ckh personal page - To The Moon

ckh

ckh

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2024-09-08

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$

2024-06-09

Great article, would you like to share it?

@Shyon:EV Giants - Tesla BYD Xiaomi Technical Analysis

2024-02-26

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 😢

2023-07-01

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@JC888:Will ESG ETFs - $ESGU, $VSGX Fall? BlackRock CEO Warns!

2023-06-13

Give us more 0.5 to play

2022-12-09

$Alphabet(GOOG)$

2022-12-06

Great event and hope everyone can win some points during this world cup season

2022-12-06

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Football Season, share the prizes worth up to US$200,000

2022-12-06

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-28

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2022-11-27

Ok

@Longacres_Finance: Best Dividend Aristocrats This Year!From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=al2GuHPu37I

2022-11-27

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2022-11-15

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-09

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-09

Ok

Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy

2022-11-06

Really messy

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-21

Alright

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-21

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-22

$S&P 500(.SPX)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$

2022-09-21

$BYD COMPANY(01211)$

Go to Tiger App to see more news

Invest in Global Markets with Tiger Brokers!

Open App

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347255529738536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315028424683600,"gmtCreate":1717942684280,"gmtModify":1717942687709,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315028424683600","repostId":"314479744463136","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":314479744463136,"gmtCreate":1717808619352,"gmtModify":1718181460060,"author":{"id":"3581734406950755","authorId":"3581734406950755","name":"Shyon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3423cbda71d7a89cd2f2f2d6744330","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581734406950755","authorIdStr":"3581734406950755"},"themes":[],"title":"EV Giants - Tesla BYD Xiaomi Technical Analysis","htmlText":"As climate change continues to accelerate and its devastating impacts increase, we must act now to reduce our carbon emissions. Since the transport sector contributes to global emissions, transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) may significantly aid countries in achieving their net-zero goals. While much attention is given to the consumer market, the role of commercial vehicles, and specifically large-scale fleets, is crucial.&nbsp; The electric vehicle revolution is gaining momentum thanks to various factors such as cost reduction, technological advancements and government support.&nbsp; TESLA&nbsp; Over the past 18 months, Tesla has missed its sales goals and seen its share price fall, as Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk makes dramatic decisions about the company's future. Musk cut the","listText":"As climate change continues to accelerate and its devastating impacts increase, we must act now to reduce our carbon emissions. Since the transport sector contributes to global emissions, transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) may significantly aid countries in achieving their net-zero goals. While much attention is given to the consumer market, the role of commercial vehicles, and specifically large-scale fleets, is crucial.&nbsp; The electric vehicle revolution is gaining momentum thanks to various factors such as cost reduction, technological advancements and government support.&nbsp; TESLA&nbsp; Over the past 18 months, Tesla has missed its sales goals and seen its share price fall, as Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk makes dramatic decisions about the company's future. Musk cut the","text":"As climate change continues to accelerate and its devastating impacts increase, we must act now to reduce our carbon emissions. Since the transport sector contributes to global emissions, transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) may significantly aid countries in achieving their net-zero goals. While much attention is given to the consumer market, the role of commercial vehicles, and specifically large-scale fleets, is crucial. The electric vehicle revolution is gaining momentum thanks to various factors such as cost reduction, technological advancements and government support. TESLA Over the past 18 months, Tesla has missed its sales goals and seen its share price fall, as Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk makes dramatic decisions about the company's future. Musk cut the","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7669706ca5939dc8f26d1f58760ac6d5","width":"2800","height":"1260"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24ffe5aada2f053f96422c810750150b","width":"2800","height":"1260"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ee4f47badc4c10e9e8a304e17c68331","width":"2800","height":"1260"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/314479744463136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278232258810120,"gmtCreate":1708955602475,"gmtModify":1708955607535,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ </a> 😢&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ </a> 😢&nbsp;","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 😢","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e281a04ff0e4570ea92be693134f2aea","width":"894","height":"1508"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278232258810120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193316295954432,"gmtCreate":1688225978527,"gmtModify":1688225981878,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193316295954432","repostId":"193234694537336","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":193234694537336,"gmtCreate":1688205967185,"gmtModify":1688208682536,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"title":"Will ESG ETFs - $ESGU, $VSGX Fall? BlackRock CEO Warns!","htmlText":"When I came across the above article, I&nbsp;sat up&nbsp;quickly,&nbsp;click&nbsp;on it and&nbsp;savour&nbsp;the article in one sitting. When the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;assets manager, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BLK\">$BlackRock(BLK)$</a> CEO, Mr Larry Finks said something so “profound”, we need to pay close attention especially when distilled to its essence, it is about&nbsp;money &amp; investments. My usual prelude before deep diving into the main content. What is&nbsp;Environmental,&nbsp;Social &amp; corporate&nbsp;Governance (ESG)? It is an&nbsp;approach&nbsp;to investing that recommends taking&nbsp;(a)&nbsp;environmental issues,&nbsp;(b)&nbsp;social issues and&nbsp;(c)&nbsp;governance issues into account when deciding which companies to invest in. It has become&nbsp;increasing","listText":"When I came across the above article, I&nbsp;sat up&nbsp;quickly,&nbsp;click&nbsp;on it and&nbsp;savour&nbsp;the article in one sitting. When the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;assets manager, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BLK\">$BlackRock(BLK)$</a> CEO, Mr Larry Finks said something so “profound”, we need to pay close attention especially when distilled to its essence, it is about&nbsp;money &amp; investments. My usual prelude before deep diving into the main content. What is&nbsp;Environmental,&nbsp;Social &amp; corporate&nbsp;Governance (ESG)? It is an&nbsp;approach&nbsp;to investing that recommends taking&nbsp;(a)&nbsp;environmental issues,&nbsp;(b)&nbsp;social issues and&nbsp;(c)&nbsp;governance issues into account when deciding which companies to invest in. It has become&nbsp;increasing","text":"When I came across the above article, I sat up quickly, click on it and savour the article in one sitting. When the world’s largest assets manager, $BlackRock(BLK)$ CEO, Mr Larry Finks said something so “profound”, we need to pay close attention especially when distilled to its essence, it is about money & investments. My usual prelude before deep diving into the main content. What is Environmental, Social & corporate Governance (ESG)? It is an approach to investing that recommends taking (a) environmental issues, (b) social issues and (c) governance issues into account when deciding which companies to invest in. It has become increasing","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/daeb75e0de512a0f563acaf104d66f75","width":"2271","height":"141"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5001df93c54d0e165185b15b3a803c6c","width":"853","height":"173"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3759be8dc49b19f3f55e20cad094c83","width":"938","height":"200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193234694537336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186686737408120,"gmtCreate":1686617225025,"gmtModify":1686617228628,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Give us more 0.5 to play","listText":"Give us more 0.5 to play","text":"Give us more 0.5 to play","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186686737408120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929965003,"gmtCreate":1670588229302,"gmtModify":1676538399568,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alphabet(GOOG)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929965003","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967232535,"gmtCreate":1670333145528,"gmtModify":1676538345720,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great event and hope everyone can win some points during this world cup season","listText":"Great event and hope everyone can win some points during this world cup season","text":"Great event and hope everyone can win some points during this world cup season","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967232535","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967231954,"gmtCreate":1670332553779,"gmtModify":1676538345568,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967231954","repostId":"9963969638","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9963969638,"gmtCreate":1668567458425,"gmtModify":1677745765888,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger's Football Season, share the prizes worth up to US$200,000","htmlText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world!&nbsp;While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","listText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world!&nbsp;While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","text":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world! While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every 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\n \n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/POSTVIDEO/{ID}\"></a><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/embed/al2GuHPu37I\">Best Dividend Aristocrats This Year!</a>From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=al2GuHPu37I\n \n","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/POSTVIDEO/{ID}\"></a><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/embed/al2GuHPu37I\">Best Dividend Aristocrats This Year!</a>From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=al2GuHPu37I","text":"Best Dividend Aristocrats This Year!From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=al2GuHPu37I","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966233271","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"4779c436f2a944069feb236eecef3f43","tweetId":"9966233271","title":"Best Dividend Aristocrats This 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23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157692624","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.</li><li>Rising interest rates, Q3&#39;s revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.</li><li>The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.</li><li>The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.</li><li>The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.</li></ul><p>Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed96ee922a9178151466be6bb913196e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.</p><p>Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.</p><p>The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddbc4100fa6280bf6fcc0ef8b86d03a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Trailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.</p><p>Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.</p><p>I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&amp;P 500 (not including dividends).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c08822d1f3055ab12bf6e9e8a7ea386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Previous analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&amp;P 500 above.</p><p>For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.</p><p>With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.</p><p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>ETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615c8d0e04e8918e25b7385e2bad7c26\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"855\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797d6141699490e50d24fb2784e632e1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.</p><p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>I have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.</p><p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f689bc8494e22307e8401f8fcc1ac2\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.</p><p>To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67eb2da8e00a45afb6a60092265c1c8c\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.</p><p>Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f17528781a49f411c10295d132d77cf\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>Tesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157692624","content_text":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).Seeking Alpha12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.ETradeTrailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&P 500 (not including dividends).Seeking AlphaPrevious analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&P 500 above.For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLAETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).ETradeWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.Seeking AlphaWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.Market-Implied Outlook for TSLAI have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.SummaryTesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984737400,"gmtCreate":1667739364700,"gmtModify":1676537957521,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really messy&nbsp;","listText":"Really messy&nbsp;","text":"Really messy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984737400","repostId":"1179650981","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981047165,"gmtCreate":1666359090158,"gmtModify":1676537746428,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright&nbsp;","listText":"Alright&nbsp;","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981047165","repostId":"2277426958","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981044240,"gmtCreate":1666358955681,"gmtModify":1676537746413,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981044240","repostId":"1129435927","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919425269,"gmtCreate":1663850426651,"gmtModify":1676537349097,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/165c7dc11783e7e549701d20d622c4d4","width":"1080","height":"1720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919425269","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919358591,"gmtCreate":1663737008913,"gmtModify":1676537326635,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01211\">$BYD COMPANY(01211)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01211\">$BYD COMPANY(01211)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$BYD COMPANY(01211)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919358591","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9085326563,"gmtCreate":1650651178584,"gmtModify":1676534770807,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The book that helped me most in my investment is Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki.\"Winners are not afraid of losing. But losers are. Failure is part of the process of success. People who avoid failure also avoid success.\"This year I planned to read these books1. Best for Rental Property Investing: The Book on Rental Property Investing.2. THE PSYCHOLOGY OF MONEY.By reading more can give me more knowledge and made better decisions&nbsp;","listText":"The book that helped me most in my investment is Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki.\"Winners are not afraid of losing. But losers are. Failure is part of the process of success. People who avoid failure also avoid success.\"This year I planned to read these books1. Best for Rental Property Investing: The Book on Rental Property Investing.2. THE PSYCHOLOGY OF MONEY.By reading more can give me more knowledge and made better decisions&nbsp;","text":"The book that helped me most in my investment is Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki.\"Winners are not afraid of losing. But losers are. Failure is part of the process of success. People who avoid failure also avoid success.\"This year I planned to read these books1. Best for Rental Property Investing: The Book on Rental Property Investing.2. THE PSYCHOLOGY OF MONEY.By reading more can give me more knowledge and made better decisions","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085326563","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130260573,"gmtCreate":1621552966292,"gmtModify":1704359385674,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130260573","repostId":"2137763179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581676436170868","authorId":"3581676436170868","name":"hu1250","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08c0a697f3093d1acd07d17572749896","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581676436170868","authorIdStr":"3581676436170868"},"content":"Pls response too","text":"Pls response too","html":"Pls response too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278232258810120,"gmtCreate":1708955602475,"gmtModify":1708955607535,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ </a> 😢&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ </a> 😢&nbsp;","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 😢","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e281a04ff0e4570ea92be693134f2aea","width":"894","height":"1508"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278232258810120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315028424683600,"gmtCreate":1717942684280,"gmtModify":1717942687709,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315028424683600","repostId":"314479744463136","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":314479744463136,"gmtCreate":1717808619352,"gmtModify":1718181460060,"author":{"id":"3581734406950755","authorId":"3581734406950755","name":"Shyon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3423cbda71d7a89cd2f2f2d6744330","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581734406950755","authorIdStr":"3581734406950755"},"themes":[],"title":"EV Giants - Tesla BYD Xiaomi Technical Analysis","htmlText":"As climate change continues to accelerate and its devastating impacts increase, we must act now to reduce our carbon emissions. Since the transport sector contributes to global emissions, transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) may significantly aid countries in achieving their net-zero goals. While much attention is given to the consumer market, the role of commercial vehicles, and specifically large-scale fleets, is crucial.&nbsp; The electric vehicle revolution is gaining momentum thanks to various factors such as cost reduction, technological advancements and government support.&nbsp; TESLA&nbsp; Over the past 18 months, Tesla has missed its sales goals and seen its share price fall, as Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk makes dramatic decisions about the company's future. Musk cut the","listText":"As climate change continues to accelerate and its devastating impacts increase, we must act now to reduce our carbon emissions. Since the transport sector contributes to global emissions, transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) may significantly aid countries in achieving their net-zero goals. While much attention is given to the consumer market, the role of commercial vehicles, and specifically large-scale fleets, is crucial.&nbsp; The electric vehicle revolution is gaining momentum thanks to various factors such as cost reduction, technological advancements and government support.&nbsp; TESLA&nbsp; Over the past 18 months, Tesla has missed its sales goals and seen its share price fall, as Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk makes dramatic decisions about the company's future. Musk cut the","text":"As climate change continues to accelerate and its devastating impacts increase, we must act now to reduce our carbon emissions. Since the transport sector contributes to global emissions, transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) may significantly aid countries in achieving their net-zero goals. While much attention is given to the consumer market, the role of commercial vehicles, and specifically large-scale fleets, is crucial. The electric vehicle revolution is gaining momentum thanks to various factors such as cost reduction, technological advancements and government support. TESLA Over the past 18 months, Tesla has missed its sales goals and seen its share price fall, as Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk makes dramatic decisions about the company's future. Musk cut the","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7669706ca5939dc8f26d1f58760ac6d5","width":"2800","height":"1260"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24ffe5aada2f053f96422c810750150b","width":"2800","height":"1260"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ee4f47badc4c10e9e8a304e17c68331","width":"2800","height":"1260"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/314479744463136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186686737408120,"gmtCreate":1686617225025,"gmtModify":1686617228628,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Give us more 0.5 to play","listText":"Give us more 0.5 to play","text":"Give us more 0.5 to play","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186686737408120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010188275,"gmtCreate":1648286743715,"gmtModify":1676534325670,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010188275","repostId":"1196027616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196027616","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648255536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196027616?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-03-26 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock-Market Investors Should Watch the \"Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196027616","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns.</p><p>They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though.</p><p>“Yield curve inversion, and flatting, has been at the forefront for everyone,” said Pete Duffy, chief investment officer at Penn Capital Management Company, in Philadelphia, by phone.</p><p>“That’s because the Fed is so active and rates suddenly have gone up so quickly.”</p><p>An inversion of the yield curve happens when rates on longer bonds fall below those of shorter-term debt, a sign that investors think economic woes could lie ahead. Fears of an economic slowdown have been mounting as the Federal Reserve starts to tighten financial conditions while Russia’s Ukraine invasion threatens to keep key drivers of U.S. inflation high.</p><p>Lately, the attention has been on the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 2.478% and shorter 2-year yield, where the spread fell to 13 basis points on Tuesday, up from a high of about 130 basis points five months ago.</p><p>Read: The yield curve is speeding toward inversion — here’s what investors need to know</p><p>But that’s not the only plot on the Treasury yield curve investors closely watch. The Treasury Department sells securities that mature in a range from a few days to 30 years, providing a lot of plots on the curve to follow.</p><p>“The focus has been on the 10s and 2s,” said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, in Horsham, Penn, a northern suburb of Philadelphia.</p><p>“I will hold out until the 10s to 3-month bills inverts before I turn too negative on the economic outlook,” he said, calling it “the best leading indicator of trouble ahead.”</p><h2>Watch 10-year, 3-month</h2><p>Instead of falling, that spread climbed in March, continuing its path higher since turning negative two years ago at the onset of the pandemic (see chart).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fe28818cd1806ee5afd5519332cf483\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"579\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>The 3-month to 10-year yield spread is climbing Bloomberg data, Goelzer Investment Management</span></p><p>“The 3-month Treasury bill really tracks the Federal Reserve’s target rate,” said Gavin Stephens, director of portfolio management at Goelzer Investment Management in Indiana, by phone.</p><p>“So it gives you a more immediate picture of if the Federal Reserve has entered a restrictive state in terms of monetary policy and, thus, giving the possibility that economic growth is going to contract, which would be bad for stocks.”</p><p>Stocks were lower Friday, but with the S&amp;P 500 index SPX, +0.51% and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.16% still up about 1.2% on the week. The three major indexes were 4.5% to 10.1% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet.</p><p>By watching the 10s and 2s TMUBMUSD02Y, 2.280% spread, “You are looking at the expectations of where Fed Reserve interest rate policy is going to be over a period of two years,” Stephens said. “So, effectively, it’s working with a lag.”</p><p>On average, from the time the 10s and 2s curve inverts, until “there’s a recession, it’s almost two years,” he said, predicting that with unemployment recently pegged around 3.8% that, “this curve is going to invert when the economy is really strong.”</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco also called the 3-month TMUBMUSD03M, 0.535% and 10-year curve relationship its “preferred spread measure because it has the strongest predictive power for future recessions,” such as in 2019, back when the yield curve was more regularly flashing recession warning signs.</p><p>“Did it see COVID coming?” Duffy said, of earlier yield curve inversions.</p><p>A more likely catalyst was that investors already were on a recession watch, with the American economy in its longest expansion period on record.</p><p>“There are a number of these curves that you need to look at in totality,” Duffy said. “We’ve always said look at many signals.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock-Market Investors Should Watch the \"Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock-Market Investors Should Watch the \"Best Leading Indicator of Trouble Ahead\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-26 08:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-part-of-the-treasury-yield-curve-may-be-the-best-leading-indicator-of-trouble-ahead-11648210025?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns.They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though.“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-part-of-the-treasury-yield-curve-may-be-the-best-leading-indicator-of-trouble-ahead-11648210025?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-part-of-the-treasury-yield-curve-may-be-the-best-leading-indicator-of-trouble-ahead-11648210025?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196027616","content_text":"Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns.They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though.“Yield curve inversion, and flatting, has been at the forefront for everyone,” said Pete Duffy, chief investment officer at Penn Capital Management Company, in Philadelphia, by phone.“That’s because the Fed is so active and rates suddenly have gone up so quickly.”An inversion of the yield curve happens when rates on longer bonds fall below those of shorter-term debt, a sign that investors think economic woes could lie ahead. Fears of an economic slowdown have been mounting as the Federal Reserve starts to tighten financial conditions while Russia’s Ukraine invasion threatens to keep key drivers of U.S. inflation high.Lately, the attention has been on the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 2.478% and shorter 2-year yield, where the spread fell to 13 basis points on Tuesday, up from a high of about 130 basis points five months ago.Read: The yield curve is speeding toward inversion — here’s what investors need to knowBut that’s not the only plot on the Treasury yield curve investors closely watch. The Treasury Department sells securities that mature in a range from a few days to 30 years, providing a lot of plots on the curve to follow.“The focus has been on the 10s and 2s,” said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer at Penn Mutual Asset Management, in Horsham, Penn, a northern suburb of Philadelphia.“I will hold out until the 10s to 3-month bills inverts before I turn too negative on the economic outlook,” he said, calling it “the best leading indicator of trouble ahead.”Watch 10-year, 3-monthInstead of falling, that spread climbed in March, continuing its path higher since turning negative two years ago at the onset of the pandemic (see chart).The 3-month to 10-year yield spread is climbing Bloomberg data, Goelzer Investment Management“The 3-month Treasury bill really tracks the Federal Reserve’s target rate,” said Gavin Stephens, director of portfolio management at Goelzer Investment Management in Indiana, by phone.“So it gives you a more immediate picture of if the Federal Reserve has entered a restrictive state in terms of monetary policy and, thus, giving the possibility that economic growth is going to contract, which would be bad for stocks.”Stocks were lower Friday, but with the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.51% and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.16% still up about 1.2% on the week. The three major indexes were 4.5% to 10.1% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet.By watching the 10s and 2s TMUBMUSD02Y, 2.280% spread, “You are looking at the expectations of where Fed Reserve interest rate policy is going to be over a period of two years,” Stephens said. “So, effectively, it’s working with a lag.”On average, from the time the 10s and 2s curve inverts, until “there’s a recession, it’s almost two years,” he said, predicting that with unemployment recently pegged around 3.8% that, “this curve is going to invert when the economy is really strong.”The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco also called the 3-month TMUBMUSD03M, 0.535% and 10-year curve relationship its “preferred spread measure because it has the strongest predictive power for future recessions,” such as in 2019, back when the yield curve was more regularly flashing recession warning signs.“Did it see COVID coming?” Duffy said, of earlier yield curve inversions.A more likely catalyst was that investors already were on a recession watch, with the American economy in its longest expansion period on record.“There are a number of these curves that you need to look at in totality,” Duffy said. “We’ve always said look at many signals.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347255529738536,"gmtCreate":1725808589340,"gmtModify":1725849436703,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347255529738536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193316295954432,"gmtCreate":1688225978527,"gmtModify":1688225981878,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193316295954432","repostId":"193234694537336","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":193234694537336,"gmtCreate":1688205967185,"gmtModify":1688208682536,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"title":"Will ESG ETFs - $ESGU, $VSGX Fall? BlackRock CEO Warns!","htmlText":"When I came across the above article, I&nbsp;sat up&nbsp;quickly,&nbsp;click&nbsp;on it and&nbsp;savour&nbsp;the article in one sitting. When the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;assets manager, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BLK\">$BlackRock(BLK)$</a> CEO, Mr Larry Finks said something so “profound”, we need to pay close attention especially when distilled to its essence, it is about&nbsp;money &amp; investments. My usual prelude before deep diving into the main content. What is&nbsp;Environmental,&nbsp;Social &amp; corporate&nbsp;Governance (ESG)? It is an&nbsp;approach&nbsp;to investing that recommends taking&nbsp;(a)&nbsp;environmental issues,&nbsp;(b)&nbsp;social issues and&nbsp;(c)&nbsp;governance issues into account when deciding which companies to invest in. It has become&nbsp;increasing","listText":"When I came across the above article, I&nbsp;sat up&nbsp;quickly,&nbsp;click&nbsp;on it and&nbsp;savour&nbsp;the article in one sitting. When the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;assets manager, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BLK\">$BlackRock(BLK)$</a> CEO, Mr Larry Finks said something so “profound”, we need to pay close attention especially when distilled to its essence, it is about&nbsp;money &amp; investments. My usual prelude before deep diving into the main content. What is&nbsp;Environmental,&nbsp;Social &amp; corporate&nbsp;Governance (ESG)? It is an&nbsp;approach&nbsp;to investing that recommends taking&nbsp;(a)&nbsp;environmental issues,&nbsp;(b)&nbsp;social issues and&nbsp;(c)&nbsp;governance issues into account when deciding which companies to invest in. It has become&nbsp;increasing","text":"When I came across the above article, I sat up quickly, click on it and savour the article in one sitting. When the world’s largest assets manager, $BlackRock(BLK)$ CEO, Mr Larry Finks said something so “profound”, we need to pay close attention especially when distilled to its essence, it is about money & investments. My usual prelude before deep diving into the main content. What is Environmental, Social & corporate Governance (ESG)? It is an approach to investing that recommends taking (a) environmental issues, (b) social issues and (c) governance issues into account when deciding which companies to invest in. It has become increasing","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/daeb75e0de512a0f563acaf104d66f75","width":"2271","height":"141"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5001df93c54d0e165185b15b3a803c6c","width":"853","height":"173"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3759be8dc49b19f3f55e20cad094c83","width":"938","height":"200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193234694537336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9022410216,"gmtCreate":1653567408635,"gmtModify":1676535304877,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9022410216","repostId":"1130299206","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130299206","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1653566631,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130299206?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-05-26 20:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Beats Estimates for Quarterly Revenue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130299206","media":"Reuters","summary":"China's Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Thursday beat market expectations for fourth-quarter revenue, p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>China&#39;s Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Thursday beat market expectations for fourth-quarter revenue, powered by demand for its ecommerce and cloud services as lockdowns in the country&#39;s biggest cities forced offices to shift to remote work.</p><p>Alibaba shares jumped in trading Thursday.</p><p>The e-commerce giant&#39;s strong results come as Beijing extends support to its tech companies to avoid a hit from new COVID-19 outbreaks.</p><p>Demand for online services ranging from shopping to cloud-based products has skyrocketed in China as strict lockdowns prompt people to work, shop and keep themselves entertained from homes.</p><p>Revenue in the cloud computing division rose 12% to 18.97 billion yuan in the reported quarter. At the core commerce unit, its largest, revenue rose 8% to 140.33 billion yuan.</p><p>Overall, revenue rose 9% to 204.05 billion yuan ($30.35 billion) in the quarter. Analysts on average had expected revenue of 199.25 billion yuan, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Alibaba Group said it would not give a forecast for the current fiscal year due to COVID-19 risks.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Beats Estimates for Quarterly Revenue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Beats Estimates for Quarterly Revenue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-26 20:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>China&#39;s Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Thursday beat market expectations for fourth-quarter revenue, powered by demand for its ecommerce and cloud services as lockdowns in the country&#39;s biggest cities forced offices to shift to remote work.</p><p>Alibaba shares jumped in trading Thursday.</p><p>The e-commerce giant&#39;s strong results come as Beijing extends support to its tech companies to avoid a hit from new COVID-19 outbreaks.</p><p>Demand for online services ranging from shopping to cloud-based products has skyrocketed in China as strict lockdowns prompt people to work, shop and keep themselves entertained from homes.</p><p>Revenue in the cloud computing division rose 12% to 18.97 billion yuan in the reported quarter. At the core commerce unit, its largest, revenue rose 8% to 140.33 billion yuan.</p><p>Overall, revenue rose 9% to 204.05 billion yuan ($30.35 billion) in the quarter. Analysts on average had expected revenue of 199.25 billion yuan, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Alibaba Group said it would not give a forecast for the current fiscal year due to COVID-19 risks.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130299206","content_text":"China's Alibaba Group Holding Ltd on Thursday beat market expectations for fourth-quarter revenue, powered by demand for its ecommerce and cloud services as lockdowns in the country's biggest cities forced offices to shift to remote work.Alibaba shares jumped in trading Thursday.The e-commerce giant's strong results come as Beijing extends support to its tech companies to avoid a hit from new COVID-19 outbreaks.Demand for online services ranging from shopping to cloud-based products has skyrocketed in China as strict lockdowns prompt people to work, shop and keep themselves entertained from homes.Revenue in the cloud computing division rose 12% to 18.97 billion yuan in the reported quarter. At the core commerce unit, its largest, revenue rose 8% to 140.33 billion yuan.Overall, revenue rose 9% to 204.05 billion yuan ($30.35 billion) in the quarter. Analysts on average had expected revenue of 199.25 billion yuan, according to Refinitiv data.Alibaba Group said it would not give a forecast for the current fiscal year due to COVID-19 risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182775723,"gmtCreate":1623625367262,"gmtModify":1704207008579,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182775723","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108959394,"gmtCreate":1619995956618,"gmtModify":1704336966672,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108959394","repostId":"1103106179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144280518,"gmtCreate":1626300528234,"gmtModify":1703757255043,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144280518","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575890735190983","authorId":"3575890735190983","name":"DanVI","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/478c2cb5a178cff7532f6fa9a68068b7","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575890735190983","authorIdStr":"3575890735190983"},"content":"Done Pls like Too","text":"Done Pls like Too","html":"Done Pls like Too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163650366,"gmtCreate":1623884090955,"gmtModify":1703822232432,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163650366","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061420551,"gmtCreate":1651669177688,"gmtModify":1676534945107,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9061420551","repostId":"1191508689","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191508689","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651667066,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191508689?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-05-04 20:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Private Payrolls Increased 247,000 in April, Well below Estimate, ADP Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191508689","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Companies added far fewer jobs than expected as the struggle to find workers to fill open positions ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Companies added far fewer jobs than expected as the struggle to find workers to fill open positions continued, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday.</p><p>Private payrolls increased by just 247,000 for the month, well below the 390,000 Dow Jones estimate.</p><p>A dropoff in small business hiring was the primary culprit for the disappointment, as companies with fewer than 50 workers saw a decline of 120,000. The issue was particularly acute in those with fewer than 20 employees, which lost 96,000 workers on the month.</p><p>Big business with 500 or more workers compensated for some of the decline, adding 321,000.</p><p>Leisure and hospitality businesses led job creation with 77,000 additions. Professional and business services grew by 50,000 and education and health services contributed 48,000 to the total.</p><p>Information services was the only sector to report a decline, losing 2,000 workers.</p><p>In all, services-related industries comprised 202,000 of the total while manufacturing added 46,000, led by manufacturing’s 25,000, while construction grew by 16,000. (The totals are rounded.)</p><p>The ADP report serves as a precursor to Friday’s more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That reports is expected to show growth of 400,000 and a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. If that forecast for the jobless rate is correct, it will match the pre-pandemic level, which was the lowest since December 1969.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Private Payrolls Increased 247,000 in April, Well below Estimate, ADP Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrivate Payrolls Increased 247,000 in April, Well below Estimate, ADP Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-04 20:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Companies added far fewer jobs than expected as the struggle to find workers to fill open positions continued, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday.</p><p>Private payrolls increased by just 247,000 for the month, well below the 390,000 Dow Jones estimate.</p><p>A dropoff in small business hiring was the primary culprit for the disappointment, as companies with fewer than 50 workers saw a decline of 120,000. The issue was particularly acute in those with fewer than 20 employees, which lost 96,000 workers on the month.</p><p>Big business with 500 or more workers compensated for some of the decline, adding 321,000.</p><p>Leisure and hospitality businesses led job creation with 77,000 additions. Professional and business services grew by 50,000 and education and health services contributed 48,000 to the total.</p><p>Information services was the only sector to report a decline, losing 2,000 workers.</p><p>In all, services-related industries comprised 202,000 of the total while manufacturing added 46,000, led by manufacturing’s 25,000, while construction grew by 16,000. (The totals are rounded.)</p><p>The ADP report serves as a precursor to Friday’s more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That reports is expected to show growth of 400,000 and a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. If that forecast for the jobless rate is correct, it will match the pre-pandemic level, which was the lowest since December 1969.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191508689","content_text":"Companies added far fewer jobs than expected as the struggle to find workers to fill open positions continued, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday.Private payrolls increased by just 247,000 for the month, well below the 390,000 Dow Jones estimate.A dropoff in small business hiring was the primary culprit for the disappointment, as companies with fewer than 50 workers saw a decline of 120,000. The issue was particularly acute in those with fewer than 20 employees, which lost 96,000 workers on the month.Big business with 500 or more workers compensated for some of the decline, adding 321,000.Leisure and hospitality businesses led job creation with 77,000 additions. Professional and business services grew by 50,000 and education and health services contributed 48,000 to the total.Information services was the only sector to report a decline, losing 2,000 workers.In all, services-related industries comprised 202,000 of the total while manufacturing added 46,000, led by manufacturing’s 25,000, while construction grew by 16,000. (The totals are rounded.)The ADP report serves as a precursor to Friday’s more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That reports is expected to show growth of 400,000 and a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. If that forecast for the jobless rate is correct, it will match the pre-pandemic level, which was the lowest since December 1969.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899539231,"gmtCreate":1628205586723,"gmtModify":1703502978893,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like 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please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110792032","repostId":"1163643126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581558548233644","authorId":"3581558548233644","name":"leanzw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35e193f561775f397493a4a12250a2f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581558548233644","authorIdStr":"3581558548233644"},"content":"please reply back my comment","text":"please reply back my comment","html":"please reply back my comment"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192681743,"gmtCreate":1621206572482,"gmtModify":1704353776546,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment","listText":"Please like and comment","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192681743","repostId":"2136982359","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987757302,"gmtCreate":1668004544106,"gmtModify":1676537997438,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987757302","repostId":"1157692624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157692624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668008277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157692624?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-09 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157692624","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.</li><li>Rising interest rates, Q3&#39;s revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.</li><li>The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.</li><li>The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.</li><li>The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.</li></ul><p>Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed96ee922a9178151466be6bb913196e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.</p><p>Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.</p><p>The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddbc4100fa6280bf6fcc0ef8b86d03a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Trailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.</p><p>Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.</p><p>I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&amp;P 500 (not including dividends).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c08822d1f3055ab12bf6e9e8a7ea386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Previous analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&amp;P 500 above.</p><p>For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.</p><p>With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.</p><p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>ETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615c8d0e04e8918e25b7385e2bad7c26\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"855\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797d6141699490e50d24fb2784e632e1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.</p><p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>I have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.</p><p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f689bc8494e22307e8401f8fcc1ac2\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.</p><p>To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67eb2da8e00a45afb6a60092265c1c8c\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.</p><p>Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f17528781a49f411c10295d132d77cf\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>Tesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157692624","content_text":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).Seeking Alpha12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.ETradeTrailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&P 500 (not including dividends).Seeking AlphaPrevious analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&P 500 above.For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLAETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).ETradeWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.Seeking AlphaWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.Market-Implied Outlook for TSLAI have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.SummaryTesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034897566,"gmtCreate":1647846233789,"gmtModify":1676534271274,"author":{"id":"3568200501659310","authorId":"3568200501659310","name":"ckh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046085c4c23df63d33eb436617a32ed6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568200501659310","authorIdStr":"3568200501659310"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034897566","repostId":"1173921394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173921394","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647819269,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173921394?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-03-21 07:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Poised to Open Slightly Higher on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173921394","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures we","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&amp;P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures were flat.</p><p>West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude oil benchmark, rose 0.5%, to around $105.25 a barrel.</p><p>Diplomacy is in focus this week as President Joe Biden heads to Brussels for a two-day meeting with allies from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and European nations. They will talk about the West’s response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>In addition, this week, the Senate Judiciary Committee will start its hearings on the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court.</p><p>This week’s earnings include: Nike on Monday; Adobe on Tuesday; Cintas, General Mills, KB Home on Wednesday; and Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO on Thursday.</p><p>This week’s notable economic events include: On Wednesday, the Census Bureau releases new-home sales data for February. On Thursday, the Census Bureau will release February’s durable goods report—often seen as a proxy for business investment, and the Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ended March 19. On Friday, the National Association of Realtors will release the Pending Home Sales Index for February.</p><h2>Nvidia, Moderna, Nike, Adobe, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</h2><p>Earnings highlights this week include Nike on Monday, Adobe on Tuesday, General Mills on Wednesday, and Darden Restaurants on Thursday. Nvidia will hold an investor day on Tuesday and Moderna will host an event Thursday to discuss its vaccine pipeline.</p><p>Economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s new-home sales data for February on Wednesday, followed by the National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index for February on Friday.</p><p>The Census Bureau will also release the durable goods report for February on Thursday—often seen as a proxy for business investment. Total new orders are expected to decline 0.5% from January, but when excluding transportation, they are seen rising 0.5%.</p><p>Geopolitics will also be in focus this week. U.S. President Joe Biden will travel to Brussels for a two-day meeting with NATO and EU leaders. The focus will be Western allies’ response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.</p><h2>Monday 3/21</h2><p>Nike reports third-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for February. Economists forecast a 0.55 reading, slightly lower than the January data. The index has had four consecutive positive monthly readings, which is associated with the economy growing faster than historical trends.</p><h2>Tuesday 3/22</h2><p>Adobe announces first-quarter fiscal-2022 earnings.</p><p>NetApp and Nvidia hold their 2022 investor days.</p><h2>Wednesday 3/23</h2><p>Cintas and General Mills report quarterly results.</p><p>Occidental Petroleum holds an investor meeting to discuss its low-carbon strategy. Shares of the upstream oil-and-gas company are up 94% this year, making it the best performer in the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new-home sales data for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 810,000 new single-family houses sold, roughly even with the January figure. The average selling price for a new home was a record $496,900 in January, while the median price was $422,300.</p><h2>Thursday 3/24</h2><p>President Biden meets with NATO and EU leaders to discuss Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The two-day summit will be held at NATO headquarters in Brussels.</p><p>Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>Moderna hosts its third annual Vaccines Day virtually. The mRNA-therapeutics pioneer will discuss the progress of its vaccines pipeline.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for February. New orders for manufactured durable goods are expected to decline 0.5% month over month to $277 billion. Excluding transportation, orders for durable goods are seen rising 0.5%, after increasing 0.7% in January.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on March 19. Claims have averaged 223,000 for the past four weeks and have normalized to roughly prepandemic levels. Continuing claims—the number of people receiving benefits under regular state unemployment-insurance programs—totaled 1.42 million as of March 5. That is the lowest figure in more than five decades, underscoring the tight labor market as job openings continue to outpace job seekers.</p><h2>Friday 3/25</h2><p>The National Association of Realtors reports its Pending Home Sales Index for February. Economists forecast a 1% increase in pending home sales, after a 5.7% drop in January.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Poised to Open Slightly Higher on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Poised to Open Slightly Higher on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-21 07:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-stocks-poised-to-open-slightly-higher-on-monday-51647816432?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-stocks-poised-to-open-slightly-higher-on-monday-51647816432?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NKE":"耐克","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-stocks-poised-to-open-slightly-higher-on-monday-51647816432?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173921394","content_text":"U.S. stocks are set to open Monday slightly up. On Sunday night, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 18 points, or 0.05%, while the S&P 500 futures gained 0.09% and Nasdaq Composite futures were flat.West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude oil benchmark, rose 0.5%, to around $105.25 a barrel.Diplomacy is in focus this week as President Joe Biden heads to Brussels for a two-day meeting with allies from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and European nations. They will talk about the West’s response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.In addition, this week, the Senate Judiciary Committee will start its hearings on the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court.This week’s earnings include: Nike on Monday; Adobe on Tuesday; Cintas, General Mills, KB Home on Wednesday; and Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO on Thursday.This week’s notable economic events include: On Wednesday, the Census Bureau releases new-home sales data for February. On Thursday, the Census Bureau will release February’s durable goods report—often seen as a proxy for business investment, and the Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ended March 19. On Friday, the National Association of Realtors will release the Pending Home Sales Index for February.Nvidia, Moderna, Nike, Adobe, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This WeekEarnings highlights this week include Nike on Monday, Adobe on Tuesday, General Mills on Wednesday, and Darden Restaurants on Thursday. Nvidia will hold an investor day on Tuesday and Moderna will host an event Thursday to discuss its vaccine pipeline.Economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s new-home sales data for February on Wednesday, followed by the National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index for February on Friday.The Census Bureau will also release the durable goods report for February on Thursday—often seen as a proxy for business investment. Total new orders are expected to decline 0.5% from January, but when excluding transportation, they are seen rising 0.5%.Geopolitics will also be in focus this week. U.S. President Joe Biden will travel to Brussels for a two-day meeting with NATO and EU leaders. The focus will be Western allies’ response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.Monday 3/21Nike reports third-quarter fiscal-2022 results.The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for February. Economists forecast a 0.55 reading, slightly lower than the January data. The index has had four consecutive positive monthly readings, which is associated with the economy growing faster than historical trends.Tuesday 3/22Adobe announces first-quarter fiscal-2022 earnings.NetApp and Nvidia hold their 2022 investor days.Wednesday 3/23Cintas and General Mills report quarterly results.Occidental Petroleum holds an investor meeting to discuss its low-carbon strategy. Shares of the upstream oil-and-gas company are up 94% this year, making it the best performer in the S&P 500 index.The Census Bureau reports new-home sales data for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 810,000 new single-family houses sold, roughly even with the January figure. The average selling price for a new home was a record $496,900 in January, while the median price was $422,300.Thursday 3/24President Biden meets with NATO and EU leaders to discuss Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The two-day summit will be held at NATO headquarters in Brussels.Darden Restaurants, FactSet Research Systems, and NIO hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.Moderna hosts its third annual Vaccines Day virtually. The mRNA-therapeutics pioneer will discuss the progress of its vaccines pipeline.The Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for February. New orders for manufactured durable goods are expected to decline 0.5% month over month to $277 billion. Excluding transportation, orders for durable goods are seen rising 0.5%, after increasing 0.7% in January.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on March 19. Claims have averaged 223,000 for the past four weeks and have normalized to roughly prepandemic levels. Continuing claims—the number of people receiving benefits under regular state unemployment-insurance programs—totaled 1.42 million as of March 5. That is the lowest figure in more than five decades, underscoring the tight labor market as job openings continue to outpace job seekers.Friday 3/25The National Association of Realtors reports its Pending Home Sales Index for February. Economists forecast a 1% increase in pending home sales, after a 5.7% drop in January.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}