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Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply

2022-07-13

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2022-07-12

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2022-04-22

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23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183317786","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple seems sensitive to money supply changes.</li><li>The money supply has moved lower recently.</li><li>Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.</li><li>Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.</li></ul><p><b>An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock Changes</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple&#39;s business is close to a decline as well. It&#39;s hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but <i>investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares</i>.</p><p><b>Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money Supply</b></p><p>Below, in orange, is a line that charts Apple&#39;s net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528936fdee032a8df5df1f1d9346f525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Comparing Apple&#39;s total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn&#39;t a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2601df6c94bcf33cf9d8cb513831f02b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Below is a chart of Apple&#39;s revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85bcf86056d9f31c4696dcff5cb61ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f11921668cd853bfe3dc9a034bd4f0a1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.</p><p>Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple&#39;s gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3e8ea9499f7bf942e815b8629bc4b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9de35bc7a244e8f28e9c7246ee334e17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a0dcb7a36a761a9ae06fd52c7f67f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.</p><p>The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple&#39;s net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.</p><p><b>Apple&#39;s Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High Watermark</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bedb4549bcfeabac38c78e2582fbe3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Discussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.</p><p>Apple&#39;s total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b79a57b9e23952ddfd1caa062c3d8fe\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>According tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.</p><p>Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It&#39;s intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple&#39;s business. It doesn&#39;t cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.</p><p>My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple&#39;s gross profit margins are likely to move lower.</p><p><b>Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started Dropping</b></p><p>An article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,<i>“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”</i>From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&amp;P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8bb00b5e7614aa6767abf974c06357\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>The Money Supply Is Contracting</b></p><p>Since January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple&#39;s ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple&#39;s books sometime soon.</p><p><b>Peer Stocks Aren&#39;t Waiting For Apple</b></p><p>Comparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/086832380f269b21a2fd83d8cc9d4139\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Charted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94585746919c5467bda08f0283ff58c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Macro Considerations</b></p><p>Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple&#39;s profitability.</p><p><b>Modeling Growth</b></p><p>Consider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually <i>contracted</i> 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple&#39;s revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c5fd4e8e04894d00c02d07c82a81d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>And if you look further back, at the <i>five</i> years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we&#39;re talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b118c3060735a60824a74f03f86a2568\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed&#39;s stated resolve to fight it, I just don&#39;t think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple&#39;s large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>If services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple&#39;s profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn&#39;t tax-advantaged, it&#39;s possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won&#39;t make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.</p><p>It&#39;s also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Companies can&#39;t grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183317786","content_text":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock ChangesApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares.Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money SupplyBelow, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.Seeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High WatermarkSeeking AlphaDiscussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.Seeking AlphaAccording tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started DroppingAn article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.Seeking AlphaThe Money Supply Is ContractingSince January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For AppleComparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.Seeking AlphaCharted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?Seeking AlphaMacro ConsiderationsChairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.Modeling GrowthConsider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually contracted 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.Seeking AlphaAnd if you look further back, at the five years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?Seeking AlphaI think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.RisksIf services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.ConclusionCompanies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down 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Eggs for Extra Saving!","htmlText":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please&nbsp;<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/easter/\" target=\"_blank\">click&nbsp;here</a>&nbsp;to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","listText":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please&nbsp;<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/easter/\" target=\"_blank\">click&nbsp;here</a>&nbsp;to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","text":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please click here to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15b435c0d10e0e89ad3e06b7bbd04830","width":"2251","height":"1334"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9640a9df2f24446e07b7a9b658cb4b","width":"1200","height":"630"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/795038848b7c7b1d7dda27d92b580946","width":"1656","height":"948"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016476123","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9078271137,"gmtCreate":1657704048630,"gmtModify":1676536048766,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078271137","repostId":"1183317786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183317786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657725663,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183317786?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183317786","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple seems sensitive to money supply changes.</li><li>The money supply has moved lower recently.</li><li>Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.</li><li>Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.</li></ul><p><b>An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock Changes</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple&#39;s business is close to a decline as well. It&#39;s hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but <i>investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares</i>.</p><p><b>Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money Supply</b></p><p>Below, in orange, is a line that charts Apple&#39;s net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528936fdee032a8df5df1f1d9346f525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Comparing Apple&#39;s total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn&#39;t a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2601df6c94bcf33cf9d8cb513831f02b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Below is a chart of Apple&#39;s revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85bcf86056d9f31c4696dcff5cb61ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f11921668cd853bfe3dc9a034bd4f0a1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.</p><p>Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple&#39;s gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3e8ea9499f7bf942e815b8629bc4b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9de35bc7a244e8f28e9c7246ee334e17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a0dcb7a36a761a9ae06fd52c7f67f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.</p><p>The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple&#39;s net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.</p><p><b>Apple&#39;s Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High Watermark</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bedb4549bcfeabac38c78e2582fbe3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Discussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.</p><p>Apple&#39;s total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b79a57b9e23952ddfd1caa062c3d8fe\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>According tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.</p><p>Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It&#39;s intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple&#39;s business. It doesn&#39;t cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.</p><p>My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple&#39;s gross profit margins are likely to move lower.</p><p><b>Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started Dropping</b></p><p>An article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,<i>“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”</i>From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&amp;P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8bb00b5e7614aa6767abf974c06357\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>The Money Supply Is Contracting</b></p><p>Since January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple&#39;s ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple&#39;s books sometime soon.</p><p><b>Peer Stocks Aren&#39;t Waiting For Apple</b></p><p>Comparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/086832380f269b21a2fd83d8cc9d4139\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Charted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94585746919c5467bda08f0283ff58c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Macro Considerations</b></p><p>Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple&#39;s profitability.</p><p><b>Modeling Growth</b></p><p>Consider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually <i>contracted</i> 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple&#39;s revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c5fd4e8e04894d00c02d07c82a81d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>And if you look further back, at the <i>five</i> years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we&#39;re talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b118c3060735a60824a74f03f86a2568\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed&#39;s stated resolve to fight it, I just don&#39;t think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple&#39;s large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>If services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple&#39;s profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn&#39;t tax-advantaged, it&#39;s possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won&#39;t make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.</p><p>It&#39;s also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Companies can&#39;t grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183317786","content_text":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock ChangesApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares.Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money SupplyBelow, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.Seeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High WatermarkSeeking AlphaDiscussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.Seeking AlphaAccording tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started DroppingAn article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.Seeking AlphaThe Money Supply Is ContractingSince January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For AppleComparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.Seeking AlphaCharted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?Seeking AlphaMacro ConsiderationsChairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.Modeling GrowthConsider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually contracted 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.Seeking AlphaAnd if you look further back, at the five years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?Seeking AlphaI think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.RisksIf services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.ConclusionCompanies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078989261,"gmtCreate":1657616362354,"gmtModify":1676536034720,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078989261","repostId":"1193691775","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075561648,"gmtCreate":1658226914684,"gmtModify":1676536124858,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075561648","repostId":"2252261103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078271093,"gmtCreate":1657704009112,"gmtModify":1676536048759,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078271093","repostId":"2251812481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2251812481","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1657702184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2251812481?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 16:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Delta Air Lines, Canoo, Stitch Fix, Fastenal And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2251812481","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With the US stock futures trading slightly higher this morning on Wednesday after recording losses in the previous session, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With the US stock futures trading slightly higher this morning on Wednesday after recording losses in the previous session, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>Delta Air Lines, Inc.</b> (NYSE:DAL) to report quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share on revenue of $13.40 billion before the opening bell. Delta Air shares rose 1.3% to $31.48 in premarket trading Wednesday.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Canoo</b> (NASDAQ:GOEV) continued to soar 9% in premarket trading Wednesday after soaring 53.16% yesterday. Wal-Mart has agreed to buy its upcoming electric delivery truck, with a purchase volume of at least 4,500 vehicles.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Stitch Fix Inc</b> (NASDAQ:SFIX) shares jumped after an SEC filing showed that Benchmark&#39;s Bill Gurley bought 1 million shares of the personal style service company. Stitch Fix shares climbed 10.9% to $5.70 in premarket trading Wednesday.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>Fastenal Company</b> (NASDAQ:FAST) to have earned $0.50 per share on revenue of $1.79 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AngioDynamics shares fell 0.1% to $49.97 in after-hours trading Tuesday.<i>  </i></li></ul><ul><li><b>Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation</b> (NASDAQ:AGTC) reported pricing of $10 million underwritten public offering. AGTC shares dipped 46.9% to $0.45 in premarket trading Wednesday.</li><li><b>Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</b> (NASDAQ:AGIO) appointed Brian Goff as Chief Executive Officer. Agios Pharmaceuticals shares gained 2.4% to close at $24.06 on Tuesday.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Delta Air Lines, Canoo, Stitch Fix, Fastenal And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDelta Air Lines, Canoo, Stitch Fix, Fastenal And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-13 16:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>With the US stock futures trading slightly higher this morning on Wednesday after recording losses in the previous session, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>Delta Air Lines, Inc.</b> (NYSE:DAL) to report quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share on revenue of $13.40 billion before the opening bell. Delta Air shares rose 1.3% to $31.48 in premarket trading Wednesday.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Canoo</b> (NASDAQ:GOEV) continued to soar 9% in premarket trading Wednesday after soaring 53.16% yesterday. Wal-Mart has agreed to buy its upcoming electric delivery truck, with a purchase volume of at least 4,500 vehicles.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Stitch Fix Inc</b> (NASDAQ:SFIX) shares jumped after an SEC filing showed that Benchmark&#39;s Bill Gurley bought 1 million shares of the personal style service company. Stitch Fix shares climbed 10.9% to $5.70 in premarket trading Wednesday.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>Fastenal Company</b> (NASDAQ:FAST) to have earned $0.50 per share on revenue of $1.79 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AngioDynamics shares fell 0.1% to $49.97 in after-hours trading Tuesday.<i>  </i></li></ul><ul><li><b>Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation</b> (NASDAQ:AGTC) reported pricing of $10 million underwritten public offering. AGTC shares dipped 46.9% to $0.45 in premarket trading Wednesday.</li><li><b>Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</b> (NASDAQ:AGIO) appointed Brian Goff as Chief Executive Officer. Agios Pharmaceuticals shares gained 2.4% to close at $24.06 on Tuesday.</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2251812481","content_text":"With the US stock futures trading slightly higher this morning on Wednesday after recording losses in the previous session, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Wall Street expects Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:DAL) to report quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share on revenue of $13.40 billion before the opening bell. Delta Air shares rose 1.3% to $31.48 in premarket trading Wednesday.Canoo (NASDAQ:GOEV) continued to soar 9% in premarket trading Wednesday after soaring 53.16% yesterday. Wal-Mart has agreed to buy its upcoming electric delivery truck, with a purchase volume of at least 4,500 vehicles.Stitch Fix Inc (NASDAQ:SFIX) shares jumped after an SEC filing showed that Benchmark's Bill Gurley bought 1 million shares of the personal style service company. Stitch Fix shares climbed 10.9% to $5.70 in premarket trading Wednesday.Analysts are expecting Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) to have earned $0.50 per share on revenue of $1.79 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AngioDynamics shares fell 0.1% to $49.97 in after-hours trading Tuesday. Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:AGTC) reported pricing of $10 million underwritten public offering. AGTC shares dipped 46.9% to $0.45 in premarket trading Wednesday.Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:AGIO) appointed Brian Goff as Chief Executive Officer. Agios Pharmaceuticals shares gained 2.4% to close at $24.06 on Tuesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078983602,"gmtCreate":1657616431506,"gmtModify":1676536034742,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gd","listText":"Gd","text":"Gd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078983602","repostId":"2250915746","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250915746","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657612499,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250915746?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-12 15:54","language":"en","title":"ASX Share Investors Confident despite Market Turmoil: Survey","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250915746","media":"MotleyFool","summary":"It hasn’t been the easiest of years for ASX share investors so far.With the majority of ASX shares s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It hasn’t been the easiest of years for ASX share investors so far.</p><p>With the majority of ASX shares struggling as they’re faced with rising inflation and higher interest rates for the first time in a decade, the <b>All Ordinaries Index</b> (ASX: XAO) has fallen 14% in 2022.</p><p>Despite the market turmoil, Aussie retail investors remain upbeat, with many looking to buy the dips.</p><p>That’s according to social investment network eToro’s latest Retail Investor Beat. The quarterly report surveys 10,000 retail investors across 14 countries, including 1,000 in Australia.</p><p>Here’s how the Aussie investors responded.</p><h2><b>75% of ASX share investors confident with their investments</b></h2><p>Despite the majority of ASX shares sliding over the past quarter, 58% of Australian retail investors said they’re ‘quite confident’ with their investments with another 17% saying they’re ‘very confident’.</p><p>Which is not to say they don’t have concerns.</p><p>The top concern among Aussie respondents is rising inflation, with 52% citing that as a chief worry. Also high on the list is the state of the global economy, named by 43% of retail investors. Atop those, 42% were concerned about international conflict, while rising interest rates were alarming to 38% of respondents.</p><p>Yet few ASX share investors opted to sell during the past quarter’s selloffs.</p><p>Of those surveyed, only 7% of retail investors chose to sell, while 68% held onto their investments, and 25% went bargain hunting, buying the dips when prices retraced.</p><p>In terms of how Australian retail investors repositioned their portfolios, 20% favoured cash, 17% named domestic equities, 16% said commodities, and 14% went for crypto.</p><p>Breaking that into sectors, the survey revealed that ASX share investors increased their allocations to energy by 17%, technology by 17%, utilities by 15%, healthcare by 15%, and financial services by 14%.</p><h2><b>Eyeing the next bull market</b></h2><p>Commenting on the survey results, eToro’s global market strategist Ben Laidler said:</p><blockquote>Despite a barrage of setbacks across global financial markets, retail investors in Australia and around the globe have found the strength to look past the short-term volatility and use these drops in prices to bolster their portfolios for the long-term.</blockquote><blockquote>With bull markets ultimately built on the shoulders of bear markets and near four times the length and magnitude, staying the course and repositioning their portfolios should serve these investors well.</blockquote><p>eToro’s Australian market analyst Josh Gilbert pointed out the importance of time in the markets for ASX share investor strategies.</p><p>According to Gilbert:</p><blockquote>The reality is that investment strategies depend on an investor’s risk profile and timeline. Most retail investors are Millennials and Gen Z that have a much longer time horizon. Therefore, they are generally happier to buy these assets at the current discounts with the view of holding for many years until markets eventually recover.</blockquote></body></html>","source":"motleyfoolau_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASX Share Investors Confident despite Market Turmoil: Survey</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASX Share Investors Confident despite Market Turmoil: Survey\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-12 15:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com.au/2022/07/12/asx-share-investors-confident-despite-market-turmoil-survey/><strong>MotleyFool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It hasn’t been the easiest of years for ASX share investors so far.With the majority of ASX shares struggling as they’re faced with rising inflation and higher interest rates for the first time in a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/07/12/asx-share-investors-confident-despite-market-turmoil-survey/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK7039":"金融交易所和数据","XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数","ASX.AU":"ASX LTD","BK4141":"半导体产品","XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数","BK4526":"热门中概股","XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数","ASX":"日月光半导体"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/07/12/asx-share-investors-confident-despite-market-turmoil-survey/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250915746","content_text":"It hasn’t been the easiest of years for ASX share investors so far.With the majority of ASX shares struggling as they’re faced with rising inflation and higher interest rates for the first time in a decade, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) has fallen 14% in 2022.Despite the market turmoil, Aussie retail investors remain upbeat, with many looking to buy the dips.That’s according to social investment network eToro’s latest Retail Investor Beat. The quarterly report surveys 10,000 retail investors across 14 countries, including 1,000 in Australia.Here’s how the Aussie investors responded.75% of ASX share investors confident with their investmentsDespite the majority of ASX shares sliding over the past quarter, 58% of Australian retail investors said they’re ‘quite confident’ with their investments with another 17% saying they’re ‘very confident’.Which is not to say they don’t have concerns.The top concern among Aussie respondents is rising inflation, with 52% citing that as a chief worry. Also high on the list is the state of the global economy, named by 43% of retail investors. Atop those, 42% were concerned about international conflict, while rising interest rates were alarming to 38% of respondents.Yet few ASX share investors opted to sell during the past quarter’s selloffs.Of those surveyed, only 7% of retail investors chose to sell, while 68% held onto their investments, and 25% went bargain hunting, buying the dips when prices retraced.In terms of how Australian retail investors repositioned their portfolios, 20% favoured cash, 17% named domestic equities, 16% said commodities, and 14% went for crypto.Breaking that into sectors, the survey revealed that ASX share investors increased their allocations to energy by 17%, technology by 17%, utilities by 15%, healthcare by 15%, and financial services by 14%.Eyeing the next bull marketCommenting on the survey results, eToro’s global market strategist Ben Laidler said:Despite a barrage of setbacks across global financial markets, retail investors in Australia and around the globe have found the strength to look past the short-term volatility and use these drops in prices to bolster their portfolios for the long-term.With bull markets ultimately built on the shoulders of bear markets and near four times the length and magnitude, staying the course and repositioning their portfolios should serve these investors well.eToro’s Australian market analyst Josh Gilbert pointed out the importance of time in the markets for ASX share investor strategies.According to Gilbert:The reality is that investment strategies depend on an investor’s risk profile and timeline. Most retail investors are Millennials and Gen Z that have a much longer time horizon. Therefore, they are generally happier to buy these assets at the current discounts with the view of holding for many years until markets eventually recover.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078983991,"gmtCreate":1657616418413,"gmtModify":1676536034750,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gd","listText":"Gd","text":"Gd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078983991","repostId":"1179156413","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078983086,"gmtCreate":1657616407645,"gmtModify":1676536034727,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078983086","repostId":"1166964991","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166964991","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657613685,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166964991?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-12 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto Stocks Continued to Fall in Premarket Trading, With Marathon Sliding Over 5% and Riot Blockchain Sliding Over 3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166964991","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks continued to fall in premarket trading, with Marathon sliding over 5% and Riot Blockch","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto stocks continued to fall in premarket trading, with Marathon sliding over 5% and Riot Blockchain sliding over 3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9959cfaf773f6ed1fb69daf2ada320c6\" tg-width=\"266\" tg-height=\"276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Stocks Continued to Fall in Premarket Trading, With Marathon Sliding Over 5% and Riot Blockchain Sliding Over 3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Stocks Continued to Fall in Premarket Trading, With Marathon Sliding Over 5% and Riot Blockchain Sliding Over 3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-12 16:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto stocks continued to fall in premarket trading, with Marathon sliding over 5% and Riot Blockchain sliding over 3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9959cfaf773f6ed1fb69daf2ada320c6\" tg-width=\"266\" tg-height=\"276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIOT":"Riot Platforms","MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166964991","content_text":"Crypto stocks continued to fall in premarket trading, with Marathon sliding over 5% and Riot Blockchain sliding over 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078989403,"gmtCreate":1657616396202,"gmtModify":1676536034727,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gd","listText":"Gd","text":"Gd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078989403","repostId":"1133934327","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133934327","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657613883,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133934327?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-12 16:18","market":"other","language":"en","title":"It’s Going to Be a Big Week for Financial Sector ETFs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133934327","media":"ETF Trends","summary":"Financial sector-related exchange traded funds will be in the limelight this week as Wall Street ban","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Financial sector-related exchange traded funds will be in the limelight this week as Wall Street banks kick off the earnings season.</p><p>Major financial firms such as JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) are scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, followed by Citigroup (NYSE: C) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) on Friday.</p><p>The <b>Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF)</b>top holdings include JPM 9.5%, WFC 4.3%, MS 3.0%, and C 2.6%.</p><p>Investors who are worried about recession risks will be monitoring the results for any guidance among Wall Street’s most powerful executives on the state of the economy and where we are heading, CNN reported.</p><p>Last month, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon previously stated that the company is already prepping for a “non-benign environment” and “bad outcomes” and warned investors to brace for a potential economic “hurricane.”</p><p>While the U.S. markets have plunged this year, forward guidance remains largely unchanged. Consequently, market analysts are worried about whether or not current projections could hold through this upcoming earnings season.</p><p>“The key thing to look for is the reserves,” Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls &amp; Snyder, told CNN, referring to the cash holdings that financial institutions have held on to meet central bank requirements. “How much they’re reserving will show how concerned they are about a recession. That will be data that will be closely watched by analysts and investors alike, that’s very key.”</p><p>Looking ahead, analysts anticipate overall S&amp;P 500 earnings to expand by 5.6% in the second quarter, or downwardly revised from an expected 6.8% at the start of April, according to Refintiv data. This would mark the slowest quarter of growth since the Q4 of 2020.</p><p>Meanwhile, the financials sector, which includes the big banks, could be in for a rough earnings season based on tough comparisons to last year, including the release of loan loss reserves, according to Chris Haverland, a strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Haverland estimated that the sector’s second-quarter earnings per share growth could contract by -22%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1640144260762","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Going to Be a Big Week for Financial Sector ETFs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Going to Be a Big Week for Financial Sector ETFs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-12 16:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.etftrends.com/its-going-to-be-a-big-week-for-financial-sector-etfs/><strong>ETF Trends</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial sector-related exchange traded funds will be in the limelight this week as Wall Street banks kick off the earnings season.Major financial firms such as JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Morgan ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.etftrends.com/its-going-to-be-a-big-week-for-financial-sector-etfs/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XLF":"金融ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.etftrends.com/its-going-to-be-a-big-week-for-financial-sector-etfs/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133934327","content_text":"Financial sector-related exchange traded funds will be in the limelight this week as Wall Street banks kick off the earnings season.Major financial firms such as JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) are scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, followed by Citigroup (NYSE: C) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) on Friday.The Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF)top holdings include JPM 9.5%, WFC 4.3%, MS 3.0%, and C 2.6%.Investors who are worried about recession risks will be monitoring the results for any guidance among Wall Street’s most powerful executives on the state of the economy and where we are heading, CNN reported.Last month, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon previously stated that the company is already prepping for a “non-benign environment” and “bad outcomes” and warned investors to brace for a potential economic “hurricane.”While the U.S. markets have plunged this year, forward guidance remains largely unchanged. Consequently, market analysts are worried about whether or not current projections could hold through this upcoming earnings season.“The key thing to look for is the reserves,” Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder, told CNN, referring to the cash holdings that financial institutions have held on to meet central bank requirements. “How much they’re reserving will show how concerned they are about a recession. That will be data that will be closely watched by analysts and investors alike, that’s very key.”Looking ahead, analysts anticipate overall S&P 500 earnings to expand by 5.6% in the second quarter, or downwardly revised from an expected 6.8% at the start of April, according to Refintiv data. This would mark the slowest quarter of growth since the Q4 of 2020.Meanwhile, the financials sector, which includes the big banks, could be in for a rough earnings season based on tough comparisons to last year, including the release of loan loss reserves, according to Chris Haverland, a strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Haverland estimated that the sector’s second-quarter earnings per share growth could contract by -22%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045716291,"gmtCreate":1656654178613,"gmtModify":1676535872229,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045716291","repostId":"2248830938","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248830938","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656645654,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248830938?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 11:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix's Ad Rollout Signals \"Paradox of Choice\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248830938","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Netflix (NFLX) confirmed that an ad-supported tier will indeed be hitting the streaming service.\"We ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix (NFLX) confirmed that an ad-supported tier will indeed be hitting the streaming service.</p><p>&#34;We [are] adding an ad tier; we’re not adding ads to Netflix as you know it today. We’re adding an ad tier for folks who say, ‘Hey, I want a lower price and I’ll watch ads,&#39;&#34; Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos said at last week&#39;s Cannes Lions advertising festival.</p><p>Advertisers have praised the upcoming rollout with David Cohen, CEO of the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), telling Yahoo Finance that &#34;this is a net benefit to the market as this will mean significantly more supply that the market can purchase.&#34;</p><p>He added that consumers have flocked to streaming services amid the pandemic, creating even more opportunities for engagement amid the &#34;erosion&#34; of linear TV.</p><p>&#34;There are nearly unlimited options for both consumers and marketers to connect with audiences,&#34; Cohen said, although he did caution &#34;that&#39;s a blessing and a curse.&#34;</p><p>&#34;There is a paradox of choice, and it&#39;s a complicated market with lots of players so it&#39;s more challenging to aggregate reach and aggregate scale,&#34; he explained.</p><blockquote>Advertising isn&#39;t a cure-all and it isn&#39;t free money...Bank of America</blockquote><p>New reports have shown the kinks when it comes to streamers and OTT platforms embracing advertising.</p><p>According to The Wall Street Journal, which cited a study by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WPP\">WPP PLC</a>’s ad-buying giant GroupM and ad-measurement firm iSpot.tv Inc., many commercials continue to play on ad-supported streaming services even after viewers turn off their televisions — contributing to an estimated waste of more than $1 billion per year for brands.</p><p>But experts in the space have shrugged off any concerns, comparing it to the &#34;natural growing pains&#34; seen throughout media&#39;s history.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s expected,&#34; stated Laura Grover, head of client solutions at advertising measurement platform EDO, underscoring that &#34;there&#39;s this period for all media — as it evolves — where the industry is figuring out measurement.&#34;</p><h2><b>Netflix&#39;s &#39;cautious&#39; foray into advertising </b></h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5fdbbf7bf2ac89ca7dd14ac79c64797\" tg-width=\"3450\" tg-height=\"2300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ted Sarandos, Chief Content Officer and co-CEO at Netflix, gestures as he speaks during a conference at the Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity in Cannes, France, June 23, 2022. REUTERS/Eric GaillardEric Gaillard / reuters</span></p><p>Netflix is reportedly in talks with both NBCUniversal (CMCSA) and Google (GOOGL) for exclusive partnership deals to help the company create its ad tier; however, a Netflix spokesperson told Yahoo Finance that the company is &#34;still in the early days of deciding how to launch a lower priced, ad supported option and no decisions have been made.&#34;</p><p>Experts say that the streamer will need to find an ad partner that &#34;is not only innovative in how they sell and serve ads but also understands the importance of next-gen measurement,&#34; EDO&#39;s Grover said.</p><p>&#34;The right ad sales partner should understand the importance of real-time, outcome-based measurement that enables marketers and networks to see what triggers the conversion from awareness to intent,&#34; she continued.</p><h2>&#39;Advertising isn&#39;t a cure-all&#39;</h2><p>Wall Street, meanwhile, still needs convincing that an ad-supported tier is the answer to Netflix&#39;s problems.</p><p>According to recent data, cited in a new note by Bank of America, customers across all income levels would switch to a discounted ad-based alternative — however, &#34;ad-tiering could serve as a way for consumers across all income brackets to extend their streaming budget by trading down to subscribe to an additional service, benefiting Netflix&#39;s competitors much more than Netflix itself.&#34;</p><p>The analysts warned that Netflix should enter the ad space cautiously, describing it as a costly endeavor that needs to be crafted with the consumer experience in mind.</p><p>&#34;Advertising isn&#39;t a cure-all and it isn&#39;t free money,&#34; the note emphasized.</p><p>IAB&#39;s Cohen agreed, noting: &#34;The challenge that we have as an industry is to not go down the path that we did in the past, historically, by trying to cram too many ads and clutter the consumer experience.&#34;</p><p>Overall, though, the executive surmised that &#34;the consumer experience is going to be very, very good relative to ad supported streaming in the future&#34; — citing the flexibility and fluidity of streaming relative to the rigidness of traditional TV.</p><p>Netflix stock, currently trading at around $180 a share, has plummeted 70% year-to-date amid a broader market sell-off that&#39;s slammed growth stocks and fueled talk of a potential recession.</p><p>The ad-supported tier, coupled with a crackdown on password sharing, should help boost revenues as the platform grapples with a post-COVID slump in subscribers.</p><p>Netflix announced an unexpected first-quarter subscriber loss of 200,000 users in April. It expects to lose another 2 million subs in the current quarter.</p><p>To offset some of that churn, the company issued another round of job cuts last week, eliminating 300 positions.</p><p>The job cuts follow Netflix&#39;s last round of layoffs in May when the streamer laid off 150 members of its workforce. In recent weeks, a number of technology companies and venture capital–backed firms have announced plans to either freeze hiring, rescind accepted offers, or lay off employees entirely.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix's Ad Rollout Signals \"Paradox of Choice\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix's Ad Rollout Signals \"Paradox of Choice\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 11:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflixs-ad-rollout-signals-paradox-of-choice-for-both-brands-consumers-expert-174002238.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) confirmed that an ad-supported tier will indeed be hitting the streaming service.\"We [are] adding an ad tier; we’re not adding ads to Netflix as you know it today. We’re adding an ad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflixs-ad-rollout-signals-paradox-of-choice-for-both-brands-consumers-expert-174002238.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflixs-ad-rollout-signals-paradox-of-choice-for-both-brands-consumers-expert-174002238.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248830938","content_text":"Netflix (NFLX) confirmed that an ad-supported tier will indeed be hitting the streaming service.\"We [are] adding an ad tier; we’re not adding ads to Netflix as you know it today. We’re adding an ad tier for folks who say, ‘Hey, I want a lower price and I’ll watch ads,'\" Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos said at last week's Cannes Lions advertising festival.Advertisers have praised the upcoming rollout with David Cohen, CEO of the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), telling Yahoo Finance that \"this is a net benefit to the market as this will mean significantly more supply that the market can purchase.\"He added that consumers have flocked to streaming services amid the pandemic, creating even more opportunities for engagement amid the \"erosion\" of linear TV.\"There are nearly unlimited options for both consumers and marketers to connect with audiences,\" Cohen said, although he did caution \"that's a blessing and a curse.\"\"There is a paradox of choice, and it's a complicated market with lots of players so it's more challenging to aggregate reach and aggregate scale,\" he explained.Advertising isn't a cure-all and it isn't free money...Bank of AmericaNew reports have shown the kinks when it comes to streamers and OTT platforms embracing advertising.According to The Wall Street Journal, which cited a study by WPP PLC’s ad-buying giant GroupM and ad-measurement firm iSpot.tv Inc., many commercials continue to play on ad-supported streaming services even after viewers turn off their televisions — contributing to an estimated waste of more than $1 billion per year for brands.But experts in the space have shrugged off any concerns, comparing it to the \"natural growing pains\" seen throughout media's history.\"It's expected,\" stated Laura Grover, head of client solutions at advertising measurement platform EDO, underscoring that \"there's this period for all media — as it evolves — where the industry is figuring out measurement.\"Netflix's 'cautious' foray into advertising Ted Sarandos, Chief Content Officer and co-CEO at Netflix, gestures as he speaks during a conference at the Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity in Cannes, France, June 23, 2022. REUTERS/Eric GaillardEric Gaillard / reutersNetflix is reportedly in talks with both NBCUniversal (CMCSA) and Google (GOOGL) for exclusive partnership deals to help the company create its ad tier; however, a Netflix spokesperson told Yahoo Finance that the company is \"still in the early days of deciding how to launch a lower priced, ad supported option and no decisions have been made.\"Experts say that the streamer will need to find an ad partner that \"is not only innovative in how they sell and serve ads but also understands the importance of next-gen measurement,\" EDO's Grover said.\"The right ad sales partner should understand the importance of real-time, outcome-based measurement that enables marketers and networks to see what triggers the conversion from awareness to intent,\" she continued.'Advertising isn't a cure-all'Wall Street, meanwhile, still needs convincing that an ad-supported tier is the answer to Netflix's problems.According to recent data, cited in a new note by Bank of America, customers across all income levels would switch to a discounted ad-based alternative — however, \"ad-tiering could serve as a way for consumers across all income brackets to extend their streaming budget by trading down to subscribe to an additional service, benefiting Netflix's competitors much more than Netflix itself.\"The analysts warned that Netflix should enter the ad space cautiously, describing it as a costly endeavor that needs to be crafted with the consumer experience in mind.\"Advertising isn't a cure-all and it isn't free money,\" the note emphasized.IAB's Cohen agreed, noting: \"The challenge that we have as an industry is to not go down the path that we did in the past, historically, by trying to cram too many ads and clutter the consumer experience.\"Overall, though, the executive surmised that \"the consumer experience is going to be very, very good relative to ad supported streaming in the future\" — citing the flexibility and fluidity of streaming relative to the rigidness of traditional TV.Netflix stock, currently trading at around $180 a share, has plummeted 70% year-to-date amid a broader market sell-off that's slammed growth stocks and fueled talk of a potential recession.The ad-supported tier, coupled with a crackdown on password sharing, should help boost revenues as the platform grapples with a post-COVID slump in subscribers.Netflix announced an unexpected first-quarter subscriber loss of 200,000 users in April. It expects to lose another 2 million subs in the current quarter.To offset some of that churn, the company issued another round of job cuts last week, eliminating 300 positions.The job cuts follow Netflix's last round of layoffs in May when the streamer laid off 150 members of its workforce. In recent weeks, a number of technology companies and venture capital–backed firms have announced plans to either freeze hiring, rescind accepted offers, or lay off employees entirely.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045716887,"gmtCreate":1656654150849,"gmtModify":1676535872229,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gd","listText":"Gd","text":"Gd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045716887","repostId":"1171737708","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171737708","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656645994,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171737708?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is It Better to Buy CrowdStrike Now or Wait for a Better Price?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171737708","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"CrowdStrike has posted tremendous results, but this market may not be done offering discounts on growth stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We are living through a fascinating market in 2022. Yes, it&#39;s frustrating sometimes, and there is fear to spare, but there are also enticing opportunities for long-term investors. The key is to know where to look and when to pounce. It&#39;s impossible to catch the exact market bottom consistently, but setting a limit price and having patience can maximize future gains.</p><p>Cybersecurity company <b>CrowdStrike</b> pulled back more than 50% from its 52-week high but has since risen more than 30% off its 52-week low. It can be tempting to rush back in, but this momentary calm in the growth market may not last. Inflation is still at a 40-year high, and many believe a recession is coming. Because of this, growth stocks will likely experience another significant pullback.</p><p><b>Explosive expansion</b></p><p>CrowdStrike provides AI-powered cyber protection with its cloud-based Falcon platform. The platform offers multiple modules of protection that customers can tailor to their needs. These include endpoint protection, threat intelligence, log management, and several others.</p><p>CrowdStrike stock will likely experience another pullback due to the macroeconomic picture, and long-term investors should consider opening or adding to their position when it does. CrowdStrike has some incredible metrics.</p><p>First, the cybersecurity market is in focus. A recent survey by PwC found that cyberattacks were the #1 concern among CEOs -- ahead of macroeconomic issues like inflation and recession. Because of this, spending on cybersecurity ought to be robust even if the economy slows. CrowdStrike has a rapidly expanding total addressable market that it believes will be well over $100 billion by 2025.</p><p>For growing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies, two metrics will tell us a tremendous amount about management&#39;s execution and the company&#39;s future. These are:</p><ul><li>Customer expansion</li><li>Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth</li></ul><p>CrowdStrike has grown its customer base at an incredible rate. At the end of the prior fiscal year, it reported 16,325 customers, an increase of 6,429, or 65%, for the year. The company&#39;s customer acquisitions over the past several years are graphed below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d8e3e2a5692d77cf9898f85e137ab11d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>DATA SOURCE: CROWDSTRIKE. CHART BY AUTHOR.</span></p><p>As expected, subscription ARR growth is exceptional. ARR refers to subscription revenue on an annualized basis. As of Q1 FY 2023, the company reported an ARR of $1.9 billion on 61% year-over-year (YoY) growth.</p><p><b>SaaS metrics off the chart</b></p><p>SaaS companies also have other standards that are used to measure performance.</p><p>Some of these include:</p><ul><li>Dollar-based net retention rates (DBNR)</li><li>Gross customer retention</li><li>Gross margins</li></ul><p>The DBNR measures the change in the average customer spending with the company over time. This way, we can judge how effectively management grows sales among existing clients. Any value over 100% indicates success, and CrowdStrike reports a number consistently above 120%.</p><p>It is also essential that CrowdStrike keep its current customers. The company&#39;s gross retention rate is above 98%, which is tough to beat.</p><p>Gross margin is a key profitability measure as many fast-growing SaaS companies are not yetGAAP(generally accepted accounting principles) profitable. A high gross margin indicates an ability to scale effectively. CrowdStrike&#39;s overall gross margin of 77% compares well with competitors like <b>Zscaler</b>, which comes in a touch higher at 78%, and <b>SentinelOne</b> at 63%.</p><p>Each of these metrics indicated a bright future for CrowdStrike.</p><p><b>Getting in at the right price</b></p><p>The beauty of growth stocks is that investors can afford to be patient. There are no rising dividends to miss out on, and they tend to be more volatile than other stocks. Investors should consider where they feel shares will offer good value and be ready to pounce when they drop. We generally aren&#39;t going to catch the absolute bottom, so a few tiered limit orders may be the way to go.</p><p>CrowdStrike is currently trading for a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 24. Given the rising rates and recession fears, this could be too high for the current market. Growth-stock competitor Zscaler is trading a bit lower, while other more established cybersecurity companies are trading much lower, as shown below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/72c9e706e01dc6c5772a551470977385\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>CRWD PS RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p>CrowdStrike does deserve a slight premium due to its tremendous growth rate; however, a P/S ratio between 15 and 20 would offer investors better value. Given the persistent downward pressure in the chart above, investors may have the chance to capitalize soon.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Better to Buy CrowdStrike Now or Wait for a Better Price?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Better to Buy CrowdStrike Now or Wait for a Better Price?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/30/is-it-better-to-buy-crowdstrike-now-or-wait-for-a/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We are living through a fascinating market in 2022. Yes, it's frustrating sometimes, and there is fear to spare, but there are also enticing opportunities for long-term investors. The key is to know ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/30/is-it-better-to-buy-crowdstrike-now-or-wait-for-a/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/30/is-it-better-to-buy-crowdstrike-now-or-wait-for-a/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171737708","content_text":"We are living through a fascinating market in 2022. Yes, it's frustrating sometimes, and there is fear to spare, but there are also enticing opportunities for long-term investors. The key is to know where to look and when to pounce. It's impossible to catch the exact market bottom consistently, but setting a limit price and having patience can maximize future gains.Cybersecurity company CrowdStrike pulled back more than 50% from its 52-week high but has since risen more than 30% off its 52-week low. It can be tempting to rush back in, but this momentary calm in the growth market may not last. Inflation is still at a 40-year high, and many believe a recession is coming. Because of this, growth stocks will likely experience another significant pullback.Explosive expansionCrowdStrike provides AI-powered cyber protection with its cloud-based Falcon platform. The platform offers multiple modules of protection that customers can tailor to their needs. These include endpoint protection, threat intelligence, log management, and several others.CrowdStrike stock will likely experience another pullback due to the macroeconomic picture, and long-term investors should consider opening or adding to their position when it does. CrowdStrike has some incredible metrics.First, the cybersecurity market is in focus. A recent survey by PwC found that cyberattacks were the #1 concern among CEOs -- ahead of macroeconomic issues like inflation and recession. Because of this, spending on cybersecurity ought to be robust even if the economy slows. CrowdStrike has a rapidly expanding total addressable market that it believes will be well over $100 billion by 2025.For growing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies, two metrics will tell us a tremendous amount about management's execution and the company's future. These are:Customer expansionAnnual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growthCrowdStrike has grown its customer base at an incredible rate. At the end of the prior fiscal year, it reported 16,325 customers, an increase of 6,429, or 65%, for the year. The company's customer acquisitions over the past several years are graphed below.DATA SOURCE: CROWDSTRIKE. CHART BY AUTHOR.As expected, subscription ARR growth is exceptional. ARR refers to subscription revenue on an annualized basis. As of Q1 FY 2023, the company reported an ARR of $1.9 billion on 61% year-over-year (YoY) growth.SaaS metrics off the chartSaaS companies also have other standards that are used to measure performance.Some of these include:Dollar-based net retention rates (DBNR)Gross customer retentionGross marginsThe DBNR measures the change in the average customer spending with the company over time. This way, we can judge how effectively management grows sales among existing clients. Any value over 100% indicates success, and CrowdStrike reports a number consistently above 120%.It is also essential that CrowdStrike keep its current customers. The company's gross retention rate is above 98%, which is tough to beat.Gross margin is a key profitability measure as many fast-growing SaaS companies are not yetGAAP(generally accepted accounting principles) profitable. A high gross margin indicates an ability to scale effectively. CrowdStrike's overall gross margin of 77% compares well with competitors like Zscaler, which comes in a touch higher at 78%, and SentinelOne at 63%.Each of these metrics indicated a bright future for CrowdStrike.Getting in at the right priceThe beauty of growth stocks is that investors can afford to be patient. There are no rising dividends to miss out on, and they tend to be more volatile than other stocks. Investors should consider where they feel shares will offer good value and be ready to pounce when they drop. We generally aren't going to catch the absolute bottom, so a few tiered limit orders may be the way to go.CrowdStrike is currently trading for a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 24. Given the rising rates and recession fears, this could be too high for the current market. Growth-stock competitor Zscaler is trading a bit lower, while other more established cybersecurity companies are trading much lower, as shown below.CRWD PS RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.CrowdStrike does deserve a slight premium due to its tremendous growth rate; however, a P/S ratio between 15 and 20 would offer investors better value. Given the persistent downward pressure in the chart above, investors may have the chance to capitalize soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9082506052,"gmtCreate":1650583967542,"gmtModify":1676534756140,"author":{"id":"3574292418409419","authorId":"3574292418409419","name":"Amok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574292418409419","authorIdStr":"3574292418409419"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fun","listText":"Fun","text":"Fun","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9082506052","repostId":"9016476123","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9016476123,"gmtCreate":1649229403658,"gmtModify":1676534474180,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🏆【GAME】Hunting Eggs for Extra Saving!","htmlText":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please&nbsp;<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/easter/\" target=\"_blank\">click&nbsp;here</a>&nbsp;to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","listText":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please&nbsp;<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/easter/\" target=\"_blank\">click&nbsp;here</a>&nbsp;to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","text":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please click here to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15b435c0d10e0e89ad3e06b7bbd04830","width":"2251","height":"1334"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9640a9df2f24446e07b7a9b658cb4b","width":"1200","height":"630"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/795038848b7c7b1d7dda27d92b580946","width":"1656","height":"948"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016476123","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}