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iLOVEsixNINE
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iLOVEsixNINE
01-24
$Microsoft(MSFT)$
Ok
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-06-16
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
yes
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-05-08
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-04-12
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Buy the dip!
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-02-10
$Square(SQ)$
Let’s go!
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-02-09
$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$
About to take off again
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-02-08
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Ready to fly higher
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-02-03
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Believe
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-31
Seee la
赌博?反精英?美国逼空大战的核心导火索究竟是什么
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-31
Nice
热血式炒股亲历者:一夜爆赚1000万,醒来倒欠6000万
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-31
Oh yeah
fuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-31
Crazy world
Sorry, the original content has been removed
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-31
$Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. V(IPOE)$
What’s up
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-29
$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$
yo!!
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-28
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Gonna buy more!
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-28
That’s nice!!
@哆啦Ella:
$小米集團-W(01810)$
Canalys最新數據:Q4全球小米手機出貨量同比增長31%,穩居世界前三
iLOVEsixNINE
2021-01-28
$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$
Got in early before it became a hype.
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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🚀"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169347519,"gmtCreate":1623818967631,"gmtModify":1703820456090,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>yes","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>yes","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$yes","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5eb34cbe0b55038c09f2c75b9e2a4bac","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169347519","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107137022,"gmtCreate":1620450837266,"gmtModify":1704343956255,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9d4cba3f7e7487c1c7556618023a61e","width":"1284","height":"2457"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/107137022","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342143632,"gmtCreate":1618193040726,"gmtModify":1704707317545,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Buy the dip!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Buy the dip!","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Buy the dip!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f56dc4bbb6f79958c47e954d948610","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342143632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":381839249,"gmtCreate":1612951140681,"gmtModify":1704876403750,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>Let’s go!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$Square(SQ)$</a>Let’s go!","text":"$Square(SQ)$Let’s go!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06a44c35f5e68f5aabdecf30eb874c6","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/381839249","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383906474,"gmtCreate":1612825555298,"gmtModify":1704874643996,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$</a>About to take off again","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$</a>About to take off again","text":"$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$About to take off again","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d7e246c11ccab77891bbcefd7c0960f","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/383906474","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389724097,"gmtCreate":1612799949919,"gmtModify":1704874470316,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Ready to fly higher ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Ready to fly higher ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Ready to fly higher","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8a99a4997c471d833bded6ad37e1d3c","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/389724097","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":914,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3555468095592494","authorId":"3555468095592494","name":"Zaidzac95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22e2d3e73e0c77708b3037a0b341a6cc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3555468095592494","idStr":"3555468095592494"},"content":"Lets fly higher!","text":"Lets fly higher!","html":"Lets fly higher!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":314218952,"gmtCreate":1612353547676,"gmtModify":1704870068526,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Believe ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Believe ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Believe","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ba9e6ff4aa8f749fba8082745393e5","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/314218952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135752,"gmtCreate":1612062350476,"gmtModify":1704867078548,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seee la","listText":"Seee la","text":"Seee la","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135752","repostId":"1147723336","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147723336","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"‘金融是件专业的事情,投资不是拍脑袋决定的’-记录是一种维持连续思考最好的方式,我就是付鹏,一个我眼里的财经世界","home_visible":1,"media_name":"付鹏的财经世界","id":"75","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33671c46c6ed4ba5b38664f7d8985b0d"},"pubTimestamp":1611906307,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147723336?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 15:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"赌博?反精英?美国逼空大战的核心导火索究竟是什么","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147723336","media":"付鹏的财经世界","summary":"新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。","content":"<p>市场上对于<b>美股散户抱团GME大战机构</b>的讨论非常热烈,周四隔夜盘中GME深跌56%后,盘后转涨,最高飙升70%;GME距离机构给出的20美元的估值已经翻了十几倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4873cc5bf4a72265ebf8a57591ff08\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>而<b>继GME之后,AMC、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>也成了美股散户抱团的对象。</b>隔夜美股下跌,做空比例较高的一些股票反而逆势上涨。新的字母组合FANG(Fubo、AMC、Nokia、GameStop)热度超过FAANG,股价和成交量一飞冲天。</p><p>首先从事件本身来分析,<b>股票逼仓squeeze其实并不是一个新鲜事</b>,可能大都数的国内投资者知道股票逼仓比较有名的就是从当年的大众逼仓Volkswagen Squeeze开始,之后的十年逐步的加入了期权策略,衍生出来股票正股逼仓(squeeze)用期权配合形成期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)。</p><p>包括之后孙正义软银的Gamma策略也是以此为基础,<b>传统很多对冲基金尤其是基本面研究驱动的多空L/S投资组合里,简单来说就是做多一个优质的公司,做空一个资质较差的公司。</b>因而也就会有一个所谓的做空TOP的名单,那些垃圾公司公司或者僵尸公司等的名字就赫然在列。</p><p>一般来说即便是机构投资者的short比重相对比较高也不会有太大的问题,因为市场主流的思路对于这类差公司的认知是偏向一致的,这里就涉及到第一个核心的“问题”:<b>新老一代对于所谓“价值”认知差异的问题。</b></p><p>这几年美国证券市场正在不断的发生这样的事情,<b>金融功能市场上形成的新老两股力量,且两派对于所谓的“价值”明显出现了偏差,无法拥有相互的认同感</b>。</p><p>目前市场上最大的冲突也其实也就在这,其实过去的几年里,这种新旧观念的碰撞一直在发生,像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、比特币就是个例子;如果这种价值认同偏差上产生的碰撞只发生在传统金融机构内部,一般来讲不会这么严重,传统金融机构即使有认同上的差异,但是一般不会主动的形成对峙的绞杀。</p><p>但是从GME的事件来看,<b>这种价值观的偏差推向高潮的已经不仅仅是对于公司本身到底基本面如何的问题,整个新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。</b></p><p>那么这股新的力量来自于哪里?<b>我认为来自于目前年轻一代为主的这一批的美国的年轻一代的投资(机)者。</b></p><p>疫情导致的复工复产停滞以及财政补贴带来的额外收入导致散户成交量激增,利用互联网带来的网络社群传递着最快的信息,互联网社区组团,抱团资金以期权逼仓(Gamma squeeze)的方式以最快速度实现收割。</p><p><b>这种情况其实非常类似A股市场上以前的“牛散”或者“带头大哥”,公开自己的交易、账户和逻辑,然后聚集大量的粉丝跟单,并进一步向上反身反馈实现股价抬升。</b></p><p>不过不得不说相比于国内A股市场以前的“带头大哥”喊单拉着散户推高股票暗中撤退来说,<b>期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)是更快实现收割的工具和方法,实际上就形成了一个自我反馈增强的挤仓或者逼空</b>:</p><blockquote>在 <b>原本拥挤的正股做空</b>的情况下, <b>只要能够顺利推动市场所有参与者朝着统一认知方向前进,一旦出现期权逼空正反馈的出现,就非常容易造成短期价格的暴涨,获取数百倍的利润。</b></blockquote><p>当出现逼空的时候,沽空者账面出现巨额亏损时,会迫使其补仓或平仓,而平仓的做法就是在市场上买入股份推高股价,而随着股价不断反馈流通股越来越少后价格赎回(借股)费用会越来越高。</p><p>如果仅仅是这种传统手段的话,那还不至于是如此的吸引大家的注意。</p><p><b>这次WSB和GME的事件,很多散户买入正股的同时,主战场是通过买入看涨期权来挤压期权的卖出者不断的对冲(相当于用超高的杠杆使得做市商成为自己的助燃剂)。</b></p><p><b>而股价上升时卖空看涨期权的仓位同样会出现巨额亏损,需要买入更多的正股对冲,而gamma对冲最终产生的正股的买入速度会以非线性的速度激增。两层反馈下最终导致了GME股价的“火箭”暴涨。</b></p><p>一旦顺利的进入到以上所述的自我反馈路径后,其实本身价值观的对错其实已经并不重要了……<b>任何的逼仓不仅仅是技术层面(今天的日记不是期权教学),其完美的触发反馈机制本身还需要很多天时地利人和的因素配合</b>;例如商品期货市场里面出现空逼多,多逼空的现象本质背后一些因素其实都非常的相近。</p><p>前面提到的认知性偏差和新老的对立是推进反馈路径的第一步前提,当然更重要的使得这个事情加速的还有重要的第二环节;这一事件的背后其实隐藏着更深刻社会性的问题,<b>这次事件从社会性层面变成了一次网络版的占领华尔街运动</b>。</p><p>我们看到在200万聚集讨论的WSB社区中,<b>大范围是存在有一种反社会反精英的认知感</b>,例如:once in a lifetime opportunity,人生只来一次,干脆all in一把,带有非常强的高投机性高赌博性的因素。</p><p>为什么有产阶级可以享受泡沫带来的财富,华尔街的精英可以有制定规则的权利,而普通群众只能被动承担失业和贫富分化带来的后果。</p><p>这和当下美国经济的失衡以及社会的撕裂是分不开的。<b>新老一代除了价值观认知上的不同以外,这种冲突其实已经涉及到了关于社会阶层分配的问题,</b>我们看到改变社会阶层,改变命运,打破华尔街的壁垒等等这种口号不断出现。</p><p>在政治上占领国会山推倒建制派,在金融上占领华尔街打败传统利益。在这几年我们看到美国K型经济的背后是美国社会的撕裂,<b>现在在金融市场上这种冲突,其实跟社会上出现的这种动荡背后的根源其实是一致的。</b></p><p>美国大选刚刚结束,两个阶层之间选票的情况,其实已经能够说明这种冲突已经白热化。</p><p><b>传统价值观下认为这次事件已经是在疯狂了,新价值观认为并不是疯狂,是在打破传统的壁垒,束缚,打破一个旧世界,创造一个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600628\">新世界</a>。</b>这个时候这种价值观的撕裂已经不是能够通过理性非理性来解释的了。</p><p>通过BBS等社交媒体的广泛传播也是在关键的时间充分的利用了互联网社区这一社会性问题开始充分的煽动这种情绪,各种晒出成功者的交易记录,不断的从物质和精神双层面刺激着后续涌入的投资者,这也是造成加速“暴涨”的场外原因;</p><p>那么最后这次事件会怎么收场,背后策划此次事件的真正获利者或许已经逐步的离开,大概率最后都会因为流动性的问题出现向下的反身反馈;</p><p><b>最后市场会由于缺少看涨期权卖出者而丧失流动性,随着之前买入看涨期权的投资者获利平仓离场,同样也会形成卖出正股的反馈,最后入场的社交媒体里的热血散户也会仓皇出逃甚至踩踏。</b></p><p>最终并不是所谓的打倒旧势力迎接世界一片光明。从市场的参与者角度上来讲,<b>背后的被煽动的新一代散户很可能成为最后一部分的买单者</b>(吃掉过度做空的基金,同时最后也会吃掉这批热血青年);</p><p><b>SEC介入是板子上钉钉的事情,最终的焦点并不会在期权策略本身上,而是会将重心放在涉嫌利用社交媒体操纵市场恶意引导投资者并且不当获利这个节点</b>,但透过这个事情本身背后社会撕裂的这些深层次的东西,是很难解决但也是无法避免的问题。</p><p>手段方法技巧,教科书里面都有,真正难得的是如何利用天时地利人和去营造触发squeeze的自我反馈,当然对于逼仓的涉嫌违法的界定也是在这里,而不是工具(期货,期权)本身。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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15:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>市场上对于<b>美股散户抱团GME大战机构</b>的讨论非常热烈,周四隔夜盘中GME深跌56%后,盘后转涨,最高飙升70%;GME距离机构给出的20美元的估值已经翻了十几倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4873cc5bf4a72265ebf8a57591ff08\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>而<b>继GME之后,AMC、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>也成了美股散户抱团的对象。</b>隔夜美股下跌,做空比例较高的一些股票反而逆势上涨。新的字母组合FANG(Fubo、AMC、Nokia、GameStop)热度超过FAANG,股价和成交量一飞冲天。</p><p>首先从事件本身来分析,<b>股票逼仓squeeze其实并不是一个新鲜事</b>,可能大都数的国内投资者知道股票逼仓比较有名的就是从当年的大众逼仓Volkswagen Squeeze开始,之后的十年逐步的加入了期权策略,衍生出来股票正股逼仓(squeeze)用期权配合形成期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)。</p><p>包括之后孙正义软银的Gamma策略也是以此为基础,<b>传统很多对冲基金尤其是基本面研究驱动的多空L/S投资组合里,简单来说就是做多一个优质的公司,做空一个资质较差的公司。</b>因而也就会有一个所谓的做空TOP的名单,那些垃圾公司公司或者僵尸公司等的名字就赫然在列。</p><p>一般来说即便是机构投资者的short比重相对比较高也不会有太大的问题,因为市场主流的思路对于这类差公司的认知是偏向一致的,这里就涉及到第一个核心的“问题”:<b>新老一代对于所谓“价值”认知差异的问题。</b></p><p>这几年美国证券市场正在不断的发生这样的事情,<b>金融功能市场上形成的新老两股力量,且两派对于所谓的“价值”明显出现了偏差,无法拥有相互的认同感</b>。</p><p>目前市场上最大的冲突也其实也就在这,其实过去的几年里,这种新旧观念的碰撞一直在发生,像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、比特币就是个例子;如果这种价值认同偏差上产生的碰撞只发生在传统金融机构内部,一般来讲不会这么严重,传统金融机构即使有认同上的差异,但是一般不会主动的形成对峙的绞杀。</p><p>但是从GME的事件来看,<b>这种价值观的偏差推向高潮的已经不仅仅是对于公司本身到底基本面如何的问题,整个新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。</b></p><p>那么这股新的力量来自于哪里?<b>我认为来自于目前年轻一代为主的这一批的美国的年轻一代的投资(机)者。</b></p><p>疫情导致的复工复产停滞以及财政补贴带来的额外收入导致散户成交量激增,利用互联网带来的网络社群传递着最快的信息,互联网社区组团,抱团资金以期权逼仓(Gamma squeeze)的方式以最快速度实现收割。</p><p><b>这种情况其实非常类似A股市场上以前的“牛散”或者“带头大哥”,公开自己的交易、账户和逻辑,然后聚集大量的粉丝跟单,并进一步向上反身反馈实现股价抬升。</b></p><p>不过不得不说相比于国内A股市场以前的“带头大哥”喊单拉着散户推高股票暗中撤退来说,<b>期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)是更快实现收割的工具和方法,实际上就形成了一个自我反馈增强的挤仓或者逼空</b>:</p><blockquote>在 <b>原本拥挤的正股做空</b>的情况下, <b>只要能够顺利推动市场所有参与者朝着统一认知方向前进,一旦出现期权逼空正反馈的出现,就非常容易造成短期价格的暴涨,获取数百倍的利润。</b></blockquote><p>当出现逼空的时候,沽空者账面出现巨额亏损时,会迫使其补仓或平仓,而平仓的做法就是在市场上买入股份推高股价,而随着股价不断反馈流通股越来越少后价格赎回(借股)费用会越来越高。</p><p>如果仅仅是这种传统手段的话,那还不至于是如此的吸引大家的注意。</p><p><b>这次WSB和GME的事件,很多散户买入正股的同时,主战场是通过买入看涨期权来挤压期权的卖出者不断的对冲(相当于用超高的杠杆使得做市商成为自己的助燃剂)。</b></p><p><b>而股价上升时卖空看涨期权的仓位同样会出现巨额亏损,需要买入更多的正股对冲,而gamma对冲最终产生的正股的买入速度会以非线性的速度激增。两层反馈下最终导致了GME股价的“火箭”暴涨。</b></p><p>一旦顺利的进入到以上所述的自我反馈路径后,其实本身价值观的对错其实已经并不重要了……<b>任何的逼仓不仅仅是技术层面(今天的日记不是期权教学),其完美的触发反馈机制本身还需要很多天时地利人和的因素配合</b>;例如商品期货市场里面出现空逼多,多逼空的现象本质背后一些因素其实都非常的相近。</p><p>前面提到的认知性偏差和新老的对立是推进反馈路径的第一步前提,当然更重要的使得这个事情加速的还有重要的第二环节;这一事件的背后其实隐藏着更深刻社会性的问题,<b>这次事件从社会性层面变成了一次网络版的占领华尔街运动</b>。</p><p>我们看到在200万聚集讨论的WSB社区中,<b>大范围是存在有一种反社会反精英的认知感</b>,例如:once in a lifetime opportunity,人生只来一次,干脆all in一把,带有非常强的高投机性高赌博性的因素。</p><p>为什么有产阶级可以享受泡沫带来的财富,华尔街的精英可以有制定规则的权利,而普通群众只能被动承担失业和贫富分化带来的后果。</p><p>这和当下美国经济的失衡以及社会的撕裂是分不开的。<b>新老一代除了价值观认知上的不同以外,这种冲突其实已经涉及到了关于社会阶层分配的问题,</b>我们看到改变社会阶层,改变命运,打破华尔街的壁垒等等这种口号不断出现。</p><p>在政治上占领国会山推倒建制派,在金融上占领华尔街打败传统利益。在这几年我们看到美国K型经济的背后是美国社会的撕裂,<b>现在在金融市场上这种冲突,其实跟社会上出现的这种动荡背后的根源其实是一致的。</b></p><p>美国大选刚刚结束,两个阶层之间选票的情况,其实已经能够说明这种冲突已经白热化。</p><p><b>传统价值观下认为这次事件已经是在疯狂了,新价值观认为并不是疯狂,是在打破传统的壁垒,束缚,打破一个旧世界,创造一个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600628\">新世界</a>。</b>这个时候这种价值观的撕裂已经不是能够通过理性非理性来解释的了。</p><p>通过BBS等社交媒体的广泛传播也是在关键的时间充分的利用了互联网社区这一社会性问题开始充分的煽动这种情绪,各种晒出成功者的交易记录,不断的从物质和精神双层面刺激着后续涌入的投资者,这也是造成加速“暴涨”的场外原因;</p><p>那么最后这次事件会怎么收场,背后策划此次事件的真正获利者或许已经逐步的离开,大概率最后都会因为流动性的问题出现向下的反身反馈;</p><p><b>最后市场会由于缺少看涨期权卖出者而丧失流动性,随着之前买入看涨期权的投资者获利平仓离场,同样也会形成卖出正股的反馈,最后入场的社交媒体里的热血散户也会仓皇出逃甚至踩踏。</b></p><p>最终并不是所谓的打倒旧势力迎接世界一片光明。从市场的参与者角度上来讲,<b>背后的被煽动的新一代散户很可能成为最后一部分的买单者</b>(吃掉过度做空的基金,同时最后也会吃掉这批热血青年);</p><p><b>SEC介入是板子上钉钉的事情,最终的焦点并不会在期权策略本身上,而是会将重心放在涉嫌利用社交媒体操纵市场恶意引导投资者并且不当获利这个节点</b>,但透过这个事情本身背后社会撕裂的这些深层次的东西,是很难解决但也是无法避免的问题。</p><p>手段方法技巧,教科书里面都有,真正难得的是如何利用天时地利人和去营造触发squeeze的自我反馈,当然对于逼仓的涉嫌违法的界定也是在这里,而不是工具(期货,期权)本身。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3a204998c7f504cac33de5e853f3d44","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147723336","content_text":"市场上对于美股散户抱团GME大战机构的讨论非常热烈,周四隔夜盘中GME深跌56%后,盘后转涨,最高飙升70%;GME距离机构给出的20美元的估值已经翻了十几倍。而继GME之后,AMC、黑莓、Express也成了美股散户抱团的对象。隔夜美股下跌,做空比例较高的一些股票反而逆势上涨。新的字母组合FANG(Fubo、AMC、Nokia、GameStop)热度超过FAANG,股价和成交量一飞冲天。首先从事件本身来分析,股票逼仓squeeze其实并不是一个新鲜事,可能大都数的国内投资者知道股票逼仓比较有名的就是从当年的大众逼仓Volkswagen Squeeze开始,之后的十年逐步的加入了期权策略,衍生出来股票正股逼仓(squeeze)用期权配合形成期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)。包括之后孙正义软银的Gamma策略也是以此为基础,传统很多对冲基金尤其是基本面研究驱动的多空L/S投资组合里,简单来说就是做多一个优质的公司,做空一个资质较差的公司。因而也就会有一个所谓的做空TOP的名单,那些垃圾公司公司或者僵尸公司等的名字就赫然在列。一般来说即便是机构投资者的short比重相对比较高也不会有太大的问题,因为市场主流的思路对于这类差公司的认知是偏向一致的,这里就涉及到第一个核心的“问题”:新老一代对于所谓“价值”认知差异的问题。这几年美国证券市场正在不断的发生这样的事情,金融功能市场上形成的新老两股力量,且两派对于所谓的“价值”明显出现了偏差,无法拥有相互的认同感。目前市场上最大的冲突也其实也就在这,其实过去的几年里,这种新旧观念的碰撞一直在发生,像特斯拉、比特币就是个例子;如果这种价值认同偏差上产生的碰撞只发生在传统金融机构内部,一般来讲不会这么严重,传统金融机构即使有认同上的差异,但是一般不会主动的形成对峙的绞杀。但是从GME的事件来看,这种价值观的偏差推向高潮的已经不仅仅是对于公司本身到底基本面如何的问题,整个新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。那么这股新的力量来自于哪里?我认为来自于目前年轻一代为主的这一批的美国的年轻一代的投资(机)者。疫情导致的复工复产停滞以及财政补贴带来的额外收入导致散户成交量激增,利用互联网带来的网络社群传递着最快的信息,互联网社区组团,抱团资金以期权逼仓(Gamma squeeze)的方式以最快速度实现收割。这种情况其实非常类似A股市场上以前的“牛散”或者“带头大哥”,公开自己的交易、账户和逻辑,然后聚集大量的粉丝跟单,并进一步向上反身反馈实现股价抬升。不过不得不说相比于国内A股市场以前的“带头大哥”喊单拉着散户推高股票暗中撤退来说,期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)是更快实现收割的工具和方法,实际上就形成了一个自我反馈增强的挤仓或者逼空:在 原本拥挤的正股做空的情况下, 只要能够顺利推动市场所有参与者朝着统一认知方向前进,一旦出现期权逼空正反馈的出现,就非常容易造成短期价格的暴涨,获取数百倍的利润。当出现逼空的时候,沽空者账面出现巨额亏损时,会迫使其补仓或平仓,而平仓的做法就是在市场上买入股份推高股价,而随着股价不断反馈流通股越来越少后价格赎回(借股)费用会越来越高。如果仅仅是这种传统手段的话,那还不至于是如此的吸引大家的注意。这次WSB和GME的事件,很多散户买入正股的同时,主战场是通过买入看涨期权来挤压期权的卖出者不断的对冲(相当于用超高的杠杆使得做市商成为自己的助燃剂)。而股价上升时卖空看涨期权的仓位同样会出现巨额亏损,需要买入更多的正股对冲,而gamma对冲最终产生的正股的买入速度会以非线性的速度激增。两层反馈下最终导致了GME股价的“火箭”暴涨。一旦顺利的进入到以上所述的自我反馈路径后,其实本身价值观的对错其实已经并不重要了……任何的逼仓不仅仅是技术层面(今天的日记不是期权教学),其完美的触发反馈机制本身还需要很多天时地利人和的因素配合;例如商品期货市场里面出现空逼多,多逼空的现象本质背后一些因素其实都非常的相近。前面提到的认知性偏差和新老的对立是推进反馈路径的第一步前提,当然更重要的使得这个事情加速的还有重要的第二环节;这一事件的背后其实隐藏着更深刻社会性的问题,这次事件从社会性层面变成了一次网络版的占领华尔街运动。我们看到在200万聚集讨论的WSB社区中,大范围是存在有一种反社会反精英的认知感,例如:once in a lifetime opportunity,人生只来一次,干脆all in一把,带有非常强的高投机性高赌博性的因素。为什么有产阶级可以享受泡沫带来的财富,华尔街的精英可以有制定规则的权利,而普通群众只能被动承担失业和贫富分化带来的后果。这和当下美国经济的失衡以及社会的撕裂是分不开的。新老一代除了价值观认知上的不同以外,这种冲突其实已经涉及到了关于社会阶层分配的问题,我们看到改变社会阶层,改变命运,打破华尔街的壁垒等等这种口号不断出现。在政治上占领国会山推倒建制派,在金融上占领华尔街打败传统利益。在这几年我们看到美国K型经济的背后是美国社会的撕裂,现在在金融市场上这种冲突,其实跟社会上出现的这种动荡背后的根源其实是一致的。美国大选刚刚结束,两个阶层之间选票的情况,其实已经能够说明这种冲突已经白热化。传统价值观下认为这次事件已经是在疯狂了,新价值观认为并不是疯狂,是在打破传统的壁垒,束缚,打破一个旧世界,创造一个新世界。这个时候这种价值观的撕裂已经不是能够通过理性非理性来解释的了。通过BBS等社交媒体的广泛传播也是在关键的时间充分的利用了互联网社区这一社会性问题开始充分的煽动这种情绪,各种晒出成功者的交易记录,不断的从物质和精神双层面刺激着后续涌入的投资者,这也是造成加速“暴涨”的场外原因;那么最后这次事件会怎么收场,背后策划此次事件的真正获利者或许已经逐步的离开,大概率最后都会因为流动性的问题出现向下的反身反馈;最后市场会由于缺少看涨期权卖出者而丧失流动性,随着之前买入看涨期权的投资者获利平仓离场,同样也会形成卖出正股的反馈,最后入场的社交媒体里的热血散户也会仓皇出逃甚至踩踏。最终并不是所谓的打倒旧势力迎接世界一片光明。从市场的参与者角度上来讲,背后的被煽动的新一代散户很可能成为最后一部分的买单者(吃掉过度做空的基金,同时最后也会吃掉这批热血青年);SEC介入是板子上钉钉的事情,最终的焦点并不会在期权策略本身上,而是会将重心放在涉嫌利用社交媒体操纵市场恶意引导投资者并且不当获利这个节点,但透过这个事情本身背后社会撕裂的这些深层次的东西,是很难解决但也是无法避免的问题。手段方法技巧,教科书里面都有,真正难得的是如何利用天时地利人和去营造触发squeeze的自我反馈,当然对于逼仓的涉嫌违法的界定也是在这里,而不是工具(期货,期权)本身。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135445,"gmtCreate":1612062332787,"gmtModify":1704867078226,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135445","repostId":"1184659292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184659292","pubTimestamp":1611971007,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184659292?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-30 09:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"热血式炒股亲历者:一夜爆赚1000万,醒来倒欠6000万","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184659292","media":"证券时报","summary":"全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。其他社群里也充斥着买入GME爆赚1000万港元,一觉醒来没平仓,却倒欠券商6000万港元的真实案例。","content":"<div>\n<p>全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。他们将一只行将退市的股票GME(游戏驿站)从3美元一路拉到超过400美元,痛打对冲基金,引得多家美国投资机构发出警告。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。这时,开不了股票仓位的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"zqsbw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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href=https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat><strong>证券时报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。他们将一只行将退市的股票GME(游戏驿站)从3美元一路拉到超过400美元,痛打对冲基金,引得多家美国投资机构发出警告。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。这时,开不了股票仓位的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8593d7bafc6da002b2ab4975d4711a90","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184659292","content_text":"全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。他们将一只行将退市的股票GME(游戏驿站)从3美元一路拉到超过400美元,痛打对冲基金,引得多家美国投资机构发出警告。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。这时,开不了股票仓位的美股散户继续疯狂撒钱,更将“炮火”对准现货白银……证券时报记者发现,也有中国投资者参与这一史上罕见的散户抱团事件。在一个港股美股的打新群里,GME的话题刷屏,甚至有人用美股的模拟盘交易,轮番上演做多做空GME的账户秀。其他社群里也充斥着买入GME爆赚1000万港元,一觉醒来没平仓,却倒欠券商6000万港元的真实案例。虽然一些券商已恢复对GME等股票的交易,但散户们究竟怎么破局?华尔街机构又将如何反击?谁会取得所谓的“胜利”?对此,证券时报记者采访了几位亲身经历此次事件的美股投资者。在隔离酒店爆炒GME在美股散户抱团大战机构之时,散户集中地WallStreetsBets(WSB)论坛的一名用户发布一封公开信,斥责部分华尔街机构在2008年金融危机中给上百万普通民众制造莫大的苦难,却反而得到救助,如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的股票,没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。现在,散户就是在把握难得机会惩罚这些机构。在上海的隔离酒店中,一家香港投资公司的总经理俞于也参与了GME的交易,不过他并不是用机构的资金,而是纯个人参与。俞于告诉证券时报记者,在香港虽然有很多对冲基金,但行业里并没有那么疯狂。“这种机构很难参与,除非一早就买进去的,不然GME的估值根本过不了专业机构的风控,大资金买进去,怕风头过了,流动性都不够减仓。”俞于之所以会关注到GME,是因为自己平时就有做美股投资,所以在27日通过盈透证券350美元卖出,28日155美元实现平仓的,持仓一天实现了60%的收益。当时,他预判要支持GME股票持续上涨,需要一直有全球范围内的新闻曝光才能吸引更多资金进来,但这显然是不可持续的,长期股票价值还是要回归正常,所以决定花很小一点仓位做空。“本来我想持有一周以上,我预计要到周五才开始跌,周五有大量GME的期权到期,很多对冲基金就不需要再买入回补自己的空头仓位了。但28日晚跌得挺厉害,而后面的情况暂时无法预计,算了一下利润的情况下就平掉了。”他告诉记者。“我不认为散户会取得胜利”苏奇两年前从美国哥伦比亚大学毕业回国,现在任职深圳某大型投资机构。他对证券时报记者表示,他也使用了个人资金参与此次散户与机构的“大事件”,即使他并不认为散户最终会取得胜利。苏奇对游戏驿站公司做过分析,认为公司本身的经营属于正常水平,这类公司在美股市场上很常见,此前公司股价长期在10美元左右徘徊,但在股价涨到20美元后,就有投资机构开始做空公司股票,但也并没有脱离正常的投资范畴。他说,随着WallStreetsBets的意见领袖不断宣扬,以及更多个人投资者的加入,投资者情绪开始高涨,公司股价目前已被投资者情绪主导。不过,苏奇也认为,此次散户和机构之战,更深层次的原因是美国前总统特朗普在其任内对规则的挑战和对传统的蔑视,并且开始在资本市场产生影响。“个人投资者开始厌倦了由大型投资机构决定一家公司的价值和命运。在某个股票对投资机构进行阻击,即使不能完全改变市场的生态,也能让这部分投资者获得满足感。”苏奇还认为,美国大型科技股股价的大幅上涨,以及国内A股机构抱团的现象,都是由机构主导。不过,这些公司的价格并不能用传统估值模型来解释,更多的是机构利用资金优势在决定公司的股价。因此,此次散户大战机构是个人投资者“利用魔法打败魔法”。不仅华尔街的投资机构,国内的投资机构也应该反省,当前仅仅依靠资金的优势来决定公司的价值能否长期持续下去。摩根大通等投行指出,GME现象并非孤例,这些散户投资者可能进一步复制这一模式,让更多类似股票出现大幅波动。俞于也认为,类似现象肯定还会发生,在美国散户抱团快发展成为一项运动。“只要美国继续放水,类似的造富运动肯定还会继续发生,比如美股、比特币,甚至名牌包和手表、球鞋等有流量的资产其实过去一年的价格都涨了不少,加上互联网平台的传播,比如这次散户大本营的Discord和Reddit都是在美国年轻人里面很火的网站,更加剧了炒作的价值。交银国际董事总经理、研究部负责人洪灏日前也发微博表示,GME股价暴涨未必是投机的结果,其估值本就过低。暴涨前该公司账上有足够现金买下整个公司的市值,同时做空比例却占了股票数的一半。只要公司出任何盈利惊喜,就注定会出现轧空。摩根士丹利首席执行官James Gorman认为,散户抱团轧空是个“短期现象”,“不会持久”。给美股市场带来深刻影响大戏仍在继续,散户和机构都没有“服输”。在美国生活的新移民Kevin坦言,比起赚多少钱而言,他更多地将这次散户抱团事件称为带有“行为主义”色彩的美式运动,其背后也反映出美国社会的深层次矛盾。随着互联网传播加强,除了美股市场的GME、AMC,美股散户迅速转战新标的,周四直接推升了白银、币圈狗狗币等市场的价格,澳大利亚也有类似的抱团现象出现。事实上,美国资本市场中,机构占据绝对主导地位,散户在整个市场的占比仅约三四成,此次散户入市的资金来源和疫情息息相关。由于美国失业率节节攀升,美国中低收入民众收获不菲的现金补助。2020年4月,美国政府向每位民众发了1200美元补贴,12月,又表示要追加每人2000美元。随着拜登的上台,还颁布了1.9万亿美元的经济援助法案。“其实对于很多美国居民来说,政府的补贴是一笔意外之财,很多人都拿去投入股市,这次有号召力的那两个论坛里面的很多都是年轻人,他们在2008年金融危机发生的时候年纪还很小,可能也就是中学生,也会因此经历一些家庭的变故,比如失去房产、家庭负债、父母失业等等。”Kevin说,“现在这拨年轻人都长大了,二三十岁开始第一次进入股市,他们想要通过这种表达方式来对抗华尔街,在意见领袖的号召下,用抱团的行为向金融市场一些不公平的事情表达不满。”无论谁是谁非,此次散户与机构的大战或许会给美股市场带来更深层次的影响。美股分析师TOM告诉记者,由于散户买入巨量的看涨期权,被做空股票的价格大涨,做空股票的对冲基金在撑不到市场回归理性前被迫缴械投降,关闭空头头寸。同时,对冲基金不得不开始卖出其他股票持仓,或者期货对冲头寸,并减少整体敞口。市场数据显示,对冲基金正在以六年多来最快的速度削减股票敞口。根据高盛汇总的数据,基金经理在此前四天内,从市场撤出的资金总额达到2014年10月以来的最高水平。此外,危机之下大量机构资金疯狂买入美债避险。在他看来,这一切都是美股流动性危险的信号。(应受访投资者要求,文中所用名称均为化名。)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135821,"gmtCreate":1612062280663,"gmtModify":1704867077742,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565412139008016","idStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh yeah","listText":"Oh yeah","text":"Oh yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135821","repostId":"2107218222","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2107218222","pubTimestamp":1611902100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2107218222?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 14:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"fuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2107218222","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--fuboTV Inc. (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV str","content":"<p>NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV Inc.</a> (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV streaming platform, today announced the pricing of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% convertible senior notes due 2026 (the “notes”) in a private offering to persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The offering is expected to close on February 2, 2021, subject to customary closing conditions. fuboTV also granted the initial purchaser a 13-day option to purchase up to an additional $52.5 million aggregate principal amount of notes.</p>\n<p>The notes will be general unsecured obligations of fuboTV and will accrue interest payable semiannually in arrears on February 15 and August 15 of each year, beginning on August 15, 2021, at a rate of 3.25% per year. The notes will mature on February 15, 2026, unless earlier converted, repurchased or redeemed. The initial conversion rate will be 17.3063 shares of fuboTV’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of approximately $57.78 per share). The initial conversion price of the notes represents a premium of approximately 45% over the closing price of fuboTV’s common stock on January 28, 2021. The notes will be convertible under certain circumstances into cash, shares of fuboTV’s common stock or a combination of cash and shares of fuboTV’s common stock, at fuboTV’s election.</p>\n<p>fuboTV may redeem for cash all or any portion of the notes, at its option, on or after February 20, 2024 and prior to the 41st scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date if the last reported sale price of fuboTV’s common stock has been at least 130% of the conversion price then in effect for at least 20 trading days (whether or not consecutive) during any 30 consecutive trading day period (including the last trading day of such period) ending on, and including, the trading day immediately preceding the date on which fuboTV provides notice of redemption at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the redemption date.</p>\n<p>fuboTV estimates that the net proceeds from the offering will be $338.4 million (or $389.5 million if the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes). fuboTV intends to use the net proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes, including working capital, business development, sales and marketing activities, capital expenditures, repayment of outstanding debt, potential acquisitions and strategic transactions. If the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes, fuboTV will use the net proceeds from the sale of such additional notes for working capital and other general corporate purposes as described above. However, it has not designated any specific uses and has no current agreements with respect to any material acquisition or strategic transaction.</p>\n<p>Neither the notes, nor any shares of fuboTV’s common stock issuable upon conversion of the notes, have been registered under the Securities Act or any state securities laws, and unless so registered, may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and other applicable securities laws.</p>\n<p>This press release is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, nor shall it constitute an offer, solicitation or sale of the securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>fuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nfuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-29 14:35 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=17882756><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--fuboTV Inc. (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV streaming platform, today announced the pricing of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=17882756\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FUBO":"fuboTV Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=17882756","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2107218222","content_text":"NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--fuboTV Inc. (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV streaming platform, today announced the pricing of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% convertible senior notes due 2026 (the “notes”) in a private offering to persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The offering is expected to close on February 2, 2021, subject to customary closing conditions. fuboTV also granted the initial purchaser a 13-day option to purchase up to an additional $52.5 million aggregate principal amount of notes.\nThe notes will be general unsecured obligations of fuboTV and will accrue interest payable semiannually in arrears on February 15 and August 15 of each year, beginning on August 15, 2021, at a rate of 3.25% per year. The notes will mature on February 15, 2026, unless earlier converted, repurchased or redeemed. The initial conversion rate will be 17.3063 shares of fuboTV’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of approximately $57.78 per share). The initial conversion price of the notes represents a premium of approximately 45% over the closing price of fuboTV’s common stock on January 28, 2021. The notes will be convertible under certain circumstances into cash, shares of fuboTV’s common stock or a combination of cash and shares of fuboTV’s common stock, at fuboTV’s election.\nfuboTV may redeem for cash all or any portion of the notes, at its option, on or after February 20, 2024 and prior to the 41st scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date if the last reported sale price of fuboTV’s common stock has been at least 130% of the conversion price then in effect for at least 20 trading days (whether or not consecutive) during any 30 consecutive trading day period (including the last trading day of such period) ending on, and including, the trading day immediately preceding the date on which fuboTV provides notice of redemption at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the redemption date.\nfuboTV estimates that the net proceeds from the offering will be $338.4 million (or $389.5 million if the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes). fuboTV intends to use the net proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes, including working capital, business development, sales and marketing activities, capital expenditures, repayment of outstanding debt, potential acquisitions and strategic transactions. If the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes, fuboTV will use the net proceeds from the sale of such additional notes for working capital and other general corporate purposes as described above. 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more!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76a0c08f90aa8bf78a021d9fac4585cf","width":"1284","height":"2457"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/318903374","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107137022,"gmtCreate":1620450837266,"gmtModify":1704343956255,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565412139008016","authorIdStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$bought the dip and sold none, diamond handing it!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9d4cba3f7e7487c1c7556618023a61e","width":"1284","height":"2457"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/107137022","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135752,"gmtCreate":1612062350476,"gmtModify":1704867078548,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565412139008016","authorIdStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seee la","listText":"Seee la","text":"Seee la","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135752","repostId":"1147723336","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147723336","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"‘金融是件专业的事情,投资不是拍脑袋决定的’-记录是一种维持连续思考最好的方式,我就是付鹏,一个我眼里的财经世界","home_visible":1,"media_name":"付鹏的财经世界","id":"75","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33671c46c6ed4ba5b38664f7d8985b0d"},"pubTimestamp":1611906307,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147723336?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 15:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"赌博?反精英?美国逼空大战的核心导火索究竟是什么","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147723336","media":"付鹏的财经世界","summary":"新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。","content":"<p>市场上对于<b>美股散户抱团GME大战机构</b>的讨论非常热烈,周四隔夜盘中GME深跌56%后,盘后转涨,最高飙升70%;GME距离机构给出的20美元的估值已经翻了十几倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4873cc5bf4a72265ebf8a57591ff08\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>而<b>继GME之后,AMC、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>也成了美股散户抱团的对象。</b>隔夜美股下跌,做空比例较高的一些股票反而逆势上涨。新的字母组合FANG(Fubo、AMC、Nokia、GameStop)热度超过FAANG,股价和成交量一飞冲天。</p><p>首先从事件本身来分析,<b>股票逼仓squeeze其实并不是一个新鲜事</b>,可能大都数的国内投资者知道股票逼仓比较有名的就是从当年的大众逼仓Volkswagen Squeeze开始,之后的十年逐步的加入了期权策略,衍生出来股票正股逼仓(squeeze)用期权配合形成期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)。</p><p>包括之后孙正义软银的Gamma策略也是以此为基础,<b>传统很多对冲基金尤其是基本面研究驱动的多空L/S投资组合里,简单来说就是做多一个优质的公司,做空一个资质较差的公司。</b>因而也就会有一个所谓的做空TOP的名单,那些垃圾公司公司或者僵尸公司等的名字就赫然在列。</p><p>一般来说即便是机构投资者的short比重相对比较高也不会有太大的问题,因为市场主流的思路对于这类差公司的认知是偏向一致的,这里就涉及到第一个核心的“问题”:<b>新老一代对于所谓“价值”认知差异的问题。</b></p><p>这几年美国证券市场正在不断的发生这样的事情,<b>金融功能市场上形成的新老两股力量,且两派对于所谓的“价值”明显出现了偏差,无法拥有相互的认同感</b>。</p><p>目前市场上最大的冲突也其实也就在这,其实过去的几年里,这种新旧观念的碰撞一直在发生,像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、比特币就是个例子;如果这种价值认同偏差上产生的碰撞只发生在传统金融机构内部,一般来讲不会这么严重,传统金融机构即使有认同上的差异,但是一般不会主动的形成对峙的绞杀。</p><p>但是从GME的事件来看,<b>这种价值观的偏差推向高潮的已经不仅仅是对于公司本身到底基本面如何的问题,整个新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。</b></p><p>那么这股新的力量来自于哪里?<b>我认为来自于目前年轻一代为主的这一批的美国的年轻一代的投资(机)者。</b></p><p>疫情导致的复工复产停滞以及财政补贴带来的额外收入导致散户成交量激增,利用互联网带来的网络社群传递着最快的信息,互联网社区组团,抱团资金以期权逼仓(Gamma squeeze)的方式以最快速度实现收割。</p><p><b>这种情况其实非常类似A股市场上以前的“牛散”或者“带头大哥”,公开自己的交易、账户和逻辑,然后聚集大量的粉丝跟单,并进一步向上反身反馈实现股价抬升。</b></p><p>不过不得不说相比于国内A股市场以前的“带头大哥”喊单拉着散户推高股票暗中撤退来说,<b>期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)是更快实现收割的工具和方法,实际上就形成了一个自我反馈增强的挤仓或者逼空</b>:</p><blockquote>在 <b>原本拥挤的正股做空</b>的情况下, <b>只要能够顺利推动市场所有参与者朝着统一认知方向前进,一旦出现期权逼空正反馈的出现,就非常容易造成短期价格的暴涨,获取数百倍的利润。</b></blockquote><p>当出现逼空的时候,沽空者账面出现巨额亏损时,会迫使其补仓或平仓,而平仓的做法就是在市场上买入股份推高股价,而随着股价不断反馈流通股越来越少后价格赎回(借股)费用会越来越高。</p><p>如果仅仅是这种传统手段的话,那还不至于是如此的吸引大家的注意。</p><p><b>这次WSB和GME的事件,很多散户买入正股的同时,主战场是通过买入看涨期权来挤压期权的卖出者不断的对冲(相当于用超高的杠杆使得做市商成为自己的助燃剂)。</b></p><p><b>而股价上升时卖空看涨期权的仓位同样会出现巨额亏损,需要买入更多的正股对冲,而gamma对冲最终产生的正股的买入速度会以非线性的速度激增。两层反馈下最终导致了GME股价的“火箭”暴涨。</b></p><p>一旦顺利的进入到以上所述的自我反馈路径后,其实本身价值观的对错其实已经并不重要了……<b>任何的逼仓不仅仅是技术层面(今天的日记不是期权教学),其完美的触发反馈机制本身还需要很多天时地利人和的因素配合</b>;例如商品期货市场里面出现空逼多,多逼空的现象本质背后一些因素其实都非常的相近。</p><p>前面提到的认知性偏差和新老的对立是推进反馈路径的第一步前提,当然更重要的使得这个事情加速的还有重要的第二环节;这一事件的背后其实隐藏着更深刻社会性的问题,<b>这次事件从社会性层面变成了一次网络版的占领华尔街运动</b>。</p><p>我们看到在200万聚集讨论的WSB社区中,<b>大范围是存在有一种反社会反精英的认知感</b>,例如:once in a lifetime opportunity,人生只来一次,干脆all in一把,带有非常强的高投机性高赌博性的因素。</p><p>为什么有产阶级可以享受泡沫带来的财富,华尔街的精英可以有制定规则的权利,而普通群众只能被动承担失业和贫富分化带来的后果。</p><p>这和当下美国经济的失衡以及社会的撕裂是分不开的。<b>新老一代除了价值观认知上的不同以外,这种冲突其实已经涉及到了关于社会阶层分配的问题,</b>我们看到改变社会阶层,改变命运,打破华尔街的壁垒等等这种口号不断出现。</p><p>在政治上占领国会山推倒建制派,在金融上占领华尔街打败传统利益。在这几年我们看到美国K型经济的背后是美国社会的撕裂,<b>现在在金融市场上这种冲突,其实跟社会上出现的这种动荡背后的根源其实是一致的。</b></p><p>美国大选刚刚结束,两个阶层之间选票的情况,其实已经能够说明这种冲突已经白热化。</p><p><b>传统价值观下认为这次事件已经是在疯狂了,新价值观认为并不是疯狂,是在打破传统的壁垒,束缚,打破一个旧世界,创造一个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600628\">新世界</a>。</b>这个时候这种价值观的撕裂已经不是能够通过理性非理性来解释的了。</p><p>通过BBS等社交媒体的广泛传播也是在关键的时间充分的利用了互联网社区这一社会性问题开始充分的煽动这种情绪,各种晒出成功者的交易记录,不断的从物质和精神双层面刺激着后续涌入的投资者,这也是造成加速“暴涨”的场外原因;</p><p>那么最后这次事件会怎么收场,背后策划此次事件的真正获利者或许已经逐步的离开,大概率最后都会因为流动性的问题出现向下的反身反馈;</p><p><b>最后市场会由于缺少看涨期权卖出者而丧失流动性,随着之前买入看涨期权的投资者获利平仓离场,同样也会形成卖出正股的反馈,最后入场的社交媒体里的热血散户也会仓皇出逃甚至踩踏。</b></p><p>最终并不是所谓的打倒旧势力迎接世界一片光明。从市场的参与者角度上来讲,<b>背后的被煽动的新一代散户很可能成为最后一部分的买单者</b>(吃掉过度做空的基金,同时最后也会吃掉这批热血青年);</p><p><b>SEC介入是板子上钉钉的事情,最终的焦点并不会在期权策略本身上,而是会将重心放在涉嫌利用社交媒体操纵市场恶意引导投资者并且不当获利这个节点</b>,但透过这个事情本身背后社会撕裂的这些深层次的东西,是很难解决但也是无法避免的问题。</p><p>手段方法技巧,教科书里面都有,真正难得的是如何利用天时地利人和去营造触发squeeze的自我反馈,当然对于逼仓的涉嫌违法的界定也是在这里,而不是工具(期货,期权)本身。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n赌博?反精英?美国逼空大战的核心导火索究竟是什么\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/75\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/33671c46c6ed4ba5b38664f7d8985b0d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">付鹏的财经世界 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-29 15:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>市场上对于<b>美股散户抱团GME大战机构</b>的讨论非常热烈,周四隔夜盘中GME深跌56%后,盘后转涨,最高飙升70%;GME距离机构给出的20美元的估值已经翻了十几倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f4873cc5bf4a72265ebf8a57591ff08\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>而<b>继GME之后,AMC、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>也成了美股散户抱团的对象。</b>隔夜美股下跌,做空比例较高的一些股票反而逆势上涨。新的字母组合FANG(Fubo、AMC、Nokia、GameStop)热度超过FAANG,股价和成交量一飞冲天。</p><p>首先从事件本身来分析,<b>股票逼仓squeeze其实并不是一个新鲜事</b>,可能大都数的国内投资者知道股票逼仓比较有名的就是从当年的大众逼仓Volkswagen Squeeze开始,之后的十年逐步的加入了期权策略,衍生出来股票正股逼仓(squeeze)用期权配合形成期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)。</p><p>包括之后孙正义软银的Gamma策略也是以此为基础,<b>传统很多对冲基金尤其是基本面研究驱动的多空L/S投资组合里,简单来说就是做多一个优质的公司,做空一个资质较差的公司。</b>因而也就会有一个所谓的做空TOP的名单,那些垃圾公司公司或者僵尸公司等的名字就赫然在列。</p><p>一般来说即便是机构投资者的short比重相对比较高也不会有太大的问题,因为市场主流的思路对于这类差公司的认知是偏向一致的,这里就涉及到第一个核心的“问题”:<b>新老一代对于所谓“价值”认知差异的问题。</b></p><p>这几年美国证券市场正在不断的发生这样的事情,<b>金融功能市场上形成的新老两股力量,且两派对于所谓的“价值”明显出现了偏差,无法拥有相互的认同感</b>。</p><p>目前市场上最大的冲突也其实也就在这,其实过去的几年里,这种新旧观念的碰撞一直在发生,像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、比特币就是个例子;如果这种价值认同偏差上产生的碰撞只发生在传统金融机构内部,一般来讲不会这么严重,传统金融机构即使有认同上的差异,但是一般不会主动的形成对峙的绞杀。</p><p>但是从GME的事件来看,<b>这种价值观的偏差推向高潮的已经不仅仅是对于公司本身到底基本面如何的问题,整个新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。</b></p><p>那么这股新的力量来自于哪里?<b>我认为来自于目前年轻一代为主的这一批的美国的年轻一代的投资(机)者。</b></p><p>疫情导致的复工复产停滞以及财政补贴带来的额外收入导致散户成交量激增,利用互联网带来的网络社群传递着最快的信息,互联网社区组团,抱团资金以期权逼仓(Gamma squeeze)的方式以最快速度实现收割。</p><p><b>这种情况其实非常类似A股市场上以前的“牛散”或者“带头大哥”,公开自己的交易、账户和逻辑,然后聚集大量的粉丝跟单,并进一步向上反身反馈实现股价抬升。</b></p><p>不过不得不说相比于国内A股市场以前的“带头大哥”喊单拉着散户推高股票暗中撤退来说,<b>期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)是更快实现收割的工具和方法,实际上就形成了一个自我反馈增强的挤仓或者逼空</b>:</p><blockquote>在 <b>原本拥挤的正股做空</b>的情况下, <b>只要能够顺利推动市场所有参与者朝着统一认知方向前进,一旦出现期权逼空正反馈的出现,就非常容易造成短期价格的暴涨,获取数百倍的利润。</b></blockquote><p>当出现逼空的时候,沽空者账面出现巨额亏损时,会迫使其补仓或平仓,而平仓的做法就是在市场上买入股份推高股价,而随着股价不断反馈流通股越来越少后价格赎回(借股)费用会越来越高。</p><p>如果仅仅是这种传统手段的话,那还不至于是如此的吸引大家的注意。</p><p><b>这次WSB和GME的事件,很多散户买入正股的同时,主战场是通过买入看涨期权来挤压期权的卖出者不断的对冲(相当于用超高的杠杆使得做市商成为自己的助燃剂)。</b></p><p><b>而股价上升时卖空看涨期权的仓位同样会出现巨额亏损,需要买入更多的正股对冲,而gamma对冲最终产生的正股的买入速度会以非线性的速度激增。两层反馈下最终导致了GME股价的“火箭”暴涨。</b></p><p>一旦顺利的进入到以上所述的自我反馈路径后,其实本身价值观的对错其实已经并不重要了……<b>任何的逼仓不仅仅是技术层面(今天的日记不是期权教学),其完美的触发反馈机制本身还需要很多天时地利人和的因素配合</b>;例如商品期货市场里面出现空逼多,多逼空的现象本质背后一些因素其实都非常的相近。</p><p>前面提到的认知性偏差和新老的对立是推进反馈路径的第一步前提,当然更重要的使得这个事情加速的还有重要的第二环节;这一事件的背后其实隐藏着更深刻社会性的问题,<b>这次事件从社会性层面变成了一次网络版的占领华尔街运动</b>。</p><p>我们看到在200万聚集讨论的WSB社区中,<b>大范围是存在有一种反社会反精英的认知感</b>,例如:once in a lifetime opportunity,人生只来一次,干脆all in一把,带有非常强的高投机性高赌博性的因素。</p><p>为什么有产阶级可以享受泡沫带来的财富,华尔街的精英可以有制定规则的权利,而普通群众只能被动承担失业和贫富分化带来的后果。</p><p>这和当下美国经济的失衡以及社会的撕裂是分不开的。<b>新老一代除了价值观认知上的不同以外,这种冲突其实已经涉及到了关于社会阶层分配的问题,</b>我们看到改变社会阶层,改变命运,打破华尔街的壁垒等等这种口号不断出现。</p><p>在政治上占领国会山推倒建制派,在金融上占领华尔街打败传统利益。在这几年我们看到美国K型经济的背后是美国社会的撕裂,<b>现在在金融市场上这种冲突,其实跟社会上出现的这种动荡背后的根源其实是一致的。</b></p><p>美国大选刚刚结束,两个阶层之间选票的情况,其实已经能够说明这种冲突已经白热化。</p><p><b>传统价值观下认为这次事件已经是在疯狂了,新价值观认为并不是疯狂,是在打破传统的壁垒,束缚,打破一个旧世界,创造一个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600628\">新世界</a>。</b>这个时候这种价值观的撕裂已经不是能够通过理性非理性来解释的了。</p><p>通过BBS等社交媒体的广泛传播也是在关键的时间充分的利用了互联网社区这一社会性问题开始充分的煽动这种情绪,各种晒出成功者的交易记录,不断的从物质和精神双层面刺激着后续涌入的投资者,这也是造成加速“暴涨”的场外原因;</p><p>那么最后这次事件会怎么收场,背后策划此次事件的真正获利者或许已经逐步的离开,大概率最后都会因为流动性的问题出现向下的反身反馈;</p><p><b>最后市场会由于缺少看涨期权卖出者而丧失流动性,随着之前买入看涨期权的投资者获利平仓离场,同样也会形成卖出正股的反馈,最后入场的社交媒体里的热血散户也会仓皇出逃甚至踩踏。</b></p><p>最终并不是所谓的打倒旧势力迎接世界一片光明。从市场的参与者角度上来讲,<b>背后的被煽动的新一代散户很可能成为最后一部分的买单者</b>(吃掉过度做空的基金,同时最后也会吃掉这批热血青年);</p><p><b>SEC介入是板子上钉钉的事情,最终的焦点并不会在期权策略本身上,而是会将重心放在涉嫌利用社交媒体操纵市场恶意引导投资者并且不当获利这个节点</b>,但透过这个事情本身背后社会撕裂的这些深层次的东西,是很难解决但也是无法避免的问题。</p><p>手段方法技巧,教科书里面都有,真正难得的是如何利用天时地利人和去营造触发squeeze的自我反馈,当然对于逼仓的涉嫌违法的界定也是在这里,而不是工具(期货,期权)本身。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3a204998c7f504cac33de5e853f3d44","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147723336","content_text":"市场上对于美股散户抱团GME大战机构的讨论非常热烈,周四隔夜盘中GME深跌56%后,盘后转涨,最高飙升70%;GME距离机构给出的20美元的估值已经翻了十几倍。而继GME之后,AMC、黑莓、Express也成了美股散户抱团的对象。隔夜美股下跌,做空比例较高的一些股票反而逆势上涨。新的字母组合FANG(Fubo、AMC、Nokia、GameStop)热度超过FAANG,股价和成交量一飞冲天。首先从事件本身来分析,股票逼仓squeeze其实并不是一个新鲜事,可能大都数的国内投资者知道股票逼仓比较有名的就是从当年的大众逼仓Volkswagen Squeeze开始,之后的十年逐步的加入了期权策略,衍生出来股票正股逼仓(squeeze)用期权配合形成期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)。包括之后孙正义软银的Gamma策略也是以此为基础,传统很多对冲基金尤其是基本面研究驱动的多空L/S投资组合里,简单来说就是做多一个优质的公司,做空一个资质较差的公司。因而也就会有一个所谓的做空TOP的名单,那些垃圾公司公司或者僵尸公司等的名字就赫然在列。一般来说即便是机构投资者的short比重相对比较高也不会有太大的问题,因为市场主流的思路对于这类差公司的认知是偏向一致的,这里就涉及到第一个核心的“问题”:新老一代对于所谓“价值”认知差异的问题。这几年美国证券市场正在不断的发生这样的事情,金融功能市场上形成的新老两股力量,且两派对于所谓的“价值”明显出现了偏差,无法拥有相互的认同感。目前市场上最大的冲突也其实也就在这,其实过去的几年里,这种新旧观念的碰撞一直在发生,像特斯拉、比特币就是个例子;如果这种价值认同偏差上产生的碰撞只发生在传统金融机构内部,一般来讲不会这么严重,传统金融机构即使有认同上的差异,但是一般不会主动的形成对峙的绞杀。但是从GME的事件来看,这种价值观的偏差推向高潮的已经不仅仅是对于公司本身到底基本面如何的问题,整个新一代的力量正在向传统华尔街或者传统建制派提出了赤裸裸的挑战。那么这股新的力量来自于哪里?我认为来自于目前年轻一代为主的这一批的美国的年轻一代的投资(机)者。疫情导致的复工复产停滞以及财政补贴带来的额外收入导致散户成交量激增,利用互联网带来的网络社群传递着最快的信息,互联网社区组团,抱团资金以期权逼仓(Gamma squeeze)的方式以最快速度实现收割。这种情况其实非常类似A股市场上以前的“牛散”或者“带头大哥”,公开自己的交易、账户和逻辑,然后聚集大量的粉丝跟单,并进一步向上反身反馈实现股价抬升。不过不得不说相比于国内A股市场以前的“带头大哥”喊单拉着散户推高股票暗中撤退来说,期权挤仓(Gamma squeeze)是更快实现收割的工具和方法,实际上就形成了一个自我反馈增强的挤仓或者逼空:在 原本拥挤的正股做空的情况下, 只要能够顺利推动市场所有参与者朝着统一认知方向前进,一旦出现期权逼空正反馈的出现,就非常容易造成短期价格的暴涨,获取数百倍的利润。当出现逼空的时候,沽空者账面出现巨额亏损时,会迫使其补仓或平仓,而平仓的做法就是在市场上买入股份推高股价,而随着股价不断反馈流通股越来越少后价格赎回(借股)费用会越来越高。如果仅仅是这种传统手段的话,那还不至于是如此的吸引大家的注意。这次WSB和GME的事件,很多散户买入正股的同时,主战场是通过买入看涨期权来挤压期权的卖出者不断的对冲(相当于用超高的杠杆使得做市商成为自己的助燃剂)。而股价上升时卖空看涨期权的仓位同样会出现巨额亏损,需要买入更多的正股对冲,而gamma对冲最终产生的正股的买入速度会以非线性的速度激增。两层反馈下最终导致了GME股价的“火箭”暴涨。一旦顺利的进入到以上所述的自我反馈路径后,其实本身价值观的对错其实已经并不重要了……任何的逼仓不仅仅是技术层面(今天的日记不是期权教学),其完美的触发反馈机制本身还需要很多天时地利人和的因素配合;例如商品期货市场里面出现空逼多,多逼空的现象本质背后一些因素其实都非常的相近。前面提到的认知性偏差和新老的对立是推进反馈路径的第一步前提,当然更重要的使得这个事情加速的还有重要的第二环节;这一事件的背后其实隐藏着更深刻社会性的问题,这次事件从社会性层面变成了一次网络版的占领华尔街运动。我们看到在200万聚集讨论的WSB社区中,大范围是存在有一种反社会反精英的认知感,例如:once in a lifetime opportunity,人生只来一次,干脆all in一把,带有非常强的高投机性高赌博性的因素。为什么有产阶级可以享受泡沫带来的财富,华尔街的精英可以有制定规则的权利,而普通群众只能被动承担失业和贫富分化带来的后果。这和当下美国经济的失衡以及社会的撕裂是分不开的。新老一代除了价值观认知上的不同以外,这种冲突其实已经涉及到了关于社会阶层分配的问题,我们看到改变社会阶层,改变命运,打破华尔街的壁垒等等这种口号不断出现。在政治上占领国会山推倒建制派,在金融上占领华尔街打败传统利益。在这几年我们看到美国K型经济的背后是美国社会的撕裂,现在在金融市场上这种冲突,其实跟社会上出现的这种动荡背后的根源其实是一致的。美国大选刚刚结束,两个阶层之间选票的情况,其实已经能够说明这种冲突已经白热化。传统价值观下认为这次事件已经是在疯狂了,新价值观认为并不是疯狂,是在打破传统的壁垒,束缚,打破一个旧世界,创造一个新世界。这个时候这种价值观的撕裂已经不是能够通过理性非理性来解释的了。通过BBS等社交媒体的广泛传播也是在关键的时间充分的利用了互联网社区这一社会性问题开始充分的煽动这种情绪,各种晒出成功者的交易记录,不断的从物质和精神双层面刺激着后续涌入的投资者,这也是造成加速“暴涨”的场外原因;那么最后这次事件会怎么收场,背后策划此次事件的真正获利者或许已经逐步的离开,大概率最后都会因为流动性的问题出现向下的反身反馈;最后市场会由于缺少看涨期权卖出者而丧失流动性,随着之前买入看涨期权的投资者获利平仓离场,同样也会形成卖出正股的反馈,最后入场的社交媒体里的热血散户也会仓皇出逃甚至踩踏。最终并不是所谓的打倒旧势力迎接世界一片光明。从市场的参与者角度上来讲,背后的被煽动的新一代散户很可能成为最后一部分的买单者(吃掉过度做空的基金,同时最后也会吃掉这批热血青年);SEC介入是板子上钉钉的事情,最终的焦点并不会在期权策略本身上,而是会将重心放在涉嫌利用社交媒体操纵市场恶意引导投资者并且不当获利这个节点,但透过这个事情本身背后社会撕裂的这些深层次的东西,是很难解决但也是无法避免的问题。手段方法技巧,教科书里面都有,真正难得的是如何利用天时地利人和去营造触发squeeze的自我反馈,当然对于逼仓的涉嫌违法的界定也是在这里,而不是工具(期货,期权)本身。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135445,"gmtCreate":1612062332787,"gmtModify":1704867078226,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565412139008016","authorIdStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135445","repostId":"1184659292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184659292","pubTimestamp":1611971007,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184659292?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-30 09:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"热血式炒股亲历者:一夜爆赚1000万,醒来倒欠6000万","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184659292","media":"证券时报","summary":"全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。其他社群里也充斥着买入GME爆赚1000万港元,一觉醒来没平仓,却倒欠券商6000万港元的真实案例。","content":"<div>\n<p>全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。他们将一只行将退市的股票GME(游戏驿站)从3美元一路拉到超过400美元,痛打对冲基金,引得多家美国投资机构发出警告。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。这时,开不了股票仓位的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"zqsbw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n热血式炒股亲历者:一夜爆赚1000万,醒来倒欠6000万\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-30 09:43 北京时间 <a href=https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat><strong>证券时报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。他们将一只行将退市的股票GME(游戏驿站)从3美元一路拉到超过400美元,痛打对冲基金,引得多家美国投资机构发出警告。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。这时,开不了股票仓位的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8593d7bafc6da002b2ab4975d4711a90","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://news.windin.com/ns/findsnap.php?sourcetype=1&id=523011487&code=287E12A06280&show=wft&device=android&terminaltype=wft.m&version=20.9.1&lan=cn&share=wechat","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184659292","content_text":"全球投资者再一次见证历史。最近的美股市场,散户们通过使用期权和抱团,“热血式炒股”震动华尔街。他们将一只行将退市的股票GME(游戏驿站)从3美元一路拉到超过400美元,痛打对冲基金,引得多家美国投资机构发出警告。28日美股交易时段,GME股价一度涨至483美元的历史新高,随后经历17次熔断,最终收跌超过40%。热门互联网券商们一度宣布限制相关“妖股”交易,并提高保证金要求。这时,开不了股票仓位的美股散户继续疯狂撒钱,更将“炮火”对准现货白银……证券时报记者发现,也有中国投资者参与这一史上罕见的散户抱团事件。在一个港股美股的打新群里,GME的话题刷屏,甚至有人用美股的模拟盘交易,轮番上演做多做空GME的账户秀。其他社群里也充斥着买入GME爆赚1000万港元,一觉醒来没平仓,却倒欠券商6000万港元的真实案例。虽然一些券商已恢复对GME等股票的交易,但散户们究竟怎么破局?华尔街机构又将如何反击?谁会取得所谓的“胜利”?对此,证券时报记者采访了几位亲身经历此次事件的美股投资者。在隔离酒店爆炒GME在美股散户抱团大战机构之时,散户集中地WallStreetsBets(WSB)论坛的一名用户发布一封公开信,斥责部分华尔街机构在2008年金融危机中给上百万普通民众制造莫大的苦难,却反而得到救助,如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的股票,没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。现在,散户就是在把握难得机会惩罚这些机构。在上海的隔离酒店中,一家香港投资公司的总经理俞于也参与了GME的交易,不过他并不是用机构的资金,而是纯个人参与。俞于告诉证券时报记者,在香港虽然有很多对冲基金,但行业里并没有那么疯狂。“这种机构很难参与,除非一早就买进去的,不然GME的估值根本过不了专业机构的风控,大资金买进去,怕风头过了,流动性都不够减仓。”俞于之所以会关注到GME,是因为自己平时就有做美股投资,所以在27日通过盈透证券350美元卖出,28日155美元实现平仓的,持仓一天实现了60%的收益。当时,他预判要支持GME股票持续上涨,需要一直有全球范围内的新闻曝光才能吸引更多资金进来,但这显然是不可持续的,长期股票价值还是要回归正常,所以决定花很小一点仓位做空。“本来我想持有一周以上,我预计要到周五才开始跌,周五有大量GME的期权到期,很多对冲基金就不需要再买入回补自己的空头仓位了。但28日晚跌得挺厉害,而后面的情况暂时无法预计,算了一下利润的情况下就平掉了。”他告诉记者。“我不认为散户会取得胜利”苏奇两年前从美国哥伦比亚大学毕业回国,现在任职深圳某大型投资机构。他对证券时报记者表示,他也使用了个人资金参与此次散户与机构的“大事件”,即使他并不认为散户最终会取得胜利。苏奇对游戏驿站公司做过分析,认为公司本身的经营属于正常水平,这类公司在美股市场上很常见,此前公司股价长期在10美元左右徘徊,但在股价涨到20美元后,就有投资机构开始做空公司股票,但也并没有脱离正常的投资范畴。他说,随着WallStreetsBets的意见领袖不断宣扬,以及更多个人投资者的加入,投资者情绪开始高涨,公司股价目前已被投资者情绪主导。不过,苏奇也认为,此次散户和机构之战,更深层次的原因是美国前总统特朗普在其任内对规则的挑战和对传统的蔑视,并且开始在资本市场产生影响。“个人投资者开始厌倦了由大型投资机构决定一家公司的价值和命运。在某个股票对投资机构进行阻击,即使不能完全改变市场的生态,也能让这部分投资者获得满足感。”苏奇还认为,美国大型科技股股价的大幅上涨,以及国内A股机构抱团的现象,都是由机构主导。不过,这些公司的价格并不能用传统估值模型来解释,更多的是机构利用资金优势在决定公司的股价。因此,此次散户大战机构是个人投资者“利用魔法打败魔法”。不仅华尔街的投资机构,国内的投资机构也应该反省,当前仅仅依靠资金的优势来决定公司的价值能否长期持续下去。摩根大通等投行指出,GME现象并非孤例,这些散户投资者可能进一步复制这一模式,让更多类似股票出现大幅波动。俞于也认为,类似现象肯定还会发生,在美国散户抱团快发展成为一项运动。“只要美国继续放水,类似的造富运动肯定还会继续发生,比如美股、比特币,甚至名牌包和手表、球鞋等有流量的资产其实过去一年的价格都涨了不少,加上互联网平台的传播,比如这次散户大本营的Discord和Reddit都是在美国年轻人里面很火的网站,更加剧了炒作的价值。交银国际董事总经理、研究部负责人洪灏日前也发微博表示,GME股价暴涨未必是投机的结果,其估值本就过低。暴涨前该公司账上有足够现金买下整个公司的市值,同时做空比例却占了股票数的一半。只要公司出任何盈利惊喜,就注定会出现轧空。摩根士丹利首席执行官James Gorman认为,散户抱团轧空是个“短期现象”,“不会持久”。给美股市场带来深刻影响大戏仍在继续,散户和机构都没有“服输”。在美国生活的新移民Kevin坦言,比起赚多少钱而言,他更多地将这次散户抱团事件称为带有“行为主义”色彩的美式运动,其背后也反映出美国社会的深层次矛盾。随着互联网传播加强,除了美股市场的GME、AMC,美股散户迅速转战新标的,周四直接推升了白银、币圈狗狗币等市场的价格,澳大利亚也有类似的抱团现象出现。事实上,美国资本市场中,机构占据绝对主导地位,散户在整个市场的占比仅约三四成,此次散户入市的资金来源和疫情息息相关。由于美国失业率节节攀升,美国中低收入民众收获不菲的现金补助。2020年4月,美国政府向每位民众发了1200美元补贴,12月,又表示要追加每人2000美元。随着拜登的上台,还颁布了1.9万亿美元的经济援助法案。“其实对于很多美国居民来说,政府的补贴是一笔意外之财,很多人都拿去投入股市,这次有号召力的那两个论坛里面的很多都是年轻人,他们在2008年金融危机发生的时候年纪还很小,可能也就是中学生,也会因此经历一些家庭的变故,比如失去房产、家庭负债、父母失业等等。”Kevin说,“现在这拨年轻人都长大了,二三十岁开始第一次进入股市,他们想要通过这种表达方式来对抗华尔街,在意见领袖的号召下,用抱团的行为向金融市场一些不公平的事情表达不满。”无论谁是谁非,此次散户与机构的大战或许会给美股市场带来更深层次的影响。美股分析师TOM告诉记者,由于散户买入巨量的看涨期权,被做空股票的价格大涨,做空股票的对冲基金在撑不到市场回归理性前被迫缴械投降,关闭空头头寸。同时,对冲基金不得不开始卖出其他股票持仓,或者期货对冲头寸,并减少整体敞口。市场数据显示,对冲基金正在以六年多来最快的速度削减股票敞口。根据高盛汇总的数据,基金经理在此前四天内,从市场撤出的资金总额达到2014年10月以来的最高水平。此外,危机之下大量机构资金疯狂买入美债避险。在他看来,这一切都是美股流动性危险的信号。(应受访投资者要求,文中所用名称均为化名。)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135821,"gmtCreate":1612062280663,"gmtModify":1704867077742,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565412139008016","authorIdStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh yeah","listText":"Oh yeah","text":"Oh yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135821","repostId":"2107218222","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2107218222","pubTimestamp":1611902100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2107218222?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 14:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"fuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2107218222","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--fuboTV Inc. (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV str","content":"<p>NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV Inc.</a> (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV streaming platform, today announced the pricing of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% convertible senior notes due 2026 (the “notes”) in a private offering to persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The offering is expected to close on February 2, 2021, subject to customary closing conditions. fuboTV also granted the initial purchaser a 13-day option to purchase up to an additional $52.5 million aggregate principal amount of notes.</p>\n<p>The notes will be general unsecured obligations of fuboTV and will accrue interest payable semiannually in arrears on February 15 and August 15 of each year, beginning on August 15, 2021, at a rate of 3.25% per year. The notes will mature on February 15, 2026, unless earlier converted, repurchased or redeemed. The initial conversion rate will be 17.3063 shares of fuboTV’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of approximately $57.78 per share). The initial conversion price of the notes represents a premium of approximately 45% over the closing price of fuboTV’s common stock on January 28, 2021. The notes will be convertible under certain circumstances into cash, shares of fuboTV’s common stock or a combination of cash and shares of fuboTV’s common stock, at fuboTV’s election.</p>\n<p>fuboTV may redeem for cash all or any portion of the notes, at its option, on or after February 20, 2024 and prior to the 41st scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date if the last reported sale price of fuboTV’s common stock has been at least 130% of the conversion price then in effect for at least 20 trading days (whether or not consecutive) during any 30 consecutive trading day period (including the last trading day of such period) ending on, and including, the trading day immediately preceding the date on which fuboTV provides notice of redemption at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the redemption date.</p>\n<p>fuboTV estimates that the net proceeds from the offering will be $338.4 million (or $389.5 million if the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes). fuboTV intends to use the net proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes, including working capital, business development, sales and marketing activities, capital expenditures, repayment of outstanding debt, potential acquisitions and strategic transactions. If the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes, fuboTV will use the net proceeds from the sale of such additional notes for working capital and other general corporate purposes as described above. However, it has not designated any specific uses and has no current agreements with respect to any material acquisition or strategic transaction.</p>\n<p>Neither the notes, nor any shares of fuboTV’s common stock issuable upon conversion of the notes, have been registered under the Securities Act or any state securities laws, and unless so registered, may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and other applicable securities laws.</p>\n<p>This press release is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, nor shall it constitute an offer, solicitation or sale of the securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>fuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nfuboTV Announces Pricing of $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-29 14:35 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=17882756><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--fuboTV Inc. (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV streaming platform, today announced the pricing of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=17882756\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FUBO":"fuboTV Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=17882756","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2107218222","content_text":"NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--fuboTV Inc. (“fuboTV”) (NYSE: FUBO), the leading sports-first live TV streaming platform, today announced the pricing of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 3.25% convertible senior notes due 2026 (the “notes”) in a private offering to persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The offering is expected to close on February 2, 2021, subject to customary closing conditions. fuboTV also granted the initial purchaser a 13-day option to purchase up to an additional $52.5 million aggregate principal amount of notes.\nThe notes will be general unsecured obligations of fuboTV and will accrue interest payable semiannually in arrears on February 15 and August 15 of each year, beginning on August 15, 2021, at a rate of 3.25% per year. The notes will mature on February 15, 2026, unless earlier converted, repurchased or redeemed. The initial conversion rate will be 17.3063 shares of fuboTV’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of approximately $57.78 per share). The initial conversion price of the notes represents a premium of approximately 45% over the closing price of fuboTV’s common stock on January 28, 2021. The notes will be convertible under certain circumstances into cash, shares of fuboTV’s common stock or a combination of cash and shares of fuboTV’s common stock, at fuboTV’s election.\nfuboTV may redeem for cash all or any portion of the notes, at its option, on or after February 20, 2024 and prior to the 41st scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date if the last reported sale price of fuboTV’s common stock has been at least 130% of the conversion price then in effect for at least 20 trading days (whether or not consecutive) during any 30 consecutive trading day period (including the last trading day of such period) ending on, and including, the trading day immediately preceding the date on which fuboTV provides notice of redemption at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the notes to be redeemed, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the redemption date.\nfuboTV estimates that the net proceeds from the offering will be $338.4 million (or $389.5 million if the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes). fuboTV intends to use the net proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes, including working capital, business development, sales and marketing activities, capital expenditures, repayment of outstanding debt, potential acquisitions and strategic transactions. If the initial purchaser exercises its option to purchase additional notes, fuboTV will use the net proceeds from the sale of such additional notes for working capital and other general corporate purposes as described above. However, it has not designated any specific uses and has no current agreements with respect to any material acquisition or strategic transaction.\nNeither the notes, nor any shares of fuboTV’s common stock issuable upon conversion of the notes, have been registered under the Securities Act or any state securities laws, and unless so registered, may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and other applicable securities laws.\nThis press release is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, nor shall it constitute an offer, solicitation or sale of the securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312135328,"gmtCreate":1612062246164,"gmtModify":1704867077092,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565412139008016","authorIdStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crazy world","listText":"Crazy world","text":"Crazy world","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312135328","repostId":"1195425718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":311545719,"gmtCreate":1611820640331,"gmtModify":1704863862375,"author":{"id":"3565412139008016","authorId":"3565412139008016","name":"iLOVEsixNINE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13f8cfd2b6051a7fa4b46aac35a7c9d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565412139008016","authorIdStr":"3565412139008016"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That’s nice!!","listText":"That’s nice!!","text":"That’s nice!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/311545719","repostId":"311594894","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":311594894,"gmtCreate":1611809843418,"gmtModify":1704863767496,"author":{"id":"20706277526874","authorId":"20706277526874","name":"哆啦Ella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c7f85ee38e9332ddf2ebe72a8afd489","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"20706277526874","authorIdStr":"20706277526874"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集團-W(01810)$</a>Canalys最新數據:Q4全球小米手機出貨量同比增長31%,穩居世界前三","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集團-W(01810)$</a>Canalys最新數據:Q4全球小米手機出貨量同比增長31%,穩居世界前三","text":"$小米集團-W(01810)$Canalys最新數據:Q4全球小米手機出貨量同比增長31%,穩居世界前三","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bfee76a8c8dd135c05e120b9face8a5","width":"602","height":"523"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/311594894","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}