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ProsPaddles
08-03
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Find out more here:
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
ProsPaddles
08-03
dark day ahead. be careful all
ProsPaddles
2022-02-11
$Yum China Holdings, Inc.(YUMC)$
why the increase ?
ProsPaddles
2022-01-17
I rather buy Alibaba and Amazon
3 Top E-Commerce Stocks to Buy in January
ProsPaddles
2022-01-16
To the 🌙!!!
Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation
ProsPaddles
2021-08-20
$Alibaba(09988)$
30% loss soon
ProsPaddles
2021-08-19
$TENCENT(00700)$
will it test the support line of 422?
ProsPaddles
2021-08-19
$Alibaba(09988)$
forever averaging down
ProsPaddles
2021-08-19
$TENCENT(00700)$
tencent price range at least more stable than Ali
ProsPaddles
2021-08-19
$Alibaba(09988)$
I am screwed by baba
ProsPaddles
2021-08-17
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.
ProsPaddles
2021-08-17
$Alibaba(09988)$
catching the falling knife
ProsPaddles
2021-08-17
$TENCENT(00700)$
I wonder how low can it go? Just the regulatory issue, stock price has gone down by 40%. Cannot imagine the stock price if there is another round of covid hit. How low can it go?
ProsPaddles
2021-08-16
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
here we go again.
ProsPaddles
2021-08-13
$Alibaba(09988)$
this will continue for a few more months
ProsPaddles
2021-08-12
To the ?
Hot Stock Palantir Technologies Gets Hotter After Q2 Earnings, Q3 Outlook
ProsPaddles
2021-08-06
Been going sideway for very long time.
Is Taiwan Semiconductor Stock A Good Long-Term Investment? What To Consider
ProsPaddles
2021-08-06
Buy buy buy!!!
Sorry, the original content has been removed
ProsPaddles
2021-08-04
$Apple(AAPL)$
higher please
ProsPaddles
2021-08-04
Can I see the surge in Msft?
Walgreens sees surge in U.S. COVID-19 vaccinations in recent weeks
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/9v3o4s\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/9v3o4s\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/334189807616016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":334188987703312,"gmtCreate":1722622521218,"gmtModify":1722622527428,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"dark day ahead. be careful all","listText":"dark day ahead. be careful all","text":"dark day ahead. be careful all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/334188987703312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092397982,"gmtCreate":1644535908533,"gmtModify":1676533937425,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/YUMC\">$Yum China Holdings, Inc.(YUMC)$</a>why the increase ? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/YUMC\">$Yum China Holdings, Inc.(YUMC)$</a>why the increase ? ","text":"$Yum China Holdings, Inc.(YUMC)$why the increase ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/d54ed350905a3845b9bafdde3dcb2c9c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092397982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005787481,"gmtCreate":1642413370644,"gmtModify":1676533708859,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I rather buy Alibaba and Amazon ","listText":"I rather buy Alibaba and Amazon ","text":"I rather buy Alibaba and Amazon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005787481","repostId":"2203728679","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2203728679","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1642397056,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2203728679?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-17 13:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top E-Commerce Stocks to Buy in January","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2203728679","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If you're looking to invest in e-commerce, these three stocks could be underappreciated investments.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>According to the U.S. International Trade Administration, global e-commerce sales made up 18% of global retail sales in 2020. This figure is expected to increase to 22% of global retail sales by 2024, demonstrating that -- slowly but surely -- e-commerce is becoming a primary way consumers order goods in the modern era.</p><p>E-commerce is widely adopted in the U.S. for the most part, but the true growth in e-commerce comes from international regions. Many parts of the world barely rely on e-commerce for their retail needs, but as these regions begin to rapidly adopt online retail, these three companies could reap major benefits.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\"><b>Sea Limited</b> </a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\"><b>Sea Limited</b> </a> is looking to become a global e-commerce company. Its e-commerce business -- Shopee -- got its start in Singapore in 2015, but it has since expanded across the world. Shopee is now a dominant e-commerce player across all of Southeast Asia and Latin America, and even has ties in India and Europe. With such a broad reach, Shopee became the most downloaded shopping app in the world in 2021.</p><p>This dominance has unsurprisingly led to amazing growth for the company. Revenue for its e-commerce segment reached $1.5 billion in the third quarter of 2021, which grew a whopping 134% year over year. Total revenue also grew 122% year over year, helped by its two other strong businesses that are growing at triple-digit rates. Many companies growing revenue at triple-digit rates are micro-cap companies, but Sea Limited is a large and established business -- its market cap is $103 billion -- making its growth that much more impressive.</p><p>Not only is Sea Limited a leading e-commerce company, it also has one of the world's most popular video games and a resilient fintech business. The company continuously puts up strong top-line growth in all parts of its business, yet it is valued at just 12 times sales -- the lowest valuation that Sea has seen in over a year. Despite the stock falling drastically over the past few months, Sea Limited is succeeding on all fronts of its business, making it one of my best ideas to buy today and hold for decades.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b> </a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b> </a> stock has also been crushed like Sea Limited. From its all-time high set in early 2021, the company's shares have fallen over 60%. This has led to Pinterest potentially becoming a value play: Pinterest's forward price-to-earnings ratio is 24. This valuation is almost equal to <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b>' valuation of 23 times forward earnings, despite Pinterest having magnitudes more growth potential.</p><p>For Pinterest, the growth story is in its average revenue per user (ARPU). The company's platform has strong adoption both in the U.S. and internationally, but Pinterest is just getting started with developing itself as an e-commerce platform. It has struggled with monetization in the past, but it has recently taken steps to make it easy for consumers to buy items they see on the platform. The company has made it easier for sellers to tag items in pictures, so when Pinterest users see a product they like, it only takes them a few clicks to purchase.</p><p>The opportunity for Pinterest to grow its ARPU is massive. In Q3, Pinterest's global ARPU was just $1.41 which pales in comparison to Meta's global ARPU of $10. Considering that both companies currently sell at roughly the same price, Pinterest's opportunity to grow in the online e-commerce market is immense, and I think this social media stock has more promise than any of its peers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\"><b>Coupang</b> </a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\"><b>Coupang</b> </a> might be the most undervalued international e-commerce stock today. It is valued at less than 2 times sales, lower than Sea Limited, <b>Alibaba</b>, and even <b>Amazon</b>. Despite this rock-bottom price, the Korean-based e-commerce giant is seeing impressive strength. The company has 16.8 million active customers, which make up almost one-third of the Korean population. Despite this strong leadership in the country, its active customers still increased 20% year over year in Q3, marking the 15th consecutive quarter Coupang has grown its active customer count by this much.</p><p>What makes Coupang truly special and unreplicable is its strong footprint in Korea. About 70% of Korean citizens live within just seven miles of a logistics center, making it possible for Coupang to offer same-day, next-day, or dawn delivery for almost all orders on its platform. This major infrastructure investment Coupang has made over several years would be incredibly hard and expensive to replicate by any competitor, and it has allowed Coupang to develop an extremely strong brand name and customer satisfaction.</p><p>The company is looking to expand into Japan, but that could take a long time to materialize. After all, the company would have to reinvest in infrastructure as it did in Korea all over again. However, if it can build up its impressive logistics infrastructure again, the company could see the same success it has had in South Korea. These two regions alone would allow Coupang to grow steadily for the next five years, and it is even eyeing other countries like Singapore and Taiwan. Even if you're just looking at Japan and South Korea, though, the future looks bright for Coupang.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top E-Commerce Stocks to Buy in January</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top E-Commerce Stocks to Buy in January\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-17 13:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/16/3-top-e-commerce-stocks-to-buy-in-january/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>According to the U.S. International Trade Administration, global e-commerce sales made up 18% of global retail sales in 2020. This figure is expected to increase to 22% of global retail sales by 2024,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/16/3-top-e-commerce-stocks-to-buy-in-january/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BGNE":"百济神州","CPNG":"Coupang, Inc.","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","SE":"Sea Ltd","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/16/3-top-e-commerce-stocks-to-buy-in-january/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203728679","content_text":"According to the U.S. International Trade Administration, global e-commerce sales made up 18% of global retail sales in 2020. This figure is expected to increase to 22% of global retail sales by 2024, demonstrating that -- slowly but surely -- e-commerce is becoming a primary way consumers order goods in the modern era.E-commerce is widely adopted in the U.S. for the most part, but the true growth in e-commerce comes from international regions. Many parts of the world barely rely on e-commerce for their retail needs, but as these regions begin to rapidly adopt online retail, these three companies could reap major benefits.Sea Limited Sea Limited is looking to become a global e-commerce company. Its e-commerce business -- Shopee -- got its start in Singapore in 2015, but it has since expanded across the world. Shopee is now a dominant e-commerce player across all of Southeast Asia and Latin America, and even has ties in India and Europe. With such a broad reach, Shopee became the most downloaded shopping app in the world in 2021.This dominance has unsurprisingly led to amazing growth for the company. Revenue for its e-commerce segment reached $1.5 billion in the third quarter of 2021, which grew a whopping 134% year over year. Total revenue also grew 122% year over year, helped by its two other strong businesses that are growing at triple-digit rates. Many companies growing revenue at triple-digit rates are micro-cap companies, but Sea Limited is a large and established business -- its market cap is $103 billion -- making its growth that much more impressive.Not only is Sea Limited a leading e-commerce company, it also has one of the world's most popular video games and a resilient fintech business. The company continuously puts up strong top-line growth in all parts of its business, yet it is valued at just 12 times sales -- the lowest valuation that Sea has seen in over a year. Despite the stock falling drastically over the past few months, Sea Limited is succeeding on all fronts of its business, making it one of my best ideas to buy today and hold for decades.Pinterest Pinterest stock has also been crushed like Sea Limited. From its all-time high set in early 2021, the company's shares have fallen over 60%. This has led to Pinterest potentially becoming a value play: Pinterest's forward price-to-earnings ratio is 24. This valuation is almost equal to Meta Platforms' valuation of 23 times forward earnings, despite Pinterest having magnitudes more growth potential.For Pinterest, the growth story is in its average revenue per user (ARPU). The company's platform has strong adoption both in the U.S. and internationally, but Pinterest is just getting started with developing itself as an e-commerce platform. It has struggled with monetization in the past, but it has recently taken steps to make it easy for consumers to buy items they see on the platform. The company has made it easier for sellers to tag items in pictures, so when Pinterest users see a product they like, it only takes them a few clicks to purchase.The opportunity for Pinterest to grow its ARPU is massive. In Q3, Pinterest's global ARPU was just $1.41 which pales in comparison to Meta's global ARPU of $10. Considering that both companies currently sell at roughly the same price, Pinterest's opportunity to grow in the online e-commerce market is immense, and I think this social media stock has more promise than any of its peers.Coupang Coupang might be the most undervalued international e-commerce stock today. It is valued at less than 2 times sales, lower than Sea Limited, Alibaba, and even Amazon. Despite this rock-bottom price, the Korean-based e-commerce giant is seeing impressive strength. The company has 16.8 million active customers, which make up almost one-third of the Korean population. Despite this strong leadership in the country, its active customers still increased 20% year over year in Q3, marking the 15th consecutive quarter Coupang has grown its active customer count by this much.What makes Coupang truly special and unreplicable is its strong footprint in Korea. About 70% of Korean citizens live within just seven miles of a logistics center, making it possible for Coupang to offer same-day, next-day, or dawn delivery for almost all orders on its platform. This major infrastructure investment Coupang has made over several years would be incredibly hard and expensive to replicate by any competitor, and it has allowed Coupang to develop an extremely strong brand name and customer satisfaction.The company is looking to expand into Japan, but that could take a long time to materialize. After all, the company would have to reinvest in infrastructure as it did in Korea all over again. However, if it can build up its impressive logistics infrastructure again, the company could see the same success it has had in South Korea. These two regions alone would allow Coupang to grow steadily for the next five years, and it is even eyeing other countries like Singapore and Taiwan. Even if you're just looking at Japan and South Korea, though, the future looks bright for Coupang.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005534729,"gmtCreate":1642344737982,"gmtModify":1676533702796,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the 🌙!!!","listText":"To the 🌙!!!","text":"To the 🌙!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005534729","repostId":"1169852230","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169852230","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642295348,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169852230?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-16 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169852230","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Palantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.</li><li>Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.</li><li>Commercial revenue acceleration, new product launches, expansion of the free cash flow margin and potential SPAC deal pay-offs support Palantir’s valuation.</li></ul><p>The new year is just fourteen days old and shares of Palantir (PLTR) already fell 12%, continuing a sell-off that started back in November 2021. I don't see any good reason or justification for the sell-off as Palantir will continue to grow its top line rapidly and new service offerings are set to fuel the firm's commercial growth. That Palantir is overvalued, is a myth!</p><p><b>Commercial revenue growth could accelerate as new products launch</b></p><p>There are few industries that have as fantastic growth prospects as the big data and analytics industry. Companies are accumulating more and more data from customers and their operations, requiring software solutions and artificial intelligence support to monetize this data most efficiently.</p><p>What am I most excited about, as a Palantir investor, is Palantir's opening of a new growth frontier in the big data world. Palantir will start to roll out its "Foundry for Crypto" in FY 2022 which offers banks, FinTechs and other companies involved in the crypto economy a way to validate customer information and to implement anti-money laundering tools. Since the crypto universe is still highly unregulated, Palantir's Foundry for Crypto could make a big difference in legitimizing this industry.</p><p>Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are here to stay and Palantir has a huge opportunity at its hands to develop a multi-million-dollar revenue business within a very short period of time. Key customers for Palantir's Foundry for Crypto are likely going to be financial institutions and crypto trading marketplaces like Coinbase (COIN) which have massive customer bases. Adoption of Palantir's Foundry for Crypto platform by leading market institutions could materially accelerate Palantir's commercial revenue growth.</p><p>Because of the opening of a new business segment, I see strong prospects for revenue acceleration for Palantir in the foreseeable future. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated throughout FY 2021 due to strong customer acquisition and growing adoption of the firm's products and services. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated from 19% in Q1'21 to 28% in Q2'21, and then to 37% in Q3'21. Palantir's revenue acceleration in the commercial business was the reason why Palantir raised its free cash flow and revenue guidance for FY 2021. Because the commercial segment is growing increasingly fast, Palantir already raised its free cash flow outlook twice in FY 2021. The firm now expects free cash flow of $400M+ for FY 2021, after raising the guidance by 33% in Q3'21.</p><p><b>Palantir is not overvalued based on expected free cash flow ramp</b></p><p>Palantir's business reached a critical point in FY 2021 and the proof is in the company's growing free cash flow margins. As the firm scales its services and leads more customers through its onboarding process, Palantir should see a significant improvement of its free cash flow margin going forward. Palantir's Q3'21 free cash flow was $119M which calculates to a free cash flow margin of 30%. I believe Palantir could grow its free cash flow margin to 40% by 2025, meaning the firm is set to become a seriously profitable business within the next four years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e54fb7120d0b51650400b5081ae56a9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>I also expect Palantir to grow revenues faster than the 30% that have been mentioned as a long-term growth target. The reason for this is that Palantir is signing on more customers and those customers spend more money on the firm's products and services over time, meaning monetization is improving. Assuming that Palantir can grow revenues at an annual 35% rate over the next four years, Palantir is looking at $5.0B in revenues and $2.0B in free cash flow by FY 2025. The calculation below is built on the assumption that Palantir's free cash flow margin will grow from 30% in FY 2021 to 40% by FY 2025. Over the next four years, Palantir should be able to increase its annual free cash flow by at least a factor of 4 X.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48214b624573bdb844c741431b6fac4e\" tg-width=\"599\" tg-height=\"163\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>And investors should not forget about this potentially massive income stream…</p><p><b>The "forgotten" SPAC business</b></p><p>Palantir has come up with a clever revenue growth strategy that combines upside in SPAC investments with long-term software servicing contracts. Palantir is committing investing capital to startups that look to finance growth and, in return, the company gets equity and a signed contract for the provision of its software platforms. I rarely see this business discussed, but it presents considerable valuation upside for Palantir. In Q3'21, the firm's total investments in startups summarized to $226.5M. Palantir only needs one big exit from one of these SPAC investments listed below to generate a massive windfall.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c452699a2b9ef7ab9b9b5f16074fd788\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Risks with Palantir</b></p><p>The biggest risk for shares of Palantir, as I see it, is continual selling pressure that is the result of a profound misunderstanding related to how the firm's business model works in practice. Palantir's business is evolving and progress is measurable and undeniable. The proof is in Palantir's improving free cash flow margin and accelerating (commercial) revenue growth. Revenues can only accelerate if more companies adopt Palantir's services. Customers are also growing their platform spend, meaning each customer that signs with Palantir is going to have a higher value for the firm in the future, unless they cancel their relationship of course. Since the business had a net customer add of 34 in Q3'21, there is no evidence that customers are unhappy with the services they receive. Palantir's total customer base increased at a massive 20% rate quarter over quarter in Q3'21, proving significant momentum in customer sign-ups.</p><p>I am willing to change my opinion on Palantir if the firm's actual revenue growth rates and free cash flow margins drop below my estimates.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Based off of free cash flow estimates, which do not include pay-offs from SPAC divestments, shares of Palantir trade at 16 X FY 2025 projected free cash flow, assuming a 10 PP FCF margin improvement in the next four years. This margin improvement could result from the launch of new high-margin products like Foundry for Crypto, the accelerating roll-out of Foundry for Builders and higher product spend on a per-customer basis. It is a myth that Palantir is overvalued and the stock has considerable rebound potential in FY 2022!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-16 09:09 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.Commercial revenue...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1169852230","content_text":"SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.Commercial revenue acceleration, new product launches, expansion of the free cash flow margin and potential SPAC deal pay-offs support Palantir’s valuation.The new year is just fourteen days old and shares of Palantir (PLTR) already fell 12%, continuing a sell-off that started back in November 2021. I don't see any good reason or justification for the sell-off as Palantir will continue to grow its top line rapidly and new service offerings are set to fuel the firm's commercial growth. That Palantir is overvalued, is a myth!Commercial revenue growth could accelerate as new products launchThere are few industries that have as fantastic growth prospects as the big data and analytics industry. Companies are accumulating more and more data from customers and their operations, requiring software solutions and artificial intelligence support to monetize this data most efficiently.What am I most excited about, as a Palantir investor, is Palantir's opening of a new growth frontier in the big data world. Palantir will start to roll out its \"Foundry for Crypto\" in FY 2022 which offers banks, FinTechs and other companies involved in the crypto economy a way to validate customer information and to implement anti-money laundering tools. Since the crypto universe is still highly unregulated, Palantir's Foundry for Crypto could make a big difference in legitimizing this industry.Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are here to stay and Palantir has a huge opportunity at its hands to develop a multi-million-dollar revenue business within a very short period of time. Key customers for Palantir's Foundry for Crypto are likely going to be financial institutions and crypto trading marketplaces like Coinbase (COIN) which have massive customer bases. Adoption of Palantir's Foundry for Crypto platform by leading market institutions could materially accelerate Palantir's commercial revenue growth.Because of the opening of a new business segment, I see strong prospects for revenue acceleration for Palantir in the foreseeable future. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated throughout FY 2021 due to strong customer acquisition and growing adoption of the firm's products and services. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated from 19% in Q1'21 to 28% in Q2'21, and then to 37% in Q3'21. Palantir's revenue acceleration in the commercial business was the reason why Palantir raised its free cash flow and revenue guidance for FY 2021. Because the commercial segment is growing increasingly fast, Palantir already raised its free cash flow outlook twice in FY 2021. The firm now expects free cash flow of $400M+ for FY 2021, after raising the guidance by 33% in Q3'21.Palantir is not overvalued based on expected free cash flow rampPalantir's business reached a critical point in FY 2021 and the proof is in the company's growing free cash flow margins. As the firm scales its services and leads more customers through its onboarding process, Palantir should see a significant improvement of its free cash flow margin going forward. Palantir's Q3'21 free cash flow was $119M which calculates to a free cash flow margin of 30%. I believe Palantir could grow its free cash flow margin to 40% by 2025, meaning the firm is set to become a seriously profitable business within the next four years.I also expect Palantir to grow revenues faster than the 30% that have been mentioned as a long-term growth target. The reason for this is that Palantir is signing on more customers and those customers spend more money on the firm's products and services over time, meaning monetization is improving. Assuming that Palantir can grow revenues at an annual 35% rate over the next four years, Palantir is looking at $5.0B in revenues and $2.0B in free cash flow by FY 2025. The calculation below is built on the assumption that Palantir's free cash flow margin will grow from 30% in FY 2021 to 40% by FY 2025. Over the next four years, Palantir should be able to increase its annual free cash flow by at least a factor of 4 X.And investors should not forget about this potentially massive income stream…The \"forgotten\" SPAC businessPalantir has come up with a clever revenue growth strategy that combines upside in SPAC investments with long-term software servicing contracts. Palantir is committing investing capital to startups that look to finance growth and, in return, the company gets equity and a signed contract for the provision of its software platforms. I rarely see this business discussed, but it presents considerable valuation upside for Palantir. In Q3'21, the firm's total investments in startups summarized to $226.5M. Palantir only needs one big exit from one of these SPAC investments listed below to generate a massive windfall.Risks with PalantirThe biggest risk for shares of Palantir, as I see it, is continual selling pressure that is the result of a profound misunderstanding related to how the firm's business model works in practice. Palantir's business is evolving and progress is measurable and undeniable. The proof is in Palantir's improving free cash flow margin and accelerating (commercial) revenue growth. Revenues can only accelerate if more companies adopt Palantir's services. Customers are also growing their platform spend, meaning each customer that signs with Palantir is going to have a higher value for the firm in the future, unless they cancel their relationship of course. Since the business had a net customer add of 34 in Q3'21, there is no evidence that customers are unhappy with the services they receive. Palantir's total customer base increased at a massive 20% rate quarter over quarter in Q3'21, proving significant momentum in customer sign-ups.I am willing to change my opinion on Palantir if the firm's actual revenue growth rates and free cash flow margins drop below my estimates.Final thoughtsBased off of free cash flow estimates, which do not include pay-offs from SPAC divestments, shares of Palantir trade at 16 X FY 2025 projected free cash flow, assuming a 10 PP FCF margin improvement in the next four years. This margin improvement could result from the launch of new high-margin products like Foundry for Crypto, the accelerating roll-out of Foundry for Builders and higher product spend on a per-customer basis. It is a myth that Palantir is overvalued and the stock has considerable rebound potential in FY 2022!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838485954,"gmtCreate":1629424137278,"gmtModify":1676530035795,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>30% loss soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>30% loss soon","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$30% loss soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b43aeb06052143e88cc711879b38e341","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/838485954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546075217049012","authorId":"3546075217049012","name":"meisini8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd33b08b358fe4d78a3bdccfd1cc701a","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546075217049012","authorIdStr":"3546075217049012"},"content":"It's okay, just like Goldman Sachs","text":"It's okay, just like Goldman Sachs","html":"It's okay, just like Goldman Sachs"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831762905,"gmtCreate":1629350441007,"gmtModify":1676530011567,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>will it test the support line of 422? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>will it test the support line of 422? ","text":"$TENCENT(00700)$will it test the support line of 422?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831762905","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831483910,"gmtCreate":1629340670230,"gmtModify":1676530008425,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>forever averaging down","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>forever averaging down","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$forever averaging down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831483910","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831403393,"gmtCreate":1629338398112,"gmtModify":1676530007150,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>tencent price range at least more stable than Ali","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>tencent price range at least more stable than Ali","text":"$TENCENT(00700)$tencent price range at least more stable than Ali","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831403393","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831578633,"gmtCreate":1629337963322,"gmtModify":1676530006972,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>I am screwed by baba","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>I am screwed by baba","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$I am screwed by baba","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831578633","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833888436,"gmtCreate":1629215829325,"gmtModify":1676529970503,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833888436","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839757468,"gmtCreate":1629184788254,"gmtModify":1676529957785,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>catching the falling knife ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>catching the falling knife ","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$catching the falling knife","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839757468","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839721639,"gmtCreate":1629183452021,"gmtModify":1676529957381,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>I wonder how low can it go? Just the regulatory issue, stock price has gone down by 40%. Cannot imagine the stock price if there is another round of covid hit. How low can it go?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>I wonder how low can it go? Just the regulatory issue, stock price has gone down by 40%. Cannot imagine the stock price if there is another round of covid hit. How low can it go?","text":"$TENCENT(00700)$I wonder how low can it go? Just the regulatory issue, stock price has gone down by 40%. Cannot imagine the stock price if there is another round of covid hit. How low can it go?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839721639","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839383149,"gmtCreate":1629122297181,"gmtModify":1676529937776,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>here we go again. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>here we go again. ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$here we go again.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839383149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894664713,"gmtCreate":1628822771732,"gmtModify":1676529866195,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>this will continue for a few more months ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>this will continue for a few more months ","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$this will continue for a few more months","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a10ab61e68d723029574f0ab1d20c1f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894664713","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895764992,"gmtCreate":1628774614516,"gmtModify":1676529849817,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the ?","listText":"To the ?","text":"To the ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895764992","repostId":"2158625731","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2158625731","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628774316,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2158625731?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-12 21:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Stock Palantir Technologies Gets Hotter After Q2 Earnings, Q3 Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158625731","media":"Benzinga","summary":"\n","content":"<ul>\n <li><b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b> (NYSE:PLTR) reported second-quarter FY21 revenue growth of 49% year-on-year to $375.6 million, beating the analyst consensus of $353.23 million.</li>\n <li><b>Revenue Drivers:</b> U.S. commercial revenue grew 90% Y/Y. Palantir added 20 customers, growing 13% Q/Q. Commercial customer count increased 32% Q/Q.</li>\n <li>Palantir closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which 30 contracts were worth $5 million or more and 21 deals at $10 million or above.</li>\n <li><b>Margins:</b> The adjusted operating margin expanded 2,000 bps to 31% as the costs rose 52.5% Y/Y. The adjusted EBITDA margin rose 1,900 bps to 32%.</li>\n <li>Palantir held $2.4 billion in cash and equivalents and generated $23 million in operating cash flow and $50 million in adjusted free cash flow.</li>\n <li>Adjusted EPS of $0.04 beat the analyst consensus of $0.03.</li>\n <li><b>Outlook:</b> Palantir sees Q3 revenue of $385 million above the analyst consensus of $376 million. It considers an adjusted operating margin of 22%.</li>\n <li>Palantir raised FY21 adjusted free cash flow outlook to $300 million+ from $150 million+.</li>\n <li>It continues to see annual revenue growth of 30% or greater for 2021 through 2025.</li>\n <li><b>Price Action:</b> PLTR shares traded higher by 9.13% at $24.39 in the premarket session on the last check Thursday.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Stock Palantir Technologies Gets Hotter After Q2 Earnings, Q3 Outlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Stock Palantir Technologies Gets Hotter After Q2 Earnings, Q3 Outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-12 21:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b> (NYSE:PLTR) reported second-quarter FY21 revenue growth of 49% year-on-year to $375.6 million, beating the analyst consensus of $353.23 million.</li>\n <li><b>Revenue Drivers:</b> U.S. commercial revenue grew 90% Y/Y. Palantir added 20 customers, growing 13% Q/Q. Commercial customer count increased 32% Q/Q.</li>\n <li>Palantir closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which 30 contracts were worth $5 million or more and 21 deals at $10 million or above.</li>\n <li><b>Margins:</b> The adjusted operating margin expanded 2,000 bps to 31% as the costs rose 52.5% Y/Y. The adjusted EBITDA margin rose 1,900 bps to 32%.</li>\n <li>Palantir held $2.4 billion in cash and equivalents and generated $23 million in operating cash flow and $50 million in adjusted free cash flow.</li>\n <li>Adjusted EPS of $0.04 beat the analyst consensus of $0.03.</li>\n <li><b>Outlook:</b> Palantir sees Q3 revenue of $385 million above the analyst consensus of $376 million. It considers an adjusted operating margin of 22%.</li>\n <li>Palantir raised FY21 adjusted free cash flow outlook to $300 million+ from $150 million+.</li>\n <li>It continues to see annual revenue growth of 30% or greater for 2021 through 2025.</li>\n <li><b>Price Action:</b> PLTR shares traded higher by 9.13% at $24.39 in the premarket session on the last check Thursday.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2158625731","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) reported second-quarter FY21 revenue growth of 49% year-on-year to $375.6 million, beating the analyst consensus of $353.23 million.\nRevenue Drivers: U.S. commercial revenue grew 90% Y/Y. Palantir added 20 customers, growing 13% Q/Q. Commercial customer count increased 32% Q/Q.\nPalantir closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which 30 contracts were worth $5 million or more and 21 deals at $10 million or above.\nMargins: The adjusted operating margin expanded 2,000 bps to 31% as the costs rose 52.5% Y/Y. The adjusted EBITDA margin rose 1,900 bps to 32%.\nPalantir held $2.4 billion in cash and equivalents and generated $23 million in operating cash flow and $50 million in adjusted free cash flow.\nAdjusted EPS of $0.04 beat the analyst consensus of $0.03.\nOutlook: Palantir sees Q3 revenue of $385 million above the analyst consensus of $376 million. It considers an adjusted operating margin of 22%.\nPalantir raised FY21 adjusted free cash flow outlook to $300 million+ from $150 million+.\nIt continues to see annual revenue growth of 30% or greater for 2021 through 2025.\nPrice Action: PLTR shares traded higher by 9.13% at $24.39 in the premarket session on the last check Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899671592,"gmtCreate":1628183536316,"gmtModify":1703502800716,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Been going sideway for very long time.","listText":"Been going sideway for very long time.","text":"Been going sideway for very long time.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899671592","repostId":"1136485652","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1136485652","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628057471,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136485652?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-04 14:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Taiwan Semiconductor Stock A Good Long-Term Investment? What To Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136485652","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSM offers exposure to the growing semiconductor industry in a diversified way, as it will ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>TSM offers exposure to the growing semiconductor industry in a diversified way, as it will benefit from growth at NVIDIA, Apple, and many more.</li>\n <li>The company's business model has some disadvantages as well, mainly its relatively high capital requirements that limit its FCF conversion rate.</li>\n <li>TSM is trading above its longer-term valuation range, but shares could still deliver attractive returns in the long run.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>The semiconductor industry has experienced rapid growth in recent years, and the long-term outlook remains strong as well. Chips are integral for our way of life and for our economy, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), as one of the largest manufacturers in the space, is poised to benefit from long-term growth trends. Investors should, apart from the growth prospects, also consider TSM's valuation and the risks for the business. Overall, TSM still seems like a company that could deliver attractive returns in the long run.</p>\n<p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor As A Play On Global Semiconductor Demand Growth</b></p>\n<p>Over the last couple of decades, the global semiconductor industry has experienced rapid growth, as chips have become integral for almost everything we do, from work to our personal communication, and even for the way we spend our free time. These trends -- digitalization & technification -- are still in play, and it seems highly unlikely that we will be using fewer technical gadgets and products in a decade or two. In fact, it seems, to me, pretty much certain that our chip usage will grow even more, due to megatrends such as the internet of things, smart products, self-driving cars, wearable tech, and so on. Even trends such as working from home will lead to fewer meetings that will be conducted in-person, which will, in turn, lead to higher demand for at-home technical equipment and processing power in server farms that handle video conferences. New and emerging technologies, such as the Metaverse as the next-generation internet, will require more processing power compared to current technologies as well, which will, in turn, lead to higher chip demand. Overall, the growth outlook for the semiconductor industry is thus strong and will remain strong for a long time, I believe. This does not necessarily mean that every company in this space will grow forever, but it is, of course, better to be active in a high-growth industry rather than a low-growth industry, all else equal.</p>\n<p>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, as the leading contract manufacturer in the world, will benefit from higher demand for contract manufacturing. This, in turn, will be driven by the increasing demand from fabless companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and many more that are paying TSM to manufacture their semiconductors.</p>\n<p>Taiwan Semiconductor's business model has the upside of allowing the company to benefit from growing chip demand overall, no matter which individual customer experiences the highest demand growth. On the other hand, there are also downsides to TSM's business model, mainly the fact that the buildout of new plants requires huge capital expenditures:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5579119980e11c583375bdbd4b054194\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>TSM did generate operating cash flows of $29 billion over the last year, which results in a free cash flow of $9 billion once capital expenditures of $20 billion are subtracted. Net income, over the same time, was $18 billion, which means that TSM's free cash flow conversion rate was rather low, at just 50%. Other semiconductor companies, especially those that operate on a fabless basis, do generate significantly higher FCF relative to their net profits. One should, however, note that not all of TSM's capital expenditures are spent on maintenance projects, and growth spending will lead to higher cash flows at some point in the future. Still, TSM's business model means that its FCF is relatively weak relative to net profits, which limits the company's ability to grow via M&A or to return cash to the company's owners.</p>\n<p><b>Is TSM Stock Overvalued?</b></p>\n<p>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company has seen its shares rise by 45% over the last year, which may lead to questions about its current valuation. It should, however, be noted that this is not that much more than the returns by the broad market over the same time frame, as the S&P 500 index (SPY) is up 35% over the last twelve months. TSM's stock trades significantly below the all-time high that was hit in early 2021 at $142, shares have declined by close to 20% over the last couple of months. Based on current earnings per share estimates for this fiscal year, TSM trades at 27x net profits, which is neither an overly high valuation nor an especially low valuation in absolute terms. On a relative basis, TSM looks significantly more expensive than it used to be:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3630fc05937b218e3c5522064b623da8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>In the above chart, we see that TSM was historically valued at 17x-23x its net profits, on average. At current prices, TSM trades about 20% above the 3-year median earnings multiple, and at a quite large 60% premium compared to the 10-year median. One can, of course, note that multiple expansion relative to the 10-year median is justified -- interest rates are ultra-low today, TSM's scale has improved and its moat has grown, and shares were arguably too cheap over much of the last decade. I would thus not call TSM overly expensive today, but it is still noteworthy that the company trades at a pretty clear premium compared to how shares were valued in the past.</p>\n<p>When we compare TSM's valuation to its growth rate, TSM does not look overly expensive, either. The company grew its earnings per share by 11% in the most recent quarter, and revenue growth has been in the double-digits, and as high as 45% in eight out of the last eight quarters. Strong growth will persist through the coming quarters and years from what we know today:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f91237b93efce20ea06606b1896a3d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TSM presentation</span></p>\n<p>Based on management's current guidance, TSM will grow its revenue by 20% in Q3, compared to the previous year's quarter. On top of that, TSM's top line will hit a new record high, as revenues have never breached $14 billion before. Margins will, from what we know, not improve versus recent quarters, but top-line growth alone, at constant margins, will allow for an attractive increase in net profits.</p>\n<p>Due to the aforementioned tailwinds for the semiconductor industry as a whole, and thanks to a strong position for TSM when it comes to manufacturing processes such as 5nm and 7nm, which make up 50% of TSM's revenue, it is not a big surprise to see that analysts are forecasting attractive growth well beyond 2021. Current consensus estimates see TSM earning $5.53 per share in 2023, which gets us to a 2023 earnings multiple of 21, which I do not deem expensive for a major player in a growth industry such as TSM.</p>\n<p><b>Will TSM Stock Go Up?</b></p>\n<p>In the near term, price movements are mostly driven by sentiment, and not really influenced by underlying results to a large degree. It thus seems pretty daring to try to estimate where prices will be a month or 3 months from now. The current consensus price target by the analyst community is $137, which indicates an upside of around 20% over the next year. The consensus rating by Wall Street analysts is also bullish, and the same holds true for the Seeking Alpha Quant rating, which stands at3.8, which is moderately bullish. With an RSI (relative strength index) of 48, Taiwan Semiconductor is neither overbought nor oversold. Over the next year, its share price could thus climb if the analyst community is correct, but this is far from certain, and the above-average valuation may pressure returns in the foreseeable future. It is, however, more important to try to evaluate where shares will be a couple of years from now, and the outlook is pretty solid for TSM in that regard.</p>\n<p><b>Is TSM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p>\n<p>Due to the aforementioned industry characteristics and TSM's sizeable moat when it comes to contract manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company has an attractive long-term growth outlook, I believe. Analysts are forecasting $5.53 in earnings per share for 2023, and growth beyond that point should remain meaningful as well -- analysts are expecting 16% growth annually in the long run.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf936a529b0793b3f6469237189d9d29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FAST Graphs</span></p>\n<p>As we see in the above chart, annual returns could come in around 11% a year through the next five years if the consensus growth rate is correct -- and multiple compression towards an earnings multiple of 22 is already included in that estimate. Due to the fact that TSM is trading above its normal range today, I believe that a 27x earnings multiple will not be maintained, but an earnings multiple in the low 20s seems quite reasonable to me. Even if the P/E ratio were to decline to just 20, TSM would still generate annual returns of 9% a year through 2026, assuming growth is as fast as expected. Since TSM has managed to beat profit estimates for 13 quarters in a row, one could assume that there is little risk that analyst estimates are suddenly too aggressive -- in fact, returns could be slightly higher than what the above model indicates if the beating of expectations continues.</p>\n<p>Overall, TSM looks like a very solid long-term investment if one seeks a play that gives exposure to the whole semiconductor industry and its long-term growth tailwinds. </p>\n<p>TSM pays a dividend yielding around 1.7% today, which is not overly much, but still more than what one can get from the broad market. Combined with a 5-year dividend growth rate of 13%, Taiwan Semiconductor seems like an appealing choice for a dividend growth investment -- the overall pretty strong Dividend Grades from Seeking Alpha's quant algorithm underline this. It would, of course, be great if one could buy TSM at or closer to the median earnings multiples from the past, but there is no immediate catalyst that could bring shares back down below $100, and it is far from certain that this will happen at all.</p>\n<p>Overall, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company thus looks like a very solid long-term pick, even though total returns will likely be negatively impacted by some multiple compression in the long run. Annual returns, including dividends, in the 9%-12% range are realistic when one has a multi-year investment horizon, I believe. This is far from what one got over the last five years (more than 30% a year), but this could easily be enough to beat the returns of the market through 2026, I believe.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Taiwan Semiconductor Stock A Good Long-Term Investment? What To Consider</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Taiwan Semiconductor Stock A Good Long-Term Investment? What To Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 14:11 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444222-taiwan-semiconductor-stock-good-long-term-investment><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTSM offers exposure to the growing semiconductor industry in a diversified way, as it will benefit from growth at NVIDIA, Apple, and many more.\nThe company's business model has some ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444222-taiwan-semiconductor-stock-good-long-term-investment\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444222-taiwan-semiconductor-stock-good-long-term-investment","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136485652","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSM offers exposure to the growing semiconductor industry in a diversified way, as it will benefit from growth at NVIDIA, Apple, and many more.\nThe company's business model has some disadvantages as well, mainly its relatively high capital requirements that limit its FCF conversion rate.\nTSM is trading above its longer-term valuation range, but shares could still deliver attractive returns in the long run.\n\nArticle Thesis\nThe semiconductor industry has experienced rapid growth in recent years, and the long-term outlook remains strong as well. Chips are integral for our way of life and for our economy, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), as one of the largest manufacturers in the space, is poised to benefit from long-term growth trends. Investors should, apart from the growth prospects, also consider TSM's valuation and the risks for the business. Overall, TSM still seems like a company that could deliver attractive returns in the long run.\nTaiwan Semiconductor As A Play On Global Semiconductor Demand Growth\nOver the last couple of decades, the global semiconductor industry has experienced rapid growth, as chips have become integral for almost everything we do, from work to our personal communication, and even for the way we spend our free time. These trends -- digitalization & technification -- are still in play, and it seems highly unlikely that we will be using fewer technical gadgets and products in a decade or two. In fact, it seems, to me, pretty much certain that our chip usage will grow even more, due to megatrends such as the internet of things, smart products, self-driving cars, wearable tech, and so on. Even trends such as working from home will lead to fewer meetings that will be conducted in-person, which will, in turn, lead to higher demand for at-home technical equipment and processing power in server farms that handle video conferences. New and emerging technologies, such as the Metaverse as the next-generation internet, will require more processing power compared to current technologies as well, which will, in turn, lead to higher chip demand. Overall, the growth outlook for the semiconductor industry is thus strong and will remain strong for a long time, I believe. This does not necessarily mean that every company in this space will grow forever, but it is, of course, better to be active in a high-growth industry rather than a low-growth industry, all else equal.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, as the leading contract manufacturer in the world, will benefit from higher demand for contract manufacturing. This, in turn, will be driven by the increasing demand from fabless companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD (AMD), Apple (AAPL), and many more that are paying TSM to manufacture their semiconductors.\nTaiwan Semiconductor's business model has the upside of allowing the company to benefit from growing chip demand overall, no matter which individual customer experiences the highest demand growth. On the other hand, there are also downsides to TSM's business model, mainly the fact that the buildout of new plants requires huge capital expenditures:\nData by YCharts\nTSM did generate operating cash flows of $29 billion over the last year, which results in a free cash flow of $9 billion once capital expenditures of $20 billion are subtracted. Net income, over the same time, was $18 billion, which means that TSM's free cash flow conversion rate was rather low, at just 50%. Other semiconductor companies, especially those that operate on a fabless basis, do generate significantly higher FCF relative to their net profits. One should, however, note that not all of TSM's capital expenditures are spent on maintenance projects, and growth spending will lead to higher cash flows at some point in the future. Still, TSM's business model means that its FCF is relatively weak relative to net profits, which limits the company's ability to grow via M&A or to return cash to the company's owners.\nIs TSM Stock Overvalued?\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company has seen its shares rise by 45% over the last year, which may lead to questions about its current valuation. It should, however, be noted that this is not that much more than the returns by the broad market over the same time frame, as the S&P 500 index (SPY) is up 35% over the last twelve months. TSM's stock trades significantly below the all-time high that was hit in early 2021 at $142, shares have declined by close to 20% over the last couple of months. Based on current earnings per share estimates for this fiscal year, TSM trades at 27x net profits, which is neither an overly high valuation nor an especially low valuation in absolute terms. On a relative basis, TSM looks significantly more expensive than it used to be:\nData by YCharts\nIn the above chart, we see that TSM was historically valued at 17x-23x its net profits, on average. At current prices, TSM trades about 20% above the 3-year median earnings multiple, and at a quite large 60% premium compared to the 10-year median. One can, of course, note that multiple expansion relative to the 10-year median is justified -- interest rates are ultra-low today, TSM's scale has improved and its moat has grown, and shares were arguably too cheap over much of the last decade. I would thus not call TSM overly expensive today, but it is still noteworthy that the company trades at a pretty clear premium compared to how shares were valued in the past.\nWhen we compare TSM's valuation to its growth rate, TSM does not look overly expensive, either. The company grew its earnings per share by 11% in the most recent quarter, and revenue growth has been in the double-digits, and as high as 45% in eight out of the last eight quarters. Strong growth will persist through the coming quarters and years from what we know today:\nSource: TSM presentation\nBased on management's current guidance, TSM will grow its revenue by 20% in Q3, compared to the previous year's quarter. On top of that, TSM's top line will hit a new record high, as revenues have never breached $14 billion before. Margins will, from what we know, not improve versus recent quarters, but top-line growth alone, at constant margins, will allow for an attractive increase in net profits.\nDue to the aforementioned tailwinds for the semiconductor industry as a whole, and thanks to a strong position for TSM when it comes to manufacturing processes such as 5nm and 7nm, which make up 50% of TSM's revenue, it is not a big surprise to see that analysts are forecasting attractive growth well beyond 2021. Current consensus estimates see TSM earning $5.53 per share in 2023, which gets us to a 2023 earnings multiple of 21, which I do not deem expensive for a major player in a growth industry such as TSM.\nWill TSM Stock Go Up?\nIn the near term, price movements are mostly driven by sentiment, and not really influenced by underlying results to a large degree. It thus seems pretty daring to try to estimate where prices will be a month or 3 months from now. The current consensus price target by the analyst community is $137, which indicates an upside of around 20% over the next year. The consensus rating by Wall Street analysts is also bullish, and the same holds true for the Seeking Alpha Quant rating, which stands at3.8, which is moderately bullish. With an RSI (relative strength index) of 48, Taiwan Semiconductor is neither overbought nor oversold. Over the next year, its share price could thus climb if the analyst community is correct, but this is far from certain, and the above-average valuation may pressure returns in the foreseeable future. It is, however, more important to try to evaluate where shares will be a couple of years from now, and the outlook is pretty solid for TSM in that regard.\nIs TSM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nDue to the aforementioned industry characteristics and TSM's sizeable moat when it comes to contract manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company has an attractive long-term growth outlook, I believe. Analysts are forecasting $5.53 in earnings per share for 2023, and growth beyond that point should remain meaningful as well -- analysts are expecting 16% growth annually in the long run.\nSource: FAST Graphs\nAs we see in the above chart, annual returns could come in around 11% a year through the next five years if the consensus growth rate is correct -- and multiple compression towards an earnings multiple of 22 is already included in that estimate. Due to the fact that TSM is trading above its normal range today, I believe that a 27x earnings multiple will not be maintained, but an earnings multiple in the low 20s seems quite reasonable to me. Even if the P/E ratio were to decline to just 20, TSM would still generate annual returns of 9% a year through 2026, assuming growth is as fast as expected. Since TSM has managed to beat profit estimates for 13 quarters in a row, one could assume that there is little risk that analyst estimates are suddenly too aggressive -- in fact, returns could be slightly higher than what the above model indicates if the beating of expectations continues.\nOverall, TSM looks like a very solid long-term investment if one seeks a play that gives exposure to the whole semiconductor industry and its long-term growth tailwinds. \nTSM pays a dividend yielding around 1.7% today, which is not overly much, but still more than what one can get from the broad market. Combined with a 5-year dividend growth rate of 13%, Taiwan Semiconductor seems like an appealing choice for a dividend growth investment -- the overall pretty strong Dividend Grades from Seeking Alpha's quant algorithm underline this. It would, of course, be great if one could buy TSM at or closer to the median earnings multiples from the past, but there is no immediate catalyst that could bring shares back down below $100, and it is far from certain that this will happen at all.\nOverall, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company thus looks like a very solid long-term pick, even though total returns will likely be negatively impacted by some multiple compression in the long run. Annual returns, including dividends, in the 9%-12% range are realistic when one has a multi-year investment horizon, I believe. This is far from what one got over the last five years (more than 30% a year), but this could easily be enough to beat the returns of the market through 2026, I believe.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899641103,"gmtCreate":1628181963502,"gmtModify":1703502787444,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy buy buy!!!","listText":"Buy buy buy!!!","text":"Buy buy buy!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899641103","repostId":"2157943956","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890375867,"gmtCreate":1628085387759,"gmtModify":1703500951222,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>higher please ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>higher please ","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$higher please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e308255577cdf7f1441a1d607a3a1c05","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890375867","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890378090,"gmtCreate":1628085281510,"gmtModify":1703500945444,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can I see the surge in Msft? ","listText":"Can I see the surge in Msft? ","text":"Can I see the surge in Msft?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890378090","repostId":"2156106776","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2156106776","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1628078987,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2156106776?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-04 20:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Walgreens sees surge in U.S. COVID-19 vaccinations in recent weeks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2156106776","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 4 (Reuters) - Drugstore chain Walgreens Boots Alliance said on Wednesday it had administered mo","content":"<html><body><p>Aug 4 (Reuters) - Drugstore chain <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a></p><p> said on Wednesday it had administered more than 29 million COVID-19 vaccines at its stores so far, led by a surge in parts of the United States that had lagged in vaccinations.</p><p> Vaccine administration surged more than 30% in states such as Alabama, Florida, Georgia and Kentucky in the past few weeks, the drugstore chain said.</p><p> The company, among the largest U.S. pharmacy chains, had said in June that it expects to administer 28 million vaccines this year.</p><p> Walgreens also said it had made masks mandatory for its U.S. employees and required staff working at U.S. support offices to be fully vaccinated, the latest company to update its policies as COVID-19 cases rise in the United States.</p><p> New guidance from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CDC\">$(CDC)$</a> that recommends fully vaccinated individuals wear mask as well as surging cases due to the more infectious Delta variant have led companies to rethink their policies.</p><p> Walgreens said on Wednesday it also encouraged all customers, including those who are vaccinated, to wear masks.</p><p> It said the vaccination mandate, which requires employees , to be inoculated by Sept. 30, does not apply to U.S. employees working in stores, distribution centers or other facilities.</p><p> Tyson Foods Inc , Microsoft Corp and Detroit's Big Three automakers also updated their vaccination and masking policies on Tuesday. </p><p> <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ New York becomes first U.S. city to order COVID vaccines for restaurants, gyms Tyson Foods, Microsoft mandate vaccinations, U.S. automakers mask up FACTBOX-Major U.S. companies making masks, vaccines mandatory </p><p> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^></p><p>(Reporting by Manas Mishra in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)</p><p>((Manas.Mishra@thomsonreuters.com; within U.S. +1 646 223 8780, outside U.S. +91 806749 2709;))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Walgreens sees surge in U.S. COVID-19 vaccinations in recent weeks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWalgreens sees surge in U.S. COVID-19 vaccinations in recent weeks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-04 20:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>Aug 4 (Reuters) - Drugstore chain <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a></p><p> said on Wednesday it had administered more than 29 million COVID-19 vaccines at its stores so far, led by a surge in parts of the United States that had lagged in vaccinations.</p><p> Vaccine administration surged more than 30% in states such as Alabama, Florida, Georgia and Kentucky in the past few weeks, the drugstore chain said.</p><p> The company, among the largest U.S. pharmacy chains, had said in June that it expects to administer 28 million vaccines this year.</p><p> Walgreens also said it had made masks mandatory for its U.S. employees and required staff working at U.S. support offices to be fully vaccinated, the latest company to update its policies as COVID-19 cases rise in the United States.</p><p> New guidance from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CDC\">$(CDC)$</a> that recommends fully vaccinated individuals wear mask as well as surging cases due to the more infectious Delta variant have led companies to rethink their policies.</p><p> Walgreens said on Wednesday it also encouraged all customers, including those who are vaccinated, to wear masks.</p><p> It said the vaccination mandate, which requires employees , to be inoculated by Sept. 30, does not apply to U.S. employees working in stores, distribution centers or other facilities.</p><p> Tyson Foods Inc , Microsoft Corp and Detroit's Big Three automakers also updated their vaccination and masking policies on Tuesday. </p><p> <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ New York becomes first U.S. city to order COVID vaccines for restaurants, gyms Tyson Foods, Microsoft mandate vaccinations, U.S. automakers mask up FACTBOX-Major U.S. companies making masks, vaccines mandatory </p><p> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^></p><p>(Reporting by Manas Mishra in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)</p><p>((Manas.Mishra@thomsonreuters.com; within U.S. +1 646 223 8780, outside U.S. +91 806749 2709;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2156106776","content_text":"Aug 4 (Reuters) - Drugstore chain Walgreens Boots Alliance said on Wednesday it had administered more than 29 million COVID-19 vaccines at its stores so far, led by a surge in parts of the United States that had lagged in vaccinations. Vaccine administration surged more than 30% in states such as Alabama, Florida, Georgia and Kentucky in the past few weeks, the drugstore chain said. The company, among the largest U.S. pharmacy chains, had said in June that it expects to administer 28 million vaccines this year. Walgreens also said it had made masks mandatory for its U.S. employees and required staff working at U.S. support offices to be fully vaccinated, the latest company to update its policies as COVID-19 cases rise in the United States. New guidance from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention $(CDC)$ that recommends fully vaccinated individuals wear mask as well as surging cases due to the more infectious Delta variant have led companies to rethink their policies. Walgreens said on Wednesday it also encouraged all customers, including those who are vaccinated, to wear masks. It said the vaccination mandate, which requires employees , to be inoculated by Sept. 30, does not apply to U.S. employees working in stores, distribution centers or other facilities. Tyson Foods Inc , Microsoft Corp and Detroit's Big Three automakers also updated their vaccination and masking policies on Tuesday. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ New York becomes first U.S. city to order COVID vaccines for restaurants, gyms Tyson Foods, Microsoft mandate vaccinations, U.S. automakers mask up FACTBOX-Major U.S. companies making masks, vaccines mandatory ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>(Reporting by Manas Mishra in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)((Manas.Mishra@thomsonreuters.com; within U.S. +1 646 223 8780, outside U.S. +91 806749 2709;))","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":129642532,"gmtCreate":1624372218626,"gmtModify":1703834791827,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Heated competition but I believe Tesla will still remain as market leader for years to come.","listText":"Heated competition but I believe Tesla will still remain as market leader for years to come.","text":"Heated competition but I believe Tesla will still remain as market leader for years to come.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129642532","repostId":"1162790761","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162790761","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624368177,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162790761?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 21:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Still Leads America's EV Dominance but for How Much Longer?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162790761","media":"The Street","summary":"Tesla's domestic rivals such as Ford and GM have committed to spending billions on EVs in the coming","content":"<blockquote>\n Tesla's domestic rivals such as Ford and GM have committed to spending billions on EVs in the coming years, and all three face formidable competition from international rivals.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report shares have fallen by close to a third since the clean-energy carmaker hit a January peak of $900, but it remains the world's most valuable automotive company even as its grip on the electric vehicle (EV) market, as well as the zeitgeist, looks increasingly fragile.</p>\n<p>Spurred by governments pledging an end to gas-powered cars in major markets around the world, U.S. automakers are readying to invest more than $250 billion over the next five years to close the gap on Tesla's electric vehicle dominance and gradually wean themselves from a reliance on combustion-engine cars and light trucks.</p>\n<p>Last month, Ford Motor Fpledged to invest at least $30 billionin EVs by 2025, while General Motors (<b>GM</b>) -Get Report isreportedly ready to trump that investmentby $5 billion. Both U.S. carmakers are aiming to expand battery production and EV model rollouts over the next five years as they chase Tesla's leadership at home and in China, the world's biggest car market.</p>\n<p>And the pair have a lot of chasing to do: although electric cars comprise a tiny total of the 14.5 million vehicles sold in the U.S. last year, most were made by Elon Musk's company. Tesla sold just over 200,000 electric cars in the U.S. in 2020, nearly ten times more than GM's best (at least to date) EV option, the Chevy Bolt.</p>\n<p>U.S. EV makers also facing increasing pressure from global giants such as Volkswagen (<b>VLKAY</b>), which wants to sell one million electric and hybrid cars this year, while spending €35 billion ($42.4 billion) by 2025 to expand battery production and fleet offerings in a bid to dominate the European market.</p>\n<p>Toyota (<b>TM</b>) -Get Report, the world's biggest carmaker and the first company to sell electric cars in volume, plans to have 70 EV models on the market by 2025 and use its legacy foothold in China -- where the Corolla is a perennial favorite -- to boost overall sales.</p>\n<p>So where does that leave U.S. automakers in their drive to capture the lion's share of the industry's next century?</p>\n<p>Much will depend on President Joe Biden's ambitions of investing around $175 billion in clean-energy car infrastructure, including charging stations and tax incentives, in order to spark a change in perception for the American car buyer, who has yet to find electric vehicles nearly as exciting as the media.</p>\n<p>Tax incentives might help, and Senate lawmakers are moving a bill that could boost the current maximum credit for buyers of an EV from $7,500 to $12,500, but lifetime limits for manufacturers of 200,000 eligible vehicles is a laughably absurd figure (GM passed it three years ago) that is holding back EV adoption.</p>\n<p>Battery costs, too, must come down if carmakers are going to build profit margins that justify the billions they've invested in developing EVs (that also limit shareholder friendly initiatives such as buybacks and dividends).</p>\n<p>Ford hopes to cut its battery costs to $80 per kilowatt hour by 2030 from $155 currently, a figure GM hopes to reach by 2025, but Tesla wants to get that number down to $55, and if successful, would extend its lead over domestic rivals.</p>\n<p>That might explain Tesla's near $600 billion market value -- some seven times more than GM, which sold 13.6 times more cars than Tesla last year -- and the assumption that it will continue its EV market dominance.</p>\n<p>But that leadership is based on Tesla's strength in China, where the country's passenger car association said it had an 11.6% market share of EV sales last year, where it remains vulnerable to government edicts and favored domestic rivals, and the sale of carbon credits that flatter its bottom line and account for more profits than the sale of four-wheel products.</p>\n<p>Ford and GM, meanwhile, face deep-pocketed rivals in the form of VW and Toyota that also have the added advantage of footholds in markets that the U.S. pair have either abandoned (Europe) or in which they are merely nascent (China).</p>\n<p>Furthermore, tax breaks that create union jobs -- a stated ambition of the Biden EV infrastructure plans -- are unlikely to find favor in a bill that has little support among Republican lawmakers, and should Congress flip in 2022 to GOP control, you wouldn't bet on deeper support from a government saddled with record budget deficits and $21 trillion in debt.</p>\n<p>Ford's coming electrified F-150, a revamp of the world's most popular vehicle, could change American buyer perception, but a decade of false starts, from the Volt to Focus and others, have yet to be fully overcome.</p>\n<p>We won't be driving combustion-engine cars in 25 years, that's for sure -- in fact, we may not be driving much at all if autonomous technology reaches the lofty goals its creators have set -- but we simply can't say for sure whether Tesla, or any American company, will be making the ones that we do.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Still Leads America's EV Dominance but for How Much Longer?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Still Leads America's EV Dominance but for How Much Longer?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 21:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-still-leads-americas-ev-dominance-but-for-how-long><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's domestic rivals such as Ford and GM have committed to spending billions on EVs in the coming years, and all three face formidable competition from international rivals.\n\nTesla (TSLA) -Get ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-still-leads-americas-ev-dominance-but-for-how-long\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-still-leads-americas-ev-dominance-but-for-how-long","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162790761","content_text":"Tesla's domestic rivals such as Ford and GM have committed to spending billions on EVs in the coming years, and all three face formidable competition from international rivals.\n\nTesla (TSLA) -Get Report shares have fallen by close to a third since the clean-energy carmaker hit a January peak of $900, but it remains the world's most valuable automotive company even as its grip on the electric vehicle (EV) market, as well as the zeitgeist, looks increasingly fragile.\nSpurred by governments pledging an end to gas-powered cars in major markets around the world, U.S. automakers are readying to invest more than $250 billion over the next five years to close the gap on Tesla's electric vehicle dominance and gradually wean themselves from a reliance on combustion-engine cars and light trucks.\nLast month, Ford Motor Fpledged to invest at least $30 billionin EVs by 2025, while General Motors (GM) -Get Report isreportedly ready to trump that investmentby $5 billion. Both U.S. carmakers are aiming to expand battery production and EV model rollouts over the next five years as they chase Tesla's leadership at home and in China, the world's biggest car market.\nAnd the pair have a lot of chasing to do: although electric cars comprise a tiny total of the 14.5 million vehicles sold in the U.S. last year, most were made by Elon Musk's company. Tesla sold just over 200,000 electric cars in the U.S. in 2020, nearly ten times more than GM's best (at least to date) EV option, the Chevy Bolt.\nU.S. EV makers also facing increasing pressure from global giants such as Volkswagen (VLKAY), which wants to sell one million electric and hybrid cars this year, while spending €35 billion ($42.4 billion) by 2025 to expand battery production and fleet offerings in a bid to dominate the European market.\nToyota (TM) -Get Report, the world's biggest carmaker and the first company to sell electric cars in volume, plans to have 70 EV models on the market by 2025 and use its legacy foothold in China -- where the Corolla is a perennial favorite -- to boost overall sales.\nSo where does that leave U.S. automakers in their drive to capture the lion's share of the industry's next century?\nMuch will depend on President Joe Biden's ambitions of investing around $175 billion in clean-energy car infrastructure, including charging stations and tax incentives, in order to spark a change in perception for the American car buyer, who has yet to find electric vehicles nearly as exciting as the media.\nTax incentives might help, and Senate lawmakers are moving a bill that could boost the current maximum credit for buyers of an EV from $7,500 to $12,500, but lifetime limits for manufacturers of 200,000 eligible vehicles is a laughably absurd figure (GM passed it three years ago) that is holding back EV adoption.\nBattery costs, too, must come down if carmakers are going to build profit margins that justify the billions they've invested in developing EVs (that also limit shareholder friendly initiatives such as buybacks and dividends).\nFord hopes to cut its battery costs to $80 per kilowatt hour by 2030 from $155 currently, a figure GM hopes to reach by 2025, but Tesla wants to get that number down to $55, and if successful, would extend its lead over domestic rivals.\nThat might explain Tesla's near $600 billion market value -- some seven times more than GM, which sold 13.6 times more cars than Tesla last year -- and the assumption that it will continue its EV market dominance.\nBut that leadership is based on Tesla's strength in China, where the country's passenger car association said it had an 11.6% market share of EV sales last year, where it remains vulnerable to government edicts and favored domestic rivals, and the sale of carbon credits that flatter its bottom line and account for more profits than the sale of four-wheel products.\nFord and GM, meanwhile, face deep-pocketed rivals in the form of VW and Toyota that also have the added advantage of footholds in markets that the U.S. pair have either abandoned (Europe) or in which they are merely nascent (China).\nFurthermore, tax breaks that create union jobs -- a stated ambition of the Biden EV infrastructure plans -- are unlikely to find favor in a bill that has little support among Republican lawmakers, and should Congress flip in 2022 to GOP control, you wouldn't bet on deeper support from a government saddled with record budget deficits and $21 trillion in debt.\nFord's coming electrified F-150, a revamp of the world's most popular vehicle, could change American buyer perception, but a decade of false starts, from the Volt to Focus and others, have yet to be fully overcome.\nWe won't be driving combustion-engine cars in 25 years, that's for sure -- in fact, we may not be driving much at all if autonomous technology reaches the lofty goals its creators have set -- but we simply can't say for sure whether Tesla, or any American company, will be making the ones that we do.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583318222987864","authorId":"3583318222987864","name":"TheMilkyWay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/190d59bcbcc876e15543cbd430d8c1f2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3583318222987864","authorIdStr":"3583318222987864"},"content":"Still buying, still holding. Because of first mover’s advantage it’ll probably rocket & dominate for a few years. But I believe compeition will probably catch up very quickily.","text":"Still buying, still holding. Because of first mover’s advantage it’ll probably rocket & dominate for a few years. But I believe compeition will probably catch up very quickily.","html":"Still buying, still holding. Because of first mover’s advantage it’ll probably rocket & dominate for a few years. But I believe compeition will probably catch up very quickily."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146323794,"gmtCreate":1626054827718,"gmtModify":1703752426065,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>great buy now! After lunch it will shoot up above 200. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>great buy now! After lunch it will shoot up above 200. ","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$great buy now! After lunch it will shoot up above 200.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146323794","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575197281936888","authorId":"3575197281936888","name":"Wei_118","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ba87fc9c0b7e4dd09ea9e2b561b741e","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3575197281936888","authorIdStr":"3575197281936888"},"content":"great buy, yes... but shoot up not so fast","text":"great buy, yes... but shoot up not so fast","html":"great buy, yes... but shoot up not so fast"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182934309,"gmtCreate":1623550117601,"gmtModify":1704205843868,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I will scoop up more shares of the fundamentally good companies if the price drops. Preparing my warchest now!","listText":"I will scoop up more shares of the fundamentally good companies if the price drops. Preparing my warchest now!","text":"I will scoop up more shares of the fundamentally good companies if the price drops. Preparing my warchest now!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182934309","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1118102755?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p>\n<p>The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p>\n<p>The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p>\n<p>What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Rising yields</b></p>\n<p>Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p>\n<p>“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p>\n<p>That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p>\n<p><b>Fed tapering</b></p>\n<p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p>\n<p>“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p>\n<p>“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p>\n<p>He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p>\n<p>As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p>\n<p><b>How to prepare</b></p>\n<p>When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p>\n<p>The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p>\n<p>Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p>\n<p>“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p>\n<p>Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p>\n<p><b>Your five-point game plan</b></p>\n<p><b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p>\n<p>When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p>\n<p>“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p>\n<p><b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p>\n<p>Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p>\n<p>I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p>\n<p><b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p>\n<p>If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p>\n<p>“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p>\n<p>Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p>\n<p><b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p>\n<p>Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p>\n<p><b>5. Go with financials</b></p>\n<p>Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p>\n<p>The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-12 11:39 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569313801991301","authorId":"3569313801991301","name":"开开心心好心情的兄弟","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dff103551cc901aee1ee3b3d32ec232c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569313801991301","authorIdStr":"3569313801991301"},"content":"don't trust fake news. they have been talking about inflation since 2007. they want us to panic sell so they can buy","text":"don't trust fake news. they have been talking about inflation since 2007. they want us to panic sell so they can buy","html":"don't trust fake news. they have been talking about inflation since 2007. they want us to panic sell so they can buy"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195386568,"gmtCreate":1621257973554,"gmtModify":1704354733024,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>enough said! Telsa is too cheap not to add more! Comment and like if you agree.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>enough said! Telsa is too cheap not to add more! Comment and like if you agree.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$enough said! Telsa is too cheap not to add more! Comment and like if you agree.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd96ffd7137ad28b577572295c69f7c6","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195386568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581589006573181","authorId":"3581589006573181","name":"DonSueme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23763d63561dc97eada8698eba5988e8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581589006573181","authorIdStr":"3581589006573181"},"content":"That's true","text":"That's true","html":"That's true"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172057439,"gmtCreate":1626923053021,"gmtModify":1703480665347,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alibaba is slowly becoming like Tencent Holding by going around investing in companies outside of core business. This is good for investor as the business is expanding. ","listText":"Alibaba is slowly becoming like Tencent Holding by going around investing in companies outside of core business. This is good for investor as the business is expanding. ","text":"Alibaba is slowly becoming like Tencent Holding by going around investing in companies outside of core business. This is good for investor as the business is expanding.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172057439","repostId":"2153123625","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2153123625","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626920092,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153123625?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-22 10:14","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Xpeng's Hong Kong shares hit new high on joining Hang Seng indexes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153123625","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Hong Kong shares of Chinese electric-car maker Xpeng Inc rise 6.6% to HK$172.40, their highest si","content":"<p>** Hong Kong shares of Chinese electric-car maker Xpeng Inc rise 6.6% to HK$172.40, their highest since listing on July 7, and on course for fifth consecutive session of gains</p>\n<p>** Stock, sixth biggest percentage gainer in the Hang Seng Composite Index , set for best day since listing</p>\n<p>** Xpeng meets the Fast Entry Rule and joins the Hang Seng Composite Index and Hang Seng Consumer Goods & Services Index from July 21</p>\n<p>** China's e-commerce major Alibaba Group takes long position in Xpeng, buying 191.9 mln, or 14.97%, of the company's Hong Kong shares, filing shows</p>\n<p>** The Hong Kong Hang Seng consumer goods and services index climbs 1.02% and the Hang Seng Composite Index jumps 1.5%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rises 1.6% and the benchmark index gains 1.7%</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Xpeng's Hong Kong shares hit new high on joining Hang Seng indexes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXpeng's Hong Kong shares hit new high on joining Hang Seng indexes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-22 10:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Hong Kong shares of Chinese electric-car maker Xpeng Inc rise 6.6% to HK$172.40, their highest since listing on July 7, and on course for fifth consecutive session of gains</p>\n<p>** Stock, sixth biggest percentage gainer in the Hang Seng Composite Index , set for best day since listing</p>\n<p>** Xpeng meets the Fast Entry Rule and joins the Hang Seng Composite Index and Hang Seng Consumer Goods & Services Index from July 21</p>\n<p>** China's e-commerce major Alibaba Group takes long position in Xpeng, buying 191.9 mln, or 14.97%, of the company's Hong Kong shares, filing shows</p>\n<p>** The Hong Kong Hang Seng consumer goods and services index climbs 1.02% and the Hang Seng Composite Index jumps 1.5%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rises 1.6% and the benchmark index gains 1.7%</p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09988":"阿里巴巴-W","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BABA":"阿里巴巴","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153123625","content_text":"** Hong Kong shares of Chinese electric-car maker Xpeng Inc rise 6.6% to HK$172.40, their highest since listing on July 7, and on course for fifth consecutive session of gains\n** Stock, sixth biggest percentage gainer in the Hang Seng Composite Index , set for best day since listing\n** Xpeng meets the Fast Entry Rule and joins the Hang Seng Composite Index and Hang Seng Consumer Goods & Services Index from July 21\n** China's e-commerce major Alibaba Group takes long position in Xpeng, buying 191.9 mln, or 14.97%, of the company's Hong Kong shares, filing shows\n** The Hong Kong Hang Seng consumer goods and services index climbs 1.02% and the Hang Seng Composite Index jumps 1.5%\n** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rises 1.6% and the benchmark index gains 1.7%","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3578686285736482","authorId":"3578686285736482","name":"WilliamQuan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ce36b4de3c373f1ae0b40da77a0b3f","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578686285736482","authorIdStr":"3578686285736482"},"content":"Big rally is imminent.","text":"Big rally is imminent.","html":"Big rally is imminent."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157079677,"gmtCreate":1625558295199,"gmtModify":1703743645660,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>got a feeling tesla will hit 700 again today!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>got a feeling tesla will hit 700 again today!","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$got a feeling tesla will hit 700 again today!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157079677","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572340110776544","authorId":"3572340110776544","name":"贝尔尼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9524ec5af5bdb3f9187abb90405355ac","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572340110776544","authorIdStr":"3572340110776544"},"content":"[Call] [Call]","text":"[Call] [Call]","html":"[Call] [Call]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152270432,"gmtCreate":1625303378126,"gmtModify":1703740246649,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That goes without saying! Believe in Alibaba and it will not disappoint you ","listText":"That goes without saying! Believe in Alibaba and it will not disappoint you ","text":"That goes without saying! Believe in Alibaba and it will not disappoint you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152270432","repostId":"1146176335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146176335","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625277627,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146176335?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146176335","media":"The Street","summary":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?Alibaba -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.Howeve","content":"<blockquote>\n Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n</blockquote>\n<p>Alibaba (<b>BABA</b>) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.</p>\n<p>Regulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.</p>\n<p>Investors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.</p>\n<p>However, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.</p>\n<p>All of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.</p>\n<p>It also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (<b>GOOGL</b>) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (<b>NFLX</b>) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.</p>\n<p>Alibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.</p>\n<p>Can it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9975f383919ff8cfc34fca49a32d8e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\"></p>\n<p>Call me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.</p>\n<p>The overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”</p>\n<p>Shares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.</p>\n<p>Specifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.</p>\n<p>Let’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.</p>\n<p>However, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.</p>\n<p>A push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.</p>\n<p>Keep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Turn Around Its Woes in the Second Half of 2021?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 10:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/alibaba-baba-stock-second-half-2021-trading?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146176335","content_text":"Alibaba has been a sore laggard compared with its large- and mega-cap peers. Can that change in the second half of 2021?\n\nAlibaba (BABA) -Get Report has been a total dog so far this year. Shares were trading well into the fourth quarter of 2020 but then a string of issues pummeled the stock.\nRegulators disrupted Ant's initial public offering, then dug deeper on Alibaba and dialed up the heat.\nInvestors don’t like regulatory issues as it is but particularly when we’re dealing with Chinese regulators.\nHowever, in April, Alibaba paid a smaller-than-expectedbut still record fine, hoping to puts its regulatory issues behind it. Still, the stock hasn’t responded the way bulls were hoping.\nAll of this comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to grind outnew all-time highs.\nIt also comes as FAANG stocks continue to trade incredibly well. Alphabet (GOOGL) -Get Reportis the top performerwith a near-40% gain in the first half of the year, while Netflix (NFLX) -Get Report is the worst, with a 2.3% drop.\nAlibaba has a similar first-half performance, down 2.6%. However, it’s doing far worse from the highs, down more than 30%.\nCan it turn around its woes in the second half and start rallying higher?\n\nCall me a hopeless optimist, but I feel that Alibaba can have a solid second-half performance.\nThe overall market has done too well and so has large-cap tech. The fundamentals of the business are intact and growth is strong. It’s like Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report.Eventually, it will perform better - it’s a question of “when” and not “if.”\nShares continue to hold the $210 to $212 area and have recently cleared downtrend resistance (blue line). That said, there’s plenty of overhead hurdles.\nSpecifically, Alibaba stock is struggling with the 21-week moving average, as well as the 21-month and 10-month moving averages.\nLet’s be clear: There are not a lot of bullish technical components here. If Alibaba stock could hold the 10-week moving average on this week’s dip, I’d feel better about it.\nHowever, as long as it can hold up over the $210 level and really, the 200-week moving average, I feel okay about Alibaba going into the next six months.\nA push over $235 - thus putting it over all of the moving average hurdles mentioned above - could open up a run to $250, then $263. Above $275 and $300 is in play.\nKeep the risk in mind but this could be a solid second-half rebound play.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568271286196651","authorId":"3568271286196651","name":"fionat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690b4ea91c83e331febd6098848bb10b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568271286196651","authorIdStr":"3568271286196651"},"content":"I believe in Alibaba’s business model but there is uncertainty whether there will be regulatory hurdles/intervention","text":"I believe in Alibaba’s business model but there is uncertainty whether there will be regulatory hurdles/intervention","html":"I believe in Alibaba’s business model but there is uncertainty whether there will be regulatory hurdles/intervention"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157538491,"gmtCreate":1625587581513,"gmtModify":1703744543531,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>is the drop linked to teenage boy died in car crashing involving Tesla 3 model?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>is the drop linked to teenage boy died in car crashing involving Tesla 3 model?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$is the drop linked to teenage boy died in car crashing involving Tesla 3 model?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157538491","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3564479083780631","authorId":"3564479083780631","name":"第N次大变革大分流","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ac78897b78c47a3afab38088cf5216c","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3564479083780631","authorIdStr":"3564479083780631"},"content":"Isn't that what happened in 2019?","text":"Isn't that what happened in 2019?","html":"Isn't that what happened in 2019?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":334188987703312,"gmtCreate":1722622521218,"gmtModify":1722622527428,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"dark day ahead. be careful all","listText":"dark day ahead. be careful all","text":"dark day ahead. be careful all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/334188987703312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145301197,"gmtCreate":1626188324919,"gmtModify":1703755211203,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>want to sell at 27 but looks like it is tough. I shall wait until below 20 then I average down ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>want to sell at 27 but looks like it is tough. I shall wait until below 20 then I average down ","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$want to sell at 27 but looks like it is tough. I shall wait until below 20 then I average down","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/359b76be855038b54075a52587847b46","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/145301197","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3567677840969285","authorId":"3567677840969285","name":"Louisyeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66bbc54ec9060c876ff06d2803119ada","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567677840969285","authorIdStr":"3567677840969285"},"content":"Sell aNd run away","text":"Sell aNd run away","html":"Sell aNd run away"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130191305,"gmtCreate":1621517720707,"gmtModify":1704358926633,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Except for Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are still undervalued. ","listText":"Except for Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are still undervalued. ","text":"Except for Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are still undervalued.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130191305","repostId":"1161150268","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161150268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621565435,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161150268?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-21 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the future for Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Apple and other pricey growth stocks isn’t so bright","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161150268","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It will be virtually impossible for some of the U.S. stock market’s largest companies to grow fast enough to justify their current valuations.Deluard used these extremely generous assumptions because they apply to the so-called MAGA stocks . Those four companies’ revenues have grown at a 26% annualized pace, on average, over the past 17 years, and their average current price-to-sales ratio is 6.4.Using a discount rate of 10% to calculate the present value of what these 351 companies would be wor","content":"<p>It will be virtually impossible for some of the U.S. stock market’s largest companies to grow fast enough to justify their current valuations.</p><p>That’s the conclusion reached by a recent study conducted by Vincent Deluard, head of global macro strategy at investment firm StoneX. His argument isn’t just that certain large-cap growth companies are trading on the assumption their revenues will grow at improbably fast rates. He adds that even if a given company does grow at a fast-enough pace, it soon would be larger than the market as a whole. In that case “valuations are mathematically impossible.”</p><p>There are limits to growth, in other words. As John Maynard Keynes put it a century ago: trees don’t grow to the sky.</p><p>To illustrate, Deluard analyzed the 351 companies within the Russell 3000 index that trade for more than 10 times sales. That’s much higher than the market as a whole; the S&P 500’s price-to-sales ratio is 3.0. Deluard generously assumed that these companies’ revenue will grow by a factor of 54 over the next 17 years —equivalent to 26% annualized. He further assumed that, at the end of those 17 years, their price-to-sales ratios would be 6.4-to-1.</p><p>Deluard used these extremely generous assumptions because they apply to the so-called MAGA stocks (Microsoft,Apple,Alphabet’s Google and Amazon.com). Those four companies’ revenues have grown at a 26% annualized pace, on average, over the past 17 years, and their average current price-to-sales ratio is 6.4.</p><p>Using a discount rate of 10% to calculate the present value of what these 351 companies would be worth in 2038 under his assumptions, Deluard found that 59 of them already have higher market caps. In other words, “the market currently expects that almost 60 companies will be more successful [over the next 17 years] than Microsoft, Apple, Google and Amazon [have been over the last 17].”</p><p>Given the increasingly “winner-take-all” U.S. economy, it is in fact most unlikely that there will be many MAGA-like stocks in 2038. After all, the four current MAGA stocks represent around 20% of the total market cap of the S&P 500. These 59 emerging MAGA stocks’ combined market cap in 2038 would therefore be larger than the overall market under any realistic assumptions of the equity market’s performance over the next 17 years.</p><p><b>How realistic are Deluard’s assumptions?</b></p><p>Deluard’s assumptions are generous, but he himself does not think they are realistic, I hasten to add. His point is that, even with them, it’s hard to justify the valuations of many of today’s high-flying growth stocks.</p><p>One way he illustrates how unrealistic his assumptions are is to calculate how many years it will take the MAGA stocks to “grow into their valuations.” Take Microsoft, for example, which currently trades at a price-to-sales ratio (PSR) of nearly 12-to-1. Eventually, of course, the company’s PSR will converge with that of the overall market (currently with a PSR of 3.0), since otherwise the company would have to grow so fast as to become almost as large as the market itself (if not larger).</p><p>Deluard calculates the number of years it will take for this convergence to take place, even with the generous assumption that Microsoft’s revenue grows for the foreseeable future at the same pace it has for the last five years. Even if its stock price goes nowhere, he reports, this convergence will take 17 years.</p><p>The analogy Deluard draws is to the so-called Nifty Fifty stocks of the early 1970s. They were the high-flying blue-chip stocks that became so popular that their P/E ratios at the top of the bull market in late 1972 were, on average, double that of the overall market. Though their revenue continued to grow at a fast pace in subsequent years, their extreme overvaluation meant that their stock prices still went nowhere or declined for years thereafter.</p><p>Another analogy is to Cisco Systems stock at the top of the late 1990s internet bubble, when it briefly was the most valuable stock in the world. Since then the company’s sales have grown at more than twice the rate of the average S&P 500 company. And yet, despite this impressive growth, the company’s stock today is well below where it stood then. Deluard believes that a similar fate faces not just the MAGA stocks, but also the U.S. market’s many other extremely overvalued growth stocks.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the future for Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Apple and other pricey growth stocks isn’t so bright</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the future for Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Apple and other pricey growth stocks isn’t so bright\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 10:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-future-for-microsoft-amazon-google-apple-and-other-pricey-growth-stocks-isnt-so-bright-11621462054?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It will be virtually impossible for some of the U.S. stock market’s largest companies to grow fast enough to justify their current valuations.That’s the conclusion reached by a recent study conducted ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-future-for-microsoft-amazon-google-apple-and-other-pricey-growth-stocks-isnt-so-bright-11621462054?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GOOG":"谷歌","MSFT":"微软",".DJI":"道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-future-for-microsoft-amazon-google-apple-and-other-pricey-growth-stocks-isnt-so-bright-11621462054?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161150268","content_text":"It will be virtually impossible for some of the U.S. stock market’s largest companies to grow fast enough to justify their current valuations.That’s the conclusion reached by a recent study conducted by Vincent Deluard, head of global macro strategy at investment firm StoneX. His argument isn’t just that certain large-cap growth companies are trading on the assumption their revenues will grow at improbably fast rates. He adds that even if a given company does grow at a fast-enough pace, it soon would be larger than the market as a whole. In that case “valuations are mathematically impossible.”There are limits to growth, in other words. As John Maynard Keynes put it a century ago: trees don’t grow to the sky.To illustrate, Deluard analyzed the 351 companies within the Russell 3000 index that trade for more than 10 times sales. That’s much higher than the market as a whole; the S&P 500’s price-to-sales ratio is 3.0. Deluard generously assumed that these companies’ revenue will grow by a factor of 54 over the next 17 years —equivalent to 26% annualized. He further assumed that, at the end of those 17 years, their price-to-sales ratios would be 6.4-to-1.Deluard used these extremely generous assumptions because they apply to the so-called MAGA stocks (Microsoft,Apple,Alphabet’s Google and Amazon.com). Those four companies’ revenues have grown at a 26% annualized pace, on average, over the past 17 years, and their average current price-to-sales ratio is 6.4.Using a discount rate of 10% to calculate the present value of what these 351 companies would be worth in 2038 under his assumptions, Deluard found that 59 of them already have higher market caps. In other words, “the market currently expects that almost 60 companies will be more successful [over the next 17 years] than Microsoft, Apple, Google and Amazon [have been over the last 17].”Given the increasingly “winner-take-all” U.S. economy, it is in fact most unlikely that there will be many MAGA-like stocks in 2038. After all, the four current MAGA stocks represent around 20% of the total market cap of the S&P 500. These 59 emerging MAGA stocks’ combined market cap in 2038 would therefore be larger than the overall market under any realistic assumptions of the equity market’s performance over the next 17 years.How realistic are Deluard’s assumptions?Deluard’s assumptions are generous, but he himself does not think they are realistic, I hasten to add. His point is that, even with them, it’s hard to justify the valuations of many of today’s high-flying growth stocks.One way he illustrates how unrealistic his assumptions are is to calculate how many years it will take the MAGA stocks to “grow into their valuations.” Take Microsoft, for example, which currently trades at a price-to-sales ratio (PSR) of nearly 12-to-1. Eventually, of course, the company’s PSR will converge with that of the overall market (currently with a PSR of 3.0), since otherwise the company would have to grow so fast as to become almost as large as the market itself (if not larger).Deluard calculates the number of years it will take for this convergence to take place, even with the generous assumption that Microsoft’s revenue grows for the foreseeable future at the same pace it has for the last five years. Even if its stock price goes nowhere, he reports, this convergence will take 17 years.The analogy Deluard draws is to the so-called Nifty Fifty stocks of the early 1970s. They were the high-flying blue-chip stocks that became so popular that their P/E ratios at the top of the bull market in late 1972 were, on average, double that of the overall market. Though their revenue continued to grow at a fast pace in subsequent years, their extreme overvaluation meant that their stock prices still went nowhere or declined for years thereafter.Another analogy is to Cisco Systems stock at the top of the late 1990s internet bubble, when it briefly was the most valuable stock in the world. Since then the company’s sales have grown at more than twice the rate of the average S&P 500 company. And yet, despite this impressive growth, the company’s stock today is well below where it stood then. Deluard believes that a similar fate faces not just the MAGA stocks, but also the U.S. market’s many other extremely overvalued growth stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563873670221480","authorId":"3563873670221480","name":"我i168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34b2d0551b5ab028c13ab35747c4df8c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3563873670221480","authorIdStr":"3563873670221480"},"content":"Not sure what he is taling about [Facepalm]","text":"Not sure what he is taling about [Facepalm]","html":"Not sure what he is taling about [Facepalm]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152574700,"gmtCreate":1625320154300,"gmtModify":1703740398361,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We have heard many times that the market is crashing. If we have waited for the low to get in, we would have lost the many gain opportunity. Time in the market is the right way to go. The best time to invest was yesterday and the next best time is now. We should disregard the noise and continue to stay invest. ","listText":"We have heard many times that the market is crashing. If we have waited for the low to get in, we would have lost the many gain opportunity. Time in the market is the right way to go. The best time to invest was yesterday and the next best time is now. We should disregard the noise and continue to stay invest. ","text":"We have heard many times that the market is crashing. If we have waited for the low to get in, we would have lost the many gain opportunity. Time in the market is the right way to go. The best time to invest was yesterday and the next best time is now. We should disregard the noise and continue to stay invest.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152574700","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188153141?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p>\n<p>That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p>\n<p>And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p>\n<p>Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p>\n<p><b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p>\n<p>Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p>\n<p>“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p>\n<p>While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p>\n<p>And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p>\n<p>What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p>\n<p>“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p>\n<p><b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p>\n<p>One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p>\n<p>But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p>\n<p>And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p>\n<p>How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p>\n<p>Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p>\n<p><b>1. Buy low</b></p>\n<p>Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p>\n<p>“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p>\n<p>She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p>\n<p>Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p>\n<p><b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p>\n<p>While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p>\n<p>She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p>\n<p>In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p>\n<p>“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p>\n<p>She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p>\n<p>This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p>\n<p>There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p>\n<p><b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p>\n<p>To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p>\n<p>Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p>\n<p>With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p>\n<p>“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p>\n<p>“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p>\n<p><b>What else you can do</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p>\n<p>Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p>\n<p>First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p>\n<p>Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p>\n<p>That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p>\n<p>If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p>\n<p>While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 09:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html><strong>MoneyWise</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3557227905112544","authorId":"3557227905112544","name":"ShaunVee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f64fe4fcaa4f1d2aedde844df964cb4","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557227905112544","authorIdStr":"3557227905112544"},"content":"If market is soooo mucccch predictable, why hasnt this guy become the riches person on earth? Yes i do agree, time in the matier is much more important than timing the market! [Victory][Victory]","text":"If market is soooo mucccch predictable, why hasnt this guy become the riches person on earth? Yes i do agree, time in the matier is much more important than timing the market! [Victory][Victory]","html":"If market is soooo mucccch predictable, why hasnt this guy become the riches person on earth? Yes i do agree, time in the matier is much more important than timing the market! [Victory][Victory]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125570152,"gmtCreate":1624682586576,"gmtModify":1703843580314,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Boat is leaving ","listText":"Boat is leaving ","text":"Boat is leaving","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125570152","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1164137597","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624671774,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164137597?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 09:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Can BABA Get Back To $300? Yes, It Can","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164137597","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.The Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by 2028 and more than 500 million people will be part of the middle class by end of 2023.Alibaba will experience tailwinds from individuals and businesses spending more money during this period of growth in China.Alibaba is the dominant force in cloud services in China which could become a significant revenue g","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.</li>\n <li>The Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by 2028 and more than 500 million people will be part of the middle class by end of 2023.</li>\n <li>Alibaba will experience tailwinds from individuals and businesses spending more money during this period of growth in China.</li>\n <li>Alibaba is the dominant force in cloud services in China which could become a significant revenue growth machine as the economy expands.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/814b0a9a0d17977f43665e2eba205b1e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Andrew Braun/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba(NYSE:BABA)operates a printing press that keeps spitting out tens of billions from total revenue down to net income. Many companies faced adversity throughout the pandemic, and some are still recovering, but not BABA. Through the worst economic environment for businesses to navigate in recent times, BABA generated over $100 billion in revenue and $20 billion in net income during their recent fiscal year. While BABA didn't get the memo about businesses facing challenges amidst the pandemic, the market must not have read BABA's earnings report or crunched the numbers.</p>\n<p>There are two Chinese companies I am bullish on, and BABA is my biggest conviction for appreciation. BABA smashed through the $300 share price level at the end of October 2020, but shareholders have been left confused and disappointed since then. It looked like BABA would turn the corner after a horrible end to 2020 as shares appreciated from $222.36 from the close of 2020 to $270.83 in the middle of February 2021. Still, the markets had other plans, and all shares of BABA have done is disappoint shareholders. If you missed the BABA train, it's time to grab your tickets and climb aboard, and if you purchased BABA during its run to $300 or early 2021 rebound, it might be time to add to your holdings. BABA is going to experience tremendous tailwinds from China's population and economic growth over the next several years, and their printing press is going to need more ink.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86da7b532f25f563d08490ddc43cbede\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>(Source: Alibaba)</span></p>\n<p><b>The Alibaba printing press is open for business, and it spits out billions</b></p>\n<p>How many companies can say their annual revenue through the pandemic exceeded $100 billion? The $100 billion revenue mark is a prestigious club that companies such as Facebook (FB),PepsiCo (PEP),Procter & Gamble (PG),Target (TGT), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) are not part of. BABA, on the other hand, witnessed its revenue increase by 52.11% and smash through $100 billion as they generated $109.47 billion in their recent fiscal year. For the year ending March 2019, BABA's revenue increased by $16.25 billion (40.74%) to $56.15 billion, then for the March 2020 fiscal year, revenue increased another $15.82 billion (28.17%) to $71.97 billion. BABA is in the same boat as Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL), FB, and Amazon (AMZN) as they watched the pandemic push more people to go digital which accelerated their businesses. For BABA, the forced transition to digital helped them achieve $37.5 billion (52.11%) in additional revenue as they finished their March 2021 fiscal year with $109.47 billion in revenue.</p>\n<p>Since 2013 BABA has not had a year where their annual revenue increase didn't exceed 25% Year over Year (YoY). When you think about that as a growth rate, it's remarkable for a company of BABA's size as this isn't a company chasing its first billion-dollar revenue year. Over the past 5 fiscal years, BABA's annual revenue has increased by $93.8 billion (408.08%) at an average annual rate of 48.25%. Smaller companies considered growth companies would be jealous of these rates, while many large caps are probably envious.</p>\n<p>BABA isn't a one-trick pony that can only generate tens of billions in revenue. BABA can convert right down to the bottom line. Each year BABA has increased its YoY gross profit by a minimum of 10% since 2013. In 2016 BABA generated $10.35 billion in gross profit and, over the next 5 fiscal years, increased its annual gross profit by $34.84 billion (336.68%). BABA has also never fallen below a 40% gross profit margin, Warren Buffett's magic number, as he indicates in<i>Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements. On page 34 of the Kindle edition,it says:</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n As a very general rule (and there are exceptions): Companies with gross profit margins of 40% or better tend to be companies with some sort of durable competitive advantage. Companies with gross profit margins below 40% tend to be companies in highly competitive industries, where competition is hurting overall profit margins (there are exceptions here, too).\n</blockquote>\n<p>The gross profit margin is important for investors to evaluate because it reveals how much of a company's revenue goes directly to producing it and if they have a moat around their business. BABA's numbers indicate they have a sufficient moat around their business that is hard to penetrate. With close to a decade of generating over 40% in gross profit margins, investors can expect that BABA's moat will protect its business operations for years to come.</p>\n<p>Moving to the bottom line BABA does a great job at generating profits. In their most recent fiscal year, BABA generated $22.98 billion in net income, converting more than 1/5th (20.99%) of their revenue to pure profits. Since 2013 BABA has only had 1 year where net income decreases YoY. With that track record, many options open up for BABA in the future as their cash stockpile continues to increase.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a5e036f023fa4ced7666e06aa1de6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"444\"><span>(Source: Alibaba)</span></p>\n<p><b>Alibaba will continue to experience tailwinds as China's population and economy expands</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba achieved one billion annual active consumers globally in the fiscal year that ended in March 2021. BABA has 891 million consumers across China's retail marketplace, local consumer services and digital media and entertainment platforms, and approximately 240 million consumers outside China. BABA's annual active consumers in the China retail marketplaces were 811 million as it grew by 85 million YoY. BABA will focus on developing a digital commerce infrastructure that offers an upgraded consumer experience by seamlessly integrating online and offline. Through BABA's infrastructure, countless retailers have digitally transformed their businesses and created multiple retail formats that have enabled new consumption experiences by leveraging consumer insights and technology. BABA's ecosystem, supply chain, and diversified fulfillment services have facilitated an immense digital transformation. By investing in its infrastructure, BABA's customers can now leverage a full range of high-frequency fulfillment services that include on-demand delivery, same-or-next day delivery, and next-day pick-up services for a full range of consumable and physical products.</p>\n<p>BABA will continue to be one of the cornerstones that supports growth within China's economy, which is benefiting from the acceleration of digitalization in all aspects of life and work. China is projected to be the world's largest economy by 2028. The per-capita income in China is expected to grow by roughly 50% from 2020 to 2025.China's average economic growth has been projected to increase at a rate of 5.7% from 2021 to 2025, then slow to 4.5% from 2026 to 2030. As a result,China is on track to join the top 1/3rd of nations and overtake 56 countries in the per capita income rankings by 2025. By the end of 2022, McKinsey predicts that the middle class could expand to 550 million people which is larger than the entire U.S population.</p>\n<p>If the projections for China are correct, this should mean a windfall of cash lining BABA's coffers. It's a simple recipe; when people make more money, they tend to spend more money to enhance their lives and increase their standard of living. As BABA is a dominant force in China's retail sector, they stand to benefit from a growing economy and a larger middle class. At the end of next year, if China has anywhere close to 550 million individuals in the middle class, I believe BABA's revenue and profits will increase significantly. This trend can provide tailwinds throughout the decade for BABA, and eventually, the market will reward shareholders based on BABA's value proposition.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbde4a092d19118a2d16daabf5c027d7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"463\"><span>(Source: Blomberg)</span></p>\n<p><b>Alibaba has tremendous growth prospects in Cloud as China continues its digitization</b></p>\n<p>Cloud computing has been red hot in the U.S. as the transition from on-prem to cloud has increased the technological capabilities for many organizations. As digitization progresses across the business landscape, cloud providers continue to increase revenue generated from their cloud segments within their overall revenue mix. For example, AWS, the cloud computing division from AMZN, generated $45.37 billion in 2020. Cloud continues to be an exciting sector because the digital transformation is far from being over. Hence, the prospects of new customers are enormous while reoccurring revenue is generated after the transition occurs.</p>\n<p>In China, cloud infrastructure services are still in the early innings as the entire spend was around $15 billion in 2020. In Q1 of 2021, cloud infrastructure services in China grew by 55% YoY as it reached $6 billion. China was the 2nd largest market behind the U.S, accounting for 14% of global investment, up from 12% in Q1 of 2020. With cloud spending and digitization in China increasing, this serves as a major runway for growth in Alibaba Cloud.</p>\n<p>As China's economy expands, businesses will need to become more efficient to support both operations and customer demands. Chinese companies will need to implement infrastructure that can support a digital age of the workforce while supporting cloud services used by consumers for consumption. If China passes the U.S. as the world's largest economy in the second half of this decade, the amount of growth needed in cloud services will be immense. BABA is already the leader in cloud infrastructure services in China as their 39.8% market share accounted for $2.39 billion of the $6 billion spent in Q1 2021. Over the previous 6 quarters, cloud infrastructure spending has increased by roughly $2.3 billion (76.67%) in China. Based on cloud's current trajectory, quarterly revenue is on track to double over the next 2 years, putting Q1 2023 revenue at $10.6 billion. If BABA has a 35% market share, their Q1 2023 would be $3.71 billion, placing their 2023 revenue for cloud at $14.84 billion without factoring in any growth in 2023. From a cloud aspect, China's future spending is very exciting, and BABA will be one of the major benefactors.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1759b81ce463d503a165d901e2e50d7c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"728\"><span>(Source: Canalys)</span></p>\n<p><b>Alibaba has stellar financial metrics and is undervalued compared to the U.S. tech conglomerates</b></p>\n<p>For this comparison, I am going to use AMZN and GOOGL as they have been establishing their dominance in the U.S. for more than a decade. First, here are the raw numbers for AMZN, BABA, and GOOGL:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMZN</li>\n <li>BABA</li>\n <li>GOOGL</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The market currently places a multiple of 17.03x on AMZN's equity compared to its market cap, while its revenue multiple is 4.2x. GOOGL has a multiple of 7.17x on its equity and 8.39x on its revenue compared to market cap. AMZN and GOOGL's market caps exceed $1.5 trillion, while BABA's sits at $575.57 billion. The market is placing a 3.5x multiple on BABA's equity and 5.26x on its revenue compared to the market cap. Thus, the market is severely discounting BABA's equity and revenue generation. BABA's equity is worth 28.58% of its market cap, while AMZN's equity is equivalent to 5.87%, and GOOGL's is 13.94% of its market cap. The current discount placed on BABA's equity could create an additional tailwind for shareholders in the future.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>It's hard to dismiss the growth opportunities some companies in China are presenting, especially after the recent decline in share prices. However, I believe shares of BABA are currently undervalued based on their current financial metrics and growth rates. China's economy and the amount of capital allocated to cloud service infrastructure are expected to grow substantially over the years. These will create powerful tailwinds for BABA throughout this decade. As a result, I think shareholders have been allowed to establish a BABA or dollar cost average position at a discounted price. I plan on continuing to add shares to my position while the market is discounting BABA.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Can BABA Get Back To $300? Yes, It Can</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Can BABA Get Back To $300? Yes, It Can\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 09:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436373-alibaba-can-get-back-to-300><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.\nThe Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436373-alibaba-can-get-back-to-300\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436373-alibaba-can-get-back-to-300","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164137597","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.\nThe Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by 2028 and more than 500 million people will be part of the middle class by end of 2023.\nAlibaba will experience tailwinds from individuals and businesses spending more money during this period of growth in China.\nAlibaba is the dominant force in cloud services in China which could become a significant revenue growth machine as the economy expands.\n\nAndrew Braun/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nAlibaba(NYSE:BABA)operates a printing press that keeps spitting out tens of billions from total revenue down to net income. Many companies faced adversity throughout the pandemic, and some are still recovering, but not BABA. Through the worst economic environment for businesses to navigate in recent times, BABA generated over $100 billion in revenue and $20 billion in net income during their recent fiscal year. While BABA didn't get the memo about businesses facing challenges amidst the pandemic, the market must not have read BABA's earnings report or crunched the numbers.\nThere are two Chinese companies I am bullish on, and BABA is my biggest conviction for appreciation. BABA smashed through the $300 share price level at the end of October 2020, but shareholders have been left confused and disappointed since then. It looked like BABA would turn the corner after a horrible end to 2020 as shares appreciated from $222.36 from the close of 2020 to $270.83 in the middle of February 2021. Still, the markets had other plans, and all shares of BABA have done is disappoint shareholders. If you missed the BABA train, it's time to grab your tickets and climb aboard, and if you purchased BABA during its run to $300 or early 2021 rebound, it might be time to add to your holdings. BABA is going to experience tremendous tailwinds from China's population and economic growth over the next several years, and their printing press is going to need more ink.\n(Source: Alibaba)\nThe Alibaba printing press is open for business, and it spits out billions\nHow many companies can say their annual revenue through the pandemic exceeded $100 billion? The $100 billion revenue mark is a prestigious club that companies such as Facebook (FB),PepsiCo (PEP),Procter & Gamble (PG),Target (TGT), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) are not part of. BABA, on the other hand, witnessed its revenue increase by 52.11% and smash through $100 billion as they generated $109.47 billion in their recent fiscal year. For the year ending March 2019, BABA's revenue increased by $16.25 billion (40.74%) to $56.15 billion, then for the March 2020 fiscal year, revenue increased another $15.82 billion (28.17%) to $71.97 billion. BABA is in the same boat as Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL), FB, and Amazon (AMZN) as they watched the pandemic push more people to go digital which accelerated their businesses. For BABA, the forced transition to digital helped them achieve $37.5 billion (52.11%) in additional revenue as they finished their March 2021 fiscal year with $109.47 billion in revenue.\nSince 2013 BABA has not had a year where their annual revenue increase didn't exceed 25% Year over Year (YoY). When you think about that as a growth rate, it's remarkable for a company of BABA's size as this isn't a company chasing its first billion-dollar revenue year. Over the past 5 fiscal years, BABA's annual revenue has increased by $93.8 billion (408.08%) at an average annual rate of 48.25%. Smaller companies considered growth companies would be jealous of these rates, while many large caps are probably envious.\nBABA isn't a one-trick pony that can only generate tens of billions in revenue. BABA can convert right down to the bottom line. Each year BABA has increased its YoY gross profit by a minimum of 10% since 2013. In 2016 BABA generated $10.35 billion in gross profit and, over the next 5 fiscal years, increased its annual gross profit by $34.84 billion (336.68%). BABA has also never fallen below a 40% gross profit margin, Warren Buffett's magic number, as he indicates inWarren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements. On page 34 of the Kindle edition,it says:\n\n As a very general rule (and there are exceptions): Companies with gross profit margins of 40% or better tend to be companies with some sort of durable competitive advantage. Companies with gross profit margins below 40% tend to be companies in highly competitive industries, where competition is hurting overall profit margins (there are exceptions here, too).\n\nThe gross profit margin is important for investors to evaluate because it reveals how much of a company's revenue goes directly to producing it and if they have a moat around their business. BABA's numbers indicate they have a sufficient moat around their business that is hard to penetrate. With close to a decade of generating over 40% in gross profit margins, investors can expect that BABA's moat will protect its business operations for years to come.\nMoving to the bottom line BABA does a great job at generating profits. In their most recent fiscal year, BABA generated $22.98 billion in net income, converting more than 1/5th (20.99%) of their revenue to pure profits. Since 2013 BABA has only had 1 year where net income decreases YoY. With that track record, many options open up for BABA in the future as their cash stockpile continues to increase.\n(Source: Alibaba)\nAlibaba will continue to experience tailwinds as China's population and economy expands\nAlibaba achieved one billion annual active consumers globally in the fiscal year that ended in March 2021. BABA has 891 million consumers across China's retail marketplace, local consumer services and digital media and entertainment platforms, and approximately 240 million consumers outside China. BABA's annual active consumers in the China retail marketplaces were 811 million as it grew by 85 million YoY. BABA will focus on developing a digital commerce infrastructure that offers an upgraded consumer experience by seamlessly integrating online and offline. Through BABA's infrastructure, countless retailers have digitally transformed their businesses and created multiple retail formats that have enabled new consumption experiences by leveraging consumer insights and technology. BABA's ecosystem, supply chain, and diversified fulfillment services have facilitated an immense digital transformation. By investing in its infrastructure, BABA's customers can now leverage a full range of high-frequency fulfillment services that include on-demand delivery, same-or-next day delivery, and next-day pick-up services for a full range of consumable and physical products.\nBABA will continue to be one of the cornerstones that supports growth within China's economy, which is benefiting from the acceleration of digitalization in all aspects of life and work. China is projected to be the world's largest economy by 2028. The per-capita income in China is expected to grow by roughly 50% from 2020 to 2025.China's average economic growth has been projected to increase at a rate of 5.7% from 2021 to 2025, then slow to 4.5% from 2026 to 2030. As a result,China is on track to join the top 1/3rd of nations and overtake 56 countries in the per capita income rankings by 2025. By the end of 2022, McKinsey predicts that the middle class could expand to 550 million people which is larger than the entire U.S population.\nIf the projections for China are correct, this should mean a windfall of cash lining BABA's coffers. It's a simple recipe; when people make more money, they tend to spend more money to enhance their lives and increase their standard of living. As BABA is a dominant force in China's retail sector, they stand to benefit from a growing economy and a larger middle class. At the end of next year, if China has anywhere close to 550 million individuals in the middle class, I believe BABA's revenue and profits will increase significantly. This trend can provide tailwinds throughout the decade for BABA, and eventually, the market will reward shareholders based on BABA's value proposition.\n(Source: Blomberg)\nAlibaba has tremendous growth prospects in Cloud as China continues its digitization\nCloud computing has been red hot in the U.S. as the transition from on-prem to cloud has increased the technological capabilities for many organizations. As digitization progresses across the business landscape, cloud providers continue to increase revenue generated from their cloud segments within their overall revenue mix. For example, AWS, the cloud computing division from AMZN, generated $45.37 billion in 2020. Cloud continues to be an exciting sector because the digital transformation is far from being over. Hence, the prospects of new customers are enormous while reoccurring revenue is generated after the transition occurs.\nIn China, cloud infrastructure services are still in the early innings as the entire spend was around $15 billion in 2020. In Q1 of 2021, cloud infrastructure services in China grew by 55% YoY as it reached $6 billion. China was the 2nd largest market behind the U.S, accounting for 14% of global investment, up from 12% in Q1 of 2020. With cloud spending and digitization in China increasing, this serves as a major runway for growth in Alibaba Cloud.\nAs China's economy expands, businesses will need to become more efficient to support both operations and customer demands. Chinese companies will need to implement infrastructure that can support a digital age of the workforce while supporting cloud services used by consumers for consumption. If China passes the U.S. as the world's largest economy in the second half of this decade, the amount of growth needed in cloud services will be immense. BABA is already the leader in cloud infrastructure services in China as their 39.8% market share accounted for $2.39 billion of the $6 billion spent in Q1 2021. Over the previous 6 quarters, cloud infrastructure spending has increased by roughly $2.3 billion (76.67%) in China. Based on cloud's current trajectory, quarterly revenue is on track to double over the next 2 years, putting Q1 2023 revenue at $10.6 billion. If BABA has a 35% market share, their Q1 2023 would be $3.71 billion, placing their 2023 revenue for cloud at $14.84 billion without factoring in any growth in 2023. From a cloud aspect, China's future spending is very exciting, and BABA will be one of the major benefactors.\n(Source: Canalys)\nAlibaba has stellar financial metrics and is undervalued compared to the U.S. tech conglomerates\nFor this comparison, I am going to use AMZN and GOOGL as they have been establishing their dominance in the U.S. for more than a decade. First, here are the raw numbers for AMZN, BABA, and GOOGL:\n\nAMZN\nBABA\nGOOGL\n\nThe market currently places a multiple of 17.03x on AMZN's equity compared to its market cap, while its revenue multiple is 4.2x. GOOGL has a multiple of 7.17x on its equity and 8.39x on its revenue compared to market cap. AMZN and GOOGL's market caps exceed $1.5 trillion, while BABA's sits at $575.57 billion. The market is placing a 3.5x multiple on BABA's equity and 5.26x on its revenue compared to the market cap. Thus, the market is severely discounting BABA's equity and revenue generation. BABA's equity is worth 28.58% of its market cap, while AMZN's equity is equivalent to 5.87%, and GOOGL's is 13.94% of its market cap. The current discount placed on BABA's equity could create an additional tailwind for shareholders in the future.\nConclusion\nIt's hard to dismiss the growth opportunities some companies in China are presenting, especially after the recent decline in share prices. However, I believe shares of BABA are currently undervalued based on their current financial metrics and growth rates. China's economy and the amount of capital allocated to cloud service infrastructure are expected to grow substantially over the years. These will create powerful tailwinds for BABA throughout this decade. As a result, I think shareholders have been allowed to establish a BABA or dollar cost average position at a discounted price. I plan on continuing to add shares to my position while the market is discounting BABA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3562394528628792","authorId":"3562394528628792","name":"Jingsoon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3562394528628792","authorIdStr":"3562394528628792"},"content":"What do you mean the ship is leaving?","text":"What do you mean the ship is leaving?","html":"What do you mean the ship is leaving?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169886447,"gmtCreate":1623827656289,"gmtModify":1703820675952,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>on sales now! ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>on sales now! ","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$on sales now!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169886447","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115860678,"gmtCreate":1622971733294,"gmtModify":1704193963926,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fly me to the moon!","listText":"Fly me to the moon!","text":"Fly me to the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115860678","repostId":"1165368747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165368747","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622940597,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165368747?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 08:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s 2021 WWDC Keynote Is Monday. Expect a Few Surprises.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165368747","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple next week holds its annual Worldwide Developers Conference, to be conducted virtually for the second year in a row due to the Covid-19 pandemic.The WWDC kicks off Monday with a two-hour keynote presentation by CEO Tim Cook and other executives. WWDC is generally used to unveil updates to the company’s various operating systems—MacOS for Macs, iOS for the iPhone, WatchOS for Apple Watch, tvOS for Apple TV set-top boxes, and iPadOS, a variation of iOS for iPads.Wedbush analyst Dan Ives expec","content":"<p>Apple next week holds its annual Worldwide Developers Conference, to be conducted virtually for the second year in a row due to the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p>The WWDC kicks off Monday with a two-hour keynote presentation by CEO Tim Cook and other executives. WWDC is generally used to unveil updates to the company’s various operating systems—MacOS for Macs, iOS for the iPhone, WatchOS for Apple Watch, tvOS for Apple TV set-top boxes, and iPadOS, a variation of iOS for iPads.</p><p>New hardware announcements are possible, but the exception to the rule. This is, after all, an event for software developers.</p><p>Last year,Apple (ticker: AAPL) also used the event to unveil the M1 processor, a chip designed by the company that has replacedIntelparts in some MacBooks and iPads. By the time the announcement came, the launch had been widely anticipated by analysts and media.</p><p>There’s not nearly as much buzz heading into this year’s event, but Apple still manages to provide surprises. Expect a few this year.</p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives expects the focus to be on the usual range of operating-system updates, including iOS 15, which he thinks will include new privacy protections, notification and lock-screen updates, and some new features in iMessage. As Ives noted, the most recent update to the iPhone software,iOS 14.5, includes an opt-in feature for tracking consumer behavior that has infuriated Facebook(FB) and other companies that rely on that data to target advertising.</p><p>Ives also thinks Apple will unveil new MacBook Pros at both 14-inch and 16-inch screen sizes, both driven by the M1 chip. He thinks Apple will wait until next summer to launch Apple Glasses, an expected augmented-reality product. He foresees a 2024 arrival for Apple Car.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty pointed out in a research note that WWDC historically hasn’t given a boost to Apple shares. Over the past 10 years, she wrote, the stock on average has underperformed the S&P 500 by a little over a percentage point in both the week and two weeks immediately following the event.</p><p>Over the past year, though, the stock has responded more strongly to WWDC, Huberty said. She sees some potential for a positive response by investors this time, in particular if there are significant hardware announcements.</p><p>“While we expect the majority of software/operating system upgrades to be more evolutionary than last year, we do believe Apple will highlight efforts to broaden the use of in-house designed silicon, and potentially launch a new MacBook with the Apple silicon, making this year’s WWDC a potentially more significant catalyst than years past,” Huberty wrote.</p><p>As Huberty noted,<i>Nikkei Asia</i> reported in April that Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM) has been in mass production on the successor to the M1, which seems to be called the M2. She sees a possibility that Apple will unveil the first M2-powered Macs at the event.</p><p>Huberty remains bullish on the Mac business,which grew 70% in the March quarter amid widespread demand for laptops during the pandemic. She estimates that Apple had 7.7% of the PC market in calendar 2020 and sees potential for Apple’s slice of the pie to expand to be comparable to the company’s 16% share in the smartphone market. If that happens, she said, Macs alone could be a $68 billion run-rate business by 2025, more than double its current size.</p><p>As for updates to the various Apple operating systems, Huberty pointed to a Bloomberg story in April that said the company was planning to update how iOS handles notifications, a new iPad home screen, an updated lock screen, and various privacy updates.</p><p>On Friday, Apple shares rallied about 1.9%, to $125.89. The stock is down about 5% year to date but up about 43% since last year’s WWDC.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s 2021 WWDC Keynote Is Monday. Expect a Few Surprises.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s 2021 WWDC Keynote Is Monday. Expect a Few Surprises.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 08:49 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-2021-wwdc-51622820857?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple next week holds its annual Worldwide Developers Conference, to be conducted virtually for the second year in a row due to the Covid-19 pandemic.The WWDC kicks off Monday with a two-hour keynote ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-2021-wwdc-51622820857?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-2021-wwdc-51622820857?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165368747","content_text":"Apple next week holds its annual Worldwide Developers Conference, to be conducted virtually for the second year in a row due to the Covid-19 pandemic.The WWDC kicks off Monday with a two-hour keynote presentation by CEO Tim Cook and other executives. WWDC is generally used to unveil updates to the company’s various operating systems—MacOS for Macs, iOS for the iPhone, WatchOS for Apple Watch, tvOS for Apple TV set-top boxes, and iPadOS, a variation of iOS for iPads.New hardware announcements are possible, but the exception to the rule. This is, after all, an event for software developers.Last year,Apple (ticker: AAPL) also used the event to unveil the M1 processor, a chip designed by the company that has replacedIntelparts in some MacBooks and iPads. By the time the announcement came, the launch had been widely anticipated by analysts and media.There’s not nearly as much buzz heading into this year’s event, but Apple still manages to provide surprises. Expect a few this year.Wedbush analyst Dan Ives expects the focus to be on the usual range of operating-system updates, including iOS 15, which he thinks will include new privacy protections, notification and lock-screen updates, and some new features in iMessage. As Ives noted, the most recent update to the iPhone software,iOS 14.5, includes an opt-in feature for tracking consumer behavior that has infuriated Facebook(FB) and other companies that rely on that data to target advertising.Ives also thinks Apple will unveil new MacBook Pros at both 14-inch and 16-inch screen sizes, both driven by the M1 chip. He thinks Apple will wait until next summer to launch Apple Glasses, an expected augmented-reality product. He foresees a 2024 arrival for Apple Car.Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty pointed out in a research note that WWDC historically hasn’t given a boost to Apple shares. Over the past 10 years, she wrote, the stock on average has underperformed the S&P 500 by a little over a percentage point in both the week and two weeks immediately following the event.Over the past year, though, the stock has responded more strongly to WWDC, Huberty said. She sees some potential for a positive response by investors this time, in particular if there are significant hardware announcements.“While we expect the majority of software/operating system upgrades to be more evolutionary than last year, we do believe Apple will highlight efforts to broaden the use of in-house designed silicon, and potentially launch a new MacBook with the Apple silicon, making this year’s WWDC a potentially more significant catalyst than years past,” Huberty wrote.As Huberty noted,Nikkei Asia reported in April that Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM) has been in mass production on the successor to the M1, which seems to be called the M2. She sees a possibility that Apple will unveil the first M2-powered Macs at the event.Huberty remains bullish on the Mac business,which grew 70% in the March quarter amid widespread demand for laptops during the pandemic. She estimates that Apple had 7.7% of the PC market in calendar 2020 and sees potential for Apple’s slice of the pie to expand to be comparable to the company’s 16% share in the smartphone market. If that happens, she said, Macs alone could be a $68 billion run-rate business by 2025, more than double its current size.As for updates to the various Apple operating systems, Huberty pointed to a Bloomberg story in April that said the company was planning to update how iOS handles notifications, a new iPad home screen, an updated lock screen, and various privacy updates.On Friday, Apple shares rallied about 1.9%, to $125.89. The stock is down about 5% year to date but up about 43% since last year’s WWDC.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119252945,"gmtCreate":1622551725087,"gmtModify":1704186128979,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"90? We shall see. If that happens, I will buy more. With the hope of recovery, I believe discretionary spending will increase and people will in turn spend more on appl products.","listText":"90? We shall see. If that happens, I will buy more. With the hope of recovery, I believe discretionary spending will increase and people will in turn spend more on appl products.","text":"90? We shall see. If that happens, I will buy more. With the hope of recovery, I believe discretionary spending will increase and people will in turn spend more on appl products.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119252945","repostId":"1107522849","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107522849","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546178,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107522849?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107522849","media":"TheStreet","summary":"There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?Anew bear has emerged from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.The Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.Pi","content":"<p>There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?</p>\n<p>Anew bear has emerged from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.</p>\n<p>The Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd3a0c90859283b1acacd5c5258f1e15\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\"><span>Figure 1: Wall Street bear.</span></p>\n<p><b>“12S cycle” coming up?</b></p>\n<p>New Street is effectively the only true Apple bear on Wall Street today. Famed skeptic Rod Hall, at Goldman Sachs, finally threw in the towel after the Cupertino company delivered a record-breaking fiscal second quarter. Wolfe Research’s Jeff Kvaal maintains his sell rating, but at a high price target of $125 that suggests minimal downside risk.</p>\n<p>Pierre Ferragu goes deeper. In his view, the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave, the so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror. The point was reinforced by the analyst’s views that the Cupertino company’s upcoming smartphone will probably be a “12S model” with limited updates.</p>\n<p>In addition to an underwhelming 2021 iPhone model in the pipeline, Mr. Ferragu’s bearish thesis is further illustrated by his quote below:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “The key question is how things shape up for next year, as the current super cycle has brought forward demand […] and consumers spend less on consumer electronics as the economy re-opens.”\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Plugging some numbers</b></p>\n<p>New Street offered some figures to back up the 30% downside risk. According to the analyst, 2022 iPhone shipments would land at 190 million units, at the mid-point of the guidance range.</p>\n<p>If ASPs (average selling prices) remain elevated, as they have been in the first two quarters of fiscal 2021, the bear case points at next-year iPhone revenues of around $150 billion. At these levels, iPhone sales would have increased by a modest 5% per year through the COVID-19 crisis and pandemic recovery, against what I estimate to be nearly 20% consensus growth.</p>\n<p>Considering how relevant the iPhone still is to Apple’s financial performance (50% of total company sales in fiscal 2020), low growth prospects would likely lead to valuation compression. The double whammy would come in the form of consensus-lagging EPS, a combination of which would be needed to support New Street’s $90 share price target.</p>\n<p><b>The Apple Maven’s opinion</b></p>\n<p>One thing is clear: stock prices can swing wildly and correct sharply. Apple stock is no stranger to painful pullbacks. Shares have dipped by 40% or more from the peak (12% currently, plus the nearly 30% decline expected by New Street) several times before, as the chart below suggests.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/065aa03f398ac3a8622598724e214a02\" tg-width=\"665\" tg-height=\"398\"><span>Figure 2: Maximum drawdown in AAPL since IPO.</span></p>\n<p>But quite a bit would have to go wrong, in my opinion, for AAPL to return to $90 – levels not seen since the thick of the pandemic. From higher ASPs in 2021 to increased sales well past the peak of the stay-at-home buying spree, the iPhone seems to be experiencing a secular, not temporary increase in demand.</p>\n<p>Weakness in iPhone would likely need to come along muted results in other segments as well. In other words, Apple’s troubles would have to be broader, rather than product specific. To me, this would only be possible under two key assumptions:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-pandemic “return to normal” will, indeed, cause discretionary spending to shift meaningfully away from tech devices and services – which I am skeptical about;</li>\n <li>The economy will endure a double-dip recession that cannot be remedied as well by fiscal and monetary stimuli –something that I also believe to be of low probability.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>At the end of the day, AAPL $90 is possible – just not highly likely, in my view.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock To Sink 30%? Inside The Mind Of A Bear\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 19:16 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-to-sink-30-inside-the-mind-of-a-bear><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?\nAnew bear has emerged from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-to-sink-30-inside-the-mind-of-a-bear\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-to-sink-30-inside-the-mind-of-a-bear","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107522849","content_text":"There is a new bear roaming the Apple orchard. Could Apple stock dip about 30% from current levels, as one Wall Street analyst argues?\nAnew bear has emerged from its cave. New Street’s Pierre Ferragu believes that Apple stock is now a sell, downgraded from his previous neutral stance, and that shares could sink by nearly 30% from current levels to only $90.\nThe Apple Maven gets inside the mind of this Wall Street skeptic to better understand the potential risks of investing in Apple stock today.\nFigure 1: Wall Street bear.\n“12S cycle” coming up?\nNew Street is effectively the only true Apple bear on Wall Street today. Famed skeptic Rod Hall, at Goldman Sachs, finally threw in the towel after the Cupertino company delivered a record-breaking fiscal second quarter. Wolfe Research’s Jeff Kvaal maintains his sell rating, but at a high price target of $125 that suggests minimal downside risk.\nPierre Ferragu goes deeper. In his view, the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave, the so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror. The point was reinforced by the analyst’s views that the Cupertino company’s upcoming smartphone will probably be a “12S model” with limited updates.\nIn addition to an underwhelming 2021 iPhone model in the pipeline, Mr. Ferragu’s bearish thesis is further illustrated by his quote below:\n\n “The key question is how things shape up for next year, as the current super cycle has brought forward demand […] and consumers spend less on consumer electronics as the economy re-opens.”\n\nPlugging some numbers\nNew Street offered some figures to back up the 30% downside risk. According to the analyst, 2022 iPhone shipments would land at 190 million units, at the mid-point of the guidance range.\nIf ASPs (average selling prices) remain elevated, as they have been in the first two quarters of fiscal 2021, the bear case points at next-year iPhone revenues of around $150 billion. At these levels, iPhone sales would have increased by a modest 5% per year through the COVID-19 crisis and pandemic recovery, against what I estimate to be nearly 20% consensus growth.\nConsidering how relevant the iPhone still is to Apple’s financial performance (50% of total company sales in fiscal 2020), low growth prospects would likely lead to valuation compression. The double whammy would come in the form of consensus-lagging EPS, a combination of which would be needed to support New Street’s $90 share price target.\nThe Apple Maven’s opinion\nOne thing is clear: stock prices can swing wildly and correct sharply. Apple stock is no stranger to painful pullbacks. Shares have dipped by 40% or more from the peak (12% currently, plus the nearly 30% decline expected by New Street) several times before, as the chart below suggests.\nFigure 2: Maximum drawdown in AAPL since IPO.\nBut quite a bit would have to go wrong, in my opinion, for AAPL to return to $90 – levels not seen since the thick of the pandemic. From higher ASPs in 2021 to increased sales well past the peak of the stay-at-home buying spree, the iPhone seems to be experiencing a secular, not temporary increase in demand.\nWeakness in iPhone would likely need to come along muted results in other segments as well. In other words, Apple’s troubles would have to be broader, rather than product specific. To me, this would only be possible under two key assumptions:\n\nThe post-pandemic “return to normal” will, indeed, cause discretionary spending to shift meaningfully away from tech devices and services – which I am skeptical about;\nThe economy will endure a double-dip recession that cannot be remedied as well by fiscal and monetary stimuli –something that I also believe to be of low probability.\n\nAt the end of the day, AAPL $90 is possible – just not highly likely, in my view.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110658444,"gmtCreate":1622451560888,"gmtModify":1704184623068,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>I told you it's coming! Flash sales ended. Alibaba to the moon! ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>I told you it's coming! Flash sales ended. Alibaba to the moon! ","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$I told you it's coming! Flash sales ended. Alibaba to the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110658444","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571130391288455","authorId":"3571130391288455","name":"Index_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc0d97dba3e4e81e37a8eaa5687c85c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571130391288455","authorIdStr":"3571130391288455"},"content":"Agreed. it has taken far too long this round","text":"Agreed. it has taken far too long this round","html":"Agreed. it has taken far too long this round"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833888436,"gmtCreate":1629215829325,"gmtModify":1676529970503,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$should have sold earlier and come in later. In red now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833888436","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142090626,"gmtCreate":1626102117965,"gmtModify":1703753509615,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Once it hit 27, I will sell and get in the shares at 20$ again. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Once it hit 27, I will sell and get in the shares at 20$ again. ","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Once it hit 27, I will sell and get in the shares at 20$ again.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972175dc89284dba2a080d88be829486","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142090626","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838485954,"gmtCreate":1629424137278,"gmtModify":1676530035795,"author":{"id":"3571919991986405","authorId":"3571919991986405","name":"ProsPaddles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5743775abc150fab8749a749f0511b63","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571919991986405","authorIdStr":"3571919991986405"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>30% loss soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>30% loss soon","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$30% loss soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b43aeb06052143e88cc711879b38e341","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/838485954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546075217049012","authorId":"3546075217049012","name":"meisini8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd33b08b358fe4d78a3bdccfd1cc701a","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546075217049012","authorIdStr":"3546075217049012"},"content":"It's okay, just like Goldman Sachs","text":"It's okay, just like Goldman Sachs","html":"It's okay, just like Goldman Sachs"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}