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AdrianJon
2021-03-19
$SEA LTD(SE)$
Why is it tanking ?
AdrianJon
2021-03-08
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Someone save me lol
AdrianJon
2021-03-04
$Apple(AAPL)$
Save me
AdrianJon
2021-04-18
Like and comment and I’ll do the same
$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move
AdrianJon
2021-04-18
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
Gonna buy more
AdrianJon
2021-03-16
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Painful
AdrianJon
2021-08-08
Nice
Sorry, the original content has been removed
AdrianJon
2021-06-16
$Marqeta, Inc.(MQ)$
Nice stock
AdrianJon
2021-03-14
Nice !
US Daylight Saving Time
AdrianJon
2021-05-07
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
Gg
AdrianJon
2021-05-05
Comment please !
Why Amazon and Alphabet may need to split their high-priced stocks
AdrianJon
2021-05-10
Thinking of buying more
AdrianJon
2021-04-27
Please comment on this
What to watch in the markets this week
AdrianJon
2021-04-05
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
Avg down?
AdrianJon
2021-02-25
Like and comment please
Tesla Temporarily Halts Production at Model 3 Line in California
AdrianJon
2021-05-26
Nice !
AdrianJon
2021-04-28
$Apple(AAPL)$
Gonna explode soon
AdrianJon
2021-03-31
Nice !
Coursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public
AdrianJon
2021-03-10
$SEA LTD(SE)$
Save please
AdrianJon
2021-03-03
Nah boomer news
Sugar Rush - Why The Economy Will Run Hot, Then Crash
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/891790071","repostId":"2157901414","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2157901414","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1628406621,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2157901414?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-08 15:10","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Saudi Aramco Q2 profit soars on higher prices, demand recovery","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2157901414","media":"Reuters","summary":"DUBAI, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabian state oil producer Aramco on Sunday reported a near four-fold","content":"<p>DUBAI, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabian state oil producer Aramco on Sunday reported a near four-fold rise in second-quarter net profit, boosted by higher oil prices and a recovery on oil demand.</p>\n<p>Aramco said its results were supported by the global easing of COVID-19 restrictions, vaccination campaigns, stimulus measures and accelerating economic activity in key markets.</p>\n<p>Oil prices, boosted by output cuts made by OPEC and other oil producers, closed at $70.70 a barrel on Friday and has gained over 35% since the start of the year.</p>\n<p>Net profit rose to 95.47 billion riyals ($25.46 billion) for the quarter to June 30 from 24.62 billion riyals a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Analysts had expected a net profit of $23.2 billion, according to the mean estimate from five analysts.</p>\n<p>It declared a dividend of $18.8 billion in the second quarter, which will be paid in the third quarter.</p>\n<p>\"Our second quarter results reflect a strong rebound in worldwide energy demand and we are heading into the second half of 2021 more resilient and more flexible, as the global recovery gains momentum,\" Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Aramco raised $6 billion in June with its first U.S. dollar-denominated sukuk sale, that was expected to help fund a large dividend that will mostly go to the government.</p>\n<p>A consortium including Washington DC-based EIG Global Energy Partners in June closed a deal to buy 49% of Aramco's pipelines business for $12.4 billion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Saudi Aramco Q2 profit soars on higher prices, demand recovery</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSaudi Aramco Q2 profit soars on higher prices, demand recovery\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-08 15:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>DUBAI, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabian state oil producer Aramco on Sunday reported a near four-fold rise in second-quarter net profit, boosted by higher oil prices and a recovery on oil demand.</p>\n<p>Aramco said its results were supported by the global easing of COVID-19 restrictions, vaccination campaigns, stimulus measures and accelerating economic activity in key markets.</p>\n<p>Oil prices, boosted by output cuts made by OPEC and other oil producers, closed at $70.70 a barrel on Friday and has gained over 35% since the start of the year.</p>\n<p>Net profit rose to 95.47 billion riyals ($25.46 billion) for the quarter to June 30 from 24.62 billion riyals a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Analysts had expected a net profit of $23.2 billion, according to the mean estimate from five analysts.</p>\n<p>It declared a dividend of $18.8 billion in the second quarter, which will be paid in the third quarter.</p>\n<p>\"Our second quarter results reflect a strong rebound in worldwide energy demand and we are heading into the second half of 2021 more resilient and more flexible, as the global recovery gains momentum,\" Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Aramco raised $6 billion in June with its first U.S. dollar-denominated sukuk sale, that was expected to help fund a large dividend that will mostly go to the government.</p>\n<p>A consortium including Washington DC-based EIG Global Energy Partners in June closed a deal to buy 49% of Aramco's pipelines business for $12.4 billion.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QTWO":"Q2 Holdings Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2157901414","content_text":"DUBAI, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabian state oil producer Aramco on Sunday reported a near four-fold rise in second-quarter net profit, boosted by higher oil prices and a recovery on oil demand.\nAramco said its results were supported by the global easing of COVID-19 restrictions, vaccination campaigns, stimulus measures and accelerating economic activity in key markets.\nOil prices, boosted by output cuts made by OPEC and other oil producers, closed at $70.70 a barrel on Friday and has gained over 35% since the start of the year.\nNet profit rose to 95.47 billion riyals ($25.46 billion) for the quarter to June 30 from 24.62 billion riyals a year earlier.\nAnalysts had expected a net profit of $23.2 billion, according to the mean estimate from five analysts.\nIt declared a dividend of $18.8 billion in the second quarter, which will be paid in the third quarter.\n\"Our second quarter results reflect a strong rebound in worldwide energy demand and we are heading into the second half of 2021 more resilient and more flexible, as the global recovery gains momentum,\" Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said in a statement.\nAramco raised $6 billion in June with its first U.S. dollar-denominated sukuk sale, that was expected to help fund a large dividend that will mostly go to the government.\nA consortium including Washington DC-based EIG Global Energy Partners in June closed a deal to buy 49% of Aramco's pipelines business for $12.4 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559772010225021","authorId":"3559772010225021","name":"Vern88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c14bb97c93beeba4398be1214427278","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3559772010225021","idStr":"3559772010225021"},"content":"https://s.lazada.sg/s.Z96pd","text":"https://s.lazada.sg/s.Z96pd","html":"https://s.lazada.sg/s.Z96pd"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893234208,"gmtCreate":1628263640104,"gmtModify":1703504290853,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello ","listText":"Hello ","text":"Hello","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0465a0302a02613cbaeff52ee6758c23","width":"1125","height":"3292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893234208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899634583,"gmtCreate":1628177228042,"gmtModify":1703502711965,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moon! ","listText":"Moon! ","text":"Moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899634583","repostId":"1158295123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890513795,"gmtCreate":1628123270717,"gmtModify":1703501566937,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$AAPL 20210903 120.0 PUT(AAPL)$</a>Please drop so I can buy! ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$AAPL 20210903 120.0 PUT(AAPL)$</a>Please drop so I can buy! ","text":"$AAPL 20210903 120.0 PUT(AAPL)$Please drop so I can buy!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f785dd8c82efd18da5d1f5209af1ec9f","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890513795","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804056754,"gmtCreate":1627913424878,"gmtModify":1703497785017,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Finally it’s going up! ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Finally it’s going up! ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Finally it’s going up!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92bd14a54898a2848a87e2dca8054008","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/804056754","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805930459,"gmtCreate":1627833005271,"gmtModify":1703496399813,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Same with Alibaba ","listText":"Same with Alibaba ","text":"Same with Alibaba","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805930459","repostId":"1122171439","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122171439","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627786350,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122171439?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-01 10:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122171439","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.Alphabet just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.On July 27, Alphabet, the pa","content":"<blockquote>\n GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow (FCF) grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.</p>\n<p>On July 27, Alphabet, the parent of online search engine Google that makes most of its money from advertising, reported a huge 62% revenue gain on a year-0ver-year (YOY) basis. Even on a quarter-over-quarter basis, its revenue of $61.88 billion in Q2 grew by 11.87% from $55.314 billion in Q1.</p>\n<p>That implies an annualized run rate of 56.6%. So that coincides with its historical 62% YOY rate, implying that next year the company will show 57% YOY revenue growth.</p>\n<p>Of course, this assumes that advertising growth — and the economy in general — stay red hot.</p>\n<p><b>Estimating Google’s FCF</b></p>\n<p>But more importantly, its FCF rose to $16.394 billion, which can beseen on page 7of the earnings release. Alphabet is one of the few companies that help investors by calculating their own FCF figures. For example, last quarter its FCF was $13.347 billion (also onpage 7 of the Q1 report). This shows that its quarterly FCF growth was 22.83% just on a QOQ basis. That implies a huge run rate growth rate, although this is not what I will use to project out its future FCF.</p>\n<p>I think it is better to look at Alphabet’s FCF margins to forecast its future FCF. For example, in Q2 its $16.4 billion FCF represents 26.5% of its $61.88 billion in revenue. That is a huge gain over its FCF margins. Dividing $13.347 billion in Q1 FCF by revenue of $55.314 billion shows that Q1 FCF margins were just 24.1%.</p>\n<p>So, going forward let’s estimate that FCF will be 26.5% of its forecast revenue. For example,<i>Seeking Alpha</i>shows that analystsproject 2021 revenue of $250.29 billion. That implies its 2021 FCF will be $66.3 billion this year. But this is likely now already implied or discounted in the GOOG stock price.</p>\n<p>We should probably use 2022 estimates since the market will soon start valuing GOOG stock on its 2002 numbers. Seeking Alpha indicates $286.36 billion for 2022. Applying the 26.5% FCF margin to this estimate yields an FCF estimate of $75.89 billion. That is substantially higher than the estimates for 2021 FCF. We can now use this to value GOOG stock.</p>\n<p><b>What GOOG Stock Is Now Worth</b></p>\n<p>One way to value GOOG stock is to use its historical FCF yield and apply it to our future FCF estimate. For example, in the trailing 12 months (TTM) to June 30, Alphabet produced $58.536 billion in FCF. This can be seen on<i>Seeking Alpha’s</i>historical FCF pageby subtracting its TTM capex from its TTM cash flow from operations. Here is how we will use this.</p>\n<p>First, we calculate its historical TTM FCF yield. For example, the company now has a market capitalization of $1.826 trillion, according to<i>Yahoo! Finance</i>, which usually has the best calculations. Therefore, if we divide its TTM FCF of $58.536 by its $1,826 billion market cap, the FCF yield works out to 3.2%.</p>\n<p>Next, we can divide our forecast of $75.89 billion in 2022 FCF by its TTM FCF yield of 3.2%. That derives a new target market value of $2.37 trillion. In other words, GOOG stock has a target market cap that is 29.88% higher than today’s price. Therefore, using yesterday’s closing price of $2,730.81, its target price is $3,546 per share.</p>\n<p><b>What To Do With GOOG Stock</b></p>\n<p>In other words, starting with the company’s much higher FCF margins and projecting these out against 2022 revenue, GOOG stock should rise at least 30% sometime over the next year. That assumes a fairly high 3.2% FCF yield. It is very possible that the yield could rise, which would lower the target price.</p>\n<p>For example, consider this. Above, we projected that Alphabet will produce $66.3 billion in FCF this year. But that represents a higher 3.63% FCF yield on today’s $1,826 billion market cap. Applying this higher 3.63% FCF yield to its 2022 estimates would result in a lower price target than my 30% expected gain.</p>\n<p>I don’t think that is what will happen in reality. Don’t forget that we assume that the company will have a much higher FCF margin in 2022 than its historical TTM FCF. Therefore, the value of the company should be higher. That implies the FCF yield should be low such as the 3.2% FCF yield I used. If you are following me so far, this means that my projections are likely to come to pass on a historical basis, albeit in the future.</p>\n<p>Bottom line — GOOG stock is a buy, as it is likely to move at least 30% higher assuming its FCF stays as strong as just shown in Q2.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Is Worth $3,554 Based on Its Powerful Free Cash Flow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-01 10:52 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/07/goog-stock-is-worth-3554-or-30-percent-more-based-on-26-5-percent-fcf-margins/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.\n\nAlphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) just reported stellar second-quarter results,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/goog-stock-is-worth-3554-or-30-percent-more-based-on-26-5-percent-fcf-margins/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09086":"华夏纳指-U","GOOGL":"谷歌A","03086":"华夏纳指","GOOG":"谷歌","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/goog-stock-is-worth-3554-or-30-percent-more-based-on-26-5-percent-fcf-margins/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122171439","content_text":"GOOG stock will benefit in 2022 from its higher FCF margins, so that with a 3.2% FCF yield it will be worth 30% more.\n\nAlphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) just reported stellar second-quarter results, in terms of both revenue and earnings. But even more importantly, its free cash flow (FCF) grew substantially, both in absolute numbers and FCF margins. As a result, I believe that GOOG stock is now worth at least 30% more or $3,554 per share. This article will describe how I came up with that valuation.\nOn July 27, Alphabet, the parent of online search engine Google that makes most of its money from advertising, reported a huge 62% revenue gain on a year-0ver-year (YOY) basis. Even on a quarter-over-quarter basis, its revenue of $61.88 billion in Q2 grew by 11.87% from $55.314 billion in Q1.\nThat implies an annualized run rate of 56.6%. So that coincides with its historical 62% YOY rate, implying that next year the company will show 57% YOY revenue growth.\nOf course, this assumes that advertising growth — and the economy in general — stay red hot.\nEstimating Google’s FCF\nBut more importantly, its FCF rose to $16.394 billion, which can beseen on page 7of the earnings release. Alphabet is one of the few companies that help investors by calculating their own FCF figures. For example, last quarter its FCF was $13.347 billion (also onpage 7 of the Q1 report). This shows that its quarterly FCF growth was 22.83% just on a QOQ basis. That implies a huge run rate growth rate, although this is not what I will use to project out its future FCF.\nI think it is better to look at Alphabet’s FCF margins to forecast its future FCF. For example, in Q2 its $16.4 billion FCF represents 26.5% of its $61.88 billion in revenue. That is a huge gain over its FCF margins. Dividing $13.347 billion in Q1 FCF by revenue of $55.314 billion shows that Q1 FCF margins were just 24.1%.\nSo, going forward let’s estimate that FCF will be 26.5% of its forecast revenue. For example,Seeking Alphashows that analystsproject 2021 revenue of $250.29 billion. That implies its 2021 FCF will be $66.3 billion this year. But this is likely now already implied or discounted in the GOOG stock price.\nWe should probably use 2022 estimates since the market will soon start valuing GOOG stock on its 2002 numbers. Seeking Alpha indicates $286.36 billion for 2022. Applying the 26.5% FCF margin to this estimate yields an FCF estimate of $75.89 billion. That is substantially higher than the estimates for 2021 FCF. We can now use this to value GOOG stock.\nWhat GOOG Stock Is Now Worth\nOne way to value GOOG stock is to use its historical FCF yield and apply it to our future FCF estimate. For example, in the trailing 12 months (TTM) to June 30, Alphabet produced $58.536 billion in FCF. This can be seen onSeeking Alpha’shistorical FCF pageby subtracting its TTM capex from its TTM cash flow from operations. Here is how we will use this.\nFirst, we calculate its historical TTM FCF yield. For example, the company now has a market capitalization of $1.826 trillion, according toYahoo! Finance, which usually has the best calculations. Therefore, if we divide its TTM FCF of $58.536 by its $1,826 billion market cap, the FCF yield works out to 3.2%.\nNext, we can divide our forecast of $75.89 billion in 2022 FCF by its TTM FCF yield of 3.2%. That derives a new target market value of $2.37 trillion. In other words, GOOG stock has a target market cap that is 29.88% higher than today’s price. Therefore, using yesterday’s closing price of $2,730.81, its target price is $3,546 per share.\nWhat To Do With GOOG Stock\nIn other words, starting with the company’s much higher FCF margins and projecting these out against 2022 revenue, GOOG stock should rise at least 30% sometime over the next year. That assumes a fairly high 3.2% FCF yield. It is very possible that the yield could rise, which would lower the target price.\nFor example, consider this. Above, we projected that Alphabet will produce $66.3 billion in FCF this year. But that represents a higher 3.63% FCF yield on today’s $1,826 billion market cap. Applying this higher 3.63% FCF yield to its 2022 estimates would result in a lower price target than my 30% expected gain.\nI don’t think that is what will happen in reality. Don’t forget that we assume that the company will have a much higher FCF margin in 2022 than its historical TTM FCF. Therefore, the value of the company should be higher. That implies the FCF yield should be low such as the 3.2% FCF yield I used. If you are following me so far, this means that my projections are likely to come to pass on a historical basis, albeit in the future.\nBottom line — GOOG stock is a buy, as it is likely to move at least 30% higher assuming its FCF stays as strong as just shown in Q2.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805930887,"gmtCreate":1627832959749,"gmtModify":1703496399151,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Nice ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Nice ","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Nice","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a9271c999d1c5b8ff042aa90b05597b","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805930887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802170289,"gmtCreate":1627741522841,"gmtModify":1703495390165,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm interesting movement","listText":"Hmm interesting movement","text":"Hmm interesting movement","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e39d0e71cf699d533cc3d03c555b7e2","width":"1125","height":"3305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/802170289","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806246193,"gmtCreate":1627660778012,"gmtModify":1703494395409,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569322833605065","idStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GME 20210730 310.0 CALL(GME)$</a>Helloo ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GME 20210730 310.0 CALL(GME)$</a>Helloo ","text":"$GME 20210730 310.0 CALL(GME)$Helloo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/532077af345a5a7a14a92688a4e0e511","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806246193","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":350089423,"gmtCreate":1616137985662,"gmtModify":1704791412890,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>Why is it tanking ? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>Why is it tanking ? ","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$Why is it tanking ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e578d38e8c03978fbf0cd7cd1efbd85c","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350089423","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":329357625,"gmtCreate":1615212052467,"gmtModify":1704779608889,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Someone save me lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Someone save me lol","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Someone save me lol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acca4cc0ae72b6190cb9ee1a744f86a6","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/329357625","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3525606737319315","authorId":"3525606737319315","name":"BullPumper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2bed8c34d4495dc828b63c1a6799f1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3525606737319315","authorIdStr":"3525606737319315"},"content":"Shoot short positions together","text":"Shoot short positions together","html":"Shoot short positions together"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364117681,"gmtCreate":1614823027243,"gmtModify":1704775660348,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Save me","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Save me","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Save me","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a710cef1c2672615ea2bf0621701cad","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364117681","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379810109,"gmtCreate":1618714279701,"gmtModify":1704714241349,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment and I’ll do the same ","listText":"Like and comment and I’ll do the same ","text":"Like and comment and I’ll do the same","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379810109","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175692875?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p>How to trade this?</p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><blockquote>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b></blockquote><p>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 22:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379369831,"gmtCreate":1618676882823,"gmtModify":1704714005031,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Gonna buy more ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Gonna buy more ","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Gonna buy more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7744b2a046a534b0af30f16ff55bd2cf","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379369831","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325843256,"gmtCreate":1615889014775,"gmtModify":1704787977532,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Painful","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Painful","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Painful","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92783890f2813563e608c31f4361c115","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325843256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574913519966790","authorId":"3574913519966790","name":"88Huat88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3691d368498251a5e0615e1923c80208","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574913519966790","authorIdStr":"3574913519966790"},"content":"It will get better!!","text":"It will get better!!","html":"It will get better!!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891790071,"gmtCreate":1628423684593,"gmtModify":1703506112123,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice ","listText":"Nice ","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/891790071","repostId":"2157901414","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559772010225021","authorId":"3559772010225021","name":"Vern88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c14bb97c93beeba4398be1214427278","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559772010225021","authorIdStr":"3559772010225021"},"content":"https://s.lazada.sg/s.Z96pd","text":"https://s.lazada.sg/s.Z96pd","html":"https://s.lazada.sg/s.Z96pd"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169726161,"gmtCreate":1623851579453,"gmtModify":1703821404724,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQ\">$Marqeta, Inc.(MQ)$</a>Nice stock ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQ\">$Marqeta, Inc.(MQ)$</a>Nice stock ","text":"$Marqeta, Inc.(MQ)$Nice stock","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43ed8d4340ddc6eb2c8fd964a5c7dec9","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169726161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322081773,"gmtCreate":1615734898092,"gmtModify":1704786031047,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice ! ","listText":"Nice ! ","text":"Nice !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/322081773","repostId":"1199156489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199156489","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615452861,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199156489?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-11 16:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Daylight Saving Time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199156489","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving tim","content":"<p>From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.</p><p>So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.</p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Daylight Saving Time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Daylight Saving Time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-11 16:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.</p><p>So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.</p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199156489","content_text":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.What is daylight saving time?The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104941814,"gmtCreate":1620352020738,"gmtModify":1704342391333,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Gg ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Gg ","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Gg","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6a793f3e1b49c6ff939aa1f6798801d","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/104941814","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102153330,"gmtCreate":1620187213020,"gmtModify":1704339929671,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment please ! ","listText":"Comment please ! ","text":"Comment please !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102153330","repostId":"1106669817","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106669817","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620186328,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106669817?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-05 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Amazon and Alphabet may need to split their high-priced stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106669817","media":"CNN","summary":"New York Amazon and Google owner Alphabet are two of the most valuable companies on the planet. They dominate their industries, generate tons of cash and are obscenely profitable. Yet neither of the companies are in the prestigious Dow Jones Industrial Average — and for a good reason.That's whatAppledid in 2014, and it wasadded to the Dow in early 2015. Applesplit its stock again last year. Elon Musk'sTeslaexecuted its ownstock splitlast year to make its surging stock more accessible to individu","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Amazon and Google owner Alphabet are two of the most valuable companies on the planet. They dominate their industries, generate tons of cash and are obscenely profitable. Yet neither of the companies are in the prestigious Dow Jones Industrial Average — and for a good reason.</p>\n<p>BothAmazon(AMZN)andAlphabet(GOOGL)have stock prices in the quadruple digits. That makes them a no-go for the Dow, which weights its 30 components by share price rather than market value.So if either Amazon (currently priced north of $3,300 a share) or Alphabet (trading at just under $2,300) joined theDow, they would immediately have an outsized impact on the Dow.It wouldn't even be close: The priciest Dow stock currently isUnitedHealth(UNH), and at just over $400 a share, it makes up about 8% of the Dow's weighting.The case for splitting sharesBut if Amazon and Alphabet wanted to join the Dow, there's a solution to this price problem: The companies could announce a stock split, which increases the number of shares of the company has while cutting the price of each share to a more affordable level. It wouldn't change the companies' value.</p>\n<p>That's whatApple(AAPL)did in 2014, and it wasadded to the Dow in early 2015. Applesplit its stock again last year. Elon Musk'sTesla(TSLA)executed its ownstock splitlast year to make its surging stock more accessible to individual investors.</p>\n<p>Beyond the Dow question, splits can be compelling because some experts argue that having a more affordable price for a single share could attract even more investors. But that's admittedly less of an issue due to fractional trading, in which investors can buy a small piece of a company's shares through online brokers like Robinhood, Fidelity or Charles Schwab.There have been rumors about Amazon potentially announcing a split soon, especially now that Jeff Bezos is getting ready tohand over the CEO reinsto AWS headAndy Jassy. But Amazon didn't mention anything about a potential split when the companyreported earnings last week.Amazon was not immediately available for comment when asked by CNN Business if the company was considering a stock split, while a spokesperson for Alphabet declined to comment.High profile companies are 'split' on whether to splitThe pair of tech giants aren't the only companies trading at sky-high stock prices. Priceline ownerBooking(BKNG),Chipotle(CMG)andAutoZone(AZO)are also prominent companies in the S&P 500 with stock prices in excess of $1,000 a share.A Booking spokesperson, when asked by CNN Business about a future stock split, said the company has \"considered this but have not really seen the need to do so as of now.\"Chipotle chief financial officer Jack Hartung said in an email to CNN Business that \"we do not have any plans to split our stock at this time, but if we see an opportunity to enhance shareholder value and remove impediments to interested investors owning our stock, we will discuss the opportunity with our Board.\"</p>\n<p>AutoZone was not immediately available for comment.Meanwhile, several other high-profile companies in addition to Apple and Tesla have announced stock splits lately.Spice companyMcCormick(MKC)split its stock in December — its first split in about 20 years. Paint giantSherwin-Williams(SHW)split in April \"to make the stock more accessible to employees and a broader base of investors,\" senior vice president of investor relations James Jaye said on a conference call with analysts last month.And railroadCanadian Pacific(CP), which is in a bidding war with rivalCanadian National(CNI)forKansas City Southern(KSU), is preparing for a split later this month. The stock is currently trading around $375 and will split 5 for 1, which will lower the price to around $75 a share.\"The share split will encourage greater liquidity for CP's common shares and provide enhanced opportunities for ownership by a wider group of investors,\" said chief financial officer Nadeem Velani in a recent conference call with analysts.More trouble than they're worth?Not all company leaders are on board with stock splits. At least one major CEO has publicly called them a waste of time.PNC(PNC)CEO William Demchak said at the bank's shareholder meeting last month that \"there's not really a compelling case to be made for a stock split.\" One PNC share costs about $190.\"At one time, the conventional thinking was that when a company's share price got to a certain level, the company would split the stock as a way of foreshadowing expectations of growth and in order to make it more affordable for retail shareholders,\" he said.But Demchak added that \"all the stock split really does is increase costs because it doubles the cost of the mechanics that go into servicing every share.\"\"The split might result in some positive short-term public relations that brings about maybe a short-term bump,\" he added. \"But long term, it would appear that the cost is more than it's worth.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Amazon and Alphabet may need to split their high-priced stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Amazon and Alphabet may need to split their high-priced stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-05 11:45 GMT+8 <a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/04/investing/amazon-alphabet-google-stock-split/index.html><strong>CNN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Amazon and Google owner Alphabet are two of the most valuable companies on the planet. They dominate their industries, generate tons of cash and are obscenely profitable. Yet ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/04/investing/amazon-alphabet-google-stock-split/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/04/investing/amazon-alphabet-google-stock-split/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106669817","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Amazon and Google owner Alphabet are two of the most valuable companies on the planet. They dominate their industries, generate tons of cash and are obscenely profitable. Yet neither of the companies are in the prestigious Dow Jones Industrial Average — and for a good reason.\nBothAmazon(AMZN)andAlphabet(GOOGL)have stock prices in the quadruple digits. That makes them a no-go for the Dow, which weights its 30 components by share price rather than market value.So if either Amazon (currently priced north of $3,300 a share) or Alphabet (trading at just under $2,300) joined theDow, they would immediately have an outsized impact on the Dow.It wouldn't even be close: The priciest Dow stock currently isUnitedHealth(UNH), and at just over $400 a share, it makes up about 8% of the Dow's weighting.The case for splitting sharesBut if Amazon and Alphabet wanted to join the Dow, there's a solution to this price problem: The companies could announce a stock split, which increases the number of shares of the company has while cutting the price of each share to a more affordable level. It wouldn't change the companies' value.\nThat's whatApple(AAPL)did in 2014, and it wasadded to the Dow in early 2015. Applesplit its stock again last year. Elon Musk'sTesla(TSLA)executed its ownstock splitlast year to make its surging stock more accessible to individual investors.\nBeyond the Dow question, splits can be compelling because some experts argue that having a more affordable price for a single share could attract even more investors. But that's admittedly less of an issue due to fractional trading, in which investors can buy a small piece of a company's shares through online brokers like Robinhood, Fidelity or Charles Schwab.There have been rumors about Amazon potentially announcing a split soon, especially now that Jeff Bezos is getting ready tohand over the CEO reinsto AWS headAndy Jassy. But Amazon didn't mention anything about a potential split when the companyreported earnings last week.Amazon was not immediately available for comment when asked by CNN Business if the company was considering a stock split, while a spokesperson for Alphabet declined to comment.High profile companies are 'split' on whether to splitThe pair of tech giants aren't the only companies trading at sky-high stock prices. Priceline ownerBooking(BKNG),Chipotle(CMG)andAutoZone(AZO)are also prominent companies in the S&P 500 with stock prices in excess of $1,000 a share.A Booking spokesperson, when asked by CNN Business about a future stock split, said the company has \"considered this but have not really seen the need to do so as of now.\"Chipotle chief financial officer Jack Hartung said in an email to CNN Business that \"we do not have any plans to split our stock at this time, but if we see an opportunity to enhance shareholder value and remove impediments to interested investors owning our stock, we will discuss the opportunity with our Board.\"\nAutoZone was not immediately available for comment.Meanwhile, several other high-profile companies in addition to Apple and Tesla have announced stock splits lately.Spice companyMcCormick(MKC)split its stock in December — its first split in about 20 years. Paint giantSherwin-Williams(SHW)split in April \"to make the stock more accessible to employees and a broader base of investors,\" senior vice president of investor relations James Jaye said on a conference call with analysts last month.And railroadCanadian Pacific(CP), which is in a bidding war with rivalCanadian National(CNI)forKansas City Southern(KSU), is preparing for a split later this month. The stock is currently trading around $375 and will split 5 for 1, which will lower the price to around $75 a share.\"The share split will encourage greater liquidity for CP's common shares and provide enhanced opportunities for ownership by a wider group of investors,\" said chief financial officer Nadeem Velani in a recent conference call with analysts.More trouble than they're worth?Not all company leaders are on board with stock splits. At least one major CEO has publicly called them a waste of time.PNC(PNC)CEO William Demchak said at the bank's shareholder meeting last month that \"there's not really a compelling case to be made for a stock split.\" One PNC share costs about $190.\"At one time, the conventional thinking was that when a company's share price got to a certain level, the company would split the stock as a way of foreshadowing expectations of growth and in order to make it more affordable for retail shareholders,\" he said.But Demchak added that \"all the stock split really does is increase costs because it doubles the cost of the mechanics that go into servicing every share.\"\"The split might result in some positive short-term public relations that brings about maybe a short-term bump,\" he added. \"But long term, it would appear that the cost is more than it's worth.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190754413,"gmtCreate":1620654589632,"gmtModify":1704346195999,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thinking of buying more ","listText":"Thinking of buying more ","text":"Thinking of buying more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1adab1da46ee13c293c8097970cbbc8","width":"1125","height":"3462"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190754413","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374528480,"gmtCreate":1619460991340,"gmtModify":1704724272962,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment on this ","listText":"Please comment on this ","text":"Please comment on this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374528480","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184404050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619319329,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184404050?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-25 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to watch in the markets this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184404050","media":"CNBC","summary":"The last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House.Big Tech is a highlight of the earnings calendar, with Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook and Alphabet all releasing results.The Fed is not expected to take any action, but economists expect it to defend its policy to let inflation run hot.There is some key data including first-quarter gross domestic product a","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to watch in the markets this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to watch in the markets this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-25 10:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GOOGL":"谷歌A",".DJI":"道琼斯","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/taxes-and-inflation-will-be-key-themes-for-markets-in-the-week-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1184404050","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe last week of April will be extremely busy for markets with a third of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, and new spending and tax proposals from the White House.Big Tech is a highlight of the earnings calendar, with Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook and Alphabet all releasing results.The Fed is not expected to take any action, but economists expect it to defend its policy to let inflation run hot.There is some key data including first-quarter gross domestic product and the Fed’s favorite inflation measure: the personal consumption expenditures deflator.The final week of April is going to be a busy one for markets with a Federal Reserve meeting and a deluge of earnings news.Hot topics in markets will continue to be inflation and taxes.President Joe Biden is expected to detail his “American Families Plan” and the tax increases to pay for it, including a much higher capital gains tax for the wealthy.The plan is the second part of his Build Back Better agenda and will include new spending proposals aimed at helping families. The president addresses a joint session of Congress Wednesday evening.It’s a huge week for earnings with about a third of the S&P 500 reporting, including Big Tech names, such as Apple,Microsoft,Alphabet and Amazon.As many have already done, firms like Boeing, Ford,Caterpillar and McDonald’s, are likely to detail cost pressures they are facing from rising materials and transportation costs and supply chain disruptions.At the same time, the Fed is expected to defend its policy of letting inflation run hot, while assuring markets it sees the pick-up in prices as only temporary. The central bank meets on Tuesday and Wednesday.The central bank takes the main stage“I think the Fed would like not to be a feature next week, but the Fed will be forced from the background because of concerns about inflation,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Grant Thornton.The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press briefing following the meeting Wednesday will be closely watched.So far, the barrage of earnings news has been positive, with 86% of companies reporting earnings beats. Corporate profits are expected to be up about 33.9% for the first quarter, based on estimates and actual reports, according to Refinitiv. Revenues are about 9.9% higher.There is important inflation data Friday when the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is reported.The personal consumption expenditure report is expected to show a 1.8% rise in core inflation, still below the Fed’s target of 2%. Other data releases include the first-quarter gross domestic product on Thursday, which is expected to have grown by 6.5%, according to Dow Jones.“I think the Fed has no urgency to shift monetary policy at this point,” said Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO. “The Fed needs to acknowledge that the data is improving. We had a strong first quarter.”“The Fed needs to acknowledge that but at the same time they’re keeping extremely accommodative policy in place, so they’ll have to make a note to the fact that the easy policy is warranted,” he said.Lyngen said the Fed will likely point to continued concerns about the pandemic globally as a potential risk to the economic recovery.Powell is also expected to once more explain that the Fed will let inflation rise above its 2% target for a period of time before it raises rates so that the economy can have more time to heal. “It’s going to be a challenge for the Fed,” said Swonk.The base effects for the next several months will make inflation appear to have jumped sharply because of the comparison to a weak period last year. The consumer price index for April could be above 3%, compared to 2.6% last month, Swonk added.“The Fed is trying to let a lot more people get out onto the dance floor before it calls ‘last call,’” she said. “Really what Powell has been saying since day one is if we take care of people on the margins and bring them back into the labor force, the rest will take care of itself.”Stocks were slightly lower in the past week, and Treasury yields held at lower levels. The 10-year yield,which moves opposite price, was at 1.55% Friday.The S&P 500was down 0.1%, ending the week at 4,180, while Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 0.3% at 14,016. The Dow was off just shy of 0.5% at 34,043.Tax hike prospectsStocks were hit hard on Thursday when after a news report said that Biden is expected to propose a capital gains tax rate of 39.6% for people earning more than $1 million a year.Combined with the 3.8% net investment income tax, the new levy would more than double the long term capital gains rate of 20% or the richest Americans.Strategists said Biden is expected to propose raising the income tax rate for those earning more than $400,000.“I think a lot of people are starting to price in the risk there going to be a significant increase in both corporate and capital gains taxes,” said Lyngen.So far, companies have not provided much in the way of commentary on the proposed hike in corporate taxes to 28% from 21% but they have been talking about other costs.David Bianco, chief investment strategist for the Americas at DWS, said he expects larger companies will do better dealing with supply chain constraints than smaller ones. Big Tech is also likely to fare better during the semiconductor shortage than auto makers, which have already announced production shutdowns, he said.“Next week is tech week. I think we’re going to get down on our knees and just be in awe of their business models and their ability to grow at a behemoth scale,” Bianco said.He said he’s not in favor of Wall Street’s popular trade into cyclicals and out of growth. He still favors growth.“We’re overweight equities really because we’re concerned about rising interest rates,” Bianco said. “I’m not bullish in that I expect the market to rise that much from here.”“We stuck with growth and dug deeper into bond substitutes, utilities, staples, real estate,” he said, adding he is underweight industrials, energy and materials. “Energy is doomed. It’s being nationalized via regulation. I do like industrials, they are well-run companies, but I do think infrastructure spending expectations for classic infrastructure are too high.”He also said industrials are good businesses, but the stocks have become overvalued.Bianco said he likes big box stores, but smaller retailers are facing big challenges that were already impacting them prior to Covid. He also finds small biotech firms attractive.“I like healthcare stocks. Those valuations are reasonable. People have been paranoid about politicians beating on them since 1992. They manage through it and lately they’ve been delivering,” he said.Week ahead calendarMondayEarnings:Tesla,Canadian National Railway, Canon,Check Point Software,Otis Worldwide, Vale,Ameriprise,NXP Semiconductor,Albertsons, Royal Phillips8:30 a.m. Durable goodsTuesdayFOMC begins two day meetingEarnings:Microsoft,Alphabet,Visa,Amgen,Advanced Micro Devices,3M,General Electric,Eli Lilly, Hasbro,United Parcel Service,BP,Novartis,JetBlue,Pultegroup,Archer Daniels Midland,Waste Management,Starbucks,Texas Instrument,Chubb,Mondelez,FireEye,Corning,Raytheon9:00 a.m. S&P/Case-Shiller9:00 a.m. FHFA home prices10:00 a.m. Consumer confidence10:00 a.m. Housing vacanciesWednesdayEarnings:Apple, Boeing,Facebook,Qualcomm,Ford,MGM Resorts,Humana,Norfolk Southern,General Dynamics,Boston Scientific, eBay, Samsung Electronics, GlaxoSmithKline,Yum Brands, SiriusXM, Aflac,Cheesecake Factory,Community Health System,CIT Group,Entergy,CME Group,Hess,Ryder System8:30 a.m. Advance economic indicators2:00 p.m. Fed statement2:30 p.m. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell briefingThursdayEarnings:Amazon,Caterpillar,McDonald’s,Twitter,Bristol-Myers Squibb,Comcast,Merck,Northrop Grumman, Airbus,Kraft Heinz,Intercontinental Exchange,Mastercard,Gilead Sciences,U.S. Steel, Cirrus Logic,Texas Roadhouse, Cabot Oil, PG&E,Royal Dutch Shell,Church & Dwight, Carlyle Group,Southern Co.8:30 a.m. Initial jobless claims8:30 a.m. Real GDP Q110:00 a.m. Pending home salesFridayEarnings:ExxonMobil,Chevron,Colgate-Palmolive,AstraZeneca,Clorox,Barclays, AbbVie, BNP Paribas,Weyerhaeuser,Illinois Tool Works, CBOE Global Markets, Lazard,Newell Brands,Aon,LyondellBasell,Pitney Bowes,Phillips 66,Charter Communications8:30 a.m. Personal income and spending8:30 a.m. Employment cost index Q19:45 a.m. Chicago PMI10:00 a.m. Consumer sentimentSaturdayEarnings:Berkshire Hathaway","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349171454,"gmtCreate":1617584053678,"gmtModify":1704700528739,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Avg down? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Avg down? ","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Avg down?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e7688d20f3c886fa2f6dc7982b2cad","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/349171454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361574969,"gmtCreate":1614250727851,"gmtModify":1704769614330,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please ","listText":"Like and comment please ","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361574969","repostId":"2114131201","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2114131201","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1614247264,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2114131201?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-25 18:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Temporarily Halts Production at Model 3 Line in California","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2114131201","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Tesla Inc. has told workers it will temporarily halt some production at its car assembly plant in California, according to a person familiar with the matter.Workers on a Model 3 production line in Fremont were told their line would be down from Feb. 22 until March 7, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. Impacted staff were told they would be paid for Feb. 22 and Feb. 23 and not paid for Feb. 28, March 1, 2 and 3. They were advised to take vacation t","content":"<p>Tesla Inc. has told workers it will temporarily halt some production at its car assembly plant in California, according to a person familiar with the matter.</p>\n<p>Workers on a Model 3 production line in Fremont were told their line would be down from Feb. 22 until March 7, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. Impacted staff were told they would be paid for Feb. 22 and Feb. 23 and not paid for Feb. 28, March 1, 2 and 3. They were advised to take vacation time, if they had it.</p>\n<p>Representatives for the Palo Alto, California-based electric carmaker didn’t immediately respond to messages seeking comment.</p>\n<p>While production-line outages aren’t unusual for automakers, they cost the companies revenue. Tesla said last month that it’strying to mitigatethe effects of a global semiconductor shortage on its operations and that it expects to increase global vehicle deliveries by more than 50% this year.</p>\n<p>Hitting maximum deliveries is crucial for Tesla in order for Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk to meet his ambitious goal of selling 20 million cars a year by 2030. Tesla has cut the price of its various models 14 times in markets from China to Japan and France this year, spurring concern it isn’t seeing the volumes desired.</p>\n<p>“When considering Tesla had excess inventory in the fourth quarter of 2020, and has never been able to sell-out its production capacity, we see the company as currently demand constrained, rather than production constrained,” GLJ Research LLC founder Gordon Johnson wrote in a note earlier this week.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Temporarily Halts Production at Model 3 Line in California</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Temporarily Halts Production at Model 3 Line in California\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-25 18:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-25/tesla-temporarily-halts-production-at-model-3-line-in-california?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla Inc. has told workers it will temporarily halt some production at its car assembly plant in California, according to a person familiar with the matter.\nWorkers on a Model 3 production line in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-25/tesla-temporarily-halts-production-at-model-3-line-in-california?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-25/tesla-temporarily-halts-production-at-model-3-line-in-california?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2114131201","content_text":"Tesla Inc. has told workers it will temporarily halt some production at its car assembly plant in California, according to a person familiar with the matter.\nWorkers on a Model 3 production line in Fremont were told their line would be down from Feb. 22 until March 7, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. Impacted staff were told they would be paid for Feb. 22 and Feb. 23 and not paid for Feb. 28, March 1, 2 and 3. They were advised to take vacation time, if they had it.\nRepresentatives for the Palo Alto, California-based electric carmaker didn’t immediately respond to messages seeking comment.\nWhile production-line outages aren’t unusual for automakers, they cost the companies revenue. Tesla said last month that it’strying to mitigatethe effects of a global semiconductor shortage on its operations and that it expects to increase global vehicle deliveries by more than 50% this year.\nHitting maximum deliveries is crucial for Tesla in order for Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk to meet his ambitious goal of selling 20 million cars a year by 2030. Tesla has cut the price of its various models 14 times in markets from China to Japan and France this year, spurring concern it isn’t seeing the volumes desired.\n“When considering Tesla had excess inventory in the fourth quarter of 2020, and has never been able to sell-out its production capacity, we see the company as currently demand constrained, rather than production constrained,” GLJ Research LLC founder Gordon Johnson wrote in a note earlier this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136130245,"gmtCreate":1621997913587,"gmtModify":1704365766202,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice ! ","listText":"Nice ! ","text":"Nice !","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8db81303cfd7a2037ead6c6afee10b8","width":"1125","height":"3567"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136130245","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100127640,"gmtCreate":1619592077680,"gmtModify":1704726473921,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Gonna explode soon ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Gonna explode soon ","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Gonna explode soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f1373c64758afc7c69fbbf86972d3d1","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/100127640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354754116,"gmtCreate":1617202962135,"gmtModify":1704697278078,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice ! ","listText":"Nice ! ","text":"Nice !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354754116","repostId":"1163996400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163996400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617094880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163996400?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-30 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163996400","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic.</li><li>It is operating in a huge addressable market that is likely to grow for the foreseeable future.</li><li>Coursera enjoys many competitive advantages, among them a large, existing user base, price-to-cost advantages, and the ability to personalize content as a result of its trove of data.</li><li>Given its scale, and competitive advantages, the company should win an outsized share of its market opportunity.</li><li>However, because the company has not turned a profit, there is a chance that its stock may be too volatile in the near term. Buying when the company turns a profit is the safer bet.</li></ul><p>Coursera (COURS), the online learning platform founded in 2012 by former Stanford University computer science professors Daphne Koller and Andrew Ng, filed itsIPO prospectuswith the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Mountain View, California-based company offers individuals access to over 4,000 Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) from 200 educational institutions and corporations. The company also offers over two dozen degree programs at prices lower than what a learner would pay at a traditional, in-person institution. As the company grows its offering, it will be able to compete head-to-head with other “online program management” (OPM) providers, such as 2U(NASDAQ:TWOU), which is already publicly traded, and Noodle Partners.</p><p>Ng’sshareholder letter in the S-1articulated clearly just what the company is about:</p><blockquote>“We believe that education is the source of human progress. In today’s economy in which the skills needed to succeed are rapidly evolving, education is becoming more important than ever. As automation and digital disruption are poised to replace unprecedented numbers of jobs worldwide, giving workers the opportunity to upskill and reskill will be crucial to raising global living standards and increasing social equity. Online education will play a critical role, enabling anyone, anywhere, to gain the valuable skills they need to earn a living in an increasingly digital economy.”</blockquote><p>The filing lists Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup as underwriters. The number of shares and the price range of the proposed offering are yet to be determined.According to PitchBook data, Coursera’s most recent valuation in the private markets was $2.5 billion. To date, the company has raised $464 million in venture capital, most recently,$130 million in a Series F roundlast July. Coursera’s biggest institutional shareholders are New Enterprise Associates (18.3% of company stock), G Squared (15.9%) and Kleiner Perkins (9.2%).</p><p><b>Operating Results</b></p><p>The company earned $293 million in revenues for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, up 59% from 2019. Net losses widened by about $20 million year-on-year, reaching $66.8 million in 2020. Revenues shot up as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic’s effect on traditional education. In tandem with rising demand, operating costs associated with the company’s services rose, largely driven by the freemium content and marketing expenses. Coursera added over 12,000 new degree learners across the two years ended December 31, 2020 at an average acquisition cost of just below $2,000. The number of registered users rose by 65% year-on-year in 2020. Coursera’s accumulated deficit since its founding stood at $343.6 million as of December 31, 2020. The company does not expect to turn a profit in the foreseeable future.</p><p>The company’sCoursera for Campus,launched in late 2019to enable colleges to offer its library of MOOCs to their students, has been a key driver of recent revenue growth. At the start of the pandemic, Coursera made the program free to tertiary institutions until Sept. 30, 2020. Over 4,000 tertiary institutions from across the world signed up for the program, which, according to the company’s S-1 filing, makes it, “one of our fastest growing offerings”. As of December 31, 2020, over 130 tertiary institutions were paying for it.</p><p>At this point, it is hard to predict what the end of the pandemic would have on the company’s operating results.</p><p><b>The Strategy and Market Opportunity</b></p><p>Coursera is one of the most disruptive firms in the world. It has a flywheel approach to value creation, with significant price-to-cost advantages versus its competition. The company reported that about half of its new degree students in 2020 had been previously registered with Coursera and that its average student acquisition cost was less than $2,000. Its average student acquisition cost is lower than the industry standard. The edu-tech platform is able to efficiently acquire learners at scale because of the huge number of free, high-quality courses that it offers in partnership with top educational institutions and corporations; its ability to personalize content based on its wealth of data; the strength of word-of-mouth promotion by learners; the profitability of its affiliate paid marketing channel.</p><p>The platform offers a number of education tracks, for example:</p><ul><li>Specializations: A learner can pay between $39 and $99 a month for job-specific content across over 500 categories.</li><li>MasterTrack Certificates: For a quarter to a year, a learner can earn a certificate issued by a university-issued certificate. Prices range from $2,000 to $6,000.</li><li>Bachelor’s or Master’s Degrees: Fees range from $9,000 to $45,000.</li><li>Coursera for Enterprise: Through this platform, businesses, educational institutions and governments can deploy content to their learners.</li></ul><p>In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, Coursera partnered with over 330 government agencies across 30 U.S. states and cities and 70 countries as part of itsCoursera Workforce Recovery Initiative, which gave governments the chance to offer unemployed workers free access to thousands of business, data science, and technology courses from companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL).</p><p>The company has 77 million registered learners, as well as over 2,000 businesses (including 25% of Fortune 500 companies) and 100 government agencies who paid for its enterprise offerings. The majority of its revenue (51%) was earned outside of the United States. Converting only a fraction of its 77 million registered users into paid users would change the economics of customer acquisition. The company’s present scale is a huge competitive advantage in the market.</p><p>A learner’s curriculum is designed to be “stackable”, which is to say that a learner can go through a domain in an incremental fashion. The company is able to leverage the huge volume of data it has accumulated from its over 220 million enrollments to personalize content. So, for example, Coursera’s Skills Graphs can suggest paths for job skills.</p><p>Coursera uses technology to drive down distribution costs, make content more affordable, extend access to less economically-endowed regions, help learners keep abreast of emerging skills, and grow its market opportunity. The Covid-19 pandemic has only accelerated secular trends towards the use of technology in education.</p><p>The size of the addressable market is massive and it’s easy to see why.An August 2020 study by the United Nationsdemonstrates the degree of disruption brought on by the Covid-19 pandemic: of the 1.6 billion students in 190 countries covered in the report, or 94% of the world’s students, were prevented from going to school because of Covid-19 pandemic related school closures.</p><p>In 2017, the World Bank indicated thatof the 200 million college students in the world, many do not have job-specific skills.</p><p>The Covid-19 pandemic and prior secular trends suggest that the future of education is in blended classrooms, job-specific education and continuous, lifelong education. Online learning platforms like Coursera will be the primary means through which educational content is delivered.</p><p>Globally, spending on higher education in 2019 was $2.2 trillion,according to HolonIQ. Spending on online degrees was $36 billion and is predicted to reach $74 billion by 2025.</p><p>With a huge, existing learner base; a strong brand; and the significant advantages detailed above, Coursera is likely to grab a significant amount of the market’s growth. Of thescenarios for the future of education, it seems that Coursera will continue to grow.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Coursera seems poised to meet the challenges of a changing education landscape. With its vast, existing user base, its flywheel model, its competitive advantages, and its existence in a huge and growing addressable market, the company is likely to do very well. The company’s value proposition is compelling. However, long run success does not equate to a good investment in the short run. An unprofitable company like Coursera is likely to be very volatile on the markets until it reaches profitability. It is better to wait for Coursera to turn a profit before investing in the company.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-30 17:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413745-coursera-education-disruptor-goes-public><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic.It is operating in a huge addressable market that is likely to grow for the foreseeable future....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413745-coursera-education-disruptor-goes-public\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cedd6cbf23bbe97eaec389fb0773ed6","relate_stocks":{"COUR":"Coursera, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413745-coursera-education-disruptor-goes-public","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1163996400","content_text":"SummaryThe company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic.It is operating in a huge addressable market that is likely to grow for the foreseeable future.Coursera enjoys many competitive advantages, among them a large, existing user base, price-to-cost advantages, and the ability to personalize content as a result of its trove of data.Given its scale, and competitive advantages, the company should win an outsized share of its market opportunity.However, because the company has not turned a profit, there is a chance that its stock may be too volatile in the near term. Buying when the company turns a profit is the safer bet.Coursera (COURS), the online learning platform founded in 2012 by former Stanford University computer science professors Daphne Koller and Andrew Ng, filed itsIPO prospectuswith the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Mountain View, California-based company offers individuals access to over 4,000 Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) from 200 educational institutions and corporations. The company also offers over two dozen degree programs at prices lower than what a learner would pay at a traditional, in-person institution. As the company grows its offering, it will be able to compete head-to-head with other “online program management” (OPM) providers, such as 2U(NASDAQ:TWOU), which is already publicly traded, and Noodle Partners.Ng’sshareholder letter in the S-1articulated clearly just what the company is about:“We believe that education is the source of human progress. In today’s economy in which the skills needed to succeed are rapidly evolving, education is becoming more important than ever. As automation and digital disruption are poised to replace unprecedented numbers of jobs worldwide, giving workers the opportunity to upskill and reskill will be crucial to raising global living standards and increasing social equity. Online education will play a critical role, enabling anyone, anywhere, to gain the valuable skills they need to earn a living in an increasingly digital economy.”The filing lists Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup as underwriters. The number of shares and the price range of the proposed offering are yet to be determined.According to PitchBook data, Coursera’s most recent valuation in the private markets was $2.5 billion. To date, the company has raised $464 million in venture capital, most recently,$130 million in a Series F roundlast July. Coursera’s biggest institutional shareholders are New Enterprise Associates (18.3% of company stock), G Squared (15.9%) and Kleiner Perkins (9.2%).Operating ResultsThe company earned $293 million in revenues for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, up 59% from 2019. Net losses widened by about $20 million year-on-year, reaching $66.8 million in 2020. Revenues shot up as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic’s effect on traditional education. In tandem with rising demand, operating costs associated with the company’s services rose, largely driven by the freemium content and marketing expenses. Coursera added over 12,000 new degree learners across the two years ended December 31, 2020 at an average acquisition cost of just below $2,000. The number of registered users rose by 65% year-on-year in 2020. Coursera’s accumulated deficit since its founding stood at $343.6 million as of December 31, 2020. The company does not expect to turn a profit in the foreseeable future.The company’sCoursera for Campus,launched in late 2019to enable colleges to offer its library of MOOCs to their students, has been a key driver of recent revenue growth. At the start of the pandemic, Coursera made the program free to tertiary institutions until Sept. 30, 2020. Over 4,000 tertiary institutions from across the world signed up for the program, which, according to the company’s S-1 filing, makes it, “one of our fastest growing offerings”. As of December 31, 2020, over 130 tertiary institutions were paying for it.At this point, it is hard to predict what the end of the pandemic would have on the company’s operating results.The Strategy and Market OpportunityCoursera is one of the most disruptive firms in the world. It has a flywheel approach to value creation, with significant price-to-cost advantages versus its competition. The company reported that about half of its new degree students in 2020 had been previously registered with Coursera and that its average student acquisition cost was less than $2,000. Its average student acquisition cost is lower than the industry standard. The edu-tech platform is able to efficiently acquire learners at scale because of the huge number of free, high-quality courses that it offers in partnership with top educational institutions and corporations; its ability to personalize content based on its wealth of data; the strength of word-of-mouth promotion by learners; the profitability of its affiliate paid marketing channel.The platform offers a number of education tracks, for example:Specializations: A learner can pay between $39 and $99 a month for job-specific content across over 500 categories.MasterTrack Certificates: For a quarter to a year, a learner can earn a certificate issued by a university-issued certificate. Prices range from $2,000 to $6,000.Bachelor’s or Master’s Degrees: Fees range from $9,000 to $45,000.Coursera for Enterprise: Through this platform, businesses, educational institutions and governments can deploy content to their learners.In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, Coursera partnered with over 330 government agencies across 30 U.S. states and cities and 70 countries as part of itsCoursera Workforce Recovery Initiative, which gave governments the chance to offer unemployed workers free access to thousands of business, data science, and technology courses from companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL).The company has 77 million registered learners, as well as over 2,000 businesses (including 25% of Fortune 500 companies) and 100 government agencies who paid for its enterprise offerings. The majority of its revenue (51%) was earned outside of the United States. Converting only a fraction of its 77 million registered users into paid users would change the economics of customer acquisition. The company’s present scale is a huge competitive advantage in the market.A learner’s curriculum is designed to be “stackable”, which is to say that a learner can go through a domain in an incremental fashion. The company is able to leverage the huge volume of data it has accumulated from its over 220 million enrollments to personalize content. So, for example, Coursera’s Skills Graphs can suggest paths for job skills.Coursera uses technology to drive down distribution costs, make content more affordable, extend access to less economically-endowed regions, help learners keep abreast of emerging skills, and grow its market opportunity. The Covid-19 pandemic has only accelerated secular trends towards the use of technology in education.The size of the addressable market is massive and it’s easy to see why.An August 2020 study by the United Nationsdemonstrates the degree of disruption brought on by the Covid-19 pandemic: of the 1.6 billion students in 190 countries covered in the report, or 94% of the world’s students, were prevented from going to school because of Covid-19 pandemic related school closures.In 2017, the World Bank indicated thatof the 200 million college students in the world, many do not have job-specific skills.The Covid-19 pandemic and prior secular trends suggest that the future of education is in blended classrooms, job-specific education and continuous, lifelong education. Online learning platforms like Coursera will be the primary means through which educational content is delivered.Globally, spending on higher education in 2019 was $2.2 trillion,according to HolonIQ. Spending on online degrees was $36 billion and is predicted to reach $74 billion by 2025.With a huge, existing learner base; a strong brand; and the significant advantages detailed above, Coursera is likely to grab a significant amount of the market’s growth. Of thescenarios for the future of education, it seems that Coursera will continue to grow.ConclusionCoursera seems poised to meet the challenges of a changing education landscape. With its vast, existing user base, its flywheel model, its competitive advantages, and its existence in a huge and growing addressable market, the company is likely to do very well. The company’s value proposition is compelling. However, long run success does not equate to a good investment in the short run. An unprofitable company like Coursera is likely to be very volatile on the markets until it reaches profitability. It is better to wait for Coursera to turn a profit before investing in the company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":323723665,"gmtCreate":1615378459257,"gmtModify":1704781882441,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>Save please","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>Save please","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$Save please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90e472b32af0cfbfa827087e124048df","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/323723665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559331398796833","authorId":"3559331398796833","name":"FFOTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd1125d79299b49a262f237bfa6714b2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559331398796833","authorIdStr":"3559331398796833"},"content":"average down","text":"average down","html":"average down"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365280600,"gmtCreate":1614745237200,"gmtModify":1704774710226,"author":{"id":"3569322833605065","authorId":"3569322833605065","name":"AdrianJon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6e8c453662dae51b3fcc1ef5dc31d2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569322833605065","authorIdStr":"3569322833605065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nah boomer news ","listText":"Nah boomer news ","text":"Nah boomer news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365280600","repostId":"1103406593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103406593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614693752,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103406593?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-02 22:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sugar Rush - Why The Economy Will Run Hot, Then Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103406593","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe expected \"sugar rush\" from more stimulus is why the economy will \"run hot\" then crash.\n","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The expected \"sugar rush\" from more stimulus is why the economy will \"run hot\" then crash.</li>\n <li>The vast majority of the growth in the U.S. over the last decade was due to a variety of artificial inputs which are not indefinitely sustainable.</li>\n <li>There is a massive disconnect between the \"stock market\" and the \"real economy.\"</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The expected \"sugar rush\" from more stimulus is why the economy will \"run hot\" then crash. As every parent knows, giving a child too much \"sugar\" leads to a \"rush\" of energy. Then comes the crash, where you find them in some odd place taking a nap.</p>\n<p>The Coming Economic \"Rush\"</p>\n<p>Recently, JPMorgan joined the rest of the Wall Street banks in predicting a surge in economic activity for 2021 of 6.4%. Of course, the entire reasoning behind the rise in activity was due to \"stimulus.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"In a note to clients, JPM's chief economist Michael Feroli made the following forecast revisions:\n</blockquote>\n<p>The statement quickly lays out the premise of the \"rush and crash\" syndrome.</p>\n<p>The chart below shows annual real GDP growth rates from 2008 to the present. The surge in GDP in 2021 is a continuation of the \"sugar rush\" of monetary interventions. However, notice economic growth \"crashes\" back to annual norms in 2022.</p>\n<p>The dashed black line is the average annual growth of GDP from 2007 at just 1.7%. (Without the addition of JPMorgan's estimates, the actual growth rate through 2020 was only 1.3%).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9629eb53dc18f1655fe49df3259efb8e\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>For reference, a rate of growth below 2% isn't strong enough to absorb population growth.</p>\n<blockquote>\n (Note: Prior to 2000, an economic growth rate of 2% was considered \"pre-recessionary.\" In order to justify excess spending and Government interventions, 2% growth is now considered a \"success\" of policy.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>It's All Been Artificial</b></p>\n<p>Here is the more significant issue. The vast majority of the growth in the U.S. over the last decade was due to a variety of artificial inputs which are not indefinitely sustainable. From increasing federal expenditures:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2516f49b7c1565d8d1451ce1c82f702d\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>And a litany of \"bailouts,\" which are a function of increased debts and deficits and massive monetary interventions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/724349a20ecbb1ec296a5399d6d3472e\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>While the economy may have \"appeared\" to grow during this period, economic growth would have been \"negative\" without debt increases. The chart below shows what economic growth would be without the increases in Federal debt.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/254442d01aca7a78e94a8ad57f5a3c8c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Such is why, after more than a decade of monetary and fiscal interventions totaling more than$37 trillionand counting, the economy remains on \"life support.\"</p>\n<p>(It required roughly $12 in support to generate $1 of economic growth.)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245086ab1ba07a40241fb1b03a647762\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"476\"></p>\n<p>While the claims of a robust economy rely heavily upon a surge in consumer spending, it is a mirage of the increase in \"social benefits.\"</p>\n<p><b>Real Incomes Not Improving</b></p>\n<p>A significant problem with a bulk of the analysis put out by mainstream economists, and the media is that it often fails to examine the underlying causes. An excellent example has been that consumer incomes are surging, which will support the economic \"sugar rush.\" A look at the chart below would undoubtedly suggest that to be true.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/209cc9c414434eee3f179dfde40d0155\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"490\"></p>\n<p>However, the reality is much less optimistic when you strip out \"government transfer payments.\" While the economy has rebounded, real disposable incomes remain below previous highs. Notably, of the next $1.9 trillion in stimulus, only roughly $900 billion flows to households. Such won't boost incomes markedly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce655a76accf67d1d60c0b7f02242c1c\" tg-width=\"774\" tg-height=\"490\"></p>\n<p>The chart below shows the problem more clearly. As noted above, the \"real\" economic prosperity of household incomes has not improved markedly without government supports. Such is why, at roughly 2% economic growth, nearly 1-in-3 households are dependent on some form of government handout.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb264f1eabee006ba8d182a2162ad101\" tg-width=\"777\" tg-height=\"574\"></p>\n<p><b>A Surge In The \"Welfare Trap\"</b></p>\n<p>There is a massive disconnect between the \"stock market\" and the \"real economy.\" As we have discussed previously, the top10% of income earners own nearly 90%of the stock market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cd9a5efcc6666d6d4fd8861a0ceea4a\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"517\"></p>\n<p>For the bottom 80%, which drives the bulk of personal consumption expenditures (PCE), they continue to struggle to make ends meet. Such is why the dependency on social welfare now comprises one-third of total incomes. Other statistics are just as daunting.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>38 million Americans on food stamps</p></li>\n <li><p>According to the Census Bureau, an estimated 50% of the 330 million Americans get at least one federal benefit.</p></li>\n <li><p>An estimated 63 million get Social Security; 59.9 million get Medicare; 75 million get Medicaid; 5 million get housing subsidies, and 4 million get Veterans' benefits.</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Those numbers continue to rise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e9a46308e827715af3777b1586ce189\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"491\"></p>\n<p>Without government largesse, many individuals would be living on the street. The chart above shows all the government \"welfare\" programs and current levels to date.</p>\n<p>The problem with \"stimulus programs\" is that you can see the immediate subsequent contraction once the benefit depletes. Since one-third of incomes dependent on government transfers, it is not surprising that the economy struggles as recycled tax dollars used for consumption purposes have virtually no impact on the overall economy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11738fa36d2bea285ea86c1eb6b8b7a\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"490\"></p>\n<p>In fact, in the ongoing saga of the American economy's demise, U.S. households are now getting more in cash handouts from the government than they are paying in taxes for the first time since the Great Depression.</p>\n<p>Such occurs when the current administration remains enthralled with finding some universe where socialistic programs lead to sustainable economic growth.</p>\n<p>It doesn't.</p>\n<p>The Coming \"Crash\"</p>\n<p>As the stimulus hits consumers, they spend it rather quickly, which leads to a \"sugar rush\" of economic activity. Such as:</p>\n<ol>\n <li><p>Consumers use the funds to make either necessary or discretionary purchases creating demand.</p></li>\n <li><p>In anticipation of demand, companies boost \"inventories.\"</p></li>\n <li><p>The boost in \"inventory stocking\" boosts manufacturing metrics.</p></li>\n</ol>\n<p>We are seeing this currently as manufacturing and inventory metrics surge.</p>\n<p>As shown, the stimulus will lead to a short-term boost in PCE, which will correspond with increased economic growth. (PCE comprises nearly 70% of the calculation.)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6516b0d8f4641bb54be6c447fd64a5af\" tg-width=\"791\" tg-height=\"479\"></p>\n<p>However, there is a \"dark side\" to stimulus-fueled activity.</p>\n<ol>\n <li><p>Since companies know the stimulus is \"temporary,\" they don't make long-term hiring and capital expenditure plans.</p></li>\n <li><p>The increase in activity leads to an inflationary rise that companies have difficulty passing on to consumers, ultimately reducing profit margins.</p></li>\n <li><p>Again, since companies know the stimulus is temporary, they opt for \"efficiencies,\" such as outsourcing and automation, to lower labor and production costs.</p></li>\n <li><p>After the stimulus gets depleted, consumers struggle with higher costs which further deteriorates their standard of living.</p></li>\n</ol>\n<p>Unless the Government is committed to a continuous stimulus, once the \"sugar rush\" fades, the economy will \"crash\" back to its organic state.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea0ad408722f4e7b0e53228cbd75e567\" tg-width=\"792\" tg-height=\"477\"></p>\n<p>The bottom line is that America can't grow its way back to prosperity on the back of social assistance. The average American is fighting to make ends meet as their living cost rises while wage growth remains stagnant.</p>\n<p><b>Deflation Set To Return</b></p>\n<p>That brings us to the hard truth.</p>\n<p>If we assume even the most optimistic economic outcome of the current stimulus bill, the reality is that economic growth will remain mired in its long-term downtrend.</p>\n<p>As the budget deficit grows over the next few years, interest payments alone will absorb a larger chunk of tax revenue. Such comes at a time when that same dollar of tax revenue only covers the entitlement spending of the 75 million baby boomers migrating into the social safety net.</p>\n<p>By the way, the only other time government income support exceeded taxes paid was during the \"Great Depression\" from 1931 to 1936.</p>\n<p>The debt problem remains a massive risk to monetary and fiscal policy. If rates rise, the negative impact on an indebted economy quickly depresses activity. More importantly, the decline in monetary velocity clearly shows that deflation is a persistent threat.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383872d3c785e619d2a2d346e89a0175\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"569\"></p>\n<p><b>No Real Options</b></p>\n<p>There are no real options unless the system is allowed to reset painfully.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, given we now have a decade of experience of watching monetary experiments only succeed in creating a massive \"wealth gap,\" maybe we should consider the alternative.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, the Federal Reserve, and the Administration, will have to face hard choices to extricate the economy from the current\"liquidity trap.\"However, history shows that political leadership never makes hard choices until those choices get forced upon them.</p>\n<p>Most telling is the current economists' inability, who maintain our monetary and fiscal policies, to realize the problem of trying to \"cure a debt problem with more debt.\"</p>\n<p>The Keynesian view that \"more money in people's pockets\" will drive up consumer spending, with a boost to GDP being the result, has been wrong. It hasn't happened in 40 years.</p>\n<p>As Dr. Woody Brock aptly argues:</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"It is truly 'American Gridlock' as the real crisis lies between the choices of 'austerity' and continued government 'largesse.' One choice leads to long-term economic prosperity for all; the other doesn't.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>Take your pick.</p>\n<p>While we likely see a spark of inflation, it probably won't last long. Eventually, the grip of the debt-driven deflationary cycle will regain its burdensome hold.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sugar Rush - Why The Economy Will Run Hot, Then Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSugar Rush - Why The Economy Will Run Hot, Then Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-02 22:02 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410290-sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe expected \"sugar rush\" from more stimulus is why the economy will \"run hot\" then crash.\nThe vast majority of the growth in the U.S. over the last decade was due to a variety of artificial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410290-sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410290-sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1103406593","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe expected \"sugar rush\" from more stimulus is why the economy will \"run hot\" then crash.\nThe vast majority of the growth in the U.S. over the last decade was due to a variety of artificial inputs which are not indefinitely sustainable.\nThere is a massive disconnect between the \"stock market\" and the \"real economy.\"\n\nThe expected \"sugar rush\" from more stimulus is why the economy will \"run hot\" then crash. As every parent knows, giving a child too much \"sugar\" leads to a \"rush\" of energy. Then comes the crash, where you find them in some odd place taking a nap.\nThe Coming Economic \"Rush\"\nRecently, JPMorgan joined the rest of the Wall Street banks in predicting a surge in economic activity for 2021 of 6.4%. Of course, the entire reasoning behind the rise in activity was due to \"stimulus.\"\n\n \"In a note to clients, JPM's chief economist Michael Feroli made the following forecast revisions:\n\nThe statement quickly lays out the premise of the \"rush and crash\" syndrome.\nThe chart below shows annual real GDP growth rates from 2008 to the present. The surge in GDP in 2021 is a continuation of the \"sugar rush\" of monetary interventions. However, notice economic growth \"crashes\" back to annual norms in 2022.\nThe dashed black line is the average annual growth of GDP from 2007 at just 1.7%. (Without the addition of JPMorgan's estimates, the actual growth rate through 2020 was only 1.3%).\n\nFor reference, a rate of growth below 2% isn't strong enough to absorb population growth.\n\n (Note: Prior to 2000, an economic growth rate of 2% was considered \"pre-recessionary.\" In order to justify excess spending and Government interventions, 2% growth is now considered a \"success\" of policy.\"\n\nIt's All Been Artificial\nHere is the more significant issue. The vast majority of the growth in the U.S. over the last decade was due to a variety of artificial inputs which are not indefinitely sustainable. From increasing federal expenditures:\n\nAnd a litany of \"bailouts,\" which are a function of increased debts and deficits and massive monetary interventions.\n\nWhile the economy may have \"appeared\" to grow during this period, economic growth would have been \"negative\" without debt increases. The chart below shows what economic growth would be without the increases in Federal debt.\n\nSuch is why, after more than a decade of monetary and fiscal interventions totaling more than$37 trillionand counting, the economy remains on \"life support.\"\n(It required roughly $12 in support to generate $1 of economic growth.)\n\nWhile the claims of a robust economy rely heavily upon a surge in consumer spending, it is a mirage of the increase in \"social benefits.\"\nReal Incomes Not Improving\nA significant problem with a bulk of the analysis put out by mainstream economists, and the media is that it often fails to examine the underlying causes. An excellent example has been that consumer incomes are surging, which will support the economic \"sugar rush.\" A look at the chart below would undoubtedly suggest that to be true.\n\nHowever, the reality is much less optimistic when you strip out \"government transfer payments.\" While the economy has rebounded, real disposable incomes remain below previous highs. Notably, of the next $1.9 trillion in stimulus, only roughly $900 billion flows to households. Such won't boost incomes markedly.\n\nThe chart below shows the problem more clearly. As noted above, the \"real\" economic prosperity of household incomes has not improved markedly without government supports. Such is why, at roughly 2% economic growth, nearly 1-in-3 households are dependent on some form of government handout.\n\nA Surge In The \"Welfare Trap\"\nThere is a massive disconnect between the \"stock market\" and the \"real economy.\" As we have discussed previously, the top10% of income earners own nearly 90%of the stock market.\n\nFor the bottom 80%, which drives the bulk of personal consumption expenditures (PCE), they continue to struggle to make ends meet. Such is why the dependency on social welfare now comprises one-third of total incomes. Other statistics are just as daunting.\n\n38 million Americans on food stamps\nAccording to the Census Bureau, an estimated 50% of the 330 million Americans get at least one federal benefit.\nAn estimated 63 million get Social Security; 59.9 million get Medicare; 75 million get Medicaid; 5 million get housing subsidies, and 4 million get Veterans' benefits.\n\nThose numbers continue to rise.\n\nWithout government largesse, many individuals would be living on the street. The chart above shows all the government \"welfare\" programs and current levels to date.\nThe problem with \"stimulus programs\" is that you can see the immediate subsequent contraction once the benefit depletes. Since one-third of incomes dependent on government transfers, it is not surprising that the economy struggles as recycled tax dollars used for consumption purposes have virtually no impact on the overall economy.\n\nIn fact, in the ongoing saga of the American economy's demise, U.S. households are now getting more in cash handouts from the government than they are paying in taxes for the first time since the Great Depression.\nSuch occurs when the current administration remains enthralled with finding some universe where socialistic programs lead to sustainable economic growth.\nIt doesn't.\nThe Coming \"Crash\"\nAs the stimulus hits consumers, they spend it rather quickly, which leads to a \"sugar rush\" of economic activity. Such as:\n\nConsumers use the funds to make either necessary or discretionary purchases creating demand.\nIn anticipation of demand, companies boost \"inventories.\"\nThe boost in \"inventory stocking\" boosts manufacturing metrics.\n\nWe are seeing this currently as manufacturing and inventory metrics surge.\nAs shown, the stimulus will lead to a short-term boost in PCE, which will correspond with increased economic growth. (PCE comprises nearly 70% of the calculation.)\n\nHowever, there is a \"dark side\" to stimulus-fueled activity.\n\nSince companies know the stimulus is \"temporary,\" they don't make long-term hiring and capital expenditure plans.\nThe increase in activity leads to an inflationary rise that companies have difficulty passing on to consumers, ultimately reducing profit margins.\nAgain, since companies know the stimulus is temporary, they opt for \"efficiencies,\" such as outsourcing and automation, to lower labor and production costs.\nAfter the stimulus gets depleted, consumers struggle with higher costs which further deteriorates their standard of living.\n\nUnless the Government is committed to a continuous stimulus, once the \"sugar rush\" fades, the economy will \"crash\" back to its organic state.\n\nThe bottom line is that America can't grow its way back to prosperity on the back of social assistance. The average American is fighting to make ends meet as their living cost rises while wage growth remains stagnant.\nDeflation Set To Return\nThat brings us to the hard truth.\nIf we assume even the most optimistic economic outcome of the current stimulus bill, the reality is that economic growth will remain mired in its long-term downtrend.\nAs the budget deficit grows over the next few years, interest payments alone will absorb a larger chunk of tax revenue. Such comes at a time when that same dollar of tax revenue only covers the entitlement spending of the 75 million baby boomers migrating into the social safety net.\nBy the way, the only other time government income support exceeded taxes paid was during the \"Great Depression\" from 1931 to 1936.\nThe debt problem remains a massive risk to monetary and fiscal policy. If rates rise, the negative impact on an indebted economy quickly depresses activity. More importantly, the decline in monetary velocity clearly shows that deflation is a persistent threat.\n\nNo Real Options\nThere are no real options unless the system is allowed to reset painfully.\nUnfortunately, given we now have a decade of experience of watching monetary experiments only succeed in creating a massive \"wealth gap,\" maybe we should consider the alternative.\nUltimately, the Federal Reserve, and the Administration, will have to face hard choices to extricate the economy from the current\"liquidity trap.\"However, history shows that political leadership never makes hard choices until those choices get forced upon them.\nMost telling is the current economists' inability, who maintain our monetary and fiscal policies, to realize the problem of trying to \"cure a debt problem with more debt.\"\nThe Keynesian view that \"more money in people's pockets\" will drive up consumer spending, with a boost to GDP being the result, has been wrong. It hasn't happened in 40 years.\nAs Dr. Woody Brock aptly argues:\n\n \"It is truly 'American Gridlock' as the real crisis lies between the choices of 'austerity' and continued government 'largesse.' One choice leads to long-term economic prosperity for all; the other doesn't.\"\n\nTake your pick.\nWhile we likely see a spark of inflation, it probably won't last long. Eventually, the grip of the debt-driven deflationary cycle will regain its burdensome hold.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}