Jerrywong76 personal page - To The Moon

Jerrywong76

Jerrywong76

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2021-08-30

When you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.

Wake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending

2021-08-06

$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.

2021-07-16

$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$Is there another animation after “game over”?

2021-07-03

Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.

AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock

2021-06-28

$Alibaba(09988)$Finally it is heading up

2021-06-24

The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.

AMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality

2021-06-22

The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!

AMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks

2021-06-18

Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.

AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators

2021-06-18

I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?

NIO Is Winning

2021-06-17

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Let’s hang on my fellow apes

2021-06-17

So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.

Forget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich

2021-06-15

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Where lambo?

2021-06-14

This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.

'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's

2021-06-13

Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?

Prediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025

2021-06-13

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.

2021-06-03

The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??

AMC: Hedge Fund 1-0 Reddit Army

2021-05-24

$Alibaba(09988)$Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?

2021-05-20

$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$Am I a bag holder?

2021-05-18

That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago

Palantir: Risky And Expensive

2021-04-28

This is good news but might be too late for India

Pfizer’s new at-home pill to treat Covid could be available by end of the year, CEO hopes

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.","listText":"When you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.","text":"When you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811439172","repostId":"2163588460","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2163588460","pubTimestamp":1630333440,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2163588460?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-30 22:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2163588460","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Box office receipts for the movie industry this weekend were the lowest in more than two months. It was a cruel summer, but AMC has a box of candy up its sleeve.","content":"<p>It was a rough weekend at the corner multiplex. Movie theaters across the country had just $61.6 million in gross ticket sales over the weekend, the weakest box office action in more than two months. Horror flick <i>Candyman</i> was the top draw, but in terms of audience counts, the showing proved to be more trick than treat.</p>\n<p>This is literally the worst weekend performance of the summer season, and the trend isn't kind. We've seen box office receipts post sequential declines in five of the past seven weeks since peaking with <i>Black Widow</i>'s premiere. That particular week in early July was the only weekend that the industry broke above $100 million in ticket sales, a feat that happened every single weekend for movie studios during the 2018 and 2019 peak summer seasons.</p>\n<p>An empty theater is obviously a bad look for the industry, flying in the face of the narrative of <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AMC) as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of this year's hottest stocks. AMC is nearly a 20-bagger in 2021, but the fumbled momentum for the exhibitors this summer is defying the otherwise buoyant stock chart. Let's take a closer look at what went wrong, and why it's too soon to dismiss AMC's chances to get back on track.</p>\n<h2>The \"Candyman\" can't</h2>\n<p>Don't point the finger at <b>Comcast</b>'s (NASDAQ:CMCSA) <i>Candyman</i> reboot as the cause for the slump. It's checking in with a solid 85% approval rating for film critics tracked by Rotten Tomatoes. You also can't blame the widespread availability of online streaming options. <i>Candyman</i> (as well as the weekend's second-highest grossing film, <i>Free Guy</i>) are exclusive theatrical releases.</p>\n<p>An easier culprit to blame right now could be the delta variant of COVID-19. The summertime surge of the deadly virus is likely keeping people away from indoor social settings, but even that's not a viable lone scapegoat. Box office receipts are 43% below the same period -- the weekend before the Labor Day holiday weekend -- in 2019. It's a safe bet that your local bars, indoor malls, and even restaurants aren't seeing a 43% plunge in sales over the past two years.</p>\n<p>This summer was supposed to be the great rebirth of going out to the movies. Studios that had to delay 2020 and even early 2021 releases are now flooding the pipeline. Comcast's Universal Studios, for example, was originally set to put out <i>Candyman</i> 13 months ago. Here we are, a couple of delays later, and audiences failed to materialize despite saying the film title five times in front of a mirror. Less than 1% of the country saw <i>Candyman</i> over the weekend, and less than 2% of the country saw <i>any</i> movie at the multiplex.</p>\n<p>The convenience of streaming video entertainment is something that will challenge AMC and its smaller peers. It also obviously doesn't help that folks can freely enjoy movies at home without having to mask up the way that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is suggesting for indoor gatherings at the movie house.</p>\n<p>The bullish thesis that summer audiences would build for the multiplex operators has gone the other way. This doesn't mean that the industry is doomed. It doesn't mean that folks have flocked back home after the initial retro novelty of going back to the movies.</p>\n<p>More to an AMC-specific point, it doesn't mean that the leading exhibitor took a 43% hit to its top line this weekend relative to where it was two years ago, when its stock was trading much lower. The chain has been gaining market share this year against other movie theater stocks, and it's also getting a lot better at monetizing the experience. Food and beverage purchases per customer were a whopping 42% higher at AMC in the second quarter than they were during the same financial period in 2019.</p>\n<p>We're not at the point where the concessions stand is making enough to offset the drop in attendance, but this is the high-margin part of the multiplex model. It's problematic to see the telltale summer season fizzle out this way, but there's still time to go before the end credits start to roll.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-30 22:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/30/wake-up-amc-stock-summer-is-ending/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It was a rough weekend at the corner multiplex. Movie theaters across the country had just $61.6 million in gross ticket sales over the weekend, the weakest box office action in more than two months. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/30/wake-up-amc-stock-summer-is-ending/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/30/wake-up-amc-stock-summer-is-ending/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2163588460","content_text":"It was a rough weekend at the corner multiplex. Movie theaters across the country had just $61.6 million in gross ticket sales over the weekend, the weakest box office action in more than two months. Horror flick Candyman was the top draw, but in terms of audience counts, the showing proved to be more trick than treat.\nThis is literally the worst weekend performance of the summer season, and the trend isn't kind. We've seen box office receipts post sequential declines in five of the past seven weeks since peaking with Black Widow's premiere. That particular week in early July was the only weekend that the industry broke above $100 million in ticket sales, a feat that happened every single weekend for movie studios during the 2018 and 2019 peak summer seasons.\nAn empty theater is obviously a bad look for the industry, flying in the face of the narrative of AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC) as one of this year's hottest stocks. AMC is nearly a 20-bagger in 2021, but the fumbled momentum for the exhibitors this summer is defying the otherwise buoyant stock chart. Let's take a closer look at what went wrong, and why it's too soon to dismiss AMC's chances to get back on track.\nThe \"Candyman\" can't\nDon't point the finger at Comcast's (NASDAQ:CMCSA) Candyman reboot as the cause for the slump. It's checking in with a solid 85% approval rating for film critics tracked by Rotten Tomatoes. You also can't blame the widespread availability of online streaming options. Candyman (as well as the weekend's second-highest grossing film, Free Guy) are exclusive theatrical releases.\nAn easier culprit to blame right now could be the delta variant of COVID-19. The summertime surge of the deadly virus is likely keeping people away from indoor social settings, but even that's not a viable lone scapegoat. Box office receipts are 43% below the same period -- the weekend before the Labor Day holiday weekend -- in 2019. It's a safe bet that your local bars, indoor malls, and even restaurants aren't seeing a 43% plunge in sales over the past two years.\nThis summer was supposed to be the great rebirth of going out to the movies. Studios that had to delay 2020 and even early 2021 releases are now flooding the pipeline. Comcast's Universal Studios, for example, was originally set to put out Candyman 13 months ago. Here we are, a couple of delays later, and audiences failed to materialize despite saying the film title five times in front of a mirror. Less than 1% of the country saw Candyman over the weekend, and less than 2% of the country saw any movie at the multiplex.\nThe convenience of streaming video entertainment is something that will challenge AMC and its smaller peers. It also obviously doesn't help that folks can freely enjoy movies at home without having to mask up the way that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is suggesting for indoor gatherings at the movie house.\nThe bullish thesis that summer audiences would build for the multiplex operators has gone the other way. This doesn't mean that the industry is doomed. It doesn't mean that folks have flocked back home after the initial retro novelty of going back to the movies.\nMore to an AMC-specific point, it doesn't mean that the leading exhibitor took a 43% hit to its top line this weekend relative to where it was two years ago, when its stock was trading much lower. The chain has been gaining market share this year against other movie theater stocks, and it's also getting a lot better at monetizing the experience. Food and beverage purchases per customer were a whopping 42% higher at AMC in the second quarter than they were during the same financial period in 2019.\nWe're not at the point where the concessions stand is making enough to offset the drop in attendance, but this is the high-margin part of the multiplex model. It's problematic to see the telltale summer season fizzle out this way, but there's still time to go before the end credits start to roll.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899657113,"gmtCreate":1628181411332,"gmtModify":1703502781944,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$</a>Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$</a>Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.&nbsp;","text":"$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899657113","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170471486,"gmtCreate":1626448393145,"gmtModify":1703760463755,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$</a>Is there another animation after “game over”?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$</a>Is there another animation after “game over”?","text":"$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$Is there another animation after “game over”?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092481d525d18e5da8826519bb073570","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170471486","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152050313,"gmtCreate":1625243755532,"gmtModify":1703739366246,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you&nbsp;like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.&nbsp;","listText":"Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you&nbsp;like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.&nbsp;","text":"Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152050313","repostId":"1121860286","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1121860286","pubTimestamp":1625212613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121860286?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121860286","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Attendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.</li>\n <li>The company needs to more&nbsp;than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.</li>\n <li>Someday shares will fall 90% from this point.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798af80ddf8412e6beabc5bf60891141\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RichLegg/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>I'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.</p>\n<p><b>Attendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money</b></p>\n<p>On Monday, AMC put out a&nbsp;press release&nbsp;touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c54d7e40d29666bf8b78f554f233e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9f8c597b1ba417c6b478358caa9cc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"62\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Businesswire</span></p>\n<p>For reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b604e216de76939782f86a868e40889d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\"><span>Source: AMC Entertainment</span></p>\n<p>The pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.</p>\n<p>As you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ce4607284db107f9758f4735a99ccd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\"><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p>\n<p>But what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.</p>\n<p>This kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.</p>\n<p><b>Not all MemeStocks are created Equal</b></p>\n<p>The first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as&nbsp;Chewy founder Ryan&nbsp;took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock&nbsp;began losing money&nbsp;at an alarming clip.</p>\n<p>In the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a&nbsp;win for retail investors&nbsp;sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as&nbsp;Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).</p>\n<p>None of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Maybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.</p>\n<p>I'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.</p>\n<p>Good luck to all!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 15:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.\nSomeday shares will fall 90% from this point.\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121860286","content_text":"Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.\nSomeday shares will fall 90% from this point.\n\nRichLegg/E+ via Getty Images\nI'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.\nAttendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money\nOn Monday, AMC put out a press release touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:\n\nSource: Businesswire\nFor reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:\nSource: AMC Entertainment\nThe pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.\nAs you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:\nSource: Koyfin\nBut what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.\nThis kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.\nNot all MemeStocks are created Equal\nThe first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as Chewy founder Ryan took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock began losing money at an alarming clip.\nIn the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a win for retail investors sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).\nNone of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.\nLikewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.\nConclusion\nMaybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.\nI'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.\nGood luck to all!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150921575,"gmtCreate":1624883644797,"gmtModify":1703846940011,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Finally it is heading up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Finally it is heading up","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$Finally it is heading up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264b51a2980dea1f6a9e89dc24de38ce","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150921575","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121415736,"gmtCreate":1624489187625,"gmtModify":1703837971814,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.","listText":"The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.","text":"The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121415736","repostId":"1113795668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113795668","pubTimestamp":1624447267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113795668?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113795668","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nEarnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.\nThe economics","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Earnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.</li>\n <li>The economics of buying an AMC movie theater rather than the stock.</li>\n <li>Shorting AMC is mostly common sense, not a conspiracy. And where investors may have to be more careful.</li>\n <li>Emotion may tell you to buy. Reason will tell you to sell.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I’ve written two articles recently for Seeking Alpha on AMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC), one onJune 4and one onJune 17. The comments I have gotten back in response to the articles were eye-opening for me. I feel like I’ve been let into a world I didn’t know existed. Which means that I also must seem pretty odd to the inhabitants of this ape-world. So, I’d like to explain my point of view in this open letter.</p>\n<p><b>Why I keep harping on AMC’s earnings</b></p>\n<p>One shocker to me is that literally<i>no</i>comment that disagreed with my AMC view ever challenged me on earnings. The same is true for comments on my sell calls on Zillow(NASDAQ:Z), Redfin(NASDAQ:RDFN), Rocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)and Opendoor(NASDAQ:OPEN). So, why do I keep talking about earnings?<i>Because that’s how stocks work.</i>First, common sense says that it works. A share of stock is a share ownership of a company; that’s just a fact. We start and own businesses in order to earn money.</p>\n<p>Second, history says that the relationship between earnings and stock prices exists. A few charts will illustrate this point. First, let’s compare the S&amp;P 500 index with S&amp;P 500 EPS a year ahead:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d09e129752eec6290923863d17249487\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,Yardeni Research</i></p>\n<p>The stock market clearly moves with earnings expectations. Now, let’s look at an individual stock. I chose McDonald’s(NYSE:MCD):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092d5bc6eb84253ba4ae6fea1f92113f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,company reports</i></p>\n<p>Once again, a clear correlation – McDonald’s earns more, investors pay more to own it. Let’s now turn to a company whose earnings prospects took a turn – GoPro(NASDAQ:GPRO):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cb1e3a96d4e6e70cc8cb8dbc3b4643f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,company reports</i></p>\n<p>GoPro’s stock price leaped after its IPO on the assumption that booming sales of its cameras would send earnings soaring above its 2014 EPS of $1.32. But smartphones – the cameras in our pockets – diverted sales away from GoPro, and its EPS took a serious slide into negative territory. In response, the stock tanked. It has only recently made a modest recovery as GoPro management managed to start earning money.<i>Again, a clear link between earnings and the stock price</i>.</p>\n<p>OK, one more – company X:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3b9e1ded9a66995ca17edc221ddd9a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,company reports</i></p>\n<p>Another excellent correlation between earnings and stock price. This company saw some EPS growth during 2015 and 2016, but earnings then turned south. The stock price followed.</p>\n<p>Who is this company X? I bet you guessed it – AMC!<i>Up until the pandemic hit, AMC’s stock performed like other stocks – on earnings expectations. It will again.</i></p>\n<p><b>Do you want to own an AMC theater?</b></p>\n<p>Instead of owning AMC stock, how about if you owned an AMC theater? This way, you are a real business owner.</p>\n<p>At last look, AMC’s market cap is $30.5 billion. Add in about $3.5 billion of debt less cash and we’ll say that AMC’s theaters are currently valued at $34 billion. At the beginning of this year, AMC had 950 movie theaters. That means, each theater is valued today at $36 million.</p>\n<p>If you don’t borrow money to pay your $36 million, my best guess from AMC’s financials is that you’ll rake in $220,000 in profits. Not bad, right? A cool 0.6% return on your investment. A return likely to shrink over time as we spend more time streaming and less time at the movies. Or you could buy more current favorite stock MGIC(NYSE:MTG), which last year generatedcash EPS of $2.45, an 18% return on its current stock price. But you would have to give up the free movie tickets from owning a theater. Your choice. I’ve gone for the latter. 18% &gt; 0.6%.</p>\n<p><b>Is it really different this time?</b></p>\n<p>Will AMC stock continue to rise just because apes continue to put more and more money in it? Can AMC become a permanent short squeeze?</p>\n<p>I’m old. While that means my tennis game is sinking, it also has allowed me to see lots of “it’s different this time” stories. They almost never work. Gravity takes over and brings magical beliefs back to earth. The ‘80s commercial real estate boom, the ‘90s internet boom, the ‘00s housing boom, all relied on broad-based beliefs that this time was different, and if you didn’t agree, “you don’t get it”. Gravity brought all three beliefs painfully back to earth. Betting against gravity is a serious long shot.</p>\n<p><b>Is the stock market fixed?</b></p>\n<p>Lots of the comments to my articles suggested that meme investing is revenge against a financial system fixed against the little guy and gal. I consider myself to be pretty cynical, but I can’t see the stock market as a whole as fixed. Some evidence:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>The link I established above between earnings and stock prices.</i>This means that, in the long run, it is company performance that determines stock prices, not Wall Street.</li>\n <li><i>Mutual funds routinely underperform index funds.</i>Big fund complexes like BlackRock, T. Rowe Price and Fidelity all have highly paid analysts and portfolio managers running their money. But many studies have shown that they generally do<i>worse</i>than market averages. So, they are no better than we are.</li>\n <li><i>Hedge funds have done even worse.</i>For example,NASDAQreported that the average hedge fund earned 11% in 2020, well below the S&amp;P 500 18% return. And they did far worse in 2019 – up 10% compared to +31% for the S&amp;P 500. My belief is that hedge funds have too much money chasing a small group of trades. Now, hedge fund<i>managers</i>can make obscene amounts of money because of their lucrative 2%/20% compensation structure. That’s another story. But hedge fund investors have been left behind.</li>\n <li><i>Wall Street is blanketed with regulations aimed at levelling the playing field.</i>There are rules against insider trading, selectively disseminating material information and many other forms of bad behavior. Of course, smart people can and do slip by some rules, but rampant cheating is quite difficult to achieve.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Are short sellers lying to support their positions?</b></p>\n<p>There certainly are cases of this, but a far simpler answer explains why GameStop(NYSE:GME)and AMC are short targets. Come on – both are store-based businesses in an increasingly online world, right? With several years of losses behind them already. Blockbuster, Sears, Pier One… shorting the Old Economy is not rocket science.</p>\n<p>But how are potential investors in these New Age companies supposed to deal with these dramatic claims?</p>\n<p>Zillow. From its10-K:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “ \n <i>As we continue to expand into transaction-related services, our Total Addressable Market [TAM] has expanded from $19 billion in U.S. real estate related advertising…to $2.2 trillion of annual home sales…</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Sounds awesome, right? $2.2&nbsp;<i>trillion</i>&nbsp;of potential revenues for Zillow. Except if home sellers expect to keep some of the proceeds of their home sales. In fact, the average real estate commission is 4.5%, giving Zillow an actual TAM of $100 billion. $100 billion &lt; $2.2 trillion. By a<i>lot.</i></p>\n<p>Rocket Mortgage. From itsQ1 earnings conference call:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “ \n <i>As we continue to expand our platform, creating certainty for clients in categories that have historically been challenging, the opportunity for Rocket Companies is gigantic. Consider this; when combined real estate, automotive sales and financial services, all markets where we're helping to lead the way, account for nearly one third of the US GDP</i>.” (My highlighting)\n</blockquote>\n<p>Wow! Amazon&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;will soon be a blip in Rocket’s rear-view mirror if I believe any of this. By the way, check out Rocket’s insider sales while management is dishing out this hype.</p>\n<p><b>Emotions versus reason</b></p>\n<p>I see a lot of anger, frustration, and revenge in the AMC comments. Life stinks a lot, so I get the rationale for these emotions. But I have learned that emotions are the enemy of successful investing.<i>Any</i>emotions, ranging from fear to enthusiasm. Rational thinking about a company’s value, or even (not my style) investors’ moods, has proven to work better.</p>\n<p>All of us primates, human and ape, are heavily driven by emotions (even me!), so we are never going to squeeze all of them out of our investment decisions. But the more squeezing, the better.</p>\n<p><b>All of the above says “Sell AMC”</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMC’s earnings prospects can’t come close to supporting the current stock price. Gravity will do its job.</li>\n <li>If you don’t want to own a movie theater, don’t own the stock.</li>\n <li>AMC short sellers are driven more by common sense than by some conspiracy.</li>\n <li>AMC’s stock price contains an enormous emotional content, and a change in those fickle emotions will change the stock price quickly.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 19:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436112-amc-stock-open-letter-to-apes-stock-market-and-reality><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEarnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.\nThe economics of buying an AMC movie theater rather than the stock.\nShorting AMC is mostly common sense, not a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436112-amc-stock-open-letter-to-apes-stock-market-and-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436112-amc-stock-open-letter-to-apes-stock-market-and-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1113795668","content_text":"Summary\n\nEarnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.\nThe economics of buying an AMC movie theater rather than the stock.\nShorting AMC is mostly common sense, not a conspiracy. And where investors may have to be more careful.\nEmotion may tell you to buy. Reason will tell you to sell.\n\nI’ve written two articles recently for Seeking Alpha on AMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC), one onJune 4and one onJune 17. The comments I have gotten back in response to the articles were eye-opening for me. I feel like I’ve been let into a world I didn’t know existed. Which means that I also must seem pretty odd to the inhabitants of this ape-world. So, I’d like to explain my point of view in this open letter.\nWhy I keep harping on AMC’s earnings\nOne shocker to me is that literallynocomment that disagreed with my AMC view ever challenged me on earnings. The same is true for comments on my sell calls on Zillow(NASDAQ:Z), Redfin(NASDAQ:RDFN), Rocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)and Opendoor(NASDAQ:OPEN). So, why do I keep talking about earnings?Because that’s how stocks work.First, common sense says that it works. A share of stock is a share ownership of a company; that’s just a fact. We start and own businesses in order to earn money.\nSecond, history says that the relationship between earnings and stock prices exists. A few charts will illustrate this point. First, let’s compare the S&P 500 index with S&P 500 EPS a year ahead:\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,Yardeni Research\nThe stock market clearly moves with earnings expectations. Now, let’s look at an individual stock. I chose McDonald’s(NYSE:MCD):\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,company reports\nOnce again, a clear correlation – McDonald’s earns more, investors pay more to own it. Let’s now turn to a company whose earnings prospects took a turn – GoPro(NASDAQ:GPRO):\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,company reports\nGoPro’s stock price leaped after its IPO on the assumption that booming sales of its cameras would send earnings soaring above its 2014 EPS of $1.32. But smartphones – the cameras in our pockets – diverted sales away from GoPro, and its EPS took a serious slide into negative territory. In response, the stock tanked. It has only recently made a modest recovery as GoPro management managed to start earning money.Again, a clear link between earnings and the stock price.\nOK, one more – company X:\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,company reports\nAnother excellent correlation between earnings and stock price. This company saw some EPS growth during 2015 and 2016, but earnings then turned south. The stock price followed.\nWho is this company X? I bet you guessed it – AMC!Up until the pandemic hit, AMC’s stock performed like other stocks – on earnings expectations. It will again.\nDo you want to own an AMC theater?\nInstead of owning AMC stock, how about if you owned an AMC theater? This way, you are a real business owner.\nAt last look, AMC’s market cap is $30.5 billion. Add in about $3.5 billion of debt less cash and we’ll say that AMC’s theaters are currently valued at $34 billion. At the beginning of this year, AMC had 950 movie theaters. That means, each theater is valued today at $36 million.\nIf you don’t borrow money to pay your $36 million, my best guess from AMC’s financials is that you’ll rake in $220,000 in profits. Not bad, right? A cool 0.6% return on your investment. A return likely to shrink over time as we spend more time streaming and less time at the movies. Or you could buy more current favorite stock MGIC(NYSE:MTG), which last year generatedcash EPS of $2.45, an 18% return on its current stock price. But you would have to give up the free movie tickets from owning a theater. Your choice. I’ve gone for the latter. 18% > 0.6%.\nIs it really different this time?\nWill AMC stock continue to rise just because apes continue to put more and more money in it? Can AMC become a permanent short squeeze?\nI’m old. While that means my tennis game is sinking, it also has allowed me to see lots of “it’s different this time” stories. They almost never work. Gravity takes over and brings magical beliefs back to earth. The ‘80s commercial real estate boom, the ‘90s internet boom, the ‘00s housing boom, all relied on broad-based beliefs that this time was different, and if you didn’t agree, “you don’t get it”. Gravity brought all three beliefs painfully back to earth. Betting against gravity is a serious long shot.\nIs the stock market fixed?\nLots of the comments to my articles suggested that meme investing is revenge against a financial system fixed against the little guy and gal. I consider myself to be pretty cynical, but I can’t see the stock market as a whole as fixed. Some evidence:\n\nThe link I established above between earnings and stock prices.This means that, in the long run, it is company performance that determines stock prices, not Wall Street.\nMutual funds routinely underperform index funds.Big fund complexes like BlackRock, T. Rowe Price and Fidelity all have highly paid analysts and portfolio managers running their money. But many studies have shown that they generally doworsethan market averages. So, they are no better than we are.\nHedge funds have done even worse.For example,NASDAQreported that the average hedge fund earned 11% in 2020, well below the S&P 500 18% return. And they did far worse in 2019 – up 10% compared to +31% for the S&P 500. My belief is that hedge funds have too much money chasing a small group of trades. Now, hedge fundmanagerscan make obscene amounts of money because of their lucrative 2%/20% compensation structure. That’s another story. But hedge fund investors have been left behind.\nWall Street is blanketed with regulations aimed at levelling the playing field.There are rules against insider trading, selectively disseminating material information and many other forms of bad behavior. Of course, smart people can and do slip by some rules, but rampant cheating is quite difficult to achieve.\n\nAre short sellers lying to support their positions?\nThere certainly are cases of this, but a far simpler answer explains why GameStop(NYSE:GME)and AMC are short targets. Come on – both are store-based businesses in an increasingly online world, right? With several years of losses behind them already. Blockbuster, Sears, Pier One… shorting the Old Economy is not rocket science.\nBut how are potential investors in these New Age companies supposed to deal with these dramatic claims?\nZillow. From its10-K:\n\n “ \n As we continue to expand into transaction-related services, our Total Addressable Market [TAM] has expanded from $19 billion in U.S. real estate related advertising…to $2.2 trillion of annual home sales…”\n\nSounds awesome, right? $2.2 trillion of potential revenues for Zillow. Except if home sellers expect to keep some of the proceeds of their home sales. In fact, the average real estate commission is 4.5%, giving Zillow an actual TAM of $100 billion. $100 billion < $2.2 trillion. By alot.\nRocket Mortgage. From itsQ1 earnings conference call:\n\n “ \n As we continue to expand our platform, creating certainty for clients in categories that have historically been challenging, the opportunity for Rocket Companies is gigantic. Consider this; when combined real estate, automotive sales and financial services, all markets where we're helping to lead the way, account for nearly one third of the US GDP.” (My highlighting)\n\nWow! Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) will soon be a blip in Rocket’s rear-view mirror if I believe any of this. By the way, check out Rocket’s insider sales while management is dishing out this hype.\nEmotions versus reason\nI see a lot of anger, frustration, and revenge in the AMC comments. Life stinks a lot, so I get the rationale for these emotions. But I have learned that emotions are the enemy of successful investing.Anyemotions, ranging from fear to enthusiasm. Rational thinking about a company’s value, or even (not my style) investors’ moods, has proven to work better.\nAll of us primates, human and ape, are heavily driven by emotions (even me!), so we are never going to squeeze all of them out of our investment decisions. But the more squeezing, the better.\nAll of the above says “Sell AMC”\n\nAMC’s earnings prospects can’t come close to supporting the current stock price. Gravity will do its job.\nIf you don’t want to own a movie theater, don’t own the stock.\nAMC short sellers are driven more by common sense than by some conspiracy.\nAMC’s stock price contains an enormous emotional content, and a change in those fickle emotions will change the stock price quickly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129319507,"gmtCreate":1624358601109,"gmtModify":1703834288397,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!","listText":"The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!","text":"The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129319507","repostId":"1135948909","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1135948909","pubTimestamp":1624321371,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135948909?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135948909","media":"thestreet","summary":"AMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that","content":"<p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to dominate Reddit-retail trading.</p>\n<p><i>TheStreet's</i>founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.</p>\n<p>Cramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's&nbsp;(<b>WEN</b>) -Get Report, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(<b>BBBY</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;and Cleveland Cliffs&nbsp;(<b>CLF</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;-- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>) -Get Report.</p>\n<p>With both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.</p>\n<p>AMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.</p>\n<p>GameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.</p>\n<p>\"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \"&nbsp;GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"</p>\n<p>AMC shares were marked 8.5%&nbsp; lower in mid-day trading Monday to change hands at $54.30 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 350%.</p>\n<p>GameStop shares slumped 7.2% lower to $198.40 each, a gain of 12.5% from last month's levels.</p>\n<p>Data from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 777 mentions.</p>\n<p>Short interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.</p>\n<p>For GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 08:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135948909","content_text":"AMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to dominate Reddit-retail trading.\nTheStreet'sfounder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.\nCramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's (WEN) -Get Report, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) -Get Report and Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) -Get Report -- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop (GME) -Get Report.\nWith both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.\nAMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.\nGameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.\n\"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \" GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"\nAMC shares were marked 8.5%  lower in mid-day trading Monday to change hands at $54.30 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 350%.\nGameStop shares slumped 7.2% lower to $198.40 each, a gain of 12.5% from last month's levels.\nData from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 777 mentions.\nShort interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.\nFor GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166272795,"gmtCreate":1624014910017,"gmtModify":1703826588466,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.&nbsp;","listText":"Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.&nbsp;","text":"Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166272795","repostId":"1131310015","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131310015","pubTimestamp":1623987347,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131310015?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131310015","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pul","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>\n <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>\n <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>\n <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p>\n<p>Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p>\n<p>Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p>\n<p><b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p>\n<p>I start with the key assumptions:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p>\n<p><i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p>\n<p><b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p>\n<p><b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p>\n<p><b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p>\n<p>We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>\n <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p>\n<p>We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p>\n<p><i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p>\n<p><b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p>\n<p>Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p>\n<p>Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p>\n<blockquote>\n “[\n <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Pretty clever, no? No:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Uh oh. What now?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Ouch.</p>\n<p><b>Buyers beware</b></p>\n<p>As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 11:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131310015","content_text":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.\nSell before the other speculators do.\n\nRgStudio/E+ via Getty Images\nWhat are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer forThe Wall Street Journal, and John Brooks, author of “Business Adventures”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.\nInvestor vs. trader vs. speculator\nJason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021Wall Street Journalcolumn:\n\n “\n Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”\n\nSo why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assetsnevercame up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.\nMr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.\nA 2022 AMC earnings forecast\nI start with the key assumptions:\n\nMy time frame for reference is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.\nThe national box officeis the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.\nAMC market share.I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.\nAdmissions gross margin.This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.\nFood expenses as a percent of sales.I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs andmultiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.\nFood and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.\nOperating expensesare the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.\nWe’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:\n\nThe ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:\n\nDepreciation/amortizationis a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.\nInterest expenseshould decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.\n\nThe gravitational pull of earnings\nWe arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.\nThe bottom line - no support for investors.AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words ofTrading Places, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”\nThe speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale\nMillennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The bookBusiness Adventuresby John Brooks,published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.\nShorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:\n\n “\n Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…”\n\nThe sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.\n\n “\n He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”\n\nToday we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.\n\n “\n One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.”\n\nSomething to think about. What was Saunders to do?\n\n “[\n Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments.”\n\nPretty clever, no? No:\n\n “\n At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”\n\nUh oh. What now?\n\n“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller & Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”\n\nOuch.\nBuyers beware\nAs Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?\nAMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166270775,"gmtCreate":1624014663297,"gmtModify":1703826578877,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?&nbsp;","listText":"I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?&nbsp;","text":"I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166270775","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148576248?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc.  stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>\n <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>\n <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p>\n<p>In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p>\n<p><b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p>\n<p>NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p>\n<p>Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p>\n<p>Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p>\n<p>One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p>\n<p>NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p>\n<p>China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p>\n<p>Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p>\n<p><b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p>\n<p>NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p>\n<p>The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p>\n<p>However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p>\n<p>Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p>\n<p>Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p>\n<p>NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p>\n<p>NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p>\n<p>Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p>\n<p>NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161763897,"gmtCreate":1623940893619,"gmtModify":1703824158371,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Let’s hang on my fellow apes","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Let’s hang on my fellow apes","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Let’s hang on my fellow apes","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f41f2e896f4b1941367b4701ed5393","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161763897","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161787932,"gmtCreate":1623940810326,"gmtModify":1703824153441,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.&nbsp;","listText":"So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.&nbsp;","text":"So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161787932","repostId":"2144056746","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144056746","pubTimestamp":1623938340,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144056746?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144056746","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Meme-stock mania has launched AMC stock to new highs, but that doesn't mean you should buy it.","content":"<p>Throughout 2021, <b>AMC Entertainment</b> (NYSE:AMC) has been swept up in meme-stock mania. Despite its worsening financial situation, shares have skyrocketed 2,600% this year. And while there is something charming about individual investors upending Wall Street, AMC stock is poised to disappoint.</p>\n<p>Rather than chasing meme-stocks, investors should consider buying <b>Cloudflare</b> (NYSE:NET). This company is growing quickly and its future looks bright. Here's why.</p>\n<h2>AMC Entertainment</h2>\n<p>Perhaps, the most important thing investors should know about AMC is something the company itself mentioned in a recent 8-K Filing: \"We believe that recent volatility and our current market prices reflect [dynamics] unrelated to our underlying business.\"</p>\n<p>The statement goes on to caution investors against buying stock unless they are prepared to <i>lose all or a significant portion</i> of their investment. Of course, you should never invest money you can't afford to lose, but this dire warning should still rattle current and prospective shareholders.</p>\n<p>If you're not convinced, let's look at AMC's financial results. Last year, attendance and revenue fell 79% and 77%, respectively. And despite reopening roughly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-third&nbsp;of its international theaters and two-thirds of its domestic theaters, its performance has actually worsened this year. Attendance and revenue plunged 89% and 84%, respectively, during the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Understandably, some investors are hoping things improve as the economy reopens. But that may be too late -- the competitive landscape has already shifted dramatically.</p>\n<p>During the pandemic, streaming services like HBO Max and Peacock went live, Disney+ started taking titles directly to consumers, and Universal Studios cut the theatrical exclusivity window to 17 days&nbsp;-- prior to the pandemic, AMC retained exclusive rights for about 90 days. Put simply, the company is facing more competition than ever before.</p>\n<p>As a final thought, in a recent 10-Q Filing with the SEC, AMC explained that it will need to reach 85% of pre-pandemic attendance levels by the fourth quarter of 2021 in order to comply with minimum liquidity requirements. If that doesn't happen, bankruptcy would likely be the next step, which means shareholders would \"suffer a total loss of their investment.\"</p>\n<h2>Cloudflare</h2>\n<p>Cloudflare is a cloud services provider. Its platform helps clients secure and accelerate the performance of websites and applications. For example, it recently launched Cloudflare One, a network-as-a-service solution designed to replace outdated corporate networks.</p>\n<p>Traditionally, enterprises have taken a castle-and-moat approach to network security. All sensitive data was stored in a central location, and firewall appliances and internet gateways&nbsp;were used to filter incoming and outgoing traffic. This was both costly and inefficient, often resulting in lag time for remote workers.</p>\n<p>By comparison, Cloudflare One acts as a secure access service edge&nbsp;(SASE). Rather than sending traffic through a central hub, SASE is a distributed network architecture. This means employees connect to Cloudflare's network, where traffic is filtered and security policies are enforced, then traffic is routed to the internet or the corporate network.</p>\n<p>This creates a fast, secure experience for employees, allowing them to access corporate resources and applications&nbsp;from any location, on any device. Moreover, according to research firm Gartner, 40%&nbsp;of enterprises will have plans to adopt SASE by 2024, up from just 1% in 2018. That radical shift gives Cloudflare a big opportunity.</p>\n<p>More importantly, the company is executing on that opportunity. Cloudflare has consistently delivered strong financial results in recent years.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th><p>Metric</p></th>\n   <th><p>2017</p></th>\n   <th><p>Q1 2021 (TTM)</p></th>\n   <th><p>CAGR</p></th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>Customers</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>49,309</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>119,206</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>31%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$135 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$478 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>48%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Cloudflare&nbsp;SEC Filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p>\n<p>In addition to growing quickly, Cloudflare also reported a net retention rate of 123% in the most recent quarter. Put another way, the average spend per customer increased 23% in Q1. This underscores the value of its platform. And assuming Cloudflare can maintain that momentum, the future looks bright for the tech company.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 21:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Throughout 2021, AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) has been swept up in meme-stock mania. Despite its worsening financial situation, shares have skyrocketed 2,600% this year. And while there is something ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","NET":"Cloudflare, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144056746","content_text":"Throughout 2021, AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) has been swept up in meme-stock mania. Despite its worsening financial situation, shares have skyrocketed 2,600% this year. And while there is something charming about individual investors upending Wall Street, AMC stock is poised to disappoint.\nRather than chasing meme-stocks, investors should consider buying Cloudflare (NYSE:NET). This company is growing quickly and its future looks bright. Here's why.\nAMC Entertainment\nPerhaps, the most important thing investors should know about AMC is something the company itself mentioned in a recent 8-K Filing: \"We believe that recent volatility and our current market prices reflect [dynamics] unrelated to our underlying business.\"\nThe statement goes on to caution investors against buying stock unless they are prepared to lose all or a significant portion of their investment. Of course, you should never invest money you can't afford to lose, but this dire warning should still rattle current and prospective shareholders.\nIf you're not convinced, let's look at AMC's financial results. Last year, attendance and revenue fell 79% and 77%, respectively. And despite reopening roughly one-third of its international theaters and two-thirds of its domestic theaters, its performance has actually worsened this year. Attendance and revenue plunged 89% and 84%, respectively, during the first quarter.\nUnderstandably, some investors are hoping things improve as the economy reopens. But that may be too late -- the competitive landscape has already shifted dramatically.\nDuring the pandemic, streaming services like HBO Max and Peacock went live, Disney+ started taking titles directly to consumers, and Universal Studios cut the theatrical exclusivity window to 17 days -- prior to the pandemic, AMC retained exclusive rights for about 90 days. Put simply, the company is facing more competition than ever before.\nAs a final thought, in a recent 10-Q Filing with the SEC, AMC explained that it will need to reach 85% of pre-pandemic attendance levels by the fourth quarter of 2021 in order to comply with minimum liquidity requirements. If that doesn't happen, bankruptcy would likely be the next step, which means shareholders would \"suffer a total loss of their investment.\"\nCloudflare\nCloudflare is a cloud services provider. Its platform helps clients secure and accelerate the performance of websites and applications. For example, it recently launched Cloudflare One, a network-as-a-service solution designed to replace outdated corporate networks.\nTraditionally, enterprises have taken a castle-and-moat approach to network security. All sensitive data was stored in a central location, and firewall appliances and internet gateways were used to filter incoming and outgoing traffic. This was both costly and inefficient, often resulting in lag time for remote workers.\nBy comparison, Cloudflare One acts as a secure access service edge (SASE). Rather than sending traffic through a central hub, SASE is a distributed network architecture. This means employees connect to Cloudflare's network, where traffic is filtered and security policies are enforced, then traffic is routed to the internet or the corporate network.\nThis creates a fast, secure experience for employees, allowing them to access corporate resources and applications from any location, on any device. Moreover, according to research firm Gartner, 40% of enterprises will have plans to adopt SASE by 2024, up from just 1% in 2018. That radical shift gives Cloudflare a big opportunity.\nMore importantly, the company is executing on that opportunity. Cloudflare has consistently delivered strong financial results in recent years.\n\n\n\nMetric\n2017\nQ1 2021 (TTM)\nCAGR\n\n\n\n\nCustomers\n49,309\n119,206\n31%\n\n\nRevenue\n$135 million\n$478 million\n48%\n\n\n\nSource: Cloudflare SEC Filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.\nIn addition to growing quickly, Cloudflare also reported a net retention rate of 123% in the most recent quarter. Put another way, the average spend per customer increased 23% in Q1. This underscores the value of its platform. And assuming Cloudflare can maintain that momentum, the future looks bright for the tech company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187611055,"gmtCreate":1623751844377,"gmtModify":1704210488450,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Where lambo?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Where lambo?","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Where lambo?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7310416b070914683eae96ba05964c84","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187611055","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182473928,"gmtCreate":1623601803564,"gmtModify":1704206868374,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.","listText":"This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.","text":"This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182473928","repostId":"2143788705","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143788705","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623530160,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143788705?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-13 04:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143788705","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareh","content":"<blockquote>\n Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Who says the NFT bubble has popped ?</b></p>\n<p>A non-fungible token (NFT) of a digital artwork called a CryptoPunk defied expectations and just sold for $11.8 million at Sotheby's on Thursday this week.</p>\n<p>\"CryptoPunks are a set of 10,000 pixel-art characters made by Larva Labs in 2017\" and the mega bucks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that sold-- CryptoPunk #7523 -- is \"of the sought-after Alien variety with blue-green skin, and wearing a medical mask,\" according to Reuters . It was bought with bitcoin and no physical artwork changes hands.</p>\n<p>Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$(DKNG)$</a>.</p>\n<p>\"We are excited to continue to explore new and interesting ways in presenting these cutting-edge works,\" Michael Bouhanna, a contemporary art specialist at Sotheby's, told Reuters.</p>\n<p>This week the famous \"Doge\" NFT also sold at another auction for $4 million.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-13 04:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Who says the NFT bubble has popped ?</b></p>\n<p>A non-fungible token (NFT) of a digital artwork called a CryptoPunk defied expectations and just sold for $11.8 million at Sotheby's on Thursday this week.</p>\n<p>\"CryptoPunks are a set of 10,000 pixel-art characters made by Larva Labs in 2017\" and the mega bucks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that sold-- CryptoPunk #7523 -- is \"of the sought-after Alien variety with blue-green skin, and wearing a medical mask,\" according to Reuters . It was bought with bitcoin and no physical artwork changes hands.</p>\n<p>Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$(DKNG)$</a>.</p>\n<p>\"We are excited to continue to explore new and interesting ways in presenting these cutting-edge works,\" Michael Bouhanna, a contemporary art specialist at Sotheby's, told Reuters.</p>\n<p>This week the famous \"Doge\" NFT also sold at another auction for $4 million.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143788705","content_text":"Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings.\n\nWho says the NFT bubble has popped ?\nA non-fungible token (NFT) of a digital artwork called a CryptoPunk defied expectations and just sold for $11.8 million at Sotheby's on Thursday this week.\n\"CryptoPunks are a set of 10,000 pixel-art characters made by Larva Labs in 2017\" and the mega bucks one that sold-- CryptoPunk #7523 -- is \"of the sought-after Alien variety with blue-green skin, and wearing a medical mask,\" according to Reuters . It was bought with bitcoin and no physical artwork changes hands.\nSotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings $(DKNG)$.\n\"We are excited to continue to explore new and interesting ways in presenting these cutting-edge works,\" Michael Bouhanna, a contemporary art specialist at Sotheby's, told Reuters.\nThis week the famous \"Doge\" NFT also sold at another auction for $4 million.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182372415,"gmtCreate":1623556145037,"gmtModify":1704206071376,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?","listText":"Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?","text":"Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182372415","repostId":"2142524078","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142524078","pubTimestamp":1623379800,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142524078?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142524078","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Amazon at $10,000 in four years might sound outrageous, but it's actually saner than you realize.","content":"<p>The stock market offers few guarantees. However, there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> exception: Change is constant.</p>\n<p>Looking back, it's not uncommon to see the market's 10 largest companies by market cap completely reshuffle every five or 10 years. Innovation, competitive advantages, and acquisitions, among other factors, regularly crown new superstars and pull the rug out from beneath widely held companies.</p>\n<p>It's my belief that e-commerce giant <b>Amazon</b> (NASDAQ:AMZN) is on track to soon surpass both <b>Microsoft</b>&nbsp;and <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;to become the largest publicly traded company. And that's not all. Between now and 2025, I predict Amazon will hit $10,000 a share. This would give the company a $5 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p>Sound outrageous or too good to be true? I'm about to show you why $10,000 by 2025 is saner than you think.</p>\n<h2>Amazon's online market share is unrivaled</h2>\n<p>Let's start by examining Amazon's two (yes, <i>two</i>) dominant operating models.</p>\n<p>Most people are probably very familiar with Amazon's online marketplace. According to data found on statistics-aggregator Statista, nearly 215 million people visited Amazon's online sites in December 2019. We can probably safely assume this figure moved substantially higher throughout 2020, with consumers stuck in their homes due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p>\n<p>Yet this isn't the jaw-dropping figure. What's even more impressive is that Amazon controls an estimated 40.4% of all online sales in the U.S., according to an April 2021 report from eMarketer. Think about this for a moment: $0.40 of every $1 spent online in the U.S. is being routed through Amazon, and the company's market share keeps inching higher.</p>\n<p>While it's great to be the go-to source for e-commerce, Amazon is also acutely aware of how razor thin retail margins can be. It's helped offset this by pushing its Prime membership.</p>\n<p>With Prime, members enjoy free two-day shipping, the unlimited streaming of movies and videos on Prime Video, and multiple deals and discounts when shopping. For Amazon, Prime helps the company generate tens of billions of dollars in additional revenue. With more than 200 million Prime members worldwide, Amazon is able to use the revenue from Prime to undercut brick-and-mortar retailers on price. It also doesn't hurt that Prime members have added incentive to spend more and to stay within Amazon's ecosystem of products and services.</p>\n<h2>AWS is becoming a more important puzzle piece</h2>\n<p>But Amazon is about far more than just its dominant online marketplace. The company's cloud infrastructure segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS), is also an absolute beast.</p>\n<p>According to global technology-analysis company Canalys, worldwide cloud revenue spending in the first quarter of 2021 totaled $41.8 billion. Of that nearly $42 billion, Google Cloud (a division of <b>Alphabet</b>) accounted for 7%, Microsoft Azure was responsible for 19%, and AWS stood tall with a 32% market share!</p>\n<p>With the pandemic wreaking havoc on traditional workplaces, businesses of all sizes have been pushing online and into the cloud to reach customers. That's meant sustainably high demand for AWS, which provides everything from database storage and content delivery to advanced analytics and management tools.</p>\n<p>How impressive has AWS been for Amazon? During the worst economic downturn in decades in 2020, AWS <i>still</i> grew sales by 30%. Revenue jumped another 32% in the first quarter of 2021, which pushed its annual sales run rate to about $54 billion.</p>\n<p>What's important to realize about AWS is that the margins associated with cloud infrastructure services are light years higher than Amazon's online marketplace. Even though AWS accounted for \"just\" $13.5 billion of the company's $108.5 billion in net sales in Q1 2021, it produced close to $4.2 billion in operating income. Amazon's other businesses, which yielded $95 billion in revenue, produced only $4.7 billion in operating income. In short, as AWS grows into a large percentage of total sales, operating income and cash flow will grow at a much faster rate than the company's total sales.</p>\n<h2>Amazon at $10,000 by 2025 is a very real possibility</h2>\n<p>Here's where things get interesting. It's no secret that Amazon's valuation doesn't make much sense using traditional fundamental analysis. This is to say that its price-to-earnings ratio and book value have always been in nosebleed territory. However, neither measure serves much purpose when we're talking about a nontraditional, fast-growing business. Since Amazon chooses to reinvest a majority of its capital, operating cash flow and historic operating cash flow multiples are considerably better measures of value for the company.</p>\n<p>Dating back to 2010, Amazon has ended each of the past 11 years at a multiple relative to its operating cash flow of between 23 and 37. Again, from a fundamental perspective, this might seem high. But given Amazon's utter dominance in e-commerce and cloud infrastructure services, it's a multiple that Wall Street and investors have been perfectly willing to support for more than a decade.</p>\n<p>As we look to 2021 and beyond, Wall Street is crystal clear that it expects AWS to help more than double Amazon's cash flow per share. Keeping in mind that estimates are fluid, here's what analysts are looking for, in terms of cash flow per share, through 2025, courtesy of <b>FactSet</b>:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>2021:</b> $153.73 consensus cash flow per share (CFPS)</li>\n <li><b>2022:</b> $192.99 consensus CFPS</li>\n <li><b>2023:</b> $234.91 consensus CFPS</li>\n <li><b>2024:</b> $294.30 consensus CFPS</li>\n <li><b>2025:</b> $341.70 consensus CFPS</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If Amazon were to simply remain valued at the median of its operating cash flow multiple (30) over the past 11 years (the midpoint between 23 and 37), the $341.70 in CFPS that it's estimated by Wall Street to bring in by 2025 would lead to a share price of (drum roll) $10,251.</p>\n<p>Amazon at $10,000 might seem like a pie-in-the-sky number, but it would be right in line with how investors have always valued the company. As long as AWS keeps growing by close to 30%, Amazon at $10,000 by 2025 becomes a very achievable target over the next four years.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 10:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/10/prediction-amazon-will-hit-10000-by-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market offers few guarantees. However, there is one exception: Change is constant.\nLooking back, it's not uncommon to see the market's 10 largest companies by market cap completely reshuffle...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/10/prediction-amazon-will-hit-10000-by-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","09086":"华夏纳指-U","AAPL":"苹果","03086":"华夏纳指"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/10/prediction-amazon-will-hit-10000-by-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142524078","content_text":"The stock market offers few guarantees. However, there is one exception: Change is constant.\nLooking back, it's not uncommon to see the market's 10 largest companies by market cap completely reshuffle every five or 10 years. Innovation, competitive advantages, and acquisitions, among other factors, regularly crown new superstars and pull the rug out from beneath widely held companies.\nIt's my belief that e-commerce giant Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is on track to soon surpass both Microsoft and Apple to become the largest publicly traded company. And that's not all. Between now and 2025, I predict Amazon will hit $10,000 a share. This would give the company a $5 trillion market cap.\nSound outrageous or too good to be true? I'm about to show you why $10,000 by 2025 is saner than you think.\nAmazon's online market share is unrivaled\nLet's start by examining Amazon's two (yes, two) dominant operating models.\nMost people are probably very familiar with Amazon's online marketplace. According to data found on statistics-aggregator Statista, nearly 215 million people visited Amazon's online sites in December 2019. We can probably safely assume this figure moved substantially higher throughout 2020, with consumers stuck in their homes due to the coronavirus pandemic.\nYet this isn't the jaw-dropping figure. What's even more impressive is that Amazon controls an estimated 40.4% of all online sales in the U.S., according to an April 2021 report from eMarketer. Think about this for a moment: $0.40 of every $1 spent online in the U.S. is being routed through Amazon, and the company's market share keeps inching higher.\nWhile it's great to be the go-to source for e-commerce, Amazon is also acutely aware of how razor thin retail margins can be. It's helped offset this by pushing its Prime membership.\nWith Prime, members enjoy free two-day shipping, the unlimited streaming of movies and videos on Prime Video, and multiple deals and discounts when shopping. For Amazon, Prime helps the company generate tens of billions of dollars in additional revenue. With more than 200 million Prime members worldwide, Amazon is able to use the revenue from Prime to undercut brick-and-mortar retailers on price. It also doesn't hurt that Prime members have added incentive to spend more and to stay within Amazon's ecosystem of products and services.\nAWS is becoming a more important puzzle piece\nBut Amazon is about far more than just its dominant online marketplace. The company's cloud infrastructure segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS), is also an absolute beast.\nAccording to global technology-analysis company Canalys, worldwide cloud revenue spending in the first quarter of 2021 totaled $41.8 billion. Of that nearly $42 billion, Google Cloud (a division of Alphabet) accounted for 7%, Microsoft Azure was responsible for 19%, and AWS stood tall with a 32% market share!\nWith the pandemic wreaking havoc on traditional workplaces, businesses of all sizes have been pushing online and into the cloud to reach customers. That's meant sustainably high demand for AWS, which provides everything from database storage and content delivery to advanced analytics and management tools.\nHow impressive has AWS been for Amazon? During the worst economic downturn in decades in 2020, AWS still grew sales by 30%. Revenue jumped another 32% in the first quarter of 2021, which pushed its annual sales run rate to about $54 billion.\nWhat's important to realize about AWS is that the margins associated with cloud infrastructure services are light years higher than Amazon's online marketplace. Even though AWS accounted for \"just\" $13.5 billion of the company's $108.5 billion in net sales in Q1 2021, it produced close to $4.2 billion in operating income. Amazon's other businesses, which yielded $95 billion in revenue, produced only $4.7 billion in operating income. In short, as AWS grows into a large percentage of total sales, operating income and cash flow will grow at a much faster rate than the company's total sales.\nAmazon at $10,000 by 2025 is a very real possibility\nHere's where things get interesting. It's no secret that Amazon's valuation doesn't make much sense using traditional fundamental analysis. This is to say that its price-to-earnings ratio and book value have always been in nosebleed territory. However, neither measure serves much purpose when we're talking about a nontraditional, fast-growing business. Since Amazon chooses to reinvest a majority of its capital, operating cash flow and historic operating cash flow multiples are considerably better measures of value for the company.\nDating back to 2010, Amazon has ended each of the past 11 years at a multiple relative to its operating cash flow of between 23 and 37. Again, from a fundamental perspective, this might seem high. But given Amazon's utter dominance in e-commerce and cloud infrastructure services, it's a multiple that Wall Street and investors have been perfectly willing to support for more than a decade.\nAs we look to 2021 and beyond, Wall Street is crystal clear that it expects AWS to help more than double Amazon's cash flow per share. Keeping in mind that estimates are fluid, here's what analysts are looking for, in terms of cash flow per share, through 2025, courtesy of FactSet:\n\n2021: $153.73 consensus cash flow per share (CFPS)\n2022: $192.99 consensus CFPS\n2023: $234.91 consensus CFPS\n2024: $294.30 consensus CFPS\n2025: $341.70 consensus CFPS\n\nIf Amazon were to simply remain valued at the median of its operating cash flow multiple (30) over the past 11 years (the midpoint between 23 and 37), the $341.70 in CFPS that it's estimated by Wall Street to bring in by 2025 would lead to a share price of (drum roll) $10,251.\nAmazon at $10,000 might seem like a pie-in-the-sky number, but it would be right in line with how investors have always valued the company. As long as AWS keeps growing by close to 30%, Amazon at $10,000 by 2025 becomes a very achievable target over the next four years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186542547,"gmtCreate":1623514431789,"gmtModify":1704205385817,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbbbd4e23f5b521e189bb6bd890653d1","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186542547","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118303305,"gmtCreate":1622717206007,"gmtModify":1704189557169,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??","listText":"The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??","text":"The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118303305","repostId":"1178258633","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1178258633","pubTimestamp":1622709110,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178258633?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 16:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Hedge Fund 1-0 Reddit Army","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178258633","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of AMC surged 23% on news of a private share placement.\nPrivate share placements dil","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares of AMC surged 23% on news of a private share placement.</li>\n <li>Private share placements dilute shareholders and AMC's price should have gone down, not surged.</li>\n <li>It looks as if this hedge fund just monetized the Reddit army.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/072cd9d13e01f3f3defe064d4bcf6589\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Tom Cooper/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Shares of AMC Entertainment (AMC) surged another 23% on Tuesday after the movie theater chain announced a private placement of shares to an investment fund. Normally, capital raises cause stock prices to fall, not increase. The hedge fund looks to have turned the tables on the Reddit army.</p>\n<p><b>Reason for AMC's price reaction</b></p>\n<p>Movie theater company AMC just did what a lot of companies do that have a lot of debt to service and need to confront an uncertain future… they offer new shares to investors and use the funds as a life line to survive.</p>\n<p>AMC issued&nbsp;8,500,000 shares&nbsp;for $230,500,000 to an investment firm named Mudrick Capital Management, LP. The investment firm has a focus on event-driven investing and distressed debt.</p>\n<p>AMC said that it will use the proceeds from the capital raise for the \"pursuit of value creating acquisitions of theater assets and leases, as well as investments to enhance the consumer appeal of its theaters\".</p>\n<p>Fresh capital is much needed. AMC's revenues cratered during the pandemic and the theater chain is still suffering from COVID-19 shutdown restrictions and social distancing regulations.</p>\n<p>Although AMC's revenues are expected to bounce back this year as the pandemic seemingly comes to an end, COVID-19 may have changed movie viewing habits permanently.</p>\n<p>One big challenge for AMC will be to get viewers back into its movie theaters. Streaming already was a competitive threat to the industry before COVID-19 and the pandemic may have accelerated this trend. A lot of people seem to have&nbsp;serious anxiety&nbsp;regarding a lockdown exit, so there is a valid question to be asked if movie theaters can really return to normal once the pandemic ends.</p>\n<p>But back to AMC's announcement.</p>\n<p>Shares of AMC surged 23% on Tuesday, which brings the total year-to-date return to more than 1,500%.</p>\n<p>Looking at the technical situation of AMC… shares are now very, very much overbought...</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eda20bf9503e3abf095e0fb05639597b\" tg-width=\"1267\" tg-height=\"727\"><span>(Source: TradingView)</span></p>\n<p>AMC's trading volume on Tuesday was almost 500% the average trading volume with almost half a billion shares being bought and sold…</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/188015773070c85dac8627ef00d7320a\" tg-width=\"418\" tg-height=\"287\"><span>(Source: ShortSqueeze)</span></p>\n<p>However, the price reaction literally makes no sense given that the firm announced a capital raise, which increases the number of shares. As more shares are issued, the firms EPS is poised to decline as earnings are distributed over a larger amount of outstanding shares. The reaction to a capital raise is typically for the share price to fall, not to increase.</p>\n<p>AMC now has a market capitalization of $14.4b compared to less than $1b in January...</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466ba9dd813555ed3675587a5cc6c834\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>A hedge fund is turning the tables on the Reddit army…</b></p>\n<p>Mudrick Capital Management is said to have already&nbsp;exited its position&nbsp;in AMC after making a quick 20% on Tuesday. So Mudrick Capital Management is not a long term investor that is bringing its distressed debt and special situation expertise to AMC… the whole thing was really just a quick flip as the investment firm offloaded overpriced shares to retail investors that continue to buy into the frenzy because they hope for a short squeeze. The firm itself brazenly called AMC \"massively overvalued.\" If the firm made a 20% return on its invested capital, it secured $46m in profits yesterday… not bad for a day's work!</p>\n<p>While AMC was likely happy to get an equity raise done at this valuation, the hedge fund sold its stake faster than AMC could get the filing about its unregistered sale of equity securities out...</p>\n<p><b>Extreme volatility and risks...</b></p>\n<p>AMC's valuation has become even more ludicrous on Tuesday than it already was before. The movie theater chain, which was close to bankruptcy just a few months ago, now trades at a P-S ratio of 3.</p>\n<p>Cinemark Holdings (CNK), a theater rival which may itself be overvalued, trades at a P-S ratio of 1.0.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81c3d9572182dca54c798bab323e99b2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The risk here is immeasurable because neither the price action nor the valuation makes any sense for AMC.</p>\n<p>AMC's price should have gone down yesterday, not up because a capital raise is dilutive... but nothing makes sense anymore when it comes to AMC.</p>\n<p>AMC is trading independently of its business numbers and growth prospects and the risk of losing everything in this \"investment\" is extremely high.</p>\n<p><b>Closing thoughts</b></p>\n<p>A hedge fund just had a big victory and nobody seems to notice or care.</p>\n<p>You literally had a hedge fund flipping its stake in AMC to the Reddit army at a massively overpriced valuation and explicitly calling AMC \"overvalued.\" It can't get any more brazen than this. Please be careful.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Hedge Fund 1-0 Reddit Army</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Hedge Fund 1-0 Reddit Army\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 16:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432676-amc-hedge-fund-reddit-army><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares of AMC surged 23% on news of a private share placement.\nPrivate share placements dilute shareholders and AMC's price should have gone down, not surged.\nIt looks as if this hedge fund ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432676-amc-hedge-fund-reddit-army\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432676-amc-hedge-fund-reddit-army","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178258633","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of AMC surged 23% on news of a private share placement.\nPrivate share placements dilute shareholders and AMC's price should have gone down, not surged.\nIt looks as if this hedge fund just monetized the Reddit army.\n\nPhoto by Tom Cooper/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images\nShares of AMC Entertainment (AMC) surged another 23% on Tuesday after the movie theater chain announced a private placement of shares to an investment fund. Normally, capital raises cause stock prices to fall, not increase. The hedge fund looks to have turned the tables on the Reddit army.\nReason for AMC's price reaction\nMovie theater company AMC just did what a lot of companies do that have a lot of debt to service and need to confront an uncertain future… they offer new shares to investors and use the funds as a life line to survive.\nAMC issued 8,500,000 shares for $230,500,000 to an investment firm named Mudrick Capital Management, LP. The investment firm has a focus on event-driven investing and distressed debt.\nAMC said that it will use the proceeds from the capital raise for the \"pursuit of value creating acquisitions of theater assets and leases, as well as investments to enhance the consumer appeal of its theaters\".\nFresh capital is much needed. AMC's revenues cratered during the pandemic and the theater chain is still suffering from COVID-19 shutdown restrictions and social distancing regulations.\nAlthough AMC's revenues are expected to bounce back this year as the pandemic seemingly comes to an end, COVID-19 may have changed movie viewing habits permanently.\nOne big challenge for AMC will be to get viewers back into its movie theaters. Streaming already was a competitive threat to the industry before COVID-19 and the pandemic may have accelerated this trend. A lot of people seem to have serious anxiety regarding a lockdown exit, so there is a valid question to be asked if movie theaters can really return to normal once the pandemic ends.\nBut back to AMC's announcement.\nShares of AMC surged 23% on Tuesday, which brings the total year-to-date return to more than 1,500%.\nLooking at the technical situation of AMC… shares are now very, very much overbought...\n(Source: TradingView)\nAMC's trading volume on Tuesday was almost 500% the average trading volume with almost half a billion shares being bought and sold…\n(Source: ShortSqueeze)\nHowever, the price reaction literally makes no sense given that the firm announced a capital raise, which increases the number of shares. As more shares are issued, the firms EPS is poised to decline as earnings are distributed over a larger amount of outstanding shares. The reaction to a capital raise is typically for the share price to fall, not to increase.\nAMC now has a market capitalization of $14.4b compared to less than $1b in January...\nData by YCharts\nA hedge fund is turning the tables on the Reddit army…\nMudrick Capital Management is said to have already exited its position in AMC after making a quick 20% on Tuesday. So Mudrick Capital Management is not a long term investor that is bringing its distressed debt and special situation expertise to AMC… the whole thing was really just a quick flip as the investment firm offloaded overpriced shares to retail investors that continue to buy into the frenzy because they hope for a short squeeze. The firm itself brazenly called AMC \"massively overvalued.\" If the firm made a 20% return on its invested capital, it secured $46m in profits yesterday… not bad for a day's work!\nWhile AMC was likely happy to get an equity raise done at this valuation, the hedge fund sold its stake faster than AMC could get the filing about its unregistered sale of equity securities out...\nExtreme volatility and risks...\nAMC's valuation has become even more ludicrous on Tuesday than it already was before. The movie theater chain, which was close to bankruptcy just a few months ago, now trades at a P-S ratio of 3.\nCinemark Holdings (CNK), a theater rival which may itself be overvalued, trades at a P-S ratio of 1.0.\nData by YCharts\nThe risk here is immeasurable because neither the price action nor the valuation makes any sense for AMC.\nAMC's price should have gone down yesterday, not up because a capital raise is dilutive... but nothing makes sense anymore when it comes to AMC.\nAMC is trading independently of its business numbers and growth prospects and the risk of losing everything in this \"investment\" is extremely high.\nClosing thoughts\nA hedge fund just had a big victory and nobody seems to notice or care.\nYou literally had a hedge fund flipping its stake in AMC to the Reddit army at a massively overpriced valuation and explicitly calling AMC \"overvalued.\" It can't get any more brazen than this. Please be careful.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131193302,"gmtCreate":1621832659406,"gmtModify":1704363005558,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f06af93155b1a3af63f235ca8a3e42c4","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131193302","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571130391288455","authorId":"3571130391288455","name":"Index_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc0d97dba3e4e81e37a8eaa5687c85c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3571130391288455","idStr":"3571130391288455"},"content":"Although many people say this is undervalued, but fact is that there is a lot of selling pressure and shorting going on. Do they know something that we don’t","text":"Although many people say this is undervalued, but fact is that there is a lot of selling pressure and shorting going on. Do they know something that we don’t","html":"Although many people say this is undervalued, but fact is that there is a lot of selling pressure and shorting going on. Do they know something that we don’t"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197850356,"gmtCreate":1621442680975,"gmtModify":1704357771368,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFLY\">$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$</a>Am I a bag holder?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFLY\">$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$</a>Am I a bag holder?","text":"$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$Am I a bag holder?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab183ff77a65061415ae8777b734d652","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197850356","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195883485,"gmtCreate":1621271743547,"gmtModify":1704354994579,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago","listText":"That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago","text":"That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195883485","repostId":"1149212873","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149212873","pubTimestamp":1621240557,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149212873?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-17 16:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Risky And Expensive","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149212873","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir's high valuation is hard to justify given growth rate, lack of transparency, and t","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Palantir's high valuation is hard to justify given growth rate, lack of transparency, and the large number of risks associated with.</li>\n <li>The company's financial metrics and the nature of their work are both shrouded in mystery.</li>\n <li>The company's addressable market may be limited by government and companies' willingness to give it access to sensitive data.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b5f30934b528b40d7581fde436747dc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Anna Bliokh/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Palantir (PLTR) just reported a good quarter and plenty have been written about that and other short-term considerations. This article will instead focus on the fundamentals and help investors understand the actual business behind the stock, and the risks of owning it -- and there are many.</p>\n<p><b>Business</b></p>\n<p>Palantir addresses a common problem faced by large organizations: unlocking the value of siloed data from disparate systems. The company sells an end-to-end software platform and consulting services to an addressable market sized at $119 billion.</p>\n<p>Since each large organization has a unique combination of legacy IT systems, unlocking the value of data requires expensive and time-consuming consulting projects to build custom software. This reality is why Palantir began as more of a consulting firm rather than a software firm (and it still is considered a consulting company by some investors).</p>\n<p>The company would send consultants to connect, integrate and organize data from across the customer organization, creating a central operating system for data.</p>\n<p>The company has two flagship platform offerings: Gotham and Foundry. The Gotham product is sold mainly to government customers while Foundry is sold to commercial customers. Both platforms are full-stack, vertically integrated, and deployable in the public and private cloud, on-premise or on classified networks (air-gapped networks), edge devices, laptops, and specialized hardware. Both platforms have specific user-facing applications for different industries.</p>\n<p>Gotham, released in 2008, is a platform with multiple applications, including Graph, Gaia, Dossier, Stencil, Video, Table, Ava, Forward, and Mobile. Use cases include planning military missions, tax return analysis to uncover tax evaders, and mapping out criminal networks.</p>\n<p>Foundry, released in 2016, is also a platform with multiple applications, including Monocle, Contour, Object Explorer, Fusion, Workshop, Vertex, Code Authoring, Quiver, Code Workbooks, and Reports. Use cases include increasing aircraft design, trending defect detection in manufacturing plants, and risk management within financial institutions.</p>\n<p>Underlying Gotham and Foundry is Apollo, a continuous delivery and product infrastructure platform which allows the company to deploy air-gapped and on-premise networks at approximately the same speed as in the field. This is important given the siloed nature of data within large customers, which could grind data integration to a halt.</p>\n<p>Pricing for Palantir products is opaque. The company says they price based off of the estimated value Palantir expects its software platforms to deliver to the customer, and how much the customer would have to pay for a consulting firm to build a custom solution.</p>\n<p>Since 2018, the company has been investing in account-based sales force to bring in new customers and to expand within existing customers. The company's field sales force is only around 3-4% of headcount, so this number has room to move up.</p>\n<p><b>Market Opportunity</b></p>\n<p>Palantir's management sizes their total addressable market is at $119 billion, which includes $63 billion from government and $56 billion from commercial.</p>\n<p>The government market consists of $26 billion domestic and $37 billion international. The commercial market estimate is based potential customers: 6,000 enterprises with over $500 million in revenue and PLTR's estimated annual contract value per customer.</p>\n<p>The company's addressable market is heavily dependent on domestic politics and geopolitics. The company's mission is to serve the U.S. and its allies, which obviously does not include selling into the large defense budgets of China and Russia. In addition, U.S. allies' desire to gain more sovereignty and reduce reliance on the U.S. may impede adoption of Palantir's platforms.</p>\n<p>Domestically, the company benefited significantly from the 1994 passing of the Federal Streaming Acquisition Act (FASA). Section 2377 requires the federal government to consider and acquire proven and available commercial items in the market \"to the maximum extend possible\". This rule was largely ignored until 2016 when Palantir successfully sued the US Army to enforce the law (Palantir v. United States).</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>There are many risks associated with investing in Palantir, which I don't feel is appreciated by the market given the company's high valuation and retail adoration.</p>\n<p>Palantir is more of a service company that does not empower customers to maintain their own data/AI systems, which can be a problem for certain commercial customers. Palantir sells a \"full stack\" technology offering, which is appealing to government agencies but not commercial customers, who are accustomed to buying best-of-breed software.</p>\n<p>Palantir must host customer data in order to integrate it, which can be a problem in certain industries that are subject to privacy regulations.</p>\n<p>Palantir solutions are expensive with an average contract value of $5-6 million. High prices may limit Palantir's addressable market. Reliance on large deals also makes revenue growth lumpy and more difficult to predict.</p>\n<p>Palantir has significant customer concentration risk. In the S-1, the company disclosed that its top 20 customers accounted for 76% of revenue.</p>\n<p>Palantir's addressable market depends heavily on domestic and geopolitics. U.S. allies are increasingly seeking to reduce their reliance on the U.S. in both business (i.e. cracking down on US's tech giants) and defense and may be hesitant to give Palantir access to their most sensitive data.</p>\n<p>Palantir is opaque and discloses significantly fewer financial metrics to investors than peers. This is maybe due to the nature of its business, which deals with highly sensitive information, however, this leaves investors in the dark.</p>\n<p>Palantir may also face significant ESG problems, which is increasingly important as ESG investing is rapidly gaining in popularity. Not only is Palantir a defense contractor, but it also provides surveillance analytics and has a history of being marred by&nbsp;controversies.</p>\n<p><b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Palantir's valuation has fluctuated wildly, reflecting the manic bull market we are in currently.</p>\n<p>When the company went public through a direct listing on 9/30/2020, the company traded at around 78 times forward consensus EPS and 12 times enterprise value to forward sales. The stock caught the attention of retail investors and traded to a peak of over 330 times forward EPS and over 47 times sales by January 2021. Currently, the stock is trading at 121 times forward EPS and 22 times forward sales. I frankly have no idea what the valuation of this company ought to be, and neither does the market.</p>\n<p>For this nose-bleed valuation, you get an expected 35% revenue growth in 2021, a growth rate that bulls expect to be sustained for multiple years, and only modest EPS growth through 2023 as the company reported $0.19 in non-GAAP EPS in 2020 but is expected to only generate $0.26 by 2023. Note that GAAP EPS is still deep in the red.</p>\n<p>While often very expensive stocks are expected to easily beat consensus estimates, I'm not so sure about Palantir. From 2016 through 2020, the company only grew revenues by a compounded annual growth of 24%.</p>\n<p>Palantir's high valuation is hard to justify given growth rate, lack of transparency, and the large number of risks associated with holding the stock.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Risky And Expensive</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Risky And Expensive\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-17 16:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4429166-palantir-stock-pltr-risky-and-expensive><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir's high valuation is hard to justify given growth rate, lack of transparency, and the large number of risks associated with.\nThe company's financial metrics and the nature of their ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4429166-palantir-stock-pltr-risky-and-expensive\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4429166-palantir-stock-pltr-risky-and-expensive","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1149212873","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir's high valuation is hard to justify given growth rate, lack of transparency, and the large number of risks associated with.\nThe company's financial metrics and the nature of their work are both shrouded in mystery.\nThe company's addressable market may be limited by government and companies' willingness to give it access to sensitive data.\n\nPhoto by Anna Bliokh/E+ via Getty Images\nPalantir (PLTR) just reported a good quarter and plenty have been written about that and other short-term considerations. This article will instead focus on the fundamentals and help investors understand the actual business behind the stock, and the risks of owning it -- and there are many.\nBusiness\nPalantir addresses a common problem faced by large organizations: unlocking the value of siloed data from disparate systems. The company sells an end-to-end software platform and consulting services to an addressable market sized at $119 billion.\nSince each large organization has a unique combination of legacy IT systems, unlocking the value of data requires expensive and time-consuming consulting projects to build custom software. This reality is why Palantir began as more of a consulting firm rather than a software firm (and it still is considered a consulting company by some investors).\nThe company would send consultants to connect, integrate and organize data from across the customer organization, creating a central operating system for data.\nThe company has two flagship platform offerings: Gotham and Foundry. The Gotham product is sold mainly to government customers while Foundry is sold to commercial customers. Both platforms are full-stack, vertically integrated, and deployable in the public and private cloud, on-premise or on classified networks (air-gapped networks), edge devices, laptops, and specialized hardware. Both platforms have specific user-facing applications for different industries.\nGotham, released in 2008, is a platform with multiple applications, including Graph, Gaia, Dossier, Stencil, Video, Table, Ava, Forward, and Mobile. Use cases include planning military missions, tax return analysis to uncover tax evaders, and mapping out criminal networks.\nFoundry, released in 2016, is also a platform with multiple applications, including Monocle, Contour, Object Explorer, Fusion, Workshop, Vertex, Code Authoring, Quiver, Code Workbooks, and Reports. Use cases include increasing aircraft design, trending defect detection in manufacturing plants, and risk management within financial institutions.\nUnderlying Gotham and Foundry is Apollo, a continuous delivery and product infrastructure platform which allows the company to deploy air-gapped and on-premise networks at approximately the same speed as in the field. This is important given the siloed nature of data within large customers, which could grind data integration to a halt.\nPricing for Palantir products is opaque. The company says they price based off of the estimated value Palantir expects its software platforms to deliver to the customer, and how much the customer would have to pay for a consulting firm to build a custom solution.\nSince 2018, the company has been investing in account-based sales force to bring in new customers and to expand within existing customers. The company's field sales force is only around 3-4% of headcount, so this number has room to move up.\nMarket Opportunity\nPalantir's management sizes their total addressable market is at $119 billion, which includes $63 billion from government and $56 billion from commercial.\nThe government market consists of $26 billion domestic and $37 billion international. The commercial market estimate is based potential customers: 6,000 enterprises with over $500 million in revenue and PLTR's estimated annual contract value per customer.\nThe company's addressable market is heavily dependent on domestic politics and geopolitics. The company's mission is to serve the U.S. and its allies, which obviously does not include selling into the large defense budgets of China and Russia. In addition, U.S. allies' desire to gain more sovereignty and reduce reliance on the U.S. may impede adoption of Palantir's platforms.\nDomestically, the company benefited significantly from the 1994 passing of the Federal Streaming Acquisition Act (FASA). Section 2377 requires the federal government to consider and acquire proven and available commercial items in the market \"to the maximum extend possible\". This rule was largely ignored until 2016 when Palantir successfully sued the US Army to enforce the law (Palantir v. United States).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with investing in Palantir, which I don't feel is appreciated by the market given the company's high valuation and retail adoration.\nPalantir is more of a service company that does not empower customers to maintain their own data/AI systems, which can be a problem for certain commercial customers. Palantir sells a \"full stack\" technology offering, which is appealing to government agencies but not commercial customers, who are accustomed to buying best-of-breed software.\nPalantir must host customer data in order to integrate it, which can be a problem in certain industries that are subject to privacy regulations.\nPalantir solutions are expensive with an average contract value of $5-6 million. High prices may limit Palantir's addressable market. Reliance on large deals also makes revenue growth lumpy and more difficult to predict.\nPalantir has significant customer concentration risk. In the S-1, the company disclosed that its top 20 customers accounted for 76% of revenue.\nPalantir's addressable market depends heavily on domestic and geopolitics. U.S. allies are increasingly seeking to reduce their reliance on the U.S. in both business (i.e. cracking down on US's tech giants) and defense and may be hesitant to give Palantir access to their most sensitive data.\nPalantir is opaque and discloses significantly fewer financial metrics to investors than peers. This is maybe due to the nature of its business, which deals with highly sensitive information, however, this leaves investors in the dark.\nPalantir may also face significant ESG problems, which is increasingly important as ESG investing is rapidly gaining in popularity. Not only is Palantir a defense contractor, but it also provides surveillance analytics and has a history of being marred by controversies.\nFinancials & Valuation\nPalantir's valuation has fluctuated wildly, reflecting the manic bull market we are in currently.\nWhen the company went public through a direct listing on 9/30/2020, the company traded at around 78 times forward consensus EPS and 12 times enterprise value to forward sales. The stock caught the attention of retail investors and traded to a peak of over 330 times forward EPS and over 47 times sales by January 2021. Currently, the stock is trading at 121 times forward EPS and 22 times forward sales. I frankly have no idea what the valuation of this company ought to be, and neither does the market.\nFor this nose-bleed valuation, you get an expected 35% revenue growth in 2021, a growth rate that bulls expect to be sustained for multiple years, and only modest EPS growth through 2023 as the company reported $0.19 in non-GAAP EPS in 2020 but is expected to only generate $0.26 by 2023. Note that GAAP EPS is still deep in the red.\nWhile often very expensive stocks are expected to easily beat consensus estimates, I'm not so sure about Palantir. From 2016 through 2020, the company only grew revenues by a compounded annual growth of 24%.\nPalantir's high valuation is hard to justify given growth rate, lack of transparency, and the large number of risks associated with holding the stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377573718,"gmtCreate":1619539680934,"gmtModify":1704725695272,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567209468158570","idStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is good news but might be too late for India","listText":"This is good news but might be too late for India","text":"This is good news but might be too late for India","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377573718","repostId":"1114427491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114427491","pubTimestamp":1619536730,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114427491?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-27 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pfizer’s new at-home pill to treat Covid could be available by end of the year, CEO hopes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114427491","media":"CNBC","summary":"Pfizer’s experimental oral drug to treat Covid-19 at the first sign of illness could be available by","content":"<div>\n<p>Pfizer’s experimental oral drug to treat Covid-19 at the first sign of illness could be available by the end of the year, CEO Albert Bourla told CNBC on Tuesday.\nThe company, which developed the first...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/27/pfizer-at-home-covid-pill-could-be-available-by-year-end-ceo-albert-bourla-says.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pfizer’s new at-home pill to treat Covid could be available by end of the year, CEO hopes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPfizer’s new at-home pill to treat Covid could be available by end of the year, CEO hopes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-27 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/27/pfizer-at-home-covid-pill-could-be-available-by-year-end-ceo-albert-bourla-says.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Pfizer’s experimental oral drug to treat Covid-19 at the first sign of illness could be available by the end of the year, CEO Albert Bourla told CNBC on Tuesday.\nThe company, which developed the first...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/27/pfizer-at-home-covid-pill-could-be-available-by-year-end-ceo-albert-bourla-says.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/27/pfizer-at-home-covid-pill-could-be-available-by-year-end-ceo-albert-bourla-says.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1114427491","content_text":"Pfizer’s experimental oral drug to treat Covid-19 at the first sign of illness could be available by the end of the year, CEO Albert Bourla told CNBC on Tuesday.\nThe company, which developed the first authorized Covid-19 vaccine in the U.S. with German drugmakerBioNTech,began in Marchan early-stage clinical trial testing a new antiviral therapy for Covid. The drug is part of a class of medicines called protease inhibitors and works by inhibiting an enzyme that the virus needs to replicate in human cells.\nProtease inhibitors are used to treat other viral pathogens such as HIV and hepatitis C.\nIf clinical trials go well and the Food and Drug Administration approves it, the drug could be distributed across the U.S. by the end of the year, Bourla told CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”\nHealth experts say the drug, taken by mouth, could be a gamechanger because people newly infected with the virus could use it outside of hospitals. Researchers hope the medication will keep the disease from progressing and prevent hospital trips.\nIn addition to the drug, Pfizer is still testing its vaccine in 6-month to 11-year-old children. Vaccinating children is crucial to ending the pandemic, public health officials and infectious disease experts say.\nEarlier this month, the company asked the FDA to expand its vaccine authorization to adolescents ages 12 to 15 afterthe shot was found to be 100% effective in a study.\nBourla told CNBC on Tuesday he is “very optimistic” that the FDA will approve the use of the shot in adolescents.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":131193302,"gmtCreate":1621832659406,"gmtModify":1704363005558,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$Everyone says this is undervalued. How many of you are holding on to this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f06af93155b1a3af63f235ca8a3e42c4","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131193302","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571130391288455","authorId":"3571130391288455","name":"Index_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc0d97dba3e4e81e37a8eaa5687c85c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571130391288455","authorIdStr":"3571130391288455"},"content":"Although many people say this is undervalued, but fact is that there is a lot of selling pressure and shorting going on. Do they know something that we don’t","text":"Although many people say this is undervalued, but fact is that there is a lot of selling pressure and shorting going on. Do they know something that we don’t","html":"Although many people say this is undervalued, but fact is that there is a lot of selling pressure and shorting going on. Do they know something that we don’t"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121415736,"gmtCreate":1624489187625,"gmtModify":1703837971814,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.","listText":"The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.","text":"The author has shorted amc so that is why he has written so many negative articles. I just hope that he is not selling naked calls, otherwise he will be in serious trouble.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121415736","repostId":"1113795668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113795668","pubTimestamp":1624447267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113795668?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113795668","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nEarnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.\nThe economics","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Earnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.</li>\n <li>The economics of buying an AMC movie theater rather than the stock.</li>\n <li>Shorting AMC is mostly common sense, not a conspiracy. And where investors may have to be more careful.</li>\n <li>Emotion may tell you to buy. Reason will tell you to sell.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I’ve written two articles recently for Seeking Alpha on AMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC), one onJune 4and one onJune 17. The comments I have gotten back in response to the articles were eye-opening for me. I feel like I’ve been let into a world I didn’t know existed. Which means that I also must seem pretty odd to the inhabitants of this ape-world. So, I’d like to explain my point of view in this open letter.</p>\n<p><b>Why I keep harping on AMC’s earnings</b></p>\n<p>One shocker to me is that literally<i>no</i>comment that disagreed with my AMC view ever challenged me on earnings. The same is true for comments on my sell calls on Zillow(NASDAQ:Z), Redfin(NASDAQ:RDFN), Rocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)and Opendoor(NASDAQ:OPEN). So, why do I keep talking about earnings?<i>Because that’s how stocks work.</i>First, common sense says that it works. A share of stock is a share ownership of a company; that’s just a fact. We start and own businesses in order to earn money.</p>\n<p>Second, history says that the relationship between earnings and stock prices exists. A few charts will illustrate this point. First, let’s compare the S&amp;P 500 index with S&amp;P 500 EPS a year ahead:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d09e129752eec6290923863d17249487\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,Yardeni Research</i></p>\n<p>The stock market clearly moves with earnings expectations. Now, let’s look at an individual stock. I chose McDonald’s(NYSE:MCD):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092d5bc6eb84253ba4ae6fea1f92113f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,company reports</i></p>\n<p>Once again, a clear correlation – McDonald’s earns more, investors pay more to own it. Let’s now turn to a company whose earnings prospects took a turn – GoPro(NASDAQ:GPRO):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cb1e3a96d4e6e70cc8cb8dbc3b4643f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,company reports</i></p>\n<p>GoPro’s stock price leaped after its IPO on the assumption that booming sales of its cameras would send earnings soaring above its 2014 EPS of $1.32. But smartphones – the cameras in our pockets – diverted sales away from GoPro, and its EPS took a serious slide into negative territory. In response, the stock tanked. It has only recently made a modest recovery as GoPro management managed to start earning money.<i>Again, a clear link between earnings and the stock price</i>.</p>\n<p>OK, one more – company X:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3b9e1ded9a66995ca17edc221ddd9a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Sources:Yahoo Finance,company reports</i></p>\n<p>Another excellent correlation between earnings and stock price. This company saw some EPS growth during 2015 and 2016, but earnings then turned south. The stock price followed.</p>\n<p>Who is this company X? I bet you guessed it – AMC!<i>Up until the pandemic hit, AMC’s stock performed like other stocks – on earnings expectations. It will again.</i></p>\n<p><b>Do you want to own an AMC theater?</b></p>\n<p>Instead of owning AMC stock, how about if you owned an AMC theater? This way, you are a real business owner.</p>\n<p>At last look, AMC’s market cap is $30.5 billion. Add in about $3.5 billion of debt less cash and we’ll say that AMC’s theaters are currently valued at $34 billion. At the beginning of this year, AMC had 950 movie theaters. That means, each theater is valued today at $36 million.</p>\n<p>If you don’t borrow money to pay your $36 million, my best guess from AMC’s financials is that you’ll rake in $220,000 in profits. Not bad, right? A cool 0.6% return on your investment. A return likely to shrink over time as we spend more time streaming and less time at the movies. Or you could buy more current favorite stock MGIC(NYSE:MTG), which last year generatedcash EPS of $2.45, an 18% return on its current stock price. But you would have to give up the free movie tickets from owning a theater. Your choice. I’ve gone for the latter. 18% &gt; 0.6%.</p>\n<p><b>Is it really different this time?</b></p>\n<p>Will AMC stock continue to rise just because apes continue to put more and more money in it? Can AMC become a permanent short squeeze?</p>\n<p>I’m old. While that means my tennis game is sinking, it also has allowed me to see lots of “it’s different this time” stories. They almost never work. Gravity takes over and brings magical beliefs back to earth. The ‘80s commercial real estate boom, the ‘90s internet boom, the ‘00s housing boom, all relied on broad-based beliefs that this time was different, and if you didn’t agree, “you don’t get it”. Gravity brought all three beliefs painfully back to earth. Betting against gravity is a serious long shot.</p>\n<p><b>Is the stock market fixed?</b></p>\n<p>Lots of the comments to my articles suggested that meme investing is revenge against a financial system fixed against the little guy and gal. I consider myself to be pretty cynical, but I can’t see the stock market as a whole as fixed. Some evidence:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>The link I established above between earnings and stock prices.</i>This means that, in the long run, it is company performance that determines stock prices, not Wall Street.</li>\n <li><i>Mutual funds routinely underperform index funds.</i>Big fund complexes like BlackRock, T. Rowe Price and Fidelity all have highly paid analysts and portfolio managers running their money. But many studies have shown that they generally do<i>worse</i>than market averages. So, they are no better than we are.</li>\n <li><i>Hedge funds have done even worse.</i>For example,NASDAQreported that the average hedge fund earned 11% in 2020, well below the S&amp;P 500 18% return. And they did far worse in 2019 – up 10% compared to +31% for the S&amp;P 500. My belief is that hedge funds have too much money chasing a small group of trades. Now, hedge fund<i>managers</i>can make obscene amounts of money because of their lucrative 2%/20% compensation structure. That’s another story. But hedge fund investors have been left behind.</li>\n <li><i>Wall Street is blanketed with regulations aimed at levelling the playing field.</i>There are rules against insider trading, selectively disseminating material information and many other forms of bad behavior. Of course, smart people can and do slip by some rules, but rampant cheating is quite difficult to achieve.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Are short sellers lying to support their positions?</b></p>\n<p>There certainly are cases of this, but a far simpler answer explains why GameStop(NYSE:GME)and AMC are short targets. Come on – both are store-based businesses in an increasingly online world, right? With several years of losses behind them already. Blockbuster, Sears, Pier One… shorting the Old Economy is not rocket science.</p>\n<p>But how are potential investors in these New Age companies supposed to deal with these dramatic claims?</p>\n<p>Zillow. From its10-K:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “ \n <i>As we continue to expand into transaction-related services, our Total Addressable Market [TAM] has expanded from $19 billion in U.S. real estate related advertising…to $2.2 trillion of annual home sales…</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Sounds awesome, right? $2.2&nbsp;<i>trillion</i>&nbsp;of potential revenues for Zillow. Except if home sellers expect to keep some of the proceeds of their home sales. In fact, the average real estate commission is 4.5%, giving Zillow an actual TAM of $100 billion. $100 billion &lt; $2.2 trillion. By a<i>lot.</i></p>\n<p>Rocket Mortgage. From itsQ1 earnings conference call:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “ \n <i>As we continue to expand our platform, creating certainty for clients in categories that have historically been challenging, the opportunity for Rocket Companies is gigantic. Consider this; when combined real estate, automotive sales and financial services, all markets where we're helping to lead the way, account for nearly one third of the US GDP</i>.” (My highlighting)\n</blockquote>\n<p>Wow! Amazon&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;will soon be a blip in Rocket’s rear-view mirror if I believe any of this. By the way, check out Rocket’s insider sales while management is dishing out this hype.</p>\n<p><b>Emotions versus reason</b></p>\n<p>I see a lot of anger, frustration, and revenge in the AMC comments. Life stinks a lot, so I get the rationale for these emotions. But I have learned that emotions are the enemy of successful investing.<i>Any</i>emotions, ranging from fear to enthusiasm. Rational thinking about a company’s value, or even (not my style) investors’ moods, has proven to work better.</p>\n<p>All of us primates, human and ape, are heavily driven by emotions (even me!), so we are never going to squeeze all of them out of our investment decisions. But the more squeezing, the better.</p>\n<p><b>All of the above says “Sell AMC”</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMC’s earnings prospects can’t come close to supporting the current stock price. Gravity will do its job.</li>\n <li>If you don’t want to own a movie theater, don’t own the stock.</li>\n <li>AMC short sellers are driven more by common sense than by some conspiracy.</li>\n <li>AMC’s stock price contains an enormous emotional content, and a change in those fickle emotions will change the stock price quickly.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: An Open Letter To The Apes - The Stock Market And Reality\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 19:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436112-amc-stock-open-letter-to-apes-stock-market-and-reality><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEarnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.\nThe economics of buying an AMC movie theater rather than the stock.\nShorting AMC is mostly common sense, not a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436112-amc-stock-open-letter-to-apes-stock-market-and-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436112-amc-stock-open-letter-to-apes-stock-market-and-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1113795668","content_text":"Summary\n\nEarnings drive stock prices over the long run, even for AMC. Here's the data.\nThe economics of buying an AMC movie theater rather than the stock.\nShorting AMC is mostly common sense, not a conspiracy. And where investors may have to be more careful.\nEmotion may tell you to buy. Reason will tell you to sell.\n\nI’ve written two articles recently for Seeking Alpha on AMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC), one onJune 4and one onJune 17. The comments I have gotten back in response to the articles were eye-opening for me. I feel like I’ve been let into a world I didn’t know existed. Which means that I also must seem pretty odd to the inhabitants of this ape-world. So, I’d like to explain my point of view in this open letter.\nWhy I keep harping on AMC’s earnings\nOne shocker to me is that literallynocomment that disagreed with my AMC view ever challenged me on earnings. The same is true for comments on my sell calls on Zillow(NASDAQ:Z), Redfin(NASDAQ:RDFN), Rocket Companies(NYSE:RKT)and Opendoor(NASDAQ:OPEN). So, why do I keep talking about earnings?Because that’s how stocks work.First, common sense says that it works. A share of stock is a share ownership of a company; that’s just a fact. We start and own businesses in order to earn money.\nSecond, history says that the relationship between earnings and stock prices exists. A few charts will illustrate this point. First, let’s compare the S&P 500 index with S&P 500 EPS a year ahead:\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,Yardeni Research\nThe stock market clearly moves with earnings expectations. Now, let’s look at an individual stock. I chose McDonald’s(NYSE:MCD):\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,company reports\nOnce again, a clear correlation – McDonald’s earns more, investors pay more to own it. Let’s now turn to a company whose earnings prospects took a turn – GoPro(NASDAQ:GPRO):\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,company reports\nGoPro’s stock price leaped after its IPO on the assumption that booming sales of its cameras would send earnings soaring above its 2014 EPS of $1.32. But smartphones – the cameras in our pockets – diverted sales away from GoPro, and its EPS took a serious slide into negative territory. In response, the stock tanked. It has only recently made a modest recovery as GoPro management managed to start earning money.Again, a clear link between earnings and the stock price.\nOK, one more – company X:\n\nSources:Yahoo Finance,company reports\nAnother excellent correlation between earnings and stock price. This company saw some EPS growth during 2015 and 2016, but earnings then turned south. The stock price followed.\nWho is this company X? I bet you guessed it – AMC!Up until the pandemic hit, AMC’s stock performed like other stocks – on earnings expectations. It will again.\nDo you want to own an AMC theater?\nInstead of owning AMC stock, how about if you owned an AMC theater? This way, you are a real business owner.\nAt last look, AMC’s market cap is $30.5 billion. Add in about $3.5 billion of debt less cash and we’ll say that AMC’s theaters are currently valued at $34 billion. At the beginning of this year, AMC had 950 movie theaters. That means, each theater is valued today at $36 million.\nIf you don’t borrow money to pay your $36 million, my best guess from AMC’s financials is that you’ll rake in $220,000 in profits. Not bad, right? A cool 0.6% return on your investment. A return likely to shrink over time as we spend more time streaming and less time at the movies. Or you could buy more current favorite stock MGIC(NYSE:MTG), which last year generatedcash EPS of $2.45, an 18% return on its current stock price. But you would have to give up the free movie tickets from owning a theater. Your choice. I’ve gone for the latter. 18% > 0.6%.\nIs it really different this time?\nWill AMC stock continue to rise just because apes continue to put more and more money in it? Can AMC become a permanent short squeeze?\nI’m old. While that means my tennis game is sinking, it also has allowed me to see lots of “it’s different this time” stories. They almost never work. Gravity takes over and brings magical beliefs back to earth. The ‘80s commercial real estate boom, the ‘90s internet boom, the ‘00s housing boom, all relied on broad-based beliefs that this time was different, and if you didn’t agree, “you don’t get it”. Gravity brought all three beliefs painfully back to earth. Betting against gravity is a serious long shot.\nIs the stock market fixed?\nLots of the comments to my articles suggested that meme investing is revenge against a financial system fixed against the little guy and gal. I consider myself to be pretty cynical, but I can’t see the stock market as a whole as fixed. Some evidence:\n\nThe link I established above between earnings and stock prices.This means that, in the long run, it is company performance that determines stock prices, not Wall Street.\nMutual funds routinely underperform index funds.Big fund complexes like BlackRock, T. Rowe Price and Fidelity all have highly paid analysts and portfolio managers running their money. But many studies have shown that they generally doworsethan market averages. So, they are no better than we are.\nHedge funds have done even worse.For example,NASDAQreported that the average hedge fund earned 11% in 2020, well below the S&P 500 18% return. And they did far worse in 2019 – up 10% compared to +31% for the S&P 500. My belief is that hedge funds have too much money chasing a small group of trades. Now, hedge fundmanagerscan make obscene amounts of money because of their lucrative 2%/20% compensation structure. That’s another story. But hedge fund investors have been left behind.\nWall Street is blanketed with regulations aimed at levelling the playing field.There are rules against insider trading, selectively disseminating material information and many other forms of bad behavior. Of course, smart people can and do slip by some rules, but rampant cheating is quite difficult to achieve.\n\nAre short sellers lying to support their positions?\nThere certainly are cases of this, but a far simpler answer explains why GameStop(NYSE:GME)and AMC are short targets. Come on – both are store-based businesses in an increasingly online world, right? With several years of losses behind them already. Blockbuster, Sears, Pier One… shorting the Old Economy is not rocket science.\nBut how are potential investors in these New Age companies supposed to deal with these dramatic claims?\nZillow. From its10-K:\n\n “ \n As we continue to expand into transaction-related services, our Total Addressable Market [TAM] has expanded from $19 billion in U.S. real estate related advertising…to $2.2 trillion of annual home sales…”\n\nSounds awesome, right? $2.2 trillion of potential revenues for Zillow. Except if home sellers expect to keep some of the proceeds of their home sales. In fact, the average real estate commission is 4.5%, giving Zillow an actual TAM of $100 billion. $100 billion < $2.2 trillion. By alot.\nRocket Mortgage. From itsQ1 earnings conference call:\n\n “ \n As we continue to expand our platform, creating certainty for clients in categories that have historically been challenging, the opportunity for Rocket Companies is gigantic. Consider this; when combined real estate, automotive sales and financial services, all markets where we're helping to lead the way, account for nearly one third of the US GDP.” (My highlighting)\n\nWow! Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) will soon be a blip in Rocket’s rear-view mirror if I believe any of this. By the way, check out Rocket’s insider sales while management is dishing out this hype.\nEmotions versus reason\nI see a lot of anger, frustration, and revenge in the AMC comments. Life stinks a lot, so I get the rationale for these emotions. But I have learned that emotions are the enemy of successful investing.Anyemotions, ranging from fear to enthusiasm. Rational thinking about a company’s value, or even (not my style) investors’ moods, has proven to work better.\nAll of us primates, human and ape, are heavily driven by emotions (even me!), so we are never going to squeeze all of them out of our investment decisions. But the more squeezing, the better.\nAll of the above says “Sell AMC”\n\nAMC’s earnings prospects can’t come close to supporting the current stock price. Gravity will do its job.\nIf you don’t want to own a movie theater, don’t own the stock.\nAMC short sellers are driven more by common sense than by some conspiracy.\nAMC’s stock price contains an enormous emotional content, and a change in those fickle emotions will change the stock price quickly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166272795,"gmtCreate":1624014910017,"gmtModify":1703826588466,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.&nbsp;","listText":"Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.&nbsp;","text":"Everyday there is a please sell your stock and run away news article. We know the danger. The danger we are bringing to all the short sellers in the market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166272795","repostId":"1131310015","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131310015","pubTimestamp":1623987347,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131310015?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131310015","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pul","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>\n <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>\n <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>\n <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p>\n<p>Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p>\n<p>Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p>\n<p><b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p>\n<p>I start with the key assumptions:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p>\n<p><i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p>\n<p><b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p>\n<p><b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p>\n<p><b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p>\n<p>We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>\n <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p>\n<p>We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p>\n<p><i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p>\n<p><b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p>\n<p>Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p>\n<p>Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p>\n<blockquote>\n “[\n <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Pretty clever, no? No:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Uh oh. What now?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Ouch.</p>\n<p><b>Buyers beware</b></p>\n<p>As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 11:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131310015","content_text":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.\nSell before the other speculators do.\n\nRgStudio/E+ via Getty Images\nWhat are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer forThe Wall Street Journal, and John Brooks, author of “Business Adventures”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.\nInvestor vs. trader vs. speculator\nJason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021Wall Street Journalcolumn:\n\n “\n Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”\n\nSo why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assetsnevercame up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.\nMr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.\nA 2022 AMC earnings forecast\nI start with the key assumptions:\n\nMy time frame for reference is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.\nThe national box officeis the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.\nAMC market share.I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.\nAdmissions gross margin.This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.\nFood expenses as a percent of sales.I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs andmultiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.\nFood and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.\nOperating expensesare the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.\nWe’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:\n\nThe ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:\n\nDepreciation/amortizationis a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.\nInterest expenseshould decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.\n\nThe gravitational pull of earnings\nWe arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.\nThe bottom line - no support for investors.AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words ofTrading Places, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”\nThe speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale\nMillennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The bookBusiness Adventuresby John Brooks,published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.\nShorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:\n\n “\n Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…”\n\nThe sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.\n\n “\n He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”\n\nToday we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.\n\n “\n One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.”\n\nSomething to think about. What was Saunders to do?\n\n “[\n Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments.”\n\nPretty clever, no? No:\n\n “\n At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”\n\nUh oh. What now?\n\n“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller & Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”\n\nOuch.\nBuyers beware\nAs Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?\nAMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186542547,"gmtCreate":1623514431789,"gmtModify":1704205385817,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Selling puts. Either profit immediately or get the opportunity to buy at a lower price.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbbbd4e23f5b521e189bb6bd890653d1","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186542547","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161763897,"gmtCreate":1623940893619,"gmtModify":1703824158371,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Let’s hang on my fellow apes","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Let’s hang on my fellow apes","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Let’s hang on my fellow apes","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f41f2e896f4b1941367b4701ed5393","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161763897","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161787932,"gmtCreate":1623940810326,"gmtModify":1703824153441,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.&nbsp;","listText":"So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.&nbsp;","text":"So many articles getting people to divert away from amc.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161787932","repostId":"2144056746","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144056746","pubTimestamp":1623938340,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144056746?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144056746","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Meme-stock mania has launched AMC stock to new highs, but that doesn't mean you should buy it.","content":"<p>Throughout 2021, <b>AMC Entertainment</b> (NYSE:AMC) has been swept up in meme-stock mania. Despite its worsening financial situation, shares have skyrocketed 2,600% this year. And while there is something charming about individual investors upending Wall Street, AMC stock is poised to disappoint.</p>\n<p>Rather than chasing meme-stocks, investors should consider buying <b>Cloudflare</b> (NYSE:NET). This company is growing quickly and its future looks bright. Here's why.</p>\n<h2>AMC Entertainment</h2>\n<p>Perhaps, the most important thing investors should know about AMC is something the company itself mentioned in a recent 8-K Filing: \"We believe that recent volatility and our current market prices reflect [dynamics] unrelated to our underlying business.\"</p>\n<p>The statement goes on to caution investors against buying stock unless they are prepared to <i>lose all or a significant portion</i> of their investment. Of course, you should never invest money you can't afford to lose, but this dire warning should still rattle current and prospective shareholders.</p>\n<p>If you're not convinced, let's look at AMC's financial results. Last year, attendance and revenue fell 79% and 77%, respectively. And despite reopening roughly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-third&nbsp;of its international theaters and two-thirds of its domestic theaters, its performance has actually worsened this year. Attendance and revenue plunged 89% and 84%, respectively, during the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Understandably, some investors are hoping things improve as the economy reopens. But that may be too late -- the competitive landscape has already shifted dramatically.</p>\n<p>During the pandemic, streaming services like HBO Max and Peacock went live, Disney+ started taking titles directly to consumers, and Universal Studios cut the theatrical exclusivity window to 17 days&nbsp;-- prior to the pandemic, AMC retained exclusive rights for about 90 days. Put simply, the company is facing more competition than ever before.</p>\n<p>As a final thought, in a recent 10-Q Filing with the SEC, AMC explained that it will need to reach 85% of pre-pandemic attendance levels by the fourth quarter of 2021 in order to comply with minimum liquidity requirements. If that doesn't happen, bankruptcy would likely be the next step, which means shareholders would \"suffer a total loss of their investment.\"</p>\n<h2>Cloudflare</h2>\n<p>Cloudflare is a cloud services provider. Its platform helps clients secure and accelerate the performance of websites and applications. For example, it recently launched Cloudflare One, a network-as-a-service solution designed to replace outdated corporate networks.</p>\n<p>Traditionally, enterprises have taken a castle-and-moat approach to network security. All sensitive data was stored in a central location, and firewall appliances and internet gateways&nbsp;were used to filter incoming and outgoing traffic. This was both costly and inefficient, often resulting in lag time for remote workers.</p>\n<p>By comparison, Cloudflare One acts as a secure access service edge&nbsp;(SASE). Rather than sending traffic through a central hub, SASE is a distributed network architecture. This means employees connect to Cloudflare's network, where traffic is filtered and security policies are enforced, then traffic is routed to the internet or the corporate network.</p>\n<p>This creates a fast, secure experience for employees, allowing them to access corporate resources and applications&nbsp;from any location, on any device. Moreover, according to research firm Gartner, 40%&nbsp;of enterprises will have plans to adopt SASE by 2024, up from just 1% in 2018. That radical shift gives Cloudflare a big opportunity.</p>\n<p>More importantly, the company is executing on that opportunity. Cloudflare has consistently delivered strong financial results in recent years.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th><p>Metric</p></th>\n   <th><p>2017</p></th>\n   <th><p>Q1 2021 (TTM)</p></th>\n   <th><p>CAGR</p></th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>Customers</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>49,309</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>119,206</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>31%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$135 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>$478 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"156\"><p>48%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Cloudflare&nbsp;SEC Filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p>\n<p>In addition to growing quickly, Cloudflare also reported a net retention rate of 123% in the most recent quarter. Put another way, the average spend per customer increased 23% in Q1. This underscores the value of its platform. And assuming Cloudflare can maintain that momentum, the future looks bright for the tech company.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget AMC: This Growth Stock Could Make You Rich\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 21:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Throughout 2021, AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) has been swept up in meme-stock mania. Despite its worsening financial situation, shares have skyrocketed 2,600% this year. And while there is something ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","NET":"Cloudflare, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/forget-amc-this-growth-stock-could-make-you-rich/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144056746","content_text":"Throughout 2021, AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) has been swept up in meme-stock mania. Despite its worsening financial situation, shares have skyrocketed 2,600% this year. And while there is something charming about individual investors upending Wall Street, AMC stock is poised to disappoint.\nRather than chasing meme-stocks, investors should consider buying Cloudflare (NYSE:NET). This company is growing quickly and its future looks bright. Here's why.\nAMC Entertainment\nPerhaps, the most important thing investors should know about AMC is something the company itself mentioned in a recent 8-K Filing: \"We believe that recent volatility and our current market prices reflect [dynamics] unrelated to our underlying business.\"\nThe statement goes on to caution investors against buying stock unless they are prepared to lose all or a significant portion of their investment. Of course, you should never invest money you can't afford to lose, but this dire warning should still rattle current and prospective shareholders.\nIf you're not convinced, let's look at AMC's financial results. Last year, attendance and revenue fell 79% and 77%, respectively. And despite reopening roughly one-third of its international theaters and two-thirds of its domestic theaters, its performance has actually worsened this year. Attendance and revenue plunged 89% and 84%, respectively, during the first quarter.\nUnderstandably, some investors are hoping things improve as the economy reopens. But that may be too late -- the competitive landscape has already shifted dramatically.\nDuring the pandemic, streaming services like HBO Max and Peacock went live, Disney+ started taking titles directly to consumers, and Universal Studios cut the theatrical exclusivity window to 17 days -- prior to the pandemic, AMC retained exclusive rights for about 90 days. Put simply, the company is facing more competition than ever before.\nAs a final thought, in a recent 10-Q Filing with the SEC, AMC explained that it will need to reach 85% of pre-pandemic attendance levels by the fourth quarter of 2021 in order to comply with minimum liquidity requirements. If that doesn't happen, bankruptcy would likely be the next step, which means shareholders would \"suffer a total loss of their investment.\"\nCloudflare\nCloudflare is a cloud services provider. Its platform helps clients secure and accelerate the performance of websites and applications. For example, it recently launched Cloudflare One, a network-as-a-service solution designed to replace outdated corporate networks.\nTraditionally, enterprises have taken a castle-and-moat approach to network security. All sensitive data was stored in a central location, and firewall appliances and internet gateways were used to filter incoming and outgoing traffic. This was both costly and inefficient, often resulting in lag time for remote workers.\nBy comparison, Cloudflare One acts as a secure access service edge (SASE). Rather than sending traffic through a central hub, SASE is a distributed network architecture. This means employees connect to Cloudflare's network, where traffic is filtered and security policies are enforced, then traffic is routed to the internet or the corporate network.\nThis creates a fast, secure experience for employees, allowing them to access corporate resources and applications from any location, on any device. Moreover, according to research firm Gartner, 40% of enterprises will have plans to adopt SASE by 2024, up from just 1% in 2018. That radical shift gives Cloudflare a big opportunity.\nMore importantly, the company is executing on that opportunity. Cloudflare has consistently delivered strong financial results in recent years.\n\n\n\nMetric\n2017\nQ1 2021 (TTM)\nCAGR\n\n\n\n\nCustomers\n49,309\n119,206\n31%\n\n\nRevenue\n$135 million\n$478 million\n48%\n\n\n\nSource: Cloudflare SEC Filings. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.\nIn addition to growing quickly, Cloudflare also reported a net retention rate of 123% in the most recent quarter. Put another way, the average spend per customer increased 23% in Q1. This underscores the value of its platform. And assuming Cloudflare can maintain that momentum, the future looks bright for the tech company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187611055,"gmtCreate":1623751844377,"gmtModify":1704210488450,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Where lambo?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Where lambo?","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Where lambo?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7310416b070914683eae96ba05964c84","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187611055","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811439172,"gmtCreate":1630335106296,"gmtModify":1676530274089,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.","listText":"When you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.","text":"When you read articles like this, you know it is from the motley fool.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811439172","repostId":"2163588460","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2163588460","pubTimestamp":1630333440,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2163588460?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-30 22:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2163588460","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Box office receipts for the movie industry this weekend were the lowest in more than two months. It was a cruel summer, but AMC has a box of candy up its sleeve.","content":"<p>It was a rough weekend at the corner multiplex. Movie theaters across the country had just $61.6 million in gross ticket sales over the weekend, the weakest box office action in more than two months. Horror flick <i>Candyman</i> was the top draw, but in terms of audience counts, the showing proved to be more trick than treat.</p>\n<p>This is literally the worst weekend performance of the summer season, and the trend isn't kind. We've seen box office receipts post sequential declines in five of the past seven weeks since peaking with <i>Black Widow</i>'s premiere. That particular week in early July was the only weekend that the industry broke above $100 million in ticket sales, a feat that happened every single weekend for movie studios during the 2018 and 2019 peak summer seasons.</p>\n<p>An empty theater is obviously a bad look for the industry, flying in the face of the narrative of <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AMC) as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of this year's hottest stocks. AMC is nearly a 20-bagger in 2021, but the fumbled momentum for the exhibitors this summer is defying the otherwise buoyant stock chart. Let's take a closer look at what went wrong, and why it's too soon to dismiss AMC's chances to get back on track.</p>\n<h2>The \"Candyman\" can't</h2>\n<p>Don't point the finger at <b>Comcast</b>'s (NASDAQ:CMCSA) <i>Candyman</i> reboot as the cause for the slump. It's checking in with a solid 85% approval rating for film critics tracked by Rotten Tomatoes. You also can't blame the widespread availability of online streaming options. <i>Candyman</i> (as well as the weekend's second-highest grossing film, <i>Free Guy</i>) are exclusive theatrical releases.</p>\n<p>An easier culprit to blame right now could be the delta variant of COVID-19. The summertime surge of the deadly virus is likely keeping people away from indoor social settings, but even that's not a viable lone scapegoat. Box office receipts are 43% below the same period -- the weekend before the Labor Day holiday weekend -- in 2019. It's a safe bet that your local bars, indoor malls, and even restaurants aren't seeing a 43% plunge in sales over the past two years.</p>\n<p>This summer was supposed to be the great rebirth of going out to the movies. Studios that had to delay 2020 and even early 2021 releases are now flooding the pipeline. Comcast's Universal Studios, for example, was originally set to put out <i>Candyman</i> 13 months ago. Here we are, a couple of delays later, and audiences failed to materialize despite saying the film title five times in front of a mirror. Less than 1% of the country saw <i>Candyman</i> over the weekend, and less than 2% of the country saw <i>any</i> movie at the multiplex.</p>\n<p>The convenience of streaming video entertainment is something that will challenge AMC and its smaller peers. It also obviously doesn't help that folks can freely enjoy movies at home without having to mask up the way that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is suggesting for indoor gatherings at the movie house.</p>\n<p>The bullish thesis that summer audiences would build for the multiplex operators has gone the other way. This doesn't mean that the industry is doomed. It doesn't mean that folks have flocked back home after the initial retro novelty of going back to the movies.</p>\n<p>More to an AMC-specific point, it doesn't mean that the leading exhibitor took a 43% hit to its top line this weekend relative to where it was two years ago, when its stock was trading much lower. The chain has been gaining market share this year against other movie theater stocks, and it's also getting a lot better at monetizing the experience. Food and beverage purchases per customer were a whopping 42% higher at AMC in the second quarter than they were during the same financial period in 2019.</p>\n<p>We're not at the point where the concessions stand is making enough to offset the drop in attendance, but this is the high-margin part of the multiplex model. It's problematic to see the telltale summer season fizzle out this way, but there's still time to go before the end credits start to roll.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWake Up, AMC Stock: Summer Is Ending\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-30 22:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/30/wake-up-amc-stock-summer-is-ending/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It was a rough weekend at the corner multiplex. Movie theaters across the country had just $61.6 million in gross ticket sales over the weekend, the weakest box office action in more than two months. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/30/wake-up-amc-stock-summer-is-ending/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/30/wake-up-amc-stock-summer-is-ending/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2163588460","content_text":"It was a rough weekend at the corner multiplex. Movie theaters across the country had just $61.6 million in gross ticket sales over the weekend, the weakest box office action in more than two months. Horror flick Candyman was the top draw, but in terms of audience counts, the showing proved to be more trick than treat.\nThis is literally the worst weekend performance of the summer season, and the trend isn't kind. We've seen box office receipts post sequential declines in five of the past seven weeks since peaking with Black Widow's premiere. That particular week in early July was the only weekend that the industry broke above $100 million in ticket sales, a feat that happened every single weekend for movie studios during the 2018 and 2019 peak summer seasons.\nAn empty theater is obviously a bad look for the industry, flying in the face of the narrative of AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC) as one of this year's hottest stocks. AMC is nearly a 20-bagger in 2021, but the fumbled momentum for the exhibitors this summer is defying the otherwise buoyant stock chart. Let's take a closer look at what went wrong, and why it's too soon to dismiss AMC's chances to get back on track.\nThe \"Candyman\" can't\nDon't point the finger at Comcast's (NASDAQ:CMCSA) Candyman reboot as the cause for the slump. It's checking in with a solid 85% approval rating for film critics tracked by Rotten Tomatoes. You also can't blame the widespread availability of online streaming options. Candyman (as well as the weekend's second-highest grossing film, Free Guy) are exclusive theatrical releases.\nAn easier culprit to blame right now could be the delta variant of COVID-19. The summertime surge of the deadly virus is likely keeping people away from indoor social settings, but even that's not a viable lone scapegoat. Box office receipts are 43% below the same period -- the weekend before the Labor Day holiday weekend -- in 2019. It's a safe bet that your local bars, indoor malls, and even restaurants aren't seeing a 43% plunge in sales over the past two years.\nThis summer was supposed to be the great rebirth of going out to the movies. Studios that had to delay 2020 and even early 2021 releases are now flooding the pipeline. Comcast's Universal Studios, for example, was originally set to put out Candyman 13 months ago. Here we are, a couple of delays later, and audiences failed to materialize despite saying the film title five times in front of a mirror. Less than 1% of the country saw Candyman over the weekend, and less than 2% of the country saw any movie at the multiplex.\nThe convenience of streaming video entertainment is something that will challenge AMC and its smaller peers. It also obviously doesn't help that folks can freely enjoy movies at home without having to mask up the way that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is suggesting for indoor gatherings at the movie house.\nThe bullish thesis that summer audiences would build for the multiplex operators has gone the other way. This doesn't mean that the industry is doomed. It doesn't mean that folks have flocked back home after the initial retro novelty of going back to the movies.\nMore to an AMC-specific point, it doesn't mean that the leading exhibitor took a 43% hit to its top line this weekend relative to where it was two years ago, when its stock was trading much lower. The chain has been gaining market share this year against other movie theater stocks, and it's also getting a lot better at monetizing the experience. Food and beverage purchases per customer were a whopping 42% higher at AMC in the second quarter than they were during the same financial period in 2019.\nWe're not at the point where the concessions stand is making enough to offset the drop in attendance, but this is the high-margin part of the multiplex model. It's problematic to see the telltale summer season fizzle out this way, but there's still time to go before the end credits start to roll.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170471486,"gmtCreate":1626448393145,"gmtModify":1703760463755,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$</a>Is there another animation after “game over”?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$</a>Is there another animation after “game over”?","text":"$PLTR 20210716 24.5 PUT(PLTR)$Is there another animation after “game over”?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092481d525d18e5da8826519bb073570","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170471486","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197850356,"gmtCreate":1621442680975,"gmtModify":1704357771368,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFLY\">$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$</a>Am I a bag holder?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFLY\">$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$</a>Am I a bag holder?","text":"$Butterfly Network Inc(BFLY)$Am I a bag holder?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab183ff77a65061415ae8777b734d652","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197850356","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166270775,"gmtCreate":1624014663297,"gmtModify":1703826578877,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?&nbsp;","listText":"I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?&nbsp;","text":"I am quite concerned about battery swap. If everyone wants to swap battery at the sametime, will this cause serious delays?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166270775","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148576248?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc.  stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>\n <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>\n <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p>\n<p>In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p>\n<p><b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p>\n<p>NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p>\n<p>Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p>\n<p>Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p>\n<p>One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p>\n<p>NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p>\n<p>China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p>\n<p>Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p>\n<p>The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p>\n<p><b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p>\n<p>NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p>\n<p>The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p>\n<p>However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p>\n<p>Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p>\n<p>Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p>\n<p>NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p>\n<p>NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p>\n<p>Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p>\n<p>NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195883485,"gmtCreate":1621271743547,"gmtModify":1704354994579,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago","listText":"That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago","text":"That is the same thing they said about testla1 year ago","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195883485","repostId":"1149212873","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377573718,"gmtCreate":1619539680934,"gmtModify":1704725695272,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is good news but might be too late for India","listText":"This is good news but might be too late for India","text":"This is good news but might be too late for India","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377573718","repostId":"1114427491","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150921575,"gmtCreate":1624883644797,"gmtModify":1703846940011,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Finally it is heading up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>Finally it is heading up","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$Finally it is heading up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/264b51a2980dea1f6a9e89dc24de38ce","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150921575","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899657113,"gmtCreate":1628181411332,"gmtModify":1703502781944,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$</a>Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$</a>Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.&nbsp;","text":"$Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)$Seems like a classic pump and dump to catch retail investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899657113","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152050313,"gmtCreate":1625243755532,"gmtModify":1703739366246,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you&nbsp;like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.&nbsp;","listText":"Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you&nbsp;like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.&nbsp;","text":"Smart money versus dumb money. But dumbmoney was also the one who took out a London based hedge fund. Short it all you like but getting in the way of dumb money might not be the smartest decision you can make.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152050313","repostId":"1121860286","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1121860286","pubTimestamp":1625212613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121860286?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121860286","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Attendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.</li>\n <li>The company needs to more&nbsp;than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.</li>\n <li>Someday shares will fall 90% from this point.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798af80ddf8412e6beabc5bf60891141\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RichLegg/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>I'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.</p>\n<p><b>Attendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money</b></p>\n<p>On Monday, AMC put out a&nbsp;press release&nbsp;touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c54d7e40d29666bf8b78f554f233e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9f8c597b1ba417c6b478358caa9cc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"62\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Businesswire</span></p>\n<p>For reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b604e216de76939782f86a868e40889d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\"><span>Source: AMC Entertainment</span></p>\n<p>The pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.</p>\n<p>As you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ce4607284db107f9758f4735a99ccd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\"><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p>\n<p>But what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.</p>\n<p>This kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.</p>\n<p><b>Not all MemeStocks are created Equal</b></p>\n<p>The first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as&nbsp;Chewy founder Ryan&nbsp;took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock&nbsp;began losing money&nbsp;at an alarming clip.</p>\n<p>In the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a&nbsp;win for retail investors&nbsp;sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as&nbsp;Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).</p>\n<p>None of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Maybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.</p>\n<p>I'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.</p>\n<p>Good luck to all!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: 'Record' Weekend Is Terrible News For The Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 15:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.\nSomeday shares will fall 90% from this point.\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437461-amc-record-weekend-is-terrible-news-for-the-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121860286","content_text":"Summary\n\nAttendance of 2 million is terrible for AMC.\nThe company needs to more than double attendance to return to 2019 - when it still lost money.\nSomeday shares will fall 90% from this point.\n\nRichLegg/E+ via Getty Images\nI'm pretty bad at predicting what makes AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)go up or down in the short term. After all, I said to short it at $26/share (Short Squeeze Presents Many Ways to Make Money) and then explained why there was no fundamental news behind the run up at $58/share (Recent Events are Just Re-Runs). But I'm pretty good at reading press releases, news articles and financial statements, and it's clear from recent news just how big a hole AMC has to climb out of on an operating basis.\nAttendance at theaters is terrible and AMC will continue to lose money\nOn Monday, AMC put out a press release touting its \"post-reopening record\" of 2 million attendees and highlighting the biggest box office draw \"Fast and the Furious 9\" which grossed $70 million:\n\nSource: Businesswire\nFor reasons that should be clear to all,these numbers are terrible. As you can see from the company's earnings release showing results for 2018 and 2019:\nSource: AMC Entertainment\nThe pace for attendance in 2019 was 250 million in the US, or 4.8 million customers per week and in 2018 it was 4.9 million customers. So it's very nice to learn that 2 million customers is the largest number of people to see a movie at AMC since COVID-19 led to lockdowns, but the real numbers mean show attendance is down almost 60% from 2018 and 2019.\nAs you can see above, 2018 and 2019 were not great years for the company, either. AMC lost $149 million in the second of two years and made $110 million in the first one. At the end of 2019, the stock price of a money-losing AMC was just over $7/share. Bullish shareholders (\"Apes\" as they style themselves) are excited about the move of more than 700% to this week's price of over $55/share:\nSource: Koyfin\nBut what many of them don't seem to be paying attention to is the market capitalization. As you can see in the chart above, increasing the share count from 100 million to almost 480 million shares outstanding in the last year has pushed the market cap far higher leading to an increase of almost 3,900%.\nThis kind of securities analysis is not \"optional\" and shareholders are now paying almost 40 times as much to own this company as they did at the end of the last full year before COVID-19.\nNot all MemeStocks are created Equal\nThe first \"memestock\" to capture everyone's attention this year was GameStop (GME). After a number of years of declining sales, a new class of investors such as Chewy founder Ryan took interest in the company and eventually took over the board of directors. At the same time this change in leadership was underway, a number of hedge funds who had been short the stock began losing money at an alarming clip.\nIn the popular imagination, the rise in GameStop shares was a win for retail investors sharing information on Reddit such as the now-famous \"Roaring Kitty,\" but the evidence is the biggest winners were in fact other hedge funds (see \"This Hedge Fund Made $700 million on GameStop\"). Since Cohen took over the company, he is shifting its business model to online sales and hiring executives from leading companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN).\nNone of the kinds of positive things that are happening at GameStop are even close to being talked about at AMC. AMC has had thesame CEO since 2015. There is no change in business model, and now that he has cash from equity sales, thebest ideahe's come up with is just buying more movie theaters! Meanwhile, many of the most successful companies on the planet such as Disney(NYSE:DIS), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Amazon are all developing streaming services to entertain customers at home - which keeps them from going to the movies.\nLikewise, the entire growth of the online gaming industry with services such as Twitch from Amazon and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)with Xbox is another substantial competitor getting in the way of customers going to the movies. All this is to say that the future is not getting brighter for AMC.\nConclusion\nMaybe AMC's share price will double next week. Maybe it will get cut in half. I don't know and neither does anyone else. But one month, one quarter or one year from now, shareholders will own a money-losing company in a fading industry at an extremely high valuation.\nI'm short shares in this stock because one day in the not-too-distant future, those shareholders will start selling, and then once the stock goes down regularly I expect them to start selling shares rapidly. Ultimately, I expect the shares to go back to the level they were at the end of 2019 - only when that happens, they won't be $7/share anymore. They'll be closer to $2.00.\nGood luck to all!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129319507,"gmtCreate":1624358601109,"gmtModify":1703834288397,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!","listText":"The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!","text":"The more FUD articles appear. The more theapes will continue to HODL. To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129319507","repostId":"1135948909","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1135948909","pubTimestamp":1624321371,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135948909?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135948909","media":"thestreet","summary":"AMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that","content":"<p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to dominate Reddit-retail trading.</p>\n<p><i>TheStreet's</i>founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.</p>\n<p>Cramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's&nbsp;(<b>WEN</b>) -Get Report, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(<b>BBBY</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;and Cleveland Cliffs&nbsp;(<b>CLF</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;-- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>) -Get Report.</p>\n<p>With both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.</p>\n<p>AMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.</p>\n<p>GameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.</p>\n<p>\"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \"&nbsp;GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"</p>\n<p>AMC shares were marked 8.5%&nbsp; lower in mid-day trading Monday to change hands at $54.30 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 350%.</p>\n<p>GameStop shares slumped 7.2% lower to $198.40 each, a gain of 12.5% from last month's levels.</p>\n<p>Data from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 777 mentions.</p>\n<p>Short interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.</p>\n<p>For GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC, GameStop Slide As Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh' on Meme Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 08:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135948909","content_text":"AMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares slumped lower Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to dominate Reddit-retail trading.\nTheStreet'sfounder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.\nCramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's (WEN) -Get Report, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) -Get Report and Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) -Get Report -- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop (GME) -Get Report.\nWith both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.\nAMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.\nGameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.\n\"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \" GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"\nAMC shares were marked 8.5%  lower in mid-day trading Monday to change hands at $54.30 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 350%.\nGameStop shares slumped 7.2% lower to $198.40 each, a gain of 12.5% from last month's levels.\nData from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 777 mentions.\nShort interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.\nFor GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182473928,"gmtCreate":1623601803564,"gmtModify":1704206868374,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.","listText":"This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.","text":"This is just the beginning of the applicationsof nft. And especially important for those in the creative industries.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182473928","repostId":"2143788705","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143788705","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623530160,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143788705?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-13 04:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143788705","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareh","content":"<blockquote>\n Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Who says the NFT bubble has popped ?</b></p>\n<p>A non-fungible token (NFT) of a digital artwork called a CryptoPunk defied expectations and just sold for $11.8 million at Sotheby's on Thursday this week.</p>\n<p>\"CryptoPunks are a set of 10,000 pixel-art characters made by Larva Labs in 2017\" and the mega bucks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that sold-- CryptoPunk #7523 -- is \"of the sought-after Alien variety with blue-green skin, and wearing a medical mask,\" according to Reuters . It was bought with bitcoin and no physical artwork changes hands.</p>\n<p>Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$(DKNG)$</a>.</p>\n<p>\"We are excited to continue to explore new and interesting ways in presenting these cutting-edge works,\" Michael Bouhanna, a contemporary art specialist at Sotheby's, told Reuters.</p>\n<p>This week the famous \"Doge\" NFT also sold at another auction for $4 million.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'CryptoPunk' NFT sells for $11.8 million at Sotheby's\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-13 04:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Who says the NFT bubble has popped ?</b></p>\n<p>A non-fungible token (NFT) of a digital artwork called a CryptoPunk defied expectations and just sold for $11.8 million at Sotheby's on Thursday this week.</p>\n<p>\"CryptoPunks are a set of 10,000 pixel-art characters made by Larva Labs in 2017\" and the mega bucks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that sold-- CryptoPunk #7523 -- is \"of the sought-after Alien variety with blue-green skin, and wearing a medical mask,\" according to Reuters . It was bought with bitcoin and no physical artwork changes hands.</p>\n<p>Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DKNG\">$(DKNG)$</a>.</p>\n<p>\"We are excited to continue to explore new and interesting ways in presenting these cutting-edge works,\" Michael Bouhanna, a contemporary art specialist at Sotheby's, told Reuters.</p>\n<p>This week the famous \"Doge\" NFT also sold at another auction for $4 million.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143788705","content_text":"Sotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings.\n\nWho says the NFT bubble has popped ?\nA non-fungible token (NFT) of a digital artwork called a CryptoPunk defied expectations and just sold for $11.8 million at Sotheby's on Thursday this week.\n\"CryptoPunks are a set of 10,000 pixel-art characters made by Larva Labs in 2017\" and the mega bucks one that sold-- CryptoPunk #7523 -- is \"of the sought-after Alien variety with blue-green skin, and wearing a medical mask,\" according to Reuters . It was bought with bitcoin and no physical artwork changes hands.\nSotheby's announced the work was bought by Israeli entrepreneur Shalom Meckenzie, the largest shareholder of digital sports company DraftKings $(DKNG)$.\n\"We are excited to continue to explore new and interesting ways in presenting these cutting-edge works,\" Michael Bouhanna, a contemporary art specialist at Sotheby's, told Reuters.\nThis week the famous \"Doge\" NFT also sold at another auction for $4 million.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182372415,"gmtCreate":1623556145037,"gmtModify":1704206071376,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?","listText":"Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?","text":"Only possible with a stock split. Otherwise how many are able to even buy or sell a single stock?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182372415","repostId":"2142524078","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142524078","pubTimestamp":1623379800,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142524078?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142524078","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Amazon at $10,000 in four years might sound outrageous, but it's actually saner than you realize.","content":"<p>The stock market offers few guarantees. However, there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> exception: Change is constant.</p>\n<p>Looking back, it's not uncommon to see the market's 10 largest companies by market cap completely reshuffle every five or 10 years. Innovation, competitive advantages, and acquisitions, among other factors, regularly crown new superstars and pull the rug out from beneath widely held companies.</p>\n<p>It's my belief that e-commerce giant <b>Amazon</b> (NASDAQ:AMZN) is on track to soon surpass both <b>Microsoft</b>&nbsp;and <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;to become the largest publicly traded company. And that's not all. Between now and 2025, I predict Amazon will hit $10,000 a share. This would give the company a $5 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p>Sound outrageous or too good to be true? I'm about to show you why $10,000 by 2025 is saner than you think.</p>\n<h2>Amazon's online market share is unrivaled</h2>\n<p>Let's start by examining Amazon's two (yes, <i>two</i>) dominant operating models.</p>\n<p>Most people are probably very familiar with Amazon's online marketplace. According to data found on statistics-aggregator Statista, nearly 215 million people visited Amazon's online sites in December 2019. We can probably safely assume this figure moved substantially higher throughout 2020, with consumers stuck in their homes due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p>\n<p>Yet this isn't the jaw-dropping figure. What's even more impressive is that Amazon controls an estimated 40.4% of all online sales in the U.S., according to an April 2021 report from eMarketer. Think about this for a moment: $0.40 of every $1 spent online in the U.S. is being routed through Amazon, and the company's market share keeps inching higher.</p>\n<p>While it's great to be the go-to source for e-commerce, Amazon is also acutely aware of how razor thin retail margins can be. It's helped offset this by pushing its Prime membership.</p>\n<p>With Prime, members enjoy free two-day shipping, the unlimited streaming of movies and videos on Prime Video, and multiple deals and discounts when shopping. For Amazon, Prime helps the company generate tens of billions of dollars in additional revenue. With more than 200 million Prime members worldwide, Amazon is able to use the revenue from Prime to undercut brick-and-mortar retailers on price. It also doesn't hurt that Prime members have added incentive to spend more and to stay within Amazon's ecosystem of products and services.</p>\n<h2>AWS is becoming a more important puzzle piece</h2>\n<p>But Amazon is about far more than just its dominant online marketplace. The company's cloud infrastructure segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS), is also an absolute beast.</p>\n<p>According to global technology-analysis company Canalys, worldwide cloud revenue spending in the first quarter of 2021 totaled $41.8 billion. Of that nearly $42 billion, Google Cloud (a division of <b>Alphabet</b>) accounted for 7%, Microsoft Azure was responsible for 19%, and AWS stood tall with a 32% market share!</p>\n<p>With the pandemic wreaking havoc on traditional workplaces, businesses of all sizes have been pushing online and into the cloud to reach customers. That's meant sustainably high demand for AWS, which provides everything from database storage and content delivery to advanced analytics and management tools.</p>\n<p>How impressive has AWS been for Amazon? During the worst economic downturn in decades in 2020, AWS <i>still</i> grew sales by 30%. Revenue jumped another 32% in the first quarter of 2021, which pushed its annual sales run rate to about $54 billion.</p>\n<p>What's important to realize about AWS is that the margins associated with cloud infrastructure services are light years higher than Amazon's online marketplace. Even though AWS accounted for \"just\" $13.5 billion of the company's $108.5 billion in net sales in Q1 2021, it produced close to $4.2 billion in operating income. Amazon's other businesses, which yielded $95 billion in revenue, produced only $4.7 billion in operating income. In short, as AWS grows into a large percentage of total sales, operating income and cash flow will grow at a much faster rate than the company's total sales.</p>\n<h2>Amazon at $10,000 by 2025 is a very real possibility</h2>\n<p>Here's where things get interesting. It's no secret that Amazon's valuation doesn't make much sense using traditional fundamental analysis. This is to say that its price-to-earnings ratio and book value have always been in nosebleed territory. However, neither measure serves much purpose when we're talking about a nontraditional, fast-growing business. Since Amazon chooses to reinvest a majority of its capital, operating cash flow and historic operating cash flow multiples are considerably better measures of value for the company.</p>\n<p>Dating back to 2010, Amazon has ended each of the past 11 years at a multiple relative to its operating cash flow of between 23 and 37. Again, from a fundamental perspective, this might seem high. But given Amazon's utter dominance in e-commerce and cloud infrastructure services, it's a multiple that Wall Street and investors have been perfectly willing to support for more than a decade.</p>\n<p>As we look to 2021 and beyond, Wall Street is crystal clear that it expects AWS to help more than double Amazon's cash flow per share. Keeping in mind that estimates are fluid, here's what analysts are looking for, in terms of cash flow per share, through 2025, courtesy of <b>FactSet</b>:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>2021:</b> $153.73 consensus cash flow per share (CFPS)</li>\n <li><b>2022:</b> $192.99 consensus CFPS</li>\n <li><b>2023:</b> $234.91 consensus CFPS</li>\n <li><b>2024:</b> $294.30 consensus CFPS</li>\n <li><b>2025:</b> $341.70 consensus CFPS</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If Amazon were to simply remain valued at the median of its operating cash flow multiple (30) over the past 11 years (the midpoint between 23 and 37), the $341.70 in CFPS that it's estimated by Wall Street to bring in by 2025 would lead to a share price of (drum roll) $10,251.</p>\n<p>Amazon at $10,000 might seem like a pie-in-the-sky number, but it would be right in line with how investors have always valued the company. As long as AWS keeps growing by close to 30%, Amazon at $10,000 by 2025 becomes a very achievable target over the next four years.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrediction: Amazon Will Hit $10,000 by 2025\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 10:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/10/prediction-amazon-will-hit-10000-by-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market offers few guarantees. However, there is one exception: Change is constant.\nLooking back, it's not uncommon to see the market's 10 largest companies by market cap completely reshuffle...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/10/prediction-amazon-will-hit-10000-by-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","09086":"华夏纳指-U","AAPL":"苹果","03086":"华夏纳指"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/10/prediction-amazon-will-hit-10000-by-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142524078","content_text":"The stock market offers few guarantees. However, there is one exception: Change is constant.\nLooking back, it's not uncommon to see the market's 10 largest companies by market cap completely reshuffle every five or 10 years. Innovation, competitive advantages, and acquisitions, among other factors, regularly crown new superstars and pull the rug out from beneath widely held companies.\nIt's my belief that e-commerce giant Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is on track to soon surpass both Microsoft and Apple to become the largest publicly traded company. And that's not all. Between now and 2025, I predict Amazon will hit $10,000 a share. This would give the company a $5 trillion market cap.\nSound outrageous or too good to be true? I'm about to show you why $10,000 by 2025 is saner than you think.\nAmazon's online market share is unrivaled\nLet's start by examining Amazon's two (yes, two) dominant operating models.\nMost people are probably very familiar with Amazon's online marketplace. According to data found on statistics-aggregator Statista, nearly 215 million people visited Amazon's online sites in December 2019. We can probably safely assume this figure moved substantially higher throughout 2020, with consumers stuck in their homes due to the coronavirus pandemic.\nYet this isn't the jaw-dropping figure. What's even more impressive is that Amazon controls an estimated 40.4% of all online sales in the U.S., according to an April 2021 report from eMarketer. Think about this for a moment: $0.40 of every $1 spent online in the U.S. is being routed through Amazon, and the company's market share keeps inching higher.\nWhile it's great to be the go-to source for e-commerce, Amazon is also acutely aware of how razor thin retail margins can be. It's helped offset this by pushing its Prime membership.\nWith Prime, members enjoy free two-day shipping, the unlimited streaming of movies and videos on Prime Video, and multiple deals and discounts when shopping. For Amazon, Prime helps the company generate tens of billions of dollars in additional revenue. With more than 200 million Prime members worldwide, Amazon is able to use the revenue from Prime to undercut brick-and-mortar retailers on price. It also doesn't hurt that Prime members have added incentive to spend more and to stay within Amazon's ecosystem of products and services.\nAWS is becoming a more important puzzle piece\nBut Amazon is about far more than just its dominant online marketplace. The company's cloud infrastructure segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS), is also an absolute beast.\nAccording to global technology-analysis company Canalys, worldwide cloud revenue spending in the first quarter of 2021 totaled $41.8 billion. Of that nearly $42 billion, Google Cloud (a division of Alphabet) accounted for 7%, Microsoft Azure was responsible for 19%, and AWS stood tall with a 32% market share!\nWith the pandemic wreaking havoc on traditional workplaces, businesses of all sizes have been pushing online and into the cloud to reach customers. That's meant sustainably high demand for AWS, which provides everything from database storage and content delivery to advanced analytics and management tools.\nHow impressive has AWS been for Amazon? During the worst economic downturn in decades in 2020, AWS still grew sales by 30%. Revenue jumped another 32% in the first quarter of 2021, which pushed its annual sales run rate to about $54 billion.\nWhat's important to realize about AWS is that the margins associated with cloud infrastructure services are light years higher than Amazon's online marketplace. Even though AWS accounted for \"just\" $13.5 billion of the company's $108.5 billion in net sales in Q1 2021, it produced close to $4.2 billion in operating income. Amazon's other businesses, which yielded $95 billion in revenue, produced only $4.7 billion in operating income. In short, as AWS grows into a large percentage of total sales, operating income and cash flow will grow at a much faster rate than the company's total sales.\nAmazon at $10,000 by 2025 is a very real possibility\nHere's where things get interesting. It's no secret that Amazon's valuation doesn't make much sense using traditional fundamental analysis. This is to say that its price-to-earnings ratio and book value have always been in nosebleed territory. However, neither measure serves much purpose when we're talking about a nontraditional, fast-growing business. Since Amazon chooses to reinvest a majority of its capital, operating cash flow and historic operating cash flow multiples are considerably better measures of value for the company.\nDating back to 2010, Amazon has ended each of the past 11 years at a multiple relative to its operating cash flow of between 23 and 37. Again, from a fundamental perspective, this might seem high. But given Amazon's utter dominance in e-commerce and cloud infrastructure services, it's a multiple that Wall Street and investors have been perfectly willing to support for more than a decade.\nAs we look to 2021 and beyond, Wall Street is crystal clear that it expects AWS to help more than double Amazon's cash flow per share. Keeping in mind that estimates are fluid, here's what analysts are looking for, in terms of cash flow per share, through 2025, courtesy of FactSet:\n\n2021: $153.73 consensus cash flow per share (CFPS)\n2022: $192.99 consensus CFPS\n2023: $234.91 consensus CFPS\n2024: $294.30 consensus CFPS\n2025: $341.70 consensus CFPS\n\nIf Amazon were to simply remain valued at the median of its operating cash flow multiple (30) over the past 11 years (the midpoint between 23 and 37), the $341.70 in CFPS that it's estimated by Wall Street to bring in by 2025 would lead to a share price of (drum roll) $10,251.\nAmazon at $10,000 might seem like a pie-in-the-sky number, but it would be right in line with how investors have always valued the company. As long as AWS keeps growing by close to 30%, Amazon at $10,000 by 2025 becomes a very achievable target over the next four years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118303305,"gmtCreate":1622717206007,"gmtModify":1704189557169,"author":{"id":"3567209468158570","authorId":"3567209468158570","name":"Jerrywong76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb628024b8bf8a62db30a806c6571a54","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567209468158570","authorIdStr":"3567209468158570"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??","listText":"The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??","text":"The short interest is 14%. How many hedge funds are still trying to cover their positions? Apes together strong. HODL! ??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118303305","repostId":"1178258633","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}