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09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The IPO Market Has Never Been Hotter Than It Is Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157825898","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.\nAn a","content":"<p>Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.</p>\n<p>An all-time high of almost $350 billion has been raised in initial public offerings in the first six months of this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, surpassing the previous peak of $282 billion from the second half of 2020 and enriching entrepreneurs and bankers alike.</p>\n<p>When the rush for IPOs kicked off last year, stay-at-home technology dominated the scene, seizing on investor interest in anything digital, while special-purpose acquisition companies also flooded the market. This year, with stocks continuing to push skyward, the trend has broadened to include renewable-energy companies and online retailers.</p>\n<p>Everyone from Swedish oat-milk company&nbsp;Oatly Group ABto boot&nbsp;maker&nbsp;Dr. Martens Plcsold shares in 2021. Still, tech accounts for a big chunk of the deals.Didi Global Inc.will rank among the biggest U.S. IPOs of the past decade if the Chinese ride-hailing giant carries through with plans to sell as much as $4 billion in stock.</p>\n<p>“The markets from New York to Hong Kong were on fire in the first half of this year and have left even the late 90sdotcomboom era in the rearview mirror,” said Aaron Arth, head of the financing group at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia ex-Japan.</p>\n<p>Riding High</p>\n<p>Stocks in hot sectors like tech and renewables top the charts this year...</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a964f7a00f127e828df8eaafdb668f3b\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Bloomberg NOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more</span></p>\n<p>The boom has been fueled by a torrent of cash that central banks have pumped into the economy and the rise of individual investors, who are eager to buy a piece of their favorite companies.</p>\n<p>It’s delivered a windfall for investment banks around the world, who reap the rewards from underwriting and advisory fees. Goldman and Citigroup Inc. rank Nos. 1 and 2 in the global league tables for IPOs this year.</p>\n<p>With so many companies rushing to market, the industry is starting to look saturated. Investors say they can afford to be picky and are increasingly reluctant to pay steep valuations demanded by the fast-growing companies that populate the IPO market.</p>\n<p>As a result, a number of high-profile stocks have stumbled in theirtrading debutsthis year and some companies are gettingspooked. Food-delivery startupDeliveroo Plcplunged 26% on its first day of trading in London, whileOscar Health Inc., the insurance startup co-founded by Josh Kushner, has fallen 40% since joining the New York market.</p>\n<p>Down and Out</p>\n<p>...while those investors deemed too pricey bring up the rear</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/691814a92639672723f85bd73b226885\" tg-width=\"941\" tg-height=\"423\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: BloombergNOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more</span></p>\n<p>Russia’sNord Gold Plcon Tuesday pulled its IPO, citing market uncertainty and swings in the gold price, whileGenworth Financial Inc.last month postponed a U.S. offering for its Enact Holdings Inc. mortgage-insurance unit. And Friday, Hong Kong-tradedGeely Automobile Holdings Ltd.withdrew its application for a listing in Shanghai.</p>\n<p>“There has been a certain level of exhaustion among investors and increased selectivity,” said Saadi Soudavar, co-head of equity capital markets for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Deutsche Bank AG. “It’s a record year after all, so they can have their pick among the multiple transactions coming their way.”</p>\n<p>Investor appetite for one type of listing hasalready faded. SPACs accounted for almost half the proceeds raised in the IPO market in the first quarter, but their share shrunk to about 13% this quarter.</p>\n<p>An index that tracks SPAC listings has dropped 23% from a February high. The poor performance, along with tougher regulatory scrutiny has been a blow to market sentiment. U.S. officials have cautioned individual investors against celebrity-endorsed cash shells and are scrutinizing accounting practices.</p>\n<p>Still, as long as the stock market is rising, the flow of IPOs is unlikely to dry up, and total proceeds this year are on track to eclipse the record of $420.1 billion set in 2007. The IPO boom will likely continue for the next six to 12 months, said Rob Leach, European head of equity capital markets at Jefferies Financial Group Inc.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The IPO Market Has Never Been Hotter Than It Is Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe IPO Market Has Never Been Hotter Than It Is Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 09:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-27/the-global-ipo-market-has-never-been-hotter-than-it-is-right-now><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.\nAn all-time high of almost $350 billion has been raised in initial public offerings in the first six ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-27/the-global-ipo-market-has-never-been-hotter-than-it-is-right-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOCMF":"DR MARTENS PLC","OTLY":"Oatly Group AB"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-27/the-global-ipo-market-has-never-been-hotter-than-it-is-right-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157825898","content_text":"Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.\nAn all-time high of almost $350 billion has been raised in initial public offerings in the first six months of this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, surpassing the previous peak of $282 billion from the second half of 2020 and enriching entrepreneurs and bankers alike.\nWhen the rush for IPOs kicked off last year, stay-at-home technology dominated the scene, seizing on investor interest in anything digital, while special-purpose acquisition companies also flooded the market. This year, with stocks continuing to push skyward, the trend has broadened to include renewable-energy companies and online retailers.\nEveryone from Swedish oat-milk company Oatly Group ABto boot maker Dr. Martens Plcsold shares in 2021. Still, tech accounts for a big chunk of the deals.Didi Global Inc.will rank among the biggest U.S. IPOs of the past decade if the Chinese ride-hailing giant carries through with plans to sell as much as $4 billion in stock.\n“The markets from New York to Hong Kong were on fire in the first half of this year and have left even the late 90sdotcomboom era in the rearview mirror,” said Aaron Arth, head of the financing group at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia ex-Japan.\nRiding High\nStocks in hot sectors like tech and renewables top the charts this year...\nSource: Bloomberg NOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more\nThe boom has been fueled by a torrent of cash that central banks have pumped into the economy and the rise of individual investors, who are eager to buy a piece of their favorite companies.\nIt’s delivered a windfall for investment banks around the world, who reap the rewards from underwriting and advisory fees. Goldman and Citigroup Inc. rank Nos. 1 and 2 in the global league tables for IPOs this year.\nWith so many companies rushing to market, the industry is starting to look saturated. Investors say they can afford to be picky and are increasingly reluctant to pay steep valuations demanded by the fast-growing companies that populate the IPO market.\nAs a result, a number of high-profile stocks have stumbled in theirtrading debutsthis year and some companies are gettingspooked. Food-delivery startupDeliveroo Plcplunged 26% on its first day of trading in London, whileOscar Health Inc., the insurance startup co-founded by Josh Kushner, has fallen 40% since joining the New York market.\nDown and Out\n...while those investors deemed too pricey bring up the rear\nSource: BloombergNOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more\nRussia’sNord Gold Plcon Tuesday pulled its IPO, citing market uncertainty and swings in the gold price, whileGenworth Financial Inc.last month postponed a U.S. offering for its Enact Holdings Inc. mortgage-insurance unit. And Friday, Hong Kong-tradedGeely Automobile Holdings Ltd.withdrew its application for a listing in Shanghai.\n“There has been a certain level of exhaustion among investors and increased selectivity,” said Saadi Soudavar, co-head of equity capital markets for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Deutsche Bank AG. “It’s a record year after all, so they can have their pick among the multiple transactions coming their way.”\nInvestor appetite for one type of listing hasalready faded. SPACs accounted for almost half the proceeds raised in the IPO market in the first quarter, but their share shrunk to about 13% this quarter.\nAn index that tracks SPAC listings has dropped 23% from a February high. The poor performance, along with tougher regulatory scrutiny has been a blow to market sentiment. U.S. officials have cautioned individual investors against celebrity-endorsed cash shells and are scrutinizing accounting practices.\nStill, as long as the stock market is rising, the flow of IPOs is unlikely to dry up, and total proceeds this year are on track to eclipse the record of $420.1 billion set in 2007. The IPO boom will likely continue for the next six to 12 months, said Rob Leach, European head of equity capital markets at Jefferies Financial Group Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127253345,"gmtCreate":1624852426887,"gmtModify":1703846233742,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127253345","repostId":"2146500207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146500207","pubTimestamp":1624846354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146500207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 10:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Record Stock Sales From Money-Losing Firms Ring the Alarm Bells","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146500207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, i","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, imagine a scenario where most of the sales come from firms that don’t make money.</p>\n<p>It’s happening now. Since the end of March, almost 100 unprofitable companies, including GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., have raised money through secondary offerings, twice as many as coming from profitable firms, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p>\n<p>Granted, troubled companies are tapping into buoyant demand during a 16-month rally to beef up their balance sheets. And it’s further evidence that the capital market functions as smoothly as it’s supposed to. Yet some warn that the flood of shares coming from money losers is becoming extreme.</p>\n<p>During the past 12 months, almost 750 money-losing firms have sold shares in the secondary market, exceeding those that make profits by the biggest margin since at least 1982, data compiled by Sundial Capital Research show.</p>\n<p>“That perhaps points to companies getting greedy,” said Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners. “Anytime you have a bunch of selling by desperate companies, that could be a signal we’re closer to a top than a cyclical bottom.”</p>\n<p>In fact, the previous two periods in which unprofitable firms dominated the pool of equity offerings, the S&amp;P 500 Index was either at the start of a bear market, or already in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>.</p>\n<p>The 2000 episode showed what might be at stake. Back then, a similarly ebullient market lured profitless companies to offer shares. Once supply overwhelmed demand, the party turned into a scare. Stocks with no fundamental support sold off and the carnage spread to the rest of the market.</p>\n<p>“There can be too much money chasing too little good deals,” said Jeanette Garretty, chief economist at Robertson Stephens Wealth Management. “When the good deals don’t need that money, they start looking for less great deals, and then down the road this is what can lead people to get their fingers burned.”</p>\n<p>With much of the business world yet to fully recover from the pandemic fallout, the easiness to raise money via equity offerings bodes well for corporate America, according to Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab Corp. With the boost in capital, he says, many crippled firms now have a shot at mounting a turnaround.</p>\n<p>Take AMC as an example. After sinking to the brink of bankruptcy during the lockdown, the movie theater-operator has cashed in on its meme-stock status to raise some $1.25 billion through equity offerings in recent months. That, combined with an improving outlook for the film industry, prompted S&amp;P Global Ratings to upgrade its credit score.</p>\n<p>Similarly, GameStop has tapped equity markets twice this year in moves that the video-game retailer said would raise money to invest in growth initiatives and maintain a strong balance sheet. Activist investor Ryan Cohen has built a 13% stake in GameStop and is leading an effort to transform the company into an e-commerce powerhouse, away from its brick-and-mortar roots.</p>\n<p>An unprofitable firm “could issue shares, get working capital, perhaps change strategy, go into new lines of business, do R&amp;D -- whatever it might be, that could ultimately lead to them becoming profitable and growing the business again,” Frederick said. “That’s why the capital markets exist.”</p>\n<p>Of course, there’s no guarantee that a transformation effort will succeed. Based on stock performance following issuance, investors still prefer quality. Among this quarter’s issuers, those that are struggling have seen their shares rise 2.7% on average through Friday, trailing those profitable by 2 percentage points.</p>\n<p>Sundial tracks a suite of indicators to gauge the market’s sentiment. That money-losing firms are flooding the secondary market adds to a growing set of signs that point to elevated enthusiasm, according to Jason Goepfert, the firm’s founder.</p>\n<p>Scott Knapp, chief market strategist at CUNA Mutual Group, agrees.</p>\n<p>“When there is increased appetite for issues from unprofitable companies, it tends to mark a point of euphoria,” Knapp said. “This phenomenon can be in place for a very long time. It’s not necessarily a signal the market is about to reverse. But it is something that typically has preceded a period of reversal in the trend -- the market is more likely to cool down when appetite for unprofitable issuers rises.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Record Stock Sales From Money-Losing Firms Ring the Alarm Bells</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecord Stock Sales From Money-Losing Firms Ring the Alarm Bells\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 10:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/record-stock-sales-money-losing-123634038.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, imagine a scenario where most of the sales come from firms that don’t make money.\nIt’s happening now....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/record-stock-sales-money-losing-123634038.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站","REI":"Ring Energy Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/record-stock-sales-money-losing-123634038.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146500207","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, imagine a scenario where most of the sales come from firms that don’t make money.\nIt’s happening now. Since the end of March, almost 100 unprofitable companies, including GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., have raised money through secondary offerings, twice as many as coming from profitable firms, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.\nGranted, troubled companies are tapping into buoyant demand during a 16-month rally to beef up their balance sheets. And it’s further evidence that the capital market functions as smoothly as it’s supposed to. Yet some warn that the flood of shares coming from money losers is becoming extreme.\nDuring the past 12 months, almost 750 money-losing firms have sold shares in the secondary market, exceeding those that make profits by the biggest margin since at least 1982, data compiled by Sundial Capital Research show.\n“That perhaps points to companies getting greedy,” said Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners. “Anytime you have a bunch of selling by desperate companies, that could be a signal we’re closer to a top than a cyclical bottom.”\nIn fact, the previous two periods in which unprofitable firms dominated the pool of equity offerings, the S&P 500 Index was either at the start of a bear market, or already in one.\nThe 2000 episode showed what might be at stake. Back then, a similarly ebullient market lured profitless companies to offer shares. Once supply overwhelmed demand, the party turned into a scare. Stocks with no fundamental support sold off and the carnage spread to the rest of the market.\n“There can be too much money chasing too little good deals,” said Jeanette Garretty, chief economist at Robertson Stephens Wealth Management. “When the good deals don’t need that money, they start looking for less great deals, and then down the road this is what can lead people to get their fingers burned.”\nWith much of the business world yet to fully recover from the pandemic fallout, the easiness to raise money via equity offerings bodes well for corporate America, according to Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab Corp. With the boost in capital, he says, many crippled firms now have a shot at mounting a turnaround.\nTake AMC as an example. After sinking to the brink of bankruptcy during the lockdown, the movie theater-operator has cashed in on its meme-stock status to raise some $1.25 billion through equity offerings in recent months. That, combined with an improving outlook for the film industry, prompted S&P Global Ratings to upgrade its credit score.\nSimilarly, GameStop has tapped equity markets twice this year in moves that the video-game retailer said would raise money to invest in growth initiatives and maintain a strong balance sheet. Activist investor Ryan Cohen has built a 13% stake in GameStop and is leading an effort to transform the company into an e-commerce powerhouse, away from its brick-and-mortar roots.\nAn unprofitable firm “could issue shares, get working capital, perhaps change strategy, go into new lines of business, do R&D -- whatever it might be, that could ultimately lead to them becoming profitable and growing the business again,” Frederick said. “That’s why the capital markets exist.”\nOf course, there’s no guarantee that a transformation effort will succeed. Based on stock performance following issuance, investors still prefer quality. Among this quarter’s issuers, those that are struggling have seen their shares rise 2.7% on average through Friday, trailing those profitable by 2 percentage points.\nSundial tracks a suite of indicators to gauge the market’s sentiment. That money-losing firms are flooding the secondary market adds to a growing set of signs that point to elevated enthusiasm, according to Jason Goepfert, the firm’s founder.\nScott Knapp, chief market strategist at CUNA Mutual Group, agrees.\n“When there is increased appetite for issues from unprofitable companies, it tends to mark a point of euphoria,” Knapp said. “This phenomenon can be in place for a very long time. It’s not necessarily a signal the market is about to reverse. But it is something that typically has preceded a period of reversal in the trend -- the market is more likely to cool down when appetite for unprofitable issuers rises.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127259727,"gmtCreate":1624852402669,"gmtModify":1703846233420,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127259727","repostId":"2146500068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146500068","pubTimestamp":1624845000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146500068?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Namibia Could Become The Biggest Oil Story of the Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146500068","media":"Oilprice.com","summary":"What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has ","content":"<p>What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has just announced encouraging results in the first section of its second well in Namibia’s giant Kavango Basin, and modern history suggests that first well successes are rarely reversed.</p>\n<p>That’s huge news for investors in the junior explorer, <b>Reconnaissance Energy Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF)</b>, that slipped into this massive play before the supermajors had time to blink.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8fe7d3973d0c7e387fdb032e355791c\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>What looks to have been a brilliantly timed acquisition based on a treasure trove of government-held data few knew existed is now hoping to help reshape poverty-stricken Namibia’s future.</p>\n<p>And at a mammoth 8.5 million acres, this basin spans an area comparable to the largest projects in the Lone Star state. And Recon Africa holds petroleum exploration licenses for the entire basin.</p>\n<p>If you’re not sure how big 8.5 million acres is, Stocktwits has superimposed it on the State of Florida for perspective:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9fe8b3fee74b7f004ecad05851e62a3\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Recently, some oil majors have been flocking to Africa since it’s considered to be among the last underexplored areas on Earth…</p>\n<p>Low production costs in frontier oil plays have led to some exciting opportunities that have helped put countries like Suriname and Guyana on the proverbial map.</p>\n<p>And Africa may be the final frontier, with an oil boom emerging as drilling spreads across the continent, according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> report.</p>\n<p>But while companies like Shell and Exxon have latched onto offshore opportunities in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the continent’s most stable and friendliest governments…</p>\n<p>We think they completely missed the Namibian government’s treasure trove of data, including a potentially valuable high-quality aeromagnetic survey data that had never been interpreted.</p>\n<p>And when this junior discovered what the government had so skillfully acquired...</p>\n<p>They scooped up exploration rights for the entire Kavango Basin, giving them exclusive petroleum licenses to an area that’s millions of acres in size.</p>\n<p><b>This may truly be the final frontier of onshore oil exploration, among the last Permian-sized basins that have never been drilled.</b></p>\n<p>And it’s opportunities just like these that have produced impressive gains in recent years for other explorers that made a discovery.</p>\n<p>Africa Oil scored 379% gains after reporting a discovery of oil in Kenya.</p>\n<p>Valeura Energy Corp’s shares skyrocketed for 1,000% gains after reporting a discovery in Turkey.</p>\n<p>Now in Namibia, ReconAfrica is already up 377% in less than a year, having found indicators of the existence of a working petroleum system in its first well (6-2) in April and then encountering oil and gas again in the shallow section of its second drill (6-1), which is still ongoing.</p>\n<p>We think it would be flying far north of its 377% gain right now, but naked short sellers appear to have latched onto the stock, producing what look to be hit pieces in a desperate attempt to cover huge naked shorts before potential results confirm what we believe could end up being the last great onshore oil discovery in the world.</p>\n<p>The short sellers are running out of time to cover …</p>\n<p>Here’s why we think you should be keeping a close eye on Reconnaissance Energy Africa.</p>\n<p><b>First Well Successes Rarely Reverse</b></p>\n<p>On April 15th, Recon Africa <b>(</b>TSXV:RECO<b>, </b>OTC:RECAF<b>)</b> in a joint press release with the Ministry of Mines and Energy of Namibia announced the results of its first of three drills (6-2), showing clear evidence of an active petroleum system for this nearly 9-million-acre basin. The samples provide over 200 meters of light oil and natural gas indicators/shows over three discrete intervals in a stacked sequence of reservoir and source rock.</p>\n<p>The results were unexpected by the company as this was just the first of three stratigraphic planned wells, but there would be another surprise just weeks later as RECO got started on its second well ...</p>\n<p>On June 3rd, the first section of its second well (6-1) provided further evidence of a working petroleum system.</p>\n<p>At shallow depths, the well encountered 134 meters of light oil and gas.</p>\n<p><i>\"In these first two wells, the many oil and gas shows, with such variety, is certainly remarkable. It is highly encouraging to see clastic and thick carbonate sections which appear to have similar reservoir characteristics as observed in many other petroleum provinces,”</i> ReconAfrica director Dr. Jim Granath said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Recon Africa have since put out a further update letting investors know that a further 685 feet of hydrocarbon shows comprising a variety of light oil and natural gas have been discovered so far in the second section of well 2.</p>\n<p>With intermediate casing operations reportedly now complete and the company stating that everything is on schedule, RECO expects to finish drilling its 6-1 well during the first week of July.</p>\n<p>The company also unveiled its commitment to allocate a minimum of $10 million in ESG expenditures to the Kavango region in which it operates.</p>\n<p>While RECO is a high-risk/high-reward oil exploration play, exploration patterns from the past suggest that success in the first wells typically means a high potential of continued success.</p>\n<p>The former Vice-President and Head of Global Oil and Gas Research at CIBC World Markets, G. DeWolf Shaw CFA, notes that “during the modern era of the great oil discoveries, a geological success on the first well or a geological failure, was rarely reversed. First wells with successes like 6-2 mean progressively less risk for next 4 wells because of an exponential increase in new data.”</p>\n<p><b>And it helps that RECO has world-class geologists on its team ...</b></p>\n<p>The Kavango Basin is an enormous area spanning millions of acres across Namibia and Botswana.</p>\n<p>And at 8.50 million acres, that’s nearly the size of the massive Midland Basin in the Permian, which is owned by countless different producers today.</p>\n<p>So for this vast area’s exploration licenses to be held by one company is almost unheard of, especially for a junior explorer.</p>\n<p>That means the potential upside for this opportunity is unlike most we’ve seen in a decade.</p>\n<p>After acquiring rights to Namibia’s Aeromag data, Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) quickly had this analyzed by some of the most experienced experts in oil exploration.</p>\n<p>This data reportedly shows that the sedimentary basin could run as deep as 30,000 feet.</p>\n<p><b>That would make it as deep as the Permian Basin in West Texas, which has been estimated to contain a potential </b><b><i>46.3 billion</i></b><b> barrels of oil.</b></p>\n<p>And the most exciting part for us is that the majority of any potential production is expected to be <i>conventional</i>, which means no fracking and none of those exorbitant costs associated with unconventional plays.</p>\n<p>This could all add up to even greater potential for profits for Recon Africa and their investors, if a major discovery is made.</p>\n<p>But while this may be a small-cap explorer, to us there’s nothing small about the names behind it.</p>\n<p>When this all began, experienced geological interpreter Bill Cathey said the data on Kavango showed some of the best data he’d ever seen…</p>\n<p><b><i>“Nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that has not produced commercial quantities of hydrocarbons,” he said.&nbsp;</i></b></p>\n<p>Then they called in Daniel Jarvie, president of Worldwide Geochemistry LLC and a highly experienced geochemist, previously named “Hart Energy’s Most Influential People for the Petroleum Industry in the Next Decade” in 2010.</p>\n<p>After analyzing the data, Jarvie<b> estimated that ReconAfrica could be sitting on a basin that could generate up billions of barrels of oil…</b></p>\n<p>Based on only 12% of their holdings.</p>\n<p>These numbers might seem unbelievable, but Jarvie actually said this could be a conservative estimate of potential.</p>\n<p><i>“Given the nature of the basin and the tremendous thickness, this is pretty much a no-brainer...It will be productive and I’m expecting high-quality oil,” </i>he said.</p>\n<p>That was before RECO’s first two announcements in April and June.</p>\n<p>Now, both Cathey and Jarvie--not to mention the entire RECO team and all of its investors--could be vindicated.</p>\n<p>Not only does Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) hold petroleum licenses to the entire Kavango Basin, but one expert after another has stepped up to indicate the potential of this opportunity.</p>\n<p>Nick Steinberger, for example, has also joined ReconAfrica’s team as their Senior Vice President, Drilling, and Operations.</p>\n<p>After spending over 30 years helping to lead an oil and gas company that was sold for a reported $3.1 billion, he could have gone wherever he liked in the industry.</p>\n<p>So to have someone of his caliber on the team speaks volumes about how confident many are in the future of their drilling program.&nbsp; The entire management team are also reported to be shareholders.</p>\n<p>Steinberger has observed several similarities between the Kavango and the Permian basin, noting, “It’s the same setting, the same geological time frame, and looks like the same type of thickness.</p>\n<p>“The top of the Permian section of Kavango is expected to be 6,000-8,000 feet in depth, which is the same as the Permian in Texas.”</p>\n<p>Haywood Securities initiated coverage on RECO in November and has adjusted its price target three times since. They also participated in RECO’s C$25-million bought deal financing.&nbsp;See latest news release…the financing closed at $41+mm</p>\n<p>A discovery success, says Haywood, would present manifold opportunities for strategic joint ventures for further de-risking--without additional shareholder dilution. This play “has all the ingredients to establish the existence of a working hydrocarbon system (in a relatively short cycle time) and subsequently evaluate and exploit the potential of the Kavango Basin”, Haywood wrote in its most recent report.</p>\n<p>That includes “a fully-funded three well program, nearly 100% working interest in acreage across a vast, relatively straightforward land access, an owned drilling rig, a committed and capable management and technical team, stable governments with attractive fiscal terms and proven commitment to responsible development” … among other things.</p>\n<p>Even without the recent positive first and second drill results showing indicators of a petroleum system, Haywood sees material upside as Kavango is further de-risked and have recently moved their short term price target up to $16.00 CAD.</p>\n<p>In a further boost of confidence, Wood Mackenzie compared RECO’s Kavango basin to the Midland Basin in Texas which has a development value of $540 billion.</p>\n<p><b>More News Could Be Just Days or Weeks Away</b></p>\n<p>RECO’s second announcement that it encountered indicators of oil and gas in the second drill (6-1) was only in the shallower section…</p>\n<p>There’s more to come.</p>\n<p>Drill no. 2 is expected to be completed by the end of this month …</p>\n<p>And the preliminary analysis of all results from the wells 6-1 and 6-2 are anticipated at the end of July.</p>\n<p>From the first well (6-2) over 150 sidewall cores have been taken to Core Labs in Houston and 37 sidewall cores are on their way there as well from the shallower section of the 6-1 well.</p>\n<p>Then we’ve got drill three and possibly four which is expected this year, too.</p>\n<p>And that’s just in the near term. Further out, the news flow could get even more exciting because this is a huge basin. If a commercial discovery is established in the future, we may be looking at a juicy potential JV deal that could be the biggest reward for investors.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, while they’re hoping for great success by turning Kavango into the last major onshore oil play in the world, they’re not forgetting Namibia, and they’re committed to ensuring that the people of Namibia don’t become victims of yet another African “resource curse”.</p>\n<p>ReconAfrica isn’t operating in a vacuum here. They seem fully aware of what this could mean to the people of Namibia.</p>\n<p>For starters, RECO’s founder Craig Steinke says the carbonates they found so far&nbsp;“look like carbonate rocks seen in northern Africa where basically conventional completion methods will make them productive. No fracking.”</p>\n<p>And for Namibia, a huge, conventional oil play could be “transformational”, particularly for the 250,000 people in the Kavango region, 40% of whom live in generational poverty.</p>\n<p>“This will provide the local citizens with good-paying jobs, upwardly mobile jobs, that will help pull them out of poverty, provide access to fresh water and basic medical services,” Steinke says. RECO reports it is already employing 200 people in the area.</p>\n<p>Water is also a major problem that RECO recognized from the start.</p>\n<p>“One of the glaring problems in the region is the local population don’t have the wherewithal to drill water wells but there is a freshwater aquifer right under their feet. They have to walk up to 10 km per day with 45 lbs of water on their heads,” Steinke says.</p>\n<p>And to that end, RECO has committed a minimum of C$10 million for ESG expenditures in Namibia.</p>\n<p>As soon as RECO’s rig hit the ground in Kavango, the company reported it set up shop with the local authorities to drill water wells. They’ve announced drilling of four water wells so far and are permitting sixteen more.</p>\n<p><b>The Final Word</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>RECO scooped up licenses for an 8.5-million-acre play the size of Belgium in the Kavango Basin before supermajors had a chance to blink.</li>\n <li>Then they started drilling water wells for the local communities, and have committed to allocating millions to ESG performance standards.</li>\n <li>They’ve got veteran geologists on their team. One says, “nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that does not produce commercial quantities of hydrocarbons.” The other estimates the basin could have generated billions of barrels of oil and gas.</li>\n <li>Wood Mackenzie compares it to the Midland Basin which has a development value of $540-billion.</li>\n <li>Market value is already up 377% year-to-date, with potential to increase if results keep coming in as they have been, and short sellers may have a hard time covering.</li>\n <li>RECO has encountered oil and gas indicators in its first 2 drills so far, and they aren’t even done with the second of three.</li>\n <li>They appear well-funded for this 3-drill campaign, and beyond. After the three-well program and 2D seismic, they estimate they’ll have over $50 million remaining in the treasury.</li>\n <li>More news looks set to come at the end of this month when RECO is expected to complete its second drill, and then again in July when lab analysis is anticipated back …</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Other companies looking to capitalize on an increase in oil prices:</p>\n<p><b>ConocoPhillips Company (NYSE:COP)</b>&nbsp;as the largest pure upstream company, has performed relatively well in this depressed market, generating ample free cash flow and returning a good chunk of it to shareholders.&nbsp; Unlike many of its peers who continued to expand aggressively during the shale boom, COP has taken several steps to lower costs and fortify its balance sheet.</p>\n<p>Like many of its peers, ConocoPhillips has been gradually offloading non-core assets, including the sale of its North Sea oil and gas assets for $2.7 billion and the planned sale of its Australian assets for $1.4B. Its asset portfolio, however, remains healthy.</p>\n<p>Thanks to a global recovery in demand, Conoco has seen an increasingly bullish look on the industry, and it was one of the few companies which did not partake in the mass-layoffs seen in the industry last year. In addition, Conoco has also seen a fairly decent about of insiders buying into its stock, which is a good sign.</p>\n<p><b>Petrobras (NYSE:PBR)</b>&nbsp;is focused on developing its pre-salt operations. And it’s easy to see why. Those upstream projects being approved for development must have a breakeven price of $35 per Brent or less. Brazil’s national oil company has budgeted&nbsp;capital spending&nbsp;for exploration and production activities of $46.5 billion from 2021 to 2025.</p>\n<p>Clearly, while the pandemic has hit Brazil’s oil industry causing production to fall because of savage budget cuts and well shut-ins, it appears to have done no material long-term damage. &nbsp;Demand for Petrobras’ low sulfur content fuel is firm and will grow because of the global push to significantly reduce emissions, which will ultimately make Petrobras even more valuable over time.</p>\n<p>Petrobras remains one of the most underrated oil majors in the world. It’s got desirable crude oil, a massive footprint in its domestic industry, and a growing amount of interest from investors. It’s also bouncing off of low share prices like the rest of the industry, indicating there could be some upside left.</p>\n<p><b>Chevron (NYSE:CVX)&nbsp;</b>is a leader in the industry, and the second-largest oil company on the&nbsp; New York Stock Exchange. Chevron is also betting big on Africa, particularly Nigeria and Angola. The supermajor ranks among the top oil producers in the two African nations. Other areas on the continent where the company holds interests include Benin, Ghana, the Republic of Congo and Togo. Chevron also holds a 36.7 percent interest in the West African Gas Pipeline Company Limited, which supplies Nigerian natural gas to customers in the region. With bets on both oil and natural gas, the company is looking to take advantage of both fossil fuels. Though prices are still depressed at the moment, as fuel demand returns to normal, Chevron could be a big winner as prices climb back up to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>While Chevron still has not fully recovered from the massive hit it took back in March 2020, where it dropped to a 5-year low of just $59, the oil giant has made some progress thanks to recovering oil prices. Sitting at $104 at the time of writing, Chevron is slowly recuperating some of its losses and is positioned well to benefit in the mid to long term</p>\n<p><b>Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A)&nbsp;</b>is the third largest NYSE-listed company, coming in just under Chevron. And similar to Chevron, Shell has also made some big bets in Africa. In fact, it is one of the leaders in the region. The Dutch oil giant began drilling in the region over 70 years ago and now has energy assets in over 20 countries across the continent. Though it has sold off a number of its prized plays in the region in recent years, it continues to maintain a strong presence, especially in South Africa.</p>\n<p>Africa, in particular South Africa is key for Shell because the government has been significantly more stable than some of the other big bets on the continent. Moreover, the country has been very open to Shell in its projects. The company’s operations in South Africa include retail and commercial fuel, lubricant, chemical, and manufacturing. It’s also heavily invested in upstream exploration. It even holds the exploration rights to the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORAN\">Orange</a> Basin Deep Water area, off the country’s west coast, and has applications for shale gas exploration rights in the Karoo, in central South Africa.</p>\n<p><b>Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI)</b>, a major North American pipeline operator&nbsp;, has been particularly upbeat in recent months. In fact, in early December, it issued optimistic updates, planning higher dividends and expecting more profits in 2021, after the challenges the oil industry has faced last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the wider market crash. Kinder Morgan also expects to raise its dividend for 2021 by 3 percent compared to this year.</p>\n<p>Kinder Morgan Inc's chief executive officer Steve Kean noted, \"With budgeted excess coverage of that dividend, we expect also to be able to engage in share repurchases on an opportunistic basis.”</p>\n<p>Kinder Morgan is a must-watch in the industry. With dividends on the rise, oil prices increasing, and bullish sentiment returning to the oil industry, there could be some significant upside left for this pipeline operator, especially as oil begins flowing at pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ; TSX:CNQ)</b>&nbsp;has been able to do what many of its Canadian counterparts haven’t been able to, keep its dividend intact after swinging to a loss for the first half of the COVID pandemic, while Canada's producers are scaling back production by around 1 million bpd amid low oil prices and demand. Though Canadian Natural Resources kept its dividend, it withdrew its production guidance for 2020, however. It also said it would curtail some production at high-cost conventional projects in North America and oil sands operations and carry out planned turnaround activities at oil sands projects in the second half of 2020.</p>\n<p>Though there is a lot of negative press surrounding Canada’s oil sands, the industry is starting to clean up its act a bit. And Canadian Natural Resources is leading the charge. And if analysts are right about Canada’s comeback, Canadian Natural Resources could be in for a big year.</p>\n<p>Though the Canadian energy giant has seen its stock price slump this year, it could provide a potential opportunity for investors as oil prices rebound. It is already up over 170% from its March 2020 lows, but it is just getting started. If oil prices continue to climb, it could be huge news for investors that held on.</p>\n<p><b>Enbridge (NYSE:ENB, TSX:ENB</b>) is a giant in Canada’s oil industry, and it is in a great position as oil and gas stages its 2021 comeback. As one of the more potentially undervalued companies in the sector, it could be set to win big this year. But that’s only if it can overcome some of the challenges in its path. Most specifically, its Line 3 project has faced scrutiny from environmentalists.</p>\n<p>The massive multi-billion project plans to replace Enbridge's existing&nbsp;282 miles&nbsp;of 34-inch pipeline with 337 miles of 36-inch pipe. The new Line 3 would have the capacity to move&nbsp;370,000 barrels&nbsp;of oil per day, alleviating the takeaway capacity constraints that Canadian oil producers have been struggling with for years now. Line 3 is one of two pipeline projects in the works that are—in their unfinished state—keeping Canada's oil industry from reaching its potential.</p>\n<p>Though this challenge seem prove difficult for Enbridge to overcome, the overall health of the Canadian oil industry is improving, and with it, the outlook for Canadian producers such as Enbridge. Enbridge started the year off with a bang, and if oil prices continue the upward trajectory they’ve seen over the past few months, the Canadian giant could see some upside still.</p>\n<p><b>TC Energy Corporation (NYSE:TRP, TSX:TRP)</b>&nbsp;is a Calgary-based energy giant. The company owns and operates energy infrastructure throughout North America. TC Energy is one of the continent’s largest providers of gas storage and owns and has interests in approximately 11,800 megawatts of power generation. It’s also one of the continent’s most important pipeline operators. With TC Energy’s massive influence throughout North America, it is no wonder that the company is among one of Canada’s strongest and well-known companies.</p>\n<p>Like a number of its peers, one of TC Energy’s biggest challenges in recent years was grappling with the particularly difficult approval process for its Keystone Pipeline. But that’s all history now, and with the bounce back in oil and gas demand, TC Energy could stand to benefit. While TC Energy’s stock price has yet to recover from pre-pandemic levels, it is one of the few industry giants which has managed to keep high dividends rolling in. With quarterly payouts exceeding 6%, TC has remained appealing for investors in the industry.</p>\n<p><b>Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)</b>&nbsp;is another giant in Canada’s industry. It has set itself apart from some of its peers through a number of high-tech solutions for finding, pumping, storing, and delivering its resources. Not only is it big in the oil sector, but it is also a leader in renewable energy. Recently, the company invested $300 million in a wind farm located in Alberta, showing that it is committed to reducing its carbon footprint.</p>\n<p>Now that oil prices are finally recovering, giants like Suncor looking to capitalize. While many of the oil majors have given up on oil sands production – those who focus on technological advancements in the area have a great long-term outlook. And that upside is further amplified by the fact that it is currently looking particularly under-valued compared to its peers, especially as lithium, which is present in Canada’s oil sands, becomes an even more desirable commodity.</p>\n<p><b>CNOOC Limited (TSX:CNU)</b>&nbsp;is one of the world’s most interesting oil and gas companies. It is China’s most significant producer of offshore crude oil and natural gas, and may well be one of the most controversial oil stocks for investors on the market. A label that has nothing to do with its operations, however.</p>\n<p>The relationship between the United States and China has admittedly been better, and if things were to take a turn for the worst, it could have a major impact on global natural gas, given that CNOOC is China's largest importer of LNG. But the Biden administration has been working to improve relations and as such, Chinese companies, including CNOOC, are likely to breathe freely once again, and it be great news for investors in Chinese stocks.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Namibia Could Become The Biggest Oil Story of the Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Namibia Could Become The Biggest Oil Story of the Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-namibia-could-become-biggest-230000550.html><strong>Oilprice.com</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has just announced encouraging results in the first section of its second well in Namibia’s giant ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-namibia-could-become-biggest-230000550.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CVX":"雪佛龙","KMI":"金德尔摩根","RECAF":"Reconnaissance Energy Africa Ltd.","ENB":"安桥","TRP":"TC Energy","PBR":"巴西石油公司","COP":"康菲石油"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-namibia-could-become-biggest-230000550.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146500068","content_text":"What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has just announced encouraging results in the first section of its second well in Namibia’s giant Kavango Basin, and modern history suggests that first well successes are rarely reversed.\nThat’s huge news for investors in the junior explorer, Reconnaissance Energy Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF), that slipped into this massive play before the supermajors had time to blink.\n\nWhat looks to have been a brilliantly timed acquisition based on a treasure trove of government-held data few knew existed is now hoping to help reshape poverty-stricken Namibia’s future.\nAnd at a mammoth 8.5 million acres, this basin spans an area comparable to the largest projects in the Lone Star state. And Recon Africa holds petroleum exploration licenses for the entire basin.\nIf you’re not sure how big 8.5 million acres is, Stocktwits has superimposed it on the State of Florida for perspective:\n\nRecently, some oil majors have been flocking to Africa since it’s considered to be among the last underexplored areas on Earth…\nLow production costs in frontier oil plays have led to some exciting opportunities that have helped put countries like Suriname and Guyana on the proverbial map.\nAnd Africa may be the final frontier, with an oil boom emerging as drilling spreads across the continent, according to one report.\nBut while companies like Shell and Exxon have latched onto offshore opportunities in one of the continent’s most stable and friendliest governments…\nWe think they completely missed the Namibian government’s treasure trove of data, including a potentially valuable high-quality aeromagnetic survey data that had never been interpreted.\nAnd when this junior discovered what the government had so skillfully acquired...\nThey scooped up exploration rights for the entire Kavango Basin, giving them exclusive petroleum licenses to an area that’s millions of acres in size.\nThis may truly be the final frontier of onshore oil exploration, among the last Permian-sized basins that have never been drilled.\nAnd it’s opportunities just like these that have produced impressive gains in recent years for other explorers that made a discovery.\nAfrica Oil scored 379% gains after reporting a discovery of oil in Kenya.\nValeura Energy Corp’s shares skyrocketed for 1,000% gains after reporting a discovery in Turkey.\nNow in Namibia, ReconAfrica is already up 377% in less than a year, having found indicators of the existence of a working petroleum system in its first well (6-2) in April and then encountering oil and gas again in the shallow section of its second drill (6-1), which is still ongoing.\nWe think it would be flying far north of its 377% gain right now, but naked short sellers appear to have latched onto the stock, producing what look to be hit pieces in a desperate attempt to cover huge naked shorts before potential results confirm what we believe could end up being the last great onshore oil discovery in the world.\nThe short sellers are running out of time to cover …\nHere’s why we think you should be keeping a close eye on Reconnaissance Energy Africa.\nFirst Well Successes Rarely Reverse\nOn April 15th, Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) in a joint press release with the Ministry of Mines and Energy of Namibia announced the results of its first of three drills (6-2), showing clear evidence of an active petroleum system for this nearly 9-million-acre basin. The samples provide over 200 meters of light oil and natural gas indicators/shows over three discrete intervals in a stacked sequence of reservoir and source rock.\nThe results were unexpected by the company as this was just the first of three stratigraphic planned wells, but there would be another surprise just weeks later as RECO got started on its second well ...\nOn June 3rd, the first section of its second well (6-1) provided further evidence of a working petroleum system.\nAt shallow depths, the well encountered 134 meters of light oil and gas.\n\"In these first two wells, the many oil and gas shows, with such variety, is certainly remarkable. It is highly encouraging to see clastic and thick carbonate sections which appear to have similar reservoir characteristics as observed in many other petroleum provinces,” ReconAfrica director Dr. Jim Granath said in a statement.\nRecon Africa have since put out a further update letting investors know that a further 685 feet of hydrocarbon shows comprising a variety of light oil and natural gas have been discovered so far in the second section of well 2.\nWith intermediate casing operations reportedly now complete and the company stating that everything is on schedule, RECO expects to finish drilling its 6-1 well during the first week of July.\nThe company also unveiled its commitment to allocate a minimum of $10 million in ESG expenditures to the Kavango region in which it operates.\nWhile RECO is a high-risk/high-reward oil exploration play, exploration patterns from the past suggest that success in the first wells typically means a high potential of continued success.\nThe former Vice-President and Head of Global Oil and Gas Research at CIBC World Markets, G. DeWolf Shaw CFA, notes that “during the modern era of the great oil discoveries, a geological success on the first well or a geological failure, was rarely reversed. First wells with successes like 6-2 mean progressively less risk for next 4 wells because of an exponential increase in new data.”\nAnd it helps that RECO has world-class geologists on its team ...\nThe Kavango Basin is an enormous area spanning millions of acres across Namibia and Botswana.\nAnd at 8.50 million acres, that’s nearly the size of the massive Midland Basin in the Permian, which is owned by countless different producers today.\nSo for this vast area’s exploration licenses to be held by one company is almost unheard of, especially for a junior explorer.\nThat means the potential upside for this opportunity is unlike most we’ve seen in a decade.\nAfter acquiring rights to Namibia’s Aeromag data, Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) quickly had this analyzed by some of the most experienced experts in oil exploration.\nThis data reportedly shows that the sedimentary basin could run as deep as 30,000 feet.\nThat would make it as deep as the Permian Basin in West Texas, which has been estimated to contain a potential 46.3 billion barrels of oil.\nAnd the most exciting part for us is that the majority of any potential production is expected to be conventional, which means no fracking and none of those exorbitant costs associated with unconventional plays.\nThis could all add up to even greater potential for profits for Recon Africa and their investors, if a major discovery is made.\nBut while this may be a small-cap explorer, to us there’s nothing small about the names behind it.\nWhen this all began, experienced geological interpreter Bill Cathey said the data on Kavango showed some of the best data he’d ever seen…\n“Nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that has not produced commercial quantities of hydrocarbons,” he said. \nThen they called in Daniel Jarvie, president of Worldwide Geochemistry LLC and a highly experienced geochemist, previously named “Hart Energy’s Most Influential People for the Petroleum Industry in the Next Decade” in 2010.\nAfter analyzing the data, Jarvie estimated that ReconAfrica could be sitting on a basin that could generate up billions of barrels of oil…\nBased on only 12% of their holdings.\nThese numbers might seem unbelievable, but Jarvie actually said this could be a conservative estimate of potential.\n“Given the nature of the basin and the tremendous thickness, this is pretty much a no-brainer...It will be productive and I’m expecting high-quality oil,” he said.\nThat was before RECO’s first two announcements in April and June.\nNow, both Cathey and Jarvie--not to mention the entire RECO team and all of its investors--could be vindicated.\nNot only does Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) hold petroleum licenses to the entire Kavango Basin, but one expert after another has stepped up to indicate the potential of this opportunity.\nNick Steinberger, for example, has also joined ReconAfrica’s team as their Senior Vice President, Drilling, and Operations.\nAfter spending over 30 years helping to lead an oil and gas company that was sold for a reported $3.1 billion, he could have gone wherever he liked in the industry.\nSo to have someone of his caliber on the team speaks volumes about how confident many are in the future of their drilling program.  The entire management team are also reported to be shareholders.\nSteinberger has observed several similarities between the Kavango and the Permian basin, noting, “It’s the same setting, the same geological time frame, and looks like the same type of thickness.\n“The top of the Permian section of Kavango is expected to be 6,000-8,000 feet in depth, which is the same as the Permian in Texas.”\nHaywood Securities initiated coverage on RECO in November and has adjusted its price target three times since. They also participated in RECO’s C$25-million bought deal financing. See latest news release…the financing closed at $41+mm\nA discovery success, says Haywood, would present manifold opportunities for strategic joint ventures for further de-risking--without additional shareholder dilution. This play “has all the ingredients to establish the existence of a working hydrocarbon system (in a relatively short cycle time) and subsequently evaluate and exploit the potential of the Kavango Basin”, Haywood wrote in its most recent report.\nThat includes “a fully-funded three well program, nearly 100% working interest in acreage across a vast, relatively straightforward land access, an owned drilling rig, a committed and capable management and technical team, stable governments with attractive fiscal terms and proven commitment to responsible development” … among other things.\nEven without the recent positive first and second drill results showing indicators of a petroleum system, Haywood sees material upside as Kavango is further de-risked and have recently moved their short term price target up to $16.00 CAD.\nIn a further boost of confidence, Wood Mackenzie compared RECO’s Kavango basin to the Midland Basin in Texas which has a development value of $540 billion.\nMore News Could Be Just Days or Weeks Away\nRECO’s second announcement that it encountered indicators of oil and gas in the second drill (6-1) was only in the shallower section…\nThere’s more to come.\nDrill no. 2 is expected to be completed by the end of this month …\nAnd the preliminary analysis of all results from the wells 6-1 and 6-2 are anticipated at the end of July.\nFrom the first well (6-2) over 150 sidewall cores have been taken to Core Labs in Houston and 37 sidewall cores are on their way there as well from the shallower section of the 6-1 well.\nThen we’ve got drill three and possibly four which is expected this year, too.\nAnd that’s just in the near term. Further out, the news flow could get even more exciting because this is a huge basin. If a commercial discovery is established in the future, we may be looking at a juicy potential JV deal that could be the biggest reward for investors.\nIn the meantime, while they’re hoping for great success by turning Kavango into the last major onshore oil play in the world, they’re not forgetting Namibia, and they’re committed to ensuring that the people of Namibia don’t become victims of yet another African “resource curse”.\nReconAfrica isn’t operating in a vacuum here. They seem fully aware of what this could mean to the people of Namibia.\nFor starters, RECO’s founder Craig Steinke says the carbonates they found so far “look like carbonate rocks seen in northern Africa where basically conventional completion methods will make them productive. No fracking.”\nAnd for Namibia, a huge, conventional oil play could be “transformational”, particularly for the 250,000 people in the Kavango region, 40% of whom live in generational poverty.\n“This will provide the local citizens with good-paying jobs, upwardly mobile jobs, that will help pull them out of poverty, provide access to fresh water and basic medical services,” Steinke says. RECO reports it is already employing 200 people in the area.\nWater is also a major problem that RECO recognized from the start.\n“One of the glaring problems in the region is the local population don’t have the wherewithal to drill water wells but there is a freshwater aquifer right under their feet. They have to walk up to 10 km per day with 45 lbs of water on their heads,” Steinke says.\nAnd to that end, RECO has committed a minimum of C$10 million for ESG expenditures in Namibia.\nAs soon as RECO’s rig hit the ground in Kavango, the company reported it set up shop with the local authorities to drill water wells. They’ve announced drilling of four water wells so far and are permitting sixteen more.\nThe Final Word\n\nRECO scooped up licenses for an 8.5-million-acre play the size of Belgium in the Kavango Basin before supermajors had a chance to blink.\nThen they started drilling water wells for the local communities, and have committed to allocating millions to ESG performance standards.\nThey’ve got veteran geologists on their team. One says, “nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that does not produce commercial quantities of hydrocarbons.” The other estimates the basin could have generated billions of barrels of oil and gas.\nWood Mackenzie compares it to the Midland Basin which has a development value of $540-billion.\nMarket value is already up 377% year-to-date, with potential to increase if results keep coming in as they have been, and short sellers may have a hard time covering.\nRECO has encountered oil and gas indicators in its first 2 drills so far, and they aren’t even done with the second of three.\nThey appear well-funded for this 3-drill campaign, and beyond. After the three-well program and 2D seismic, they estimate they’ll have over $50 million remaining in the treasury.\nMore news looks set to come at the end of this month when RECO is expected to complete its second drill, and then again in July when lab analysis is anticipated back …\n\nOther companies looking to capitalize on an increase in oil prices:\nConocoPhillips Company (NYSE:COP) as the largest pure upstream company, has performed relatively well in this depressed market, generating ample free cash flow and returning a good chunk of it to shareholders.  Unlike many of its peers who continued to expand aggressively during the shale boom, COP has taken several steps to lower costs and fortify its balance sheet.\nLike many of its peers, ConocoPhillips has been gradually offloading non-core assets, including the sale of its North Sea oil and gas assets for $2.7 billion and the planned sale of its Australian assets for $1.4B. Its asset portfolio, however, remains healthy.\nThanks to a global recovery in demand, Conoco has seen an increasingly bullish look on the industry, and it was one of the few companies which did not partake in the mass-layoffs seen in the industry last year. In addition, Conoco has also seen a fairly decent about of insiders buying into its stock, which is a good sign.\nPetrobras (NYSE:PBR) is focused on developing its pre-salt operations. And it’s easy to see why. Those upstream projects being approved for development must have a breakeven price of $35 per Brent or less. Brazil’s national oil company has budgeted capital spending for exploration and production activities of $46.5 billion from 2021 to 2025.\nClearly, while the pandemic has hit Brazil’s oil industry causing production to fall because of savage budget cuts and well shut-ins, it appears to have done no material long-term damage.  Demand for Petrobras’ low sulfur content fuel is firm and will grow because of the global push to significantly reduce emissions, which will ultimately make Petrobras even more valuable over time.\nPetrobras remains one of the most underrated oil majors in the world. It’s got desirable crude oil, a massive footprint in its domestic industry, and a growing amount of interest from investors. It’s also bouncing off of low share prices like the rest of the industry, indicating there could be some upside left.\nChevron (NYSE:CVX) is a leader in the industry, and the second-largest oil company on the  New York Stock Exchange. Chevron is also betting big on Africa, particularly Nigeria and Angola. The supermajor ranks among the top oil producers in the two African nations. Other areas on the continent where the company holds interests include Benin, Ghana, the Republic of Congo and Togo. Chevron also holds a 36.7 percent interest in the West African Gas Pipeline Company Limited, which supplies Nigerian natural gas to customers in the region. With bets on both oil and natural gas, the company is looking to take advantage of both fossil fuels. Though prices are still depressed at the moment, as fuel demand returns to normal, Chevron could be a big winner as prices climb back up to pre-pandemic levels.\nWhile Chevron still has not fully recovered from the massive hit it took back in March 2020, where it dropped to a 5-year low of just $59, the oil giant has made some progress thanks to recovering oil prices. Sitting at $104 at the time of writing, Chevron is slowly recuperating some of its losses and is positioned well to benefit in the mid to long term\nRoyal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A) is the third largest NYSE-listed company, coming in just under Chevron. And similar to Chevron, Shell has also made some big bets in Africa. In fact, it is one of the leaders in the region. The Dutch oil giant began drilling in the region over 70 years ago and now has energy assets in over 20 countries across the continent. Though it has sold off a number of its prized plays in the region in recent years, it continues to maintain a strong presence, especially in South Africa.\nAfrica, in particular South Africa is key for Shell because the government has been significantly more stable than some of the other big bets on the continent. Moreover, the country has been very open to Shell in its projects. The company’s operations in South Africa include retail and commercial fuel, lubricant, chemical, and manufacturing. It’s also heavily invested in upstream exploration. It even holds the exploration rights to the Orange Basin Deep Water area, off the country’s west coast, and has applications for shale gas exploration rights in the Karoo, in central South Africa.\nKinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI), a major North American pipeline operator , has been particularly upbeat in recent months. In fact, in early December, it issued optimistic updates, planning higher dividends and expecting more profits in 2021, after the challenges the oil industry has faced last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the wider market crash. Kinder Morgan also expects to raise its dividend for 2021 by 3 percent compared to this year.\nKinder Morgan Inc's chief executive officer Steve Kean noted, \"With budgeted excess coverage of that dividend, we expect also to be able to engage in share repurchases on an opportunistic basis.”\nKinder Morgan is a must-watch in the industry. With dividends on the rise, oil prices increasing, and bullish sentiment returning to the oil industry, there could be some significant upside left for this pipeline operator, especially as oil begins flowing at pre-pandemic levels.\nCanadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ; TSX:CNQ) has been able to do what many of its Canadian counterparts haven’t been able to, keep its dividend intact after swinging to a loss for the first half of the COVID pandemic, while Canada's producers are scaling back production by around 1 million bpd amid low oil prices and demand. Though Canadian Natural Resources kept its dividend, it withdrew its production guidance for 2020, however. It also said it would curtail some production at high-cost conventional projects in North America and oil sands operations and carry out planned turnaround activities at oil sands projects in the second half of 2020.\nThough there is a lot of negative press surrounding Canada’s oil sands, the industry is starting to clean up its act a bit. And Canadian Natural Resources is leading the charge. And if analysts are right about Canada’s comeback, Canadian Natural Resources could be in for a big year.\nThough the Canadian energy giant has seen its stock price slump this year, it could provide a potential opportunity for investors as oil prices rebound. It is already up over 170% from its March 2020 lows, but it is just getting started. If oil prices continue to climb, it could be huge news for investors that held on.\nEnbridge (NYSE:ENB, TSX:ENB) is a giant in Canada’s oil industry, and it is in a great position as oil and gas stages its 2021 comeback. As one of the more potentially undervalued companies in the sector, it could be set to win big this year. But that’s only if it can overcome some of the challenges in its path. Most specifically, its Line 3 project has faced scrutiny from environmentalists.\nThe massive multi-billion project plans to replace Enbridge's existing 282 miles of 34-inch pipeline with 337 miles of 36-inch pipe. The new Line 3 would have the capacity to move 370,000 barrels of oil per day, alleviating the takeaway capacity constraints that Canadian oil producers have been struggling with for years now. Line 3 is one of two pipeline projects in the works that are—in their unfinished state—keeping Canada's oil industry from reaching its potential.\nThough this challenge seem prove difficult for Enbridge to overcome, the overall health of the Canadian oil industry is improving, and with it, the outlook for Canadian producers such as Enbridge. Enbridge started the year off with a bang, and if oil prices continue the upward trajectory they’ve seen over the past few months, the Canadian giant could see some upside still.\nTC Energy Corporation (NYSE:TRP, TSX:TRP) is a Calgary-based energy giant. The company owns and operates energy infrastructure throughout North America. TC Energy is one of the continent’s largest providers of gas storage and owns and has interests in approximately 11,800 megawatts of power generation. It’s also one of the continent’s most important pipeline operators. With TC Energy’s massive influence throughout North America, it is no wonder that the company is among one of Canada’s strongest and well-known companies.\nLike a number of its peers, one of TC Energy’s biggest challenges in recent years was grappling with the particularly difficult approval process for its Keystone Pipeline. But that’s all history now, and with the bounce back in oil and gas demand, TC Energy could stand to benefit. While TC Energy’s stock price has yet to recover from pre-pandemic levels, it is one of the few industry giants which has managed to keep high dividends rolling in. With quarterly payouts exceeding 6%, TC has remained appealing for investors in the industry.\nSuncor Energy (TSX:SU) is another giant in Canada’s industry. It has set itself apart from some of its peers through a number of high-tech solutions for finding, pumping, storing, and delivering its resources. Not only is it big in the oil sector, but it is also a leader in renewable energy. Recently, the company invested $300 million in a wind farm located in Alberta, showing that it is committed to reducing its carbon footprint.\nNow that oil prices are finally recovering, giants like Suncor looking to capitalize. While many of the oil majors have given up on oil sands production – those who focus on technological advancements in the area have a great long-term outlook. And that upside is further amplified by the fact that it is currently looking particularly under-valued compared to its peers, especially as lithium, which is present in Canada’s oil sands, becomes an even more desirable commodity.\nCNOOC Limited (TSX:CNU) is one of the world’s most interesting oil and gas companies. It is China’s most significant producer of offshore crude oil and natural gas, and may well be one of the most controversial oil stocks for investors on the market. A label that has nothing to do with its operations, however.\nThe relationship between the United States and China has admittedly been better, and if things were to take a turn for the worst, it could have a major impact on global natural gas, given that CNOOC is China's largest importer of LNG. But the Biden administration has been working to improve relations and as such, Chinese companies, including CNOOC, are likely to breathe freely once again, and it be great news for investors in Chinese stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127227796,"gmtCreate":1624852282415,"gmtModify":1703846230350,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127227796","repostId":"2146883790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146883790","pubTimestamp":1624850100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146883790?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China Tourism aims for $7 billion Hong Kong listing - sources","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146883790","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hon","content":"<p>HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hong Kong secondary listing, two people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.</p>\n<p>The people declined to be identified as the information is not yet public.</p>\n<p>The Shanghai-listed company did not respond to a request for comment on the size of the deal.</p>\n<p>The firm has lodged a filing for the listing with Hong Kong's stock exchange. At $7 billion, it would be the city's largest listing in nearly two years.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Tourism aims for $7 billion Hong Kong listing - sources</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Tourism aims for $7 billion Hong Kong listing - sources\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 11:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609188><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hong Kong secondary listing, two people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.\nThe people ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609188\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"601888":"中国中免"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609188","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146883790","content_text":"HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hong Kong secondary listing, two people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.\nThe people declined to be identified as the information is not yet public.\nThe Shanghai-listed company did not respond to a request for comment on the size of the deal.\nThe firm has lodged a filing for the listing with Hong Kong's stock exchange. At $7 billion, it would be the city's largest listing in nearly two years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122924920,"gmtCreate":1624594238460,"gmtModify":1703841277666,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122924920","repostId":"1104882070","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104882070","pubTimestamp":1624589020,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104882070?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-25 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FedEx is falling despite beating earnings expectations; UPS drops too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104882070","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after FQ4 revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidanc","content":"<ul>\n <li>FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after&nbsp;FQ4&nbsp;revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidance for capital spending of $7.2B this year by the company may be the key pullout of the report.</li>\n <li>Operating income rose 9% Y/Y to $1.97B during the quarter on an adjusted basis and the company reported an operating margin rate of 8.7% vs. 5.2% a year ago and 8.9% consensus. Improved network optimization and asset utilization enabled profit growth even with volume at a record.</li>\n <li>FedEx Ground reported revenue growth of 27% for the quarter. The revenue increase was primarily driven by strong growth in business-to-business shipments and a 14% rise in revenue per package.</li>\n <li>Looking ahead, FedEx sees EPS of $20.50 to $21.50 for the full year vs $20.48 consensus. The profit guidance is before MTM retirement plan accounting adjustments and excludes estimated TNT Express integration expenses and costs associated with business realignment activities. \"We expect continued strong momentum in fiscal 2022, and our investments are focused on the areas of greatest growth and highest returns, like e-commerce, to position us for sustained long-term growth in earnings, cash flows, and returns,\" says CFO Michael Lenz.</li>\n <li>Shares of FedEx aredown 4.04%AH to $291.50.UPSis&nbsp;down 2.25%.</li>\n <li>The FedEx conference call is likely to delve into thenetwork congestion issues the company has seen over the last few weeks.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FedEx is falling despite beating earnings expectations; UPS drops too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFedEx is falling despite beating earnings expectations; UPS drops too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 10:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709888-fedex-lower-after-earnings-beat-isnt-decisive-enough-ups-falls-too><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after FQ4 revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidance for capital spending of $7.2B this year by the company may be the key pullout of the report.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709888-fedex-lower-after-earnings-beat-isnt-decisive-enough-ups-falls-too\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPS":"联合包裹","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709888-fedex-lower-after-earnings-beat-isnt-decisive-enough-ups-falls-too","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104882070","content_text":"FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after FQ4 revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidance for capital spending of $7.2B this year by the company may be the key pullout of the report.\nOperating income rose 9% Y/Y to $1.97B during the quarter on an adjusted basis and the company reported an operating margin rate of 8.7% vs. 5.2% a year ago and 8.9% consensus. Improved network optimization and asset utilization enabled profit growth even with volume at a record.\nFedEx Ground reported revenue growth of 27% for the quarter. The revenue increase was primarily driven by strong growth in business-to-business shipments and a 14% rise in revenue per package.\nLooking ahead, FedEx sees EPS of $20.50 to $21.50 for the full year vs $20.48 consensus. The profit guidance is before MTM retirement plan accounting adjustments and excludes estimated TNT Express integration expenses and costs associated with business realignment activities. \"We expect continued strong momentum in fiscal 2022, and our investments are focused on the areas of greatest growth and highest returns, like e-commerce, to position us for sustained long-term growth in earnings, cash flows, and returns,\" says CFO Michael Lenz.\nShares of FedEx aredown 4.04%AH to $291.50.UPSis down 2.25%.\nThe FedEx conference call is likely to delve into thenetwork congestion issues the company has seen over the last few weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122926319,"gmtCreate":1624594037831,"gmtModify":1703841273460,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good","listText":"Good good","text":"Good good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122926319","repostId":"1137689091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137689091","pubTimestamp":1624592986,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137689091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-25 11:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cramer: Buying Opportunities in Russell Rebalancing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137689091","media":"thestreet","summary":"With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.Cramer made that point about the $9 trillion index and its “moving day” implications – and more on a recentMad Moneyshow.That means there are still a lot of bargains to be had, especially on Friday, when the Russell 2000 index will rebalance, creating lots of opportunities. It will be a chance to buy some great compani","content":"<p>With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.</p>\n<p>Cramer made that point about the $9 trillion index and its “moving day” implications – and more on a recentMad Moneyshow.</p>\n<p>“The artificial forces that drove the market lower seem to have disappeared,” he said. Traders have all but forgotten about inflation and the Fed, meaning there’s more fuel for stock to rally.</p>\n<p>What's changed? The attitude of the buyers, Cramer said. Traders loathed the Fed's comments on inflation, but now they've come to terms with the fact that even with a little inflation, things are still looking pretty good for our economy.</p>\n<p>That means there are still a lot of bargains to be had, especially on Friday, when the Russell 2000 index will rebalance, creating lots of opportunities. It will be a chance to buy some great companies, like UPS&nbsp;(<b>UPS</b>) -Get Report, which reported strong earnings.</p>\n<p>Cramer also said the rebalancing may affect meme stocks. He has a bit of important advice for anyone who is short those equities:</p>\n<p>Investors are \"beginning to see signs of what could be an important rebalancing on Friday. We’ve got to focus on that.”</p>\n<p>He said he thinks “there are a lot of meme stocks that have been inflated since the last time we had a Russell rebalancing. And that means you want to go very lightly if you're short a stock like Clover Health Investments&nbsp;(<b>CLOV</b>) -Get Report, 34% shorted.”</p>\n<p>\"The meme stocks tend not to care about the actual fundamentals as much as they care about busting the shorts,\" Cramer said.</p>\n<p>In a special report from CME Group, Payal Shaw writes: The Russell 2000 reconstitutes its equity market indices every June, due primarily to the ever-shifting market tides that could throw the index out of whack if left unattended. Consequently, the Russell must recast to properly reflect those changes and to comply with its own public and transparent rules methodology.</p>\n<p>Why is the rebalancing so important to investors?</p>\n<p>The recast could lead to new opportunities reflecting shifts in market prices and volatility. The annual reconstitution is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual company names or industry sectors. The final day of the reconstitution has typically been one of the highest trading volume days of the year in U.S. equity markets.</p>\n<p>Friday, investors can capitalize on companies moving in and out of the Russell 2000 after rebalancing by buying the former and selling the latter.</p>\n<p>The annual reconstitution requires thoughtful and well-executed risk management on the part of investors. It is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual companies or industry sectors.</p>\n<p>Investors thinking about rebalancing their index exposures could involve buying all index additions and selling all index deletions, while carefully weighing the trade-offs between tracking error and minimization of price impacts and trading costs. Although reconstitution poses a risk of performance slippage and index tracking error, it also can present opportunities for investors seeking to benefit from share price moves that arise from reconstitution.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cramer: Buying Opportunities in Russell Rebalancing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCramer: Buying Opportunities in Russell Rebalancing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 11:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramer-buying-opportunities-in-russell-rebalancing><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.\nCramer made that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramer-buying-opportunities-in-russell-rebalancing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramer-buying-opportunities-in-russell-rebalancing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137689091","content_text":"With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.\nCramer made that point about the $9 trillion index and its “moving day” implications – and more on a recentMad Moneyshow.\n“The artificial forces that drove the market lower seem to have disappeared,” he said. Traders have all but forgotten about inflation and the Fed, meaning there’s more fuel for stock to rally.\nWhat's changed? The attitude of the buyers, Cramer said. Traders loathed the Fed's comments on inflation, but now they've come to terms with the fact that even with a little inflation, things are still looking pretty good for our economy.\nThat means there are still a lot of bargains to be had, especially on Friday, when the Russell 2000 index will rebalance, creating lots of opportunities. It will be a chance to buy some great companies, like UPS (UPS) -Get Report, which reported strong earnings.\nCramer also said the rebalancing may affect meme stocks. He has a bit of important advice for anyone who is short those equities:\nInvestors are \"beginning to see signs of what could be an important rebalancing on Friday. We’ve got to focus on that.”\nHe said he thinks “there are a lot of meme stocks that have been inflated since the last time we had a Russell rebalancing. And that means you want to go very lightly if you're short a stock like Clover Health Investments (CLOV) -Get Report, 34% shorted.”\n\"The meme stocks tend not to care about the actual fundamentals as much as they care about busting the shorts,\" Cramer said.\nIn a special report from CME Group, Payal Shaw writes: The Russell 2000 reconstitutes its equity market indices every June, due primarily to the ever-shifting market tides that could throw the index out of whack if left unattended. Consequently, the Russell must recast to properly reflect those changes and to comply with its own public and transparent rules methodology.\nWhy is the rebalancing so important to investors?\nThe recast could lead to new opportunities reflecting shifts in market prices and volatility. The annual reconstitution is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual company names or industry sectors. The final day of the reconstitution has typically been one of the highest trading volume days of the year in U.S. equity markets.\nFriday, investors can capitalize on companies moving in and out of the Russell 2000 after rebalancing by buying the former and selling the latter.\nThe annual reconstitution requires thoughtful and well-executed risk management on the part of investors. It is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual companies or industry sectors.\nInvestors thinking about rebalancing their index exposures could involve buying all index additions and selling all index deletions, while carefully weighing the trade-offs between tracking error and minimization of price impacts and trading costs. Although reconstitution poses a risk of performance slippage and index tracking error, it also can present opportunities for investors seeking to benefit from share price moves that arise from reconstitution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184746546,"gmtCreate":1623727261285,"gmtModify":1704209730017,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join Tiger's 'Win Stock Vouchers by Collecting Letters to Form the Word TIGER'","listText":"Join Tiger's 'Win Stock Vouchers by Collecting Letters to Form the Word TIGER'","text":"Join Tiger's 'Win Stock Vouchers by Collecting Letters to Form the Word TIGER'","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184746546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184743274,"gmtCreate":1623727100598,"gmtModify":1704209726264,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184743274","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164323104","pubTimestamp":1623726988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164323104?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 11:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164323104","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.</li>\n <li>Structured Lookback is introduced.</li>\n <li>Tails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.</li>\n <li>The concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.</li>\n <li>CO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1271b2416859ceba7776d3cb65f490c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>phongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Kill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.</p>\n<p>Ark Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after&nbsp;Trading Edge&nbsp;was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.</p>\n<p>Another reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.</p>\n<p>Some commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with&nbsp;ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.</p>\n<p><b>Tail Gunning</b></p>\n<p><b>Tail</b>&nbsp;is a statistical term related to&nbsp;<b>data distribution</b>. When data points are plotted, a&nbsp;<b>bell shaped curve</b>&nbsp;forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce a<b>normal distribution</b>, stock returns do not.</p>\n<p>This implies that&nbsp;<b>probabilities</b>&nbsp;based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate&nbsp;<b>risk</b>.</p>\n<p>In this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term&nbsp;<b>tail gunning</b>. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.</p>\n<p>ARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.</p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Data Manipulation</b></p>\n<p>Modern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.</p>\n<p>The revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.</p>\n<p>A trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.</p>\n<p>Major weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time</li>\n <li>High dimensionality</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Volatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.</p>\n<p>In this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.</p>\n<p><b>Price History Data</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d90c98591d40fa964b5d072099898d37\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.</p>\n<p>Looking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.</p>\n<p>A mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.</p>\n<p>Databases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.</p>\n<p>It is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.</p>\n<p><b>Data Transformation - Natural Log Returns</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2b70f7a667237e2fde7818ec22248f\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.</p>\n<p>The human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.</p>\n<p>Natural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.</p>\n<p>The simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.</p>\n<p>Using 3/16 in the table above as an example:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>CC</b>(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.</li>\n <li><b>CO</b>(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.</li>\n <li><b>OC</b>(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.</p>\n<p>I specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>If bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1</li>\n <li>If bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0</li>\n <li>otherwise, you have to check bCC.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Probably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.</p>\n<p><b>1,400-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a9152d4c32880ea9b67cfcfba92a528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/816a4f84749432ed63cad49e9629fea1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>CC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400</b></p>\n<p><b>$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400</b></p>\n<p>In my&nbsp;Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC Imbalance</b></p>\n<p>The CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.</p>\n<p>Trading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.</p>\n<p><b>Structured Lookback Design</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3619120948d5766322b4336d698d190f\" tg-width=\"428\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my&nbsp;Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.</p>\n<p>The day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.</p>\n<p>Every total time frame of&nbsp;<b>n days</b>, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>x[1] = 200</li>\n <li>x[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400</li>\n <li>x[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800</li>\n <li>x[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Another time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.</p>\n<p><b>xSig logic.</b>There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>8 = xx1400</li>\n <li>4 = xx200</li>\n <li>2 = xx400</li>\n <li>1 = xx800</li>\n</ul>\n<p>xFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>First/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Second/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Third/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Win Rate</b></p>\n<p>This is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.</p>\n<p><b>400-Day Segment Detail</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7299f454e25cd1b7c76e9270ba0d7555\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.</p>\n<p><b>ARKG</b></p>\n<p>ARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.</p>\n<p><b>Performance Graphs</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62164faed041f049e43de95eae97d7f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Sam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Ronin</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>I can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.</p>\n<p>After detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.</p>\n<p>I was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.</p>\n<p><b>Finding Biotech Tail</b></p>\n<p>Virtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.</p>\n<p>Biotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.</p>\n<p>Biotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.</p>\n<p>81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:</p>\n<p><b>Top Biotech CC</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d841bf3f146ef20a3b33e5907560506f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top BioTech CO</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d42024dd22967d2389f0bff6f5051b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top Biotech OC and Median</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d670bb51438ece3d1e0ea1af330418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>These are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC or Standard Deviation</b></p>\n<p>The tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.</p>\n<p>Standard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.</p>\n<p><b>Recent Action</b></p>\n<p>CO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.</p>\n<p><b>252-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d0b19158fd2c03a403a0b4e050337e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.</p>\n<p>xSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d55c932d2bf44bdbc6453973b0deca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8545852036c8982dbfe9b43f7a5cbadb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Win rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8a78565860d28888443a05446a954fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05104399c4fdd23a584cf50f2b0c17f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae737de17a78652910a1d3026bcb38c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149ae96de3fe3e9bae8c62f9d00080d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dcc46d54a59d3ac1078bb04cdefaac4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.</p>\n<p>The plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.</p>\n<p>Is The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?</p>\n<p>252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.</p>\n<p>With<b>Gematria</b>, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to the<b>TzadikimNistarim</b>, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.</p>\n<p>Somehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity and Sequentiality</p>\n<blockquote>\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The Bourne Legacy</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Earlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c17ed7424c6e637ad896c0fbaed4baf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.</p>\n<p>XBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.</p>\n<p>Buy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca6dcb7e38682509246a811e20b4b50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The Specter Clock</p>\n<p>CCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.</p>\n<p>This happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.</p>\n<p><b>CCp1</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c139fe7edf8287f22fb4902d489ee01\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">CC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.</p>\n<p>These might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.</p>\n<p>SPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e4b10f70d9011fe586ed6d10f3dff28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fd6dcb993413dabcf4039ed0937c37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.</p>\n<p><b>COn0</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1da4b68139194cb3c20cbdddbfcddd5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14ca38d49389a36c6f2b1c69036409fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.</p>\n<p>Essentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.</p>\n<p>I doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 11:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKO":"ARKO Corp","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF","ARKR":"Ark Restaurants Corp","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164323104","content_text":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.\nCO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.\n\nphongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images\nThe Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active\n\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n\n\nKill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei\n\nThere is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.\nArk Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after Trading Edge was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.\nAnother reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.\nSome commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.\nTail Gunning\nTail is a statistical term related to data distribution. When data points are plotted, a bell shaped curve forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce anormal distribution, stock returns do not.\nThis implies that probabilities based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate risk.\nIn this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term tail gunning. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.\nARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.\nThe Legend of Data Manipulation\nModern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.\nThe revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.\nA trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.\nMajor weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:\n\nTime\nHigh dimensionality\n\nVolatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.\nIn this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.\nPrice History Data\n\nThe analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.\nLooking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.\nA mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.\nDatabases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.\nIt is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.\nData Transformation - Natural Log Returns\n\nThe per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.\nThe human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.\nNatural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.\nThe simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.\nUsing 3/16 in the table above as an example:\n\nCC(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.\nCO(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.\nOC(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.\n\nThe bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.\nI specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:\n\nIf bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1\nIf bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0\notherwise, you have to check bCC.\n\nProbably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.\n1,400-Day Structured Lookback\nCC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400\n$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400\nIn my Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.\nCO/OC Imbalance\nThe CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.\nTrading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.\nStructured Lookback Design\n\nI introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.\nThe day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.\nEvery total time frame of n days, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:\n\nx[1] = 200\nx[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400\nx[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800\nx[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400\n\nAnother time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.\nxSig logic.There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:\n\n8 = xx1400\n4 = xx200\n2 = xx400\n1 = xx800\n\nxFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:\n\nFirst/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.\nSecond/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.\nThird/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.\n\nWin Rate\nThis is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.\n400-Day Segment Detail\n\nThe 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.\nARKG\nARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.\nPerformance Graphs\n\nSam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n\n\nRonin\n\nI can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.\nAfter detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.\nI was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.\nFinding Biotech Tail\nVirtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.\nBiotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.\nBiotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.\n81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:\nTop Biotech CCTop BioTech COTop Biotech OC and Median\n\nThese are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.\nCO/OC or Standard Deviation\nThe tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.\nStandard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.\nRecent Action\nCO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.\n252-Day Structured Lookback\n\nI'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.\nxSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.\n\nI guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.\n\nWin rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.\n\nThe ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.\n\nThe black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.\n\nThe 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.\n\n\nThe recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.\nThe plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.\nIs The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?\n252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.\nWithGematria, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to theTzadikimNistarim, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.\nSomehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.\nSimultaneity and Sequentiality\n\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n\n\nThe Bourne Legacy\n\nEarlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.\n\nThe ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.\nXBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.\nBuy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1The Specter Clock\nCCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.\nThis happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.\nCCp1\nCC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.\nThese might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.\nSPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0\n\nThis is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.\nSimultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.\nThere definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.\nCOn0\nThis shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.\n\nThe 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.\nEssentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.\nI doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":122926319,"gmtCreate":1624594037831,"gmtModify":1703841273460,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good","listText":"Good good","text":"Good good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122926319","repostId":"1137689091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137689091","pubTimestamp":1624592986,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137689091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-25 11:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cramer: Buying Opportunities in Russell Rebalancing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137689091","media":"thestreet","summary":"With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.Cramer made that point about the $9 trillion index and its “moving day” implications – and more on a recentMad Moneyshow.That means there are still a lot of bargains to be had, especially on Friday, when the Russell 2000 index will rebalance, creating lots of opportunities. It will be a chance to buy some great compani","content":"<p>With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.</p>\n<p>Cramer made that point about the $9 trillion index and its “moving day” implications – and more on a recentMad Moneyshow.</p>\n<p>“The artificial forces that drove the market lower seem to have disappeared,” he said. Traders have all but forgotten about inflation and the Fed, meaning there’s more fuel for stock to rally.</p>\n<p>What's changed? The attitude of the buyers, Cramer said. Traders loathed the Fed's comments on inflation, but now they've come to terms with the fact that even with a little inflation, things are still looking pretty good for our economy.</p>\n<p>That means there are still a lot of bargains to be had, especially on Friday, when the Russell 2000 index will rebalance, creating lots of opportunities. It will be a chance to buy some great companies, like UPS&nbsp;(<b>UPS</b>) -Get Report, which reported strong earnings.</p>\n<p>Cramer also said the rebalancing may affect meme stocks. He has a bit of important advice for anyone who is short those equities:</p>\n<p>Investors are \"beginning to see signs of what could be an important rebalancing on Friday. We’ve got to focus on that.”</p>\n<p>He said he thinks “there are a lot of meme stocks that have been inflated since the last time we had a Russell rebalancing. And that means you want to go very lightly if you're short a stock like Clover Health Investments&nbsp;(<b>CLOV</b>) -Get Report, 34% shorted.”</p>\n<p>\"The meme stocks tend not to care about the actual fundamentals as much as they care about busting the shorts,\" Cramer said.</p>\n<p>In a special report from CME Group, Payal Shaw writes: The Russell 2000 reconstitutes its equity market indices every June, due primarily to the ever-shifting market tides that could throw the index out of whack if left unattended. Consequently, the Russell must recast to properly reflect those changes and to comply with its own public and transparent rules methodology.</p>\n<p>Why is the rebalancing so important to investors?</p>\n<p>The recast could lead to new opportunities reflecting shifts in market prices and volatility. The annual reconstitution is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual company names or industry sectors. The final day of the reconstitution has typically been one of the highest trading volume days of the year in U.S. equity markets.</p>\n<p>Friday, investors can capitalize on companies moving in and out of the Russell 2000 after rebalancing by buying the former and selling the latter.</p>\n<p>The annual reconstitution requires thoughtful and well-executed risk management on the part of investors. It is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual companies or industry sectors.</p>\n<p>Investors thinking about rebalancing their index exposures could involve buying all index additions and selling all index deletions, while carefully weighing the trade-offs between tracking error and minimization of price impacts and trading costs. Although reconstitution poses a risk of performance slippage and index tracking error, it also can present opportunities for investors seeking to benefit from share price moves that arise from reconstitution.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cramer: Buying Opportunities in Russell Rebalancing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCramer: Buying Opportunities in Russell Rebalancing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 11:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramer-buying-opportunities-in-russell-rebalancing><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.\nCramer made that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramer-buying-opportunities-in-russell-rebalancing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramer-buying-opportunities-in-russell-rebalancing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137689091","content_text":"With inflation jitters fading and market volatility receding recently, all eyes turn to the Russell 2000 Index rebalancing Friday. Where some see risk, Jim Cramer sees opportunity.\nCramer made that point about the $9 trillion index and its “moving day” implications – and more on a recentMad Moneyshow.\n“The artificial forces that drove the market lower seem to have disappeared,” he said. Traders have all but forgotten about inflation and the Fed, meaning there’s more fuel for stock to rally.\nWhat's changed? The attitude of the buyers, Cramer said. Traders loathed the Fed's comments on inflation, but now they've come to terms with the fact that even with a little inflation, things are still looking pretty good for our economy.\nThat means there are still a lot of bargains to be had, especially on Friday, when the Russell 2000 index will rebalance, creating lots of opportunities. It will be a chance to buy some great companies, like UPS (UPS) -Get Report, which reported strong earnings.\nCramer also said the rebalancing may affect meme stocks. He has a bit of important advice for anyone who is short those equities:\nInvestors are \"beginning to see signs of what could be an important rebalancing on Friday. We’ve got to focus on that.”\nHe said he thinks “there are a lot of meme stocks that have been inflated since the last time we had a Russell rebalancing. And that means you want to go very lightly if you're short a stock like Clover Health Investments (CLOV) -Get Report, 34% shorted.”\n\"The meme stocks tend not to care about the actual fundamentals as much as they care about busting the shorts,\" Cramer said.\nIn a special report from CME Group, Payal Shaw writes: The Russell 2000 reconstitutes its equity market indices every June, due primarily to the ever-shifting market tides that could throw the index out of whack if left unattended. Consequently, the Russell must recast to properly reflect those changes and to comply with its own public and transparent rules methodology.\nWhy is the rebalancing so important to investors?\nThe recast could lead to new opportunities reflecting shifts in market prices and volatility. The annual reconstitution is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual company names or industry sectors. The final day of the reconstitution has typically been one of the highest trading volume days of the year in U.S. equity markets.\nFriday, investors can capitalize on companies moving in and out of the Russell 2000 after rebalancing by buying the former and selling the latter.\nThe annual reconstitution requires thoughtful and well-executed risk management on the part of investors. It is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for U.S. equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual companies or industry sectors.\nInvestors thinking about rebalancing their index exposures could involve buying all index additions and selling all index deletions, while carefully weighing the trade-offs between tracking error and minimization of price impacts and trading costs. Although reconstitution poses a risk of performance slippage and index tracking error, it also can present opportunities for investors seeking to benefit from share price moves that arise from reconstitution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127227796,"gmtCreate":1624852282415,"gmtModify":1703846230350,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127227796","repostId":"2146883790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146883790","pubTimestamp":1624850100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146883790?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China Tourism aims for $7 billion Hong Kong listing - sources","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146883790","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hon","content":"<p>HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hong Kong secondary listing, two people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.</p>\n<p>The people declined to be identified as the information is not yet public.</p>\n<p>The Shanghai-listed company did not respond to a request for comment on the size of the deal.</p>\n<p>The firm has lodged a filing for the listing with Hong Kong's stock exchange. At $7 billion, it would be the city's largest listing in nearly two years.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Tourism aims for $7 billion Hong Kong listing - sources</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Tourism aims for $7 billion Hong Kong listing - sources\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 11:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609188><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hong Kong secondary listing, two people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.\nThe people ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609188\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"601888":"中国中免"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609188","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146883790","content_text":"HONG KONG (Reuters) - China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd aims to raise up to $7 billion in a Hong Kong secondary listing, two people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.\nThe people declined to be identified as the information is not yet public.\nThe Shanghai-listed company did not respond to a request for comment on the size of the deal.\nThe firm has lodged a filing for the listing with Hong Kong's stock exchange. At $7 billion, it would be the city's largest listing in nearly two years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184743274,"gmtCreate":1623727100598,"gmtModify":1704209726264,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184743274","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164323104","pubTimestamp":1623726988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164323104?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 11:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164323104","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.</li>\n <li>Structured Lookback is introduced.</li>\n <li>Tails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.</li>\n <li>The concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.</li>\n <li>CO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1271b2416859ceba7776d3cb65f490c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>phongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Kill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.</p>\n<p>Ark Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after&nbsp;Trading Edge&nbsp;was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.</p>\n<p>Another reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.</p>\n<p>Some commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with&nbsp;ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.</p>\n<p><b>Tail Gunning</b></p>\n<p><b>Tail</b>&nbsp;is a statistical term related to&nbsp;<b>data distribution</b>. When data points are plotted, a&nbsp;<b>bell shaped curve</b>&nbsp;forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce a<b>normal distribution</b>, stock returns do not.</p>\n<p>This implies that&nbsp;<b>probabilities</b>&nbsp;based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate&nbsp;<b>risk</b>.</p>\n<p>In this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term&nbsp;<b>tail gunning</b>. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.</p>\n<p>ARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.</p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Data Manipulation</b></p>\n<p>Modern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.</p>\n<p>The revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.</p>\n<p>A trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.</p>\n<p>Major weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time</li>\n <li>High dimensionality</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Volatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.</p>\n<p>In this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.</p>\n<p><b>Price History Data</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d90c98591d40fa964b5d072099898d37\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.</p>\n<p>Looking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.</p>\n<p>A mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.</p>\n<p>Databases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.</p>\n<p>It is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.</p>\n<p><b>Data Transformation - Natural Log Returns</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2b70f7a667237e2fde7818ec22248f\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.</p>\n<p>The human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.</p>\n<p>Natural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.</p>\n<p>The simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.</p>\n<p>Using 3/16 in the table above as an example:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>CC</b>(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.</li>\n <li><b>CO</b>(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.</li>\n <li><b>OC</b>(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.</p>\n<p>I specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>If bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1</li>\n <li>If bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0</li>\n <li>otherwise, you have to check bCC.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Probably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.</p>\n<p><b>1,400-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a9152d4c32880ea9b67cfcfba92a528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/816a4f84749432ed63cad49e9629fea1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>CC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400</b></p>\n<p><b>$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400</b></p>\n<p>In my&nbsp;Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC Imbalance</b></p>\n<p>The CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.</p>\n<p>Trading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.</p>\n<p><b>Structured Lookback Design</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3619120948d5766322b4336d698d190f\" tg-width=\"428\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my&nbsp;Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.</p>\n<p>The day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.</p>\n<p>Every total time frame of&nbsp;<b>n days</b>, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>x[1] = 200</li>\n <li>x[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400</li>\n <li>x[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800</li>\n <li>x[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Another time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.</p>\n<p><b>xSig logic.</b>There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>8 = xx1400</li>\n <li>4 = xx200</li>\n <li>2 = xx400</li>\n <li>1 = xx800</li>\n</ul>\n<p>xFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>First/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Second/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Third/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Win Rate</b></p>\n<p>This is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.</p>\n<p><b>400-Day Segment Detail</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7299f454e25cd1b7c76e9270ba0d7555\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.</p>\n<p><b>ARKG</b></p>\n<p>ARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.</p>\n<p><b>Performance Graphs</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62164faed041f049e43de95eae97d7f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Sam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Ronin</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>I can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.</p>\n<p>After detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.</p>\n<p>I was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.</p>\n<p><b>Finding Biotech Tail</b></p>\n<p>Virtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.</p>\n<p>Biotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.</p>\n<p>Biotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.</p>\n<p>81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:</p>\n<p><b>Top Biotech CC</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d841bf3f146ef20a3b33e5907560506f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top BioTech CO</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d42024dd22967d2389f0bff6f5051b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top Biotech OC and Median</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d670bb51438ece3d1e0ea1af330418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>These are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC or Standard Deviation</b></p>\n<p>The tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.</p>\n<p>Standard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.</p>\n<p><b>Recent Action</b></p>\n<p>CO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.</p>\n<p><b>252-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d0b19158fd2c03a403a0b4e050337e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.</p>\n<p>xSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d55c932d2bf44bdbc6453973b0deca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8545852036c8982dbfe9b43f7a5cbadb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Win rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8a78565860d28888443a05446a954fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05104399c4fdd23a584cf50f2b0c17f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae737de17a78652910a1d3026bcb38c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149ae96de3fe3e9bae8c62f9d00080d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dcc46d54a59d3ac1078bb04cdefaac4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.</p>\n<p>The plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.</p>\n<p>Is The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?</p>\n<p>252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.</p>\n<p>With<b>Gematria</b>, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to the<b>TzadikimNistarim</b>, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.</p>\n<p>Somehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity and Sequentiality</p>\n<blockquote>\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The Bourne Legacy</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Earlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c17ed7424c6e637ad896c0fbaed4baf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.</p>\n<p>XBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.</p>\n<p>Buy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca6dcb7e38682509246a811e20b4b50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The Specter Clock</p>\n<p>CCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.</p>\n<p>This happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.</p>\n<p><b>CCp1</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c139fe7edf8287f22fb4902d489ee01\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">CC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.</p>\n<p>These might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.</p>\n<p>SPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e4b10f70d9011fe586ed6d10f3dff28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fd6dcb993413dabcf4039ed0937c37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.</p>\n<p><b>COn0</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1da4b68139194cb3c20cbdddbfcddd5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14ca38d49389a36c6f2b1c69036409fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.</p>\n<p>Essentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.</p>\n<p>I doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 11:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKO":"ARKO Corp","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF","ARKR":"Ark Restaurants Corp","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164323104","content_text":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.\nCO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.\n\nphongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images\nThe Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active\n\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n\n\nKill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei\n\nThere is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.\nArk Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after Trading Edge was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.\nAnother reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.\nSome commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.\nTail Gunning\nTail is a statistical term related to data distribution. When data points are plotted, a bell shaped curve forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce anormal distribution, stock returns do not.\nThis implies that probabilities based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate risk.\nIn this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term tail gunning. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.\nARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.\nThe Legend of Data Manipulation\nModern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.\nThe revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.\nA trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.\nMajor weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:\n\nTime\nHigh dimensionality\n\nVolatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.\nIn this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.\nPrice History Data\n\nThe analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.\nLooking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.\nA mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.\nDatabases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.\nIt is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.\nData Transformation - Natural Log Returns\n\nThe per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.\nThe human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.\nNatural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.\nThe simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.\nUsing 3/16 in the table above as an example:\n\nCC(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.\nCO(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.\nOC(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.\n\nThe bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.\nI specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:\n\nIf bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1\nIf bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0\notherwise, you have to check bCC.\n\nProbably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.\n1,400-Day Structured Lookback\nCC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400\n$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400\nIn my Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.\nCO/OC Imbalance\nThe CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.\nTrading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.\nStructured Lookback Design\n\nI introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.\nThe day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.\nEvery total time frame of n days, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:\n\nx[1] = 200\nx[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400\nx[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800\nx[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400\n\nAnother time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.\nxSig logic.There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:\n\n8 = xx1400\n4 = xx200\n2 = xx400\n1 = xx800\n\nxFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:\n\nFirst/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.\nSecond/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.\nThird/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.\n\nWin Rate\nThis is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.\n400-Day Segment Detail\n\nThe 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.\nARKG\nARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.\nPerformance Graphs\n\nSam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n\n\nRonin\n\nI can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.\nAfter detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.\nI was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.\nFinding Biotech Tail\nVirtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.\nBiotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.\nBiotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.\n81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:\nTop Biotech CCTop BioTech COTop Biotech OC and Median\n\nThese are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.\nCO/OC or Standard Deviation\nThe tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.\nStandard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.\nRecent Action\nCO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.\n252-Day Structured Lookback\n\nI'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.\nxSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.\n\nI guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.\n\nWin rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.\n\nThe ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.\n\nThe black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.\n\nThe 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.\n\n\nThe recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.\nThe plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.\nIs The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?\n252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.\nWithGematria, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to theTzadikimNistarim, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.\nSomehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.\nSimultaneity and Sequentiality\n\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n\n\nThe Bourne Legacy\n\nEarlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.\n\nThe ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.\nXBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.\nBuy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1The Specter Clock\nCCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.\nThis happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.\nCCp1\nCC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.\nThese might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.\nSPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0\n\nThis is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.\nSimultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.\nThere definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.\nCOn0\nThis shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.\n\nThe 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.\nEssentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.\nI doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127253426,"gmtCreate":1624852457865,"gmtModify":1703846234065,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127253426","repostId":"1157825898","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157825898","pubTimestamp":1624843887,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157825898?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The IPO Market Has Never Been Hotter Than It Is Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157825898","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.\nAn a","content":"<p>Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.</p>\n<p>An all-time high of almost $350 billion has been raised in initial public offerings in the first six months of this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, surpassing the previous peak of $282 billion from the second half of 2020 and enriching entrepreneurs and bankers alike.</p>\n<p>When the rush for IPOs kicked off last year, stay-at-home technology dominated the scene, seizing on investor interest in anything digital, while special-purpose acquisition companies also flooded the market. This year, with stocks continuing to push skyward, the trend has broadened to include renewable-energy companies and online retailers.</p>\n<p>Everyone from Swedish oat-milk company&nbsp;Oatly Group ABto boot&nbsp;maker&nbsp;Dr. Martens Plcsold shares in 2021. Still, tech accounts for a big chunk of the deals.Didi Global Inc.will rank among the biggest U.S. IPOs of the past decade if the Chinese ride-hailing giant carries through with plans to sell as much as $4 billion in stock.</p>\n<p>“The markets from New York to Hong Kong were on fire in the first half of this year and have left even the late 90sdotcomboom era in the rearview mirror,” said Aaron Arth, head of the financing group at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia ex-Japan.</p>\n<p>Riding High</p>\n<p>Stocks in hot sectors like tech and renewables top the charts this year...</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a964f7a00f127e828df8eaafdb668f3b\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Bloomberg NOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more</span></p>\n<p>The boom has been fueled by a torrent of cash that central banks have pumped into the economy and the rise of individual investors, who are eager to buy a piece of their favorite companies.</p>\n<p>It’s delivered a windfall for investment banks around the world, who reap the rewards from underwriting and advisory fees. Goldman and Citigroup Inc. rank Nos. 1 and 2 in the global league tables for IPOs this year.</p>\n<p>With so many companies rushing to market, the industry is starting to look saturated. Investors say they can afford to be picky and are increasingly reluctant to pay steep valuations demanded by the fast-growing companies that populate the IPO market.</p>\n<p>As a result, a number of high-profile stocks have stumbled in theirtrading debutsthis year and some companies are gettingspooked. Food-delivery startupDeliveroo Plcplunged 26% on its first day of trading in London, whileOscar Health Inc., the insurance startup co-founded by Josh Kushner, has fallen 40% since joining the New York market.</p>\n<p>Down and Out</p>\n<p>...while those investors deemed too pricey bring up the rear</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/691814a92639672723f85bd73b226885\" tg-width=\"941\" tg-height=\"423\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: BloombergNOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more</span></p>\n<p>Russia’sNord Gold Plcon Tuesday pulled its IPO, citing market uncertainty and swings in the gold price, whileGenworth Financial Inc.last month postponed a U.S. offering for its Enact Holdings Inc. mortgage-insurance unit. And Friday, Hong Kong-tradedGeely Automobile Holdings Ltd.withdrew its application for a listing in Shanghai.</p>\n<p>“There has been a certain level of exhaustion among investors and increased selectivity,” said Saadi Soudavar, co-head of equity capital markets for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Deutsche Bank AG. “It’s a record year after all, so they can have their pick among the multiple transactions coming their way.”</p>\n<p>Investor appetite for one type of listing hasalready faded. SPACs accounted for almost half the proceeds raised in the IPO market in the first quarter, but their share shrunk to about 13% this quarter.</p>\n<p>An index that tracks SPAC listings has dropped 23% from a February high. The poor performance, along with tougher regulatory scrutiny has been a blow to market sentiment. U.S. officials have cautioned individual investors against celebrity-endorsed cash shells and are scrutinizing accounting practices.</p>\n<p>Still, as long as the stock market is rising, the flow of IPOs is unlikely to dry up, and total proceeds this year are on track to eclipse the record of $420.1 billion set in 2007. The IPO boom will likely continue for the next six to 12 months, said Rob Leach, European head of equity capital markets at Jefferies Financial Group Inc.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The IPO Market Has Never Been Hotter Than It Is Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe IPO Market Has Never Been Hotter Than It Is Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 09:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-27/the-global-ipo-market-has-never-been-hotter-than-it-is-right-now><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.\nAn all-time high of almost $350 billion has been raised in initial public offerings in the first six ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-27/the-global-ipo-market-has-never-been-hotter-than-it-is-right-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOCMF":"DR MARTENS PLC","OTLY":"Oatly Group AB"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-27/the-global-ipo-market-has-never-been-hotter-than-it-is-right-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157825898","content_text":"Companies are racing to public markets like never before, cashing in onrecord-highstock prices.\nAn all-time high of almost $350 billion has been raised in initial public offerings in the first six months of this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, surpassing the previous peak of $282 billion from the second half of 2020 and enriching entrepreneurs and bankers alike.\nWhen the rush for IPOs kicked off last year, stay-at-home technology dominated the scene, seizing on investor interest in anything digital, while special-purpose acquisition companies also flooded the market. This year, with stocks continuing to push skyward, the trend has broadened to include renewable-energy companies and online retailers.\nEveryone from Swedish oat-milk company Oatly Group ABto boot maker Dr. Martens Plcsold shares in 2021. Still, tech accounts for a big chunk of the deals.Didi Global Inc.will rank among the biggest U.S. IPOs of the past decade if the Chinese ride-hailing giant carries through with plans to sell as much as $4 billion in stock.\n“The markets from New York to Hong Kong were on fire in the first half of this year and have left even the late 90sdotcomboom era in the rearview mirror,” said Aaron Arth, head of the financing group at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia ex-Japan.\nRiding High\nStocks in hot sectors like tech and renewables top the charts this year...\nSource: Bloomberg NOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more\nThe boom has been fueled by a torrent of cash that central banks have pumped into the economy and the rise of individual investors, who are eager to buy a piece of their favorite companies.\nIt’s delivered a windfall for investment banks around the world, who reap the rewards from underwriting and advisory fees. Goldman and Citigroup Inc. rank Nos. 1 and 2 in the global league tables for IPOs this year.\nWith so many companies rushing to market, the industry is starting to look saturated. Investors say they can afford to be picky and are increasingly reluctant to pay steep valuations demanded by the fast-growing companies that populate the IPO market.\nAs a result, a number of high-profile stocks have stumbled in theirtrading debutsthis year and some companies are gettingspooked. Food-delivery startupDeliveroo Plcplunged 26% on its first day of trading in London, whileOscar Health Inc., the insurance startup co-founded by Josh Kushner, has fallen 40% since joining the New York market.\nDown and Out\n...while those investors deemed too pricey bring up the rear\nSource: BloombergNOTE: Listings with an offer size of $1 billion or more\nRussia’sNord Gold Plcon Tuesday pulled its IPO, citing market uncertainty and swings in the gold price, whileGenworth Financial Inc.last month postponed a U.S. offering for its Enact Holdings Inc. mortgage-insurance unit. And Friday, Hong Kong-tradedGeely Automobile Holdings Ltd.withdrew its application for a listing in Shanghai.\n“There has been a certain level of exhaustion among investors and increased selectivity,” said Saadi Soudavar, co-head of equity capital markets for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Deutsche Bank AG. “It’s a record year after all, so they can have their pick among the multiple transactions coming their way.”\nInvestor appetite for one type of listing hasalready faded. SPACs accounted for almost half the proceeds raised in the IPO market in the first quarter, but their share shrunk to about 13% this quarter.\nAn index that tracks SPAC listings has dropped 23% from a February high. The poor performance, along with tougher regulatory scrutiny has been a blow to market sentiment. U.S. officials have cautioned individual investors against celebrity-endorsed cash shells and are scrutinizing accounting practices.\nStill, as long as the stock market is rising, the flow of IPOs is unlikely to dry up, and total proceeds this year are on track to eclipse the record of $420.1 billion set in 2007. The IPO boom will likely continue for the next six to 12 months, said Rob Leach, European head of equity capital markets at Jefferies Financial Group Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127253345,"gmtCreate":1624852426887,"gmtModify":1703846233742,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127253345","repostId":"2146500207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146500207","pubTimestamp":1624846354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146500207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 10:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Record Stock Sales From Money-Losing Firms Ring the Alarm Bells","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146500207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, i","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, imagine a scenario where most of the sales come from firms that don’t make money.</p>\n<p>It’s happening now. Since the end of March, almost 100 unprofitable companies, including GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., have raised money through secondary offerings, twice as many as coming from profitable firms, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p>\n<p>Granted, troubled companies are tapping into buoyant demand during a 16-month rally to beef up their balance sheets. And it’s further evidence that the capital market functions as smoothly as it’s supposed to. Yet some warn that the flood of shares coming from money losers is becoming extreme.</p>\n<p>During the past 12 months, almost 750 money-losing firms have sold shares in the secondary market, exceeding those that make profits by the biggest margin since at least 1982, data compiled by Sundial Capital Research show.</p>\n<p>“That perhaps points to companies getting greedy,” said Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners. “Anytime you have a bunch of selling by desperate companies, that could be a signal we’re closer to a top than a cyclical bottom.”</p>\n<p>In fact, the previous two periods in which unprofitable firms dominated the pool of equity offerings, the S&amp;P 500 Index was either at the start of a bear market, or already in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>.</p>\n<p>The 2000 episode showed what might be at stake. Back then, a similarly ebullient market lured profitless companies to offer shares. Once supply overwhelmed demand, the party turned into a scare. Stocks with no fundamental support sold off and the carnage spread to the rest of the market.</p>\n<p>“There can be too much money chasing too little good deals,” said Jeanette Garretty, chief economist at Robertson Stephens Wealth Management. “When the good deals don’t need that money, they start looking for less great deals, and then down the road this is what can lead people to get their fingers burned.”</p>\n<p>With much of the business world yet to fully recover from the pandemic fallout, the easiness to raise money via equity offerings bodes well for corporate America, according to Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab Corp. With the boost in capital, he says, many crippled firms now have a shot at mounting a turnaround.</p>\n<p>Take AMC as an example. After sinking to the brink of bankruptcy during the lockdown, the movie theater-operator has cashed in on its meme-stock status to raise some $1.25 billion through equity offerings in recent months. That, combined with an improving outlook for the film industry, prompted S&amp;P Global Ratings to upgrade its credit score.</p>\n<p>Similarly, GameStop has tapped equity markets twice this year in moves that the video-game retailer said would raise money to invest in growth initiatives and maintain a strong balance sheet. Activist investor Ryan Cohen has built a 13% stake in GameStop and is leading an effort to transform the company into an e-commerce powerhouse, away from its brick-and-mortar roots.</p>\n<p>An unprofitable firm “could issue shares, get working capital, perhaps change strategy, go into new lines of business, do R&amp;D -- whatever it might be, that could ultimately lead to them becoming profitable and growing the business again,” Frederick said. “That’s why the capital markets exist.”</p>\n<p>Of course, there’s no guarantee that a transformation effort will succeed. Based on stock performance following issuance, investors still prefer quality. Among this quarter’s issuers, those that are struggling have seen their shares rise 2.7% on average through Friday, trailing those profitable by 2 percentage points.</p>\n<p>Sundial tracks a suite of indicators to gauge the market’s sentiment. That money-losing firms are flooding the secondary market adds to a growing set of signs that point to elevated enthusiasm, according to Jason Goepfert, the firm’s founder.</p>\n<p>Scott Knapp, chief market strategist at CUNA Mutual Group, agrees.</p>\n<p>“When there is increased appetite for issues from unprofitable companies, it tends to mark a point of euphoria,” Knapp said. “This phenomenon can be in place for a very long time. It’s not necessarily a signal the market is about to reverse. But it is something that typically has preceded a period of reversal in the trend -- the market is more likely to cool down when appetite for unprofitable issuers rises.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Record Stock Sales From Money-Losing Firms Ring the Alarm Bells</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecord Stock Sales From Money-Losing Firms Ring the Alarm Bells\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 10:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/record-stock-sales-money-losing-123634038.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, imagine a scenario where most of the sales come from firms that don’t make money.\nIt’s happening now....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/record-stock-sales-money-losing-123634038.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站","REI":"Ring Energy Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/record-stock-sales-money-losing-123634038.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146500207","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- If you think a rush by companies to sell their shares is a bad omen for the market, imagine a scenario where most of the sales come from firms that don’t make money.\nIt’s happening now. Since the end of March, almost 100 unprofitable companies, including GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., have raised money through secondary offerings, twice as many as coming from profitable firms, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.\nGranted, troubled companies are tapping into buoyant demand during a 16-month rally to beef up their balance sheets. And it’s further evidence that the capital market functions as smoothly as it’s supposed to. Yet some warn that the flood of shares coming from money losers is becoming extreme.\nDuring the past 12 months, almost 750 money-losing firms have sold shares in the secondary market, exceeding those that make profits by the biggest margin since at least 1982, data compiled by Sundial Capital Research show.\n“That perhaps points to companies getting greedy,” said Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners. “Anytime you have a bunch of selling by desperate companies, that could be a signal we’re closer to a top than a cyclical bottom.”\nIn fact, the previous two periods in which unprofitable firms dominated the pool of equity offerings, the S&P 500 Index was either at the start of a bear market, or already in one.\nThe 2000 episode showed what might be at stake. Back then, a similarly ebullient market lured profitless companies to offer shares. Once supply overwhelmed demand, the party turned into a scare. Stocks with no fundamental support sold off and the carnage spread to the rest of the market.\n“There can be too much money chasing too little good deals,” said Jeanette Garretty, chief economist at Robertson Stephens Wealth Management. “When the good deals don’t need that money, they start looking for less great deals, and then down the road this is what can lead people to get their fingers burned.”\nWith much of the business world yet to fully recover from the pandemic fallout, the easiness to raise money via equity offerings bodes well for corporate America, according to Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab Corp. With the boost in capital, he says, many crippled firms now have a shot at mounting a turnaround.\nTake AMC as an example. After sinking to the brink of bankruptcy during the lockdown, the movie theater-operator has cashed in on its meme-stock status to raise some $1.25 billion through equity offerings in recent months. That, combined with an improving outlook for the film industry, prompted S&P Global Ratings to upgrade its credit score.\nSimilarly, GameStop has tapped equity markets twice this year in moves that the video-game retailer said would raise money to invest in growth initiatives and maintain a strong balance sheet. Activist investor Ryan Cohen has built a 13% stake in GameStop and is leading an effort to transform the company into an e-commerce powerhouse, away from its brick-and-mortar roots.\nAn unprofitable firm “could issue shares, get working capital, perhaps change strategy, go into new lines of business, do R&D -- whatever it might be, that could ultimately lead to them becoming profitable and growing the business again,” Frederick said. “That’s why the capital markets exist.”\nOf course, there’s no guarantee that a transformation effort will succeed. Based on stock performance following issuance, investors still prefer quality. Among this quarter’s issuers, those that are struggling have seen their shares rise 2.7% on average through Friday, trailing those profitable by 2 percentage points.\nSundial tracks a suite of indicators to gauge the market’s sentiment. That money-losing firms are flooding the secondary market adds to a growing set of signs that point to elevated enthusiasm, according to Jason Goepfert, the firm’s founder.\nScott Knapp, chief market strategist at CUNA Mutual Group, agrees.\n“When there is increased appetite for issues from unprofitable companies, it tends to mark a point of euphoria,” Knapp said. “This phenomenon can be in place for a very long time. It’s not necessarily a signal the market is about to reverse. But it is something that typically has preceded a period of reversal in the trend -- the market is more likely to cool down when appetite for unprofitable issuers rises.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127259727,"gmtCreate":1624852402669,"gmtModify":1703846233420,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127259727","repostId":"2146500068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146500068","pubTimestamp":1624845000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146500068?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Namibia Could Become The Biggest Oil Story of the Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146500068","media":"Oilprice.com","summary":"What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has ","content":"<p>What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has just announced encouraging results in the first section of its second well in Namibia’s giant Kavango Basin, and modern history suggests that first well successes are rarely reversed.</p>\n<p>That’s huge news for investors in the junior explorer, <b>Reconnaissance Energy Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF)</b>, that slipped into this massive play before the supermajors had time to blink.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8fe7d3973d0c7e387fdb032e355791c\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>What looks to have been a brilliantly timed acquisition based on a treasure trove of government-held data few knew existed is now hoping to help reshape poverty-stricken Namibia’s future.</p>\n<p>And at a mammoth 8.5 million acres, this basin spans an area comparable to the largest projects in the Lone Star state. And Recon Africa holds petroleum exploration licenses for the entire basin.</p>\n<p>If you’re not sure how big 8.5 million acres is, Stocktwits has superimposed it on the State of Florida for perspective:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9fe8b3fee74b7f004ecad05851e62a3\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Recently, some oil majors have been flocking to Africa since it’s considered to be among the last underexplored areas on Earth…</p>\n<p>Low production costs in frontier oil plays have led to some exciting opportunities that have helped put countries like Suriname and Guyana on the proverbial map.</p>\n<p>And Africa may be the final frontier, with an oil boom emerging as drilling spreads across the continent, according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> report.</p>\n<p>But while companies like Shell and Exxon have latched onto offshore opportunities in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the continent’s most stable and friendliest governments…</p>\n<p>We think they completely missed the Namibian government’s treasure trove of data, including a potentially valuable high-quality aeromagnetic survey data that had never been interpreted.</p>\n<p>And when this junior discovered what the government had so skillfully acquired...</p>\n<p>They scooped up exploration rights for the entire Kavango Basin, giving them exclusive petroleum licenses to an area that’s millions of acres in size.</p>\n<p><b>This may truly be the final frontier of onshore oil exploration, among the last Permian-sized basins that have never been drilled.</b></p>\n<p>And it’s opportunities just like these that have produced impressive gains in recent years for other explorers that made a discovery.</p>\n<p>Africa Oil scored 379% gains after reporting a discovery of oil in Kenya.</p>\n<p>Valeura Energy Corp’s shares skyrocketed for 1,000% gains after reporting a discovery in Turkey.</p>\n<p>Now in Namibia, ReconAfrica is already up 377% in less than a year, having found indicators of the existence of a working petroleum system in its first well (6-2) in April and then encountering oil and gas again in the shallow section of its second drill (6-1), which is still ongoing.</p>\n<p>We think it would be flying far north of its 377% gain right now, but naked short sellers appear to have latched onto the stock, producing what look to be hit pieces in a desperate attempt to cover huge naked shorts before potential results confirm what we believe could end up being the last great onshore oil discovery in the world.</p>\n<p>The short sellers are running out of time to cover …</p>\n<p>Here’s why we think you should be keeping a close eye on Reconnaissance Energy Africa.</p>\n<p><b>First Well Successes Rarely Reverse</b></p>\n<p>On April 15th, Recon Africa <b>(</b>TSXV:RECO<b>, </b>OTC:RECAF<b>)</b> in a joint press release with the Ministry of Mines and Energy of Namibia announced the results of its first of three drills (6-2), showing clear evidence of an active petroleum system for this nearly 9-million-acre basin. The samples provide over 200 meters of light oil and natural gas indicators/shows over three discrete intervals in a stacked sequence of reservoir and source rock.</p>\n<p>The results were unexpected by the company as this was just the first of three stratigraphic planned wells, but there would be another surprise just weeks later as RECO got started on its second well ...</p>\n<p>On June 3rd, the first section of its second well (6-1) provided further evidence of a working petroleum system.</p>\n<p>At shallow depths, the well encountered 134 meters of light oil and gas.</p>\n<p><i>\"In these first two wells, the many oil and gas shows, with such variety, is certainly remarkable. It is highly encouraging to see clastic and thick carbonate sections which appear to have similar reservoir characteristics as observed in many other petroleum provinces,”</i> ReconAfrica director Dr. Jim Granath said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Recon Africa have since put out a further update letting investors know that a further 685 feet of hydrocarbon shows comprising a variety of light oil and natural gas have been discovered so far in the second section of well 2.</p>\n<p>With intermediate casing operations reportedly now complete and the company stating that everything is on schedule, RECO expects to finish drilling its 6-1 well during the first week of July.</p>\n<p>The company also unveiled its commitment to allocate a minimum of $10 million in ESG expenditures to the Kavango region in which it operates.</p>\n<p>While RECO is a high-risk/high-reward oil exploration play, exploration patterns from the past suggest that success in the first wells typically means a high potential of continued success.</p>\n<p>The former Vice-President and Head of Global Oil and Gas Research at CIBC World Markets, G. DeWolf Shaw CFA, notes that “during the modern era of the great oil discoveries, a geological success on the first well or a geological failure, was rarely reversed. First wells with successes like 6-2 mean progressively less risk for next 4 wells because of an exponential increase in new data.”</p>\n<p><b>And it helps that RECO has world-class geologists on its team ...</b></p>\n<p>The Kavango Basin is an enormous area spanning millions of acres across Namibia and Botswana.</p>\n<p>And at 8.50 million acres, that’s nearly the size of the massive Midland Basin in the Permian, which is owned by countless different producers today.</p>\n<p>So for this vast area’s exploration licenses to be held by one company is almost unheard of, especially for a junior explorer.</p>\n<p>That means the potential upside for this opportunity is unlike most we’ve seen in a decade.</p>\n<p>After acquiring rights to Namibia’s Aeromag data, Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) quickly had this analyzed by some of the most experienced experts in oil exploration.</p>\n<p>This data reportedly shows that the sedimentary basin could run as deep as 30,000 feet.</p>\n<p><b>That would make it as deep as the Permian Basin in West Texas, which has been estimated to contain a potential </b><b><i>46.3 billion</i></b><b> barrels of oil.</b></p>\n<p>And the most exciting part for us is that the majority of any potential production is expected to be <i>conventional</i>, which means no fracking and none of those exorbitant costs associated with unconventional plays.</p>\n<p>This could all add up to even greater potential for profits for Recon Africa and their investors, if a major discovery is made.</p>\n<p>But while this may be a small-cap explorer, to us there’s nothing small about the names behind it.</p>\n<p>When this all began, experienced geological interpreter Bill Cathey said the data on Kavango showed some of the best data he’d ever seen…</p>\n<p><b><i>“Nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that has not produced commercial quantities of hydrocarbons,” he said.&nbsp;</i></b></p>\n<p>Then they called in Daniel Jarvie, president of Worldwide Geochemistry LLC and a highly experienced geochemist, previously named “Hart Energy’s Most Influential People for the Petroleum Industry in the Next Decade” in 2010.</p>\n<p>After analyzing the data, Jarvie<b> estimated that ReconAfrica could be sitting on a basin that could generate up billions of barrels of oil…</b></p>\n<p>Based on only 12% of their holdings.</p>\n<p>These numbers might seem unbelievable, but Jarvie actually said this could be a conservative estimate of potential.</p>\n<p><i>“Given the nature of the basin and the tremendous thickness, this is pretty much a no-brainer...It will be productive and I’m expecting high-quality oil,” </i>he said.</p>\n<p>That was before RECO’s first two announcements in April and June.</p>\n<p>Now, both Cathey and Jarvie--not to mention the entire RECO team and all of its investors--could be vindicated.</p>\n<p>Not only does Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) hold petroleum licenses to the entire Kavango Basin, but one expert after another has stepped up to indicate the potential of this opportunity.</p>\n<p>Nick Steinberger, for example, has also joined ReconAfrica’s team as their Senior Vice President, Drilling, and Operations.</p>\n<p>After spending over 30 years helping to lead an oil and gas company that was sold for a reported $3.1 billion, he could have gone wherever he liked in the industry.</p>\n<p>So to have someone of his caliber on the team speaks volumes about how confident many are in the future of their drilling program.&nbsp; The entire management team are also reported to be shareholders.</p>\n<p>Steinberger has observed several similarities between the Kavango and the Permian basin, noting, “It’s the same setting, the same geological time frame, and looks like the same type of thickness.</p>\n<p>“The top of the Permian section of Kavango is expected to be 6,000-8,000 feet in depth, which is the same as the Permian in Texas.”</p>\n<p>Haywood Securities initiated coverage on RECO in November and has adjusted its price target three times since. They also participated in RECO’s C$25-million bought deal financing.&nbsp;See latest news release…the financing closed at $41+mm</p>\n<p>A discovery success, says Haywood, would present manifold opportunities for strategic joint ventures for further de-risking--without additional shareholder dilution. This play “has all the ingredients to establish the existence of a working hydrocarbon system (in a relatively short cycle time) and subsequently evaluate and exploit the potential of the Kavango Basin”, Haywood wrote in its most recent report.</p>\n<p>That includes “a fully-funded three well program, nearly 100% working interest in acreage across a vast, relatively straightforward land access, an owned drilling rig, a committed and capable management and technical team, stable governments with attractive fiscal terms and proven commitment to responsible development” … among other things.</p>\n<p>Even without the recent positive first and second drill results showing indicators of a petroleum system, Haywood sees material upside as Kavango is further de-risked and have recently moved their short term price target up to $16.00 CAD.</p>\n<p>In a further boost of confidence, Wood Mackenzie compared RECO’s Kavango basin to the Midland Basin in Texas which has a development value of $540 billion.</p>\n<p><b>More News Could Be Just Days or Weeks Away</b></p>\n<p>RECO’s second announcement that it encountered indicators of oil and gas in the second drill (6-1) was only in the shallower section…</p>\n<p>There’s more to come.</p>\n<p>Drill no. 2 is expected to be completed by the end of this month …</p>\n<p>And the preliminary analysis of all results from the wells 6-1 and 6-2 are anticipated at the end of July.</p>\n<p>From the first well (6-2) over 150 sidewall cores have been taken to Core Labs in Houston and 37 sidewall cores are on their way there as well from the shallower section of the 6-1 well.</p>\n<p>Then we’ve got drill three and possibly four which is expected this year, too.</p>\n<p>And that’s just in the near term. Further out, the news flow could get even more exciting because this is a huge basin. If a commercial discovery is established in the future, we may be looking at a juicy potential JV deal that could be the biggest reward for investors.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, while they’re hoping for great success by turning Kavango into the last major onshore oil play in the world, they’re not forgetting Namibia, and they’re committed to ensuring that the people of Namibia don’t become victims of yet another African “resource curse”.</p>\n<p>ReconAfrica isn’t operating in a vacuum here. They seem fully aware of what this could mean to the people of Namibia.</p>\n<p>For starters, RECO’s founder Craig Steinke says the carbonates they found so far&nbsp;“look like carbonate rocks seen in northern Africa where basically conventional completion methods will make them productive. No fracking.”</p>\n<p>And for Namibia, a huge, conventional oil play could be “transformational”, particularly for the 250,000 people in the Kavango region, 40% of whom live in generational poverty.</p>\n<p>“This will provide the local citizens with good-paying jobs, upwardly mobile jobs, that will help pull them out of poverty, provide access to fresh water and basic medical services,” Steinke says. RECO reports it is already employing 200 people in the area.</p>\n<p>Water is also a major problem that RECO recognized from the start.</p>\n<p>“One of the glaring problems in the region is the local population don’t have the wherewithal to drill water wells but there is a freshwater aquifer right under their feet. They have to walk up to 10 km per day with 45 lbs of water on their heads,” Steinke says.</p>\n<p>And to that end, RECO has committed a minimum of C$10 million for ESG expenditures in Namibia.</p>\n<p>As soon as RECO’s rig hit the ground in Kavango, the company reported it set up shop with the local authorities to drill water wells. They’ve announced drilling of four water wells so far and are permitting sixteen more.</p>\n<p><b>The Final Word</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>RECO scooped up licenses for an 8.5-million-acre play the size of Belgium in the Kavango Basin before supermajors had a chance to blink.</li>\n <li>Then they started drilling water wells for the local communities, and have committed to allocating millions to ESG performance standards.</li>\n <li>They’ve got veteran geologists on their team. One says, “nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that does not produce commercial quantities of hydrocarbons.” The other estimates the basin could have generated billions of barrels of oil and gas.</li>\n <li>Wood Mackenzie compares it to the Midland Basin which has a development value of $540-billion.</li>\n <li>Market value is already up 377% year-to-date, with potential to increase if results keep coming in as they have been, and short sellers may have a hard time covering.</li>\n <li>RECO has encountered oil and gas indicators in its first 2 drills so far, and they aren’t even done with the second of three.</li>\n <li>They appear well-funded for this 3-drill campaign, and beyond. After the three-well program and 2D seismic, they estimate they’ll have over $50 million remaining in the treasury.</li>\n <li>More news looks set to come at the end of this month when RECO is expected to complete its second drill, and then again in July when lab analysis is anticipated back …</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Other companies looking to capitalize on an increase in oil prices:</p>\n<p><b>ConocoPhillips Company (NYSE:COP)</b>&nbsp;as the largest pure upstream company, has performed relatively well in this depressed market, generating ample free cash flow and returning a good chunk of it to shareholders.&nbsp; Unlike many of its peers who continued to expand aggressively during the shale boom, COP has taken several steps to lower costs and fortify its balance sheet.</p>\n<p>Like many of its peers, ConocoPhillips has been gradually offloading non-core assets, including the sale of its North Sea oil and gas assets for $2.7 billion and the planned sale of its Australian assets for $1.4B. Its asset portfolio, however, remains healthy.</p>\n<p>Thanks to a global recovery in demand, Conoco has seen an increasingly bullish look on the industry, and it was one of the few companies which did not partake in the mass-layoffs seen in the industry last year. In addition, Conoco has also seen a fairly decent about of insiders buying into its stock, which is a good sign.</p>\n<p><b>Petrobras (NYSE:PBR)</b>&nbsp;is focused on developing its pre-salt operations. And it’s easy to see why. Those upstream projects being approved for development must have a breakeven price of $35 per Brent or less. Brazil’s national oil company has budgeted&nbsp;capital spending&nbsp;for exploration and production activities of $46.5 billion from 2021 to 2025.</p>\n<p>Clearly, while the pandemic has hit Brazil’s oil industry causing production to fall because of savage budget cuts and well shut-ins, it appears to have done no material long-term damage. &nbsp;Demand for Petrobras’ low sulfur content fuel is firm and will grow because of the global push to significantly reduce emissions, which will ultimately make Petrobras even more valuable over time.</p>\n<p>Petrobras remains one of the most underrated oil majors in the world. It’s got desirable crude oil, a massive footprint in its domestic industry, and a growing amount of interest from investors. It’s also bouncing off of low share prices like the rest of the industry, indicating there could be some upside left.</p>\n<p><b>Chevron (NYSE:CVX)&nbsp;</b>is a leader in the industry, and the second-largest oil company on the&nbsp; New York Stock Exchange. Chevron is also betting big on Africa, particularly Nigeria and Angola. The supermajor ranks among the top oil producers in the two African nations. Other areas on the continent where the company holds interests include Benin, Ghana, the Republic of Congo and Togo. Chevron also holds a 36.7 percent interest in the West African Gas Pipeline Company Limited, which supplies Nigerian natural gas to customers in the region. With bets on both oil and natural gas, the company is looking to take advantage of both fossil fuels. Though prices are still depressed at the moment, as fuel demand returns to normal, Chevron could be a big winner as prices climb back up to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>While Chevron still has not fully recovered from the massive hit it took back in March 2020, where it dropped to a 5-year low of just $59, the oil giant has made some progress thanks to recovering oil prices. Sitting at $104 at the time of writing, Chevron is slowly recuperating some of its losses and is positioned well to benefit in the mid to long term</p>\n<p><b>Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A)&nbsp;</b>is the third largest NYSE-listed company, coming in just under Chevron. And similar to Chevron, Shell has also made some big bets in Africa. In fact, it is one of the leaders in the region. The Dutch oil giant began drilling in the region over 70 years ago and now has energy assets in over 20 countries across the continent. Though it has sold off a number of its prized plays in the region in recent years, it continues to maintain a strong presence, especially in South Africa.</p>\n<p>Africa, in particular South Africa is key for Shell because the government has been significantly more stable than some of the other big bets on the continent. Moreover, the country has been very open to Shell in its projects. The company’s operations in South Africa include retail and commercial fuel, lubricant, chemical, and manufacturing. It’s also heavily invested in upstream exploration. It even holds the exploration rights to the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORAN\">Orange</a> Basin Deep Water area, off the country’s west coast, and has applications for shale gas exploration rights in the Karoo, in central South Africa.</p>\n<p><b>Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI)</b>, a major North American pipeline operator&nbsp;, has been particularly upbeat in recent months. In fact, in early December, it issued optimistic updates, planning higher dividends and expecting more profits in 2021, after the challenges the oil industry has faced last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the wider market crash. Kinder Morgan also expects to raise its dividend for 2021 by 3 percent compared to this year.</p>\n<p>Kinder Morgan Inc's chief executive officer Steve Kean noted, \"With budgeted excess coverage of that dividend, we expect also to be able to engage in share repurchases on an opportunistic basis.”</p>\n<p>Kinder Morgan is a must-watch in the industry. With dividends on the rise, oil prices increasing, and bullish sentiment returning to the oil industry, there could be some significant upside left for this pipeline operator, especially as oil begins flowing at pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ; TSX:CNQ)</b>&nbsp;has been able to do what many of its Canadian counterparts haven’t been able to, keep its dividend intact after swinging to a loss for the first half of the COVID pandemic, while Canada's producers are scaling back production by around 1 million bpd amid low oil prices and demand. Though Canadian Natural Resources kept its dividend, it withdrew its production guidance for 2020, however. It also said it would curtail some production at high-cost conventional projects in North America and oil sands operations and carry out planned turnaround activities at oil sands projects in the second half of 2020.</p>\n<p>Though there is a lot of negative press surrounding Canada’s oil sands, the industry is starting to clean up its act a bit. And Canadian Natural Resources is leading the charge. And if analysts are right about Canada’s comeback, Canadian Natural Resources could be in for a big year.</p>\n<p>Though the Canadian energy giant has seen its stock price slump this year, it could provide a potential opportunity for investors as oil prices rebound. It is already up over 170% from its March 2020 lows, but it is just getting started. If oil prices continue to climb, it could be huge news for investors that held on.</p>\n<p><b>Enbridge (NYSE:ENB, TSX:ENB</b>) is a giant in Canada’s oil industry, and it is in a great position as oil and gas stages its 2021 comeback. As one of the more potentially undervalued companies in the sector, it could be set to win big this year. But that’s only if it can overcome some of the challenges in its path. Most specifically, its Line 3 project has faced scrutiny from environmentalists.</p>\n<p>The massive multi-billion project plans to replace Enbridge's existing&nbsp;282 miles&nbsp;of 34-inch pipeline with 337 miles of 36-inch pipe. The new Line 3 would have the capacity to move&nbsp;370,000 barrels&nbsp;of oil per day, alleviating the takeaway capacity constraints that Canadian oil producers have been struggling with for years now. Line 3 is one of two pipeline projects in the works that are—in their unfinished state—keeping Canada's oil industry from reaching its potential.</p>\n<p>Though this challenge seem prove difficult for Enbridge to overcome, the overall health of the Canadian oil industry is improving, and with it, the outlook for Canadian producers such as Enbridge. Enbridge started the year off with a bang, and if oil prices continue the upward trajectory they’ve seen over the past few months, the Canadian giant could see some upside still.</p>\n<p><b>TC Energy Corporation (NYSE:TRP, TSX:TRP)</b>&nbsp;is a Calgary-based energy giant. The company owns and operates energy infrastructure throughout North America. TC Energy is one of the continent’s largest providers of gas storage and owns and has interests in approximately 11,800 megawatts of power generation. It’s also one of the continent’s most important pipeline operators. With TC Energy’s massive influence throughout North America, it is no wonder that the company is among one of Canada’s strongest and well-known companies.</p>\n<p>Like a number of its peers, one of TC Energy’s biggest challenges in recent years was grappling with the particularly difficult approval process for its Keystone Pipeline. But that’s all history now, and with the bounce back in oil and gas demand, TC Energy could stand to benefit. While TC Energy’s stock price has yet to recover from pre-pandemic levels, it is one of the few industry giants which has managed to keep high dividends rolling in. With quarterly payouts exceeding 6%, TC has remained appealing for investors in the industry.</p>\n<p><b>Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)</b>&nbsp;is another giant in Canada’s industry. It has set itself apart from some of its peers through a number of high-tech solutions for finding, pumping, storing, and delivering its resources. Not only is it big in the oil sector, but it is also a leader in renewable energy. Recently, the company invested $300 million in a wind farm located in Alberta, showing that it is committed to reducing its carbon footprint.</p>\n<p>Now that oil prices are finally recovering, giants like Suncor looking to capitalize. While many of the oil majors have given up on oil sands production – those who focus on technological advancements in the area have a great long-term outlook. And that upside is further amplified by the fact that it is currently looking particularly under-valued compared to its peers, especially as lithium, which is present in Canada’s oil sands, becomes an even more desirable commodity.</p>\n<p><b>CNOOC Limited (TSX:CNU)</b>&nbsp;is one of the world’s most interesting oil and gas companies. It is China’s most significant producer of offshore crude oil and natural gas, and may well be one of the most controversial oil stocks for investors on the market. A label that has nothing to do with its operations, however.</p>\n<p>The relationship between the United States and China has admittedly been better, and if things were to take a turn for the worst, it could have a major impact on global natural gas, given that CNOOC is China's largest importer of LNG. But the Biden administration has been working to improve relations and as such, Chinese companies, including CNOOC, are likely to breathe freely once again, and it be great news for investors in Chinese stocks.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Namibia Could Become The Biggest Oil Story of the Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Namibia Could Become The Biggest Oil Story of the Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-namibia-could-become-biggest-230000550.html><strong>Oilprice.com</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has just announced encouraging results in the first section of its second well in Namibia’s giant ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-namibia-could-become-biggest-230000550.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CVX":"雪佛龙","KMI":"金德尔摩根","RECAF":"Reconnaissance Energy Africa Ltd.","ENB":"安桥","TRP":"TC Energy","PBR":"巴西石油公司","COP":"康菲石油"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-namibia-could-become-biggest-230000550.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146500068","content_text":"What we think is shaping up to potentially be the last great onshore oil discovery in the world has just announced encouraging results in the first section of its second well in Namibia’s giant Kavango Basin, and modern history suggests that first well successes are rarely reversed.\nThat’s huge news for investors in the junior explorer, Reconnaissance Energy Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF), that slipped into this massive play before the supermajors had time to blink.\n\nWhat looks to have been a brilliantly timed acquisition based on a treasure trove of government-held data few knew existed is now hoping to help reshape poverty-stricken Namibia’s future.\nAnd at a mammoth 8.5 million acres, this basin spans an area comparable to the largest projects in the Lone Star state. And Recon Africa holds petroleum exploration licenses for the entire basin.\nIf you’re not sure how big 8.5 million acres is, Stocktwits has superimposed it on the State of Florida for perspective:\n\nRecently, some oil majors have been flocking to Africa since it’s considered to be among the last underexplored areas on Earth…\nLow production costs in frontier oil plays have led to some exciting opportunities that have helped put countries like Suriname and Guyana on the proverbial map.\nAnd Africa may be the final frontier, with an oil boom emerging as drilling spreads across the continent, according to one report.\nBut while companies like Shell and Exxon have latched onto offshore opportunities in one of the continent’s most stable and friendliest governments…\nWe think they completely missed the Namibian government’s treasure trove of data, including a potentially valuable high-quality aeromagnetic survey data that had never been interpreted.\nAnd when this junior discovered what the government had so skillfully acquired...\nThey scooped up exploration rights for the entire Kavango Basin, giving them exclusive petroleum licenses to an area that’s millions of acres in size.\nThis may truly be the final frontier of onshore oil exploration, among the last Permian-sized basins that have never been drilled.\nAnd it’s opportunities just like these that have produced impressive gains in recent years for other explorers that made a discovery.\nAfrica Oil scored 379% gains after reporting a discovery of oil in Kenya.\nValeura Energy Corp’s shares skyrocketed for 1,000% gains after reporting a discovery in Turkey.\nNow in Namibia, ReconAfrica is already up 377% in less than a year, having found indicators of the existence of a working petroleum system in its first well (6-2) in April and then encountering oil and gas again in the shallow section of its second drill (6-1), which is still ongoing.\nWe think it would be flying far north of its 377% gain right now, but naked short sellers appear to have latched onto the stock, producing what look to be hit pieces in a desperate attempt to cover huge naked shorts before potential results confirm what we believe could end up being the last great onshore oil discovery in the world.\nThe short sellers are running out of time to cover …\nHere’s why we think you should be keeping a close eye on Reconnaissance Energy Africa.\nFirst Well Successes Rarely Reverse\nOn April 15th, Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) in a joint press release with the Ministry of Mines and Energy of Namibia announced the results of its first of three drills (6-2), showing clear evidence of an active petroleum system for this nearly 9-million-acre basin. The samples provide over 200 meters of light oil and natural gas indicators/shows over three discrete intervals in a stacked sequence of reservoir and source rock.\nThe results were unexpected by the company as this was just the first of three stratigraphic planned wells, but there would be another surprise just weeks later as RECO got started on its second well ...\nOn June 3rd, the first section of its second well (6-1) provided further evidence of a working petroleum system.\nAt shallow depths, the well encountered 134 meters of light oil and gas.\n\"In these first two wells, the many oil and gas shows, with such variety, is certainly remarkable. It is highly encouraging to see clastic and thick carbonate sections which appear to have similar reservoir characteristics as observed in many other petroleum provinces,” ReconAfrica director Dr. Jim Granath said in a statement.\nRecon Africa have since put out a further update letting investors know that a further 685 feet of hydrocarbon shows comprising a variety of light oil and natural gas have been discovered so far in the second section of well 2.\nWith intermediate casing operations reportedly now complete and the company stating that everything is on schedule, RECO expects to finish drilling its 6-1 well during the first week of July.\nThe company also unveiled its commitment to allocate a minimum of $10 million in ESG expenditures to the Kavango region in which it operates.\nWhile RECO is a high-risk/high-reward oil exploration play, exploration patterns from the past suggest that success in the first wells typically means a high potential of continued success.\nThe former Vice-President and Head of Global Oil and Gas Research at CIBC World Markets, G. DeWolf Shaw CFA, notes that “during the modern era of the great oil discoveries, a geological success on the first well or a geological failure, was rarely reversed. First wells with successes like 6-2 mean progressively less risk for next 4 wells because of an exponential increase in new data.”\nAnd it helps that RECO has world-class geologists on its team ...\nThe Kavango Basin is an enormous area spanning millions of acres across Namibia and Botswana.\nAnd at 8.50 million acres, that’s nearly the size of the massive Midland Basin in the Permian, which is owned by countless different producers today.\nSo for this vast area’s exploration licenses to be held by one company is almost unheard of, especially for a junior explorer.\nThat means the potential upside for this opportunity is unlike most we’ve seen in a decade.\nAfter acquiring rights to Namibia’s Aeromag data, Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) quickly had this analyzed by some of the most experienced experts in oil exploration.\nThis data reportedly shows that the sedimentary basin could run as deep as 30,000 feet.\nThat would make it as deep as the Permian Basin in West Texas, which has been estimated to contain a potential 46.3 billion barrels of oil.\nAnd the most exciting part for us is that the majority of any potential production is expected to be conventional, which means no fracking and none of those exorbitant costs associated with unconventional plays.\nThis could all add up to even greater potential for profits for Recon Africa and their investors, if a major discovery is made.\nBut while this may be a small-cap explorer, to us there’s nothing small about the names behind it.\nWhen this all began, experienced geological interpreter Bill Cathey said the data on Kavango showed some of the best data he’d ever seen…\n“Nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that has not produced commercial quantities of hydrocarbons,” he said. \nThen they called in Daniel Jarvie, president of Worldwide Geochemistry LLC and a highly experienced geochemist, previously named “Hart Energy’s Most Influential People for the Petroleum Industry in the Next Decade” in 2010.\nAfter analyzing the data, Jarvie estimated that ReconAfrica could be sitting on a basin that could generate up billions of barrels of oil…\nBased on only 12% of their holdings.\nThese numbers might seem unbelievable, but Jarvie actually said this could be a conservative estimate of potential.\n“Given the nature of the basin and the tremendous thickness, this is pretty much a no-brainer...It will be productive and I’m expecting high-quality oil,” he said.\nThat was before RECO’s first two announcements in April and June.\nNow, both Cathey and Jarvie--not to mention the entire RECO team and all of its investors--could be vindicated.\nNot only does Recon Africa (TSXV:RECO, OTC:RECAF) hold petroleum licenses to the entire Kavango Basin, but one expert after another has stepped up to indicate the potential of this opportunity.\nNick Steinberger, for example, has also joined ReconAfrica’s team as their Senior Vice President, Drilling, and Operations.\nAfter spending over 30 years helping to lead an oil and gas company that was sold for a reported $3.1 billion, he could have gone wherever he liked in the industry.\nSo to have someone of his caliber on the team speaks volumes about how confident many are in the future of their drilling program.  The entire management team are also reported to be shareholders.\nSteinberger has observed several similarities between the Kavango and the Permian basin, noting, “It’s the same setting, the same geological time frame, and looks like the same type of thickness.\n“The top of the Permian section of Kavango is expected to be 6,000-8,000 feet in depth, which is the same as the Permian in Texas.”\nHaywood Securities initiated coverage on RECO in November and has adjusted its price target three times since. They also participated in RECO’s C$25-million bought deal financing. See latest news release…the financing closed at $41+mm\nA discovery success, says Haywood, would present manifold opportunities for strategic joint ventures for further de-risking--without additional shareholder dilution. This play “has all the ingredients to establish the existence of a working hydrocarbon system (in a relatively short cycle time) and subsequently evaluate and exploit the potential of the Kavango Basin”, Haywood wrote in its most recent report.\nThat includes “a fully-funded three well program, nearly 100% working interest in acreage across a vast, relatively straightforward land access, an owned drilling rig, a committed and capable management and technical team, stable governments with attractive fiscal terms and proven commitment to responsible development” … among other things.\nEven without the recent positive first and second drill results showing indicators of a petroleum system, Haywood sees material upside as Kavango is further de-risked and have recently moved their short term price target up to $16.00 CAD.\nIn a further boost of confidence, Wood Mackenzie compared RECO’s Kavango basin to the Midland Basin in Texas which has a development value of $540 billion.\nMore News Could Be Just Days or Weeks Away\nRECO’s second announcement that it encountered indicators of oil and gas in the second drill (6-1) was only in the shallower section…\nThere’s more to come.\nDrill no. 2 is expected to be completed by the end of this month …\nAnd the preliminary analysis of all results from the wells 6-1 and 6-2 are anticipated at the end of July.\nFrom the first well (6-2) over 150 sidewall cores have been taken to Core Labs in Houston and 37 sidewall cores are on their way there as well from the shallower section of the 6-1 well.\nThen we’ve got drill three and possibly four which is expected this year, too.\nAnd that’s just in the near term. Further out, the news flow could get even more exciting because this is a huge basin. If a commercial discovery is established in the future, we may be looking at a juicy potential JV deal that could be the biggest reward for investors.\nIn the meantime, while they’re hoping for great success by turning Kavango into the last major onshore oil play in the world, they’re not forgetting Namibia, and they’re committed to ensuring that the people of Namibia don’t become victims of yet another African “resource curse”.\nReconAfrica isn’t operating in a vacuum here. They seem fully aware of what this could mean to the people of Namibia.\nFor starters, RECO’s founder Craig Steinke says the carbonates they found so far “look like carbonate rocks seen in northern Africa where basically conventional completion methods will make them productive. No fracking.”\nAnd for Namibia, a huge, conventional oil play could be “transformational”, particularly for the 250,000 people in the Kavango region, 40% of whom live in generational poverty.\n“This will provide the local citizens with good-paying jobs, upwardly mobile jobs, that will help pull them out of poverty, provide access to fresh water and basic medical services,” Steinke says. RECO reports it is already employing 200 people in the area.\nWater is also a major problem that RECO recognized from the start.\n“One of the glaring problems in the region is the local population don’t have the wherewithal to drill water wells but there is a freshwater aquifer right under their feet. They have to walk up to 10 km per day with 45 lbs of water on their heads,” Steinke says.\nAnd to that end, RECO has committed a minimum of C$10 million for ESG expenditures in Namibia.\nAs soon as RECO’s rig hit the ground in Kavango, the company reported it set up shop with the local authorities to drill water wells. They’ve announced drilling of four water wells so far and are permitting sixteen more.\nThe Final Word\n\nRECO scooped up licenses for an 8.5-million-acre play the size of Belgium in the Kavango Basin before supermajors had a chance to blink.\nThen they started drilling water wells for the local communities, and have committed to allocating millions to ESG performance standards.\nThey’ve got veteran geologists on their team. One says, “nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that does not produce commercial quantities of hydrocarbons.” The other estimates the basin could have generated billions of barrels of oil and gas.\nWood Mackenzie compares it to the Midland Basin which has a development value of $540-billion.\nMarket value is already up 377% year-to-date, with potential to increase if results keep coming in as they have been, and short sellers may have a hard time covering.\nRECO has encountered oil and gas indicators in its first 2 drills so far, and they aren’t even done with the second of three.\nThey appear well-funded for this 3-drill campaign, and beyond. After the three-well program and 2D seismic, they estimate they’ll have over $50 million remaining in the treasury.\nMore news looks set to come at the end of this month when RECO is expected to complete its second drill, and then again in July when lab analysis is anticipated back …\n\nOther companies looking to capitalize on an increase in oil prices:\nConocoPhillips Company (NYSE:COP) as the largest pure upstream company, has performed relatively well in this depressed market, generating ample free cash flow and returning a good chunk of it to shareholders.  Unlike many of its peers who continued to expand aggressively during the shale boom, COP has taken several steps to lower costs and fortify its balance sheet.\nLike many of its peers, ConocoPhillips has been gradually offloading non-core assets, including the sale of its North Sea oil and gas assets for $2.7 billion and the planned sale of its Australian assets for $1.4B. Its asset portfolio, however, remains healthy.\nThanks to a global recovery in demand, Conoco has seen an increasingly bullish look on the industry, and it was one of the few companies which did not partake in the mass-layoffs seen in the industry last year. In addition, Conoco has also seen a fairly decent about of insiders buying into its stock, which is a good sign.\nPetrobras (NYSE:PBR) is focused on developing its pre-salt operations. And it’s easy to see why. Those upstream projects being approved for development must have a breakeven price of $35 per Brent or less. Brazil’s national oil company has budgeted capital spending for exploration and production activities of $46.5 billion from 2021 to 2025.\nClearly, while the pandemic has hit Brazil’s oil industry causing production to fall because of savage budget cuts and well shut-ins, it appears to have done no material long-term damage.  Demand for Petrobras’ low sulfur content fuel is firm and will grow because of the global push to significantly reduce emissions, which will ultimately make Petrobras even more valuable over time.\nPetrobras remains one of the most underrated oil majors in the world. It’s got desirable crude oil, a massive footprint in its domestic industry, and a growing amount of interest from investors. It’s also bouncing off of low share prices like the rest of the industry, indicating there could be some upside left.\nChevron (NYSE:CVX) is a leader in the industry, and the second-largest oil company on the  New York Stock Exchange. Chevron is also betting big on Africa, particularly Nigeria and Angola. The supermajor ranks among the top oil producers in the two African nations. Other areas on the continent where the company holds interests include Benin, Ghana, the Republic of Congo and Togo. Chevron also holds a 36.7 percent interest in the West African Gas Pipeline Company Limited, which supplies Nigerian natural gas to customers in the region. With bets on both oil and natural gas, the company is looking to take advantage of both fossil fuels. Though prices are still depressed at the moment, as fuel demand returns to normal, Chevron could be a big winner as prices climb back up to pre-pandemic levels.\nWhile Chevron still has not fully recovered from the massive hit it took back in March 2020, where it dropped to a 5-year low of just $59, the oil giant has made some progress thanks to recovering oil prices. Sitting at $104 at the time of writing, Chevron is slowly recuperating some of its losses and is positioned well to benefit in the mid to long term\nRoyal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A) is the third largest NYSE-listed company, coming in just under Chevron. And similar to Chevron, Shell has also made some big bets in Africa. In fact, it is one of the leaders in the region. The Dutch oil giant began drilling in the region over 70 years ago and now has energy assets in over 20 countries across the continent. Though it has sold off a number of its prized plays in the region in recent years, it continues to maintain a strong presence, especially in South Africa.\nAfrica, in particular South Africa is key for Shell because the government has been significantly more stable than some of the other big bets on the continent. Moreover, the country has been very open to Shell in its projects. The company’s operations in South Africa include retail and commercial fuel, lubricant, chemical, and manufacturing. It’s also heavily invested in upstream exploration. It even holds the exploration rights to the Orange Basin Deep Water area, off the country’s west coast, and has applications for shale gas exploration rights in the Karoo, in central South Africa.\nKinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI), a major North American pipeline operator , has been particularly upbeat in recent months. In fact, in early December, it issued optimistic updates, planning higher dividends and expecting more profits in 2021, after the challenges the oil industry has faced last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the wider market crash. Kinder Morgan also expects to raise its dividend for 2021 by 3 percent compared to this year.\nKinder Morgan Inc's chief executive officer Steve Kean noted, \"With budgeted excess coverage of that dividend, we expect also to be able to engage in share repurchases on an opportunistic basis.”\nKinder Morgan is a must-watch in the industry. With dividends on the rise, oil prices increasing, and bullish sentiment returning to the oil industry, there could be some significant upside left for this pipeline operator, especially as oil begins flowing at pre-pandemic levels.\nCanadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ; TSX:CNQ) has been able to do what many of its Canadian counterparts haven’t been able to, keep its dividend intact after swinging to a loss for the first half of the COVID pandemic, while Canada's producers are scaling back production by around 1 million bpd amid low oil prices and demand. Though Canadian Natural Resources kept its dividend, it withdrew its production guidance for 2020, however. It also said it would curtail some production at high-cost conventional projects in North America and oil sands operations and carry out planned turnaround activities at oil sands projects in the second half of 2020.\nThough there is a lot of negative press surrounding Canada’s oil sands, the industry is starting to clean up its act a bit. And Canadian Natural Resources is leading the charge. And if analysts are right about Canada’s comeback, Canadian Natural Resources could be in for a big year.\nThough the Canadian energy giant has seen its stock price slump this year, it could provide a potential opportunity for investors as oil prices rebound. It is already up over 170% from its March 2020 lows, but it is just getting started. If oil prices continue to climb, it could be huge news for investors that held on.\nEnbridge (NYSE:ENB, TSX:ENB) is a giant in Canada’s oil industry, and it is in a great position as oil and gas stages its 2021 comeback. As one of the more potentially undervalued companies in the sector, it could be set to win big this year. But that’s only if it can overcome some of the challenges in its path. Most specifically, its Line 3 project has faced scrutiny from environmentalists.\nThe massive multi-billion project plans to replace Enbridge's existing 282 miles of 34-inch pipeline with 337 miles of 36-inch pipe. The new Line 3 would have the capacity to move 370,000 barrels of oil per day, alleviating the takeaway capacity constraints that Canadian oil producers have been struggling with for years now. Line 3 is one of two pipeline projects in the works that are—in their unfinished state—keeping Canada's oil industry from reaching its potential.\nThough this challenge seem prove difficult for Enbridge to overcome, the overall health of the Canadian oil industry is improving, and with it, the outlook for Canadian producers such as Enbridge. Enbridge started the year off with a bang, and if oil prices continue the upward trajectory they’ve seen over the past few months, the Canadian giant could see some upside still.\nTC Energy Corporation (NYSE:TRP, TSX:TRP) is a Calgary-based energy giant. The company owns and operates energy infrastructure throughout North America. TC Energy is one of the continent’s largest providers of gas storage and owns and has interests in approximately 11,800 megawatts of power generation. It’s also one of the continent’s most important pipeline operators. With TC Energy’s massive influence throughout North America, it is no wonder that the company is among one of Canada’s strongest and well-known companies.\nLike a number of its peers, one of TC Energy’s biggest challenges in recent years was grappling with the particularly difficult approval process for its Keystone Pipeline. But that’s all history now, and with the bounce back in oil and gas demand, TC Energy could stand to benefit. While TC Energy’s stock price has yet to recover from pre-pandemic levels, it is one of the few industry giants which has managed to keep high dividends rolling in. With quarterly payouts exceeding 6%, TC has remained appealing for investors in the industry.\nSuncor Energy (TSX:SU) is another giant in Canada’s industry. It has set itself apart from some of its peers through a number of high-tech solutions for finding, pumping, storing, and delivering its resources. Not only is it big in the oil sector, but it is also a leader in renewable energy. Recently, the company invested $300 million in a wind farm located in Alberta, showing that it is committed to reducing its carbon footprint.\nNow that oil prices are finally recovering, giants like Suncor looking to capitalize. While many of the oil majors have given up on oil sands production – those who focus on technological advancements in the area have a great long-term outlook. And that upside is further amplified by the fact that it is currently looking particularly under-valued compared to its peers, especially as lithium, which is present in Canada’s oil sands, becomes an even more desirable commodity.\nCNOOC Limited (TSX:CNU) is one of the world’s most interesting oil and gas companies. It is China’s most significant producer of offshore crude oil and natural gas, and may well be one of the most controversial oil stocks for investors on the market. A label that has nothing to do with its operations, however.\nThe relationship between the United States and China has admittedly been better, and if things were to take a turn for the worst, it could have a major impact on global natural gas, given that CNOOC is China's largest importer of LNG. But the Biden administration has been working to improve relations and as such, Chinese companies, including CNOOC, are likely to breathe freely once again, and it be great news for investors in Chinese stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122924920,"gmtCreate":1624594238460,"gmtModify":1703841277666,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122924920","repostId":"1104882070","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104882070","pubTimestamp":1624589020,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104882070?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-25 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FedEx is falling despite beating earnings expectations; UPS drops too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104882070","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after FQ4 revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidanc","content":"<ul>\n <li>FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after&nbsp;FQ4&nbsp;revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidance for capital spending of $7.2B this year by the company may be the key pullout of the report.</li>\n <li>Operating income rose 9% Y/Y to $1.97B during the quarter on an adjusted basis and the company reported an operating margin rate of 8.7% vs. 5.2% a year ago and 8.9% consensus. Improved network optimization and asset utilization enabled profit growth even with volume at a record.</li>\n <li>FedEx Ground reported revenue growth of 27% for the quarter. The revenue increase was primarily driven by strong growth in business-to-business shipments and a 14% rise in revenue per package.</li>\n <li>Looking ahead, FedEx sees EPS of $20.50 to $21.50 for the full year vs $20.48 consensus. The profit guidance is before MTM retirement plan accounting adjustments and excludes estimated TNT Express integration expenses and costs associated with business realignment activities. \"We expect continued strong momentum in fiscal 2022, and our investments are focused on the areas of greatest growth and highest returns, like e-commerce, to position us for sustained long-term growth in earnings, cash flows, and returns,\" says CFO Michael Lenz.</li>\n <li>Shares of FedEx aredown 4.04%AH to $291.50.UPSis&nbsp;down 2.25%.</li>\n <li>The FedEx conference call is likely to delve into thenetwork congestion issues the company has seen over the last few weeks.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FedEx is falling despite beating earnings expectations; UPS drops too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFedEx is falling despite beating earnings expectations; UPS drops too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 10:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709888-fedex-lower-after-earnings-beat-isnt-decisive-enough-ups-falls-too><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after FQ4 revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidance for capital spending of $7.2B this year by the company may be the key pullout of the report.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709888-fedex-lower-after-earnings-beat-isnt-decisive-enough-ups-falls-too\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPS":"联合包裹","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709888-fedex-lower-after-earnings-beat-isnt-decisive-enough-ups-falls-too","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104882070","content_text":"FedEx(NYSE:FDX)trades lower even after FQ4 revenue and profit arrived ahead of expectations. Guidance for capital spending of $7.2B this year by the company may be the key pullout of the report.\nOperating income rose 9% Y/Y to $1.97B during the quarter on an adjusted basis and the company reported an operating margin rate of 8.7% vs. 5.2% a year ago and 8.9% consensus. Improved network optimization and asset utilization enabled profit growth even with volume at a record.\nFedEx Ground reported revenue growth of 27% for the quarter. The revenue increase was primarily driven by strong growth in business-to-business shipments and a 14% rise in revenue per package.\nLooking ahead, FedEx sees EPS of $20.50 to $21.50 for the full year vs $20.48 consensus. The profit guidance is before MTM retirement plan accounting adjustments and excludes estimated TNT Express integration expenses and costs associated with business realignment activities. \"We expect continued strong momentum in fiscal 2022, and our investments are focused on the areas of greatest growth and highest returns, like e-commerce, to position us for sustained long-term growth in earnings, cash flows, and returns,\" says CFO Michael Lenz.\nShares of FedEx aredown 4.04%AH to $291.50.UPSis down 2.25%.\nThe FedEx conference call is likely to delve into thenetwork congestion issues the company has seen over the last few weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184746546,"gmtCreate":1623727261285,"gmtModify":1704209730017,"author":{"id":"3571790507645552","authorId":"3571790507645552","authorIdStr":"3571790507645552","name":"BeeTT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571790507645552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join Tiger's 'Win Stock Vouchers by Collecting Letters to Form the Word TIGER'","listText":"Join Tiger's 'Win Stock Vouchers by Collecting Letters to Form the Word TIGER'","text":"Join Tiger's 'Win Stock Vouchers by Collecting Letters to Form the Word TIGER'","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184746546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}