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JonathanNg

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2021-07-13

bullish?

How earnings season is likely to play out in the coming weeks and its impact on the stock market

2021-06-30

beautif wsb

Which of the 10 Most Talked About Reddit Stocks Is Worth a Buy?

2021-06-28

move along move along

2021-06-28

$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$hmmm

2021-06-27

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$climb more

2021-06-27

beautiful chart

2021-06-25

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$good run

2021-06-23

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$lunch for the week?

2021-06-23

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$selling on the way up

2021-06-23

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$money come

2021-06-23

good volatile

2021-06-10

tired of his post

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-10

very good inflation

No inflation fears here: ARK's Wood says portfolio should triple in five years

2021-06-10

$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$pls climb

2021-06-09

$1847 Goedeker(GOED)$not sure whats funds for

2021-06-09

high potential

2021-06-09

piak to moon

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-08

$Artificial Intelligence Technology Solutions Inc.(AITX)$sweet

2021-06-07

$Artificial Intelligence Technology Solutions Inc.(AITX)$looking to take profit at 0.96

2021-06-07

$Artificial Intelligence Technology Solutions Inc.(AITX)$meme movement

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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07:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How earnings season is likely to play out in the coming weeks and its impact on the stock market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101566017","media":"cnbc","summary":"The great cyclical rebound is about to get underway with outsized gains expected in the quarterly profits of industrial, consumer discretionary, energy and materials companies.Earnings growth in the second quarter is expected to be a stunning 66%, as companies compare their results to the depressed period last year when the pandemic abruptly shut down the economy, according to Refinitiv data.“If you listen to what the CFOs are going to say, you’re going to think the earnings are terrible, but if","content":"<div>\n<p>The great cyclical rebound is about to get underway with outsized gains expected in the quarterly profits of industrial, consumer discretionary, energy and materials companies.\nEarnings growth in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/12/how-earnings-season-is-likely-to-play-out-in-the-coming-weeks-and-its-impact-on-the-stock-market.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How earnings season is likely to play out in the coming weeks and its impact on the stock market</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow earnings season is likely to play out in the coming weeks and its impact on the stock market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-13 07:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/12/how-earnings-season-is-likely-to-play-out-in-the-coming-weeks-and-its-impact-on-the-stock-market.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The great cyclical rebound is about to get underway with outsized gains expected in the quarterly profits of industrial, consumer discretionary, energy and materials companies.\nEarnings growth in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/12/how-earnings-season-is-likely-to-play-out-in-the-coming-weeks-and-its-impact-on-the-stock-market.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/12/how-earnings-season-is-likely-to-play-out-in-the-coming-weeks-and-its-impact-on-the-stock-market.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1101566017","content_text":"The great cyclical rebound is about to get underway with outsized gains expected in the quarterly profits of industrial, consumer discretionary, energy and materials companies.\nEarnings growth in the second quarter is expected to be a stunning 66%, as companies compare their results to the depressed period last year when the pandemic abruptly shut down the economy, according to Refinitiv data.\nNormally a profit leader, the technology sector this quarter, is expected to see just 32% profit growth, according to Refiniv. That compares to shockingly large estimated increases in industrial sector profits of more than 570%, and energy industry profits, up 220%. Earnings for the financial and materials sectors are expected to be up more than 100% each.\nThose huge gains and expected earnings beats should be a positive for some cyclical stocks this quarter. Earnings season kicks off Tuesday with reports fromJPMorgan Chase,Goldman Sachs,andPepsiCo.\nThis earnings season will be the period where the tug of war that’s been a factor in the stock market, between cyclical and growth trades, is due to play out very clearly in the earnings numbers. Inflationary pressures, negative for tech stock performance, are expected to help boost cyclical earnings growth in the rebound, as companies face rising input costs but also up their prices.\n“I think what you’re going to see is a very unusual kind of contradiction between the data and the narrative,” said Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse. “What companies are going to say is they are facing shortages and rising input costs and other things which are constraints to their success. And then what you’re going to see is massive beats and the biggest portions coming from higher margins. They’re not going to try to reconcile it.”\nGolub expects companies to provide detail on rising costs and supply shortages but not as much information on how much they are raising prices or how broadly.\n“If you listen to what the CFOs are going to say, you’re going to think the earnings are terrible, but if you look at the results, they’re going to be magnificent,” he said.\nBut ultimately, it’s tech and growth that will prove to be the best performers profit-wise over the long haul. “Their own earnings revisions for themselves are still good. They’re not deteriorating. They’re solid. They’re not getting worse. They’re not accelerating in this ridiculous way. They’re on the same solid trajectory they’ve been on,” said Brian Rauscher, Fundstrat head of global portfolio strategy.\nRauscher expects the trend to revert back to tech as the better earnings performer in two quarters from now, when cyclical airline stocks or industrial stocks like Caterpillar will see earnings growth back in the single digits. “Tech will keep growing at 25%,” he said.\nHe says economic growth will have slowed to a more normalized and sustained pace. By then it will be more apparent whether inflation is temporary or not.\n“If they are unable to pass along price increases, it will hit the earnings,” he said.\nGolub points out that tech profits in last year’s second quarter actually increased by 3.3% from 2019, as cyclical earnings plunged 85% in the same period. The 2021 second quarter earnings growth estimate for tech is 34.2%, while some cyclical earnings will rebound by more than 570% just to get back to even with 2019.\n“It says one of these is a near term trade, and one of them is a long term trade,” said Golub. “Once the supply chain issues are gone, [cyclicals] are going to be unimpressive.”\nEven with the push pull of tech and growth versus cyclical trades, strategists say the earning season should be good for the stock market.\n“I think the numbers will be very good, and it’ll be supportive for markets,” said Rauscher. He said some investors may be concerned that a peak period of earnings this quarter will lead to a market decline but he doesn’t expect that to be the case.\n“Obviously, the numbers are going to be outsized because we have that weird comparison from last year. I think the important thing is going to be the return of guidance,” Rauscher said. Both he and Golub say they expect earnings to beat to the upside.\n“I think the analysts have underestimated the improvement in operating leverage,” Rauscher said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151049251,"gmtCreate":1625060042573,"gmtModify":1703735064686,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573377599916480","idStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"beautif wsb","listText":"beautif wsb","text":"beautif wsb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151049251","repostId":"1150186389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150186389","pubTimestamp":1625044819,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150186389?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-30 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Which of the 10 Most Talked About Reddit Stocks Is Worth a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150186389","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Like all investments, there are good Reddit stocks, and bad ones\nSource: Marcus Krauss / Shutterstoc","content":"<p>Like all investments, there are good Reddit stocks, and bad ones</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/753e957cac964de085fbdea1b1aa30a1\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\"><span>Source: Marcus Krauss / Shutterstock.com</span></p>\n<p>I must admit, when I was given this assignment my first thought was I’m the last guy to be talking about Reddit stocks. I think the attention being paid to Reddit and meme stocks is a bunch of hokum.</p>\n<p>The arguments abound whether the meme stock frenzy is&nbsp;a permanent part of the investing landscape.</p>\n<p>“This is not going to end well,” Former E*Trade CEO Karl Roessner told<i>CNBC</i>in early June while discussing the AMC rally. “I think historically we’ve seen this in the past, but I do believethis grouphas staying power.”</p>\n<p>However, if you’re a value investor, the mere presence of this kind of retail investor is music to your ears. While the sheep are out buying&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), you can pick up shares in some of America’s better companies that trade at a discount.</p>\n<p>That’s not easy when the&nbsp;Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio&nbsp;(CAPE) of 38.11 is at the second-highest level on record — the highest was in December 1999 — with no end in sight to the multiple’s upward trajectory.</p>\n<p>With that in mind, I’ve rated the&nbsp;top 10 Reddit stocks— based on the number of comments made on r/WallStreetBets — from best to worst as a long-term buy:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>KB Home</b>(NYSE:<b><u>KBH</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PLTR</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Clean Energy Fuels</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CLNE</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>BlackBerry</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BB</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Workhorse Group</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>WKHS</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>ContextLogic</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>WISH</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Globalstar</b>(NYSEAMERICAN:<b><u>GSAT</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Clover Health</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CLOV</u></b>)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Tesla (TSLA)</b></p>\n<p>Say what you will about Elon Musk, but there’s no question he’s built one heck of a company. Soon, Tesla will have a fourth factory open in Berlin. Even though the original opening date of July 1 is no longer on the table due to myriad reasons, it will ultimately produce millions of electric vehicles (EVs) for willing European buyers.</p>\n<p>The company has added a&nbsp;battery cell production&nbsp;component to the plant outside Berlin. It will produce 500 million cells annually representing 50 gigawatt hours (GWh) of energy, 25% higher than&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen’s</b>(OTCMKTS:<b><u>VWAGY</u></b>) planned facility a couple hundred miles away.</p>\n<p>Across the pond in Texas, the company’s fifth so-called Gigafactory is getting closer to being ready for production. This plant will produce an updated version of the Model Y using “mega casting” technology to speed up the production process while delivering a lighter vehicle at the same time. It currently&nbsp;uses this technology&nbsp;at its plant in Shanghai.</p>\n<p>Tesla has afree cash flow (FCF) marginof 22.3% based on $35.94 billion in trailing-12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>KB Home (KBH)</b></p>\n<p>The largest homebuilders in America are having&nbsp;trouble keeping up with demand&nbsp;at the moment. At least for now, KB Home is meeting the demand from customers, 64% of which were first-time buyers in the latest quarter.</p>\n<p>“Operationally, our divisions are doing an&nbsp;excellent job&nbsp;of navigating this environment of demand strength and well-publicized supply chain constraints as we effectively balanced pace, price and starts to optimize our assets and manage our production,” said KB Home CEO Jeff Mezger in the Q2 2021 conference call.</p>\n<p>KB Home is so busy that the number of homes started in Q1 2021 and Q2 2021 was equivalent to 75% of the number of homes started for 2020. As a result, it expects to deliver $6 billion in housing revenue in 2021 at the midpoint of guidance, with operating margins between 11.5% and 12.0%.</p>\n<p>KB Home has anFCF margin of 6.5%based on $4.78 billion in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir Technologies (PLTR)</b></p>\n<p>Palantir has been a public company for less than a year. The provider of data analytics software platforms for government agencies, corporations, and other large institutions, sold no shares last September when directly listedon the NYSE.</p>\n<p>The reference price was $7.25. PLTR stock is up 277.7% through the start of June 29.</p>\n<p>Not only is it growing its business — in the latest quarter, itsU.S. commercial revenuegrew 72% year-over-year while its U.S. government revenue jumped 83% YOY — it is also busy investing in other tech companies looking to go public.</p>\n<p>For example, it has invested in six private investments in public equity (PIPE) in the past three months. These PIPEs are part of the ongoing interest in special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Palantir invests&nbsp;in the PIPEs&nbsp;to gain financial returns and collaborate with these companies, which use its data analytic tools for their businesses.</p>\n<p>I’m not 100% sold on Palantir&nbsp;just yet, but it’s a good long-term buy compared to some of the Reddit stocks on this list.</p>\n<p>Palantir has anFCF margin of 9%based on $1.2 billion in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>Clean Energy Fuels</b><b>(</b><b>CLNE)</b></p>\n<p>Back in February,I recommended CLNE. At the time, it was trading around $12.97. It was one of seven stocks to buy under $20. As I write this, it’s just under $11, so it’s lost ground over the past four months.</p>\n<p>I liked Clean Energy for several reasons.</p>\n<p>First, it provides three kinds of natural gas fuel for commercial trucks: compressed (CNG), liquified (LNG), and renewable (RNG). It’s the only fuel provider to do so. Secondly, RNG fuel enables trucking companies to deliver their services while getting close to or achieving carbon negative status. Third, it’s got fueling stations in 43 states and Canada. Lastly, it’s got deep pockets.<b>Total</b>(OTCMKTS:<b><u>TTFNF</u></b>) owns 25% of its stock.</p>\n<p>Oh, and as I said in February, from an adjusted EBITDA basis (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), it makes money while also growing revenues at a steady pace.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, Clean Energy has anFCF margin of 24.2%based on $283 million in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>BlackBerry (BB)</b></p>\n<p>I can remember when&nbsp;President Barack Obama&nbsp;first entered the White House in January 2009. The BlackBerry was considered the cat’s meow when it came to mobile phones. By the time he left office in January 2017, it was in the dustbin of history.</p>\n<p>Now supplying security software to automobile manufacturers and other enterprises and governments worldwide — a research firm recently said its QNX software is installed in195 million vehicles&nbsp;worldwide — the Reddit crowd have taken to the Waterloo, Ontario-based tech company.</p>\n<p>Things have turned around for BlackBerry.</p>\n<p>At least, enough so to provide CEO John Chen with a handsome compensation package. Proxy advisory firm Glass Lewis recently blasted the company, suggesting its&nbsp;compensation plan&nbsp;had no relation to its overall corporate performance.</p>\n<p>As a result of the January Reddit rally, which saw BB stock move from $6.70 at the beginning of the month to a 52-week high of $28.77 by the end, Chen could receive as much as $206 million in cash and stock compensation from the long-term incentives issued in 2019.</p>\n<p>On a GAAP basis,BlackBerry still loses money. That said, the pivot it’s made to software has given it another shot at tech stardom. We’ll see if it gain regain its former glory from the Obama years.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, BlackBerry has anFCF margin of 9.3%based on $861 million in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>Workhorse Group (WKHS)</b></p>\n<p>The last time I wrote about Workhorse Group was in late April. At the time, it was trading around $12.50. I argued that if it got the&nbsp;backlog of 8,000&nbsp;commercial electric vehicle delivery trucks out the door over the next 12 to 24 months, it would have an ultra-low price-to-sales ratio of 4.2.</p>\n<p>Long story short, if it did, its stock would be worth more than $12.50.</p>\n<p>Well, on June 16, Workhorse&nbsp;officially protested&nbsp;the United States Postal Service awarding the estimated $6 billion contract to manufacture its next-generation delivery vehicle to&nbsp;<b>Oshkosh</b>(NYSE:<b><u>OSK</u></b>). The news pushed WKHS to $17.54 at the start of June 29.</p>\n<p><i>InvestorPlace’s</i>&nbsp;Dana Blankenhorn recently discussed Workhorse. He believes that the company was in the commercial EV game to&nbsp;ride on the coattails&nbsp;of big guns like&nbsp;<b>Ford</b>(NYSE:<b><u>F</u></b>) and&nbsp;<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GM</u></b>). That’s not the craziest theory in the world.</p>\n<p>In the latest quarter, Workhorse delivered six trucks to customers and generated $521,000 in revenue. It plans to produce&nbsp;1,000 trucks&nbsp;in 2021. It will have to pick up the pace if it wants to reach that goal. In the meantime, investors can expect its quarterly losses to accelerate as we make our way through the year.</p>\n<p>Workhorse has an&nbsp;FCF margin of -5,320.2%&nbsp;based on $1.83 million in trailing 12-month revenue. It is for speculative investors only.</p>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment (AMC)</b></p>\n<p>AMC is a stock that I’m conflicted about.</p>\n<p>On the one hand, I believe that Americans will return to movie theaters in large numbers come fall. That will likely return the chain to pre-Covid revenue numbers. On the other hand, it has a burdensome debt load.</p>\n<p>Despite using the Reddit surge to raise much-needed cash to repay some of this debt — on June 3, it announced it would sell 11.55 million shares at the market to bring in another&nbsp;$600 million— it still has&nbsp;$11.05 billion&nbsp;owed, or 37.6% of its vastly overvalued market capitalization of $29.4 billion.</p>\n<p>Former E*Trade CEO Karl Roessner appeared on&nbsp;<i>CNBC</i>&nbsp;in early June. While he&nbsp;commended AMC management&nbsp;for selling shares when prices were high, the company is not worth $28 billion.</p>\n<p>“Absent some serious strategic undertakings by that company, it’s still just not worth what it’s trading for right now,” Roessner stated.</p>\n<p>I couldn’t agree more.</p>\n<p>AMC has anFCF margin of -280%based on $449 million in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>ContextLogic (WISH)</b></p>\n<p>In February, I wrote an article about the e-commerce site with the headline“ContextLogic Has Nothing to Do With Retail”<i>.</i>I didn’t understand the composition of its board. It had no retail experience on its board to oversee the CEO.</p>\n<p>“If ContextLogic’s goal is to beat&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b>AMZN</b>) at discount e-commerce apparel, its board of directors is a sure sign that’s not what it’s after,” I said.</p>\n<p>I finished the article by stating I didn’t get an inspirational vibe from Context Logic’s board of directors. In the four months since, WISH has lost 49% of its value and trades well below its&nbsp;IPO price&nbsp;of $24.</p>\n<p>ContextLogic has anFCF margin of -8%based on $2.87 billion in trailing 12-month revenue. I’m really not sure what Redditors see in this one.</p>\n<p><b>Globalstar (GSAT)</b></p>\n<p>Not everyone thinks the provider of mobile satellite services is a bad bet.</p>\n<p>B. Riley analyst Mike Crawford initiated coverage of Globalstar on June 21. The analyst gives it a “buy” rating and a&nbsp;$3.25 target price, double where it’s currently trading. He estimates that the company’s C-Band spectrum could be worth as much as $15 billion. Based on 1.79 billion shares outstanding, that’s $8.38 a share, considerably higher than the analyst’s target price.</p>\n<p>From where I sit, the fact that it’s currently trading at&nbsp;a price-to-sales ratio of 25.39&nbsp;and&nbsp;not making money&nbsp;on a GAAP basis makes it very hard for me to get behind the company.</p>\n<p>However, Globalstar does have one big ace up its sleeve.</p>\n<p>On page 87 of its&nbsp;2020 10-K, you will see that it had $1.8 billion in U.S. net operating loss (NOL) carryforwards with less than 1% expiring before 2025. It has an additional $200 million in foreign NOL carryforwards. So, should it start generating significant profits — that’s still very much up in the air — the loss carryforwards will shield the company’s earnings from taxes for the foreseeable future.</p>\n<p>Globalstar has anFCF margin of 18%based on $123 million in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>\n<p><b>Clover Health (CLOV)</b></p>\n<p>They say timing is everything.</p>\n<p>In early June, I wrote an article about the healthcare technology company, which uses data to provide healthcare plans for more than 130,000 Americans. At the time, I felt like there was a fair bit of&nbsp;upside resistance at $10.</p>\n<p>While I wouldn’t buy the money-losing stock, a patient investor with a higher than average risk tolerance would be wise to buy around $9, or hopefully less. And then came the June 8 Reddit-induced short squeeze, doubling CLOV’s share price within hours.</p>\n<p>“By afternoon trading [June 8], Clover had already traded over&nbsp;650 million shares, 30 times more than its 30-day average volume of 22 million shares, according to FactSet,”<i>CNBC</i>‘s Yun Lireported. “By the closing bell on Wall Street, more than 720 million shares had changed hands.”</p>\n<p>CLOV stock closed June 7 trading at $11.92. By 4 p.m. the next day, it was over $22.</p>\n<p>In my article, I mentioned the investing lesson a 17-year-old learned about managing your expectations when playing with real money. I really hope he was able to sell his call options in the June surge. If not, the shares have still doubled from a month ago.</p>\n<p>Overall, it’s down slightly from its&nbsp;first day of trading&nbsp;on Jan. 8.</p>\n<p>Clover has anFCF margin of -24.2%based on $721 million in trailing 12-month revenue.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Which of the 10 Most Talked About Reddit Stocks Is Worth a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhich of the 10 Most Talked About Reddit Stocks Is Worth a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-30 17:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/which-of-the-10-most-talked-about-reddit-stocks-is-worth-a-buy/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Like all investments, there are good Reddit stocks, and bad ones\nSource: Marcus Krauss / Shutterstock.com\nI must admit, when I was given this assignment my first thought was I’m the last guy to be ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/which-of-the-10-most-talked-about-reddit-stocks-is-worth-a-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLNE":"Clean Energy Fuels Corp","BB":"黑莓","KBH":"KB Home","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","GSAT":"全球星","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/which-of-the-10-most-talked-about-reddit-stocks-is-worth-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150186389","content_text":"Like all investments, there are good Reddit stocks, and bad ones\nSource: Marcus Krauss / Shutterstock.com\nI must admit, when I was given this assignment my first thought was I’m the last guy to be talking about Reddit stocks. I think the attention being paid to Reddit and meme stocks is a bunch of hokum.\nThe arguments abound whether the meme stock frenzy is a permanent part of the investing landscape.\n“This is not going to end well,” Former E*Trade CEO Karl Roessner toldCNBCin early June while discussing the AMC rally. “I think historically we’ve seen this in the past, but I do believethis grouphas staying power.”\nHowever, if you’re a value investor, the mere presence of this kind of retail investor is music to your ears. While the sheep are out buying GameStop(NYSE:GME), you can pick up shares in some of America’s better companies that trade at a discount.\nThat’s not easy when the Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio (CAPE) of 38.11 is at the second-highest level on record — the highest was in December 1999 — with no end in sight to the multiple’s upward trajectory.\nWith that in mind, I’ve rated the top 10 Reddit stocks— based on the number of comments made on r/WallStreetBets — from best to worst as a long-term buy:\n\nTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)\nKB Home(NYSE:KBH)\nPalantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR)\nClean Energy Fuels(NASDAQ:CLNE)\nBlackBerry(NYSE:BB)\nWorkhorse Group(NASDAQ:WKHS)\nAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)\nContextLogic(NASDAQ:WISH)\nGlobalstar(NYSEAMERICAN:GSAT)\nClover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV)\n\nTesla (TSLA)\nSay what you will about Elon Musk, but there’s no question he’s built one heck of a company. Soon, Tesla will have a fourth factory open in Berlin. Even though the original opening date of July 1 is no longer on the table due to myriad reasons, it will ultimately produce millions of electric vehicles (EVs) for willing European buyers.\nThe company has added a battery cell production component to the plant outside Berlin. It will produce 500 million cells annually representing 50 gigawatt hours (GWh) of energy, 25% higher than Volkswagen’s(OTCMKTS:VWAGY) planned facility a couple hundred miles away.\nAcross the pond in Texas, the company’s fifth so-called Gigafactory is getting closer to being ready for production. This plant will produce an updated version of the Model Y using “mega casting” technology to speed up the production process while delivering a lighter vehicle at the same time. It currently uses this technology at its plant in Shanghai.\nTesla has afree cash flow (FCF) marginof 22.3% based on $35.94 billion in trailing-12-month revenue.\nKB Home (KBH)\nThe largest homebuilders in America are having trouble keeping up with demand at the moment. At least for now, KB Home is meeting the demand from customers, 64% of which were first-time buyers in the latest quarter.\n“Operationally, our divisions are doing an excellent job of navigating this environment of demand strength and well-publicized supply chain constraints as we effectively balanced pace, price and starts to optimize our assets and manage our production,” said KB Home CEO Jeff Mezger in the Q2 2021 conference call.\nKB Home is so busy that the number of homes started in Q1 2021 and Q2 2021 was equivalent to 75% of the number of homes started for 2020. As a result, it expects to deliver $6 billion in housing revenue in 2021 at the midpoint of guidance, with operating margins between 11.5% and 12.0%.\nKB Home has anFCF margin of 6.5%based on $4.78 billion in trailing 12-month revenue.\nPalantir Technologies (PLTR)\nPalantir has been a public company for less than a year. The provider of data analytics software platforms for government agencies, corporations, and other large institutions, sold no shares last September when directly listedon the NYSE.\nThe reference price was $7.25. PLTR stock is up 277.7% through the start of June 29.\nNot only is it growing its business — in the latest quarter, itsU.S. commercial revenuegrew 72% year-over-year while its U.S. government revenue jumped 83% YOY — it is also busy investing in other tech companies looking to go public.\nFor example, it has invested in six private investments in public equity (PIPE) in the past three months. These PIPEs are part of the ongoing interest in special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Palantir invests in the PIPEs to gain financial returns and collaborate with these companies, which use its data analytic tools for their businesses.\nI’m not 100% sold on Palantir just yet, but it’s a good long-term buy compared to some of the Reddit stocks on this list.\nPalantir has anFCF margin of 9%based on $1.2 billion in trailing 12-month revenue.\nClean Energy Fuels(CLNE)\nBack in February,I recommended CLNE. At the time, it was trading around $12.97. It was one of seven stocks to buy under $20. As I write this, it’s just under $11, so it’s lost ground over the past four months.\nI liked Clean Energy for several reasons.\nFirst, it provides three kinds of natural gas fuel for commercial trucks: compressed (CNG), liquified (LNG), and renewable (RNG). It’s the only fuel provider to do so. Secondly, RNG fuel enables trucking companies to deliver their services while getting close to or achieving carbon negative status. Third, it’s got fueling stations in 43 states and Canada. Lastly, it’s got deep pockets.Total(OTCMKTS:TTFNF) owns 25% of its stock.\nOh, and as I said in February, from an adjusted EBITDA basis (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), it makes money while also growing revenues at a steady pace.\nIn the meantime, Clean Energy has anFCF margin of 24.2%based on $283 million in trailing 12-month revenue.\nBlackBerry (BB)\nI can remember when President Barack Obama first entered the White House in January 2009. The BlackBerry was considered the cat’s meow when it came to mobile phones. By the time he left office in January 2017, it was in the dustbin of history.\nNow supplying security software to automobile manufacturers and other enterprises and governments worldwide — a research firm recently said its QNX software is installed in195 million vehicles worldwide — the Reddit crowd have taken to the Waterloo, Ontario-based tech company.\nThings have turned around for BlackBerry.\nAt least, enough so to provide CEO John Chen with a handsome compensation package. Proxy advisory firm Glass Lewis recently blasted the company, suggesting its compensation plan had no relation to its overall corporate performance.\nAs a result of the January Reddit rally, which saw BB stock move from $6.70 at the beginning of the month to a 52-week high of $28.77 by the end, Chen could receive as much as $206 million in cash and stock compensation from the long-term incentives issued in 2019.\nOn a GAAP basis,BlackBerry still loses money. That said, the pivot it’s made to software has given it another shot at tech stardom. We’ll see if it gain regain its former glory from the Obama years.\nIn the meantime, BlackBerry has anFCF margin of 9.3%based on $861 million in trailing 12-month revenue.\nWorkhorse Group (WKHS)\nThe last time I wrote about Workhorse Group was in late April. At the time, it was trading around $12.50. I argued that if it got the backlog of 8,000 commercial electric vehicle delivery trucks out the door over the next 12 to 24 months, it would have an ultra-low price-to-sales ratio of 4.2.\nLong story short, if it did, its stock would be worth more than $12.50.\nWell, on June 16, Workhorse officially protested the United States Postal Service awarding the estimated $6 billion contract to manufacture its next-generation delivery vehicle to Oshkosh(NYSE:OSK). The news pushed WKHS to $17.54 at the start of June 29.\nInvestorPlace’s Dana Blankenhorn recently discussed Workhorse. He believes that the company was in the commercial EV game to ride on the coattails of big guns like Ford(NYSE:F) and General Motors(NYSE:GM). That’s not the craziest theory in the world.\nIn the latest quarter, Workhorse delivered six trucks to customers and generated $521,000 in revenue. It plans to produce 1,000 trucks in 2021. It will have to pick up the pace if it wants to reach that goal. In the meantime, investors can expect its quarterly losses to accelerate as we make our way through the year.\nWorkhorse has an FCF margin of -5,320.2% based on $1.83 million in trailing 12-month revenue. It is for speculative investors only.\nAMC Entertainment (AMC)\nAMC is a stock that I’m conflicted about.\nOn the one hand, I believe that Americans will return to movie theaters in large numbers come fall. That will likely return the chain to pre-Covid revenue numbers. On the other hand, it has a burdensome debt load.\nDespite using the Reddit surge to raise much-needed cash to repay some of this debt — on June 3, it announced it would sell 11.55 million shares at the market to bring in another $600 million— it still has $11.05 billion owed, or 37.6% of its vastly overvalued market capitalization of $29.4 billion.\nFormer E*Trade CEO Karl Roessner appeared on CNBC in early June. While he commended AMC management for selling shares when prices were high, the company is not worth $28 billion.\n“Absent some serious strategic undertakings by that company, it’s still just not worth what it’s trading for right now,” Roessner stated.\nI couldn’t agree more.\nAMC has anFCF margin of -280%based on $449 million in trailing 12-month revenue.\nContextLogic (WISH)\nIn February, I wrote an article about the e-commerce site with the headline“ContextLogic Has Nothing to Do With Retail”.I didn’t understand the composition of its board. It had no retail experience on its board to oversee the CEO.\n“If ContextLogic’s goal is to beat Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) at discount e-commerce apparel, its board of directors is a sure sign that’s not what it’s after,” I said.\nI finished the article by stating I didn’t get an inspirational vibe from Context Logic’s board of directors. In the four months since, WISH has lost 49% of its value and trades well below its IPO price of $24.\nContextLogic has anFCF margin of -8%based on $2.87 billion in trailing 12-month revenue. I’m really not sure what Redditors see in this one.\nGlobalstar (GSAT)\nNot everyone thinks the provider of mobile satellite services is a bad bet.\nB. Riley analyst Mike Crawford initiated coverage of Globalstar on June 21. The analyst gives it a “buy” rating and a $3.25 target price, double where it’s currently trading. He estimates that the company’s C-Band spectrum could be worth as much as $15 billion. Based on 1.79 billion shares outstanding, that’s $8.38 a share, considerably higher than the analyst’s target price.\nFrom where I sit, the fact that it’s currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.39 and not making money on a GAAP basis makes it very hard for me to get behind the company.\nHowever, Globalstar does have one big ace up its sleeve.\nOn page 87 of its 2020 10-K, you will see that it had $1.8 billion in U.S. net operating loss (NOL) carryforwards with less than 1% expiring before 2025. It has an additional $200 million in foreign NOL carryforwards. So, should it start generating significant profits — that’s still very much up in the air — the loss carryforwards will shield the company’s earnings from taxes for the foreseeable future.\nGlobalstar has anFCF margin of 18%based on $123 million in trailing 12-month revenue.\nClover Health (CLOV)\nThey say timing is everything.\nIn early June, I wrote an article about the healthcare technology company, which uses data to provide healthcare plans for more than 130,000 Americans. At the time, I felt like there was a fair bit of upside resistance at $10.\nWhile I wouldn’t buy the money-losing stock, a patient investor with a higher than average risk tolerance would be wise to buy around $9, or hopefully less. And then came the June 8 Reddit-induced short squeeze, doubling CLOV’s share price within hours.\n“By afternoon trading [June 8], Clover had already traded over 650 million shares, 30 times more than its 30-day average volume of 22 million shares, according to FactSet,”CNBC‘s Yun Lireported. “By the closing bell on Wall Street, more than 720 million shares had changed hands.”\nCLOV stock closed June 7 trading at $11.92. By 4 p.m. the next day, it was over $22.\nIn my article, I mentioned the investing lesson a 17-year-old learned about managing your expectations when playing with real money. I really hope he was able to sell his call options in the June surge. If not, the shares have still doubled from a month ago.\nOverall, it’s down slightly from its first day of trading on Jan. 8.\nClover has anFCF margin of -24.2%based on $721 million in trailing 12-month revenue.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127237050,"gmtCreate":1624850334270,"gmtModify":1703846170067,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573377599916480","idStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"move along move along","listText":"move along move along","text":"move along move 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post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183822675","repostId":"1111571294","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183826491,"gmtCreate":1623323143213,"gmtModify":1704200864048,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573377599916480","idStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"very good inflation","listText":"very good inflation","text":"very good inflation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183826491","repostId":"2142938292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142938292","pubTimestamp":1623317460,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142938292?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 17:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No inflation fears here: ARK's Wood says portfolio should triple in five years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142938292","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"By David Randall\nNEW YORK (Reuters) - Lower prices for growth stocks as a result of the inflation-dr","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8615adde0d6a3c7b80d022638d4a205\" tg-width=\"200\" tg-height=\"127\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>By David Randall</p>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Lower prices for growth stocks as a result of the inflation-driven selloff that began in February should mean that Ark Investment's portfolios should see a \"more than tripling\" over the next five years, star fund manager and firm founder Cathie Wood said in a webinar on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Wood, who became the face of the outsized rally in technology stocks such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications Inc and electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc during the coronavirus pandemic last year, said that falling lumber and copper prices signal that the market is \"beginning to see signs that the risks are overblown” from inflation.</p>\n<p>Lumber prices are down approximately 30% from their May 7 highs, while copper prices are down nearly 6% over the same time.</p>\n<p>\"We know it's been a difficult time in the market for innovation strategies,\" she said. As a result, Wood has moved into what she called \"opportunistic\" investment plays such as special-purpose acquisition companies that have badly underperformed the benchmark S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Inflation fears have weighed heavily on growth stocks since the beginning of the year, prompting investors to rotate into so-called value stocks in sectors such as energy and financials that benefit from rising prices. The Russell 1000 Value index is up nearly 18% for the year to date, while the Russell 1000 Growth index is up nearly 7% over the same time.</p>\n<p>Wood, whose <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> was the top-performing actively managed U.S. equity fund tracked by Morningstar last year, has seen her performance stagnate along with the slowdown in growth stocks. Her flagship fund is down nearly 28% from its early February high.</p>\n<p>The fund rose 0.1% in afternoon trading on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The market focus on Wood's portfolio has largely been replaced this year by an emphasis on so-called meme stocks like AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc and GameStop Corp which have skyrocketed more than 1,000% since the start of January thanks to individual investors who frequent social media sites like Reddit.</p>\n<p>When asked, Wood said ARK does not search Reddit for stock ideas but does monitor it for the \"great conversation\" about the companies the firm holds.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by David Randall in New York; Editing by Matthew Lewis)</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No inflation fears here: ARK's Wood says portfolio should triple in five years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo inflation fears here: ARK's Wood says portfolio should triple in five years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 17:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18535825><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>By David Randall\nNEW YORK (Reuters) - Lower prices for growth stocks as a result of the inflation-driven selloff that began in February should mean that Ark Investment's portfolios should see a \"more ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18535825\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internation ETF","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF","ARKX":"ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18535825","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142938292","content_text":"By David Randall\nNEW YORK (Reuters) - Lower prices for growth stocks as a result of the inflation-driven selloff that began in February should mean that Ark Investment's portfolios should see a \"more than tripling\" over the next five years, star fund manager and firm founder Cathie Wood said in a webinar on Tuesday.\nWood, who became the face of the outsized rally in technology stocks such as Zoom Video Communications Inc and electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc during the coronavirus pandemic last year, said that falling lumber and copper prices signal that the market is \"beginning to see signs that the risks are overblown” from inflation.\nLumber prices are down approximately 30% from their May 7 highs, while copper prices are down nearly 6% over the same time.\n\"We know it's been a difficult time in the market for innovation strategies,\" she said. As a result, Wood has moved into what she called \"opportunistic\" investment plays such as special-purpose acquisition companies that have badly underperformed the benchmark S&P 500.\nInflation fears have weighed heavily on growth stocks since the beginning of the year, prompting investors to rotate into so-called value stocks in sectors such as energy and financials that benefit from rising prices. The Russell 1000 Value index is up nearly 18% for the year to date, while the Russell 1000 Growth index is up nearly 7% over the same time.\nWood, whose ARK Innovation ETF was the top-performing actively managed U.S. equity fund tracked by Morningstar last year, has seen her performance stagnate along with the slowdown in growth stocks. Her flagship fund is down nearly 28% from its early February high.\nThe fund rose 0.1% in afternoon trading on Tuesday.\nThe market focus on Wood's portfolio has largely been replaced this year by an emphasis on so-called meme stocks like AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc and GameStop Corp which have skyrocketed more than 1,000% since the start of January thanks to individual investors who frequent social media sites like Reddit.\nWhen asked, Wood said ARK does not search Reddit for stock ideas but does monitor it for the \"great conversation\" about the companies the firm holds.\n(Reporting by David Randall in New York; Editing by Matthew Lewis)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183826363,"gmtCreate":1623323109152,"gmtModify":1704200863397,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573377599916480","idStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$</a>pls climb","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$</a>pls climb","text":"$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$pls 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You are a millionaire!","text":"That’s right! You are a millionaire!","html":"That’s right! You are a millionaire!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374584004,"gmtCreate":1619457050108,"gmtModify":1704724251210,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573377599916480","authorIdStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSAT\">$Globalstar(GSAT)$</a>In and Out, could have earn more but look out for morning dip the next day","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSAT\">$Globalstar(GSAT)$</a>In and Out, could have earn more but look out for morning dip the next day","text":"$Globalstar(GSAT)$In and Out, could have earn more but look out for morning dip the next day","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e93f13f8a82fbcb060cda8768e1b8da6","width":"1125","height":"3676"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374584004","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123046535,"gmtCreate":1624404943827,"gmtModify":1703835495330,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573377599916480","authorIdStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>money come","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>money come","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$money come","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe4059845ddb07b474c3abc66b6b03f","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123046535","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195935765,"gmtCreate":1621247940657,"gmtModify":1704354571919,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573377599916480","authorIdStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIOL\">$Biolase(BIOL)$</a>lets go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIOL\">$Biolase(BIOL)$</a>lets go","text":"$Biolase(BIOL)$lets go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fdb46853786caaa7e614f8190c2c790","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195935765","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576232257279797","authorId":"3576232257279797","name":"dandan_4896","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8b00e27a4dd6f248e38c3d78f21f188","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3576232257279797","authorIdStr":"3576232257279797"},"content":"Call tree answered at 11.01am","text":"Call tree answered at 11.01am","html":"Call tree answered at 11.01am"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116789845,"gmtCreate":1622819196087,"gmtModify":1704191905858,"author":{"id":"3573377599916480","authorId":"3573377599916480","name":"JonathanNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/377a7d96a35b13314f561a621464eca4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573377599916480","authorIdStr":"3573377599916480"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"for real?","listText":"for real?","text":"for real?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116789845","repostId":"1153560369","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153560369","pubTimestamp":1622817697,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153560369?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 22:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Lucid Motors Or Fisker The Better EV Stock To Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153560369","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nElectric vehicles (“EVs”) have emerged into the spotlight in recent years, with robust sale","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Electric vehicles (“EVs”) have emerged into the spotlight in recent years, with robust sales growth of 43% year-over-year observed in 2020.</li>\n <li>Europe is expected to have more than 300 EV models by 2025, while the U.S. is expected to have more than 130 EV models by 2026.</li>\n <li>Two of the up-and-coming EV startups include Lucid Motors and Fisker, both California-based with production and delivery expected by the end of 2021 and 2022, respectively.</li>\n <li>We believe both companies are undervalued at the moment, with significant upside potential of more than 150%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a5b427058aa1c9aea96553593b7ed1e\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Photo by domin_domin/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Electric vehicles (“EVs”) have emerged into the spotlight in recent years, with robust sales growth observed in 2020 despite a slump in global automotive sales due to COVID-related impacts. Instead of being overshadowed by the on-and-off lockdowns and lingering wariness of economic uncertainty, global EV sales continued its growth momentum in 2020,rising 43% year-over-year&nbsp;while overall automotive sales dropped by 20%. The evolving consumer sentiment on EVs resulting from increasing affordability and practicality thanks to technological advancements, combined with government intervention through subsidies and climate change policies are expected to supercharge the EV sales figures further within the decade; EV sales are expected to exceed 31.1 million units and represent 32% of global new car sales by 2030.</p>\n<p>The next decade will be an era of electrification with significant opportunities for the sector as EVs take the center stage. The European Federation for Transport and Environment predicts&nbsp;more than 300 available EV models&nbsp;within the European automotive market by 2025, while the IHS Markit predicts more than&nbsp;130 available EV models in the U.S. by 2026.</p>\n<p>Two of the up and coming brands to break into the U.S. and European EV market include Lucid Motors ((NYSE:CCIV)or “Lucid”) and Fisker(NYSE:FSR). The two California-based companies have already debuted their respective flagship vehicles with reservations now open; initial deliveries are expected in late 2021 for Lucid and late 2022 for Fisker. In addition to their astonishing vehicles, both stock picks have also been showstoppers in the latest tech rally, with share prices peaking at 187% for Fisker and 480% for Lucid since their respective IPO and pre-IPO announcements.</p>\n<p><b>Fisker Inc.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3d67f9efb3fba9a363fca7f11f130a7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"410\"><span>Source:fiskerinc.com</span></p>\n<p>Launched in 2016, the Southern California-based EV maker builds its brand on the mission to provide a “clean future for all” by creating the “world’s most emotional and sustainable vehicles”. The company is currently led by co-founders Henrik Fisker and Dr. Geeta Gupta-Fisker, alongside a strong executive team with years of industry experience in their respective trades. Henrik Fisker is best known for his disruptive designs within the luxury car sector for notable brands including BMW and Aston Martin. Prior to launching Fisker Inc., Henrik Fisker co-founded “Fisker Automotive”, which was best known for producing the world’s first luxury hybrid supercar, Fisker Karma, before its demise in 2012 due to bankruptcy. Giving the fast-changing sector another shot, the car designer has returned to the arena this time with the lessons from his past experience and an innovative business model – the “asset-lean” approach.</p>\n<p><b>The “Asset-Lean Approach”</b></p>\n<p>Fisker’s asset-lean approach entails outsourcing the business components where differentiation is deemed non-essential, including platform engineering, production and assembly, the charging network, and other fleet management services. The business model will not only allow the company to significantly shorten the typical timeline of 60 months, from concept to delivery, to&nbsp;29 months, but also enable greater capital deployment towards areas critical to customer experience, including design, software, user interface, and advanced driver-assistance systems (“ADAS”). The lowered costs achieved through this business model will also enable Fisker to keep the prices of their vehicles at an affordable range without compromising on quality.</p>\n<p>Fisker’s flagship model will be the&nbsp;Fisker Ocean SUV, which is expected to begin production on November 17, 2022 with initial deliveries to be made across Europe and the U.S. before the end next year. As part of the brand’s asset-lean mandate, Fisker has forged a&nbsp;Partnership with Magna Steyr(“Magna”) to co-engineer and produce the Fisker Ocean. The two companies are currently collaborating to create a unique “FM29” platform that will be used as the foundation for their flagship SUV, as well as at least one other Fisker model. By leveraging Magna’s existing technology and established manufacturing facilities, the EV maker will be able to accelerate the timeline of bringing their vehicle to market, while also reducing vehicle development costs. The cross-compatible platform will also allow Fisker to achieve volume pricing on supplies with quality vendors, thus further reducing the costs of building its vehicles to both increase affordability for customers while boosting margins for the company. The Fisker Ocean will be selling at a low entry price of $37,499, with the most premium trims offered at $69,900; combined with a driving range of up to 350 miles, the all-electric SUV trumps its peers within the price category, whose average travel range&nbsp;sits around 250 miles. The Fisker Ocean is aiming to become a “premium with volume” model, with anticipated productions of more than 100,000 units per year.</p>\n<p>A similar approach is also applied to the development and production of their second model,PEAR. Fisker has entered into an&nbsp;agreement with Foxconn– widely known for their production of iPhones in collaboration with Apple – to engineer and produce a brand-new platform for the revolutionary vehicle at a sub-$30,000 price tag. Model details are currently limited, but the new model is expected to feature a unique design and revolutionary experience that will differentiate it from any existing segment of EVs. PEAR’s start of production is slated for Q4 2023, with initial full-year productions expected to hit 250,000 units. The vehicle will first roll out in the U.S. with further expansion into the Chinese, European and Indian markets.</p>\n<p><b>Inherent Risks of Fisker’s Business Model</b></p>\n<p><b>Significant Reliance on Production Partners</b></p>\n<p>Fisker’s business model entails outsourcing a part of their engineering and production processes to third-parties. The company’s substantial reliance on their relationships with third-party manufacturers and suppliers subjects them to significant risks with respect to operations, such as delays caused by quality control issues or capacity constraints. Magna Steyr currently produces for established auto brands including&nbsp;BMW, Daimler, and Jaguar Land Rover. With annual production capacity of approximately 200,000 vehicles, adding Fisker to their production line would mean 50,000 units allocated to each partner of Magna’s on average. Considering Fisker’s call for annual productions of 100,000 units of the Fisker Ocean, Magna may be required to drop one of its existing partners, reduce production levels for other customers, or invest in extending their production capacity to meet the performance targets, resulting in high opportunity costs for the manufacturing giant. In order to incentivize their production partner for success of the Ocean program and mitigate the risk of delays caused by capacity constraints, Fisker has offered Magna a 6% stake in the company, exercisable through achievement of “interrelated performance conditions” (pg. 97 of the 2020 10K).</p>\n<p>The same risks apply to Fisker’s partnership with Foxconn to produce PEAR. Foxconn has no prior experience in the manufacturing process of vehicles, which subjects Fisker to potential risks related to quality control and delays. Foxconn is one of the many existing manufacturing industry veterans who have recently started to tap into the OEM opportunities within the growing EV sector. The electronics manufacturer plans to convert its idle plant in Wisconsin to facilitate their EV production ambitions. While Fisker intends to leverage Foxconn’s manufacturing expertise, Foxconn seeks to utilize the experience from producing Fisker’s EVs to&nbsp;pave its way into the larger EV market, with plans to produce EVs for other companies using the same platform in the long-run. Despite Foxconn’s lack of experience in EV production, the partners hope to take advantage of their “minimal automotive legacy to enable a full clean-sheet approach in all aspects”, and compete against experienced car manufacturers who may be restricted by the burden of existing contracts.</p>\n<p><b>Exposure to Inconsistency in Product Quality</b></p>\n<p>Working with multiple partners may also expose the company to inconsistency in the quality of their vehicles, and ultimately impact consumer confidence in the brand. In the unfortunate event that a jointly manufactured vehicle with one partner becomes faulty, it could significantly damage Fisker’s reputation and consumer confidence in the brand.</p>\n<p>In addition, consumers may start to take interest in the respective Fisker vehicle’s production partners, given the collaborative nature of Fisker’s business model compared to other brands whose manufacturers are seldom broadcasted as part of the marketing strategy. The highly collaborative nature of Fisker’s business model may cause consumers to start weighing their purchase decisions on the quality and reputation of the manufacturers instead of the brand, which strips Fisker of its credit in the development process of its vehicles.</p>\n<p><b>Overly Aggressive Targets</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, Fisker plans to produce at least 100,000 units of the Fisker Ocean on an annual basis, and 250,000 units of PEAR within the first full year of productions. However, these high figures draw curiosity on whether they are reasonably achievable. Under these production targets, Fisker would produce approximately 350,000 units of their vehicles by 2024. This would represent a 7% market share based on forecasted EV sales of&nbsp;6.2 million units by 2024, which is substantial for an EV startup after just two full years of operations with only two models available for sale. And in comparison to the globally recognized industry leader, Tesla, the assumed 7% market share would be double of Tesla’s global EV sales market share achieved in 2020 of&nbsp;close to 4%. Even if Fisker can offer customers with a pricing advantage, it would be challenging to achieve a 7% market share of global EV sales, especially given the large influx of competing models that will be introduced in the next few years. Based on our consideration of Fisker and their operating partners’ production capacities and anticipated EV demands, we believe these sales volume forecasts would more likely be achieved by 2026.</p>\n<p><b>Financial Outlook</b></p>\n<p>Following Fisker’s IPO through a&nbsp;SPAC reverse merger&nbsp;sponsored by Spartan Energy Acquisition in October 2020, the company received $1 billion in capital injections, which was just the right amount needed to develop and produce the Fisker Ocean SUV according to Fisker’s business plans. With start of productions for the Fisker Ocean just 18 months out, the company continues to execute the development process according to plan and within budget, ending the first quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $985.4 million while maintaining a debt-free balance sheet. And with the newest PEAR model, the company does not anticipate significant capital investments until 2023, which they plan to partially fund with cash generated from operations through Fisker Ocean sales, in addition to external financing obtained from either debt or equity issuances.</p>\n<p>We are predicting revenues of $1.2 to $1.4 billion by 2023, generated primarily from sales of approximately 20,000 Fisker Ocean SUVs following its first full year in the market, and a small volume of the PEAR model given its expected deliveries starting Q4 2023. Our forecasts predict a lower sales volume for the flagship SUV that is on par with recent electric SUV launches observed across the European and the U.S. EV market. We believe Fisker will achieve their annual production target for the Fisker Ocean of 100,000 units in late 2025 or early 2026 as consumer demand and brand reception ramps up.</p>\n<p>Total revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 30% into 2030 considering Fisker’s continued expansion beyond the American and European markets and into the Chinese and Indian markets, as well as the anticipated growth in sales volumes with the launch of two other models in addition to the Fisker Ocean and PEAR model before 2025. We are expecting the company to start realizing profits of between $157 million to $285 million by 2024 championed by continued sales growth, and a lifetime gross profit margin between 19% and 25% based on Fisker’s business plan.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Forecasts:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc16e7b0a00d872cb9a339ed0e5f5aec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\"></p>\n<p><i>ii. Bull Case Financial Forecasts:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a29e2cf2a5b538f356c802408f4a4b22\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"260\"></p>\n<p><i>iii. Bear Case Financial Forecasts:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/372ca6f8d253e742af8bce8fc078734c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\"><span>Source: Author, with data from the 2020 and 2021 Fisker Inc. Annual and Interim Reports and ourinternal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/985813dcd25b735d9596a849970216ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\"><span>Author, with data from our internal valuation model</span></p>\n<p>Based on the above analysis on Fisker’s fundamentals and growth prospects, our valuation for the business yields an equity value of approximately $4.6 billion (base case) to $10.3 billion (bull case), which translates to $16.29 and $36.94 per share. This represents an upside potential of approximately 11% to 151% based on the last traded price of $14.69 on June 2nd.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0832647b2ae0a671bc2bf99d66f6df4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\"></p>\n<p><i>ii. Bull Case Valuation:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc71a141c6aba19be9f07bcfef67aac7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>iii. Bear Case Valuation:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b71936724a89c41dde8bb61620357e3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"304\"><span>Source: Author, with data from the 2020 and 2021 Fisker Inc. Annual and Interim Reports and our internal valuation model.</span></p>\n<p><b>Lucid Motors Inc.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb28783a9c0e183733805b450beae8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\"><span>Source:lucidmotors.com</span></p>\n<p>Founded in 2007, Lucid Motors was previously known as Atieva, a notable manufacturer of EV batteries and powertrains. In 2016, the company officially rebranded to Lucid Motors under the leadership of Peter Rawlinson, former Chief Vehicle Engineer at Tesla. Currently the CEO and CTO of Lucid, Peter Rawlinson led the company to developing the&nbsp;first Formula-E battery pack&nbsp;capable of powering the cars for the entire race. The technology was later evolved into the battery pack now used in the&nbsp;Lucid Air, the automaker’s flagship luxury electric sedan introduced in late 2016.</p>\n<p>The company builds its success on a commitment to develop a world-class, high-performance EV. The Lucid Air’s powertrain is capable of more than 500 miles in range with a full charge, setting a record-high standard for the industry. In addition to their world-class battery technology, the company also operates under the core belief that the future will be tech-driven, and this is what will differentiate them from the surge of new EV models produced by traditional automakers just to satisfy evolving consumer demands. Similar to Fisker’s vehicles, Lucid has prioritized connectivity within their vehicles, offering over-the-air updates to car owners at ease. The company’s vehicles are also equipped with advanced ADAS features like automatic emergency braking, cross-traffic alerts, and a driver monitoring system; level 3 autonomous driving features are also expected to roll out through over-the-air updates when testing is complete with regulatory approval achieved. The Lucid Air will also be one of the first EVs to incorporate facial ID recognition, which will be integrated with predictive analytics technology within the vehicle to automatically load profiles and preferences that are preset or learned over time based on the driver’s behaviour.</p>\n<p>The brand is currently positioned for the “post-luxury” market, which Lucid defines as those looking for a luxurious yet non-extravagant experience. Lucid is not afraid to put a premium on their flagship vehicle, which is equipped with some of the most advanced technologies along with a premium exterior and interior composition – the Lucid Air is priced from $77,400 for the base model to $169,000 for the top-tier Dream Edition.</p>\n<p><b>A Highly Integrated Automaker</b></p>\n<p>In contrast to Fisker, Lucid builds its business on a highly integrated model. Lucid performs their own in-house R&amp;D for almost every aspect of its vehicles, including the powertrain, battery technology, infotainment, HVAC, integrated safety, chassis, and ADAS systems. The automaker will also internalize the EV production process at their Arizona manufacturing facility – the first of its kind in North America. The Arizona manufacturing facility will comprise of multiple components, including the “Advanced Manufacturing Plant” (“AMP-1”) which is currently producing the Lucid Air. Phase two expansion is also well underway for AMP-1 as Lucid prepares for the production of their premiere SUV,Project Gravity. Production capacity at AMP-1 is currently 30,000 units per year, and will expand up to 400,000 units per year as sales volumes ramp up with more models added to the line-up. The Arizona manufacturing facility will also house the “Lucid Powertrain Manufacturing Plant” (“LPM-1”), which is where Lucid will be manufacturing their powertrain technology, including battery packs, electric motors, and in-home charging units. Although a capital-intensive project for an EV start-up, the Arizona manufacturing facility will allow greater operational and cost efficiencies for Lucid through vertical integration, as well as greater control over quality and consistency of outputs.</p>\n<p>Similar to Fisker, Lucid plans to reuse their engineered platform, the “Lucid Electric Advanced Platform” (“LEAP”), on other vehicle variants to maximize return on their initial capital investments, and enable greater speed and efficiency in bringing their vehicles to market. And true to their business model, Lucid’s LEAP platform is designed and developed fully in-house. The platform includes their signature battery pack and battery management software, electric motors, power electronics, transmission, control software, and boost charger.</p>\n<p><b>Inherent Challenges of Operating a World-Class Manufacturing Facility for a Newcomer</b></p>\n<p><b>A Capital-Intensive Effort</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, Lucid’s newest Arizona manufacturing facility is a highly capital-intensive project for a new entrant in the EV sector who is already carrying the expensive burden of R&amp;D on their first vehicle. Despite already having previous experience in manufacturing their Formula E battery system in-house in Silicon Valley, the Arizona production plant will be operating on a far grander scale, encompassing both parts production and vehicle assembly. In addition to the $700 million planned investment for building the factory, it will also cost Lucid $1.8 million per year to rent the land on which the factory sits on. Similar to many of recent new entrants within the sector, Lucid has already had its brush with bankruptcy once; the company was ultimately saved by a $1 billion capital injection from&nbsp;Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund. Since then, the company has been operating according to plan and on track to commencing delivery of the Lucid Air before the end of 2021. Their latest SPAC reverse merger with Churchill Capital Corp IV will also provide the company with $4.4 billion of capital, which will further bolster their liquidity needed for continued development and expansion.</p>\n<p><b>A Limited Target Audience</b></p>\n<p>Lucid has also positioned itself as a luxury premium EV maker that caters to a niche market within the already-competitive landscape, which further narrows their market share. However, it is evident that the company has acknowledged this challenge since inception considering the unique offerings featured in the Lucid Air, including a powertrain that enables a travel range of more than 500 miles with one full charge, which differentiates them from others within the same price category.</p>\n<p><b>Diverse Revenue Streams</b></p>\n<p>A key competitive advantage for Lucid is their ability to maintain diverse revenue streams. In addition to the production and sales of vehicles, the company is also known for their extensive expertise in developing battery management systems. The global EV battery market is expected to soar in the next five years, with an&nbsp;estimated value of $37.69 million&nbsp;by 2025 due to growing EV sales propelled by the change in consumer attitude and government intervention through financial incentives and strict climate change policies. Lucid plans to leverage their existing expertise and capitalize on the future growth opportunities brought forth by the electrification wave, including the development of an “Energy Storage System” (“ESS”). ESS leverages Lucid’s existing battery and power electronics technologies, which allows the company to maximize return on their capital investments already deployed.</p>\n<p>Lucid is also an ongoing supplier of battery packs and software for all OEM racing teams in Formula E. The company plans to evolve their existing battery technology to widen the range of its compatibility with other products, including aircrafts, eVTOL, and other commercial machinery. The growth opportunity would be easily executable through mass production at their new battery manufacturing plant, LPM-1, in the Arizona factory. Again, the opportunity would allow Lucid to maximize return on their capital investments already deployed in both developing their state-of-the-art battery systems and construction of their battery manufacturing plant.</p>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>The company has yet to release any public filings of their complete financial records. However, the latest Analyst Day Presentation indicates that the company has secured more than 9,000 reservations of the Lucid Air to date, with 500 units of which representing the limited production Dream Edition model currently priced at a premium of $169,900 and fully reserved, which indicates robust demand and increasing customer traction. This translates to revenues of at least $84.95 million generated from the Lucid Air Dream Edition, and $657.9 million from other Lucid Air models based on the conservative assumption that they are all base models priced at $77,400. It is worth noting that current reservations are fully cancellable and refundable; however, even if actual sales drop 10% from the number of current reservations, the company is still expected to generate total revenues of at least $712.6 million.</p>\n<p>We are predicting revenues of $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion in 2022 considering a full year of productions and sales of the Lucid Air, consistent with management’s forecasts within the Analyst Day Presentation. Total revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of 30% to 40% into 2030 considering Lucid’s expanding portfolio of premium-priced vehicles, combined with a&nbsp;global sales footprint&nbsp;across North America, Europe and the Middle East. We are expecting the company to start realizing profits of between $631 million to $915 million by 2025 as consumer demand and brand reception ramps up.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Forecasts:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e5729ab372255e42956fd0c35a91f50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\"></p>\n<p><i>ii. Bull Case Financial Forecasts:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56b6ba74ec468be67491e2e1dc942f22\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>iii. Bear Case Financial Forecasts:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b194fbb93dd81b6c79120ef86df6fd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"239\"><span>Source: Author, with data from the May 2021 Analyst Day Presentation and ourinternal financial forecasts</span></p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c375cacc8c0978717e14611659a9e7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation model (LCID_-_Valuation.pdf).</span></p>\n<p>Based on the above analysis on Lucid’s current reservation rates and growth prospects, our valuation for the business yields an equity value of approximately $9.6 billion (base case) to $14.1 billion (bull case), which translates to $36.54 and $53.83 per share. This represents an upside potential of approximately 55% to 129% based on the last traded price of $23.55 on June 2nd.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f41f8b2bd3382a38f13d4cac18f3ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"309\"></p>\n<p><i>ii. Bull Case Valuation:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e505e76632b9ca8142c4238a345f7eb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>iii. Bear Case Valuation:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df96ba5195d156c938f941d22d9f89c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: Author, with data from the May 2021 Analyst Day Presentation and our internal valuation model.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion: Lucid Motors Vs. Fisker</b></p>\n<p>Based on our analysis, both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on the up-and-coming era of global transition to EVs. Despite operating under business models on two extremes, both Fisker and Lucid show capability in countering the inherent disadvantages of their respective business models with unique offerings. Fisker’s asset-lean business model allows for higher capital deployment to other areas deemed more critical for enhancing customer service, and lower production costs to provide affordable pricing for buyers, while Lucid’s capital-intensive and vertically integrated strategy is compensated by greater operational and cost efficiencies achievable through economies of scale thanks to their cross-compatible, state-of-the-art battery technology. Both companies will also be catering to the needs of different markets – Fisker’s top selling point is affordability, while Lucid is positioned to satisfy the needs of those looking for a luxurious yet non-extravagant experience. Both companies intend to adopt a direct sales strategy to maximize customer experience, with showrooms and experience centers to open across the U.S. and Europe.</p>\n<p>Although our valuation shows Fisker yielding a slightly higher upside potential than Lucid, we believe the latter makes a safer investment in the near-term given the Lucid Air has already entered the production stage with strong reservation rates and deliveries expected to commence before the end of the year, while the Fisker Ocean is still in testing phase, with core technical features yet to be announced to the public and start of production still 18 months out. However, we are confident that both EV makers are equipped with the talent and resources to excel in the industry in the long-run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Lucid Motors Or Fisker The Better EV Stock To Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Lucid Motors Or Fisker The Better EV Stock To Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 22:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433105-lucid-motors-fisker-better-ev-stock-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nElectric vehicles (“EVs”) have emerged into the spotlight in recent years, with robust sales growth of 43% year-over-year observed in 2020.\nEurope is expected to have more than 300 EV models ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433105-lucid-motors-fisker-better-ev-stock-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FSR":"菲斯克","LCDX":"CALIBER IMAGING & DIAGNOSTICS INC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433105-lucid-motors-fisker-better-ev-stock-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153560369","content_text":"Summary\n\nElectric vehicles (“EVs”) have emerged into the spotlight in recent years, with robust sales growth of 43% year-over-year observed in 2020.\nEurope is expected to have more than 300 EV models by 2025, while the U.S. is expected to have more than 130 EV models by 2026.\nTwo of the up-and-coming EV startups include Lucid Motors and Fisker, both California-based with production and delivery expected by the end of 2021 and 2022, respectively.\nWe believe both companies are undervalued at the moment, with significant upside potential of more than 150%.\n\nPhoto by domin_domin/E+ via Getty Images\nElectric vehicles (“EVs”) have emerged into the spotlight in recent years, with robust sales growth observed in 2020 despite a slump in global automotive sales due to COVID-related impacts. Instead of being overshadowed by the on-and-off lockdowns and lingering wariness of economic uncertainty, global EV sales continued its growth momentum in 2020,rising 43% year-over-year while overall automotive sales dropped by 20%. The evolving consumer sentiment on EVs resulting from increasing affordability and practicality thanks to technological advancements, combined with government intervention through subsidies and climate change policies are expected to supercharge the EV sales figures further within the decade; EV sales are expected to exceed 31.1 million units and represent 32% of global new car sales by 2030.\nThe next decade will be an era of electrification with significant opportunities for the sector as EVs take the center stage. The European Federation for Transport and Environment predicts more than 300 available EV models within the European automotive market by 2025, while the IHS Markit predicts more than 130 available EV models in the U.S. by 2026.\nTwo of the up and coming brands to break into the U.S. and European EV market include Lucid Motors ((NYSE:CCIV)or “Lucid”) and Fisker(NYSE:FSR). The two California-based companies have already debuted their respective flagship vehicles with reservations now open; initial deliveries are expected in late 2021 for Lucid and late 2022 for Fisker. In addition to their astonishing vehicles, both stock picks have also been showstoppers in the latest tech rally, with share prices peaking at 187% for Fisker and 480% for Lucid since their respective IPO and pre-IPO announcements.\nFisker Inc.\nSource:fiskerinc.com\nLaunched in 2016, the Southern California-based EV maker builds its brand on the mission to provide a “clean future for all” by creating the “world’s most emotional and sustainable vehicles”. The company is currently led by co-founders Henrik Fisker and Dr. Geeta Gupta-Fisker, alongside a strong executive team with years of industry experience in their respective trades. Henrik Fisker is best known for his disruptive designs within the luxury car sector for notable brands including BMW and Aston Martin. Prior to launching Fisker Inc., Henrik Fisker co-founded “Fisker Automotive”, which was best known for producing the world’s first luxury hybrid supercar, Fisker Karma, before its demise in 2012 due to bankruptcy. Giving the fast-changing sector another shot, the car designer has returned to the arena this time with the lessons from his past experience and an innovative business model – the “asset-lean” approach.\nThe “Asset-Lean Approach”\nFisker’s asset-lean approach entails outsourcing the business components where differentiation is deemed non-essential, including platform engineering, production and assembly, the charging network, and other fleet management services. The business model will not only allow the company to significantly shorten the typical timeline of 60 months, from concept to delivery, to 29 months, but also enable greater capital deployment towards areas critical to customer experience, including design, software, user interface, and advanced driver-assistance systems (“ADAS”). The lowered costs achieved through this business model will also enable Fisker to keep the prices of their vehicles at an affordable range without compromising on quality.\nFisker’s flagship model will be the Fisker Ocean SUV, which is expected to begin production on November 17, 2022 with initial deliveries to be made across Europe and the U.S. before the end next year. As part of the brand’s asset-lean mandate, Fisker has forged a Partnership with Magna Steyr(“Magna”) to co-engineer and produce the Fisker Ocean. The two companies are currently collaborating to create a unique “FM29” platform that will be used as the foundation for their flagship SUV, as well as at least one other Fisker model. By leveraging Magna’s existing technology and established manufacturing facilities, the EV maker will be able to accelerate the timeline of bringing their vehicle to market, while also reducing vehicle development costs. The cross-compatible platform will also allow Fisker to achieve volume pricing on supplies with quality vendors, thus further reducing the costs of building its vehicles to both increase affordability for customers while boosting margins for the company. The Fisker Ocean will be selling at a low entry price of $37,499, with the most premium trims offered at $69,900; combined with a driving range of up to 350 miles, the all-electric SUV trumps its peers within the price category, whose average travel range sits around 250 miles. The Fisker Ocean is aiming to become a “premium with volume” model, with anticipated productions of more than 100,000 units per year.\nA similar approach is also applied to the development and production of their second model,PEAR. Fisker has entered into an agreement with Foxconn– widely known for their production of iPhones in collaboration with Apple – to engineer and produce a brand-new platform for the revolutionary vehicle at a sub-$30,000 price tag. Model details are currently limited, but the new model is expected to feature a unique design and revolutionary experience that will differentiate it from any existing segment of EVs. PEAR’s start of production is slated for Q4 2023, with initial full-year productions expected to hit 250,000 units. The vehicle will first roll out in the U.S. with further expansion into the Chinese, European and Indian markets.\nInherent Risks of Fisker’s Business Model\nSignificant Reliance on Production Partners\nFisker’s business model entails outsourcing a part of their engineering and production processes to third-parties. The company’s substantial reliance on their relationships with third-party manufacturers and suppliers subjects them to significant risks with respect to operations, such as delays caused by quality control issues or capacity constraints. Magna Steyr currently produces for established auto brands including BMW, Daimler, and Jaguar Land Rover. With annual production capacity of approximately 200,000 vehicles, adding Fisker to their production line would mean 50,000 units allocated to each partner of Magna’s on average. Considering Fisker’s call for annual productions of 100,000 units of the Fisker Ocean, Magna may be required to drop one of its existing partners, reduce production levels for other customers, or invest in extending their production capacity to meet the performance targets, resulting in high opportunity costs for the manufacturing giant. In order to incentivize their production partner for success of the Ocean program and mitigate the risk of delays caused by capacity constraints, Fisker has offered Magna a 6% stake in the company, exercisable through achievement of “interrelated performance conditions” (pg. 97 of the 2020 10K).\nThe same risks apply to Fisker’s partnership with Foxconn to produce PEAR. Foxconn has no prior experience in the manufacturing process of vehicles, which subjects Fisker to potential risks related to quality control and delays. Foxconn is one of the many existing manufacturing industry veterans who have recently started to tap into the OEM opportunities within the growing EV sector. The electronics manufacturer plans to convert its idle plant in Wisconsin to facilitate their EV production ambitions. While Fisker intends to leverage Foxconn’s manufacturing expertise, Foxconn seeks to utilize the experience from producing Fisker’s EVs to pave its way into the larger EV market, with plans to produce EVs for other companies using the same platform in the long-run. Despite Foxconn’s lack of experience in EV production, the partners hope to take advantage of their “minimal automotive legacy to enable a full clean-sheet approach in all aspects”, and compete against experienced car manufacturers who may be restricted by the burden of existing contracts.\nExposure to Inconsistency in Product Quality\nWorking with multiple partners may also expose the company to inconsistency in the quality of their vehicles, and ultimately impact consumer confidence in the brand. In the unfortunate event that a jointly manufactured vehicle with one partner becomes faulty, it could significantly damage Fisker’s reputation and consumer confidence in the brand.\nIn addition, consumers may start to take interest in the respective Fisker vehicle’s production partners, given the collaborative nature of Fisker’s business model compared to other brands whose manufacturers are seldom broadcasted as part of the marketing strategy. The highly collaborative nature of Fisker’s business model may cause consumers to start weighing their purchase decisions on the quality and reputation of the manufacturers instead of the brand, which strips Fisker of its credit in the development process of its vehicles.\nOverly Aggressive Targets\nAs mentioned above, Fisker plans to produce at least 100,000 units of the Fisker Ocean on an annual basis, and 250,000 units of PEAR within the first full year of productions. However, these high figures draw curiosity on whether they are reasonably achievable. Under these production targets, Fisker would produce approximately 350,000 units of their vehicles by 2024. This would represent a 7% market share based on forecasted EV sales of 6.2 million units by 2024, which is substantial for an EV startup after just two full years of operations with only two models available for sale. And in comparison to the globally recognized industry leader, Tesla, the assumed 7% market share would be double of Tesla’s global EV sales market share achieved in 2020 of close to 4%. Even if Fisker can offer customers with a pricing advantage, it would be challenging to achieve a 7% market share of global EV sales, especially given the large influx of competing models that will be introduced in the next few years. Based on our consideration of Fisker and their operating partners’ production capacities and anticipated EV demands, we believe these sales volume forecasts would more likely be achieved by 2026.\nFinancial Outlook\nFollowing Fisker’s IPO through a SPAC reverse merger sponsored by Spartan Energy Acquisition in October 2020, the company received $1 billion in capital injections, which was just the right amount needed to develop and produce the Fisker Ocean SUV according to Fisker’s business plans. With start of productions for the Fisker Ocean just 18 months out, the company continues to execute the development process according to plan and within budget, ending the first quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $985.4 million while maintaining a debt-free balance sheet. And with the newest PEAR model, the company does not anticipate significant capital investments until 2023, which they plan to partially fund with cash generated from operations through Fisker Ocean sales, in addition to external financing obtained from either debt or equity issuances.\nWe are predicting revenues of $1.2 to $1.4 billion by 2023, generated primarily from sales of approximately 20,000 Fisker Ocean SUVs following its first full year in the market, and a small volume of the PEAR model given its expected deliveries starting Q4 2023. Our forecasts predict a lower sales volume for the flagship SUV that is on par with recent electric SUV launches observed across the European and the U.S. EV market. We believe Fisker will achieve their annual production target for the Fisker Ocean of 100,000 units in late 2025 or early 2026 as consumer demand and brand reception ramps up.\nTotal revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 30% into 2030 considering Fisker’s continued expansion beyond the American and European markets and into the Chinese and Indian markets, as well as the anticipated growth in sales volumes with the launch of two other models in addition to the Fisker Ocean and PEAR model before 2025. We are expecting the company to start realizing profits of between $157 million to $285 million by 2024 championed by continued sales growth, and a lifetime gross profit margin between 19% and 25% based on Fisker’s business plan.\ni. Base Case Financial Forecasts:\n\nii. Bull Case Financial Forecasts:\n\niii. Bear Case Financial Forecasts:\nSource: Author, with data from the 2020 and 2021 Fisker Inc. Annual and Interim Reports and ourinternal financial forecasts.\nValuation\nAuthor, with data from our internal valuation model\nBased on the above analysis on Fisker’s fundamentals and growth prospects, our valuation for the business yields an equity value of approximately $4.6 billion (base case) to $10.3 billion (bull case), which translates to $16.29 and $36.94 per share. This represents an upside potential of approximately 11% to 151% based on the last traded price of $14.69 on June 2nd.\ni. Base Case Valuation:\n\nii. Bull Case Valuation:\n\niii. Bear Case Valuation:\nSource: Author, with data from the 2020 and 2021 Fisker Inc. Annual and Interim Reports and our internal valuation model.\nLucid Motors Inc.\nSource:lucidmotors.com\nFounded in 2007, Lucid Motors was previously known as Atieva, a notable manufacturer of EV batteries and powertrains. In 2016, the company officially rebranded to Lucid Motors under the leadership of Peter Rawlinson, former Chief Vehicle Engineer at Tesla. Currently the CEO and CTO of Lucid, Peter Rawlinson led the company to developing the first Formula-E battery pack capable of powering the cars for the entire race. The technology was later evolved into the battery pack now used in the Lucid Air, the automaker’s flagship luxury electric sedan introduced in late 2016.\nThe company builds its success on a commitment to develop a world-class, high-performance EV. The Lucid Air’s powertrain is capable of more than 500 miles in range with a full charge, setting a record-high standard for the industry. In addition to their world-class battery technology, the company also operates under the core belief that the future will be tech-driven, and this is what will differentiate them from the surge of new EV models produced by traditional automakers just to satisfy evolving consumer demands. Similar to Fisker’s vehicles, Lucid has prioritized connectivity within their vehicles, offering over-the-air updates to car owners at ease. The company’s vehicles are also equipped with advanced ADAS features like automatic emergency braking, cross-traffic alerts, and a driver monitoring system; level 3 autonomous driving features are also expected to roll out through over-the-air updates when testing is complete with regulatory approval achieved. The Lucid Air will also be one of the first EVs to incorporate facial ID recognition, which will be integrated with predictive analytics technology within the vehicle to automatically load profiles and preferences that are preset or learned over time based on the driver’s behaviour.\nThe brand is currently positioned for the “post-luxury” market, which Lucid defines as those looking for a luxurious yet non-extravagant experience. Lucid is not afraid to put a premium on their flagship vehicle, which is equipped with some of the most advanced technologies along with a premium exterior and interior composition – the Lucid Air is priced from $77,400 for the base model to $169,000 for the top-tier Dream Edition.\nA Highly Integrated Automaker\nIn contrast to Fisker, Lucid builds its business on a highly integrated model. Lucid performs their own in-house R&D for almost every aspect of its vehicles, including the powertrain, battery technology, infotainment, HVAC, integrated safety, chassis, and ADAS systems. The automaker will also internalize the EV production process at their Arizona manufacturing facility – the first of its kind in North America. The Arizona manufacturing facility will comprise of multiple components, including the “Advanced Manufacturing Plant” (“AMP-1”) which is currently producing the Lucid Air. Phase two expansion is also well underway for AMP-1 as Lucid prepares for the production of their premiere SUV,Project Gravity. Production capacity at AMP-1 is currently 30,000 units per year, and will expand up to 400,000 units per year as sales volumes ramp up with more models added to the line-up. The Arizona manufacturing facility will also house the “Lucid Powertrain Manufacturing Plant” (“LPM-1”), which is where Lucid will be manufacturing their powertrain technology, including battery packs, electric motors, and in-home charging units. Although a capital-intensive project for an EV start-up, the Arizona manufacturing facility will allow greater operational and cost efficiencies for Lucid through vertical integration, as well as greater control over quality and consistency of outputs.\nSimilar to Fisker, Lucid plans to reuse their engineered platform, the “Lucid Electric Advanced Platform” (“LEAP”), on other vehicle variants to maximize return on their initial capital investments, and enable greater speed and efficiency in bringing their vehicles to market. And true to their business model, Lucid’s LEAP platform is designed and developed fully in-house. The platform includes their signature battery pack and battery management software, electric motors, power electronics, transmission, control software, and boost charger.\nInherent Challenges of Operating a World-Class Manufacturing Facility for a Newcomer\nA Capital-Intensive Effort\nAs mentioned above, Lucid’s newest Arizona manufacturing facility is a highly capital-intensive project for a new entrant in the EV sector who is already carrying the expensive burden of R&D on their first vehicle. Despite already having previous experience in manufacturing their Formula E battery system in-house in Silicon Valley, the Arizona production plant will be operating on a far grander scale, encompassing both parts production and vehicle assembly. In addition to the $700 million planned investment for building the factory, it will also cost Lucid $1.8 million per year to rent the land on which the factory sits on. Similar to many of recent new entrants within the sector, Lucid has already had its brush with bankruptcy once; the company was ultimately saved by a $1 billion capital injection from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund. Since then, the company has been operating according to plan and on track to commencing delivery of the Lucid Air before the end of 2021. Their latest SPAC reverse merger with Churchill Capital Corp IV will also provide the company with $4.4 billion of capital, which will further bolster their liquidity needed for continued development and expansion.\nA Limited Target Audience\nLucid has also positioned itself as a luxury premium EV maker that caters to a niche market within the already-competitive landscape, which further narrows their market share. However, it is evident that the company has acknowledged this challenge since inception considering the unique offerings featured in the Lucid Air, including a powertrain that enables a travel range of more than 500 miles with one full charge, which differentiates them from others within the same price category.\nDiverse Revenue Streams\nA key competitive advantage for Lucid is their ability to maintain diverse revenue streams. In addition to the production and sales of vehicles, the company is also known for their extensive expertise in developing battery management systems. The global EV battery market is expected to soar in the next five years, with an estimated value of $37.69 million by 2025 due to growing EV sales propelled by the change in consumer attitude and government intervention through financial incentives and strict climate change policies. Lucid plans to leverage their existing expertise and capitalize on the future growth opportunities brought forth by the electrification wave, including the development of an “Energy Storage System” (“ESS”). ESS leverages Lucid’s existing battery and power electronics technologies, which allows the company to maximize return on their capital investments already deployed.\nLucid is also an ongoing supplier of battery packs and software for all OEM racing teams in Formula E. The company plans to evolve their existing battery technology to widen the range of its compatibility with other products, including aircrafts, eVTOL, and other commercial machinery. The growth opportunity would be easily executable through mass production at their new battery manufacturing plant, LPM-1, in the Arizona factory. Again, the opportunity would allow Lucid to maximize return on their capital investments already deployed in both developing their state-of-the-art battery systems and construction of their battery manufacturing plant.\nFinancial Performance\nThe company has yet to release any public filings of their complete financial records. However, the latest Analyst Day Presentation indicates that the company has secured more than 9,000 reservations of the Lucid Air to date, with 500 units of which representing the limited production Dream Edition model currently priced at a premium of $169,900 and fully reserved, which indicates robust demand and increasing customer traction. This translates to revenues of at least $84.95 million generated from the Lucid Air Dream Edition, and $657.9 million from other Lucid Air models based on the conservative assumption that they are all base models priced at $77,400. It is worth noting that current reservations are fully cancellable and refundable; however, even if actual sales drop 10% from the number of current reservations, the company is still expected to generate total revenues of at least $712.6 million.\nWe are predicting revenues of $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion in 2022 considering a full year of productions and sales of the Lucid Air, consistent with management’s forecasts within the Analyst Day Presentation. Total revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of 30% to 40% into 2030 considering Lucid’s expanding portfolio of premium-priced vehicles, combined with a global sales footprint across North America, Europe and the Middle East. We are expecting the company to start realizing profits of between $631 million to $915 million by 2025 as consumer demand and brand reception ramps up.\ni. Base Case Financial Forecasts:\n\nii. Bull Case Financial Forecasts:\n\niii. Bear Case Financial Forecasts:\nSource: Author, with data from the May 2021 Analyst Day Presentation and ourinternal financial forecasts\nValuation\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation model (LCID_-_Valuation.pdf).\nBased on the above analysis on Lucid’s current reservation rates and growth prospects, our valuation for the business yields an equity value of approximately $9.6 billion (base case) to $14.1 billion (bull case), which translates to $36.54 and $53.83 per share. This represents an upside potential of approximately 55% to 129% based on the last traded price of $23.55 on June 2nd.\ni. Base Case Valuation:\n\nii. Bull Case Valuation:\n\niii. Bear Case Valuation:\nSource: Author, with data from the May 2021 Analyst Day Presentation and our internal valuation model.\nConclusion: Lucid Motors Vs. Fisker\nBased on our analysis, both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on the up-and-coming era of global transition to EVs. Despite operating under business models on two extremes, both Fisker and Lucid show capability in countering the inherent disadvantages of their respective business models with unique offerings. Fisker’s asset-lean business model allows for higher capital deployment to other areas deemed more critical for enhancing customer service, and lower production costs to provide affordable pricing for buyers, while Lucid’s capital-intensive and vertically integrated strategy is compensated by greater operational and cost efficiencies achievable through economies of scale thanks to their cross-compatible, state-of-the-art battery technology. Both companies will also be catering to the needs of different markets – Fisker’s top selling point is affordability, while Lucid is positioned to satisfy the needs of those looking for a luxurious yet non-extravagant experience. Both companies intend to adopt a direct sales strategy to maximize customer experience, with showrooms and experience centers to open across the U.S. and Europe.\nAlthough our valuation shows Fisker yielding a slightly higher upside potential than Lucid, we believe the latter makes a safer investment in the near-term given the Lucid Air has already entered the production stage with strong reservation rates and deliveries expected to commence before the end of the year, while the Fisker Ocean is still in testing phase, with core technical features yet to be announced to the public and start of production still 18 months out. 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621951262,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150619526?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 22:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna shares once gained more than 4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150619526","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Today Moderna shares once gained more than 4%. Modernasaid Tuesday its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% eff","content":"<p>Today&nbsp;Moderna&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;gained&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;4%.&nbsp;</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4d4545f5ddaf3cc95708b587f6eedb0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Modernasaid Tuesday its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behindPfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.</p><p>The company said it plans to ask the Food and Drug Administration to expand the emergency use of its Covid vaccine for teens early next month. If approved, it would likely dramatically expand the number of shots available to middle and high school students ahead of the next school year. Pfizer and German partnerBioNTechwere clearedto use their vaccine for 12- to 15-year-olds earlier this month.</p><p>\"We are encouraged that mRNA-1273 was highly effective at preventing COVID-19 in adolescents,\" Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel said in a press release. \"We remain committed to doing our part to help end the COVID-19 pandemic.\"</p><p>The two-dose vaccine, which is given four weeks apart, is already authorized for adults.</p><p>U.S. regulators are expected to grant Moderna's request for use in teens. The approval process could take about a month, just in time for some summer activities and fall classes if Moderna submits the data by early June. Pfizer and BioNTech requested expanded use of their shot in adolescents on April 9, for example, and were authorized by the FDA on May 10.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna shares once gained more than 4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna shares once gained more than 4%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-25 22:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Today&nbsp;Moderna&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;gained&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;4%.&nbsp;</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4d4545f5ddaf3cc95708b587f6eedb0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Modernasaid Tuesday its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behindPfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.</p><p>The company said it plans to ask the Food and Drug Administration to expand the emergency use of its Covid vaccine for teens early next month. If approved, it would likely dramatically expand the number of shots available to middle and high school students ahead of the next school year. Pfizer and German partnerBioNTechwere clearedto use their vaccine for 12- to 15-year-olds earlier this month.</p><p>\"We are encouraged that mRNA-1273 was highly effective at preventing COVID-19 in adolescents,\" Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel said in a press release. \"We remain committed to doing our part to help end the COVID-19 pandemic.\"</p><p>The two-dose vaccine, which is given four weeks apart, is already authorized for adults.</p><p>U.S. regulators are expected to grant Moderna's request for use in teens. The approval process could take about a month, just in time for some summer activities and fall classes if Moderna submits the data by early June. Pfizer and BioNTech requested expanded use of their shot in adolescents on April 9, for example, and were authorized by the FDA on May 10.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150619526","content_text":"Today Moderna shares once gained more than 4%. Modernasaid Tuesday its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behindPfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.The company said it plans to ask the Food and Drug Administration to expand the emergency use of its Covid vaccine for teens early next month. If approved, it would likely dramatically expand the number of shots available to middle and high school students ahead of the next school year. Pfizer and German partnerBioNTechwere clearedto use their vaccine for 12- to 15-year-olds earlier this month.\"We are encouraged that mRNA-1273 was highly effective at preventing COVID-19 in adolescents,\" Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel said in a press release. \"We remain committed to doing our part to help end the COVID-19 pandemic.\"The two-dose vaccine, which is given four weeks apart, is already authorized for adults.U.S. regulators are expected to grant Moderna's request for use in teens. The approval process could take about a month, just in time for some summer activities and fall classes if Moderna submits the data by early June. Pfizer and BioNTech requested expanded use of their shot in adolescents on April 9, for example, and were authorized by the FDA on May 10.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}