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2021-07-31

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July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead

2021-07-11

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noted","listText":"OK noted","text":"OK noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806479466","repostId":"1106964638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106964638","pubTimestamp":1627689499,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106964638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106964638","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs rep","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJuly jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 07:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1106964638","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “game changer” since a strong number could encourage the Federal Reserve to tighten policy, while a weak number could delay it from paring back bond purchases.\n\nFriday’s jobs report could be a catalyst that helps determine whether markets are volatile or will trade like it’s the quiet dog days of August.\nMore than a quarter of theS&P 500report earnings in the coming week. The calendar includes companies in sectors such as consumer staples, insurance, pharma, travel and media. FromBooking HoldingstoViacomCBS,WayfairandKellogg, investors will be watching to see what companies say about reopening activity, supply chain disruptions and rising costs.\n“I think as much as 85% of the companies which are reporting earnings mentioned inflation on their earnings calls,” Franklin Templeton Fixed Income chief investment officer Sonal Desai said. “Inflation may not be a problem to policymakers and financial markets, which seem not to be concerned at all. It does seem to bother the people who have to buy stuff or people who produce stuff.”\nThe jobs factor\nThe Federal Reserve has said the sharp jump in inflation is just temporary, and many investors appear to be taking it in stride for now. The market is intensely focused on the central bank's other mandate: the labor market. Fed Chairman Jerome Powellsaid Wednesdayhe would like to seestrong jobs reportsbefore winding down the central bank's $120 billion a month bond-buying program.\nThe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release theJuly employment reporton the morning of Friday, Aug. 6. It's expected to show 788,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 850,000 in June, according to Dow Jones. The unemployment rate is expected to dip to 5.7% from 5.9%. Average hourly wages are expected to rise 3.9% year over year.\nIronsides Macroeconomics director of research Barry Knapp said he expects the next two monthly jobs reports will be strong, and the Fed should then be ready to announce in September that it is ready to start the slow unwind of its bond purchasing program.\nThat is an important step since it would be the first real move away from the central bank’s easy policies that were put in place in the pandemic. It would also mean the Fed would be open to raising interest rates once the tapering is completed.\n\nGame changer for markets\n\"Friday could be a game changer,\" Knapp said of the employment report. Before that, he expects stocks to trade in a narrow range.\nIf the number of jobs added in July is much higher than expected, at more than 1 million, Knapp said the market could immediately sell off on the idea the Fed would be ready to pare back its bond purchases.\nIf the number is weaker than expected, the market could rally. \"We are in a dead period after earnings, with concerns about the pace of the reopening. It's still a bit of a question mark. The bias would be higher after a weak number. ... Bad is good. Good is bad,\" said Knapp.\nLike some other strategists, he expects tosee a stock market correction,possibly later this summer.\n“I’m in the camp where I think we’re going to have our first major correction.” Knapp said. “What we’re likely to get is at least 10% or more. ... It could really happen when they [Fed officials] make the announcement in September.”\nWilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley said he expects just 350,000 jobs, based on the high frequency data he watches.\n“We think the run rate is about 500,000 jobs. Last month seems a little bit overcooked,” he said.\nReflation trade\nTheS&P 500was down 0.4% in the past week, finishing at 4,395, while the Nasdaq lost even more , down 1.1% at 14,672.\nCyclical stocks were among the best performers. Materials jumped 2.8% in the week, and energy shares were up 1.6%. Financials gained 0.7%. But tech fell 0.7%.\nKnapp said it now makes sense to hold stocks that are in the reflation trade, such as energy, industrials or materials.\nThe surge in the delta variant of the coronavirus has become a worry among investors and has been a factor holding down interest rates. The 10-year yield, which moves opposite price, has held at low levels and was at 1.23% on Friday, amid concern that the delta variant of the coronavirus could slow growth.\nInvestors will be watching other important data in the coming week, including theInstitute for Supply Management’smanufacturing data Monday, andjobless claimsand trade data Thursday.\nThe China trade\nChina was also a dominant market story in the past week and could continue to be. Hong Kong’sHang SengIndexfell5% for the week. Chinese regulators continued theircrackdown on internet companies, publicly traded education companies and other industries.\nStrategists say Beijing is trying to reclaim its biggest companies as its own and turn them away from listings in foreign markets. Officials were particularly upset withDidi Globalwhichreportedly went public even after being warned not toby Beijing.\nChinese regulators reportedly spoke with international banksafter their actions sparked a wave of selling in internet stocks and the broader Chinese stock market. The regulators saidcompanies could continue to go publicin the U.S. if they met listing requirements.\n“We will continue to see regulators try to calm the waters. I would say this was a communications misstep,” said Franklin Templeton’s Desai. “You don’t have massive swings without having negative impact.” She added it sent ripples through emerging markets.\n“This is China trying to gain control, and they tried to do it in a very heavy way, and they were surprised at the backlash,” Desai said.\nTheKraneShares CSI China Internet ETFhas lost about half its value from its peak in February, and was down another 2.6% Friday.\nInternet retailerAlibabais one of the ETF’s top holdings. The company is expected to announce earnings on Tuesday.\nWeek ahead calendarMonday\nEarnings:Take-Two Interactive,Mosaic,Vornado Realty,Eastman Chemical, Simon Property,Transocean,Pioneer Natural Resources, Reynolds Consumer Products, ON Semiconductor, NXP Semiconductor, AXA, Loews\n9:45 a.m. Manufacturing PMI\n10:00 a.m. ISM manufacturing\n10:00 a.m. Construction spending\n10:00 am. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren\n2:00 p.m. Senior loan officer survey\nTuesday\nEarnings:Alibaba,Amgen, Eli Lilly,Clorox, KKR,Under Armour, Eaton, Discovery, Pitney Bowes,Marriott,ConocoPhillips, Activision Blizzard,Avis Budget,Public Storage, Devon Energy, Jacobs Engineering, Bausch Health, Incyte, Philips 66,Ralph Lauren,Expeditors International,Nikola,Warner Music\n10:00 a.m. Factory orders\n11:00 a.m. New York Fed release on household debt and credit\nWednesday\nEarnings:Booking Holdings,CVS Health, GM, Etsy,MGM Resorts,Allstate,Uber,Fox Corp., Electronic Arts, Roku,Kraft Heinz,Toyota, Sony,AmerisourceBergen,Marathon Petroleum, BorgWarner, Entergy, Apollo Global Management, New York Times,Scotts Miracle-Gro, Tupperware,MetLife,IAC/Interactive\n8:15 a.m. ADP employment\n9:45 a.m. Services PMI\n10:00 a.m. ISM services\nThursday\nVehicle sales\nEarnings:Regeneron,ViacomCBS, Beyond Meat, DropBox,Expedia,Sprouts Farmers Market, TrueCar, Shake Shack,Square, TripAdvisor, Cushman and Wakefield,Kellogg,Cigna, Zillow, Lions Gate, Ambac, Virgin Galactic,Motorola Solutions,Zynga, Illumina, AIG, SeaWorld, Cardinal Health,Duke Energy, Thomson Reuters,Datadog,Eventbrite,NRG Energy,Choice Hotels,Parker-Hannifin,Wayfair,Zoetis\n8:30 a.m. Initial jobless claims\n8:30 a.m. International trade\nFriday\nEarnings:Liberty Broadband, Liberty Media, AMC Networks,Draftkings, Fluor, Gannett,Canopy Growth,Nuance Communiciations,Goodyear Tire\n8:30 a.m. Employment report\n10:00 a.m. Wholesale trade\n3:00 p.m. Consumer credit","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148473115,"gmtCreate":1626012388037,"gmtModify":1703751912825,"author":{"id":"3561777465841941","authorId":"3561777465841941","name":"62e8a974","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561777465841941","authorIdStr":"3561777465841941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Make it happen","listText":"Make it happen","text":"Make it happen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148473115","repostId":"1101087642","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101087642","pubTimestamp":1625885700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1101087642?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Banks Are About to Kick Off Earnings Season. Keep an Eye on Citigroup.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101087642","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank investors are hoping for something to get excited about this coming week when JPMorgan Chase, G","content":"<p>Bank investors are hoping for something to get excited about this coming week when JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs Group, and others report second-quarter results. They shouldn’t get their hopes up.</p>\n<p>It’s not that there hasn’t been good news for bank stocks. Just last month, the biggest banks easily passed the Federal Reserve’s annual stress tests, paving the way for them to return capital to shareholders without restrictions. They’ve also gotten a lift from improving economic conditions, the release of reserves set aside for&nbsp;bad loans that never materialized, and continued trading and deal-making activity. Banks have controlled what they can control and have come out the other side better for it.</p>\n<p>But there’s one thing banks can’t control—bond yields. The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Bank&nbsp;exchange-traded fund (ticker: KBE) gained around 30% to start the year as the 10-year yield climbed as high as 1.75%. The ETF has given back about half its gains as the 10-year yield dropped below 1.3% this past week. While bank earnings should contain&nbsp;a lot of good news, there may not be enough to get the group moving higher. In fact, the opposite might be true.</p>\n<p>Banks have proven they have a solid foundation, but the next leg of growth is more uncertain. Few expect that trading activity—which soared last year amid volatile market conditions—will match last year’s torrid pace. Across the sector, second-quarter trading revenue likely declined by roughly 30% year over year. Expectations of reserve releases and capital return to shareholders have already been priced into the shares.As for loan growth, expectations are weak as loan activity has likely been muted.</p>\n<p>Bank stocks aren’t nearly as cheap as they were a year ago, when many were trading below tangible book value, but compared with the broad market, they still look cheap. The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF&nbsp;currently trades at 11.1 times 12-month forward earnings, while the S&amp;P 500 trades at 21.6 times.</p>\n<p>Against this backdrop, with banks strong but perhaps not as exciting and certainly not as cheap, few are as cheap as&nbsp;Citigroup(C), which trades at just 0.9 times tangible book and offers a 3% yield after falling 13% over the past month. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect that Citigroup will earn $1.99 per share—roughly a fourfold increase from the challenging year-ago quarter.</p>\n<p>Barron’s&nbsp;highlighted Citigroup&nbsp;earlier this year&nbsp;just as Jane Fraser was poised to become CEO. Prior to Fraser claiming the top spot, the bank was hit with a consent order by regulators for weaknesses in its internal controls. While there has been some analyst skepticism about how quickly Citigroup can correct those issues and at what cost, the Street generally agrees that with Fraser at the helm, the bank has a renewed sense of urgency&nbsp;to streamline its operations.</p>\n<p>Citi’s cheap valuation makes up for a lot of those issues, says KBW analyst&nbsp;David Konrad. “We are assuming coverage of Citigroup with an Outperform rating partly due to a discounted valuation but also due to the negative sentiment on the stock,” he writes. Konrad sees Citi stock trading at $85 a share, almost 25% above Friday’s close.</p>\n<p>It may take time, but Citi stock should pay off for patient investors.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Banks Are About to Kick Off Earnings Season. Keep an Eye on Citigroup.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBanks Are About to Kick Off Earnings Season. Keep an Eye on Citigroup.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 10:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/citigroup-bank-stocks-earnings-season-51625876082?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bank investors are hoping for something to get excited about this coming week when JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs Group, and others report second-quarter results. They shouldn’t get their hopes up.\nIt’...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/citigroup-bank-stocks-earnings-season-51625876082?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C":"花旗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/citigroup-bank-stocks-earnings-season-51625876082?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101087642","content_text":"Bank investors are hoping for something to get excited about this coming week when JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs Group, and others report second-quarter results. They shouldn’t get their hopes up.\nIt’s not that there hasn’t been good news for bank stocks. Just last month, the biggest banks easily passed the Federal Reserve’s annual stress tests, paving the way for them to return capital to shareholders without restrictions. They’ve also gotten a lift from improving economic conditions, the release of reserves set aside for bad loans that never materialized, and continued trading and deal-making activity. Banks have controlled what they can control and have come out the other side better for it.\nBut there’s one thing banks can’t control—bond yields. The SPDR S&P Bank exchange-traded fund (ticker: KBE) gained around 30% to start the year as the 10-year yield climbed as high as 1.75%. The ETF has given back about half its gains as the 10-year yield dropped below 1.3% this past week. While bank earnings should contain a lot of good news, there may not be enough to get the group moving higher. In fact, the opposite might be true.\nBanks have proven they have a solid foundation, but the next leg of growth is more uncertain. Few expect that trading activity—which soared last year amid volatile market conditions—will match last year’s torrid pace. Across the sector, second-quarter trading revenue likely declined by roughly 30% year over year. Expectations of reserve releases and capital return to shareholders have already been priced into the shares.As for loan growth, expectations are weak as loan activity has likely been muted.\nBank stocks aren’t nearly as cheap as they were a year ago, when many were trading below tangible book value, but compared with the broad market, they still look cheap. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF currently trades at 11.1 times 12-month forward earnings, while the S&P 500 trades at 21.6 times.\nAgainst this backdrop, with banks strong but perhaps not as exciting and certainly not as cheap, few are as cheap as Citigroup(C), which trades at just 0.9 times tangible book and offers a 3% yield after falling 13% over the past month. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect that Citigroup will earn $1.99 per share—roughly a fourfold increase from the challenging year-ago quarter.\nBarron’s highlighted Citigroup earlier this year just as Jane Fraser was poised to become CEO. Prior to Fraser claiming the top spot, the bank was hit with a consent order by regulators for weaknesses in its internal controls. While there has been some analyst skepticism about how quickly Citigroup can correct those issues and at what cost, the Street generally agrees that with Fraser at the helm, the bank has a renewed sense of urgency to streamline its operations.\nCiti’s cheap valuation makes up for a lot of those issues, says KBW analyst David Konrad. “We are assuming coverage of Citigroup with an Outperform rating partly due to a discounted valuation but also due to the negative sentiment on the stock,” he writes. Konrad sees Citi stock trading at $85 a share, almost 25% above Friday’s close.\nIt may take time, but Citi stock should pay off for patient investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":806479466,"gmtCreate":1627691395855,"gmtModify":1703494684062,"author":{"id":"3561777465841941","authorId":"3561777465841941","name":"62e8a974","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561777465841941","authorIdStr":"3561777465841941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK noted","listText":"OK noted","text":"OK noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806479466","repostId":"1106964638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106964638","pubTimestamp":1627689499,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106964638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106964638","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs rep","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJuly jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 07:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/july-jobs-report-could-be-what-gives-the-market-its-next-big-jolt-in-the-week-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1106964638","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nMore than a quarter of S&P 500 companies report in the week ahead, but the July jobs report on Friday will be what matters most to markets.\nOne strategist said the jobs number could be a “game changer” since a strong number could encourage the Federal Reserve to tighten policy, while a weak number could delay it from paring back bond purchases.\n\nFriday’s jobs report could be a catalyst that helps determine whether markets are volatile or will trade like it’s the quiet dog days of August.\nMore than a quarter of theS&P 500report earnings in the coming week. The calendar includes companies in sectors such as consumer staples, insurance, pharma, travel and media. FromBooking HoldingstoViacomCBS,WayfairandKellogg, investors will be watching to see what companies say about reopening activity, supply chain disruptions and rising costs.\n“I think as much as 85% of the companies which are reporting earnings mentioned inflation on their earnings calls,” Franklin Templeton Fixed Income chief investment officer Sonal Desai said. “Inflation may not be a problem to policymakers and financial markets, which seem not to be concerned at all. It does seem to bother the people who have to buy stuff or people who produce stuff.”\nThe jobs factor\nThe Federal Reserve has said the sharp jump in inflation is just temporary, and many investors appear to be taking it in stride for now. The market is intensely focused on the central bank's other mandate: the labor market. Fed Chairman Jerome Powellsaid Wednesdayhe would like to seestrong jobs reportsbefore winding down the central bank's $120 billion a month bond-buying program.\nThe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release theJuly employment reporton the morning of Friday, Aug. 6. It's expected to show 788,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 850,000 in June, according to Dow Jones. The unemployment rate is expected to dip to 5.7% from 5.9%. Average hourly wages are expected to rise 3.9% year over year.\nIronsides Macroeconomics director of research Barry Knapp said he expects the next two monthly jobs reports will be strong, and the Fed should then be ready to announce in September that it is ready to start the slow unwind of its bond purchasing program.\nThat is an important step since it would be the first real move away from the central bank’s easy policies that were put in place in the pandemic. It would also mean the Fed would be open to raising interest rates once the tapering is completed.\n\nGame changer for markets\n\"Friday could be a game changer,\" Knapp said of the employment report. Before that, he expects stocks to trade in a narrow range.\nIf the number of jobs added in July is much higher than expected, at more than 1 million, Knapp said the market could immediately sell off on the idea the Fed would be ready to pare back its bond purchases.\nIf the number is weaker than expected, the market could rally. \"We are in a dead period after earnings, with concerns about the pace of the reopening. It's still a bit of a question mark. The bias would be higher after a weak number. ... Bad is good. Good is bad,\" said Knapp.\nLike some other strategists, he expects tosee a stock market correction,possibly later this summer.\n“I’m in the camp where I think we’re going to have our first major correction.” Knapp said. “What we’re likely to get is at least 10% or more. ... It could really happen when they [Fed officials] make the announcement in September.”\nWilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley said he expects just 350,000 jobs, based on the high frequency data he watches.\n“We think the run rate is about 500,000 jobs. Last month seems a little bit overcooked,” he said.\nReflation trade\nTheS&P 500was down 0.4% in the past week, finishing at 4,395, while the Nasdaq lost even more , down 1.1% at 14,672.\nCyclical stocks were among the best performers. Materials jumped 2.8% in the week, and energy shares were up 1.6%. Financials gained 0.7%. But tech fell 0.7%.\nKnapp said it now makes sense to hold stocks that are in the reflation trade, such as energy, industrials or materials.\nThe surge in the delta variant of the coronavirus has become a worry among investors and has been a factor holding down interest rates. The 10-year yield, which moves opposite price, has held at low levels and was at 1.23% on Friday, amid concern that the delta variant of the coronavirus could slow growth.\nInvestors will be watching other important data in the coming week, including theInstitute for Supply Management’smanufacturing data Monday, andjobless claimsand trade data Thursday.\nThe China trade\nChina was also a dominant market story in the past week and could continue to be. Hong Kong’sHang SengIndexfell5% for the week. Chinese regulators continued theircrackdown on internet companies, publicly traded education companies and other industries.\nStrategists say Beijing is trying to reclaim its biggest companies as its own and turn them away from listings in foreign markets. Officials were particularly upset withDidi Globalwhichreportedly went public even after being warned not toby Beijing.\nChinese regulators reportedly spoke with international banksafter their actions sparked a wave of selling in internet stocks and the broader Chinese stock market. The regulators saidcompanies could continue to go publicin the U.S. if they met listing requirements.\n“We will continue to see regulators try to calm the waters. I would say this was a communications misstep,” said Franklin Templeton’s Desai. “You don’t have massive swings without having negative impact.” She added it sent ripples through emerging markets.\n“This is China trying to gain control, and they tried to do it in a very heavy way, and they were surprised at the backlash,” Desai said.\nTheKraneShares CSI China Internet ETFhas lost about half its value from its peak in February, and was down another 2.6% Friday.\nInternet retailerAlibabais one of the ETF’s top holdings. The company is expected to announce earnings on Tuesday.\nWeek ahead calendarMonday\nEarnings:Take-Two Interactive,Mosaic,Vornado Realty,Eastman Chemical, Simon Property,Transocean,Pioneer Natural Resources, Reynolds Consumer Products, ON Semiconductor, NXP Semiconductor, AXA, Loews\n9:45 a.m. Manufacturing PMI\n10:00 a.m. ISM manufacturing\n10:00 a.m. Construction spending\n10:00 am. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren\n2:00 p.m. Senior loan officer survey\nTuesday\nEarnings:Alibaba,Amgen, Eli Lilly,Clorox, KKR,Under Armour, Eaton, Discovery, Pitney Bowes,Marriott,ConocoPhillips, Activision Blizzard,Avis Budget,Public Storage, Devon Energy, Jacobs Engineering, Bausch Health, Incyte, Philips 66,Ralph Lauren,Expeditors International,Nikola,Warner Music\n10:00 a.m. Factory orders\n11:00 a.m. New York Fed release on household debt and credit\nWednesday\nEarnings:Booking Holdings,CVS Health, GM, Etsy,MGM Resorts,Allstate,Uber,Fox Corp., Electronic Arts, Roku,Kraft Heinz,Toyota, Sony,AmerisourceBergen,Marathon Petroleum, BorgWarner, Entergy, Apollo Global Management, New York Times,Scotts Miracle-Gro, Tupperware,MetLife,IAC/Interactive\n8:15 a.m. ADP employment\n9:45 a.m. Services PMI\n10:00 a.m. ISM services\nThursday\nVehicle sales\nEarnings:Regeneron,ViacomCBS, Beyond Meat, DropBox,Expedia,Sprouts Farmers Market, TrueCar, Shake Shack,Square, TripAdvisor, Cushman and Wakefield,Kellogg,Cigna, Zillow, Lions Gate, Ambac, Virgin Galactic,Motorola Solutions,Zynga, Illumina, AIG, SeaWorld, Cardinal Health,Duke Energy, Thomson Reuters,Datadog,Eventbrite,NRG Energy,Choice Hotels,Parker-Hannifin,Wayfair,Zoetis\n8:30 a.m. Initial jobless claims\n8:30 a.m. International trade\nFriday\nEarnings:Liberty Broadband, Liberty Media, AMC Networks,Draftkings, Fluor, Gannett,Canopy Growth,Nuance Communiciations,Goodyear Tire\n8:30 a.m. Employment report\n10:00 a.m. Wholesale trade\n3:00 p.m. Consumer credit","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148473115,"gmtCreate":1626012388037,"gmtModify":1703751912825,"author":{"id":"3561777465841941","authorId":"3561777465841941","name":"62e8a974","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561777465841941","authorIdStr":"3561777465841941"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Make it happen","listText":"Make it happen","text":"Make it happen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148473115","repostId":"1101087642","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}