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2022-08-11

Opportunity or danger

Alibaba: More Bad News

2022-09-24

Tank

The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200

2022-08-26

Great

Apple Stock: Is It Overvalued?

2022-08-07

I see

SOXX Vs. QQQ: Time To Consider Heavier Bets On Tech

2022-08-30

Nice

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-14

Interesting

How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying

2022-08-05

Cool

EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading

2022-07-25

Sounds good

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2022-10-24

Hold

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-28

Good

Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1678142573,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317620488?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-07 06:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 Barely Gains Ahead of Powell Testimony, Jobs Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317620488","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Apple rises as Goldman begins coverage with 'buy'* Silvergate shares tumble after it suspends paym","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Apple rises as Goldman begins coverage with &#39;buy&#39;</p><p>* Silvergate shares tumble after it suspends payments network</p><p>* Factory orders fall in January</p><p>* Indexes: Dow up 0.12%, S&amp;P up 0.07%, Nasdaq down 0.11%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a454718febcbb5a7afac62d9fd055e1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>March 6 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed barely higher on Monday, giving up most of its earlier gains as investors were cautious ahead of this week&#39;s testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the closely watched U.S. jobs report.</p><p>Earlier in the session the indexes looked much stronger with the Nasdaq gaining more than 1% before closing lower. 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Ultimately all roads lead to the Fed.&#34;</p><p>And with potential Fed rate hikes their key concern, Monday&#39;s data had already dampened investor enthusiasm, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;The market pullback was because there is still a lot of work to do on inflation,&#34; said Cruz. &#34;We&#39;re not seeing the type of demand slowdown we need to see. The whole point of the Fed hiking rates is to slow down the economy.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 40.47 points, or 0.12%, to 33,431.44; the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.78 points, or 0.07%, at 4,048.42; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.27 points, or 0.11%, to 11,675.74.</p><p>Among the S&amp;P&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, six ended the day higher. The commodity-linked materials sector was the biggest decliner, falling 1.7%, after China set a lower-than-expected target for economic growth this year at around 5%.</p><p>The technology sector was the top gainer, with the biggest lift from Apple, which closed up 1.9%. Other strong boosts came from Microsoft Corp, which added 0.6%, and Google parent Alphabet Inc, which rose 1.6%.</p><p>The three main U.S. stock indexes had rallied on Friday and notched weekly gains after comments from Fed policymakers calmed jitters around aggressive rate hikes.</p><p>But San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said on Saturday that if inflation and labor market data continue to come in hotter than expected, interest rates would need to go higher and stay there longer than Fed policymakers had projected in December.</p><p>Investors will look for clues about the Fed&#39;s future rate hiking path when Powell testifies before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Since Powell last spoke strong economic data and hotter than expected inflation have raised concerns the Fed will raise rates higher than expected or keep them higher for longer.</p><p>Traders expect at least three more 25-basis-point hikes this year and see interest rates peaking at 5.44% by September from 4.67% now.</p><p>Shares of cryptocurrency-related companies were volatile after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital</a> Corp pulled the plug on its crypto payments network and raised doubts about the company&#39;s ability to stay in business. Silvergate shares closed down 6.2% while crypto bank peer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a> fell 2.5%.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.69-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.94-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 92 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 10.57 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.98 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 Barely Gains Ahead of Powell Testimony, Jobs Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 Barely Gains Ahead of Powell Testimony, Jobs Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-07 06:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Apple rises as Goldman begins coverage with &#39;buy&#39;</p><p>* Silvergate shares tumble after it suspends payments network</p><p>* Factory orders fall in January</p><p>* Indexes: Dow up 0.12%, S&amp;P up 0.07%, Nasdaq down 0.11%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a454718febcbb5a7afac62d9fd055e1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>March 6 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed barely higher on Monday, giving up most of its earlier gains as investors were cautious ahead of this week&#39;s testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the closely watched U.S. jobs report.</p><p>Earlier in the session the indexes looked much stronger with the Nasdaq gaining more than 1% before closing lower. The biggest boost had come from iPhone maker Apple Inc after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a &#34;buy&#34; rating.</p><p>But equities gave up earlier gains as yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes and the 2-year Treasuries yield came back from early declines after data showed new orders for U.S.-manufactured goods fell less than expected in January.</p><p>Rising bond yields tend to weigh on equity valuations, particularly those of growth and technology stocks, as higher rates reduce the value of future cash flows.</p><p>&#34;The market is in a holding pattern because this week will be key to shedding light on what&#39;s going on with the U.S. economy,&#34; said Irene Tunkel, chief U.S. equity strategist for BCA Research in New York, who plans to keep a close watch on February&#39;s U.S. non-farm payrolls report, due out Friday.</p><p>&#34;People are worried about the jobs number and the economic data because they&#39;re worried about what the Fed will do. Ultimately all roads lead to the Fed.&#34;</p><p>And with potential Fed rate hikes their key concern, Monday&#39;s data had already dampened investor enthusiasm, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;The market pullback was because there is still a lot of work to do on inflation,&#34; said Cruz. &#34;We&#39;re not seeing the type of demand slowdown we need to see. The whole point of the Fed hiking rates is to slow down the economy.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 40.47 points, or 0.12%, to 33,431.44; the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.78 points, or 0.07%, at 4,048.42; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.27 points, or 0.11%, to 11,675.74.</p><p>Among the S&amp;P&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, six ended the day higher. The commodity-linked materials sector was the biggest decliner, falling 1.7%, after China set a lower-than-expected target for economic growth this year at around 5%.</p><p>The technology sector was the top gainer, with the biggest lift from Apple, which closed up 1.9%. Other strong boosts came from Microsoft Corp, which added 0.6%, and Google parent Alphabet Inc, which rose 1.6%.</p><p>The three main U.S. stock indexes had rallied on Friday and notched weekly gains after comments from Fed policymakers calmed jitters around aggressive rate hikes.</p><p>But San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said on Saturday that if inflation and labor market data continue to come in hotter than expected, interest rates would need to go higher and stay there longer than Fed policymakers had projected in December.</p><p>Investors will look for clues about the Fed&#39;s future rate hiking path when Powell testifies before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Since Powell last spoke strong economic data and hotter than expected inflation have raised concerns the Fed will raise rates higher than expected or keep them higher for longer.</p><p>Traders expect at least three more 25-basis-point hikes this year and see interest rates peaking at 5.44% by September from 4.67% now.</p><p>Shares of cryptocurrency-related companies were volatile after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital</a> Corp pulled the plug on its crypto payments network and raised doubts about the company&#39;s ability to stay in business. Silvergate shares closed down 6.2% while crypto bank peer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a> fell 2.5%.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.69-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.94-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 92 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 10.57 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.98 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4576":"AR","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4579":"人工智能","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","SPY":"标普500ETF","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SI":"Shoulder Innovations, Inc.","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","AAPL":"苹果","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","BK4501":"段永平概念","LU0289961442.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (SGD) ACC","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0511384066.AUD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317620488","content_text":"* Apple rises as Goldman begins coverage with 'buy'* Silvergate shares tumble after it suspends payments network* Factory orders fall in January* Indexes: Dow up 0.12%, S&P up 0.07%, Nasdaq down 0.11%March 6 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed barely higher on Monday, giving up most of its earlier gains as investors were cautious ahead of this week's testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the closely watched U.S. jobs report.Earlier in the session the indexes looked much stronger with the Nasdaq gaining more than 1% before closing lower. The biggest boost had come from iPhone maker Apple Inc after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a \"buy\" rating.But equities gave up earlier gains as yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes and the 2-year Treasuries yield came back from early declines after data showed new orders for U.S.-manufactured goods fell less than expected in January.Rising bond yields tend to weigh on equity valuations, particularly those of growth and technology stocks, as higher rates reduce the value of future cash flows.\"The market is in a holding pattern because this week will be key to shedding light on what's going on with the U.S. economy,\" said Irene Tunkel, chief U.S. equity strategist for BCA Research in New York, who plans to keep a close watch on February's U.S. non-farm payrolls report, due out Friday.\"People are worried about the jobs number and the economic data because they're worried about what the Fed will do. Ultimately all roads lead to the Fed.\"And with potential Fed rate hikes their key concern, Monday's data had already dampened investor enthusiasm, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.\"The market pullback was because there is still a lot of work to do on inflation,\" said Cruz. \"We're not seeing the type of demand slowdown we need to see. The whole point of the Fed hiking rates is to slow down the economy.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 40.47 points, or 0.12%, to 33,431.44; the S&P 500 gained 2.78 points, or 0.07%, at 4,048.42; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.27 points, or 0.11%, to 11,675.74.Among the S&P's 11 major industry sectors, six ended the day higher. The commodity-linked materials sector was the biggest decliner, falling 1.7%, after China set a lower-than-expected target for economic growth this year at around 5%.The technology sector was the top gainer, with the biggest lift from Apple, which closed up 1.9%. Other strong boosts came from Microsoft Corp, which added 0.6%, and Google parent Alphabet Inc, which rose 1.6%.The three main U.S. stock indexes had rallied on Friday and notched weekly gains after comments from Fed policymakers calmed jitters around aggressive rate hikes.But San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said on Saturday that if inflation and labor market data continue to come in hotter than expected, interest rates would need to go higher and stay there longer than Fed policymakers had projected in December.Investors will look for clues about the Fed's future rate hiking path when Powell testifies before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Since Powell last spoke strong economic data and hotter than expected inflation have raised concerns the Fed will raise rates higher than expected or keep them higher for longer.Traders expect at least three more 25-basis-point hikes this year and see interest rates peaking at 5.44% by September from 4.67% now.Shares of cryptocurrency-related companies were volatile after Silvergate Capital Corp pulled the plug on its crypto payments network and raised doubts about the company's ability to stay in business. Silvergate shares closed down 6.2% while crypto bank peer Signature Bank fell 2.5%.Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.69-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.94-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 92 new lows.On U.S. exchanges 10.57 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.98 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"SI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940380922,"gmtCreate":1677689212467,"gmtModify":1677689216222,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940380922","repostId":"2316693626","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2316693626","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1677669088,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2316693626?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-01 19:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Readies Revamp of Model Y Codenamed \"Juniper\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2316693626","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Tesla is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, according to three peo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, according to three people with knowledge of the plan.</p><p>The changes to the Model Y – code-named Project Juniper at Tesla - involve the exterior and interior of the crossover electric vehicle with a target of starting production in 2024, according to two of the people, who asked not to be identified because the planning remains private.</p><p>A revamp of the Model Y would mean Tesla is on track to offer new versions of its top-selling models over the next two years, addressing pressure in markets like China and the United States for a visible reboot of its best-selling vehicles in the face of increasing options for EV buyers.</p><p>The automaker has not commented on its product strategy or any planned model changes. Tesla did not immediately comment when asked by Reuters about the plans for the Model Y, which was its best seller in California, China and Europe last year.</p><p>Chief Executive Elon Musk has said he will discuss the third part of the EV maker&#39;s &#34;Master Plan&#34; when the company holds an investor day event later on Wednesday.</p><p>Tesla has already been working to retool its Shanghai assembly plant to prepare for a revamped version of its Model 3 sedan, a project codenamed Highland by Tesla, Reuters has reported.</p><p>The Highland version of the Model 3 is expected to go into production in Shanghai in September, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.</p><p>With Highland, Tesla is aiming to cut production costs and boost the appeal of an electric sedan that first went on sale in 2017, people involved in the project have said. There will also be changes to the exterior and powertrain performance with a focus on production efficiency, they said.</p><p>Tesla has separately asked suppliers for quotes for a revamped version of the Project Juniper version of the Model Y for exterior and interior components that would go into production next year, two of the people said.</p><p>The projected start of production is October 2024, according to one of the people.</p><p>It was not immediately clear how sweeping the revamp would be or what specific changes or improvements Tesla was looking to deliver with the new Model Y.</p><p>At the investor day event scheduled to be held at its Gigafactory in Texas on Wednesday, Tesla has said it will share details about its next-generation vehicle platforms, which Musk has said would produce a vehicle about half the cost of Tesla&#39;s current vehicle underpinings.</p><p>Tesla also said it will discuss long-term expansion plans, capital allocation and other subjects.</p><p>The leading EV maker has faced increasing competitive pressure in China, its second largest market behind the United States, even after it cut prices.</p><p>Analysts have said that is in part because it has been seen as lagging competitors in introducing new models, improved navigation or luxe interior touches that car shoppers in the world&#39;s largest EV market are seeking.</p><p>A revamp of the Model Y, first delivered to customers in 2020, would mean production and supply changes for a car now in production in all of Tesla&#39;s major hubs: the United States, China and Germany.</p><p>In contrast to legacy automakers, which have tended to make incremental model-year changes to cars before introducing an all-new version, Tesla has pressed the pace of change in its electric vehicles.</p><p>Tesla has made frequent changes to its electric vehicles through software updates and sometimes through hardware changes to add features, improve performance or reduce production costs, analysts have said.</p><p>In one example, Tesla announced on Wednesday it had made changes in the suspension system on the Model Y made in China since January to make the ride smoother, an update Tesla fans applauded on social media.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s plant near Berlin hit a new production record equivalent to annual output of over 200,000 Model Ys earlier this week, the company said. That was three weeks ahead of an internal production target reviewed by Reuters.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Readies Revamp of Model Y Codenamed \"Juniper\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Readies Revamp of Model Y Codenamed \"Juniper\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-01 19:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, according to three people with knowledge of the plan.</p><p>The changes to the Model Y – code-named Project Juniper at Tesla - involve the exterior and interior of the crossover electric vehicle with a target of starting production in 2024, according to two of the people, who asked not to be identified because the planning remains private.</p><p>A revamp of the Model Y would mean Tesla is on track to offer new versions of its top-selling models over the next two years, addressing pressure in markets like China and the United States for a visible reboot of its best-selling vehicles in the face of increasing options for EV buyers.</p><p>The automaker has not commented on its product strategy or any planned model changes. Tesla did not immediately comment when asked by Reuters about the plans for the Model Y, which was its best seller in California, China and Europe last year.</p><p>Chief Executive Elon Musk has said he will discuss the third part of the EV maker&#39;s &#34;Master Plan&#34; when the company holds an investor day event later on Wednesday.</p><p>Tesla has already been working to retool its Shanghai assembly plant to prepare for a revamped version of its Model 3 sedan, a project codenamed Highland by Tesla, Reuters has reported.</p><p>The Highland version of the Model 3 is expected to go into production in Shanghai in September, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.</p><p>With Highland, Tesla is aiming to cut production costs and boost the appeal of an electric sedan that first went on sale in 2017, people involved in the project have said. There will also be changes to the exterior and powertrain performance with a focus on production efficiency, they said.</p><p>Tesla has separately asked suppliers for quotes for a revamped version of the Project Juniper version of the Model Y for exterior and interior components that would go into production next year, two of the people said.</p><p>The projected start of production is October 2024, according to one of the people.</p><p>It was not immediately clear how sweeping the revamp would be or what specific changes or improvements Tesla was looking to deliver with the new Model Y.</p><p>At the investor day event scheduled to be held at its Gigafactory in Texas on Wednesday, Tesla has said it will share details about its next-generation vehicle platforms, which Musk has said would produce a vehicle about half the cost of Tesla&#39;s current vehicle underpinings.</p><p>Tesla also said it will discuss long-term expansion plans, capital allocation and other subjects.</p><p>The leading EV maker has faced increasing competitive pressure in China, its second largest market behind the United States, even after it cut prices.</p><p>Analysts have said that is in part because it has been seen as lagging competitors in introducing new models, improved navigation or luxe interior touches that car shoppers in the world&#39;s largest EV market are seeking.</p><p>A revamp of the Model Y, first delivered to customers in 2020, would mean production and supply changes for a car now in production in all of Tesla&#39;s major hubs: the United States, China and Germany.</p><p>In contrast to legacy automakers, which have tended to make incremental model-year changes to cars before introducing an all-new version, Tesla has pressed the pace of change in its electric vehicles.</p><p>Tesla has made frequent changes to its electric vehicles through software updates and sometimes through hardware changes to add features, improve performance or reduce production costs, analysts have said.</p><p>In one example, Tesla announced on Wednesday it had made changes in the suspension system on the Model Y made in China since January to make the ride smoother, an update Tesla fans applauded on social media.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s plant near Berlin hit a new production record equivalent to annual output of over 200,000 Model Ys earlier this week, the company said. That was three weeks ahead of an internal production target reviewed by Reuters.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2316693626","content_text":"(Reuters) - Tesla is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, according to three people with knowledge of the plan.The changes to the Model Y – code-named Project Juniper at Tesla - involve the exterior and interior of the crossover electric vehicle with a target of starting production in 2024, according to two of the people, who asked not to be identified because the planning remains private.A revamp of the Model Y would mean Tesla is on track to offer new versions of its top-selling models over the next two years, addressing pressure in markets like China and the United States for a visible reboot of its best-selling vehicles in the face of increasing options for EV buyers.The automaker has not commented on its product strategy or any planned model changes. Tesla did not immediately comment when asked by Reuters about the plans for the Model Y, which was its best seller in California, China and Europe last year.Chief Executive Elon Musk has said he will discuss the third part of the EV maker's \"Master Plan\" when the company holds an investor day event later on Wednesday.Tesla has already been working to retool its Shanghai assembly plant to prepare for a revamped version of its Model 3 sedan, a project codenamed Highland by Tesla, Reuters has reported.The Highland version of the Model 3 is expected to go into production in Shanghai in September, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.With Highland, Tesla is aiming to cut production costs and boost the appeal of an electric sedan that first went on sale in 2017, people involved in the project have said. There will also be changes to the exterior and powertrain performance with a focus on production efficiency, they said.Tesla has separately asked suppliers for quotes for a revamped version of the Project Juniper version of the Model Y for exterior and interior components that would go into production next year, two of the people said.The projected start of production is October 2024, according to one of the people.It was not immediately clear how sweeping the revamp would be or what specific changes or improvements Tesla was looking to deliver with the new Model Y.At the investor day event scheduled to be held at its Gigafactory in Texas on Wednesday, Tesla has said it will share details about its next-generation vehicle platforms, which Musk has said would produce a vehicle about half the cost of Tesla's current vehicle underpinings.Tesla also said it will discuss long-term expansion plans, capital allocation and other subjects.The leading EV maker has faced increasing competitive pressure in China, its second largest market behind the United States, even after it cut prices.Analysts have said that is in part because it has been seen as lagging competitors in introducing new models, improved navigation or luxe interior touches that car shoppers in the world's largest EV market are seeking.A revamp of the Model Y, first delivered to customers in 2020, would mean production and supply changes for a car now in production in all of Tesla's major hubs: the United States, China and Germany.In contrast to legacy automakers, which have tended to make incremental model-year changes to cars before introducing an all-new version, Tesla has pressed the pace of change in its electric vehicles.Tesla has made frequent changes to its electric vehicles through software updates and sometimes through hardware changes to add features, improve performance or reduce production costs, analysts have said.In one example, Tesla announced on Wednesday it had made changes in the suspension system on the Model Y made in China since January to make the ride smoother, an update Tesla fans applauded on social media.Tesla's plant near Berlin hit a new production record equivalent to annual output of over 200,000 Model Ys earlier this week, the company said. That was three weeks ahead of an internal production target reviewed by Reuters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988810650,"gmtCreate":1666716436471,"gmtModify":1676537794941,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988810650","repostId":"2278020272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2278020272","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666700972,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278020272?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-25 20:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: You Have Been Warned","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278020272","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the dem","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>While iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.</li><li>The low-end models bring increasing risk that the production numbers for 2023 may be revised downwards, especially if demand continues to weaken further.</li><li>China will likely disappoint as consumer sentiment worsens given the soft iPhone shipments to China and weakening retail sales data as the country continues to be challenging for Apple.</li><li>My 1-year target price for Apple is $135. This represents an 8% downside from current levels.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40f69d8740cc2bafe8656b09f1d0bcff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ivan-balvan</span></p><p>In my previous article for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I warned that the demand for iPhone 14&#39;s low-end models was weaker than expected, and this turned out to be true as mainstream media subsequently reported that Apple decided to reduceproduction numbers in the near term.</p><p>In this article, I provide an update to show that the demand for the newest iPhone 14 models continues to fall, even for the high-end models, and highlight the increasing worries for the company in the run-up to its next quarter&#39;s earnings report.</p><h2>Investment thesis</h2><p>I continue to take the view that Apple has a great business model, excellent products with strong brand equity and run by a solid management team. However, I think that this is a challenging environment for Apple as there are increasing risks and uncertainties for the company. I think that the weakening demand for its newest iPhone 14 models is worrying as even the high-end models seem to have lost interest and demand continues to fall for these products. On the other hand, the weak low-end iPhone 14 models have been disappointing and could provide near-term headwinds to production unit numbers as Apple could revise the number downwards if demand falls.</p><p>Another concern that Apple investors need to consider is China, which saw smartphone shipments decline recently, along with weakening retail sales for the third quarter, as consumer sentiment continues to be weak given the tough covid policies taken by the Chinese authorities and the impact of the property and technology sectors on the Chinese economy.</p><p>All in all, I would advise investors to hold the course for Apple as it remains not a good time to be adding to the shares given that the risk-reward perspective is skewed more to the downside, in my view.</p><h2>Demand for iPhones falling off after the initial strong response</h2><p>According to the UBS Evidence Lab data, their analysis showed that the initial strong demand that we saw for the high-end iPhone Pro Max is starting to wane. The UBS Evidence Lab data looks at the availability for the iPhone across more than 30 countries and also analyzed the supply chains and wait times for the iPhones.</p><p>We have seen wait times continue to weaken in recent days relative to post-launch while the US is the only market that continues to be an outlier in terms of wait times. For the US, the wait time for the iPhone 14 Pro Max is now at 27 days, higher than that for China which is at 23 days and the rest of the world at 21 days. As a result, the US region&#39;s strength has actually resulted in an almost 30% sell-through for the iPhone.</p><p>As can be seen below, the trends for the US remain that the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max are the two preferred by consumers, while the demand for the low-end models like iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus is actually quite disappointing, in my view.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9509834e5f505bcb3a9da3aa70fc47f\" tg-width=\"536\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>iPhone availability in the US (UBS)</span></p><p>However, when we look at the relative trends for the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max, their demand has really declined over the past few weeks, while the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max held up their demand over the same period. This does indicate to me a worrying trend even for the high-end models as the demand does seem to be weaker than last year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0450e3eda6b8a53cacc483158a045d03\" tg-width=\"524\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max compared to iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max in the US (UBS)</span></p><h2>Declining demand and the implications for near-term results</h2><p>As I have stated in my previous article that the low-end iPhone 14 demands have been rather weak, the demand for the iPhone 14 is heavily skewed towards to high-end iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max. While this does give a boost in terms of increasing the average selling price for the September as well as the December quarters, I think that the high availability of the low-end iPhones poses a risk to the second half of 2022 and 2023. This risk comes in the form of Apple missing on their units as they scale back production of the low-end models. In fact, just last month, Apple announced that they will be scaling back plans to increase production of the iPhone 14 by 6 million units. Instead, it will be producing a similar number of units as in the last year with an aim of 90 million handsets for the period.</p><p>While I think that Apple will likely shift production focus from the low-end handsets to the high-end handsets, there could be a further risk that the iPhone 14 low-end models continue to miss on the units sold, which could drive production numbers down further than expected.</p><p>As a result, I take the view that there is relatively low upside to the unit forecast of 48 million in September and 83 million in December as the early indicators are showing that we are seeing demand creeping downwards post-launch. In fact, there is a greater risk to the production consensus numbers for the second half of 2022 as well as for calendar year 2023, which is currently at 84 million and 244 million respectively, according to Visible Alpha. The bigger risk, in my view, will be the 244 million units for the calendar year 2023 as there is a risk that the low-end production could continue to be reduced in time to come as demand continues to weaken.</p><h2>China weakness remains a near-term headwind</h2><p>There are worrying trends for Apple&#39;s iPhone business in China as the country is struggling with multiple troubles internally. The July smartphone shipments in China were down 31% in July. While this is partly attributable to the lack of new models, I think that the decline in smartphone shipments also signal increasing troubles for the iPhone demand in China, at least in the near term.</p><p>This is because China&#39;s economy seems to be faltering, as Covid-19 restrictions and lockdowns in cities across China have dampened demand in July. In my view, this will likely continue to cause softness in the near term as China continues to take a zero covid policy approach. While the direct impact of the zero covid policy approach and lockdowns in the cities is that there is lower foot traffic in the malls and Apple stores, the indirect impact is resulting in a heavy toll on the Chinese economy.</p><p>Recently, retail sales in China weakened in the third quarter, which implies weakening consumer sentiment and for Apple, there could be a risk that this might imply lower demand for the high-end iPhone models.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>My 1-year target price for Apple is based on an equal weight of a P/E multiple method, as well as a DCF method. For the P/E multiple method, I apply a 25x P/E multiple to the average of Apple&#39;s FY2023F and FY2024F earnings per share forecasts. While Apple is merely growing at 6% earnings per share CAGR over the next 2 years, I think that the 25x forward multiple is justified given the strong management team, solid brand reputation, as well as the competitive advantages that Apple will continue to enjoy in the future due to its leadership position in the industry. For the DCF method, I apply a terminal multiple of 20x and discount rate of 8%. I have taken into account the near-term weakness in my near-term financial forecasts for Apple as I incorporate in my forecasts some of the risks that arise from the weakening macroeconomic environment. That said, I have yet to price in a full recession scenario in my model for Apple.</p><p>Based on the two valuation methodologies, I arrived at a target price of $135 for Apple. This represents an 8% downside from current levels. While there is potential downside to come in the near term, as well as increasing risks that unit forecasts may miss expectations and demand from China may fall, I maintain my neutral rating for Apple as it continues to look good for the long-term. Apple continues to reap the benefits from the strong brand reputation, solid demand globally, stellar management execution and a long track record of success.</p><h2>Risks</h2><h3>Weakening macroeconomic environment</h3><p>The global macroeconomic environment is facing an increasingly uncertain and gloomy period as global growth seems to be stalling as central banks globally increase interest rates to tackle rising global inflation. TheIMFcontinues to see global challenges that will challenge growth forecasts in the near term.</p><p>For Apple, while its products can be argued to be an essential good for the digital world we live in today, it is still not immune to a global macro slowdown. In particular, Apple could see consumers less willing to change handsets and holding on to current handsets for a longer time during weak economic periods, while also trading down from higher-priced and high-end iPhone models to lower-end models. If the demand for Apple&#39;s products falls more than expected given further weakening of the global economy, this will result in downward revisions for the stock price.</p><h3>China demand</h3><p>As the next growth driver for Apple given the relatively lower penetration in the country as well as increasing affluence, China is an important market for Apple. As a result of tough covid 19 policies as well as the clampdown on the technology sector and the troubles facing the real estate sector, consumer sentiment in the country is rather weak at the current moment. As a result, I think that the demand in China poses one of the bigger risks for Apple as it may fall drastically as the economy worsens given the many challenges the country is facing today.</p><h3>Market share loss in smartphone markets</h3><p>I continue to take the view that Apple has one of the best and strongest competitive moats in the world given that they have a strong brand name globally and they continue to strive to be at the forefront of technological innovation. The risk remains that Apple needs to continue to innovate to maintain this leading position. While there are many other smartphone players in both the low-end and high-end markets, these players currently do not enjoy the same brand recognition and equity that Apple does. However, if its competitors are able to come up with better features or better software, this may undermine Apple&#39;s current dominant position in the industry.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>To sum things up, Apple continues to face near-term headwinds as uncertainties and risks mount for the company. The recently launched iPhone 14 models have seen demand waning, for both the low-end and high-end models. This might signal demand, in general, is falling as consumers become increasingly cost-sensitive as the global economic situation worsens. In particular, there is a risk that Apple may reduce its production numbers if the low-end iPhone 14 models continue to disappoint. In China, Apple has a risk that demand for its products may fall in the near term as the Chinese economy is hurt by the zero-covid policies as well as the impact of the technology and real estate sectors on the Chinese economy. My 1-year target price is $135 for Apple, implying an 8% downside from current levels. As such, I maintain my neutral rating as I continue to think that this is not yet the time to be adding to Apple.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Simple Investing</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: You Have Been Warned</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: You Have Been Warned\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 20:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.The low-end models ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278020272","content_text":"SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.The low-end models bring increasing risk that the production numbers for 2023 may be revised downwards, especially if demand continues to weaken further.China will likely disappoint as consumer sentiment worsens given the soft iPhone shipments to China and weakening retail sales data as the country continues to be challenging for Apple.My 1-year target price for Apple is $135. This represents an 8% downside from current levels.Ivan-balvanIn my previous article for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I warned that the demand for iPhone 14's low-end models was weaker than expected, and this turned out to be true as mainstream media subsequently reported that Apple decided to reduceproduction numbers in the near term.In this article, I provide an update to show that the demand for the newest iPhone 14 models continues to fall, even for the high-end models, and highlight the increasing worries for the company in the run-up to its next quarter's earnings report.Investment thesisI continue to take the view that Apple has a great business model, excellent products with strong brand equity and run by a solid management team. However, I think that this is a challenging environment for Apple as there are increasing risks and uncertainties for the company. I think that the weakening demand for its newest iPhone 14 models is worrying as even the high-end models seem to have lost interest and demand continues to fall for these products. On the other hand, the weak low-end iPhone 14 models have been disappointing and could provide near-term headwinds to production unit numbers as Apple could revise the number downwards if demand falls.Another concern that Apple investors need to consider is China, which saw smartphone shipments decline recently, along with weakening retail sales for the third quarter, as consumer sentiment continues to be weak given the tough covid policies taken by the Chinese authorities and the impact of the property and technology sectors on the Chinese economy.All in all, I would advise investors to hold the course for Apple as it remains not a good time to be adding to the shares given that the risk-reward perspective is skewed more to the downside, in my view.Demand for iPhones falling off after the initial strong responseAccording to the UBS Evidence Lab data, their analysis showed that the initial strong demand that we saw for the high-end iPhone Pro Max is starting to wane. The UBS Evidence Lab data looks at the availability for the iPhone across more than 30 countries and also analyzed the supply chains and wait times for the iPhones.We have seen wait times continue to weaken in recent days relative to post-launch while the US is the only market that continues to be an outlier in terms of wait times. For the US, the wait time for the iPhone 14 Pro Max is now at 27 days, higher than that for China which is at 23 days and the rest of the world at 21 days. As a result, the US region's strength has actually resulted in an almost 30% sell-through for the iPhone.As can be seen below, the trends for the US remain that the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max are the two preferred by consumers, while the demand for the low-end models like iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus is actually quite disappointing, in my view.iPhone availability in the US (UBS)However, when we look at the relative trends for the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max, their demand has really declined over the past few weeks, while the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max held up their demand over the same period. This does indicate to me a worrying trend even for the high-end models as the demand does seem to be weaker than last year.iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max compared to iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max in the US (UBS)Declining demand and the implications for near-term resultsAs I have stated in my previous article that the low-end iPhone 14 demands have been rather weak, the demand for the iPhone 14 is heavily skewed towards to high-end iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max. While this does give a boost in terms of increasing the average selling price for the September as well as the December quarters, I think that the high availability of the low-end iPhones poses a risk to the second half of 2022 and 2023. This risk comes in the form of Apple missing on their units as they scale back production of the low-end models. In fact, just last month, Apple announced that they will be scaling back plans to increase production of the iPhone 14 by 6 million units. Instead, it will be producing a similar number of units as in the last year with an aim of 90 million handsets for the period.While I think that Apple will likely shift production focus from the low-end handsets to the high-end handsets, there could be a further risk that the iPhone 14 low-end models continue to miss on the units sold, which could drive production numbers down further than expected.As a result, I take the view that there is relatively low upside to the unit forecast of 48 million in September and 83 million in December as the early indicators are showing that we are seeing demand creeping downwards post-launch. In fact, there is a greater risk to the production consensus numbers for the second half of 2022 as well as for calendar year 2023, which is currently at 84 million and 244 million respectively, according to Visible Alpha. The bigger risk, in my view, will be the 244 million units for the calendar year 2023 as there is a risk that the low-end production could continue to be reduced in time to come as demand continues to weaken.China weakness remains a near-term headwindThere are worrying trends for Apple's iPhone business in China as the country is struggling with multiple troubles internally. The July smartphone shipments in China were down 31% in July. While this is partly attributable to the lack of new models, I think that the decline in smartphone shipments also signal increasing troubles for the iPhone demand in China, at least in the near term.This is because China's economy seems to be faltering, as Covid-19 restrictions and lockdowns in cities across China have dampened demand in July. In my view, this will likely continue to cause softness in the near term as China continues to take a zero covid policy approach. While the direct impact of the zero covid policy approach and lockdowns in the cities is that there is lower foot traffic in the malls and Apple stores, the indirect impact is resulting in a heavy toll on the Chinese economy.Recently, retail sales in China weakened in the third quarter, which implies weakening consumer sentiment and for Apple, there could be a risk that this might imply lower demand for the high-end iPhone models.ValuationMy 1-year target price for Apple is based on an equal weight of a P/E multiple method, as well as a DCF method. For the P/E multiple method, I apply a 25x P/E multiple to the average of Apple's FY2023F and FY2024F earnings per share forecasts. While Apple is merely growing at 6% earnings per share CAGR over the next 2 years, I think that the 25x forward multiple is justified given the strong management team, solid brand reputation, as well as the competitive advantages that Apple will continue to enjoy in the future due to its leadership position in the industry. For the DCF method, I apply a terminal multiple of 20x and discount rate of 8%. I have taken into account the near-term weakness in my near-term financial forecasts for Apple as I incorporate in my forecasts some of the risks that arise from the weakening macroeconomic environment. That said, I have yet to price in a full recession scenario in my model for Apple.Based on the two valuation methodologies, I arrived at a target price of $135 for Apple. This represents an 8% downside from current levels. While there is potential downside to come in the near term, as well as increasing risks that unit forecasts may miss expectations and demand from China may fall, I maintain my neutral rating for Apple as it continues to look good for the long-term. Apple continues to reap the benefits from the strong brand reputation, solid demand globally, stellar management execution and a long track record of success.RisksWeakening macroeconomic environmentThe global macroeconomic environment is facing an increasingly uncertain and gloomy period as global growth seems to be stalling as central banks globally increase interest rates to tackle rising global inflation. TheIMFcontinues to see global challenges that will challenge growth forecasts in the near term.For Apple, while its products can be argued to be an essential good for the digital world we live in today, it is still not immune to a global macro slowdown. In particular, Apple could see consumers less willing to change handsets and holding on to current handsets for a longer time during weak economic periods, while also trading down from higher-priced and high-end iPhone models to lower-end models. If the demand for Apple's products falls more than expected given further weakening of the global economy, this will result in downward revisions for the stock price.China demandAs the next growth driver for Apple given the relatively lower penetration in the country as well as increasing affluence, China is an important market for Apple. As a result of tough covid 19 policies as well as the clampdown on the technology sector and the troubles facing the real estate sector, consumer sentiment in the country is rather weak at the current moment. As a result, I think that the demand in China poses one of the bigger risks for Apple as it may fall drastically as the economy worsens given the many challenges the country is facing today.Market share loss in smartphone marketsI continue to take the view that Apple has one of the best and strongest competitive moats in the world given that they have a strong brand name globally and they continue to strive to be at the forefront of technological innovation. The risk remains that Apple needs to continue to innovate to maintain this leading position. While there are many other smartphone players in both the low-end and high-end markets, these players currently do not enjoy the same brand recognition and equity that Apple does. However, if its competitors are able to come up with better features or better software, this may undermine Apple's current dominant position in the industry.ConclusionTo sum things up, Apple continues to face near-term headwinds as uncertainties and risks mount for the company. The recently launched iPhone 14 models have seen demand waning, for both the low-end and high-end models. This might signal demand, in general, is falling as consumers become increasingly cost-sensitive as the global economic situation worsens. In particular, there is a risk that Apple may reduce its production numbers if the low-end iPhone 14 models continue to disappoint. In China, Apple has a risk that demand for its products may fall in the near term as the Chinese economy is hurt by the zero-covid policies as well as the impact of the technology and real estate sectors on the Chinese economy. My 1-year target price is $135 for Apple, implying an 8% downside from current levels. As such, I maintain my neutral rating as I continue to think that this is not yet the time to be adding to Apple.This article is written by Simple Investing for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988066339,"gmtCreate":1666624835021,"gmtModify":1676537780283,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold","listText":"Hold","text":"Hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988066339","repostId":"2277265831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981592949,"gmtCreate":1666550417581,"gmtModify":1676537767281,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy?","listText":"Buy?","text":"Buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981592949","repostId":"2277404196","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912714648,"gmtCreate":1664899238885,"gmtModify":1676537525954,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912714648","repostId":"1125912452","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125912452","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664896308,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125912452?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Became Crazy in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Soared Over 3% While S&P 500 and Dow Jones Jumped Over 2.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125912452","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks became crazy in morning trading; Nasdaq soared 3.26%, S&P 500 jumped 2.82% while Dow Jon","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks became crazy in morning trading; Nasdaq soared 3.26%, S&amp;P 500 jumped 2.82% while Dow Jones rose 2.51%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e46c2094d586e4f522859f19dd77410d\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"117\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Became Crazy in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Soared Over 3% While S&P 500 and Dow Jones Jumped Over 2.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Became Crazy in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Soared Over 3% While S&P 500 and Dow Jones Jumped Over 2.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-04 23:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks became crazy in morning trading; Nasdaq soared 3.26%, S&amp;P 500 jumped 2.82% while Dow Jones rose 2.51%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e46c2094d586e4f522859f19dd77410d\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"117\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125912452","content_text":"U.S. stocks became crazy in morning trading; Nasdaq soared 3.26%, S&P 500 jumped 2.82% while Dow Jones rose 2.51%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918933750,"gmtCreate":1664302434570,"gmtModify":1676537428376,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918933750","repostId":"1123978281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123978281","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664291602,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123978281?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-27 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123978281","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates ","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-27 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123978281","content_text":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects of the iPhone maker.Investors are bracing for more trouble as the aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to tame inflation are expected to push the U.S. economy into recession. The S&P 500  (SPX) and NASDAQ 100 (NDX) have declined 23.3% and over 31% year-to-date, respectively. While many tech stocks have been clobbered this year, Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock has shown some amount of resilience and is down 15% year-to-date. Most Wall Street analysts remain bullish about the tech giant based on its strong track record, continued innovation, and progress into new growth areas like fintech.Apple is Well-Positioned for Long-Term GrowthApple’s Q3 Fiscal 2022 (ended June 30, 2022) revenue increased 1.9% to nearly $83 billion, but earnings per share fell 8% to $1.20. That said, the company managed to top analysts’ expectations for both key metrics.While Apple cautioned investors about near-term pressures, including currency headwinds and supply chain woes, it expects revenue growth to accelerate in the September quarter compared to the June quarter.Meanwhile, Apple is diversifying its manufacturing footprint amid production disruptions in China. Apple recently announced that it would be manufacturing the iPhone 14 in India. The company has been manufacturing old models of iPhones in India but this time it is going ahead with the production of a newly launched device. The move is expected to boost Apple’s prospects in a lucrative market like India.Additionally, Apple continues to deepen customer engagement with its services business, which includes sales from Applecare, advertising, cloud, payment, and other services. Note that the company’s services business is more profitable than its products segment. The company has been advancing in the attractive financial services market through solutions like Apple Pay and Apple Wallet.Back in June, Apple announced that it will launch a buy now, pay later service called Apple Pay Later. The facility will allow customers to split their purchase into four equal payments that can be spread over six weeks. Earlier this year, Apple rolled out its Tap to Pay on iPhone feature that enables contactless payments.Is Apple a Buy or Sell Now?In a recent research note to investors, Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives noted that the iPhone 14 is likely witnessing “brisk sales” as wait times are getting longer. The analyst stated, “Wait times on many iPhone Pro 14 models are now 4-6 weeks for Apple customers and lengthening into November.” Ives stated that the overall demand for Pro is 8% to 10% ahead of his expectations.The analyst also sees strong sales in China, mainly via e-commerce channels. He expects China’s business to be a vital factor in Apple’s growth story and estimates that nearly 30% of iPhone customers in China “are in the window of an upgrade opportunity.”Despite macro pressures, Ives believes that Apple’s growth story “remains a bright spot in the tech landscape with darker clouds abound in many pockets of consumer tech.” Ives reiterated a Buy rating on AAPL stock with a price target of $220.All in all, Apple scores the Street’s Strong Buy consensus rating based on 23 Buys, four Holds, and one Sell rating. The average Apple price target of $183.45 suggests nearly 22% upside potential from current levels.ConclusionDespite macro pressures, Apple seems to be an attractive pick for the long haul based on strengths like continued innovation, solid growth potential for the services business, and strong execution.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913813988,"gmtCreate":1663956659444,"gmtModify":1676537370135,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tank","listText":"Tank","text":"Tank","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913813988","repostId":"1177261377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177261377","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663946501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177261377?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177261377","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is bas","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.</li><li>This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.</li><li>While history doesn&#39;t repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it &#34;rhyme&#34; with the past.</li><li>The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.</li><li>There&#39;s always a chance for a &#34;save&#34; - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.</li></ul><p>Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&amp;P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this &#34;new era&#34; of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&amp;P 500&#39;s ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.</p><p><b>Current Evidence</b></p><p>In this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I&#39;ve seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here&#39;s one to explain it to you.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea920e21231810c68359aaca3af08d36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>What you don&#39;t want to see if you are looking for &#34;the bottom&#34; (TC2000)</p><p>This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&amp;P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we&#39;ve come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.</p><p>What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a &#34;quick fix&#34; to the current stock market malaise.</p><p><b>That Stubborn Trendline</b></p><p>Since Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&amp;P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That&#39;s the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, &#34;failure.&#34; The S&amp;P 500&#39;s price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.</p><p>Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&amp;P 500&#39;s all-time high level around 4,800.</p><p><b>Those Darn Red Arrows</b></p><p>A more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we&#39;ve had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that &#34;the bottom was in.&#34;</p><p>Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That&#39;s a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&amp;P 500 is down - a lot.</p><p><b>Watch Out for the Cross</b></p><p>I&#39;ll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I&#39;ve seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market &#34;truth teller.&#34;</p><p>What the PPO on the S&amp;P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com Era</b></p><p>At this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&amp;P 500 in this bear cycle: &#34;No way - really?!&#34; Here&#39;s some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here&#39;s what that looked like.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dc0e2b19c0fdb9c7a513fddf091eff0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)</p><p>However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% &#34;flash crash.&#34; It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn&#39;t last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.</p><p>Here&#39;s what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&amp;P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn&#39;t really matter. Price rules.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e5b1c78e195588102f84a74a3bee661\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&amp;P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&amp;P 500&#39;s most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: Global Financial Crisis</b></p><p>If you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.</p><p>And then, it happened again. Here&#39;s the S&amp;P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dbb9483c84007e214ce0d1b40345d24\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)</p><p>Once again, there was the initial drop, the &#34;it&#39;s only a flesh wound&#34; (with apologies to &#34;Monty Python&#34;) phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78eee7337e28dd849990a96ddc9e04a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&amp;P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&amp;P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn&#39;t seem so unlikely.</p><p><b>Observations and Conclusions</b></p><p>Stock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.</p><p>Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.</p><p><b>The Good News for Bulls (for Now)</b></p><p>That doesn&#39;t mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed&#39;s magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&amp;P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.</p><p>But if you are &#34;counting&#34; on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&amp;P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.</p><p>Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&amp;P 500&#39;s chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.</p><p><b>What to Do if I&#39;m Right</b></p><p>As my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor&#39;s top priority.</p><p><b>The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in Portfolios</b></p><p>I truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don&#39;t know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds&#39; value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177261377","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While history doesn't repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it \"rhyme\" with the past.The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.There's always a chance for a \"save\" - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this \"new era\" of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&P 500's ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.Current EvidenceIn this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I've seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here's one to explain it to you.What you don't want to see if you are looking for \"the bottom\" (TC2000)This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we've come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a \"quick fix\" to the current stock market malaise.That Stubborn TrendlineSince Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That's the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, \"failure.\" The S&P 500's price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&P 500's all-time high level around 4,800.Those Darn Red ArrowsA more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we've had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that \"the bottom was in.\"Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That's a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&P 500 is down - a lot.Watch Out for the CrossI'll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I've seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market \"truth teller.\"What the PPO on the S&P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com EraAt this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&P 500 in this bear cycle: \"No way - really?!\" Here's some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.The S&P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here's what that looked like.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% \"flash crash.\" It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn't last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.Here's what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn't really matter. Price rules.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&P 500's most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.Historical Evidence: Global Financial CrisisIf you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.And then, it happened again. Here's the S&P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.S&P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)Once again, there was the initial drop, the \"it's only a flesh wound\" (with apologies to \"Monty Python\") phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.S&P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn't seem so unlikely.Observations and ConclusionsStock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.The Good News for Bulls (for Now)That doesn't mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed's magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.But if you are \"counting\" on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&P 500's chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.What to Do if I'm RightAs my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor's top priority.The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in PortfoliosI truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don't know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds' value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910777777,"gmtCreate":1663698756100,"gmtModify":1676537317347,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910777777","repostId":"1122271787","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122271787","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663687954,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122271787?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Could Crush the Stock Market Tomorrow, But Don't Panic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122271787","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The Federal Reserve will wrap up its September meeting on Wednesday.","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe market is expecting another big rate hike from the Fed.But how big that rate hike could be is still a mystery.August data showed that the Fed still has work to do to rein in inflation....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/the-fed-could-crush-stock-market-tomorrow/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Could Crush the Stock Market Tomorrow, But Don't Panic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Could Crush the Stock Market Tomorrow, But Don't Panic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/the-fed-could-crush-stock-market-tomorrow/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe market is expecting another big rate hike from the Fed.But how big that rate hike could be is still a mystery.August data showed that the Fed still has work to do to rein in inflation....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/the-fed-could-crush-stock-market-tomorrow/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/the-fed-could-crush-stock-market-tomorrow/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122271787","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe market is expecting another big rate hike from the Fed.But how big that rate hike could be is still a mystery.August data showed that the Fed still has work to do to rein in inflation.Since inflation data for August came in hotter than expected last week, investors have been on edge. The market sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling by more than 1,100 points last week. Despite the pain, the worst still may be to come, with the Federal Reserve's September meeting kicking off today and wrapping up tomorrow. Here's how the Fed could crush the stock market tomorrow and also why you shouldn't panic.What kind of rate hike is coming?In August, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which tracks the prices of a range of daily consumer goods and services, rose 0.1% from July and was up 8.3% year over year. Economists had been penciling in a 0.1% decline from July and the CPI being up 8% year over year. The bigger increase spooked investors because many had assumed that inflation had peaked and could be headed south, but the CPI report did not show this.IMAGE SOURCE: FEDERAL RESERVE ON FLICKR.The longer inflation persists, the longer the Fed has to stay hawkish and raise interest rates, which has roiled markets this year because investors are worried that intense rate hikes will push the economy into a severe recession.Prior to the August inflation data, the market expected the Fed to raise interest rates by 0.50% or 0.75% following two 0.75% rate hikes at both of the Fed's June and July meetings. After the disappointing inflation data, the market is all but certain there will be at least a 0.75% rate hike, but now some investors think the Fed could even surprise with a full 1% hike.According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, there was an 82% chance on Monday that the Fed would hike its benchmark overnight lending rate, or the federal funds rate, by 0.75% and a 18% chance the Fed would implement a full 1% hike on Wednesday. However, that number had been as high as 20% on Monday morning.I do think a 1% hike would seriously crush the stock market tomorrow. It would be the largest single move by the Fed since the Fed began using the federal funds rate in the 1990s, according to Bloomberg. I also think it would send a message to the market that the U.S. economy has a more serious inflation issue than anyone could have imagined -- even at this point -- if the Fed has to do the full 1% hike.At a conference earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he is worried that a similar situation that happened in the 1970s when \"the public had really come to think of higher inflation as the norm\" could play out now. Powell blamed the Fed in the 1970s for not staying hawkish enough to rein in inflation.Don't rule it outI agree with the market that a 1% hike is unlikely tomorrow. After all, most of the Fed's big rate hikes this year weren't done until June and therefore have still not likely had enough time to fully work their way through the economy.But I'm also not willing to rule out a 1% hike completely given Powell's recent comments and the fact that prices for things like rent have stayed high. Rent is a big expense in a consumer's life, and ever-increasing levels could lead to lingering inflation.Regardless, be prepared for the market to take a hit if the Fed hikes rates by a full point tomorrow. But also don't panic! I do think the Fed will eventually rein in inflation, and that any bear market and recession will eventually be followed by a bull market, a thesis that has held true in market history. Investors that choose stocks with strong business fundamentals and invest with a long-term outlook in mind will be able to ride out this rough patch and succeed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910924736,"gmtCreate":1663549550025,"gmtModify":1676537287580,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910924736","repostId":"1136811023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136811023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663542845,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136811023?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"All Eyes on Another Sizable Rate Hike From the Fed: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136811023","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Markets face another hefty interest rate hike in the week ahead as policymakers continue their fight","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Markets face another hefty interest rate hike in the week ahead as policymakers continue their fight against stubborn inflation.</p><p>Investors will be squarely focused on theFederal Reserve’s two-day meeting on Sept. 20-21, with officials expected to deliver a third-straight 75-basis-point increase to their benchmark policy rate after discussions Wednesday at 2:00 p.m. ET.</p><p>Wall Street will also take its cue from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in the aftermath of the event, along with economic projections of U.S. central bank members and the latest dot plot showing each official’s forecast for the central bank&#39;s key short-term interest rate.</p><p>“In the updated projections, we look for revisions in the direction of less growth, higher unemployment, and a higher terminal rate – yet, we expect the inflation path to remain largely unchanged,” analysts at Bank of America led by Michael Gapen wrote in a note Friday. “To our eyes, this would suggest risks of a hard landing are rising, though we expect the median member to forecast a soft landing.”</p><p>The readout of Federal Reserve expectations may determine whether markets get relief from a recent sell-off or extend sharp declines. On Friday, all three major averages logged their worst week since June. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 shed 4.7% in the week ended Sept. 16, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 4.1%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled 5.5%.</p><p>Hotter-than-expected inflation data earlier this month sparked a new wave of pessimism about the U.S. central bank’s rate-hiking campaign and its potential to significantly stunt economic growth.</p><p>The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in August reflected an 8.3% increase over last year and a 0.1% increase over the prior month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. Economists had expected prices to rise 8.1% over last year and fall 0.1% over last month, according to estimates from Bloomberg.</p><p>Wall Street heavyweights including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Nomura have all lifted their interest rate projections immediately after the reading while raising expectations for a hard landing — a sharp downturn following a period of rapid growth.</p><p>Goldman Sachs warned on Thursday that the stock market may plunge another 26% if the Fed’s rate-hiking campaign triggered a recession.</p><p>&#34;If only a severe recession — and a sharper Fed response to deliver it — will tame inflation, then the downside to both equities and government bonds could still be substantial, even after the damage that we have already seen,&#34; Goldman said.</p><p>Elsewhere in the coming week, a lineup of housing data is on the docket, with gauges on building permits, housing starts, and existing home sales all set to be closely watched. Releases will come after mortgage rates surged past 6% last week, the highest level since November 2008, exacerbating already rampant concerns around affordability.</p><p>On the earnings calendar, results are due out from headliners including FedEx (FDX), Lennar (LEN), General Mills (GIS), Costco (COST), and Darden Restaurants (DRI).</p><p>Shares of FedEx plunged 21% on Friday –wiping out $11 billion in market value for the shipping giant in its worst single-day drop on record after the company warned of a global recession in an ugly earnings pre-announcement. FedEx also withdrew its full-year guidance, citing macroeconomic trends that have &#34;significantly worsened.&#34;</p><p>The logistic giant&#39;s messaging could be a sign of what’s to come as investors inch closer toward the next earnings season, with many strategists sounding the alarm on earnings expectations for the remainder of this year.</p><p>According to data from FactSet Research, earnings growth expectations for the S&amp;P 500 stand at an increase of 3.7% for the third quarter, down sharply from expectations of 9.8% growth at the end of June. Analysts have cut Q3 earnings expectations over the last 2-3 months for every sector in the S&amp;P 500 except energy, and seven out of 11 sectors in the index are now expected to show outright year-over-year declines in earnings, compared to only three in the second quarter.</p><p>In a note on Friday, Bank of America’s Michael Hartnett said earnings per share recession shock could be the catalyst for new market lows, pointing to FedEx’s message.</p><p>—</p><p>Economic Calendar</p><p><b>Monday:</b> <b><i>NAHB Housing Market Index</i></b>, September (47 expected, 49 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b><i>Building permits</i></b>, August (1.605 million expected, 1.674 million during prior month, revised to 1.685 million); <b><i>Building permits</i></b>, month-over-month, August (-4.8% expected, -1.3% during prior month, revised to -0.6%); <b><i>Housing Starts</i></b>, August (1.450 million expected, 1.446 during prior month); <b><i>Housing Starts</i></b>, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, -9.6% during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> <b><i>MBA Mortgage Applications</i></b>, week ended August 12 (0.2% during prior week); <b><i>Existing Home Sales</i></b>, August (4.70 million expected, 4.81 million during prior month); <b><i>Existing Home Sales</i></b>, month-over-month, August (-2.3% expected, -5.9% during prior month); <b><i>FOMC Rate Decision</i></b>(Lower Bound), September 21 (3.00% expected, 2.25% during prior month); <b><i>FOMC Rate Decision</i></b>(Upper Bound), September 21 (3.25% expected, 2.50% during prior month); <b><i>Interest on Reserve Balances Due</i></b>, September 22 (3.15% expected, 2.40% during prior month)</p><p><b>Thursday</b>: <b><i>Current Account Balance</i></b>, Q2 (-$260.8 billion expected, -$291.4 billion during prior quarter); <b><i>Initial jobless claims</i></b>, week ended September 17 (217,000 expected, 213,000 during prior week); <b><i>Continuing claims</i></b>, week ended September 10 (1.398 expected, 1.403 during prior week); <b><i>Leading Index</i></b>, August (-0.1% expected, -0.14% during prior month); <b><i>Kansas City Fed. Manufacturing Activity</i></b>, September (5 expected, 3 during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> <b><i>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</i></b>, September Preliminary (51.3 expected, 51.5 during prior month); <b><i>S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI</i></b>, September Preliminary (45.5 expected, 43.7 during prior month); <b><i>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</i></b>, September Preliminary (46.0 expected, 44.6 during prior month)</p><p>—</p><p><b>Earnings Calendar</b></p><p><b>Monday: AutoZone</b>(AZO)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b>Stitch Fix</b>(SFIX)</p><p><b>Wednesday:FedEx</b>(FDX),<b>Lennar</b>(LEN),<b>General Mills</b>(GIS),<b>KB Home</b>(KBH),<b>Trip.com</b>(TCOM)</p><p><b>Thursday: Costco</b>(COST),<b>Darden Restaurants</b>(DRI),<b>FactSet</b>(FDS)</p><p><b>Friday: Carnival</b>(CCL)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>All Eyes on Another Sizable Rate Hike From the Fed: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAll Eyes on Another Sizable Rate Hike From the Fed: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 07:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-federal-reserve-meeting-rate-hike-september-18-162530690.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Markets face another hefty interest rate hike in the week ahead as policymakers continue their fight against stubborn inflation.Investors will be squarely focused on theFederal Reserve’s two-day ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-federal-reserve-meeting-rate-hike-september-18-162530690.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-federal-reserve-meeting-rate-hike-september-18-162530690.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136811023","content_text":"Markets face another hefty interest rate hike in the week ahead as policymakers continue their fight against stubborn inflation.Investors will be squarely focused on theFederal Reserve’s two-day meeting on Sept. 20-21, with officials expected to deliver a third-straight 75-basis-point increase to their benchmark policy rate after discussions Wednesday at 2:00 p.m. ET.Wall Street will also take its cue from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in the aftermath of the event, along with economic projections of U.S. central bank members and the latest dot plot showing each official’s forecast for the central bank's key short-term interest rate.“In the updated projections, we look for revisions in the direction of less growth, higher unemployment, and a higher terminal rate – yet, we expect the inflation path to remain largely unchanged,” analysts at Bank of America led by Michael Gapen wrote in a note Friday. “To our eyes, this would suggest risks of a hard landing are rising, though we expect the median member to forecast a soft landing.”The readout of Federal Reserve expectations may determine whether markets get relief from a recent sell-off or extend sharp declines. On Friday, all three major averages logged their worst week since June. The benchmark S&P 500 shed 4.7% in the week ended Sept. 16, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 4.1%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled 5.5%.Hotter-than-expected inflation data earlier this month sparked a new wave of pessimism about the U.S. central bank’s rate-hiking campaign and its potential to significantly stunt economic growth.The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in August reflected an 8.3% increase over last year and a 0.1% increase over the prior month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. Economists had expected prices to rise 8.1% over last year and fall 0.1% over last month, according to estimates from Bloomberg.Wall Street heavyweights including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Nomura have all lifted their interest rate projections immediately after the reading while raising expectations for a hard landing — a sharp downturn following a period of rapid growth.Goldman Sachs warned on Thursday that the stock market may plunge another 26% if the Fed’s rate-hiking campaign triggered a recession.\"If only a severe recession — and a sharper Fed response to deliver it — will tame inflation, then the downside to both equities and government bonds could still be substantial, even after the damage that we have already seen,\" Goldman said.Elsewhere in the coming week, a lineup of housing data is on the docket, with gauges on building permits, housing starts, and existing home sales all set to be closely watched. Releases will come after mortgage rates surged past 6% last week, the highest level since November 2008, exacerbating already rampant concerns around affordability.On the earnings calendar, results are due out from headliners including FedEx (FDX), Lennar (LEN), General Mills (GIS), Costco (COST), and Darden Restaurants (DRI).Shares of FedEx plunged 21% on Friday –wiping out $11 billion in market value for the shipping giant in its worst single-day drop on record after the company warned of a global recession in an ugly earnings pre-announcement. FedEx also withdrew its full-year guidance, citing macroeconomic trends that have \"significantly worsened.\"The logistic giant's messaging could be a sign of what’s to come as investors inch closer toward the next earnings season, with many strategists sounding the alarm on earnings expectations for the remainder of this year.According to data from FactSet Research, earnings growth expectations for the S&P 500 stand at an increase of 3.7% for the third quarter, down sharply from expectations of 9.8% growth at the end of June. Analysts have cut Q3 earnings expectations over the last 2-3 months for every sector in the S&P 500 except energy, and seven out of 11 sectors in the index are now expected to show outright year-over-year declines in earnings, compared to only three in the second quarter.In a note on Friday, Bank of America’s Michael Hartnett said earnings per share recession shock could be the catalyst for new market lows, pointing to FedEx’s message.—Economic CalendarMonday: NAHB Housing Market Index, September (47 expected, 49 during prior month)Tuesday: Building permits, August (1.605 million expected, 1.674 million during prior month, revised to 1.685 million); Building permits, month-over-month, August (-4.8% expected, -1.3% during prior month, revised to -0.6%); Housing Starts, August (1.450 million expected, 1.446 during prior month); Housing Starts, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, -9.6% during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 12 (0.2% during prior week); Existing Home Sales, August (4.70 million expected, 4.81 million during prior month); Existing Home Sales, month-over-month, August (-2.3% expected, -5.9% during prior month); FOMC Rate Decision(Lower Bound), September 21 (3.00% expected, 2.25% during prior month); FOMC Rate Decision(Upper Bound), September 21 (3.25% expected, 2.50% during prior month); Interest on Reserve Balances Due, September 22 (3.15% expected, 2.40% during prior month)Thursday: Current Account Balance, Q2 (-$260.8 billion expected, -$291.4 billion during prior quarter); Initial jobless claims, week ended September 17 (217,000 expected, 213,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 10 (1.398 expected, 1.403 during prior week); Leading Index, August (-0.1% expected, -0.14% during prior month); Kansas City Fed. Manufacturing Activity, September (5 expected, 3 during prior month)Friday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September Preliminary (51.3 expected, 51.5 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, September Preliminary (45.5 expected, 43.7 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September Preliminary (46.0 expected, 44.6 during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: AutoZone(AZO)Tuesday: Stitch Fix(SFIX)Wednesday:FedEx(FDX),Lennar(LEN),General Mills(GIS),KB Home(KBH),Trip.com(TCOM)Thursday: Costco(COST),Darden Restaurants(DRI),FactSet(FDS)Friday: Carnival(CCL)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939974679,"gmtCreate":1662047834993,"gmtModify":1676536796147,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bubble","listText":"Bubble","text":"Bubble","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939974679","repostId":"1122895763","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122895763","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662045547,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122895763?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Charlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122895763","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Earlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face &#34;considerable trouble.&#34;</li><li>We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic developments and its implications for the S&amp;P 500.</li><li>We also share our approach to investing in the current environment.</li></ul><p>Billionaire investor Charlie Munger - Warren Buffett&#39;s partner at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> - recently opined that &#34;considerable trouble&#34; was coming for markets at the Daily Journal&#39;s (DJCO) annual meeting earlier this year, stating:</p><blockquote><i>What we&#39;re getting iswretched excess and danger for the country. Everybody loves it because it&#39;s like a bunch of people getting drunk at a party; they&#39;re having so much fun getting drunk that they don&#39;t think about the consequences. Eventually, there will be considerable trouble because of the wretched excess, that&#39;s the way it&#39;s usually worked in the past.</i></blockquote><p>He went on define what he meant by wretched excess:</p><blockquote><i>Certainly, the great short squeeze in GameStop (GME) was wretched excess. Certainly, the bitcoin (BTC-USD) thing is wretched excess. I would argue venture capital is throwing too much money too fast, and there&#39;s a considerable wretched excess in venture capital and other forms of private equity...There&#39;s never been anything quite like what we&#39;re doing now. We do know from what&#39;s happened in other nations, if you try and print too much money it eventually causes terrible trouble. We&#39;re closer to terrible trouble than we&#39;ve been in the past, but it may still be a long way off.&#34;</i></blockquote><p>While the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF</a> has delivered -8.57% returns since that meeting, it has not yet experienced the &#34;considerable trouble&#34; of which Mr. Munger spoke:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa9e327d28d335c1ba952173a78d8bcb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY Total Return Price data by YCharts</p><p>However, we can certainly see that the wretched excess has continued in the months since and the symptoms of it have also increased. While the crypto bubble has continued to burst, with bitcoin down an addition 56% since Mr. Munger&#39;s remarks, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GME</a> continues to enjoy an elevated valuation:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a461d8b52be2c08bfdea7bd63aa4a6f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>GME data by YCharts</p><p>We can also see that interest rates remain near historic lows - despite rising considerably in recent months - and the highly inflated money supply has remained relatively flat since Mr. Munger made his remarks:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/657129e113ae6df9d1e40ca014384412\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US Long-Term Interest Rates data by YCharts</p><p>We can also see that market indexes and especially housing prices remain elevated:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13c7438df5f55651979a20fdff9651ff\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>SPY data by YCharts</p><p>However, the consequences of all this excess and bubble-like behavior are beginning to be felt, with GDP declining for two quarters in a row and inflation soaring to four-decade highs in recent months:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be6eb93157e6cb1f12a1b5b0d7519ff8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>US Consumer Price Index YoY data by YCharts</p><p>In this article, we will discuss the implications that this has for the SPY as well as our investing approach in the current environment.</p><h3>Implication #1: Forward Returns Are Likely To Be Lackluster</h3><p>The biggest takeaway from Mr. Munger&#39;s remarks in light of current macroeconomic and market conditions is that forward returns for the SPY are likely to be lackluster. The reasons for this are pretty straightforward:</p><p>1. The economic growth outlook is weak, if not negative for the foreseeable future. Without strong economic growth, earnings growth is bound to be weak as well.</p><p>2. Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical averages. According to datacompiledby Current Market Valuation based on an equally weighted average of the Yield Curve, Buffett indicator, P/E Ratio, Interest Rate, Margin Debt, and S&amp;P 500 Mean Reversion models based on historical data, the market is currently towards the upper end of the fairly valued range. This means that it is almost overvalued, implying that the market is likely to experience lackluster, if not poor, returns for the foreseeable future. The SPY is overvalued according to the Yield Curve, Buffett Indicator, P/E Ratio, and S&amp;P 500 Mean Reversion models, is slightly above fair value according to the Interest Rate model, and slightly below fair value according to the Margin Debt model.</p><p>3. Interest rates are likely to rise further, based on persistently high inflation and the Federal Reserve&#39;s latestcomments. Higher interest rates in the near future will make the market seem overvalued at present according to the Interest Rate model, adding further weight to the argument that the market is overvalued at the moment. Higher interest rates will also act like gravity on asset valuations, driving them lower.</p><p>When you combine weak growth with a lack of multiple expansion (and in fact likely multiple compression), very low dividend yields, and likely interest rate increases, there are no real catalysts to drive stock market returns.</p><h3>Implication #2: Volatility Will Likely Be Elevated For The Foreseeable Future</h3><p>That said, interest rates do remain historically cheap and there is still a lot of excess capital sloshing around in the global markets. As a result, there will still likely be plenty of dip buying, especially on any hints of inflation declining, the economy weathering the current headwinds better than expected, and/or the Federal Reserve beginning to change its hawkish stance. As the bulls and bears continue to duke it out in aggressive fashion, with bulls aggressively buying dips and bears aggressively selling rips on renewed fears of a recession and/or further interest rate hikes, volatility will likely remain elevated.</p><p>On top of that, with geopolitical risks mounting in East Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, there are plenty of potential further catalysts for sending stocks plunging lower at a minute&#39;s notice.</p><h3>Implication #3: A Market Crash Is Very Possible</h3><p>As already indicated in implication #2, a market crash is also very possible at the moment. The reasons for it are simple:</p><p>1. As already highlighted, valuations are already bloated, so a crash would not require a stark departure from historical valuation levels. In fact, a crash might be necessary to fully correct financial markets from all of the artificial stimulus from central bankers over the past decade.</p><p>2. There are numerous catalysts which could spark a market crash, and they seem more likely at the moment than at any time in recent memory: any number of geopolitical crises, ranging from a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, to the war in Europe going nuclear, to a major energy crisis if a war begins between Iran and Saudi Arabia, a massive cyber-attack that significantly disrupts the global economy, a major new pandemic or variant of COVID-19 emerging, or even possibly a major global recession.</p><h3>Investor Takeaway</h3><p>While these are certainly complicated, if not extremely challenging, times for investors trying to navigate the markets, we are remaining fully invested. However, we are keeping the following principles in mind to guide us with greater prudence during this period:</p><p>1. We are being highly selective by only investing in securities that appear to have a clear margin of safety, while keeping a small weighting in our most cyclical positions and overweighting our most defensive positions.</p><p>2. We are avoiding taking on any personal leverage through this period in order to minimize our risk of outsized losses in the event of a market crash and to give us the capacity to potentially create some dry powder to capitalize on a market crash.</p><p>3. We are also investing in securities that profit from elevated volatility as we believe that - even in a scenario where the markets do not experience a full-fledged crash - volatility levels will likely be above average for the foreseeable future due to the geopolitical and macroeconomic jitters that are gripping the markets with increasing frequency. As the chart below indicates, volatility as depicted by theVIXis up significantly from where it was before COVID-19 and is even up in 2022 relative to the second half of 2021.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61315c652f099418782c73479f3dd50a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>VIXdata by YCharts</p><p>For those who choose to continue investing in low-cost index funds like SPY, we are not bullish in the short-term, as - for the reasons outlined in this article - we expect lackluster economic growth, elevated valuations, rising interest rates, and the rising risks of a black swan event to suppress broad market total returns for the foreseeable future. As a result, we encourage investors to be more selective in the current environment than to blindly buy the broader market. At the same time, for those committed to passive investing over the long term, remaining fully invested with a practice of consistent long-term dollar cost averaging and prudent personal financial management is unlikely to deliver disappointing results over the course of decades. For that reason, we give the SPY a Hold rating right now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Charlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCharlie Munger Predicted \"Considerable Trouble\" For Markets: SPY Implications\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 23:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face \"considerable trouble.\"We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537755-charlie-munger-predicted-considerable-trouble-for-markets-spy-implications","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122895763","content_text":"SummaryEarlier this year, billionaire investor Charlie Munger predicted that the markets would face \"considerable trouble.\"We take a look at his prediction in light of recent macroeconomic developments and its implications for the S&P 500.We also share our approach to investing in the current environment.Billionaire investor Charlie Munger - Warren Buffett's partner at Berkshire Hathaway  - recently opined that \"considerable trouble\" was coming for markets at the Daily Journal's (DJCO) annual meeting earlier this year, stating:What we're getting iswretched excess and danger for the country. Everybody loves it because it's like a bunch of people getting drunk at a party; they're having so much fun getting drunk that they don't think about the consequences. Eventually, there will be considerable trouble because of the wretched excess, that's the way it's usually worked in the past.He went on define what he meant by wretched excess:Certainly, the great short squeeze in GameStop (GME) was wretched excess. Certainly, the bitcoin (BTC-USD) thing is wretched excess. I would argue venture capital is throwing too much money too fast, and there's a considerable wretched excess in venture capital and other forms of private equity...There's never been anything quite like what we're doing now. We do know from what's happened in other nations, if you try and print too much money it eventually causes terrible trouble. We're closer to terrible trouble than we've been in the past, but it may still be a long way off.\"While the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF has delivered -8.57% returns since that meeting, it has not yet experienced the \"considerable trouble\" of which Mr. Munger spoke:SPY Total Return Price data by YChartsHowever, we can certainly see that the wretched excess has continued in the months since and the symptoms of it have also increased. While the crypto bubble has continued to burst, with bitcoin down an addition 56% since Mr. Munger's remarks, GME continues to enjoy an elevated valuation:GME data by YChartsWe can also see that interest rates remain near historic lows - despite rising considerably in recent months - and the highly inflated money supply has remained relatively flat since Mr. Munger made his remarks:US Long-Term Interest Rates data by YChartsWe can also see that market indexes and especially housing prices remain elevated:SPY data by YChartsHowever, the consequences of all this excess and bubble-like behavior are beginning to be felt, with GDP declining for two quarters in a row and inflation soaring to four-decade highs in recent months:US Consumer Price Index YoY data by YChartsIn this article, we will discuss the implications that this has for the SPY as well as our investing approach in the current environment.Implication #1: Forward Returns Are Likely To Be LacklusterThe biggest takeaway from Mr. Munger's remarks in light of current macroeconomic and market conditions is that forward returns for the SPY are likely to be lackluster. The reasons for this are pretty straightforward:1. The economic growth outlook is weak, if not negative for the foreseeable future. Without strong economic growth, earnings growth is bound to be weak as well.2. Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical averages. According to datacompiledby Current Market Valuation based on an equally weighted average of the Yield Curve, Buffett indicator, P/E Ratio, Interest Rate, Margin Debt, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models based on historical data, the market is currently towards the upper end of the fairly valued range. This means that it is almost overvalued, implying that the market is likely to experience lackluster, if not poor, returns for the foreseeable future. The SPY is overvalued according to the Yield Curve, Buffett Indicator, P/E Ratio, and S&P 500 Mean Reversion models, is slightly above fair value according to the Interest Rate model, and slightly below fair value according to the Margin Debt model.3. Interest rates are likely to rise further, based on persistently high inflation and the Federal Reserve's latestcomments. Higher interest rates in the near future will make the market seem overvalued at present according to the Interest Rate model, adding further weight to the argument that the market is overvalued at the moment. Higher interest rates will also act like gravity on asset valuations, driving them lower.When you combine weak growth with a lack of multiple expansion (and in fact likely multiple compression), very low dividend yields, and likely interest rate increases, there are no real catalysts to drive stock market returns.Implication #2: Volatility Will Likely Be Elevated For The Foreseeable FutureThat said, interest rates do remain historically cheap and there is still a lot of excess capital sloshing around in the global markets. As a result, there will still likely be plenty of dip buying, especially on any hints of inflation declining, the economy weathering the current headwinds better than expected, and/or the Federal Reserve beginning to change its hawkish stance. As the bulls and bears continue to duke it out in aggressive fashion, with bulls aggressively buying dips and bears aggressively selling rips on renewed fears of a recession and/or further interest rate hikes, volatility will likely remain elevated.On top of that, with geopolitical risks mounting in East Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe, there are plenty of potential further catalysts for sending stocks plunging lower at a minute's notice.Implication #3: A Market Crash Is Very PossibleAs already indicated in implication #2, a market crash is also very possible at the moment. The reasons for it are simple:1. As already highlighted, valuations are already bloated, so a crash would not require a stark departure from historical valuation levels. In fact, a crash might be necessary to fully correct financial markets from all of the artificial stimulus from central bankers over the past decade.2. There are numerous catalysts which could spark a market crash, and they seem more likely at the moment than at any time in recent memory: any number of geopolitical crises, ranging from a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, to the war in Europe going nuclear, to a major energy crisis if a war begins between Iran and Saudi Arabia, a massive cyber-attack that significantly disrupts the global economy, a major new pandemic or variant of COVID-19 emerging, or even possibly a major global recession.Investor TakeawayWhile these are certainly complicated, if not extremely challenging, times for investors trying to navigate the markets, we are remaining fully invested. However, we are keeping the following principles in mind to guide us with greater prudence during this period:1. We are being highly selective by only investing in securities that appear to have a clear margin of safety, while keeping a small weighting in our most cyclical positions and overweighting our most defensive positions.2. We are avoiding taking on any personal leverage through this period in order to minimize our risk of outsized losses in the event of a market crash and to give us the capacity to potentially create some dry powder to capitalize on a market crash.3. We are also investing in securities that profit from elevated volatility as we believe that - even in a scenario where the markets do not experience a full-fledged crash - volatility levels will likely be above average for the foreseeable future due to the geopolitical and macroeconomic jitters that are gripping the markets with increasing frequency. As the chart below indicates, volatility as depicted by theVIXis up significantly from where it was before COVID-19 and is even up in 2022 relative to the second half of 2021.VIXdata by YChartsFor those who choose to continue investing in low-cost index funds like SPY, we are not bullish in the short-term, as - for the reasons outlined in this article - we expect lackluster economic growth, elevated valuations, rising interest rates, and the rising risks of a black swan event to suppress broad market total returns for the foreseeable future. As a result, we encourage investors to be more selective in the current environment than to blindly buy the broader market. At the same time, for those committed to passive investing over the long term, remaining fully invested with a practice of consistent long-term dollar cost averaging and prudent personal financial management is unlikely to deliver disappointing results over the course of decades. For that reason, we give the SPY a Hold rating right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997697126,"gmtCreate":1661789759867,"gmtModify":1676536579258,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997697126","repostId":"2262167645","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994066842,"gmtCreate":1661538567692,"gmtModify":1676536536986,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting","listText":"Waiting","text":"Waiting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994066842","repostId":"2262954967","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262954967","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661502632,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262954967?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-26 16:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262954967","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split is now live, but investors should be focusing on the company itself.","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla stock just became two-thirds cheaper to buy, which is a bonus for smaller investors.Investors should be focused on the company's goal to produce 20 million cars per year by 2030.Tesla ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 16:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla stock just became two-thirds cheaper to buy, which is a bonus for smaller investors.Investors should be focused on the company's goal to produce 20 million cars per year by 2030.Tesla ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262954967","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla stock just became two-thirds cheaper to buy, which is a bonus for smaller investors.Investors should be focused on the company's goal to produce 20 million cars per year by 2030.Tesla has plenty of cash and is highly profitable, so it can continue to invest in growth.Electric vehicle powerhouse Tesla is the latest in a string of high-profile technology companies to execute a stock split this year. At the close of trading on Aug. 24, the company's 3-for-1 split went into effect.It means the number of Tesla shares in circulation increased threefold, which has cut the price of each share by two-thirds, from $891.30 to $297.10. The move is designed to make Tesla stock more accessible to smaller investors, which could broaden the company's shareholder base.It's important to remember the stock split is entirely cosmetic and that it doesn't add any value to the company itself. Instead, investors should remain focused on Tesla's long-term potential -- especially since there's so much of it.Image source: Getty Images.The road to 20 million electric vehiclesTesla is the world's leading manufacturer of electric vehicles. Its success comes not only from the popularity of its cars but also the precision of its production processes, which has allowed the company to rapidly scale and remain dominant even while expanding into new countries.In 2017, Tesla delivered 101,312 electric cars. In 2021 that number was more than nine times higher, at 936,172. And thanks to two brand-new gigafactories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany, the company will have the capacity to manufacture 2 million cars per year by the end of 2022.For investors, that growth has coincided with a more than 1,100% gain in Tesla stock over the past five years. Therefore, when Tesla CEO Elon Musk says the company aims to grow production 10-fold from here by the end of the current decade, it might be a signal that the stock is set for another long-term run as well. The recent stock split will truly be a distant memory by then -- in fact, it's possible the company will need another one!By 2030, Tesla thinks it will be producing 20 million electric vehicles after adding another 10 to 12 gigafactories between now and then to reach that capacity. It's an ambitious goal, but history proves that sort of growth is well within the company's wheelhouse, and it has the financial performance to deliver it.Tesla could cross $100 billion in revenue next yearNaturally, Tesla's revenue growth has been just as impressive as its growth in production and deliveries. Between 2017 and 2021, the metric expanded at a compound annual rate of 46% and based on analysts' estimates of $83.9 billion in 2022 sales, that growth rate will accelerate to 56% this year.In 2023, the company is expected to generate over $100 billion in annual revenue for the very first time, but there's an even more exciting story beneath the surface of that number.For the 2021 full year, Tesla had a gross profit margin of 29.3% on its electric vehicles. It was a big jump from 25.6% in 2020 and 21.2% in 2019. The figure has increased even further to 30.4% in the first half of 2022. Why does that matter? The company's gross margin has steadily climbed alongside the number of cars it has produced, which means as Tesla grows larger and makes more cars, it's also becoming even more profitable.A higher gross margin typically gives the company more money to invest in initiatives like new gigafactories, or it could simply result in more money flowing to its bottom line, which would add to the $18.3 billion cash pile Tesla is currently sitting on.Buy Tesla stock for the company, not the stock splitFor all of the reasons mentioned above, investors should focus on Tesla as a company rather than inconsequential factors like its stock split. But there is one caveat to buying the stock for investors who have shorter-term goals.Over the past four quarters, Tesla has generated non-GAAP (adjusted) net income (profit) of $11.3 billion, which translates to $9.89 in earnings per share. That places the stock at a price-to-earnings multiple of 90, which is three-times higher than the Nasdaq 100 technology index's multiple of 27.2, for example. In other words, Tesla is relatively expensive right now.But if the company manages to add a dozen gigafactories and can produce 20 million cars each year by 2030, then it should be worth well beyond its presently lofty valuation, so there will likely be gains on the table for long-term investors in that scenario.For smaller investors, the stock split does offer an opportunity to buy Tesla stock now for significantly less outlay than was previously required.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995825538,"gmtCreate":1661445782426,"gmtModify":1676536520151,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995825538","repostId":"1155224332","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155224332","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661413530,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155224332?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 15:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Is It Overvalued?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155224332","media":"TheStreet","summary":"One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to the peer group, maybe AAPL is not so pricey after all.</p><p><b>Apple</b> stock is considered a buy by the majority of analysts that cover the name. According to TipRanks, more than 80% of Wall Street experts think that owning shares is a good idea, while only one analyst has a sell rating on the stock.</p><p>Among skeptics, one of the main arguments against owning AAPL is the elevated P/E ratio. But a closer look at the peer comparison suggests that Apple stock may be more affordable than many seem to believe.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a857803961118aaec24d329afbb569\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: Is Apple Stock Overvalued? What The Peer Comparison Says</span></p><p><b>Apple’s valuations: fair, too rich, or a bargain?</b></p><p>The following graph probably explains why so many value investors are cautious about Apple stock today. Notice what has happened to AAPL’s price-to-earnings (or P/E) ratio over the past 10 years:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0553c50e1e51280c4e0a5f50a0ab7313\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"485\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 2: Apple&#39;s valuation.</span></p><p>Starting a couple of years after the launch of the original iPad, Apple’s P/E fluctuated between 10 and 20 times for a few years. Then, beginning in 2019, the valuation multiple skyrocketed to as high as 44 times early last year, settling now to just below 30 times.</p><p>The multiple expansion happened for a few reasons, the most relevant of which was probably Apple’s business model shift to higher-margin and more predictable services. The post-iPhone X success of Apple’s smartphone segment, along with the company’s generous cash return policy, probably helped too.</p><p>But tech companies, especially those in high growth stages of their lifecycles or whose “moats” are considered wide, tend to command high P/Es. Take a look at the following table comparing some of Apple’s key valuation metrics with those of peers selected by Stock Rover:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113f08e69b46e338f58200da166c3f0\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 3: Apple peers key valuation metrics selected by Stock Rover.</span></p><p>Starting with P/E, in the sixth column, notice how AAPL’s 27.6 times is actually much lower than NVIDIA’s 46.1 and Adobe’s 40.1 times, for example. Part of the reason for AAPL’s more de-risked valuation is the growth profile: while the Cupertino company is expected to increase EPS by 6% next year, NVIDIA and Adobe should deliver growth of 17% instead.</p><p>The only companies on the list with substantially lower P/E vs. Apple are Intel and Cisco, possibly Broadcom. But considering these companies and their industries’ much less encouraging growth profile, it is understandable that these stocks would trade more cheaply.</p><p>Let’s look beyond P/E. On a price-to-FCF (free cash flow) basis, Apple’s 25.6 times multiple seems even cheaper compared to the peer group. Only Broadcom and Cisco, at about 16 times, look substantially more de-risked.</p><p>Apple’s cash flow-based valuation metrics look good because the Cupertino company is particularly competent at turning earnings into hard cash. Tight control of working capital and capex is probably what best supports the argument.</p><p>Lastly, notice how Apple looks quite overvalued on a price-to-book basis. A multiple of 46.1 times, in fact, is an eye sore compared to Salesforce.com’s 3.0 times and Intel’s 1.4 times.</p><p>But here, the metric is deceivingly distorted. Because Apple buys so many of its shares via stock buybacks, the company’s equity size has been shrinking quickly over the years – which is not a bad thing at all. Since equity is the denominator in the P/B ratio, the multiple understandably looks too rich, on the surface.</p><p><b>My views on AAPL’s valuation</b></p><p>I still believe that Apple’s valuations are far from being a bargain. But at the same time, once I look at the peer group comparison, I find it hard to side with the bears as well. To me, AAPL’s P/E is fair and consistent with the robust business fundamentals of the company.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Is It Overvalued?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Is It Overvalued?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-25 15:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/is-apple-stock-overvalued-what-the-peer-comparison-says><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to the peer group, maybe AAPL is not so pricey after all.Apple stock is considered a buy by the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/is-apple-stock-overvalued-what-the-peer-comparison-says\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/is-apple-stock-overvalued-what-the-peer-comparison-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155224332","content_text":"One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to the peer group, maybe AAPL is not so pricey after all.Apple stock is considered a buy by the majority of analysts that cover the name. According to TipRanks, more than 80% of Wall Street experts think that owning shares is a good idea, while only one analyst has a sell rating on the stock.Among skeptics, one of the main arguments against owning AAPL is the elevated P/E ratio. But a closer look at the peer comparison suggests that Apple stock may be more affordable than many seem to believe.Figure 1: Is Apple Stock Overvalued? What The Peer Comparison SaysApple’s valuations: fair, too rich, or a bargain?The following graph probably explains why so many value investors are cautious about Apple stock today. Notice what has happened to AAPL’s price-to-earnings (or P/E) ratio over the past 10 years:Figure 2: Apple's valuation.Starting a couple of years after the launch of the original iPad, Apple’s P/E fluctuated between 10 and 20 times for a few years. Then, beginning in 2019, the valuation multiple skyrocketed to as high as 44 times early last year, settling now to just below 30 times.The multiple expansion happened for a few reasons, the most relevant of which was probably Apple’s business model shift to higher-margin and more predictable services. The post-iPhone X success of Apple’s smartphone segment, along with the company’s generous cash return policy, probably helped too.But tech companies, especially those in high growth stages of their lifecycles or whose “moats” are considered wide, tend to command high P/Es. Take a look at the following table comparing some of Apple’s key valuation metrics with those of peers selected by Stock Rover:Figure 3: Apple peers key valuation metrics selected by Stock Rover.Starting with P/E, in the sixth column, notice how AAPL’s 27.6 times is actually much lower than NVIDIA’s 46.1 and Adobe’s 40.1 times, for example. Part of the reason for AAPL’s more de-risked valuation is the growth profile: while the Cupertino company is expected to increase EPS by 6% next year, NVIDIA and Adobe should deliver growth of 17% instead.The only companies on the list with substantially lower P/E vs. Apple are Intel and Cisco, possibly Broadcom. But considering these companies and their industries’ much less encouraging growth profile, it is understandable that these stocks would trade more cheaply.Let’s look beyond P/E. On a price-to-FCF (free cash flow) basis, Apple’s 25.6 times multiple seems even cheaper compared to the peer group. Only Broadcom and Cisco, at about 16 times, look substantially more de-risked.Apple’s cash flow-based valuation metrics look good because the Cupertino company is particularly competent at turning earnings into hard cash. Tight control of working capital and capex is probably what best supports the argument.Lastly, notice how Apple looks quite overvalued on a price-to-book basis. A multiple of 46.1 times, in fact, is an eye sore compared to Salesforce.com’s 3.0 times and Intel’s 1.4 times.But here, the metric is deceivingly distorted. Because Apple buys so many of its shares via stock buybacks, the company’s equity size has been shrinking quickly over the years – which is not a bad thing at all. Since equity is the denominator in the P/B ratio, the multiple understandably looks too rich, on the surface.My views on AAPL’s valuationI still believe that Apple’s valuations are far from being a bargain. But at the same time, once I look at the peer group comparison, I find it hard to side with the bears as well. To me, AAPL’s P/E is fair and consistent with the robust business fundamentals of the company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992453936,"gmtCreate":1661358048527,"gmtModify":1676536503183,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992453936","repostId":"2261659155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261659155","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661352338,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261659155?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-24 22:45","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Buy For The Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261659155","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba is considerably undervalued, even with the risks involved.The value is there, and it'","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba is considerably undervalued, even with the risks involved.</li><li>The value is there, and it&#39;s remarkable. Alibaba achieved a GMV of $1.2 trillion in fiscal 2021, doubling Amazon.</li><li>Yet, Alibaba gets no respect, commanding a market cap of 1/6 of the American retail giants&#39;.</li><li>The delisting concerns appear exaggerated, and Alibaba&#39;s earnings forecasts could be at rock a bottom here.</li><li>As uncertainties fade, Alibaba should return to growth and improved profitability, driving its share price significantly higher in the coming years.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349a5bf19a4fd08047fdb45cb2ec1bb8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Robert Way</span></p><p>Finding dominant market-leading companies that offer substantial value and significant growth potential at reasonable valuations has not been easy lately. However, when considering a company to own for the next five to ten years, one name stands out above the rest, Alibaba (NYSE:BABA). I know Alibaba is a Chinese company. Currently, Chinese stocks are out of favor and are perceived as higher-risk investments. However, I cannot ignore how cheap Alibaba has become. While there is increased risk, there is also substantial reward potential. Investing would be easy if we knew where Alibaba&#39;s stock would be in five to ten years. However, Investing is complex, and the truth is that Alibaba could be at $500, or its stock may not be listed on U.S. stock exchanges several years from now. Nevertheless, delisting fears appear exaggerated, and Alibaba has become remarkably cheap considering its potential. Therefore, the company&#39;s stock could go much higher as it returns to growth, illustrating that it offers significant value to investors and uncertainties fade.</p><p><b>The Value Is There, And It&#39;s Remarkable</b></p><p>Alibaba&#39;s ecosystem brought in a staggering $1.2 trillion gross merchandise value (&#34;GMV&#34;) in fiscal 2021. Additionally, the company reported more than a billion annual active consumers (&#34;AACs&#34;) in fiscal 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/095b01d0839eb4c02594d7ed45fb67d7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba GMV (alibabagroup.com )</span></p><p>In comparison, Amazon (AMZN) reported a GMV of $600 billion in 2021. This metric illustrates that the value of goods sold in 2021 (fiscal 2021 for Alibaba) was roughly double on Alibaba&#39;s platforms vs. Amazon&#39;s.</p><p><b>Alibaba GMV - Billions of Yuan (fiscal)</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39d08924723ff429f7e170dd467dbd8e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BABA GMV (Statista.com)</span></p><p>We see the significant GMV growth continuing through fiscal 2022, implying that the company can continue expanding GMV and revenues as it advances. Moreover, as Alibaba&#39;s operations and revenues grow, it should become increasingly more profitable in the coming years.</p><p><b>Valuation - Alibaba Vs. Amazon</b></p><p>We discussed that Alibaba&#39;s GMV essentially doubled Amazon&#39;s in 2021. Despite this sales dynamic, Alibaba is valued at about $237 billion, while Amazon&#39;s market cap is around $1.4 trillion. Therefore, we see a massive disconnect in valuations here, as Alibaba&#39;s GMV was double Amazon&#39;s, but Amazon&#39;s market cap is nearly six times higher than Alibaba&#39;s. Going by this GMV to market cap valuation, we see that Amazon is valued at around 12 x Alibaba now. Looking at other valuation metrics, we see that Alibaba is dramatically undervalued.</p><p><b>EPS Estimates</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c37d53f755829928c520644537c749b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>EPS Estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )</span></p><p>We see that Alibaba is in a transitory phase of EPS decline. This year&#39;s EPS should come in at about $7.30, roughly a 7% YoY decline. We must consider that temporary earnings declines are typically the best periods to pick up company shares on the cheap, at a deep discount. Alibaba&#39;s share price is down by 72% from its all-time highs. As of writing this article, Alibaba is at about $90, putting its P/E ratio at just 12.3 times this year&#39;s consensus EPS estimates. However, we should see growth, and the company&#39;s substantial EPS potential makes this stock very cheap.</p><p>Also, we must consider that during an earnings decline phase, EPS estimates typically get brought down considerably, often by too much, overshooting on the downside. Therefore, there is a high probability that Alibaba can surpass current depressed EPS estimates and could report towards the higher end of the estimated fingers in future years. While consensus estimates are for about $10 for fiscal 2025, I believe Alibaba could report EPS closer to $12. Considering Alibaba&#39;s current stock price, the company may be trading at just 7.5 times forward (fiscal 2025) earnings now.</p><p><b>Growth Will Return</b></p><p><b>Revenue Estimates</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e525aa6ca15da9ee35e9ee3cba5f162\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Revenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )</span></p><p>Despite the slowdown to around 5-6% YoY revenue growth this year, sales growth should rebound to double-digits as the company advances. Consensus revenue estimates point to approximately $200 billion in fiscal 2027, but this figure may be lowballing Alibaba&#39;s potential. I suspect Alibaba&#39;s sales could hit about $230 billion in 2027, and the company may register approximately $300 billion in revenues by 2030.</p><p><b>The Downside Is Limited</b></p><p>The downside is probably quite limited now because of the negativity that&#39;s been priced into Alibaba over the last two years. We&#39;ve seen massive fines, government crackdowns, Ant IPO controversy, tensions between Jack Ma and Beijing, hedge fund blowups, a slowdown in China&#39;s economy, geopolitical pressures, and more. Alibaba&#39;s market cap has dwindled from nearly $1 trillion to only $237 billion. The company&#39;s P/E valuation has crashed from around 30 to just 12. Therefore, unless something unexpected and considerable transpires (black Swan event), the downside is probably limited now. And still, one uncertainty lurks in the minds of many market participants. Will Alibaba&#39;s stock get delisted?</p><p><b>The Probability Of Delisting Appears Low</b></p><p>Investing is a risk, in any case. We don&#39;t know if a company will report strong earnings, continue growing, or possibly go bankrupt much of the time. However, a recent phenomenon to grip markets is the fear of investing in Chinese stocks. Many Chinese companies were Wall St. darlings in the early and mid-2000s. Alibaba even posted the largest IPO in history for its time, raising a whopping $25 billion. However, much has changed in several years. Investors are no longer clamoring to get into Alibaba. They are running for the doors. So, what has changed?</p><p><b>Chinese Stocks: Out Of Favor - For Now</b></p><p>We&#39;ve seen a worsening in relations between the U.S. and China, economically, geopolitically, and generally. There have been questions regarding the accounting standards used in China. That is why the SEC recently put Alibaba on its HFCAA list. Being put on the SEC&#39;s HFCAA means that if the Chinese government does not permit American regulators to inspect the company&#39;s books within three years, its stock could be delisted from U.S. exchanges. It&#39;s fair to mention that essentially all Chinese companies are on the SEC&#39;s HFCAA list now. So, will all Chinese companies, including Alibaba, be delisted from U.S. stock exchanges? I believe not.</p><p>The debate over Chinese auditing firms has gone on for a long time. However, if more than <b>$1 trillion</b> worth of Chinese stocks get delisted from U.S. exchanges, Beijing has a lot to lose. </p><p>Additionally, it is not in the U.S.&#39;s interests to boot Chinese companies from its markets, as it would further erode relations. The U.S. and China are tremendous trading partners, with the U.S. importing far more than it exports to China. The U.S. exports roughly $11 billion of goods each month to China while importing $40-50 billion. Last year, the U.S.&#39;s trade deficit with China was more than $350 billion. At the current pace, this year&#39;s trade deficit with China should be about $400 billion. China is one of the U.S.&#39;s biggest trading partners and the U.S. imports more goods from China than from anyone (more than $500 billion in 2021). The U.S. benefits significantly from its trading relationship with China and is likelier to repair relations than ruin them over accounting concerns.</p><p><b>Bottom Line: Where Alibaba Could Be In Several Years</b></p><p>Let&#39;s put aside the delisting fears. Also, we should consider that much of the bad news is behind Alibaba and that brighter days are ahead. Moreover, current earnings and EPS estimates are probably around the bottom. Furthermore, Alibaba should return to growth and could achieve more robust revenue and EPS growth than most estimates are suggesting now. Therefore, we could see Alibaba&#39;s stock move a lot higher.</p><p><b>Here&#39;s where I see shares heading in the long run:</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f94b0df9cc6e7a739bd7aeef4772c4\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: The Financial Prophet</span></p><p>Provided the depressed atmosphere surrounding Alibaba, current estimates may be on the low end of the spectrum. Therefore, Alibaba may achieve analysts&#39; higher-end revenue and EPS projections. Also, I am incorporating a gradual increase in Alibaba&#39;s P/E multiple. The company commanded a P/E ratio of 20-30 or higher in previous years. It may return to 20 (or higher) in the coming years as the uncertainty fades and the company returns to growth and increases profitability. Provided Alibaba achieves these estimates, its stock price could reach <b>$500</b> by 2030 or sooner.</p><p><b>Risks For Alibaba</b></p><p>While I&#39;m bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my bullish thesis for the company. For instance, the China could resume its tough stance and clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, despite the optimistic tone from Chinese authorities, U.S. regulators could still decide to delist Alibaba. Increased competition could impact Alibaba&#39;s growth and profits. The company&#39;s growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba&#39;s profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. This investment has numerous risks, and shares are very cheap right now. I believe Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.</p><p><i>This article was written by Victor Dergunov</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Buy For The Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Buy For The Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-24 22:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536393-alibaba-buy-for-next-decade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba is considerably undervalued, even with the risks involved.The value is there, and it's remarkable. Alibaba achieved a GMV of $1.2 trillion in fiscal 2021, doubling Amazon.Yet, Alibaba ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536393-alibaba-buy-for-next-decade\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536393-alibaba-buy-for-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261659155","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba is considerably undervalued, even with the risks involved.The value is there, and it's remarkable. Alibaba achieved a GMV of $1.2 trillion in fiscal 2021, doubling Amazon.Yet, Alibaba gets no respect, commanding a market cap of 1/6 of the American retail giants'.The delisting concerns appear exaggerated, and Alibaba's earnings forecasts could be at rock a bottom here.As uncertainties fade, Alibaba should return to growth and improved profitability, driving its share price significantly higher in the coming years.Robert WayFinding dominant market-leading companies that offer substantial value and significant growth potential at reasonable valuations has not been easy lately. However, when considering a company to own for the next five to ten years, one name stands out above the rest, Alibaba (NYSE:BABA). I know Alibaba is a Chinese company. Currently, Chinese stocks are out of favor and are perceived as higher-risk investments. However, I cannot ignore how cheap Alibaba has become. While there is increased risk, there is also substantial reward potential. Investing would be easy if we knew where Alibaba's stock would be in five to ten years. However, Investing is complex, and the truth is that Alibaba could be at $500, or its stock may not be listed on U.S. stock exchanges several years from now. Nevertheless, delisting fears appear exaggerated, and Alibaba has become remarkably cheap considering its potential. Therefore, the company's stock could go much higher as it returns to growth, illustrating that it offers significant value to investors and uncertainties fade.The Value Is There, And It's RemarkableAlibaba's ecosystem brought in a staggering $1.2 trillion gross merchandise value (\"GMV\") in fiscal 2021. Additionally, the company reported more than a billion annual active consumers (\"AACs\") in fiscal 2021.Alibaba GMV (alibabagroup.com )In comparison, Amazon (AMZN) reported a GMV of $600 billion in 2021. This metric illustrates that the value of goods sold in 2021 (fiscal 2021 for Alibaba) was roughly double on Alibaba's platforms vs. Amazon's.Alibaba GMV - Billions of Yuan (fiscal)BABA GMV (Statista.com)We see the significant GMV growth continuing through fiscal 2022, implying that the company can continue expanding GMV and revenues as it advances. Moreover, as Alibaba's operations and revenues grow, it should become increasingly more profitable in the coming years.Valuation - Alibaba Vs. AmazonWe discussed that Alibaba's GMV essentially doubled Amazon's in 2021. Despite this sales dynamic, Alibaba is valued at about $237 billion, while Amazon's market cap is around $1.4 trillion. Therefore, we see a massive disconnect in valuations here, as Alibaba's GMV was double Amazon's, but Amazon's market cap is nearly six times higher than Alibaba's. Going by this GMV to market cap valuation, we see that Amazon is valued at around 12 x Alibaba now. Looking at other valuation metrics, we see that Alibaba is dramatically undervalued.EPS EstimatesEPS Estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )We see that Alibaba is in a transitory phase of EPS decline. This year's EPS should come in at about $7.30, roughly a 7% YoY decline. We must consider that temporary earnings declines are typically the best periods to pick up company shares on the cheap, at a deep discount. Alibaba's share price is down by 72% from its all-time highs. As of writing this article, Alibaba is at about $90, putting its P/E ratio at just 12.3 times this year's consensus EPS estimates. However, we should see growth, and the company's substantial EPS potential makes this stock very cheap.Also, we must consider that during an earnings decline phase, EPS estimates typically get brought down considerably, often by too much, overshooting on the downside. Therefore, there is a high probability that Alibaba can surpass current depressed EPS estimates and could report towards the higher end of the estimated fingers in future years. While consensus estimates are for about $10 for fiscal 2025, I believe Alibaba could report EPS closer to $12. Considering Alibaba's current stock price, the company may be trading at just 7.5 times forward (fiscal 2025) earnings now.Growth Will ReturnRevenue EstimatesRevenue estimates (SeekingAlpha.com )Despite the slowdown to around 5-6% YoY revenue growth this year, sales growth should rebound to double-digits as the company advances. Consensus revenue estimates point to approximately $200 billion in fiscal 2027, but this figure may be lowballing Alibaba's potential. I suspect Alibaba's sales could hit about $230 billion in 2027, and the company may register approximately $300 billion in revenues by 2030.The Downside Is LimitedThe downside is probably quite limited now because of the negativity that's been priced into Alibaba over the last two years. We've seen massive fines, government crackdowns, Ant IPO controversy, tensions between Jack Ma and Beijing, hedge fund blowups, a slowdown in China's economy, geopolitical pressures, and more. Alibaba's market cap has dwindled from nearly $1 trillion to only $237 billion. The company's P/E valuation has crashed from around 30 to just 12. Therefore, unless something unexpected and considerable transpires (black Swan event), the downside is probably limited now. And still, one uncertainty lurks in the minds of many market participants. Will Alibaba's stock get delisted?The Probability Of Delisting Appears LowInvesting is a risk, in any case. We don't know if a company will report strong earnings, continue growing, or possibly go bankrupt much of the time. However, a recent phenomenon to grip markets is the fear of investing in Chinese stocks. Many Chinese companies were Wall St. darlings in the early and mid-2000s. Alibaba even posted the largest IPO in history for its time, raising a whopping $25 billion. However, much has changed in several years. Investors are no longer clamoring to get into Alibaba. They are running for the doors. So, what has changed?Chinese Stocks: Out Of Favor - For NowWe've seen a worsening in relations between the U.S. and China, economically, geopolitically, and generally. There have been questions regarding the accounting standards used in China. That is why the SEC recently put Alibaba on its HFCAA list. Being put on the SEC's HFCAA means that if the Chinese government does not permit American regulators to inspect the company's books within three years, its stock could be delisted from U.S. exchanges. It's fair to mention that essentially all Chinese companies are on the SEC's HFCAA list now. So, will all Chinese companies, including Alibaba, be delisted from U.S. stock exchanges? I believe not.The debate over Chinese auditing firms has gone on for a long time. However, if more than $1 trillion worth of Chinese stocks get delisted from U.S. exchanges, Beijing has a lot to lose. Additionally, it is not in the U.S.'s interests to boot Chinese companies from its markets, as it would further erode relations. The U.S. and China are tremendous trading partners, with the U.S. importing far more than it exports to China. The U.S. exports roughly $11 billion of goods each month to China while importing $40-50 billion. Last year, the U.S.'s trade deficit with China was more than $350 billion. At the current pace, this year's trade deficit with China should be about $400 billion. China is one of the U.S.'s biggest trading partners and the U.S. imports more goods from China than from anyone (more than $500 billion in 2021). The U.S. benefits significantly from its trading relationship with China and is likelier to repair relations than ruin them over accounting concerns.Bottom Line: Where Alibaba Could Be In Several YearsLet's put aside the delisting fears. Also, we should consider that much of the bad news is behind Alibaba and that brighter days are ahead. Moreover, current earnings and EPS estimates are probably around the bottom. Furthermore, Alibaba should return to growth and could achieve more robust revenue and EPS growth than most estimates are suggesting now. Therefore, we could see Alibaba's stock move a lot higher.Here's where I see shares heading in the long run:Source: The Financial ProphetProvided the depressed atmosphere surrounding Alibaba, current estimates may be on the low end of the spectrum. Therefore, Alibaba may achieve analysts' higher-end revenue and EPS projections. Also, I am incorporating a gradual increase in Alibaba's P/E multiple. The company commanded a P/E ratio of 20-30 or higher in previous years. It may return to 20 (or higher) in the coming years as the uncertainty fades and the company returns to growth and increases profitability. Provided Alibaba achieves these estimates, its stock price could reach $500 by 2030 or sooner.Risks For AlibabaWhile I'm bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my bullish thesis for the company. For instance, the China could resume its tough stance and clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, despite the optimistic tone from Chinese authorities, U.S. regulators could still decide to delist Alibaba. Increased competition could impact Alibaba's growth and profits. The company's growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba's profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. This investment has numerous risks, and shares are very cheap right now. I believe Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.This article was written by Victor Dergunov","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992381959,"gmtCreate":1661263656673,"gmtModify":1676536484923,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No good","listText":"No good","text":"No good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992381959","repostId":"2261454495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261454495","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661248759,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261454495?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-23 17:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Stock Is Cut to Sell. The \"Key Catalyst\" May Not Arrive Until 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261454495","media":"Barrons","summary":"Netflix shares dropped on Monday following a downgrade from CFRA.Analyst Kenneth Leon lowered his ra","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix shares dropped on Monday following a downgrade from CFRA.</p><p>Analyst Kenneth Leon lowered his rating for Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares to Sell from Hold, and trimmed his target for the stock price target by $7, to $238. Netflix fell 6.1% to $226.54 on Monday, and was one of the S&amp;P 500’s worst-performing stocks.</p><p>“After realizing 40% price gains since mid-July lows, we think NFLX shares may underperform S&amp;P 500 Index for the rest of 2022,” Leon wrote.</p><p>The analyst believes Netflix will have a rough second half of the year. He said earnings per share and Ebitda, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, are likely to come in lower in the second half than in the first half.</p><p>“The key catalyst for NFLX — introducing new ad-pay subscription plans — may not be visible until 2023,” Leon wrote.</p><p>The stock has lost 62% this year, and analysts have grown more cautious about the company over the past few months.</p><p>Of the 46 analysts covering the shares, only 28% still rate them at Buy, while 57% rate them at Hold and 15% at Sell, according to FactSet. Last September, 76% of analysts had Buy ratings, 15% rated Netflix at Hold, and 9% had it at Sell.</p><p>Analyst hesitance comes even as Americans are spending more time watching streaming media than cable, with Netflix topping the charts as the most-watched streaming service in July, according to recent data from Nielsen. Rising competition in the streaming industry remains a main concern for Wall Street, with new entrants threatening Netflix’s dominance in the space.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Stock Is Cut to Sell. The \"Key Catalyst\" May Not Arrive Until 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Stock Is Cut to Sell. The \"Key Catalyst\" May Not Arrive Until 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 17:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-stock-price-sell-rating-downgrade-51661169523?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix shares dropped on Monday following a downgrade from CFRA.Analyst Kenneth Leon lowered his rating for Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares to Sell from Hold, and trimmed his target for the stock price...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-stock-price-sell-rating-downgrade-51661169523?mod=hp_LATEST\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-stock-price-sell-rating-downgrade-51661169523?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261454495","content_text":"Netflix shares dropped on Monday following a downgrade from CFRA.Analyst Kenneth Leon lowered his rating for Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares to Sell from Hold, and trimmed his target for the stock price target by $7, to $238. Netflix fell 6.1% to $226.54 on Monday, and was one of the S&P 500’s worst-performing stocks.“After realizing 40% price gains since mid-July lows, we think NFLX shares may underperform S&P 500 Index for the rest of 2022,” Leon wrote.The analyst believes Netflix will have a rough second half of the year. He said earnings per share and Ebitda, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, are likely to come in lower in the second half than in the first half.“The key catalyst for NFLX — introducing new ad-pay subscription plans — may not be visible until 2023,” Leon wrote.The stock has lost 62% this year, and analysts have grown more cautious about the company over the past few months.Of the 46 analysts covering the shares, only 28% still rate them at Buy, while 57% rate them at Hold and 15% at Sell, according to FactSet. Last September, 76% of analysts had Buy ratings, 15% rated Netflix at Hold, and 9% had it at Sell.Analyst hesitance comes even as Americans are spending more time watching streaming media than cable, with Netflix topping the charts as the most-watched streaming service in July, according to recent data from Nielsen. Rising competition in the streaming industry remains a main concern for Wall Street, with new entrants threatening Netflix’s dominance in the space.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996590429,"gmtCreate":1661182866964,"gmtModify":1676536469251,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996590429","repostId":"2261576225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261576225","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661182417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261576225?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Never Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261576225","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These two warning signs could be an indication you're trying to catch a falling knife.","content":"<div>\n<p>After you've been investing for a while, you begin to see the bright side of share-price declines, because they often present opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices.Not every beaten...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Never Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNever Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 23:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After you've been investing for a while, you begin to see the bright side of share-price declines, because they often present opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices.Not every beaten...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261576225","content_text":"After you've been investing for a while, you begin to see the bright side of share-price declines, because they often present opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices.Not every beaten-down stock is a good investment, though. Sometimes, stocks fall for good reason, and buying them after a significant crash is actually a value trap instead of a bargain opportunity.To avoid catching falling knives, you have to be able to distinguish the quality companies the market is overlooking from the struggling businesses that will likely continue to face challenges. To that end, I never invest in beaten-down companies if I see these two red flags:The company will likely need to raise more money to fund operations.The business is facing secular headwinds.Let's unpack these two concepts by looking at an example: Peloton Interactive.Image source: Getty Images.Avoid zombies like the plagueA zombie company is a business that is on a path toward insolvency unless it manages to raise additional capital, either in the form of an additional equity offering (selling more stock) or by taking on new debt.These companies are completely dependent on new capital injections to survive, and when interest rates start to rise and the market becomes more averse to risk, they're often forced to take on new debt at very unfavorable interest rates, exacerbating their balance-sheet woes.Peloton has certainly struggled in the last year with demand dropping off a cliff and operating expenses rising.This led Dave Trainer, the CEO of the research firm New Constructs, to say the following in a recent publication: \"Peloton's issues are well telegraphed -- given the stock's decline over the past year -- but investors may not realize that the company only has a few months' worth of cash remaining to fund its operations, which puts the stock in danger of falling to $0 per share.\"Trainer's harsh comments are substantiated when you look at the company's shrinking cash position:MetricJune 30, 2020June 30, 2021March 21, 2022Cash*$1.75 billion$1.60 billion$879 millionData source: Peloton earnings reports. *Includes cash equivalents and short-term investments.The interactive fitness specialist is also burning cash at an accelerated rate, going from free-cash-flow positive in 2020 to reporting negative free cash flow for five straight quarters. And the fiscal third quarter saw the biggest outflow yet of $746.7 million.While Peloton's newly appointed CEO, Barry McCarthy, is hoping to pull off the comeback of the decade, Peloton is a company that may soon be raising capital in an environment where doing so is no longer cheap.Pass on businesses operating in declining marketsAnother major red flag is when a company operates in an industry with major secular headwinds. Peloton had a tremendous first-mover advantage which it cashed in during the pandemic as the connected-fitness industry enjoyed a surge in popularity. But as things have started returning to normal, the at-home fitness sector has experienced a complete reversal with waning demand, which is visible in Peloton's rapidly slowing revenue growth.MetricQ3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Revenue growth141%54%6%6%(15%)Data source: Peloton earnings reports.And Peloton is not alone. Rival fitness brand Nautilus recently announced a 70% decline in sales in the most recent quarter, while the parent company of NordicTrack scrapped its plans to go public this year among various rounds of layoffs.The at-home fitness equipment industry may eventually live up to the hype, but for the foreseeable future, it faces an uphill battle as fitness enthusiasts elect to return to gyms and outdoor activities.Buy the dip, but do it intelligently I'm a huge proponent of buying beaten-down stocks as long as they're high-quality companies. And to determine that, you need to be on the lookout for red flags.As you can see with Peloton, the potential need to raise capital to fund operations (especially when interest rates are rising) and major industry headwinds are two indications the stock could be a falling knife instead of a diamond in the rough.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PTON":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998395167,"gmtCreate":1660934179462,"gmtModify":1676536425451,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Angry]&nbsp;","listText":"[Angry]&nbsp;","text":"[Angry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998395167","repostId":"1122346772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122346772","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660921772,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122346772?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-19 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Mega-Cap Growth Stocks Fell in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122346772","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Mega-cap growth stocks fell in morning trading.Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Mega-cap growth stocks fell in morning trading.</p><p>Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet and Nvidia slid between 1% and 4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6de776d6cc684abefc1caa15907fd5e5\" tg-width=\"452\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Mega-Cap Growth Stocks Fell in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMega-Cap Growth Stocks Fell in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-19 23:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Mega-cap growth stocks fell in morning trading.</p><p>Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet and Nvidia slid between 1% and 4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6de776d6cc684abefc1caa15907fd5e5\" tg-width=\"452\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NVDA":"英伟达","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122346772","content_text":"Mega-cap growth stocks fell in morning trading.Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet and Nvidia slid between 1% and 4%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991650087,"gmtCreate":1660830560851,"gmtModify":1676536406860,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991650087","repostId":"1130931256","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130931256","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660802225,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130931256?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-18 13:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett's 6 Highest-Yielding Dividend Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130931256","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These top-notch Buffett-owned income stocks are doling out between 3.6% and 5.3% annually to their shareholders.","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSOne of the Oracle of Omaha's keys to success has been packing Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio with dividend stocks.Warren Buffett's highest-yielding stocks are all paying well over double the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/17/warren-buffett-6-highest-yielding-dividend-stocks/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's 6 Highest-Yielding Dividend Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's 6 Highest-Yielding Dividend Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-18 13:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/17/warren-buffett-6-highest-yielding-dividend-stocks/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSOne of the Oracle of Omaha's keys to success has been packing Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio with dividend stocks.Warren Buffett's highest-yielding stocks are all paying well over double the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/17/warren-buffett-6-highest-yielding-dividend-stocks/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"USB":"美国合众银行","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","CVX":"雪佛龙","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","C":"花旗","KHC":"卡夫亨氏","PARA":"Paramount Global"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/17/warren-buffett-6-highest-yielding-dividend-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130931256","content_text":"KEY POINTSOne of the Oracle of Omaha's keys to success has been packing Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio with dividend stocks.Warren Buffett's highest-yielding stocks are all paying well over double the average annual yield of the benchmark S&P 500.Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett has been a wealth-building machine longer than most Americans have been alive. Since taking over as CEO in 1965, he's overseen the creation of more than $660 billion in shareholder value and delivered an aggregate return for his company's Class A shares of 3,641,613%, through Dec. 31, 2021.The Oracle of Omaha's recipe for success involves buying high-quality, brand-name businesses and allowing those businesses to grow over multiple years or decades. But the unheralded stars of Warren Buffett's portfolio are, more often than not, dividend stocks.BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY CEO WARREN BUFFETT. IMAGE SOURCE: THE MOTLEY FOOL.Companies that regularly pay a dividend are often profitable on a recurring basis and time-tested. Perhaps more importantly, they have an impressive track record of running circles around their peers that don't pay a dividend over long periods.Knowing how important dividend income can be, Warren Buffett has packed Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio with income stocks yielding well above the average yield of theS&P 500. What follows are the six highest-yielding stocks in Warren Buffett's portfolio, as of this past weekend (but taking into account the company's most-recent Form 13F filing).1. STORE Capital: 5.27% yieldIf you want to ride Warren Buffett's coattails into the highest yield possible, look no further thanreal estate investment trust(REIT) STORE Capital at 5.3%. In order to avoid normal corporate income tax rates, REITs are required to pay out most of their earnings as a dividend to their shareholders.STORE's not-so-subtle secret to success is its triple-net leases. Triple-net leases, sometimes known as \"NNN leases,\" require the tenant to cover all property expenses. This includes maintenance, utility bills, and even the insurance and taxes associated with the property. Though triple-net leases often result in lower rental rates since the tenant is required to take on more financial responsibility, it makes STORE's operating cash flow about as transparent and predictable as possible.What's more, STORE Capital has focused on purchasing what it calls \"profit-center real estate\" for middle-market companies.  Effectively, STORE seeks out properties that are essential to the businesses it leases to. This makes it far less likely that tenants would default on their rental payments.2. Kraft Heinz: 4.14% yieldPackaged foods and beverage company Kraft Heinz is doling out a generous dividend as well. Even after reducing its payout in 2019, the company's yield of more than 4.1% places it in the high-yield category.Although Warren Buffett has an incredible track record, even great investors are fallible. Berkshire Hathaway's hefty stake in Kraft Heinz is a perfect example of that. Heinz grossly overpaid for Kraft Foods in 2016, and the combined company's balance sheet has been paying for it ever since. Even with a greater than $15 billion goodwill writedown in 2019, the company's balance sheet remains debt heavy and with minimal wiggle room to reinvest in its brands.The silver lining here is that the COVID-19 pandemic has encouraged consumers to eat at home more often. That's boosted sales of pre-packed and quickly prepared meals and snacks, which is the heart of Kraft Heinz's operating model.3. U.S. Bancorp: 3.77% yieldLongtime holding U.S. Bancorp is yet another rock-solid income stock hiding in plain sight in Buffett's portfolio. Its relatively high 3.8% yield is a reflection of its superior return on assets (ROA) among larger bank stocks.Whereas most money-center banks got themselves in big trouble during the financial crisis by chasing after riskier derivative investments, U.S. Bancorp's management team has predominantly stuck with the bread and butter of banking: loan and deposit growth. It's not sexy by any means, but it's a tried-and-true way for banks to grow their profits and payouts over the long run.What really allows U.S. Bancorp to stand out is the company's digital engagement. As of May 31, 2022, 82% of its active customers were banking digitally. This includes 64% of total loan sales being completed online or via mobile app, which is up from just 45% at the beginning of 2020.  Online and mobile-based transactions are substantially cheaper for banks than in-person or phone-based interactions. It's just another reason U.S. Bancorp is an ROA beast among bank stocks.4. Citigroup: 3.75% yieldNot far behind U.S. Bancorp in yield is money-center giant Citigroup. Although Citigroup has endured its struggles over the past decade and change, it hasn't hurt the company's ability to handily outpace the average yield (1.7%) of the broad-based S&P 500.Perhaps the biggest catalyst for Citi at the moment is historically high inflation. With the Federal Reserve having little choice but to get aggressive with interest rates in order to tame inflation, banks stocks should see a healthy uptick in the net-interest income collected from variable-rate outstanding loans. And to be clear, the nation's central bank doesn't appear to be anywhere close to ending its hawkish monetary stance.Citigroup should also benefit from the cyclical nature of the banking industry. Thoughbank stockslike Citi are susceptible to rising loan delinquencies and charge-offs during periods of economic contraction and recessions, the U.S. and global economy spend far more time expanding than contracting. Patience in the banking industry usually pays off handsomely.5. Paramount Global: 3.67% yieldAnother relatively new holding that's generating a sizable yield for the Oracle of Omaha is media and entertainment company Paramount Global. Paramount's almost 3.7% yield is about two percentage points higher than the S&P 500's dividend yield.The no-brainer catalyst for Paramount throughout this decade is going to be its streaming push. As consumers move away from traditional cable bundles and toward less-expensive bolt-on streaming packages, Paramount+ has made sizable gains. Even after removing its services from Russia, global direct-to-consumer subscribers jumped to nearly 64 million. Paramount+ added 3.7 million net subscribers during the second quarter.However, Paramount is also reaping the rewards of at least some moviegoers returning to the theater. Although movie theater attendance has been in decline since 2002, Top Gun: Maverick propelled the company's film entertainment segment to a greater-than-doubling in revenue in the June-ended quarter. If moviegoing continues to normalize closer to pre-pandemic levels, Paramount's payout could increase even more over time.CHEVRON HAS INCREASED ITS BASE ANNUAL PAYOUT IN EACH OF THE PAST 35 YEARS. CVX DIVIDEND DATA BY YCHARTS.6. Chevron: 3.55% yieldLast but not least, Big Oil is known to pay some hefty dividends, and integrated oil stock Chevron is no exception. The $5.68 per share Chevron is handing out each year works out to a nearly 3.6% yield. Tack on an up to $10 billion share buyback in 2022, and it's easy to see why Warren Buffett has piled into this stock.There's a decent chance that Chevron, a Dividend Aristocrat, will no have trouble growing its payout for the foreseeable future thanks to global energy supply chain disruptions. Major energy companies significantly reduced their capital investments during the COVID-19 pandemic. Add to this Russia - Ukraine war, and there's the real possibility that supply constraints could lift crude oil and natural gas prices for years to come.Then again, Chevron's secret weapon might be its integrated operating structure. Although it generates its juiciest margins from drilling, the company also owns transmission pipelines, refineries, and chemical plants.Midstream pipelines typically rely on fixed-fee of volume-based contracts, which is a fancy way of saying they generate very predictable cash flow no more how volatile energy commodity prices are. Meanwhile, downstream operations like refineries and chemical plants benefit when input costs (i.e., crude prices) fall. In other words, Chevron is well-hedged within the oil and gas space.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KHC":0.9,"PARA":0.9,"CVX":0.9,"STOR":0.9,"USB":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"C":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1030,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993862078,"gmtCreate":1660662911596,"gmtModify":1676536374517,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571641819609845","authorIdStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Add","listText":"Add","text":"Add","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993862078","repostId":"2259839211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2259839211","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1660659198,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259839211?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259839211","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla(TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares pri","content":"<div>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259839211","content_text":"Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.TSLATesla$927.96What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.Musk Teases Two New Tesla Vehicle ModelsAs I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.What You Can Do NowFor all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9907579983,"gmtCreate":1660225626943,"gmtModify":1703487802571,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Opportunity or danger","listText":"Opportunity or danger","text":"Opportunity or danger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907579983","repostId":"1103823286","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103823286","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660231920,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103823286?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-11 23:32","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: More Bad News","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103823286","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba's shares are trading at seemingly attractive valuation multiples but investors should","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba&#39;s shares are trading at seemingly attractive valuation multiples but investors shouldn&#39;t fall into the trap.</li><li>Prospects for investing in Alibaba have significantly deteriorated in recent weeks.</li><li>Risk-averse investors may want to avoid the stock for the time being.</li></ul><p>Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) shares are down over 50% in the last year and many investors are getting tempted to buy. The general rationale is that the stock has fallen enough already and that it should only rally on from here on out. While that might have been a compelling contrarian argument till a few weeks ago, it&#39;s now rife with problems, speculation and stretched assumptions. In this article, I&#39;ll explain why investors may want to avoid the value trap that Alibaba is gradually turning out to be. Let&#39;s take a closer look at it all.</p><p><b>The Valuation Misconception</b></p><p>Let me start by saying that Alibaba&#39;s shares are trading at just 2.1-times its trailing twelve-month sales. This is quite low, especially when considering that the stock used to trade at over 24-times its sales back in 2015. Given this steep discount compared to its own prior levels, contrarian investors have been arguing that the stock is attractively valued and that it doesn&#39;t have much downside potential left from current levels.</p><p>While that sounds like a compelling argument, the problem here is that industry comparables are trading at even more attractive multiples. The chart below should put things in perspective. The X-axis plots the Price-to-Sales (or P/S) multiples for over 25 internet retail stocks that are listed on US bourses. Note how Alibaba is horizontally positioned slightly towards the right, indicating that its trading at levels that are marginally higher than the industry average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5d6db06c8da4548d2002f11348dc0e4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>Now, let&#39;s shift attention to the Y-axis, which plots the revenue growth rates for the same set of companies. Note how Alibaba is vertically positioned much lower than a broad swath of its other listed peers. This suggests that the stock is valued slightly higher than the industry average but its revenue growth rate is lower than most its peers in general. This implies that Alibaba&#39;s shares have room to correct further, in order to justify its subpar growth rate.</p><p>There are at least 14 other stocks classified in the internet retail industry, that are growing faster than Alibaba but trading at lower P/S multiples. This disparity is all the more prominent when we consider that Alibaba&#39;s US-listed shares offer an ownership only in a shell company floated in Cayman Islands, whereas its other attractively-priced US-based peers offer ownership in actual companies. Because of this difference in the nature of securities, Alibaba&#39;s shares should ideally be trading at a discount compared to its US-based peers in the first place, but it&#39;s actually trading at a slight premium instead. This should encourage contrarian investors to reconsider their thesis for the e-commerce giant.</p><p><b>The Growth Slowdown</b></p><p>Moving on, the Chinese government hasn&#39;t hiked its interest rates in recent months, unlike the US. This suggests the Chinese economy will continue growing at a relatively faster pace and companies operating there should, at least in theory, thrive while other global economies stagnate and/or go into recession. This industry tailwind should indeed boost Alibaba&#39;s growth prospects and it&#39;s admittedly a silver lining in the whole contrarian narrative.</p><p>But there&#39;s a problem here as well. Hindering consumer spending in Q3 may trigger a more profound slowdown for Alibaba and other similarly positioned Chinese e-commerce companies, negating the positives of low interest rates in the country. This is gradually reflected in the Street&#39;s forecasts - note how analysts have been gradually lowering their revenue estimates for the company in nearly every passing week.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2fe58214fe586338142e205e80429ea\" tg-width=\"637\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>This situation should again encourage investors to rethink their rationale for Alibaba.</p><p><b>The Delisting Risk</b></p><p>Lastly, contrarian investors are hopeful that delisting fears pertaining to Alibaba are exaggerated and not really a matter of concern. However, the risk is very real. The SEC published a yet another list about 10 days ago, noting that Alibaba and 270 other Chinese companies will be forcefully delisted from US bourses if they don&#39;t open up for audit inspections.</p><p>Chinese regulators had reassured investors earlier this year that they&#39;re going to work with the SEC and comply with their audit requirements, in order to prevent mass delisting of Chinese stocks from US bourses. But I&#39;ve been warning investors that the regulators haven&#39;t been making any progress and the risk remains. The prospect of such progress seems even more unlikely now.</p><p>One might argue that Alibaba is listed on Hong Kong bourses so a delisting in the US won&#39;t make a difference. But it will. The prospect of Alibaba&#39;s shares getting delisted in the US, is likely to prompt a mass selloff by institutional investors that have mandates to invest in only US stocks. Besides, the financial cost of owning Hong Kong-listed stocks is far higher for US citizens, so retail investors are likely to sell their shares too in large numbers.</p><p>Moreover, it&#39;s not like Hong Kong-listed shares have been performing any better than their US-listed shares. Both the stocks have continuously declined for the better part of the past year and I expect the downtrend to continue in Hong Kong listed shares going forward as well, given the deteriorating growth prospects for Alibaba as a company and its stretched valuation in general.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e429e60a44011b271d8005a772849ddd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yahoo Finance</p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>There&#39;s no denying that Alibaba has grown its top line at a rapid rate in the past decade. The company has expanded its operations over time and its different revenue streams have all continued to grow over the years. This is a commendable feat and an enviable position to be in.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d14b4467c4d87ffa64fe2f60f01bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"672\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>However, there are now several risks associated with investing in Alibaba, namely decelerating revenue growth, the risk of getting delisted from US exchanges and its relatively pricey valuations in general. So, risk-averse investors may want to avoid investing in Alibaba for the time being at least. The stock seems tempting at current levels, but it&#39;s rife with issues.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: More Bad News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: More Bad News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-11 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532407-alibaba-more-bad-news?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A3><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba's shares are trading at seemingly attractive valuation multiples but investors shouldn't fall into the trap.Prospects for investing in Alibaba have significantly deteriorated in recent ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532407-alibaba-more-bad-news?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A3\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532407-alibaba-more-bad-news?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103823286","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba's shares are trading at seemingly attractive valuation multiples but investors shouldn't fall into the trap.Prospects for investing in Alibaba have significantly deteriorated in recent weeks.Risk-averse investors may want to avoid the stock for the time being.Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) shares are down over 50% in the last year and many investors are getting tempted to buy. The general rationale is that the stock has fallen enough already and that it should only rally on from here on out. While that might have been a compelling contrarian argument till a few weeks ago, it's now rife with problems, speculation and stretched assumptions. In this article, I'll explain why investors may want to avoid the value trap that Alibaba is gradually turning out to be. Let's take a closer look at it all.The Valuation MisconceptionLet me start by saying that Alibaba's shares are trading at just 2.1-times its trailing twelve-month sales. This is quite low, especially when considering that the stock used to trade at over 24-times its sales back in 2015. Given this steep discount compared to its own prior levels, contrarian investors have been arguing that the stock is attractively valued and that it doesn't have much downside potential left from current levels.While that sounds like a compelling argument, the problem here is that industry comparables are trading at even more attractive multiples. The chart below should put things in perspective. The X-axis plots the Price-to-Sales (or P/S) multiples for over 25 internet retail stocks that are listed on US bourses. Note how Alibaba is horizontally positioned slightly towards the right, indicating that its trading at levels that are marginally higher than the industry average.BusinessQuant.comNow, let's shift attention to the Y-axis, which plots the revenue growth rates for the same set of companies. Note how Alibaba is vertically positioned much lower than a broad swath of its other listed peers. This suggests that the stock is valued slightly higher than the industry average but its revenue growth rate is lower than most its peers in general. This implies that Alibaba's shares have room to correct further, in order to justify its subpar growth rate.There are at least 14 other stocks classified in the internet retail industry, that are growing faster than Alibaba but trading at lower P/S multiples. This disparity is all the more prominent when we consider that Alibaba's US-listed shares offer an ownership only in a shell company floated in Cayman Islands, whereas its other attractively-priced US-based peers offer ownership in actual companies. Because of this difference in the nature of securities, Alibaba's shares should ideally be trading at a discount compared to its US-based peers in the first place, but it's actually trading at a slight premium instead. This should encourage contrarian investors to reconsider their thesis for the e-commerce giant.The Growth SlowdownMoving on, the Chinese government hasn't hiked its interest rates in recent months, unlike the US. This suggests the Chinese economy will continue growing at a relatively faster pace and companies operating there should, at least in theory, thrive while other global economies stagnate and/or go into recession. This industry tailwind should indeed boost Alibaba's growth prospects and it's admittedly a silver lining in the whole contrarian narrative.But there's a problem here as well. Hindering consumer spending in Q3 may trigger a more profound slowdown for Alibaba and other similarly positioned Chinese e-commerce companies, negating the positives of low interest rates in the country. This is gradually reflected in the Street's forecasts - note how analysts have been gradually lowering their revenue estimates for the company in nearly every passing week.YchartsThis situation should again encourage investors to rethink their rationale for Alibaba.The Delisting RiskLastly, contrarian investors are hopeful that delisting fears pertaining to Alibaba are exaggerated and not really a matter of concern. However, the risk is very real. The SEC published a yet another list about 10 days ago, noting that Alibaba and 270 other Chinese companies will be forcefully delisted from US bourses if they don't open up for audit inspections.Chinese regulators had reassured investors earlier this year that they're going to work with the SEC and comply with their audit requirements, in order to prevent mass delisting of Chinese stocks from US bourses. But I've been warning investors that the regulators haven't been making any progress and the risk remains. The prospect of such progress seems even more unlikely now.One might argue that Alibaba is listed on Hong Kong bourses so a delisting in the US won't make a difference. But it will. The prospect of Alibaba's shares getting delisted in the US, is likely to prompt a mass selloff by institutional investors that have mandates to invest in only US stocks. Besides, the financial cost of owning Hong Kong-listed stocks is far higher for US citizens, so retail investors are likely to sell their shares too in large numbers.Moreover, it's not like Hong Kong-listed shares have been performing any better than their US-listed shares. Both the stocks have continuously declined for the better part of the past year and I expect the downtrend to continue in Hong Kong listed shares going forward as well, given the deteriorating growth prospects for Alibaba as a company and its stretched valuation in general.Yahoo FinanceFinal ThoughtsThere's no denying that Alibaba has grown its top line at a rapid rate in the past decade. The company has expanded its operations over time and its different revenue streams have all continued to grow over the years. This is a commendable feat and an enviable position to be in.BusinessQuant.comHowever, there are now several risks associated with investing in Alibaba, namely decelerating revenue growth, the risk of getting delisted from US exchanges and its relatively pricey valuations in general. So, risk-averse investors may want to avoid investing in Alibaba for the time being at least. The stock seems tempting at current levels, but it's rife with issues.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913813988,"gmtCreate":1663956659444,"gmtModify":1676537370135,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tank","listText":"Tank","text":"Tank","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913813988","repostId":"1177261377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177261377","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663946501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177261377?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177261377","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is bas","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.</li><li>This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.</li><li>While history doesn&#39;t repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it &#34;rhyme&#34; with the past.</li><li>The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.</li><li>There&#39;s always a chance for a &#34;save&#34; - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.</li></ul><p>Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&amp;P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this &#34;new era&#34; of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&amp;P 500&#39;s ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.</p><p><b>Current Evidence</b></p><p>In this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I&#39;ve seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here&#39;s one to explain it to you.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea920e21231810c68359aaca3af08d36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>What you don&#39;t want to see if you are looking for &#34;the bottom&#34; (TC2000)</p><p>This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&amp;P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we&#39;ve come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.</p><p>What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a &#34;quick fix&#34; to the current stock market malaise.</p><p><b>That Stubborn Trendline</b></p><p>Since Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&amp;P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That&#39;s the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, &#34;failure.&#34; The S&amp;P 500&#39;s price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.</p><p>Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&amp;P 500&#39;s all-time high level around 4,800.</p><p><b>Those Darn Red Arrows</b></p><p>A more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we&#39;ve had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that &#34;the bottom was in.&#34;</p><p>Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That&#39;s a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&amp;P 500 is down - a lot.</p><p><b>Watch Out for the Cross</b></p><p>I&#39;ll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I&#39;ve seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market &#34;truth teller.&#34;</p><p>What the PPO on the S&amp;P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com Era</b></p><p>At this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&amp;P 500 in this bear cycle: &#34;No way - really?!&#34; Here&#39;s some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here&#39;s what that looked like.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dc0e2b19c0fdb9c7a513fddf091eff0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)</p><p>However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% &#34;flash crash.&#34; It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn&#39;t last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.</p><p>Here&#39;s what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&amp;P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn&#39;t really matter. Price rules.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e5b1c78e195588102f84a74a3bee661\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&amp;P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&amp;P 500&#39;s most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.</p><p><b>Historical Evidence: Global Financial Crisis</b></p><p>If you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.</p><p>And then, it happened again. Here&#39;s the S&amp;P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dbb9483c84007e214ce0d1b40345d24\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)</p><p>Once again, there was the initial drop, the &#34;it&#39;s only a flesh wound&#34; (with apologies to &#34;Monty Python&#34;) phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78eee7337e28dd849990a96ddc9e04a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)</p><p>The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&amp;P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&amp;P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn&#39;t seem so unlikely.</p><p><b>Observations and Conclusions</b></p><p>Stock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.</p><p>Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.</p><p><b>The Good News for Bulls (for Now)</b></p><p>That doesn&#39;t mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed&#39;s magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&amp;P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.</p><p>But if you are &#34;counting&#34; on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&amp;P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.</p><p>Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&amp;P 500&#39;s chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.</p><p><b>What to Do if I&#39;m Right</b></p><p>As my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor&#39;s top priority.</p><p><b>The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in Portfolios</b></p><p>I truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don&#39;t know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds&#39; value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Case For The S&P 500 Dropping To 2,200\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542347-the-s-and-p-500-set-to-drop","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177261377","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is at risk of heading much lower than many think.This is not hyperbole; it is based on a combination of historical analysis and the realities of the current market climate.While history doesn't repeat exactly, human nature has a way of making it \"rhyme\" with the past.The technical condition of the broad stock market looks terrible on an intermediate-term basis.There's always a chance for a \"save\" - e.g., by the Fed - but inflation completely changes the calculus.Remember back in late March of 2020? The S&P 500 (SP500) had just lost about one-third of its value in five weeks. It fell from around 3,400 to just under 2,200. Lockdowns, panic, and red ink on stock portfolios were everywhere. Then, likeit was shot out of a cannon, yet another extension of the 11-year bull market that began back in 2009 commenced. But if this \"new era\" of investing in the stock market plays out the way it appears to be, based on current charts and recent history, that 2,200 level from late March 2020 could be the S&P 500's ultimate destination before this bear market cycle concludes.Current EvidenceIn this new era of inflation, Fed-obsessed investors, algorithmic trading, and index-driven investment flows, the market is more of a confidence game than I've seen in three decades of investing professionally. And that confidence is fading, drop by drop. As a 42-year chartist, my evidence always ultimately boils down to a picture. Here's one to explain it to you.What you don't want to see if you are looking for \"the bottom\" (TC2000)This a technical chart (weekly prices) of the S&P 500 back to late 2019, so you can see how far we've come - and, perhaps, where we are going again. Because while any investment or index can rise in price at any time, the intermediate-term risk attached to nearly any market segment, theme, industry, or sector right now is high. Historically high.What do I see in this chart? The top section of graph (price pattern) and the price percent oscillator (PPO) momentum indicator in the bottom section of the chart shows at least three important warning signs for those who are counting on a \"quick fix\" to the current stock market malaise.That Stubborn TrendlineSince Jan. 4 of this year (the second trading day of 2022), the S&P 500, and most of the global stock market, has been in a clear downward trend. That's the black line shown toward the top of the chart. Think of this line as marking the rite of passage if a new bull market is going to start anytime soon. The bulls have had three cracks at it - in April, August, and earlier this month. In all three cases, the result was, as we technicians say, \"failure.\" The S&P 500's price failed to cross above and stay above that downward trend.Frankly, breaking above that downtrend line is a pretty low bar for hopeful bullish stock investors right now. It would take a convincing, sustainable move toward the 4,300 area to negate all of the downward pressure that stocks have experienced this year. And that is still more than 10% from the S&P 500's all-time high level around 4,800.Those Darn Red ArrowsA more detailed version of what you just read above is to see how many false rallies we've had during this eight-month downtrend for stocks. Every red arrow I drew into the chart marks a moment where bullish investors (and Wall Street firm cheerleaders, who need bull markets to keep their revenues flowing) might have felt that \"the bottom was in.\"Well, there are 12 red arrows on that chart, and one orange arrow at the far right, as the recent market malaise sorts itself out. That's a lot of failure, and lends strong evidence to my belief that the most likely intermediate direction for the S&P 500 is down - a lot.Watch Out for the CrossI'll spare you a full dissertation on the PPO, except to tell you that in 42 years of charting, I've seen and tried a lot of different technical indicators. The PPO is my personal favorite, and the longer the time frame you look (e.g., charts of weekly prices v. daily, hourly, etc.), the more I have come to regard it as a market \"truth teller.\"What the PPO on the S&P 500 tells me now is that we are close to the weekly indicator crossing over to the downside. In English, that means decidedly negative price momentum. So, while shorter-term PPO time frames have already crossed over, this is the one that might just take us from all of those red arrows (rallies that fail) to something more serious, and something more emotional for investors on the way down.Historical Evidence: The Dot-Com EraAt this point, you might be thinking the same thing many investors tell me when I proclaim that 2,200 could be the ultimate destination for the S&P 500 in this bear cycle: \"No way - really?!\" Here's some history to either remind you or inform you of what happens when the stock market goes from an era of excessive speculation to increasing concern, and eventually to emotional chaos.The S&P 500 lost about half of its value from March 2000 to March 2003. Here's what that looked like.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble (Ycharts.com)However, as with the current market environment in 2022, it was not as simple as a 50% \"flash crash.\" It was more like the proverbial boiling frog analogy. It took the form of a series of sharp drops and hopeful rallies. However, as has been the case in 2022, the rallies didn't last - and so I kept having to add more of those red arrows to that first chart.Here's what happened starting 11 months into the dot-com bubble. The S&P 500 had fallen about 20%, then gained back enough to leave it down only 10% from its all-time high. Yes, the same thing happened this year. Coincidence or human nature? It doesn't really matter. Price rules.S&P 500: Dot-Com Bubble - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)So that initial decline and recovery, which netted the S&P 500 about a 10% loss, was succeeded by a whopping 40%+ decline. The S&P 500's most recent rally topped out at around 4,300. Take 40% off of that, and you are in the 2,600 area. As history would have it, that was the better of the first two bear markets of this century.Historical Evidence: Global Financial CrisisIf you are keeping score at home, the dot-com bust meant that index fund investors had to double their money just to earn a zero return since the start of that time frame. And they did exactly that, from 2003 through 2007.And then, it happened again. Here's the S&P 500 from October 2007 through March of 2009.S&P 500: Global Financial Crisis (Ycharts.com)Once again, there was the initial drop, the \"it's only a flesh wound\" (with apologies to \"Monty Python\") phase, and then this from August 2008 through March 2009.S&P 500 GFC - just when you thought it was over! (Ycharts.com)The net result, as the previous chart showed, was a 56% drop from the peak. If you had invested in an S&P 500 Index fund on Jan. 4, 2022, and the 2007-09 down move repeated itself, your ultimate destination would be around 2,100. So, a move from S&P 4,800 down to 2,200 in the coming year or two doesn't seem so unlikely.Observations and ConclusionsStock market analysis and evaluation of risk is never an all-or-nothing proposition. Instead, it is about evaluating as many possible scenarios as you can, including some realistic but generally unthinkable ones. After all, any investment can go up at any time. What distinguishes any security and any market climate from any another is the amount of major risk you are taking when you put that capital to work.Here in the final third of 2022, and considering potential reward and risk through to 2023, my conclusion is that the level of market risk is currently at a historically high rate.The Good News for Bulls (for Now)That doesn't mean 2,200 is a given. It just means that the odds favor much more downside from here. Whether by way of the Fed's magic wand or some change of heart by a hoard of investors, the S&P 500 could reverse course, get happy again, and move toward and above that all-time high and above 5,000. It could happen this year or next year. One never knows.But if you are \"counting\" on that based on the fact that we have not had a sustained decline in the S&P 500 in over 13 years, you are investing with rose-colored glasses. Inflation is the new wildcard, and was not an issue during the periods shown above.Furthermore, the nature of market participants has changed, with piles of money flooded into index funds, and so much short-term trading by professional and retail investors alike. The odds of something breaking are high. And the S&P 500's chart is telling us that. We just need to listen.What to Do if I'm RightAs my team and I will cover extensively and exclusively at Seeking Alpha in the days, weeks, and months ahead, there is a wide variety of investment weapons available to investors today. These allow them to not simply defend bear markets in stocks and bonds, but exploit them for profit. But before any investor can consider that step, they must first acknowledge that at the present time accounting for risk of major loss, so you can prevent it, should be every investor's top priority.The Key: Mix Offense and Defense in PortfoliosI truly believe markets are at a critical crossroads. That means the tremendous wealth accumulated over the past decade is at risk, for those who don't know how to mix defense with their offense. The bottom line is that this autumn, we find ourselves in a market climate that is only rivaled by the last two times investors saw half of the index funds' value disappear. Be careful out there, and learn how to navigate this new and, dare I say, historic climate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995825538,"gmtCreate":1661445782426,"gmtModify":1676536520151,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995825538","repostId":"1155224332","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155224332","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661413530,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155224332?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 15:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Is It Overvalued?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155224332","media":"TheStreet","summary":"One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to the peer group, maybe AAPL is not so pricey after all.</p><p><b>Apple</b> stock is considered a buy by the majority of analysts that cover the name. According to TipRanks, more than 80% of Wall Street experts think that owning shares is a good idea, while only one analyst has a sell rating on the stock.</p><p>Among skeptics, one of the main arguments against owning AAPL is the elevated P/E ratio. But a closer look at the peer comparison suggests that Apple stock may be more affordable than many seem to believe.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a857803961118aaec24d329afbb569\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: Is Apple Stock Overvalued? What The Peer Comparison Says</span></p><p><b>Apple’s valuations: fair, too rich, or a bargain?</b></p><p>The following graph probably explains why so many value investors are cautious about Apple stock today. Notice what has happened to AAPL’s price-to-earnings (or P/E) ratio over the past 10 years:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0553c50e1e51280c4e0a5f50a0ab7313\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"485\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 2: Apple&#39;s valuation.</span></p><p>Starting a couple of years after the launch of the original iPad, Apple’s P/E fluctuated between 10 and 20 times for a few years. Then, beginning in 2019, the valuation multiple skyrocketed to as high as 44 times early last year, settling now to just below 30 times.</p><p>The multiple expansion happened for a few reasons, the most relevant of which was probably Apple’s business model shift to higher-margin and more predictable services. The post-iPhone X success of Apple’s smartphone segment, along with the company’s generous cash return policy, probably helped too.</p><p>But tech companies, especially those in high growth stages of their lifecycles or whose “moats” are considered wide, tend to command high P/Es. Take a look at the following table comparing some of Apple’s key valuation metrics with those of peers selected by Stock Rover:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113f08e69b46e338f58200da166c3f0\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 3: Apple peers key valuation metrics selected by Stock Rover.</span></p><p>Starting with P/E, in the sixth column, notice how AAPL’s 27.6 times is actually much lower than NVIDIA’s 46.1 and Adobe’s 40.1 times, for example. Part of the reason for AAPL’s more de-risked valuation is the growth profile: while the Cupertino company is expected to increase EPS by 6% next year, NVIDIA and Adobe should deliver growth of 17% instead.</p><p>The only companies on the list with substantially lower P/E vs. Apple are Intel and Cisco, possibly Broadcom. But considering these companies and their industries’ much less encouraging growth profile, it is understandable that these stocks would trade more cheaply.</p><p>Let’s look beyond P/E. On a price-to-FCF (free cash flow) basis, Apple’s 25.6 times multiple seems even cheaper compared to the peer group. Only Broadcom and Cisco, at about 16 times, look substantially more de-risked.</p><p>Apple’s cash flow-based valuation metrics look good because the Cupertino company is particularly competent at turning earnings into hard cash. Tight control of working capital and capex is probably what best supports the argument.</p><p>Lastly, notice how Apple looks quite overvalued on a price-to-book basis. A multiple of 46.1 times, in fact, is an eye sore compared to Salesforce.com’s 3.0 times and Intel’s 1.4 times.</p><p>But here, the metric is deceivingly distorted. Because Apple buys so many of its shares via stock buybacks, the company’s equity size has been shrinking quickly over the years – which is not a bad thing at all. Since equity is the denominator in the P/B ratio, the multiple understandably looks too rich, on the surface.</p><p><b>My views on AAPL’s valuation</b></p><p>I still believe that Apple’s valuations are far from being a bargain. But at the same time, once I look at the peer group comparison, I find it hard to side with the bears as well. To me, AAPL’s P/E is fair and consistent with the robust business fundamentals of the company.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Is It Overvalued?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Is It Overvalued?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-25 15:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/is-apple-stock-overvalued-what-the-peer-comparison-says><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to the peer group, maybe AAPL is not so pricey after all.Apple stock is considered a buy by the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/is-apple-stock-overvalued-what-the-peer-comparison-says\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/is-apple-stock-overvalued-what-the-peer-comparison-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155224332","content_text":"One of the main pillars of the bearish thesis on Apple stock is the rich valuation. But compared to the peer group, maybe AAPL is not so pricey after all.Apple stock is considered a buy by the majority of analysts that cover the name. According to TipRanks, more than 80% of Wall Street experts think that owning shares is a good idea, while only one analyst has a sell rating on the stock.Among skeptics, one of the main arguments against owning AAPL is the elevated P/E ratio. But a closer look at the peer comparison suggests that Apple stock may be more affordable than many seem to believe.Figure 1: Is Apple Stock Overvalued? What The Peer Comparison SaysApple’s valuations: fair, too rich, or a bargain?The following graph probably explains why so many value investors are cautious about Apple stock today. Notice what has happened to AAPL’s price-to-earnings (or P/E) ratio over the past 10 years:Figure 2: Apple's valuation.Starting a couple of years after the launch of the original iPad, Apple’s P/E fluctuated between 10 and 20 times for a few years. Then, beginning in 2019, the valuation multiple skyrocketed to as high as 44 times early last year, settling now to just below 30 times.The multiple expansion happened for a few reasons, the most relevant of which was probably Apple’s business model shift to higher-margin and more predictable services. The post-iPhone X success of Apple’s smartphone segment, along with the company’s generous cash return policy, probably helped too.But tech companies, especially those in high growth stages of their lifecycles or whose “moats” are considered wide, tend to command high P/Es. Take a look at the following table comparing some of Apple’s key valuation metrics with those of peers selected by Stock Rover:Figure 3: Apple peers key valuation metrics selected by Stock Rover.Starting with P/E, in the sixth column, notice how AAPL’s 27.6 times is actually much lower than NVIDIA’s 46.1 and Adobe’s 40.1 times, for example. Part of the reason for AAPL’s more de-risked valuation is the growth profile: while the Cupertino company is expected to increase EPS by 6% next year, NVIDIA and Adobe should deliver growth of 17% instead.The only companies on the list with substantially lower P/E vs. Apple are Intel and Cisco, possibly Broadcom. But considering these companies and their industries’ much less encouraging growth profile, it is understandable that these stocks would trade more cheaply.Let’s look beyond P/E. On a price-to-FCF (free cash flow) basis, Apple’s 25.6 times multiple seems even cheaper compared to the peer group. Only Broadcom and Cisco, at about 16 times, look substantially more de-risked.Apple’s cash flow-based valuation metrics look good because the Cupertino company is particularly competent at turning earnings into hard cash. Tight control of working capital and capex is probably what best supports the argument.Lastly, notice how Apple looks quite overvalued on a price-to-book basis. A multiple of 46.1 times, in fact, is an eye sore compared to Salesforce.com’s 3.0 times and Intel’s 1.4 times.But here, the metric is deceivingly distorted. Because Apple buys so many of its shares via stock buybacks, the company’s equity size has been shrinking quickly over the years – which is not a bad thing at all. Since equity is the denominator in the P/B ratio, the multiple understandably looks too rich, on the surface.My views on AAPL’s valuationI still believe that Apple’s valuations are far from being a bargain. But at the same time, once I look at the peer group comparison, I find it hard to side with the bears as well. To me, AAPL’s P/E is fair and consistent with the robust business fundamentals of the company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905819315,"gmtCreate":1659847310638,"gmtModify":1703767075833,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I see","listText":"I see","text":"I see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905819315","repostId":"1193631683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193631683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659844890,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193631683?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-07 12:01","market":"other","language":"en","title":"SOXX Vs. QQQ: Time To Consider Heavier Bets On Tech","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193631683","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMany investors are familiar with the Invesco QQQ ETF and use it as a convenient vehicle to ga","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Many investors are familiar with the Invesco QQQ ETF and use it as a convenient vehicle to gain exposure to the tech sector.</li><li>However, many investors are unaware that QQQ is not a pure-tech play, probably not even a primary tech play.</li><li>Stocks in information tech represents less than 50% of its asset, a minor majority.</li><li>This article, therefore, compares QQQ to other pure-tech ETFs such as the iShares Semiconductor ETF so investors have a broader range of options.</li><li>There are good reasons to consider betting heavier on tech now, given their valuation correction and quieter volatility.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>Recent price corrections have brought tech valuations to a more reasonable range. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) has historically been traded at a premium relative to the overall market. For example, back in March 2022, SOXX was trading at a P/E of about 31.5x and SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) at about 26.5x according to Yahoo Finance data. However, recent corrections have brought SOXX P/E to the current level of 15.45x, about a 17% discount from the S&amp;P 500’s 18.4x.</p><p>And you will see next that the discount from the NASDAQ 100 index, represented by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), is even larger. To wit, SOXX suffered a total loss of 18.6% YTD and QQQ about 22% as you can see from the following chart. Combined with earnings changes, the valuation of SOXX now stands at 15.45x and QQQ at 22.01x, a discount of almost 30%.</p><p>Besides the valuation compression, the volatility has also become much quieter recently, adding another reason for considering a heavier bet on the tech sector. As you can see from the second chart below, the volatility index has subdued substantially YTD, decreasing from the 30+ level routinely seen at the earlier part of the year to the current level of 22.4x. To provide broader context, a volatility of 30 is at the top 93% percentile of historical volatility. While 22 is at about 71% percentile. The major reason for the quieter volatility is Fed’s recent rate movements and comments, which are consistent with market expectations and also provide clarity for the near term. And as detailed in our earlier article, when volatility is high, it’s a good idea to hunker down and vice versa.</p><p>Against this backdrop, we will look at the pros and cons of SOXX and QQQ more closely next.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f72c63da0a7d8eedbc184b0660f4407\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b248f56895c6032b2da0df332ea2136\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yahoo Finance</p><p><b>SOXX vs QQQ: basic information</b></p><p>QQQ needs little introduction. It is one of the most popular funds tracking the Nasdaq-100 Index. However, as aforementioned, many investors are unaware that QQQ is not a pure-tech play because the NASDAQ 100 index tracks the largest NON-FINANCIAL companies listed on the Nasdaq and many of these companies are not tech companies. I will table this for now and come back to this point later.</p><p>SOXX, in contrast, is a pure tech play completely concentrated in the semiconductor sector. As detailed in the fund description:</p><blockquote>The iShares Semiconductor ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S.-listed equities in the semiconductor sector. It provides exposure to U.S. companies that design, manufacture, and distribute semiconductors and targeted access to domestic semiconductor stocks. It is used to express a sector view.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e966fca4e88cd458f9c755dfd52b8913\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: ETF.com</p><p><b>SOXX vs QQQ: Past performance and risks</b></p><p>Both the SOXX and QQQ funds have delivered handsome returns in the past as you can see from the chart below. SOXX has delivered an annual return of 10.12% since its inception in 2022, and QQQ has delivered a slightly higher CAGR of 11.5%. Both outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by a good margin of about 2% to 3%.</p><p>When compounded over the past decade, such an alpha has accumulated into a sizable difference in total return. With dividends reinvested, SOXX has delivered a total return of 720% and QQQ more than 930%, far higher than the S&amp;P 500’s 525%.</p><p>Although the downside is their price volatilities. We’ve already seen a glimpse of their price volatility in the short term in the previous section already in the past year. As you can see in the long term, both SOXX and QQQ have suffered much larger volatility than the S&amp;P 500 too. And SOXX in particular has suffered by far the largest volatility. In terms of standard deviation, it&#39;s 27% is almost double that of the SP 500 (14%) and has also been higher than QQQ by about a whole 8%. In terms of worst-year performance, SOXX suffered a 51% loss (which will take more than a 100% rally to breakeven), which was 10% more than QQQ and 14% more than SP 500. And finally, in terms of maximum drawdown, SOXX’s 62% maximum drawdown (which takes a 163% rally to break even) is truly nerve-wracking. In contrast, both QQQ and SP 500 were in the 50% range.</p><p>And next, we will see that the root cause of the volatilities is in their fundamental indexing methods.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3142137b9f8dc11b7c904ca806134bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer</p><p><b>SOXX vs QQQ: More concentrated bet on Tech</b></p><p>As aforementioned, QQQ tracks the largest NON-FINANCIAL companies listed on the Nasdaq and many of these companies are not tech companies. As you can see from the chart below, information technology represents 49.8% of QQQ’s total assets, followed by communication services at 17.7%, and consumer discretionary at 14.9%. Admittedly, some of the companies in communication services and consumer discretionary are also tech companies. Nonetheless, information technology only represents a minor majority of the farm. Note that QQQ also holds a good portion of consumer staples, healthcare, industrials, and utilities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3925a655d51f43f4e802067912a50996\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SOXX and QQ fund fact sheets</p><p>SOXX, in contrast, is a pure tech play. The fund is completely invested in the tech sector, especially the semiconductor sector. As you can see, it invests more than 79.1% of its total assets in semiconductor stocks and more than 20.6% in semiconductor equipment. Furthermore, its holdings are also more concentrated. SOXX holds a total of 32 stocks and QQQ about 100.</p><p>You can also see the concentration and composition more vividly by looking at their top ten holdings. One of their top 10 holdings overlaps: Nvidia (NVDA). But NVDA represents an 8.3% allocation in SOXX, in contrast to only 3.28% in QQQ. Also note that QQQ’s top holdings include stables like Costco (COST) and PepsiCo (PEP), while all SOXX holdings are semiconductor stocks.</p><p>To me, this is key for SOXX’s long-term performance. It places concentrated bet one of the most innovative sectors: information technologies. For this reason and the current valuation, I see favorable odds for SOXX to keep outperforming S&amp;P 500 in the long term. I also see good odds for it to outperform QQQ too, as to be detailed next.</p><p>But again, before we turn the page, investors need to be aware of the volatility risks and to pick the right fund for their timeframe and risk tolerance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3996f0a253361b226144eebb3f7ed5d8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: ETF.com</p><p><b>SOXX vs QQQ: valuation comparison</b></p><p>As aforementioned, SOXX has historically been traded at a premium relative to both S&amp;P 500 and QQQ because of its growth potential. However, recent price corrections have brought its valuation to a discount. SOXX’s current P/E of 15.45x is ~17% discounted from the S&amp;P 500. And as the next table shows, the discount from QQQ is even larger.</p><p>The price-to-earnings ratio of SOXX is 15.4x only, below QQQ’s 22.0x by about a whopping 30%. Other metrics paint the same picture. The price-to-cash flow ratio of SOXX is 19.5x, below QQQ’s 22.8x by about 15%. And price-to-book value ratio of SOXX is 7.13x, below QQQ’s 8.93x by about 20%, despite SOXX’s higher ROE of 46% vs 40% of QQQ. Finally, do not be alarmed by SOXX’s higher price-to-sales ratio. Its price-to-sales ratio of 6.23x is higher than QQQ by about 35%, but its net margin is higher by 90%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b2dc581df59faffb1ea586d8ea07356\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p><b>Final thoughts and risks</b></p><p>There are good reasons to start considering the tech sector now. QQQ has never been a bad choice with its low fee, broad market representation, and excellent liquidity. However, more aggressive investors with a long timeframe might want to consider SOXX also given the valuation correction and the quieter volatility ahead. SOXX has historically enjoyed a valuation premium over the overall market. But its current is ~17% discounted from the S&amp;P 500 and about 30% from the QQQ.</p><p>Finally, risks. If you recall from an earlier chart, SOXX charges an expense ratio of 0.4%, and QQQ charges a lower expense ratio of 0.2% only. The extra fee will always create a drag on SOXX (0.2% per year). Also note that SOXX also has a much higher turnover ratio than QQQ (32% vs 8.9%), which might have tax implications for some accounts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e89f6bda5e5bfc9689db56ec0569a2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"194\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SOXX Vs. QQQ: Time To Consider Heavier Bets On Tech</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSOXX Vs. QQQ: Time To Consider Heavier Bets On Tech\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-07 12:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4530498-soxx-vs-qqq-time-to-consider-heavier-bets-on-tech?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMany investors are familiar with the Invesco QQQ ETF and use it as a convenient vehicle to gain exposure to the tech sector.However, many investors are unaware that QQQ is not a pure-tech play,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4530498-soxx-vs-qqq-time-to-consider-heavier-bets-on-tech?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4530498-soxx-vs-qqq-time-to-consider-heavier-bets-on-tech?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193631683","content_text":"SummaryMany investors are familiar with the Invesco QQQ ETF and use it as a convenient vehicle to gain exposure to the tech sector.However, many investors are unaware that QQQ is not a pure-tech play, probably not even a primary tech play.Stocks in information tech represents less than 50% of its asset, a minor majority.This article, therefore, compares QQQ to other pure-tech ETFs such as the iShares Semiconductor ETF so investors have a broader range of options.There are good reasons to consider betting heavier on tech now, given their valuation correction and quieter volatility.ThesisRecent price corrections have brought tech valuations to a more reasonable range. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) has historically been traded at a premium relative to the overall market. For example, back in March 2022, SOXX was trading at a P/E of about 31.5x and SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) at about 26.5x according to Yahoo Finance data. However, recent corrections have brought SOXX P/E to the current level of 15.45x, about a 17% discount from the S&P 500’s 18.4x.And you will see next that the discount from the NASDAQ 100 index, represented by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), is even larger. To wit, SOXX suffered a total loss of 18.6% YTD and QQQ about 22% as you can see from the following chart. Combined with earnings changes, the valuation of SOXX now stands at 15.45x and QQQ at 22.01x, a discount of almost 30%.Besides the valuation compression, the volatility has also become much quieter recently, adding another reason for considering a heavier bet on the tech sector. As you can see from the second chart below, the volatility index has subdued substantially YTD, decreasing from the 30+ level routinely seen at the earlier part of the year to the current level of 22.4x. To provide broader context, a volatility of 30 is at the top 93% percentile of historical volatility. While 22 is at about 71% percentile. The major reason for the quieter volatility is Fed’s recent rate movements and comments, which are consistent with market expectations and also provide clarity for the near term. And as detailed in our earlier article, when volatility is high, it’s a good idea to hunker down and vice versa.Against this backdrop, we will look at the pros and cons of SOXX and QQQ more closely next.Seeking AlphaYahoo FinanceSOXX vs QQQ: basic informationQQQ needs little introduction. It is one of the most popular funds tracking the Nasdaq-100 Index. However, as aforementioned, many investors are unaware that QQQ is not a pure-tech play because the NASDAQ 100 index tracks the largest NON-FINANCIAL companies listed on the Nasdaq and many of these companies are not tech companies. I will table this for now and come back to this point later.SOXX, in contrast, is a pure tech play completely concentrated in the semiconductor sector. As detailed in the fund description:The iShares Semiconductor ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S.-listed equities in the semiconductor sector. It provides exposure to U.S. companies that design, manufacture, and distribute semiconductors and targeted access to domestic semiconductor stocks. It is used to express a sector view.Source: ETF.comSOXX vs QQQ: Past performance and risksBoth the SOXX and QQQ funds have delivered handsome returns in the past as you can see from the chart below. SOXX has delivered an annual return of 10.12% since its inception in 2022, and QQQ has delivered a slightly higher CAGR of 11.5%. Both outperformed the S&P 500 by a good margin of about 2% to 3%.When compounded over the past decade, such an alpha has accumulated into a sizable difference in total return. With dividends reinvested, SOXX has delivered a total return of 720% and QQQ more than 930%, far higher than the S&P 500’s 525%.Although the downside is their price volatilities. We’ve already seen a glimpse of their price volatility in the short term in the previous section already in the past year. As you can see in the long term, both SOXX and QQQ have suffered much larger volatility than the S&P 500 too. And SOXX in particular has suffered by far the largest volatility. In terms of standard deviation, it's 27% is almost double that of the SP 500 (14%) and has also been higher than QQQ by about a whole 8%. In terms of worst-year performance, SOXX suffered a 51% loss (which will take more than a 100% rally to breakeven), which was 10% more than QQQ and 14% more than SP 500. And finally, in terms of maximum drawdown, SOXX’s 62% maximum drawdown (which takes a 163% rally to break even) is truly nerve-wracking. In contrast, both QQQ and SP 500 were in the 50% range.And next, we will see that the root cause of the volatilities is in their fundamental indexing methods.Portfolio VisualizerSOXX vs QQQ: More concentrated bet on TechAs aforementioned, QQQ tracks the largest NON-FINANCIAL companies listed on the Nasdaq and many of these companies are not tech companies. As you can see from the chart below, information technology represents 49.8% of QQQ’s total assets, followed by communication services at 17.7%, and consumer discretionary at 14.9%. Admittedly, some of the companies in communication services and consumer discretionary are also tech companies. Nonetheless, information technology only represents a minor majority of the farm. Note that QQQ also holds a good portion of consumer staples, healthcare, industrials, and utilities.SOXX and QQ fund fact sheetsSOXX, in contrast, is a pure tech play. The fund is completely invested in the tech sector, especially the semiconductor sector. As you can see, it invests more than 79.1% of its total assets in semiconductor stocks and more than 20.6% in semiconductor equipment. Furthermore, its holdings are also more concentrated. SOXX holds a total of 32 stocks and QQQ about 100.You can also see the concentration and composition more vividly by looking at their top ten holdings. One of their top 10 holdings overlaps: Nvidia (NVDA). But NVDA represents an 8.3% allocation in SOXX, in contrast to only 3.28% in QQQ. Also note that QQQ’s top holdings include stables like Costco (COST) and PepsiCo (PEP), while all SOXX holdings are semiconductor stocks.To me, this is key for SOXX’s long-term performance. It places concentrated bet one of the most innovative sectors: information technologies. For this reason and the current valuation, I see favorable odds for SOXX to keep outperforming S&P 500 in the long term. I also see good odds for it to outperform QQQ too, as to be detailed next.But again, before we turn the page, investors need to be aware of the volatility risks and to pick the right fund for their timeframe and risk tolerance.Source: ETF.comSOXX vs QQQ: valuation comparisonAs aforementioned, SOXX has historically been traded at a premium relative to both S&P 500 and QQQ because of its growth potential. However, recent price corrections have brought its valuation to a discount. SOXX’s current P/E of 15.45x is ~17% discounted from the S&P 500. And as the next table shows, the discount from QQQ is even larger.The price-to-earnings ratio of SOXX is 15.4x only, below QQQ’s 22.0x by about a whopping 30%. Other metrics paint the same picture. The price-to-cash flow ratio of SOXX is 19.5x, below QQQ’s 22.8x by about 15%. And price-to-book value ratio of SOXX is 7.13x, below QQQ’s 8.93x by about 20%, despite SOXX’s higher ROE of 46% vs 40% of QQQ. Finally, do not be alarmed by SOXX’s higher price-to-sales ratio. Its price-to-sales ratio of 6.23x is higher than QQQ by about 35%, but its net margin is higher by 90%.AuthorFinal thoughts and risksThere are good reasons to start considering the tech sector now. QQQ has never been a bad choice with its low fee, broad market representation, and excellent liquidity. However, more aggressive investors with a long timeframe might want to consider SOXX also given the valuation correction and the quieter volatility ahead. SOXX has historically enjoyed a valuation premium over the overall market. But its current is ~17% discounted from the S&P 500 and about 30% from the QQQ.Finally, risks. If you recall from an earlier chart, SOXX charges an expense ratio of 0.4%, and QQQ charges a lower expense ratio of 0.2% only. The extra fee will always create a drag on SOXX (0.2% per year). Also note that SOXX also has a much higher turnover ratio than QQQ (32% vs 8.9%), which might have tax implications for some accounts.Seeking Alpha","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQ":0.9,"SOXX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997697126,"gmtCreate":1661789759867,"gmtModify":1676536579258,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997697126","repostId":"2262167645","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999130745,"gmtCreate":1660485702589,"gmtModify":1676533478574,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999130745","repostId":"2259268147","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2259268147","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1660443357,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2259268147?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-14 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259268147","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And","content":"<div>\n<p>In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-14 10:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4115":"综合电信业务","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BTU":"Peabody","LUV":"西南航空","T":"At&T","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4190":"消闲用品","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","BK4132":"无线电信业务","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4520":"美国基建股","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","BK4008":"航空公司","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UAL":"联合大陆航空","BK4507":"流媒体概念","VZ":"Verizon Comms","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DAL":"达美航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4156":"煤与消费用燃料","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4016":"铁路","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","CP":"加拿大太平洋铁路","BK4581":"高盛持仓","CSX":"CSX运输","VSTO":"Vista Outdoor Inc","BK4500":"航空公司","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259268147","content_text":"In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the airline industry. Ammunition in 2020. And coal in 2021.In each of these cases, a “terrible” industry would see profits rise 5x… 10x… 20x… after bankruptcies, liquidations and mergers left the industry with few remaining players. It’s a wellspring of easy profits.The strategy only works every several years; industry consolidation doesn’t happen all the time.But when it does happen, investors can outperform the market. And today, one new industry is teasing 300% returns. Read on to find which one.And if you enjoy this article, click here to subscribe to Tom Yeung’s Profit & Protection to get the latest updates in your inbox.Exploiting Inefficient MarketsThe reason for airline outperformance was simple:Markets are efficient vehicles for gathering consensus market views……but consensus views are sometimes slow to change, especially with consolidating industries.In the case of airlines, investors “knew” it was a terrible industry.“For 100 years, airline transport has not been a good business,” Warren Buffett said in a 2013 interview on CNBC. “A seat on an airliner as a commodity to a great extent.”But managers with billion-dollar funds often can’t see the changes that you and I do. The tight-fisted Mr. Buffett flies around in a private jet he once named “The Indefensible.” And how would an analyst sitting in Wall Street’s glass buildings (as I once did) know the price of a gallon of milk? Even I almost missed the rise of airline fares.Yet, these Wall Street blind spots create enormous buying opportunities.Railways. Companies like Canadian Pacific Railway (NYSE:CP) rose +600% between 2009-2014.Ammunition. Bullet-maker Vista Outdoors (NYSE:VSTO) jumped +550% between 2020-2021.Coal. Near-bankrupt miner Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) skyrocketed +900% between 2021-2022In each of these instances, a “Main Street” industry would suddenly become a superstar winner because of one word:Consolidation.In the case of airlines, mega-mergers between top players meant that the top 4 carriers controlled two-thirds of the industry by 2013. Delta (NYSE:DAL) would make up 80% of all flights from Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson airport that year.In rail, these same forces would turn a struggling industry into one of America’s most profitable sectors. Only seven Class I freight railroads exist today, down from 33 in 1980. And concentration in specific sectors is higher; two railroads now originate 65% of all U.S. grain.These changes are apparent to anyone who works in the business. Try to buy ammunition at your local gun store, and you’ll have a choice between two manufacturers. Shells now easily cost over a dollar per round. And at the grocery store, our choice of meat and prepackaged bread is an illusion. 2-3 companies now own dozens of brands on store shelves.Observant investors will notice these things in everyday life.Meanwhile, outsiders on Wall Street are often slow in responding to these tectonic shifts, especially when they’re happening far away from the glass high-rise offices of Manhattan or Omaha.Beating the Street at Its Own GameThere are three ingredients to these hidden gems:A “Hated” Industry. A history of low returns, poor growth and high capital requirements will set the stage for cheap stock prices.Consolidation. Mergers, acquisitions and bankruptcies that give the remaining players pricing power.Essential Goods. Sectors that produce goods that are difficult or impossible to substitute.And today, one sector stands out as the next big winner:Telecom.From Four to ThreeAsk any Wall Street investor about telecom, and watch them respond with a mix of apathy and disgust. The iShares Global Communication Services ETF (NYSEARCA:IXP) has risen just 7% since 2005, underperforming every other sector of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).There’s a good reason for the dismal performance. For years, America’s telecom firms have fought in a seven-way battle. The two top players AT&T (NYSE:T) and Verizon (NYSE:VZ) competed against upstarts Sprint and T-Mobile (NASDAQ:TMUS), along with smaller players Leap, MetroPCS and U.S. Cellular (NYSE:USM).It was a recipe for disaster. High capital expenditure, changing technologies and a massive country to cover meant that firms like Verizon could sink $20 billion per year since 2000 into capital investment and still see end-user prices stagnate.Put another way, my $40-per-month cell phone bill had barely budged in the 20 years leading up to 2020But that also gives telecom the perfect setup for 300% gains.Since 2011, the number of wireless providers has shrunk from seven to four. And with U.S. Cellular’s market share dropping to 1%, the wireless industry has become a three-way race.Prices have already started creeping up. The cheapest plan from T-Mobile for a single line now costs $70 after taxes and fees, reversing years of price declines. According to the BLS, spending on cell phone services finally stopped falling in 2020.“A stable competitive market never has more than three significant competitors,” BCG founder Bruce Henderson noted in 1976. The “rule of three” eventually makes it “neither practical nor advantageous for either competitor to increase or decrease share.”In other words, telecom is no longer a race to the bottom.Which Telecom Stock Should You Buy?So, why do I say investors can make 300% with virtually no effort?That’s because there’s no need for fancy 3-stage DCF models……Complicated intrinsic value calculations……Or reading the tea leaves of management guidance.That’s because when industries consolidate, all companies gain.For airlines in 2013, investors could have easily made the same high returns on Southwest (NYSE:LUV), United (NASDAQ:UAL) or Hawaiian (NASDAQ:HA).Similarly, telecom’s three remaining players – AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile – all stand to profit. Even though Profit & Protection has highlighted AT&T for its cheapest starting price, the trio all provide the same essential wireless services, and all have begun flexing their oligopolistic pricing power.Bottom line: buy AT&T if you only pick one telecom, but all three should outperform over the next decade.Some Patience Required… Consolidation plays are phenomenal for their high batting average and relative safety. AT&T has a 6% dividend yield, one of the highest rates for a blue-chip stock.The strategy, however, can take years to play out. Freight railroad CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) took over a decade to rise 10x.That means high-frequency traders are better off buying high-beta momentum stocks listed in Tuesday’s newsletter. But if you are willing to wait for returns without really trying, then AT&T and the telecom industry provides a stunningly attractive play.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":1,"VZ":1,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"CP":1,"SQQQ":0.6,"USM":1,"BTU":1,"UAL":1,"LUV":1,"QLD":0.6,"VSTO":1,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"T":1,"DAL":1,".IXIC":0.72,"CSX":1,"HA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902923196,"gmtCreate":1659631491819,"gmtModify":1706067812243,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902923196","repostId":"1169996245","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169996245","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1659621761,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169996245?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 22:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169996245","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.Tesla, Nikola, Li Auto, Nio, Lordstown, Faraday Future, Arrival","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">Nikola</a>, Li Auto, Nio, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown</a>, Faraday Future, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARVL\">Arrival</a>, and Fisker climbed between 1% and 18%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23d1e5884ed6e8f4aeb9c3c7afc13c3f\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Li Auto</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-04 22:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">Nikola</a>, Li Auto, Nio, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown</a>, Faraday Future, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARVL\">Arrival</a>, and Fisker climbed between 1% and 18%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23d1e5884ed6e8f4aeb9c3c7afc13c3f\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Li Auto</span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4562":"SPAC上市公司","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169996245","content_text":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.Tesla, Nikola, Li Auto, Nio, Lordstown, Faraday Future, Arrival, and Fisker climbed between 1% and 18%.Li Auto","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARVL":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"FFIE":0.9,"RIDE":0.9,"NKLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900830250,"gmtCreate":1658681265970,"gmtModify":1676536190799,"author":{"id":"3571641819609845","authorId":"3571641819609845","name":"Kia21","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/32d3d132e30bc2194d7e7de62e5a694f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571641819609845","idStr":"3571641819609845"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sounds good","listText":"Sounds good","text":"Sounds 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23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123978281","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates ","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-27 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123978281","content_text":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects of the iPhone maker.Investors are bracing for more trouble as the aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to tame inflation are expected to push the U.S. economy into recession. The S&P 500  (SPX) and NASDAQ 100 (NDX) have declined 23.3% and over 31% year-to-date, respectively. While many tech stocks have been clobbered this year, Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock has shown some amount of resilience and is down 15% year-to-date. Most Wall Street analysts remain bullish about the tech giant based on its strong track record, continued innovation, and progress into new growth areas like fintech.Apple is Well-Positioned for Long-Term GrowthApple’s Q3 Fiscal 2022 (ended June 30, 2022) revenue increased 1.9% to nearly $83 billion, but earnings per share fell 8% to $1.20. That said, the company managed to top analysts’ expectations for both key metrics.While Apple cautioned investors about near-term pressures, including currency headwinds and supply chain woes, it expects revenue growth to accelerate in the September quarter compared to the June quarter.Meanwhile, Apple is diversifying its manufacturing footprint amid production disruptions in China. Apple recently announced that it would be manufacturing the iPhone 14 in India. The company has been manufacturing old models of iPhones in India but this time it is going ahead with the production of a newly launched device. The move is expected to boost Apple’s prospects in a lucrative market like India.Additionally, Apple continues to deepen customer engagement with its services business, which includes sales from Applecare, advertising, cloud, payment, and other services. Note that the company’s services business is more profitable than its products segment. The company has been advancing in the attractive financial services market through solutions like Apple Pay and Apple Wallet.Back in June, Apple announced that it will launch a buy now, pay later service called Apple Pay Later. The facility will allow customers to split their purchase into four equal payments that can be spread over six weeks. Earlier this year, Apple rolled out its Tap to Pay on iPhone feature that enables contactless payments.Is Apple a Buy or Sell Now?In a recent research note to investors, Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives noted that the iPhone 14 is likely witnessing “brisk sales” as wait times are getting longer. The analyst stated, “Wait times on many iPhone Pro 14 models are now 4-6 weeks for Apple customers and lengthening into November.” Ives stated that the overall demand for Pro is 8% to 10% ahead of his expectations.The analyst also sees strong sales in China, mainly via e-commerce channels. He expects China’s business to be a vital factor in Apple’s growth story and estimates that nearly 30% of iPhone customers in China “are in the window of an upgrade opportunity.”Despite macro pressures, Ives believes that Apple’s growth story “remains a bright spot in the tech landscape with darker clouds abound in many pockets of consumer tech.” Ives reiterated a Buy rating on AAPL stock with a price target of $220.All in all, Apple scores the Street’s Strong Buy consensus rating based on 23 Buys, four Holds, and one Sell rating. The average Apple price target of $183.45 suggests nearly 22% upside potential from current levels.ConclusionDespite macro pressures, Apple seems to be an attractive pick for the long haul based on strengths like continued innovation, solid growth potential for the services business, and strong execution.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}