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TimB

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2021-07-13

Fire! Like please :)

Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings

2021-07-12

Hello, like please :)

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-12

Stonks go up

2021-07-12

Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement

The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why

2021-07-08

Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!

S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes

2021-07-08

DCA all day everyday

2021-07-08

Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already

Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside

2021-07-07

Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value

2021-07-07

Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)

Dow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record

2021-07-06

When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers

2021-07-05

Sigh independence Day market is closed sad

Fed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week

2021-07-05

Like please :)

When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.

2021-07-05

Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative space

2021-07-04

Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?

Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?

2021-07-03

An absolute behemoth, never get against Google

2021-07-03

Amazing Bull Run recently!

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-02

No debt company finally flying

2021-06-30

Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year

Tech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs

2021-06-30

Cmon

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-30

Unbelievable!

Facebook: Simply Unstoppable

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Like please :)","listText":"Fire! Like please :)","text":"Fire! Like please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142117170","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119839711?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p>\n<p>The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>\n <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p>\n<p><b>What drove the market?</b></p>\n<p>Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p>\n<p>“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p>\n<p>“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p>\n<p>Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p>\n<p>Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p>\n<p>Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p>\n<p>“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p>\n<p>“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p>\n<p>“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p>\n<p>No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p>\n<p>“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p>\n<p>“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p>\n<p><b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>\n <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>\n <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>\n <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>\n <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>\n <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>How did other assets trade?</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>\n <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>\n <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>\n <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-13 05:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146933219,"gmtCreate":1626048531131,"gmtModify":1703752224200,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello, like please :)","listText":"Hello, like please :)","text":"Hello, like please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146933219","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146930496,"gmtCreate":1626048429315,"gmtModify":1703752221414,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks go up","listText":"Stonks go up","text":"Stonks go up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e1ac5d3d73c8ce22da232363b4a7a9","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146930496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146992549,"gmtCreate":1626048282081,"gmtModify":1703752216358,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement","listText":"Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement","text":"Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146992549","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185154176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p>\n<p>It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p>\n<p>Here’s why.</p>\n<p>We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p>\n<p><b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p>\n<p>Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p>\n<p>First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p>\n<p>Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p>\n<p>Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p>\n<p>Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p>\n<p>Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p>\n<p>You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p>\n<p>Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p>\n<p><b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p>\n<p><b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p>\n<p>The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p>\n<p>Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p>\n<p>“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p>\n<p>Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p>\n<p><b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p>\n<p>For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p>\n<p>Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p>\n<p><b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p>\n<p>Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p>\n<p><b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p>\n<p>We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p>\n<p>This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p>\n<p>True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p>\n<p><b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p>\n<p>As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p>\n<p><b>Three themes to follow</b></p>\n<p>If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p>\n<p><b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p>\n<p><b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p>\n<p><b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 11:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149947165,"gmtCreate":1625703063257,"gmtModify":1703746612078,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!","listText":"Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!","text":"Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149947165","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193960545?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>\n <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p>\n<p>According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p>\n<p>\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p>\n<p>Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p>\n<p>The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p>\n<p>After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p>\n<p>Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p>\n<p>Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149945626,"gmtCreate":1625702967865,"gmtModify":1703746609061,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DCA all day everyday","listText":"DCA all day everyday","text":"DCA all day everyday","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ecbda4c1abb7925e39a7ac9ec4ccbe9","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149945626","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149946182,"gmtCreate":1625702908846,"gmtModify":1703746606417,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already","listText":"Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already","text":"Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149946182","repostId":"1140589344","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140589344","pubTimestamp":1625643438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140589344?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 15:37","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140589344","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 year","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&amp;P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.</li>\n <li>An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.</li>\n <li>I am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.</li>\n <li>As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Who would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.</p>\n<p>Sometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.</p>\n<p>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Amazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021</b></p>\n<p>Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&amp;P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&amp;P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.</p>\n<p>When I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&amp;P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0238d2575d6cb248ff8e803ab0d6a49\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>AMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.</p>\n<p>(Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>As AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.</p>\n<p><b>Apple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve</b></p>\n<p>Love them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.</p>\n<p>The only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.</p>\n<p>I believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.</p>\n<p>So what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.</p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</p>\n<p><b>As a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do</b></p>\n<p>I am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.</p>\n<p>I am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.</p>\n<p>So what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.</p>\n<p>AAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.</p>\n<p><b>I believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up</b></p>\n<p>I am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.</p>\n<p>First, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?</p>\n<p>How is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Walmart(WMT) $559.15 billion</li>\n <li>Costco(COST) $166.76 billion</li>\n <li>Walgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion</li>\n <li>The Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion</li>\n <li>The Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion</li>\n <li>Target(TGT) $92.4 billion</li>\n <li>Lowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar General(DG) $33.75 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion</li>\n <li>Macy's(M) $17.35 billion</li>\n <li>Etc.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6ae96a0668d39c1279e165b229bbc33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source:AMZN)</p>\n<p>Could you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.</p>\n<p>How about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bc355a07746c16ba3197b19a1a6b6c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Synergy Research Group)</p>\n<p>(Source: Canalys)</p>\n<p>What about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.</p>\n<p>Apple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4100457cfb03a212a0a0e0750003d052\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: StatCounter)</p>\n<p>I am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>The first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&amp;P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside><strong>seeking alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140589344","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.\nI am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.\nAs a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.\n\nWho would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.\nSometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nAmazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021\nOver the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.\nWhen I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.\n\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)\nAMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.\n(Source: Amazon)\nAs AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.\nApple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve\nLove them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.\nThe only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.\nI believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.\nSo what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nAs a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do\nI am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.\nI am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.\nSo what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.\nAAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.\nI believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up\nI am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.\nFirst, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?\nHow is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:\n\nWalmart(WMT) $559.15 billion\nCostco(COST) $166.76 billion\nWalgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion\nThe Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion\nThe Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion\nTarget(TGT) $92.4 billion\nLowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion\nDollar General(DG) $33.75 billion\nDollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion\nMacy's(M) $17.35 billion\nEtc.\n\nThe National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.\n\n(Source:AMZN)\nCould you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.\nHow about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.\n\n(Source: Synergy Research Group)\n(Source: Canalys)\nWhat about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.\nApple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.\n\n(Source: StatCounter)\nI am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.\nConclusion\nThe first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140087847,"gmtCreate":1625619836889,"gmtModify":1703744992343,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value","listText":"Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value","text":"Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/293b753b1456e9922715790c2108b669","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140087847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140085577,"gmtCreate":1625619769199,"gmtModify":1703744989695,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)","listText":"Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)","text":"Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140085577","repostId":"1106187901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106187901","pubTimestamp":1625612872,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106187901?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106187901","media":"CNBC","summary":"Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that ma","content":"<div>\n<p>Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that maybe the best of the economic recovery from the pandemic is behind us.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that maybe the best of the economic recovery from the pandemic is behind us.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","SPY":"标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1106187901","content_text":"Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that maybe the best of the economic recovery from the pandemic is behind us.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.98 points to 34,577.37, dragged down by losses inDow Inc.,Caterpillar,JPMorganandChevron. The S&P 500 dipped 0.2% to 4,343.54 after hitting a record at the open. The 500-stock index snapped a seven-day winning streak, its longest since August. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.17% to 14,663.64, closing at a new record. U.S. markets were closed for the July 4 Independence Day holiday on Monday.\nAmazonrose 4.7% after the Department of Defensecancelled its $10 billion JEDI cloud contract with Microsoft. Instead, the department is launching a new contract and soliciting proposals from both Amazon and Microsoft. Plus, Andy Jassy officially took over as CEO of Amazon on Monday. Jeff Bezos is now the executive chairman of the board.\nInvestors are juggling several signs that the rapid economic growth from the depths of the pandemic could be peaking. The ISM Services index, a major gauge of the services sector, slowed to 60.1 in June from a record in the prior month, data released Tuesday showed. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a print of 63.5. This follows Friday’s jobs report, which showed the unemployment raterose back up to 5.9%against the 5.6% expectation.\nBond yields also fell on Monday, with the 10-year Treasury yield below 1.4% — further evidence that investors are doubting the strength of the U.S. economy.\nMany on Wall Street expect smaller and choppier gains from the rest of the year after a strong performance in the first half amid a historic economic reopening. The S&P 500 is up nearly 16% year to date.\n“The U.S. economy is booming, but this is now a known known and asset markets reflect it. What isn’t so clear anymore is at what price this growth will accrue,” Michael Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a note. “Higher costs mean lower profits, another reason why the overall equity market has been narrowing... equity markets are likely to take a break this summer as things heat up.”\nWall Street’s consensus year-end target for the S&P 500 stands at 4,276, representing a near 2% loss from the 500-stock average’s current level, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey that rounds up 16 top strategists’ forecasts.\n“Everything is perfect and that worries me,” said Sarat Sethi, portfolio manager at DCLA, said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday. “Since October, we’ve had a 5% correction, that’s it. I do think we’re in a little bit of a euphoria short-term. We do need to be careful and I do think you want to be in secular growth companies, no just chasing the market here because I do think the market’s going to be very picky as to what sectors are going to do well.”\nCiti analysts told clients they are concernedabout central bank policy and see potential that earnings reports, which begin in a few weeks, could fall short of expectations. They suggest July could be “an unsettling month,” due to “loftier inherent expectations” following such strong first-quarter reports.\nU.S. shares of Chinese ride-hailing giantDidi plunged nearly 19.6%after China said new users could not download the app until it conducts a cybersecurity review. The announcement took markets by surprise given that Didi just made its U.S. debut on the NYSE last week.\nWest Texas Intermediate crude rose to asix-year highas a key meeting between oil producer group OPEC and its partners on crude output policyhas been called off. The postponement came as the United Arab Emirates rejected a proposal to extend oil production increase for a second day. At one point on Tuesday, WTI crude hit as high as $76.98, which was the highest price since November 2014, after pulling back before the opening bell. WTI settled at $73.37.\nInvestors await the release of June Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes due Wednesday for clues about the central bank’s behind-the-scenes discussions on winding down its quantitative easing program.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154256350,"gmtCreate":1625531242470,"gmtModify":1703743059556,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers","listText":"When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers","text":"When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e054331830e3da20fe37e5a5a3447850","width":"1080","height":"3524"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154256350","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155599239,"gmtCreate":1625443624621,"gmtModify":1703741682547,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sigh independence Day market is closed sad","listText":"Sigh independence Day market is closed sad","text":"Sigh independence Day market is closed sad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155599239","repostId":"1138258779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138258779","pubTimestamp":1625440300,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138258779?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138258779","media":"barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for $Independence$ Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and taper","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHC\">Independence</a> Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news.&nbsp;Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.</p>\n<p>On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and tapering of the Fed’s bond-buying program, sending markets&nbsp;falling. The back and forth amongst the members will be closely parsed for more details about the committee’s thinking. G20 finance ministers and central bank governors will convene in&nbsp;Venice starting Friday for a summit, after 130 countries backed a minimum global corporate tax rate last week.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June on Tuesday. The Services PMI hit a record high in May. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists expect job openings to&nbsp;match the April figure, which was the highest reading in the history of the survey.</p>\n<p>Monday 7/5</p>\n<p><b>Stock and bond markets</b>are closed in observance of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IRT\">Independence</a> Day.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 7/6</p>\n<p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 63 reading, slightly lower than the May data, which was a record. The Services PMI has also had 12 consecutive monthly readings higher than the expansionary level of 50.</p>\n<p><b>The Reserve Bank</b>of Australia announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its cash target rate unchanged at 0.1%, as parts of the country have entered lockdown again to fight the Delta variant of the virus that causes Covid-19.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 7/7</p>\n<p><b>The BLS releases</b>the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May. Economists forecast 9.3 million job openings, matching the April figure, the highest since the data were first collected in December 2000.</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Open Market</b>Committee releases minutes from its mid-June monetary-policy meeting. Fed officials signaled that interest rates would rise sooner and faster than Wall Street had expected prior to the meeting, as inflation is rising at its fastest pace since 2008. Seven officials now expect rates to be lifted next year, compared with four in March.</p>\n<p><b>The Mortgage Bankers</b>Association reports mortgage applications for the week ending on July 2. Mortgage applications declined 6.9% this past week and have fallen in four of the past six weekly surveys, as supply constraints have pushed home-price growth to record levels.</p>\n<p>Thursday 7/8</p>\n<p><b>Levi Strauss</b>reports fiscal second-quarter earnings.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesalereports sales data for June.</p>\n<p>Stellantis,the automobile manufacturer formed earlier this year via the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and Peugeot, hosts EV Day 2021. The company’s chief executive officer, Carlos Tavares, will discuss Stellantis’ electrification strategy going forward.</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>reports consumer credit data for May. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> outstanding consumer credit was a record $4.24 trillion in April, as the continued reopening of the economy and hot housing market spurred shoppers to take on more debt.</p>\n<p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on July 3. Claims averaged 392,750 a week in June, the lowest since February of last year.</p>\n<p>Friday 7/9</p>\n<p><b>Italy hosts</b>a G20 summit of finance ministers and central bank governors. The confab runs from July 9 to July 10 in Venice. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will attend, as the Biden administration pushes for a global minimum corporate tax rate of at least 15%. This past week, 130 countries, representing more than 90% of global GDP, backed the minimum tax rate after two days of negotiations in Paris.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 07:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-levis-earnings-stellantis-ev-day-and-other-things-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625400002?mod=hp_LEAD_2><strong>barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Independence Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-levis-earnings-stellantis-ev-day-and-other-things-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625400002?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-levis-earnings-stellantis-ev-day-and-other-things-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625400002?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138258779","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Independence Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.\nOn Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and tapering of the Fed’s bond-buying program, sending markets falling. The back and forth amongst the members will be closely parsed for more details about the committee’s thinking. G20 finance ministers and central bank governors will convene in Venice starting Friday for a summit, after 130 countries backed a minimum global corporate tax rate last week.\nEconomic data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June on Tuesday. The Services PMI hit a record high in May. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists expect job openings to match the April figure, which was the highest reading in the history of the survey.\nMonday 7/5\nStock and bond marketsare closed in observance of Independence Day.\nTuesday 7/6\nThe Institute for SupplyManagement releases its Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 63 reading, slightly lower than the May data, which was a record. The Services PMI has also had 12 consecutive monthly readings higher than the expansionary level of 50.\nThe Reserve Bankof Australia announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its cash target rate unchanged at 0.1%, as parts of the country have entered lockdown again to fight the Delta variant of the virus that causes Covid-19.\nWednesday 7/7\nThe BLS releasesthe Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May. Economists forecast 9.3 million job openings, matching the April figure, the highest since the data were first collected in December 2000.\nThe Federal Open MarketCommittee releases minutes from its mid-June monetary-policy meeting. Fed officials signaled that interest rates would rise sooner and faster than Wall Street had expected prior to the meeting, as inflation is rising at its fastest pace since 2008. Seven officials now expect rates to be lifted next year, compared with four in March.\nThe Mortgage BankersAssociation reports mortgage applications for the week ending on July 2. Mortgage applications declined 6.9% this past week and have fallen in four of the past six weekly surveys, as supply constraints have pushed home-price growth to record levels.\nThursday 7/8\nLevi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings.\nCostco Wholesalereports sales data for June.\nStellantis,the automobile manufacturer formed earlier this year via the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and Peugeot, hosts EV Day 2021. The company’s chief executive officer, Carlos Tavares, will discuss Stellantis’ electrification strategy going forward.\nThe Federal Reservereports consumer credit data for May. Total outstanding consumer credit was a record $4.24 trillion in April, as the continued reopening of the economy and hot housing market spurred shoppers to take on more debt.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on July 3. Claims averaged 392,750 a week in June, the lowest since February of last year.\nFriday 7/9\nItaly hostsa G20 summit of finance ministers and central bank governors. The confab runs from July 9 to July 10 in Venice. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will attend, as the Biden administration pushes for a global minimum corporate tax rate of at least 15%. This past week, 130 countries, representing more than 90% of global GDP, backed the minimum tax rate after two days of negotiations in Paris.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155503680,"gmtCreate":1625443316740,"gmtModify":1703741669262,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please :)","listText":"Like please :)","text":"Like please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155503680","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189605893","pubTimestamp":1625363433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189605893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189605893","media":"Barron's","summary":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—m","content":"<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.</p>\n<p>Owning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.</p>\n<p>Together, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&amp;P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&amp;T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&amp;P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.</p>\n<p>There are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&amp;P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.</p>\n<p><b>When Less May Be More</b></p>\n<p>These funds are more diversified than the S&amp;P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d308adf067ef3205da5f7c1bddb75e77\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&amp;P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.</p>\n<p>A global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.</p>\n<p>With the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.</p>\n<p>It isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.</p>\n<p>High active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.</p>\n<p><i>Barron’s</i>looked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.</p>\n<p><b>A Concentrated Approach</b></p>\n<p>The Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.</p>\n<p>The past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”</p>\n<p>The tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.</p>\n<p>Many of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”</p>\n<p><b>Underappreciated Growth</b></p>\n<p>The $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.</p>\n<p>That underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.</p>\n<p>The fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.</p>\n<p>About 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).</p>\n<p><b>Lean Profit Machines</b></p>\n<p>The $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.</p>\n<p>Schoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.</p>\n<p>Lately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.</p>\n<p>While offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81aeb359e30f7394a363f00feb8ce0cf\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Insurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh &amp; McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.</p>\n<p>Another recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”</p>\n<p><b>Multiple Managers</b></p>\n<p>Unlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.</p>\n<p>But the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.</p>\n<p>Managers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.</p>\n<p>“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”</p>\n<p><b>Growth on the Cheap</b></p>\n<p>The $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.</p>\n<p>The fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.</p>\n<p>Instead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.</p>\n<p>Also attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.</p>\n<p>Another recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189605893","content_text":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.\nOwning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.\nTogether, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.\nThere are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.\nWhen Less May Be More\nThese funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.\n\nInvestors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.\nA global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.\nWith the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.\nIt isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.\nHigh active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.\nBarron’slooked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.\nA Concentrated Approach\nThe Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.\nThe past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”\nThe tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.\nMany of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”\nUnderappreciated Growth\nThe $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.\nThat underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.\nThe fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.\nAbout 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).\nLean Profit Machines\nThe $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.\nSchoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.\nLately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.\nWhile offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.\n\nInsurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.\nAnother recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”\nMultiple Managers\nUnlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.\nBut the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.\nManagers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.\n“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”\nGrowth on the Cheap\nThe $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.\nThe fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.\nInstead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.\nAlso attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.\nAnother recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155277083,"gmtCreate":1625443164742,"gmtModify":1703741664621,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative space","listText":"Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative space","text":"Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative space","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/481285f04cc3c09616e3f8a73c11ff32","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155277083","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152748157,"gmtCreate":1625360358879,"gmtModify":1703740655135,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?","listText":"Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?","text":"Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152748157","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146176335?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba  -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<blockquote>\n Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n</blockquote>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p>\n<p>Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p>\n<p>Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p>\n<p>However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p>\n<p>All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p>\n<p>It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p>\n<p>Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p>\n<p>Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p>\n<p>Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p>\n<p>The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p>\n<p>Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p>\n<p>Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p>\n<p>Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p>\n<p>However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p>\n<p>A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p>\n<p>Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152120310,"gmtCreate":1625276770430,"gmtModify":1703739775955,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"An absolute behemoth, never get against Google","listText":"An absolute behemoth, never get against Google","text":"An absolute behemoth, never get against Google","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f5c64720d71a71312fbc9d1c8b69ac4","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152120310","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152164623,"gmtCreate":1625276696862,"gmtModify":1703739773001,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing Bull Run recently!","listText":"Amazing Bull Run recently!","text":"Amazing Bull Run recently!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152164623","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156019194,"gmtCreate":1625185709818,"gmtModify":1703737830876,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No debt company finally flying","listText":"No debt company finally flying","text":"No debt company finally flying","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f35abbf8fca85eba2dbde8fbb58da6e","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156019194","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153180137,"gmtCreate":1625013437629,"gmtModify":1703850034477,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year","listText":"Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year","text":"Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153180137","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122418477","pubTimestamp":1625008161,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122418477?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-30 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122418477","media":"CNBC","summary":"The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.The broad market index ticked up less than 0.1% to 4,291.80, good enough for its fourth-straight record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of about 9 points after being up more than 100 points earlier in the session, closing at 34,292.29. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added ab","content":"<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-30 07:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMD":"美国超微公司","SWKS":"思佳讯",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1122418477","content_text":"The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.\nThe broad market index ticked up less than 0.1% to 4,291.80, good enough for its fourth-straight record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of about 9 points after being up more than 100 points earlier in the session, closing at 34,292.29. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added about 0.2% for its own record of 14,528.33.\nHomebuilder stocks moved higher after S&P Case-Shiller saidhome prices rose more than 14% in Aprilcompared to the prior year. Five U.S. cities, including Seattle, saw their largest annual increase on record. Shares of PulteGroup rose 2%.\nSemiconductor stocks gained strength later in the session, with Skyworks and Advanced Micro Devices climbing 4.5% and 2.8%, respectively. General Electric boosted the industrials sector, rising over 1% afterGoldman Sachs named the stock a top idea.\nThe market has churned out a series of record highs in recent weeks, but the gains have been relatively modest and some strategists have pointed to weak market breadth, measured by the performance of the average stock and the number of individual names making new highs, as a potential area of concern.\nOn Tuesday, there were slightly more declining stocks in the S&P 500 than those that rose during the session.\nHowever, the diminished breadth and volatility could simply be a natural pause during the summer months ahead of the busy earnings season in July, said Bill McMahon, the chief investment officer for active equity strategies at Charles Schwab Investment Management.\n\"I think people are in a little bit of a wait-and-see mode, so it's not surprising to see volatility decline and breadth worsen a tad,\" McMahon said, adding that concern about the spreading Delta variant of Covid-19 could also be weighing on stocks.\nShares of Morgan Stanley jumped more than 3% after the bank said it willdouble its quarterly dividend. The bank also announced a $12 billion stock buyback program. The announcement follows last week's stress tests by the Federal Reserve, which all 23 major banks passed. However, some other bank stocks gave up early gains and weighed on the broader indexes despite increasing their own payout plans.\nThe Conference Board's consumer confidence reading for June came in higher than expected, adding to the bullish readings about the economic recovery.\nWith the market entering the final trading days of June and the second quarter, the S&P 500 is on track to register its fifth straight month of gains. The Nasdaq is pacing for its seventh positive month in the last eight. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month, and on track to snap a four-month winning streak.\nSo far in 2021, the S&P 500 has added 14%, while the Nasdaq has added more than 12% with the Dow close behind.\nJPMorgan quantitative strategist Dubravkos Lakos-Bujas said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" that the market appeared to have near-term upside.\n\"The growth policy backdrop in our opinion still remains supportive for risk assets in general, certainly including equities. At the same time, the positioning is not really stretched to where we are in a problematic territory. So we do think there is still a runway. ... The summer period, the next two months, is where I think the market continues to break out,\" the strategist said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153114873,"gmtCreate":1625013375592,"gmtModify":1703850032502,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cmon","listText":"Cmon","text":"Cmon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153114873","repostId":"1198714523","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153116478,"gmtCreate":1625013276994,"gmtModify":1703850028735,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unbelievable!","listText":"Unbelievable!","text":"Unbelievable!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153116478","repostId":"1100563900","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1100563900","pubTimestamp":1624956396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100563900?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 16:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook: Simply Unstoppable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100563900","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets , cumulatively make for a compel","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.</li>\n <li>Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.</li>\n <li>The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.</li>\n <li>Although the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b3414073b72a391e760025594ec111f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>nemke/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Facebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!</p>\n<p><b>What is Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Known to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d08f4df186c4705a5300f40d6b8a5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"429\"><span>(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>The world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.</p>\n<p>The firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the&nbsp;Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb9d05bb00f3038cec301c72ef56827\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"378\"><span>(Source:Pew Research Center)</span></p>\n<p>To Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.</p>\n<p>When we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than&nbsp;1000 companies publicly committed&nbsp;to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.</p>\n<p>Despite this, Facebook&nbsp;beat on Q2 earnings&nbsp;and saw an increase of&nbsp;10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.</p>\n<p>The results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Other risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f694ca79d59162e95f05335ebefbca3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Though representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.</p>\n<p>The current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.</p>\n<p>According to aCNBC article:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>When the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.</p>\n<p>However, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.</p>\n<p>Though Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.</p>\n<p><b>Moat</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2057a83640201edd89430e754f3f8525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Despite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US &amp; Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US &amp; Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce3456321584d2eea288f7e410215571\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US &amp; Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84eaec3de9bafd595bf4ecf9ffdae16a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US &amp; Canada and 10.2% in Europe.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d72be6c3ca7eb809567503ffc1d4ed9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>If Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.</p>\n<p><b>Growth Tactics</b></p>\n<p>When we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1d27ff399e3e6fdfbc44a3ff1fb6e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>The firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d87012cd9e376a0bed27a095b01828\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"418\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>What’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.</p>\n<p>Their continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Of the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1367468f26c73bde43f494b2b7fb49d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>FB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&amp;D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&amp;D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b923685aa0489833ae8f50fcddf3601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>A large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash &amp; Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13b40cadc31458233d0ea83ce4917c33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Given the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b82506a0385a1265c494b21462678\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"43\"><span>(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)</span></p>\n<p>In their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Being a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878b205b837634b7d2528f57ebe84fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Looking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1707f8cfee45ce9ebb0e3ac961e78f48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Since 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444e1473e814530e2332cea02637af53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Moreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8494d3084eed106a9cb0bff0f27cfe7a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>At an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55014da5e82d1a67caaeb34766b35940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.</p>\n<p>Now shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d67f3c257657bc10ee6be38c16d2a1f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe26a8eabec7045dc5a904497737623\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Despite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247661f12f62820f6266763f49531355\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>However, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce908799f1bf9091b49b94e03db7e476\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>However, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.</p>\n<p>With all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.</p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>To conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.</p>\n<p>With so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.</p>\n<p>That being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.</p>\n<p>End day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook: Simply Unstoppable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook: Simply Unstoppable\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 16:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100563900","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.\nThe strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.\nAlthough the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.\n\nnemke/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nFacebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!\nWhat is Facebook\nKnown to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.\n(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nThe world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.\nThe firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)\n(Source:Pew Research Center)\nTo Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.\nWhen we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than 1000 companies publicly committed to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.\nDespite this, Facebook beat on Q2 earnings and saw an increase of 10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.\nThe results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.\nRisks\nOther risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThough representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.\nThe current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.\nAccording to aCNBC article:\n\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n\nWhen the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.\nHowever, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.\nThough Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.\nMoat\nAs mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nDespite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US & Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US & Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US & Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US & Canada and 10.2% in Europe.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nIf Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.\nGrowth Tactics\nWhen we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nThe firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:\n\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nWhat’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.\nTheir continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.\nFinancials\nOf the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.\nData by YCharts\nFB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nA large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash & Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nGiven the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.\n(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)\nIn their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.\nValuations\nBeing a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nLooking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nSince 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nMoreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nAt an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nWhen we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.\nNow shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nTurning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.\nData by YCharts\nDespite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.\nData by YCharts\nHowever, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nHowever, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.\nWith all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.\nInvestor Takeaways\nTo conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.\nWith so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.\nThat being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.\nEnd day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":142117170,"gmtCreate":1626136379690,"gmtModify":1703753975696,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fire! Like please :)","listText":"Fire! Like please :)","text":"Fire! Like please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142117170","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119839711?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p>\n<p>The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>\n <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p>\n<p><b>What drove the market?</b></p>\n<p>Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p>\n<p>“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p>\n<p>“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p>\n<p>Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p>\n<p>Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p>\n<p>Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p>\n<p>“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p>\n<p>“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p>\n<p>“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p>\n<p>No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p>\n<p>“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p>\n<p>“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p>\n<p><b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>\n <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>\n <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>\n <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>\n <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>\n <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>How did other assets trade?</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>\n <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>\n <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>\n <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-13 05:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155503680,"gmtCreate":1625443316740,"gmtModify":1703741669262,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please :)","listText":"Like please :)","text":"Like please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155503680","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189605893","pubTimestamp":1625363433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189605893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189605893","media":"Barron's","summary":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—m","content":"<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.</p>\n<p>Owning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.</p>\n<p>Together, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&amp;P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&amp;T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&amp;P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.</p>\n<p>There are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&amp;P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.</p>\n<p><b>When Less May Be More</b></p>\n<p>These funds are more diversified than the S&amp;P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d308adf067ef3205da5f7c1bddb75e77\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&amp;P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.</p>\n<p>A global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.</p>\n<p>With the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.</p>\n<p>It isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.</p>\n<p>High active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.</p>\n<p><i>Barron’s</i>looked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.</p>\n<p><b>A Concentrated Approach</b></p>\n<p>The Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.</p>\n<p>The past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”</p>\n<p>The tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.</p>\n<p>Many of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”</p>\n<p><b>Underappreciated Growth</b></p>\n<p>The $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.</p>\n<p>That underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.</p>\n<p>The fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.</p>\n<p>About 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).</p>\n<p><b>Lean Profit Machines</b></p>\n<p>The $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.</p>\n<p>Schoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.</p>\n<p>Lately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.</p>\n<p>While offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81aeb359e30f7394a363f00feb8ce0cf\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Insurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh &amp; McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.</p>\n<p>Another recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”</p>\n<p><b>Multiple Managers</b></p>\n<p>Unlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.</p>\n<p>But the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.</p>\n<p>Managers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.</p>\n<p>“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”</p>\n<p><b>Growth on the Cheap</b></p>\n<p>The $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.</p>\n<p>The fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.</p>\n<p>Instead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.</p>\n<p>Also attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.</p>\n<p>Another recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189605893","content_text":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.\nOwning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.\nTogether, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.\nThere are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.\nWhen Less May Be More\nThese funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.\n\nInvestors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.\nA global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.\nWith the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.\nIt isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.\nHigh active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.\nBarron’slooked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.\nA Concentrated Approach\nThe Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.\nThe past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”\nThe tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.\nMany of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”\nUnderappreciated Growth\nThe $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.\nThat underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.\nThe fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.\nAbout 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).\nLean Profit Machines\nThe $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.\nSchoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.\nLately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.\nWhile offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.\n\nInsurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.\nAnother recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”\nMultiple Managers\nUnlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.\nBut the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.\nManagers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.\n“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”\nGrowth on the Cheap\nThe $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.\nThe fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.\nInstead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.\nAlso attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.\nAnother recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152164623,"gmtCreate":1625276696862,"gmtModify":1703739773001,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing Bull Run recently!","listText":"Amazing Bull Run recently!","text":"Amazing Bull Run recently!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152164623","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146933219,"gmtCreate":1626048531131,"gmtModify":1703752224200,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello, like please :)","listText":"Hello, like please :)","text":"Hello, like please :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146933219","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140085577,"gmtCreate":1625619769199,"gmtModify":1703744989695,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)","listText":"Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)","text":"Whatever it is, DCA. Like pls :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140085577","repostId":"1106187901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106187901","pubTimestamp":1625612872,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106187901?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106187901","media":"CNBC","summary":"Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that ma","content":"<div>\n<p>Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that maybe the best of the economic recovery from the pandemic is behind us.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow, S&P 500 fall as financials drag; Nasdaq at record\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that maybe the best of the economic recovery from the pandemic is behind us.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","SPY":"标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/05/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1106187901","content_text":"Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as Wall Street kicked off the holiday-shortened week with concern that maybe the best of the economic recovery from the pandemic is behind us.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.98 points to 34,577.37, dragged down by losses inDow Inc.,Caterpillar,JPMorganandChevron. The S&P 500 dipped 0.2% to 4,343.54 after hitting a record at the open. The 500-stock index snapped a seven-day winning streak, its longest since August. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.17% to 14,663.64, closing at a new record. U.S. markets were closed for the July 4 Independence Day holiday on Monday.\nAmazonrose 4.7% after the Department of Defensecancelled its $10 billion JEDI cloud contract with Microsoft. Instead, the department is launching a new contract and soliciting proposals from both Amazon and Microsoft. Plus, Andy Jassy officially took over as CEO of Amazon on Monday. Jeff Bezos is now the executive chairman of the board.\nInvestors are juggling several signs that the rapid economic growth from the depths of the pandemic could be peaking. The ISM Services index, a major gauge of the services sector, slowed to 60.1 in June from a record in the prior month, data released Tuesday showed. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a print of 63.5. This follows Friday’s jobs report, which showed the unemployment raterose back up to 5.9%against the 5.6% expectation.\nBond yields also fell on Monday, with the 10-year Treasury yield below 1.4% — further evidence that investors are doubting the strength of the U.S. economy.\nMany on Wall Street expect smaller and choppier gains from the rest of the year after a strong performance in the first half amid a historic economic reopening. The S&P 500 is up nearly 16% year to date.\n“The U.S. economy is booming, but this is now a known known and asset markets reflect it. What isn’t so clear anymore is at what price this growth will accrue,” Michael Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a note. “Higher costs mean lower profits, another reason why the overall equity market has been narrowing... equity markets are likely to take a break this summer as things heat up.”\nWall Street’s consensus year-end target for the S&P 500 stands at 4,276, representing a near 2% loss from the 500-stock average’s current level, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey that rounds up 16 top strategists’ forecasts.\n“Everything is perfect and that worries me,” said Sarat Sethi, portfolio manager at DCLA, said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday. “Since October, we’ve had a 5% correction, that’s it. I do think we’re in a little bit of a euphoria short-term. We do need to be careful and I do think you want to be in secular growth companies, no just chasing the market here because I do think the market’s going to be very picky as to what sectors are going to do well.”\nCiti analysts told clients they are concernedabout central bank policy and see potential that earnings reports, which begin in a few weeks, could fall short of expectations. They suggest July could be “an unsettling month,” due to “loftier inherent expectations” following such strong first-quarter reports.\nU.S. shares of Chinese ride-hailing giantDidi plunged nearly 19.6%after China said new users could not download the app until it conducts a cybersecurity review. The announcement took markets by surprise given that Didi just made its U.S. debut on the NYSE last week.\nWest Texas Intermediate crude rose to asix-year highas a key meeting between oil producer group OPEC and its partners on crude output policyhas been called off. The postponement came as the United Arab Emirates rejected a proposal to extend oil production increase for a second day. At one point on Tuesday, WTI crude hit as high as $76.98, which was the highest price since November 2014, after pulling back before the opening bell. WTI settled at $73.37.\nInvestors await the release of June Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes due Wednesday for clues about the central bank’s behind-the-scenes discussions on winding down its quantitative easing program.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146992549,"gmtCreate":1626048282081,"gmtModify":1703752216358,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement","listText":"Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement","text":"Over the long run, what does it matter... Unless you're deciding when to liquidate for retirement","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146992549","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185154176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p>\n<p>It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p>\n<p>Here’s why.</p>\n<p>We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p>\n<p><b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p>\n<p>Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p>\n<p>First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p>\n<p>Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p>\n<p>Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p>\n<p>Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p>\n<p>Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p>\n<p>You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p>\n<p>Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p>\n<p><b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p>\n<p><b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p>\n<p>The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p>\n<p>Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p>\n<p>“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p>\n<p>Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p>\n<p><b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p>\n<p>For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p>\n<p>Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p>\n<p><b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p>\n<p>Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p>\n<p><b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p>\n<p>We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p>\n<p>This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p>\n<p>True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p>\n<p><b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p>\n<p>As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p>\n<p><b>Three themes to follow</b></p>\n<p>If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p>\n<p><b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p>\n<p><b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p>\n<p><b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 11:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155599239,"gmtCreate":1625443624621,"gmtModify":1703741682547,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sigh independence Day market is closed sad","listText":"Sigh independence Day market is closed sad","text":"Sigh independence Day market is closed sad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155599239","repostId":"1138258779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138258779","pubTimestamp":1625440300,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138258779?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138258779","media":"barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for $Independence$ Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and taper","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHC\">Independence</a> Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news.&nbsp;Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.</p>\n<p>On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and tapering of the Fed’s bond-buying program, sending markets&nbsp;falling. The back and forth amongst the members will be closely parsed for more details about the committee’s thinking. G20 finance ministers and central bank governors will convene in&nbsp;Venice starting Friday for a summit, after 130 countries backed a minimum global corporate tax rate last week.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June on Tuesday. The Services PMI hit a record high in May. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists expect job openings to&nbsp;match the April figure, which was the highest reading in the history of the survey.</p>\n<p>Monday 7/5</p>\n<p><b>Stock and bond markets</b>are closed in observance of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IRT\">Independence</a> Day.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 7/6</p>\n<p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 63 reading, slightly lower than the May data, which was a record. The Services PMI has also had 12 consecutive monthly readings higher than the expansionary level of 50.</p>\n<p><b>The Reserve Bank</b>of Australia announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its cash target rate unchanged at 0.1%, as parts of the country have entered lockdown again to fight the Delta variant of the virus that causes Covid-19.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 7/7</p>\n<p><b>The BLS releases</b>the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May. Economists forecast 9.3 million job openings, matching the April figure, the highest since the data were first collected in December 2000.</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Open Market</b>Committee releases minutes from its mid-June monetary-policy meeting. Fed officials signaled that interest rates would rise sooner and faster than Wall Street had expected prior to the meeting, as inflation is rising at its fastest pace since 2008. Seven officials now expect rates to be lifted next year, compared with four in March.</p>\n<p><b>The Mortgage Bankers</b>Association reports mortgage applications for the week ending on July 2. Mortgage applications declined 6.9% this past week and have fallen in four of the past six weekly surveys, as supply constraints have pushed home-price growth to record levels.</p>\n<p>Thursday 7/8</p>\n<p><b>Levi Strauss</b>reports fiscal second-quarter earnings.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesalereports sales data for June.</p>\n<p>Stellantis,the automobile manufacturer formed earlier this year via the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and Peugeot, hosts EV Day 2021. The company’s chief executive officer, Carlos Tavares, will discuss Stellantis’ electrification strategy going forward.</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>reports consumer credit data for May. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> outstanding consumer credit was a record $4.24 trillion in April, as the continued reopening of the economy and hot housing market spurred shoppers to take on more debt.</p>\n<p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on July 3. Claims averaged 392,750 a week in June, the lowest since February of last year.</p>\n<p>Friday 7/9</p>\n<p><b>Italy hosts</b>a G20 summit of finance ministers and central bank governors. The confab runs from July 9 to July 10 in Venice. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will attend, as the Biden administration pushes for a global minimum corporate tax rate of at least 15%. This past week, 130 countries, representing more than 90% of global GDP, backed the minimum tax rate after two days of negotiations in Paris.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Minutes, Levi’s Earnings, Stellantis EV Day, and Other Things to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 07:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-levis-earnings-stellantis-ev-day-and-other-things-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625400002?mod=hp_LEAD_2><strong>barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Independence Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-levis-earnings-stellantis-ev-day-and-other-things-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625400002?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-levis-earnings-stellantis-ev-day-and-other-things-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625400002?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138258779","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Independence Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.\nOn Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and tapering of the Fed’s bond-buying program, sending markets falling. The back and forth amongst the members will be closely parsed for more details about the committee’s thinking. G20 finance ministers and central bank governors will convene in Venice starting Friday for a summit, after 130 countries backed a minimum global corporate tax rate last week.\nEconomic data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June on Tuesday. The Services PMI hit a record high in May. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists expect job openings to match the April figure, which was the highest reading in the history of the survey.\nMonday 7/5\nStock and bond marketsare closed in observance of Independence Day.\nTuesday 7/6\nThe Institute for SupplyManagement releases its Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 63 reading, slightly lower than the May data, which was a record. The Services PMI has also had 12 consecutive monthly readings higher than the expansionary level of 50.\nThe Reserve Bankof Australia announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its cash target rate unchanged at 0.1%, as parts of the country have entered lockdown again to fight the Delta variant of the virus that causes Covid-19.\nWednesday 7/7\nThe BLS releasesthe Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May. Economists forecast 9.3 million job openings, matching the April figure, the highest since the data were first collected in December 2000.\nThe Federal Open MarketCommittee releases minutes from its mid-June monetary-policy meeting. Fed officials signaled that interest rates would rise sooner and faster than Wall Street had expected prior to the meeting, as inflation is rising at its fastest pace since 2008. Seven officials now expect rates to be lifted next year, compared with four in March.\nThe Mortgage BankersAssociation reports mortgage applications for the week ending on July 2. Mortgage applications declined 6.9% this past week and have fallen in four of the past six weekly surveys, as supply constraints have pushed home-price growth to record levels.\nThursday 7/8\nLevi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings.\nCostco Wholesalereports sales data for June.\nStellantis,the automobile manufacturer formed earlier this year via the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and Peugeot, hosts EV Day 2021. The company’s chief executive officer, Carlos Tavares, will discuss Stellantis’ electrification strategy going forward.\nThe Federal Reservereports consumer credit data for May. Total outstanding consumer credit was a record $4.24 trillion in April, as the continued reopening of the economy and hot housing market spurred shoppers to take on more debt.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on July 3. Claims averaged 392,750 a week in June, the lowest since February of last year.\nFriday 7/9\nItaly hostsa G20 summit of finance ministers and central bank governors. The confab runs from July 9 to July 10 in Venice. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will attend, as the Biden administration pushes for a global minimum corporate tax rate of at least 15%. This past week, 130 countries, representing more than 90% of global GDP, backed the minimum tax rate after two days of negotiations in Paris.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152748157,"gmtCreate":1625360358879,"gmtModify":1703740655135,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?","listText":"Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?","text":"Good value stock just basing itself for the next leg ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152748157","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146176335?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba  -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<blockquote>\n Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n</blockquote>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;(<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p>\n<p>Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p>\n<p>Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p>\n<p>However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p>\n<p>All of this comes as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p>\n<p>It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet&nbsp;(<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p>\n<p>Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p>\n<p>Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p>\n<p>Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p>\n<p>The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better&nbsp;- it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p>\n<p>Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p>\n<p>Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p>\n<p>Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p>\n<p>However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p>\n<p>A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p>\n<p>Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153180137,"gmtCreate":1625013437629,"gmtModify":1703850034477,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year","listText":"Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year","text":"Finally new highs, been waiting for this since the start of the new year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153180137","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122418477","pubTimestamp":1625008161,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122418477?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-30 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122418477","media":"CNBC","summary":"The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.The broad market index ticked up less than 0.1% to 4,291.80, good enough for its fourth-straight record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of about 9 points after being up more than 100 points earlier in the session, closing at 34,292.29. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added ab","content":"<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech stocks propel S&P 500, Nasdaq to fresh highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-30 07:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMD":"美国超微公司","SWKS":"思佳讯",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1122418477","content_text":"The S&P 500 notched another record high on Tuesday amid bullish economic data but retreated toward the flat line later in the session as Wall Street continued its recent period of low volatility.\nThe broad market index ticked up less than 0.1% to 4,291.80, good enough for its fourth-straight record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of about 9 points after being up more than 100 points earlier in the session, closing at 34,292.29. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added about 0.2% for its own record of 14,528.33.\nHomebuilder stocks moved higher after S&P Case-Shiller saidhome prices rose more than 14% in Aprilcompared to the prior year. Five U.S. cities, including Seattle, saw their largest annual increase on record. Shares of PulteGroup rose 2%.\nSemiconductor stocks gained strength later in the session, with Skyworks and Advanced Micro Devices climbing 4.5% and 2.8%, respectively. General Electric boosted the industrials sector, rising over 1% afterGoldman Sachs named the stock a top idea.\nThe market has churned out a series of record highs in recent weeks, but the gains have been relatively modest and some strategists have pointed to weak market breadth, measured by the performance of the average stock and the number of individual names making new highs, as a potential area of concern.\nOn Tuesday, there were slightly more declining stocks in the S&P 500 than those that rose during the session.\nHowever, the diminished breadth and volatility could simply be a natural pause during the summer months ahead of the busy earnings season in July, said Bill McMahon, the chief investment officer for active equity strategies at Charles Schwab Investment Management.\n\"I think people are in a little bit of a wait-and-see mode, so it's not surprising to see volatility decline and breadth worsen a tad,\" McMahon said, adding that concern about the spreading Delta variant of Covid-19 could also be weighing on stocks.\nShares of Morgan Stanley jumped more than 3% after the bank said it willdouble its quarterly dividend. The bank also announced a $12 billion stock buyback program. The announcement follows last week's stress tests by the Federal Reserve, which all 23 major banks passed. However, some other bank stocks gave up early gains and weighed on the broader indexes despite increasing their own payout plans.\nThe Conference Board's consumer confidence reading for June came in higher than expected, adding to the bullish readings about the economic recovery.\nWith the market entering the final trading days of June and the second quarter, the S&P 500 is on track to register its fifth straight month of gains. The Nasdaq is pacing for its seventh positive month in the last eight. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month, and on track to snap a four-month winning streak.\nSo far in 2021, the S&P 500 has added 14%, while the Nasdaq has added more than 12% with the Dow close behind.\nJPMorgan quantitative strategist Dubravkos Lakos-Bujas said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" that the market appeared to have near-term upside.\n\"The growth policy backdrop in our opinion still remains supportive for risk assets in general, certainly including equities. At the same time, the positioning is not really stretched to where we are in a problematic territory. So we do think there is still a runway. ... The summer period, the next two months, is where I think the market continues to break out,\" the strategist said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149947165,"gmtCreate":1625703063257,"gmtModify":1703746612078,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!","listText":"Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!","text":"Stonks just keep going along.. gogo!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149947165","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193960545?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>\n <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p>\n<p>According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p>\n<p>\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p>\n<p>Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p>\n<p>The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p>\n<p>After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p>\n<p>Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p>\n<p>Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149946182,"gmtCreate":1625702908846,"gmtModify":1703746606417,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already","listText":"Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already","text":"Go Amazon! Been basing for so long already","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149946182","repostId":"1140589344","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140589344","pubTimestamp":1625643438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140589344?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 15:37","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140589344","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 year","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&amp;P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.</li>\n <li>An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.</li>\n <li>I am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.</li>\n <li>As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Who would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.</p>\n<p>Sometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.</p>\n<p>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Amazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021</b></p>\n<p>Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&amp;P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&amp;P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.</p>\n<p>When I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&amp;P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0238d2575d6cb248ff8e803ab0d6a49\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>AMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.</p>\n<p>(Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>As AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.</p>\n<p><b>Apple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve</b></p>\n<p>Love them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.</p>\n<p>The only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.</p>\n<p>I believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.</p>\n<p>So what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.</p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</p>\n<p><b>As a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do</b></p>\n<p>I am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.</p>\n<p>I am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.</p>\n<p>So what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.</p>\n<p>AAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.</p>\n<p><b>I believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up</b></p>\n<p>I am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.</p>\n<p>First, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?</p>\n<p>How is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Walmart(WMT) $559.15 billion</li>\n <li>Costco(COST) $166.76 billion</li>\n <li>Walgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion</li>\n <li>The Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion</li>\n <li>The Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion</li>\n <li>Target(TGT) $92.4 billion</li>\n <li>Lowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar General(DG) $33.75 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion</li>\n <li>Macy's(M) $17.35 billion</li>\n <li>Etc.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6ae96a0668d39c1279e165b229bbc33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source:AMZN)</p>\n<p>Could you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.</p>\n<p>How about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bc355a07746c16ba3197b19a1a6b6c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Synergy Research Group)</p>\n<p>(Source: Canalys)</p>\n<p>What about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.</p>\n<p>Apple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4100457cfb03a212a0a0e0750003d052\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: StatCounter)</p>\n<p>I am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>The first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&amp;P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside><strong>seeking alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140589344","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.\nI am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.\nAs a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.\n\nWho would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.\nSometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nAmazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021\nOver the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.\nWhen I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.\n\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)\nAMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.\n(Source: Amazon)\nAs AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.\nApple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve\nLove them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.\nThe only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.\nI believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.\nSo what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nAs a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do\nI am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.\nI am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.\nSo what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.\nAAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.\nI believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up\nI am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.\nFirst, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?\nHow is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:\n\nWalmart(WMT) $559.15 billion\nCostco(COST) $166.76 billion\nWalgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion\nThe Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion\nThe Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion\nTarget(TGT) $92.4 billion\nLowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion\nDollar General(DG) $33.75 billion\nDollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion\nMacy's(M) $17.35 billion\nEtc.\n\nThe National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.\n\n(Source:AMZN)\nCould you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.\nHow about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.\n\n(Source: Synergy Research Group)\n(Source: Canalys)\nWhat about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.\nApple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.\n\n(Source: StatCounter)\nI am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.\nConclusion\nThe first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153114873,"gmtCreate":1625013375592,"gmtModify":1703850032502,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cmon","listText":"Cmon","text":"Cmon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153114873","repostId":"1198714523","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146930496,"gmtCreate":1626048429315,"gmtModify":1703752221414,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks go up","listText":"Stonks go up","text":"Stonks go up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e1ac5d3d73c8ce22da232363b4a7a9","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146930496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149945626,"gmtCreate":1625702967865,"gmtModify":1703746609061,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DCA all day everyday","listText":"DCA all day everyday","text":"DCA all day everyday","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ecbda4c1abb7925e39a7ac9ec4ccbe9","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149945626","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140087847,"gmtCreate":1625619836889,"gmtModify":1703744992343,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value","listText":"Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value","text":"Finally gaining some momentum? High price but good value","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/293b753b1456e9922715790c2108b669","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140087847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154256350,"gmtCreate":1625531242470,"gmtModify":1703743059556,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers","listText":"When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers","text":"When will this beast start to explode? Good value just not finding buyers","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e054331830e3da20fe37e5a5a3447850","width":"1080","height":"3524"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154256350","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155277083,"gmtCreate":1625443164742,"gmtModify":1703741664621,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative space","listText":"Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative space","text":"Rocket, very undervalued and a major player in the creative 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Google","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f5c64720d71a71312fbc9d1c8b69ac4","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152120310","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156019194,"gmtCreate":1625185709818,"gmtModify":1703737830876,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No debt company finally flying","listText":"No debt company finally flying","text":"No debt company finally flying","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f35abbf8fca85eba2dbde8fbb58da6e","width":"1080","height":"3329"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156019194","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153116478,"gmtCreate":1625013276994,"gmtModify":1703850028735,"author":{"id":"3570256260453005","authorId":"3570256260453005","name":"TimB","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b55bce6a8b9cf3f81738cfbb1c8f9e1","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570256260453005","authorIdStr":"3570256260453005"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unbelievable!","listText":"Unbelievable!","text":"Unbelievable!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153116478","repostId":"1100563900","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1100563900","pubTimestamp":1624956396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100563900?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 16:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook: Simply Unstoppable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100563900","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets , cumulatively make for a compel","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.</li>\n <li>Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.</li>\n <li>The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.</li>\n <li>Although the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b3414073b72a391e760025594ec111f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>nemke/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Facebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!</p>\n<p><b>What is Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Known to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d08f4df186c4705a5300f40d6b8a5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"429\"><span>(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>The world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.</p>\n<p>The firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the&nbsp;Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb9d05bb00f3038cec301c72ef56827\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"378\"><span>(Source:Pew Research Center)</span></p>\n<p>To Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.</p>\n<p>When we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than&nbsp;1000 companies publicly committed&nbsp;to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.</p>\n<p>Despite this, Facebook&nbsp;beat on Q2 earnings&nbsp;and saw an increase of&nbsp;10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.</p>\n<p>The results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Other risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f694ca79d59162e95f05335ebefbca3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Though representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.</p>\n<p>The current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.</p>\n<p>According to aCNBC article:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>When the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.</p>\n<p>However, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.</p>\n<p>Though Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.</p>\n<p><b>Moat</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2057a83640201edd89430e754f3f8525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Despite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US &amp; Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US &amp; Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce3456321584d2eea288f7e410215571\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US &amp; Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84eaec3de9bafd595bf4ecf9ffdae16a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US &amp; Canada and 10.2% in Europe.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d72be6c3ca7eb809567503ffc1d4ed9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>If Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.</p>\n<p><b>Growth Tactics</b></p>\n<p>When we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1d27ff399e3e6fdfbc44a3ff1fb6e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>The firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d87012cd9e376a0bed27a095b01828\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"418\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>What’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.</p>\n<p>Their continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Of the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1367468f26c73bde43f494b2b7fb49d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>FB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&amp;D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&amp;D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b923685aa0489833ae8f50fcddf3601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>A large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash &amp; Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13b40cadc31458233d0ea83ce4917c33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Given the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b82506a0385a1265c494b21462678\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"43\"><span>(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)</span></p>\n<p>In their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Being a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878b205b837634b7d2528f57ebe84fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Looking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1707f8cfee45ce9ebb0e3ac961e78f48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Since 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444e1473e814530e2332cea02637af53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Moreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8494d3084eed106a9cb0bff0f27cfe7a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>At an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55014da5e82d1a67caaeb34766b35940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.</p>\n<p>Now shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d67f3c257657bc10ee6be38c16d2a1f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe26a8eabec7045dc5a904497737623\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Despite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247661f12f62820f6266763f49531355\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>However, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce908799f1bf9091b49b94e03db7e476\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>However, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.</p>\n<p>With all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.</p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>To conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.</p>\n<p>With so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.</p>\n<p>That being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.</p>\n<p>End day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook: Simply Unstoppable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook: Simply Unstoppable\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 16:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100563900","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.\nThe strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.\nAlthough the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.\n\nnemke/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nFacebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!\nWhat is Facebook\nKnown to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.\n(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nThe world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.\nThe firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)\n(Source:Pew Research Center)\nTo Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.\nWhen we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than 1000 companies publicly committed to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.\nDespite this, Facebook beat on Q2 earnings and saw an increase of 10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.\nThe results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.\nRisks\nOther risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThough representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.\nThe current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.\nAccording to aCNBC article:\n\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n\nWhen the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.\nHowever, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.\nThough Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.\nMoat\nAs mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nDespite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US & Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US & Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US & Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US & Canada and 10.2% in Europe.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nIf Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.\nGrowth Tactics\nWhen we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nThe firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:\n\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nWhat’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.\nTheir continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.\nFinancials\nOf the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.\nData by YCharts\nFB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nA large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash & Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nGiven the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.\n(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)\nIn their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.\nValuations\nBeing a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nLooking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nSince 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nMoreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nAt an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nWhen we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.\nNow shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nTurning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.\nData by YCharts\nDespite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.\nData by YCharts\nHowever, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nHowever, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.\nWith all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.\nInvestor Takeaways\nTo conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.\nWith so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.\nThat being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.\nEnd day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}