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Ysw16888
2023-01-15
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2023-01-14
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2023-01-13
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2023-01-10
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
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Ysw16888
2023-01-06
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2023-01-05
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2023-01-03
$中国三江化工(02198)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-29
$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-28
$顶级手套有限公司(BVA.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-26
$顶级手套有限公司(BVA.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-25
$美国电话电报(T)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-18
$美团-W(03690)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-17
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Ysw16888
2022-12-17
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-16
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Ysw16888
2022-12-16
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-15
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Ysw16888
2022-12-15
$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$
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Ysw16888
2022-12-12
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@期权小班长:CPI預期大降會利好市場嗎？
Ysw16888
2022-12-12
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/620460144\" target=\"_blank\">11月30日布魯金斯學會</a>上鮑威爾表示過他認爲經濟很可能會軟着陸，而就在他發言後兩天，公佈了非常強勁的非農數據，其中時薪超預期增長。鮑威爾在問答中認爲時薪增長很重要，因爲涉及到服務通脹。11月CPI數據高於或者低於預期，其實都改變不了12月加息50基點的共識，也改變不了鮑威爾認爲聯儲對通脹打壓不夠的事實。所以數據低於預期市場也不會漲，高於預期反而打開下行空間。這次的CPI數據沒那麼重要，週五之前傾向看空。我選擇的標的是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$臺積電(TSM)$</a> ，芯片板塊的回調趨勢最強，可以用日曆價差法也可以單腿put，注意控制好倉位： 買<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020230120%2075.0%20PUT\">$TSM 20230120 75.0 PUT$</a> 賣<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020221216%2075.0%20PUT\">$TSM 20221</a>","listText":"答案是：不會。因爲兩天後是FOMC，不管CPI超預期還是低於預期，最終決定利率走向的還是FOMC。12月13日週二公佈CPI，12月15日週五凌晨公佈FOMC決議，兩個時間點一列，就知道本週波動肯定小不了。目前市場對於CPI預期特別樂觀，我記得上個月機構對11月CPI的雲預測是7.5，隨着11月的結束，預測普遍變成了7.3%，唯一堅持高預測的是克利夫蘭聯儲，給出的數據是7.49。無論數據是否超預期，不可否認的是CPI都在逐漸下跌，但這次數據公佈，對於市場而言還像之前那麼重要嗎？在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/620460144\" target=\"_blank\">11月30日布魯金斯學會</a>上鮑威爾表示過他認爲經濟很可能會軟着陸，而就在他發言後兩天，公佈了非常強勁的非農數據，其中時薪超預期增長。鮑威爾在問答中認爲時薪增長很重要，因爲涉及到服務通脹。11月CPI數據高於或者低於預期，其實都改變不了12月加息50基點的共識，也改變不了鮑威爾認爲聯儲對通脹打壓不夠的事實。所以數據低於預期市場也不會漲，高於預期反而打開下行空間。這次的CPI數據沒那麼重要，週五之前傾向看空。我選擇的標的是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$臺積電(TSM)$</a> ，芯片板塊的回調趨勢最強，可以用日曆價差法也可以單腿put，注意控制好倉位： 買<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020230120%2075.0%20PUT\">$TSM 20230120 75.0 PUT$</a> 賣<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020221216%2075.0%20PUT\">$TSM 20221</a>","text":"答案是：不會。因爲兩天後是FOMC，不管CPI超預期還是低於預期，最終決定利率走向的還是FOMC。12月13日週二公佈CPI，12月15日週五凌晨公佈FOMC決議，兩個時間點一列，就知道本週波動肯定小不了。目前市場對於CPI預期特別樂觀，我記得上個月機構對11月CPI的雲預測是7.5，隨着11月的結束，預測普遍變成了7.3%，唯一堅持高預測的是克利夫蘭聯儲，給出的數據是7.49。無論數據是否超預期，不可否認的是CPI都在逐漸下跌，但這次數據公佈，對於市場而言還像之前那麼重要嗎？在11月30日布魯金斯學會上鮑威爾表示過他認爲經濟很可能會軟着陸，而就在他發言後兩天，公佈了非常強勁的非農數據，其中時薪超預期增長。鮑威爾在問答中認爲時薪增長很重要，因爲涉及到服務通脹。11月CPI數據高於或者低於預期，其實都改變不了12月加息50基點的共識，也改變不了鮑威爾認爲聯儲對通脹打壓不夠的事實。所以數據低於預期市場也不會漲，高於預期反而打開下行空間。這次的CPI數據沒那麼重要，週五之前傾向看空。我選擇的標的是$臺積電(TSM)$ ，芯片板塊的回調趨勢最強，可以用日曆價差法也可以單腿put，注意控制好倉位： 買$TSM 20230120 75.0 PUT$ 賣$TSM 20221","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/629769422","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923296966,"gmtCreate":1670859740955,"gmtModify":1676538447856,"author":{"id":"3564911897267160","authorId":"3564911897267160","name":"Ysw16888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1423ff0b5d25f0f11370c91853168cc2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564911897267160","idStr":"3564911897267160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923296966","repostId":"1151934305","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9928294035,"gmtCreate":1671287748528,"gmtModify":1676538519849,"author":{"id":"3564911897267160","authorId":"3564911897267160","name":"Ysw16888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1423ff0b5d25f0f11370c91853168cc2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564911897267160","authorIdStr":"3564911897267160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ </a>A","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ </a>A","text":"$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ A","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9ea81e15d90b544aacdb2b0b5beeb179","width":"1284","height":"2505"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928294035","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959195492,"gmtCreate":1672925049117,"gmtModify":1676538758459,"author":{"id":"3564911897267160","authorId":"3564911897267160","name":"Ysw16888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1423ff0b5d25f0f11370c91853168cc2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564911897267160","authorIdStr":"3564911897267160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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