hawshy
hawshy
Passionate investor and trader, driven by market analysis, economic trends, and strategic decisions.
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avatarhawshy
03-04

the next Bitcoin halving is approaching

The next Bitcoin halving is on the horizon, scheduled to take place in under 50 days. This critical event, which transpires approximately every four years, profoundly influences the cryptocurrency's network and its market behavior. Below, you will find a graph that showcases the effects observed after the previous three halvings that happen in 2012, 2016, and 2020. Bitcoin Halvings: History of BTC prices Currently, Bitcoin's value has reached USD $65,000, closely approaching its all-time high of $69,045 recorded on November 10, 2021. Given the current trajectory, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will surpass its all-time high before the halving event, potentially climbing to USD $100,000 post-halving. Few stocks are related to BTC that I am holding -  1) 
the next Bitcoin halving is approaching
avatarhawshy
07-23

🚀 Cathie Wood's Bold Move on CrowdStrike

Talk about buying the dip! Cathie Wood $ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$ and $ARK Next Generation Internation ETF(ARKW)$  just scooped up $12 million worth of $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ stock following the recent tech meltdown.  This move comes after CrowdStrike's major software glitch caused widespread disruptions globally. While many investors ran for the hills, Wood saw an opportunity. Is this another example of Wood's famous contrarian strategy, or a risky bet on a company facing serious challenges?
🚀 Cathie Wood's Bold Move on CrowdStrike
avatarhawshy
07-19
Just witnessed myself the chaos caused by $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$  latest update. Major BSOD incidents, and caused downtime and recovery around IT industry.   This is what happens when cybersecurity software becomes the security threat. A massive reputation hit for a company that's supposed to protect systems, not break them. Wonder how long it'll take them to recover from this #TechFail #Cybersecurity #ITOutage
avatarhawshy
08-23
Cathie Woods $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$  price target on $Zoom(ZM)$ was well over $1,500 by 2026... She closed out her position on Thursday at $67 per share and her cost basis was $280 per share. 😬 Remind me why ANYONE still takes her seriously? 🤔 Source: https://www.threads.net/@dividenddude/post/C-_E1prSD3P/
avatarhawshy
08-09

Why SMCI Could Be a Compelling Investment Opportunity

 Based on the financial metrics for $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  , $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  , $Apple(AAPL)$  , and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  , SMCI emerges as the most attractive investment opportunity. Here's why: 1. Valuation: SMCI has the lowest forward P/E ratio at 14.85, significantly lower than its peers, suggesting it's potentially undervalued. 2. Earnings Growth: SMCI shows the highest expected earnings growth, with its forward EPS of 34.331 far exceeding its TTM EPS of 20.09. 3. Current
Why SMCI Could Be a Compelling Investment Opportunity
avatarhawshy
06-13

MicroStrategy and Bitcoin: Understanding the Stock Performance

Since August 2020, MicroStrategy ( $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$) has become a major player in the cryptocurrency market after its first big Bitcoin purchase. This move has tied its stock performance closely to Bitcoin’s price. When Bitcoin prices rise, MicroStrategy’s stock usually goes up, benefiting from the increased value of its Bitcoin holdings. Conversely, when Bitcoin prices fall, the company’s stock often drops, reflecting the reduced value of its digital assets. Correlation Between MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Recent Trends and Analysis As of mid-2024, MicroStrategy’s stock has shown significant growth, often rising more sharply than Bitcoin’s price. This is clear from the chart, where MicroStrategy’s stock (blue line) has surged more compared to B
MicroStrategy and Bitcoin: Understanding the Stock Performance
avatarhawshy
11-07
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ It would have been better to sell at the first red flag, but I chose to hold on and wait for the next financial results. In hindsight, it's clear that the current management lacks the skill to handle the situation right now, and customer confidence is deteriorating. Now, I'm forced to cut my losses even more.
avatarhawshy
10-15

MicroStrategy's Stock Surge: Decoupling from Bitcoin Fundamentals

As previously highlighted in my analysis (https://ttm.financial/post/316480642961704), $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ has historically demonstrated a strong correlation with Bitcoin (BTC) price movements. However, recent market data reveals a significant and potentially concerning divergence between MSTR's stock performance and Bitcoin's price action. MSTR vs BTC Since Oct 2020 The latest charts show MSTR's stock price appreciating at a rate far exceeding that of Bitcoin. This trend is particularly noteworthy given that MicroStrategy's value proposition is heavily tied to its substantial Bitcoin holdings. MSTR vs BTC Since Mar 2024 Investors should exercise caution and carefully evaluate the sustaina
MicroStrategy's Stock Surge: Decoupling from Bitcoin Fundamentals
avatarhawshy
06-18
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ This was the first stock I traded during the peak period for SEA. Imagine if I were still holding onto it now. [Facepalm]
avatarhawshy
07-23
$Serve Robotics Inc.(SERV)$ buy abit to try my luck on meme stock. 💵😁
avatarhawshy
09-29
$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ I think the price will still go up to hit 200.
avatarhawshy
11-06
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$   Good earning report, but the p/e is staggering 149x, and fair value at 28.
avatarhawshy
08-24
This Week's Schedule 📝 Monday: Thinking about $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  earnings Tuesday: Losing sleep over NVDA earnings Wednesday: NDVA earnings Thursday: Reviewing NDVA earnings Friday: Preparing for NVDA next earnings And in the meanwhile, use the Nvidia card to play Black Myth: Wukong. [Happy]  [Cool]  
avatarhawshy
06-09

Nvidia's Stock Splits: Will the Sixth Time Be a Charm?

On June 7, 2024, Nvidia ( $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  ) executed its sixth stock split, a 10-for-1 split, aiming to make shares more accessible to investors. Historically, Nvidia's stock splits have coincided with major market downturns, raising questions about the potential impact of this latest split. A Historical Look at Nvidia's Stock Splits Nvidia 6 stock splits Nvidia has split its stock five times before: 1. June 27, 2000 (2-for-1 Split) The split occurred during the height of the dot-com boom. Aftermath: Just a few months later, the dot-com bubble burst, leading to a severe market downturn. Many tech stocks, including Nvidia, saw significant declines. 2. September 17, 2001 (2-for-1 Split) This split happened shortly after the dot-com crash a
Nvidia's Stock Splits: Will the Sixth Time Be a Charm?
avatarhawshy
07-23

CrowdStrike's Big Blunder: A Replay of McAfee's Meltdown?

George Kurtz Last Friday, $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ , a major cybersecurity player, faced a massive hiccup. Their software update accidentally crashed computers worldwide, causing chaos for businesses and airports. The kicker? CrowdStrike's CEO, George Kurtz, has seen this before. Flashback to McAfee: • Years ago, Kurtz was a top exec at McAfee • McAfee had a similar huge screw-up with an update • Result? McAfee's reputation tanked • The big finale: Intel swooped in and bought McAfee in 2011 Now, history seems to be repeating with CrowdStrike: • Global computer crashes? Check • Angry customers? Check • Plummeting stock price? Check (down 14% before markets opened) The big question: Will CrowdStrike follow McAfee's path? What happened to M
CrowdStrike's Big Blunder: A Replay of McAfee's Meltdown?
avatarhawshy
07-25

CrowdStrike's $10 Apology: From Bad to Worse

Remember $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$   big oops last Friday? Well, the saga continues, and it's not looking good. Quick recap: • Friday: CrowdStrike's update crashes systems worldwide • Monday: They offer a $10 gift card as an apology Sounds nice, right? Wrong. By Wednesday, things got even messier: • People tried to redeem their $10 "sorry" gift cards • Surprise! Many got error messages saying the voucher was canceled • TechCrunch checked and found the Uber Eats page showed the gift card as "canceled by the issuing party" CrowdStrike has not response to this new hiccup yet. From a global outage to a botched apology, CrowdStrike seems to be digging itself deeper. Is this a case of "when it rains, it pours" or a sign of bigger issu
CrowdStrike's $10 Apology: From Bad to Worse
avatarhawshy
08-22

Rate Cut: Implications for USD, Bitcoin, and Crypto Stocks

As the Federal Reserve appears poised to implement interest rate cuts starting September, the financial world braces for a seismic shift that promises to reshape the landscape for the US dollar, Bitcoin, and cryptocurrency-related stocks. With economic indicators and Fed statements strongly suggesting an imminent rate cut, investors are scrambling to position themselves for the anticipated fallout. Dollar's Downward Trajectory "The writing is on the wall for the US dollar," declares Dr. Sarah Johnson, Chief Economist at Global Financial Insights. "With a rate cut all but certain, we're already seeing downward pressure on the greenback as forex markets price in the upcoming shift." This weakening of the dollar sets the stage for potentially dramatic developments in the cryptocurrency space,
Rate Cut: Implications for USD, Bitcoin, and Crypto Stocks
avatarhawshy
10-09

NVIDIA's Blackwell GPU: Unprecedented Demand Reshapes AI Chip Market

The market has recently recognized the extraordinary demand for $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   latest Blackwell GPU, with orders reaching 100,000 units—ten times that of its predecessor, Hopper. This surge in demand is reshaping the AI chip industry and signaling a new era in high-performance computing. Key indicators of this trend include: 1. Foxconn's CEO describing Blackwell demand as "crazy," leading to the establishment of a new factory in Mexico to meet production needs. 2. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   reporting quarterly GPU shipments exceeding 100,000 units, aligning with Blackwell's order numbers. 3. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 
NVIDIA's Blackwell GPU: Unprecedented Demand Reshapes AI Chip Market
avatarhawshy
07-30
sold $Serve Robotics Inc.(SERV)$ to secure profits. Will monitor for a lower price point to potentially reinvest.
avatarhawshy
07-01
The first half of the year has been promising for my investment strategy, despite a significant drop in semiconductor stocks on the last day of trading. This setback slightly dampened overall gains.  For H2, my focus on long positions will be in the semiconductor and tech stocks, especially in $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $Apple(AAPL)$   I've significantly reduced my investments in Bitcoin-related stocks: $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  and $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ . I plan to wait for the p

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