$TSLA is trading above its highest volume node from 2024–2025. That matters. Most of the stock’s trading activity has built acceptance between $380 and $420. Price is now holding above that zone, which turns prior supply into structural support. When a stock clears its volume gravity well and holds, the path of least resistance is higher.
$TSLA is trading above its highest volume node from 2024–2025. That matters. Most of the stock’s trading activity has built acceptance between $380 and $420. Price is now holding above that zone, which turns prior supply into structural support. When a stock clears its volume gravity well and holds, the path of least resistance is higher.
U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION & CAPACITY UTILIZATION – DECEMBER 2025 🔸 Capacity Utilization: 76.3% (vs consensus 76.0%, November 76.1%) 🔸 Total Industrial Output: +0.4% m/m (vs consensus +0.1%, November +0.4%) 🔸 Manufacturing Output: +0.2% (vs consensus -0.2%), capacity use steady at 75.6% 🔸 Mining Output: -0.7% (after +1.7% in November) 🔸 Utilities Output: +2.6% (after -0.3% in November) 🔸 Excluding motor vehicles & parts: +0.5% (same as November) 🔸 Motor vehicle assembly rate: fell to 9.68 million units/year (from 9.72 million in November)
U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION & CAPACITY UTILIZATION – DECEMBER 2025 🔸 Capacity Utilization: 76.3% (vs consensus 76.0%, November 76.1%) 🔸 Total Industrial Output: +0.4% m/m (vs consensus +0.1%, November +0.4%) 🔸 Manufacturing Output: +0.2% (vs consensus -0.2%), capacity use steady at 75.6% 🔸 Mining Output: -0.7% (after +1.7% in November) 🔸 Utilities Output: +2.6% (after -0.3% in November) 🔸 Excluding motor vehicles & parts: +0.5% (same as November) 🔸 Motor vehicle assembly rate: fell to 9.68 million units/year (from 9.72 million in November)
US corporate bond downgrades are surging at an alarming pace: $55 billion of corporate bonds were downgraded from investment-grade to junk status in 2025, the highest since 2020. At the same time, only $10 billion of upgrades to investment-grade were recorded, the lowest in at least 6 years. This means downgrade volumes were 5.5 times higher than upgrades, compared to 4.8 times in 2020. By comparison, in 2024, there were only $4 billion in downgrades and $22 billion in upgrades, meaning upgrades outpaced downgrades by 5.5 times. Meanwhile, $63 billion of bonds are now on the brink of junk status, up from $37 billion at the end of 2024. The credit quality of US corporate bonds is deteriorating.
The reality I see every day is that people hate buying support zones on bullish charts. They would rather attempt to buy falling knives like $BULL than bullish backtests like $COIN. The majority hated $TSLA in the 200s, $AMD sub $100, $IREN sub $10, $SOFI sub $8, etc. They all want to buy when charts have already broken out and chase higher because it feels more "comfortable."
$TSLA cycle déjà vu? 🤯 The December 2025 high repeated 2024’s timing and price. If it topped, it’s bloody eerie. To me, the latest decline hasn’t invalidated the bull case for one more high just yet. Wave (v) target is around $540 before end-Feb. This means earnings could drive a new all-time high.
$TSM CRUSHED THEIR EARNINGS • Sales $33.7B vs Est. $31.3B • EPS $3.14 vs Est. $2.79 • Gross margin 62% vs Est. 61% • Net income $16.3B vs Est. $15.2B • Advanced nodes (≤7nm) were 77% of wafer revenue Q1 Guidance • Sales $35.2B vs Est. $33.2B • Gross margin 64% vs. Est. 60% • Operating margin 55%
$TSM CRUSHED THEIR EARNINGS • Sales $33.7B vs Est. $31.3B • EPS $3.14 vs Est. $2.79 • Gross margin 62% vs Est. 61% • Net income $16.3B vs Est. $15.2B • Advanced nodes (≤7nm) were 77% of wafer revenue Q1 Guidance • Sales $35.2B vs Est. $33.2B • Gross margin 64% vs. Est. 60% • Operating margin 55%
🚨BREAKING: CATHIE WOOD’S ARKK SELLS $TSLA SHARES IN LATEST TRADE UPDATE • ARK Invest disclosed trades dated January 14, 2026, according to its official trade notification • ARKK sold 86,139 shares of Tesla • The Tesla sale totaled $38,521,360
🚨BREAKING: CATHIE WOOD’S ARKK SELLS $TSLA SHARES IN LATEST TRADE UPDATE • ARK Invest disclosed trades dated January 14, 2026, according to its official trade notification • ARKK sold 86,139 shares of Tesla • The Tesla sale totaled $38,521,360
If you bought $NVDA 6 months ago and held to today, you would be up exactly 0%. And this is most definitely not a knock on Nvidia as it is up like 50x at its peak earlier last yr from the Covid lows. But just shows to you even the greats need to breathe a bit and consolidate..
If you bought $NVDA 6 months ago and held to today, you would be up exactly 0%. And this is most definitely not a knock on Nvidia as it is up like 50x at its peak earlier last yr from the Covid lows. But just shows to you even the greats need to breathe a bit and consolidate..
Here are eight things that come to my mind with this announcement: 1) Getting rid of the FSD purchase option eliminates the hardware-upgrade/retrofit concern going forward for new EV sales from Tesla’s standpoint, because subscribers aren’t promised anything. 2) One of the operational milestones in Elon’s 2025 CEO Performance Award plan is 10 million FSD subscriptions - not 10 million FSD purchases. Subscriptions. 3) Investors love predictable revenue. One-time FSD purchases don’t provide that; subscriptions provide a steadier, long-term recurring revenue source. 4) Free FSD transfer will undoubtably remain in countries where FSD is not live yet. 5) The Luxe Package on the Model S/X and Cybertruck will likely go away, or at least the FSD portion, lowering those cars’ entry prices. 6) At $9
Here are eight things that come to my mind with this announcement: 1) Getting rid of the FSD purchase option eliminates the hardware-upgrade/retrofit concern going forward for new EV sales from Tesla’s standpoint, because subscribers aren’t promised anything. 2) One of the operational milestones in Elon’s 2025 CEO Performance Award plan is 10 million FSD subscriptions - not 10 million FSD purchases. Subscriptions. 3) Investors love predictable revenue. One-time FSD purchases don’t provide that; subscriptions provide a steadier, long-term recurring revenue source. 4) Free FSD transfer will undoubtably remain in countries where FSD is not live yet. 5) The Luxe Package on the Model S/X and Cybertruck will likely go away, or at least the FSD portion, lowering those cars’ entry prices. 6) At $9
first real red day of 2026 took 14 days but here we are 🥶 why? seems like… - general breather after 2 hot weeks - Trump getting very serious about Iran strikes and taking over Greenland - PPI worse than expected - credit card caps becoming more real - no supreme court tariff decision outside of that, no major headline
first real red day of 2026 took 14 days but here we are 🥶 why? seems like… - general breather after 2 hot weeks - Trump getting very serious about Iran strikes and taking over Greenland - PPI worse than expected - credit card caps becoming more real - no supreme court tariff decision outside of that, no major headline
Takes roughly 80 months of $99 FSD to total today's purchase price of $8,000. $8,000 worth of $TSLA instead while bleeding off $99 per month leaves you with $8K after 80 months with a 15% CAGR. At TSLA's current 40% CAGR, you would have ~$20K after 80 months of paying $99.