Tesla Go personal page - To The Moon

Tesla Go

Tesla Go

Trading like a champion

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2023-03-16

Swill put!

@0QH:Perfect Buy On TSLA?

2023-01-01

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ will back to $187 This is why 1/ FSD V11 beta wide release Dec 2/ TSLA 4Q delivs/product’n Jan 3/ TWTR CEO announcement Jan 4/ $7,500 EV credit into effect 1Q 5/ New gigas (UK, N America) 1Q 6/ TSLA $10B buyback 1Q 7/ Cytruck launch mid-FY’23 8/ $30K EV Launch mid-FY’24 $400 PT 6-12 mo

2022-12-23

Very good

2022-12-23

I like Messi

2022-12-23

Yes

2022-11-30

$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ JJK

2022-05-04

mark

夜读 | 真正接受亏损，才能从市场中赚钱

2022-04-27

mark

特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？

2021-04-01

If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses $Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a> Tesla's stock (TSLA) for some time now, looking to add more TSLA into my retirement portfolio. TSLA has been on a decline since the end of February. Today TSLA is at a Tom Demark TD9 count of 9 with a perfect buy forming. The upwards green arrow at chart below indicates the perfect buy. This indicates a possible bullish reversal after the stock has been declining for some time. Additionally, the just-released CPI is in line with expectations and the market has surged (Pulling TSLA along) with some optimism that the upcoming rate hike to be smaller. Given these conditions, I have decided to sell put options on TSLA. Why I Choose to Sell","listText":"How I Plan to Profit from Tesla (TSLA) by Selling Put Options I have been keeping an eye on <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a> Tesla's stock (TSLA) for some time now, looking to add more TSLA into my retirement portfolio. TSLA has been on a decline since the end of February. Today TSLA is at a Tom Demark TD9 count of 9 with a perfect buy forming. The upwards green arrow at chart below indicates the perfect buy. This indicates a possible bullish reversal after the stock has been declining for some time. Additionally, the just-released CPI is in line with expectations and the market has surged (Pulling TSLA along) with some optimism that the upcoming rate hike to be smaller. Given these conditions, I have decided to sell put options on TSLA. Why I Choose to Sell","text":"How I Plan to Profit from Tesla (TSLA) by Selling Put Options I have been keeping an eye on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla's stock (TSLA) for some time now, looking to add more TSLA into my retirement portfolio. TSLA has been on a decline since the end of February. Today TSLA is at a Tom Demark TD9 count of 9 with a perfect buy forming. The upwards green arrow at chart below indicates the perfect buy. This indicates a possible bullish reversal after the stock has been declining for some time. Additionally, the just-released CPI is in line with expectations and the market has surged (Pulling TSLA along) with some optimism that the upcoming rate hike to be smaller. Given these conditions, I have decided to sell put options on TSLA. Why I Choose to Sell","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bbfdad487631586340b3725283e945b4","width":"198","height":"255"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f69a64147329c4caf564278f1009d1bc","width":"300","height":"168"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949439109","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927491526,"gmtCreate":1672550304966,"gmtModify":1676538704331,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla 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6-12 mo","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ will back to $187 This is why 1/ FSD V11 beta wide release Dec 2/ TSLA 4Q delivs/product’n Jan 3/ TWTR CEO announcement Jan 4/ $7,500 EV credit into effect 1Q 5/ New gigas (UK, N America) 1Q 6/ TSLA $10B buyback 1Q 7/ Cytruck launch mid-FY’23 8/ $30K EV Launch mid-FY’24 $400 PT 6-12 mo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927491526","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922802758,"gmtCreate":1671725715274,"gmtModify":1676538583667,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922802758","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922177885,"gmtCreate":1671725256347,"gmtModify":1676538583468,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I like Messi&nbsp;","listText":"I like Messi&nbsp;","text":"I like 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>JJK&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>JJK&nbsp;","text":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ JJK","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/359410f9d900c471ece28ee9d0955d25","width":"750","height":"1454"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962405954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061804511,"gmtCreate":1651593853041,"gmtModify":1676534932775,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla 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真正接受亏损，才能从市场中赚钱","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114633417","media":"金十数据","summary":"新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？当年","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？</p><p>当年，我还是个新手交易员时，只要账户一发生亏损，内心的郁闷就不用说了，经常是半夜不睡觉，甚至彻夜复盘，就是要找出亏损的原因，不找到原因是不可能睡觉的。</p><p>找到了原因之后（虽然那原因现在看也是牵强附会），然后就是痛下决心要改正错误，将来一定不能犯如此错误等等的自我表决心。然后呢？当然就是换一个系统。但对于新手来讲，还没有科学的系统概念，仅仅就是从一个失败的风格换成另一个风格而已。</p><p>比如一开始打定主意做趋势交易，然后发生亏损了，痛定思痛就决定做短一点吧，做波段肯定能回避亏损。好，然后就开始做波段……可是没多久，波段照样亏钱。然后又是痛定思痛之后，决定做日内，做日内一定能回避亏损。好，然后开始做日内……可是，然并卵，日内照样亏钱。然后……然后就找不到方向了，然后就开始乱做，索性不要什么系统、风格了。</p><p>很奇怪，胡乱地做反而还能赚钱，于是胆子大了起来，开始越发地过分。逆势也干上了，摸顶抄底也来了，摊平成本也有了……然后，某一天灾难降临了，千年砍柴一日烧。</p><p>然后又再一次重复以上的步骤，或者倒过来，重新再来一遍……重新再来N遍……</p><p>如果找不到症结所在，意味着这种痛苦的轮回似乎永远看不到尽头。在我走出了失败的阴霾之后，我终于体会到了：</p><p>为什么新手无论用什么风格交易都会亏钱的原因——<b>特别怕亏损！不接受系统的不完美！</b></p><p>换言之，为什么老手无论什么风格都能赚到钱的原因也是如出一辙——<b>不在意合理范围内的亏损！完全接受系统的不完美！</b></p><p>无论哪种风格，交易的核心逻辑都是一样；无论哪种风格，顶尖交易员同样有连续亏钱的时候。<b>新手在这个时候会痛定思痛转换风格幻想扳本，而高手却是偃旗息鼓等待时机再战江湖。</b></p><p>这是很重要的区分标志！</p><p>新手不断转换交易风格的真正原因就是无法接受亏损。他们很多人都认为只要是亏钱了就是系统不行，他们潜意识里总是以为市场上有葵花宝典——九阴真经或是密宗大法，一招制胜战无不败。所以，他们有好些人，这里拜师那里上课，今天被骗明天还是被骗。因为市场上根本就没有葵花宝典，有的只是前辈们枪林弹雨中死里逃生后的经验教训。</p><p>接受系统的不完美，接受市场的随机性，是一个交易员成熟的标志！对高手来说，长线短线日内波段统统都不是问题，能赚钱的照样赚钱。因为，交易的核心在交易逻辑上。短期的亏钱不叫亏，长期的赚钱才叫赚。不明白这个道理就永远都别想从市场上拿走真正属于自己的一毛钱！</p><p>基于这样一个逻辑，我对新手交易员的劝告是：<b>咬定青山不放松！选择一种风格，死磕到底。</b></p><p>只要一种风格你能胜任，其它的风格的转换并不困难，那是顺理成章的事情；只要一种风格你能赚钱，换一种风格也能赚到钱。千万不要一亏钱就换风格，因为，无论哪种风格，交易的手法从本质上来讲并没有太大区别，核心都是靠“趋势交易”获得利润，靠“低买高卖”赚取差价。</p><p>新手交易员特别难以逾越的一个关卡，就是无法接受亏损。在这一点上我同样用了很长时间才最终做到，那是因为在我还是新手的时候，真的没人教过我有用的东西。一个交易员，只有达到“眼里看到的只是数字而非钱”时，心理上对亏损才能心悦诚服地接受，也只有坦然接受了，才会有水到渠成的利润。</p><p>在不适合自己系统操作的市场里，亏钱是没有办法的事情，必须要接受亏损，等待市场走出符合系统的行情。做交易不能像狗熊掰棒子，一个不好就扔掉，最终却是个个都错过。</p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n夜读 | 真正接受亏损，才能从市场中赚钱\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-03 22:12 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93497><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？当年，我还是个新手交易员时，只要账户一发生亏损，内心的郁闷就不用说了，经常是半夜不睡觉，甚至彻夜复盘，就是要找出亏损的原因，不找到原因是不可能睡觉的。找到了原因之后（虽然那原因现在看也是牵强附会），然后...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93497\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde2e4fc86b629e1a7a7708ea53eb694","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93497","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114633417","content_text":"新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？当年，我还是个新手交易员时，只要账户一发生亏损，内心的郁闷就不用说了，经常是半夜不睡觉，甚至彻夜复盘，就是要找出亏损的原因，不找到原因是不可能睡觉的。找到了原因之后（虽然那原因现在看也是牵强附会），然后就是痛下决心要改正错误，将来一定不能犯如此错误等等的自我表决心。然后呢？当然就是换一个系统。但对于新手来讲，还没有科学的系统概念，仅仅就是从一个失败的风格换成另一个风格而已。比如一开始打定主意做趋势交易，然后发生亏损了，痛定思痛就决定做短一点吧，做波段肯定能回避亏损。好，然后就开始做波段……可是没多久，波段照样亏钱。然后又是痛定思痛之后，决定做日内，做日内一定能回避亏损。好，然后开始做日内……可是，然并卵，日内照样亏钱。然后……然后就找不到方向了，然后就开始乱做，索性不要什么系统、风格了。很奇怪，胡乱地做反而还能赚钱，于是胆子大了起来，开始越发地过分。逆势也干上了，摸顶抄底也来了，摊平成本也有了……然后，某一天灾难降临了，千年砍柴一日烧。然后又再一次重复以上的步骤，或者倒过来，重新再来一遍……重新再来N遍……如果找不到症结所在，意味着这种痛苦的轮回似乎永远看不到尽头。在我走出了失败的阴霾之后，我终于体会到了：为什么新手无论用什么风格交易都会亏钱的原因——特别怕亏损！不接受系统的不完美！换言之，为什么老手无论什么风格都能赚到钱的原因也是如出一辙——不在意合理范围内的亏损！完全接受系统的不完美！无论哪种风格，交易的核心逻辑都是一样；无论哪种风格，顶尖交易员同样有连续亏钱的时候。新手在这个时候会痛定思痛转换风格幻想扳本，而高手却是偃旗息鼓等待时机再战江湖。这是很重要的区分标志！新手不断转换交易风格的真正原因就是无法接受亏损。他们很多人都认为只要是亏钱了就是系统不行，他们潜意识里总是以为市场上有葵花宝典——九阴真经或是密宗大法，一招制胜战无不败。所以，他们有好些人，这里拜师那里上课，今天被骗明天还是被骗。因为市场上根本就没有葵花宝典，有的只是前辈们枪林弹雨中死里逃生后的经验教训。接受系统的不完美，接受市场的随机性，是一个交易员成熟的标志！对高手来说，长线短线日内波段统统都不是问题，能赚钱的照样赚钱。因为，交易的核心在交易逻辑上。短期的亏钱不叫亏，长期的赚钱才叫赚。不明白这个道理就永远都别想从市场上拿走真正属于自己的一毛钱！基于这样一个逻辑，我对新手交易员的劝告是：咬定青山不放松！选择一种风格，死磕到底。只要一种风格你能胜任，其它的风格的转换并不困难，那是顺理成章的事情；只要一种风格你能赚钱，换一种风格也能赚到钱。千万不要一亏钱就换风格，因为，无论哪种风格，交易的手法从本质上来讲并没有太大区别，核心都是靠“趋势交易”获得利润，靠“低买高卖”赚取差价。新手交易员特别难以逾越的一个关卡，就是无法接受亏损。在这一点上我同样用了很长时间才最终做到，那是因为在我还是新手的时候，真的没人教过我有用的东西。一个交易员，只有达到“眼里看到的只是数字而非钱”时，心理上对亏损才能心悦诚服地接受，也只有坦然接受了，才会有水到渠成的利润。在不适合自己系统操作的市场里，亏钱是没有办法的事情，必须要接受亏损，等待市场走出符合系统的行情。做交易不能像狗熊掰棒子，一个不好就扔掉，最终却是个个都错过。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087495721,"gmtCreate":1651032610316,"gmtModify":1676534838170,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087495721","repostId":"2230433051","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2230433051","pubTimestamp":1651025248,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230433051?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-27 10:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230433051","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>摘要：可以简单认为，只要<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。</b></blockquote><p>昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？</p><p>特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候SEC文件会显示马斯克今天已经开卖股票，开始筹措需要收购推特的资金。根据上周四马斯克给SEC递交的文件，这次收购共需资金$465亿，其中马斯克自筹资金$210亿，银行资金$255亿，下表是此次收购资金的结构。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>融资模式</p></td><td><p>融资方</p></td><td><p>融资金额</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-定期贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>、巴克莱、三菱日联、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HB5.UK\">法国巴黎银行</a>、瑞穗、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0J6Y.UK\">法国兴业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$65亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-周转信贷</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601166\">兴业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$5亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-抵押过桥贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行</p></td><td><p>$30亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-无抵押过桥贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行</p></td><td><p>$30亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-保证金贷款</p><p>均以马斯克对特斯拉股票的所有权为担保</p></td><td><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CM\">加拿大帝国商业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$125亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>资金承诺</p></td><td><p>马斯克</p></td><td><p>$210亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>总融资额</b></p></td><td><p><b>$465亿</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>在银行的$255亿资金中，最大头$125亿来自于马斯克的特斯拉股票质押的贷款资金。银行表示最多提供股票价值的20%作为贷款，也就是说，$125亿的资金需要马斯克质押价值$625亿的股票。马斯克有这么多股票吗？</p><p>下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。由于最新的2021年数据并没有出来，所以我们只有截至2020年年底马斯克股票质押的情况。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>马斯克持有股票</p></td><td><p>马斯克已经质押股票</p></td><td><p>质押比率</p></td><td><p>尚未质押股票</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2020</p></td><td><p>170,492,985</p></td><td><p>88,331,125</p></td><td><p>51.81%</p></td><td><p>82,161,860</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2019</p></td><td><p>34,085,560</p></td><td><p>18,466,225</p></td><td><p>54.18%</p></td><td><p>15,619,335</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2018</p></td><td><p>33,824,680</p></td><td><p>13,394,056</p></td><td><p>39.60%</p></td><td><p>20,430,624</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2017</p></td><td><p>33,632,421</p></td><td><p>13,774,897</p></td><td><p>40.96%</p></td><td><p>19,857,524</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2016</p></td><td><p>33,503,668</p></td><td><p>11,450,723</p></td><td><p>34.18%</p></td><td><p>22,052,945</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2015</p></td><td><p>28,371,342</p></td><td><p>9,420,113</p></td><td><p>33.20%</p></td><td><p>18,951,229</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2014</p></td><td><p>28,288,697</p></td><td><p>7,424,899</p></td><td><p>26.25%</p></td><td><p>20,863,798</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2013</p></td><td><p>28,288,622</p></td><td><p>10,024,899</p></td><td><p>35.44%</p></td><td><p>18,263,723</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2012</p></td><td><p>27,203,237</p></td><td><p>9,470,000</p></td><td><p>34.81%</p></td><td><p>17,733,237</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2011</p></td><td><p>27,131,565</p></td><td><p>4,500,000</p></td><td><p>16.59%</p></td><td><p>22,631,565</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2010</p></td><td><p>25,699,596</p></td><td><p>4,500,000</p></td><td><p>17.51%</p></td><td><p>21,199,596</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>可以看到，虽然是首富，马斯克超过50%的股票都已经质押。这些质押取得的资金，大部分都应该去了烧钱的SpaceX和Boring公司“上天入地“。2020年结束后，马斯克只有8,200万股票没有质押。</p><p>去年马斯克期权行权加上卖出股份套现，这一进一出马斯克又多了约710万股。假设2021年马斯克没有质押更多的股份，<b>那么马斯克手上约有8,900万股可以质押的股票</b>，这是最优的情况。如果马斯克去年又质押了股票，那么数量会更少。下表是马斯克去年套现情况。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>行使期权数</p></td><td><p>22,762,050</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>期权价格</p></td><td><p>6.24</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>卖股数</p></td><td><p>15,602,784</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>总共套现金额</p></td><td><p>$16,571,765,725</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>共出售天数</p></td><td><p>15天</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>刚才说了，银行对马斯克的股票质押是20%。如果特斯拉股价在$1,000，那么马斯克质押股票是够的，但如果特斯拉跌到$600，那么马斯克就算质押所有股票，那么银行给的钱也不够了。下表是特斯拉股价和质押率的sensitivity分析，基于的假设是马斯克已经质押股票88,331,125股，没有质押股票89,321,126股。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>特斯拉股价</p></td><td><p>完成推特收购后马斯克所有股票的质押率</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$1,000</p></td><td><p>85%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$900</p></td><td><p>89%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$800</p></td><td><p>94%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$700</p></td><td><p>100%</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p><b>可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。</b></p><p>所以马斯克现在就陷入了一个很尴尬的局面。一方面为了把自筹资金$210亿凑齐，他必须要卖股票，但卖股票就会压低股价，今天已经压到了$900之下；另一方面为了让银行给他足够的资金，他又必须要把股价维持在高位，今天收盘价低于了$900他的股票质押率会高达90%。<b>最难受的，是如果收购推特以后又不套现，那么马斯克将永远保持非常高的特斯拉股票质押率，这对他个人的财务以及特斯拉的股价，都是非常危险的事情。</b></p><p>谁说有钱就可以任性的？</p><p>相关阅读：特斯拉一天市值蒸发超千亿美元，市场在担心什么？</p><p>自马斯克四月初披露持有Twitter股权以来，特斯拉股票已累计跌去23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3340d9350b9429ab5dce6a153e5de9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>显而易见，马斯克收购Twitter在投资者中造成了恐慌。</p><p>上周四，马斯克向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交的文件详细列出了从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和其他金融机构获得的255亿美元债务融资，包括用他在特斯拉的股权支持的保证金贷款。此外，马斯克本人还将提供210亿美元的股权融资。</p><p>也就是说，马斯克已经获得465亿美元的资金来收购推特公司，但其中超过三分之二的资金或是由他自掏腰包，或是拿他的特斯拉股票作抵押。</p><p>投资者担心，<b>如果马斯克因为收购Twitter而分心，甚至可能通过出售特斯拉股票来资助这笔交易，将会影响到特斯拉的正常运营。</b></p><p><b>甚至有网友在Twitter上戏称如今的特斯拉仿佛已经被马斯克抛弃。</b></p><p>华尔街知名投行分析师Daniel Ives表示，这些担忧“在名义上引发了一场熊节”。</p><p>此外，随着通胀高烧不退，美联储准备启动一系列大幅加息，全球股市普遍下挫，投资者纷纷逃离高增长企业。</p><p>“特斯拉今天将面临三个打击，”美国国家证券公司(National Securities Corp.)首席市场策略师Arthur Hogan说，”<b>除了担心出售（特斯拉股票）和成长性股票抛售加剧，特斯拉股票也反映出一些（投资者）担心马斯克分心过度而面临新的挑战。</b>”</p><p>周二这样的日子 马斯克再也承受不起</p><p>对马斯克而言，这种波动并不新鲜。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。</p><p>但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。</p><p>据彭博社，为了达成这笔交易，马斯克同意向银行融资130亿美元，利用个人所持特斯拉的部分股份获得125亿美元的融资承诺，另外210亿美元通过抵押股权获得。</p><p>如果根据特斯拉周一的收盘价，足以保证马斯克支付保证金贷款，而且他仍然拥有价值约216亿美元的未抵押股票，税后几乎足够为交易的现金部分提供资金。</p><p>但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。虽然马斯克仍然有足够的资金获得保证金贷款，但以目前的价格，他将只剩下114亿美元的未质押股票。</p><p>据华尔街见闻此前文章，<b>假如特斯拉股价跌至740美元下方，较周二收盘再跌去16%，马斯克就不够满足125亿美元融资的要求了。</b></p><p>英国投资平台AJ Bell的投资总监Russ Mould说：“马斯克用特斯拉的股票作抵押是在冒很大的风险。”“如果这家电动汽车制造商的股价意外暴跌，可能会造成很多不安。”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1635821181494","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-27 10:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw><strong>老虎锐评</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要：可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230433051","content_text":"摘要：可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候SEC文件会显示马斯克今天已经开卖股票，开始筹措需要收购推特的资金。根据上周四马斯克给SEC递交的文件，这次收购共需资金$465亿，其中马斯克自筹资金$210亿，银行资金$255亿，下表是此次收购资金的结构。融资模式融资方融资金额债务-定期贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$65亿债务-周转信贷摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$5亿债务-抵押过桥贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$30亿债务-无抵押过桥贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$30亿债务-保证金贷款均以马斯克对特斯拉股票的所有权为担保摩根士丹利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行、瑞士信贷、花旗、德意志银行、加拿大皇家银行、加拿大帝国商业银行$125亿资金承诺马斯克$210亿总融资额$465亿在银行的$255亿资金中，最大头$125亿来自于马斯克的特斯拉股票质押的贷款资金。银行表示最多提供股票价值的20%作为贷款，也就是说，$125亿的资金需要马斯克质押价值$625亿的股票。马斯克有这么多股票吗？下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。由于最新的2021年数据并没有出来，所以我们只有截至2020年年底马斯克股票质押的情况。马斯克持有股票马斯克已经质押股票质押比率尚未质押股票2020170,492,98588,331,12551.81%82,161,860201934,085,56018,466,22554.18%15,619,335201833,824,68013,394,05639.60%20,430,624201733,632,42113,774,89740.96%19,857,524201633,503,66811,450,72334.18%22,052,945201528,371,3429,420,11333.20%18,951,229201428,288,6977,424,89926.25%20,863,798201328,288,62210,024,89935.44%18,263,723201227,203,2379,470,00034.81%17,733,237201127,131,5654,500,00016.59%22,631,565201025,699,5964,500,00017.51%21,199,596可以看到，虽然是首富，马斯克超过50%的股票都已经质押。这些质押取得的资金，大部分都应该去了烧钱的SpaceX和Boring公司“上天入地“。2020年结束后，马斯克只有8,200万股票没有质押。去年马斯克期权行权加上卖出股份套现，这一进一出马斯克又多了约710万股。假设2021年马斯克没有质押更多的股份，那么马斯克手上约有8,900万股可以质押的股票，这是最优的情况。如果马斯克去年又质押了股票，那么数量会更少。下表是马斯克去年套现情况。行使期权数22,762,050期权价格6.24卖股数15,602,784总共套现金额$16,571,765,725共出售天数15天刚才说了，银行对马斯克的股票质押是20%。如果特斯拉股价在$1,000，那么马斯克质押股票是够的，但如果特斯拉跌到$600，那么马斯克就算质押所有股票，那么银行给的钱也不够了。下表是特斯拉股价和质押率的sensitivity分析，基于的假设是马斯克已经质押股票88,331,125股，没有质押股票89,321,126股。特斯拉股价完成推特收购后马斯克所有股票的质押率$1,00085%$90089%$80094%$700100%可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。所以马斯克现在就陷入了一个很尴尬的局面。一方面为了把自筹资金$210亿凑齐，他必须要卖股票，但卖股票就会压低股价，今天已经压到了$900之下；另一方面为了让银行给他足够的资金，他又必须要把股价维持在高位，今天收盘价低于了$900他的股票质押率会高达90%。最难受的，是如果收购推特以后又不套现，那么马斯克将永远保持非常高的特斯拉股票质押率，这对他个人的财务以及特斯拉的股价，都是非常危险的事情。谁说有钱就可以任性的？相关阅读：特斯拉一天市值蒸发超千亿美元，市场在担心什么？自马斯克四月初披露持有Twitter股权以来，特斯拉股票已累计跌去23%。显而易见，马斯克收购Twitter在投资者中造成了恐慌。上周四，马斯克向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交的文件详细列出了从摩根士丹利和其他金融机构获得的255亿美元债务融资，包括用他在特斯拉的股权支持的保证金贷款。此外，马斯克本人还将提供210亿美元的股权融资。也就是说，马斯克已经获得465亿美元的资金来收购推特公司，但其中超过三分之二的资金或是由他自掏腰包，或是拿他的特斯拉股票作抵押。投资者担心，如果马斯克因为收购Twitter而分心，甚至可能通过出售特斯拉股票来资助这笔交易，将会影响到特斯拉的正常运营。甚至有网友在Twitter上戏称如今的特斯拉仿佛已经被马斯克抛弃。华尔街知名投行分析师Daniel Ives表示，这些担忧“在名义上引发了一场熊节”。此外，随着通胀高烧不退，美联储准备启动一系列大幅加息，全球股市普遍下挫，投资者纷纷逃离高增长企业。“特斯拉今天将面临三个打击，”美国国家证券公司(National Securities Corp.)首席市场策略师Arthur Hogan说，”除了担心出售（特斯拉股票）和成长性股票抛售加剧，特斯拉股票也反映出一些（投资者）担心马斯克分心过度而面临新的挑战。”周二这样的日子 马斯克再也承受不起对马斯克而言，这种波动并不新鲜。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。据彭博社，为了达成这笔交易，马斯克同意向银行融资130亿美元，利用个人所持特斯拉的部分股份获得125亿美元的融资承诺，另外210亿美元通过抵押股权获得。如果根据特斯拉周一的收盘价，足以保证马斯克支付保证金贷款，而且他仍然拥有价值约216亿美元的未抵押股票，税后几乎足够为交易的现金部分提供资金。但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。虽然马斯克仍然有足够的资金获得保证金贷款，但以目前的价格，他将只剩下114亿美元的未质押股票。据华尔街见闻此前文章，假如特斯拉股价跌至740美元下方，较周二收盘再跌去16%，马斯克就不够满足125亿美元融资的要求了。英国投资平台AJ Bell的投资总监Russ Mould说：“马斯克用特斯拉的股票作抵押是在冒很大的风险。”“如果这家电动汽车制造商的股价意外暴跌，可能会造成很多不安。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357128069,"gmtCreate":1617248558151,"gmtModify":1704697790533,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YVR\">$Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$</a>","listText":"If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YVR\">$Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$</a>","text":"If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses $Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357128069","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":357128069,"gmtCreate":1617248558151,"gmtModify":1704697790533,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YVR\">$Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$</a>","listText":"If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YVR\">$Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$</a>","text":"If you can’t take a small loss ,sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses $Liquid Media Group Ltd.(YVR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357128069","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927491526,"gmtCreate":1672550304966,"gmtModify":1676538704331,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>will back to $187 This is why&nbsp; 1/ FSD V11 beta wide release Dec 2/ TSLA 4Q delivs/product’n Jan 3/ TWTR CEO announcement Jan 4/ $7,500 EV credit into effect 1Q 5/ New gigas (UK, N America) 1Q 6/ TSLA $10B buyback 1Q 7/ Cytruck launch mid-FY’23 8/ $30K EV Launch mid-FY’24 $400 PT 6-12 mo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>will back to $187 This is why&nbsp; 1/ FSD V11 beta wide release Dec 2/ TSLA 4Q delivs/product’n Jan 3/ TWTR CEO announcement Jan 4/ $7,500 EV credit into effect 1Q 5/ New gigas (UK, N America) 1Q 6/ TSLA $10B buyback 1Q 7/ Cytruck launch mid-FY’23 8/ $30K EV Launch mid-FY’24 $400 PT 6-12 mo","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ will back to $187 This is why 1/ FSD V11 beta wide release Dec 2/ TSLA 4Q delivs/product’n Jan 3/ TWTR CEO announcement Jan 4/ $7,500 EV credit into effect 1Q 5/ New gigas (UK, N America) 1Q 6/ TSLA $10B buyback 1Q 7/ Cytruck launch mid-FY’23 8/ $30K EV Launch mid-FY’24 $400 PT 6-12 mo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927491526","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922177885,"gmtCreate":1671725256347,"gmtModify":1676538583468,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I like Messi&nbsp;","listText":"I like Messi&nbsp;","text":"I like Messi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922177885","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949757637,"gmtCreate":1678925576830,"gmtModify":1678925580654,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Swill put!","listText":"Swill put!","text":"Swill put!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949757637","repostId":"9949439109","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9949439109,"gmtCreate":1678806646702,"gmtModify":1678806656102,"author":{"id":"4098946491644790","authorId":"4098946491644790","name":"0QH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/206a0719b8841030e1fd2bd6256fd46e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098946491644790","idStr":"4098946491644790"},"themes":[],"title":"Perfect Buy On TSLA?","htmlText":"How I Plan to Profit from Tesla (TSLA) by Selling Put Options I have been keeping an eye on <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a> Tesla's stock (TSLA) for some time now, looking to add more TSLA into my retirement portfolio. TSLA has been on a decline since the end of February. Today TSLA is at a Tom Demark TD9 count of 9 with a perfect buy forming. The upwards green arrow at chart below indicates the perfect buy. This indicates a possible bullish reversal after the stock has been declining for some time. Additionally, the just-released CPI is in line with expectations and the market has surged (Pulling TSLA along) with some optimism that the upcoming rate hike to be smaller. Given these conditions, I have decided to sell put options on TSLA. Why I Choose to Sell","listText":"How I Plan to Profit from Tesla (TSLA) by Selling Put Options I have been keeping an eye on <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a> Tesla's stock (TSLA) for some time now, looking to add more TSLA into my retirement portfolio. TSLA has been on a decline since the end of February. Today TSLA is at a Tom Demark TD9 count of 9 with a perfect buy forming. The upwards green arrow at chart below indicates the perfect buy. This indicates a possible bullish reversal after the stock has been declining for some time. Additionally, the just-released CPI is in line with expectations and the market has surged (Pulling TSLA along) with some optimism that the upcoming rate hike to be smaller. Given these conditions, I have decided to sell put options on TSLA. Why I Choose to Sell","text":"How I Plan to Profit from Tesla (TSLA) by Selling Put Options I have been keeping an eye on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla's stock (TSLA) for some time now, looking to add more TSLA into my retirement portfolio. TSLA has been on a decline since the end of February. Today TSLA is at a Tom Demark TD9 count of 9 with a perfect buy forming. The upwards green arrow at chart below indicates the perfect buy. This indicates a possible bullish reversal after the stock has been declining for some time. Additionally, the just-released CPI is in line with expectations and the market has surged (Pulling TSLA along) with some optimism that the upcoming rate hike to be smaller. Given these conditions, I have decided to sell put options on TSLA. Why I Choose to Sell","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bbfdad487631586340b3725283e945b4","width":"198","height":"255"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f69a64147329c4caf564278f1009d1bc","width":"300","height":"168"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949439109","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922802758,"gmtCreate":1671725715274,"gmtModify":1676538583667,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>JJK&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>JJK&nbsp;","text":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ JJK","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/359410f9d900c471ece28ee9d0955d25","width":"750","height":"1454"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962405954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061804511,"gmtCreate":1651593853041,"gmtModify":1676534932775,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla 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真正接受亏损，才能从市场中赚钱","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114633417","media":"金十数据","summary":"新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？当年","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？</p><p>当年，我还是个新手交易员时，只要账户一发生亏损，内心的郁闷就不用说了，经常是半夜不睡觉，甚至彻夜复盘，就是要找出亏损的原因，不找到原因是不可能睡觉的。</p><p>找到了原因之后（虽然那原因现在看也是牵强附会），然后就是痛下决心要改正错误，将来一定不能犯如此错误等等的自我表决心。然后呢？当然就是换一个系统。但对于新手来讲，还没有科学的系统概念，仅仅就是从一个失败的风格换成另一个风格而已。</p><p>比如一开始打定主意做趋势交易，然后发生亏损了，痛定思痛就决定做短一点吧，做波段肯定能回避亏损。好，然后就开始做波段……可是没多久，波段照样亏钱。然后又是痛定思痛之后，决定做日内，做日内一定能回避亏损。好，然后开始做日内……可是，然并卵，日内照样亏钱。然后……然后就找不到方向了，然后就开始乱做，索性不要什么系统、风格了。</p><p>很奇怪，胡乱地做反而还能赚钱，于是胆子大了起来，开始越发地过分。逆势也干上了，摸顶抄底也来了，摊平成本也有了……然后，某一天灾难降临了，千年砍柴一日烧。</p><p>然后又再一次重复以上的步骤，或者倒过来，重新再来一遍……重新再来N遍……</p><p>如果找不到症结所在，意味着这种痛苦的轮回似乎永远看不到尽头。在我走出了失败的阴霾之后，我终于体会到了：</p><p>为什么新手无论用什么风格交易都会亏钱的原因——<b>特别怕亏损！不接受系统的不完美！</b></p><p>换言之，为什么老手无论什么风格都能赚到钱的原因也是如出一辙——<b>不在意合理范围内的亏损！完全接受系统的不完美！</b></p><p>无论哪种风格，交易的核心逻辑都是一样；无论哪种风格，顶尖交易员同样有连续亏钱的时候。<b>新手在这个时候会痛定思痛转换风格幻想扳本，而高手却是偃旗息鼓等待时机再战江湖。</b></p><p>这是很重要的区分标志！</p><p>新手不断转换交易风格的真正原因就是无法接受亏损。他们很多人都认为只要是亏钱了就是系统不行，他们潜意识里总是以为市场上有葵花宝典——九阴真经或是密宗大法，一招制胜战无不败。所以，他们有好些人，这里拜师那里上课，今天被骗明天还是被骗。因为市场上根本就没有葵花宝典，有的只是前辈们枪林弹雨中死里逃生后的经验教训。</p><p>接受系统的不完美，接受市场的随机性，是一个交易员成熟的标志！对高手来说，长线短线日内波段统统都不是问题，能赚钱的照样赚钱。因为，交易的核心在交易逻辑上。短期的亏钱不叫亏，长期的赚钱才叫赚。不明白这个道理就永远都别想从市场上拿走真正属于自己的一毛钱！</p><p>基于这样一个逻辑，我对新手交易员的劝告是：<b>咬定青山不放松！选择一种风格，死磕到底。</b></p><p>只要一种风格你能胜任，其它的风格的转换并不困难，那是顺理成章的事情；只要一种风格你能赚钱，换一种风格也能赚到钱。千万不要一亏钱就换风格，因为，无论哪种风格，交易的手法从本质上来讲并没有太大区别，核心都是靠“趋势交易”获得利润，靠“低买高卖”赚取差价。</p><p>新手交易员特别难以逾越的一个关卡，就是无法接受亏损。在这一点上我同样用了很长时间才最终做到，那是因为在我还是新手的时候，真的没人教过我有用的东西。一个交易员，只有达到“眼里看到的只是数字而非钱”时，心理上对亏损才能心悦诚服地接受，也只有坦然接受了，才会有水到渠成的利润。</p><p>在不适合自己系统操作的市场里，亏钱是没有办法的事情，必须要接受亏损，等待市场走出符合系统的行情。做交易不能像狗熊掰棒子，一个不好就扔掉，最终却是个个都错过。</p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n夜读 | 真正接受亏损，才能从市场中赚钱\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-03 22:12 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93497><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？当年，我还是个新手交易员时，只要账户一发生亏损，内心的郁闷就不用说了，经常是半夜不睡觉，甚至彻夜复盘，就是要找出亏损的原因，不找到原因是不可能睡觉的。找到了原因之后（虽然那原因现在看也是牵强附会），然后...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93497\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde2e4fc86b629e1a7a7708ea53eb694","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93497","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114633417","content_text":"新手交易员在初入市场的时候，大部分是东一榔头西一棒子的交易风格，换言之，就是短线、波段、日内、趋势……什么都尝试，但什么都做不好。我在刚进入市场之时，也是一样。不断转换交易风格的主要原因是什么呢？当年，我还是个新手交易员时，只要账户一发生亏损，内心的郁闷就不用说了，经常是半夜不睡觉，甚至彻夜复盘，就是要找出亏损的原因，不找到原因是不可能睡觉的。找到了原因之后（虽然那原因现在看也是牵强附会），然后就是痛下决心要改正错误，将来一定不能犯如此错误等等的自我表决心。然后呢？当然就是换一个系统。但对于新手来讲，还没有科学的系统概念，仅仅就是从一个失败的风格换成另一个风格而已。比如一开始打定主意做趋势交易，然后发生亏损了，痛定思痛就决定做短一点吧，做波段肯定能回避亏损。好，然后就开始做波段……可是没多久，波段照样亏钱。然后又是痛定思痛之后，决定做日内，做日内一定能回避亏损。好，然后开始做日内……可是，然并卵，日内照样亏钱。然后……然后就找不到方向了，然后就开始乱做，索性不要什么系统、风格了。很奇怪，胡乱地做反而还能赚钱，于是胆子大了起来，开始越发地过分。逆势也干上了，摸顶抄底也来了，摊平成本也有了……然后，某一天灾难降临了，千年砍柴一日烧。然后又再一次重复以上的步骤，或者倒过来，重新再来一遍……重新再来N遍……如果找不到症结所在，意味着这种痛苦的轮回似乎永远看不到尽头。在我走出了失败的阴霾之后，我终于体会到了：为什么新手无论用什么风格交易都会亏钱的原因——特别怕亏损！不接受系统的不完美！换言之，为什么老手无论什么风格都能赚到钱的原因也是如出一辙——不在意合理范围内的亏损！完全接受系统的不完美！无论哪种风格，交易的核心逻辑都是一样；无论哪种风格，顶尖交易员同样有连续亏钱的时候。新手在这个时候会痛定思痛转换风格幻想扳本，而高手却是偃旗息鼓等待时机再战江湖。这是很重要的区分标志！新手不断转换交易风格的真正原因就是无法接受亏损。他们很多人都认为只要是亏钱了就是系统不行，他们潜意识里总是以为市场上有葵花宝典——九阴真经或是密宗大法，一招制胜战无不败。所以，他们有好些人，这里拜师那里上课，今天被骗明天还是被骗。因为市场上根本就没有葵花宝典，有的只是前辈们枪林弹雨中死里逃生后的经验教训。接受系统的不完美，接受市场的随机性，是一个交易员成熟的标志！对高手来说，长线短线日内波段统统都不是问题，能赚钱的照样赚钱。因为，交易的核心在交易逻辑上。短期的亏钱不叫亏，长期的赚钱才叫赚。不明白这个道理就永远都别想从市场上拿走真正属于自己的一毛钱！基于这样一个逻辑，我对新手交易员的劝告是：咬定青山不放松！选择一种风格，死磕到底。只要一种风格你能胜任，其它的风格的转换并不困难，那是顺理成章的事情；只要一种风格你能赚钱，换一种风格也能赚到钱。千万不要一亏钱就换风格，因为，无论哪种风格，交易的手法从本质上来讲并没有太大区别，核心都是靠“趋势交易”获得利润，靠“低买高卖”赚取差价。新手交易员特别难以逾越的一个关卡，就是无法接受亏损。在这一点上我同样用了很长时间才最终做到，那是因为在我还是新手的时候，真的没人教过我有用的东西。一个交易员，只有达到“眼里看到的只是数字而非钱”时，心理上对亏损才能心悦诚服地接受，也只有坦然接受了，才会有水到渠成的利润。在不适合自己系统操作的市场里，亏钱是没有办法的事情，必须要接受亏损，等待市场走出符合系统的行情。做交易不能像狗熊掰棒子，一个不好就扔掉，最终却是个个都错过。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087495721,"gmtCreate":1651032610316,"gmtModify":1676534838170,"author":{"id":"3573473778040857","authorId":"3573473778040857","name":"Tesla Go","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632a91f08d06634d4e21f456df79945e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573473778040857","idStr":"3573473778040857"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087495721","repostId":"2230433051","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2230433051","pubTimestamp":1651025248,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230433051?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-27 10:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230433051","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>摘要：可以简单认为，只要<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。</b></blockquote><p>昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？</p><p>特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候SEC文件会显示马斯克今天已经开卖股票，开始筹措需要收购推特的资金。根据上周四马斯克给SEC递交的文件，这次收购共需资金$465亿，其中马斯克自筹资金$210亿，银行资金$255亿，下表是此次收购资金的结构。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>融资模式</p></td><td><p>融资方</p></td><td><p>融资金额</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-定期贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>、巴克莱、三菱日联、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HB5.UK\">法国巴黎银行</a>、瑞穗、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0J6Y.UK\">法国兴业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$65亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-周转信贷</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601166\">兴业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$5亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-抵押过桥贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行</p></td><td><p>$30亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-无抵押过桥贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行</p></td><td><p>$30亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-保证金贷款</p><p>均以马斯克对特斯拉股票的所有权为担保</p></td><td><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CM\">加拿大帝国商业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$125亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>资金承诺</p></td><td><p>马斯克</p></td><td><p>$210亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>总融资额</b></p></td><td><p><b>$465亿</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>在银行的$255亿资金中，最大头$125亿来自于马斯克的特斯拉股票质押的贷款资金。银行表示最多提供股票价值的20%作为贷款，也就是说，$125亿的资金需要马斯克质押价值$625亿的股票。马斯克有这么多股票吗？</p><p>下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。由于最新的2021年数据并没有出来，所以我们只有截至2020年年底马斯克股票质押的情况。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>马斯克持有股票</p></td><td><p>马斯克已经质押股票</p></td><td><p>质押比率</p></td><td><p>尚未质押股票</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2020</p></td><td><p>170,492,985</p></td><td><p>88,331,125</p></td><td><p>51.81%</p></td><td><p>82,161,860</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2019</p></td><td><p>34,085,560</p></td><td><p>18,466,225</p></td><td><p>54.18%</p></td><td><p>15,619,335</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2018</p></td><td><p>33,824,680</p></td><td><p>13,394,056</p></td><td><p>39.60%</p></td><td><p>20,430,624</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2017</p></td><td><p>33,632,421</p></td><td><p>13,774,897</p></td><td><p>40.96%</p></td><td><p>19,857,524</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2016</p></td><td><p>33,503,668</p></td><td><p>11,450,723</p></td><td><p>34.18%</p></td><td><p>22,052,945</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2015</p></td><td><p>28,371,342</p></td><td><p>9,420,113</p></td><td><p>33.20%</p></td><td><p>18,951,229</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2014</p></td><td><p>28,288,697</p></td><td><p>7,424,899</p></td><td><p>26.25%</p></td><td><p>20,863,798</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2013</p></td><td><p>28,288,622</p></td><td><p>10,024,899</p></td><td><p>35.44%</p></td><td><p>18,263,723</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2012</p></td><td><p>27,203,237</p></td><td><p>9,470,000</p></td><td><p>34.81%</p></td><td><p>17,733,237</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2011</p></td><td><p>27,131,565</p></td><td><p>4,500,000</p></td><td><p>16.59%</p></td><td><p>22,631,565</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2010</p></td><td><p>25,699,596</p></td><td><p>4,500,000</p></td><td><p>17.51%</p></td><td><p>21,199,596</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>可以看到，虽然是首富，马斯克超过50%的股票都已经质押。这些质押取得的资金，大部分都应该去了烧钱的SpaceX和Boring公司“上天入地“。2020年结束后，马斯克只有8,200万股票没有质押。</p><p>去年马斯克期权行权加上卖出股份套现，这一进一出马斯克又多了约710万股。假设2021年马斯克没有质押更多的股份，<b>那么马斯克手上约有8,900万股可以质押的股票</b>，这是最优的情况。如果马斯克去年又质押了股票，那么数量会更少。下表是马斯克去年套现情况。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>行使期权数</p></td><td><p>22,762,050</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>期权价格</p></td><td><p>6.24</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>卖股数</p></td><td><p>15,602,784</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>总共套现金额</p></td><td><p>$16,571,765,725</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>共出售天数</p></td><td><p>15天</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>刚才说了，银行对马斯克的股票质押是20%。如果特斯拉股价在$1,000，那么马斯克质押股票是够的，但如果特斯拉跌到$600，那么马斯克就算质押所有股票，那么银行给的钱也不够了。下表是特斯拉股价和质押率的sensitivity分析，基于的假设是马斯克已经质押股票88,331,125股，没有质押股票89,321,126股。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>特斯拉股价</p></td><td><p>完成推特收购后马斯克所有股票的质押率</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$1,000</p></td><td><p>85%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$900</p></td><td><p>89%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$800</p></td><td><p>94%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$700</p></td><td><p>100%</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p><b>可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。</b></p><p>所以马斯克现在就陷入了一个很尴尬的局面。一方面为了把自筹资金$210亿凑齐，他必须要卖股票，但卖股票就会压低股价，今天已经压到了$900之下；另一方面为了让银行给他足够的资金，他又必须要把股价维持在高位，今天收盘价低于了$900他的股票质押率会高达90%。<b>最难受的，是如果收购推特以后又不套现，那么马斯克将永远保持非常高的特斯拉股票质押率，这对他个人的财务以及特斯拉的股价，都是非常危险的事情。</b></p><p>谁说有钱就可以任性的？</p><p>相关阅读：特斯拉一天市值蒸发超千亿美元，市场在担心什么？</p><p>自马斯克四月初披露持有Twitter股权以来，特斯拉股票已累计跌去23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3340d9350b9429ab5dce6a153e5de9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>显而易见，马斯克收购Twitter在投资者中造成了恐慌。</p><p>上周四，马斯克向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交的文件详细列出了从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和其他金融机构获得的255亿美元债务融资，包括用他在特斯拉的股权支持的保证金贷款。此外，马斯克本人还将提供210亿美元的股权融资。</p><p>也就是说，马斯克已经获得465亿美元的资金来收购推特公司，但其中超过三分之二的资金或是由他自掏腰包，或是拿他的特斯拉股票作抵押。</p><p>投资者担心，<b>如果马斯克因为收购Twitter而分心，甚至可能通过出售特斯拉股票来资助这笔交易，将会影响到特斯拉的正常运营。</b></p><p><b>甚至有网友在Twitter上戏称如今的特斯拉仿佛已经被马斯克抛弃。</b></p><p>华尔街知名投行分析师Daniel Ives表示，这些担忧“在名义上引发了一场熊节”。</p><p>此外，随着通胀高烧不退，美联储准备启动一系列大幅加息，全球股市普遍下挫，投资者纷纷逃离高增长企业。</p><p>“特斯拉今天将面临三个打击，”美国国家证券公司(National Securities Corp.)首席市场策略师Arthur Hogan说，”<b>除了担心出售（特斯拉股票）和成长性股票抛售加剧，特斯拉股票也反映出一些（投资者）担心马斯克分心过度而面临新的挑战。</b>”</p><p>周二这样的日子 马斯克再也承受不起</p><p>对马斯克而言，这种波动并不新鲜。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。</p><p>但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。</p><p>据彭博社，为了达成这笔交易，马斯克同意向银行融资130亿美元，利用个人所持特斯拉的部分股份获得125亿美元的融资承诺，另外210亿美元通过抵押股权获得。</p><p>如果根据特斯拉周一的收盘价，足以保证马斯克支付保证金贷款，而且他仍然拥有价值约216亿美元的未抵押股票，税后几乎足够为交易的现金部分提供资金。</p><p>但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。虽然马斯克仍然有足够的资金获得保证金贷款，但以目前的价格，他将只剩下114亿美元的未质押股票。</p><p>据华尔街见闻此前文章，<b>假如特斯拉股价跌至740美元下方，较周二收盘再跌去16%，马斯克就不够满足125亿美元融资的要求了。</b></p><p>英国投资平台AJ Bell的投资总监Russ Mould说：“马斯克用特斯拉的股票作抵押是在冒很大的风险。”“如果这家电动汽车制造商的股价意外暴跌，可能会造成很多不安。”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1635821181494","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-27 10:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw><strong>老虎锐评</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要：可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230433051","content_text":"摘要：可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候SEC文件会显示马斯克今天已经开卖股票，开始筹措需要收购推特的资金。根据上周四马斯克给SEC递交的文件，这次收购共需资金$465亿，其中马斯克自筹资金$210亿，银行资金$255亿，下表是此次收购资金的结构。融资模式融资方融资金额债务-定期贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$65亿债务-周转信贷摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$5亿债务-抵押过桥贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$30亿债务-无抵押过桥贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$30亿债务-保证金贷款均以马斯克对特斯拉股票的所有权为担保摩根士丹利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行、瑞士信贷、花旗、德意志银行、加拿大皇家银行、加拿大帝国商业银行$125亿资金承诺马斯克$210亿总融资额$465亿在银行的$255亿资金中，最大头$125亿来自于马斯克的特斯拉股票质押的贷款资金。银行表示最多提供股票价值的20%作为贷款，也就是说，$125亿的资金需要马斯克质押价值$625亿的股票。马斯克有这么多股票吗？下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。由于最新的2021年数据并没有出来，所以我们只有截至2020年年底马斯克股票质押的情况。马斯克持有股票马斯克已经质押股票质押比率尚未质押股票2020170,492,98588,331,12551.81%82,161,860201934,085,56018,466,22554.18%15,619,335201833,824,68013,394,05639.60%20,430,624201733,632,42113,774,89740.96%19,857,524201633,503,66811,450,72334.18%22,052,945201528,371,3429,420,11333.20%18,951,229201428,288,6977,424,89926.25%20,863,798201328,288,62210,024,89935.44%18,263,723201227,203,2379,470,00034.81%17,733,237201127,131,5654,500,00016.59%22,631,565201025,699,5964,500,00017.51%21,199,596可以看到，虽然是首富，马斯克超过50%的股票都已经质押。这些质押取得的资金，大部分都应该去了烧钱的SpaceX和Boring公司“上天入地“。2020年结束后，马斯克只有8,200万股票没有质押。去年马斯克期权行权加上卖出股份套现，这一进一出马斯克又多了约710万股。假设2021年马斯克没有质押更多的股份，那么马斯克手上约有8,900万股可以质押的股票，这是最优的情况。如果马斯克去年又质押了股票，那么数量会更少。下表是马斯克去年套现情况。行使期权数22,762,050期权价格6.24卖股数15,602,784总共套现金额$16,571,765,725共出售天数15天刚才说了，银行对马斯克的股票质押是20%。如果特斯拉股价在$1,000，那么马斯克质押股票是够的，但如果特斯拉跌到$600，那么马斯克就算质押所有股票，那么银行给的钱也不够了。下表是特斯拉股价和质押率的sensitivity分析，基于的假设是马斯克已经质押股票88,331,125股，没有质押股票89,321,126股。特斯拉股价完成推特收购后马斯克所有股票的质押率$1,00085%$90089%$80094%$700100%可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。所以马斯克现在就陷入了一个很尴尬的局面。一方面为了把自筹资金$210亿凑齐，他必须要卖股票，但卖股票就会压低股价，今天已经压到了$900之下；另一方面为了让银行给他足够的资金，他又必须要把股价维持在高位，今天收盘价低于了$900他的股票质押率会高达90%。最难受的，是如果收购推特以后又不套现，那么马斯克将永远保持非常高的特斯拉股票质押率，这对他个人的财务以及特斯拉的股价，都是非常危险的事情。谁说有钱就可以任性的？相关阅读：特斯拉一天市值蒸发超千亿美元，市场在担心什么？自马斯克四月初披露持有Twitter股权以来，特斯拉股票已累计跌去23%。显而易见，马斯克收购Twitter在投资者中造成了恐慌。上周四，马斯克向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交的文件详细列出了从摩根士丹利和其他金融机构获得的255亿美元债务融资，包括用他在特斯拉的股权支持的保证金贷款。此外，马斯克本人还将提供210亿美元的股权融资。也就是说，马斯克已经获得465亿美元的资金来收购推特公司，但其中超过三分之二的资金或是由他自掏腰包，或是拿他的特斯拉股票作抵押。投资者担心，如果马斯克因为收购Twitter而分心，甚至可能通过出售特斯拉股票来资助这笔交易，将会影响到特斯拉的正常运营。甚至有网友在Twitter上戏称如今的特斯拉仿佛已经被马斯克抛弃。华尔街知名投行分析师Daniel Ives表示，这些担忧“在名义上引发了一场熊节”。此外，随着通胀高烧不退，美联储准备启动一系列大幅加息，全球股市普遍下挫，投资者纷纷逃离高增长企业。“特斯拉今天将面临三个打击，”美国国家证券公司(National Securities Corp.)首席市场策略师Arthur Hogan说，”除了担心出售（特斯拉股票）和成长性股票抛售加剧，特斯拉股票也反映出一些（投资者）担心马斯克分心过度而面临新的挑战。”周二这样的日子 马斯克再也承受不起对马斯克而言，这种波动并不新鲜。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。据彭博社，为了达成这笔交易，马斯克同意向银行融资130亿美元，利用个人所持特斯拉的部分股份获得125亿美元的融资承诺，另外210亿美元通过抵押股权获得。如果根据特斯拉周一的收盘价，足以保证马斯克支付保证金贷款，而且他仍然拥有价值约216亿美元的未抵押股票，税后几乎足够为交易的现金部分提供资金。但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。虽然马斯克仍然有足够的资金获得保证金贷款，但以目前的价格，他将只剩下114亿美元的未质押股票。据华尔街见闻此前文章，假如特斯拉股价跌至740美元下方，较周二收盘再跌去16%，马斯克就不够满足125亿美元融资的要求了。英国投资平台AJ Bell的投资总监Russ Mould说：“马斯克用特斯拉的股票作抵押是在冒很大的风险。”“如果这家电动汽车制造商的股价意外暴跌，可能会造成很多不安。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}