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2022-02-07

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2021-06-21

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Opinion: 5 smart ways to shift your investments as the Fed gets ready for a big move

2021-06-15

ohno

Cramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’

2021-02-23

let’s go

The market is getting nervous about Powell’s testimony this week

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","listText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","text":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. 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That’s not probably not likely any time soon. But this was a key turning point for the Fed — with clear implications for investors.</p>\n<p>Here are the five key takeaways.</p>\n<p><b>1. You should now favor quality</b></p>\n<p>The Fed policy shift confirms we are moving toward the middle of the economic cycle from the early stage where rip-roaring growth is the norm – which benefits more speculative stocks. This means it’s time to favor quality in the stock market, says Emily Roland, the co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p>\n<p>What does “quality” mean? Companies with characteristics like better profit margins, strong balance sheets, good free cash flow and higher returns on equity, she says.</p>\n<p>You could set up a screen for all these qualities. But here’s a shortcut. “The sector that has highest overlap with quality is technology,” says Roland. “Technology can weather a more modest growth climate.”</p>\n<p>Roland declined to suggest individual names, but here are a few ideas. One is Asana&nbsp;,which offers software that helps workers compartmentalize all the time vampires at work – like email and other communications — and better define and understand complex issues in the workplace like descriptions of who is responsible for what, the details of tasks on hand, and overarching missions and goals. The stock is up 123% from where I first highlighted it in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (link in my bio below) in November 2020, and 13% from where I just reiterated it on June 15.</p>\n<p>I suggested and bought this as a multiyear position, and it has more room to run from here, given the growth trends. Sales grew 61% in the first quarter, and company raised full-year guidance.</p>\n<p>Next, I recently reiterated Microsoft&nbsp;in my stock letter because of some insider buying and exposure to the cloud computing transition mega trend. You can see more on Microsoftin my overview here.</p>\n<p><b>2. Stay with reopening plays</b></p>\n<p>For Brian Barish, a portfolio manager at Cambiar Investors, the biggest takeaway on the Fed this week was its acknowledgement that extreme monetary accommodation needs to come to an end relatively soon. That’s good news.</p>\n<p>“There is a perception among a lot of people that the Fed has had a somewhat reckless posture,” says Barish. “It has had a policy consistent with another Great Financial Crisis type recession. In a very positive surprise, that is not what happened.”</p>\n<p>But while it’s due time to cut back stimulus, a more aggressive Fed also makes investors nervous because of the possibility for policy errors that create the next recession. Barish is not concerned about that just yet. So he’s sticking with reopening plays, like the casino company Penn National Gaming&nbsp;.Besides picking up business as people come out of hiding and visit casinos again, Penn National Gaming has solid exposure to online gaming through its ownership of Barstool Sports.</p>\n<p>“Online gaming is a big, long-term market. We are literally in the first inning,” he says. Only one of the big four states in the country — New York — has approved online gaming. Barish thinks California, Texas and Florida will also go along; the tax revenue is just too tempting.</p>\n<p>Barish is worth listening to because the Cambiar&nbsp;Opportunity Fund&nbsp;he helps manage beats its Morningstar large value category and Russell 1000 Value&nbsp;benchmark by 3.5 percentage points annualized over the past five years.</p>\n<p>Next, Barish likes Uber,,the ride-hailing software company. It has the advantage of size over competitor Lyft&nbsp;.New management has cut back on more speculative investment projects like flying taxis. “As we get to other side of the pandemic, Uber will be an indispensable service,” says Barish. You can seemy overview of Uber and Lyft here.</p>\n<p>Barish likes Sysco&nbsp;as a reopening play because it supplies food and equipment to restaurants. He also cites Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;in retail, a turnaround led by Anu Gupta who brings experience from Target. The home-goods chain is improving the business by reducing the number of products on offer, cutting back on coupons and introducing store brands.</p>\n<p>Sandy Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. in New Orleans, also thinks it makes sense to stay with reopening plays — because the projected Fed rate hikes are in the distant future. “If rates are going to stay low until the end of 2023, that is still a long time to have low rates. I am not going to cash any time soon.”</p>\n<p>He likes the casino company Caesars&nbsp;Entertainment&nbsp;in part because it, too, has exposure to online gaming through its recent acquisition of William Hill. He also owns the bank First Hawaiian&nbsp;,which should benefit from a lift to the Hawaiian economy as tourists come back.</p>\n<p><b>3. Be careful with meme stocks and cryptocurrencies</b></p>\n<p>The Fed sent a confusing mixed signal on Wednesday, points out Roland, the John Hancock Investment Management strategist. On the one hand, it clearly stated it thinks the recent inflation spike is transitory. This makes sense because a lot of the inflation spike is linked to supply-chain issues and shortages. The recent sharp rise in inflation is also a bit of a mirage since the comparison is to temporarily suppressed prices during the depths of the pandemic a year ago.</p>\n<p>But on the other hand, the Fed pulled forward the timeline for rate hikes. “If they believe inflation is transitory, why are they stepping up rate-hike expectations? One theory is the Fed is concerned about excesses in the market in meme stocks and cryptocurrencies,” says Roland.</p>\n<p>Excess liquidity created by the Fed and spending by politicians in Washington have clearly contributed to these pockets of speculative excess. The Fed may be interesting in curtailing the excesses contributing to huge spikes in bitcoin&nbsp;,and stocks like GameStop&nbsp;&nbsp;and AMC Entertainment&nbsp;.</p>\n<p><b>4. Trim real estate, energy and materials stocks</b></p>\n<p>For Tim Murray a capital market strategist in the multi-asset division of T. Rowe Price, the big takeaway on the Fed last week is that it is getting more vigilant about inflation. “The Fed is no longer on autopilot,” he says.</p>\n<p>That’s bad news for areas of the market that benefit the most from inflation. This means companies with exposure to real assets that go up in value with inflation — like real estate, energy and materials. But Murray doesn’t think the Fed will be so vigilant that it stamps out economic growth. So, there’s life left in other cyclical stocks in sectors like industrials.</p>\n<p><b>5. Don’t lose sleep worrying about a taper tantrum</b></p>\n<p>Tapering is on the table now, and it is likely to start by the end of the year. In the past, this has created big selloffs in the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;,Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;– known as taper tantrums. Will we get a repeat?</p>\n<p>“Probably not,” says Murray. “In 2013 investors were not expecting it, whereas this time the Fed has been preparing everyone for it.”</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: 5 smart ways to shift your investments as the Fed gets ready for a big move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: 5 smart ways to shift your investments as the Fed gets ready for a big move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-smart-ways-to-shift-your-investments-as-the-fed-gets-ready-for-a-big-move-11624028517?mod=newsviewer_click><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed policymakers surprised a lot of investors on Wednesday by signaling that tapering and interest-rate hikes are finally on the way.\nInvestors sat up and noticed because “taking away the punch bowl” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-smart-ways-to-shift-your-investments-as-the-fed-gets-ready-for-a-big-move-11624028517?mod=newsviewer_click\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FHB":"First Hawaiian Inc.","MSFT":"微软","BBBY":"3B家居","PENN":"佩恩国民博彩","CZR":"凯撒娱乐","UBER":"优步","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","ASAN":"阿莎娜","SYY":"西思科公司","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-smart-ways-to-shift-your-investments-as-the-fed-gets-ready-for-a-big-move-11624028517?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113916113","content_text":"Fed policymakers surprised a lot of investors on Wednesday by signaling that tapering and interest-rate hikes are finally on the way.\nInvestors sat up and noticed because “taking away the punch bowl” has doomed many a growth cycle. That’s not probably not likely any time soon. But this was a key turning point for the Fed — with clear implications for investors.\nHere are the five key takeaways.\n1. You should now favor quality\nThe Fed policy shift confirms we are moving toward the middle of the economic cycle from the early stage where rip-roaring growth is the norm – which benefits more speculative stocks. This means it’s time to favor quality in the stock market, says Emily Roland, the co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\nWhat does “quality” mean? Companies with characteristics like better profit margins, strong balance sheets, good free cash flow and higher returns on equity, she says.\nYou could set up a screen for all these qualities. But here’s a shortcut. “The sector that has highest overlap with quality is technology,” says Roland. “Technology can weather a more modest growth climate.”\nRoland declined to suggest individual names, but here are a few ideas. One is Asana ,which offers software that helps workers compartmentalize all the time vampires at work – like email and other communications — and better define and understand complex issues in the workplace like descriptions of who is responsible for what, the details of tasks on hand, and overarching missions and goals. The stock is up 123% from where I first highlighted it in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (link in my bio below) in November 2020, and 13% from where I just reiterated it on June 15.\nI suggested and bought this as a multiyear position, and it has more room to run from here, given the growth trends. Sales grew 61% in the first quarter, and company raised full-year guidance.\nNext, I recently reiterated Microsoft in my stock letter because of some insider buying and exposure to the cloud computing transition mega trend. You can see more on Microsoftin my overview here.\n2. Stay with reopening plays\nFor Brian Barish, a portfolio manager at Cambiar Investors, the biggest takeaway on the Fed this week was its acknowledgement that extreme monetary accommodation needs to come to an end relatively soon. That’s good news.\n“There is a perception among a lot of people that the Fed has had a somewhat reckless posture,” says Barish. “It has had a policy consistent with another Great Financial Crisis type recession. In a very positive surprise, that is not what happened.”\nBut while it’s due time to cut back stimulus, a more aggressive Fed also makes investors nervous because of the possibility for policy errors that create the next recession. Barish is not concerned about that just yet. So he’s sticking with reopening plays, like the casino company Penn National Gaming .Besides picking up business as people come out of hiding and visit casinos again, Penn National Gaming has solid exposure to online gaming through its ownership of Barstool Sports.\n“Online gaming is a big, long-term market. We are literally in the first inning,” he says. Only one of the big four states in the country — New York — has approved online gaming. Barish thinks California, Texas and Florida will also go along; the tax revenue is just too tempting.\nBarish is worth listening to because the Cambiar Opportunity Fund he helps manage beats its Morningstar large value category and Russell 1000 Value benchmark by 3.5 percentage points annualized over the past five years.\nNext, Barish likes Uber,,the ride-hailing software company. It has the advantage of size over competitor Lyft .New management has cut back on more speculative investment projects like flying taxis. “As we get to other side of the pandemic, Uber will be an indispensable service,” says Barish. You can seemy overview of Uber and Lyft here.\nBarish likes Sysco as a reopening play because it supplies food and equipment to restaurants. He also cites Bed Bath & Beyond in retail, a turnaround led by Anu Gupta who brings experience from Target. The home-goods chain is improving the business by reducing the number of products on offer, cutting back on coupons and introducing store brands.\nSandy Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. in New Orleans, also thinks it makes sense to stay with reopening plays — because the projected Fed rate hikes are in the distant future. “If rates are going to stay low until the end of 2023, that is still a long time to have low rates. I am not going to cash any time soon.”\nHe likes the casino company Caesars Entertainment in part because it, too, has exposure to online gaming through its recent acquisition of William Hill. He also owns the bank First Hawaiian ,which should benefit from a lift to the Hawaiian economy as tourists come back.\n3. Be careful with meme stocks and cryptocurrencies\nThe Fed sent a confusing mixed signal on Wednesday, points out Roland, the John Hancock Investment Management strategist. On the one hand, it clearly stated it thinks the recent inflation spike is transitory. This makes sense because a lot of the inflation spike is linked to supply-chain issues and shortages. The recent sharp rise in inflation is also a bit of a mirage since the comparison is to temporarily suppressed prices during the depths of the pandemic a year ago.\nBut on the other hand, the Fed pulled forward the timeline for rate hikes. “If they believe inflation is transitory, why are they stepping up rate-hike expectations? One theory is the Fed is concerned about excesses in the market in meme stocks and cryptocurrencies,” says Roland.\nExcess liquidity created by the Fed and spending by politicians in Washington have clearly contributed to these pockets of speculative excess. The Fed may be interesting in curtailing the excesses contributing to huge spikes in bitcoin ,and stocks like GameStop  and AMC Entertainment .\n4. Trim real estate, energy and materials stocks\nFor Tim Murray a capital market strategist in the multi-asset division of T. Rowe Price, the big takeaway on the Fed last week is that it is getting more vigilant about inflation. “The Fed is no longer on autopilot,” he says.\nThat’s bad news for areas of the market that benefit the most from inflation. This means companies with exposure to real assets that go up in value with inflation — like real estate, energy and materials. But Murray doesn’t think the Fed will be so vigilant that it stamps out economic growth. So, there’s life left in other cyclical stocks in sectors like industrials.\n5. Don’t lose sleep worrying about a taper tantrum\nTapering is on the table now, and it is likely to start by the end of the year. In the past, this has created big selloffs in the S&P 500 ,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average – known as taper tantrums. Will we get a repeat?\n“Probably not,” says Murray. “In 2013 investors were not expecting it, whereas this time the Fed has been preparing everyone for it.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160962862,"gmtCreate":1623769753256,"gmtModify":1703818919079,"author":{"id":"3572325762080167","authorId":"3572325762080167","name":"yenn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572325762080167","authorIdStr":"3572325762080167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ohno","listText":"ohno","text":"ohno","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160962862","repostId":"1163235288","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163235288","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623767725,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163235288?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163235288","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implicati","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implications, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Tuesday.\nCramer worried Powell could make a mistake during the Q&A ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implications, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Tuesday.\nCramer worried Powell could make a mistake during the Q&A ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1163235288","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implications, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Tuesday.\nCramer worried Powell could make a mistake during the Q&A portion that hits the stock market.\nThe “Mad Money” host also reiterated that he shares Powell’s inflation outlook, believing the rise in prices is likely to be temporary during the Covid recovery.\n\nCNBC’sJim Crameron Tuesday warned about the stock market implications of Federal Reserve ChairmanJerome Powell’s upcoming post-meeting news conference.\nThe Fed is set to release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday, at the conclusion of its two-day June gathering. Powell’s Q&A session with reporters is scheduled to follow. Powell’s comments are beinghighly anticipated across Wall Street, as traders and investors look for fresh insights into how the Fed will respond to aseries of recent data pointsshowing inflation across the U.S. economy.\nOn“Squawk Box,”Cramer said he expects Powell to face “endless heckling” from journalists about whether the central bank’s highly accommodative monetary policy remains appropriate at this stage of the economy’s recovery from the Covid pandemic.\nPowell “has been saying, ‘I’m going to stay the course, stay the course.’ But there’s just this tortuous Q&A thing that he does, where it’s just a nightmare,” the“Mad Money”host said.\n“There are going to be people who just ask about the [producer price index] eight straight times, and they’re going to try and wear him down and maybe at one point he’s just worn down and he goes, ‘Yeah I know we’re buying too many mortgages’ ... or he slips up,” Cramer suggested.\nThe Labor Department on Tuesday said the PPI in Mayrose a hot 6.6% year over year, the largest 12-month increase on record. That comes after last week’sbig spike in consumer prices.\n“I mean, Jay is really practiced, but on the eighth question or the ninth question, I think he’s going to say, ‘Listen, I’m going to look at this,’ and that’s going to freak people out,” Cramer continued.\nAsked by CNBC’sAndrew Ross Sorkinabout how, exactly, stocks might react in that hypothetical scenario, Cramer responded: “Market goes down big, and we go down for about four, five days.”\nCramer also reiterated that he shares Powell’s inflation outlook, believing the rise in prices is likely to be temporary during the Covid recovery, justifying the Fed’s near-zero interest rates and asset purchase program.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363310737,"gmtCreate":1614093566729,"gmtModify":1704888102647,"author":{"id":"3572325762080167","authorId":"3572325762080167","name":"yenn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572325762080167","authorIdStr":"3572325762080167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"let’s go","listText":"let’s go","text":"let’s go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363310737","repostId":"1198320495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198320495","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614087585,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198320495?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-23 21:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The market is getting nervous about Powell’s testimony this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198320495","media":"cnbc","summary":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will be viewed closely this week for how he views this year’s run-up in bond yields.Investors worry that too quick of a rise might force the Fed to tighten policy too quickly, while a complacent Fed also would pose overheating risks.Rising bond yields and accompanying inflation fears are adding a level of drama to","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The market is getting nervous about Powell’s testimony this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe market is getting nervous about Powell’s testimony this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-23 21:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1198320495","content_text":"KEY POINTSFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will be viewed closely this week for how he views this year’s run-up in bond yields.Investors worry that too quick of a rise might force the Fed to tighten policy too quickly, while a complacent Fed also would pose overheating risks.Rising bond yields and accompanying inflation fears are adding a level of drama to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s appearance this week before Congress.The central bank chair is slated to address Senate and House panels on successive days as part of mandated semiannual updates on monetary policy.Normally routine affairs, recent financial market tumult and concerns about how the Fed may react have investors paying a bit more close attention than usual to the hearings scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday.“This is one of the more interesting episodes in which a Fed chair has had to testify,” said Nathan Sheets, chief economist at PGIM Fixed Income. “Sometimes we say, ‘ho hum, no news.’ This is going to be news. He’s really caught between a rock and a hard place.”What’s got the market’s attention recently has been a pickup in government bond yields, particularly further out on the curve.While the 2-year is unchanged for 2021, the 5-year has risen nearly a quarter percentage point as of Friday’s market close while the benchmark 10-year note has seen its yield jump 41 basis points to 1.34%, an area where it hasn’t been since around the same time in 2020, before the worst of the pandemic struck.The 30-year bond yield has surged even more, leaping nearly half a point this year to 2.14%.Powell’s dilemma is this: Rising bond yields could be signaling the reflation of the economy that the Fed has been pushing and are therefore higher for good reasons. However, should the trend get out of control, the Fed then might have to tighten policy faster than the market expects, offsetting some of the good that has come with the burst in yields.Complicating the matter is that markets also might not like it if Powell is overly complacent.“If this testimony was behind closed doors, I think Jay Powell would be quite pleased with what he sees in the economy and the markets,” Sheets said, using the Fed chair’s nickname. “But given that it’s public, he’s got to be careful. If he’s too sanguine about the rise in rates, the markets are going to take that as a significant green light for rates to rip higher.”“The Fed is comfortable with an organic rise in rates reflecting shifts in views on growth and inflation,” he added. “But I think the Fed also wants to be careful that it doesn’t create and amplify a self-sustaining dynamic that pushes rates higher for other reasons.”Those “other reasons” primarily would be fears that the economy could overheat.Stimulus and more stimulusThe Fed has run historically loose policy for the past year, dropping its benchmark borrowing rate to near zero and buying at least $120 billion of bonds each month. That’s on top of a series of since-expired lending and liquidity programs implemented in the early days of the Covid-19 crisis.Along with that, Congress has come in with more than $3 trillion of fiscal stimulus and could approve up to $1.9 trillion more by the end of week.All that has transpired amid an economy that, besides a still-troubling employment problem primarily in the service sector, is humming. Wall Street is taking up first-quarter growth expectations and market-based indicators of inflation are rising.That’s why Powell’s tightrope walk this week will be all the more compelling.“The market mood has changed,”Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at Allianz, said Monday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” It’s no longer whether yields are going higher, it’s when is the move too big. That’s what the market’s trying to figure out.”Investors are particularly concerned whether all the stimulus isn’t going overboard and threatening to destabilize the economy over the longer run.“I can predict that the yellow lights are flashing all over the Fed because of the [yields] move and the steepening of the yield curve, and the Fed may do more to try to control yields,” El-Erian said.Fed officials have largely dismissed so-called yield curve control to use its bond purchasing power to control rates between various fixed income maturities.But the market could force the Fed’s hand, and Powell is likely to get asked about where he stands on what tools the Fed has to calm market issues. He has repeatedly stressed that the central bank has the weapons to control inflation, but deploying those comes with a price. Markets used to low yields and companies accustomed to cheap borrowing costs could get rattled by an unexpected Fed move.Evidence of how clearly the market is watching the issue came Monday morning, when European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said she is “closely monitoring the evolution of longer-term nominal bond yields.” Her words were enough to calm a jittery market and turn what had been an opening loss on Wall Street into a mixed market with the Dow up in early afternoon trading. Treasury yields were mostly flat on the day.Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, noted that his “clients have already expressed some apprehension about this week. Part of this reflects the fact that bond yields have been steadily rising and equity investors are nervous that the bond market might reach some sort of ‘breaking point’” during Powell’s testimony.Powell speaks Tuesday before the Senate Finance Committee then Wednesday to the House Financial Services Committee.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":167147978,"gmtCreate":1624255091094,"gmtModify":1703831704690,"author":{"id":"3572325762080167","authorId":"3572325762080167","name":"yenn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572325762080167","idStr":"3572325762080167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hm","listText":"hm","text":"hm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167147978","repostId":"1113916113","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113916113","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624246009,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113916113?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: 5 smart ways to shift your investments as the Fed gets ready for a big move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113916113","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Fed policymakers surprised a lot of investors on Wednesday by signaling that tapering and interest-r","content":"<p>Fed policymakers surprised a lot of investors on Wednesday by signaling that tapering and interest-rate hikes are finally on the way.</p>\n<p>Investors sat up and noticed because “taking away the punch bowl” has doomed many a growth cycle. That’s not probably not likely any time soon. But this was a key turning point for the Fed — with clear implications for investors.</p>\n<p>Here are the five key takeaways.</p>\n<p><b>1. You should now favor quality</b></p>\n<p>The Fed policy shift confirms we are moving toward the middle of the economic cycle from the early stage where rip-roaring growth is the norm – which benefits more speculative stocks. This means it’s time to favor quality in the stock market, says Emily Roland, the co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p>\n<p>What does “quality” mean? Companies with characteristics like better profit margins, strong balance sheets, good free cash flow and higher returns on equity, she says.</p>\n<p>You could set up a screen for all these qualities. But here’s a shortcut. “The sector that has highest overlap with quality is technology,” says Roland. “Technology can weather a more modest growth climate.”</p>\n<p>Roland declined to suggest individual names, but here are a few ideas. One is Asana&nbsp;,which offers software that helps workers compartmentalize all the time vampires at work – like email and other communications — and better define and understand complex issues in the workplace like descriptions of who is responsible for what, the details of tasks on hand, and overarching missions and goals. The stock is up 123% from where I first highlighted it in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (link in my bio below) in November 2020, and 13% from where I just reiterated it on June 15.</p>\n<p>I suggested and bought this as a multiyear position, and it has more room to run from here, given the growth trends. Sales grew 61% in the first quarter, and company raised full-year guidance.</p>\n<p>Next, I recently reiterated Microsoft&nbsp;in my stock letter because of some insider buying and exposure to the cloud computing transition mega trend. You can see more on Microsoftin my overview here.</p>\n<p><b>2. Stay with reopening plays</b></p>\n<p>For Brian Barish, a portfolio manager at Cambiar Investors, the biggest takeaway on the Fed this week was its acknowledgement that extreme monetary accommodation needs to come to an end relatively soon. That’s good news.</p>\n<p>“There is a perception among a lot of people that the Fed has had a somewhat reckless posture,” says Barish. “It has had a policy consistent with another Great Financial Crisis type recession. In a very positive surprise, that is not what happened.”</p>\n<p>But while it’s due time to cut back stimulus, a more aggressive Fed also makes investors nervous because of the possibility for policy errors that create the next recession. Barish is not concerned about that just yet. So he’s sticking with reopening plays, like the casino company Penn National Gaming&nbsp;.Besides picking up business as people come out of hiding and visit casinos again, Penn National Gaming has solid exposure to online gaming through its ownership of Barstool Sports.</p>\n<p>“Online gaming is a big, long-term market. We are literally in the first inning,” he says. Only one of the big four states in the country — New York — has approved online gaming. Barish thinks California, Texas and Florida will also go along; the tax revenue is just too tempting.</p>\n<p>Barish is worth listening to because the Cambiar&nbsp;Opportunity Fund&nbsp;he helps manage beats its Morningstar large value category and Russell 1000 Value&nbsp;benchmark by 3.5 percentage points annualized over the past five years.</p>\n<p>Next, Barish likes Uber,,the ride-hailing software company. It has the advantage of size over competitor Lyft&nbsp;.New management has cut back on more speculative investment projects like flying taxis. “As we get to other side of the pandemic, Uber will be an indispensable service,” says Barish. You can seemy overview of Uber and Lyft here.</p>\n<p>Barish likes Sysco&nbsp;as a reopening play because it supplies food and equipment to restaurants. He also cites Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;in retail, a turnaround led by Anu Gupta who brings experience from Target. The home-goods chain is improving the business by reducing the number of products on offer, cutting back on coupons and introducing store brands.</p>\n<p>Sandy Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. in New Orleans, also thinks it makes sense to stay with reopening plays — because the projected Fed rate hikes are in the distant future. “If rates are going to stay low until the end of 2023, that is still a long time to have low rates. I am not going to cash any time soon.”</p>\n<p>He likes the casino company Caesars&nbsp;Entertainment&nbsp;in part because it, too, has exposure to online gaming through its recent acquisition of William Hill. He also owns the bank First Hawaiian&nbsp;,which should benefit from a lift to the Hawaiian economy as tourists come back.</p>\n<p><b>3. Be careful with meme stocks and cryptocurrencies</b></p>\n<p>The Fed sent a confusing mixed signal on Wednesday, points out Roland, the John Hancock Investment Management strategist. On the one hand, it clearly stated it thinks the recent inflation spike is transitory. This makes sense because a lot of the inflation spike is linked to supply-chain issues and shortages. The recent sharp rise in inflation is also a bit of a mirage since the comparison is to temporarily suppressed prices during the depths of the pandemic a year ago.</p>\n<p>But on the other hand, the Fed pulled forward the timeline for rate hikes. “If they believe inflation is transitory, why are they stepping up rate-hike expectations? One theory is the Fed is concerned about excesses in the market in meme stocks and cryptocurrencies,” says Roland.</p>\n<p>Excess liquidity created by the Fed and spending by politicians in Washington have clearly contributed to these pockets of speculative excess. The Fed may be interesting in curtailing the excesses contributing to huge spikes in bitcoin&nbsp;,and stocks like GameStop&nbsp;&nbsp;and AMC Entertainment&nbsp;.</p>\n<p><b>4. Trim real estate, energy and materials stocks</b></p>\n<p>For Tim Murray a capital market strategist in the multi-asset division of T. Rowe Price, the big takeaway on the Fed last week is that it is getting more vigilant about inflation. “The Fed is no longer on autopilot,” he says.</p>\n<p>That’s bad news for areas of the market that benefit the most from inflation. This means companies with exposure to real assets that go up in value with inflation — like real estate, energy and materials. But Murray doesn’t think the Fed will be so vigilant that it stamps out economic growth. So, there’s life left in other cyclical stocks in sectors like industrials.</p>\n<p><b>5. Don’t lose sleep worrying about a taper tantrum</b></p>\n<p>Tapering is on the table now, and it is likely to start by the end of the year. In the past, this has created big selloffs in the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;,Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;– known as taper tantrums. Will we get a repeat?</p>\n<p>“Probably not,” says Murray. “In 2013 investors were not expecting it, whereas this time the Fed has been preparing everyone for it.”</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: 5 smart ways to shift your investments as the Fed gets ready for a big move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: 5 smart ways to shift your investments as the Fed gets ready for a big move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-smart-ways-to-shift-your-investments-as-the-fed-gets-ready-for-a-big-move-11624028517?mod=newsviewer_click><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed policymakers surprised a lot of investors on Wednesday by signaling that tapering and interest-rate hikes are finally on the way.\nInvestors sat up and noticed because “taking away the punch bowl” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-smart-ways-to-shift-your-investments-as-the-fed-gets-ready-for-a-big-move-11624028517?mod=newsviewer_click\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FHB":"First Hawaiian Inc.","MSFT":"微软","BBBY":"3B家居","PENN":"佩恩国民博彩","CZR":"凯撒娱乐","UBER":"优步","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","ASAN":"阿莎娜","SYY":"西思科公司","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-smart-ways-to-shift-your-investments-as-the-fed-gets-ready-for-a-big-move-11624028517?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113916113","content_text":"Fed policymakers surprised a lot of investors on Wednesday by signaling that tapering and interest-rate hikes are finally on the way.\nInvestors sat up and noticed because “taking away the punch bowl” has doomed many a growth cycle. That’s not probably not likely any time soon. But this was a key turning point for the Fed — with clear implications for investors.\nHere are the five key takeaways.\n1. You should now favor quality\nThe Fed policy shift confirms we are moving toward the middle of the economic cycle from the early stage where rip-roaring growth is the norm – which benefits more speculative stocks. This means it’s time to favor quality in the stock market, says Emily Roland, the co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\nWhat does “quality” mean? Companies with characteristics like better profit margins, strong balance sheets, good free cash flow and higher returns on equity, she says.\nYou could set up a screen for all these qualities. But here’s a shortcut. “The sector that has highest overlap with quality is technology,” says Roland. “Technology can weather a more modest growth climate.”\nRoland declined to suggest individual names, but here are a few ideas. One is Asana ,which offers software that helps workers compartmentalize all the time vampires at work – like email and other communications — and better define and understand complex issues in the workplace like descriptions of who is responsible for what, the details of tasks on hand, and overarching missions and goals. The stock is up 123% from where I first highlighted it in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (link in my bio below) in November 2020, and 13% from where I just reiterated it on June 15.\nI suggested and bought this as a multiyear position, and it has more room to run from here, given the growth trends. Sales grew 61% in the first quarter, and company raised full-year guidance.\nNext, I recently reiterated Microsoft in my stock letter because of some insider buying and exposure to the cloud computing transition mega trend. You can see more on Microsoftin my overview here.\n2. Stay with reopening plays\nFor Brian Barish, a portfolio manager at Cambiar Investors, the biggest takeaway on the Fed this week was its acknowledgement that extreme monetary accommodation needs to come to an end relatively soon. That’s good news.\n“There is a perception among a lot of people that the Fed has had a somewhat reckless posture,” says Barish. “It has had a policy consistent with another Great Financial Crisis type recession. In a very positive surprise, that is not what happened.”\nBut while it’s due time to cut back stimulus, a more aggressive Fed also makes investors nervous because of the possibility for policy errors that create the next recession. Barish is not concerned about that just yet. So he’s sticking with reopening plays, like the casino company Penn National Gaming .Besides picking up business as people come out of hiding and visit casinos again, Penn National Gaming has solid exposure to online gaming through its ownership of Barstool Sports.\n“Online gaming is a big, long-term market. We are literally in the first inning,” he says. Only one of the big four states in the country — New York — has approved online gaming. Barish thinks California, Texas and Florida will also go along; the tax revenue is just too tempting.\nBarish is worth listening to because the Cambiar Opportunity Fund he helps manage beats its Morningstar large value category and Russell 1000 Value benchmark by 3.5 percentage points annualized over the past five years.\nNext, Barish likes Uber,,the ride-hailing software company. It has the advantage of size over competitor Lyft .New management has cut back on more speculative investment projects like flying taxis. “As we get to other side of the pandemic, Uber will be an indispensable service,” says Barish. You can seemy overview of Uber and Lyft here.\nBarish likes Sysco as a reopening play because it supplies food and equipment to restaurants. He also cites Bed Bath & Beyond in retail, a turnaround led by Anu Gupta who brings experience from Target. The home-goods chain is improving the business by reducing the number of products on offer, cutting back on coupons and introducing store brands.\nSandy Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. in New Orleans, also thinks it makes sense to stay with reopening plays — because the projected Fed rate hikes are in the distant future. “If rates are going to stay low until the end of 2023, that is still a long time to have low rates. I am not going to cash any time soon.”\nHe likes the casino company Caesars Entertainment in part because it, too, has exposure to online gaming through its recent acquisition of William Hill. He also owns the bank First Hawaiian ,which should benefit from a lift to the Hawaiian economy as tourists come back.\n3. Be careful with meme stocks and cryptocurrencies\nThe Fed sent a confusing mixed signal on Wednesday, points out Roland, the John Hancock Investment Management strategist. On the one hand, it clearly stated it thinks the recent inflation spike is transitory. This makes sense because a lot of the inflation spike is linked to supply-chain issues and shortages. The recent sharp rise in inflation is also a bit of a mirage since the comparison is to temporarily suppressed prices during the depths of the pandemic a year ago.\nBut on the other hand, the Fed pulled forward the timeline for rate hikes. “If they believe inflation is transitory, why are they stepping up rate-hike expectations? One theory is the Fed is concerned about excesses in the market in meme stocks and cryptocurrencies,” says Roland.\nExcess liquidity created by the Fed and spending by politicians in Washington have clearly contributed to these pockets of speculative excess. The Fed may be interesting in curtailing the excesses contributing to huge spikes in bitcoin ,and stocks like GameStop  and AMC Entertainment .\n4. Trim real estate, energy and materials stocks\nFor Tim Murray a capital market strategist in the multi-asset division of T. Rowe Price, the big takeaway on the Fed last week is that it is getting more vigilant about inflation. “The Fed is no longer on autopilot,” he says.\nThat’s bad news for areas of the market that benefit the most from inflation. This means companies with exposure to real assets that go up in value with inflation — like real estate, energy and materials. But Murray doesn’t think the Fed will be so vigilant that it stamps out economic growth. So, there’s life left in other cyclical stocks in sectors like industrials.\n5. Don’t lose sleep worrying about a taper tantrum\nTapering is on the table now, and it is likely to start by the end of the year. In the past, this has created big selloffs in the S&P 500 ,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average – known as taper tantrums. Will we get a repeat?\n“Probably not,” says Murray. “In 2013 investors were not expecting it, whereas this time the Fed has been preparing everyone for it.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160962862,"gmtCreate":1623769753256,"gmtModify":1703818919079,"author":{"id":"3572325762080167","authorId":"3572325762080167","name":"yenn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572325762080167","idStr":"3572325762080167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ohno","listText":"ohno","text":"ohno","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160962862","repostId":"1163235288","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163235288","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623767725,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163235288?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163235288","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implicati","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implications, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Tuesday.\nCramer worried Powell could make a mistake during the Q&A ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCramer warns stock market could sink if Fed chief Powell ‘slips up’ during ‘endless heckling’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implications, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Tuesday.\nCramer worried Powell could make a mistake during the Q&A ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/cramer-market-could-sink-if-feds-powell-slips-up-during-heckling.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1163235288","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference Wednesday could have major market implications, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Tuesday.\nCramer worried Powell could make a mistake during the Q&A portion that hits the stock market.\nThe “Mad Money” host also reiterated that he shares Powell’s inflation outlook, believing the rise in prices is likely to be temporary during the Covid recovery.\n\nCNBC’sJim Crameron Tuesday warned about the stock market implications of Federal Reserve ChairmanJerome Powell’s upcoming post-meeting news conference.\nThe Fed is set to release its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday, at the conclusion of its two-day June gathering. Powell’s Q&A session with reporters is scheduled to follow. Powell’s comments are beinghighly anticipated across Wall Street, as traders and investors look for fresh insights into how the Fed will respond to aseries of recent data pointsshowing inflation across the U.S. economy.\nOn“Squawk Box,”Cramer said he expects Powell to face “endless heckling” from journalists about whether the central bank’s highly accommodative monetary policy remains appropriate at this stage of the economy’s recovery from the Covid pandemic.\nPowell “has been saying, ‘I’m going to stay the course, stay the course.’ But there’s just this tortuous Q&A thing that he does, where it’s just a nightmare,” the“Mad Money”host said.\n“There are going to be people who just ask about the [producer price index] eight straight times, and they’re going to try and wear him down and maybe at one point he’s just worn down and he goes, ‘Yeah I know we’re buying too many mortgages’ ... or he slips up,” Cramer suggested.\nThe Labor Department on Tuesday said the PPI in Mayrose a hot 6.6% year over year, the largest 12-month increase on record. That comes after last week’sbig spike in consumer prices.\n“I mean, Jay is really practiced, but on the eighth question or the ninth question, I think he’s going to say, ‘Listen, I’m going to look at this,’ and that’s going to freak people out,” Cramer continued.\nAsked by CNBC’sAndrew Ross Sorkinabout how, exactly, stocks might react in that hypothetical scenario, Cramer responded: “Market goes down big, and we go down for about four, five days.”\nCramer also reiterated that he shares Powell’s inflation outlook, believing the rise in prices is likely to be temporary during the Covid recovery, justifying the Fed’s near-zero interest rates and asset purchase program.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9098709987,"gmtCreate":1644219259243,"gmtModify":1676533900923,"author":{"id":"3572325762080167","authorId":"3572325762080167","name":"yenn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572325762080167","idStr":"3572325762080167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9098709987","repostId":"9004448317","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9004448317,"gmtCreate":1642676525258,"gmtModify":1676533734534,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022","htmlText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","listText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","text":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. 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Big Rewards are as follow: Click to Join the Game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b44fa056439fb4010fa55e163d27c3","width":"750","height":"1726"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004448317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363310737,"gmtCreate":1614093566729,"gmtModify":1704888102647,"author":{"id":"3572325762080167","authorId":"3572325762080167","name":"yenn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572325762080167","idStr":"3572325762080167"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"let’s go","listText":"let’s go","text":"let’s go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363310737","repostId":"1198320495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198320495","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614087585,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198320495?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-23 21:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The market is getting nervous about Powell’s testimony this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198320495","media":"cnbc","summary":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will be viewed closely this week for how he views this year’s run-up in bond yields.Investors worry that too quick of a rise might force the Fed to tighten policy too quickly, while a complacent Fed also would pose overheating risks.Rising bond yields and accompanying inflation fears are adding a level of drama to","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe market is getting nervous about Powell’s testimony this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-23 21:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/22/market-nervousness-growing-over-powells-testimony-to-congress-this-week.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1198320495","content_text":"KEY POINTSFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks twice to Congress this week as part of mandated semiannual testimony.Normally nonevents for the market, the central bank leader’s comments will be viewed closely this week for how he views this year’s run-up in bond yields.Investors worry that too quick of a rise might force the Fed to tighten policy too quickly, while a complacent Fed also would pose overheating risks.Rising bond yields and accompanying inflation fears are adding a level of drama to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s appearance this week before Congress.The central bank chair is slated to address Senate and House panels on successive days as part of mandated semiannual updates on monetary policy.Normally routine affairs, recent financial market tumult and concerns about how the Fed may react have investors paying a bit more close attention than usual to the hearings scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday.“This is one of the more interesting episodes in which a Fed chair has had to testify,” said Nathan Sheets, chief economist at PGIM Fixed Income. “Sometimes we say, ‘ho hum, no news.’ This is going to be news. He’s really caught between a rock and a hard place.”What’s got the market’s attention recently has been a pickup in government bond yields, particularly further out on the curve.While the 2-year is unchanged for 2021, the 5-year has risen nearly a quarter percentage point as of Friday’s market close while the benchmark 10-year note has seen its yield jump 41 basis points to 1.34%, an area where it hasn’t been since around the same time in 2020, before the worst of the pandemic struck.The 30-year bond yield has surged even more, leaping nearly half a point this year to 2.14%.Powell’s dilemma is this: Rising bond yields could be signaling the reflation of the economy that the Fed has been pushing and are therefore higher for good reasons. However, should the trend get out of control, the Fed then might have to tighten policy faster than the market expects, offsetting some of the good that has come with the burst in yields.Complicating the matter is that markets also might not like it if Powell is overly complacent.“If this testimony was behind closed doors, I think Jay Powell would be quite pleased with what he sees in the economy and the markets,” Sheets said, using the Fed chair’s nickname. “But given that it’s public, he’s got to be careful. If he’s too sanguine about the rise in rates, the markets are going to take that as a significant green light for rates to rip higher.”“The Fed is comfortable with an organic rise in rates reflecting shifts in views on growth and inflation,” he added. “But I think the Fed also wants to be careful that it doesn’t create and amplify a self-sustaining dynamic that pushes rates higher for other reasons.”Those “other reasons” primarily would be fears that the economy could overheat.Stimulus and more stimulusThe Fed has run historically loose policy for the past year, dropping its benchmark borrowing rate to near zero and buying at least $120 billion of bonds each month. That’s on top of a series of since-expired lending and liquidity programs implemented in the early days of the Covid-19 crisis.Along with that, Congress has come in with more than $3 trillion of fiscal stimulus and could approve up to $1.9 trillion more by the end of week.All that has transpired amid an economy that, besides a still-troubling employment problem primarily in the service sector, is humming. Wall Street is taking up first-quarter growth expectations and market-based indicators of inflation are rising.That’s why Powell’s tightrope walk this week will be all the more compelling.“The market mood has changed,”Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at Allianz, said Monday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” It’s no longer whether yields are going higher, it’s when is the move too big. That’s what the market’s trying to figure out.”Investors are particularly concerned whether all the stimulus isn’t going overboard and threatening to destabilize the economy over the longer run.“I can predict that the yellow lights are flashing all over the Fed because of the [yields] move and the steepening of the yield curve, and the Fed may do more to try to control yields,” El-Erian said.Fed officials have largely dismissed so-called yield curve control to use its bond purchasing power to control rates between various fixed income maturities.But the market could force the Fed’s hand, and Powell is likely to get asked about where he stands on what tools the Fed has to calm market issues. He has repeatedly stressed that the central bank has the weapons to control inflation, but deploying those comes with a price. Markets used to low yields and companies accustomed to cheap borrowing costs could get rattled by an unexpected Fed move.Evidence of how clearly the market is watching the issue came Monday morning, when European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said she is “closely monitoring the evolution of longer-term nominal bond yields.” Her words were enough to calm a jittery market and turn what had been an opening loss on Wall Street into a mixed market with the Dow up in early afternoon trading. Treasury yields were mostly flat on the day.Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, noted that his “clients have already expressed some apprehension about this week. Part of this reflects the fact that bond yields have been steadily rising and equity investors are nervous that the bond market might reach some sort of ‘breaking point’” during Powell’s testimony.Powell speaks Tuesday before the Senate Finance Committee then Wednesday to the House Financial Services Committee.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}