently hit a 52-week low of US$0.32 and is down around 5.7% year-to-date.</p><p>Its share price performance stands in stark contrast to its business performance.</p><p>For 1Q 2023, ARAHT saw revenue rise 10.2% year on year to US$36.2 million as the US lodging market continued to post a strong recovery.</p><p>Gross operating profit jumped 20.1% year on year to US$10.5 million with net property income (NPI) climbing 19% year on year to US$6.4 million.</p><p>Revenue per available room (RevPAR) shot up 24.4% year on year to US$80.</p><p>Last year, the hospitality trust paid out a distribution per stapled security of US$0.03054, up more than eight-fold from the prior year’s US$0.00355.</p><p>Looking ahead, domestic travel will continue to drive the recovery in the US travel sector while leisure and business travel are projected to reach 105% and 90% of pre-COVID levels by 2024.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5DD.SI\">Micro-Mechanics Ltd </a></h2><p>Micro-Mechanics (Holdings), or MMH, manufactures and markets tools and parts used in the wafer fabrication and assembly processes of the semiconductor industry.</p><p>The group has five manufacturing facilities located in Singapore, Malaysia, China, the Philippines, and the US.</p><p>The share price of MMH has tumbled by 34.4% year-to-date and touched a 52-week low of S$1.70.</p><p>The group saw revenue fall 14.3% year on year for the first nine months of fiscal 2023 (9M FY2023) as demand fell off a cliff for semiconductor-related products.</p><p>Factory utilisation rate tumbled to 50% for the latest quarter, resulting in the group’s margin shrinking to 43.8% from 53.4%.</p><p>As a result, operating profit plunged by 42.6% year on year to S$10.8 million for 9M FY2023 while net profit fell by 44.2% year on year to S$7.8 million over the same period.</p><p>However, MMH still generated a positive free cash flow of S$11 million for 9M FY2023.</p><p>Management expects business conditions to remain challenging until the supply-demand imbalance works itself out.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">Venture Corporation Ltd </a></h2><p>Venture Corporation is a blue-chip contract manufacturer and a provider of technology products, services, and solutions.</p><p>The group manages a portfolio of more than 5,000 products and solutions and has built-up expertise and know-how in the life science, genomics, medical devices, and consumer lifestyle segments, among others.</p><p>Shares of the contract manufacturer bounced off its 52-week low of S$14.54 and are down around 11% year-to-date.</p><p>Similar to MMH, Venture has reported a downbeat set of earnings for its 1Q 2023 business update.</p><p>Revenue fell 7.6% year on year to S$821.7 million while net profit slipped by 12.4% year on year to S$73.6 million.</p><p>The group also expects near-term weakness but will continue to invest in its capabilities to deliver sustainable value to shareholders over the long term.</p></body></html>","source":"thesmartinvestor_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Singapore Stocks Whose Share Prices Are Skidding to Their 52-Week Lows: Can They Recover?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Singapore Stocks Whose Share Prices Are Skidding to Their 52-Week Lows: Can They Recover?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-19 19:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-singapore-stocks-whose-share-prices-are-skidding-to-their-52-week-lows-can-they-recover/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Share prices may fall for several reasons.First off, a company may be reporting weaker revenue or profits because of lower demand for its products and/or services.As a result, the business may throw ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-singapore-stocks-whose-share-prices-are-skidding-to-their-52-week-lows-can-they-recover/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"V03.SI":"创业公司","5DD.SI":"微机械","XZL.SI":"亚腾美国酒店信托","C52.SI":"康福德高企业"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-singapore-stocks-whose-share-prices-are-skidding-to-their-52-week-lows-can-they-recover/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2343155177","content_text":"Share prices may fall for several reasons.First off, a company may be reporting weaker revenue or profits because of lower demand for its products and/or services.As a result, the business may throw out less cash and reduce its dividends, prompting investors to dump its shares.Poor sentiment may be another reason for share prices to tumble.Investors may believe that the company is facing tough times and will report a weaker set of financials in future periods.With such a belief, shares of the company are then sold down as investors head for the exits or switch to more secure businesses.However, not all share price falls should be viewed as negative.If the problems facing a business are temporary, it can eventually pick itself up and report growing profits again.We highlight four Singapore stocks that are touching their 52-week lows and try to determine if they can eventually recover.ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited ComfortDelGro Corporation, or CDG, is a land transport company with a fleet of around 34,000 buses, taxis, and rental vehicles.The group also runs 177 km of light and heavy rail networks in Singapore and New Zealand.CDG’s share price has fallen by 9.8% year to date and it recently touched a 52-week low of S$1.01.For 2022, the land transport giant had declared a total dividend of S$0.0848, which included a special dividend of S$0.0387, because of the disposal of a property in Alperton, London, and to commemorate the group’s 20th anniversary of its listing.Stripping out the special dividends, the core dividend would have been S$0.0461, giving its shares a trailing dividend yield of 4.2%.Its fiscal 2023’s first quarter (1Q 2023) business update stated that cost challenges arising from inflation remain, while manpower shortages are still ongoing.Revenue for the quarter inched up 2.1% year on year to S$906.4 million.However, operating profit fell by 25.6% year on year to S$50.1 million while net profit plunged 56.9% year on year to S$32.8 million.Despite the weaker results, CDG did manage to generate a positive free cash flow of S$89.6 million for 1Q 2023.ARA US Hospitality TrustARA US Hospitality Trust, or ARAHT, is a hospitality stapled group with a portfolio of 37 select-service hotels with 4,826 rooms across 19 states in the US.The trust’s share price recently hit a 52-week low of US$0.32 and is down around 5.7% year-to-date.Its share price performance stands in stark contrast to its business performance.For 1Q 2023, ARAHT saw revenue rise 10.2% year on year to US$36.2 million as the US lodging market continued to post a strong recovery.Gross operating profit jumped 20.1% year on year to US$10.5 million with net property income (NPI) climbing 19% year on year to US$6.4 million.Revenue per available room (RevPAR) shot up 24.4% year on year to US$80.Last year, the hospitality trust paid out a distribution per stapled security of US$0.03054, up more than eight-fold from the prior year’s US$0.00355.Looking ahead, domestic travel will continue to drive the recovery in the US travel sector while leisure and business travel are projected to reach 105% and 90% of pre-COVID levels by 2024.Micro-Mechanics Ltd Micro-Mechanics (Holdings), or MMH, manufactures and markets tools and parts used in the wafer fabrication and assembly processes of the semiconductor industry.The group has five manufacturing facilities located in Singapore, Malaysia, China, the Philippines, and the US.The share price of MMH has tumbled by 34.4% year-to-date and touched a 52-week low of S$1.70.The group saw revenue fall 14.3% year on year for the first nine months of fiscal 2023 (9M FY2023) as demand fell off a cliff for semiconductor-related products.Factory utilisation rate tumbled to 50% for the latest quarter, resulting in the group’s margin shrinking to 43.8% from 53.4%.As a result, operating profit plunged by 42.6% year on year to S$10.8 million for 9M FY2023 while net profit fell by 44.2% year on year to S$7.8 million over the same period.However, MMH still generated a positive free cash flow of S$11 million for 9M FY2023.Management expects business conditions to remain challenging until the supply-demand imbalance works itself out.Venture Corporation Ltd Venture Corporation is a blue-chip contract manufacturer and a provider of technology products, services, and solutions.The group manages a portfolio of more than 5,000 products and solutions and has built-up expertise and know-how in the life science, genomics, medical devices, and consumer lifestyle segments, among others.Shares of the contract manufacturer bounced off its 52-week low of S$14.54 and are down around 11% year-to-date.Similar to MMH, Venture has reported a downbeat set of earnings for its 1Q 2023 business update.Revenue fell 7.6% year on year to S$821.7 million while net profit slipped by 12.4% year on year to S$73.6 million.The group also expects near-term weakness but will continue to invest in its capabilities to deliver sustainable value to shareholders over the long term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189047156965528,"gmtCreate":1687179614700,"gmtModify":1687179620695,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okie good luck to all playing the game","listText":"Okie good luck to all playing the game","text":"Okie good luck to all playing the 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okie, seals n Ross are awesome!!&nbsp;","listText":"Gu okie, seals n Ross are awesome!!&nbsp;","text":"Gu okie, seals n Ross are awesome!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188384232243248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187427309535264,"gmtCreate":1686786426846,"gmtModify":1686786430026,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I needed mire attempt s to play tiger gamw","listText":"I needed mire attempt s to play tiger gamw","text":"I needed mire attempt s to play tiger gamw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187427309535264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186676384198784,"gmtCreate":1686614571636,"gmtModify":1686614575527,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Getting attempts to play this game of tigers!&nbsp;","listText":"Getting attempts to play this game of tigers!&nbsp;","text":"Getting attempts to play this game of 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Tigers!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186202770055320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185200135344272,"gmtCreate":1686254296358,"gmtModify":1686254301555,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560902410034010","idStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okie posting to get some attempts to play the game","listText":"Okie posting to get some attempts to play the game","text":"Okie posting to get some attempts to play the game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185200135344272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":188385203265584,"gmtCreate":1687018182581,"gmtModify":1687018185176,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188385203265584","repostId":"2344411353","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2344411353","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1686985677,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2344411353?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-17 15:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Finally A Buy After The Drastic Plunge","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2344411353","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Yes, in our opinion, since its FQ4'22 efforts have signaled that it is possible for the management to immediately pull the necessary levers to achieve both GAAP profitability and decent top-line growth within one quarter. Most importantly, SE's revenue driver, the E-Commerce segment, continues to outperform with revenues of $2.1B  in FQ1'23, thanks to the Shopee platform expanding its local traffic share of up to 50% in Southeast Asia by May 2023. Due to this growing traffic share and cost optimizations thus far, the segment maintained its profitability with adj EBITDA of $207.7M  and margins of 9.8%  in the latest quarter. SE's balance sheet remains decent as well, with cash/ short-term investments of $6.58B  and moderating long-term debts of $3.34B  in FQ1'23. Most importantly, its Free Cash Flow generation has also improved to $504.5M , suggesting that some of the cost optimi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>SE appears to be overly moderated after the FQ1&#39;23 earnings call since the e-commerce segment remains profitable with the investment arm finally disbanded.</p></li><li><p>While the gaming segment continues to underperform, we are not overly concerned yet due to the positive developments above.</p></li><li><p>Combined with the region&#39;s moderating inflationary pressures, we may see discretionary spending return to the previous cadence, lifting SE&#39;s top and bottom line growth ahead.</p></li><li><p>As a result, investors may consider establishing a small position here.</p></li></ul><h2>The SE Investment Thesis Is Much More Convincing Here</h2><p>By now, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Limited</a> has already lost all of the FQ4&#39;22 gains, though successfully bounced from the mid $50s, implying the excellent support at those levels. As a result, we are not so bearish as to assume another Q4&#39;22 bottom retest at $40s. This is why.</p><p>The e-commerce company still reported a more than decent FQ1&#39;23 result, with expanding total revenues of $3.04B (-11.8% QoQ/ +4.9% YoY) and gross margins of 46.6% (-2.6 points QoQ/ +6.2 YoY). These alone suggested that demand remains robust with COGS already improving tremendously.</p><p>However, it seems that SE&#39;s aggressive cost optimizations in FQ4&#39;22 do not last, with its SG&amp;A expenses rising tremendously to $733.5M (+50.5% QoQ/ -44.4% YoY) and R&amp;D expenses of $320.5M (+31.2% QoQ/ -5.8% YoY) by the latest quarter.</p><p>These two segments alone accounted for the dramatic increase in the e-commerce company&#39;s operating expenses to $1.05B (+43.5% QoQ/ -36.7% YoY) in FQ1&#39;23, undoing much of its FQ4&#39;22 success. To further worsen the optics, it reported another -$177.4M in provision for credit losses (-65.4% QoQ/ +120.3% YoY) by the latest quarter, attributed to Sea Capital.</p><p>As a result of the reversal in its cost optimizations, SE only generated a less-than-halved operating income of $243.1M (-53.2% QoQ/ +148.8% YoY) in the latest quarter. This is on top of the -$117.9M impairment by the latest quarter, similar to the -$177.7M reported in FQ4&#39;22.</p><p>Therefore, it is unsurprising that the e-commerce company has reported an underwhelming FQ1&#39;23 EPS of $0.15 (-78.5% QoQ/ + 114.4% YoY), missing the consensus EPS estimates of $0.73 by a wide margin of -79.4%. This cadence has naturally resulted in the post-earnings call sell-off, which caused its stock prices to plunge by -32.5%.</p><p>Now that the pessimism is baked already in, fully reflected in SE&#39;s stock prices, is it a good time to add? Yes, in our opinion, since its FQ4&#39;22 efforts have signaled that it is possible for the management to immediately pull the necessary levers to achieve both GAAP profitability and decent top-line growth within one quarter.</p><p>Most importantly, SE&#39;s revenue driver, the E-Commerce segment, continues to outperform with revenues of $2.1B (inline QoQ/ +40% YoY) in FQ1&#39;23, thanks to the Shopee platform expanding its local traffic share of up to 50% in Southeast Asia by May 2023.</p><p>Due to this growing traffic share and cost optimizations thus far, the segment maintained its profitability with adj EBITDA of $207.7M (+5.9% QoQ/ +127.9% YoY) and margins of 9.8% (+0.5 points QoQ/ +59.3 YoY) in the latest quarter.</p><p>SE&#39;s balance sheet remains decent as well, with cash/ short-term investments of $6.58B (-4.4% QoQ/ -25.2% YoY) and moderating long-term debts of $3.34B (inline QoQ/ -20% YoY) in FQ1&#39;23. Most importantly, its Free Cash Flow generation has also improved to $504.5M (+183.4% QoQ), suggesting that some of the cost optimizations may further lift its liquidity ahead.</p><p>Unfortunately, there seems to be where the good news end for SE. India&#39;s ban on Free Fire and tightened discretionary spending have likely impacted Digital Entertainment&#39;s quarterly active users and paying users to 491.6M (+1.2% QoQ/ -20.1% YoY) and 37.6M (-13.7% QoQ/ -38.7% YoY) by the latest quarter, respectively.</p><p>This cadence has naturally contributed to the decline in its game bookings to $462.3M in FQ1&#39;23 (-14.9% QoQ/ -42.2% YoY). Since the segment used to be the company&#39;s bottom line driver, the cadence is worrying indeed, as reflected in the moderating adj EBITDA of $230.1M (-10.8% QoQ/ -46.6% YoY).</p><p>Then again, there is still a glimmer of hope ahead, since SE has prudently disbanded its investment arm, Sea Capital, supposedly attributed to the &#34;cooling investment environment globally as macroeconomic and market uncertainty weigh on valuations.&#34;</p><p>With the CIO of Sea Capital leaving his position to join the SE board of directors, it appears that the segment is the last piece of the company&#39;s cost optimization efforts. All for the better, in our view, since digital financial services only contributed a meager 13.7% to the company&#39;s top line and 19.4% of the bottom line in the latest quarter.</p><p>Assuming a small overhaul in the investment arm&#39;s headcount and operating expenses in FQ2&#39;23, we may see a more focused and leaner company by H2&#39;23, potentially contributing to its improved gross and operating margins as the macroeconomic outlook lifts.</p><p>For example, the regional inflation rate in South East Asia has fallen to 4.8% by March 2023, compared to the peak of 6.1% in December 2022. Singapore&#39;s CPI has also declined to 5.74% by April 2023, compared to the 6.62% reported in January 2023 and 6.12% in 2022.</p><p>Given the sustained downtrend, we may optimistically project a CPI of ~4% by the end of 2023, nearing the Monetary Authority of Singapore&#39;s projection of between 3.5% and 4.5%. This cadence may potentially ease the inflationary pressures while loosening the discretionary spending in the region.</p><h2>So, Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</h2><h4>SE 5Y EV/Revenue</h4><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c108a71c9c562a4905136c8412bbe2\" alt=\"S&amp;P Capital IQ\" title=\"S&amp;P Capital IQ\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"256\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>And, it is for this reason that we believe the pessimism embedded in SE&#39;s NTM EV/ Revenue is unwarranted, since the stock is now overly moderated to 2.29x, compared to its 5Y mean of 7.15x and pre-pandemic mean of 4.7x.</p><p>While its top-line expansion may have decelerated, it is mostly attributed to the elevated interest rates and peak recessionary fears. These headwinds are only temporary, similarly impacting its e-commerce peers, Amazon (AMZN) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (MELI).</p><p>As a result of these promising developments and its depressed prices, we are finally rerating SE as a Buy due to the attractive risk-reward ratio. Then again, they must also be aware of the stock&#39;s elevated short interest of 7.27%, implying moderate volatility ahead.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Finally A Buy After The Drastic Plunge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Finally A Buy After The Drastic Plunge\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-17 15:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611456-sea-limited-finally-buy-after-drastic-plunge><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySE appears to be overly moderated after the FQ1'23 earnings call since the e-commerce segment remains profitable with the investment arm finally disbanded.While the gaming segment continues to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611456-sea-limited-finally-buy-after-drastic-plunge\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611456-sea-limited-finally-buy-after-drastic-plunge","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2344411353","content_text":"SummarySE appears to be overly moderated after the FQ1'23 earnings call since the e-commerce segment remains profitable with the investment arm finally disbanded.While the gaming segment continues to underperform, we are not overly concerned yet due to the positive developments above.Combined with the region's moderating inflationary pressures, we may see discretionary spending return to the previous cadence, lifting SE's top and bottom line growth ahead.As a result, investors may consider establishing a small position here.The SE Investment Thesis Is Much More Convincing HereBy now, Sea Limited has already lost all of the FQ4'22 gains, though successfully bounced from the mid $50s, implying the excellent support at those levels. As a result, we are not so bearish as to assume another Q4'22 bottom retest at $40s. This is why.The e-commerce company still reported a more than decent FQ1'23 result, with expanding total revenues of $3.04B (-11.8% QoQ/ +4.9% YoY) and gross margins of 46.6% (-2.6 points QoQ/ +6.2 YoY). These alone suggested that demand remains robust with COGS already improving tremendously.However, it seems that SE's aggressive cost optimizations in FQ4'22 do not last, with its SG&A expenses rising tremendously to $733.5M (+50.5% QoQ/ -44.4% YoY) and R&D expenses of $320.5M (+31.2% QoQ/ -5.8% YoY) by the latest quarter.These two segments alone accounted for the dramatic increase in the e-commerce company's operating expenses to $1.05B (+43.5% QoQ/ -36.7% YoY) in FQ1'23, undoing much of its FQ4'22 success. To further worsen the optics, it reported another -$177.4M in provision for credit losses (-65.4% QoQ/ +120.3% YoY) by the latest quarter, attributed to Sea Capital.As a result of the reversal in its cost optimizations, SE only generated a less-than-halved operating income of $243.1M (-53.2% QoQ/ +148.8% YoY) in the latest quarter. This is on top of the -$117.9M impairment by the latest quarter, similar to the -$177.7M reported in FQ4'22.Therefore, it is unsurprising that the e-commerce company has reported an underwhelming FQ1'23 EPS of $0.15 (-78.5% QoQ/ + 114.4% YoY), missing the consensus EPS estimates of $0.73 by a wide margin of -79.4%. This cadence has naturally resulted in the post-earnings call sell-off, which caused its stock prices to plunge by -32.5%.Now that the pessimism is baked already in, fully reflected in SE's stock prices, is it a good time to add? Yes, in our opinion, since its FQ4'22 efforts have signaled that it is possible for the management to immediately pull the necessary levers to achieve both GAAP profitability and decent top-line growth within one quarter.Most importantly, SE's revenue driver, the E-Commerce segment, continues to outperform with revenues of $2.1B (inline QoQ/ +40% YoY) in FQ1'23, thanks to the Shopee platform expanding its local traffic share of up to 50% in Southeast Asia by May 2023.Due to this growing traffic share and cost optimizations thus far, the segment maintained its profitability with adj EBITDA of $207.7M (+5.9% QoQ/ +127.9% YoY) and margins of 9.8% (+0.5 points QoQ/ +59.3 YoY) in the latest quarter.SE's balance sheet remains decent as well, with cash/ short-term investments of $6.58B (-4.4% QoQ/ -25.2% YoY) and moderating long-term debts of $3.34B (inline QoQ/ -20% YoY) in FQ1'23. Most importantly, its Free Cash Flow generation has also improved to $504.5M (+183.4% QoQ), suggesting that some of the cost optimizations may further lift its liquidity ahead.Unfortunately, there seems to be where the good news end for SE. India's ban on Free Fire and tightened discretionary spending have likely impacted Digital Entertainment's quarterly active users and paying users to 491.6M (+1.2% QoQ/ -20.1% YoY) and 37.6M (-13.7% QoQ/ -38.7% YoY) by the latest quarter, respectively.This cadence has naturally contributed to the decline in its game bookings to $462.3M in FQ1'23 (-14.9% QoQ/ -42.2% YoY). Since the segment used to be the company's bottom line driver, the cadence is worrying indeed, as reflected in the moderating adj EBITDA of $230.1M (-10.8% QoQ/ -46.6% YoY).Then again, there is still a glimmer of hope ahead, since SE has prudently disbanded its investment arm, Sea Capital, supposedly attributed to the \"cooling investment environment globally as macroeconomic and market uncertainty weigh on valuations.\"With the CIO of Sea Capital leaving his position to join the SE board of directors, it appears that the segment is the last piece of the company's cost optimization efforts. All for the better, in our view, since digital financial services only contributed a meager 13.7% to the company's top line and 19.4% of the bottom line in the latest quarter.Assuming a small overhaul in the investment arm's headcount and operating expenses in FQ2'23, we may see a more focused and leaner company by H2'23, potentially contributing to its improved gross and operating margins as the macroeconomic outlook lifts.For example, the regional inflation rate in South East Asia has fallen to 4.8% by March 2023, compared to the peak of 6.1% in December 2022. Singapore's CPI has also declined to 5.74% by April 2023, compared to the 6.62% reported in January 2023 and 6.12% in 2022.Given the sustained downtrend, we may optimistically project a CPI of ~4% by the end of 2023, nearing the Monetary Authority of Singapore's projection of between 3.5% and 4.5%. This cadence may potentially ease the inflationary pressures while loosening the discretionary spending in the region.So, Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?SE 5Y EV/RevenueS&P Capital IQAnd, it is for this reason that we believe the pessimism embedded in SE's NTM EV/ Revenue is unwarranted, since the stock is now overly moderated to 2.29x, compared to its 5Y mean of 7.15x and pre-pandemic mean of 4.7x.While its top-line expansion may have decelerated, it is mostly attributed to the elevated interest rates and peak recessionary fears. These headwinds are only temporary, similarly impacting its e-commerce peers, Amazon (AMZN) and MercadoLibre (MELI).As a result of these promising developments and its depressed prices, we are finally rerating SE as a Buy due to the attractive risk-reward ratio. Then again, they must also be aware of the stock's elevated short interest of 7.27%, implying moderate volatility ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984242694,"gmtCreate":1667663970518,"gmtModify":1676537949845,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984242694","repostId":"1126084916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126084916","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1667649988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126084916?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-05 20:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire Hathaway Posts Quarterly Loss As Stock Holdings Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126084916","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insuran","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5123a6e2350392f040c0ac678a3ba3b5\" tg-width=\"6720\" tg-height=\"4480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insurance underwriting.</p><p>The net loss of $2.69 billion, or $1,832 per Class A share, compared with a profit of $10.34 billion, or $6,882 per share, a year earlier.</p><p>Operating profit rose 20% to $7.76 billion, or about $5,294 per Class A share, from $6.47 billion, or about $4,331 per share, a year earlier, helped by foreign currency gains and improvement in several businesses.</p><p>Berkshire also repurchased $1.05 billion of its own stock in the quarter, and has repurchased $5.25 billion this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire Hathaway Posts Quarterly Loss As Stock Holdings Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire Hathaway Posts Quarterly Loss As Stock Holdings Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-05 20:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5123a6e2350392f040c0ac678a3ba3b5\" tg-width=\"6720\" tg-height=\"4480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insurance underwriting.</p><p>The net loss of $2.69 billion, or $1,832 per Class A share, compared with a profit of $10.34 billion, or $6,882 per share, a year earlier.</p><p>Operating profit rose 20% to $7.76 billion, or about $5,294 per Class A share, from $6.47 billion, or about $4,331 per share, a year earlier, helped by foreign currency gains and improvement in several businesses.</p><p>Berkshire also repurchased $1.05 billion of its own stock in the quarter, and has repurchased $5.25 billion this year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126084916","content_text":"Nov 5 (Reuters) - Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK)on Saturday posted a third-quarter loss, as the conglomerate run by billionaire Warren Buffett said it lost money on its stock investments and from insurance underwriting.The net loss of $2.69 billion, or $1,832 per Class A share, compared with a profit of $10.34 billion, or $6,882 per share, a year earlier.Operating profit rose 20% to $7.76 billion, or about $5,294 per Class A share, from $6.47 billion, or about $4,331 per share, a year earlier, helped by foreign currency gains and improvement in several businesses.Berkshire also repurchased $1.05 billion of its own stock in the quarter, and has repurchased $5.25 billion this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055791305,"gmtCreate":1655308721507,"gmtModify":1676535609955,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055791305","repostId":"2243494679","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243494679","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655306454,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243494679?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 23:20","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243494679","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Investment Thesis</b></h2><p>It is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2&#39;22 onwards, given the massive impact of China&#39;s ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The company would need to go above and beyond the impossible to achieve its delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles in FQ2&#39;22, given that Tesla (TSLA) had also struggled to reach pre-lockdown deliveries in May 2022. Given the complexity of auto supply chains, it is unlikely that NIO would be able to report an impressive YoY comparison in FQ2&#39;22, thus suggesting a stagnant stock valuation and prices moving forward, if not a retracement. As a result, we would advise interested investors to wait and observe a little longer before adding more NIO stock to their portfolios.</p><p>Risk-averse investors would be well advised of NIO&#39;s potential delisting from the NYSE stock market, though it is also apparent that a secondary listing in Singapore has been completed.</p><p>Nonetheless, despite the multiple uncertainties, we reiterate our stand since our previous analysis, that NIO remains a promising EV stock with an interesting battery swap concept. As <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the leading companies in China, the company stands to gain critical market share from Tesla in China, in the EU market, and potentially in the US market, upon its eventual entry in the future.</p><p>Therefore, NIO stock is highly suitable for speculative long-term investors, despite its current lack of profitability and the political uncertainty in China.</p><h2><b>NIO Reported Slowing Revenue Growth And Sustained Un-Profitability</b></h2><p><b>NIO Revenue and Gross Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5626d65bcd14ea9e68ba8f4282a46d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO reported revenues of $1.56B in FQ1&#39;22, representing a YoY increase of 27.8%, though in line sequentially. The deceleration in revenue growth is partly attributed to supply chain production capacity for now, though we expect to see improvements by H2&#39;22. However, it is also apparent that there is increasing pressure on its gross margins, given that the company reports YoY lower gross margin of 14.6% in FQ1&#39;22 compared to 19.5% in FQ1&#39;21. With rising battery and chip costs, we expect NIO&#39;s gross margins to continue declining in FQ2&#39;22 before potentially recovering once the price hikes kick in by FQ3&#39;22.</p><p>In FQ1&#39;22, NIO also delivered 25.7K vehicles for the quarter, representing in line sequentially and an exemplary increase of 37.6% YoY. NIO CEO William Bin Li said:</p><blockquote>Despite the volatilities of the supply chain and the challenges in vehicle delivery resulting from the recent COVID-19 resurgence, we witnessed robust demand for our complementary products and achieved an all-time high order inflow in May 2022. (Seeking Alpha)</blockquote><p><b>NIO Net Income and Net Income Margin</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/704aba7cd5e743697335b2ee75e16612\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO reported net incomes of -$287.8 and net income margins of -18.4% in FQ1&#39;22, thereby highlighting its lack of profitability since its incorporation in 2014. The company has also been increasing its operational costs exponentially with a total of $595.6M expenses by FQ1&#39;22, representing 38.1% of its revenues and an increase of 207.1% YoY. Nonetheless, given that NIO has kept its operating expenses relatively stable at an average of 33.6% in the past eight quarters, it is apparent that the management has been rather disciplined in cost control as well.</p><p><b>NIO R&amp;D and Selling General &amp; Admin Expenses</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b76193ccef6cf51d6ce1cb26b52b84e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><b>NIO Long-Term Debt, Cash/ Equivalent, and Share Dilution</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beb728a98a6a79d4c7cf83ca56b7a370\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Due to its lack of profitability, it is evident that NIO will likely rely on a combination of long-term debt and share-based compensation (SBC) for its expanding operations. By FQ1&#39;22, the company had increased its reliance on debt by over 11-fold from $0.15B to $1.75B, while also diluting its shareholder by 55.5% since its IPO in September 2018. In FY2021 alone, NIO spent $158.5M in SBC, while drastically increasing the expenses to $74.6M by FQ1&#39;22, representing an increase of 390.2% YoY. Assuming a similar rate of SBC expenses, we may expect the company to report up to $300M for FY2022. That would be a concern for many early investors, given that the company is not expected to report net income profitability until FY2024.</p><h2>NIO Will Most Likely Fail To Deliver In FQ2&#39;22</h2><p><b>NIO Projected Revenue and Net Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e431100e75de1993cf165583a915cbb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Over the next three years, NIO is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 55.36% while also achieving profitability by FY2024 with a net income of $0.34B. For FY2022, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $9.15B with net incomes of -$0.88B, representing impressive YoY growth of 61% and 50%, respectively.</p><p>Nonetheless, given the ongoing Zero Covid Policy in China, there is a likelihood of a downwards re-rating for NIO&#39;s FY2022 revenue, given Shanghai&#39;s continuous lockdowns. The company itself had guided FQ2&#39;22 revenues in the range of $1.47B to $1.59B against consensus estimates of $1.79B, representing up to a 5.7% decline QoQ though a 12.2% growth YoY. We are also not convinced of NIO&#39;s delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles for FQ2&#39;22, given that the company had only delivered 5.074K and 7.042K vehicles in April and May 2022 respectively, thereby requiring an ambitious delivery of 10.884K vehicles in June 2022. Though rather unlikely, we shall anticipate its delivery update by early July 2022.</p><p>In contrast, we may expect improvement by H2&#39;22 once NIO successfully expands its production capacity while also entering the auto market in Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nonetheless, it is also important to note that these require an easing of China&#39;s Covid policy while a stabling of the global supply chain issues. We shall continue to monitor the situation.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NIO, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>NIO: Down 55% With Supercharged Growth - Time To Buy Now</li></ul><h2><b>So, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></h2><h2><b> </b></h2><p><b>NIO 3Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2d07698f9480734680a03d86b698970\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 2.58x and NTM P/E of -47.22x, lower than its 3Y mean of 7.12x and -83.60x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $18.14, down 67% from its 52 weeks high of $55.13, though at a 55.4% premium from its 52 weeks low of $11.67. It is apparent that the NIO stock has been on sideways price action since our last analysis in April 2022.</p><p><b>NIO 3Y Stock Price</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad1ad9132060d18429ffb22f39607a5a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"217\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Given the macro issues and China&#39;s unrelenting Zero Covid Policy, we are of the opinion that pain will not be ending anytime soon. Therefore, NIO&#39;s delivery would likely continue to be impacted until then, further reducing any chances of stock recovery in the short term.</p><p>Though consensus estimates had rated NIO as an attractive buy with a price target of $38.33, we are of a more conservative opinion of a potential retracement by early July 2022, assuming that the company could not deliver on its FQ2&#39;23 vehicle target. As a result, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement before adding to their portfolio.</p><p>Therefore, we <i>rate NIO stock as a Hold for now.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 23:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2'22 onwards, given the massive impact of China's ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243494679","content_text":"Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2'22 onwards, given the massive impact of China's ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The company would need to go above and beyond the impossible to achieve its delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles in FQ2'22, given that Tesla (TSLA) had also struggled to reach pre-lockdown deliveries in May 2022. Given the complexity of auto supply chains, it is unlikely that NIO would be able to report an impressive YoY comparison in FQ2'22, thus suggesting a stagnant stock valuation and prices moving forward, if not a retracement. As a result, we would advise interested investors to wait and observe a little longer before adding more NIO stock to their portfolios.Risk-averse investors would be well advised of NIO's potential delisting from the NYSE stock market, though it is also apparent that a secondary listing in Singapore has been completed.Nonetheless, despite the multiple uncertainties, we reiterate our stand since our previous analysis, that NIO remains a promising EV stock with an interesting battery swap concept. As one of the leading companies in China, the company stands to gain critical market share from Tesla in China, in the EU market, and potentially in the US market, upon its eventual entry in the future.Therefore, NIO stock is highly suitable for speculative long-term investors, despite its current lack of profitability and the political uncertainty in China.NIO Reported Slowing Revenue Growth And Sustained Un-ProfitabilityNIO Revenue and Gross IncomeS&P Capital IQNIO reported revenues of $1.56B in FQ1'22, representing a YoY increase of 27.8%, though in line sequentially. The deceleration in revenue growth is partly attributed to supply chain production capacity for now, though we expect to see improvements by H2'22. However, it is also apparent that there is increasing pressure on its gross margins, given that the company reports YoY lower gross margin of 14.6% in FQ1'22 compared to 19.5% in FQ1'21. With rising battery and chip costs, we expect NIO's gross margins to continue declining in FQ2'22 before potentially recovering once the price hikes kick in by FQ3'22.In FQ1'22, NIO also delivered 25.7K vehicles for the quarter, representing in line sequentially and an exemplary increase of 37.6% YoY. NIO CEO William Bin Li said:Despite the volatilities of the supply chain and the challenges in vehicle delivery resulting from the recent COVID-19 resurgence, we witnessed robust demand for our complementary products and achieved an all-time high order inflow in May 2022. (Seeking Alpha)NIO Net Income and Net Income MarginS&P Capital IQNIO reported net incomes of -$287.8 and net income margins of -18.4% in FQ1'22, thereby highlighting its lack of profitability since its incorporation in 2014. The company has also been increasing its operational costs exponentially with a total of $595.6M expenses by FQ1'22, representing 38.1% of its revenues and an increase of 207.1% YoY. Nonetheless, given that NIO has kept its operating expenses relatively stable at an average of 33.6% in the past eight quarters, it is apparent that the management has been rather disciplined in cost control as well.NIO R&D and Selling General & Admin ExpensesS&P Capital IQNIO Long-Term Debt, Cash/ Equivalent, and Share DilutionS&P Capital IQDue to its lack of profitability, it is evident that NIO will likely rely on a combination of long-term debt and share-based compensation (SBC) for its expanding operations. By FQ1'22, the company had increased its reliance on debt by over 11-fold from $0.15B to $1.75B, while also diluting its shareholder by 55.5% since its IPO in September 2018. In FY2021 alone, NIO spent $158.5M in SBC, while drastically increasing the expenses to $74.6M by FQ1'22, representing an increase of 390.2% YoY. Assuming a similar rate of SBC expenses, we may expect the company to report up to $300M for FY2022. That would be a concern for many early investors, given that the company is not expected to report net income profitability until FY2024.NIO Will Most Likely Fail To Deliver In FQ2'22NIO Projected Revenue and Net IncomeS&P Capital IQOver the next three years, NIO is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 55.36% while also achieving profitability by FY2024 with a net income of $0.34B. For FY2022, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $9.15B with net incomes of -$0.88B, representing impressive YoY growth of 61% and 50%, respectively.Nonetheless, given the ongoing Zero Covid Policy in China, there is a likelihood of a downwards re-rating for NIO's FY2022 revenue, given Shanghai's continuous lockdowns. The company itself had guided FQ2'22 revenues in the range of $1.47B to $1.59B against consensus estimates of $1.79B, representing up to a 5.7% decline QoQ though a 12.2% growth YoY. We are also not convinced of NIO's delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles for FQ2'22, given that the company had only delivered 5.074K and 7.042K vehicles in April and May 2022 respectively, thereby requiring an ambitious delivery of 10.884K vehicles in June 2022. Though rather unlikely, we shall anticipate its delivery update by early July 2022.In contrast, we may expect improvement by H2'22 once NIO successfully expands its production capacity while also entering the auto market in Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nonetheless, it is also important to note that these require an easing of China's Covid policy while a stabling of the global supply chain issues. We shall continue to monitor the situation.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NIO, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.NIO: Down 55% With Supercharged Growth - Time To Buy NowSo, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold? NIO 3Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQNIO is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 2.58x and NTM P/E of -47.22x, lower than its 3Y mean of 7.12x and -83.60x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $18.14, down 67% from its 52 weeks high of $55.13, though at a 55.4% premium from its 52 weeks low of $11.67. It is apparent that the NIO stock has been on sideways price action since our last analysis in April 2022.NIO 3Y Stock PriceSeeking AlphaGiven the macro issues and China's unrelenting Zero Covid Policy, we are of the opinion that pain will not be ending anytime soon. Therefore, NIO's delivery would likely continue to be impacted until then, further reducing any chances of stock recovery in the short term.Though consensus estimates had rated NIO as an attractive buy with a price target of $38.33, we are of a more conservative opinion of a potential retracement by early July 2022, assuming that the company could not deliver on its FQ2'23 vehicle target. As a result, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement before adding to their portfolio.Therefore, we rate NIO stock as a Hold for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9001932245,"gmtCreate":1641136512453,"gmtModify":1676533575270,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don e","listText":"Don e","text":"Don e","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9001932245","repostId":"2200444738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2200444738","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1641099600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2200444738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-02 13:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If I Could Buy Only 1 Stock in 2022, This Would Be It","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200444738","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Our favorite stock picks for the coming year.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We&#39;re firm believers in the benefit of owning a diversified portfolio of stocks. However, we all have our favorite stocks.</p><p>We asked some of our Fool.com contributors to whittle their favorites down to their top choice to buy in 2022 if they could only pick <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>. Here&#39;s why <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a></b> (NYSE:MMM), <b>Brookfield Asset Management </b>(NYSE:BAM), and <b>Brookfield Renewable</b> (NYSE:BEP)(NYSE:BEPC) topped their lists as the one stock they&#39;d buy this year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a909bb3cfb7abaedc74cfef9296edc0a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>A diversified giant that&#39;s still on sale</h2><p><b>Reuben Gregg Brewer (3M):</b> Benjamin Graham, renowned value investor and mentor to Warren Buffet, explains that investors are partnered with &#34;Mr. Market,&#34; a mercurial fellow prone to fits of despair and jubilation. When he&#39;s overly excited, you should consider selling to him; when he&#39;s pessimistic, you should think about buying. Right now, Mr. Market is very downbeat on diversified international industrial giant 3M. One way to see this is that the company&#39;s dividend yield, at around 3.3%, is near the top end of its historical range.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35404c30dd22bffd6cc4a1450aa485c9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>MMM Dividend Yield data by YCharts</span></p><p>Graham had some other advice when it came to actually selecting stocks. Specifically, he argued that most investors would be wise sticking to large, financially strong companies, with strong dividend histories. 3M stacks up well on these measures. It has a market cap of $100 billion, which makes it a mega-cap stock. Its balance sheet is investment-grade rated by the major credit agencies, so it&#39;s financially strong. And it has increased its dividend annually for over 60 years, making it a very elite Dividend King.</p><p>So why is Mr. Market pessimistic? The answer is a mixture of slowing growth and some product and environmental lawsuits. These are notable problems, but they&#39;re not insurmountable. On the business front, the industrial giant&#39;s operations wax and wane over time just like any other company. Given its history and focus on innovation, it should eventually get back on a better track. As for the lawsuits, they could be costly, but it&#39;s likely that 3M will be able to handle the hit. In the end, this is an attractively priced name with a great history that is dealing with issues that seem transitory.</p><h2>A proven value creator</h2><p><b>Matt DiLallo (Brookfield Asset Management):</b> I like to invest. Because of that, I routinely purchase a variety of stocks. However, if I could only buy one in the coming year, Brookfield Asset Management would be my top choice.</p><p>For starters, I love the company&#39;s management. CEO Bruce Flatt is a personal favorite of mine. He&#39;s right up there with Warren Buffett in my book as one of the best value investors around. I enjoy reading his quarterly letter to shareholders, which Flatt fills with investing and economic insight. He&#39;s also a proven value creator. Since becoming CEO in 2002, he&#39;s helped Brookfield deliver a 15.7% total annualized return, pulverizing the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>&#39;s 10.6% total return during that time frame. </p><p>I also like the company&#39;s business model. Brookfield is a leading global alternative asset manager focused on real estate, infrastructure, and renewable energy -- three of my favorite investing themes. An investment in Brookfield provides broad exposure to those three asset classes and many more. Brookfield invests directly across those themes and manages private equity funds focused on those sectors.</p><p>Finally, Brookfield has enormous upside potential. It expects to double its fee-bearing assets under management over the next five years. Combine that with performance-based earnings on its funds and the compounding value of its balance sheet investments, and it has the potential of generating up to 25% annualized total returns over the next five years. That upside, along with all the other positives, is why I&#39;d buy Brookfield if it were the only stock I could purchase this year. </p><h2>Investors are overlooking the growth potential here</h2><p><b>Neha Chamaria</b> <b>(Brookfield Renewable)</b>: 2021 is turning out to be a record-setting year for global renewable electricity addition, but this could just be the beginning. Yet shares of one of the largest pure-play renewables companies that&#39;s growing at a steady pace have languished this year, which is why Brookfield Renewable would be at the top of my shopping list of stocks to buy in 2022.</p><p>Brookfield Renewable, in fact, generated record funds from operations (FFO) in its third quarter and believes it could grow FFO by nearly 20% per year through 2026 through a combination of organic and inorganic growth. 2021 was also a solid year in terms of growth initiatives, with Brookfield Renewable expanding its U.S. distributed-generation business by nearly five times, signing agreements to acquire multiple late-stage solar development projects in the U.S. and even making meaningful headway in the high-potential green hydrogen space.</p><p>Brookfield Renewable&#39;s current development pipeline is larger than ever, and the company is committed to growing dividends annually by 5% to 9%. That shouldn&#39;t be tough given the solid pace of growth in its FFO. That dividend growth, its dividend yield of 3.4%, and the humongous growth potential in renewable energy are the biggest reasons why I consider Brookfield Renewable a top stock for 2022.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If I Could Buy Only 1 Stock in 2022, This Would Be It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf I Could Buy Only 1 Stock in 2022, This Would Be It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-02 13:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/01/if-i-could-buy-only-1-stock-in-2022-this-would-be/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We're firm believers in the benefit of owning a diversified portfolio of stocks. However, we all have our favorite stocks.We asked some of our Fool.com contributors to whittle their favorites down to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/01/if-i-could-buy-only-1-stock-in-2022-this-would-be/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAM":"布鲁克菲尔德资产管理","BEP":"Brookfield Renewable Partners LP","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行","BK4512":"苹果概念","MMM":"3M","BEPC":"Brookfield Renewable Corp.","BK4206":"工业集团企业","BK4133":"新能源发电业者","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/01/if-i-could-buy-only-1-stock-in-2022-this-would-be/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200444738","content_text":"We're firm believers in the benefit of owning a diversified portfolio of stocks. However, we all have our favorite stocks.We asked some of our Fool.com contributors to whittle their favorites down to their top choice to buy in 2022 if they could only pick one. Here's why 3M (NYSE:MMM), Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE:BAM), and Brookfield Renewable (NYSE:BEP)(NYSE:BEPC) topped their lists as the one stock they'd buy this year. Image source: Getty Images.A diversified giant that's still on saleReuben Gregg Brewer (3M): Benjamin Graham, renowned value investor and mentor to Warren Buffet, explains that investors are partnered with \"Mr. Market,\" a mercurial fellow prone to fits of despair and jubilation. When he's overly excited, you should consider selling to him; when he's pessimistic, you should think about buying. Right now, Mr. Market is very downbeat on diversified international industrial giant 3M. One way to see this is that the company's dividend yield, at around 3.3%, is near the top end of its historical range.MMM Dividend Yield data by YChartsGraham had some other advice when it came to actually selecting stocks. Specifically, he argued that most investors would be wise sticking to large, financially strong companies, with strong dividend histories. 3M stacks up well on these measures. It has a market cap of $100 billion, which makes it a mega-cap stock. Its balance sheet is investment-grade rated by the major credit agencies, so it's financially strong. And it has increased its dividend annually for over 60 years, making it a very elite Dividend King.So why is Mr. Market pessimistic? The answer is a mixture of slowing growth and some product and environmental lawsuits. These are notable problems, but they're not insurmountable. On the business front, the industrial giant's operations wax and wane over time just like any other company. Given its history and focus on innovation, it should eventually get back on a better track. As for the lawsuits, they could be costly, but it's likely that 3M will be able to handle the hit. In the end, this is an attractively priced name with a great history that is dealing with issues that seem transitory.A proven value creatorMatt DiLallo (Brookfield Asset Management): I like to invest. Because of that, I routinely purchase a variety of stocks. However, if I could only buy one in the coming year, Brookfield Asset Management would be my top choice.For starters, I love the company's management. CEO Bruce Flatt is a personal favorite of mine. He's right up there with Warren Buffett in my book as one of the best value investors around. I enjoy reading his quarterly letter to shareholders, which Flatt fills with investing and economic insight. He's also a proven value creator. Since becoming CEO in 2002, he's helped Brookfield deliver a 15.7% total annualized return, pulverizing the S&P 500's 10.6% total return during that time frame. I also like the company's business model. Brookfield is a leading global alternative asset manager focused on real estate, infrastructure, and renewable energy -- three of my favorite investing themes. An investment in Brookfield provides broad exposure to those three asset classes and many more. Brookfield invests directly across those themes and manages private equity funds focused on those sectors.Finally, Brookfield has enormous upside potential. It expects to double its fee-bearing assets under management over the next five years. Combine that with performance-based earnings on its funds and the compounding value of its balance sheet investments, and it has the potential of generating up to 25% annualized total returns over the next five years. That upside, along with all the other positives, is why I'd buy Brookfield if it were the only stock I could purchase this year. Investors are overlooking the growth potential hereNeha Chamaria (Brookfield Renewable): 2021 is turning out to be a record-setting year for global renewable electricity addition, but this could just be the beginning. Yet shares of one of the largest pure-play renewables companies that's growing at a steady pace have languished this year, which is why Brookfield Renewable would be at the top of my shopping list of stocks to buy in 2022.Brookfield Renewable, in fact, generated record funds from operations (FFO) in its third quarter and believes it could grow FFO by nearly 20% per year through 2026 through a combination of organic and inorganic growth. 2021 was also a solid year in terms of growth initiatives, with Brookfield Renewable expanding its U.S. distributed-generation business by nearly five times, signing agreements to acquire multiple late-stage solar development projects in the U.S. and even making meaningful headway in the high-potential green hydrogen space.Brookfield Renewable's current development pipeline is larger than ever, and the company is committed to growing dividends annually by 5% to 9%. That shouldn't be tough given the solid pace of growth in its FFO. That dividend growth, its dividend yield of 3.4%, and the humongous growth potential in renewable energy are the biggest reasons why I consider Brookfield Renewable a top stock for 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184617147068592,"gmtCreate":1686096934182,"gmtModify":1686096937849,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I like battery changing&nbsp;","listText":"I like battery changing&nbsp;","text":"I like battery changing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184617147068592","repostId":"2341861415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2341861415","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1686125400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2341861415?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-07 16:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO: Penny Range Soon - We Were Wrong","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2341861415","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"golubovy/iStock via Getty Images The NIO Investment Thesis Needs To Be More Compelling NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) has delivered disappointment again and again, with May 2023 only delivering 6.15K EVs (-7.6% ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>NIO has underperformed our expectations, both in stock performance and delivery numbers, likely attributed to its premium strategy and transition to NT2.0.</p></li><li><p>Its cash burn may accelerate ahead, as it seeks to enter the mass market through two sub-brands by H2&#39;24, worsened by its lack of economies of scale.</p></li><li><p>It appears that NIO&#39;s previous guidance of 250K EV output by FY2023 and breakeven by FY2024 may have been too ambitious indeed.</p></li><li><p>Anyone looking to add the stock here must be ready for short-term underperformance in our view.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf159dd84bec5071eddd2d6abf3ea71\" alt=\"golubovy/iStock via Getty Images\" title=\"golubovy/iStock via Getty Images\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>golubovy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The NIO Investment Thesis Needs To Be More Compelling</h2><p>NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) has delivered disappointment again and again, with May 2023 only delivering 6.15K EVs (-7.6% MoM/-12.3% YoY). While part of the headwinds may be attributed to the transition to NT2.0 and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases in China, it is apparent that its competitors do not face the same demand destruction.</p><p>For example, BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) delivered 240.22K units in May 2023 (+14.2% MoM/+110.5% YoY), while XPeng (XPEV) reported 7.5K (+6% MoM/ -25.8% YoY) and Li Auto (LI) reported 28.22K (+10.1% MoM/+145.6% YoY).</p><p>Tesla&#39;s (TSLA) price war has also worked in its favor, with the automaker similarly recording an increase in its China-based sales to 39.95K units (-47.8% MoM/ +306.8% YoY) in April 2023, likely attributed to its attractive pricing of 263.9K yuan for the Model Y and 231.9K yuan for the Model 3.</p><p>This cadence suggests that NIO is rapidly losing market share, as its competitors eat the former&#39;s lunch in the intensely competitive EV market, with the retail and wholesale EV sales in China expected to decelerate ahead.</p><p>Therefore, while the automaker already scored 30K pre-orders for ES6 within three days of launch, we are uncertain about its eventual success, due to the model&#39;s higher price range of 368K and 426K yuan.</p><p>Combined with the cumulative delivery of 43.83K YTD, the NIO management may need to aggressively ramp up output and delivery by H2&#39;23 to achieve its aggressive FY2023 volume guidance of 250K. Otherwise, more realistically, we may see the management lower its guidance yet again, as it did previously in December 2022. Assuming so, we may see another downward pressure on its stock price indeed.</p><p>The automaker also boasts an overcrowded playbook with four premium sedan options and three premium SUV options, on top of the EVE and EP9 ambitions. This cadence has consistently impacted its gross margins to 10.5% over the last twelve months (-8.4 points YoY), while similarly expanding its R&amp;D expenses to $1.54B (+116.1% YoY).</p><p>Despite the minimal profitability thus far, NIO is also planning to enter the mass market EV segment by H2&#39;24 with two sub-brands, &#34;Firefly&#34; and &#34;Alps,&#34; at the target sales prices of between 200K and 300K yuan, a notable discount of ~50% from its current offerings.</p><p>With a “critical phase in research and development,&#34; we may see the automaker&#39;s operating margins worsen from the last reported at -31.7% (-19.4 points YoY).</p><p>NIO&#39;s cash burn may also accelerate to ~$175M quarterly, due to the increased capital expenditures from new initiatives (likely to include the new solid-state batteries, mass-market R&amp;D, new showrooms/ clubhouses, and service centers), as previously highlighted in the FQ4&#39;22 earnings call:</p><blockquote>Regarding the investment for the new strategic -- for the strategic new businesses, for the full year, we estimate that this will be around RMB 4 billion to RMB 5 billion. So, if we break it down, then it means that probably around RMB 1 billion every quarter. (Seeking Alpha)</blockquote><p>Therefore, while we applaud the diversified pricing strategy, we are highly skeptical of the NIO management&#39;s ambitious guidance of break-even by FY2024, due to the impacted deliveries thus far.</p><p>Combined with the reduced output of 122.48K in FY2022 and planned 250K output in FY2023, compared to the installed capacity of 600K units, it is unsurprising that the automaker has yet to achieve a satisfactory economy of scale thus far.</p><h2>So, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</h2><p><strong>NIO 5Y Stock Price</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87ed2455c19a742689813ce1d583cfb4\" alt=\"TradingView\" title=\"TradingView\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"/><span>TradingView</span></p><p>Based on the downward trend thus far, it appears NIO is likely to break the IPO support level to hit the $5s in the near term, implying a -30% downside from current levels. This conjecture is not too bearish indeed, since its FQ2&#39;23 guidance may disappoint due to the factors discussed above.</p><p><strong>NIO YTD EV/Revenue</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6525f938b3092fbc295cd221960f6ee\" alt=\"S&amp;P Capital IQ\" title=\"S&amp;P Capital IQ\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"254\"/><span>S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p>The same pessimism is also embedded in the NIO&#39;s NTM EV/ Revenues of 0.91x, moderated against its 1Y mean of 1.13x and its peer&#39;s NTM EV/ Revenues, such as LI at 1.41x, XPEV at 1.07x, and BYDDF at 1.05x.</p><p>As a result, while we personally admire the handsome features offered by the automaker&#39;s SUV models, the stock no longer looks convincing at these levels. In addition, the stock has yet to find a sustainable bottom attributed to the underperformance and impacted margins thus far.</p><p>Anyone looking to add NIO here must also be prepared for more volatility, in our view, due to the elevated short interest of 7.89%, despite the -57.18% decline over the past year. While its long-term prospects appear to be decent, investors must also closely monitor its balance sheet, which has been deteriorating at an accelerated rate of -$2.5B annually.</p><p>As a result, we prefer to prudently rate the NIO stock as a Hold (Neutral) here, since it may continue to underperform even at these depressed levels.</p><p>Meanwhile, investors with higher risk tolerance may consider establishing a small position at the $5s. Even then, the portfolio must be sized appropriately since the developing geopolitical risks may put downward pressure on the stock prices.</p><p>Editor&#39;s Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: Penny Range Soon - We Were Wrong</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: Penny Range Soon - We Were Wrong\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-07 16:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4609355-nio-penny-range-soon-we-were-wrong><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNIO has underperformed our expectations, both in stock performance and delivery numbers, likely attributed to its premium strategy and transition to NT2.0.Its cash burn may accelerate ahead, as...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4609355-nio-penny-range-soon-we-were-wrong\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4563":"昨日强势股","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","NIO":"蔚来","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4509":"腾讯概念","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","09866":"蔚来-SW","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4588":"碎股","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4503":"景林资产持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4609355-nio-penny-range-soon-we-were-wrong","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2341861415","content_text":"SummaryNIO has underperformed our expectations, both in stock performance and delivery numbers, likely attributed to its premium strategy and transition to NT2.0.Its cash burn may accelerate ahead, as it seeks to enter the mass market through two sub-brands by H2'24, worsened by its lack of economies of scale.It appears that NIO's previous guidance of 250K EV output by FY2023 and breakeven by FY2024 may have been too ambitious indeed.Anyone looking to add the stock here must be ready for short-term underperformance in our view.golubovy/iStock via Getty ImagesThe NIO Investment Thesis Needs To Be More CompellingNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) has delivered disappointment again and again, with May 2023 only delivering 6.15K EVs (-7.6% MoM/-12.3% YoY). While part of the headwinds may be attributed to the transition to NT2.0 and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases in China, it is apparent that its competitors do not face the same demand destruction.For example, BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) delivered 240.22K units in May 2023 (+14.2% MoM/+110.5% YoY), while XPeng (XPEV) reported 7.5K (+6% MoM/ -25.8% YoY) and Li Auto (LI) reported 28.22K (+10.1% MoM/+145.6% YoY).Tesla's (TSLA) price war has also worked in its favor, with the automaker similarly recording an increase in its China-based sales to 39.95K units (-47.8% MoM/ +306.8% YoY) in April 2023, likely attributed to its attractive pricing of 263.9K yuan for the Model Y and 231.9K yuan for the Model 3.This cadence suggests that NIO is rapidly losing market share, as its competitors eat the former's lunch in the intensely competitive EV market, with the retail and wholesale EV sales in China expected to decelerate ahead.Therefore, while the automaker already scored 30K pre-orders for ES6 within three days of launch, we are uncertain about its eventual success, due to the model's higher price range of 368K and 426K yuan.Combined with the cumulative delivery of 43.83K YTD, the NIO management may need to aggressively ramp up output and delivery by H2'23 to achieve its aggressive FY2023 volume guidance of 250K. Otherwise, more realistically, we may see the management lower its guidance yet again, as it did previously in December 2022. Assuming so, we may see another downward pressure on its stock price indeed.The automaker also boasts an overcrowded playbook with four premium sedan options and three premium SUV options, on top of the EVE and EP9 ambitions. This cadence has consistently impacted its gross margins to 10.5% over the last twelve months (-8.4 points YoY), while similarly expanding its R&D expenses to $1.54B (+116.1% YoY).Despite the minimal profitability thus far, NIO is also planning to enter the mass market EV segment by H2'24 with two sub-brands, \"Firefly\" and \"Alps,\" at the target sales prices of between 200K and 300K yuan, a notable discount of ~50% from its current offerings.With a “critical phase in research and development,\" we may see the automaker's operating margins worsen from the last reported at -31.7% (-19.4 points YoY).NIO's cash burn may also accelerate to ~$175M quarterly, due to the increased capital expenditures from new initiatives (likely to include the new solid-state batteries, mass-market R&D, new showrooms/ clubhouses, and service centers), as previously highlighted in the FQ4'22 earnings call:Regarding the investment for the new strategic -- for the strategic new businesses, for the full year, we estimate that this will be around RMB 4 billion to RMB 5 billion. So, if we break it down, then it means that probably around RMB 1 billion every quarter. (Seeking Alpha)Therefore, while we applaud the diversified pricing strategy, we are highly skeptical of the NIO management's ambitious guidance of break-even by FY2024, due to the impacted deliveries thus far.Combined with the reduced output of 122.48K in FY2022 and planned 250K output in FY2023, compared to the installed capacity of 600K units, it is unsurprising that the automaker has yet to achieve a satisfactory economy of scale thus far.So, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?NIO 5Y Stock PriceTradingViewBased on the downward trend thus far, it appears NIO is likely to break the IPO support level to hit the $5s in the near term, implying a -30% downside from current levels. This conjecture is not too bearish indeed, since its FQ2'23 guidance may disappoint due to the factors discussed above.NIO YTD EV/RevenueS&P Capital IQThe same pessimism is also embedded in the NIO's NTM EV/ Revenues of 0.91x, moderated against its 1Y mean of 1.13x and its peer's NTM EV/ Revenues, such as LI at 1.41x, XPEV at 1.07x, and BYDDF at 1.05x.As a result, while we personally admire the handsome features offered by the automaker's SUV models, the stock no longer looks convincing at these levels. In addition, the stock has yet to find a sustainable bottom attributed to the underperformance and impacted margins thus far.Anyone looking to add NIO here must also be prepared for more volatility, in our view, due to the elevated short interest of 7.89%, despite the -57.18% decline over the past year. While its long-term prospects appear to be decent, investors must also closely monitor its balance sheet, which has been deteriorating at an accelerated rate of -$2.5B annually.As a result, we prefer to prudently rate the NIO stock as a Hold (Neutral) here, since it may continue to underperform even at these depressed levels.Meanwhile, investors with higher risk tolerance may consider establishing a small position at the $5s. Even then, the portfolio must be sized appropriately since the developing geopolitical risks may put downward pressure on the stock prices.Editor's Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075443938,"gmtCreate":1658246357224,"gmtModify":1676536128015,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075443938","repostId":"1128013391","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128013391","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658240028,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128013391?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128013391","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.</li><li>After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.</li><li>However, Alibaba&#39;s e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.</li><li>Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.</li><li>Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China&#39;s e-Commerce market.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77b887b51b51f300ef64a42a227dcdff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Andrew Burton</span></p><p>It is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.</p><p>I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.</p><p><b>New round of fines for large Chinese tech companies</b></p><p>Last week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.</p><p>After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf26bb44feeb3e1ae51093c8b212e44\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.</p><p>Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9859ed387dc93ce5ea3521788e84f556\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>Why Alibaba&#39;s Commerce performance may be set to improve</b></p><p>China’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.</p><p>I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.</p><p>While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China&#39;s retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de51cc71edd3017cc209bc885f2f57d7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>eMarketer</span></p><p>E-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba&#39;s growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba&#39;s domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b75138e34865e1c34f0238048d5fb3\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p>But even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc81d5802b7f195078bf311072f6f7d0\" tg-width=\"937\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba</span></p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s valuation got another discount last week</b></p><p>It is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.</p><p>Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838ad34a6ddef0058d83ea7f46ee35ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Risks with Alibaba</b></p><p>The real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China&#39;s anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.</p><p>Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba&#39;s recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>The Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.</p><p>But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Dragon Is Set To Awake Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524101-alibaba-stock-buy-heading-into-earnings?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1128013391","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was handed new regulatory fines for disclosure violations last week, reminding investors that regulatory risks have not disappeared from the landscape.After the announcement of new fines, shares of Alibaba plunged 15%.However, Alibaba's e-Commerce performance going forward may be better than expected as COVID-19 lockdowns get gradually lifted.Certain segments in Alibaba’s domestic e-Commerce business, like direct sales and wholesale, are still seeing growth momentum.Alibaba remains massively undervalued based on the growth prospects in China's e-Commerce market.Andrew BurtonIt is difficult to make the case for investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) given the headlines of the last year or so: Government crackdowns and a slowing e-Commerce business have driven shares of Alibaba into a long-term down-trend. Justlast week, Alibaba and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) were fined for violations of disclosure regulations by China’s anti-monopoly agency which drove a new sell-off in shares of Chinese tech companies.I last analysed Alibaba in May. I added to my pile of Alibaba’s shares, however, and expect the e-Commerce company to submit a strong earnings card for FQ1’23 in August.New round of fines for large Chinese tech companiesLast week, China’s anti-trust regulators reminded investors once again that Chinese companies remain in their cross hairs when they fined Alibaba and Tencent for violations of disclosure rules. The State Administration for Market Regulation/SAMR, which is China’s anti-monopoly agency tasked with overseeing mergers and acquisition deals, said that 28 deals violated its disclosure rules, including five from Alibaba, 12 from Tencent and 4 from Didi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY). Fines for reported disclosure violations were 500,000 yuan (US$74,600) per case which is the maximum amount the State Administration for Market regulation can impose. Alibaba was also fined for its investment in Youku Tudou, a video streaming platform into which Alibaba invested $1.2B back in 2014. After the transaction, Youku Tudou became a subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding Limited.After new fines on Chinese tech companies were disclosed to the public, shares of the affected companies plunged with Alibaba crashing the most. This sell-off creates a new buying opportunity for investors that like to focus more on the fundamentals of the businesses in question instead of the latest regulatory actions.While the absolute USD amount of the imposed fines is negligible, it shows that the anti-monopoly agency continues to review Alibaba’s past acquisitions and new fines remain a risk going forward. However, the new down-leg in Alibaba’s shares creates a new opportunity to buy Alibaba as the company will soon report earnings for its first fiscal quarter in FY 2023.Alibaba will submit its earnings card for FQ1’23 in August and the company could do better than expected. This is because earnings expectations are very, very low which creates a low bar for Alibaba. Earnings estimates have been lowered seven times in the last 90 days and the market currently only expects $1.57 in EPS, implying a 39% year over year decline.Seeking AlphaWhy Alibaba's Commerce performance may be set to improveChina’s economic activity has slowed down in the first half of the year, largely because of new COVID-19 lockdowns that suppressed commerce. Strict lockdown measures greatly affected the economy: it grew at only 2.5% in the first six months of the year which is a weak growth rate for a country that until the pandemic grew at rates of about 6% annually.I believe, however, as the Chinese economy emerges from its lockdown state, that Alibaba’s overall financial performance is set to improve. While the slowdown in the economy will take time to gain momentum, stronger economic growth and an improving outlook for consumer spending could drive Alibaba’s e-Commerce results going forward.While COVID-19 lockdowns hurt China’s economic performance in the short term, and Alibaba’s sales, the long term outlook for China’s e-Commerce market is extremely positive: China's retail e-Commerce sales are expected to more than double from FY 2019 levels to $3.8T by FY 2025.eMarketerE-Commerce sales in China contribute 69% of Alibaba’s total sales, so no market is more important to Alibaba's growth prospects than China. Alibaba has seen a serious slowdown in e-Commerce growth rates in the last quarter --- Alibaba's domestic and international e-Commerce businesses saw only 8% and 7% year over year revenue growth -- but this trend could reverse in the second half of the year if China gets a grip on its COVID-19 situation and releases large city populations in Beijing and Shanghai out of COVID lockdowns.AlibabaBut even within the challenged domestic e-Commerce segment, there are bright spots for Alibaba. Direct sales and China’s e-Commerce wholesale business still have momentum and grew their top lines at 14% and 30% year over year in FQ4’21, chiefly because of the roll-out of value-added services and higher revenues from Alibaba-owned business-to-consumer brands like Freshippo and Tmall Supermarket.AlibabaAlibaba's valuation got another discount last weekIt is hard to argue with Alibaba’s low valuation: the company appears undervalued by every metric in the book, but of course there have been good reasons for that. Because of the recent crackdown on big Chinese companies, valuation ratios for Alibaba have further improved.Shares of Alibaba now sell for 11.7 X earnings and 1.8 X sales (FY 2023), indicating that Alibaba remains significantly undervalued given the e-Commerce opportunity in China.Risks with AlibabaThe real risk for Alibaba is represented by the enormous power China's anti-trust agencies have. While recent fines were not really damaging financially, a new crackdown can always occur. Authorities also have the power to decide what will happen to Alibaba-owned Ant Group, which owns the world’s largest mobile payment platform.Regarding commercial risks, I believe a massive new lockdown campaign could set back Alibaba's recovery as well as the recovery of the Chinese economy. What would change my opinion about Alibaba is if the company were to see a dramatic slowdown in its core businesses or was forced by regulators to sell off company assets.Final thoughtsThe Chinese economy has been weighed down by widespread COVID-19 lockdowns in the first half of 2022 which took a toll on the Chinese economy as well as on Alibaba’s top line growth. New fines imposed on Alibaba last week didn’t help sentiment.But as China’s economy emerges from its lockdown state, a powerful economic force could be unleashed that finds its outlet in higher consumer spending and stronger e-Commerce sales for Alibaba. Since earnings estimates have trended down hard in the last couple of months and because predictions for FQ1’23 are low, Alibaba is a buy heading into earnings. I believe the Alibaba dragon will soon awaken from its sleep and shares could be pushed into a new up-leg!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9014368129,"gmtCreate":1649606425336,"gmtModify":1676534537019,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9014368129","repostId":"2225524274","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225524274","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1649462464,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225524274?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-09 08:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225524274","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The math adds up if these companies can keep performing.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen overnight.</p><p>In investing, becoming a millionaire takes time. Buying shares of high-performing companies can, over time, produce life-changing gains. <b>The</b> <b>Trade</b> <b>Desk</b>, <b>Paycom Software</b>, and <b>Align</b> <b>Technology</b> are three that I believe have that potential.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at their earnings, growth rates, and valuations to see how they could transform a $100,000 portfolio into a seven-figure retirement nest egg over the next decade.</p><h2>1. The Trade Desk</h2><p>There is an old saying in the advertising business that half of ad spending is wasted, but nobody knows which half. The Trade Desk is eliminating that waste with its data-driven self-service platform. Its customers manage their ad spending on more than 500 billion digital opportunities per day. The goal is to help customers make the most intelligent ad-buying decisions and provide them with an abundance of performance feedback. In today&#39;s digital economy, it&#39;s invaluable.</p><p>And business is growing like a weed. Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to climb more than 23% next year. That&#39;s a reasonable rate to use in our calculation. The company has grown revenue 375% over the past five years. Also, gross spend on Trade Desk&#39;s platform climbed 47% last year to $6.2 billion. And management pegs the global ad-spend opportunity at $750 billion, with about $50 billion in display advertising. That offers plenty of room to grow for years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3105e52ee3274f0a262bd444d428b18f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TTD revenue (TTM). Data by YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months.</p><p>Wall Street sees the potential. The Trade Desk&#39;s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has varied between 40 and 120 over the past few years. We&#39;ll use 50 for our calculations.</p><p>Doing the math on an initial investment of $33,333.33 (a third of the $100,000) leads to a stake in The Trade Desk worth almost $190,000 in 2032. That relies on bold assumptions. But they are well within what the company has delivered so far.</p><h2>2. Paycom</h2><p>Paycom offers businesses a platform to manage employee payroll, time and attendance, and benefits administration, among other things. Its product was built for the cloud. That&#39;s different from many traditional human capital management (HCM) vendors that have pieced together acquired software over the years.</p><p>Customers can clearly tell the difference. Paycom topped $1 billion in revenue last year for the first time, a 26% increase over 2020. Most importantly, that revenue is recurring and sticky. Revenue retention was 94% in 2021. Customers stick around once they start using the platform.</p><p>Before the pandemic, Paycom&#39;s top line was expanding between 30% and 45% each year. We&#39;ll use last year&#39;s 26% for our calculation and apply a multiple of 60 times earnings. That seems high. But shares have stayed within a range of 50 to 100 times earnings over the years.</p><p>For Paycom, that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of the $100,000 hypothetically invested in 2022 turns into more than $350,000 a decade from now. That would make it a 10-bagger. While it might seem unlikely, if the market continues to reward predictable revenue, and Paycom continues to grow, it&#39;s possible. After all, its $1.1 billion in 2021 revenue is a drop in the bucket of an HCM market that is predicted to reach $47 billion by 2029.</p><h2>3. Align Technology</h2><p>The company best known for its Invisalign clear teeth-straightening system is actually a vertically integrated combination of several businesses. They all help people get straighter teeth faster, and orthodontists and dentists see more clients every year. It also provides scanners and software -- two acquisitions -- that help practitioners develop and communicate a plan for patients.</p><p>The growth opportunity is tremendous. Management estimates 500 million potential customers in the world with 21 million orthodontic starts each year -- two-thirds of them teens. For context, it shipped 2.55 million aligners last year.</p><p>Align is the crown jewel in our attempt to grow a million-dollar portfolio. The $33,333.33 invested in it could grow over the next 10 years into $461,000. That&#39;s assuming the $12.50 analysts expect this year grows at the midpoint of management&#39;s long-term guidance of 20% to 30% a year. Similar to the other two stocks, Align typically trades at a premium. We&#39;ll use 50 times earnings, slightly above the bottom of the 40 to 100 historical P/E range. It&#39;s an amazing potential return when running the numbers.</p><h2>&#34;It&#39;s tough to make predictions, especially about the future&#34;</h2><p>That quote from Yankees legend Yogi Berra underscores a key point in the analysis above. No one knows what the world is going to look like in 10 years. Investors with a long-term mindset need to block out the noise without being irresponsible.</p><p>The Trade Desk, Paycom, and Align have all grown rapidly while turning a profit. I expect that to continue. If the assumptions hold, a $100,000 investment will be worth $1 million in 10 short years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b4adf9eeb7896d353fe014f3f351429\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"302\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Calculations and chart by author.</p><p>It&#39;s an interesting exercise that relies on the past as a guide. If the performance changes, so can the outcome. That&#39;s why it&#39;s best to build a diversified portfolio of a lot more than three stocks.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-09 08:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HCM":"和黄医药","BK4007":"制药","BK4099":"汽车制造商","TTM":"塔塔汽车","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4523":"印度概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2225524274","content_text":"Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen overnight.In investing, becoming a millionaire takes time. Buying shares of high-performing companies can, over time, produce life-changing gains. The Trade Desk, Paycom Software, and Align Technology are three that I believe have that potential.Let's look at their earnings, growth rates, and valuations to see how they could transform a $100,000 portfolio into a seven-figure retirement nest egg over the next decade.1. The Trade DeskThere is an old saying in the advertising business that half of ad spending is wasted, but nobody knows which half. The Trade Desk is eliminating that waste with its data-driven self-service platform. Its customers manage their ad spending on more than 500 billion digital opportunities per day. The goal is to help customers make the most intelligent ad-buying decisions and provide them with an abundance of performance feedback. In today's digital economy, it's invaluable.And business is growing like a weed. Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to climb more than 23% next year. That's a reasonable rate to use in our calculation. The company has grown revenue 375% over the past five years. Also, gross spend on Trade Desk's platform climbed 47% last year to $6.2 billion. And management pegs the global ad-spend opportunity at $750 billion, with about $50 billion in display advertising. That offers plenty of room to grow for years.TTD revenue (TTM). Data by YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months.Wall Street sees the potential. The Trade Desk's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has varied between 40 and 120 over the past few years. We'll use 50 for our calculations.Doing the math on an initial investment of $33,333.33 (a third of the $100,000) leads to a stake in The Trade Desk worth almost $190,000 in 2032. That relies on bold assumptions. But they are well within what the company has delivered so far.2. PaycomPaycom offers businesses a platform to manage employee payroll, time and attendance, and benefits administration, among other things. Its product was built for the cloud. That's different from many traditional human capital management (HCM) vendors that have pieced together acquired software over the years.Customers can clearly tell the difference. Paycom topped $1 billion in revenue last year for the first time, a 26% increase over 2020. Most importantly, that revenue is recurring and sticky. Revenue retention was 94% in 2021. Customers stick around once they start using the platform.Before the pandemic, Paycom's top line was expanding between 30% and 45% each year. We'll use last year's 26% for our calculation and apply a multiple of 60 times earnings. That seems high. But shares have stayed within a range of 50 to 100 times earnings over the years.For Paycom, that one-third of the $100,000 hypothetically invested in 2022 turns into more than $350,000 a decade from now. That would make it a 10-bagger. While it might seem unlikely, if the market continues to reward predictable revenue, and Paycom continues to grow, it's possible. After all, its $1.1 billion in 2021 revenue is a drop in the bucket of an HCM market that is predicted to reach $47 billion by 2029.3. Align TechnologyThe company best known for its Invisalign clear teeth-straightening system is actually a vertically integrated combination of several businesses. They all help people get straighter teeth faster, and orthodontists and dentists see more clients every year. It also provides scanners and software -- two acquisitions -- that help practitioners develop and communicate a plan for patients.The growth opportunity is tremendous. Management estimates 500 million potential customers in the world with 21 million orthodontic starts each year -- two-thirds of them teens. For context, it shipped 2.55 million aligners last year.Align is the crown jewel in our attempt to grow a million-dollar portfolio. The $33,333.33 invested in it could grow over the next 10 years into $461,000. That's assuming the $12.50 analysts expect this year grows at the midpoint of management's long-term guidance of 20% to 30% a year. Similar to the other two stocks, Align typically trades at a premium. We'll use 50 times earnings, slightly above the bottom of the 40 to 100 historical P/E range. It's an amazing potential return when running the numbers.\"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future\"That quote from Yankees legend Yogi Berra underscores a key point in the analysis above. No one knows what the world is going to look like in 10 years. Investors with a long-term mindset need to block out the noise without being irresponsible.The Trade Desk, Paycom, and Align have all grown rapidly while turning a profit. I expect that to continue. If the assumptions hold, a $100,000 investment will be worth $1 million in 10 short years.Calculations and chart by author.It's an interesting exercise that relies on the past as a guide. If the performance changes, so can the outcome. That's why it's best to build a diversified portfolio of a lot more than three stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9011448684,"gmtCreate":1648914957421,"gmtModify":1676534421557,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9011448684","repostId":"1196624996","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196624996","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648883340,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196624996?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-02 15:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196624996","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of vehicles on dealership lots continued to hamper business and suppress buying activity ahead of what is typically a busy selling season.</p><p>Analysts are forecasting first-quarter sales for the industry could drop as much as 16% over the prior-year period, when car-lot stock was more plentiful and buyers, benefiting from a recovering economy, snatched up vehicles at a blistering pace.</p><p>Auto executives and dealers say underlying demand remains strong with most new cars and trucks sold almost as soon as they hit the lot. But supply-chain disruptions continue to weigh on factory production, limiting how fast car companies can restock dealerships and fulfill vehicle orders.</p><p>Toyota Motor Corp. held on to its U.S. sales lead over General Motors Co. in the first quarter, although both global auto-making giants reported double-digit declines in their sales results over the prior-year period.</p><p>Toyota’s U.S. sales slid nearly 15% in the just-ended quarter, while GM was down roughly 20%.</p><p>Among the other Asian car companies, Nissan Motor Co. reported a nearly 30% drop in U.S. sales for the January-to-March period. Hyundai Motor Co. said its U.S. sales were off 4% over the prior-year quarter. Honda Motor Co.’s first-quarter U.S. sales were down 23%.</p><p>Stellantis NV, the global car company that owns Jeep, Ram and other U.S. auto brands, also reported a 14% decline in U.S. sales for the quarter.</p><p>“Make no mistake, this market is stuck in low gear,” said Charlie Chesbrough, a senior economist for auto industry research firm Cox Automotive.</p><p>The global auto industry is also confronting new challenges this year with the Ukraine conflict and another wave of Covid-related factory restrictions in China threatening to worsen parts shortages for vehicle assembly lines, analysts say.</p><p>The industry’s annualized selling pace—a measure of the car market’s strength stripping out seasonal factors—is expected to slow to 12.7 million in the first quarter, according to J.D. Power. In comparison, auto makers last year sold just shy of 15 million vehicles in the U.S., the firm said, up slightly from 2020. For five straight years before the pandemic, the industry had eclipsed the mark of 17 million vehicles.</p><p>Ford Motor Co. has said it would release its sales figures Monday, while electric-car maker Tesla Inc. is expected to report its global delivery figures in the coming days.</p><p>March is typically a busy time for the auto industry, with car companies and dealerships stepping up sales promotions to entice buyers as the weather improves in many parts of the country. Last year, the industry had a blowout spring, with the selling pace approaching prepandemic levels.</p><p>Since then, obstacles have continued to mount for the car sector. A shortage of semiconductors—critical to assembly of most new vehicles today—has curtailed factory production, resulting in historically low levels of inventory on selling lots.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-02 15:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/car-sales-seen-sputtering-as-supply-chain-woes-hurt-production-11648805401?mod=business_lead_pos3><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of vehicles on dealership lots continued to hamper business and suppress buying activity ahead of what ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/car-sales-seen-sputtering-as-supply-chain-woes-hurt-production-11648805401?mod=business_lead_pos3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","TM":"丰田汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/car-sales-seen-sputtering-as-supply-chain-woes-hurt-production-11648805401?mod=business_lead_pos3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196624996","content_text":"Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of vehicles on dealership lots continued to hamper business and suppress buying activity ahead of what is typically a busy selling season.Analysts are forecasting first-quarter sales for the industry could drop as much as 16% over the prior-year period, when car-lot stock was more plentiful and buyers, benefiting from a recovering economy, snatched up vehicles at a blistering pace.Auto executives and dealers say underlying demand remains strong with most new cars and trucks sold almost as soon as they hit the lot. But supply-chain disruptions continue to weigh on factory production, limiting how fast car companies can restock dealerships and fulfill vehicle orders.Toyota Motor Corp. held on to its U.S. sales lead over General Motors Co. in the first quarter, although both global auto-making giants reported double-digit declines in their sales results over the prior-year period.Toyota’s U.S. sales slid nearly 15% in the just-ended quarter, while GM was down roughly 20%.Among the other Asian car companies, Nissan Motor Co. reported a nearly 30% drop in U.S. sales for the January-to-March period. Hyundai Motor Co. said its U.S. sales were off 4% over the prior-year quarter. Honda Motor Co.’s first-quarter U.S. sales were down 23%.Stellantis NV, the global car company that owns Jeep, Ram and other U.S. auto brands, also reported a 14% decline in U.S. sales for the quarter.“Make no mistake, this market is stuck in low gear,” said Charlie Chesbrough, a senior economist for auto industry research firm Cox Automotive.The global auto industry is also confronting new challenges this year with the Ukraine conflict and another wave of Covid-related factory restrictions in China threatening to worsen parts shortages for vehicle assembly lines, analysts say.The industry’s annualized selling pace—a measure of the car market’s strength stripping out seasonal factors—is expected to slow to 12.7 million in the first quarter, according to J.D. Power. In comparison, auto makers last year sold just shy of 15 million vehicles in the U.S., the firm said, up slightly from 2020. For five straight years before the pandemic, the industry had eclipsed the mark of 17 million vehicles.Ford Motor Co. has said it would release its sales figures Monday, while electric-car maker Tesla Inc. is expected to report its global delivery figures in the coming days.March is typically a busy time for the auto industry, with car companies and dealerships stepping up sales promotions to entice buyers as the weather improves in many parts of the country. Last year, the industry had a blowout spring, with the selling pace approaching prepandemic levels.Since then, obstacles have continued to mount for the car sector. A shortage of semiconductors—critical to assembly of most new vehicles today—has curtailed factory production, resulting in historically low levels of inventory on selling lots.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143331032,"gmtCreate":1625759716726,"gmtModify":1703748106796,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143331032","repostId":"2149328960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2149328960","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1625756309,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2149328960?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-08 22:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wells Fargo Tells Customers It's Shuttering All Personal Lines Of Credit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2149328960","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wells Fargo is ending a popular consumer lending product, angering some of its customers, CNBC has l","content":"<p>Wells Fargo&nbsp;is ending a popular consumer lending product, angering some of its customers, CNBC has learned.</p>\n<p>The bank is shutting down all existing personal lines of credit in coming weeks and no longer offers the product, according to customer letters reviewed by CNBC.</p>\n<p>The revolving credit lines, which typically let users borrow $3,000 to $100,000, were pitched as a way to consolidate higher-interest credit-card debt, pay for home renovations or avoid overdraft fees on linked checking accounts.</p>\n<p>\"Wells Fargo recently reviewed its product offerings and decided to discontinue offering new Personal and Portfolio line of credit accounts and close all existing accounts,\" the bank said in the six-page letter. The move would let the bank focus on credit cards and personal loans, it said.</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo CEOCharles Scharfhas been forced to make difficult decisions during the pandemic,offloadingassets and deposits and stepping back from some products because of limitations imposed by the Federal Reserve. In 2018, the Fed barred Wells Fargo from growing its balance sheet until it fixes compliance shortcomings revealed by thebank's fake accounts scandal.</p>\n<p>The asset cap has ultimately cost the bank billions of dollars in lost earnings, based on the balance sheet growth of rivals includingJPMorgan ChaseandBank of Americaover the past three years, analysts havesaid.</p>\n<p>It has also affected Wells Fargo's customers: Last year, the lender told staff it washalting allnew home equity lines of credit, CNBC reported. Months later, the bank also withdrew from a segment of theauto lending business.</p>\n<p>With its latest move, Wells Fargo warned customers that the account closures \"may have an impact on your credit score,\" according to a Frequently Asked Questions segment of the letter.</p>\n<p>Another part of the FAQ asserted that the account closures couldn't be reviewed or reversed: \"We apologize for the inconvenience this Line of Credit closure will cause,\" the bank said. \"The account closure is final.\"</p>\n<p>\"Simplify offerings\"</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo didn't directly answer questions as to what role, if any, the Fed asset cap played in its latest move.</p>\n<p>The bank gave this statement: \"In an effort to simplify our product offerings, we've made the decision to no longer offer personal lines of credit as we feel we can better meet the borrowing needs of our customers through credit card and personal loan products.\"</p>\n<p>Customers have been given a 60-day notice that their accounts will be shuttered, and remaining balances will require regular minimum payments, according to the statement.</p>\n<p>The move is a strange one given the banking industry's need to boost loan growth.</p>\n<p>After a burst of commercial lending during the early days of the pandemic, loan growth has been hard to muster. Corporations have used money raised in stock and debt issuance to retire bank credit lines, and consumers stuck at home had fewer reasons to use credit cards.</p>\n<p>In fact, last year big banks experienced the first aggregate drop in loans in more than a decade,accordingto Barclays bank analyst Jason Goldberg. Of the four largest U.S. banks, Wells Fargo saw the worst decline.</p>\n<p>After banks saw that borrowers held up far better than they had initially feared, the industry recently began marketingnew credit cardswith large sign-on bonuses in an effort to boost lending.</p>\n<p>Making the switch</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo doesn't disclose how many customers used the credit lines it is eliminating. It had$24.9 billionin loans in a category called \"other consumer\" as of March, which was 26% lower than the year-earlier period.</p>\n<p>One customer said the change is prompting him to switch banks after more than a decade with Wells Fargo. Tim Tomassi, a Portland, Oregon programmer, said that he used a personal line of credit linked to his checking account to avoid expensive overdraft fees.</p>\n<p>\"It's a bit upsetting,\" Tomassi said in a phone interview. \"They're a big bank, and I'm a small person, and it feels like they're making decisions for their bottom line and not for customers. A lot of people are in my position, they need a cushion every once in a while from a line of credit.\"</p>\n<p>Tomassi said he is considering opening an account at&nbsp;Allyor&nbsp;Chime, banking players that don't chargeoverdraft fees.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wells Fargo Tells Customers It's Shuttering All Personal Lines Of Credit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWells Fargo Tells Customers It's Shuttering All Personal Lines Of Credit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-08 22:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wells Fargo&nbsp;is ending a popular consumer lending product, angering some of its customers, CNBC has learned.</p>\n<p>The bank is shutting down all existing personal lines of credit in coming weeks and no longer offers the product, according to customer letters reviewed by CNBC.</p>\n<p>The revolving credit lines, which typically let users borrow $3,000 to $100,000, were pitched as a way to consolidate higher-interest credit-card debt, pay for home renovations or avoid overdraft fees on linked checking accounts.</p>\n<p>\"Wells Fargo recently reviewed its product offerings and decided to discontinue offering new Personal and Portfolio line of credit accounts and close all existing accounts,\" the bank said in the six-page letter. The move would let the bank focus on credit cards and personal loans, it said.</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo CEOCharles Scharfhas been forced to make difficult decisions during the pandemic,offloadingassets and deposits and stepping back from some products because of limitations imposed by the Federal Reserve. In 2018, the Fed barred Wells Fargo from growing its balance sheet until it fixes compliance shortcomings revealed by thebank's fake accounts scandal.</p>\n<p>The asset cap has ultimately cost the bank billions of dollars in lost earnings, based on the balance sheet growth of rivals includingJPMorgan ChaseandBank of Americaover the past three years, analysts havesaid.</p>\n<p>It has also affected Wells Fargo's customers: Last year, the lender told staff it washalting allnew home equity lines of credit, CNBC reported. Months later, the bank also withdrew from a segment of theauto lending business.</p>\n<p>With its latest move, Wells Fargo warned customers that the account closures \"may have an impact on your credit score,\" according to a Frequently Asked Questions segment of the letter.</p>\n<p>Another part of the FAQ asserted that the account closures couldn't be reviewed or reversed: \"We apologize for the inconvenience this Line of Credit closure will cause,\" the bank said. \"The account closure is final.\"</p>\n<p>\"Simplify offerings\"</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo didn't directly answer questions as to what role, if any, the Fed asset cap played in its latest move.</p>\n<p>The bank gave this statement: \"In an effort to simplify our product offerings, we've made the decision to no longer offer personal lines of credit as we feel we can better meet the borrowing needs of our customers through credit card and personal loan products.\"</p>\n<p>Customers have been given a 60-day notice that their accounts will be shuttered, and remaining balances will require regular minimum payments, according to the statement.</p>\n<p>The move is a strange one given the banking industry's need to boost loan growth.</p>\n<p>After a burst of commercial lending during the early days of the pandemic, loan growth has been hard to muster. Corporations have used money raised in stock and debt issuance to retire bank credit lines, and consumers stuck at home had fewer reasons to use credit cards.</p>\n<p>In fact, last year big banks experienced the first aggregate drop in loans in more than a decade,accordingto Barclays bank analyst Jason Goldberg. Of the four largest U.S. banks, Wells Fargo saw the worst decline.</p>\n<p>After banks saw that borrowers held up far better than they had initially feared, the industry recently began marketingnew credit cardswith large sign-on bonuses in an effort to boost lending.</p>\n<p>Making the switch</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo doesn't disclose how many customers used the credit lines it is eliminating. It had$24.9 billionin loans in a category called \"other consumer\" as of March, which was 26% lower than the year-earlier period.</p>\n<p>One customer said the change is prompting him to switch banks after more than a decade with Wells Fargo. Tim Tomassi, a Portland, Oregon programmer, said that he used a personal line of credit linked to his checking account to avoid expensive overdraft fees.</p>\n<p>\"It's a bit upsetting,\" Tomassi said in a phone interview. \"They're a big bank, and I'm a small person, and it feels like they're making decisions for their bottom line and not for customers. A lot of people are in my position, they need a cushion every once in a while from a line of credit.\"</p>\n<p>Tomassi said he is considering opening an account at&nbsp;Allyor&nbsp;Chime, banking players that don't chargeoverdraft fees.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CUBI":"Customers Bancorp Inc.","WFC":"富国银行"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2149328960","content_text":"Wells Fargo is ending a popular consumer lending product, angering some of its customers, CNBC has learned.\nThe bank is shutting down all existing personal lines of credit in coming weeks and no longer offers the product, according to customer letters reviewed by CNBC.\nThe revolving credit lines, which typically let users borrow $3,000 to $100,000, were pitched as a way to consolidate higher-interest credit-card debt, pay for home renovations or avoid overdraft fees on linked checking accounts.\n\"Wells Fargo recently reviewed its product offerings and decided to discontinue offering new Personal and Portfolio line of credit accounts and close all existing accounts,\" the bank said in the six-page letter. The move would let the bank focus on credit cards and personal loans, it said.\nWells Fargo CEOCharles Scharfhas been forced to make difficult decisions during the pandemic,offloadingassets and deposits and stepping back from some products because of limitations imposed by the Federal Reserve. In 2018, the Fed barred Wells Fargo from growing its balance sheet until it fixes compliance shortcomings revealed by thebank's fake accounts scandal.\nThe asset cap has ultimately cost the bank billions of dollars in lost earnings, based on the balance sheet growth of rivals includingJPMorgan ChaseandBank of Americaover the past three years, analysts havesaid.\nIt has also affected Wells Fargo's customers: Last year, the lender told staff it washalting allnew home equity lines of credit, CNBC reported. Months later, the bank also withdrew from a segment of theauto lending business.\nWith its latest move, Wells Fargo warned customers that the account closures \"may have an impact on your credit score,\" according to a Frequently Asked Questions segment of the letter.\nAnother part of the FAQ asserted that the account closures couldn't be reviewed or reversed: \"We apologize for the inconvenience this Line of Credit closure will cause,\" the bank said. \"The account closure is final.\"\n\"Simplify offerings\"\nWells Fargo didn't directly answer questions as to what role, if any, the Fed asset cap played in its latest move.\nThe bank gave this statement: \"In an effort to simplify our product offerings, we've made the decision to no longer offer personal lines of credit as we feel we can better meet the borrowing needs of our customers through credit card and personal loan products.\"\nCustomers have been given a 60-day notice that their accounts will be shuttered, and remaining balances will require regular minimum payments, according to the statement.\nThe move is a strange one given the banking industry's need to boost loan growth.\nAfter a burst of commercial lending during the early days of the pandemic, loan growth has been hard to muster. Corporations have used money raised in stock and debt issuance to retire bank credit lines, and consumers stuck at home had fewer reasons to use credit cards.\nIn fact, last year big banks experienced the first aggregate drop in loans in more than a decade,accordingto Barclays bank analyst Jason Goldberg. Of the four largest U.S. banks, Wells Fargo saw the worst decline.\nAfter banks saw that borrowers held up far better than they had initially feared, the industry recently began marketingnew credit cardswith large sign-on bonuses in an effort to boost lending.\nMaking the switch\nWells Fargo doesn't disclose how many customers used the credit lines it is eliminating. It had$24.9 billionin loans in a category called \"other consumer\" as of March, which was 26% lower than the year-earlier period.\nOne customer said the change is prompting him to switch banks after more than a decade with Wells Fargo. Tim Tomassi, a Portland, Oregon programmer, said that he used a personal line of credit linked to his checking account to avoid expensive overdraft fees.\n\"It's a bit upsetting,\" Tomassi said in a phone interview. \"They're a big bank, and I'm a small person, and it feels like they're making decisions for their bottom line and not for customers. A lot of people are in my position, they need a cushion every once in a while from a line of credit.\"\nTomassi said he is considering opening an account at Allyor Chime, banking players that don't chargeoverdraft fees.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918904721,"gmtCreate":1664294845163,"gmtModify":1676537427812,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918904721","repostId":"1123978281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123978281","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664291602,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123978281?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-27 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123978281","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates ","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-27 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123978281","content_text":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects of the iPhone maker.Investors are bracing for more trouble as the aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to tame inflation are expected to push the U.S. economy into recession. The S&P 500  (SPX) and NASDAQ 100 (NDX) have declined 23.3% and over 31% year-to-date, respectively. While many tech stocks have been clobbered this year, Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock has shown some amount of resilience and is down 15% year-to-date. Most Wall Street analysts remain bullish about the tech giant based on its strong track record, continued innovation, and progress into new growth areas like fintech.Apple is Well-Positioned for Long-Term GrowthApple’s Q3 Fiscal 2022 (ended June 30, 2022) revenue increased 1.9% to nearly $83 billion, but earnings per share fell 8% to $1.20. That said, the company managed to top analysts’ expectations for both key metrics.While Apple cautioned investors about near-term pressures, including currency headwinds and supply chain woes, it expects revenue growth to accelerate in the September quarter compared to the June quarter.Meanwhile, Apple is diversifying its manufacturing footprint amid production disruptions in China. Apple recently announced that it would be manufacturing the iPhone 14 in India. The company has been manufacturing old models of iPhones in India but this time it is going ahead with the production of a newly launched device. The move is expected to boost Apple’s prospects in a lucrative market like India.Additionally, Apple continues to deepen customer engagement with its services business, which includes sales from Applecare, advertising, cloud, payment, and other services. Note that the company’s services business is more profitable than its products segment. The company has been advancing in the attractive financial services market through solutions like Apple Pay and Apple Wallet.Back in June, Apple announced that it will launch a buy now, pay later service called Apple Pay Later. The facility will allow customers to split their purchase into four equal payments that can be spread over six weeks. Earlier this year, Apple rolled out its Tap to Pay on iPhone feature that enables contactless payments.Is Apple a Buy or Sell Now?In a recent research note to investors, Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives noted that the iPhone 14 is likely witnessing “brisk sales” as wait times are getting longer. The analyst stated, “Wait times on many iPhone Pro 14 models are now 4-6 weeks for Apple customers and lengthening into November.” Ives stated that the overall demand for Pro is 8% to 10% ahead of his expectations.The analyst also sees strong sales in China, mainly via e-commerce channels. He expects China’s business to be a vital factor in Apple’s growth story and estimates that nearly 30% of iPhone customers in China “are in the window of an upgrade opportunity.”Despite macro pressures, Ives believes that Apple’s growth story “remains a bright spot in the tech landscape with darker clouds abound in many pockets of consumer tech.” Ives reiterated a Buy rating on AAPL stock with a price target of $220.All in all, Apple scores the Street’s Strong Buy consensus rating based on 23 Buys, four Holds, and one Sell rating. The average Apple price target of $183.45 suggests nearly 22% upside potential from current levels.ConclusionDespite macro pressures, Apple seems to be an attractive pick for the long haul based on strengths like continued innovation, solid growth potential for the services business, and strong execution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072575699,"gmtCreate":1658073421211,"gmtModify":1676536101306,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072575699","repostId":"2249540083","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249540083","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1658021139,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249540083?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-17 09:25","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249540083","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda&#39;s giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.</p><p>Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang&#39;s company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.</p><p>But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: &#34;I&#39;m confident that we will overcome this.&#34;</p><p>And he did.</p><p>Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.</p><p>Crucially: the man nicknamed &#39;Big Shot&#39; in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.</p><p>Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.</p><p>&#34;Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,&#34; Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. &#34;It&#39;s just heart warming.&#34;</p><p>This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.</p><h2>Massive short squeeze</h2><p>Mr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan&#39;s production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.</p><p>On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan&#39;s headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn&#39;t leave until early the next morning.</p><p>More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals &#39;visionary&#39; who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fears</p><p>The crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang&#39;s position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.</p><p>The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.</p><p>To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.</p><p>Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he&#39;d built Tsingshan into the world&#39;s largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China&#39;s east coast. Along the way, he&#39;d acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.</p><p>The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn&#39;t pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.</p><p>Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.</p><p>If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What&#39;s more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn&#39;t clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan&#39;s most valuable assets.</p><p>JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.</p><h2>Personal guarantee</h2><p>Mr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.</p><p>Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn&#39;t enough. They wouldn&#39;t be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn&#39;t seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.</p><p>So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn&#39;t pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.</p><p>More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market&#39;s darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continues</p><p>It wasn&#39;t much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.</p><p>When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.</p><p>The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange&#39;s regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME&#39;s decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange&#39;s six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.</p><p>Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.</p><p>It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn&#39;t.</p><p>Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China&#39;s lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.</p><p>By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.</p><p>By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.</p><p>People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan&#39;s losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn&#39;t concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.</p><p>Now &#39;Big Shot&#39; is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.</p><p>But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.</p><p>And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.</p><p>&#34;A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,&#34; he says. &#34;The market is still functioning, but it&#39;s struggling.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTycoon Whose Bet Broke the Nickel Market Walks Away a Billionaire\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-17 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIC.AU":"Nickel Industries Ltd","NICK.UK":"镍ETF","JJN":"镍ETN-iPath"},"source_url":"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/tycoon-whose-bet-broke-the-nickel-market-walks-away-a-billionaire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249540083","content_text":"SINGAPORE (BLOOMBERG) --By 2.08pm Shanghai time on March 8, it was clear that Xiang Guangda's giant bet on a fall in nickel prices was going spectacularly wrong.Futures had just skyrocketed above US$100,000 a ton and his trade was more than US$10 billion underwater. It was threatening not only to bankrupt Mr Xiang's company, but to trigger a Lehman Brothers-like shock through the entire metals industry and possibly topple the London Metal Exchange (LME) itself.But Mr Xiang was calm. Within hours, more than 50 bankers had arrived at his office wanting to hear how he planned to respond to the crisis. He told them simply: \"I'm confident that we will overcome this.\"And he did.Four months on, the nickel price is falling, as Mr Xiang had predicted. The coterie of banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co that were baying for his blood has been repaid. He has closed out nearly all his short position in nickel, making a loss on the trade of about US$1 billion - a manageable sum given the profits being generated elsewhere in his business empire, say people who know him.Crucially: the man nicknamed 'Big Shot' in Chinese commodities circles is poised to walk away from the fiasco with his multibillion-dollar mining and steelmaking company, Tsingshan Holding Group, intact and even expanding.But while Mr Xiang moves on, others are left dealing with the destruction wrought by the crisis. His miraculous escape was thanks in no small part to the actions of the LME, which controversially intervened to prevent prices from rising and then suspended trading until Mr Xiang had struck a deal with his banks.Those on the other side of the trade, who lost billions, were furious. Months later, the LME is dealing with a raft of investigations and lawsuits, and the nickel market is still reeling.\"Nice to see that @jpmorgan and The Big Shot got out of this whole thing with only scratches,\" Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management, said last week in a tweet thick with sarcasm. \"It's just heart warming.\"This account of how Mr Xiang extricated himself from a short squeeze that rocked the global metals markets is based on numerous interviews with people who were involved, all of whom requested anonymity. Multiple attempts to seek comment from Tsingshan were unsuccessful.Massive short squeezeMr Xiang had built up his massive short position in late 2021 and early 2022 partly as a hedge, partly as a bet that a planned jump in Tsingshan's production this year would drag down prices. But when Russia's invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, nickel started climbing - gradually at first, before rocketing 250 per cent in an epic squeeze.On the evening of March 8, senior bankers crowded into a room at Tsingshan's headquarters demanding answers. Others dialed in for video calls from London or Singapore. Of those present, some didn't leave until early the next morning.More On This TopicXiang Guangda, the metals 'visionary' who brought nickel market to a standstillNickel trading halted after unprecedented 250% spike amid Russia supply fearsThe crowd that night was so large because Mr Xiang's position was spread across about 10 banks and brokers - he had been a good client for many of them, including JPMorgan, for years. But after nickel started spiking on March 7, Tsingshan struggled to meet its margin calls. Now he owed each of them hundreds of millions of dollars.The LME had eventually intervened to halt trading a couple of hours after nickel hit US$100,000. It also canceled billions of dollars of transactions, bringing the price back to US$48,078, where it closed the previous day, in what amounted to a lifeline for Mr Xiang and Tsingshan.To reopen the market, the LME proposed a solution: Mr Xiang should strike a deal with holders of long positions to close out his trade. But a price of around US$50,000 would be more than twice the level at which he had entered his short position, and would mean accepting billions of dollars in losses.Mr Xiang, who is in his early 60s, stood firm. From a start making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China, he'd built Tsingshan into the world's largest nickel and stainless steel producer, with an empire stretching from mines in remote Indonesian islands to steel mills on China's east coast. Along the way, he'd acquired a reputation for visionary thinking and a taste for betting big.The spike in prices and the trading freeze caused havoc for companies that use nickel, like stainless steel mills and makers of batteries for electric vehicles. Some simply stopped taking new orders. On the LME, dealers were left frantically trying to recoup missed margin calls from clients who couldn't pay, and at least one had to seek financial support from its parent company.Yet with unprecedented chaos rippling through the industry, Mr Xiang - still facing his bankers in the early hours of March 9 - had a key advantage. They were more terrified than he was.If he refused to pay, they would have to chase him in courts in Indonesia and China. What's more, he had executed his nickel trade through a variety of corporate entities - such as the Hong Kong branch of battery unit Ruipu Energy - and it wasn't clear the banks would even have the right to seize Tsingshan's most valuable assets.JPMorgan, which had the biggest exposure, took the lead. The group included some international players like Standard Chartered Bank and BNP Paribas, but many were Chinese and Singaporean banks that had little experience handling a situation like this.Personal guaranteeMr Xiang told the assembled bankers he had no intention of closing the position anywhere near US$50,000. A few hours later he was delivering the same message to Matthew Chamberlain, chief executive of the LME. Tsingshan was a strong company, he said, and it had the support of the Chinese government. There would be no backing down.Instead, he wrote a list of the assets he was willing to put up as collateral: a string of ferronickel plants in Indonesia. But for some of the bankers, that wasn't enough. They wouldn't be able to do any due diligence on the Indonesian assets for weeks or months, and even those who worked closely with Tsingshan hadn't seen the facilities for years because of the pandemic.So Mr Xiang made a further concession that was both valuable and, in Chinese business culture, humbling: a personal guarantee. If Tsingshan didn't pay its debts, the bankers could turf him out of his home. That was what he was willing to offer. Take it or leave it.More On This TopicMetal traders reel as nickel chaos recalls market's darkest daysLondon Metal Exchange CEO calls for more powers to intervene as nickel trading halt continuesIt wasn't much of a choice. On March 14, a week after the chaos that engulfed the nickel market, Tsingshan announced a deal with its banks under which they agreed not to pursue the company for the billions it owed for a period of time. In exchange, Mr Xiang agreed a series of price levels at which he would reduce his nickel position once prices dropped below about US$30,000.When the market reopened two days later, prices moved lower, easing the strain on Mr Xiang and the banks. A brief dip below US$30,000 allowed Tsingshan to cover about 20 per cent of its short position.The pressure on the LME was only intensifying, however. The exchange's regulators launched reviews of its governance and oversight and many hedge funds were still furious at the LME's decision to cancel trades.Open interest across the exchange's six main metals slid to the lowest in more than a decade as traders headed for the exit.Each month, Tsingshan and its banks reviewed their standstill agreement. After the initial dip, nickel spent long stretches in limbo with prices hovering around US$33,000.It was a nervous time. Tsingshan still had a vast short position, meaning it and its banks could still be exposed to large losses if prices started rising again - for example, if sanctions against Russia led to an actual disruption in nickel supplies, which so far they hadn't.Finally, in May, prices tumbled decisively below the key US$30,000 level after China's lockdowns dented metals market sentiment. Over the following weeks, Tsingshan reduced its position - which in early March had been over 150,000 tons - to just 60,000 tons.By this point, prices were below the level at which Tsingshan had stopped being able to pay its margin calls in early March, which meant Mr Xiang no longer owed the banks any money.By the end of June Mr Xiang had exited his position entirely with JPMorgan and several other banks, leaving him with a remaining short of less than 20,000 tons.People familiar with the matter estimate Tsingshan's losses on the trade at around US$1 billion. Mr Xiang isn't concerned. The loss has been roughly offset by the profits of his nickel operations over the same period. The standstill agreement, which Mr Xiang extended from the initial three months, is set to expire in mid-July.Now 'Big Shot' is moving on with his life, focusing on plans for the future at Tsingshan, which had revenues of US$56 billion last year. His ability to trade on the LME may be reduced, for now at least, but he is still able to trade on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. He has ambitions to expand, not only in Asia, but also to Africa. And Tsingshan is as powerful as ever in the nickel market: a massive increase in production from his plants in Indonesia is one of the key factors driving prices lower, much as Mr Xiang predicted.But while Mr Xiang may be moving on, the LME is still dealing with the fallout. Regulators have pointed to the chaos in nickel as a sign of the risks lurking in commodity markets, and called for greater oversight of the entire sector. Hedge fund Elliot Investment Management and trading firm Jane Street have launched legal action against the LME, seeking nearly US$500 million.And the nickel market is still broken, say people involved in it, with both open interest and trading volumes stuck at sharply lower levels as traders step away from using LME prices in their contracts. Jim Lennon, a veteran nickel market-watcher and managing director of Red Door Research, estimates that less than 25 per cent of global nickel output is now being sold on the basis of LME prices, down from 50 per cent before the crisis in March.\"A lot of the industry now has temporarily disengaged from the LME,\" he says. \"The market is still functioning, but it's struggling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034334837,"gmtCreate":1647791918346,"gmtModify":1676534266096,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034334837","repostId":"2220430742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220430742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647741823,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220430742?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-20 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220430742","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.</li><li>Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels not seen since its early post-IPO days.</li><li>However, things are likely to change in a big way for Alibaba investors.</li><li>Much of the transitory detrimental factors are now behind the company, and more emphasis should go towards positive developments now.</li><li>Alibaba&#39;s business remains solid, growth should resume, and the company will likely become more profitable in future years.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ca27bada17fe6e115be1eaa4822061\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Philiphotographer/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p>I began investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in early 2015, shortly after the company IPOed in the U.S. Incidentally, I started buying the stock at a similar price point to Alibaba&#39;s recent low ($70-80). I would be lying if I said that this was not a challenging investment, but Alibaba is remarkably cheap right now. Furthermore, the ongoing concerns surrounding the company are overexaggerated. Moreover, the Chinese government is now taking market-friendly measures to stabilize markets and support stock prices. We could be looking at a tectonic shift in China, and Alibaba shares will likely get a substantial bid moving forward. Despite the recent monster 40% rebound, Alibaba remains a strong buy around the $100 level. Additionally, the company&#39;s share price should continue appreciating as we advance through 2022 and beyond and could reach $300 within the next three years.</p><p><b>Alibaba Skyrockets On Beijing News</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa856eb9a75ce4c55e67c3d28a956fd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BABA (StockCharts)</span></p><p>We just saw one of the most violent up moves in history. Alibaba soared by approximately $100 billion in market cap in a single day. China will provide additional support to the Chinese economy through monetary policy, and the government reaffirmed that it supports foreign IPOs. The report also stated that China supports listings overseas and will work with the SEC to resolve any issues.</p><p>Concerns over increased regulation, possible delisting fears, and other transitory concerns led Alibaba to unprecedented declines over the last year. The stock cratered by about 77% (peak to trough) from its recent highs, illustrating one of the most significant market cap declines. Recent selling became indiscriminate and panic-driven, likely leading to one of the best buying opportunities in Alibaba&#39;s history. The most striking thing is that nothing material changed about Alibaba&#39;s business. The company&#39;s growth slowed a bit more than expected, and it&#39;s going through a transitory margin compression phase. However, this is not something that warrants a 77% decline or anything even close, and Alibaba&#39;s stock remains exceptionally cheap.</p><p><b>Alibaba Back Then And Now</b></p><p>Back then (in 2015), when I first began buying Alibaba, its stock was around $80. In recent sessions, Alibaba&#39;s stock dipped below $80 for the first time in about six years. In 2015 Alibaba&#39;s revenues were $12.3 billion, and the company recorded approximately $131.6 billion in revenues in its trailing twelve months (&#34;TTM&#34;). Its gross profit was at about $8.4 billion then, and nearly $50 billion in its TTM. I think you get the picture here. Revenues and many profitability metrics have surged in the past six years, yet Alibaba&#39;s stock price was back at its post-IPO lows in recent days. I&#39;ve written many articles on Alibaba, I own the stock, and I continue to argue that Alibaba&#39;s stock price is unjustly low and has a strong probability of moving significantly higher in future years.</p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s Stock Is Remarkably Cheap</b></p><p>How cheap is Alibaba, even after its unprecedented 40% move higher? Consensus EPS estimates are for approximately $10 in 2023, illustrating that at $100, the stock is only trading at ten times forward EPS estimates. If we look at Alibaba&#39;s revenue projections, we see that the company should still grow revenues by 10-15% in the coming years. Moreover, Alibaba has the potential to become more profitable in future years, suggesting that its EPS projections may be muted and lowballed. The company&#39;s growth dynamic, profitability potential, and low valuation illustrate that its stock remains exceptionally cheap and has a high probability of appreciating substantially in future years.</p><p><b>The Bottom Line: Not Selling A Single Share</b></p><p>I&#39;m not selling a single Alibaba share here. As I&#39;ve written many times, Alibaba and Chinese stocks, in general, went through a transitory phase where overly negative news flow put enormous pressure on stock prices. This problematic period lasted for over one year and caused stock prices, including Alibaba&#39;s, to decline to obscenely oversold and undervalued levels. Now that the negative news is behind us, we will likely see more emphasis on positive developments regarding Alibaba. The company does not face significant threats from the regulation, and the U.S. delisting fears are overblown. Moreover, Alibaba remains a dominant, market-leading e-commerce giant that should continue growing double-digit for several years. Furthermore, the company&#39;s stock is dirt cheap right now, and Alibaba&#39;s share price will likely appreciate considerably as the company advances in future years.</p><p><b>Here&#39;s what Alibaba&#39;s financials could look like as the company moves forward into 2025:</b></p><table><tbody><tr><td>Year</td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025</td></tr><tr><td>Revenues</td><td>$151B</td><td>$167B</td><td>$184B</td><td>$203B</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>15.3%</td><td>10.6%</td><td>10.2%</td><td>10.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EPS</td><td>$10.25</td><td>$10.55</td><td>$13.12</td><td>$15.85</td></tr><tr><td>Forward P/E</td><td>12</td><td>15</td><td>18</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>Price</td><td>$127</td><td>$197</td><td>$285</td><td>$375</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p>As we advance, Alibaba&#39;s revenue growth should continue to expand, and the company&#39;s profitability should continue improving. Moreover, the company&#39;s transitory negative news flow stage should continue to pass. Therefore, sentiment should strengthen, and Alibaba&#39;s P/E multiple should gradually expand. It is not uncommon for companies with similar growth and profitability dynamics to trade at 20-30 times EPS estimates or higher. Thus, Alibaba should not have a problem getting back up to a 20 P/E multiple in future years. As sentiment improves, its share price could appreciate considerably in the coming years, to my price target of $375 in 2025.</p><p><b>Risks To Consider</b></p><p>While I&#39;m bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my expectations for the company. For instance, the regulation could clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, U.S. regulators could decide to delist the company&#39;s ADRs. Increased competition could impact Alibaba&#39;s growth and profits. The company&#39;s growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba&#39;s profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. There are multiple risks to this investment, which is why shares are very cheap right now. In my view, Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-20 10:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220430742","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels not seen since its early post-IPO days.However, things are likely to change in a big way for Alibaba investors.Much of the transitory detrimental factors are now behind the company, and more emphasis should go towards positive developments now.Alibaba's business remains solid, growth should resume, and the company will likely become more profitable in future years.Philiphotographer/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesI began investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in early 2015, shortly after the company IPOed in the U.S. Incidentally, I started buying the stock at a similar price point to Alibaba's recent low ($70-80). I would be lying if I said that this was not a challenging investment, but Alibaba is remarkably cheap right now. Furthermore, the ongoing concerns surrounding the company are overexaggerated. Moreover, the Chinese government is now taking market-friendly measures to stabilize markets and support stock prices. We could be looking at a tectonic shift in China, and Alibaba shares will likely get a substantial bid moving forward. Despite the recent monster 40% rebound, Alibaba remains a strong buy around the $100 level. Additionally, the company's share price should continue appreciating as we advance through 2022 and beyond and could reach $300 within the next three years.Alibaba Skyrockets On Beijing NewsBABA (StockCharts)We just saw one of the most violent up moves in history. Alibaba soared by approximately $100 billion in market cap in a single day. China will provide additional support to the Chinese economy through monetary policy, and the government reaffirmed that it supports foreign IPOs. The report also stated that China supports listings overseas and will work with the SEC to resolve any issues.Concerns over increased regulation, possible delisting fears, and other transitory concerns led Alibaba to unprecedented declines over the last year. The stock cratered by about 77% (peak to trough) from its recent highs, illustrating one of the most significant market cap declines. Recent selling became indiscriminate and panic-driven, likely leading to one of the best buying opportunities in Alibaba's history. The most striking thing is that nothing material changed about Alibaba's business. The company's growth slowed a bit more than expected, and it's going through a transitory margin compression phase. However, this is not something that warrants a 77% decline or anything even close, and Alibaba's stock remains exceptionally cheap.Alibaba Back Then And NowBack then (in 2015), when I first began buying Alibaba, its stock was around $80. In recent sessions, Alibaba's stock dipped below $80 for the first time in about six years. In 2015 Alibaba's revenues were $12.3 billion, and the company recorded approximately $131.6 billion in revenues in its trailing twelve months (\"TTM\"). Its gross profit was at about $8.4 billion then, and nearly $50 billion in its TTM. I think you get the picture here. Revenues and many profitability metrics have surged in the past six years, yet Alibaba's stock price was back at its post-IPO lows in recent days. I've written many articles on Alibaba, I own the stock, and I continue to argue that Alibaba's stock price is unjustly low and has a strong probability of moving significantly higher in future years.Alibaba's Stock Is Remarkably CheapHow cheap is Alibaba, even after its unprecedented 40% move higher? Consensus EPS estimates are for approximately $10 in 2023, illustrating that at $100, the stock is only trading at ten times forward EPS estimates. If we look at Alibaba's revenue projections, we see that the company should still grow revenues by 10-15% in the coming years. Moreover, Alibaba has the potential to become more profitable in future years, suggesting that its EPS projections may be muted and lowballed. The company's growth dynamic, profitability potential, and low valuation illustrate that its stock remains exceptionally cheap and has a high probability of appreciating substantially in future years.The Bottom Line: Not Selling A Single ShareI'm not selling a single Alibaba share here. As I've written many times, Alibaba and Chinese stocks, in general, went through a transitory phase where overly negative news flow put enormous pressure on stock prices. This problematic period lasted for over one year and caused stock prices, including Alibaba's, to decline to obscenely oversold and undervalued levels. Now that the negative news is behind us, we will likely see more emphasis on positive developments regarding Alibaba. The company does not face significant threats from the regulation, and the U.S. delisting fears are overblown. Moreover, Alibaba remains a dominant, market-leading e-commerce giant that should continue growing double-digit for several years. Furthermore, the company's stock is dirt cheap right now, and Alibaba's share price will likely appreciate considerably as the company advances in future years.Here's what Alibaba's financials could look like as the company moves forward into 2025:Year2022202320242025Revenues$151B$167B$184B$203BRevenue growth15.3%10.6%10.2%10.3%EPS$10.25$10.55$13.12$15.85Forward P/E12151820Price$127$197$285$375Source: The AuthorAs we advance, Alibaba's revenue growth should continue to expand, and the company's profitability should continue improving. Moreover, the company's transitory negative news flow stage should continue to pass. Therefore, sentiment should strengthen, and Alibaba's P/E multiple should gradually expand. It is not uncommon for companies with similar growth and profitability dynamics to trade at 20-30 times EPS estimates or higher. Thus, Alibaba should not have a problem getting back up to a 20 P/E multiple in future years. As sentiment improves, its share price could appreciate considerably in the coming years, to my price target of $375 in 2025.Risks To ConsiderWhile I'm bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my expectations for the company. For instance, the regulation could clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, U.S. regulators could decide to delist the company's ADRs. Increased competition could impact Alibaba's growth and profits. The company's growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba's profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. There are multiple risks to this investment, which is why shares are very cheap right now. In my view, Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008801026,"gmtCreate":1641398211514,"gmtModify":1676533610683,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008801026","repostId":"1123324447","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123324447","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1641393991,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123324447?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-05 22:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wejo Stock Surged over 16% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123324447","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Wejo stock surged over 16% in morning trading after Wejo announced new connected vehicle platform wi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wejo stock surged over 16% in morning trading after Wejo announced new connected vehicle platform with Microsoft.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a4a0902b408ad6415dd6be65582fe6d\" tg-width=\"1120\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>What To Know:Wejo Group Limited</b> announced its new Neural Edge Processing platform. The company said the new platform will help “enable intelligent handling of data from vehicles at scale.” The platform will also provide insights into automotive innovation and help protect privacy.</p><p><b>Microsoft Corp</b>, which is an investor in Wejo Group, is partnering with Wejo on the new platform.</p><p>“Neural Edge uses machine learning to address data overload and deliver faster, more cost effective, and sustainable vehicle communication insights,” Wejo said in a press release. The platform sends only useful and valuable connected vehicle data to the cloud.</p><p>The platform launched virtually from the Microsoft Partners Pavilion at the 2022 Consumers Electronics Show in Las Vegas.</p><p><b>Why It’s Important:</b>Wejo highlighted latency and data storage costs as obstacles in real-time vehicle communications. Neural Edge optimizes how connected vehicle data is managed and communicated to the cloud.</p><p>The new process reduces data overload and maximizes data insights while also improving costs for automotive manufacturers.</p><p>Neural Edge enables vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to infrastructure, which could provide a “key building block for communication in near real time.” The technology could help with vehicles communicated with traffic lights, road signs and parking lots.</p><p>“With today’s vehicles producing approximately 25 gigabytes of data per hour and as vehicle technology advances adding more sensors, data filtering and neural edge processing technology is essential to reduce this overload and drive the industry forward,” Wejo CEO and Founder<b>Richard Barlow</b> said.</p><p>Wejo said the new platform could help make vehicles safer, advance electric and autonomous vehicle technology and reduce congestion and emissions.</p><p>Wejo offers its common data model and Neural Edge to customers that include automotive manufacturers.<b>Palantir Technologies</b> is an investor and partnerwith Wejo on the connected vehicle technology.</p><p>Wejo has data points from 11.9 million vehicles globally from multiple vehicle brands.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wejo Stock Surged over 16% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWejo Stock Surged over 16% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-05 22:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wejo stock surged over 16% in morning trading after Wejo announced new connected vehicle platform with Microsoft.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a4a0902b408ad6415dd6be65582fe6d\" tg-width=\"1120\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>What To Know:Wejo Group Limited</b> announced its new Neural Edge Processing platform. The company said the new platform will help “enable intelligent handling of data from vehicles at scale.” The platform will also provide insights into automotive innovation and help protect privacy.</p><p><b>Microsoft Corp</b>, which is an investor in Wejo Group, is partnering with Wejo on the new platform.</p><p>“Neural Edge uses machine learning to address data overload and deliver faster, more cost effective, and sustainable vehicle communication insights,” Wejo said in a press release. The platform sends only useful and valuable connected vehicle data to the cloud.</p><p>The platform launched virtually from the Microsoft Partners Pavilion at the 2022 Consumers Electronics Show in Las Vegas.</p><p><b>Why It’s Important:</b>Wejo highlighted latency and data storage costs as obstacles in real-time vehicle communications. Neural Edge optimizes how connected vehicle data is managed and communicated to the cloud.</p><p>The new process reduces data overload and maximizes data insights while also improving costs for automotive manufacturers.</p><p>Neural Edge enables vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to infrastructure, which could provide a “key building block for communication in near real time.” The technology could help with vehicles communicated with traffic lights, road signs and parking lots.</p><p>“With today’s vehicles producing approximately 25 gigabytes of data per hour and as vehicle technology advances adding more sensors, data filtering and neural edge processing technology is essential to reduce this overload and drive the industry forward,” Wejo CEO and Founder<b>Richard Barlow</b> said.</p><p>Wejo said the new platform could help make vehicles safer, advance electric and autonomous vehicle technology and reduce congestion and emissions.</p><p>Wejo offers its common data model and Neural Edge to customers that include automotive manufacturers.<b>Palantir Technologies</b> is an investor and partnerwith Wejo on the connected vehicle technology.</p><p>Wejo has data points from 11.9 million vehicles globally from multiple vehicle brands.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","WEJO":"Wejo Group Limited"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123324447","content_text":"Wejo stock surged over 16% in morning trading after Wejo announced new connected vehicle platform with Microsoft.What To Know:Wejo Group Limited announced its new Neural Edge Processing platform. The company said the new platform will help “enable intelligent handling of data from vehicles at scale.” The platform will also provide insights into automotive innovation and help protect privacy.Microsoft Corp, which is an investor in Wejo Group, is partnering with Wejo on the new platform.“Neural Edge uses machine learning to address data overload and deliver faster, more cost effective, and sustainable vehicle communication insights,” Wejo said in a press release. The platform sends only useful and valuable connected vehicle data to the cloud.The platform launched virtually from the Microsoft Partners Pavilion at the 2022 Consumers Electronics Show in Las Vegas.Why It’s Important:Wejo highlighted latency and data storage costs as obstacles in real-time vehicle communications. Neural Edge optimizes how connected vehicle data is managed and communicated to the cloud.The new process reduces data overload and maximizes data insights while also improving costs for automotive manufacturers.Neural Edge enables vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to infrastructure, which could provide a “key building block for communication in near real time.” The technology could help with vehicles communicated with traffic lights, road signs and parking lots.“With today’s vehicles producing approximately 25 gigabytes of data per hour and as vehicle technology advances adding more sensors, data filtering and neural edge processing technology is essential to reduce this overload and drive the industry forward,” Wejo CEO and FounderRichard Barlow said.Wejo said the new platform could help make vehicles safer, advance electric and autonomous vehicle technology and reduce congestion and emissions.Wejo offers its common data model and Neural Edge to customers that include automotive manufacturers.Palantir Technologies is an investor and partnerwith Wejo on the connected vehicle technology.Wejo has data points from 11.9 million vehicles globally from multiple vehicle brands.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174728323,"gmtCreate":1627142271862,"gmtModify":1703484762898,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174728323","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109439356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627096841,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109439356?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-24 11:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk Tweets That Tesla Will Share Its Charging Network. Why That’s a Savvy Move.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109439356","media":"Barrons","summary":"This past Wednesday, Elon Musk tweeted that Tesla would open up its global network of 25,000-plus chargers to non-Tesla electric vehicles. That might seem strange, even for Musk. But it could also be savvy. “It’s brilliant,” Gary Black tells Barron’s. Former Wall Street analyst and executive Black has amassed 80,000 Twitter followers for his views on stocks, including Tesla, which he owns shares in. “We like the move,” adds Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, also a Tesla bull. He rates the stock a Buy, w","content":"<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34edc30ae38ac91a9f953a1dcae4dbc\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Illustration by Elias Stein</span></p>\n<p>This past Wednesday, Elon Musk tweeted that Tesla would open up its global network of 25,000-plus chargers to non-Tesla electric vehicles. That might seem strange, even for Musk. But it could also be savvy. “It’s brilliant,” Gary Black tells Barron’s. Former Wall Street analyst and executive Black has amassed 80,000 Twitter followers for his views on stocks, including Tesla, which he owns shares in. “We like the move,” adds Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, also a Tesla bull. He rates the stock a Buy, with a $1,000 price target. “While some will view it as letting competition in on Tesla’s supercharger moat, we disagree…”</p>\n<p>For all the competition between their makers, EVs account for less than 5% of all new cars sold in the U.S. The larger struggle remains between electric- and gasoline-powered vehicles. Anything Musk does to make buying electrics easier is good for Tesla. Besides, Tesla could make a lot of money by opening its network. Although Tesla didn’t respond to a question about potential pricing, charging won’t be free, and refusing to let others use the system would be like a gas station only servicing Fords. And charging eventually will be as ubiquitous as gas stations.</p>\n<p>Then there’s the free publicity and advertising. Opening up the charging network shows Tesla is interested in overall EV adoption and not just in selling its own vehicles. That’s positive for the brand. And it means that thousands of EV buyers will be pulling up to a Tesla logo, again and again.</p>\n<p>Investors brushed off the tweet. Tesla closed at $643.38 Friday, basically flat on the week, with earnings ahead. That’s probably right. For now, charging-for-all will probably matter more at the margins.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk Tweets That Tesla Will Share Its Charging Network. Why That’s a Savvy Move.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk Tweets That Tesla Will Share Its Charging Network. Why That’s a Savvy Move.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 11:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-tesla-charging-network-51627090559><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Illustration by Elias Stein\nThis past Wednesday, Elon Musk tweeted that Tesla would open up its global network of 25,000-plus chargers to non-Tesla electric vehicles. That might seem strange, even for...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-tesla-charging-network-51627090559\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-tesla-charging-network-51627090559","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109439356","content_text":"Illustration by Elias Stein\nThis past Wednesday, Elon Musk tweeted that Tesla would open up its global network of 25,000-plus chargers to non-Tesla electric vehicles. That might seem strange, even for Musk. But it could also be savvy. “It’s brilliant,” Gary Black tells Barron’s. Former Wall Street analyst and executive Black has amassed 80,000 Twitter followers for his views on stocks, including Tesla, which he owns shares in. “We like the move,” adds Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, also a Tesla bull. He rates the stock a Buy, with a $1,000 price target. “While some will view it as letting competition in on Tesla’s supercharger moat, we disagree…”\nFor all the competition between their makers, EVs account for less than 5% of all new cars sold in the U.S. The larger struggle remains between electric- and gasoline-powered vehicles. Anything Musk does to make buying electrics easier is good for Tesla. Besides, Tesla could make a lot of money by opening its network. Although Tesla didn’t respond to a question about potential pricing, charging won’t be free, and refusing to let others use the system would be like a gas station only servicing Fords. And charging eventually will be as ubiquitous as gas stations.\nThen there’s the free publicity and advertising. Opening up the charging network shows Tesla is interested in overall EV adoption and not just in selling its own vehicles. That’s positive for the brand. And it means that thousands of EV buyers will be pulling up to a Tesla logo, again and again.\nInvestors brushed off the tweet. Tesla closed at $643.38 Friday, basically flat on the week, with earnings ahead. That’s probably right. For now, charging-for-all will probably matter more at the margins.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137718682,"gmtCreate":1622390118846,"gmtModify":1704183750627,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Test","listText":"Test","text":"Test","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137718682","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196986173,"gmtCreate":1621005098292,"gmtModify":1704351899718,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196986173","repostId":"2135710626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135710626","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1620982380,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2135710626?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 16:53","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Early Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135710626","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices. One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual","content":"<p>James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices</p><p>One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.</p><p>Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .</p><p>Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which the fund bought into in 2014.</p><p>Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.</p><p>In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.</p><p>\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"</p><p>Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.</p><p>\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.</p><p>He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.</p><p>But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.</p><p>The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"</p><p>Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.</p><p>Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.</p><p>\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.</p><p>In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.</p><p>Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.</p><p>Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$(09988)$</a>, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$(MRNA)$</a>, Chinese EV player NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.</p><p>\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Early Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarly Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-14 16:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices</p><p>One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.</p><p>Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .</p><p>Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which the fund bought into in 2014.</p><p>Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.</p><p>In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.</p><p>\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"</p><p>Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.</p><p>\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.</p><p>He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.</p><p>But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.</p><p>The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"</p><p>Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.</p><p>Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.</p><p>\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.</p><p>In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.</p><p>Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.</p><p>Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$(09988)$</a>, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$(MRNA)$</a>, Chinese EV player NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.</p><p>\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","BRK.A":"伯克希尔",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TSLA":"特斯拉","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135710626","content_text":"James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock pricesOne of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon $(AMZN)$, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla $(TSLA)$, which the fund bought into in 2014.Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft $(MSFT)$, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is one)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group Illumina (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba $(09988)$, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna $(MRNA)$, Chinese EV player NIO $(NIO)$, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191920920,"gmtCreate":1620834806360,"gmtModify":1704349166940,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191920920","repostId":"1186510575","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186510575","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620834242,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186510575?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-12 23:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill Ackman Unveils 6% Stake In Dominos, Says He Won't Invest In Bitcoin","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186510575","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Shares of Domino's Pizza surged nearly 4% Wednesday morning after celebrity investor Bill Ackman announced that his investment firm, Pershing Square Capital, had purchased a 6% stake in the pizza-delivery pioneer.Speaking at the \"Future of Everything\" conference organized by WSJ, Ackman added that he has long been an admirer of the firm and has eyed buying its stock, but that he only just recently found what he believed to be a compelling entry point to invest. Pershing sold some of its stake in","content":"<p>Shares of Domino's Pizza surged nearly 4% Wednesday morning after celebrity investor Bill Ackman announced that his investment firm, Pershing Square Capital, had purchased a 6% stake in the pizza-delivery pioneer.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63594f1f7c8dd7f4857fc989fa947180\" tg-width=\"1074\" tg-height=\"633\"></p>\n<p>Speaking at the \"Future of Everything\" conference organized by WSJ, Ackman added that he has long been an admirer of the firm and has eyed buying its stock, but that he only just recently found what he believed to be a compelling entry point to invest. Pershing sold some of its stake in Starbucks - which, along with Pershings bets on Chipotle, marked one of Ackman's biggest turnaround successes - to finance its investment in Dominos.</p>\n<p>Pershing started building its position in Dominoes at $330/share.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b895ad36f893b0976b1cfac9c18d101a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"333\"></p>\n<p>As CNBC's Kate Rogers pointed out, Dominos rival Papa Johns also saw some news on the activist front Wednesday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f32345dd4b763e29d83b9e01f1574ebe\" tg-width=\"526\" tg-height=\"358\"></p>\n<p>Ackman also revealed that he has been working on a single potential acquisition deal for the Pershing Square Tontine - Ackman's SPAC -&nbsp; since November of last year. \"We're deeply engaged\" with an \"iconic, phenomenal great business,\" Ackman said. But it's an \"extremely complex\" deal, and \"I'm either going to get a transaction done\" in the short term or move on to the next target.</p>\n<p>Whatever happens, \"It was worth devoting six months,\" Ackman added, though he wouldn't name the building.</p>\n<p>Asked about bitcoin, Ackman bucked the trend of hedge fund icons buying into the crypto craze by responding that bitcoin isn't a place he would invest. His rejection of crypto comes on the heels of his industry archrival Dan Loeb's embrace of crypto via his firm,Third Point, which now holds cryptocurrency from five of its funds.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill Ackman Unveils 6% Stake In Dominos, Says He Won't Invest In Bitcoin</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill Ackman Unveils 6% Stake In Dominos, Says He Won't Invest In Bitcoin\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-12 23:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dominos-jumps-bill-ackman-unveils-6-stake-offers-update-spac-deal-hunt><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Domino's Pizza surged nearly 4% Wednesday morning after celebrity investor Bill Ackman announced that his investment firm, Pershing Square Capital, had purchased a 6% stake in the pizza-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dominos-jumps-bill-ackman-unveils-6-stake-offers-update-spac-deal-hunt\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dominos-jumps-bill-ackman-unveils-6-stake-offers-update-spac-deal-hunt","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186510575","content_text":"Shares of Domino's Pizza surged nearly 4% Wednesday morning after celebrity investor Bill Ackman announced that his investment firm, Pershing Square Capital, had purchased a 6% stake in the pizza-delivery pioneer.\n\nSpeaking at the \"Future of Everything\" conference organized by WSJ, Ackman added that he has long been an admirer of the firm and has eyed buying its stock, but that he only just recently found what he believed to be a compelling entry point to invest. Pershing sold some of its stake in Starbucks - which, along with Pershings bets on Chipotle, marked one of Ackman's biggest turnaround successes - to finance its investment in Dominos.\nPershing started building its position in Dominoes at $330/share.\n\nAs CNBC's Kate Rogers pointed out, Dominos rival Papa Johns also saw some news on the activist front Wednesday.\n\nAckman also revealed that he has been working on a single potential acquisition deal for the Pershing Square Tontine - Ackman's SPAC -  since November of last year. \"We're deeply engaged\" with an \"iconic, phenomenal great business,\" Ackman said. But it's an \"extremely complex\" deal, and \"I'm either going to get a transaction done\" in the short term or move on to the next target.\nWhatever happens, \"It was worth devoting six months,\" Ackman added, though he wouldn't name the building.\nAsked about bitcoin, Ackman bucked the trend of hedge fund icons buying into the crypto craze by responding that bitcoin isn't a place he would invest. His rejection of crypto comes on the heels of his industry archrival Dan Loeb's embrace of crypto via his firm,Third Point, which now holds cryptocurrency from five of its funds.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918213796,"gmtCreate":1664406387315,"gmtModify":1676537446840,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pm","listText":"Pm","text":"Pm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918213796","repostId":"1102244542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102244542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664378284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102244542?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-28 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: A Bearish Sign For The First Time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102244542","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 yea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Apple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 years, but there&#39;s a recent sign that has me worried.</li><li>With the lack of new or innovative technologies, it can become a problem for the tech behemoth in the coming years.</li><li>As a result, I shift my bullish stance to a neutral to a slightly bearish one.</li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> has been one of the best and most solid investments for the better part of the past 20 years. As it released the iPhone in 2007, it began raking in amounts of money most other companies can only dream of and now they bring in billions from things like their Services segments, which is larger than some other companies bring in altogether.</p><p>But this past year there&#39;s been a warning sign I was looking out for a long time - as they shed their cash reserves for share buybacks and other compensation, they&#39;re losing their edge in the amount of investment and interest income they generate and now, for the very first time, they are paying more in interest expense than they&#39;re bringing in.</p><p>This in and of itself isn&#39;t all that bad considering they rake in about $100 billion in net income while paying just shy of $3 billion annually in interest expense. But with the lack of new innovative products, they&#39;ve been relying more on telecom companies&#39; incentive to sell their new iPhone than organic excitement.</p><p>Let&#39;s dive into the issues I see.</p><h3>Debt Load &amp; Interest Expense</h3><p>Beginning in 2013, the company started taking on long-term and short-term debt while interest rates were near zero to finance their operations while conserving cash overseas and investing it to bring in interest, which more than covered the interest expense on the low-interest debt. Since then, the debt has ballooned from about $16 billion to just shy of $110 billion, which was down to about $95 billion as of their latest financial reporting.</p><p>But then the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates and the company began paying more in interest expense. After the repatriation holiday in 2017, Apple brought back a big amount of their overseas cash which was being invested and spent the vast majority of it for share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities, which lowered their interest income.</p><p>Even though, as I mentioned earlier, the company has reduced their debt from $110 billion to $95 billion, their interest expense for the same time period increased from $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion. Although these numbers pale in comparison to their income and revenue generation, it&#39;s somewhat concerning in the long run given where interest rates are headed and the lower cash reserves the company has.</p><h3>Cash, Investments and Interest Income</h3><p>The company&#39;s cash and equivalents and short-term investments have been rising for the longest time as the company accumulated cash, but over the past few years, the company announced that it intended at getting to a cash-neutral position and spending it to fund share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities.</p><p>Apple had more than $100 billion in cash and short-term investment in September 2017, which decreased to under $50 billion as of today.</p><p>The more interesting part of this is the company&#39;s investments have been shrinking after the repatriation holiday back in 2017 allowed companies to bring back cash at record low tax rates, which were mostly used for share buybacks.</p><p>Apple had almost $200 billion of long-term investments in September 2017, which then slowly went down and hovers around $100 billion.</p><h3>The Result: All About The Interest Rates</h3><p>This resulted in the company&#39;s interest income to fall as their interest expense is expected to continue and climb:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9209feae93f89b97d8170d6ae749a21d\" tg-width=\"647\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>During the COVID-19 pandemic, interest rates went back to zero due to control measures by the Federal Reserve. But now, interest rates are expected to climb to records as the Federal Reserve tries to stem inflation. This means, I believe, that as the company&#39;s debt load has been increasing, they will be paying a big chunk more in expenses this year relative to last.</p><p>In the most recent reporting quarter, the company saw an 8.12% increase in interest expense relative to the same period last year as a result of the federal funds rate increasing from 0% to 0.75% in 2 stages throughout their reporting time period.</p><p>Given the fact that the federal funds rate has increased to 3% since then, I expect the company&#39;s interest expense to be higher by about 35% relative to last year, leading them to potentially pay over $3.5 billion for fiscal 2022.</p><p>On the face of it, this isn&#39;t all that bad, considering the fact that the company made about $100 billion last year in net income. But then there&#39;s the whole sales growth thing, which has me slightly more concerned than last time.</p><h3>Sales Growth To Underperform</h3><p>There are a few factors that make it hard for me to see Apple meeting the current sales growth projections.</p><p>The first is that they&#39;re way too reliant on telecom companies. These offer a free iPhone with a trade-in and some plan commitments, which is one of the major incentives that folks use in order to upgrade since the new iPhone has little improvement over the one before it, which was little improved over the one before it and so on.</p><p>While there&#39;s little to make me believe that telecom companies will stop this incentive altogether, I do think that there&#39;s a limit to the amount of cycles they&#39;ll do this as they shift to focus on customer retention and not only customer transfers or initiation. We&#39;ve seen this with other incentives - they take place for a business cycle or two and then shift to offering other services in place. If, and it&#39;s a big if, the iPhone 15 is to the iPhone 14 as the iPhone 14 is to the iPhone 13, I don&#39;t think the reception will be as good without these incentives to give Apple millions and millions of sales.</p><p>This is somewhat confirmed by the reception the phone had in China. New iPhone sales had a lukewarm reception in the company&#39;s second-largest market, where it&#39;s relying on for future sales growth, which doesn&#39;t have as many free upgrade offers. This is a result of individuals not wanting to spend all that money to upgrade for the sake of upgrading as there&#39;s little improvement outside the camera, which is already pro-level quality.</p><p>With these 2 main factors, I just don&#39;t see the company generating any meaningful revenues for the next 2-3 years. The added fact that they&#39;re spending more and more on research &amp; development each year with little to show for it (so far) is added to this underperformance projection by me.</p><h3>By The Numbers: Sales &amp; EPS</h3><p>The aforementioned factors lead me to believe that the company will likely underperform their current sales and EPS projections, which leads to them being fairly to slightly overvalued. This on its own means that the company may constitute a poor investment choice, but especially since we may be heading into a recession - the company&#39;s shares can underperform the broader market during that time period, which can be bad for investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea69a11622481942c2d350d262e0d8ec\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>With these figures not yet accounting for the already-lackluster reception in China of the new iPhone, I believe that and the aforementioned overall future underperformance means that the company will be seeing a sub-3% average annual growth rate throughout the 2025 time period.</p><p>Given my earlier points about,</p><p>1 - Increased sales through telecom companies&#39; incentives means lower gross margins.</p><p>2 - Increased interest expense, lower interest income, SG&amp;A expenses and R&amp;D expenses means that the profit margin will be lower than in previous years.</p><p>3 - Lower than projected sales growth on the higher margin iPhones means margins will be lower.</p><p>I believe that the company&#39;s EPS growth rate will be lower than sales growth rate. Here are the current projections for reference:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68dcaf536e8ffc6aff7dc94c35e43c21\" tg-width=\"636\" tg-height=\"205\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Comparing these EPS figures to the growth in sales and slightly overall lower margins means that, I believe, the company is likely to report low single-digit EPS growth over the coming time period through 2025 and is likely to report, if all else remains the same, a negative EPS growth rate in 2025.</p><h3>Conclusion - Avoiding</h3><p>The company, based on the aforementioned EPS projections, is trading at a forward price to earnings multiple of between 21x to 25x over the time period. This is overvaluing the company if their true growth rate is around the 2% to 3% mark through 2025, in my opinion.</p><p>This means that the company is likely slightly overvalued at current levels, and we shouldn&#39;t expect them to make any material gains in share price over the next 2-3 years. Since I believe this will be the case, I am shifting my bullish long-term stance on the company to a neutral one and have been shedding shares over the past few days and will continue to do so throughout the coming weeks.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: A Bearish Sign For The First Time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: A Bearish Sign For The First Time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543468-apple-for-the-first-time-a-bearish-sign><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 years, but there's a recent sign that has me worried.With the lack of new or innovative technologies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543468-apple-for-the-first-time-a-bearish-sign\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543468-apple-for-the-first-time-a-bearish-sign","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102244542","content_text":"SummaryApple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 years, but there's a recent sign that has me worried.With the lack of new or innovative technologies, it can become a problem for the tech behemoth in the coming years.As a result, I shift my bullish stance to a neutral to a slightly bearish one.Apple has been one of the best and most solid investments for the better part of the past 20 years. As it released the iPhone in 2007, it began raking in amounts of money most other companies can only dream of and now they bring in billions from things like their Services segments, which is larger than some other companies bring in altogether.But this past year there's been a warning sign I was looking out for a long time - as they shed their cash reserves for share buybacks and other compensation, they're losing their edge in the amount of investment and interest income they generate and now, for the very first time, they are paying more in interest expense than they're bringing in.This in and of itself isn't all that bad considering they rake in about $100 billion in net income while paying just shy of $3 billion annually in interest expense. But with the lack of new innovative products, they've been relying more on telecom companies' incentive to sell their new iPhone than organic excitement.Let's dive into the issues I see.Debt Load & Interest ExpenseBeginning in 2013, the company started taking on long-term and short-term debt while interest rates were near zero to finance their operations while conserving cash overseas and investing it to bring in interest, which more than covered the interest expense on the low-interest debt. Since then, the debt has ballooned from about $16 billion to just shy of $110 billion, which was down to about $95 billion as of their latest financial reporting.But then the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates and the company began paying more in interest expense. After the repatriation holiday in 2017, Apple brought back a big amount of their overseas cash which was being invested and spent the vast majority of it for share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities, which lowered their interest income.Even though, as I mentioned earlier, the company has reduced their debt from $110 billion to $95 billion, their interest expense for the same time period increased from $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion. Although these numbers pale in comparison to their income and revenue generation, it's somewhat concerning in the long run given where interest rates are headed and the lower cash reserves the company has.Cash, Investments and Interest IncomeThe company's cash and equivalents and short-term investments have been rising for the longest time as the company accumulated cash, but over the past few years, the company announced that it intended at getting to a cash-neutral position and spending it to fund share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities.Apple had more than $100 billion in cash and short-term investment in September 2017, which decreased to under $50 billion as of today.The more interesting part of this is the company's investments have been shrinking after the repatriation holiday back in 2017 allowed companies to bring back cash at record low tax rates, which were mostly used for share buybacks.Apple had almost $200 billion of long-term investments in September 2017, which then slowly went down and hovers around $100 billion.The Result: All About The Interest RatesThis resulted in the company's interest income to fall as their interest expense is expected to continue and climb:During the COVID-19 pandemic, interest rates went back to zero due to control measures by the Federal Reserve. But now, interest rates are expected to climb to records as the Federal Reserve tries to stem inflation. This means, I believe, that as the company's debt load has been increasing, they will be paying a big chunk more in expenses this year relative to last.In the most recent reporting quarter, the company saw an 8.12% increase in interest expense relative to the same period last year as a result of the federal funds rate increasing from 0% to 0.75% in 2 stages throughout their reporting time period.Given the fact that the federal funds rate has increased to 3% since then, I expect the company's interest expense to be higher by about 35% relative to last year, leading them to potentially pay over $3.5 billion for fiscal 2022.On the face of it, this isn't all that bad, considering the fact that the company made about $100 billion last year in net income. But then there's the whole sales growth thing, which has me slightly more concerned than last time.Sales Growth To UnderperformThere are a few factors that make it hard for me to see Apple meeting the current sales growth projections.The first is that they're way too reliant on telecom companies. These offer a free iPhone with a trade-in and some plan commitments, which is one of the major incentives that folks use in order to upgrade since the new iPhone has little improvement over the one before it, which was little improved over the one before it and so on.While there's little to make me believe that telecom companies will stop this incentive altogether, I do think that there's a limit to the amount of cycles they'll do this as they shift to focus on customer retention and not only customer transfers or initiation. We've seen this with other incentives - they take place for a business cycle or two and then shift to offering other services in place. If, and it's a big if, the iPhone 15 is to the iPhone 14 as the iPhone 14 is to the iPhone 13, I don't think the reception will be as good without these incentives to give Apple millions and millions of sales.This is somewhat confirmed by the reception the phone had in China. New iPhone sales had a lukewarm reception in the company's second-largest market, where it's relying on for future sales growth, which doesn't have as many free upgrade offers. This is a result of individuals not wanting to spend all that money to upgrade for the sake of upgrading as there's little improvement outside the camera, which is already pro-level quality.With these 2 main factors, I just don't see the company generating any meaningful revenues for the next 2-3 years. The added fact that they're spending more and more on research & development each year with little to show for it (so far) is added to this underperformance projection by me.By The Numbers: Sales & EPSThe aforementioned factors lead me to believe that the company will likely underperform their current sales and EPS projections, which leads to them being fairly to slightly overvalued. This on its own means that the company may constitute a poor investment choice, but especially since we may be heading into a recession - the company's shares can underperform the broader market during that time period, which can be bad for investors.With these figures not yet accounting for the already-lackluster reception in China of the new iPhone, I believe that and the aforementioned overall future underperformance means that the company will be seeing a sub-3% average annual growth rate throughout the 2025 time period.Given my earlier points about,1 - Increased sales through telecom companies' incentives means lower gross margins.2 - Increased interest expense, lower interest income, SG&A expenses and R&D expenses means that the profit margin will be lower than in previous years.3 - Lower than projected sales growth on the higher margin iPhones means margins will be lower.I believe that the company's EPS growth rate will be lower than sales growth rate. Here are the current projections for reference:Comparing these EPS figures to the growth in sales and slightly overall lower margins means that, I believe, the company is likely to report low single-digit EPS growth over the coming time period through 2025 and is likely to report, if all else remains the same, a negative EPS growth rate in 2025.Conclusion - AvoidingThe company, based on the aforementioned EPS projections, is trading at a forward price to earnings multiple of between 21x to 25x over the time period. This is overvaluing the company if their true growth rate is around the 2% to 3% mark through 2025, in my opinion.This means that the company is likely slightly overvalued at current levels, and we shouldn't expect them to make any material gains in share price over the next 2-3 years. Since I believe this will be the case, I am shifting my bullish long-term stance on the company to a neutral one and have been shedding shares over the past few days and will continue to do so throughout the coming weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919760925,"gmtCreate":1663862459467,"gmtModify":1676537352298,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919760925","repostId":"1152785107","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152785107","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663860360,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152785107?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-22 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152785107","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>While fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.</li><li>We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.</li><li>Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.</li></ul><p><i>DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer</i> <i>to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note&#39;s date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.</i></p><p>It&#39;s Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn&#39;t.</p><p>As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&amp;P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day&#39;s work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!</p><p>This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it&#39;s not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.</p><p><b>Let&#39;s Talk About SPY</b></p><p>OK folks, let&#39;s just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like this</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca80a46b6ff8f158873974f116b4ad7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.</p><p>Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.</p><p>Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.</p><p>And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they&#39;ll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.</p><p>So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.</p><p>Yes, we&#39;re saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded <i>so</i> well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.</p><p>But don&#39;t take our word for it. Let&#39;s zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.</p><p>And is it ever. Today&#39;s close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that&#39;s thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65bfa539e75474ecde04800d17b63585\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p><b>What The Fed Is Going On Then?</b></p><p>Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.</p><p>Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...<i>up</i>? Huh?</p><p>We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about <i>manipulation</i> and so forth. Because that&#39;s just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don&#39;t doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that&#39;s rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.</p><p>You see in the index ETFs there&#39;s a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it&#39;s to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1de0c0082c1ca0ce7a2e248d7d64ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It&#39;s no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it&#39;s a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we&#39;ll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn&#39;t. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they&#39;re not.</p><p>So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You&#39;ll know soon enough if we&#39;re right or wrong. If right, SPY won&#39;t spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.</p><p>For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-22 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152785107","content_text":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.It's Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn't.As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day's work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it's not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.Let's Talk About SPYOK folks, let's just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like thisSPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they'll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.Yes, we're saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded so well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.But don't take our word for it. Let's zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.And is it ever. Today's close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that's thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)What The Fed Is Going On Then?Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...up? Huh?We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about manipulation and so forth. Because that's just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don't doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that's rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.You see in the index ETFs there's a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it's to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.S&P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It's no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it's a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we'll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn't. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they're not.So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You'll know soon enough if we're right or wrong. If right, SPY won't spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937772795,"gmtCreate":1663517228818,"gmtModify":1676537282231,"author":{"id":"3560902410034010","authorId":"3560902410034010","name":"chiin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560902410034010","authorIdStr":"3560902410034010"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937772795","repostId":"2268672370","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2268672370","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663460267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268672370?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-18 08:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268672370","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hike</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b4166c0ac7b0bdf7caa1837ef618a67\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Fed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and businesses.</span></p><p>The Federal Reserve isn’t trying to slam the stock market as it rapidly raises interest rates in its bid to slow inflation still running red hot — but investors need to be prepared for more pain and volatility because policy makers aren’t going to be cowed by a deepening selloff, investors and strategists said.</p><p>“I don’t think they’re necessarily trying to drive inflation down by destroying stock prices or bond prices, but it is having that effect.” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer at Exencial Wealth Advisors, in an interview.</p><p>U.S. stocks fell sharply in the past week after hopes for a pronounced cooling in inflation were dashed by a hotter-than-expected August inflation reading. The data cemented expectations among fed-funds futures traders for a rate hike of at least 75 basis points when the Fed concludes its policy meeting on Sept. 21, with some traders and analysts looking for an increase of 100 basis points, or a full percentage point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average logged a 4.1% weekly fall, while the S&amp;P 500 dropped 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite suffered a 5.5% decline. The S&amp;P 500 ended Friday below the 3,900 level viewed as an important area of technical support, with some chart watchers eyeing the potential for a test of the large-cap benchmark’s 2022 low at 3,666.77 set on June 16.</p><p>A profit warning from global shipping giant and economic bellwether FedEx Corp. further stoked recession fears, contributing to stock-market losses on Friday.</p><p>Treasurys also fell, with yield on the 2-year Treasury note soaring to a nearly 15-year high above 3.85% on expectations the Fed will continue pushing rates higher in coming months. Yields rise as prices fall.</p><p>Investors are operating in an environment where the central bank’s need to rein in stubborn inflation is widely seen having eliminated the notion of a figurative “Fed put” on the stock market.</p><p>The concept of a Fed put has been around since at least the October 1987 stock-market crash prompted the Alan Greenspan-led central bank to lower interest rates. An actual put option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a set level, known as the strike price, serving as an insurance policy against a market decline.</p><p>Some economists and analysts have even suggested the Fed should welcome or even aim for market losses, which could serve to tighten financial conditions as investors scale back spending.</p><p>William Dudley, the former president of the New York Fed, argued earlier this year that the central bank won’t get a handle on inflation that’s running near a 40-year high unless they make investors suffer. “It’s hard to know how much the Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control,” wrote Dudley in a Bloomberg column in April. “But one thing is certain: to be effective, it’ll have to inflict more losses on stock and bond investors than it has so far.”</p><p>Some market participants aren’t convinced. Aoifinn Devitt, chief investment officer at Moneta,said the Fed likely sees stock-market volatility as a byproduct of its efforts to tighten monetary policy, not an objective.</p><p>“They recognize that stocks can be collateral damage in a tightening cycle,” but that doesn’t mean that stocks “have to collapse,” Devitt said.</p><p>The Fed, however, is prepared to tolerate seeing markets decline and the economy slow and even tip into recession as it focuses on taming inflation, she said.</p><p>The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target rate at a range of 0% to 0.25% between 2008 and 2015, as it dealt with the financial crisis and its aftermath. The Fed also cut rates to near zero again in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With a rock-bottom interest rate, the Dow skyrocketed over 40%, while the large-cap index S&amp;P 500 jumped over 60% between March 2020 and December 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Investors got used to “the tailwind for over a decade with falling interest rates” while looking for the Fed to step in with its “put” should the going get rocky, said Courtney at Exencial Wealth Advisors.</p><p>“I think (now) the Fed message is ‘you’re not gonna get this tailwind anymore’,” Courtney told MarketWatch on Thursday. “I think markets can grow, but they’re gonna have to grow on their own because the markets are like a greenhouse where the temperatures have to be kept at a certain level all day and all night, and I think that’s the message that markets can and should grow on their own without the greenhouse effect.”</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed’s aggressive stance means investors should be prepared for what may be a “few more daily stabs downward” that could eventually prove to be a “final big flush,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, in a Thursday note.</p><p>“This may sound odd, but if that happens swiftly, meaning within the next couple months, that actually becomes the bull case in my view,” she said. “It could be a quick and painful drop, resulting in a renewed move higher later in the year that’s more durable, as inflation falls more notably.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-18 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hikeFed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268672370","content_text":"Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hikeFed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and businesses.The Federal Reserve isn’t trying to slam the stock market as it rapidly raises interest rates in its bid to slow inflation still running red hot — but investors need to be prepared for more pain and volatility because policy makers aren’t going to be cowed by a deepening selloff, investors and strategists said.“I don’t think they’re necessarily trying to drive inflation down by destroying stock prices or bond prices, but it is having that effect.” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer at Exencial Wealth Advisors, in an interview.U.S. stocks fell sharply in the past week after hopes for a pronounced cooling in inflation were dashed by a hotter-than-expected August inflation reading. The data cemented expectations among fed-funds futures traders for a rate hike of at least 75 basis points when the Fed concludes its policy meeting on Sept. 21, with some traders and analysts looking for an increase of 100 basis points, or a full percentage point.The Dow Jones Industrial Average logged a 4.1% weekly fall, while the S&P 500 dropped 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite suffered a 5.5% decline. The S&P 500 ended Friday below the 3,900 level viewed as an important area of technical support, with some chart watchers eyeing the potential for a test of the large-cap benchmark’s 2022 low at 3,666.77 set on June 16.A profit warning from global shipping giant and economic bellwether FedEx Corp. further stoked recession fears, contributing to stock-market losses on Friday.Treasurys also fell, with yield on the 2-year Treasury note soaring to a nearly 15-year high above 3.85% on expectations the Fed will continue pushing rates higher in coming months. Yields rise as prices fall.Investors are operating in an environment where the central bank’s need to rein in stubborn inflation is widely seen having eliminated the notion of a figurative “Fed put” on the stock market.The concept of a Fed put has been around since at least the October 1987 stock-market crash prompted the Alan Greenspan-led central bank to lower interest rates. An actual put option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a set level, known as the strike price, serving as an insurance policy against a market decline.Some economists and analysts have even suggested the Fed should welcome or even aim for market losses, which could serve to tighten financial conditions as investors scale back spending.William Dudley, the former president of the New York Fed, argued earlier this year that the central bank won’t get a handle on inflation that’s running near a 40-year high unless they make investors suffer. “It’s hard to know how much the Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control,” wrote Dudley in a Bloomberg column in April. “But one thing is certain: to be effective, it’ll have to inflict more losses on stock and bond investors than it has so far.”Some market participants aren’t convinced. Aoifinn Devitt, chief investment officer at Moneta,said the Fed likely sees stock-market volatility as a byproduct of its efforts to tighten monetary policy, not an objective.“They recognize that stocks can be collateral damage in a tightening cycle,” but that doesn’t mean that stocks “have to collapse,” Devitt said.The Fed, however, is prepared to tolerate seeing markets decline and the economy slow and even tip into recession as it focuses on taming inflation, she said.The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target rate at a range of 0% to 0.25% between 2008 and 2015, as it dealt with the financial crisis and its aftermath. The Fed also cut rates to near zero again in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With a rock-bottom interest rate, the Dow skyrocketed over 40%, while the large-cap index S&P 500 jumped over 60% between March 2020 and December 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Investors got used to “the tailwind for over a decade with falling interest rates” while looking for the Fed to step in with its “put” should the going get rocky, said Courtney at Exencial Wealth Advisors.“I think (now) the Fed message is ‘you’re not gonna get this tailwind anymore’,” Courtney told MarketWatch on Thursday. “I think markets can grow, but they’re gonna have to grow on their own because the markets are like a greenhouse where the temperatures have to be kept at a certain level all day and all night, and I think that’s the message that markets can and should grow on their own without the greenhouse effect.”Meanwhile, the Fed’s aggressive stance means investors should be prepared for what may be a “few more daily stabs downward” that could eventually prove to be a “final big flush,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, in a Thursday note.“This may sound odd, but if that happens swiftly, meaning within the next couple months, that actually becomes the bull case in my view,” she said. “It could be a quick and painful drop, resulting in a renewed move higher later in the year that’s more durable, as inflation falls more notably.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":27,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}