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04-06
Llo ppl
The Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth
Onoff
2022-12-17
$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$
$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$
Onoff
2023-02-03
$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$
Onoff
11-02
Trumps wins
Onoff
2023-05-18
$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$
Onoff
2023-04-28
I
Why No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic
Onoff
2022-10-05
$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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wins","listText":"Trumps wins","text":"Trumps wins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366670936420416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":292253612101920,"gmtCreate":1712376992864,"gmtModify":1712376997776,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Llo ppl","listText":"Llo ppl","text":"Llo ppl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/292253612101920","repostId":"2425544723","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2425544723","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1712374200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2425544723?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-04-06 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2425544723","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bb47599fbe68247f49a92f0e6ff5e7bc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1026\"/></p><p>Tesla Chief ExecutiveElon Muskhas spent years trying to build the automaker of the future. It’s the electric-car company of the present that’s now giving him trouble.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After a period of rapid expansion, the company has seen its sales fall and its once-enviable margins shrink. For the first time in years, the biggest question for Tesla is not whether it will be able to make enough cars, but whether people will buy them.</p><p>The company’s stock, down 34% this year, has been the worst performer in the S&P 500 index. While Tesla remains the world’s most valuable automaker by a wide margin, its market capitalization has tumbled by more than half since it peaked in 2021.</p><p>Consumer appetite for electric vehicles is cooling. The core of Tesla’s lineup is dated. The company has been cutting prices to spur demand. Big, moonshot bets have not panned out as Musk predicted—at least not yet. And Chinese carmakers are now the ones that look like nimble, tech-savvy upstarts.</p><p>Musk’s attention, meanwhile, has sometimes been elsewhere. He bought Twitter, sold some Tesla stock along the way and started an artificial-intelligence company. Of late, he has been picking fights with everyone from OpenAI to Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger. Surveys suggest his public persona has alienated some would-be Tesla buyers. </p><p>This week, the company reported its first year-over-year decline in quarterly deliveries since 2020—a result that badly missed Wall Street’s expectations.</p><p>Musk’s company remains a formidable player in the electric-vehicle market globally and is the clear leader in the U.S. It is still making money on its vehicles, while many established car companies are struggling to turn a profit on their EVs, after committing tens of billions of dollars to expand their offerings. But the boom times of Tesla’s past have faded, and the bright future imagined by Musk—where people will ride around in fully autonomous Teslas—remains distant. </p><p>“Tesla is going from the golden era to a really challenging era,” said Mark Fields, a former CEO of Ford Motor who now serves on several corporate boards. Tesla and Musk didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><h3 id=\"id_1616402663\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Boom times</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Three years ago, Tesla appeared all but unstoppable.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After years of financial uncertainty and production challenges, the company had turned a corner and was delivering quarter after quarter of record profit. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9971787fdde132e63c83e0c30e10f071\" alt=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" title=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Its factories were humming, even as a global shortage of semiconductors led many rivals to curtail auto production. Consumer demand was strong enough that Tesla was hiking prices, and waiting lists for new vehicles grew long enough that some buyers were paying a premium for lightly used ones.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As automakers set about remaking themselves in Tesla’s image, Musk—a master salesman with an uncanny knack for inspiring investors to believe in his vision—sought to catch the next market wave: artificial intelligence. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">At a Tesla recruiting event in the summer of 2021, the billionaire took the stage in Palo Alto, Calif., dressed all in black, as is his custom. </p><p>Tesla had for years been working to develop technology that would allow a computer to assume more of the driving tasks, rolling out the software as part of its Autopilot system.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cef59dd7b952f826e9357e5c61adc5\" alt=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" title=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an attempt to emphasize Tesla’s might in the artificial-intelligence space—and ambitions beyond the competitive, traditionally low-margin automotive business—Musk unveiled the company’s latest effort: a friendly humanoid robot. The robot, Optimus, was not ready yet. In its place, a human dressed in a robot costume danced on stage.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Tesla is much more than an electric-car company,” Musk told the crowd. “In the future, physical work will be a choice.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October 2021, rental-car company Hertz Global Holdings said it was ordering 100,000 Tesla vehicles as it looked to expand its fleet of EVs. For investors, the deal was a sign that EVs were becoming mainstream—and soon more drivers would have an opportunity to try one. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla’s market value eventually peaked above $1.2 trillion in early November, up more than 2,000% in two years. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/adc078e82fbeb0c736d2fbeed39cce4c\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"789\"/></p><p>The euphoria was short-lived. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Musk soon began unloading Tesla stock, embarking on a spree that continued for more than a year and resulted in his selling more than $39 billion in shares. The sales—executed in part to fund Musk’s eventual purchase of Twitter—spooked the market and weighed on Tesla’s stock. </p><h3 id=\"id_1049512835\" style=\"text-align: start;\">‘Enough on our plate’</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The surprises kept coming in 2022. </p><p>On a late-January earnings call, Musk revealed Tesla would not be introducing any new models that year, attributing the decision to supply-chain constraints. Instead, the company would churn out as many of its existing models as possible. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla sold four models at the time, but just two drove the lion’s share of the company’s sales: the Model Y sport-utility vehicle and the Model 3 sedan. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Plans for a $25,000 car—a model Musk had teased in late 2020 and said likely would be ready in three years—had been put on ice. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7410e9127d94f418b7102b502165a719\" alt=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" title=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We have enough on our plate right now,” Musk said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The move was risky. In the car business, new and redesigned models are critical to holding buyers’ interest and maintaining pricing power.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Analysts were perplexed. One questioned whether Tesla could hit its growth targets with fewer than a half-dozen passenger-vehicle models in its lineup.</p><p>Musk brushed off the concern. Instead, he alluded to his vision for a future where Teslas would be able to operate autonomously around the clock—making them even more valuable. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“It’s apparent from the questions that the gravity of Full Self-Driving is not fully appreciated,” Musk said, referring to a souped-up version of Tesla’s driver-assistance technology. (The system doesn’t currently make Tesla vehicles autonomous.) </p><p>As the year wore on, investors grew increasingly jittery. Musk’s pursuit of Twitter only amplified concerns on Wall Street that the Tesla CEO was not focused enough on his carmaker.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Twitter is a distraction,” Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund, a Tesla investor, said at the time. “All of the space has been sucked up by him talking about Twitter, and so you don’t hear him tweeting about EVs.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warning signs flashed in China, where wait times for new Teslas fell to about a month as of September 2022, from four-plus months in the spring, according to Bernstein Research. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla executives, including chief designer Franz von Holzhausen, pressed Musk to revive plans for the company’s more affordable, mass-market car, arguing it was necessary for Tesla to reach its growth targets, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography of the CEO. Musk had been more interested in developing autonomous cars that could operate in a robotaxi fleet. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39b39afbb9e989ff5d5fa051943d689b\" alt=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" title=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"933\"/><span>‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,” von Holzhausen told The Wall Street Journal earlier this year. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And while he is optimistic about the promise of self-driving cars and encouraged by Tesla’s recent progress, von Holzhausen said the transition will not be simple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Maybe I’m more pragmatic about it, but I think autonomy is…it’s going to be a challenge,” he said. “It’s still sci-fi to a lot of people.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October, Tesla cut prices in China by an average of around 7%, according to Bernstein. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Soon after, it began offering temporary discounts on its most popular models in the U.S.—by $3,750 at first, then $7,500 plus 10,000 miles of free fast-charging if customers took delivery before year-end. </p><p>Tesla’s 2022 ended on a downbeat note. Its annual vehicle deliveries—up 40% over the prior year—fell short of the company’s initial goal and underperformed Wall Street’s expectations. The stock suffered its worst annual performance on record, declining 65%. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By early January 2023, it became clear within Tesla’s finance department that the company needed to take more aggressive action to move cars, people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla had opened two new factories in 2022—one in Germany and another in Texas—expanding its production capacity roughly 80% in less than a year. Unsold inventory climbed to 13 days’ worth of supply in the final three months of 2022, from just four days in the second quarter, according to Tesla’s financial disclosures. </p><p>As January unfolded, orders weren’t keeping pace with internal forecasts, one of the people said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Employees developed a plan that called for Tesla to cut prices more permanently, an unusual strategy in an industry where companies typically try to be more discreet with their incentives.</p><h3 id=\"id_1782812654\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Deep price cuts</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Elsewhere in the auto industry, Tesla’s rivals were unleashing a barrage of new EV models, including ones designed to directly compete with the Model Y and Model 3.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On a Thursday night in January 2023, Tesla quietly updated its website, slashing prices across its lineup, in some cases by nearly 20%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla made cuts that were even deeper than the finance department had initially proposed, the people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Musk, it was a calculated gamble. Tesla’s double-digit operating margins meant it could better absorb the price cuts than rivals, and the move would also put the squeeze on competitors—many of which were losing money on their EVs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c49baabbbc9a81e7fa3ec3011c715cd9\" tg-width=\"483\" tg-height=\"548\"/></p><p>Across the Atlantic, Vincent Cobée, then-CEO of Stellantis’s Citroën brand, was at the Brussels Motor Show when a journalist told him about Tesla’s price cuts. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Cobée’s first thought: “He’s completely nuts.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then: “We’re in deep trouble,” he recalled later. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The maneuver did boost sales at Tesla—for a time. The company’s vehicle prices fell by an average of 12% globally in the first half of 2023, and deliveries rose 19% compared with the prior six months, according to Wells Fargo. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But in the second half of 2023, as Tesla continued to lower prices and layer on incentives, the company’s vehicle-delivery growth slowed to 3%, compared with the first half—a figure that Wells Fargo analysts described as “concerningly low.” </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some in the auto industry were also starting to sour on electric vehicles.</p><p>Dealers who once were bullish about the technology began worrying about the cars stacking up on their lots. Companies that had been racing to scale up EV production suddenly began delaying their investments and shifting their attention to hybrids, which were selling well. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Tesla, the only new model on the horizon was the Cybertruck—a long-delayed and difficult-to-manufacture pickup truck that eventually hit the market in November. Even so, the model is only available in North America, and Musk has warned it is unlikely to generate significant cash flow before the end of this year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa597e0e2614e3ba2131a340b71adf2d\" alt=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" title=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"/><span>A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In China, the world’s largest car market and a production hub for Tesla, a price war had already broken out. The country’s leading EV maker, BYD, and other Chinese car manufacturers were mounting their own offensive, rapidly releasing more affordable EVs that were winning over the domestic market and beginning to make inroads overseas.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In January of this year, Hertz delivered another blow, saying it was selling about a third of its global EV fleet—much of it made up of Tesla vehicles. The rental-car company had previously flagged problems with fast-falling EV resale values and pricey repairs.</p><h3 id=\"id_351073619\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Drop in deliveries</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then came the news from earlier this week: Tesla delivered 386,810 vehicles globally in the first three months of 2024, down 8.5% from a year earlier. It was the company’s lowest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2022.</p><p>Wall Street analysts had slashed their expectations for Tesla’s first-quarter performance in the weeks before the disclosure on Tuesday, but the company still came up short. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6d098cd7d0c6cad4cb8854aa1f2ae1e\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"558\"/></p><p>Musk has sought to quell concerns by describing the company as being in between two growth waves—the first driven by the Model 3 and Model Y, the second to be propelled by the company’s next generation of vehicles, including the much-anticipated low-cost car, which he said in January is due to enter production in late 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In recent weeks, employees were told to prioritize development of a robotaxi, according to a person familiar matter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Reuters on Friday reported that Tesla had canceled plans for the inexpensive car. Musk denied the report on X, as Twitter is now known. Hours later, he added that Tesla plans to unveil its robotaxi model in August.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As Musk has used his social-media platform to address polarizing topics such as immigration and race, there is evidence that Musk is doing Tesla no favors with his extracurricular activities. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The company’s reputation among potential U.S. buyers has taken a hit since Musk acquired Twitter, according to market-intelligence firm Caliber. The automaker’s “consideration” rate—where survey respondents said whether they are very likely to buy, or continue buying, products from Tesla—fell from 46% to 35% between September 2022 and this March, Caliber said. </p><p>As Tesla’s profitability has weakened, Musk has talked up the potential of the company’s autonomous-driving strategy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Most people still have no idea how crushingly good Tesla FSD will get,” he posted on X in late March. “Cars will take you where you want automatically, just like getting in an elevator and pressing a button, something that also used to be manual.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54ff561cb238c81ab47bab10f7c69d50\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"786\"/></p><p>Despite the recent stock decline, Tesla’s valuation—$525 billion at Friday’s close—still towers over those of other automakers. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many investors remain confident that Musk, who has defied the odds many times before, can deliver on this vision. Some, such as Owuraka Koney, a managing director at investment manager Jennison Associates, are betting Tesla will be able to generate ample revenue by selling downloadable software, such as its driver-assistance technology, long after it makes that initial car sale. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Said Koney: “We remain very bullish over the long-term.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-04-06 11:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bb47599fbe68247f49a92f0e6ff5e7bc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1026\"/></p><p>Tesla Chief ExecutiveElon Muskhas spent years trying to build the automaker of the future. It’s the electric-car company of the present that’s now giving him trouble.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After a period of rapid expansion, the company has seen its sales fall and its once-enviable margins shrink. For the first time in years, the biggest question for Tesla is not whether it will be able to make enough cars, but whether people will buy them.</p><p>The company’s stock, down 34% this year, has been the worst performer in the S&P 500 index. While Tesla remains the world’s most valuable automaker by a wide margin, its market capitalization has tumbled by more than half since it peaked in 2021.</p><p>Consumer appetite for electric vehicles is cooling. The core of Tesla’s lineup is dated. The company has been cutting prices to spur demand. Big, moonshot bets have not panned out as Musk predicted—at least not yet. And Chinese carmakers are now the ones that look like nimble, tech-savvy upstarts.</p><p>Musk’s attention, meanwhile, has sometimes been elsewhere. He bought Twitter, sold some Tesla stock along the way and started an artificial-intelligence company. Of late, he has been picking fights with everyone from OpenAI to Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger. Surveys suggest his public persona has alienated some would-be Tesla buyers. </p><p>This week, the company reported its first year-over-year decline in quarterly deliveries since 2020—a result that badly missed Wall Street’s expectations.</p><p>Musk’s company remains a formidable player in the electric-vehicle market globally and is the clear leader in the U.S. It is still making money on its vehicles, while many established car companies are struggling to turn a profit on their EVs, after committing tens of billions of dollars to expand their offerings. But the boom times of Tesla’s past have faded, and the bright future imagined by Musk—where people will ride around in fully autonomous Teslas—remains distant. </p><p>“Tesla is going from the golden era to a really challenging era,” said Mark Fields, a former CEO of Ford Motor who now serves on several corporate boards. Tesla and Musk didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><h3 id=\"id_1616402663\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Boom times</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Three years ago, Tesla appeared all but unstoppable.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After years of financial uncertainty and production challenges, the company had turned a corner and was delivering quarter after quarter of record profit. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9971787fdde132e63c83e0c30e10f071\" alt=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" title=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Its factories were humming, even as a global shortage of semiconductors led many rivals to curtail auto production. Consumer demand was strong enough that Tesla was hiking prices, and waiting lists for new vehicles grew long enough that some buyers were paying a premium for lightly used ones.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As automakers set about remaking themselves in Tesla’s image, Musk—a master salesman with an uncanny knack for inspiring investors to believe in his vision—sought to catch the next market wave: artificial intelligence. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">At a Tesla recruiting event in the summer of 2021, the billionaire took the stage in Palo Alto, Calif., dressed all in black, as is his custom. </p><p>Tesla had for years been working to develop technology that would allow a computer to assume more of the driving tasks, rolling out the software as part of its Autopilot system.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cef59dd7b952f826e9357e5c61adc5\" alt=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" title=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an attempt to emphasize Tesla’s might in the artificial-intelligence space—and ambitions beyond the competitive, traditionally low-margin automotive business—Musk unveiled the company’s latest effort: a friendly humanoid robot. The robot, Optimus, was not ready yet. In its place, a human dressed in a robot costume danced on stage.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Tesla is much more than an electric-car company,” Musk told the crowd. “In the future, physical work will be a choice.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October 2021, rental-car company Hertz Global Holdings said it was ordering 100,000 Tesla vehicles as it looked to expand its fleet of EVs. For investors, the deal was a sign that EVs were becoming mainstream—and soon more drivers would have an opportunity to try one. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla’s market value eventually peaked above $1.2 trillion in early November, up more than 2,000% in two years. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/adc078e82fbeb0c736d2fbeed39cce4c\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"789\"/></p><p>The euphoria was short-lived. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Musk soon began unloading Tesla stock, embarking on a spree that continued for more than a year and resulted in his selling more than $39 billion in shares. The sales—executed in part to fund Musk’s eventual purchase of Twitter—spooked the market and weighed on Tesla’s stock. </p><h3 id=\"id_1049512835\" style=\"text-align: start;\">‘Enough on our plate’</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The surprises kept coming in 2022. </p><p>On a late-January earnings call, Musk revealed Tesla would not be introducing any new models that year, attributing the decision to supply-chain constraints. Instead, the company would churn out as many of its existing models as possible. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla sold four models at the time, but just two drove the lion’s share of the company’s sales: the Model Y sport-utility vehicle and the Model 3 sedan. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Plans for a $25,000 car—a model Musk had teased in late 2020 and said likely would be ready in three years—had been put on ice. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7410e9127d94f418b7102b502165a719\" alt=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" title=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We have enough on our plate right now,” Musk said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The move was risky. In the car business, new and redesigned models are critical to holding buyers’ interest and maintaining pricing power.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Analysts were perplexed. One questioned whether Tesla could hit its growth targets with fewer than a half-dozen passenger-vehicle models in its lineup.</p><p>Musk brushed off the concern. Instead, he alluded to his vision for a future where Teslas would be able to operate autonomously around the clock—making them even more valuable. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“It’s apparent from the questions that the gravity of Full Self-Driving is not fully appreciated,” Musk said, referring to a souped-up version of Tesla’s driver-assistance technology. (The system doesn’t currently make Tesla vehicles autonomous.) </p><p>As the year wore on, investors grew increasingly jittery. Musk’s pursuit of Twitter only amplified concerns on Wall Street that the Tesla CEO was not focused enough on his carmaker.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Twitter is a distraction,” Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund, a Tesla investor, said at the time. “All of the space has been sucked up by him talking about Twitter, and so you don’t hear him tweeting about EVs.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warning signs flashed in China, where wait times for new Teslas fell to about a month as of September 2022, from four-plus months in the spring, according to Bernstein Research. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla executives, including chief designer Franz von Holzhausen, pressed Musk to revive plans for the company’s more affordable, mass-market car, arguing it was necessary for Tesla to reach its growth targets, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography of the CEO. Musk had been more interested in developing autonomous cars that could operate in a robotaxi fleet. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39b39afbb9e989ff5d5fa051943d689b\" alt=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" title=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"933\"/><span>‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,” von Holzhausen told The Wall Street Journal earlier this year. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And while he is optimistic about the promise of self-driving cars and encouraged by Tesla’s recent progress, von Holzhausen said the transition will not be simple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Maybe I’m more pragmatic about it, but I think autonomy is…it’s going to be a challenge,” he said. “It’s still sci-fi to a lot of people.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October, Tesla cut prices in China by an average of around 7%, according to Bernstein. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Soon after, it began offering temporary discounts on its most popular models in the U.S.—by $3,750 at first, then $7,500 plus 10,000 miles of free fast-charging if customers took delivery before year-end. </p><p>Tesla’s 2022 ended on a downbeat note. Its annual vehicle deliveries—up 40% over the prior year—fell short of the company’s initial goal and underperformed Wall Street’s expectations. The stock suffered its worst annual performance on record, declining 65%. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By early January 2023, it became clear within Tesla’s finance department that the company needed to take more aggressive action to move cars, people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla had opened two new factories in 2022—one in Germany and another in Texas—expanding its production capacity roughly 80% in less than a year. Unsold inventory climbed to 13 days’ worth of supply in the final three months of 2022, from just four days in the second quarter, according to Tesla’s financial disclosures. </p><p>As January unfolded, orders weren’t keeping pace with internal forecasts, one of the people said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Employees developed a plan that called for Tesla to cut prices more permanently, an unusual strategy in an industry where companies typically try to be more discreet with their incentives.</p><h3 id=\"id_1782812654\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Deep price cuts</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Elsewhere in the auto industry, Tesla’s rivals were unleashing a barrage of new EV models, including ones designed to directly compete with the Model Y and Model 3.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On a Thursday night in January 2023, Tesla quietly updated its website, slashing prices across its lineup, in some cases by nearly 20%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla made cuts that were even deeper than the finance department had initially proposed, the people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Musk, it was a calculated gamble. Tesla’s double-digit operating margins meant it could better absorb the price cuts than rivals, and the move would also put the squeeze on competitors—many of which were losing money on their EVs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c49baabbbc9a81e7fa3ec3011c715cd9\" tg-width=\"483\" tg-height=\"548\"/></p><p>Across the Atlantic, Vincent Cobée, then-CEO of Stellantis’s Citroën brand, was at the Brussels Motor Show when a journalist told him about Tesla’s price cuts. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Cobée’s first thought: “He’s completely nuts.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then: “We’re in deep trouble,” he recalled later. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The maneuver did boost sales at Tesla—for a time. The company’s vehicle prices fell by an average of 12% globally in the first half of 2023, and deliveries rose 19% compared with the prior six months, according to Wells Fargo. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But in the second half of 2023, as Tesla continued to lower prices and layer on incentives, the company’s vehicle-delivery growth slowed to 3%, compared with the first half—a figure that Wells Fargo analysts described as “concerningly low.” </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some in the auto industry were also starting to sour on electric vehicles.</p><p>Dealers who once were bullish about the technology began worrying about the cars stacking up on their lots. Companies that had been racing to scale up EV production suddenly began delaying their investments and shifting their attention to hybrids, which were selling well. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Tesla, the only new model on the horizon was the Cybertruck—a long-delayed and difficult-to-manufacture pickup truck that eventually hit the market in November. Even so, the model is only available in North America, and Musk has warned it is unlikely to generate significant cash flow before the end of this year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa597e0e2614e3ba2131a340b71adf2d\" alt=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" title=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"/><span>A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In China, the world’s largest car market and a production hub for Tesla, a price war had already broken out. The country’s leading EV maker, BYD, and other Chinese car manufacturers were mounting their own offensive, rapidly releasing more affordable EVs that were winning over the domestic market and beginning to make inroads overseas.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In January of this year, Hertz delivered another blow, saying it was selling about a third of its global EV fleet—much of it made up of Tesla vehicles. The rental-car company had previously flagged problems with fast-falling EV resale values and pricey repairs.</p><h3 id=\"id_351073619\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Drop in deliveries</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then came the news from earlier this week: Tesla delivered 386,810 vehicles globally in the first three months of 2024, down 8.5% from a year earlier. It was the company’s lowest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2022.</p><p>Wall Street analysts had slashed their expectations for Tesla’s first-quarter performance in the weeks before the disclosure on Tuesday, but the company still came up short. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6d098cd7d0c6cad4cb8854aa1f2ae1e\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"558\"/></p><p>Musk has sought to quell concerns by describing the company as being in between two growth waves—the first driven by the Model 3 and Model Y, the second to be propelled by the company’s next generation of vehicles, including the much-anticipated low-cost car, which he said in January is due to enter production in late 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In recent weeks, employees were told to prioritize development of a robotaxi, according to a person familiar matter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Reuters on Friday reported that Tesla had canceled plans for the inexpensive car. Musk denied the report on X, as Twitter is now known. Hours later, he added that Tesla plans to unveil its robotaxi model in August.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As Musk has used his social-media platform to address polarizing topics such as immigration and race, there is evidence that Musk is doing Tesla no favors with his extracurricular activities. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The company’s reputation among potential U.S. buyers has taken a hit since Musk acquired Twitter, according to market-intelligence firm Caliber. The automaker’s “consideration” rate—where survey respondents said whether they are very likely to buy, or continue buying, products from Tesla—fell from 46% to 35% between September 2022 and this March, Caliber said. </p><p>As Tesla’s profitability has weakened, Musk has talked up the potential of the company’s autonomous-driving strategy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Most people still have no idea how crushingly good Tesla FSD will get,” he posted on X in late March. “Cars will take you where you want automatically, just like getting in an elevator and pressing a button, something that also used to be manual.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54ff561cb238c81ab47bab10f7c69d50\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"786\"/></p><p>Despite the recent stock decline, Tesla’s valuation—$525 billion at Friday’s close—still towers over those of other automakers. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many investors remain confident that Musk, who has defied the odds many times before, can deliver on this vision. Some, such as Owuraka Koney, a managing director at investment manager Jennison Associates, are betting Tesla will be able to generate ample revenue by selling downloadable software, such as its driver-assistance technology, long after it makes that initial car sale. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Said Koney: “We remain very bullish over the long-term.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","BK4508":"社交媒体","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4555":"新能源车"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2425544723","content_text":"Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?Tesla Chief ExecutiveElon Muskhas spent years trying to build the automaker of the future. It’s the electric-car company of the present that’s now giving him trouble.After a period of rapid expansion, the company has seen its sales fall and its once-enviable margins shrink. For the first time in years, the biggest question for Tesla is not whether it will be able to make enough cars, but whether people will buy them.The company’s stock, down 34% this year, has been the worst performer in the S&P 500 index. While Tesla remains the world’s most valuable automaker by a wide margin, its market capitalization has tumbled by more than half since it peaked in 2021.Consumer appetite for electric vehicles is cooling. The core of Tesla’s lineup is dated. The company has been cutting prices to spur demand. Big, moonshot bets have not panned out as Musk predicted—at least not yet. And Chinese carmakers are now the ones that look like nimble, tech-savvy upstarts.Musk’s attention, meanwhile, has sometimes been elsewhere. He bought Twitter, sold some Tesla stock along the way and started an artificial-intelligence company. Of late, he has been picking fights with everyone from OpenAI to Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger. Surveys suggest his public persona has alienated some would-be Tesla buyers. This week, the company reported its first year-over-year decline in quarterly deliveries since 2020—a result that badly missed Wall Street’s expectations.Musk’s company remains a formidable player in the electric-vehicle market globally and is the clear leader in the U.S. It is still making money on its vehicles, while many established car companies are struggling to turn a profit on their EVs, after committing tens of billions of dollars to expand their offerings. But the boom times of Tesla’s past have faded, and the bright future imagined by Musk—where people will ride around in fully autonomous Teslas—remains distant. “Tesla is going from the golden era to a really challenging era,” said Mark Fields, a former CEO of Ford Motor who now serves on several corporate boards. Tesla and Musk didn’t respond to requests for comment.Boom timesThree years ago, Tesla appeared all but unstoppable.After years of financial uncertainty and production challenges, the company had turned a corner and was delivering quarter after quarter of record profit. A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. Its factories were humming, even as a global shortage of semiconductors led many rivals to curtail auto production. Consumer demand was strong enough that Tesla was hiking prices, and waiting lists for new vehicles grew long enough that some buyers were paying a premium for lightly used ones.As automakers set about remaking themselves in Tesla’s image, Musk—a master salesman with an uncanny knack for inspiring investors to believe in his vision—sought to catch the next market wave: artificial intelligence. At a Tesla recruiting event in the summer of 2021, the billionaire took the stage in Palo Alto, Calif., dressed all in black, as is his custom. Tesla had for years been working to develop technology that would allow a computer to assume more of the driving tasks, rolling out the software as part of its Autopilot system.While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. In an attempt to emphasize Tesla’s might in the artificial-intelligence space—and ambitions beyond the competitive, traditionally low-margin automotive business—Musk unveiled the company’s latest effort: a friendly humanoid robot. The robot, Optimus, was not ready yet. In its place, a human dressed in a robot costume danced on stage.“Tesla is much more than an electric-car company,” Musk told the crowd. “In the future, physical work will be a choice.”In late October 2021, rental-car company Hertz Global Holdings said it was ordering 100,000 Tesla vehicles as it looked to expand its fleet of EVs. For investors, the deal was a sign that EVs were becoming mainstream—and soon more drivers would have an opportunity to try one. Tesla’s market value eventually peaked above $1.2 trillion in early November, up more than 2,000% in two years. The euphoria was short-lived. Musk soon began unloading Tesla stock, embarking on a spree that continued for more than a year and resulted in his selling more than $39 billion in shares. The sales—executed in part to fund Musk’s eventual purchase of Twitter—spooked the market and weighed on Tesla’s stock. ‘Enough on our plate’The surprises kept coming in 2022. On a late-January earnings call, Musk revealed Tesla would not be introducing any new models that year, attributing the decision to supply-chain constraints. Instead, the company would churn out as many of its existing models as possible. Tesla sold four models at the time, but just two drove the lion’s share of the company’s sales: the Model Y sport-utility vehicle and the Model 3 sedan. Plans for a $25,000 car—a model Musk had teased in late 2020 and said likely would be ready in three years—had been put on ice. Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.“We have enough on our plate right now,” Musk said.The move was risky. In the car business, new and redesigned models are critical to holding buyers’ interest and maintaining pricing power.Analysts were perplexed. One questioned whether Tesla could hit its growth targets with fewer than a half-dozen passenger-vehicle models in its lineup.Musk brushed off the concern. Instead, he alluded to his vision for a future where Teslas would be able to operate autonomously around the clock—making them even more valuable. “It’s apparent from the questions that the gravity of Full Self-Driving is not fully appreciated,” Musk said, referring to a souped-up version of Tesla’s driver-assistance technology. (The system doesn’t currently make Tesla vehicles autonomous.) As the year wore on, investors grew increasingly jittery. Musk’s pursuit of Twitter only amplified concerns on Wall Street that the Tesla CEO was not focused enough on his carmaker.“Twitter is a distraction,” Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund, a Tesla investor, said at the time. “All of the space has been sucked up by him talking about Twitter, and so you don’t hear him tweeting about EVs.”Warning signs flashed in China, where wait times for new Teslas fell to about a month as of September 2022, from four-plus months in the spring, according to Bernstein Research. Tesla executives, including chief designer Franz von Holzhausen, pressed Musk to revive plans for the company’s more affordable, mass-market car, arguing it was necessary for Tesla to reach its growth targets, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography of the CEO. Musk had been more interested in developing autonomous cars that could operate in a robotaxi fleet. ‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.“Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,” von Holzhausen told The Wall Street Journal earlier this year. And while he is optimistic about the promise of self-driving cars and encouraged by Tesla’s recent progress, von Holzhausen said the transition will not be simple.“Maybe I’m more pragmatic about it, but I think autonomy is…it’s going to be a challenge,” he said. “It’s still sci-fi to a lot of people.”In late October, Tesla cut prices in China by an average of around 7%, according to Bernstein. Soon after, it began offering temporary discounts on its most popular models in the U.S.—by $3,750 at first, then $7,500 plus 10,000 miles of free fast-charging if customers took delivery before year-end. Tesla’s 2022 ended on a downbeat note. Its annual vehicle deliveries—up 40% over the prior year—fell short of the company’s initial goal and underperformed Wall Street’s expectations. The stock suffered its worst annual performance on record, declining 65%. By early January 2023, it became clear within Tesla’s finance department that the company needed to take more aggressive action to move cars, people familiar with the matter said. Tesla had opened two new factories in 2022—one in Germany and another in Texas—expanding its production capacity roughly 80% in less than a year. Unsold inventory climbed to 13 days’ worth of supply in the final three months of 2022, from just four days in the second quarter, according to Tesla’s financial disclosures. As January unfolded, orders weren’t keeping pace with internal forecasts, one of the people said. Employees developed a plan that called for Tesla to cut prices more permanently, an unusual strategy in an industry where companies typically try to be more discreet with their incentives.Deep price cutsElsewhere in the auto industry, Tesla’s rivals were unleashing a barrage of new EV models, including ones designed to directly compete with the Model Y and Model 3.On a Thursday night in January 2023, Tesla quietly updated its website, slashing prices across its lineup, in some cases by nearly 20%.Tesla made cuts that were even deeper than the finance department had initially proposed, the people familiar with the matter said. For Musk, it was a calculated gamble. Tesla’s double-digit operating margins meant it could better absorb the price cuts than rivals, and the move would also put the squeeze on competitors—many of which were losing money on their EVs.Across the Atlantic, Vincent Cobée, then-CEO of Stellantis’s Citroën brand, was at the Brussels Motor Show when a journalist told him about Tesla’s price cuts. Cobée’s first thought: “He’s completely nuts.”Then: “We’re in deep trouble,” he recalled later. The maneuver did boost sales at Tesla—for a time. The company’s vehicle prices fell by an average of 12% globally in the first half of 2023, and deliveries rose 19% compared with the prior six months, according to Wells Fargo. But in the second half of 2023, as Tesla continued to lower prices and layer on incentives, the company’s vehicle-delivery growth slowed to 3%, compared with the first half—a figure that Wells Fargo analysts described as “concerningly low.” Some in the auto industry were also starting to sour on electric vehicles.Dealers who once were bullish about the technology began worrying about the cars stacking up on their lots. Companies that had been racing to scale up EV production suddenly began delaying their investments and shifting their attention to hybrids, which were selling well. For Tesla, the only new model on the horizon was the Cybertruck—a long-delayed and difficult-to-manufacture pickup truck that eventually hit the market in November. Even so, the model is only available in North America, and Musk has warned it is unlikely to generate significant cash flow before the end of this year. A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.In China, the world’s largest car market and a production hub for Tesla, a price war had already broken out. The country’s leading EV maker, BYD, and other Chinese car manufacturers were mounting their own offensive, rapidly releasing more affordable EVs that were winning over the domestic market and beginning to make inroads overseas.In January of this year, Hertz delivered another blow, saying it was selling about a third of its global EV fleet—much of it made up of Tesla vehicles. The rental-car company had previously flagged problems with fast-falling EV resale values and pricey repairs.Drop in deliveriesThen came the news from earlier this week: Tesla delivered 386,810 vehicles globally in the first three months of 2024, down 8.5% from a year earlier. It was the company’s lowest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2022.Wall Street analysts had slashed their expectations for Tesla’s first-quarter performance in the weeks before the disclosure on Tuesday, but the company still came up short. Musk has sought to quell concerns by describing the company as being in between two growth waves—the first driven by the Model 3 and Model Y, the second to be propelled by the company’s next generation of vehicles, including the much-anticipated low-cost car, which he said in January is due to enter production in late 2025.In recent weeks, employees were told to prioritize development of a robotaxi, according to a person familiar matter.Reuters on Friday reported that Tesla had canceled plans for the inexpensive car. Musk denied the report on X, as Twitter is now known. Hours later, he added that Tesla plans to unveil its robotaxi model in August.As Musk has used his social-media platform to address polarizing topics such as immigration and race, there is evidence that Musk is doing Tesla no favors with his extracurricular activities. The company’s reputation among potential U.S. buyers has taken a hit since Musk acquired Twitter, according to market-intelligence firm Caliber. The automaker’s “consideration” rate—where survey respondents said whether they are very likely to buy, or continue buying, products from Tesla—fell from 46% to 35% between September 2022 and this March, Caliber said. As Tesla’s profitability has weakened, Musk has talked up the potential of the company’s autonomous-driving strategy.“Most people still have no idea how crushingly good Tesla FSD will get,” he posted on X in late March. “Cars will take you where you want automatically, just like getting in an elevator and pressing a button, something that also used to be manual.”Despite the recent stock decline, Tesla’s valuation—$525 billion at Friday’s close—still towers over those of other automakers. Many investors remain confident that Musk, who has defied the odds many times before, can deliver on this vision. Some, such as Owuraka Koney, a managing director at investment manager Jennison Associates, are betting Tesla will be able to generate ample revenue by selling downloadable software, such as its driver-assistance technology, long after it makes that initial car sale. Said Koney: “We remain very bullish over the long-term.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970679152,"gmtCreate":1684421671777,"gmtModify":1684421674690,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970679152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947118470,"gmtCreate":1682665864691,"gmtModify":1682666020972,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I ","listText":"I ","text":"I","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947118470","repostId":"2330553397","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2330553397","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1682643117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2330553397?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-28 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2330553397","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer tens of billions.</p><p>For many years, First Republic had a sterling reputation as a fast-growth lender focused on a very desirable clientele -- the affluent. One might think that such a franchise would fit well with any number of banks looking to grow businesses like wealth management. Its assets are also seemingly mostly solid ones, like government securities and mortgages extended to those well-off clients. Yet with the bank's market value now hovering at around $1 billion, down about 95% from the start of the year, no buyer has emerged.</p><p>While First Republic might hope to work through its crisis over time, waiting for its bonds and loans to mature or repay in full, an acquirer wouldn't have that luxury. Under merger accounting rules, a buyer would have to immediately mark down the assets it is acquiring to fair value.</p><p>In its first-quarter report, the bank didn't give updates on the fair-value estimate of its assets. So it is likely these values have improved somewhat, as government bond yields fell over the first three months of this year. But as of the end of last year, it was sitting on paper losses in its held-to-maturity securities of about $4.8 billion.</p><p>In addition, the fair value of its real-estate-secured loans was about $19 billion below their carrying value. Many of these mortgages are paying a fixed rate, either indefinitely or for the next few years, at what are now relatively low interest rates.</p><p>Even if those mark-to-market losses were now a few billion less, and after adjusting for tax benefits of the losses, needed write-downs might still effectively cancel out the bank's shareholder equity, which was around $18 billion at the end of the first quarter. This means that the buyer would have to put up billions of capital just to keep its own capital ratios compliant with regulatory minimums as it adds assets to its balance sheet.</p><p>"It might cost you $30 billion of capital to buy the bank for free," says Autonomous Research analyst David Smith.</p><p>In a typical bank deal, an acquirer can count on intangible assets to offset those hits to the values of bonds and loans. For example, acquirers often recognize some additional value for the acquired bank's deposits, which in contrast to its assets might be worth more than they appear on paper because they are cheap or stable. Given its deposit woes, it is hard to say what that value might be for First Republic. Plus, intangible assets like this don't count toward the regulatory capital needed to run the bank.</p><p>There are some possible offsets. A bank that buys the assets at fair value might then quickly sell them to pay down expensive government borrowing or to cover the return of big banks' emergency $30 billion in unsecured deposits. That would reduce the bank's size and capital needs. The acquirer could also benefit over time as the acquired assets rise in value or pay off.</p><p>But the tricky math for an acquirer might help explain the current state of affairs, in which First Republic plans to restructure its business. One other plan under consideration, to have a group of banks buy assets from First Republic at above-market prices, could effectively socialize the costs of acquisition that would otherwise be borne by one buyer. This might be one reason for banks to hesitate in helping out now, for fear it would only allow an ultimate buyer of First Republic to get a far better deal. But getting a form of equity as part of the deal would help the group of banks all benefit in that scenario.</p><p>If that can't be worked out, an alternative form of a full acquisition might be a government-arranged sale in which the acquirer gets a federal backstop for its losses.</p><p>When something can't be sold even free, sweeteners need to be thrown in. One way or another, someone has to pay.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-04-28 08:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer tens of billions.</p><p>For many years, First Republic had a sterling reputation as a fast-growth lender focused on a very desirable clientele -- the affluent. One might think that such a franchise would fit well with any number of banks looking to grow businesses like wealth management. Its assets are also seemingly mostly solid ones, like government securities and mortgages extended to those well-off clients. Yet with the bank's market value now hovering at around $1 billion, down about 95% from the start of the year, no buyer has emerged.</p><p>While First Republic might hope to work through its crisis over time, waiting for its bonds and loans to mature or repay in full, an acquirer wouldn't have that luxury. Under merger accounting rules, a buyer would have to immediately mark down the assets it is acquiring to fair value.</p><p>In its first-quarter report, the bank didn't give updates on the fair-value estimate of its assets. So it is likely these values have improved somewhat, as government bond yields fell over the first three months of this year. But as of the end of last year, it was sitting on paper losses in its held-to-maturity securities of about $4.8 billion.</p><p>In addition, the fair value of its real-estate-secured loans was about $19 billion below their carrying value. Many of these mortgages are paying a fixed rate, either indefinitely or for the next few years, at what are now relatively low interest rates.</p><p>Even if those mark-to-market losses were now a few billion less, and after adjusting for tax benefits of the losses, needed write-downs might still effectively cancel out the bank's shareholder equity, which was around $18 billion at the end of the first quarter. This means that the buyer would have to put up billions of capital just to keep its own capital ratios compliant with regulatory minimums as it adds assets to its balance sheet.</p><p>"It might cost you $30 billion of capital to buy the bank for free," says Autonomous Research analyst David Smith.</p><p>In a typical bank deal, an acquirer can count on intangible assets to offset those hits to the values of bonds and loans. For example, acquirers often recognize some additional value for the acquired bank's deposits, which in contrast to its assets might be worth more than they appear on paper because they are cheap or stable. Given its deposit woes, it is hard to say what that value might be for First Republic. Plus, intangible assets like this don't count toward the regulatory capital needed to run the bank.</p><p>There are some possible offsets. A bank that buys the assets at fair value might then quickly sell them to pay down expensive government borrowing or to cover the return of big banks' emergency $30 billion in unsecured deposits. That would reduce the bank's size and capital needs. The acquirer could also benefit over time as the acquired assets rise in value or pay off.</p><p>But the tricky math for an acquirer might help explain the current state of affairs, in which First Republic plans to restructure its business. One other plan under consideration, to have a group of banks buy assets from First Republic at above-market prices, could effectively socialize the costs of acquisition that would otherwise be borne by one buyer. This might be one reason for banks to hesitate in helping out now, for fear it would only allow an ultimate buyer of First Republic to get a far better deal. But getting a form of equity as part of the deal would help the group of banks all benefit in that scenario.</p><p>If that can't be worked out, an alternative form of a full acquisition might be a government-arranged sale in which the acquirer gets a federal backstop for its losses.</p><p>When something can't be sold even free, sweeteners need to be thrown in. One way or another, someone has to pay.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FRCB":"第一共和银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2330553397","content_text":"If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer tens of billions.For many years, First Republic had a sterling reputation as a fast-growth lender focused on a very desirable clientele -- the affluent. One might think that such a franchise would fit well with any number of banks looking to grow businesses like wealth management. Its assets are also seemingly mostly solid ones, like government securities and mortgages extended to those well-off clients. Yet with the bank's market value now hovering at around $1 billion, down about 95% from the start of the year, no buyer has emerged.While First Republic might hope to work through its crisis over time, waiting for its bonds and loans to mature or repay in full, an acquirer wouldn't have that luxury. Under merger accounting rules, a buyer would have to immediately mark down the assets it is acquiring to fair value.In its first-quarter report, the bank didn't give updates on the fair-value estimate of its assets. So it is likely these values have improved somewhat, as government bond yields fell over the first three months of this year. But as of the end of last year, it was sitting on paper losses in its held-to-maturity securities of about $4.8 billion.In addition, the fair value of its real-estate-secured loans was about $19 billion below their carrying value. Many of these mortgages are paying a fixed rate, either indefinitely or for the next few years, at what are now relatively low interest rates.Even if those mark-to-market losses were now a few billion less, and after adjusting for tax benefits of the losses, needed write-downs might still effectively cancel out the bank's shareholder equity, which was around $18 billion at the end of the first quarter. This means that the buyer would have to put up billions of capital just to keep its own capital ratios compliant with regulatory minimums as it adds assets to its balance sheet.\"It might cost you $30 billion of capital to buy the bank for free,\" says Autonomous Research analyst David Smith.In a typical bank deal, an acquirer can count on intangible assets to offset those hits to the values of bonds and loans. For example, acquirers often recognize some additional value for the acquired bank's deposits, which in contrast to its assets might be worth more than they appear on paper because they are cheap or stable. Given its deposit woes, it is hard to say what that value might be for First Republic. Plus, intangible assets like this don't count toward the regulatory capital needed to run the bank.There are some possible offsets. A bank that buys the assets at fair value might then quickly sell them to pay down expensive government borrowing or to cover the return of big banks' emergency $30 billion in unsecured deposits. That would reduce the bank's size and capital needs. The acquirer could also benefit over time as the acquired assets rise in value or pay off.But the tricky math for an acquirer might help explain the current state of affairs, in which First Republic plans to restructure its business. One other plan under consideration, to have a group of banks buy assets from First Republic at above-market prices, could effectively socialize the costs of acquisition that would otherwise be borne by one buyer. This might be one reason for banks to hesitate in helping out now, for fear it would only allow an ultimate buyer of First Republic to get a far better deal. But getting a form of equity as part of the deal would help the group of banks all benefit in that scenario.If that can't be worked out, an alternative form of a full acquisition might be a government-arranged sale in which the acquirer gets a federal backstop for its losses.When something can't be sold even free, sweeteners need to be thrown in. One way or another, someone has to pay.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955841224,"gmtCreate":1675355706769,"gmtModify":1676538996399,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955841224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928611923,"gmtCreate":1671256888362,"gmtModify":1676538516814,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a> ","text":"$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ $TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928611923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915187349,"gmtCreate":1664983895881,"gmtModify":1676537539571,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL\">$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL\">$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$</a>","text":"$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915187349","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":292253612101920,"gmtCreate":1712376992864,"gmtModify":1712376997776,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Llo ppl","listText":"Llo ppl","text":"Llo ppl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/292253612101920","repostId":"2425544723","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2425544723","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1712374200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2425544723?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-04-06 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2425544723","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bb47599fbe68247f49a92f0e6ff5e7bc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1026\"/></p><p>Tesla Chief ExecutiveElon Muskhas spent years trying to build the automaker of the future. It’s the electric-car company of the present that’s now giving him trouble.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After a period of rapid expansion, the company has seen its sales fall and its once-enviable margins shrink. For the first time in years, the biggest question for Tesla is not whether it will be able to make enough cars, but whether people will buy them.</p><p>The company’s stock, down 34% this year, has been the worst performer in the S&P 500 index. While Tesla remains the world’s most valuable automaker by a wide margin, its market capitalization has tumbled by more than half since it peaked in 2021.</p><p>Consumer appetite for electric vehicles is cooling. The core of Tesla’s lineup is dated. The company has been cutting prices to spur demand. Big, moonshot bets have not panned out as Musk predicted—at least not yet. And Chinese carmakers are now the ones that look like nimble, tech-savvy upstarts.</p><p>Musk’s attention, meanwhile, has sometimes been elsewhere. He bought Twitter, sold some Tesla stock along the way and started an artificial-intelligence company. Of late, he has been picking fights with everyone from OpenAI to Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger. Surveys suggest his public persona has alienated some would-be Tesla buyers. </p><p>This week, the company reported its first year-over-year decline in quarterly deliveries since 2020—a result that badly missed Wall Street’s expectations.</p><p>Musk’s company remains a formidable player in the electric-vehicle market globally and is the clear leader in the U.S. It is still making money on its vehicles, while many established car companies are struggling to turn a profit on their EVs, after committing tens of billions of dollars to expand their offerings. But the boom times of Tesla’s past have faded, and the bright future imagined by Musk—where people will ride around in fully autonomous Teslas—remains distant. </p><p>“Tesla is going from the golden era to a really challenging era,” said Mark Fields, a former CEO of Ford Motor who now serves on several corporate boards. Tesla and Musk didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><h3 id=\"id_1616402663\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Boom times</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Three years ago, Tesla appeared all but unstoppable.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After years of financial uncertainty and production challenges, the company had turned a corner and was delivering quarter after quarter of record profit. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9971787fdde132e63c83e0c30e10f071\" alt=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" title=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Its factories were humming, even as a global shortage of semiconductors led many rivals to curtail auto production. Consumer demand was strong enough that Tesla was hiking prices, and waiting lists for new vehicles grew long enough that some buyers were paying a premium for lightly used ones.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As automakers set about remaking themselves in Tesla’s image, Musk—a master salesman with an uncanny knack for inspiring investors to believe in his vision—sought to catch the next market wave: artificial intelligence. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">At a Tesla recruiting event in the summer of 2021, the billionaire took the stage in Palo Alto, Calif., dressed all in black, as is his custom. </p><p>Tesla had for years been working to develop technology that would allow a computer to assume more of the driving tasks, rolling out the software as part of its Autopilot system.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cef59dd7b952f826e9357e5c61adc5\" alt=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" title=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an attempt to emphasize Tesla’s might in the artificial-intelligence space—and ambitions beyond the competitive, traditionally low-margin automotive business—Musk unveiled the company’s latest effort: a friendly humanoid robot. The robot, Optimus, was not ready yet. In its place, a human dressed in a robot costume danced on stage.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Tesla is much more than an electric-car company,” Musk told the crowd. “In the future, physical work will be a choice.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October 2021, rental-car company Hertz Global Holdings said it was ordering 100,000 Tesla vehicles as it looked to expand its fleet of EVs. For investors, the deal was a sign that EVs were becoming mainstream—and soon more drivers would have an opportunity to try one. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla’s market value eventually peaked above $1.2 trillion in early November, up more than 2,000% in two years. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/adc078e82fbeb0c736d2fbeed39cce4c\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"789\"/></p><p>The euphoria was short-lived. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Musk soon began unloading Tesla stock, embarking on a spree that continued for more than a year and resulted in his selling more than $39 billion in shares. The sales—executed in part to fund Musk’s eventual purchase of Twitter—spooked the market and weighed on Tesla’s stock. </p><h3 id=\"id_1049512835\" style=\"text-align: start;\">‘Enough on our plate’</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The surprises kept coming in 2022. </p><p>On a late-January earnings call, Musk revealed Tesla would not be introducing any new models that year, attributing the decision to supply-chain constraints. Instead, the company would churn out as many of its existing models as possible. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla sold four models at the time, but just two drove the lion’s share of the company’s sales: the Model Y sport-utility vehicle and the Model 3 sedan. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Plans for a $25,000 car—a model Musk had teased in late 2020 and said likely would be ready in three years—had been put on ice. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7410e9127d94f418b7102b502165a719\" alt=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" title=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We have enough on our plate right now,” Musk said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The move was risky. In the car business, new and redesigned models are critical to holding buyers’ interest and maintaining pricing power.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Analysts were perplexed. One questioned whether Tesla could hit its growth targets with fewer than a half-dozen passenger-vehicle models in its lineup.</p><p>Musk brushed off the concern. Instead, he alluded to his vision for a future where Teslas would be able to operate autonomously around the clock—making them even more valuable. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“It’s apparent from the questions that the gravity of Full Self-Driving is not fully appreciated,” Musk said, referring to a souped-up version of Tesla’s driver-assistance technology. (The system doesn’t currently make Tesla vehicles autonomous.) </p><p>As the year wore on, investors grew increasingly jittery. Musk’s pursuit of Twitter only amplified concerns on Wall Street that the Tesla CEO was not focused enough on his carmaker.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Twitter is a distraction,” Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund, a Tesla investor, said at the time. “All of the space has been sucked up by him talking about Twitter, and so you don’t hear him tweeting about EVs.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warning signs flashed in China, where wait times for new Teslas fell to about a month as of September 2022, from four-plus months in the spring, according to Bernstein Research. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla executives, including chief designer Franz von Holzhausen, pressed Musk to revive plans for the company’s more affordable, mass-market car, arguing it was necessary for Tesla to reach its growth targets, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography of the CEO. Musk had been more interested in developing autonomous cars that could operate in a robotaxi fleet. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39b39afbb9e989ff5d5fa051943d689b\" alt=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" title=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"933\"/><span>‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,” von Holzhausen told The Wall Street Journal earlier this year. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And while he is optimistic about the promise of self-driving cars and encouraged by Tesla’s recent progress, von Holzhausen said the transition will not be simple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Maybe I’m more pragmatic about it, but I think autonomy is…it’s going to be a challenge,” he said. “It’s still sci-fi to a lot of people.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October, Tesla cut prices in China by an average of around 7%, according to Bernstein. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Soon after, it began offering temporary discounts on its most popular models in the U.S.—by $3,750 at first, then $7,500 plus 10,000 miles of free fast-charging if customers took delivery before year-end. </p><p>Tesla’s 2022 ended on a downbeat note. Its annual vehicle deliveries—up 40% over the prior year—fell short of the company’s initial goal and underperformed Wall Street’s expectations. The stock suffered its worst annual performance on record, declining 65%. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By early January 2023, it became clear within Tesla’s finance department that the company needed to take more aggressive action to move cars, people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla had opened two new factories in 2022—one in Germany and another in Texas—expanding its production capacity roughly 80% in less than a year. Unsold inventory climbed to 13 days’ worth of supply in the final three months of 2022, from just four days in the second quarter, according to Tesla’s financial disclosures. </p><p>As January unfolded, orders weren’t keeping pace with internal forecasts, one of the people said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Employees developed a plan that called for Tesla to cut prices more permanently, an unusual strategy in an industry where companies typically try to be more discreet with their incentives.</p><h3 id=\"id_1782812654\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Deep price cuts</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Elsewhere in the auto industry, Tesla’s rivals were unleashing a barrage of new EV models, including ones designed to directly compete with the Model Y and Model 3.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On a Thursday night in January 2023, Tesla quietly updated its website, slashing prices across its lineup, in some cases by nearly 20%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla made cuts that were even deeper than the finance department had initially proposed, the people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Musk, it was a calculated gamble. Tesla’s double-digit operating margins meant it could better absorb the price cuts than rivals, and the move would also put the squeeze on competitors—many of which were losing money on their EVs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c49baabbbc9a81e7fa3ec3011c715cd9\" tg-width=\"483\" tg-height=\"548\"/></p><p>Across the Atlantic, Vincent Cobée, then-CEO of Stellantis’s Citroën brand, was at the Brussels Motor Show when a journalist told him about Tesla’s price cuts. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Cobée’s first thought: “He’s completely nuts.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then: “We’re in deep trouble,” he recalled later. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The maneuver did boost sales at Tesla—for a time. The company’s vehicle prices fell by an average of 12% globally in the first half of 2023, and deliveries rose 19% compared with the prior six months, according to Wells Fargo. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But in the second half of 2023, as Tesla continued to lower prices and layer on incentives, the company’s vehicle-delivery growth slowed to 3%, compared with the first half—a figure that Wells Fargo analysts described as “concerningly low.” </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some in the auto industry were also starting to sour on electric vehicles.</p><p>Dealers who once were bullish about the technology began worrying about the cars stacking up on their lots. Companies that had been racing to scale up EV production suddenly began delaying their investments and shifting their attention to hybrids, which were selling well. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Tesla, the only new model on the horizon was the Cybertruck—a long-delayed and difficult-to-manufacture pickup truck that eventually hit the market in November. Even so, the model is only available in North America, and Musk has warned it is unlikely to generate significant cash flow before the end of this year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa597e0e2614e3ba2131a340b71adf2d\" alt=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" title=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"/><span>A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In China, the world’s largest car market and a production hub for Tesla, a price war had already broken out. The country’s leading EV maker, BYD, and other Chinese car manufacturers were mounting their own offensive, rapidly releasing more affordable EVs that were winning over the domestic market and beginning to make inroads overseas.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In January of this year, Hertz delivered another blow, saying it was selling about a third of its global EV fleet—much of it made up of Tesla vehicles. The rental-car company had previously flagged problems with fast-falling EV resale values and pricey repairs.</p><h3 id=\"id_351073619\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Drop in deliveries</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then came the news from earlier this week: Tesla delivered 386,810 vehicles globally in the first three months of 2024, down 8.5% from a year earlier. It was the company’s lowest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2022.</p><p>Wall Street analysts had slashed their expectations for Tesla’s first-quarter performance in the weeks before the disclosure on Tuesday, but the company still came up short. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6d098cd7d0c6cad4cb8854aa1f2ae1e\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"558\"/></p><p>Musk has sought to quell concerns by describing the company as being in between two growth waves—the first driven by the Model 3 and Model Y, the second to be propelled by the company’s next generation of vehicles, including the much-anticipated low-cost car, which he said in January is due to enter production in late 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In recent weeks, employees were told to prioritize development of a robotaxi, according to a person familiar matter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Reuters on Friday reported that Tesla had canceled plans for the inexpensive car. Musk denied the report on X, as Twitter is now known. Hours later, he added that Tesla plans to unveil its robotaxi model in August.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As Musk has used his social-media platform to address polarizing topics such as immigration and race, there is evidence that Musk is doing Tesla no favors with his extracurricular activities. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The company’s reputation among potential U.S. buyers has taken a hit since Musk acquired Twitter, according to market-intelligence firm Caliber. The automaker’s “consideration” rate—where survey respondents said whether they are very likely to buy, or continue buying, products from Tesla—fell from 46% to 35% between September 2022 and this March, Caliber said. </p><p>As Tesla’s profitability has weakened, Musk has talked up the potential of the company’s autonomous-driving strategy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Most people still have no idea how crushingly good Tesla FSD will get,” he posted on X in late March. “Cars will take you where you want automatically, just like getting in an elevator and pressing a button, something that also used to be manual.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54ff561cb238c81ab47bab10f7c69d50\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"786\"/></p><p>Despite the recent stock decline, Tesla’s valuation—$525 billion at Friday’s close—still towers over those of other automakers. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many investors remain confident that Musk, who has defied the odds many times before, can deliver on this vision. Some, such as Owuraka Koney, a managing director at investment manager Jennison Associates, are betting Tesla will be able to generate ample revenue by selling downloadable software, such as its driver-assistance technology, long after it makes that initial car sale. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Said Koney: “We remain very bullish over the long-term.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Inside Tale of Tesla’s Fall to Earth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-04-06 11:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bb47599fbe68247f49a92f0e6ff5e7bc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1026\"/></p><p>Tesla Chief ExecutiveElon Muskhas spent years trying to build the automaker of the future. It’s the electric-car company of the present that’s now giving him trouble.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After a period of rapid expansion, the company has seen its sales fall and its once-enviable margins shrink. For the first time in years, the biggest question for Tesla is not whether it will be able to make enough cars, but whether people will buy them.</p><p>The company’s stock, down 34% this year, has been the worst performer in the S&P 500 index. While Tesla remains the world’s most valuable automaker by a wide margin, its market capitalization has tumbled by more than half since it peaked in 2021.</p><p>Consumer appetite for electric vehicles is cooling. The core of Tesla’s lineup is dated. The company has been cutting prices to spur demand. Big, moonshot bets have not panned out as Musk predicted—at least not yet. And Chinese carmakers are now the ones that look like nimble, tech-savvy upstarts.</p><p>Musk’s attention, meanwhile, has sometimes been elsewhere. He bought Twitter, sold some Tesla stock along the way and started an artificial-intelligence company. Of late, he has been picking fights with everyone from OpenAI to Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger. Surveys suggest his public persona has alienated some would-be Tesla buyers. </p><p>This week, the company reported its first year-over-year decline in quarterly deliveries since 2020—a result that badly missed Wall Street’s expectations.</p><p>Musk’s company remains a formidable player in the electric-vehicle market globally and is the clear leader in the U.S. It is still making money on its vehicles, while many established car companies are struggling to turn a profit on their EVs, after committing tens of billions of dollars to expand their offerings. But the boom times of Tesla’s past have faded, and the bright future imagined by Musk—where people will ride around in fully autonomous Teslas—remains distant. </p><p>“Tesla is going from the golden era to a really challenging era,” said Mark Fields, a former CEO of Ford Motor who now serves on several corporate boards. Tesla and Musk didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><h3 id=\"id_1616402663\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Boom times</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Three years ago, Tesla appeared all but unstoppable.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After years of financial uncertainty and production challenges, the company had turned a corner and was delivering quarter after quarter of record profit. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9971787fdde132e63c83e0c30e10f071\" alt=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" title=\"A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. \" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Its factories were humming, even as a global shortage of semiconductors led many rivals to curtail auto production. Consumer demand was strong enough that Tesla was hiking prices, and waiting lists for new vehicles grew long enough that some buyers were paying a premium for lightly used ones.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As automakers set about remaking themselves in Tesla’s image, Musk—a master salesman with an uncanny knack for inspiring investors to believe in his vision—sought to catch the next market wave: artificial intelligence. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">At a Tesla recruiting event in the summer of 2021, the billionaire took the stage in Palo Alto, Calif., dressed all in black, as is his custom. </p><p>Tesla had for years been working to develop technology that would allow a computer to assume more of the driving tasks, rolling out the software as part of its Autopilot system.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cef59dd7b952f826e9357e5c61adc5\" alt=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" title=\"While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. \" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. </span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an attempt to emphasize Tesla’s might in the artificial-intelligence space—and ambitions beyond the competitive, traditionally low-margin automotive business—Musk unveiled the company’s latest effort: a friendly humanoid robot. The robot, Optimus, was not ready yet. In its place, a human dressed in a robot costume danced on stage.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Tesla is much more than an electric-car company,” Musk told the crowd. “In the future, physical work will be a choice.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October 2021, rental-car company Hertz Global Holdings said it was ordering 100,000 Tesla vehicles as it looked to expand its fleet of EVs. For investors, the deal was a sign that EVs were becoming mainstream—and soon more drivers would have an opportunity to try one. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla’s market value eventually peaked above $1.2 trillion in early November, up more than 2,000% in two years. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/adc078e82fbeb0c736d2fbeed39cce4c\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"789\"/></p><p>The euphoria was short-lived. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Musk soon began unloading Tesla stock, embarking on a spree that continued for more than a year and resulted in his selling more than $39 billion in shares. The sales—executed in part to fund Musk’s eventual purchase of Twitter—spooked the market and weighed on Tesla’s stock. </p><h3 id=\"id_1049512835\" style=\"text-align: start;\">‘Enough on our plate’</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The surprises kept coming in 2022. </p><p>On a late-January earnings call, Musk revealed Tesla would not be introducing any new models that year, attributing the decision to supply-chain constraints. Instead, the company would churn out as many of its existing models as possible. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla sold four models at the time, but just two drove the lion’s share of the company’s sales: the Model Y sport-utility vehicle and the Model 3 sedan. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Plans for a $25,000 car—a model Musk had teased in late 2020 and said likely would be ready in three years—had been put on ice. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7410e9127d94f418b7102b502165a719\" alt=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" title=\"Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"/><span>Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We have enough on our plate right now,” Musk said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The move was risky. In the car business, new and redesigned models are critical to holding buyers’ interest and maintaining pricing power.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Analysts were perplexed. One questioned whether Tesla could hit its growth targets with fewer than a half-dozen passenger-vehicle models in its lineup.</p><p>Musk brushed off the concern. Instead, he alluded to his vision for a future where Teslas would be able to operate autonomously around the clock—making them even more valuable. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“It’s apparent from the questions that the gravity of Full Self-Driving is not fully appreciated,” Musk said, referring to a souped-up version of Tesla’s driver-assistance technology. (The system doesn’t currently make Tesla vehicles autonomous.) </p><p>As the year wore on, investors grew increasingly jittery. Musk’s pursuit of Twitter only amplified concerns on Wall Street that the Tesla CEO was not focused enough on his carmaker.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Twitter is a distraction,” Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund, a Tesla investor, said at the time. “All of the space has been sucked up by him talking about Twitter, and so you don’t hear him tweeting about EVs.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warning signs flashed in China, where wait times for new Teslas fell to about a month as of September 2022, from four-plus months in the spring, according to Bernstein Research. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla executives, including chief designer Franz von Holzhausen, pressed Musk to revive plans for the company’s more affordable, mass-market car, arguing it was necessary for Tesla to reach its growth targets, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography of the CEO. Musk had been more interested in developing autonomous cars that could operate in a robotaxi fleet. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39b39afbb9e989ff5d5fa051943d689b\" alt=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" title=\"‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"933\"/><span>‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,” von Holzhausen told The Wall Street Journal earlier this year. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And while he is optimistic about the promise of self-driving cars and encouraged by Tesla’s recent progress, von Holzhausen said the transition will not be simple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Maybe I’m more pragmatic about it, but I think autonomy is…it’s going to be a challenge,” he said. “It’s still sci-fi to a lot of people.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In late October, Tesla cut prices in China by an average of around 7%, according to Bernstein. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Soon after, it began offering temporary discounts on its most popular models in the U.S.—by $3,750 at first, then $7,500 plus 10,000 miles of free fast-charging if customers took delivery before year-end. </p><p>Tesla’s 2022 ended on a downbeat note. Its annual vehicle deliveries—up 40% over the prior year—fell short of the company’s initial goal and underperformed Wall Street’s expectations. The stock suffered its worst annual performance on record, declining 65%. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By early January 2023, it became clear within Tesla’s finance department that the company needed to take more aggressive action to move cars, people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla had opened two new factories in 2022—one in Germany and another in Texas—expanding its production capacity roughly 80% in less than a year. Unsold inventory climbed to 13 days’ worth of supply in the final three months of 2022, from just four days in the second quarter, according to Tesla’s financial disclosures. </p><p>As January unfolded, orders weren’t keeping pace with internal forecasts, one of the people said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Employees developed a plan that called for Tesla to cut prices more permanently, an unusual strategy in an industry where companies typically try to be more discreet with their incentives.</p><h3 id=\"id_1782812654\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Deep price cuts</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Elsewhere in the auto industry, Tesla’s rivals were unleashing a barrage of new EV models, including ones designed to directly compete with the Model Y and Model 3.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On a Thursday night in January 2023, Tesla quietly updated its website, slashing prices across its lineup, in some cases by nearly 20%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla made cuts that were even deeper than the finance department had initially proposed, the people familiar with the matter said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Musk, it was a calculated gamble. Tesla’s double-digit operating margins meant it could better absorb the price cuts than rivals, and the move would also put the squeeze on competitors—many of which were losing money on their EVs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c49baabbbc9a81e7fa3ec3011c715cd9\" tg-width=\"483\" tg-height=\"548\"/></p><p>Across the Atlantic, Vincent Cobée, then-CEO of Stellantis’s Citroën brand, was at the Brussels Motor Show when a journalist told him about Tesla’s price cuts. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Cobée’s first thought: “He’s completely nuts.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then: “We’re in deep trouble,” he recalled later. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The maneuver did boost sales at Tesla—for a time. The company’s vehicle prices fell by an average of 12% globally in the first half of 2023, and deliveries rose 19% compared with the prior six months, according to Wells Fargo. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But in the second half of 2023, as Tesla continued to lower prices and layer on incentives, the company’s vehicle-delivery growth slowed to 3%, compared with the first half—a figure that Wells Fargo analysts described as “concerningly low.” </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some in the auto industry were also starting to sour on electric vehicles.</p><p>Dealers who once were bullish about the technology began worrying about the cars stacking up on their lots. Companies that had been racing to scale up EV production suddenly began delaying their investments and shifting their attention to hybrids, which were selling well. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For Tesla, the only new model on the horizon was the Cybertruck—a long-delayed and difficult-to-manufacture pickup truck that eventually hit the market in November. Even so, the model is only available in North America, and Musk has warned it is unlikely to generate significant cash flow before the end of this year. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa597e0e2614e3ba2131a340b71adf2d\" alt=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" title=\"A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"/><span>A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In China, the world’s largest car market and a production hub for Tesla, a price war had already broken out. The country’s leading EV maker, BYD, and other Chinese car manufacturers were mounting their own offensive, rapidly releasing more affordable EVs that were winning over the domestic market and beginning to make inroads overseas.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In January of this year, Hertz delivered another blow, saying it was selling about a third of its global EV fleet—much of it made up of Tesla vehicles. The rental-car company had previously flagged problems with fast-falling EV resale values and pricey repairs.</p><h3 id=\"id_351073619\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Drop in deliveries</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then came the news from earlier this week: Tesla delivered 386,810 vehicles globally in the first three months of 2024, down 8.5% from a year earlier. It was the company’s lowest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2022.</p><p>Wall Street analysts had slashed their expectations for Tesla’s first-quarter performance in the weeks before the disclosure on Tuesday, but the company still came up short. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6d098cd7d0c6cad4cb8854aa1f2ae1e\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"558\"/></p><p>Musk has sought to quell concerns by describing the company as being in between two growth waves—the first driven by the Model 3 and Model Y, the second to be propelled by the company’s next generation of vehicles, including the much-anticipated low-cost car, which he said in January is due to enter production in late 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In recent weeks, employees were told to prioritize development of a robotaxi, according to a person familiar matter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Reuters on Friday reported that Tesla had canceled plans for the inexpensive car. Musk denied the report on X, as Twitter is now known. Hours later, he added that Tesla plans to unveil its robotaxi model in August.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As Musk has used his social-media platform to address polarizing topics such as immigration and race, there is evidence that Musk is doing Tesla no favors with his extracurricular activities. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The company’s reputation among potential U.S. buyers has taken a hit since Musk acquired Twitter, according to market-intelligence firm Caliber. The automaker’s “consideration” rate—where survey respondents said whether they are very likely to buy, or continue buying, products from Tesla—fell from 46% to 35% between September 2022 and this March, Caliber said. </p><p>As Tesla’s profitability has weakened, Musk has talked up the potential of the company’s autonomous-driving strategy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Most people still have no idea how crushingly good Tesla FSD will get,” he posted on X in late March. “Cars will take you where you want automatically, just like getting in an elevator and pressing a button, something that also used to be manual.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54ff561cb238c81ab47bab10f7c69d50\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"786\"/></p><p>Despite the recent stock decline, Tesla’s valuation—$525 billion at Friday’s close—still towers over those of other automakers. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many investors remain confident that Musk, who has defied the odds many times before, can deliver on this vision. Some, such as Owuraka Koney, a managing director at investment manager Jennison Associates, are betting Tesla will be able to generate ample revenue by selling downloadable software, such as its driver-assistance technology, long after it makes that initial car sale. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Said Koney: “We remain very bullish over the long-term.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","BK4508":"社交媒体","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4555":"新能源车"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2425544723","content_text":"Sales are dropping. It’s cutting prices. And its latest big bets have yet to pan out. Can the world’s most valuable carmaker get its mojo back?Tesla Chief ExecutiveElon Muskhas spent years trying to build the automaker of the future. It’s the electric-car company of the present that’s now giving him trouble.After a period of rapid expansion, the company has seen its sales fall and its once-enviable margins shrink. For the first time in years, the biggest question for Tesla is not whether it will be able to make enough cars, but whether people will buy them.The company’s stock, down 34% this year, has been the worst performer in the S&P 500 index. While Tesla remains the world’s most valuable automaker by a wide margin, its market capitalization has tumbled by more than half since it peaked in 2021.Consumer appetite for electric vehicles is cooling. The core of Tesla’s lineup is dated. The company has been cutting prices to spur demand. Big, moonshot bets have not panned out as Musk predicted—at least not yet. And Chinese carmakers are now the ones that look like nimble, tech-savvy upstarts.Musk’s attention, meanwhile, has sometimes been elsewhere. He bought Twitter, sold some Tesla stock along the way and started an artificial-intelligence company. Of late, he has been picking fights with everyone from OpenAI to Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger. Surveys suggest his public persona has alienated some would-be Tesla buyers. This week, the company reported its first year-over-year decline in quarterly deliveries since 2020—a result that badly missed Wall Street’s expectations.Musk’s company remains a formidable player in the electric-vehicle market globally and is the clear leader in the U.S. It is still making money on its vehicles, while many established car companies are struggling to turn a profit on their EVs, after committing tens of billions of dollars to expand their offerings. But the boom times of Tesla’s past have faded, and the bright future imagined by Musk—where people will ride around in fully autonomous Teslas—remains distant. “Tesla is going from the golden era to a really challenging era,” said Mark Fields, a former CEO of Ford Motor who now serves on several corporate boards. Tesla and Musk didn’t respond to requests for comment.Boom timesThree years ago, Tesla appeared all but unstoppable.After years of financial uncertainty and production challenges, the company had turned a corner and was delivering quarter after quarter of record profit. A new factory in the Austin, Texas, area was one of two that Tesla opened in 2022. Its factories were humming, even as a global shortage of semiconductors led many rivals to curtail auto production. Consumer demand was strong enough that Tesla was hiking prices, and waiting lists for new vehicles grew long enough that some buyers were paying a premium for lightly used ones.As automakers set about remaking themselves in Tesla’s image, Musk—a master salesman with an uncanny knack for inspiring investors to believe in his vision—sought to catch the next market wave: artificial intelligence. At a Tesla recruiting event in the summer of 2021, the billionaire took the stage in Palo Alto, Calif., dressed all in black, as is his custom. Tesla had for years been working to develop technology that would allow a computer to assume more of the driving tasks, rolling out the software as part of its Autopilot system.While margins have shrunk, Tesla is still making money on its electric vehicles, an accomplishment that many established car companies have struggled to match. In an attempt to emphasize Tesla’s might in the artificial-intelligence space—and ambitions beyond the competitive, traditionally low-margin automotive business—Musk unveiled the company’s latest effort: a friendly humanoid robot. The robot, Optimus, was not ready yet. In its place, a human dressed in a robot costume danced on stage.“Tesla is much more than an electric-car company,” Musk told the crowd. “In the future, physical work will be a choice.”In late October 2021, rental-car company Hertz Global Holdings said it was ordering 100,000 Tesla vehicles as it looked to expand its fleet of EVs. For investors, the deal was a sign that EVs were becoming mainstream—and soon more drivers would have an opportunity to try one. Tesla’s market value eventually peaked above $1.2 trillion in early November, up more than 2,000% in two years. The euphoria was short-lived. Musk soon began unloading Tesla stock, embarking on a spree that continued for more than a year and resulted in his selling more than $39 billion in shares. The sales—executed in part to fund Musk’s eventual purchase of Twitter—spooked the market and weighed on Tesla’s stock. ‘Enough on our plate’The surprises kept coming in 2022. On a late-January earnings call, Musk revealed Tesla would not be introducing any new models that year, attributing the decision to supply-chain constraints. Instead, the company would churn out as many of its existing models as possible. Tesla sold four models at the time, but just two drove the lion’s share of the company’s sales: the Model Y sport-utility vehicle and the Model 3 sedan. Plans for a $25,000 car—a model Musk had teased in late 2020 and said likely would be ready in three years—had been put on ice. Newly completed Teslas at the company’s factory outside Berlin.“We have enough on our plate right now,” Musk said.The move was risky. In the car business, new and redesigned models are critical to holding buyers’ interest and maintaining pricing power.Analysts were perplexed. One questioned whether Tesla could hit its growth targets with fewer than a half-dozen passenger-vehicle models in its lineup.Musk brushed off the concern. Instead, he alluded to his vision for a future where Teslas would be able to operate autonomously around the clock—making them even more valuable. “It’s apparent from the questions that the gravity of Full Self-Driving is not fully appreciated,” Musk said, referring to a souped-up version of Tesla’s driver-assistance technology. (The system doesn’t currently make Tesla vehicles autonomous.) As the year wore on, investors grew increasingly jittery. Musk’s pursuit of Twitter only amplified concerns on Wall Street that the Tesla CEO was not focused enough on his carmaker.“Twitter is a distraction,” Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund, a Tesla investor, said at the time. “All of the space has been sucked up by him talking about Twitter, and so you don’t hear him tweeting about EVs.”Warning signs flashed in China, where wait times for new Teslas fell to about a month as of September 2022, from four-plus months in the spring, according to Bernstein Research. Tesla executives, including chief designer Franz von Holzhausen, pressed Musk to revive plans for the company’s more affordable, mass-market car, arguing it was necessary for Tesla to reach its growth targets, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography of the CEO. Musk had been more interested in developing autonomous cars that could operate in a robotaxi fleet. ‘Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,’ says Tesla’s chief designer, Franz von Holzhausen.“Our responsibility is to try to get as many people into an EV as possible,” von Holzhausen told The Wall Street Journal earlier this year. And while he is optimistic about the promise of self-driving cars and encouraged by Tesla’s recent progress, von Holzhausen said the transition will not be simple.“Maybe I’m more pragmatic about it, but I think autonomy is…it’s going to be a challenge,” he said. “It’s still sci-fi to a lot of people.”In late October, Tesla cut prices in China by an average of around 7%, according to Bernstein. Soon after, it began offering temporary discounts on its most popular models in the U.S.—by $3,750 at first, then $7,500 plus 10,000 miles of free fast-charging if customers took delivery before year-end. Tesla’s 2022 ended on a downbeat note. Its annual vehicle deliveries—up 40% over the prior year—fell short of the company’s initial goal and underperformed Wall Street’s expectations. The stock suffered its worst annual performance on record, declining 65%. By early January 2023, it became clear within Tesla’s finance department that the company needed to take more aggressive action to move cars, people familiar with the matter said. Tesla had opened two new factories in 2022—one in Germany and another in Texas—expanding its production capacity roughly 80% in less than a year. Unsold inventory climbed to 13 days’ worth of supply in the final three months of 2022, from just four days in the second quarter, according to Tesla’s financial disclosures. As January unfolded, orders weren’t keeping pace with internal forecasts, one of the people said. Employees developed a plan that called for Tesla to cut prices more permanently, an unusual strategy in an industry where companies typically try to be more discreet with their incentives.Deep price cutsElsewhere in the auto industry, Tesla’s rivals were unleashing a barrage of new EV models, including ones designed to directly compete with the Model Y and Model 3.On a Thursday night in January 2023, Tesla quietly updated its website, slashing prices across its lineup, in some cases by nearly 20%.Tesla made cuts that were even deeper than the finance department had initially proposed, the people familiar with the matter said. For Musk, it was a calculated gamble. Tesla’s double-digit operating margins meant it could better absorb the price cuts than rivals, and the move would also put the squeeze on competitors—many of which were losing money on their EVs.Across the Atlantic, Vincent Cobée, then-CEO of Stellantis’s Citroën brand, was at the Brussels Motor Show when a journalist told him about Tesla’s price cuts. Cobée’s first thought: “He’s completely nuts.”Then: “We’re in deep trouble,” he recalled later. The maneuver did boost sales at Tesla—for a time. The company’s vehicle prices fell by an average of 12% globally in the first half of 2023, and deliveries rose 19% compared with the prior six months, according to Wells Fargo. But in the second half of 2023, as Tesla continued to lower prices and layer on incentives, the company’s vehicle-delivery growth slowed to 3%, compared with the first half—a figure that Wells Fargo analysts described as “concerningly low.” Some in the auto industry were also starting to sour on electric vehicles.Dealers who once were bullish about the technology began worrying about the cars stacking up on their lots. Companies that had been racing to scale up EV production suddenly began delaying their investments and shifting their attention to hybrids, which were selling well. For Tesla, the only new model on the horizon was the Cybertruck—a long-delayed and difficult-to-manufacture pickup truck that eventually hit the market in November. Even so, the model is only available in North America, and Musk has warned it is unlikely to generate significant cash flow before the end of this year. A Cybertruck on display at the Petersen Automotive Museum in Los Angeles last year. Elon Musk Musk has warned that the truck is unlikely to generate significant cash flow for Tesla before the end of this year.In China, the world’s largest car market and a production hub for Tesla, a price war had already broken out. The country’s leading EV maker, BYD, and other Chinese car manufacturers were mounting their own offensive, rapidly releasing more affordable EVs that were winning over the domestic market and beginning to make inroads overseas.In January of this year, Hertz delivered another blow, saying it was selling about a third of its global EV fleet—much of it made up of Tesla vehicles. The rental-car company had previously flagged problems with fast-falling EV resale values and pricey repairs.Drop in deliveriesThen came the news from earlier this week: Tesla delivered 386,810 vehicles globally in the first three months of 2024, down 8.5% from a year earlier. It was the company’s lowest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2022.Wall Street analysts had slashed their expectations for Tesla’s first-quarter performance in the weeks before the disclosure on Tuesday, but the company still came up short. Musk has sought to quell concerns by describing the company as being in between two growth waves—the first driven by the Model 3 and Model Y, the second to be propelled by the company’s next generation of vehicles, including the much-anticipated low-cost car, which he said in January is due to enter production in late 2025.In recent weeks, employees were told to prioritize development of a robotaxi, according to a person familiar matter.Reuters on Friday reported that Tesla had canceled plans for the inexpensive car. Musk denied the report on X, as Twitter is now known. Hours later, he added that Tesla plans to unveil its robotaxi model in August.As Musk has used his social-media platform to address polarizing topics such as immigration and race, there is evidence that Musk is doing Tesla no favors with his extracurricular activities. The company’s reputation among potential U.S. buyers has taken a hit since Musk acquired Twitter, according to market-intelligence firm Caliber. The automaker’s “consideration” rate—where survey respondents said whether they are very likely to buy, or continue buying, products from Tesla—fell from 46% to 35% between September 2022 and this March, Caliber said. As Tesla’s profitability has weakened, Musk has talked up the potential of the company’s autonomous-driving strategy.“Most people still have no idea how crushingly good Tesla FSD will get,” he posted on X in late March. “Cars will take you where you want automatically, just like getting in an elevator and pressing a button, something that also used to be manual.”Despite the recent stock decline, Tesla’s valuation—$525 billion at Friday’s close—still towers over those of other automakers. Many investors remain confident that Musk, who has defied the odds many times before, can deliver on this vision. Some, such as Owuraka Koney, a managing director at investment manager Jennison Associates, are betting Tesla will be able to generate ample revenue by selling downloadable software, such as its driver-assistance technology, long after it makes that initial car sale. Said Koney: “We remain very bullish over the long-term.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928611923,"gmtCreate":1671256888362,"gmtModify":1676538516814,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ </a> ","text":"$TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$ $TSLA 20230106 145.0 PUT$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928611923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955841224,"gmtCreate":1675355706769,"gmtModify":1676538996399,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955841224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366670936420416,"gmtCreate":1730527581902,"gmtModify":1730527585814,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trumps wins","listText":"Trumps wins","text":"Trumps wins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366670936420416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970679152,"gmtCreate":1684421671777,"gmtModify":1684421674690,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ </a>","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970679152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947118470,"gmtCreate":1682665864691,"gmtModify":1682666020972,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I ","listText":"I ","text":"I","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947118470","repostId":"2330553397","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2330553397","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1682643117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2330553397?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-28 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2330553397","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer tens of billions.</p><p>For many years, First Republic had a sterling reputation as a fast-growth lender focused on a very desirable clientele -- the affluent. One might think that such a franchise would fit well with any number of banks looking to grow businesses like wealth management. Its assets are also seemingly mostly solid ones, like government securities and mortgages extended to those well-off clients. Yet with the bank's market value now hovering at around $1 billion, down about 95% from the start of the year, no buyer has emerged.</p><p>While First Republic might hope to work through its crisis over time, waiting for its bonds and loans to mature or repay in full, an acquirer wouldn't have that luxury. Under merger accounting rules, a buyer would have to immediately mark down the assets it is acquiring to fair value.</p><p>In its first-quarter report, the bank didn't give updates on the fair-value estimate of its assets. So it is likely these values have improved somewhat, as government bond yields fell over the first three months of this year. But as of the end of last year, it was sitting on paper losses in its held-to-maturity securities of about $4.8 billion.</p><p>In addition, the fair value of its real-estate-secured loans was about $19 billion below their carrying value. Many of these mortgages are paying a fixed rate, either indefinitely or for the next few years, at what are now relatively low interest rates.</p><p>Even if those mark-to-market losses were now a few billion less, and after adjusting for tax benefits of the losses, needed write-downs might still effectively cancel out the bank's shareholder equity, which was around $18 billion at the end of the first quarter. This means that the buyer would have to put up billions of capital just to keep its own capital ratios compliant with regulatory minimums as it adds assets to its balance sheet.</p><p>"It might cost you $30 billion of capital to buy the bank for free," says Autonomous Research analyst David Smith.</p><p>In a typical bank deal, an acquirer can count on intangible assets to offset those hits to the values of bonds and loans. For example, acquirers often recognize some additional value for the acquired bank's deposits, which in contrast to its assets might be worth more than they appear on paper because they are cheap or stable. Given its deposit woes, it is hard to say what that value might be for First Republic. Plus, intangible assets like this don't count toward the regulatory capital needed to run the bank.</p><p>There are some possible offsets. A bank that buys the assets at fair value might then quickly sell them to pay down expensive government borrowing or to cover the return of big banks' emergency $30 billion in unsecured deposits. That would reduce the bank's size and capital needs. The acquirer could also benefit over time as the acquired assets rise in value or pay off.</p><p>But the tricky math for an acquirer might help explain the current state of affairs, in which First Republic plans to restructure its business. One other plan under consideration, to have a group of banks buy assets from First Republic at above-market prices, could effectively socialize the costs of acquisition that would otherwise be borne by one buyer. This might be one reason for banks to hesitate in helping out now, for fear it would only allow an ultimate buyer of First Republic to get a far better deal. But getting a form of equity as part of the deal would help the group of banks all benefit in that scenario.</p><p>If that can't be worked out, an alternative form of a full acquisition might be a government-arranged sale in which the acquirer gets a federal backstop for its losses.</p><p>When something can't be sold even free, sweeteners need to be thrown in. One way or another, someone has to pay.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy No Buyer Has Emerged for First Republic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-04-28 08:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer tens of billions.</p><p>For many years, First Republic had a sterling reputation as a fast-growth lender focused on a very desirable clientele -- the affluent. One might think that such a franchise would fit well with any number of banks looking to grow businesses like wealth management. Its assets are also seemingly mostly solid ones, like government securities and mortgages extended to those well-off clients. Yet with the bank's market value now hovering at around $1 billion, down about 95% from the start of the year, no buyer has emerged.</p><p>While First Republic might hope to work through its crisis over time, waiting for its bonds and loans to mature or repay in full, an acquirer wouldn't have that luxury. Under merger accounting rules, a buyer would have to immediately mark down the assets it is acquiring to fair value.</p><p>In its first-quarter report, the bank didn't give updates on the fair-value estimate of its assets. So it is likely these values have improved somewhat, as government bond yields fell over the first three months of this year. But as of the end of last year, it was sitting on paper losses in its held-to-maturity securities of about $4.8 billion.</p><p>In addition, the fair value of its real-estate-secured loans was about $19 billion below their carrying value. Many of these mortgages are paying a fixed rate, either indefinitely or for the next few years, at what are now relatively low interest rates.</p><p>Even if those mark-to-market losses were now a few billion less, and after adjusting for tax benefits of the losses, needed write-downs might still effectively cancel out the bank's shareholder equity, which was around $18 billion at the end of the first quarter. This means that the buyer would have to put up billions of capital just to keep its own capital ratios compliant with regulatory minimums as it adds assets to its balance sheet.</p><p>"It might cost you $30 billion of capital to buy the bank for free," says Autonomous Research analyst David Smith.</p><p>In a typical bank deal, an acquirer can count on intangible assets to offset those hits to the values of bonds and loans. For example, acquirers often recognize some additional value for the acquired bank's deposits, which in contrast to its assets might be worth more than they appear on paper because they are cheap or stable. Given its deposit woes, it is hard to say what that value might be for First Republic. Plus, intangible assets like this don't count toward the regulatory capital needed to run the bank.</p><p>There are some possible offsets. A bank that buys the assets at fair value might then quickly sell them to pay down expensive government borrowing or to cover the return of big banks' emergency $30 billion in unsecured deposits. That would reduce the bank's size and capital needs. The acquirer could also benefit over time as the acquired assets rise in value or pay off.</p><p>But the tricky math for an acquirer might help explain the current state of affairs, in which First Republic plans to restructure its business. One other plan under consideration, to have a group of banks buy assets from First Republic at above-market prices, could effectively socialize the costs of acquisition that would otherwise be borne by one buyer. This might be one reason for banks to hesitate in helping out now, for fear it would only allow an ultimate buyer of First Republic to get a far better deal. But getting a form of equity as part of the deal would help the group of banks all benefit in that scenario.</p><p>If that can't be worked out, an alternative form of a full acquisition might be a government-arranged sale in which the acquirer gets a federal backstop for its losses.</p><p>When something can't be sold even free, sweeteners need to be thrown in. One way or another, someone has to pay.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FRCB":"第一共和银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2330553397","content_text":"If another bank bought First Republic for a single dollar, it could still end up costing that buyer tens of billions.For many years, First Republic had a sterling reputation as a fast-growth lender focused on a very desirable clientele -- the affluent. One might think that such a franchise would fit well with any number of banks looking to grow businesses like wealth management. Its assets are also seemingly mostly solid ones, like government securities and mortgages extended to those well-off clients. Yet with the bank's market value now hovering at around $1 billion, down about 95% from the start of the year, no buyer has emerged.While First Republic might hope to work through its crisis over time, waiting for its bonds and loans to mature or repay in full, an acquirer wouldn't have that luxury. Under merger accounting rules, a buyer would have to immediately mark down the assets it is acquiring to fair value.In its first-quarter report, the bank didn't give updates on the fair-value estimate of its assets. So it is likely these values have improved somewhat, as government bond yields fell over the first three months of this year. But as of the end of last year, it was sitting on paper losses in its held-to-maturity securities of about $4.8 billion.In addition, the fair value of its real-estate-secured loans was about $19 billion below their carrying value. Many of these mortgages are paying a fixed rate, either indefinitely or for the next few years, at what are now relatively low interest rates.Even if those mark-to-market losses were now a few billion less, and after adjusting for tax benefits of the losses, needed write-downs might still effectively cancel out the bank's shareholder equity, which was around $18 billion at the end of the first quarter. This means that the buyer would have to put up billions of capital just to keep its own capital ratios compliant with regulatory minimums as it adds assets to its balance sheet.\"It might cost you $30 billion of capital to buy the bank for free,\" says Autonomous Research analyst David Smith.In a typical bank deal, an acquirer can count on intangible assets to offset those hits to the values of bonds and loans. For example, acquirers often recognize some additional value for the acquired bank's deposits, which in contrast to its assets might be worth more than they appear on paper because they are cheap or stable. Given its deposit woes, it is hard to say what that value might be for First Republic. Plus, intangible assets like this don't count toward the regulatory capital needed to run the bank.There are some possible offsets. A bank that buys the assets at fair value might then quickly sell them to pay down expensive government borrowing or to cover the return of big banks' emergency $30 billion in unsecured deposits. That would reduce the bank's size and capital needs. The acquirer could also benefit over time as the acquired assets rise in value or pay off.But the tricky math for an acquirer might help explain the current state of affairs, in which First Republic plans to restructure its business. One other plan under consideration, to have a group of banks buy assets from First Republic at above-market prices, could effectively socialize the costs of acquisition that would otherwise be borne by one buyer. This might be one reason for banks to hesitate in helping out now, for fear it would only allow an ultimate buyer of First Republic to get a far better deal. But getting a form of equity as part of the deal would help the group of banks all benefit in that scenario.If that can't be worked out, an alternative form of a full acquisition might be a government-arranged sale in which the acquirer gets a federal backstop for its losses.When something can't be sold even free, sweeteners need to be thrown in. One way or another, someone has to pay.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915187349,"gmtCreate":1664983895881,"gmtModify":1676537539571,"author":{"id":"3565135405115518","authorId":"3565135405115518","name":"Onoff","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8bb9ed02a65b35b592bcfb1e37eedb8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565135405115518","authorIdStr":"3565135405115518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL\">$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL\">$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$</a>","text":"$TIGR 20240119 5.0 CALL$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915187349","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}