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EricBong
2021-08-15
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Rumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.
EricBong
2021-07-07
666
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EricBong
2021-08-22
Good
Tiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks "Running Account"
EricBong
2021-08-16
Mmm
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EricBong
2021-08-10
555
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EricBong
2021-06-29
Okoklah
Dalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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09:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks \"Running Account\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145710810","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"市场综述\n美股周五股指攀升,在周一触顶又经历了一周的动荡后,美股在纳指带领下上涨,市场聚焦下周杰克森霍尔会议中美联储主席鲍威尔针对Taper、通胀预期以及疫情前景的讲话。特斯拉举行针对AI和机器人技术","content":"<p><b>Market Overview</b></p><p>U.S. stock indexes climbed on Friday. After peaking on Monday and experiencing another week of turmoil, U.S. stocks rose under the lead of the Nasdaq. The market focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on Taper, inflation expectations and the outlook of the epidemic at next week's Jackson Hole meeting. Tesla held a press conference on AI and robotics, Microsoft announced that it would raise the subscription price of Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, Apple announced that it would let employees return to work in the office next year due to the epidemic, and vaccine chip stocks rose. Tesla rose 1.01%, Nvidia rose 5.14%, Microsoft rose 2.56%, Apple rose 1.02%, and BioNTech rose 5.08%.</p><p>Chinese stocks rebounded, and the CSRC held a blockbuster meeting and said that it would create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress voted to pass the Personal Information Protection Law of the People's Republic of China, which makes legislative provisions for the collection and transfer of consumer data by technology companies. Li Auto rose 3.70%, JD.COM rose 2.30% and Pinduoduo rose 3.48%.</p><p><b>Market Spotlight Next Week's Jackson Hole Meeting</b></p><p>Judging from the number of employees and quarterly reports of enterprises in the United States, the U.S. economy is still performing strongly at present, but investors are worried about the further deterioration of the situation that may be caused by the Delta variant strain. According to the minutes of the July meeting of the Federal Reserve released on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hopes to start reducing its monthly asset purchases before the end of this year, and some Federal Reserve officials hope to start action in the short term, such as the shrinking balance sheet announced at the September FOMC meeting. The officials worry that the continued rise in inflation will push U.S. inflation above the previously set 2% inflation target next year and will ultimately affect the pace of economic recovery. Preliminary data from a consumer survey conducted by the University of Michigan showed that the consumer confidence index fell sharply this month. The Commerce Ministry's retail sales report showed spending weakened in July, and credit card data showed conditions worsened further in August.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1a5a0503cad96285d291bf33145dee6\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Fed Chairman Powell will speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium next Thursday and Friday, the Federal Reserve said Thursday. Powell's speech has attracted great attention from the market. It is expected that he will give a signal on whether to start reducing bond purchases in September, his views on Delta variant strain and inflation expectations, and the expectation of economic development in the post-epidemic era in this meeting. Previously, Powell believed that the high inflation data should only be a temporary phenomenon.</p><p>Global growth is expected to be very strong in the coming months, but also very uneven, and if inflation proves to be the longer-term state, it will change the pace at which the Federal Reserve has previously tightened monetary policy, JPMorgan Asset Management's Gimber said. The greater the impact of the Delta variant, the less likely it is that the Fed will start tapering purchases, and investors are more willing to face the rumored tapering of asset purchases rather than the state of the Delta variant spreading out of control and weighing on the global economy, according to Tactical Alpha's Young.</p><p>Powell himself has experienced * pressure, with his 4-year term as Fed chair ending next February. Previously, Warren, a Democratic activist, had criticized Powell's actions in relaxing banking supervision in a July hearing, and Brown, a Democratic senator from Ohio and chairman of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, also expressed similar criticism. The committee is tasked with holding hearings on the confirmation of the Fed's nominees. On Thursday, Republican Senator Daines said in a letter to President Biden that Biden should let Powell run the Federal Reserve again for four years to build confidence in the economic recovery. The U.S. economy is still facing significant risks. The letter is a formal statement by the Banking Committee on Powell's *.</p><p>As of the close, the Dow rose 0.65% to 35,120.08 points; The S&P 500 rose 0.81% to 4,441.67 points; The Nasdaq rose 1.19% to 14,714.66.</p><p><b>Audit and Data Supervision of China Concept Stocks</b></p><p>The CSRC held the 2021 year-end supervision work meeting of the system to analyze the current situation and study and deploy key tasks in the next stage. Yi Huiman, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the CSRC, delivered a report entitled \"Persisting in Seeking Progress while Maintaining Stability, Deepening Reform and Opening-up, and Further Promoting High-quality Development of Capital Market\". At the meeting, it was proposed that we should unswervingly promote the institutional opening of the capital market to the outside world, create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation, strengthen market communication, and stabilize policy expectations and institutional environment. We will deepen the interconnection between the Mainland and Hong Kong markets and strengthen the stable development of Hong Kong's capital market. Since the beginning of this year, the CSRC has repeatedly stated its position on the listing of Chinese companies in the United States and the audit supervision of Chinese stocks, and sought to strengthen cross-border supervision and cooperation with relevant US regulatory agencies in the financial field.</p><p>Today, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the highest legislature, passed the Personal Information Protection Law, which will take effect from November 1, Xinhua News Agency reported. According to the report, operators of critical information infrastructure and personal information reach the amount of personal information specified by the national network information department, and the personal information processed and collected in China should be stored in China; Those that need to be provided overseas should pass the security assessment organized by the national cyberspace department.</p><p>By the close, JD.COM rose 2.30%, Alibaba fell 1.61%, Didi rose 3.75%, Tencent Music rose 3.18% and Bilibili rose 3.44%. The following chart shows the price trend of major Chinese stocks in the past month.</p><p><b>U.S. tech stocks lead gains without the pandemic holding back</b></p><p>At present, there are 143,827 new confirmed cases in the United States in a single day, an increase of 44% from the average 14 days ago; There were 911 new deaths in a single day, an increase of 108% compared with the average 14 days ago; The number of new hospitalizations in a single day was 86,877, an increase of 53% from the average 14 days ago. The U.S. Safe Transportation Bureau said it would extend the epidemic prevention order of wearing masks during the epidemic until January 18th next year, the Department of Homeland Security said it would extend the restriction on the land border with the United States and Canada until September 21st, and New York City started the policy of people entering public places to show vaccine certificates from 17th. Apple delayed the return of employees to the office from October to January next year and strongly encouraged employees to get vaccinated. Intel CEO said that employees who received the COVID-19 vaccine would offer cash incentives. Today, the U.S. stock market once again returned to the state where technology stocks drove other sectors to rise during the epidemic. The following chart shows the trend of hospitalizations in COVID-19 in the United States.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01dce123e84e2f142c4d05a2241f448d\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla held an AI day yesterday, saying that it will launch its own artificial intelligence training computer Dojo chip, and announced plans to build humanoid robots that can perform repetitive tasks. Musk said that AI chips and robot prototypes may be ready next year, and said that the deployment of such robots will fundamentally change the economy and alleviate labor shortages. The robot is about 172 kg tall, weighs about 112 kg, and can reach a speed of 8 kilometers per hour. The prototype of the robot includes 8 cameras and face screens, as well as batteries, chips, robotic arms and other components, among which AI chips and batteries will be important structures.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed67ebc2860a2c5f4dbf03f93db74c\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla has drawn widespread attention since last week amid a U.S. Traffic Administration investigation into its Autopilot autonomous driving technology, with regulators investigating the company's 11 traffic accidents involving autonomous driving recognition technology since January 2018. Two senators this week asked for an investigation into whether Tesla is overstating its autonomous driving capabilities in marketing. Tesla has not responded to the security investigation or the senator's request at this time.</p><p>Microsoft has announced an increase in subscription prices for Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, the first substantial price increase since Microsoft launched the product 10 years ago. Microsoft says the new price will take effect in six months. As prices rise, Microsoft will also expand audio conferencing capabilities in the coming months, adding unlimited dial-up capabilities to enterprise, business, frontline, and government versions of Microsoft Teams meetings, as well as subscription support for more than 70 countries, and also interactive support in 44 languages and dialects. Several investment banks raised their price targets for Microsoft, with UBS, Wedbush and Mizuho raising their price targets for Microsoft from $325 to $350. Driven by the news, Microsoft's stock price stood at $300 for the first time today.</p><p><b>The Hotspots of American Current Politics</b></p><p>Biden held a press conference today, promising to evacuate all Americans who wish to leave Afghanistan and saying he would seek help from allies. At the same time, Biden stressed that the evacuation could not be guaranteed as a final result, but promised to mobilize all necessary resources. Biden said the U.S. has evacuated 18,000 people from Afghanistan since July, including 13,000 since the military began airlift operations on Aug. 14, with the White House saying 5,700 people left the country in the past 24 hours. Senators from both parties in Congress are calling for a hearing next week on the administration's handling of the withdrawal of U.S. troops to investigate the causes of the political and military collapse in Afghanistan. The State Department's internal memo in July had warned of a collapse in Kabul following the withdrawal of U.S. troops, the Wall Street Journal reported. The latest released poll showed Biden's approval rating dropped seven percentage points to its lowest since taking office. At the same time, it is reported that US Vice President Harris is about to pay a visit to Vietnam and Singapore. Israeli Prime Minister Bennett will visit the United States on Aug. 26, the White House said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks \"Running Account\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks \"Running Account\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-21 09:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Market Overview</b></p><p>U.S. stock indexes climbed on Friday. After peaking on Monday and experiencing another week of turmoil, U.S. stocks rose under the lead of the Nasdaq. The market focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on Taper, inflation expectations and the outlook of the epidemic at next week's Jackson Hole meeting. Tesla held a press conference on AI and robotics, Microsoft announced that it would raise the subscription price of Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, Apple announced that it would let employees return to work in the office next year due to the epidemic, and vaccine chip stocks rose. Tesla rose 1.01%, Nvidia rose 5.14%, Microsoft rose 2.56%, Apple rose 1.02%, and BioNTech rose 5.08%.</p><p>Chinese stocks rebounded, and the CSRC held a blockbuster meeting and said that it would create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress voted to pass the Personal Information Protection Law of the People's Republic of China, which makes legislative provisions for the collection and transfer of consumer data by technology companies. Li Auto rose 3.70%, JD.COM rose 2.30% and Pinduoduo rose 3.48%.</p><p><b>Market Spotlight Next Week's Jackson Hole Meeting</b></p><p>Judging from the number of employees and quarterly reports of enterprises in the United States, the U.S. economy is still performing strongly at present, but investors are worried about the further deterioration of the situation that may be caused by the Delta variant strain. According to the minutes of the July meeting of the Federal Reserve released on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hopes to start reducing its monthly asset purchases before the end of this year, and some Federal Reserve officials hope to start action in the short term, such as the shrinking balance sheet announced at the September FOMC meeting. The officials worry that the continued rise in inflation will push U.S. inflation above the previously set 2% inflation target next year and will ultimately affect the pace of economic recovery. Preliminary data from a consumer survey conducted by the University of Michigan showed that the consumer confidence index fell sharply this month. The Commerce Ministry's retail sales report showed spending weakened in July, and credit card data showed conditions worsened further in August.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1a5a0503cad96285d291bf33145dee6\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Fed Chairman Powell will speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium next Thursday and Friday, the Federal Reserve said Thursday. Powell's speech has attracted great attention from the market. It is expected that he will give a signal on whether to start reducing bond purchases in September, his views on Delta variant strain and inflation expectations, and the expectation of economic development in the post-epidemic era in this meeting. Previously, Powell believed that the high inflation data should only be a temporary phenomenon.</p><p>Global growth is expected to be very strong in the coming months, but also very uneven, and if inflation proves to be the longer-term state, it will change the pace at which the Federal Reserve has previously tightened monetary policy, JPMorgan Asset Management's Gimber said. The greater the impact of the Delta variant, the less likely it is that the Fed will start tapering purchases, and investors are more willing to face the rumored tapering of asset purchases rather than the state of the Delta variant spreading out of control and weighing on the global economy, according to Tactical Alpha's Young.</p><p>Powell himself has experienced * pressure, with his 4-year term as Fed chair ending next February. Previously, Warren, a Democratic activist, had criticized Powell's actions in relaxing banking supervision in a July hearing, and Brown, a Democratic senator from Ohio and chairman of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, also expressed similar criticism. The committee is tasked with holding hearings on the confirmation of the Fed's nominees. On Thursday, Republican Senator Daines said in a letter to President Biden that Biden should let Powell run the Federal Reserve again for four years to build confidence in the economic recovery. The U.S. economy is still facing significant risks. The letter is a formal statement by the Banking Committee on Powell's *.</p><p>As of the close, the Dow rose 0.65% to 35,120.08 points; The S&P 500 rose 0.81% to 4,441.67 points; The Nasdaq rose 1.19% to 14,714.66.</p><p><b>Audit and Data Supervision of China Concept Stocks</b></p><p>The CSRC held the 2021 year-end supervision work meeting of the system to analyze the current situation and study and deploy key tasks in the next stage. Yi Huiman, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the CSRC, delivered a report entitled \"Persisting in Seeking Progress while Maintaining Stability, Deepening Reform and Opening-up, and Further Promoting High-quality Development of Capital Market\". At the meeting, it was proposed that we should unswervingly promote the institutional opening of the capital market to the outside world, create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation, strengthen market communication, and stabilize policy expectations and institutional environment. We will deepen the interconnection between the Mainland and Hong Kong markets and strengthen the stable development of Hong Kong's capital market. Since the beginning of this year, the CSRC has repeatedly stated its position on the listing of Chinese companies in the United States and the audit supervision of Chinese stocks, and sought to strengthen cross-border supervision and cooperation with relevant US regulatory agencies in the financial field.</p><p>Today, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the highest legislature, passed the Personal Information Protection Law, which will take effect from November 1, Xinhua News Agency reported. According to the report, operators of critical information infrastructure and personal information reach the amount of personal information specified by the national network information department, and the personal information processed and collected in China should be stored in China; Those that need to be provided overseas should pass the security assessment organized by the national cyberspace department.</p><p>By the close, JD.COM rose 2.30%, Alibaba fell 1.61%, Didi rose 3.75%, Tencent Music rose 3.18% and Bilibili rose 3.44%. The following chart shows the price trend of major Chinese stocks in the past month.</p><p><b>U.S. tech stocks lead gains without the pandemic holding back</b></p><p>At present, there are 143,827 new confirmed cases in the United States in a single day, an increase of 44% from the average 14 days ago; There were 911 new deaths in a single day, an increase of 108% compared with the average 14 days ago; The number of new hospitalizations in a single day was 86,877, an increase of 53% from the average 14 days ago. The U.S. Safe Transportation Bureau said it would extend the epidemic prevention order of wearing masks during the epidemic until January 18th next year, the Department of Homeland Security said it would extend the restriction on the land border with the United States and Canada until September 21st, and New York City started the policy of people entering public places to show vaccine certificates from 17th. Apple delayed the return of employees to the office from October to January next year and strongly encouraged employees to get vaccinated. Intel CEO said that employees who received the COVID-19 vaccine would offer cash incentives. Today, the U.S. stock market once again returned to the state where technology stocks drove other sectors to rise during the epidemic. The following chart shows the trend of hospitalizations in COVID-19 in the United States.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01dce123e84e2f142c4d05a2241f448d\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla held an AI day yesterday, saying that it will launch its own artificial intelligence training computer Dojo chip, and announced plans to build humanoid robots that can perform repetitive tasks. Musk said that AI chips and robot prototypes may be ready next year, and said that the deployment of such robots will fundamentally change the economy and alleviate labor shortages. The robot is about 172 kg tall, weighs about 112 kg, and can reach a speed of 8 kilometers per hour. The prototype of the robot includes 8 cameras and face screens, as well as batteries, chips, robotic arms and other components, among which AI chips and batteries will be important structures.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed67ebc2860a2c5f4dbf03f93db74c\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla has drawn widespread attention since last week amid a U.S. Traffic Administration investigation into its Autopilot autonomous driving technology, with regulators investigating the company's 11 traffic accidents involving autonomous driving recognition technology since January 2018. Two senators this week asked for an investigation into whether Tesla is overstating its autonomous driving capabilities in marketing. Tesla has not responded to the security investigation or the senator's request at this time.</p><p>Microsoft has announced an increase in subscription prices for Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, the first substantial price increase since Microsoft launched the product 10 years ago. Microsoft says the new price will take effect in six months. As prices rise, Microsoft will also expand audio conferencing capabilities in the coming months, adding unlimited dial-up capabilities to enterprise, business, frontline, and government versions of Microsoft Teams meetings, as well as subscription support for more than 70 countries, and also interactive support in 44 languages and dialects. Several investment banks raised their price targets for Microsoft, with UBS, Wedbush and Mizuho raising their price targets for Microsoft from $325 to $350. Driven by the news, Microsoft's stock price stood at $300 for the first time today.</p><p><b>The Hotspots of American Current Politics</b></p><p>Biden held a press conference today, promising to evacuate all Americans who wish to leave Afghanistan and saying he would seek help from allies. At the same time, Biden stressed that the evacuation could not be guaranteed as a final result, but promised to mobilize all necessary resources. Biden said the U.S. has evacuated 18,000 people from Afghanistan since July, including 13,000 since the military began airlift operations on Aug. 14, with the White House saying 5,700 people left the country in the past 24 hours. Senators from both parties in Congress are calling for a hearing next week on the administration's handling of the withdrawal of U.S. troops to investigate the causes of the political and military collapse in Afghanistan. The State Department's internal memo in July had warned of a collapse in Kabul following the withdrawal of U.S. troops, the Wall Street Journal reported. The latest released poll showed Biden's approval rating dropped seven percentage points to its lowest since taking office. At the same time, it is reported that US Vice President Harris is about to pay a visit to Vietnam and Singapore. Israeli Prime Minister Bennett will visit the United States on Aug. 26, the White House said.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145710810","content_text":"市场综述\n美股周五股指攀升,在周一触顶又经历了一周的动荡后,美股在纳指带领下上涨,市场聚焦下周杰克森霍尔会议中美联储主席鲍威尔针对Taper、通胀预期以及疫情前景的讲话。特斯拉举行针对AI和机器人技术的发布会,微软宣布上调MicrosoftOffice 365商业企业版订阅价格,苹果宣布因疫情将让员工明年返回办公室工作,疫苗芯片股上涨,特斯拉涨1.01%,英伟达涨5.14%,微软涨2.56%,苹果涨1.02%,BioNTech涨5.08%。\n中概股反弹,证监会举行重磅会议并表示将创造条件推动中美审计监管合作。全国人大常委会表决通过《中华人民共和国个人信息保护法》,对科技公司收集和转移消费者数据作出立法规定。理想汽车涨3.70%,京东涨2.30%,拼多多涨3.48%。\n市场聚焦下周杰克森霍尔会议\n由美国就业人数及企业季报来看,目前美国经济仍表现强劲,但投资者对于Delta变异毒株可能引发的进一步局势恶化感到担忧。本周三公布的美联储7月会议纪要中显示,美联储希望今年年底前开始减少每月的资产购买量,部分美联储官员希望短期内就开始行动,比如9月FOMC会议中就宣布开始缩表。这些官员担心通胀率的持续上升将使美国明年的通胀率高于此前设定的2%通胀目标,并将最终影响到经济恢复的步伐。密歇根大学进行的消费者调查初步数据显示,消费者信心指数本月急剧下降。商务部公布的零售销售报告显示,7月支出减弱,信用卡数据显示8月情况进一步恶化。\n\n美联储周四表示,美联储主席鲍威尔将在下周四周五的杰克森霍尔研讨会上就经济展望发表演说。鲍威尔的这场演讲受到市场高度关注,预计他将在此次会谈中给出关于9月是否开始缩减购债的信号、对于Delta变异毒株及通胀预期的看法、以及后疫情时代经济发展的预期。此前鲍威尔认为通胀数据的偏高应只是暂时现象。\n摩根大通资产管理的Gimber表示,预计未来几个月全球经济增长将非常强劲,但也将非常不均衡,如果通胀被证明是更长期的状态,将改变美联储此前收紧货币政策的速度。Tactical Alpha的Young表示,Delta变异毒株的影响越大,美联储开始缩减购买的可能性就越小,投资者更愿意面对传闻中要进行的资产购买缩减,而不是Delta变异毒株蔓延失控并拖累全球经济的状态。\n鲍威尔本人也经历着连任压力,他的4年美联储主席任期将于明年2月结束。此前民主党激进派人士沃伦曾在7月听证会中批评鲍威尔在放松银行监管方面的作为,俄亥俄州民主党参议员、美国参议院银行委员会主席布朗也表达了类似的批评意见。该委员会负责就美联储提名人的确认举行听证会。周四共和党参议员Daines在写给总统拜登的信中表示,拜登应让鲍威尔再次执掌美联储4年以建立对经济复苏的信心,美国经济目前仍然面临着重大风险。这封信是银行委员会正式就鲍威尔连任进行的表态。\n截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.65%,报35120.08点;标普500指数涨0.81%,报4441.67点;纳斯达克指数涨1.19%,报14714.66点。\n中概股审计与数据监管\n中国证监会召开2021年系统年终监管工作会议,分析当前形势,研究部署下阶段重点工作。证监会党委书记、主席易会满发表题为《坚持稳中求进,深化改革开放,进一步推动资本市场实现高质量发展》的报告。会议中提出要坚定不移推动资本市场制度型对外开放,创造条件推动中美审计监管合作,加强市场沟通,稳定政策预期和制度环境。深化内地与香港市场互联互通,坚定香港资本市场稳定发展。今年以来证监会曾多次就中国公司赴美上市以及中概股审计监管进行表态,寻求与美方相关监管机构加强金融领域的跨境监管与合作。\n据新华社报道,今日最高立法机构全国人民代表大会常务委员会通过了个人信息保护法,该法律将于11月1日起生效。报道中提到,关键信息基础设施运营者和个人信息达到国家网信部门规定数量的个人信息,应将中国境内处理收集的个人信息存储于境内;需向境外提供的应通过国家网信部门组织的安全评估。\n截止收盘,京东涨2.30%,阿里巴巴跌1.61%,滴滴涨3.75%,腾讯音乐涨3.18%,哔哩哔哩涨3.44%。下图为近一个月以来主要中概股的价格走势。\n疫情不阻美国科技股领涨\n目前美国单日新增确诊143,827例,较14天前平均数值增长44%;单日新增死亡911,较14天前平均数值增长108%;单日新增住院人数86,877,较14天前平均数值增长53%。美国安全运输局表示将疫情期间佩戴口罩的防疫令延长至明年1月18日,国土安全部表示将与美加陆地边界的限制延长至9月21日,纽约市自17日起启动民众进入公共场所出示疫苗证明的政策。苹果公司推迟员工重返办公室时间由10月至明年1月并强烈鼓励员工接种疫苗,英特尔CEO表示接种新冠疫苗的员工提供现金奖励。美股市场今日再次回到疫情期间科技股带动其他板块上涨的状态,下图为美国新冠住院人数的走势图。\n\n特斯拉昨日举行AI日,表示将推出自己的人工智能训练计算机Dojo芯片,并宣布将制造可执行重复性任务的人形机器人的计划。马斯克表示AI芯片和机器人原型或将在明年准备就绪,并表示此类机器人的部署将从根本上改变经济、缓解劳动力短缺。该机器人身高约172,重量大概112斤,速度可达到8公里每小时,该机器人原型包括8个摄像机和脸部的屏幕,以及电池、芯片、机械臂等多个组成部分,其中AI芯片和电池将是重要结构。\n\n上周以来特斯拉因美国交管局对其Autopilot自动驾驶技术的调查引起广泛关注,监管机构调查该公司自2018年1月以来发生的11起涉及自动驾驶识别技术的交通事故。两名参议员本周要求调查特斯拉在营销中是否夸大其自动驾驶功能。目前特斯拉没有就该安全调查或参议员的要求作出回复。\n微软宣布上调MicrosoftOffice 365商业企业版订阅价格,这是微软自10年以前推出该产品以来首次实质性涨价。微软表示,新的价格将于6个月后生效。随着价格的增长,微软还将在未来几个月内扩展音频会议功能,为企业、商业、前线和政府版本的MicrosoftTeams会议增加无限的拨号功能,并为超过70个国家提供订阅支持,还支持44种语言和方言的交互式支持。多家投行上调对微软的目标价,瑞银、Wedbush和瑞穗将微软的目标价由$325上调至$350。受消息驱动,微软今日股价首次站上$300。\n美国时政热点\n拜登今日举行记者发布会,承诺将疏散所有希望离开阿富汗的美国人,并表示将寻求盟友的帮助。同时,拜登强调不能保证疏散的最终结果,但承诺将调动一切必要的资源。拜登表示,自7月以来美国已从阿富汗撤离了18,000人,包括自8月14日军方开始空运行动以来的13,000人,白宫称过去24小时内5,700人离开了阿富汗。国会两党参议员呼吁下周就政府对美军撤出的处理方式举行听证会,调查阿富汗出现政治和军事崩溃的原因。据华尔街日报报道,美国国务院7月的内部备忘录曾警告喀布尔会发生美军撤离后的崩溃。最新公布的民调显示,拜登的支持率下降了7个百分点至上任以来最低。同时据报道,美国副总统哈里斯即将对越南和新加坡进行访问。白宫表示,以色列总理贝内特将于8月26日访问美国。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830686168,"gmtCreate":1629070794354,"gmtModify":1676529918701,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Mmm","listText":"Mmm","text":"Mmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830686168","repostId":"2159260155","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897761535,"gmtCreate":1628987811027,"gmtModify":1676529903005,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897761535","repostId":"1100243251","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100243251","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628935539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100243251?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-14 18:05","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Rumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100243251","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"小红书此前已经完成六轮融资,最新一轮融资在今年上半年。","content":"<p>According to financial magazines, several investors close to Xiaohongshu recently told reporters that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. Xiaohongshu has previously completed six rounds of financing. The latest round of financing was in the first half of this year. Xiaohongshu did not disclose this round of financing to the public. The aforementioned investor said that the valuation was around $6 billion at the time.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-14 18:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>According to financial magazines, several investors close to Xiaohongshu recently told reporters that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. Xiaohongshu has previously completed six rounds of financing. The latest round of financing was in the first half of this year. Xiaohongshu did not disclose this round of financing to the public. The aforementioned investor said that the valuation was around $6 billion at the time.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cec2264fc35e6e89a4846187d3ab20a4","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100243251","content_text":"据财经杂志报道,近日,多位接近小红书的投资人告诉记者,小红书已经开始新一轮融资,估值超过100亿美元。小红书此前已经完成六轮融资,最新一轮融资在今年上半年,小红书并未对外披露这一轮融资,前述投资人称,当时估值是60亿美元左右。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896335409,"gmtCreate":1628555536501,"gmtModify":1703507978429,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"555","listText":"555","text":"555","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896335409","repostId":"1115482984","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157460582,"gmtCreate":1625610713346,"gmtModify":1703744714710,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157460582","repostId":"2149353355","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150545637,"gmtCreate":1624923043529,"gmtModify":1703847836204,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Okoklah","listText":"Okoklah","text":"Okoklah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150545637","repostId":"1186578125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186578125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624879503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186578125?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 19:25","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Dalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186578125","media":"人民币交易与研究","summary":"全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文,介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标,并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。\n在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中,达里奥表示,","content":"<p>On June 24, Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, posted two tweets introducing his six metrics for measuring bubbles and released a 10-minute video explaining his views on the current stock market bubble.</p><p>In the video, which was requested by the Robin Hood Foundation to explain the stock bubble, Dalio stated that while indicators show that some stocks currently \"have a bubble,\" the stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed46d81d71867f2d1eb8b3b9ad012779\" tg-width=\"532\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"By bubble, I mean unsustainably high prices, and I measure it using six metrics,\" Dalio tweeted, noting that investors need to pay attention to signs such as buyer leverage levels and the number of new buyers.</p><p>In fact, as early as mid-May, Dalio shared his research on stock market bubbles on his official WeChat account, detailing these six systemic \"bubble indicators,\" including price, bullish sentiment, and leverage:</p><p>1. How high is the price compared to traditional measurement standards?</p><p>2. Do prices reflect an unsustainable situation?</p><p>3. How many new buyers (i.e., people who were not previously in the market) entered the market?</p><p>4. How widespread is bullish sentiment?</p><p>5. Does the trade rely on high leverage?</p><p>6. Do buyers engage in excessive forward trading (such as building inventory, entering into forward agreements, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves from future price increases?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89447f632ae50e578dd9ebcd007795e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The following is the full text of the video presentation titled \"Is the Stock Market Currently in a Bubble?\"</p><p>Hello everyone, it's great to be here on behalf of everyone who has been helped by Robin Hood (the Foundation).</p><p>You know, I knew Robin Hood because I knew Paul Tudor Jones when Robin Hood was a glimmer of light in his eyes. He would play basketball with the kids in the Bed Stuy neighborhood, and I was fortunate to see him and all the staff at the Robin Hood Foundation helping alleviate poverty in America in a very personal and efficient way, and to be a part of it. Everything you've done has been wonderful, so I just want to thank you for everything you've done and tell you how happy I am to be able to come here and do my small part.</p><p>I was asked to talk about bubbles, whether the market, the stock market, is in a bubble, and what kind of bubble it is. I just want to give you some thoughts on this problem, I only have about 10 minutes. So I want to speak quickly. A few years ago, I started thinking: What is a bubble? When we are in a bubble, what do I mean by bubble? Because in my 50-year investment career, I have seen many bubbles.</p><p>There are six things in my mind that I basically think will cause a bubble, and I've listed them one by one. Now, look at them so that you know what I'm talking about.</p><p>First, as you know, how high our prices are relative to traditional price measures is a consideration. For example, you know things like our PSI or yield, which is a consideration, but it's not what I'm talking about as a bubble.</p><p>For example, high prices and low returns may occur, and this situation can last for a long time. However, this does not mean that the bubble will burst; it is just one of the components.</p><p>Second, price reflects unsustainable conditions, referring to the nature of the buyer, who is buying, and how they are buying. Unsustainable conditions can lead to price adjustments or declines, and then a third speculative factor emerges—new buyers are attracted to the market.</p><p>You know, it’s like a cocktail party where some people who never attend show up, which is investing in certain assets, maybe tech stocks, maybe real estate, but either way, everyone thinks that not holding those things will make them feel stupid, and so on.</p><p>The fifth is the large purchase of forward \"contracts,\" such as someone buying an apartment they don't know about because they think it will rise, or using the era of large-scale commodity trading as an example. I would observe people who use commodities, who buy a large number of forward contracts. In other words, buy inventory to protect yourself from rising prices.</p><p>So when they leave the market—as we've seen recently in the commodities market—when they sell forward contracts and prices continue to fall, they say, \"I don't want it either.\"</p><p>When prices rise, they will say that we need to implement premium protection to hedge against the price increase. Therefore, buyers who extend these forward purchases are a (bubble) indicator.</p><p>I use this table to show the entire stock market, and I apply this framework to basically all assets, and use a systematic approach to try to determine which ones are in a bubble. In my opinion, among all kinds of stocks, some have bubbles and some do not, and the entire stock market is as this chart shows.</p><p>This chart dates back to 1910 and is an indicator of the extent of the bubble. You can see that there is a bubble now, but it is not as high as in 2000 and 1929, but it is higher than in 2007.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4f2ff86c22e19d1a051e96d120c0fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Let's look at stocks with bubbles; according to these criteria, many stocks do not have bubbles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebf9f9bfdd5c982106b5c4f97acf635\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This chart dates back to 1995. Compared to 2000, the market capitalization of the top 1,000 companies has a bubble of about 5%, and the share of the entire S&P 500 index with a bubble is about 2%. Although not as high as in 2000, it is higher than in 2007.</p><p>Now let's look at the next chart showing bubble stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15720e9f5f0240be2ddeda3d14230eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>When I separate these bubble stocks from the S&P 500 index, I can see that the proportion of bubble stocks in the broader market is decreasing. I believe this situation is likely to continue, but we are currently in a bubble. One problem is that bubbles can expand and contract, and timing is a big issue.</p><p>The chart below dates back to 1900. The chart above shows the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP), the blue line below shows the interest rate, and the red line shows the scale of money printing, which is the amount of money flowing in. So you can see that when debt accumulates, as is the case now, and near-zero interest rates are implemented, both conditions exist simultaneously, and money is printed in large quantities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d3d3c839ca42009c377a3eed7c9c3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This is a key factor in bubbles because there is a lot of liquidity entering the market, and then a lot of money drives up the prices of various assets, so you can see that when the blue line touches zero, the red line rises sharply. A large amount of liquidity, massive debt financing, and debt monetization have created a typical bubble.</p><p>Other factors that can create bubbles are new stock listings, especially if they are not profitable, or in many cases have no prospect of profitability.</p><p>These are also considerations for bubbles, so I would say that you cannot say that the current stock market is in the highest degree of bubble. You must distinguish which stocks are in a bubble or have always been in a bubble. Which stocks are not? In fact, many stocks are not currently in a bubble.</p><p>So I hope this gives you some insight into bubbles, how I view them, and where we are right now. Thank you.</p>","source":"lsy1574157197600","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">人民币交易与研究</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 19:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 24, Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, posted two tweets introducing his six metrics for measuring bubbles and released a 10-minute video explaining his views on the current stock market bubble.</p><p>In the video, which was requested by the Robin Hood Foundation to explain the stock bubble, Dalio stated that while indicators show that some stocks currently \"have a bubble,\" the stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed46d81d71867f2d1eb8b3b9ad012779\" tg-width=\"532\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"By bubble, I mean unsustainably high prices, and I measure it using six metrics,\" Dalio tweeted, noting that investors need to pay attention to signs such as buyer leverage levels and the number of new buyers.</p><p>In fact, as early as mid-May, Dalio shared his research on stock market bubbles on his official WeChat account, detailing these six systemic \"bubble indicators,\" including price, bullish sentiment, and leverage:</p><p>1. How high is the price compared to traditional measurement standards?</p><p>2. Do prices reflect an unsustainable situation?</p><p>3. How many new buyers (i.e., people who were not previously in the market) entered the market?</p><p>4. How widespread is bullish sentiment?</p><p>5. Does the trade rely on high leverage?</p><p>6. Do buyers engage in excessive forward trading (such as building inventory, entering into forward agreements, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves from future price increases?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89447f632ae50e578dd9ebcd007795e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The following is the full text of the video presentation titled \"Is the Stock Market Currently in a Bubble?\"</p><p>Hello everyone, it's great to be here on behalf of everyone who has been helped by Robin Hood (the Foundation).</p><p>You know, I knew Robin Hood because I knew Paul Tudor Jones when Robin Hood was a glimmer of light in his eyes. He would play basketball with the kids in the Bed Stuy neighborhood, and I was fortunate to see him and all the staff at the Robin Hood Foundation helping alleviate poverty in America in a very personal and efficient way, and to be a part of it. Everything you've done has been wonderful, so I just want to thank you for everything you've done and tell you how happy I am to be able to come here and do my small part.</p><p>I was asked to talk about bubbles, whether the market, the stock market, is in a bubble, and what kind of bubble it is. I just want to give you some thoughts on this problem, I only have about 10 minutes. So I want to speak quickly. A few years ago, I started thinking: What is a bubble? When we are in a bubble, what do I mean by bubble? Because in my 50-year investment career, I have seen many bubbles.</p><p>There are six things in my mind that I basically think will cause a bubble, and I've listed them one by one. Now, look at them so that you know what I'm talking about.</p><p>First, as you know, how high our prices are relative to traditional price measures is a consideration. For example, you know things like our PSI or yield, which is a consideration, but it's not what I'm talking about as a bubble.</p><p>For example, high prices and low returns may occur, and this situation can last for a long time. However, this does not mean that the bubble will burst; it is just one of the components.</p><p>Second, price reflects unsustainable conditions, referring to the nature of the buyer, who is buying, and how they are buying. Unsustainable conditions can lead to price adjustments or declines, and then a third speculative factor emerges—new buyers are attracted to the market.</p><p>You know, it’s like a cocktail party where some people who never attend show up, which is investing in certain assets, maybe tech stocks, maybe real estate, but either way, everyone thinks that not holding those things will make them feel stupid, and so on.</p><p>The fifth is the large purchase of forward \"contracts,\" such as someone buying an apartment they don't know about because they think it will rise, or using the era of large-scale commodity trading as an example. I would observe people who use commodities, who buy a large number of forward contracts. In other words, buy inventory to protect yourself from rising prices.</p><p>So when they leave the market—as we've seen recently in the commodities market—when they sell forward contracts and prices continue to fall, they say, \"I don't want it either.\"</p><p>When prices rise, they will say that we need to implement premium protection to hedge against the price increase. Therefore, buyers who extend these forward purchases are a (bubble) indicator.</p><p>I use this table to show the entire stock market, and I apply this framework to basically all assets, and use a systematic approach to try to determine which ones are in a bubble. In my opinion, among all kinds of stocks, some have bubbles and some do not, and the entire stock market is as this chart shows.</p><p>This chart dates back to 1910 and is an indicator of the extent of the bubble. You can see that there is a bubble now, but it is not as high as in 2000 and 1929, but it is higher than in 2007.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4f2ff86c22e19d1a051e96d120c0fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Let's look at stocks with bubbles; according to these criteria, many stocks do not have bubbles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebf9f9bfdd5c982106b5c4f97acf635\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This chart dates back to 1995. Compared to 2000, the market capitalization of the top 1,000 companies has a bubble of about 5%, and the share of the entire S&P 500 index with a bubble is about 2%. Although not as high as in 2000, it is higher than in 2007.</p><p>Now let's look at the next chart showing bubble stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15720e9f5f0240be2ddeda3d14230eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>When I separate these bubble stocks from the S&P 500 index, I can see that the proportion of bubble stocks in the broader market is decreasing. I believe this situation is likely to continue, but we are currently in a bubble. One problem is that bubbles can expand and contract, and timing is a big issue.</p><p>The chart below dates back to 1900. The chart above shows the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP), the blue line below shows the interest rate, and the red line shows the scale of money printing, which is the amount of money flowing in. So you can see that when debt accumulates, as is the case now, and near-zero interest rates are implemented, both conditions exist simultaneously, and money is printed in large quantities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d3d3c839ca42009c377a3eed7c9c3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This is a key factor in bubbles because there is a lot of liquidity entering the market, and then a lot of money drives up the prices of various assets, so you can see that when the blue line touches zero, the red line rises sharply. A large amount of liquidity, massive debt financing, and debt monetization have created a typical bubble.</p><p>Other factors that can create bubbles are new stock listings, especially if they are not profitable, or in many cases have no prospect of profitability.</p><p>These are also considerations for bubbles, so I would say that you cannot say that the current stock market is in the highest degree of bubble. You must distinguish which stocks are in a bubble or have always been in a bubble. Which stocks are not? In fact, many stocks are not currently in a bubble.</p><p>So I hope this gives you some insight into bubbles, how I view them, and where we are right now. Thank you.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lv14Xv-iB491-ddK3pdX_w\">人民币交易与研究</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ac6f61084482a9c0c70291c78e92f5","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lv14Xv-iB491-ddK3pdX_w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186578125","content_text":"全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文,介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标,并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。\n在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中,达里奥表示,虽然指标显示一些股票目前“存在泡沫”,但股市眼下不一定处于泡沫中。\n\n达里奥在推文中写道,“我所说的泡沫是指不可持续的高价,我用六项指标来衡量它”,并指出投资者需关注买家杠杆水平和新买家数量等迹象。\n事实上,早在5月中旬时,达里奥就曾在公众号分享了他对股市泡沫的研究,详述了这六种系统性“泡沫指标”,包括价格、看涨情绪、杠杆高低等:\n1. 相对传统的衡量标准,价格有多高?\n2. 价格是否反映了不可持续的状况?\n3. 有多少新买家(即之前不在市场里的人)进入了市场?\n4. 看涨情绪有多普遍?\n5. 交易是否依赖高杠杆的支撑?\n6. 买家是否过度进行远期交易(如建立库存、签订远期协议等)来投机或保护自己免受未来价格上涨的影响?\n\n以下是这个名为《股市目前是否处于泡沫中?》的视频演讲全文:\n大家好,很高兴能代表所有被罗宾汉(基金会)帮助过的人来到这里。\n你们知道,知道罗宾汉,是因为我认识保罗·都铎·琼斯,当时罗宾汉是他眼里的一抹微光,他会在贝德福德-斯图文森特街区(Bed Stuy)和孩子们一起打篮球,我很幸运能够看到他和罗宾汉基金的所有工作人员,以一种非常个人化和高效的方式来帮助减轻美国的贫困,并且能够成为其中的一员。你们所做的一切都很棒,所以我只想感谢你们所做的一切,并且告诉你们能够来到这里并尽我的微薄之力,我有多么高兴。\n我被要求谈论泡沫,市场、股市是否处于泡沫中,以及什么样的泡沫。我只想给你们一些关于这个问题的想法,我只有大约10分钟的时间。所以我想讲快点,几年前,我开始思考:什么是泡沫?当我们身处泡沫中时,我所说的泡沫是指什么?因为在我50年的投资生涯中,我看到了很多泡沫。\n在我脑海中,有六件事是我基本上认为会导致产生泡沫的,我将他们一一列举出来。现在,看着它们,以便您知道我在说什么。\n首先,您知道,我们的价格相对于传统的价格衡量标准有多高是一个考虑因素。例如,你知道我们的PSI或收益率之类的东西,这是一个考虑因素,但这不是我所说的泡沫。\n比方说,可能出现价格高回报低的现象,而且这种情况可以持续很长时间,但这并不意味着泡沫会破灭,只是其中一个组成因素。\n第二,价格是反映不可持续的条件,这里指的是买方的性质,谁在买入和如何买入,不可持续的条件会产生了价格调整或下跌,然后就出现了第三个投机因素——市场上的新买家被吸引了。\n您知道,这就像鸡尾酒会,有些从不参加的人出现了,也就是投资了某些资产,可能是科技股,也可能是房地产,但无论如何,每个人都想,没有持有这些东西会让他们觉得自己很蠢,诸如此类。\n第五项是大额购买远期“合约”,比如有人买了他们不了解的公寓,因为他们认为公寓会上涨,或者用大规模交易大宗商品的年代来举例。我会观察那些使用大宗商品的人,他们购买了大量远期合约。换句话说,购买库存以保护自己免受价格上涨的影响。\n所以当他们离场的时候——正如我们最近在大宗商品市场看到的——当他们抛售远期合约时,价格持续下跌,他们会说“我也不想要它”。\n而当价格上涨时,他们会说我们要进行溢价保护,对冲价格上涨。所以,延长了这些远期购买的买家是一个(泡沫)指标。\n我用这张表显示整个股市,我把这个框架基本上应用到所有资产上,并且使用一种系统化的方法,试图判断哪些处在泡沫中。在我看来,在各种各样的股票中,有些存在泡沫,有些则没有,而整个股市正如这张图表所显示的。\n这张图表可以追溯到1910年,它是一个彰显泡沫程度的指标。你可以看到当前是有泡沫的,但没有2000年和1929年那么高,不过高于2007年。\n\n让我们看看存在泡沫的股票,根据这些标准,很多股票没有泡沫。\n\n这张图表追溯到1995年,与2000年相比,前1000名的企业市值存在泡沫比例约为5%,整个标普500指数存在泡沫的份额约为2%,虽然不如2000年高,但比2007年高。\n现在来看下一张显示了泡沫股票的图表。\n\n我把这些泡沫股票与标准普尔500指数分离,可以看到泡沫股在大盘中的比例下降,我相信这种情况很可能会持续下去,但目前处于泡沫之中。其中一个问题是,泡沫可以扩张和收缩,时机是个大问题。\n下面这张图表可以追溯到1900年,上图显示的是债务与国内生产总值(GDP)之比,下图中蓝线显示的是利率,红线显示印钞规模,也就是流入的货币量。所以你可以看到当债务累加时,就像现在的情况,并且实施近零利率,这两种情况同时存在时就会大肆印钞。\n\n这是泡沫的一个关键因素,因为有大量的流动性进入市场,然后有很多资金哄抬各种各样的资产价格,所以你可以看到,当蓝线触及零时,红线大幅上行。大量流动性,大量的债务融资和债务货币化形成了一个典型的泡沫。\n其他可能产生泡沫的因素则是新股上市,特别是如果它们没有盈利,或者是在许多情况下没有盈利的前景。\n这些也是泡沫的考虑因素,所以我想说,你不能说当前的股市处于最高程度的泡沫,你必须区分哪些股票正处于泡沫中、或者一直处于泡沫中;哪些股票没有,实际上目前有许多股票并没有处于泡沫中。\n所以我希望这能让你对泡沫有所了解、我如何看待它们以及我们目前处于什么位置。谢谢。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":897761535,"gmtCreate":1628987811027,"gmtModify":1676529903005,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897761535","repostId":"1100243251","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100243251","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628935539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100243251?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-14 18:05","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Rumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100243251","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"小红书此前已经完成六轮融资,最新一轮融资在今年上半年。","content":"<p>According to financial magazines, several investors close to Xiaohongshu recently told reporters that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. Xiaohongshu has previously completed six rounds of financing. The latest round of financing was in the first half of this year. Xiaohongshu did not disclose this round of financing to the public. The aforementioned investor said that the valuation was around $6 billion at the time.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRumors circulate that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, valuing it at over $10 billion.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-14 18:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>According to financial magazines, several investors close to Xiaohongshu recently told reporters that Xiaohongshu has begun a new round of financing, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. Xiaohongshu has previously completed six rounds of financing. The latest round of financing was in the first half of this year. Xiaohongshu did not disclose this round of financing to the public. The aforementioned investor said that the valuation was around $6 billion at the time.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cec2264fc35e6e89a4846187d3ab20a4","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100243251","content_text":"据财经杂志报道,近日,多位接近小红书的投资人告诉记者,小红书已经开始新一轮融资,估值超过100亿美元。小红书此前已经完成六轮融资,最新一轮融资在今年上半年,小红书并未对外披露这一轮融资,前述投资人称,当时估值是60亿美元左右。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157460582,"gmtCreate":1625610713346,"gmtModify":1703744714710,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157460582","repostId":"2149353355","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832368540,"gmtCreate":1629592543480,"gmtModify":1676530073694,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832368540","repostId":"1145710810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145710810","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点,观察市场,提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629509366,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145710810?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-21 09:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks \"Running Account\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145710810","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"市场综述\n美股周五股指攀升,在周一触顶又经历了一周的动荡后,美股在纳指带领下上涨,市场聚焦下周杰克森霍尔会议中美联储主席鲍威尔针对Taper、通胀预期以及疫情前景的讲话。特斯拉举行针对AI和机器人技术","content":"<p><b>Market Overview</b></p><p>U.S. stock indexes climbed on Friday. After peaking on Monday and experiencing another week of turmoil, U.S. stocks rose under the lead of the Nasdaq. The market focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on Taper, inflation expectations and the outlook of the epidemic at next week's Jackson Hole meeting. Tesla held a press conference on AI and robotics, Microsoft announced that it would raise the subscription price of Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, Apple announced that it would let employees return to work in the office next year due to the epidemic, and vaccine chip stocks rose. Tesla rose 1.01%, Nvidia rose 5.14%, Microsoft rose 2.56%, Apple rose 1.02%, and BioNTech rose 5.08%.</p><p>Chinese stocks rebounded, and the CSRC held a blockbuster meeting and said that it would create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress voted to pass the Personal Information Protection Law of the People's Republic of China, which makes legislative provisions for the collection and transfer of consumer data by technology companies. Li Auto rose 3.70%, JD.COM rose 2.30% and Pinduoduo rose 3.48%.</p><p><b>Market Spotlight Next Week's Jackson Hole Meeting</b></p><p>Judging from the number of employees and quarterly reports of enterprises in the United States, the U.S. economy is still performing strongly at present, but investors are worried about the further deterioration of the situation that may be caused by the Delta variant strain. According to the minutes of the July meeting of the Federal Reserve released on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hopes to start reducing its monthly asset purchases before the end of this year, and some Federal Reserve officials hope to start action in the short term, such as the shrinking balance sheet announced at the September FOMC meeting. The officials worry that the continued rise in inflation will push U.S. inflation above the previously set 2% inflation target next year and will ultimately affect the pace of economic recovery. Preliminary data from a consumer survey conducted by the University of Michigan showed that the consumer confidence index fell sharply this month. The Commerce Ministry's retail sales report showed spending weakened in July, and credit card data showed conditions worsened further in August.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1a5a0503cad96285d291bf33145dee6\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Fed Chairman Powell will speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium next Thursday and Friday, the Federal Reserve said Thursday. Powell's speech has attracted great attention from the market. It is expected that he will give a signal on whether to start reducing bond purchases in September, his views on Delta variant strain and inflation expectations, and the expectation of economic development in the post-epidemic era in this meeting. Previously, Powell believed that the high inflation data should only be a temporary phenomenon.</p><p>Global growth is expected to be very strong in the coming months, but also very uneven, and if inflation proves to be the longer-term state, it will change the pace at which the Federal Reserve has previously tightened monetary policy, JPMorgan Asset Management's Gimber said. The greater the impact of the Delta variant, the less likely it is that the Fed will start tapering purchases, and investors are more willing to face the rumored tapering of asset purchases rather than the state of the Delta variant spreading out of control and weighing on the global economy, according to Tactical Alpha's Young.</p><p>Powell himself has experienced * pressure, with his 4-year term as Fed chair ending next February. Previously, Warren, a Democratic activist, had criticized Powell's actions in relaxing banking supervision in a July hearing, and Brown, a Democratic senator from Ohio and chairman of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, also expressed similar criticism. The committee is tasked with holding hearings on the confirmation of the Fed's nominees. On Thursday, Republican Senator Daines said in a letter to President Biden that Biden should let Powell run the Federal Reserve again for four years to build confidence in the economic recovery. The U.S. economy is still facing significant risks. The letter is a formal statement by the Banking Committee on Powell's *.</p><p>As of the close, the Dow rose 0.65% to 35,120.08 points; The S&P 500 rose 0.81% to 4,441.67 points; The Nasdaq rose 1.19% to 14,714.66.</p><p><b>Audit and Data Supervision of China Concept Stocks</b></p><p>The CSRC held the 2021 year-end supervision work meeting of the system to analyze the current situation and study and deploy key tasks in the next stage. Yi Huiman, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the CSRC, delivered a report entitled \"Persisting in Seeking Progress while Maintaining Stability, Deepening Reform and Opening-up, and Further Promoting High-quality Development of Capital Market\". At the meeting, it was proposed that we should unswervingly promote the institutional opening of the capital market to the outside world, create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation, strengthen market communication, and stabilize policy expectations and institutional environment. We will deepen the interconnection between the Mainland and Hong Kong markets and strengthen the stable development of Hong Kong's capital market. Since the beginning of this year, the CSRC has repeatedly stated its position on the listing of Chinese companies in the United States and the audit supervision of Chinese stocks, and sought to strengthen cross-border supervision and cooperation with relevant US regulatory agencies in the financial field.</p><p>Today, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the highest legislature, passed the Personal Information Protection Law, which will take effect from November 1, Xinhua News Agency reported. According to the report, operators of critical information infrastructure and personal information reach the amount of personal information specified by the national network information department, and the personal information processed and collected in China should be stored in China; Those that need to be provided overseas should pass the security assessment organized by the national cyberspace department.</p><p>By the close, JD.COM rose 2.30%, Alibaba fell 1.61%, Didi rose 3.75%, Tencent Music rose 3.18% and Bilibili rose 3.44%. The following chart shows the price trend of major Chinese stocks in the past month.</p><p><b>U.S. tech stocks lead gains without the pandemic holding back</b></p><p>At present, there are 143,827 new confirmed cases in the United States in a single day, an increase of 44% from the average 14 days ago; There were 911 new deaths in a single day, an increase of 108% compared with the average 14 days ago; The number of new hospitalizations in a single day was 86,877, an increase of 53% from the average 14 days ago. The U.S. Safe Transportation Bureau said it would extend the epidemic prevention order of wearing masks during the epidemic until January 18th next year, the Department of Homeland Security said it would extend the restriction on the land border with the United States and Canada until September 21st, and New York City started the policy of people entering public places to show vaccine certificates from 17th. Apple delayed the return of employees to the office from October to January next year and strongly encouraged employees to get vaccinated. Intel CEO said that employees who received the COVID-19 vaccine would offer cash incentives. Today, the U.S. stock market once again returned to the state where technology stocks drove other sectors to rise during the epidemic. The following chart shows the trend of hospitalizations in COVID-19 in the United States.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01dce123e84e2f142c4d05a2241f448d\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla held an AI day yesterday, saying that it will launch its own artificial intelligence training computer Dojo chip, and announced plans to build humanoid robots that can perform repetitive tasks. Musk said that AI chips and robot prototypes may be ready next year, and said that the deployment of such robots will fundamentally change the economy and alleviate labor shortages. The robot is about 172 kg tall, weighs about 112 kg, and can reach a speed of 8 kilometers per hour. The prototype of the robot includes 8 cameras and face screens, as well as batteries, chips, robotic arms and other components, among which AI chips and batteries will be important structures.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed67ebc2860a2c5f4dbf03f93db74c\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla has drawn widespread attention since last week amid a U.S. Traffic Administration investigation into its Autopilot autonomous driving technology, with regulators investigating the company's 11 traffic accidents involving autonomous driving recognition technology since January 2018. Two senators this week asked for an investigation into whether Tesla is overstating its autonomous driving capabilities in marketing. Tesla has not responded to the security investigation or the senator's request at this time.</p><p>Microsoft has announced an increase in subscription prices for Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, the first substantial price increase since Microsoft launched the product 10 years ago. Microsoft says the new price will take effect in six months. As prices rise, Microsoft will also expand audio conferencing capabilities in the coming months, adding unlimited dial-up capabilities to enterprise, business, frontline, and government versions of Microsoft Teams meetings, as well as subscription support for more than 70 countries, and also interactive support in 44 languages and dialects. Several investment banks raised their price targets for Microsoft, with UBS, Wedbush and Mizuho raising their price targets for Microsoft from $325 to $350. Driven by the news, Microsoft's stock price stood at $300 for the first time today.</p><p><b>The Hotspots of American Current Politics</b></p><p>Biden held a press conference today, promising to evacuate all Americans who wish to leave Afghanistan and saying he would seek help from allies. At the same time, Biden stressed that the evacuation could not be guaranteed as a final result, but promised to mobilize all necessary resources. Biden said the U.S. has evacuated 18,000 people from Afghanistan since July, including 13,000 since the military began airlift operations on Aug. 14, with the White House saying 5,700 people left the country in the past 24 hours. Senators from both parties in Congress are calling for a hearing next week on the administration's handling of the withdrawal of U.S. troops to investigate the causes of the political and military collapse in Afghanistan. The State Department's internal memo in July had warned of a collapse in Kabul following the withdrawal of U.S. troops, the Wall Street Journal reported. The latest released poll showed Biden's approval rating dropped seven percentage points to its lowest since taking office. At the same time, it is reported that US Vice President Harris is about to pay a visit to Vietnam and Singapore. Israeli Prime Minister Bennett will visit the United States on Aug. 26, the White House said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks \"Running Account\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Comments: Overnight US Stocks \"Running Account\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-21 09:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Market Overview</b></p><p>U.S. stock indexes climbed on Friday. After peaking on Monday and experiencing another week of turmoil, U.S. stocks rose under the lead of the Nasdaq. The market focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on Taper, inflation expectations and the outlook of the epidemic at next week's Jackson Hole meeting. Tesla held a press conference on AI and robotics, Microsoft announced that it would raise the subscription price of Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, Apple announced that it would let employees return to work in the office next year due to the epidemic, and vaccine chip stocks rose. Tesla rose 1.01%, Nvidia rose 5.14%, Microsoft rose 2.56%, Apple rose 1.02%, and BioNTech rose 5.08%.</p><p>Chinese stocks rebounded, and the CSRC held a blockbuster meeting and said that it would create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress voted to pass the Personal Information Protection Law of the People's Republic of China, which makes legislative provisions for the collection and transfer of consumer data by technology companies. Li Auto rose 3.70%, JD.COM rose 2.30% and Pinduoduo rose 3.48%.</p><p><b>Market Spotlight Next Week's Jackson Hole Meeting</b></p><p>Judging from the number of employees and quarterly reports of enterprises in the United States, the U.S. economy is still performing strongly at present, but investors are worried about the further deterioration of the situation that may be caused by the Delta variant strain. According to the minutes of the July meeting of the Federal Reserve released on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hopes to start reducing its monthly asset purchases before the end of this year, and some Federal Reserve officials hope to start action in the short term, such as the shrinking balance sheet announced at the September FOMC meeting. The officials worry that the continued rise in inflation will push U.S. inflation above the previously set 2% inflation target next year and will ultimately affect the pace of economic recovery. Preliminary data from a consumer survey conducted by the University of Michigan showed that the consumer confidence index fell sharply this month. The Commerce Ministry's retail sales report showed spending weakened in July, and credit card data showed conditions worsened further in August.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1a5a0503cad96285d291bf33145dee6\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Fed Chairman Powell will speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium next Thursday and Friday, the Federal Reserve said Thursday. Powell's speech has attracted great attention from the market. It is expected that he will give a signal on whether to start reducing bond purchases in September, his views on Delta variant strain and inflation expectations, and the expectation of economic development in the post-epidemic era in this meeting. Previously, Powell believed that the high inflation data should only be a temporary phenomenon.</p><p>Global growth is expected to be very strong in the coming months, but also very uneven, and if inflation proves to be the longer-term state, it will change the pace at which the Federal Reserve has previously tightened monetary policy, JPMorgan Asset Management's Gimber said. The greater the impact of the Delta variant, the less likely it is that the Fed will start tapering purchases, and investors are more willing to face the rumored tapering of asset purchases rather than the state of the Delta variant spreading out of control and weighing on the global economy, according to Tactical Alpha's Young.</p><p>Powell himself has experienced * pressure, with his 4-year term as Fed chair ending next February. Previously, Warren, a Democratic activist, had criticized Powell's actions in relaxing banking supervision in a July hearing, and Brown, a Democratic senator from Ohio and chairman of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, also expressed similar criticism. The committee is tasked with holding hearings on the confirmation of the Fed's nominees. On Thursday, Republican Senator Daines said in a letter to President Biden that Biden should let Powell run the Federal Reserve again for four years to build confidence in the economic recovery. The U.S. economy is still facing significant risks. The letter is a formal statement by the Banking Committee on Powell's *.</p><p>As of the close, the Dow rose 0.65% to 35,120.08 points; The S&P 500 rose 0.81% to 4,441.67 points; The Nasdaq rose 1.19% to 14,714.66.</p><p><b>Audit and Data Supervision of China Concept Stocks</b></p><p>The CSRC held the 2021 year-end supervision work meeting of the system to analyze the current situation and study and deploy key tasks in the next stage. Yi Huiman, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the CSRC, delivered a report entitled \"Persisting in Seeking Progress while Maintaining Stability, Deepening Reform and Opening-up, and Further Promoting High-quality Development of Capital Market\". At the meeting, it was proposed that we should unswervingly promote the institutional opening of the capital market to the outside world, create conditions to promote Sino-US audit supervision cooperation, strengthen market communication, and stabilize policy expectations and institutional environment. We will deepen the interconnection between the Mainland and Hong Kong markets and strengthen the stable development of Hong Kong's capital market. Since the beginning of this year, the CSRC has repeatedly stated its position on the listing of Chinese companies in the United States and the audit supervision of Chinese stocks, and sought to strengthen cross-border supervision and cooperation with relevant US regulatory agencies in the financial field.</p><p>Today, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the highest legislature, passed the Personal Information Protection Law, which will take effect from November 1, Xinhua News Agency reported. According to the report, operators of critical information infrastructure and personal information reach the amount of personal information specified by the national network information department, and the personal information processed and collected in China should be stored in China; Those that need to be provided overseas should pass the security assessment organized by the national cyberspace department.</p><p>By the close, JD.COM rose 2.30%, Alibaba fell 1.61%, Didi rose 3.75%, Tencent Music rose 3.18% and Bilibili rose 3.44%. The following chart shows the price trend of major Chinese stocks in the past month.</p><p><b>U.S. tech stocks lead gains without the pandemic holding back</b></p><p>At present, there are 143,827 new confirmed cases in the United States in a single day, an increase of 44% from the average 14 days ago; There were 911 new deaths in a single day, an increase of 108% compared with the average 14 days ago; The number of new hospitalizations in a single day was 86,877, an increase of 53% from the average 14 days ago. The U.S. Safe Transportation Bureau said it would extend the epidemic prevention order of wearing masks during the epidemic until January 18th next year, the Department of Homeland Security said it would extend the restriction on the land border with the United States and Canada until September 21st, and New York City started the policy of people entering public places to show vaccine certificates from 17th. Apple delayed the return of employees to the office from October to January next year and strongly encouraged employees to get vaccinated. Intel CEO said that employees who received the COVID-19 vaccine would offer cash incentives. Today, the U.S. stock market once again returned to the state where technology stocks drove other sectors to rise during the epidemic. The following chart shows the trend of hospitalizations in COVID-19 in the United States.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01dce123e84e2f142c4d05a2241f448d\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla held an AI day yesterday, saying that it will launch its own artificial intelligence training computer Dojo chip, and announced plans to build humanoid robots that can perform repetitive tasks. Musk said that AI chips and robot prototypes may be ready next year, and said that the deployment of such robots will fundamentally change the economy and alleviate labor shortages. The robot is about 172 kg tall, weighs about 112 kg, and can reach a speed of 8 kilometers per hour. The prototype of the robot includes 8 cameras and face screens, as well as batteries, chips, robotic arms and other components, among which AI chips and batteries will be important structures.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed67ebc2860a2c5f4dbf03f93db74c\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Tesla has drawn widespread attention since last week amid a U.S. Traffic Administration investigation into its Autopilot autonomous driving technology, with regulators investigating the company's 11 traffic accidents involving autonomous driving recognition technology since January 2018. Two senators this week asked for an investigation into whether Tesla is overstating its autonomous driving capabilities in marketing. Tesla has not responded to the security investigation or the senator's request at this time.</p><p>Microsoft has announced an increase in subscription prices for Microsoft Office 365 Business Enterprise Edition, the first substantial price increase since Microsoft launched the product 10 years ago. Microsoft says the new price will take effect in six months. As prices rise, Microsoft will also expand audio conferencing capabilities in the coming months, adding unlimited dial-up capabilities to enterprise, business, frontline, and government versions of Microsoft Teams meetings, as well as subscription support for more than 70 countries, and also interactive support in 44 languages and dialects. Several investment banks raised their price targets for Microsoft, with UBS, Wedbush and Mizuho raising their price targets for Microsoft from $325 to $350. Driven by the news, Microsoft's stock price stood at $300 for the first time today.</p><p><b>The Hotspots of American Current Politics</b></p><p>Biden held a press conference today, promising to evacuate all Americans who wish to leave Afghanistan and saying he would seek help from allies. At the same time, Biden stressed that the evacuation could not be guaranteed as a final result, but promised to mobilize all necessary resources. Biden said the U.S. has evacuated 18,000 people from Afghanistan since July, including 13,000 since the military began airlift operations on Aug. 14, with the White House saying 5,700 people left the country in the past 24 hours. Senators from both parties in Congress are calling for a hearing next week on the administration's handling of the withdrawal of U.S. troops to investigate the causes of the political and military collapse in Afghanistan. The State Department's internal memo in July had warned of a collapse in Kabul following the withdrawal of U.S. troops, the Wall Street Journal reported. The latest released poll showed Biden's approval rating dropped seven percentage points to its lowest since taking office. At the same time, it is reported that US Vice President Harris is about to pay a visit to Vietnam and Singapore. Israeli Prime Minister Bennett will visit the United States on Aug. 26, the White House said.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145710810","content_text":"市场综述\n美股周五股指攀升,在周一触顶又经历了一周的动荡后,美股在纳指带领下上涨,市场聚焦下周杰克森霍尔会议中美联储主席鲍威尔针对Taper、通胀预期以及疫情前景的讲话。特斯拉举行针对AI和机器人技术的发布会,微软宣布上调MicrosoftOffice 365商业企业版订阅价格,苹果宣布因疫情将让员工明年返回办公室工作,疫苗芯片股上涨,特斯拉涨1.01%,英伟达涨5.14%,微软涨2.56%,苹果涨1.02%,BioNTech涨5.08%。\n中概股反弹,证监会举行重磅会议并表示将创造条件推动中美审计监管合作。全国人大常委会表决通过《中华人民共和国个人信息保护法》,对科技公司收集和转移消费者数据作出立法规定。理想汽车涨3.70%,京东涨2.30%,拼多多涨3.48%。\n市场聚焦下周杰克森霍尔会议\n由美国就业人数及企业季报来看,目前美国经济仍表现强劲,但投资者对于Delta变异毒株可能引发的进一步局势恶化感到担忧。本周三公布的美联储7月会议纪要中显示,美联储希望今年年底前开始减少每月的资产购买量,部分美联储官员希望短期内就开始行动,比如9月FOMC会议中就宣布开始缩表。这些官员担心通胀率的持续上升将使美国明年的通胀率高于此前设定的2%通胀目标,并将最终影响到经济恢复的步伐。密歇根大学进行的消费者调查初步数据显示,消费者信心指数本月急剧下降。商务部公布的零售销售报告显示,7月支出减弱,信用卡数据显示8月情况进一步恶化。\n\n美联储周四表示,美联储主席鲍威尔将在下周四周五的杰克森霍尔研讨会上就经济展望发表演说。鲍威尔的这场演讲受到市场高度关注,预计他将在此次会谈中给出关于9月是否开始缩减购债的信号、对于Delta变异毒株及通胀预期的看法、以及后疫情时代经济发展的预期。此前鲍威尔认为通胀数据的偏高应只是暂时现象。\n摩根大通资产管理的Gimber表示,预计未来几个月全球经济增长将非常强劲,但也将非常不均衡,如果通胀被证明是更长期的状态,将改变美联储此前收紧货币政策的速度。Tactical Alpha的Young表示,Delta变异毒株的影响越大,美联储开始缩减购买的可能性就越小,投资者更愿意面对传闻中要进行的资产购买缩减,而不是Delta变异毒株蔓延失控并拖累全球经济的状态。\n鲍威尔本人也经历着连任压力,他的4年美联储主席任期将于明年2月结束。此前民主党激进派人士沃伦曾在7月听证会中批评鲍威尔在放松银行监管方面的作为,俄亥俄州民主党参议员、美国参议院银行委员会主席布朗也表达了类似的批评意见。该委员会负责就美联储提名人的确认举行听证会。周四共和党参议员Daines在写给总统拜登的信中表示,拜登应让鲍威尔再次执掌美联储4年以建立对经济复苏的信心,美国经济目前仍然面临着重大风险。这封信是银行委员会正式就鲍威尔连任进行的表态。\n截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.65%,报35120.08点;标普500指数涨0.81%,报4441.67点;纳斯达克指数涨1.19%,报14714.66点。\n中概股审计与数据监管\n中国证监会召开2021年系统年终监管工作会议,分析当前形势,研究部署下阶段重点工作。证监会党委书记、主席易会满发表题为《坚持稳中求进,深化改革开放,进一步推动资本市场实现高质量发展》的报告。会议中提出要坚定不移推动资本市场制度型对外开放,创造条件推动中美审计监管合作,加强市场沟通,稳定政策预期和制度环境。深化内地与香港市场互联互通,坚定香港资本市场稳定发展。今年以来证监会曾多次就中国公司赴美上市以及中概股审计监管进行表态,寻求与美方相关监管机构加强金融领域的跨境监管与合作。\n据新华社报道,今日最高立法机构全国人民代表大会常务委员会通过了个人信息保护法,该法律将于11月1日起生效。报道中提到,关键信息基础设施运营者和个人信息达到国家网信部门规定数量的个人信息,应将中国境内处理收集的个人信息存储于境内;需向境外提供的应通过国家网信部门组织的安全评估。\n截止收盘,京东涨2.30%,阿里巴巴跌1.61%,滴滴涨3.75%,腾讯音乐涨3.18%,哔哩哔哩涨3.44%。下图为近一个月以来主要中概股的价格走势。\n疫情不阻美国科技股领涨\n目前美国单日新增确诊143,827例,较14天前平均数值增长44%;单日新增死亡911,较14天前平均数值增长108%;单日新增住院人数86,877,较14天前平均数值增长53%。美国安全运输局表示将疫情期间佩戴口罩的防疫令延长至明年1月18日,国土安全部表示将与美加陆地边界的限制延长至9月21日,纽约市自17日起启动民众进入公共场所出示疫苗证明的政策。苹果公司推迟员工重返办公室时间由10月至明年1月并强烈鼓励员工接种疫苗,英特尔CEO表示接种新冠疫苗的员工提供现金奖励。美股市场今日再次回到疫情期间科技股带动其他板块上涨的状态,下图为美国新冠住院人数的走势图。\n\n特斯拉昨日举行AI日,表示将推出自己的人工智能训练计算机Dojo芯片,并宣布将制造可执行重复性任务的人形机器人的计划。马斯克表示AI芯片和机器人原型或将在明年准备就绪,并表示此类机器人的部署将从根本上改变经济、缓解劳动力短缺。该机器人身高约172,重量大概112斤,速度可达到8公里每小时,该机器人原型包括8个摄像机和脸部的屏幕,以及电池、芯片、机械臂等多个组成部分,其中AI芯片和电池将是重要结构。\n\n上周以来特斯拉因美国交管局对其Autopilot自动驾驶技术的调查引起广泛关注,监管机构调查该公司自2018年1月以来发生的11起涉及自动驾驶识别技术的交通事故。两名参议员本周要求调查特斯拉在营销中是否夸大其自动驾驶功能。目前特斯拉没有就该安全调查或参议员的要求作出回复。\n微软宣布上调MicrosoftOffice 365商业企业版订阅价格,这是微软自10年以前推出该产品以来首次实质性涨价。微软表示,新的价格将于6个月后生效。随着价格的增长,微软还将在未来几个月内扩展音频会议功能,为企业、商业、前线和政府版本的MicrosoftTeams会议增加无限的拨号功能,并为超过70个国家提供订阅支持,还支持44种语言和方言的交互式支持。多家投行上调对微软的目标价,瑞银、Wedbush和瑞穗将微软的目标价由$325上调至$350。受消息驱动,微软今日股价首次站上$300。\n美国时政热点\n拜登今日举行记者发布会,承诺将疏散所有希望离开阿富汗的美国人,并表示将寻求盟友的帮助。同时,拜登强调不能保证疏散的最终结果,但承诺将调动一切必要的资源。拜登表示,自7月以来美国已从阿富汗撤离了18,000人,包括自8月14日军方开始空运行动以来的13,000人,白宫称过去24小时内5,700人离开了阿富汗。国会两党参议员呼吁下周就政府对美军撤出的处理方式举行听证会,调查阿富汗出现政治和军事崩溃的原因。据华尔街日报报道,美国国务院7月的内部备忘录曾警告喀布尔会发生美军撤离后的崩溃。最新公布的民调显示,拜登的支持率下降了7个百分点至上任以来最低。同时据报道,美国副总统哈里斯即将对越南和新加坡进行访问。白宫表示,以色列总理贝内特将于8月26日访问美国。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830686168,"gmtCreate":1629070794354,"gmtModify":1676529918701,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Mmm","listText":"Mmm","text":"Mmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830686168","repostId":"2159260155","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896335409,"gmtCreate":1628555536501,"gmtModify":1703507978429,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"555","listText":"555","text":"555","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896335409","repostId":"1115482984","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150545637,"gmtCreate":1624923043529,"gmtModify":1703847836204,"author":{"id":"3566969517736877","authorId":"3566969517736877","name":"EricBong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fde094766f7e452651736b62882d9cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566969517736877","idStr":"3566969517736877"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Okoklah","listText":"Okoklah","text":"Okoklah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150545637","repostId":"1186578125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186578125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624879503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186578125?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 19:25","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Dalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186578125","media":"人民币交易与研究","summary":"全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文,介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标,并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。\n在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中,达里奥表示,","content":"<p>On June 24, Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, posted two tweets introducing his six metrics for measuring bubbles and released a 10-minute video explaining his views on the current stock market bubble.</p><p>In the video, which was requested by the Robin Hood Foundation to explain the stock bubble, Dalio stated that while indicators show that some stocks currently \"have a bubble,\" the stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed46d81d71867f2d1eb8b3b9ad012779\" tg-width=\"532\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"By bubble, I mean unsustainably high prices, and I measure it using six metrics,\" Dalio tweeted, noting that investors need to pay attention to signs such as buyer leverage levels and the number of new buyers.</p><p>In fact, as early as mid-May, Dalio shared his research on stock market bubbles on his official WeChat account, detailing these six systemic \"bubble indicators,\" including price, bullish sentiment, and leverage:</p><p>1. How high is the price compared to traditional measurement standards?</p><p>2. Do prices reflect an unsustainable situation?</p><p>3. How many new buyers (i.e., people who were not previously in the market) entered the market?</p><p>4. How widespread is bullish sentiment?</p><p>5. Does the trade rely on high leverage?</p><p>6. Do buyers engage in excessive forward trading (such as building inventory, entering into forward agreements, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves from future price increases?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89447f632ae50e578dd9ebcd007795e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The following is the full text of the video presentation titled \"Is the Stock Market Currently in a Bubble?\"</p><p>Hello everyone, it's great to be here on behalf of everyone who has been helped by Robin Hood (the Foundation).</p><p>You know, I knew Robin Hood because I knew Paul Tudor Jones when Robin Hood was a glimmer of light in his eyes. He would play basketball with the kids in the Bed Stuy neighborhood, and I was fortunate to see him and all the staff at the Robin Hood Foundation helping alleviate poverty in America in a very personal and efficient way, and to be a part of it. Everything you've done has been wonderful, so I just want to thank you for everything you've done and tell you how happy I am to be able to come here and do my small part.</p><p>I was asked to talk about bubbles, whether the market, the stock market, is in a bubble, and what kind of bubble it is. I just want to give you some thoughts on this problem, I only have about 10 minutes. So I want to speak quickly. A few years ago, I started thinking: What is a bubble? When we are in a bubble, what do I mean by bubble? Because in my 50-year investment career, I have seen many bubbles.</p><p>There are six things in my mind that I basically think will cause a bubble, and I've listed them one by one. Now, look at them so that you know what I'm talking about.</p><p>First, as you know, how high our prices are relative to traditional price measures is a consideration. For example, you know things like our PSI or yield, which is a consideration, but it's not what I'm talking about as a bubble.</p><p>For example, high prices and low returns may occur, and this situation can last for a long time. However, this does not mean that the bubble will burst; it is just one of the components.</p><p>Second, price reflects unsustainable conditions, referring to the nature of the buyer, who is buying, and how they are buying. Unsustainable conditions can lead to price adjustments or declines, and then a third speculative factor emerges—new buyers are attracted to the market.</p><p>You know, it’s like a cocktail party where some people who never attend show up, which is investing in certain assets, maybe tech stocks, maybe real estate, but either way, everyone thinks that not holding those things will make them feel stupid, and so on.</p><p>The fifth is the large purchase of forward \"contracts,\" such as someone buying an apartment they don't know about because they think it will rise, or using the era of large-scale commodity trading as an example. I would observe people who use commodities, who buy a large number of forward contracts. In other words, buy inventory to protect yourself from rising prices.</p><p>So when they leave the market—as we've seen recently in the commodities market—when they sell forward contracts and prices continue to fall, they say, \"I don't want it either.\"</p><p>When prices rise, they will say that we need to implement premium protection to hedge against the price increase. Therefore, buyers who extend these forward purchases are a (bubble) indicator.</p><p>I use this table to show the entire stock market, and I apply this framework to basically all assets, and use a systematic approach to try to determine which ones are in a bubble. In my opinion, among all kinds of stocks, some have bubbles and some do not, and the entire stock market is as this chart shows.</p><p>This chart dates back to 1910 and is an indicator of the extent of the bubble. You can see that there is a bubble now, but it is not as high as in 2000 and 1929, but it is higher than in 2007.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4f2ff86c22e19d1a051e96d120c0fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Let's look at stocks with bubbles; according to these criteria, many stocks do not have bubbles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebf9f9bfdd5c982106b5c4f97acf635\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This chart dates back to 1995. Compared to 2000, the market capitalization of the top 1,000 companies has a bubble of about 5%, and the share of the entire S&P 500 index with a bubble is about 2%. Although not as high as in 2000, it is higher than in 2007.</p><p>Now let's look at the next chart showing bubble stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15720e9f5f0240be2ddeda3d14230eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>When I separate these bubble stocks from the S&P 500 index, I can see that the proportion of bubble stocks in the broader market is decreasing. I believe this situation is likely to continue, but we are currently in a bubble. One problem is that bubbles can expand and contract, and timing is a big issue.</p><p>The chart below dates back to 1900. The chart above shows the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP), the blue line below shows the interest rate, and the red line shows the scale of money printing, which is the amount of money flowing in. So you can see that when debt accumulates, as is the case now, and near-zero interest rates are implemented, both conditions exist simultaneously, and money is printed in large quantities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d3d3c839ca42009c377a3eed7c9c3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This is a key factor in bubbles because there is a lot of liquidity entering the market, and then a lot of money drives up the prices of various assets, so you can see that when the blue line touches zero, the red line rises sharply. A large amount of liquidity, massive debt financing, and debt monetization have created a typical bubble.</p><p>Other factors that can create bubbles are new stock listings, especially if they are not profitable, or in many cases have no prospect of profitability.</p><p>These are also considerations for bubbles, so I would say that you cannot say that the current stock market is in the highest degree of bubble. You must distinguish which stocks are in a bubble or have always been in a bubble. Which stocks are not? In fact, many stocks are not currently in a bubble.</p><p>So I hope this gives you some insight into bubbles, how I view them, and where we are right now. Thank you.</p>","source":"lsy1574157197600","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDalio's latest speech: The stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">人民币交易与研究</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 19:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 24, Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, posted two tweets introducing his six metrics for measuring bubbles and released a 10-minute video explaining his views on the current stock market bubble.</p><p>In the video, which was requested by the Robin Hood Foundation to explain the stock bubble, Dalio stated that while indicators show that some stocks currently \"have a bubble,\" the stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed46d81d71867f2d1eb8b3b9ad012779\" tg-width=\"532\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"By bubble, I mean unsustainably high prices, and I measure it using six metrics,\" Dalio tweeted, noting that investors need to pay attention to signs such as buyer leverage levels and the number of new buyers.</p><p>In fact, as early as mid-May, Dalio shared his research on stock market bubbles on his official WeChat account, detailing these six systemic \"bubble indicators,\" including price, bullish sentiment, and leverage:</p><p>1. How high is the price compared to traditional measurement standards?</p><p>2. Do prices reflect an unsustainable situation?</p><p>3. How many new buyers (i.e., people who were not previously in the market) entered the market?</p><p>4. How widespread is bullish sentiment?</p><p>5. Does the trade rely on high leverage?</p><p>6. Do buyers engage in excessive forward trading (such as building inventory, entering into forward agreements, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves from future price increases?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89447f632ae50e578dd9ebcd007795e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The following is the full text of the video presentation titled \"Is the Stock Market Currently in a Bubble?\"</p><p>Hello everyone, it's great to be here on behalf of everyone who has been helped by Robin Hood (the Foundation).</p><p>You know, I knew Robin Hood because I knew Paul Tudor Jones when Robin Hood was a glimmer of light in his eyes. He would play basketball with the kids in the Bed Stuy neighborhood, and I was fortunate to see him and all the staff at the Robin Hood Foundation helping alleviate poverty in America in a very personal and efficient way, and to be a part of it. Everything you've done has been wonderful, so I just want to thank you for everything you've done and tell you how happy I am to be able to come here and do my small part.</p><p>I was asked to talk about bubbles, whether the market, the stock market, is in a bubble, and what kind of bubble it is. I just want to give you some thoughts on this problem, I only have about 10 minutes. So I want to speak quickly. A few years ago, I started thinking: What is a bubble? When we are in a bubble, what do I mean by bubble? Because in my 50-year investment career, I have seen many bubbles.</p><p>There are six things in my mind that I basically think will cause a bubble, and I've listed them one by one. Now, look at them so that you know what I'm talking about.</p><p>First, as you know, how high our prices are relative to traditional price measures is a consideration. For example, you know things like our PSI or yield, which is a consideration, but it's not what I'm talking about as a bubble.</p><p>For example, high prices and low returns may occur, and this situation can last for a long time. However, this does not mean that the bubble will burst; it is just one of the components.</p><p>Second, price reflects unsustainable conditions, referring to the nature of the buyer, who is buying, and how they are buying. Unsustainable conditions can lead to price adjustments or declines, and then a third speculative factor emerges—new buyers are attracted to the market.</p><p>You know, it’s like a cocktail party where some people who never attend show up, which is investing in certain assets, maybe tech stocks, maybe real estate, but either way, everyone thinks that not holding those things will make them feel stupid, and so on.</p><p>The fifth is the large purchase of forward \"contracts,\" such as someone buying an apartment they don't know about because they think it will rise, or using the era of large-scale commodity trading as an example. I would observe people who use commodities, who buy a large number of forward contracts. In other words, buy inventory to protect yourself from rising prices.</p><p>So when they leave the market—as we've seen recently in the commodities market—when they sell forward contracts and prices continue to fall, they say, \"I don't want it either.\"</p><p>When prices rise, they will say that we need to implement premium protection to hedge against the price increase. Therefore, buyers who extend these forward purchases are a (bubble) indicator.</p><p>I use this table to show the entire stock market, and I apply this framework to basically all assets, and use a systematic approach to try to determine which ones are in a bubble. In my opinion, among all kinds of stocks, some have bubbles and some do not, and the entire stock market is as this chart shows.</p><p>This chart dates back to 1910 and is an indicator of the extent of the bubble. You can see that there is a bubble now, but it is not as high as in 2000 and 1929, but it is higher than in 2007.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4f2ff86c22e19d1a051e96d120c0fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Let's look at stocks with bubbles; according to these criteria, many stocks do not have bubbles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebf9f9bfdd5c982106b5c4f97acf635\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This chart dates back to 1995. Compared to 2000, the market capitalization of the top 1,000 companies has a bubble of about 5%, and the share of the entire S&P 500 index with a bubble is about 2%. Although not as high as in 2000, it is higher than in 2007.</p><p>Now let's look at the next chart showing bubble stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15720e9f5f0240be2ddeda3d14230eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>When I separate these bubble stocks from the S&P 500 index, I can see that the proportion of bubble stocks in the broader market is decreasing. I believe this situation is likely to continue, but we are currently in a bubble. One problem is that bubbles can expand and contract, and timing is a big issue.</p><p>The chart below dates back to 1900. The chart above shows the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP), the blue line below shows the interest rate, and the red line shows the scale of money printing, which is the amount of money flowing in. So you can see that when debt accumulates, as is the case now, and near-zero interest rates are implemented, both conditions exist simultaneously, and money is printed in large quantities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d3d3c839ca42009c377a3eed7c9c3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This is a key factor in bubbles because there is a lot of liquidity entering the market, and then a lot of money drives up the prices of various assets, so you can see that when the blue line touches zero, the red line rises sharply. A large amount of liquidity, massive debt financing, and debt monetization have created a typical bubble.</p><p>Other factors that can create bubbles are new stock listings, especially if they are not profitable, or in many cases have no prospect of profitability.</p><p>These are also considerations for bubbles, so I would say that you cannot say that the current stock market is in the highest degree of bubble. You must distinguish which stocks are in a bubble or have always been in a bubble. Which stocks are not? In fact, many stocks are not currently in a bubble.</p><p>So I hope this gives you some insight into bubbles, how I view them, and where we are right now. Thank you.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lv14Xv-iB491-ddK3pdX_w\">人民币交易与研究</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ac6f61084482a9c0c70291c78e92f5","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lv14Xv-iB491-ddK3pdX_w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186578125","content_text":"全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文,介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标,并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。\n在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中,达里奥表示,虽然指标显示一些股票目前“存在泡沫”,但股市眼下不一定处于泡沫中。\n\n达里奥在推文中写道,“我所说的泡沫是指不可持续的高价,我用六项指标来衡量它”,并指出投资者需关注买家杠杆水平和新买家数量等迹象。\n事实上,早在5月中旬时,达里奥就曾在公众号分享了他对股市泡沫的研究,详述了这六种系统性“泡沫指标”,包括价格、看涨情绪、杠杆高低等:\n1. 相对传统的衡量标准,价格有多高?\n2. 价格是否反映了不可持续的状况?\n3. 有多少新买家(即之前不在市场里的人)进入了市场?\n4. 看涨情绪有多普遍?\n5. 交易是否依赖高杠杆的支撑?\n6. 买家是否过度进行远期交易(如建立库存、签订远期协议等)来投机或保护自己免受未来价格上涨的影响?\n\n以下是这个名为《股市目前是否处于泡沫中?》的视频演讲全文:\n大家好,很高兴能代表所有被罗宾汉(基金会)帮助过的人来到这里。\n你们知道,知道罗宾汉,是因为我认识保罗·都铎·琼斯,当时罗宾汉是他眼里的一抹微光,他会在贝德福德-斯图文森特街区(Bed Stuy)和孩子们一起打篮球,我很幸运能够看到他和罗宾汉基金的所有工作人员,以一种非常个人化和高效的方式来帮助减轻美国的贫困,并且能够成为其中的一员。你们所做的一切都很棒,所以我只想感谢你们所做的一切,并且告诉你们能够来到这里并尽我的微薄之力,我有多么高兴。\n我被要求谈论泡沫,市场、股市是否处于泡沫中,以及什么样的泡沫。我只想给你们一些关于这个问题的想法,我只有大约10分钟的时间。所以我想讲快点,几年前,我开始思考:什么是泡沫?当我们身处泡沫中时,我所说的泡沫是指什么?因为在我50年的投资生涯中,我看到了很多泡沫。\n在我脑海中,有六件事是我基本上认为会导致产生泡沫的,我将他们一一列举出来。现在,看着它们,以便您知道我在说什么。\n首先,您知道,我们的价格相对于传统的价格衡量标准有多高是一个考虑因素。例如,你知道我们的PSI或收益率之类的东西,这是一个考虑因素,但这不是我所说的泡沫。\n比方说,可能出现价格高回报低的现象,而且这种情况可以持续很长时间,但这并不意味着泡沫会破灭,只是其中一个组成因素。\n第二,价格是反映不可持续的条件,这里指的是买方的性质,谁在买入和如何买入,不可持续的条件会产生了价格调整或下跌,然后就出现了第三个投机因素——市场上的新买家被吸引了。\n您知道,这就像鸡尾酒会,有些从不参加的人出现了,也就是投资了某些资产,可能是科技股,也可能是房地产,但无论如何,每个人都想,没有持有这些东西会让他们觉得自己很蠢,诸如此类。\n第五项是大额购买远期“合约”,比如有人买了他们不了解的公寓,因为他们认为公寓会上涨,或者用大规模交易大宗商品的年代来举例。我会观察那些使用大宗商品的人,他们购买了大量远期合约。换句话说,购买库存以保护自己免受价格上涨的影响。\n所以当他们离场的时候——正如我们最近在大宗商品市场看到的——当他们抛售远期合约时,价格持续下跌,他们会说“我也不想要它”。\n而当价格上涨时,他们会说我们要进行溢价保护,对冲价格上涨。所以,延长了这些远期购买的买家是一个(泡沫)指标。\n我用这张表显示整个股市,我把这个框架基本上应用到所有资产上,并且使用一种系统化的方法,试图判断哪些处在泡沫中。在我看来,在各种各样的股票中,有些存在泡沫,有些则没有,而整个股市正如这张图表所显示的。\n这张图表可以追溯到1910年,它是一个彰显泡沫程度的指标。你可以看到当前是有泡沫的,但没有2000年和1929年那么高,不过高于2007年。\n\n让我们看看存在泡沫的股票,根据这些标准,很多股票没有泡沫。\n\n这张图表追溯到1995年,与2000年相比,前1000名的企业市值存在泡沫比例约为5%,整个标普500指数存在泡沫的份额约为2%,虽然不如2000年高,但比2007年高。\n现在来看下一张显示了泡沫股票的图表。\n\n我把这些泡沫股票与标准普尔500指数分离,可以看到泡沫股在大盘中的比例下降,我相信这种情况很可能会持续下去,但目前处于泡沫之中。其中一个问题是,泡沫可以扩张和收缩,时机是个大问题。\n下面这张图表可以追溯到1900年,上图显示的是债务与国内生产总值(GDP)之比,下图中蓝线显示的是利率,红线显示印钞规模,也就是流入的货币量。所以你可以看到当债务累加时,就像现在的情况,并且实施近零利率,这两种情况同时存在时就会大肆印钞。\n\n这是泡沫的一个关键因素,因为有大量的流动性进入市场,然后有很多资金哄抬各种各样的资产价格,所以你可以看到,当蓝线触及零时,红线大幅上行。大量流动性,大量的债务融资和债务货币化形成了一个典型的泡沫。\n其他可能产生泡沫的因素则是新股上市,特别是如果它们没有盈利,或者是在许多情况下没有盈利的前景。\n这些也是泡沫的考虑因素,所以我想说,你不能说当前的股市处于最高程度的泡沫,你必须区分哪些股票正处于泡沫中、或者一直处于泡沫中;哪些股票没有,实际上目前有许多股票并没有处于泡沫中。\n所以我希望这能让你对泡沫有所了解、我如何看待它们以及我们目前处于什么位置。谢谢。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}