Tbun personal page - To The Moon

Tbun

Tbun

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2022-04-23

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$moderna. 1 product for revenue. But covid worldwide countries learn to live with covid. Soon will downtrend along side health care sectors

2022-11-20

//@setia100: Good info but all data used were history. All comments are after thought i.e. very much 1 sided positive view. Back steps & look at the negative view of early year such as Kodak & Xerox as examples. These 2 companies were equivalent to Qualcomm or Nvidia of today ❗ What happened to these 2 companies now ❗❓Are you expecting to see 30X gain or 30X lose ❓ Imagine if you held them till today ❗❗❗😂ok

Qualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You

2022-04-22

$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$consumer discretion services going to get hit when consumers stop spend to save during high inflation n war

2022-04-29

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$700s soon.headwinds supply chain issues as what apple mentioned to be more pain in q2Twitter drama funding sell down tsla shares if no additional backupShanghai lockdown able to ramp up numbers? Was close for 3weeks. As though 1 out 3 quarters to manufactureChina gdp forecast lower. Does china biggest ev consumer have money to spend0 covid chinaElon distracted from tesla goalsGood news x1 stock split

2022-07-25

Ok//@StonkerLL: Yayayaya papaya//@koolgal: Thanks for liking my post. 😍😍😍//@JLSE: 👌👌👌// @koolgal: @Tiger_Comments . Thanks for your cautionary advice on Carvana, the largest investment loss of Tiger Global. It is a good time to reflect that when the tide turns, the market is merciless when investing in the wrong stocks.

@Tiger_chat:The largest investment loss of Tiger Global - Carvana

2021-08-07

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$not a dead cat

2021-03-26

Omg pls like and comment

More than half of retail investors say market is rigged against them

2022-06-14

Ok

The S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know

2021-09-18

Pls like

Wall Street closes rollercoaster week sharply lower

2021-07-17

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$hodl

2022-03-20

Pls like

Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster

2022-04-22

Pls like

2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032

2022-03-09

Pls like

US STOCKS-Wall St Ends down in Rocky Session as U.S. Bans Russian Oil Imports

2021-07-13

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$hhodl

2021-05-21

Pls like comment plss

The U.S. Treasury Calls for Crypto Transfers Over $10,000 Reported to IRS

2022-05-04

Pls like

NIO: It Didn't Fall To Its March Lows - COVID Headwinds Priced In

2022-05-02

Pls like

3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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PUT\">$TQQQ 20240328 58.0 PUT$ </a> let's go","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TQQQ 20240328 58.0 PUT\">$TQQQ 20240328 58.0 PUT$ </a> let's go","text":"$TQQQ 20240328 58.0 PUT$ let's go","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e7cc9fe1c2434a066ef28f8a6f183d7d","width":"1208","height":"1876"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/280721300201552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":280696574791688,"gmtCreate":1709558974309,"gmtModify":1709558979025,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> moon","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> moon","text":"$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ moon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c877d0d375ec0cd4817350caf0dd611","width":"1208","height":"1876"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/280696574791688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278268737745176,"gmtCreate":1708964340769,"gmtModify":1708964345628,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TQQQ 20240322 54.0 PUT\">$TQQQ 20240322 54.0 PUT$ </a> let's go","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TQQQ 20240322 54.0 PUT\">$TQQQ 20240322 54.0 PUT$ </a> let's go","text":"$TQQQ 20240322 54.0 PUT$ let's go","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/556e2df32751b52e191e513a58ce48a1","width":"1208","height":"1876"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/278268737745176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":275962118664384,"gmtCreate":1708412412603,"gmtModify":1708412415613,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TQQQ 20240216 54.0 PUT\">$TQQQ 20240216 54.0 PUT$ </a> tqqqq","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TQQQ 20240216 54.0 PUT\">$TQQQ 20240216 54.0 PUT$ </a> tqqqq","text":"$TQQQ 20240216 54.0 PUT$ tqqqq","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bfe4ebd4fa5c8c2965e853d0e4d24165","width":"1208","height":"1876"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/275962118664384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274852033552632,"gmtCreate":1708140341367,"gmtModify":1708140344199,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a> coin crypto bull. More trading revenue","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a> coin crypto bull. More trading revenue","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ coin crypto bull. More trading revenue","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8b50ae41c94080ed35bb6e1e5dbaaf7","width":"1208","height":"1876"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/274852033552632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":264082824622160,"gmtCreate":1705492785707,"gmtModify":1705492790898,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$ </a> msft","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$ </a> msft","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$ msft","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef877e7c634fb0edf0fea878434f59fc","width":"906","height":"1406"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/264082824622160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940628201,"gmtCreate":1677888084904,"gmtModify":1677888089225,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940628201","repostId":"9940628666","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9940628666,"gmtCreate":1677887991256,"gmtModify":1677888000170,"author":{"id":"4088639346266630","authorId":"4088639346266630","name":"daz888888888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8bbe8cd95504dc1e0dd3af78504d3f7e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"CN Energy (CNEY) Next Week Bull Rally Anticipated ","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CNEY\">$CN Energy Group Inc.(CNEY)$&nbsp;</a> CN Energy Group Inc. (CNEY) Company Description CN Energy Group Inc along with its subsidiaries is a manufacturer and supplier of wood-based activated carbon that is used in pharmaceutical manufacturing, industrial manufacturing, water purification, environmental protection, and food and beverage production and a producer of biomass electricity generated in the process of producing activated carbon. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from Activated carbon. The CN Energy Group. Inc. stock price gained 1.44% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd Mar 2023), rising from $0.292 to $0.296. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.14% from a day low at $0.285 to a day high of $0.303. The price has fa","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CNEY\">$CN Energy Group Inc.(CNEY)$&nbsp;</a> CN Energy Group Inc. (CNEY) Company Description CN Energy Group Inc along with its subsidiaries is a manufacturer and supplier of wood-based activated carbon that is used in pharmaceutical manufacturing, industrial manufacturing, water purification, environmental protection, and food and beverage production and a producer of biomass electricity generated in the process of producing activated carbon. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from Activated carbon. The CN Energy Group. Inc. stock price gained 1.44% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd Mar 2023), rising from $0.292 to $0.296. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.14% from a day low at $0.285 to a day high of $0.303. The price has fa","text":"$CN Energy Group Inc.(CNEY)$ CN Energy Group Inc. (CNEY) Company Description CN Energy Group Inc along with its subsidiaries is a manufacturer and supplier of wood-based activated carbon that is used in pharmaceutical manufacturing, industrial manufacturing, water purification, environmental protection, and food and beverage production and a producer of biomass electricity generated in the process of producing activated carbon. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from Activated carbon. The CN Energy Group. Inc. stock price gained 1.44% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd Mar 2023), rising from $0.292 to $0.296. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.14% from a day low at $0.285 to a day high of $0.303. The price has fa","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5732633e60e5bd7ded2e2e71276e2966","width":"750","height":"774"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940628666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940870882,"gmtCreate":1677835933046,"gmtModify":1677835935681,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lets go&nbsp;","listText":"Lets go&nbsp;","text":"Lets go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940870882","repostId":"9957900100","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957900100,"gmtCreate":1676855272302,"gmtModify":1676858293270,"author":{"id":"4123698068598252","authorId":"4123698068598252","name":"Hypershock","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Why Roblox is already defeating Meta in the Metaverse","htmlText":"Roblox is a powerful player in the Metaverse Facebook (FB) changed their name to Meta Platforms <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$</a> as part of a plan for Meta to blast into the Metaverse to literally become parts of people’s lives. The change was huge, as Meta was ready to spend hundreds of billions of dollars into new ventures into the Metaverse. Their goal is to change how people work, live, interact, play, and more to create a more integrated society. However, their change led to a disaster. Due to their terrible way of dealing with the Metaverse, Meta lost hundreds of billions of dollars of market capitalization, leading to low investor trust and a somewhat difficult future to comprehend for the company. Meta stock &nbsp; &nbsp; &amp;nbs","listText":"Roblox is a powerful player in the Metaverse Facebook (FB) changed their name to Meta Platforms <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$</a> as part of a plan for Meta to blast into the Metaverse to literally become parts of people’s lives. The change was huge, as Meta was ready to spend hundreds of billions of dollars into new ventures into the Metaverse. Their goal is to change how people work, live, interact, play, and more to create a more integrated society. However, their change led to a disaster. Due to their terrible way of dealing with the Metaverse, Meta lost hundreds of billions of dollars of market capitalization, leading to low investor trust and a somewhat difficult future to comprehend for the company. Meta stock &nbsp; &nbsp; &amp;nbs","text":"Roblox is a powerful player in the Metaverse Facebook (FB) changed their name to Meta Platforms $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ as part of a plan for Meta to blast into the Metaverse to literally become parts of people’s lives. The change was huge, as Meta was ready to spend hundreds of billions of dollars into new ventures into the Metaverse. Their goal is to change how people work, live, interact, play, and more to create a more integrated society. However, their change led to a disaster. Due to their terrible way of dealing with the Metaverse, Meta lost hundreds of billions of dollars of market capitalization, leading to low investor trust and a somewhat difficult future to comprehend for the company. Meta stock &nbs","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae96cd7640d986c3f4c6926d8dd43aeb","width":"560","height":"240"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d5173a5ee902779b38e849715e63d428","width":"632","height":"355"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c2a6cecb36fc41301a9c1ece7830476","width":"632","height":"349"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957900100","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940870190,"gmtCreate":1677835908011,"gmtModify":1677835913297,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Letd go&nbsp;","listText":"Letd go&nbsp;","text":"Letd go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940870190","repostId":"9957196701","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957196701,"gmtCreate":1677066755204,"gmtModify":1677068722686,"author":{"id":"4106547232749330","authorId":"4106547232749330","name":"Tiger_SG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9eb57a835b72d997d1941fb6605d80a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Reward]Share One SGX Stock that could Benefit from China's Outbound Tourism","htmlText":"Previously, the Singapore Tourism Board stated that with the increase in the number of flights and China's resumption of outbound tourism, the recovery of Singapore's tourism industry will accelerate.\"It is expected that the number of international tourists visiting Singapore will reach 12 million to 14 million in 2023, returning to 75% before the epidemic In 2019, the number of inbound tourists from Singapore totaled 19.12 million.”According to recent data provided by China Aviation Travel, since the restart of the outbound and group tour pilot program on February 6, 2022, the number of inbound and outbound civil aviation passengers of China’s domestic airlines has exceeded 276,000, an increase of nearly 4.4 times compared with the same period last year. Shanghai, Guangzhou, Beijing, Xiam","listText":"Previously, the Singapore Tourism Board stated that with the increase in the number of flights and China's resumption of outbound tourism, the recovery of Singapore's tourism industry will accelerate.\"It is expected that the number of international tourists visiting Singapore will reach 12 million to 14 million in 2023, returning to 75% before the epidemic In 2019, the number of inbound tourists from Singapore totaled 19.12 million.”According to recent data provided by China Aviation Travel, since the restart of the outbound and group tour pilot program on February 6, 2022, the number of inbound and outbound civil aviation passengers of China’s domestic airlines has exceeded 276,000, an increase of nearly 4.4 times compared with the same period last year. Shanghai, Guangzhou, Beijing, Xiam","text":"Previously, the Singapore Tourism Board stated that with the increase in the number of flights and China's resumption of outbound tourism, the recovery of Singapore's tourism industry will accelerate.\"It is expected that the number of international tourists visiting Singapore will reach 12 million to 14 million in 2023, returning to 75% before the epidemic In 2019, the number of inbound tourists from Singapore totaled 19.12 million.”According to recent data provided by China Aviation Travel, since the restart of the outbound and group tour pilot program on February 6, 2022, the number of inbound and outbound civil aviation passengers of China’s domestic airlines has exceeded 276,000, an increase of nearly 4.4 times compared with the same period last year. Shanghai, Guangzhou, Beijing, Xiam","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/723b6ea50a4a9e8ccaa94d24010b34e0","width":"1000","height":"666"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957196701","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957414386,"gmtCreate":1677486478846,"gmtModify":1677486482944,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Letd gogogo","listText":"Letd gogogo","text":"Letd gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957414386","repostId":"9957651175","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957651175,"gmtCreate":1677232482197,"gmtModify":1677232780291,"author":{"id":"3527667618821228","authorId":"3527667618821228","name":"MillionaireTiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc558bf32e48ad6ed6d057026ef55af7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Rolls-Royce Share Soars 23%: The Truth about the Aviation Industry","htmlText":"Rolls-Royce shares soar 23% after annual results beat expectations. Once the headline came out, people who can afford or cannot afford Rolls-Royce were shocked. In fact, Rolls-Royce's main business is aero-engines, now Rolls-Royce's car trademark already belongs to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BMWYY\">$Bayerische Motoren Werke AG(BMWYY)$</a>.&nbsp;The jewel in the crown of the industry: the engine that saved BritainIn 1906, two engineers set up a company in Manchester, England, with the aim of building automobiles.Later, in response to national demand, the company became involved in the aero-engine business, producing the Eagle engine that was used extensively in World War I Allied aircraft.By the end of the 1920s, aero engines had become the company's main business, and Hurricane and S","listText":"Rolls-Royce shares soar 23% after annual results beat expectations. Once the headline came out, people who can afford or cannot afford Rolls-Royce were shocked. In fact, Rolls-Royce's main business is aero-engines, now Rolls-Royce's car trademark already belongs to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BMWYY\">$Bayerische Motoren Werke AG(BMWYY)$</a>.&nbsp;The jewel in the crown of the industry: the engine that saved BritainIn 1906, two engineers set up a company in Manchester, England, with the aim of building automobiles.Later, in response to national demand, the company became involved in the aero-engine business, producing the Eagle engine that was used extensively in World War I Allied aircraft.By the end of the 1920s, aero engines had become the company's main business, and Hurricane and S","text":"Rolls-Royce shares soar 23% after annual results beat expectations. Once the headline came out, people who can afford or cannot afford Rolls-Royce were shocked. In fact, Rolls-Royce's main business is aero-engines, now Rolls-Royce's car trademark already belongs to $Bayerische Motoren Werke AG(BMWYY)$. The jewel in the crown of the industry: the engine that saved BritainIn 1906, two engineers set up a company in Manchester, England, with the aim of building automobiles.Later, in response to national demand, the company became involved in the aero-engine business, producing the Eagle engine that was used extensively in World War I Allied aircraft.By the end of the 1920s, aero engines had become the company's main business, and Hurricane and S","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2fa460c8625eabe5cb3fee0a9209759b","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bc089a237f538215de1cc13520175c8c","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6dbb44078d8c01cc5d4eec5807ed24e4","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957651175","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956738162,"gmtCreate":1674192184457,"gmtModify":1676538929184,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okk a a anananan","listText":"Okk a a anananan","text":"Okk a a anananan","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956738162","repostId":"626298153","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":626298153,"gmtCreate":1674189603575,"gmtModify":1676538929152,"author":{"id":"3565306160488916","authorId":"3565306160488916","name":"锐信资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3b92a510cef2a3a3213c05cf857b27","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"賈躍亭的法拉第未來要回家了？","htmlText":"","listText":"","text":"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/626298153","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"87f9f751a5d34fb899da1b1be3e8629b","tweetId":"626298153","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/df4e6690243791578590037221/uERDdVaRALkA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26320d747c9d0c4b4bfe94bca33fa687"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958704775,"gmtCreate":1673823220397,"gmtModify":1676538889116,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958704775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958256301,"gmtCreate":1673754733103,"gmtModify":1676538882022,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958256301","repostId":"9963969638","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9963969638,"gmtCreate":1668567458425,"gmtModify":1677745765888,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61ed9b39c6cbcdce6372edc1c0b48a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger's Football Season, share the prizes worth up to US$200,000","htmlText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world!&nbsp;While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","listText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world!&nbsp;While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","text":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world! While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8c9b6ab16214df413c77708cf5957bf","width":"404","height":"707"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f0ddb54cc9e55b9b9b59a0c9908bfb5","width":"358","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9cc4adf57a9972e62e94d321ecc6734","width":"402","height":"712"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963969638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958256982,"gmtCreate":1673754725847,"gmtModify":1676538882014,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958256982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958256080,"gmtCreate":1673754718941,"gmtModify":1676538882014,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958256080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958899297,"gmtCreate":1673674133019,"gmtModify":1676538873920,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958899297","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958899674,"gmtCreate":1673674125699,"gmtModify":1676538873920,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958899674","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958309843,"gmtCreate":1673623935583,"gmtModify":1676538866811,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958309843","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9085887507,"gmtCreate":1650678427035,"gmtModify":1676534775466,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>moderna. 1 product for revenue. But covid worldwide countries learn to live with covid. Soon will downtrend along side health care sectors","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>moderna. 1 product for revenue. But covid worldwide countries learn to live with covid. Soon will downtrend along side health care sectors","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$moderna. 1 product for revenue. But covid worldwide countries learn to live with covid. Soon will downtrend along side health care sectors","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a5bbae090aa5dd35932c0950ff7674c3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085887507","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566089803841994","authorId":"3566089803841994","name":"Et1502","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/593ec0056928c16af9027b7137674d79","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Countries are treating this Covid-19 as a norm, vaccine or booster-shot could be a history soon. Suggest Moderna shd developed both the annual vaccine-flu shot and the Covid-19 pills for Global use.","text":"Countries are treating this Covid-19 as a norm, vaccine or booster-shot could be a history soon. Suggest Moderna shd developed both the annual vaccine-flu shot and the Covid-19 pills for Global use.","html":"Countries are treating this Covid-19 as a norm, vaccine or booster-shot could be a history soon. Suggest Moderna shd developed both the annual vaccine-flu shot and the Covid-19 pills for Global use."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961817017,"gmtCreate":1668909418839,"gmtModify":1676538126718,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3567852837945728\">@setia100</a>: Good info but all data used were history. All comments are after thought i.e. very much&nbsp;1 sided positive view. Back steps &amp; look at the negative view of early year such as Kodak &amp; Xerox as examples. These 2 companies were equivalent to Qualcomm or Nvidia of today ❗ What happened to these 2 companies now ❗❓Are you expecting to see 30X gain or 30X lose ❓ Imagine if you held them till today ❗❗❗😂ok","listText":"//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3567852837945728\">@setia100</a>: Good info but all data used were history. All comments are after thought i.e. very much&nbsp;1 sided positive view. Back steps &amp; look at the negative view of early year such as Kodak &amp; Xerox as examples. These 2 companies were equivalent to Qualcomm or Nvidia of today ❗ What happened to these 2 companies now ❗❓Are you expecting to see 30X gain or 30X lose ❓ Imagine if you held them till today ❗❗❗😂ok","text":"//@setia100: Good info but all data used were history. All comments are after thought i.e. very much 1 sided positive view. Back steps & look at the negative view of early year such as Kodak & Xerox as examples. These 2 companies were equivalent to Qualcomm or Nvidia of today ❗ What happened to these 2 companies now ❗❓Are you expecting to see 30X gain or 30X lose ❓ Imagine if you held them till today ❗❗❗😂ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961817017","repostId":"2284038371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284038371","pubTimestamp":1668918242,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2284038371?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-20 12:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Qualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284038371","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn't?!Do you wish your retirement stand","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn&#39;t?!</p><p>Do you wish your retirement standard of living could be 100% free from the market&#39;s crazy gyrations? I know I do.</p><p>Does the idea of being able to count on steadily growing income in all market, economic, inflation, and interest rate conditions, sound appealing? It does to me.</p><p>Well then blue-chip dividend investing might be just what you&#39;re looking for.</p><p>When you hear &#34;dividend investing&#34; you probably think of boring, mature, and stable businesses like Altria (MO), Verizon (VZ) or Pepsi (PEP).</p><p>And while those are indeed wonderful ways to earn generous, very safe, and steadily growing income today, if you want to maximize long-term retirement income there is no better way than combining high-yield and fast-growth.</p><p>Why? Let&#39;s consider the examples of two fast-growing dividend chip stocks, QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) and NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA).</p><p>Let&#39;s see what happens when we combine high-yield with fast-growth.</p><h4>Historical Total Returns Since 2011</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5abab739c65390aec9ecc4d8eb0e567b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Combining the world&#39;s best high-yield and growth exchange-traded funds (&#34;ETFs&#34;) with the growth and ultra-yield blue-chips created a far better performing portfolio over the last 11 years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2027ec3b24edf389edb7de640c5e8ef0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>But more importantly for income investors, it also delivered superior income over time.</p><h4>Income Growth Rich Retirement Dreams Are Made Of</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68784dfa5159ea8211a71a811b27e419\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><h4>Cumulative Dividends Since 2012: Per $1,000 Initial Investment</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Metric</b></td><td><b>S&amp;P 500</b></td><td><b>SCHD</b></td><td><b>SCHD, QQQ, ENB, MO, NVDA, QCOM</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Dividends</td><td>$471</td><td>$785</td><td>$1,177</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends</b></td><td><b>$359.54</b></td><td><b>$599.24</b></td><td><b>$898.47</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Annualized Income Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>9.0%</b></td><td><b>15.3%</b></td><td><b>27.9%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>0.47</td><td>0.79</td><td>1.18</td></tr><tr><td><b>Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %</b></td><td><b>0.36</b></td><td><b>0.60</b></td><td><b>0.90</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than S&amp;P</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>1.67</b></td><td><b>2.50</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Starting Yield</b></td><td><b>2.5%</b></td><td><b>3.2%</b></td><td><b>2.7%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Today&#39;s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)</td><td>5.9%</td><td>13.3%</td><td>31.7%</td></tr><tr><td><b>2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)</b></td><td><b>4.5%</b></td><td><b>10.2%</b></td><td><b>24.2%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)</i></p><p>By combining yield and growth over the last 10 year income investors have enjoyed 28% annual income growth, 2X better than Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), and 3X better than the S&amp;P 500 (SP500).</p><p>They&#39;ve gotten back 90% of their initial investment in inflation-adjusted dividends, and enjoyed 2.5X more income than the S&amp;P 500 and 50% more income than SCHD alone.</p><p>And for every $1 invested in 2011 they are now getting $.24 in annual inflation-adjusted dividends, and that&#39;s growing exponentially each year.</p><ul><li>SCHD investors are getting $0.1 in annual income per $1 investment</li><li>S&amp;P 500 investors $0.05.</li></ul><p>Ok, so that&#39;s fine for those with 10+ years to invest, but surely retirees should stick to high-yield only right? WRONG!</p><p>Unless you expect to drop dead in 10 years let&#39;s not forget that retirements last a long time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872a8106a46bdef537bd2736d27566c0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Hamilton Project</p><p>22% of U.S. men can expect to live to 90 and 34% of woman.</p><p>In other words, even if you&#39;re already retired chances are very good that you have a 10+ year, or even 30 to 40 year time horizon.</p><p>And that&#39;s where the power of fast dividend compounding really shines.</p><p>How powerful is hyper-dividend compounding over 35 years?</p><p><b>MO + LOW Cumulative Dividends Since 1985 Per $1,000 Initial Investment </b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Metric</b></td><td><b>Altria</b></td><td><b>Lowe&#39;s</b></td><td><b>Altria + Lowe&#39;s</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Dividends</td><td>$282,584</td><td>$37,611</td><td>$286,519</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends</b></td><td><b>$100,563.70</b></td><td><b>$13,384.70</b></td><td><b>$101,964.06</b></td></tr><tr><td>Annualized Income Growth Rate</td><td>18.8%</td><td>18.2%</td><td>21.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Total Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>282.58</td><td>37.61</td><td>286.52</td></tr><tr><td>Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>100.56</td><td>13.38</td><td>101.96</td></tr><tr><td>More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than Altria</td><td>NA</td><td>0.13</td><td>1.01</td></tr><tr><td>Starting Yield</td><td>4.8%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>3.0%</td></tr><tr><td>Today&#39;s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)</td><td>2774.0%</td><td>682.5%</td><td>4350.4%</td></tr><tr><td><i><b>Today&#39;s Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)</b></i></td><td><i><b>987.2%</b></i></td><td><i><b>242.9%</b></i></td><td><i><b>1548.2%</b></i></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)</i></p><p>You can enjoy 100X your initial investment in inflation-adjusted income and achieve truly mind boggling income by combining ultra-yield with hyper-dividend growth.</p><p>And guess what? Combining yield + hyper-growth, even without dividends can be even more powerful.</p><p><b>MO + AMZN Cumulative Dividends Since 1998 Per $1,000 Initial Investment </b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Metric</b></td><td><b>Altria</b></td><td><b>Altria + Amazon</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Dividends</td><td>$3,034.00</td><td>$101,408.00</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends</b></td><td><b>$1,657.92</b></td><td><b>$55,414.21</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Annualized Income Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>3.31%</b></td><td><b>27.96%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>3.034</td><td>101.408</td></tr><tr><td>Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>1.657923497</td><td>55.41420765</td></tr><tr><td><b>More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than Altria</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>33.4</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Starting Yield</b></td><td><b>3.80%</b></td><td><b>4.10%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Today&#39;s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)</td><td>8.30%</td><td>1523.50%</td></tr><tr><td><b>2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)</b></td><td><b>4.54%</b></td><td><b>832.51%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium) MO&#39;s dividend growth is low because of the 2007 and 2008 spin-offs. </i></p><p>Had you bought both AMZN and MO back in 1997, reinvested dividends, and rebalanced annually, today you&#39;ve received 33X more inflation-adjusted income over the last 24 years.</p><p>28% annual income growth means a 208X higher inflation-adjusted yield on cost.</p><p>Income growth over time tends to track total returns, so you want to make sure that you&#39;re dividend portfolio is likely to generate strong returns. Not just to keep up with inflation (2.3% long-term according to the bond market).</p><p>You want your standard of living to keep rising in retirement, no matter how long you live.</p><p>And that&#39;s where growth stocks like QCOM and NVDA can help.</p><p>Several members have asked for an update on those chip titans and after carefully examining both companies most recent fundamentals I have come to a surprising conclusion.</p><p>At the moment, Nvidia is the far better chip dividend stock to buy, for anyone looking to maximize long-term income. Let me show you why.</p><h2>Qualcomm: A Wonderful World-Beater Facing A Slower Growth Future</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67fe0662e4bfe81da07f04ec434355c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>Chip makers are up 26% in the last month, though that&#39;s only after getting crushed in a ferocious bear market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79d69773b50a5e03a69596f13a83839f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Nvidia fell as much as 63% in this bear market (so far). That&#39;s its 3rd worst bear market in history.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d99f60aeb036e67477e9669c4db6f92\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>QCOM has fallen as much as 37% in this bear market, also it&#39;s 3rd worst bear market.</p><blockquote>Smartphone Weakness Finally Catches Up to Qualcomm As Inventories Build</blockquote><blockquote>Qualcomm’s guidance includes an estimated negative impact of about $2 billion in revenue due to weaker demand, foreign exchange headwinds, and excess inventories.&#34; - Morningstar</blockquote><p>One year ago, chip makers were the darlings of Wall Street. The Pandemic supply chain disruptions caused a chip shortage, while record $30 trillion in global stimulus caused a boom in demand for physical goods. Many of which require computer chips.</p><p>Some in the industry were even talking about a permanent industry shift, from cyclical boom and bust cycles, to a world in which chip makers could deliver steady, tech utility like secular growth.</p><p>Well, scratch that idea. It turns out chips are still a cyclical industry and smartphone demand is falling rapidly as the global economy weakens.</p><ul><li><h3>Samsung’s profit drops by more than 30% on weakening memory chip demand</h3></li></ul><blockquote>Qualcomm said it expects its mobile-phone handset business to fall In &#34;a low double-digit percentage range&#34; this year from last year. The company had earlier forecast a &#34;mid-single-digit percentage decline&#34; from 2021.&#34; - Seeking Alpha</blockquote><p>As early as Q2 QCOM&#39;s sales were soaring 36% on the back of strong smartphone demand.</p><p>Now they are expected to decline and so are earnings.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce66de408aab5b717a5b2bb68b0810e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>After exploding higher during the pandemic, QCOM&#39;s earnings are expected to:</p><ul><li>fall 8% in 2023</li><li>grow 11% in 2024</li><li>2% EPS growth from 2022 to 2024.</li></ul><p>QCOM&#39;s licensing business, which generates incredible 73% operating margins, isn&#39;t expected to grow in the future, though its 263,708 patents are still expected to mint free cash flow for years to come.</p><p>At least in the short-term analysts growth outlooks have dimmed for QCOM which is now expected to grow around 8% over the long-term, after we get past the 2023 recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac98516ffd9c404ce1f26b009c14b7be\" tg-width=\"165\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bfc4e00ba39fff6f4d44310dcc87e53\" tg-width=\"161\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53aa912a1d243b464b584069d100822f\" tg-width=\"154\" tg-height=\"223\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5085ebb2648b58f1f0759749655f78d\" tg-width=\"151\" tg-height=\"227\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>Is QCOM likely to actually grow at 8% over time? Which would make the total return outlook rather uninspiring?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td>Investment Strategy</td><td>Yield</td><td>LT Consensus Growth</td><td>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</td><td>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</td><td>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</td><td>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</td><td><p>10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</p></td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq</td><td>0.8%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>12.6%</td><td>8.8%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>11.0</td><td>1.88</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHD\">Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF</a></td><td>3.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>8.4%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.81</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.4%</td><td>13.2</td><td>1.70</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>10.3%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>4.9%</td><td>14.8</td><td>1.61</td></tr><tr><td><b>Qualcomm</b></td><td><b>2.4%</b></td><td><b>7.8%</b></td><td><b>10.2%</b></td><td><b>7.1%</b></td><td><b>4.8%</b></td><td><b>15.0</b></td><td><b>1.60</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>If analysts are right, then QCOM might merely match the market going forward.</p><p>But I don&#39;t actually expect QCOM to grow at just 8% in the future, and here are two reasons why.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30bdacaec1f98fc2eb5d92a3eb153e11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"159\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Investor presentation</p><p>QCOM&#39;s addressable market is expected to grow from $100 billion per year (43% market share) to $700 billion in the next decade. QCOM is diversifying into cloud computing, driverless cars, and the internet of things or IOT.</p><p>This makes me think that the recent decline in growth outlook is due to the recent cyclical downturn, which often happens with chip makers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9747d6d688ce9297cc0103ae347c27e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>However, in the short-term QCOM investors are going to have to be patient, because the recent face-ripping rally has reduced the total return potential for the next few years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/befa76d7c9d62162913273291a116352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>QCOM has rallied 21% off its November 3rd lows, and combined with a weak global growth outlook for 2023, means that short-term growth prospects are rather weak.</p><p>But that doesn&#39;t mean that QCOM isn&#39;t a potentially attractive buy.</p><ul><li>fair value: $163.92</li><li>current price: $126.02</li><li><b>discount to fair value: 23%</b></li><li><b>DK rating: potentially strong buy.</b></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d424fe27b124f6e474c19d42ac832ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>QCOM is trading at 11.4X consensus trough earnings, and just 9.3X cash-adjusted trough earnings.</p><p>That means it&#39;s pricing in approximately 1.6% CAGR long-term growth, far below the 7.8% analysts currently expect.</p><h4><b>Qualcomm 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9077fd745b5fe7442c68b30862a3eaa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>Which means that if QCOM grows as expected and returns to historical market-determined fair value it could deliver Buffett-like 19% annual returns over the next three years.</p><ul><li>about 2X the S&amp;P consensus</li></ul><h4><b>Qualcomm 2028 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0558e4ce2c146ab3b7ce7239e041cd2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>Even with just 3.5% annual EPS growth expected through 2028, QCOM could more than double your money, delivering 14% annual returns, about 2X the S&amp;P consensus.</p><p>Or to put another way, if you buy QCOM today, you get an Ultra-SWAN quality dividend growth powerhouse, that could more than double your money as we wait to see if QCOM&#39;s growth outlook improves in the future.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3196bed203f1ac1f0e409a8c19f29a3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"94\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FActSet</p><p>QCOM has been paying a dividend for 19 consecutive years, and raised it every year. The dividend growth rate has been a stellar 20% annually and its delivered close to 14% annual returns.</p><ul><li>the current five year consensus return forecast.</li></ul><p>I think long-term QCOM should be able to continue delivering 13% to 14% long-term returns, which makes it worth buying today, or at least holding it if you already own it.</p><ul><li>13% to 14% long-term returns is better than SCHD, the S&amp;P, dividend aristocrats, and the Nasdaq.</li></ul><h4>Qualcomm Investment Decision Score</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e9bd4292ef2e7e5731cd633b4998777\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DK<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37f29c106559f4ad320cb69a3c28da63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p>QCOM might not be a table-pounding buy compared to the S&amp;P 500, but it&#39;s still a satisfactory one that&#39;s offering:</p><ul><li>superior and safer yield</li><li>a faster-growing dividend</li><li>better medium-term total returns</li><li>66% better risk-adjusted expected returns</li><li>30% higher income potential over the next five years than the S&amp;P</li></ul><h2>NVIDIA: A Chip Specialist Facing A Cyclical Downturn But Whose Hyper-Growth Outlook Remains Intact</h2><p>NVDA fell off a cliff when the Biden Administration announced export controls on chips to China.</p><p>Fortunately the company adapted quickly and has already announced new export control compliant chips.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9acc1f5a652b10b06cb686a4f3128c0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>News like that, along with the overall &#34;risk on&#34; sentiment in stocks, has helped drive NVDA up 44% in recent weeks.</p><p>This isn&#39;t surprising given that NVDA is a very volatile stock, historically 2.2X more volatile than the S&amp;P 500.</p><h4>Nvidia Rolling Returns Since Feb 1999 IPO</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3defbbc0997112ddbde7a6f2bca1a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Gut churning volatility cuts both ways, with 90% crashes followed by 751% one year rallies.</p><p>From bear market lows NVDA is capable of:</p><ul><li>140% annual returns for 3 years = 13.8X in 3 years</li><li>89% annual returns for five years = 24.1X in five years</li><li>81% annual returns for seven years = 64.9X in seven years</li><li>47% annual returns for 10 years = 92.4X in 10 years</li><li>34% annual returns for 15 years = 77.1X in 15 years.</li></ul><p>The question investors need answered today, is what does NVDA&#39;s long-term outlook like now that the U.S. and China are in an economic cold war?</p><blockquote>Nvidia&#39;s Data Center Business Drives the Firm&#39;s Wide Moat Rating</blockquote><blockquote>Nvidia is the top designer of discrete graphics processing units that enhance the visual experience on computing platforms. The firm&#39;s chips are used in a variety of end markets, including high-end PCs for gaming and data centers.&#34; - Morningstar</blockquote><p>NVDA might have started out focused on gaming PCs, but it&#39;s now at the forefront of some of the world&#39;s best secular growth trends.</p><ul><li>cloud computing</li><li>AI</li><li>driverless cars</li><li>automation.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6801dafd36eaa41110bce2bee51efb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>investor presentation</p><p>Management estimates NVDA&#39;s total addressable market is $1 trillion per year (2.7% market share) and those markets are the backbone of the entire $100 trillion global economy.</p><blockquote>The acquisition of Mellanox has helped diversify Nvidia’s end-market exposure, and we suspect the firm will derive over half of revenue from the data center segment going forward, which should help mitigate some of the volatility Nvidia has faced in its gaming and cryptocurrency mining-related sales over the past few years.&#34; - Morningstar</blockquote><p>NVDA has been diversifying away from gaming for years, and Morningstar thinks they could soon get over 50% of sales from datacenters, a far more stable business.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6d8a7f017af371ef6cc2091c3cce253\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>Analysts are even more bullish on the datacenter business, expecting it to triple in the next five years.</p><ul><li>25% annual growth rate.</li></ul><p>By 2027 analysts think 73% of NVDA&#39;s sales will be coming from datacenters.</p><p>Why? Because datacenters are enterprise and big businesses don&#39;t mind spending millions on the best hardware if it saves them money in the long-term.</p><p>What kind of businesses are NVDA&#39;s datacenter customers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19525a0bcbf34d91c2eab5c4b5987e45\" tg-width=\"518\" tg-height=\"810\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>investor presentation</p><p>NVDA&#39;s datacenter customers have deep pockets and are expected to help drive incredible long-term growth. How incredible?</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/117a0f71158d9a01f27455ae2f8895f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>How about tripling earnings in five years, and 18% long-term earnings growth?</p><ul><li>20% to 78% CAGR growth over the last 20 years.</li></ul><p>Given NVDA&#39;s massive $1 trillion addressable market, and dominance in advanced GPUs (the &#34;super chips&#34; that drive the future) I consider 18% long-term growth a reasonable estimate from all 46 analysts who cover it.</p><p>What does that potentially mean for investors?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td>Investment Strategy</td><td>Yield</td><td>LT Consensus Growth</td><td>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</td><td>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</td><td>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</td><td>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</td><td><p>10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</p></td></tr><tr><td><b>Nvidia</b></td><td><b>0.1%</b></td><td><b>17.7%</b></td><td><b>17.8%</b></td><td><b>12.5%</b></td><td><b>10.1%</b></td><td><b>7.1</b></td><td><b>2.62</b></td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq</td><td>0.8%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>12.6%</td><td>8.8%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>11.0</td><td>1.88</td></tr><tr><td>Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF</td><td>3.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>8.4%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.81</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.4%</td><td>13.2</td><td>1.70</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>10.3%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>4.9%</td><td>14.8</td><td>1.61</td></tr><tr><td><b>Qualcomm</b></td><td><b>2.4%</b></td><td><b>7.8%</b></td><td><b>10.2%</b></td><td><b>7.1%</b></td><td><b>4.8%</b></td><td><b>15.0</b></td><td><b>1.60</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: DK Research Terminal, FactSet, Morningstar, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Analysts expect Buffett-like 18% long-term returns from NVDA, not much bellow its 22% CAGR rolling 15-year returns since 1999.</p><p>In other words:</p><ul><li>QCOM is struggling with several slow years of growth due to cyclical headwinds</li><li>NVDA&#39;s growth engine is firing on all cylinders thanks to its dominance of super chip GPUs driving the future of the world economy</li></ul><p>OK, so NVDA is the best chip stock right? And clearly better than QCOM? Not necessarily.</p><h2>The Biggest Problem Income Investors Will Have With Nvidia</h2><p>What is there to not love about NVDA? Is it the balance sheet?</p><ul><li>A stable credit rating from S&amp;P = 0.66% 30-year bankruptcy risk</li><li>$11 billion in net cash on the balance sheet</li><li>$6.6 billion in annual free cash flow.</li></ul><p>No, NVDA&#39;s balanced sheet is a fortress and it&#39;s a free cash flow minting machine.</p><p>No, the biggest issue about NVDA is how stingy management is with the dividend.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaab450b786d3fc8033addc276f49980\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>NVDA&#39;s overall dividend growth rate is expectational, 27% CAGR since it began paying on in 2013. And its 52% CAGR annual total returns over that time period put even Amazon (AMZN) to shame.</p><p>But note how the dividend growth rate began slowing in 2018 and it hasn&#39;t raised its dividend for two years. The free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;) payout ratio has fallen to 5%, 1/10th the credit rating safety guideline for this industry.</p><p>NVDA&#39;s dividend yield is 0.1% and even if management were to take the payout ratio to the 50% safety guideline it would be just 1%, far below other world-beater blue-chip dividend chip stocks.</p><ul><li>Broadcom (AVGO): 3.2%</li><li>Texas Instruments (TXN): 2.8%</li><li>Qualcomm: 2.4%.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ed8059fb756ebb0208f4a9255da8fcf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>Value investors might also be uncomfortable with a company trading at 38X forward earnings.</p><ul><li>cash-adjusted P/E is 29X</li></ul><p>What is NVDA&#39;s fair value?</p><ul><li>NVDA fair value: $136.39</li><li>current price: $160.55</li><li>discount to fair value: -18%</li><li>DK rating: hold.</li></ul><p>NVDA&#39;s 45% rally in recent weeks meant the margin of safety went from 21% to -18%.</p><p>Today NVDA is at a premium price that means a lot of downside risk for one of the most volatile world-beater tech blue-chips in the world.</p><p>If the 2023 recession causes earnings estimates to come down in the coming quarters? Then NVDA could suffer a sharp decline like these.</p><h4>Nvidia In The 2022 Bear Market</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fb0d9fdc2e84efd099a075dc786d759\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>In the past year alone NVDA has suffered double-digit monthly declines no less than six times, including 32% crash in April.</p><h4>Nvidia In The Pandemic</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a5e4c84cd9a33c4eb1344645e4d9e02\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"113\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Nvidia held up well in the Pandemic, as did most tech stocks.</p><ul><li>The Nasdaq 100 fell just 12% while the S&amp;P fell 34%.</li></ul><p>But NVDA&#39;s crashes are the stuff of legend, and anyone owning it should be prepared for truly gut-wrenching volatility in the future. What kind of volatility?</p><h4>Nvidia In The 2018 Bear Market</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35a727821abe6d4024c68205c4a25cc4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"149\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Imagine a stock you own falls 25% in a month, then 22% the next month, and then another 18% the following month.</p><p>That&#39;s what happened in the 2018 bear market.</p><ul><li>53% decline in 3 months</li><li>S&amp;P fell 21%.</li></ul><p>And that was just the 4th largest bear market in NVDA&#39;s history.</p><ul><li>it&#39;s suffered six 40+% crashes in the last 23 years</li><li>averaging once every four years.</li></ul><h4>Nvidia In The 2011 Bear Market</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2451a52de33e3efbd62756ec8aae19d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Compared to some its crashes, the 2011 bear market decline of 38% was relatively tame.</p><h4>Nvidia In The Great Recession</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4be365a32a8f24d156b47fe1ce741ea2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>NVDA dell 80% during the Great Recession, including falling almost 40% in July 2008. It fell 54% from June to July of 2008, a level of volatility that only those who owned it in a diversified portfolio could stomach.</p><h4>Nvidia Pre-Tech Crash</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85abd332be6f5f0eee3a6ed3ed98348\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Even before the tech crash of 2000 to 2002, NVDA was capable of falling 32% in a single month.</p><h4>Nvidia During The Tech Crash</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f482c390124c7ab2212d687c4ad53ccf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34faa537584a4beab097d4a2e14c2f34\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>If you think a 45% one month rally means NVDA is out of the woods, you&#39;re wrong.</p><p>During the Tech Crash NVDA had nine 20+% single month rallies.</p><p>That includes nearly tripling from October 2001 to December 2001.</p><p>NVDA then proceeded to fall nine straight months, a total of 87%, including getting cut in half in June 2002.</p><ul><li>after already falling 50% in the previous five months</li><li>and then it fell another 50% before bottoming in September of 2022.</li></ul><p>So what if you buy NVDA today? At a 17% historical premium? Will you regret it? That depends on your time horizon. Over the next few months? Probably you&#39;re in for a wild wide...to the downside.</p><ul><li>2023 recession is expected to cause the market to bottom at 3,000 to 3,400 between Q1 of 2023 and Q4 of 2024.</li></ul><p>But in the medium-term and long-term?</p><h4>Nvidia 2025 Consensus Total Return Potential</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1c252be18bc5c5c6ab04785c41297a7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)</p><p>NVDA&#39;s P/E peaked in the Pandemic bubble at 82X, compared to a historical market-determined fair value of 32.</p><p>It&#39;s 60% collapse brought it back to historical fair value and then it rallied 45% and became 18% overvalued. Despite strong growth in 2024 and 2025, it&#39;s consensus return potential is effectively zero.</p><h4>NVIDIA 2028 Consensus Total Return Potential</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33eed1944ddaef0cf8144129739a81a7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)</p><p>NVDA&#39;s growth rate is so strong that it might almost double even from today&#39;s 18% historical premium.</p><ul><li>approximately 2X the S&amp;P consensus.</li></ul><p>But if those estimates come down then NVDA investors could be in for a rough and highly volatile few years.</p><h4>Nvidia Investment Decision Score</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e9bd4292ef2e7e5731cd633b4998777\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DK</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50cbbe0e07e810009a9c363f88f22c6c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"325\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p>NVDA today, even at an 18% premium, is a superior choice compared to the S&amp;P 500.</p><ul><li>higher risk-adjusted expected return than the S&amp;P over the next five years</li><li>80% higher long-term annual return potential</li></ul><h2>Bottom Line: Nvidia Is The Far Better Growth Stock But Qualcomm Is The Far Better Buy Today</h2><p>When it comes to maximizing safe long-term income, combining hyper-growth with high-yield is the single best strategy.</p><p>And that&#39;s why blue-chip income investors love companies like QCOM and NVDA, which can turbocharge their long-term income growth rates.</p><ul><li>SCHD delivered 15% annual income growth over the last decade</li><li>SCHD, QQQ, MO, ENB, QCOM, and NVDA delivered 28% CAGR</li><li>and 50% more overall inflation-adjusted income.</li></ul><p>And when it comes to the issue of which chip titan is the better growth stock, it looks like NVDA is the hands down winner.</p><ul><li>a 10X bigger addressable market today (though QCOM is planning to catch up 70% of the way within a decade)</li><li>2x the median growth consensus</li><li>historically 7% higher annual returns.</li></ul><p>So you might think that NVDA is the hands down winner here. But remember that valuation matters, and it matters a lot.</p><ul><li>QCOM is 20% historically undervalued</li><li>NVDA is almost 20% historically overvalued.</li></ul><p>Given that NVDA is one of the most volatile companies on earth, capable of rising or falling 60% in a single month, knowingly overpaying for it is just asking for extreme portfolio short-term pain.</p><p>If you own NVDA today, as I do? I don&#39;t recommend selling it. Not when you&#39;ve potentially locked in Buffett-like 18% CAGR long-term returns and its growth engines are firing on all cylinders.</p><p>But for new money today? QCOM is the far better option, and could more than double in the next five years.</p><p>Even if QCOM&#39;s growth outlook never recovers from its current 8%, paying 9.4X cash-adjusted earnings gives you a very nice margin of safety.</p><p>One that means anyone buying QCOM today is likely to be pleased in 5+ years, and possibly feel like a stock market genius in 10+ years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Qualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-20 12:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558697-qualcomm-vs-nvidia-the-better-buy-might-shock-you><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn't?!Do you wish your retirement standard of living could be 100% free from the market's crazy gyrations? I know I do.Does the idea of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558697-qualcomm-vs-nvidia-the-better-buy-might-shock-you\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558697-qualcomm-vs-nvidia-the-better-buy-might-shock-you","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284038371","content_text":"Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn't?!Do you wish your retirement standard of living could be 100% free from the market's crazy gyrations? I know I do.Does the idea of being able to count on steadily growing income in all market, economic, inflation, and interest rate conditions, sound appealing? It does to me.Well then blue-chip dividend investing might be just what you're looking for.When you hear \"dividend investing\" you probably think of boring, mature, and stable businesses like Altria (MO), Verizon (VZ) or Pepsi (PEP).And while those are indeed wonderful ways to earn generous, very safe, and steadily growing income today, if you want to maximize long-term retirement income there is no better way than combining high-yield and fast-growth.Why? Let's consider the examples of two fast-growing dividend chip stocks, QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) and NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA).Let's see what happens when we combine high-yield with fast-growth.Historical Total Returns Since 2011Portfolio Visualizer PremiumCombining the world's best high-yield and growth exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") with the growth and ultra-yield blue-chips created a far better performing portfolio over the last 11 years.Portfolio Visualizer PremiumBut more importantly for income investors, it also delivered superior income over time.Income Growth Rich Retirement Dreams Are Made OfPortfolio Visualizer PremiumCumulative Dividends Since 2012: Per $1,000 Initial InvestmentMetricS&P 500SCHDSCHD, QQQ, ENB, MO, NVDA, QCOMTotal Dividends$471$785$1,177Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends$359.54$599.24$898.47Annualized Income Growth Rate9.0%15.3%27.9%Total Income/Initial Investment %0.470.791.18Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %0.360.600.90More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than S&PNA1.672.50Starting Yield2.5%3.2%2.7%Today's Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)5.9%13.3%31.7%2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)4.5%10.2%24.2%(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)By combining yield and growth over the last 10 year income investors have enjoyed 28% annual income growth, 2X better than Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), and 3X better than the S&P 500 (SP500).They've gotten back 90% of their initial investment in inflation-adjusted dividends, and enjoyed 2.5X more income than the S&P 500 and 50% more income than SCHD alone.And for every $1 invested in 2011 they are now getting $.24 in annual inflation-adjusted dividends, and that's growing exponentially each year.SCHD investors are getting $0.1 in annual income per $1 investmentS&P 500 investors $0.05.Ok, so that's fine for those with 10+ years to invest, but surely retirees should stick to high-yield only right? WRONG!Unless you expect to drop dead in 10 years let's not forget that retirements last a long time.Hamilton Project22% of U.S. men can expect to live to 90 and 34% of woman.In other words, even if you're already retired chances are very good that you have a 10+ year, or even 30 to 40 year time horizon.And that's where the power of fast dividend compounding really shines.How powerful is hyper-dividend compounding over 35 years?MO + LOW Cumulative Dividends Since 1985 Per $1,000 Initial Investment MetricAltriaLowe'sAltria + Lowe'sTotal Dividends$282,584$37,611$286,519Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends$100,563.70$13,384.70$101,964.06Annualized Income Growth Rate18.8%18.2%21.7%Total Income/Initial Investment %282.5837.61286.52Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %100.5613.38101.96More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than AltriaNA0.131.01Starting Yield4.8%1.4%3.0%Today's Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)2774.0%682.5%4350.4%Today's Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)987.2%242.9%1548.2%(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)You can enjoy 100X your initial investment in inflation-adjusted income and achieve truly mind boggling income by combining ultra-yield with hyper-dividend growth.And guess what? Combining yield + hyper-growth, even without dividends can be even more powerful.MO + AMZN Cumulative Dividends Since 1998 Per $1,000 Initial Investment MetricAltriaAltria + AmazonTotal Dividends$3,034.00$101,408.00Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends$1,657.92$55,414.21Annualized Income Growth Rate3.31%27.96%Total Income/Initial Investment %3.034101.408Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %1.65792349755.41420765More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than AltriaNA33.4Starting Yield3.80%4.10%Today's Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)8.30%1523.50%2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)4.54%832.51%(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium) MO's dividend growth is low because of the 2007 and 2008 spin-offs. Had you bought both AMZN and MO back in 1997, reinvested dividends, and rebalanced annually, today you've received 33X more inflation-adjusted income over the last 24 years.28% annual income growth means a 208X higher inflation-adjusted yield on cost.Income growth over time tends to track total returns, so you want to make sure that you're dividend portfolio is likely to generate strong returns. Not just to keep up with inflation (2.3% long-term according to the bond market).You want your standard of living to keep rising in retirement, no matter how long you live.And that's where growth stocks like QCOM and NVDA can help.Several members have asked for an update on those chip titans and after carefully examining both companies most recent fundamentals I have come to a surprising conclusion.At the moment, Nvidia is the far better chip dividend stock to buy, for anyone looking to maximize long-term income. Let me show you why.Qualcomm: A Wonderful World-Beater Facing A Slower Growth FutureYchartsChip makers are up 26% in the last month, though that's only after getting crushed in a ferocious bear market.Portfolio Visualizer PremiumNvidia fell as much as 63% in this bear market (so far). That's its 3rd worst bear market in history.Portfolio Visualizer PremiumQCOM has fallen as much as 37% in this bear market, also it's 3rd worst bear market.Smartphone Weakness Finally Catches Up to Qualcomm As Inventories BuildQualcomm’s guidance includes an estimated negative impact of about $2 billion in revenue due to weaker demand, foreign exchange headwinds, and excess inventories.\" - MorningstarOne year ago, chip makers were the darlings of Wall Street. The Pandemic supply chain disruptions caused a chip shortage, while record $30 trillion in global stimulus caused a boom in demand for physical goods. Many of which require computer chips.Some in the industry were even talking about a permanent industry shift, from cyclical boom and bust cycles, to a world in which chip makers could deliver steady, tech utility like secular growth.Well, scratch that idea. It turns out chips are still a cyclical industry and smartphone demand is falling rapidly as the global economy weakens.Samsung’s profit drops by more than 30% on weakening memory chip demandQualcomm said it expects its mobile-phone handset business to fall In \"a low double-digit percentage range\" this year from last year. The company had earlier forecast a \"mid-single-digit percentage decline\" from 2021.\" - Seeking AlphaAs early as Q2 QCOM's sales were soaring 36% on the back of strong smartphone demand.Now they are expected to decline and so are earnings.FactSet Research TerminalAfter exploding higher during the pandemic, QCOM's earnings are expected to:fall 8% in 2023grow 11% in 20242% EPS growth from 2022 to 2024.QCOM's licensing business, which generates incredible 73% operating margins, isn't expected to grow in the future, though its 263,708 patents are still expected to mint free cash flow for years to come.At least in the short-term analysts growth outlooks have dimmed for QCOM which is now expected to grow around 8% over the long-term, after we get past the 2023 recession.FAST Graphs, FactSetFAST Graphs, FactSetFAST Graphs, FactSetFAST Graphs, FactSetIs QCOM likely to actually grow at 8% over time? Which would make the total return outlook rather uninspiring?Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnNasdaq0.8%11.8%12.6%8.8%6.5%11.01.88Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF3.6%8.5%12.1%8.4%6.1%11.81.81Dividend Aristocrats2.6%8.5%11.1%7.8%5.4%13.21.70S&P 5001.8%8.5%10.3%7.2%4.9%14.81.61Qualcomm2.4%7.8%10.2%7.1%4.8%15.01.60(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)If analysts are right, then QCOM might merely match the market going forward.But I don't actually expect QCOM to grow at just 8% in the future, and here are two reasons why.Investor presentationQCOM's addressable market is expected to grow from $100 billion per year (43% market share) to $700 billion in the next decade. QCOM is diversifying into cloud computing, driverless cars, and the internet of things or IOT.This makes me think that the recent decline in growth outlook is due to the recent cyclical downturn, which often happens with chip makers.YchartsHowever, in the short-term QCOM investors are going to have to be patient, because the recent face-ripping rally has reduced the total return potential for the next few years.YchartsQCOM has rallied 21% off its November 3rd lows, and combined with a weak global growth outlook for 2023, means that short-term growth prospects are rather weak.But that doesn't mean that QCOM isn't a potentially attractive buy.fair value: $163.92current price: $126.02discount to fair value: 23%DK rating: potentially strong buy.FactSet Research TerminalQCOM is trading at 11.4X consensus trough earnings, and just 9.3X cash-adjusted trough earnings.That means it's pricing in approximately 1.6% CAGR long-term growth, far below the 7.8% analysts currently expect.Qualcomm 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSetWhich means that if QCOM grows as expected and returns to historical market-determined fair value it could deliver Buffett-like 19% annual returns over the next three years.about 2X the S&P consensusQualcomm 2028 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSetEven with just 3.5% annual EPS growth expected through 2028, QCOM could more than double your money, delivering 14% annual returns, about 2X the S&P consensus.Or to put another way, if you buy QCOM today, you get an Ultra-SWAN quality dividend growth powerhouse, that could more than double your money as we wait to see if QCOM's growth outlook improves in the future.FAST Graphs, FActSetQCOM has been paying a dividend for 19 consecutive years, and raised it every year. The dividend growth rate has been a stellar 20% annually and its delivered close to 14% annual returns.the current five year consensus return forecast.I think long-term QCOM should be able to continue delivering 13% to 14% long-term returns, which makes it worth buying today, or at least holding it if you already own it.13% to 14% long-term returns is better than SCHD, the S&P, dividend aristocrats, and the Nasdaq.Qualcomm Investment Decision ScoreDKDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolQCOM might not be a table-pounding buy compared to the S&P 500, but it's still a satisfactory one that's offering:superior and safer yielda faster-growing dividendbetter medium-term total returns66% better risk-adjusted expected returns30% higher income potential over the next five years than the S&PNVIDIA: A Chip Specialist Facing A Cyclical Downturn But Whose Hyper-Growth Outlook Remains IntactNVDA fell off a cliff when the Biden Administration announced export controls on chips to China.Fortunately the company adapted quickly and has already announced new export control compliant chips.YchartsNews like that, along with the overall \"risk on\" sentiment in stocks, has helped drive NVDA up 44% in recent weeks.This isn't surprising given that NVDA is a very volatile stock, historically 2.2X more volatile than the S&P 500.Nvidia Rolling Returns Since Feb 1999 IPOPortfolio Visualizer PremiumGut churning volatility cuts both ways, with 90% crashes followed by 751% one year rallies.From bear market lows NVDA is capable of:140% annual returns for 3 years = 13.8X in 3 years89% annual returns for five years = 24.1X in five years81% annual returns for seven years = 64.9X in seven years47% annual returns for 10 years = 92.4X in 10 years34% annual returns for 15 years = 77.1X in 15 years.The question investors need answered today, is what does NVDA's long-term outlook like now that the U.S. and China are in an economic cold war?Nvidia's Data Center Business Drives the Firm's Wide Moat RatingNvidia is the top designer of discrete graphics processing units that enhance the visual experience on computing platforms. The firm's chips are used in a variety of end markets, including high-end PCs for gaming and data centers.\" - MorningstarNVDA might have started out focused on gaming PCs, but it's now at the forefront of some of the world's best secular growth trends.cloud computingAIdriverless carsautomation.investor presentationManagement estimates NVDA's total addressable market is $1 trillion per year (2.7% market share) and those markets are the backbone of the entire $100 trillion global economy.The acquisition of Mellanox has helped diversify Nvidia’s end-market exposure, and we suspect the firm will derive over half of revenue from the data center segment going forward, which should help mitigate some of the volatility Nvidia has faced in its gaming and cryptocurrency mining-related sales over the past few years.\" - MorningstarNVDA has been diversifying away from gaming for years, and Morningstar thinks they could soon get over 50% of sales from datacenters, a far more stable business.FactSet Research TerminalAnalysts are even more bullish on the datacenter business, expecting it to triple in the next five years.25% annual growth rate.By 2027 analysts think 73% of NVDA's sales will be coming from datacenters.Why? Because datacenters are enterprise and big businesses don't mind spending millions on the best hardware if it saves them money in the long-term.What kind of businesses are NVDA's datacenter customers?investor presentationNVDA's datacenter customers have deep pockets and are expected to help drive incredible long-term growth. How incredible?FactSet Research TerminalHow about tripling earnings in five years, and 18% long-term earnings growth?20% to 78% CAGR growth over the last 20 years.Given NVDA's massive $1 trillion addressable market, and dominance in advanced GPUs (the \"super chips\" that drive the future) I consider 18% long-term growth a reasonable estimate from all 46 analysts who cover it.What does that potentially mean for investors?Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnNvidia0.1%17.7%17.8%12.5%10.1%7.12.62Nasdaq0.8%11.8%12.6%8.8%6.5%11.01.88Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF3.6%8.5%12.1%8.4%6.1%11.81.81Dividend Aristocrats2.6%8.5%11.1%7.8%5.4%13.21.70S&P 5001.8%8.5%10.3%7.2%4.9%14.81.61Qualcomm2.4%7.8%10.2%7.1%4.8%15.01.60(Sources: DK Research Terminal, FactSet, Morningstar, Ycharts)Analysts expect Buffett-like 18% long-term returns from NVDA, not much bellow its 22% CAGR rolling 15-year returns since 1999.In other words:QCOM is struggling with several slow years of growth due to cyclical headwindsNVDA's growth engine is firing on all cylinders thanks to its dominance of super chip GPUs driving the future of the world economyOK, so NVDA is the best chip stock right? And clearly better than QCOM? Not necessarily.The Biggest Problem Income Investors Will Have With NvidiaWhat is there to not love about NVDA? Is it the balance sheet?A stable credit rating from S&P = 0.66% 30-year bankruptcy risk$11 billion in net cash on the balance sheet$6.6 billion in annual free cash flow.No, NVDA's balanced sheet is a fortress and it's a free cash flow minting machine.No, the biggest issue about NVDA is how stingy management is with the dividend.FAST Graphs, FactSetNVDA's overall dividend growth rate is expectational, 27% CAGR since it began paying on in 2013. And its 52% CAGR annual total returns over that time period put even Amazon (AMZN) to shame.But note how the dividend growth rate began slowing in 2018 and it hasn't raised its dividend for two years. The free cash flow (\"FCF\") payout ratio has fallen to 5%, 1/10th the credit rating safety guideline for this industry.NVDA's dividend yield is 0.1% and even if management were to take the payout ratio to the 50% safety guideline it would be just 1%, far below other world-beater blue-chip dividend chip stocks.Broadcom (AVGO): 3.2%Texas Instruments (TXN): 2.8%Qualcomm: 2.4%.FactSet Research TerminalValue investors might also be uncomfortable with a company trading at 38X forward earnings.cash-adjusted P/E is 29XWhat is NVDA's fair value?NVDA fair value: $136.39current price: $160.55discount to fair value: -18%DK rating: hold.NVDA's 45% rally in recent weeks meant the margin of safety went from 21% to -18%.Today NVDA is at a premium price that means a lot of downside risk for one of the most volatile world-beater tech blue-chips in the world.If the 2023 recession causes earnings estimates to come down in the coming quarters? Then NVDA could suffer a sharp decline like these.Nvidia In The 2022 Bear MarketPortfolio Visualizer PremiumIn the past year alone NVDA has suffered double-digit monthly declines no less than six times, including 32% crash in April.Nvidia In The PandemicPortfolio Visualizer PremiumNvidia held up well in the Pandemic, as did most tech stocks.The Nasdaq 100 fell just 12% while the S&P fell 34%.But NVDA's crashes are the stuff of legend, and anyone owning it should be prepared for truly gut-wrenching volatility in the future. What kind of volatility?Nvidia In The 2018 Bear MarketPortfolio Visualizer PremiumImagine a stock you own falls 25% in a month, then 22% the next month, and then another 18% the following month.That's what happened in the 2018 bear market.53% decline in 3 monthsS&P fell 21%.And that was just the 4th largest bear market in NVDA's history.it's suffered six 40+% crashes in the last 23 yearsaveraging once every four years.Nvidia In The 2011 Bear MarketPortfolio Visualizer PremiumCompared to some its crashes, the 2011 bear market decline of 38% was relatively tame.Nvidia In The Great RecessionPortfolio Visualizer PremiumNVDA dell 80% during the Great Recession, including falling almost 40% in July 2008. It fell 54% from June to July of 2008, a level of volatility that only those who owned it in a diversified portfolio could stomach.Nvidia Pre-Tech CrashPortfolio Visualizer PremiumEven before the tech crash of 2000 to 2002, NVDA was capable of falling 32% in a single month.Nvidia During The Tech CrashPortfolio Visualizer PremiumPortfolio Visualizer PremiumIf you think a 45% one month rally means NVDA is out of the woods, you're wrong.During the Tech Crash NVDA had nine 20+% single month rallies.That includes nearly tripling from October 2001 to December 2001.NVDA then proceeded to fall nine straight months, a total of 87%, including getting cut in half in June 2002.after already falling 50% in the previous five monthsand then it fell another 50% before bottoming in September of 2022.So what if you buy NVDA today? At a 17% historical premium? Will you regret it? That depends on your time horizon. Over the next few months? Probably you're in for a wild wide...to the downside.2023 recession is expected to cause the market to bottom at 3,000 to 3,400 between Q1 of 2023 and Q4 of 2024.But in the medium-term and long-term?Nvidia 2025 Consensus Total Return Potential(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)NVDA's P/E peaked in the Pandemic bubble at 82X, compared to a historical market-determined fair value of 32.It's 60% collapse brought it back to historical fair value and then it rallied 45% and became 18% overvalued. Despite strong growth in 2024 and 2025, it's consensus return potential is effectively zero.NVIDIA 2028 Consensus Total Return Potential(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)NVDA's growth rate is so strong that it might almost double even from today's 18% historical premium.approximately 2X the S&P consensus.But if those estimates come down then NVDA investors could be in for a rough and highly volatile few years.Nvidia Investment Decision ScoreDKDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolNVDA today, even at an 18% premium, is a superior choice compared to the S&P 500.higher risk-adjusted expected return than the S&P over the next five years80% higher long-term annual return potentialBottom Line: Nvidia Is The Far Better Growth Stock But Qualcomm Is The Far Better Buy TodayWhen it comes to maximizing safe long-term income, combining hyper-growth with high-yield is the single best strategy.And that's why blue-chip income investors love companies like QCOM and NVDA, which can turbocharge their long-term income growth rates.SCHD delivered 15% annual income growth over the last decadeSCHD, QQQ, MO, ENB, QCOM, and NVDA delivered 28% CAGRand 50% more overall inflation-adjusted income.And when it comes to the issue of which chip titan is the better growth stock, it looks like NVDA is the hands down winner.a 10X bigger addressable market today (though QCOM is planning to catch up 70% of the way within a decade)2x the median growth consensushistorically 7% higher annual returns.So you might think that NVDA is the hands down winner here. But remember that valuation matters, and it matters a lot.QCOM is 20% historically undervaluedNVDA is almost 20% historically overvalued.Given that NVDA is one of the most volatile companies on earth, capable of rising or falling 60% in a single month, knowingly overpaying for it is just asking for extreme portfolio short-term pain.If you own NVDA today, as I do? I don't recommend selling it. Not when you've potentially locked in Buffett-like 18% CAGR long-term returns and its growth engines are firing on all cylinders.But for new money today? QCOM is the far better option, and could more than double in the next five years.Even if QCOM's growth outlook never recovers from its current 8%, paying 9.4X cash-adjusted earnings gives you a very nice margin of safety.One that means anyone buying QCOM today is likely to be pleased in 5+ years, and possibly feel like a stock market genius in 10+ years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9085081462,"gmtCreate":1650618470427,"gmtModify":1676534764738,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a>consumer discretion services going to get hit when consumers stop spend to save during high inflation n war","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a>consumer discretion services going to get hit when consumers stop spend to save during high inflation n war","text":"$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$consumer discretion services going to get hit when consumers stop spend to save during high inflation n war","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/83b65e2f1dbeac6f5502147adedb9509","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085081462","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"Under current market sentiments and warring status what is RBLX upside potentials? Will it regain its pole price soon?","text":"Under current market sentiments and warring status what is RBLX upside potentials? Will it regain its pole price soon?","html":"Under current market sentiments and warring status what is RBLX upside potentials? Will it regain its pole price soon?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060749437,"gmtCreate":1651196762954,"gmtModify":1676534868782,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>700s soon.headwinds&nbsp;supply chain issues as what apple mentioned to be more pain in q2Twitter drama funding sell down tsla shares if no additional backupShanghai lockdown able to ramp up numbers? Was close for 3weeks. As though 1 out 3 quarters to manufactureChina gdp forecast lower. Does china biggest ev consumer have money to spend0 covid chinaElon distracted from tesla goalsGood news x1 stock split","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>700s soon.headwinds&nbsp;supply chain issues as what apple mentioned to be more pain in q2Twitter drama funding sell down tsla shares if no additional backupShanghai lockdown able to ramp up numbers? Was close for 3weeks. As though 1 out 3 quarters to manufactureChina gdp forecast lower. Does china biggest ev consumer have money to spend0 covid chinaElon distracted from tesla goalsGood news x1 stock split","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$700s soon.headwinds supply chain issues as what apple mentioned to be more pain in q2Twitter drama funding sell down tsla shares if no additional backupShanghai lockdown able to ramp up numbers? Was close for 3weeks. As though 1 out 3 quarters to manufactureChina gdp forecast lower. Does china biggest ev consumer have money to spend0 covid chinaElon distracted from tesla goalsGood news x1 stock split","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b935a11689b485601b36bba4e89a9f6a","width":"1080","height":"2941"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060749437","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000500","authorId":"9000000000000500","name":"LouisLowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Looks like you're not optimistic about tesla's future.","text":"Looks like you're not optimistic about tesla's future.","html":"Looks like you're not optimistic about tesla's future."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900406163,"gmtCreate":1658743985352,"gmtModify":1676536200462,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3561713422683896\">@StonkerLL</a>: Yayayaya papaya//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: Thanks for liking my post. 😍😍😍//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4089028522442560\">@JLSE</a>: 👌👌👌// <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/9000000000000522\">@Tiger_Comments</a>&nbsp;.&nbsp; Thanks for your cautionary advice on Carvana, the largest investment loss of Tiger Global.&nbsp; It is a good time to reflect that when the tide turns, the market is merciless when investing in the wrong stocks.&nbsp;","listText":"Ok//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3561713422683896\">@StonkerLL</a>: Yayayaya papaya//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: Thanks for liking my post. 😍😍😍//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4089028522442560\">@JLSE</a>: 👌👌👌// <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/9000000000000522\">@Tiger_Comments</a>&nbsp;.&nbsp; Thanks for your cautionary advice on Carvana, the largest investment loss of Tiger Global.&nbsp; It is a good time to reflect that when the tide turns, the market is merciless when investing in the wrong stocks.&nbsp;","text":"Ok//@StonkerLL: Yayayaya papaya//@koolgal: Thanks for liking my post. 😍😍😍//@JLSE: 👌👌👌// @koolgal: @Tiger_Comments . Thanks for your cautionary advice on Carvana, the largest investment loss of Tiger Global. It is a good time to reflect that when the tide turns, the market is merciless when investing in the wrong stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900406163","repostId":"9075530584","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9075530584,"gmtCreate":1658220233911,"gmtModify":1676536124041,"author":{"id":"9000000000000522","authorId":"9000000000000522","name":"Tiger_chat","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/57276a3cb24e4dcb6ae9d7b36c274097","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"The largest investment loss of Tiger Global - Carvana","htmlText":"As of May&nbsp;2022, the flagship fund&nbsp;from&nbsp;Tiger Global (TG) fund&nbsp;has&nbsp;retraced 52%. &nbsp;In addition to TG's primary market investment losses, the investment in Carvana (an used car dealer) is the largest loss in secondary market. The stock has retraced more than 94% from its highs over the past 11 months, with the stock price retreating from $350 to $21.25 as well as the company's market cap falling from $62 billion to $3.8 billion. Carvana is probably the worst performer in terms of stock price amidst the gradual cooling of US consumption and interest rate hikes.The chart below shows TG's position in Carvana. As the stock price retreats, TG continuously adds the position, leading to the enlargement of losses. If TG still doesn’t reduce its position in Q2 this year,&amp;","listText":"As of May&nbsp;2022, the flagship fund&nbsp;from&nbsp;Tiger Global (TG) fund&nbsp;has&nbsp;retraced 52%. &nbsp;In addition to TG's primary market investment losses, the investment in Carvana (an used car dealer) is the largest loss in secondary market. The stock has retraced more than 94% from its highs over the past 11 months, with the stock price retreating from $350 to $21.25 as well as the company's market cap falling from $62 billion to $3.8 billion. Carvana is probably the worst performer in terms of stock price amidst the gradual cooling of US consumption and interest rate hikes.The chart below shows TG's position in Carvana. As the stock price retreats, TG continuously adds the position, leading to the enlargement of losses. If TG still doesn’t reduce its position in Q2 this year,&amp;","text":"As of May 2022, the flagship fund from Tiger Global (TG) fund has retraced 52%. In addition to TG's primary market investment losses, the investment in Carvana (an used car dealer) is the largest loss in secondary market. The stock has retraced more than 94% from its highs over the past 11 months, with the stock price retreating from $350 to $21.25 as well as the company's market cap falling from $62 billion to $3.8 billion. Carvana is probably the worst performer in terms of stock price amidst the gradual cooling of US consumption and interest rate hikes.The chart below shows TG's position in Carvana. As the stock price retreats, TG continuously adds the position, leading to the enlargement of losses. If TG still doesn’t reduce its position in Q2 this year,&","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f762b7acfc0ea4b93d3cec649ee2585","width":"839","height":"217"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33164b21a4155750fe8b1279748ce733","width":"1265","height":"351"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3e941760be4bc9f31f8d374ce04882ea","width":"788","height":"334"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075530584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893496922,"gmtCreate":1628294198866,"gmtModify":1703504559187,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>not a dead cat","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>not a dead cat","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$not a dead cat","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e7b75aefbd4316e1f2928941cd378a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893496922","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569456772186640","authorId":"3569456772186640","name":"Tiger2Roar","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0c684d6249afcd8592ee60b0e504c6f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"wait for the moon ... hopefully it's a rocket not an air baloon","text":"wait for the moon ... hopefully it's a rocket not an air baloon","html":"wait for the moon ... hopefully it's a rocket not an air baloon"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358247290,"gmtCreate":1616711798910,"gmtModify":1704797662659,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Omg pls like and comment","listText":"Omg pls like and comment","text":"Omg pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/358247290","repostId":"1138272228","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138272228","pubTimestamp":1616687131,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138272228?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-25 23:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"More than half of retail investors say market is rigged against them","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138272228","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\n41% of non-investors say they believe the market is rigged and 56% of investors agree.\nT","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\n41% of non-investors say they believe the market is rigged and 56% of investors agree.\nThe poll was taken in late February, about a month after a runup in so-called meme stocks like ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/more-than-half-of-retail-investors-say-market-is-rigged-against-them.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>More than half of retail investors say market is rigged against them</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMore than half of retail investors say market is rigged against them\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-25 23:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/more-than-half-of-retail-investors-say-market-is-rigged-against-them.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\n41% of non-investors say they believe the market is rigged and 56% of investors agree.\nThe poll was taken in late February, about a month after a runup in so-called meme stocks like ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/more-than-half-of-retail-investors-say-market-is-rigged-against-them.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/more-than-half-of-retail-investors-say-market-is-rigged-against-them.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1138272228","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\n41% of non-investors say they believe the market is rigged and 56% of investors agree.\nThe poll was taken in late February, about a month after a runup in so-called meme stocks like Gamestop.\n\nIt's not investing that is viewed skeptically, it's the system.\nMore than half (56%) of people who have money in stocks think the market is rigged against individual investors, according to a survey from Bankrate. That's compared to 41% of non-investors who say the same thing.\n\"Part of it may have to do with expectations,\" said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. \"Newer investors may be trying to score big gains or time the market and the odds are not for long-term success with those endeavors.\"\nAt the same time, he said, retail investors have seen hedge funds and other sophisticated or wealthy investors treated differently, such as getting early access to initial public offerings and better trade execution.\n\"Newer investors are seeing those things, and that can sow the seeds of doubt about the integrity or fairness of the markets,\" McBride said.\nThe poll of 2,525 U.S. adults was taken in late February, about a month after a runup in so-called meme stocks, including Gamestop— whose share price peaked at $347 on Jan. 27 after trading at about $31 two weeks earlier. The surge was attributed to an army of Reddit investors forcing hedge funds that were banking on the stock dropping — known as short-selling — to instead buy shares at a higher price.\nAmid the frenzy, Robinhood, the popular trading application used by individual investors, restricted trades in Gamestop and some other stocks. The company was accused by its users and lawmakers of protecting hedge funds that were short sellers of those stocks. Robinhood said the move was made to meet regulatory requirements applying to financial reserves, not to benefit any particular group of investors.\nThe Bankrate survey also explored how individuals are investing now versus before the pandemic.\n“What we saw was that Reddit users were two times more likely to be investing more rather than less, compared to before the pandemic,” McBride said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9052500948,"gmtCreate":1655187627784,"gmtModify":1676535578094,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052500948","repostId":"2243690068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243690068","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1655172324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2243690068?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-14 10:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243690068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull marketThe bear is back.The S&P 500 on Mon","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull market</h2><p>The bear is back.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 on Monday confirmed what many investors have been saying for months: The large-cap benchmark is in the grips of a bear market.</p><p>Stocks suffered sharp losses Monday after major benchmarks saw their worst week since January. Much of the weakness was attributed to the Friday reading of the May consumer-price index, which surged to 8.6% year-over-year -- a 40-year high. Investors fear the Federal Reserve will have to raise rates even more aggressively than already expected, risking recession in their effort to tame inflation.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  fell 151.23 points, or 3.9%, to end at 3,749.63, down 21.8% from its Jan. 3 record close and surpassing the 20% pullback threshold  traditionally used to define a bear market.</p><p>Need to Know: The S&amp;P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday&#39;s meltdown, here&#39;s what happens if that fails</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 briefly traded below the bear-market threshold in May, but didn&#39;t close below it. Stocks subsequently bounced, but the rebound has since given way as recession fears have increased.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished with a loss of 876.05 points, or 2.8%, to finish at 30,516.74, after dropping more than 1,000 points at its session low. A close below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , which slumped into a bear market earlier this year, dropped 4.7% on Monday, leaving it nearly 33% below its Nov. 19, 2021, record close.</p><p>To be sure, many investors and analysts see a 20% pullback as an overly formal if not outdated metric, arguing that stocks have long been behaving in bearlike fashion.</p><p>Note that the S&amp;P 500&#39;s finish on Monday means the start of the bear market is backdated the Jan. 3 peak. A bear market is declared over once the S&amp;P 500 has risen 20% from a low.</p><p>How have stocks behaved once a bear market has been confirmed? History shows that usually more pain was in store.</p><p>There have been 17 bear -- or near-bear-- markets since World War II, said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, in a May note. Generally speaking, the S&amp;P 500 has fallen further once a bear market begins. And, he said, bear markets have, on average, lasted about a year, producing an average peak-to-trough decline of just shy of 30%. (see table below).</p><p>Beyond the averages, there&#39;s a lot of variability in the length and depth of past bear markets. The steepest fall, a peak-to-trough decline of nearly 57%, occurred in the 17 months that marked the 17-month bear market that accompanied the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The longest was a 48.2% drop that ran for nearly 21 months in 1973-74. The shortest was the nearly 34% drop that took place over just 23 trading sessions as the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a global rout that bottomed out on March 23, 2020, and marked the start of the current bull market.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-14 10:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2>Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull market</h2><p>The bear is back.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 on Monday confirmed what many investors have been saying for months: The large-cap benchmark is in the grips of a bear market.</p><p>Stocks suffered sharp losses Monday after major benchmarks saw their worst week since January. Much of the weakness was attributed to the Friday reading of the May consumer-price index, which surged to 8.6% year-over-year -- a 40-year high. Investors fear the Federal Reserve will have to raise rates even more aggressively than already expected, risking recession in their effort to tame inflation.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  fell 151.23 points, or 3.9%, to end at 3,749.63, down 21.8% from its Jan. 3 record close and surpassing the 20% pullback threshold  traditionally used to define a bear market.</p><p>Need to Know: The S&amp;P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday&#39;s meltdown, here&#39;s what happens if that fails</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 briefly traded below the bear-market threshold in May, but didn&#39;t close below it. Stocks subsequently bounced, but the rebound has since given way as recession fears have increased.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished with a loss of 876.05 points, or 2.8%, to finish at 30,516.74, after dropping more than 1,000 points at its session low. A close below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , which slumped into a bear market earlier this year, dropped 4.7% on Monday, leaving it nearly 33% below its Nov. 19, 2021, record close.</p><p>To be sure, many investors and analysts see a 20% pullback as an overly formal if not outdated metric, arguing that stocks have long been behaving in bearlike fashion.</p><p>Note that the S&amp;P 500&#39;s finish on Monday means the start of the bear market is backdated the Jan. 3 peak. A bear market is declared over once the S&amp;P 500 has risen 20% from a low.</p><p>How have stocks behaved once a bear market has been confirmed? History shows that usually more pain was in store.</p><p>There have been 17 bear -- or near-bear-- markets since World War II, said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, in a May note. Generally speaking, the S&amp;P 500 has fallen further once a bear market begins. And, he said, bear markets have, on average, lasted about a year, producing an average peak-to-trough decline of just shy of 30%. (see table below).</p><p>Beyond the averages, there&#39;s a lot of variability in the length and depth of past bear markets. The steepest fall, a peak-to-trough decline of nearly 57%, occurred in the 17 months that marked the 17-month bear market that accompanied the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The longest was a 48.2% drop that ran for nearly 21 months in 1973-74. The shortest was the nearly 34% drop that took place over just 23 trading sessions as the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a global rout that bottomed out on March 23, 2020, and marked the start of the current bull market.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243690068","content_text":"Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull marketThe bear is back.The S&P 500 on Monday confirmed what many investors have been saying for months: The large-cap benchmark is in the grips of a bear market.Stocks suffered sharp losses Monday after major benchmarks saw their worst week since January. Much of the weakness was attributed to the Friday reading of the May consumer-price index, which surged to 8.6% year-over-year -- a 40-year high. Investors fear the Federal Reserve will have to raise rates even more aggressively than already expected, risking recession in their effort to tame inflation.The S&P 500  fell 151.23 points, or 3.9%, to end at 3,749.63, down 21.8% from its Jan. 3 record close and surpassing the 20% pullback threshold  traditionally used to define a bear market.Need to Know: The S&P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday's meltdown, here's what happens if that failsThe S&P 500 briefly traded below the bear-market threshold in May, but didn't close below it. Stocks subsequently bounced, but the rebound has since given way as recession fears have increased.The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished with a loss of 876.05 points, or 2.8%, to finish at 30,516.74, after dropping more than 1,000 points at its session low. A close below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , which slumped into a bear market earlier this year, dropped 4.7% on Monday, leaving it nearly 33% below its Nov. 19, 2021, record close.To be sure, many investors and analysts see a 20% pullback as an overly formal if not outdated metric, arguing that stocks have long been behaving in bearlike fashion.Note that the S&P 500's finish on Monday means the start of the bear market is backdated the Jan. 3 peak. A bear market is declared over once the S&P 500 has risen 20% from a low.How have stocks behaved once a bear market has been confirmed? History shows that usually more pain was in store.There have been 17 bear -- or near-bear-- markets since World War II, said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, in a May note. Generally speaking, the S&P 500 has fallen further once a bear market begins. And, he said, bear markets have, on average, lasted about a year, producing an average peak-to-trough decline of just shy of 30%. (see table below).Beyond the averages, there's a lot of variability in the length and depth of past bear markets. The steepest fall, a peak-to-trough decline of nearly 57%, occurred in the 17 months that marked the 17-month bear market that accompanied the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The longest was a 48.2% drop that ran for nearly 21 months in 1973-74. The shortest was the nearly 34% drop that took place over just 23 trading sessions as the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a global rout that bottomed out on March 23, 2020, and marked the start of the current bull market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887025814,"gmtCreate":1631947099438,"gmtModify":1676530676357,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887025814","repostId":"2168716185","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2168716185","pubTimestamp":1631916051,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2168716185?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-18 06:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street closes rollercoaster week sharply lower","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2168716185","media":"The Straits Times","summary":"NEW YORK  - US stocks ended sharply lower in a broad sell-off on Friday , ending a week buffeted by strong economic data, corporate tax hike worries, the Delta Covid-19 variant, and possible shifts in the US Federal Reserve's timeline for tapering asset purchases.All three major US stock indexes lost ground, with the Nasdaq Composite Index's weighed down as rising US Treasury yields pressured market-leading growth stocks.They also posted weekly losses, with the S&P index suffering its biggest tw","content":"<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (REUTERS) - US stocks ended sharply lower in a broad sell-off on Friday (Sept 17), ending a week buffeted by strong economic data, corporate tax hike worries, the Delta Covid-19 variant, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-street-closes-rollercoaster-week-sharply-lower\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street closes rollercoaster week sharply lower</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street closes rollercoaster week sharply lower\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-18 06:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-street-closes-rollercoaster-week-sharply-lower><strong>The Straits Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (REUTERS) - US stocks ended sharply lower in a broad sell-off on Friday (Sept 17), ending a week buffeted by strong economic data, corporate tax hike worries, the Delta Covid-19 variant, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-street-closes-rollercoaster-week-sharply-lower\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-street-closes-rollercoaster-week-sharply-lower","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2168716185","content_text":"NEW YORK (REUTERS) - US stocks ended sharply lower in a broad sell-off on Friday (Sept 17), ending a week buffeted by strong economic data, corporate tax hike worries, the Delta Covid-19 variant, and possible shifts in the US Federal Reserve's timeline for tapering asset purchases.\nAll three major US stock indexes lost ground, with the Nasdaq Composite Index's weighed down as rising US Treasury yields pressured market-leading growth stocks.\nThey also posted weekly losses, with the S&P index suffering its biggest two-week drop since February.\n\"The market is struggling with prospects for tighter fiscal policy due to tax increases, and tighter monetary policy due to Fed tapering,\" said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York.\n\"Equity markets are also a little softer due to today's weak Consumer Sentiment data,\" Carter added. \"It's triggering concerns that the Delta variant could slow economic growth.\"\nA potential hike in corporate taxes could eat into earnings also weigh on markets, with leading Democrats seeking to raise the top tax rate on corporations to 26.5 per cent from the current 21 per cent.\nWhile consumer sentiment steadied this month it remains depressed, according to a University of Michigan report, as Americans postpone purchases while inflation remains high.\nInflation is likely to be a major issue next week, when the Federal Open Markets Committee holds its two-day monetary policy meeting. Market participants will be watching closely for changes in nuance which could signal a shift in the Fed's tapering timeline.\n\"It has been a week of mixed economic data and we are focused clearly on what will come out of the Fed meeting next week,\" said Bill Northey, senior investment director at US Bank Wealth Management in Helena, Montana.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 166.44 points, or 0.48 per cent, to 34,584.88; the S&P 500 lost 40.76 points, or 0.91 per cent, at 4,432.99; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 137.96 points, or 0.91 per cent, to 15,043.97.\nThe S&P 500 ended below its 50-day moving average, which in recent history has proven a rather sturdy support level.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but healthcare ended in the red, with materials and utilities suffering the biggest percentage drops.\nWall Street ends rollercoaster week sharply lower\nCovid-19 vaccine manufacturers Pfizer and Moderna dropped 1.3 per cent and 2.4 per cent, respectively, as US health officials moved the debate over booster doses to a panel of independent experts.\nUS Steel Corp shed 8 per cent after it unveiled a US$3 billion (S$4 billion) mini-mill investment plan.\nVolume and volatility spiked toward the end of the session due to \"triple witching,\" which is the quarterly, simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures, and stock index options contracts.\nVolume on US exchanges was 15.51 billion shares, compared with the 9.70 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.97-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.00-to-1 ratio favoured advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 67 new highs and 82 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179021792,"gmtCreate":1626476464616,"gmtModify":1703760703752,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>hodl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>hodl","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$hodl","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4110f0dbae329c94dccbe6d64f0c83b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179021792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034016527,"gmtCreate":1647734114485,"gmtModify":1676534260841,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034016527","repostId":"2220777059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220777059","pubTimestamp":1647653153,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2220777059?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-19 09:25","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220777059","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but B","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Garena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.</li><li>In addition, Shopee&#39;s losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.</li><li>SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea&#39;s second cash cow.</li><li>With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won&#39;t be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.</li><li>Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51b3290f2015840c5d8f754c01de8a85\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>undefined undefined/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I&#39;ve been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I&#39;m doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let&#39;s get started!</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Sea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company&#39;s slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee&#39;s losses are also getting worse.</p><p>The Group&#39;s cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.</p><p>On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea&#39;s second cash cow.</p><p>Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.</p><p>The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.</p><p><b>Value Proposition</b></p><p>Founded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.</p><blockquote><b>Mission</b>: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.</blockquote><p>Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea&#39;s main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.</p><p><b>Garena</b></p><p>Its digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea&#39;s first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.</p><p>Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena&#39;s Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a>&#39;s findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa392753c19f14d60ee0d992e58c3d2f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>Garena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.</p><p>In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.</p><p><b>Shopee</b></p><p>Perhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea&#39;s mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6649de846b2942b928a3f3e5d4035003\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee</span></p><p>Through the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee&#39;s two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.</p><p>Along with Shopee&#39;s e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:</p><ul><li><b>Service by Shopee</b> - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.</li><li><b>BuyerProtection</b> - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers&#39; funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.</li><li><b>Integrated Logistics Services</b>- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.</li><li><b>Social Features</b> - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).</li><li><b>On-demand Services</b>- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).</li></ul><p>Shopee&#39;s scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee&#39;s most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f9c550b140720336e00cc78e954d184\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p><b>SeaMoney</b></p><p>SeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea&#39;s operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney&#39;s various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.</p><p>Through SeaMoney&#39;s mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a &#34;buy now pay later&#34; payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I&#39;ve written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.</p><p>SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c85c862195f86fe9d4f0f8c8beced6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SeaBank Website</span></p><p>SeaMoney&#39;s main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea&#39;s other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.</p><p><b>Market Opportunity</b></p><p>Sea&#39;s market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let&#39;s take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.</p><p>First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f72bda6df6bc2b7bdf8756d218f53185\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>According to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021&#39;s total figure. Given Garena&#39;s successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity&#39;s findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.</p><p>Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.</p><p>Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee&#39;s vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fcb903aed7c0ec901fc83c4f25f18b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.</p><p>Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea&#39;s markets.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47ec896a6208b6023ae89f654704bbc7\" tg-width=\"1261\" tg-height=\"706\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022</span></p><p>As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney&#39;s other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney&#39;s expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eb814b800c3121e3fb8cd0913f239d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.</p><p><b>Revenue Model</b></p><p>As mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.</p><p>Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea&#39;s 10-K:</p><blockquote>Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.</blockquote><p>Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.</p><blockquote>Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.</blockquote><p><b>E-commerce</b></p><p>Shopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.</p><p>Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.</p><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney revenue consists of:</p><ul><li>Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customers</li><li>Interest and fees from Sea&#39;s consumer credit business such as SPayLater</li><li>Commissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney&#39;s mobile wallet</li></ul><p><b>Income Statement</b></p><p>Let&#39;s analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/998dfbcf3f3dba11b8f8722710c36ba4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06de5e6066b66cd5596a445cd912c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3&#39;s QAUs of 729 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5bdd570a9eb859a9fef8569c9fad10a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3&#39;s 93 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092c4a2f47b9336f2753b4548707b39f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea&#39;s two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f28c9f35ee55afb5c7d170a80d26ebf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.</p><p><b>E-Commerce</b></p><p>Shopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee&#39;s existing and newer markets. However, we&#39;re also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f657f7cacc9e00bc57df0e913fdb9ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>GMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fbc7f044de03ec379f262a5bfcdf331\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27710dc2140a6d139900819f51bd688a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee&#39;s increasing take rate, which displays Shopee&#39;s ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4267bc5d33a2153e8624f73ed71540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Despite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d27cef61bc9a9058233f7eccc5eaa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c0d6aa930a81ea4fc153b7134dbf9d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>On the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before &#34;allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses&#34; was $(0.15), an improvement from last year&#39;s $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:</p><blockquote>We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.</blockquote><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney&#39;s Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa5ef6efa513d9040963fda42b4b9f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9397aec066366f40ec92c24187347a44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcaf6046cf3c27e00b233a8428eb2d75\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Furthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.</p><p>As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney&#39;s AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f0d5a1800fef748694417e8cb8fc9f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>This is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea&#39;s second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney&#39;s long-term margin profile.</p><p><b>Group</b></p><p>With that said, let&#39;s take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.</p><p>FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38de60bd773f3ef7afc4b2e28aa1c08f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Here, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a86e59478db8a3a4fdc85897f24410e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>What&#39;s encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee&#39;s aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd978ba4047cc6e20ac6086ba8420a8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Operating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbdbde2c2ae744f36f8168ed32f94d62\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Most of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales &amp; Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&amp;M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they&#39;re everywhere.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5253f186120da17c4cd901e5c442bd1e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a27b7833551107397c44acefc5ad2475\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena&#39;s falling Bookings and Shoppe&#39;s widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89fb95f74e23e85f8932870c0190bee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021&#39;s number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.</p><p>On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena&#39;s estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5e9399a838e5f841dcccaffbe673d8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Because Garena is such an important piece of Shopee&#39;s and SeaMoney&#39;s growth story, a deceleration in Garena&#39;s business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea&#39;s latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.</p><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Sea&#39;s balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc30ee494abc2eda3b75434b96e4a66b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Adjusting for Sea&#39;s debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d0030e6518cc4198245f624cc75e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>With net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won&#39;t be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.</p><p><b>Cash Flow Statement</b></p><p>Here is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0aba061277a1410bb9f3dc176ea0115\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"263\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Unlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea&#39;s Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fa229682c8880d6edd35535ef6a747\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p><b>Competitive Moats</b></p><p>Based on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.</p><p><b>Brand</b></p><p>As discussed in previous sections, Garena&#39;s games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.</p><p><b>Network Effects</b></p><p>The sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world&#39;s population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.</p><p>With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c641ac08707cc868b9e6004e2deaf950\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee Brazil</span></p><p><b>Barriers To Entry</b></p><p>I believe each of Sea&#39;s core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.</p><p>The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena&#39;s Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire&#39;s game means time away from other mobile games.</p><p>Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.</p><p>Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Based on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2400cd917e5f6ce8c47ef74a8062093\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>On the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed1fd805a89523bbb8fa982bee40079\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>In terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf589a808c84131e9c36aa7b65a5129\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>The valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.</p><p><b>Catalysts</b></p><ul><li><b>Successful International Expansion</b> — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee&#39;s growth could turn exponential.</li><li><b>The Metaverse</b> — Sea&#39;s withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.</li></ul><blockquote>We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.</blockquote><ul><li><b>Regional SuperApp</b> — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.</li><li><b>Continued Growth In SeaMoney</b> — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea&#39;s digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea&#39;s bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.</li><li><b>Free Fire India Ban Lift</b>— Garena&#39;s weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea&#39;s cash burn problems may be eliminated.</li></ul><p><b>Risks</b></p><ul><li><b>The Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games</b>— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.</li><li><b>Shopee India Ban</b> — With Free Fire banned in India, there&#39;s also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.</li><li><b>Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets</b>— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe&#39;s business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.</li><li><b>Geopolitical Risks</b>— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.</li><li><b>Local Competition</b>— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.</li></ul><p>In addition, there&#39;s a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I&#39;m Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.</p><p>GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here&#39;s a glance of GoTo&#39;s stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:</p><ul><li>Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billion</li><li>GMV: $28.8 billion</li><li>Revenue: $1 billion</li><li>Gross Orders: 2 billion</li><li>Annual Transacting Users: 55 million</li><li>Driver Partners: 2.5 million</li><li>Merchants: 14 million</li></ul><p>The point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea&#39;s markets that investors should never ignore. Here&#39;s a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:</p><blockquote>But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.</blockquote><blockquote>Meanwhile, Sea Limited&#39;s stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo&#39;s integration, Shopee&#39;s vertically-integrated business model doesn&#39;t look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.</blockquote><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Each of Sea&#39;s core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.</p><p>That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company&#39;s unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.</p><p>Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.</p><p>Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don&#39;t hesitate to share your thoughts as well.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-19 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220777059","content_text":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea's second cash cow.With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.undefined undefined/iStock via Getty ImagesI've been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I'm doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let's get started!Investment ThesisSea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company's slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee's losses are also getting worse.The Group's cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea's second cash cow.Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.Value PropositionFounded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.Mission: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea's main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.GarenaIts digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea's first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena's Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor Tower's findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.Source: SensorTowerGarena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.ShopeePerhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea's mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.Source: ShopeeThrough the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee's two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.Along with Shopee's e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:Service by Shopee - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.BuyerProtection - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers' funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.Integrated Logistics Services- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.Social Features - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).On-demand Services- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).Shopee's scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee's most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.Source: SensorTowerSeaMoneySeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea's operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney's various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.Through SeaMoney's mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a \"buy now pay later\" payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I've written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.Source: SeaBank WebsiteSeaMoney's main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea's other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.Market OpportunitySea's market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let's take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.Source: SensorTowerAccording to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021's total figure. Given Garena's successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity's findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee's vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my PayPal (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea's markets.Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney's other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney's expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.Revenue ModelAs mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.Digital EntertainmentGarena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea's 10-K:Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.E-commerceShopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney revenue consists of:Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customersInterest and fees from Sea's consumer credit business such as SPayLaterCommissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney's mobile walletIncome StatementLet's analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.Digital EntertainmentGarena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3's QAUs of 729 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3's 93 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea's two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.E-CommerceShopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee's existing and newer markets. However, we're also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisGMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee's increasing take rate, which displays Shopee's ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisDespite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOn the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before \"allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses\" was $(0.15), an improvement from last year's $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney's Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisFurthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney's AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThis is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea's second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney's long-term margin profile.GroupWith that said, let's take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisHere, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWhat's encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee's aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOperating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisMost of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales & Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they're everywhere.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena's falling Bookings and Shoppe's widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021's number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena's estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationBecause Garena is such an important piece of Shopee's and SeaMoney's growth story, a deceleration in Garena's business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea's latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.Balance SheetSea's balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationAdjusting for Sea's debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWith net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.Cash Flow StatementHere is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisUnlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea's Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisCompetitive MoatsBased on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.BrandAs discussed in previous sections, Garena's games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.Network EffectsThe sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world's population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.Source: Shopee BrazilBarriers To EntryI believe each of Sea's core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena's Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire's game means time away from other mobile games.Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and MercadoLibre (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.ValuationBased on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.Source: Author's AnalysisOn the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.Source: KoyfinIn terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.Source: KoyfinThe valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.CatalystsSuccessful International Expansion — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee's growth could turn exponential.The Metaverse — Sea's withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.Regional SuperApp — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.Continued Growth In SeaMoney — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea's digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea's bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.Free Fire India Ban Lift— Garena's weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea's cash burn problems may be eliminated.RisksThe Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.Shopee India Ban — With Free Fire banned in India, there's also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe's business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.Geopolitical Risks— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.Local Competition— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.In addition, there's a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I'm Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here's a glance of GoTo's stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billionGMV: $28.8 billionRevenue: $1 billionGross Orders: 2 billionAnnual Transacting Users: 55 millionDriver Partners: 2.5 millionMerchants: 14 millionThe point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea's markets that investors should never ignore. Here's a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.Meanwhile, Sea Limited's stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo's integration, Shopee's vertically-integrated business model doesn't look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.ConclusionEach of Sea's core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company's unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don't hesitate to share your thoughts as well.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9085088512,"gmtCreate":1650618552676,"gmtModify":1676534764761,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085088512","repostId":"2229902607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229902607","pubTimestamp":1650641417,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2229902607?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-22 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229902607","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Short-term stock market jitters are a great opportunity to pick up high-growth stocks like these at a discount.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If there&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> lesson to be learned from the recent volatility in the stock market, it&#39;s the importance of focusing on the long term. While the <b>Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector</b> index is down about 13.9% so far in 2022, it&#39;s still holding on to a gain of 423% over the last decade.</p><p>In fact, the steep declines in many individual stocks could be an opportunity to buy into long-term growth stories at a discount for the decade ahead. <b>Upstart Holdings</b> and <b>Bill.com Holdings</b> are two fintechs with unique business models and soaring growth rates, making them prime candidates.</p><p>Over the next 10 years, both stocks have the potential to deliver fivefold returns, especially if you buy them now while their stock is selling at a steep discount to levels reached in late 2021.</p><h2>The case for Upstart</h2><p>Artificial intelligence (AI) is a next-generation technology that promises to replace manual human input in many complex tasks. In this case, Upstart has developed an AI algorithm to assess the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, and it uses that information to originate loans for its banking partners.</p><p>Banks pay Upstart a fee for the service, and it&#39;s proving to be a far more effective tool than the decades-old FICO credit scoring system from <b>Fair Isaac</b>. While FICO takes into account a handful of metrics when assessing borrowers, Upstart can measure 1,600 data points and deliver a decision instantly 70% of the time. It would likely take a human assessor days or even weeks to arrive at the same result, so Upstart offers a better experience for both the customer and the lender.</p><p>The company got its start by originating unsecured personal loans, which is a $96 billion annual market. But it recently expanded into auto loan originations, which is about seven times that size. The Upstart Auto Retail sales and origination platform now serves over 410 car dealerships across the U.S., and it&#39;s growing rapidly.</p><p>Upstart would have to increase its revenue by 18% each year to turn a $200,000 investment into $1 million by 2032, assuming its price-to-sales multiple remains constant.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Metric</th><th>2017</th><th>2021</th><th>CAGR</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$57 million</p></td><td><p>$849 million</p></td><td><p>96%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Earnings (loss) per share</p></td><td><p>($0.56)</p></td><td><p>$2.37</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data: Upstart Holdings. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Upstart is crushing the 18% growth mark, nearly doubling its revenue every year since 2017. On top of that, it&#39;s now a profitable company, making it far more attractive as an investment than most tech companies.</p><p>In its 2021 presentation, Upstart highlighted new potential markets like small-business lending and mortgages, which could send its annual opportunity into the trillions of dollars. Put simply, the company&#39;s best growth might still be ahead, and with its stock down 79.8% from its all-time high, it&#39;s a great time to add it to your portfolio.</p><h2>The case for Bill.com</h2><p>Business owners are spotlighted when it comes to software services that make monotonous administrative tasks less burdensome. Bill.com has grown to become a leading provider, thanks to its flagship accounts-payable platform helping to reduce messy paper trails. Its digital inbox technology centralizes incoming invoices so they don&#39;t get lost in the shuffle of everyday operations.</p><p>Bill.com allows business owners to pay those invoices with one click, and it also integrates with top accounting software so those transactions get logged into the books automatically. In 2021, the company acquired two other businesses to aid its expansion into new verticals. It now owns Invoice2go, which helps manage accounts receivable, and Divvy, a budgeting and expense management software.</p><p>Now, Bill.com is a go-to provider for all things related to business payments, and it serves 373,500 customers.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Metric</th><th>Fiscal 2018</th><th>Fiscal 2022 (Guidance)</th><th>CAGR</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$64 million</p></td><td><p>$600 million</p></td><td><p>74%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data: Bill.com. Fiscal years end June 30.</p><p>In the last few years, Bill.com&#39;s revenue growth has far exceeded the 18% it needs for its stock to grow fivefold over the next decade, assuming its stock valuation metrics remain where they are today. But there&#39;s even a possibility growth could accelerate.</p><p>The company has processed $181 billion in payment volume over the last 12 months, but it places its domestic opportunity at $25 trillion annually -- and a whopping $125 trillion globally. That leaves a significant runway, and since Bill.com has bolted-on two key acquisitions, it has a wider path to greater market share.</p><p>The company also operates in a pool of 70 million global business customers. Keep in mind that it hasn&#39;t even cracked its first million yet, so there&#39;s significant room for expansion.</p><p>Bill.com should kick into high gear over the next few years as it fine-tunes its new multifaceted business model. And since its stock has dipped 43.5% from its all-time high amid the tech sell-off, now might be the time to get involved.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-22 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/21/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2032/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If there's one lesson to be learned from the recent volatility in the stock market, it's the importance of focusing on the long term. While the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector index is down about 13.9% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/21/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2032/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4528":"SaaS概念","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","BILL":"BILL HOLDINGS INC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4543":"AI","BK4166":"消费信贷","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/21/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2032/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229902607","content_text":"If there's one lesson to be learned from the recent volatility in the stock market, it's the importance of focusing on the long term. While the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector index is down about 13.9% so far in 2022, it's still holding on to a gain of 423% over the last decade.In fact, the steep declines in many individual stocks could be an opportunity to buy into long-term growth stories at a discount for the decade ahead. Upstart Holdings and Bill.com Holdings are two fintechs with unique business models and soaring growth rates, making them prime candidates.Over the next 10 years, both stocks have the potential to deliver fivefold returns, especially if you buy them now while their stock is selling at a steep discount to levels reached in late 2021.The case for UpstartArtificial intelligence (AI) is a next-generation technology that promises to replace manual human input in many complex tasks. In this case, Upstart has developed an AI algorithm to assess the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, and it uses that information to originate loans for its banking partners.Banks pay Upstart a fee for the service, and it's proving to be a far more effective tool than the decades-old FICO credit scoring system from Fair Isaac. While FICO takes into account a handful of metrics when assessing borrowers, Upstart can measure 1,600 data points and deliver a decision instantly 70% of the time. It would likely take a human assessor days or even weeks to arrive at the same result, so Upstart offers a better experience for both the customer and the lender.The company got its start by originating unsecured personal loans, which is a $96 billion annual market. But it recently expanded into auto loan originations, which is about seven times that size. The Upstart Auto Retail sales and origination platform now serves over 410 car dealerships across the U.S., and it's growing rapidly.Upstart would have to increase its revenue by 18% each year to turn a $200,000 investment into $1 million by 2032, assuming its price-to-sales multiple remains constant.Metric20172021CAGRRevenue$57 million$849 million96%Earnings (loss) per share($0.56)$2.37N/AData: Upstart Holdings. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Upstart is crushing the 18% growth mark, nearly doubling its revenue every year since 2017. On top of that, it's now a profitable company, making it far more attractive as an investment than most tech companies.In its 2021 presentation, Upstart highlighted new potential markets like small-business lending and mortgages, which could send its annual opportunity into the trillions of dollars. Put simply, the company's best growth might still be ahead, and with its stock down 79.8% from its all-time high, it's a great time to add it to your portfolio.The case for Bill.comBusiness owners are spotlighted when it comes to software services that make monotonous administrative tasks less burdensome. Bill.com has grown to become a leading provider, thanks to its flagship accounts-payable platform helping to reduce messy paper trails. Its digital inbox technology centralizes incoming invoices so they don't get lost in the shuffle of everyday operations.Bill.com allows business owners to pay those invoices with one click, and it also integrates with top accounting software so those transactions get logged into the books automatically. In 2021, the company acquired two other businesses to aid its expansion into new verticals. It now owns Invoice2go, which helps manage accounts receivable, and Divvy, a budgeting and expense management software.Now, Bill.com is a go-to provider for all things related to business payments, and it serves 373,500 customers.MetricFiscal 2018Fiscal 2022 (Guidance)CAGRRevenue$64 million$600 million74%Data: Bill.com. Fiscal years end June 30.In the last few years, Bill.com's revenue growth has far exceeded the 18% it needs for its stock to grow fivefold over the next decade, assuming its stock valuation metrics remain where they are today. But there's even a possibility growth could accelerate.The company has processed $181 billion in payment volume over the last 12 months, but it places its domestic opportunity at $25 trillion annually -- and a whopping $125 trillion globally. That leaves a significant runway, and since Bill.com has bolted-on two key acquisitions, it has a wider path to greater market share.The company also operates in a pool of 70 million global business customers. Keep in mind that it hasn't even cracked its first million yet, so there's significant room for expansion.Bill.com should kick into high gear over the next few years as it fine-tunes its new multifaceted business model. And since its stock has dipped 43.5% from its all-time high amid the tech sell-off, now might be the time to get involved.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038831963,"gmtCreate":1646786510578,"gmtModify":1676534162082,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038831963","repostId":"2218403389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2218403389","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1646780725,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2218403389?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-09 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Ends down in Rocky Session as U.S. Bans Russian Oil Imports","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2218403389","media":"Reuters","summary":"Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower in rocky trading on Tuesday, as investors weighed fast-paced developments around the crisis in Ukraine as the United States banned Russian oil and other energy imp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower in rocky trading on Tuesday, as investors weighed fast-paced developments around the crisis in Ukraine as the United States banned Russian oil and other energy imports over the invasion.</p><p>Losses accelerated into the end of Tuesday&#39;s up-and-down session, a day after steep declines that saw the tech-heavy Nasdaq confirm it was in a bear market. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 fell for a fourth straight session.</p><p>U.S. President Joe Biden announced the ban on Russian oil and other energy imports, underscoring strong bipartisan support for a move that he acknowledged would drive up U.S. energy prices, while Britain said it would phase out imports of Russian oil and oil products by the end of 2022.</p><p>&#34;I think it is just investors trying to probe whether it is worth buying the dips and we had a real big <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> yesterday,&#34; said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. &#34;Anytime that the buying seems to get a little out of hand on the upside there seems to be willing sellers coming in.&#34;</p><p>“To me, it’s a trader’s market and people looking for very short-term momentum shifts to trade,” Carlson said.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average    fell 184.74 points, or 0.56%, to 32,632.64, the S&amp;P 500    lost 30.39 points, or 0.72%, to 4,170.7 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 35.41 points, or 0.28%, to 12,795.55.</p><p>Defensive sectors were the biggest decliners, with consumer staples falling 2.6%, healthcare dropping 2.1% and utilities down 1.6%.</p><p>Gains in megacap growth stocks, such as Tesla, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> and Alphabet, helped mitigate losses for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>The energy sector, a standout performer this year,  continued its charge higher, rising 1.4%.</p><p>Brent crude topped $130 per barrel along with other commodities, triggering alarm over surging inflation and the impact on global economic growth. U.S. gasoline prices hit a record on Tuesday.</p><p>&#34;There is just a lot of uncertainty right now of what the impact is going to be on the U.S. economy,&#34; said James Ragan, director of wealth management research at D.A. Davidson. &#34;I think we will see a little pullback in the U.S. consumer. Obviously, the gasoline prices are going to cause people to pause a little bit.&#34;</p><p>Ukraine&#39;s government accused Russian forces of shelling a humanitarian corridor that Moscow, which describes its actions as a &#34;special operation&#34;, had promised to open to let residents flee the besieged port of Mariupol.</p><p>Stocks have struggled as concerns about the Russia-Ukraine crisis have deepened a sell-off initially fueled by worries over higher bond yields as the Federal Reserve is expected to tighten monetary policy this year to fight inflation.</p><p>On Monday, the Nasdaq confirmed it was in a bear market, falling over 20% from its record high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average confirmed it was in a correction as it closed more than 10% lower from its record peak.</p><p>In company news, shares of Caterpillar Inc jumped 6.8% after Jefferies upgraded the construction equipment maker&#39;s stock to &#34;buy&#34; from &#34;hold&#34; as a hedge against inflation and prospects of more investments.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 78 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 525 new lows.</p><p>About 19 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, the most in over a year, compared with the 13.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Ends down in Rocky Session as U.S. Bans Russian Oil Imports</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Ends down in Rocky Session as U.S. Bans Russian Oil Imports\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-09 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower in rocky trading on Tuesday, as investors weighed fast-paced developments around the crisis in Ukraine as the United States banned Russian oil and other energy imports over the invasion.</p><p>Losses accelerated into the end of Tuesday&#39;s up-and-down session, a day after steep declines that saw the tech-heavy Nasdaq confirm it was in a bear market. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 fell for a fourth straight session.</p><p>U.S. President Joe Biden announced the ban on Russian oil and other energy imports, underscoring strong bipartisan support for a move that he acknowledged would drive up U.S. energy prices, while Britain said it would phase out imports of Russian oil and oil products by the end of 2022.</p><p>&#34;I think it is just investors trying to probe whether it is worth buying the dips and we had a real big <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> yesterday,&#34; said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. &#34;Anytime that the buying seems to get a little out of hand on the upside there seems to be willing sellers coming in.&#34;</p><p>“To me, it’s a trader’s market and people looking for very short-term momentum shifts to trade,” Carlson said.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average    fell 184.74 points, or 0.56%, to 32,632.64, the S&amp;P 500    lost 30.39 points, or 0.72%, to 4,170.7 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 35.41 points, or 0.28%, to 12,795.55.</p><p>Defensive sectors were the biggest decliners, with consumer staples falling 2.6%, healthcare dropping 2.1% and utilities down 1.6%.</p><p>Gains in megacap growth stocks, such as Tesla, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> and Alphabet, helped mitigate losses for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>The energy sector, a standout performer this year,  continued its charge higher, rising 1.4%.</p><p>Brent crude topped $130 per barrel along with other commodities, triggering alarm over surging inflation and the impact on global economic growth. U.S. gasoline prices hit a record on Tuesday.</p><p>&#34;There is just a lot of uncertainty right now of what the impact is going to be on the U.S. economy,&#34; said James Ragan, director of wealth management research at D.A. Davidson. &#34;I think we will see a little pullback in the U.S. consumer. Obviously, the gasoline prices are going to cause people to pause a little bit.&#34;</p><p>Ukraine&#39;s government accused Russian forces of shelling a humanitarian corridor that Moscow, which describes its actions as a &#34;special operation&#34;, had promised to open to let residents flee the besieged port of Mariupol.</p><p>Stocks have struggled as concerns about the Russia-Ukraine crisis have deepened a sell-off initially fueled by worries over higher bond yields as the Federal Reserve is expected to tighten monetary policy this year to fight inflation.</p><p>On Monday, the Nasdaq confirmed it was in a bear market, falling over 20% from its record high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average confirmed it was in a correction as it closed more than 10% lower from its record peak.</p><p>In company news, shares of Caterpillar Inc jumped 6.8% after Jefferies upgraded the construction equipment maker&#39;s stock to &#34;buy&#34; from &#34;hold&#34; as a hedge against inflation and prospects of more investments.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 78 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 525 new lows.</p><p>About 19 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, the most in over a year, compared with the 13.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4514":"搜索引擎","GOOG":"谷歌","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4507":"流媒体概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2218403389","content_text":"Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower in rocky trading on Tuesday, as investors weighed fast-paced developments around the crisis in Ukraine as the United States banned Russian oil and other energy imports over the invasion.Losses accelerated into the end of Tuesday's up-and-down session, a day after steep declines that saw the tech-heavy Nasdaq confirm it was in a bear market. The benchmark S&P 500 fell for a fourth straight session.U.S. President Joe Biden announced the ban on Russian oil and other energy imports, underscoring strong bipartisan support for a move that he acknowledged would drive up U.S. energy prices, while Britain said it would phase out imports of Russian oil and oil products by the end of 2022.\"I think it is just investors trying to probe whether it is worth buying the dips and we had a real big one yesterday,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. \"Anytime that the buying seems to get a little out of hand on the upside there seems to be willing sellers coming in.\"“To me, it’s a trader’s market and people looking for very short-term momentum shifts to trade,” Carlson said.The Dow Jones Industrial Average    fell 184.74 points, or 0.56%, to 32,632.64, the S&P 500    lost 30.39 points, or 0.72%, to 4,170.7 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 35.41 points, or 0.28%, to 12,795.55.Defensive sectors were the biggest decliners, with consumer staples falling 2.6%, healthcare dropping 2.1% and utilities down 1.6%.Gains in megacap growth stocks, such as Tesla, Meta Platforms and Alphabet, helped mitigate losses for the S&P 500.The energy sector, a standout performer this year,  continued its charge higher, rising 1.4%.Brent crude topped $130 per barrel along with other commodities, triggering alarm over surging inflation and the impact on global economic growth. U.S. gasoline prices hit a record on Tuesday.\"There is just a lot of uncertainty right now of what the impact is going to be on the U.S. economy,\" said James Ragan, director of wealth management research at D.A. Davidson. \"I think we will see a little pullback in the U.S. consumer. Obviously, the gasoline prices are going to cause people to pause a little bit.\"Ukraine's government accused Russian forces of shelling a humanitarian corridor that Moscow, which describes its actions as a \"special operation\", had promised to open to let residents flee the besieged port of Mariupol.Stocks have struggled as concerns about the Russia-Ukraine crisis have deepened a sell-off initially fueled by worries over higher bond yields as the Federal Reserve is expected to tighten monetary policy this year to fight inflation.On Monday, the Nasdaq confirmed it was in a bear market, falling over 20% from its record high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average confirmed it was in a correction as it closed more than 10% lower from its record peak.In company news, shares of Caterpillar Inc jumped 6.8% after Jefferies upgraded the construction equipment maker's stock to \"buy\" from \"hold\" as a hedge against inflation and prospects of more investments.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 78 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 34 new highs and 525 new lows.About 19 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, the most in over a year, compared with the 13.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142391607,"gmtCreate":1626131411109,"gmtModify":1703753800819,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>hhodl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>hhodl","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$hhodl","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3e4568b99568efd6582f53c417ad54","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142391607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130214460,"gmtCreate":1621552449150,"gmtModify":1704359368123,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like comment plss","listText":"Pls like comment plss","text":"Pls like comment plss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130214460","repostId":"1135487235","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135487235","pubTimestamp":1621527633,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135487235?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-21 00:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The U.S. Treasury Calls for Crypto Transfers Over $10,000 Reported to IRS","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135487235","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Proposal included in report on Biden IRS enforcement planAdministration says tighter enforcement to ","content":"<ul><li>Proposal included in report on Biden IRS enforcement plan</li><li>Administration says tighter enforcement to boost tax revenue</li></ul><p>The U.S. Treasury said the Biden administration’s proposal to strengthen tax compliance includes a requirement for transfers of at least $10,000 of cryptocurrency to be reported to the Internal Revenue Service.</p><p>“As with cash transactions, businesses that receive cryptoassets with a fair-market value of more than $10,000 would also be reported on,” the Treasury Department said in a report on tax-enforcement proposals released Thursday.</p><p>The Treasury said that comprehensive reporting is necessary “to minimize the incentives and opportunity to shift income out of the new information reporting regime.” Itnotedthat cryptocurrency is a small share of current business transactions.</p><p>The IRS in 2020 added a line about cryptocurrency on the Form 1040, the individual tax return, in an effort to gain more visibility into virtual currency transactions.</p><p>President Joe Biden’s administration is also calling for banks to report on account flows to help boost tax-payment compliance.</p><p>“Cryptocurrency already poses a significant detection problem by facilitating illegal activity broadly including tax evasion,” the Treasury said.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The U.S. Treasury Calls for Crypto Transfers Over $10,000 Reported to IRS</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe U.S. Treasury Calls for Crypto Transfers Over $10,000 Reported to IRS\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 00:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-20/treasury-calls-for-crypto-transfers-over-10-000-reported-to-irs?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Proposal included in report on Biden IRS enforcement planAdministration says tighter enforcement to boost tax revenueThe U.S. Treasury said the Biden administration’s proposal to strengthen tax ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-20/treasury-calls-for-crypto-transfers-over-10-000-reported-to-irs?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","MARA":"Marathon Digital Holdings Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQ":"Block","PYPL":"PayPal","CAN":"嘉楠科技","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉",".DJI":"道琼斯","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-20/treasury-calls-for-crypto-transfers-over-10-000-reported-to-irs?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135487235","content_text":"Proposal included in report on Biden IRS enforcement planAdministration says tighter enforcement to boost tax revenueThe U.S. Treasury said the Biden administration’s proposal to strengthen tax compliance includes a requirement for transfers of at least $10,000 of cryptocurrency to be reported to the Internal Revenue Service.“As with cash transactions, businesses that receive cryptoassets with a fair-market value of more than $10,000 would also be reported on,” the Treasury Department said in a report on tax-enforcement proposals released Thursday.The Treasury said that comprehensive reporting is necessary “to minimize the incentives and opportunity to shift income out of the new information reporting regime.” Itnotedthat cryptocurrency is a small share of current business transactions.The IRS in 2020 added a line about cryptocurrency on the Form 1040, the individual tax return, in an effort to gain more visibility into virtual currency transactions.President Joe Biden’s administration is also calling for banks to report on account flows to help boost tax-payment compliance.“Cryptocurrency already poses a significant detection problem by facilitating illegal activity broadly including tax evasion,” the Treasury said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061247739,"gmtCreate":1651633483167,"gmtModify":1676534940250,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9061247739","repostId":"2232920016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2232920016","pubTimestamp":1651633272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2232920016?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-04 11:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO: It Didn't Fall To Its March Lows - COVID Headwinds Priced In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2232920016","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Investment ThesisNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) reported an April delivery card that reflected the significant ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Investment Thesis</h2><p>NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) reported an April delivery card that reflected the significant challenges from the recent COVID lockdowns in China. As a result, we believe it could spend the next two quarters recovering to full production, impacting its revenue and profitability estimates.</p><p>Notably, the consensus estimates for FY22 have also been revised markedly downwards, reflecting these headwinds. Therefore, we believe that its stock re-rating could be delayed further into FY23. However, our price action analysis also suggested that the near-term bottom could be in. Despite the underwhelming April report, the stock did not revisit its March lows.</p><p>Furthermore, we also explained in a recent Alibaba &amp; Chinese tech stocks article that the regulatory environment had improved markedly. Even though the COVID situation remains fluid, automotive businesses in Shanghai have started to resume operations. Therefore, we think the worst seems to be over for NIO and its Chinese EV peers.</p><p>Consequently, we reiterate our Buy rating on NIO stock as a speculative opportunity only.</p><h2>NIO&#39;s Weak April Deliveries Are Expected</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72e72d51dc0e33558772da67b1e7be4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NIO deliveries by month (Company filings)</p><p>NIO delivered just 5.07K of vehicles in April 2022, down 28.6% YoY. It was also the company&#39;s worst showing since October 2021, when it delivered 3.67K of vehicles. Of course, its October performance was affected due to its production line upgrade. In April 2022, NIO was hit by industry-wide production cuts resulting from China&#39;s massive COVID lockdowns.</p><p>However, we believe that the impact is transitory, not structural, despite the downbeat numbers. Furthermore, companies in the automotive supply chain have started to resume operations. Therefore, NIO is also expected to increase production gradually. However, we expect full production resumption to recover only from H2&#39;22. Deutsche Bank (DB) also weighed in recently, as it added (edited):</p><blockquote>We expect some spillover effects in May related to suppliers slowly returning to production, while June could be the first &#34;normal&#34; month, assuming Covid conditions return to normal. NIO also continues to ramp up sales of its newly launched flagship ET7 sedan. We believe it will be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most popular premium cars on the market this year. - CnEVPost</blockquote><h2>Production Resumption In H2&#39;22 Is Key For Re-Rating</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a056767eb7b9217c864e457b35aaf0a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NIO revenue YoY change % consensus estimates (Company filings)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/def93c3e18b948aaa4ba9349d0e76325\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NIO adjusted EBIT margins % consensus estimates (Company filings)</p><p>As a result of the unexpected production curbs, the consensus estimates on NIO&#39;s revenue and profitability have been revised substantially downwards. Therefore, NIO&#39;s path to profitability has also been further extended.</p><p>Notably, NIO is estimated to post revenue growth of 22.3% in FQ1, which was not impacted by the lockdowns, which intensified only at the end of March. However, its Q2 revenue growth estimates have been revised to 41.9%, from 47.8% (March estimates). Moreover, NIO&#39;s revenue growth cadence is also expected to be affected throughout the rest of FY22.</p><p>In addition, NIO&#39;s adjusted EBIT margins are also estimated to suffer from significant markdowns. For instance, NIO is expected to post an adjusted EBIT margin of -15% in Q2 (ending June), down from the -8.6% estimates in March. Commentary from the Street also seemed downcast, as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> (MS) accentuated (edited):</p><blockquote>NIO&#39;s vehicle production and delivery were severely affected by supply chain disruptions amid COVID-19 lockdowns in China. Though soft April sales should have been well anticipated, investors are likely to keep a close watch on the resumption progress post-China&#39;s May holidays. - The Fly</blockquote><p>Therefore, we strongly encourage investors to watch the automotive supply chain developments closely.</p><h2>Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfb9f2c70564032ce18de21a4b024324\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NIO stock price chart (TradingView)</p><p>As seen above, the market is still digesting the gains from 2020, overturned by the 2021 bull trap. Furthermore, NIO stock has also fallen through the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating that the momentum is bearish.</p><p>However, we also observed that NIO stock did not break below its March lows, despite the underwhelming April delivery report and revised estimates. Therefore, we are sanguine that the market has already priced in significant headwinds in NIO stock.</p><p>Accordingly, we think the stage has been set for management to more easily outperform moving forward. In addition, the revised estimates have lowered the bar for NIO to beat its upcoming Q1 earnings card, coupled with its Q2 guidance.</p><p>However, we think its re-rating could take longer, potentially only from FY23, as the market parses its production cadence. Nevertheless, we believe the bottom seems to be near, as long as the COVID headwinds don&#39;t get worse moving forward.</p><p>As such, <i>we reiterate our Buy rating on NIO stock</i>. However, we emphasize that it&#39;s suitable only as a speculative opportunity. Therefore, investors are reminded to size their exposure appropriately.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: It Didn't Fall To Its March Lows - COVID Headwinds Priced In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: It Didn't Fall To Its March Lows - COVID Headwinds Priced In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-04 11:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4506509-nio-stock-april-deliveries-covid-headwinds-priced-in><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment ThesisNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) reported an April delivery card that reflected the significant challenges from the recent COVID lockdowns in China. As a result, we believe it could spend the next...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4506509-nio-stock-april-deliveries-covid-headwinds-priced-in\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF-NikkoAM","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4526":"热门中概股","NIO":"蔚来","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4506509-nio-stock-april-deliveries-covid-headwinds-priced-in","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2232920016","content_text":"Investment ThesisNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) reported an April delivery card that reflected the significant challenges from the recent COVID lockdowns in China. As a result, we believe it could spend the next two quarters recovering to full production, impacting its revenue and profitability estimates.Notably, the consensus estimates for FY22 have also been revised markedly downwards, reflecting these headwinds. Therefore, we believe that its stock re-rating could be delayed further into FY23. However, our price action analysis also suggested that the near-term bottom could be in. Despite the underwhelming April report, the stock did not revisit its March lows.Furthermore, we also explained in a recent Alibaba & Chinese tech stocks article that the regulatory environment had improved markedly. Even though the COVID situation remains fluid, automotive businesses in Shanghai have started to resume operations. Therefore, we think the worst seems to be over for NIO and its Chinese EV peers.Consequently, we reiterate our Buy rating on NIO stock as a speculative opportunity only.NIO's Weak April Deliveries Are ExpectedNIO deliveries by month (Company filings)NIO delivered just 5.07K of vehicles in April 2022, down 28.6% YoY. It was also the company's worst showing since October 2021, when it delivered 3.67K of vehicles. Of course, its October performance was affected due to its production line upgrade. In April 2022, NIO was hit by industry-wide production cuts resulting from China's massive COVID lockdowns.However, we believe that the impact is transitory, not structural, despite the downbeat numbers. Furthermore, companies in the automotive supply chain have started to resume operations. Therefore, NIO is also expected to increase production gradually. However, we expect full production resumption to recover only from H2'22. Deutsche Bank (DB) also weighed in recently, as it added (edited):We expect some spillover effects in May related to suppliers slowly returning to production, while June could be the first \"normal\" month, assuming Covid conditions return to normal. NIO also continues to ramp up sales of its newly launched flagship ET7 sedan. We believe it will be one of the most popular premium cars on the market this year. - CnEVPostProduction Resumption In H2'22 Is Key For Re-RatingNIO revenue YoY change % consensus estimates (Company filings)NIO adjusted EBIT margins % consensus estimates (Company filings)As a result of the unexpected production curbs, the consensus estimates on NIO's revenue and profitability have been revised substantially downwards. Therefore, NIO's path to profitability has also been further extended.Notably, NIO is estimated to post revenue growth of 22.3% in FQ1, which was not impacted by the lockdowns, which intensified only at the end of March. However, its Q2 revenue growth estimates have been revised to 41.9%, from 47.8% (March estimates). Moreover, NIO's revenue growth cadence is also expected to be affected throughout the rest of FY22.In addition, NIO's adjusted EBIT margins are also estimated to suffer from significant markdowns. For instance, NIO is expected to post an adjusted EBIT margin of -15% in Q2 (ending June), down from the -8.6% estimates in March. Commentary from the Street also seemed downcast, as Morgan Stanley (MS) accentuated (edited):NIO's vehicle production and delivery were severely affected by supply chain disruptions amid COVID-19 lockdowns in China. Though soft April sales should have been well anticipated, investors are likely to keep a close watch on the resumption progress post-China's May holidays. - The FlyTherefore, we strongly encourage investors to watch the automotive supply chain developments closely.Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?NIO stock price chart (TradingView)As seen above, the market is still digesting the gains from 2020, overturned by the 2021 bull trap. Furthermore, NIO stock has also fallen through the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating that the momentum is bearish.However, we also observed that NIO stock did not break below its March lows, despite the underwhelming April delivery report and revised estimates. Therefore, we are sanguine that the market has already priced in significant headwinds in NIO stock.Accordingly, we think the stage has been set for management to more easily outperform moving forward. In addition, the revised estimates have lowered the bar for NIO to beat its upcoming Q1 earnings card, coupled with its Q2 guidance.However, we think its re-rating could take longer, potentially only from FY23, as the market parses its production cadence. Nevertheless, we believe the bottom seems to be near, as long as the COVID headwinds don't get worse moving forward.As such, we reiterate our Buy rating on NIO stock. However, we emphasize that it's suitable only as a speculative opportunity. Therefore, investors are reminded to size their exposure appropriately.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063655851,"gmtCreate":1651464205519,"gmtModify":1676534911265,"author":{"id":"3570852434754937","authorId":"3570852434754937","name":"Tbun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63e67729da4933c107a878402f4fce2c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063655851","repostId":"1115089008","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115089008","pubTimestamp":1651461673,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115089008?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-02 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115089008","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Beaten-down semiconductor stocks could be in for a rebound, thanks to strong growth forecast for the industry","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>These semiconductor stocks to buy all offer valuable upsides to investors.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b> (<b><u>NVDA</u></b>): Diversified products and end markets, strong execution and swelling market opportunity position the stock for growth.</li><li><b>Micron</b> (<b><u>MU</u></b>): A dominant market positioning and improving markets point to strong growth in the near term.</li><li><b>AMD</b> (<b><u>AMD</u></b>): Market share gains and lengthening semiconductor cycle bode well for the chipmaker.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e810948f0a5faa54c81c885d37234b6\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"900\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Shutterstock</span></p><p>Semiconductor stocks have retreated sharply in the year-to-date period. The <b>iShares Semiconductor ETF</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>SOXX</u></b>), considered a proxy of the industry, has shed 25% year-to-period. This is steeper than the 20% drop for the <b>Invesco QQQ Trust</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>QQQ</u></b>) and 12% decline for the <b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b> (NYSE:<b><u>SPY</u></b>).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9a503520de775704f0c3cfac4318d70\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Charts By TradingView</span></p><p>What’s ailing semiconductor stocks? The macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have dented consumer confidence and their willingness to purchase. U.S. consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index,fell to the lowest level in over 10 years in March before recovering slightly in April.</p><p>This is weighing down on the demand outlook for chip industry’s consumer-facing end markets such as smartphones.</p><p>On the supply side, companies are pressured by component shortages that have disrupted production plans. Then there is the input cost inflation these firms have to contend with.</p><p>But analysts are optimistic. As recently as this week, market research firm Gartner upwardly revised its semiconductor industry revenue forecast for 2022 by $37 billion to $676 billion. This represented a 13.6% year-over-year increase, coming on top of the 26.3% growth in 2021.</p><p>Much of the improvement is expected to come from higher average selling prices, according to Alan Priestley, research vice p resident at Gartner:</p><blockquote>“The semiconductor average selling price (ASP) hike from the chip shortage continues to be a key driver for growth in the global semiconductor market in 2022, but overall semiconductor component supply constraints are expected to gradually ease through 2022 and prices will stabilize with the improving inventory situation.”</blockquote><p>I used the following criteria to zero in on semiconductor stocks that offer huge upside potential:</p><ul><li>Market capitalization above $300 million</li><li>Average volume &amp; current volume greater than 500,000</li><li>Analyst recommendation of buy or better</li><li>Average analysts’ price target of 50% above current price</li><li>EPS growth of more than 15% next year</li><li>Average sales growth of more than 15% over the past five years</li></ul><p>The firm expects memory market and migration to 5G to fuel growth in the chip sector in 2022. These three stocks will benefit from that trend.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b><u>NVDA</u></b></td><td>Nvidia</td><td>$190.07</td></tr><tr><td><b><u>MU</u></b></td><td>Micron</td><td>$69.20</td></tr><tr><td><b><u>AMD</u></b></td><td>AMD</td><td>$87.37</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p><b>Nvidia’s</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>) valuation could be a deterrent for those picking stocks purely based on valuation. The stock is trading at a pricier price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of nearly 50 on a trailing twelve months, notably higher than the industry average of under 20. Does that mean one should shun the stock? Probably not.</p><p>Team Green has its hands in many pies. Nvidia’s revenue stream diversification came to the fore at its GTC 2022 developer conference held in late March. The company increased its long-term addressable market estimate to $1 trillion, with contributions from silicon and software. About $300 billion of this would come from artificial intelligence and omniverse enterprise software.</p><p>Nvidia is one of its kind and it has consistently grown its revenues at a stellar pace over the quarter, while also maintaining a strong margin profile.</p><p>As I recommended in late March, it isn’t too late to partake in the Nvidia party. As an added incentive, we now have an attractive entry point, thanks to the 35% plunge in the stock in the year-to-date period (YTD). The average analysts’ price target for Nvidia stock, according to TipRanks, is $336.57,suggesting roughly 76% upside potential.</p><p><b>Micron (MU)</b></p><p><b>Micron</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>MU</u></b>) will likely benefit from strong demand for memory chips, which are integrated circuits that can store data. These are used in a variety of applications. The company sells a variety of memory and storage solutions.</p><p>Micron’s second-quarter results, released in late March, underline the fundamental soundness of the company. Both top- and bottom-line comfortably beat expectations. On the earnings call, chief financial officer David Zinsner said DRAM prices have begun to strengthen and the NAND market is stabilizing. That said, the executive expects supply constraints to limit the company’s ability to serve potential upside to demand.</p><p>All the same, the company said improving market conditions and its significantly strong competitive position have set it up for stellar financial results in the second half of the calendar year 2022.</p><p>The average analysts’ price target of $115.94 for Micron stock suggests there is scope for about 67% upside.</p><p><b>AMD (AMD)</b></p><p><b>AMD</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>AMD</u></b>) has preserved its reputation as a growth stock ever since the Santa Clara, California-based company began a turnaround in 2017 with the launch of its Ryzen lineup of processors. The stock has not been immune to the tech sell-off seen since the start of the year. AMD stock has lost about 39% YTD.</p><p>Analysts attribute some of the weakness to investor fears of a cyclical slowdown or correction anticipated for the semiconductor sector.</p><p>AMD’s first-quarter results, due May 5, are widely expected to show 78% earnings per share (EPS) growth and 62% increase in revenue.</p><p>Earlier this week, Raymond James analyst Chris Caso upgraded AMD stock to a strong buy, premised o nmarket share gains in the data center segment. Tight supply conditions are prompting customers to commit to purchases from AMD, he added.</p><p>The company is expected to chip away at rival <b>Intel’s</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>INTC</u></b>) share in the PC processor market in the coming years, while also solidifying its position in the server processor market.</p><p>AMD stock offers roughly 65% upside potential; the average analysts’ price target is at $143.94.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for May 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-02 11:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/https-investorplace-com-p2223938previewtrue/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These semiconductor stocks to buy all offer valuable upsides to investors.Nvidia (NVDA): Diversified products and end markets, strong execution and swelling market opportunity position the stock for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/https-investorplace-com-p2223938previewtrue/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司","MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/https-investorplace-com-p2223938previewtrue/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115089008","content_text":"These semiconductor stocks to buy all offer valuable upsides to investors.Nvidia (NVDA): Diversified products and end markets, strong execution and swelling market opportunity position the stock for growth.Micron (MU): A dominant market positioning and improving markets point to strong growth in the near term.AMD (AMD): Market share gains and lengthening semiconductor cycle bode well for the chipmaker.Source: ShutterstockSemiconductor stocks have retreated sharply in the year-to-date period. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX), considered a proxy of the industry, has shed 25% year-to-period. This is steeper than the 20% drop for the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) and 12% decline for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY).Source: Charts By TradingViewWhat’s ailing semiconductor stocks? The macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have dented consumer confidence and their willingness to purchase. U.S. consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index,fell to the lowest level in over 10 years in March before recovering slightly in April.This is weighing down on the demand outlook for chip industry’s consumer-facing end markets such as smartphones.On the supply side, companies are pressured by component shortages that have disrupted production plans. Then there is the input cost inflation these firms have to contend with.But analysts are optimistic. As recently as this week, market research firm Gartner upwardly revised its semiconductor industry revenue forecast for 2022 by $37 billion to $676 billion. This represented a 13.6% year-over-year increase, coming on top of the 26.3% growth in 2021.Much of the improvement is expected to come from higher average selling prices, according to Alan Priestley, research vice p resident at Gartner:“The semiconductor average selling price (ASP) hike from the chip shortage continues to be a key driver for growth in the global semiconductor market in 2022, but overall semiconductor component supply constraints are expected to gradually ease through 2022 and prices will stabilize with the improving inventory situation.”I used the following criteria to zero in on semiconductor stocks that offer huge upside potential:Market capitalization above $300 millionAverage volume & current volume greater than 500,000Analyst recommendation of buy or betterAverage analysts’ price target of 50% above current priceEPS growth of more than 15% next yearAverage sales growth of more than 15% over the past five yearsThe firm expects memory market and migration to 5G to fuel growth in the chip sector in 2022. These three stocks will benefit from that trend.NVDANvidia$190.07MUMicron$69.20AMDAMD$87.37Nvidia (NVDA)Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) valuation could be a deterrent for those picking stocks purely based on valuation. The stock is trading at a pricier price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of nearly 50 on a trailing twelve months, notably higher than the industry average of under 20. Does that mean one should shun the stock? Probably not.Team Green has its hands in many pies. Nvidia’s revenue stream diversification came to the fore at its GTC 2022 developer conference held in late March. The company increased its long-term addressable market estimate to $1 trillion, with contributions from silicon and software. About $300 billion of this would come from artificial intelligence and omniverse enterprise software.Nvidia is one of its kind and it has consistently grown its revenues at a stellar pace over the quarter, while also maintaining a strong margin profile.As I recommended in late March, it isn’t too late to partake in the Nvidia party. As an added incentive, we now have an attractive entry point, thanks to the 35% plunge in the stock in the year-to-date period (YTD). The average analysts’ price target for Nvidia stock, according to TipRanks, is $336.57,suggesting roughly 76% upside potential.Micron (MU)Micron (NASDAQ:MU) will likely benefit from strong demand for memory chips, which are integrated circuits that can store data. These are used in a variety of applications. The company sells a variety of memory and storage solutions.Micron’s second-quarter results, released in late March, underline the fundamental soundness of the company. Both top- and bottom-line comfortably beat expectations. On the earnings call, chief financial officer David Zinsner said DRAM prices have begun to strengthen and the NAND market is stabilizing. That said, the executive expects supply constraints to limit the company’s ability to serve potential upside to demand.All the same, the company said improving market conditions and its significantly strong competitive position have set it up for stellar financial results in the second half of the calendar year 2022.The average analysts’ price target of $115.94 for Micron stock suggests there is scope for about 67% upside.AMD (AMD)AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) has preserved its reputation as a growth stock ever since the Santa Clara, California-based company began a turnaround in 2017 with the launch of its Ryzen lineup of processors. The stock has not been immune to the tech sell-off seen since the start of the year. AMD stock has lost about 39% YTD.Analysts attribute some of the weakness to investor fears of a cyclical slowdown or correction anticipated for the semiconductor sector.AMD’s first-quarter results, due May 5, are widely expected to show 78% earnings per share (EPS) growth and 62% increase in revenue.Earlier this week, Raymond James analyst Chris Caso upgraded AMD stock to a strong buy, premised o nmarket share gains in the data center segment. Tight supply conditions are prompting customers to commit to purchases from AMD, he added.The company is expected to chip away at rival Intel’s (NASDAQ:INTC) share in the PC processor market in the coming years, while also solidifying its position in the server processor market.AMD stock offers roughly 65% upside potential; the average analysts’ price target is at $143.94.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}