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2021-06-12

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Good

2021-06-23

Yay

Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand

2021-06-14

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Go today

2021-06-18

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!

2021-06-11

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Dont worry

2021-06-24

$Alibaba(BABA)$Woohooo

2021-06-11

Nothing is impossible

Can Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook

2021-06-12

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Good

2021-06-15

Expected

Disney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital

2021-06-09

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Hmmm

2021-06-04

Watch this stock

2021-06-04

$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$Go go

2021-06-23

Yay

Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand

2021-06-04

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$going back up

2021-06-16

Lets play this

@小虎活动:【老虎7週年】集卡瓜分百萬獎金

2021-06-04

Reading these

JD.com: Its Business Model Is Deserving Of Its Current Valuation

2021-06-04

Really?

These are the next Reddit stocks to watch, according to Bank of America

2021-06-18

Dun see liao

AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators

2021-06-18

Woohoo

2021-06-15

Rising and rising

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brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624403123,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145664330?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145664330","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Pow","content":"<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, 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Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","POWL":"Powell Industries",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145664330","content_text":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.\nLed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.\nThe Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.\nThe MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.\n\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"\nTestifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.\n\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.\nPowell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.\nThe dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.\nOil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.\nBrent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.\nU.S. West Texas Intermediate $(WTI)$ crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.\nBitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.\nSpot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123163496,"gmtCreate":1624412467815,"gmtModify":1703835875883,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay","listText":"Yay","text":"Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123163496","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145664330","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624403123,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145664330?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145664330","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Pow","content":"<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","POWL":"Powell Industries",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145664330","content_text":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.\nLed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.\nThe Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.\nThe MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.\n\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"\nTestifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.\n\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.\nPowell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.\nThe dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.\nOil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.\nBrent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.\nU.S. West Texas Intermediate $(WTI)$ crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.\nBitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.\nSpot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166376991,"gmtCreate":1623994171913,"gmtModify":1703826026479,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93df29f7fe6b0716995f0ec46bb67e1e","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166376991","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166373302,"gmtCreate":1623994040306,"gmtModify":1703826022265,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dun see liao","listText":"Dun see liao","text":"Dun see liao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166373302","repostId":"1131310015","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131310015","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623987347,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131310015?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131310015","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pul","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>\n <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>\n <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>\n <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p>\n<p>Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p>\n<p>Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p>\n<p><b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p>\n<p>I start with the key assumptions:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p>\n<p><i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p>\n<p><b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p>\n<p><b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p>\n<p><b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p>\n<p>We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>\n <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p>\n<p>We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p>\n<p><i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p>\n<p><b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p>\n<p>Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p>\n<p>Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p>\n<blockquote>\n “[\n <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Pretty clever, no? No:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Uh oh. What now?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Ouch.</p>\n<p><b>Buyers beware</b></p>\n<p>As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 11:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131310015","content_text":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.\nSell before the other speculators do.\n\nRgStudio/E+ via Getty Images\nWhat are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer forThe Wall Street Journal, and John Brooks, author of “Business Adventures”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.\nInvestor vs. trader vs. speculator\nJason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021Wall Street Journalcolumn:\n\n “\n Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”\n\nSo why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assetsnevercame up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.\nMr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.\nA 2022 AMC earnings forecast\nI start with the key assumptions:\n\nMy time frame for reference is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.\nThe national box officeis the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.\nAMC market share.I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.\nAdmissions gross margin.This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.\nFood expenses as a percent of sales.I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs andmultiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.\nFood and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.\nOperating expensesare the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.\nWe’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:\n\nThe ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:\n\nDepreciation/amortizationis a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.\nInterest expenseshould decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.\n\nThe gravitational pull of earnings\nWe arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.\nThe bottom line - no support for investors.AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words ofTrading Places, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”\nThe speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale\nMillennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The bookBusiness Adventuresby John Brooks,published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.\nShorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:\n\n “\n Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…”\n\nThe sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.\n\n “\n He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”\n\nToday we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.\n\n “\n One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.”\n\nSomething to think about. What was Saunders to do?\n\n “[\n Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments.”\n\nPretty clever, no? No:\n\n “\n At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”\n\nUh oh. What now?\n\n“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller & Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”\n\nOuch.\nBuyers beware\nAs Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?\nAMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166985959,"gmtCreate":1623988187171,"gmtModify":1703825814773,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woohoo","listText":"Woohoo","text":"Woohoo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e66c89b48149d9bf401b3db828fc2c54","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166985959","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160160597,"gmtCreate":1623775094719,"gmtModify":1703819179237,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lets play this","listText":"Lets play this","text":"Lets play this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160160597","repostId":"114899451","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114899451,"gmtCreate":1623063308869,"gmtModify":1704195267674,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎7週年】集卡瓜分百萬獎金","htmlText":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可參與活動</a> &#x1;如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。&#x1;如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。&#x1; 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","listText":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可參與活動</a> &#x1;如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。&#x1;如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。&#x1; 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","text":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ 戳我即可參與活動 \u0001如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。\u0001如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。\u0001 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd956a9c2fc9ee609753ae5f967072a7","width":"415","height":"616"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe0400cc487fb56f85d401ab03df4d5e","width":"415","height":"356"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184589006,"gmtCreate":1623718668005,"gmtModify":1704209392154,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Expected","listText":"Expected","text":"Expected","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184589006","repostId":"2143733744","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143733744","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623717601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143733744?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143733744","media":"Reuters","summary":"LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall televisi","content":"<p>LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by \"double-digits\" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, Chief Executive Bob Chapek said on Monday.</p>\n<p>About 40% of sales during the \"upfront\" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-15 08:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by \"double-digits\" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, Chief Executive Bob Chapek said on Monday.</p>\n<p>About 40% of sales during the \"upfront\" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143733744","content_text":"LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by \"double-digits\" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, Chief Executive Bob Chapek said on Monday.\nAbout 40% of sales during the \"upfront\" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184514741,"gmtCreate":1623718631183,"gmtModify":1704209389206,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rising and rising","listText":"Rising and rising","text":"Rising and 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Brokers(TIGR)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f098e74ad74540f9d71b615012be989","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186924190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188838557,"gmtCreate":1623427375979,"gmtModify":1704203534570,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Good","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf44cea094d502eca74aa140d5675d2","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188838557","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183486280,"gmtCreate":1623341066140,"gmtModify":1704201384596,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Dont worry","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Dont worry","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Dont worry","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dd5a95531b9a74d29a415674e576f62","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183486280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183486398,"gmtCreate":1623341027014,"gmtModify":1704201383948,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nothing is impossible&nbsp;","listText":"Nothing is impossible&nbsp;","text":"Nothing is impossible","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183486398","repostId":"1107871315","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107871315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623315689,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107871315?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 17:01","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107871315","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.Alibaba has considerably more challenges on hand now than in early 2019 , yet the share price manages to be substantially higher.Drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1,000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027 if it crawls along with the support level.Alibaba's P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 ti","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.</li>\n <li>Alibaba has considerably more challenges on hand now than in early 2019 (U.S.-China trade war), yet the share price manages to be substantially higher.</li>\n <li>Drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1,000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027 if it crawls along with the support level.</li>\n <li>Alibaba's P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis (FY2026) and this is based on the current depressed environment.</li>\n <li>An investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>BABA stock is on sale</b></p>\n<p>Like the millions of items on its platforms, Alibaba Group (BABA) is on sale. Unfortunately, for many shareholders, the \"promotional period\" has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this as it allows them to continue adding to their shares.</p>\n<p>Regardless, as a writer on numerousChinese internet stockswhose share prices have remained depressed for months and reading the harsh comments, it can get disheartening. As a shareholder in several of them myself, I understand the emotions going through the mind.</p>\n<p>At the same time, there have been many wise readers and fellow authors who provided sound advice that keeps me on the path. For instance, Gary Alexander recently wrote regarding thetech sell-off:</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"When the selloff in the tech sector has proven to be this indiscriminate (good and bad, cheap and expensive stocks are all being sold off at roughly the same pace), it's our job as diligent investors to be extremely discerning in the buying opportunities that have surfaced.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>With BABA stock having given up all its gains in the past year, it's scant comfort to know the share price is still 58 percent higher than early 2019. Nevertheless, I am bringing this up because Alibaba was being shunned by investors then due to the headwinds from the U.S.-China trade war.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e90c1a30b5b83eb51c67338eab37cb5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Now that the e-commerce and cloud giant has considerably more challenges on hand, yet the share price manages to be substantially higher. This provides a glimpse into the possible future where Alibaba Group Holding Limited overcome its immediate struggles and investors clamor for its shares again.</p>\n<p>That said, how do we justify that BABA stock is on sale? Well, let's look at the valuation. Both Alibaba Group and its U.S. peer Amazon.com (AMZN) have delivered solid revenue and earnings growth in the past years. The improvement in business fundamentals has led investors in both companies to think it would only get tougher to achieve returns expected of a growth stock, compressing their price-earnings multiples.</p>\n<p>Looking at the more representative enterprise value to free cash flow [EV/FCF] ratio, it becomes apparent that the market is valuing Alibaba much lower than Amazon. The EV/FCF is only 16 times for Alibaba and 72 times for Amazon.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57bda237a374d7f6688c298b0fe9ae21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"493\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>With a 3-year revenue CAGR and a 5-year revenue CAGR above 40 percent, it's hard to argue Alibaba Group is not a growth stock. Amazon only managed to deliver around 30 percent CAGR for both its 3-year and 5-year revenues. For the last reported quarter, Alibaba scored a 64 percent increase in revenue. Its forward revenue growth of 35.3 percent surpasses that of Amazon as well.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>BABA</td>\n   <td>AMZN</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue Growth [YoY]</td>\n   <td><p>40.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>41.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue Growth [FWD]</td>\n   <td><p>35.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.2%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue 3 Year [CAGR]</td>\n   <td><p>42.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue 5 Year [CAGR]</td>\n   <td><p>48.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Premium (data extracted on June 6, 2021)</i></p>\n<p>During times of uncertainty, it is imperative that companies have plenty of liquidity. Alibaba has loads of cash. Its EV to net cash is at a low 11.5 times compared to 36.6 times for Amazon. In other words, Alibaba has much more cash at its disposal relative to Amazon when we compare the enterprise values of the two companies. With the financial heft to withstand regulatory changes and geopolitical headwinds, it seems BABA shares are now at a bargain.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba stock forecast</b></p>\n<p>The circumstances leading to the rough patch that Alibaba Group has found itself in are well-publicized. For the uninitiated, here are the key hurdles the company has faced:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Theeleventh-hour suspensionof the IPO of Ant Group, its fintech arm;</li>\n <li>The\"disappearance\" of Jack Ma, the flamboyant founder of Alibaba Group;</li>\n <li>Antimonopoly investigation on its e-commerce practices and the subsequentpenalty meted out;</li>\n <li>Restructuring of Ant Group such that its finance lending unit isregulated like a bank, crimping its valuation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Considering the earlier mentioned formidable headwinds, it might seem ludicrous to think BABA stock can hit $1000 per share, more than quadruple the current price. Nevertheless, drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027, if it crawls along with the support level.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00dc7dd1ce5e1c05708abe460be89359\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Yahoo Finance (chart drawn by ALT Perspective)</i></p>\n<p>Do note that I am not factoring in any share consolidation in the interim. I am also not considering the scenario that Alibaba becomes a meme stock which is possible since Redditors tend to promote stocks that are \"hated\" by the market. I am assuming the adage that the stock market is a weighing machine, in the long run, will come to fruition for BABA.</p>\n<p>Is that thought farfetched? Just a couple of months back, I would answer a categorical no. However, as you will see from the chart, BABA's share price has dipped below the long-term support line. Some stocks have experienced such a chart pattern and managed to return above the support-turned-resistance line. It would not be easy but it has happened.</p>\n<p>Of course, the question here is whether $1000 per share is something foreseeable in the future. I say yes, provided the stock can regain its composure and get back up to the multi-year trend line in the next few months or so. If the stock drifts further south instead, the recovery back to the long-term support line would be too onerous, not to mention to get back on the track to $1000.</p>\n<p>The consensus one-year price target for BABA is at $295.60, 37 percent above the prevailing price. Even if the price target does not get revised upwards through the rest of the year, hitting near that level would bring the share price well above the $278 where the support line will be at the end of 2021. This means it isn't that difficult for Alibaba to return to its uptrend.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8487c8f5276e6dd30d79d024833563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"478\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Is Alibaba a good long-term stock?</b></p>\n<p>It is common nowadays to read media headlines and comments about fund managers \"dumping BABA stock\". Thus, it came as a surprise to me that Alibaba Group Holding was ranked fifth among \"50 stocks that matter the most to hedge funds,\" according to the Goldman Sachs'Hedge Fund VIP List.</p>\n<p>As many as 77 funds with 10 to 200 positions have Alibaba Group in their portfolios as of 31 March 2021, way higher than the median of 44 for the other stocks. Alibaba even found itself in the top 10 holdings in 35 funds. The average portfolio weight of BABA stock in these funds was 6 percent, the same weighting as Amazon and Visa Inc. (V). The percentage of equity cap of Alibaba owned by hedge funds was 2 percent, also the same as Amazon.</p>\n<p>Masayoshi Son, the CEO of SoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) (OTCPK:SFTBF), recently commented that Alibaba is \"a great company, at a low price compared with its fundamentals.\" As SoftBank is a substantial shareholder of Alibaba, perhaps some readers are not convinced.</p>\n<p>However, Alibaba is becoming such a value stock that even \"Warren Buffett would love,\" according to a recent<i>Barron's</i>article. In a selection of high-scoring U.S. stocks from the Validea Buffett model, with market values above $10 billion, Alibaba Group was among the 10 finalists. Of particular note, it received a perfect score based on the Buffett model.</p>\n<p>What are we missing here? According to the consensus forecast, Alibaba is projected to double its earnings per share to nearly $20 in fiscal year ending March 2026, up from the $10.10 it reported in the fiscal year ending March 2021. Correspondingly, its P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis, if the share price stayed stagnant.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e98d8e98b1ce9bd2ec6a1275eb329f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</i></p>\n<p>If the share price does reach $1000, the P/E ratio would be more than 40 times. That would mean a rather rich valuation for Alibaba. However, we have to consider that the formidable headwinds facing the company have resulted in analysts churning out conservative numbers and price targets. As we can see from the following table, the EPS forecast is premised on the revenue growth steadily declining from the 5-year revenue CAGR of 48 percent to the low teens by 2026.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b2476ae016bd40d9b86476464121313\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</i></p>\n<p>When Alibaba Group continues to deliver steady revenue and earnings growth over the coming years, coupled with a potentialsustained change in narrative, the sentiment towards the stock could switch back to positive and we could once again see analysts revising their projections in reaction.</p>\n<p><b>Risk factors for Alibaba investors</b></p>\n<p>An investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones. First, its ADR shares are listed through a Variable Interest Entity [VIE] structure. Some analysts haveraised the concernthat the Chinese government could one day declare the VIE void and the shares could become worthless overnight technically.</p>\n<p>Rationally though, it does not make sense for Beijing to disavow the VIE structure. Listing on the U.S. markets enables its companies to secure funding for business growth which would, in turn, boost the Chinese economy as well as create jobs.</p>\n<p>Second, the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act [HFCAA]signed into lawon 18 December 2020 could result in BABA ADRs delisted from U.S. stock exchanges if Alibaba is unable to fulfill the conditions as stipulated in the Act. The company CFO, Maggie Wu, has expressed her confidence that Alibaba cancomply withthe requirements of the HFCAA.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the U.S. government can issue amendments to the Act as it hasdone soin March. There is no certainty that Alibaba would be able to meet all future changes to the HFCAA. Investors have to take such risks into consideration.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 17:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433917-can-alibaba-stock-hit-1000><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.\nAlibaba has considerably more ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433917-can-alibaba-stock-hit-1000\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433917-can-alibaba-stock-hit-1000","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1107871315","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.\nAlibaba has considerably more challenges on hand now than in early 2019 (U.S.-China trade war), yet the share price manages to be substantially higher.\nDrawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1,000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027 if it crawls along with the support level.\nAlibaba's P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis (FY2026) and this is based on the current depressed environment.\nAn investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones.\n\nBABA stock is on sale\nLike the millions of items on its platforms, Alibaba Group (BABA) is on sale. Unfortunately, for many shareholders, the \"promotional period\" has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this as it allows them to continue adding to their shares.\nRegardless, as a writer on numerousChinese internet stockswhose share prices have remained depressed for months and reading the harsh comments, it can get disheartening. As a shareholder in several of them myself, I understand the emotions going through the mind.\nAt the same time, there have been many wise readers and fellow authors who provided sound advice that keeps me on the path. For instance, Gary Alexander recently wrote regarding thetech sell-off:\n\n \"When the selloff in the tech sector has proven to be this indiscriminate (good and bad, cheap and expensive stocks are all being sold off at roughly the same pace), it's our job as diligent investors to be extremely discerning in the buying opportunities that have surfaced.\"\n\nWith BABA stock having given up all its gains in the past year, it's scant comfort to know the share price is still 58 percent higher than early 2019. Nevertheless, I am bringing this up because Alibaba was being shunned by investors then due to the headwinds from the U.S.-China trade war.\n\nNow that the e-commerce and cloud giant has considerably more challenges on hand, yet the share price manages to be substantially higher. This provides a glimpse into the possible future where Alibaba Group Holding Limited overcome its immediate struggles and investors clamor for its shares again.\nThat said, how do we justify that BABA stock is on sale? Well, let's look at the valuation. Both Alibaba Group and its U.S. peer Amazon.com (AMZN) have delivered solid revenue and earnings growth in the past years. The improvement in business fundamentals has led investors in both companies to think it would only get tougher to achieve returns expected of a growth stock, compressing their price-earnings multiples.\nLooking at the more representative enterprise value to free cash flow [EV/FCF] ratio, it becomes apparent that the market is valuing Alibaba much lower than Amazon. The EV/FCF is only 16 times for Alibaba and 72 times for Amazon.\n\nWith a 3-year revenue CAGR and a 5-year revenue CAGR above 40 percent, it's hard to argue Alibaba Group is not a growth stock. Amazon only managed to deliver around 30 percent CAGR for both its 3-year and 5-year revenues. For the last reported quarter, Alibaba scored a 64 percent increase in revenue. Its forward revenue growth of 35.3 percent surpasses that of Amazon as well.\n\n\n\nBABA\nAMZN\n\n\nRevenue Growth [YoY]\n40.7%\n41.5%\n\n\nRevenue Growth [FWD]\n35.3%\n27.2%\n\n\nRevenue 3 Year [CAGR]\n42.1%\n29.5%\n\n\nRevenue 5 Year [CAGR]\n48.0%\n29.9%\n\n\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha Premium (data extracted on June 6, 2021)\nDuring times of uncertainty, it is imperative that companies have plenty of liquidity. Alibaba has loads of cash. Its EV to net cash is at a low 11.5 times compared to 36.6 times for Amazon. In other words, Alibaba has much more cash at its disposal relative to Amazon when we compare the enterprise values of the two companies. With the financial heft to withstand regulatory changes and geopolitical headwinds, it seems BABA shares are now at a bargain.\nAlibaba stock forecast\nThe circumstances leading to the rough patch that Alibaba Group has found itself in are well-publicized. For the uninitiated, here are the key hurdles the company has faced:\n\nTheeleventh-hour suspensionof the IPO of Ant Group, its fintech arm;\nThe\"disappearance\" of Jack Ma, the flamboyant founder of Alibaba Group;\nAntimonopoly investigation on its e-commerce practices and the subsequentpenalty meted out;\nRestructuring of Ant Group such that its finance lending unit isregulated like a bank, crimping its valuation.\n\nConsidering the earlier mentioned formidable headwinds, it might seem ludicrous to think BABA stock can hit $1000 per share, more than quadruple the current price. Nevertheless, drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027, if it crawls along with the support level.\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance (chart drawn by ALT Perspective)\nDo note that I am not factoring in any share consolidation in the interim. I am also not considering the scenario that Alibaba becomes a meme stock which is possible since Redditors tend to promote stocks that are \"hated\" by the market. I am assuming the adage that the stock market is a weighing machine, in the long run, will come to fruition for BABA.\nIs that thought farfetched? Just a couple of months back, I would answer a categorical no. However, as you will see from the chart, BABA's share price has dipped below the long-term support line. Some stocks have experienced such a chart pattern and managed to return above the support-turned-resistance line. It would not be easy but it has happened.\nOf course, the question here is whether $1000 per share is something foreseeable in the future. I say yes, provided the stock can regain its composure and get back up to the multi-year trend line in the next few months or so. If the stock drifts further south instead, the recovery back to the long-term support line would be too onerous, not to mention to get back on the track to $1000.\nThe consensus one-year price target for BABA is at $295.60, 37 percent above the prevailing price. Even if the price target does not get revised upwards through the rest of the year, hitting near that level would bring the share price well above the $278 where the support line will be at the end of 2021. This means it isn't that difficult for Alibaba to return to its uptrend.\n\nIs Alibaba a good long-term stock?\nIt is common nowadays to read media headlines and comments about fund managers \"dumping BABA stock\". Thus, it came as a surprise to me that Alibaba Group Holding was ranked fifth among \"50 stocks that matter the most to hedge funds,\" according to the Goldman Sachs'Hedge Fund VIP List.\nAs many as 77 funds with 10 to 200 positions have Alibaba Group in their portfolios as of 31 March 2021, way higher than the median of 44 for the other stocks. Alibaba even found itself in the top 10 holdings in 35 funds. The average portfolio weight of BABA stock in these funds was 6 percent, the same weighting as Amazon and Visa Inc. (V). The percentage of equity cap of Alibaba owned by hedge funds was 2 percent, also the same as Amazon.\nMasayoshi Son, the CEO of SoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) (OTCPK:SFTBF), recently commented that Alibaba is \"a great company, at a low price compared with its fundamentals.\" As SoftBank is a substantial shareholder of Alibaba, perhaps some readers are not convinced.\nHowever, Alibaba is becoming such a value stock that even \"Warren Buffett would love,\" according to a recentBarron'sarticle. In a selection of high-scoring U.S. stocks from the Validea Buffett model, with market values above $10 billion, Alibaba Group was among the 10 finalists. Of particular note, it received a perfect score based on the Buffett model.\nWhat are we missing here? According to the consensus forecast, Alibaba is projected to double its earnings per share to nearly $20 in fiscal year ending March 2026, up from the $10.10 it reported in the fiscal year ending March 2021. Correspondingly, its P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis, if the share price stayed stagnant.\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha Premium\nIf the share price does reach $1000, the P/E ratio would be more than 40 times. That would mean a rather rich valuation for Alibaba. However, we have to consider that the formidable headwinds facing the company have resulted in analysts churning out conservative numbers and price targets. As we can see from the following table, the EPS forecast is premised on the revenue growth steadily declining from the 5-year revenue CAGR of 48 percent to the low teens by 2026.\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha Premium\nWhen Alibaba Group continues to deliver steady revenue and earnings growth over the coming years, coupled with a potentialsustained change in narrative, the sentiment towards the stock could switch back to positive and we could once again see analysts revising their projections in reaction.\nRisk factors for Alibaba investors\nAn investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones. First, its ADR shares are listed through a Variable Interest Entity [VIE] structure. Some analysts haveraised the concernthat the Chinese government could one day declare the VIE void and the shares could become worthless overnight technically.\nRationally though, it does not make sense for Beijing to disavow the VIE structure. Listing on the U.S. markets enables its companies to secure funding for business growth which would, in turn, boost the Chinese economy as well as create jobs.\nSecond, the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act [HFCAA]signed into lawon 18 December 2020 could result in BABA ADRs delisted from U.S. stock exchanges if Alibaba is unable to fulfill the conditions as stipulated in the Act. The company CFO, Maggie Wu, has expressed her confidence that Alibaba cancomply withthe requirements of the HFCAA.\nNevertheless, the U.S. government can issue amendments to the Act as it hasdone soin March. There is no certainty that Alibaba would be able to meet all future changes to the HFCAA. Investors have to take such risks into consideration.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189111263,"gmtCreate":1623247700952,"gmtModify":1704199301650,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Aiyoooo//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574859696763468\">@DesmondChua</a>:Aiyo","listText":"Aiyoooo//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574859696763468\">@DesmondChua</a>:Aiyo","text":"Aiyoooo//@DesmondChua:Aiyo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189111263","repostId":"1157991918","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157991918","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623246947,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157991918?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC dropped over 10% in morning trading, Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157991918","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC dropped over 10% in morning trading. Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now? Here's What Fundamentals, S","content":"<p>AMC dropped over 10% in morning trading.&nbsp;Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now? Here's What Fundamentals, Stock Chart Action, Mutual Fund Ownership Metrics Say.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c561ed81664985f5ab7c28caf5b1626\" tg-width=\"323\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>Going to the movies is exciting. But can it match the action by<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(AMC)? Starting the year at just 2 a share,AMC stock has skyrocketed more than 36-foldto new all-time highs this past week.</p>\n<p>Shares at one point fell more than 30% on Thursday on news the company plans to sell up to 11.55 million shares — or roughly 2.6% of the total common shares outstanding. AMC later announced completion of the offering, raising $587 million. But in recent days, the stock is holding firm, and it's showing bullish inside action relative to some big daily moves over the past week.</p>\n<p>Given extraordinary gains since late May, is it perhaps time to take some profits off the table?&nbsp;After all, the May rally carries theelements of a climax run. Or is it a buy now?</p>\n<p>This story examines the fundamental, technical and fund ownership factors to determine if the Leawood, Kan., company scores a good probability of making money for stock traders.</p>\n<p>Consider this stat: Prior to Wednesday's giant gain, over just five sessions of trade (May 24 to 28), AMC obliterated the short sellers by rising as much as 203% to Friday's intraday peak of 36.72. AMC stock almost finished up 100% or more for a second straight week. Incredible.</p>\n<p>Following the long Memorial Day holiday weekend, AMC jammed nearly 23% higher Tuesday after the company announced an agreement to sell 8.5 million shares at $27.15 per share to Mudrick Capital. AMC said the proceeds would go toward strategic acquisitions of \"additional theatre leases, as well as investments to enhance the consumer appeal of AMC's existing theatres.\"</p>\n<p>Some of that money could also go toward paying down debt.</p>\n<p>AMC Stock: Do You Have An Exit Strategy?</p>\n<p>Some observers have expressed concern over the company's huge debt load ($5.4 billion in borrowings due one year from now or longer, as of March 31) vs. total assets ($10.5 billion) on the balance sheet.</p>\n<p>On May 24, shares rallied more than 13% despite news that its heretofore largest shareholder, China's Wanda Group, has sold most of its remaining shares in AMC.</p>\n<p>Earlier this year, WallStreetBets chat-room traders on Reddit joined in unison in buying shares and bullish call options in AMC stock. They did the same in a band of other companies that had been heavily sold short and struggling. If you were watching or trading<b>GameStop</b>(GME), you likely were also keeping close tabs on AMC Entertainment.</p>\n<p>Are The Shorts Covering AMC Stock?</p>\n<p>When a stock shows ahigh level of short interestand is getting bid up, you can almost count on a chain reaction of buying to occur. Why? Short sellers, betting on a decline in the stock, often have to do an about-face. They cover their short position by buying back shares.</p>\n<p>According to the latest data analyzed byMarketSmith, theshort interest— or shares sold short by individual and professional investors —&nbsp; is currently 0.7 times AMC stock's daily average volume of 132 million shares, or roughly 92 million shares. That's equivalent to 20% of the stock's entire float — huge. However, that amount may be skewed by the dramatic rise in daily share turnover.</p>\n<p>Still, short sellers had clearly been betting big on a future decline.</p>\n<p>TheInvestor's Business Daily teamwill keep close watch for any signs that short interest has dropped lately.</p>\n<p>Since late January, AMC stock has followed an extreme zigzag path.&nbsp;Just two weeks after that 20.36 peak, AMC crashed. Shares fell to as low as 5.26. Then came a huge second wave of buying, sending shares back in the low teens.</p>\n<p>Week to week, the stock (pumping its market value back up to $25 billion, 450.3 million shares outstanding and a float of 441.3 million) has lately seen its overall price range narrow. That's good as thenew base formed.</p>\n<p>Will AMC Stock Keep Rallying In The Long Term?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e13c3bc5de41e6ab81d88a5d9e269528\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Without a doubt, investors long in AMC are betting on a turnaround in fortunes.</p>\n<p>In 2020, AMC lost $16.15 a share. Over the past five quarters, the company's sales have shrunk 22% to as much as 99% vs. year-ago levels. Such results would normally devastate most companies.</p>\n<p>But as movie theaters open across the country and boost seating capacity, Wall Street is banking on a tremendous rebound in the top line.</p>\n<p>Analysts polled by FactSet offer a consensus estimate of $375 million in second-quarter sales, up 1,884% from a minuscule $18.9 million in the year-ago quarter. Then they see sales rising an additional 561% in Q3 to $790 million and 575% in Q4 to $1.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Wall Street expects net losses of $3.33 a share for 2021, a far cry from the unadjusted $39.15 it lost last year. And the Street sees net losses shrinking further in 2022, to 96 cents a share. Both estimates have gotten revised slightly upward, a bullish sign.</p>\n<p>With big sales expected to arrive, you can expect cash flows to greatly improve.</p>\n<p>Key IBD Ratings</p>\n<p>The last time AMC paid a dividend came on March 23, 2020, at 3 cents per common share. If the company were to resume this cash payout, shareholders could attain an annualized 0.9% yield at the current price near 14 a share.</p>\n<p>For now, AMC scores poorly in many of IBD's proprietary ratings. Headed into Monday's trading, they include a 22Earnings Per Share Ratingon a scale of 1 to 99; an E for Sales + Profit Margins + Return on Equity (SMR) Rating; and a 56Composite Ratingon a scale of 1 (wizened) to 99 (wizardly).</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, AMC's movies industry group ranks in the top half of IBD's197 industry groupsin terms of six-month relative performance. Decent, but not outstanding. Mutual funds owning a stake in AMC rose to 203 at the end of March vs. 186 in Q4 of 2020. Some portfolio managers are eager to accumulate shares.</p>\n<p>AMC Stock Forecast</p>\n<p>When choosing growth stocks for the biggest potential gains based on theCAN SLIM investment paradigm, your chances of finding a true market leader improve when you focus on those with aComposite Ratingof 90 or higher. Shooting for a 95 or higher, particularly at the start of a new bull market, is even better.</p>\n<p>However, given that AMC stock is a turnaround play, it makes sense to place more emphasis on relative strength. AMC has that in spades.</p>\n<p>A 99Relative Strength Ratingon a scale of 1 to 99 means that the company has outperformed 99% of all stocks in the IBD database. Strong long-term performance? Indeed.The Accumulation/Distribution Rating, meanwhile, has jumped to a best-possible A+ grade on a scale of A to E.</p>\n<p>Plus, notice on the weekly chart and inMarketSmith, how therelative strength linehas been vaulting.</p>\n<p>The RS line, drawn in blue, compares a stock or ETF's moves vs. the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>When a stock breaks out of anew base, prefer to see the RS line also running to new high ground. This means that a stock is now outperforming the general market.</p>\n<p>In essence, AMC created a boxy cup-like base over the past two months. That's plenty of time for asolid cup patternto form. This pattern produces aproper buy pointof 10 cents above the cup's left-side peak of 14.54 on March 18. So in AMC stock's case, thecorrect entrystood at 14.64. You want to see heavy volume on the breakout.</p>\n<p>Conclusion: Is It A Buy Now? Or A Sell?</p>\n<p>In effect,AMC stockhas staged astrong breakouttwice last week.</p>\n<p>First, AMC had to surpass 14.64 before becoming a new buy. The May 18 attempt was short-lived. However, a 20% gain on May 25 sent shares zooming past theproper buy point.</p>\n<p>The5% buy zonegoes up to 15.37, so the stock quickly got extended.</p>\n<p>As always, control your risk. Not all breakouts work, especially when thestock market uptrend is under pressure. The best time to buy? When IBD notes the stock market in aconfirmed uptrend, it signifies that buying demand is healthy among institutional investors.</p>\n<p>In stock investing, you want the wind at your back, not in your face.</p>\n<p>Last month, this story suggested keeping a close eye on how AMC stock handles potential upside resistance near 20. In fact, the action since that incredible week ended Jan. 29 could also be viewed as adeep cup pattern. From that vantage point, AMC delivered a second breakout, surpassing a new 20.46buy pointwith fury.</p>\n<p>To get this additional entry in acup without handle, simply add 10 cents to the cup's left-side high — in this case, 20.36. On May 27, shares rifled past this entry and has not looked back. Still, with gains of as much as 501% in just two weeks, it makes sense to lock in at least partial profits.</p>\n<p>And after you buy any stock with solid prospects,don't forget the golden rule of investing. Keeping your losses small keeps you in the investing game for the long haul.</p>\n<p>Yet at this point, AMC is sharply extended from anIBD-style entry point. Keep watching to see if a new base will form; this could set up a new breakout opportunity.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC dropped over 10% in morning trading, Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC dropped over 10% in morning trading, Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-09 21:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC dropped over 10% in morning trading.&nbsp;Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now? Here's What Fundamentals, Stock Chart Action, Mutual Fund Ownership Metrics Say.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c561ed81664985f5ab7c28caf5b1626\" tg-width=\"323\" tg-height=\"321\"></p>\n<p>Going to the movies is exciting. But can it match the action by<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(AMC)? Starting the year at just 2 a share,AMC stock has skyrocketed more than 36-foldto new all-time highs this past week.</p>\n<p>Shares at one point fell more than 30% on Thursday on news the company plans to sell up to 11.55 million shares — or roughly 2.6% of the total common shares outstanding. AMC later announced completion of the offering, raising $587 million. But in recent days, the stock is holding firm, and it's showing bullish inside action relative to some big daily moves over the past week.</p>\n<p>Given extraordinary gains since late May, is it perhaps time to take some profits off the table?&nbsp;After all, the May rally carries theelements of a climax run. Or is it a buy now?</p>\n<p>This story examines the fundamental, technical and fund ownership factors to determine if the Leawood, Kan., company scores a good probability of making money for stock traders.</p>\n<p>Consider this stat: Prior to Wednesday's giant gain, over just five sessions of trade (May 24 to 28), AMC obliterated the short sellers by rising as much as 203% to Friday's intraday peak of 36.72. AMC stock almost finished up 100% or more for a second straight week. Incredible.</p>\n<p>Following the long Memorial Day holiday weekend, AMC jammed nearly 23% higher Tuesday after the company announced an agreement to sell 8.5 million shares at $27.15 per share to Mudrick Capital. AMC said the proceeds would go toward strategic acquisitions of \"additional theatre leases, as well as investments to enhance the consumer appeal of AMC's existing theatres.\"</p>\n<p>Some of that money could also go toward paying down debt.</p>\n<p>AMC Stock: Do You Have An Exit Strategy?</p>\n<p>Some observers have expressed concern over the company's huge debt load ($5.4 billion in borrowings due one year from now or longer, as of March 31) vs. total assets ($10.5 billion) on the balance sheet.</p>\n<p>On May 24, shares rallied more than 13% despite news that its heretofore largest shareholder, China's Wanda Group, has sold most of its remaining shares in AMC.</p>\n<p>Earlier this year, WallStreetBets chat-room traders on Reddit joined in unison in buying shares and bullish call options in AMC stock. They did the same in a band of other companies that had been heavily sold short and struggling. If you were watching or trading<b>GameStop</b>(GME), you likely were also keeping close tabs on AMC Entertainment.</p>\n<p>Are The Shorts Covering AMC Stock?</p>\n<p>When a stock shows ahigh level of short interestand is getting bid up, you can almost count on a chain reaction of buying to occur. Why? Short sellers, betting on a decline in the stock, often have to do an about-face. They cover their short position by buying back shares.</p>\n<p>According to the latest data analyzed byMarketSmith, theshort interest— or shares sold short by individual and professional investors —&nbsp; is currently 0.7 times AMC stock's daily average volume of 132 million shares, or roughly 92 million shares. That's equivalent to 20% of the stock's entire float — huge. However, that amount may be skewed by the dramatic rise in daily share turnover.</p>\n<p>Still, short sellers had clearly been betting big on a future decline.</p>\n<p>TheInvestor's Business Daily teamwill keep close watch for any signs that short interest has dropped lately.</p>\n<p>Since late January, AMC stock has followed an extreme zigzag path.&nbsp;Just two weeks after that 20.36 peak, AMC crashed. Shares fell to as low as 5.26. Then came a huge second wave of buying, sending shares back in the low teens.</p>\n<p>Week to week, the stock (pumping its market value back up to $25 billion, 450.3 million shares outstanding and a float of 441.3 million) has lately seen its overall price range narrow. That's good as thenew base formed.</p>\n<p>Will AMC Stock Keep Rallying In The Long Term?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e13c3bc5de41e6ab81d88a5d9e269528\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Without a doubt, investors long in AMC are betting on a turnaround in fortunes.</p>\n<p>In 2020, AMC lost $16.15 a share. Over the past five quarters, the company's sales have shrunk 22% to as much as 99% vs. year-ago levels. Such results would normally devastate most companies.</p>\n<p>But as movie theaters open across the country and boost seating capacity, Wall Street is banking on a tremendous rebound in the top line.</p>\n<p>Analysts polled by FactSet offer a consensus estimate of $375 million in second-quarter sales, up 1,884% from a minuscule $18.9 million in the year-ago quarter. Then they see sales rising an additional 561% in Q3 to $790 million and 575% in Q4 to $1.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Wall Street expects net losses of $3.33 a share for 2021, a far cry from the unadjusted $39.15 it lost last year. And the Street sees net losses shrinking further in 2022, to 96 cents a share. Both estimates have gotten revised slightly upward, a bullish sign.</p>\n<p>With big sales expected to arrive, you can expect cash flows to greatly improve.</p>\n<p>Key IBD Ratings</p>\n<p>The last time AMC paid a dividend came on March 23, 2020, at 3 cents per common share. If the company were to resume this cash payout, shareholders could attain an annualized 0.9% yield at the current price near 14 a share.</p>\n<p>For now, AMC scores poorly in many of IBD's proprietary ratings. Headed into Monday's trading, they include a 22Earnings Per Share Ratingon a scale of 1 to 99; an E for Sales + Profit Margins + Return on Equity (SMR) Rating; and a 56Composite Ratingon a scale of 1 (wizened) to 99 (wizardly).</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, AMC's movies industry group ranks in the top half of IBD's197 industry groupsin terms of six-month relative performance. Decent, but not outstanding. Mutual funds owning a stake in AMC rose to 203 at the end of March vs. 186 in Q4 of 2020. Some portfolio managers are eager to accumulate shares.</p>\n<p>AMC Stock Forecast</p>\n<p>When choosing growth stocks for the biggest potential gains based on theCAN SLIM investment paradigm, your chances of finding a true market leader improve when you focus on those with aComposite Ratingof 90 or higher. Shooting for a 95 or higher, particularly at the start of a new bull market, is even better.</p>\n<p>However, given that AMC stock is a turnaround play, it makes sense to place more emphasis on relative strength. AMC has that in spades.</p>\n<p>A 99Relative Strength Ratingon a scale of 1 to 99 means that the company has outperformed 99% of all stocks in the IBD database. Strong long-term performance? Indeed.The Accumulation/Distribution Rating, meanwhile, has jumped to a best-possible A+ grade on a scale of A to E.</p>\n<p>Plus, notice on the weekly chart and inMarketSmith, how therelative strength linehas been vaulting.</p>\n<p>The RS line, drawn in blue, compares a stock or ETF's moves vs. the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>When a stock breaks out of anew base, prefer to see the RS line also running to new high ground. This means that a stock is now outperforming the general market.</p>\n<p>In essence, AMC created a boxy cup-like base over the past two months. That's plenty of time for asolid cup patternto form. This pattern produces aproper buy pointof 10 cents above the cup's left-side peak of 14.54 on March 18. So in AMC stock's case, thecorrect entrystood at 14.64. You want to see heavy volume on the breakout.</p>\n<p>Conclusion: Is It A Buy Now? Or A Sell?</p>\n<p>In effect,AMC stockhas staged astrong breakouttwice last week.</p>\n<p>First, AMC had to surpass 14.64 before becoming a new buy. The May 18 attempt was short-lived. However, a 20% gain on May 25 sent shares zooming past theproper buy point.</p>\n<p>The5% buy zonegoes up to 15.37, so the stock quickly got extended.</p>\n<p>As always, control your risk. Not all breakouts work, especially when thestock market uptrend is under pressure. The best time to buy? When IBD notes the stock market in aconfirmed uptrend, it signifies that buying demand is healthy among institutional investors.</p>\n<p>In stock investing, you want the wind at your back, not in your face.</p>\n<p>Last month, this story suggested keeping a close eye on how AMC stock handles potential upside resistance near 20. In fact, the action since that incredible week ended Jan. 29 could also be viewed as adeep cup pattern. From that vantage point, AMC delivered a second breakout, surpassing a new 20.46buy pointwith fury.</p>\n<p>To get this additional entry in acup without handle, simply add 10 cents to the cup's left-side high — in this case, 20.36. On May 27, shares rifled past this entry and has not looked back. Still, with gains of as much as 501% in just two weeks, it makes sense to lock in at least partial profits.</p>\n<p>And after you buy any stock with solid prospects,don't forget the golden rule of investing. Keeping your losses small keeps you in the investing game for the long haul.</p>\n<p>Yet at this point, AMC is sharply extended from anIBD-style entry point. Keep watching to see if a new base will form; this could set up a new breakout opportunity.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157991918","content_text":"AMC dropped over 10% in morning trading. Is AMC Stock A Buy Or Sell Now? Here's What Fundamentals, Stock Chart Action, Mutual Fund Ownership Metrics Say.\n\nGoing to the movies is exciting. But can it match the action byAMC Entertainment(AMC)? Starting the year at just 2 a share,AMC stock has skyrocketed more than 36-foldto new all-time highs this past week.\nShares at one point fell more than 30% on Thursday on news the company plans to sell up to 11.55 million shares — or roughly 2.6% of the total common shares outstanding. AMC later announced completion of the offering, raising $587 million. But in recent days, the stock is holding firm, and it's showing bullish inside action relative to some big daily moves over the past week.\nGiven extraordinary gains since late May, is it perhaps time to take some profits off the table? After all, the May rally carries theelements of a climax run. Or is it a buy now?\nThis story examines the fundamental, technical and fund ownership factors to determine if the Leawood, Kan., company scores a good probability of making money for stock traders.\nConsider this stat: Prior to Wednesday's giant gain, over just five sessions of trade (May 24 to 28), AMC obliterated the short sellers by rising as much as 203% to Friday's intraday peak of 36.72. AMC stock almost finished up 100% or more for a second straight week. Incredible.\nFollowing the long Memorial Day holiday weekend, AMC jammed nearly 23% higher Tuesday after the company announced an agreement to sell 8.5 million shares at $27.15 per share to Mudrick Capital. AMC said the proceeds would go toward strategic acquisitions of \"additional theatre leases, as well as investments to enhance the consumer appeal of AMC's existing theatres.\"\nSome of that money could also go toward paying down debt.\nAMC Stock: Do You Have An Exit Strategy?\nSome observers have expressed concern over the company's huge debt load ($5.4 billion in borrowings due one year from now or longer, as of March 31) vs. total assets ($10.5 billion) on the balance sheet.\nOn May 24, shares rallied more than 13% despite news that its heretofore largest shareholder, China's Wanda Group, has sold most of its remaining shares in AMC.\nEarlier this year, WallStreetBets chat-room traders on Reddit joined in unison in buying shares and bullish call options in AMC stock. They did the same in a band of other companies that had been heavily sold short and struggling. If you were watching or tradingGameStop(GME), you likely were also keeping close tabs on AMC Entertainment.\nAre The Shorts Covering AMC Stock?\nWhen a stock shows ahigh level of short interestand is getting bid up, you can almost count on a chain reaction of buying to occur. Why? Short sellers, betting on a decline in the stock, often have to do an about-face. They cover their short position by buying back shares.\nAccording to the latest data analyzed byMarketSmith, theshort interest— or shares sold short by individual and professional investors —  is currently 0.7 times AMC stock's daily average volume of 132 million shares, or roughly 92 million shares. That's equivalent to 20% of the stock's entire float — huge. However, that amount may be skewed by the dramatic rise in daily share turnover.\nStill, short sellers had clearly been betting big on a future decline.\nTheInvestor's Business Daily teamwill keep close watch for any signs that short interest has dropped lately.\nSince late January, AMC stock has followed an extreme zigzag path. Just two weeks after that 20.36 peak, AMC crashed. Shares fell to as low as 5.26. Then came a huge second wave of buying, sending shares back in the low teens.\nWeek to week, the stock (pumping its market value back up to $25 billion, 450.3 million shares outstanding and a float of 441.3 million) has lately seen its overall price range narrow. That's good as thenew base formed.\nWill AMC Stock Keep Rallying In The Long Term?\nWithout a doubt, investors long in AMC are betting on a turnaround in fortunes.\nIn 2020, AMC lost $16.15 a share. Over the past five quarters, the company's sales have shrunk 22% to as much as 99% vs. year-ago levels. Such results would normally devastate most companies.\nBut as movie theaters open across the country and boost seating capacity, Wall Street is banking on a tremendous rebound in the top line.\nAnalysts polled by FactSet offer a consensus estimate of $375 million in second-quarter sales, up 1,884% from a minuscule $18.9 million in the year-ago quarter. Then they see sales rising an additional 561% in Q3 to $790 million and 575% in Q4 to $1.1 billion.\nWall Street expects net losses of $3.33 a share for 2021, a far cry from the unadjusted $39.15 it lost last year. And the Street sees net losses shrinking further in 2022, to 96 cents a share. Both estimates have gotten revised slightly upward, a bullish sign.\nWith big sales expected to arrive, you can expect cash flows to greatly improve.\nKey IBD Ratings\nThe last time AMC paid a dividend came on March 23, 2020, at 3 cents per common share. If the company were to resume this cash payout, shareholders could attain an annualized 0.9% yield at the current price near 14 a share.\nFor now, AMC scores poorly in many of IBD's proprietary ratings. Headed into Monday's trading, they include a 22Earnings Per Share Ratingon a scale of 1 to 99; an E for Sales + Profit Margins + Return on Equity (SMR) Rating; and a 56Composite Ratingon a scale of 1 (wizened) to 99 (wizardly).\nMeanwhile, AMC's movies industry group ranks in the top half of IBD's197 industry groupsin terms of six-month relative performance. Decent, but not outstanding. Mutual funds owning a stake in AMC rose to 203 at the end of March vs. 186 in Q4 of 2020. Some portfolio managers are eager to accumulate shares.\nAMC Stock Forecast\nWhen choosing growth stocks for the biggest potential gains based on theCAN SLIM investment paradigm, your chances of finding a true market leader improve when you focus on those with aComposite Ratingof 90 or higher. Shooting for a 95 or higher, particularly at the start of a new bull market, is even better.\nHowever, given that AMC stock is a turnaround play, it makes sense to place more emphasis on relative strength. AMC has that in spades.\nA 99Relative Strength Ratingon a scale of 1 to 99 means that the company has outperformed 99% of all stocks in the IBD database. Strong long-term performance? Indeed.The Accumulation/Distribution Rating, meanwhile, has jumped to a best-possible A+ grade on a scale of A to E.\nPlus, notice on the weekly chart and inMarketSmith, how therelative strength linehas been vaulting.\nThe RS line, drawn in blue, compares a stock or ETF's moves vs. the S&P 500.\nWhen a stock breaks out of anew base, prefer to see the RS line also running to new high ground. This means that a stock is now outperforming the general market.\nIn essence, AMC created a boxy cup-like base over the past two months. That's plenty of time for asolid cup patternto form. This pattern produces aproper buy pointof 10 cents above the cup's left-side peak of 14.54 on March 18. So in AMC stock's case, thecorrect entrystood at 14.64. You want to see heavy volume on the breakout.\nConclusion: Is It A Buy Now? Or A Sell?\nIn effect,AMC stockhas staged astrong breakouttwice last week.\nFirst, AMC had to surpass 14.64 before becoming a new buy. The May 18 attempt was short-lived. However, a 20% gain on May 25 sent shares zooming past theproper buy point.\nThe5% buy zonegoes up to 15.37, so the stock quickly got extended.\nAs always, control your risk. Not all breakouts work, especially when thestock market uptrend is under pressure. The best time to buy? When IBD notes the stock market in aconfirmed uptrend, it signifies that buying demand is healthy among institutional investors.\nIn stock investing, you want the wind at your back, not in your face.\nLast month, this story suggested keeping a close eye on how AMC stock handles potential upside resistance near 20. In fact, the action since that incredible week ended Jan. 29 could also be viewed as adeep cup pattern. From that vantage point, AMC delivered a second breakout, surpassing a new 20.46buy pointwith fury.\nTo get this additional entry in acup without handle, simply add 10 cents to the cup's left-side high — in this case, 20.36. On May 27, shares rifled past this entry and has not looked back. Still, with gains of as much as 501% in just two weeks, it makes sense to lock in at least partial profits.\nAnd after you buy any stock with solid prospects,don't forget the golden rule of investing. Keeping your losses small keeps you in the investing game for the long haul.\nYet at this point, AMC is sharply extended from anIBD-style entry point. Keep watching to see if a new base will form; this could set up a new breakout opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180513837,"gmtCreate":1623211816129,"gmtModify":1704198463272,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Hmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Hmmm","text":"$NIO 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Brokers(TIGR)$Wahah","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e5927469809f36de8a1647406e98d7c","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117665471","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114038578,"gmtCreate":1623034700594,"gmtModify":1704194727543,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go go","listText":"Go go go","text":"Go go go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114038578","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116250931,"gmtCreate":1622806273223,"gmtModify":1704191527488,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watch this stock","listText":"Watch this stock","text":"Watch this stock","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e3bb5936efdfe20a558a5f8ece90f4","width":"1125","height":"2590"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116250931","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":186924190,"gmtCreate":1623470449010,"gmtModify":1704204548707,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Good","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f098e74ad74540f9d71b615012be989","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186924190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123168950,"gmtCreate":1624412488370,"gmtModify":1703835876858,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay","listText":"Yay","text":"Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123168950","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145664330","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624403123,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145664330?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145664330","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Pow","content":"<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","POWL":"Powell Industries",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145664330","content_text":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.\nLed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.\nThe Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.\nThe MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.\n\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"\nTestifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.\n\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.\nPowell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.\nThe dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.\nOil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.\nBrent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.\nU.S. West Texas Intermediate $(WTI)$ crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.\nBitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.\nSpot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185664111,"gmtCreate":1623646756533,"gmtModify":1704207768164,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Go today","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Go today","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Go today","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f098e74ad74540f9d71b615012be989","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185664111","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166376991,"gmtCreate":1623994171913,"gmtModify":1703826026479,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$HOLD HOLD HOLD AND WE WILL GET THERE SOON! Go go go!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93df29f7fe6b0716995f0ec46bb67e1e","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166376991","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183486280,"gmtCreate":1623341066140,"gmtModify":1704201384596,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Dont worry","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Dont worry","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Dont worry","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dd5a95531b9a74d29a415674e576f62","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183486280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126358237,"gmtCreate":1624545422129,"gmtModify":1703840009756,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Woohooo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Woohooo","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Woohooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/879bf592b2b9649426b60ad1c409b454","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126358237","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183486398,"gmtCreate":1623341027014,"gmtModify":1704201383948,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nothing is impossible&nbsp;","listText":"Nothing is impossible&nbsp;","text":"Nothing is impossible","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183486398","repostId":"1107871315","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107871315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623315689,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107871315?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 17:01","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107871315","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.Alibaba has considerably more challenges on hand now than in early 2019 , yet the share price manages to be substantially higher.Drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1,000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027 if it crawls along with the support level.Alibaba's P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 ti","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.</li>\n <li>Alibaba has considerably more challenges on hand now than in early 2019 (U.S.-China trade war), yet the share price manages to be substantially higher.</li>\n <li>Drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1,000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027 if it crawls along with the support level.</li>\n <li>Alibaba's P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis (FY2026) and this is based on the current depressed environment.</li>\n <li>An investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>BABA stock is on sale</b></p>\n<p>Like the millions of items on its platforms, Alibaba Group (BABA) is on sale. Unfortunately, for many shareholders, the \"promotional period\" has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this as it allows them to continue adding to their shares.</p>\n<p>Regardless, as a writer on numerousChinese internet stockswhose share prices have remained depressed for months and reading the harsh comments, it can get disheartening. As a shareholder in several of them myself, I understand the emotions going through the mind.</p>\n<p>At the same time, there have been many wise readers and fellow authors who provided sound advice that keeps me on the path. For instance, Gary Alexander recently wrote regarding thetech sell-off:</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"When the selloff in the tech sector has proven to be this indiscriminate (good and bad, cheap and expensive stocks are all being sold off at roughly the same pace), it's our job as diligent investors to be extremely discerning in the buying opportunities that have surfaced.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>With BABA stock having given up all its gains in the past year, it's scant comfort to know the share price is still 58 percent higher than early 2019. Nevertheless, I am bringing this up because Alibaba was being shunned by investors then due to the headwinds from the U.S.-China trade war.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e90c1a30b5b83eb51c67338eab37cb5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Now that the e-commerce and cloud giant has considerably more challenges on hand, yet the share price manages to be substantially higher. This provides a glimpse into the possible future where Alibaba Group Holding Limited overcome its immediate struggles and investors clamor for its shares again.</p>\n<p>That said, how do we justify that BABA stock is on sale? Well, let's look at the valuation. Both Alibaba Group and its U.S. peer Amazon.com (AMZN) have delivered solid revenue and earnings growth in the past years. The improvement in business fundamentals has led investors in both companies to think it would only get tougher to achieve returns expected of a growth stock, compressing their price-earnings multiples.</p>\n<p>Looking at the more representative enterprise value to free cash flow [EV/FCF] ratio, it becomes apparent that the market is valuing Alibaba much lower than Amazon. The EV/FCF is only 16 times for Alibaba and 72 times for Amazon.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57bda237a374d7f6688c298b0fe9ae21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"493\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>With a 3-year revenue CAGR and a 5-year revenue CAGR above 40 percent, it's hard to argue Alibaba Group is not a growth stock. Amazon only managed to deliver around 30 percent CAGR for both its 3-year and 5-year revenues. For the last reported quarter, Alibaba scored a 64 percent increase in revenue. Its forward revenue growth of 35.3 percent surpasses that of Amazon as well.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>BABA</td>\n   <td>AMZN</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue Growth [YoY]</td>\n   <td><p>40.7%</p></td>\n   <td><p>41.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue Growth [FWD]</td>\n   <td><p>35.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>27.2%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue 3 Year [CAGR]</td>\n   <td><p>42.1%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue 5 Year [CAGR]</td>\n   <td><p>48.0%</p></td>\n   <td><p>29.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Premium (data extracted on June 6, 2021)</i></p>\n<p>During times of uncertainty, it is imperative that companies have plenty of liquidity. Alibaba has loads of cash. Its EV to net cash is at a low 11.5 times compared to 36.6 times for Amazon. In other words, Alibaba has much more cash at its disposal relative to Amazon when we compare the enterprise values of the two companies. With the financial heft to withstand regulatory changes and geopolitical headwinds, it seems BABA shares are now at a bargain.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba stock forecast</b></p>\n<p>The circumstances leading to the rough patch that Alibaba Group has found itself in are well-publicized. For the uninitiated, here are the key hurdles the company has faced:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Theeleventh-hour suspensionof the IPO of Ant Group, its fintech arm;</li>\n <li>The\"disappearance\" of Jack Ma, the flamboyant founder of Alibaba Group;</li>\n <li>Antimonopoly investigation on its e-commerce practices and the subsequentpenalty meted out;</li>\n <li>Restructuring of Ant Group such that its finance lending unit isregulated like a bank, crimping its valuation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Considering the earlier mentioned formidable headwinds, it might seem ludicrous to think BABA stock can hit $1000 per share, more than quadruple the current price. Nevertheless, drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027, if it crawls along with the support level.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00dc7dd1ce5e1c05708abe460be89359\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Yahoo Finance (chart drawn by ALT Perspective)</i></p>\n<p>Do note that I am not factoring in any share consolidation in the interim. I am also not considering the scenario that Alibaba becomes a meme stock which is possible since Redditors tend to promote stocks that are \"hated\" by the market. I am assuming the adage that the stock market is a weighing machine, in the long run, will come to fruition for BABA.</p>\n<p>Is that thought farfetched? Just a couple of months back, I would answer a categorical no. However, as you will see from the chart, BABA's share price has dipped below the long-term support line. Some stocks have experienced such a chart pattern and managed to return above the support-turned-resistance line. It would not be easy but it has happened.</p>\n<p>Of course, the question here is whether $1000 per share is something foreseeable in the future. I say yes, provided the stock can regain its composure and get back up to the multi-year trend line in the next few months or so. If the stock drifts further south instead, the recovery back to the long-term support line would be too onerous, not to mention to get back on the track to $1000.</p>\n<p>The consensus one-year price target for BABA is at $295.60, 37 percent above the prevailing price. Even if the price target does not get revised upwards through the rest of the year, hitting near that level would bring the share price well above the $278 where the support line will be at the end of 2021. This means it isn't that difficult for Alibaba to return to its uptrend.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8487c8f5276e6dd30d79d024833563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"478\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Is Alibaba a good long-term stock?</b></p>\n<p>It is common nowadays to read media headlines and comments about fund managers \"dumping BABA stock\". Thus, it came as a surprise to me that Alibaba Group Holding was ranked fifth among \"50 stocks that matter the most to hedge funds,\" according to the Goldman Sachs'Hedge Fund VIP List.</p>\n<p>As many as 77 funds with 10 to 200 positions have Alibaba Group in their portfolios as of 31 March 2021, way higher than the median of 44 for the other stocks. Alibaba even found itself in the top 10 holdings in 35 funds. The average portfolio weight of BABA stock in these funds was 6 percent, the same weighting as Amazon and Visa Inc. (V). The percentage of equity cap of Alibaba owned by hedge funds was 2 percent, also the same as Amazon.</p>\n<p>Masayoshi Son, the CEO of SoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) (OTCPK:SFTBF), recently commented that Alibaba is \"a great company, at a low price compared with its fundamentals.\" As SoftBank is a substantial shareholder of Alibaba, perhaps some readers are not convinced.</p>\n<p>However, Alibaba is becoming such a value stock that even \"Warren Buffett would love,\" according to a recent<i>Barron's</i>article. In a selection of high-scoring U.S. stocks from the Validea Buffett model, with market values above $10 billion, Alibaba Group was among the 10 finalists. Of particular note, it received a perfect score based on the Buffett model.</p>\n<p>What are we missing here? According to the consensus forecast, Alibaba is projected to double its earnings per share to nearly $20 in fiscal year ending March 2026, up from the $10.10 it reported in the fiscal year ending March 2021. Correspondingly, its P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis, if the share price stayed stagnant.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e98d8e98b1ce9bd2ec6a1275eb329f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</i></p>\n<p>If the share price does reach $1000, the P/E ratio would be more than 40 times. That would mean a rather rich valuation for Alibaba. However, we have to consider that the formidable headwinds facing the company have resulted in analysts churning out conservative numbers and price targets. As we can see from the following table, the EPS forecast is premised on the revenue growth steadily declining from the 5-year revenue CAGR of 48 percent to the low teens by 2026.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b2476ae016bd40d9b86476464121313\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</i></p>\n<p>When Alibaba Group continues to deliver steady revenue and earnings growth over the coming years, coupled with a potentialsustained change in narrative, the sentiment towards the stock could switch back to positive and we could once again see analysts revising their projections in reaction.</p>\n<p><b>Risk factors for Alibaba investors</b></p>\n<p>An investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones. First, its ADR shares are listed through a Variable Interest Entity [VIE] structure. Some analysts haveraised the concernthat the Chinese government could one day declare the VIE void and the shares could become worthless overnight technically.</p>\n<p>Rationally though, it does not make sense for Beijing to disavow the VIE structure. Listing on the U.S. markets enables its companies to secure funding for business growth which would, in turn, boost the Chinese economy as well as create jobs.</p>\n<p>Second, the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act [HFCAA]signed into lawon 18 December 2020 could result in BABA ADRs delisted from U.S. stock exchanges if Alibaba is unable to fulfill the conditions as stipulated in the Act. The company CFO, Maggie Wu, has expressed her confidence that Alibaba cancomply withthe requirements of the HFCAA.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the U.S. government can issue amendments to the Act as it hasdone soin March. There is no certainty that Alibaba would be able to meet all future changes to the HFCAA. Investors have to take such risks into consideration.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $1,000? What's The Outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 17:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433917-can-alibaba-stock-hit-1000><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.\nAlibaba has considerably more ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433917-can-alibaba-stock-hit-1000\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433917-can-alibaba-stock-hit-1000","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1107871315","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe \"promotional period\" for BABA shares has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this.\nAlibaba has considerably more challenges on hand now than in early 2019 (U.S.-China trade war), yet the share price manages to be substantially higher.\nDrawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1,000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027 if it crawls along with the support level.\nAlibaba's P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis (FY2026) and this is based on the current depressed environment.\nAn investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones.\n\nBABA stock is on sale\nLike the millions of items on its platforms, Alibaba Group (BABA) is on sale. Unfortunately, for many shareholders, the \"promotional period\" has gone on for too long and patience is wearing thin. On the other hand, there's a camp of investors who welcome this as it allows them to continue adding to their shares.\nRegardless, as a writer on numerousChinese internet stockswhose share prices have remained depressed for months and reading the harsh comments, it can get disheartening. As a shareholder in several of them myself, I understand the emotions going through the mind.\nAt the same time, there have been many wise readers and fellow authors who provided sound advice that keeps me on the path. For instance, Gary Alexander recently wrote regarding thetech sell-off:\n\n \"When the selloff in the tech sector has proven to be this indiscriminate (good and bad, cheap and expensive stocks are all being sold off at roughly the same pace), it's our job as diligent investors to be extremely discerning in the buying opportunities that have surfaced.\"\n\nWith BABA stock having given up all its gains in the past year, it's scant comfort to know the share price is still 58 percent higher than early 2019. Nevertheless, I am bringing this up because Alibaba was being shunned by investors then due to the headwinds from the U.S.-China trade war.\n\nNow that the e-commerce and cloud giant has considerably more challenges on hand, yet the share price manages to be substantially higher. This provides a glimpse into the possible future where Alibaba Group Holding Limited overcome its immediate struggles and investors clamor for its shares again.\nThat said, how do we justify that BABA stock is on sale? Well, let's look at the valuation. Both Alibaba Group and its U.S. peer Amazon.com (AMZN) have delivered solid revenue and earnings growth in the past years. The improvement in business fundamentals has led investors in both companies to think it would only get tougher to achieve returns expected of a growth stock, compressing their price-earnings multiples.\nLooking at the more representative enterprise value to free cash flow [EV/FCF] ratio, it becomes apparent that the market is valuing Alibaba much lower than Amazon. The EV/FCF is only 16 times for Alibaba and 72 times for Amazon.\n\nWith a 3-year revenue CAGR and a 5-year revenue CAGR above 40 percent, it's hard to argue Alibaba Group is not a growth stock. Amazon only managed to deliver around 30 percent CAGR for both its 3-year and 5-year revenues. For the last reported quarter, Alibaba scored a 64 percent increase in revenue. Its forward revenue growth of 35.3 percent surpasses that of Amazon as well.\n\n\n\nBABA\nAMZN\n\n\nRevenue Growth [YoY]\n40.7%\n41.5%\n\n\nRevenue Growth [FWD]\n35.3%\n27.2%\n\n\nRevenue 3 Year [CAGR]\n42.1%\n29.5%\n\n\nRevenue 5 Year [CAGR]\n48.0%\n29.9%\n\n\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha Premium (data extracted on June 6, 2021)\nDuring times of uncertainty, it is imperative that companies have plenty of liquidity. Alibaba has loads of cash. Its EV to net cash is at a low 11.5 times compared to 36.6 times for Amazon. In other words, Alibaba has much more cash at its disposal relative to Amazon when we compare the enterprise values of the two companies. With the financial heft to withstand regulatory changes and geopolitical headwinds, it seems BABA shares are now at a bargain.\nAlibaba stock forecast\nThe circumstances leading to the rough patch that Alibaba Group has found itself in are well-publicized. For the uninitiated, here are the key hurdles the company has faced:\n\nTheeleventh-hour suspensionof the IPO of Ant Group, its fintech arm;\nThe\"disappearance\" of Jack Ma, the flamboyant founder of Alibaba Group;\nAntimonopoly investigation on its e-commerce practices and the subsequentpenalty meted out;\nRestructuring of Ant Group such that its finance lending unit isregulated like a bank, crimping its valuation.\n\nConsidering the earlier mentioned formidable headwinds, it might seem ludicrous to think BABA stock can hit $1000 per share, more than quadruple the current price. Nevertheless, drawing a straightforward trend line price chart, BABA shares could reach $1000 sometime in the first quarter of 2027, if it crawls along with the support level.\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance (chart drawn by ALT Perspective)\nDo note that I am not factoring in any share consolidation in the interim. I am also not considering the scenario that Alibaba becomes a meme stock which is possible since Redditors tend to promote stocks that are \"hated\" by the market. I am assuming the adage that the stock market is a weighing machine, in the long run, will come to fruition for BABA.\nIs that thought farfetched? Just a couple of months back, I would answer a categorical no. However, as you will see from the chart, BABA's share price has dipped below the long-term support line. Some stocks have experienced such a chart pattern and managed to return above the support-turned-resistance line. It would not be easy but it has happened.\nOf course, the question here is whether $1000 per share is something foreseeable in the future. I say yes, provided the stock can regain its composure and get back up to the multi-year trend line in the next few months or so. If the stock drifts further south instead, the recovery back to the long-term support line would be too onerous, not to mention to get back on the track to $1000.\nThe consensus one-year price target for BABA is at $295.60, 37 percent above the prevailing price. Even if the price target does not get revised upwards through the rest of the year, hitting near that level would bring the share price well above the $278 where the support line will be at the end of 2021. This means it isn't that difficult for Alibaba to return to its uptrend.\n\nIs Alibaba a good long-term stock?\nIt is common nowadays to read media headlines and comments about fund managers \"dumping BABA stock\". Thus, it came as a surprise to me that Alibaba Group Holding was ranked fifth among \"50 stocks that matter the most to hedge funds,\" according to the Goldman Sachs'Hedge Fund VIP List.\nAs many as 77 funds with 10 to 200 positions have Alibaba Group in their portfolios as of 31 March 2021, way higher than the median of 44 for the other stocks. Alibaba even found itself in the top 10 holdings in 35 funds. The average portfolio weight of BABA stock in these funds was 6 percent, the same weighting as Amazon and Visa Inc. (V). The percentage of equity cap of Alibaba owned by hedge funds was 2 percent, also the same as Amazon.\nMasayoshi Son, the CEO of SoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) (OTCPK:SFTBF), recently commented that Alibaba is \"a great company, at a low price compared with its fundamentals.\" As SoftBank is a substantial shareholder of Alibaba, perhaps some readers are not convinced.\nHowever, Alibaba is becoming such a value stock that even \"Warren Buffett would love,\" according to a recentBarron'sarticle. In a selection of high-scoring U.S. stocks from the Validea Buffett model, with market values above $10 billion, Alibaba Group was among the 10 finalists. Of particular note, it received a perfect score based on the Buffett model.\nWhat are we missing here? According to the consensus forecast, Alibaba is projected to double its earnings per share to nearly $20 in fiscal year ending March 2026, up from the $10.10 it reported in the fiscal year ending March 2021. Correspondingly, its P/E ratio would compress to a mere 11 times on a forward basis, if the share price stayed stagnant.\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha Premium\nIf the share price does reach $1000, the P/E ratio would be more than 40 times. That would mean a rather rich valuation for Alibaba. However, we have to consider that the formidable headwinds facing the company have resulted in analysts churning out conservative numbers and price targets. As we can see from the following table, the EPS forecast is premised on the revenue growth steadily declining from the 5-year revenue CAGR of 48 percent to the low teens by 2026.\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha Premium\nWhen Alibaba Group continues to deliver steady revenue and earnings growth over the coming years, coupled with a potentialsustained change in narrative, the sentiment towards the stock could switch back to positive and we could once again see analysts revising their projections in reaction.\nRisk factors for Alibaba investors\nAn investment in Alibaba has several risk factors and I wish to highlight two key ones. First, its ADR shares are listed through a Variable Interest Entity [VIE] structure. Some analysts haveraised the concernthat the Chinese government could one day declare the VIE void and the shares could become worthless overnight technically.\nRationally though, it does not make sense for Beijing to disavow the VIE structure. Listing on the U.S. markets enables its companies to secure funding for business growth which would, in turn, boost the Chinese economy as well as create jobs.\nSecond, the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act [HFCAA]signed into lawon 18 December 2020 could result in BABA ADRs delisted from U.S. stock exchanges if Alibaba is unable to fulfill the conditions as stipulated in the Act. The company CFO, Maggie Wu, has expressed her confidence that Alibaba cancomply withthe requirements of the HFCAA.\nNevertheless, the U.S. government can issue amendments to the Act as it hasdone soin March. There is no certainty that Alibaba would be able to meet all future changes to the HFCAA. Investors have to take such risks into consideration.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188838557,"gmtCreate":1623427375979,"gmtModify":1704203534570,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Good","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf44cea094d502eca74aa140d5675d2","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188838557","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184589006,"gmtCreate":1623718668005,"gmtModify":1704209392154,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Expected","listText":"Expected","text":"Expected","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184589006","repostId":"2143733744","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143733744","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623717601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143733744?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143733744","media":"Reuters","summary":"LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall televisi","content":"<p>LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by \"double-digits\" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, Chief Executive Bob Chapek said on Monday.</p>\n<p>About 40% of sales during the \"upfront\" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney CEO says 40% of upfront ad sales went to streaming or digital\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-15 08:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by \"double-digits\" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, Chief Executive Bob Chapek said on Monday.</p>\n<p>About 40% of sales during the \"upfront\" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143733744","content_text":"LOS ANGELES, June 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co's advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by \"double-digits\" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, Chief Executive Bob Chapek said on Monday.\nAbout 40% of sales during the \"upfront\" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180513837,"gmtCreate":1623211816129,"gmtModify":1704198463272,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Hmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Hmmm","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Hmmm","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dc638c3c962c3c8af2fded682e510b8","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/180513837","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116250931,"gmtCreate":1622806273223,"gmtModify":1704191527488,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watch this stock","listText":"Watch this stock","text":"Watch this stock","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e3bb5936efdfe20a558a5f8ece90f4","width":"1125","height":"2590"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116250931","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116227537,"gmtCreate":1622806244429,"gmtModify":1704191526999,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ENPH\">$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$</a>Go go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ENPH\">$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$</a>Go go","text":"$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$Go go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4fe772e1c49815d497d5a7c42bddc3a","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116227537","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123163496,"gmtCreate":1624412467815,"gmtModify":1703835875883,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay","listText":"Yay","text":"Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123163496","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145664330","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624403123,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145664330?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145664330","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Pow","content":"<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","POWL":"Powell Industries",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145664330","content_text":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.\nLed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.\nThe Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.\nThe MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.\n\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"\nTestifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.\n\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.\nPowell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.\nThe dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.\nOil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.\nBrent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.\nU.S. West Texas Intermediate $(WTI)$ crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.\nBitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.\nSpot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118529131,"gmtCreate":1622739959823,"gmtModify":1704190296746,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>going back up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>going back up","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$going back up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20713eaa0255609c5b5a5e699f2bc28b","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118529131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160160597,"gmtCreate":1623775094719,"gmtModify":1703819179237,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lets play this","listText":"Lets play this","text":"Lets play this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160160597","repostId":"114899451","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114899451,"gmtCreate":1623063308869,"gmtModify":1704195267674,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎7週年】集卡瓜分百萬獎金","htmlText":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可參與活動</a> &#x1;如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。&#x1;如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。&#x1; 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","listText":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可參與活動</a> &#x1;如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。&#x1;如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。&#x1; 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","text":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ 戳我即可參與活動 \u0001如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。\u0001如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。\u0001 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd956a9c2fc9ee609753ae5f967072a7","width":"415","height":"616"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe0400cc487fb56f85d401ab03df4d5e","width":"415","height":"356"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118565144,"gmtCreate":1622739755488,"gmtModify":1704190291888,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reading these&nbsp;","listText":"Reading these&nbsp;","text":"Reading these","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118565144","repostId":"1171251318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171251318","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622733765,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171251318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JD.com: Its Business Model Is Deserving Of Its Current Valuation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171251318","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nJD is often branded as the most “undervalued” stock of all its e-commerce peers by growth a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>JD is often branded as the most “undervalued” stock of all its e-commerce peers by growth and value investors alike.</li>\n <li>Even though the company’s revenue growth rates have impressed, its operating performances have not really been on par.</li>\n <li>I discuss why JD’s current valuations reflect the reality of its business model, and what growth and value investors should focus on to value the company.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bc39a30a57f05b994781d4a3a51c0de\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1092\"><span>Photo by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>JD.com's (JD) low EV/Revenue multiples have often baffled growth and value investors. The relatively high revenue growth rates that the investors have grown accustomed to in the rapidly expanding Chinese e-commerce market has not cascaded down to its market cap as compared to its peers. I attempt to present my opinion on why JD may have exhibited a high revenue growth profile, but not necessarily the operating performances to match its peers.</p>\n<p><b>JD's Incredibly Low Revenue Multiples</b></p>\n<p>The company has often been compared to Amazon (AMZN) in its early days or even compared to Shopify (SHOP) for having a revenue multiple that's way lower, and therefore implying a better buy.</p>\n<p>However when I looked under the hood into JD's business model and its operating performances, I found enough underlying weaknesses in JD's business model that perhaps indicate why the market continues to value JD at such low multiples despite having posted impressive growth rates.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd8c028415efa231c377fb5f68a00858\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"844\"><span>LTM Revenue Growth &amp; Price / LTM Sales. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>As we can see from the chart above, JD has posted remarkable YoY revenue growth rates for the last 5 years, the \"slowest\" one being 22.7%. In fact, JD's LTM revenue growth rate has been accelerating recently, reaching 33.3% at the recent quarter. Despite that, its EV / LTM Rev multiple has consistently been under 1.1x, marking its strong appeal as a \"cheap\" growth stock.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5429847bb5cdb8de25028528ae70f6a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"811\"><span>Price/LTM Sales Percentile. Source: Tiger Brokers</span></p>\n<p>In fact, JD's Price/LTM sales is currently at the 32nd percentile when we compare its multiples over the last 5 years, potentially even creating opportunities for value investors who may be on the lookout for a \"next Amazon\" type of stock that is selling for a real bargain now.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a33a3a8b9c3f7cfd6393fb14a77852c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"776\"><span>JD and AMZN Market Cap, LTM Revenue, Revenue 3Y CAGR, EV / LTM Rev. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>A quick glance over to Alibaba's (BABA) metrics unveil some interesting observations. Even though BABA's market cap is close to 5x that of JD's, BABA actually reported a lower LTM revenue (89% of JD's LTM revenue) than JD. In fact, BABA has reported lower revenue figures than JD over the last 5 years (see chart below). Both BABA and JD are revenue growth machines, with BABA's 3Y CAGR of 42% and JD's 3Y CAGR of 27.2%. Despite JD's impressive revenue growth, BABA is valued at 5.5x more than JD here based on their respective revenue multiples, which therefore raises the question of whether the market has unreasonably valued JD too low than what it actually deserves?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09064245a10bfce0ca518de2ba958e28\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"774\"><span>BABA &amp; JD LTM Revenue Trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ad67e5be6dba93461b1cb1813d0aa8\" tg-width=\"1257\" tg-height=\"474\"><span>JD Annual Active Customer Count. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b156a6b3eb509a01ef58375a4d035718\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>JD Annual Active Customer YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>In fact, JD has been improving its active customer growth since Q3'19 as prior to that, JD had in fact suffered dramatic declines over multiple consecutive quarters of slowing customer growth. This coincided with the company's foray into&nbsp;Jingxi in 2019, which is the company's answer to Pinduoduo (PDD). The management also emphasized that: \"In the past 12 months, we gained 112 million new active users, with over&nbsp;80% coming from lower-tier markets.\" Therefore quite clearly, Jingxi's customer growth has been the impetus behind the strong quarters of ARPC growth for JD.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16b3ae3a7907e114e3e3874b5f7d2851\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"595\"><span>JD Average Revenue Per Active Customer. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a17b7b3775c0d8c1ab4b05856429210\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>JD Average Revenue Per Active Customer YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>When we zoomed into the company's average revenue per active customer metrics, we could see that the underlying growth (up 11.7% YoY at the recent quarter) has been relatively healthy as well while the company continues to scale up its customer growth through the lower-tier markets.</p>\n<p><b>Okay, then how does JD's Operating Performances look like?</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/365fbee247a722170a072c2dc2b83e38\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"703\"><span>EBIT Margin, CFO Margin, FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>I had mentioned before in&nbsp;my article here&nbsp;for Coupang (CPNG), that for businesses that are potentially highly scalable such as JD's, we do not have to necessarily worry about the company's low operating margin business model as long as they are able to scale up quickly towards high FCF profitability. JD has always been operating with low operating margin (LTM EBIT margin of 1.2%), as that's the nature of its business model. Despite that, the company has still been able to generate relatively healthy FCF margins (LTM FCF margin 2.7%). Investors also shouldn't expect SaaS like FCF margins here as the business model is entirely different and JD is obviously going after those huge GMV growth. What we want to see though is whether the company is able to continue generating fast-growing and highly sustainable FCF moving forward.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b36f757fa706b6f349f44add10229761\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"708\"><span>Peers Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/328507a06929411b3b72e85c8c8169b2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"693\"><span>Peers Projected Unlevered FCF 5Y CAGR. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>The problem arose when I tried to model JD's FCF growth moving forward. Quite clearly, JD does not seem to be able to improve its FCF margin strongly over time, with the projected FCF margins largely still in line with the historical ones.</p>\n<p>That isn't something that we would like to see in a growth stock. Moreover the company's projected FCF margins are simply too low to be even classified as a cash flow machine. When we compare JD with its peers, we can clearly see that all of them, including AMZN are projected to generate very strong FCF growth moving forward, with JD's 5Y CAGR of 19.4% coming in last here. JD doesn't seem to be able to leverage on its relatively fast revenue growth to expand its FCF generating prowess as compared to its peers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34da8b0865452a029c93f57dc8104697\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"684\"><span>Non-Peers Projected Unlevered FCF 5Y CAGR &amp; Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>In order to help investors better understand what I mean, we can refer to the chart above to give an idea of what I meant as companies who are already in relatively stable growth stages with highly sustainable FCF margins as we model their FCF growth profile. It may be argued that Facebook (FB) is still a growth stock (but no longer as high growth as it once was) as it's still expected to generate relatively high FCF growth moving forward while commanding a remarkably high FCF margin as well. In addition, we could also see clearly that stable players often preferred by value investors such as Microsoft (MSFT), Qualcomm (QCOM) and Cisco (CSCO) are also expected to carry forward their high FCF margins moving forward. In contrast, JD's low 2.7% 5-year average FCF margin doesn't qualify it as a high quality stable stock for value investors to consider.</p>\n<p><b>What about JD's Growth Drivers?</b></p>\n<p>Now the interesting thing here is that JD has maintained that its business is still running at the \"high-growth\" stage as it emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n First of all, we&nbsp;prioritize growth above the importance of profitabilitybecause across all of our business lines, we are still in the high-growth stage. But each segment or each business line is actually in a different development stage. So we have kind of a differentiated investment strategy. So for JD Retail, we still -- you can see that for the first quarter and in the past few quarters, they continue to maintain a high-growth rate.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The management also added that they would likely continue to benefit from improved economies of scale and operating leverage as they bank on the rapid expansion of JD's retail business, allowing the company to continue improving its long term profit margin over time.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8477039f4b9693704cbbaf64530da052\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"706\"><span>JD LTM EBIT Margin &amp; Projected EBIT Margin, LTM Unlevered FCF Margin &amp; Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>In order to be clear of that, when I modelled JD's EBIT margin and FCF margin growth, I find it hard pressed to have agreement with the management's point of expecting sustained improvement in their operating performance over time as they scale up rapidly. First, the company is already coming off a very low base of EBIT (LTM EBIT margin: 1.2%) and FCF profitability (LTM Unlevered FCF margin: 0.8%), therefore I think it's not unreasonable to expect the company to post a significant improvement to its FCF profitability over time. However, as we can see above, those EBIT margin improvements don't really seem to cascade down to its FCF bottomline.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34fa89d4e61ac3e70091cc064b4dc51a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"626\"><span>JD Q1'21 Segment Revenue. Source:JD 6-K</span></p>\n<p>It's important to note that JD retail is the company's main revenue and profit driver, accounting for 91% of Q1'21 revenue, while also subsidizing the losses from its other segments (one of which was JD Logistics which has already been spun off recently). It's difficult to see how its forays into its new businesses can be reasonably sustained over time when they don't have a highly profitable cash flow driver in JD Retail.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85c510c5f8c49a1fde429fcbe1892c30\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"704\"><span>AMZN EBIT Margin &amp; Projected EBIT Margin, Unlevered FCF Margin &amp; Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dcf33c4272b764cbad4a64cca5bdbfd\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"711\"><span>Sea Limited EBIT Margin &amp; Projected EBIT Margin, Unlevered FCF Margin &amp; Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>We could refer to the above charts to see how important it's to have highly profitable cash flow segments to drive its operating performances even as the companies continue to scale up: AMZN with its AWS segment, as well as Sea's (SE) Garena segment, which I had covered in a&nbsp;recent article here. This cash flow segments allow them to reinvest into its highly scalable e-commerce segments and over time significantly improve their overall cash flow and EBIT profile. JD's business model certainly doesn't have the luxury of relying on such a segment to drive its growth, and therefore it's reflected clearly in its operating performances moving forward.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ec37dd8957f5cadcf9615fa414bb78d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"726\"><span>Peers Consensus Analysts Upside &amp; EV / FY+1 Rev. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>If we simply base off JD's expected revenue growth, there's little doubt that JD seems to be valued at fire sale prices now. However, as mentioned earlier in the article, JD has always been valued at very low EV / Rev multiples historically as compared to its peers. In addition, the Street also remains highly confident of JD's upside potential (35.6%) as compared to its peers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56bd8f33da9baab688b59439b44a827b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"709\"><span>JD &amp; SE Ev / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx) Trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence</span></p>\n<p>As I have emphasized earlier, using revenue figures to look at JD's growth potential may not accurately reflect the company's scalability potential. Here, we can see how SE's high potential to scale is clearly reflected in its FCF profile, where I use (EBITDA - CapEx) as a proxy here to remove the effects of lumpy working capital changes. SE's valuations are expected to come down significantly as it scales across South East Asia, generating lots of cash flow in the process. However, JD on the other hand doesn't seem to be quite as attractively valued as compared to SE when we project their growth rates forward.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action &amp; Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98b516b4268fe8418e750d8717769eaf\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"798\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p>\n<p>A silver lining here is that JD's long term uptrend remains intact despite the sell-off in Chinese stocks in Feb 21 that saw JD's stock price fall about 30% from its high. There are a few support levels that investors can focus on, most notably, the $70 support level that saw strong buying interest, as well as the $59 support level. The bulls are trying to retake the $79 support level which coincides with the dynamic resistance level marked by the 50-period MA at the moment. Therefore, investors who wish to add or initiate their positions may consider adding somewhere near the $70 level, and the $59 level if it retraces further, while avoiding adding near $79 in the near term.</p>\n<p>For Chinese stocks, the Chinese and U.S. regulators will likely remain as the most important near term risk that may cause further compressions in its stock prices. However, as a long term investor who is still bullish on JD, I don't see that as a risk per se, but instead as an opportunity to add further into stocks like JD who in my opinion is fairly valued, and not expensive. The more the stock falls in the future due to policy changes or stiff rules from Beijing or Washington, the more attractive it will get for long term investors who have yet to initiate a position.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping it all up</b></p>\n<p>I'm a JD shareholder, and likely to remain so moving forward. What I had wanted to present in this article is to demonstrate why JD continues to trade at such low revenue multiples even as it continues to power ahead in its revenue growth. Investors should understand that although from the price action point of view JD I don't consider JD as a value trap, but I also don't consider JD as very attractive right now. It certainly deserves its current valuation and growth investors should taper their expectations in seeing the stock race ahead in the coming years.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD.com: Its Business Model Is Deserving Of Its Current Valuation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD.com: Its Business Model Is Deserving Of Its Current Valuation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432860-jd-com-business-model-deserving-current-valuation><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nJD is often branded as the most “undervalued” stock of all its e-commerce peers by growth and value investors alike.\nEven though the company’s revenue growth rates have impressed, its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432860-jd-com-business-model-deserving-current-valuation\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432860-jd-com-business-model-deserving-current-valuation","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171251318","content_text":"Summary\n\nJD is often branded as the most “undervalued” stock of all its e-commerce peers by growth and value investors alike.\nEven though the company’s revenue growth rates have impressed, its operating performances have not really been on par.\nI discuss why JD’s current valuations reflect the reality of its business model, and what growth and value investors should focus on to value the company.\n\nPhoto by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nJD.com's (JD) low EV/Revenue multiples have often baffled growth and value investors. The relatively high revenue growth rates that the investors have grown accustomed to in the rapidly expanding Chinese e-commerce market has not cascaded down to its market cap as compared to its peers. I attempt to present my opinion on why JD may have exhibited a high revenue growth profile, but not necessarily the operating performances to match its peers.\nJD's Incredibly Low Revenue Multiples\nThe company has often been compared to Amazon (AMZN) in its early days or even compared to Shopify (SHOP) for having a revenue multiple that's way lower, and therefore implying a better buy.\nHowever when I looked under the hood into JD's business model and its operating performances, I found enough underlying weaknesses in JD's business model that perhaps indicate why the market continues to value JD at such low multiples despite having posted impressive growth rates.\nLTM Revenue Growth & Price / LTM Sales. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nAs we can see from the chart above, JD has posted remarkable YoY revenue growth rates for the last 5 years, the \"slowest\" one being 22.7%. In fact, JD's LTM revenue growth rate has been accelerating recently, reaching 33.3% at the recent quarter. Despite that, its EV / LTM Rev multiple has consistently been under 1.1x, marking its strong appeal as a \"cheap\" growth stock.\nPrice/LTM Sales Percentile. Source: Tiger Brokers\nIn fact, JD's Price/LTM sales is currently at the 32nd percentile when we compare its multiples over the last 5 years, potentially even creating opportunities for value investors who may be on the lookout for a \"next Amazon\" type of stock that is selling for a real bargain now.\nJD and AMZN Market Cap, LTM Revenue, Revenue 3Y CAGR, EV / LTM Rev. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nA quick glance over to Alibaba's (BABA) metrics unveil some interesting observations. Even though BABA's market cap is close to 5x that of JD's, BABA actually reported a lower LTM revenue (89% of JD's LTM revenue) than JD. In fact, BABA has reported lower revenue figures than JD over the last 5 years (see chart below). Both BABA and JD are revenue growth machines, with BABA's 3Y CAGR of 42% and JD's 3Y CAGR of 27.2%. Despite JD's impressive revenue growth, BABA is valued at 5.5x more than JD here based on their respective revenue multiples, which therefore raises the question of whether the market has unreasonably valued JD too low than what it actually deserves?\nBABA & JD LTM Revenue Trend. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nJD Annual Active Customer Count. Data Source: Company Filings\nJD Annual Active Customer YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nIn fact, JD has been improving its active customer growth since Q3'19 as prior to that, JD had in fact suffered dramatic declines over multiple consecutive quarters of slowing customer growth. This coincided with the company's foray into Jingxi in 2019, which is the company's answer to Pinduoduo (PDD). The management also emphasized that: \"In the past 12 months, we gained 112 million new active users, with over 80% coming from lower-tier markets.\" Therefore quite clearly, Jingxi's customer growth has been the impetus behind the strong quarters of ARPC growth for JD.\nJD Average Revenue Per Active Customer. Data Source: Company Filings\nJD Average Revenue Per Active Customer YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWhen we zoomed into the company's average revenue per active customer metrics, we could see that the underlying growth (up 11.7% YoY at the recent quarter) has been relatively healthy as well while the company continues to scale up its customer growth through the lower-tier markets.\nOkay, then how does JD's Operating Performances look like?\nEBIT Margin, CFO Margin, FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nI had mentioned before in my article here for Coupang (CPNG), that for businesses that are potentially highly scalable such as JD's, we do not have to necessarily worry about the company's low operating margin business model as long as they are able to scale up quickly towards high FCF profitability. JD has always been operating with low operating margin (LTM EBIT margin of 1.2%), as that's the nature of its business model. Despite that, the company has still been able to generate relatively healthy FCF margins (LTM FCF margin 2.7%). Investors also shouldn't expect SaaS like FCF margins here as the business model is entirely different and JD is obviously going after those huge GMV growth. What we want to see though is whether the company is able to continue generating fast-growing and highly sustainable FCF moving forward.\nPeers Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nPeers Projected Unlevered FCF 5Y CAGR. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nThe problem arose when I tried to model JD's FCF growth moving forward. Quite clearly, JD does not seem to be able to improve its FCF margin strongly over time, with the projected FCF margins largely still in line with the historical ones.\nThat isn't something that we would like to see in a growth stock. Moreover the company's projected FCF margins are simply too low to be even classified as a cash flow machine. When we compare JD with its peers, we can clearly see that all of them, including AMZN are projected to generate very strong FCF growth moving forward, with JD's 5Y CAGR of 19.4% coming in last here. JD doesn't seem to be able to leverage on its relatively fast revenue growth to expand its FCF generating prowess as compared to its peers.\nNon-Peers Projected Unlevered FCF 5Y CAGR & Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nIn order to help investors better understand what I mean, we can refer to the chart above to give an idea of what I meant as companies who are already in relatively stable growth stages with highly sustainable FCF margins as we model their FCF growth profile. It may be argued that Facebook (FB) is still a growth stock (but no longer as high growth as it once was) as it's still expected to generate relatively high FCF growth moving forward while commanding a remarkably high FCF margin as well. In addition, we could also see clearly that stable players often preferred by value investors such as Microsoft (MSFT), Qualcomm (QCOM) and Cisco (CSCO) are also expected to carry forward their high FCF margins moving forward. In contrast, JD's low 2.7% 5-year average FCF margin doesn't qualify it as a high quality stable stock for value investors to consider.\nWhat about JD's Growth Drivers?\nNow the interesting thing here is that JD has maintained that its business is still running at the \"high-growth\" stage as it emphasized:\n\n First of all, we prioritize growth above the importance of profitabilitybecause across all of our business lines, we are still in the high-growth stage. But each segment or each business line is actually in a different development stage. So we have kind of a differentiated investment strategy. So for JD Retail, we still -- you can see that for the first quarter and in the past few quarters, they continue to maintain a high-growth rate.\n\nThe management also added that they would likely continue to benefit from improved economies of scale and operating leverage as they bank on the rapid expansion of JD's retail business, allowing the company to continue improving its long term profit margin over time.\nJD LTM EBIT Margin & Projected EBIT Margin, LTM Unlevered FCF Margin & Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nIn order to be clear of that, when I modelled JD's EBIT margin and FCF margin growth, I find it hard pressed to have agreement with the management's point of expecting sustained improvement in their operating performance over time as they scale up rapidly. First, the company is already coming off a very low base of EBIT (LTM EBIT margin: 1.2%) and FCF profitability (LTM Unlevered FCF margin: 0.8%), therefore I think it's not unreasonable to expect the company to post a significant improvement to its FCF profitability over time. However, as we can see above, those EBIT margin improvements don't really seem to cascade down to its FCF bottomline.\nJD Q1'21 Segment Revenue. Source:JD 6-K\nIt's important to note that JD retail is the company's main revenue and profit driver, accounting for 91% of Q1'21 revenue, while also subsidizing the losses from its other segments (one of which was JD Logistics which has already been spun off recently). It's difficult to see how its forays into its new businesses can be reasonably sustained over time when they don't have a highly profitable cash flow driver in JD Retail.\nAMZN EBIT Margin & Projected EBIT Margin, Unlevered FCF Margin & Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nSea Limited EBIT Margin & Projected EBIT Margin, Unlevered FCF Margin & Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nWe could refer to the above charts to see how important it's to have highly profitable cash flow segments to drive its operating performances even as the companies continue to scale up: AMZN with its AWS segment, as well as Sea's (SE) Garena segment, which I had covered in a recent article here. This cash flow segments allow them to reinvest into its highly scalable e-commerce segments and over time significantly improve their overall cash flow and EBIT profile. JD's business model certainly doesn't have the luxury of relying on such a segment to drive its growth, and therefore it's reflected clearly in its operating performances moving forward.\nValuations\nPeers Consensus Analysts Upside & EV / FY+1 Rev. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nIf we simply base off JD's expected revenue growth, there's little doubt that JD seems to be valued at fire sale prices now. However, as mentioned earlier in the article, JD has always been valued at very low EV / Rev multiples historically as compared to its peers. In addition, the Street also remains highly confident of JD's upside potential (35.6%) as compared to its peers.\nJD & SE Ev / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx) Trend. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence\nAs I have emphasized earlier, using revenue figures to look at JD's growth potential may not accurately reflect the company's scalability potential. Here, we can see how SE's high potential to scale is clearly reflected in its FCF profile, where I use (EBITDA - CapEx) as a proxy here to remove the effects of lumpy working capital changes. SE's valuations are expected to come down significantly as it scales across South East Asia, generating lots of cash flow in the process. However, JD on the other hand doesn't seem to be quite as attractively valued as compared to SE when we project their growth rates forward.\nPrice Action & Technical Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nA silver lining here is that JD's long term uptrend remains intact despite the sell-off in Chinese stocks in Feb 21 that saw JD's stock price fall about 30% from its high. There are a few support levels that investors can focus on, most notably, the $70 support level that saw strong buying interest, as well as the $59 support level. The bulls are trying to retake the $79 support level which coincides with the dynamic resistance level marked by the 50-period MA at the moment. Therefore, investors who wish to add or initiate their positions may consider adding somewhere near the $70 level, and the $59 level if it retraces further, while avoiding adding near $79 in the near term.\nFor Chinese stocks, the Chinese and U.S. regulators will likely remain as the most important near term risk that may cause further compressions in its stock prices. However, as a long term investor who is still bullish on JD, I don't see that as a risk per se, but instead as an opportunity to add further into stocks like JD who in my opinion is fairly valued, and not expensive. The more the stock falls in the future due to policy changes or stiff rules from Beijing or Washington, the more attractive it will get for long term investors who have yet to initiate a position.\nWrapping it all up\nI'm a JD shareholder, and likely to remain so moving forward. What I had wanted to present in this article is to demonstrate why JD continues to trade at such low revenue multiples even as it continues to power ahead in its revenue growth. Investors should understand that although from the price action point of view JD I don't consider JD as a value trap, but I also don't consider JD as very attractive right now. It certainly deserves its current valuation and growth investors should taper their expectations in seeing the stock race ahead in the coming years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118562151,"gmtCreate":1622739696573,"gmtModify":1704190290915,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really?","listText":"Really?","text":"Really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118562151","repostId":"1143150601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143150601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622729801,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143150601?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 22:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These are the next Reddit stocks to watch, according to Bank of America","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143150601","media":"CNBC","summary":"The meme-stock craze is carrying on, and Bank of America is flagging the new stocks getting attentio","content":"<div>\n<p>The meme-stock craze is carrying on, and Bank of America is flagging the new stocks getting attention from the Reddit crowd.\nMeme stocks — names favored by retail traders on Reddit’s WallStreetBets ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/these-are-the-next-reddit-stocks-to-watch-says-bank-of-america.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These are the next Reddit stocks to watch, according to Bank of America</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese are the next Reddit stocks to watch, according to Bank of America\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 22:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/these-are-the-next-reddit-stocks-to-watch-says-bank-of-america.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The meme-stock craze is carrying on, and Bank of America is flagging the new stocks getting attention from the Reddit crowd.\nMeme stocks — names favored by retail traders on Reddit’s WallStreetBets ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/these-are-the-next-reddit-stocks-to-watch-says-bank-of-america.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","ASO":"Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.","SPCE":"维珍银河","GDP":"古德里奇","Z":"Zillow","CLNE":"Clean Energy Fuels Corp","NTUS":"纳图斯医疗","ATH":"Athene Holding Ltd","GOOD":"格拉德斯通商业","GME":"游戏驿站","AAL":"美国航空","PLUG":"普拉格能源","AM":"Antero Midstream Corporation","AMC":"AMC院线","FCF":"第一联邦金融","BCRX":"BioCryst制药"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/03/these-are-the-next-reddit-stocks-to-watch-says-bank-of-america.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1143150601","content_text":"The meme-stock craze is carrying on, and Bank of America is flagging the new stocks getting attention from the Reddit crowd.\nMeme stocks — names favored by retail traders on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — are on the rise again this week, led by AMC Entertainment, which is up 87% this week alone. The movie theater company announced Thursday it will sell 11.5 million shares, after the stock closed at an all-time high of $62.55 on Wednesday. AMC Entertainment dropped by as much as 30% on Thursday morning and trading was halted briefly for volatility.\nThe Reddit target said recent volatility and the level of AMC’s stock “reflect market and trading dynamics unrelated to our underlying business,” according to a filing it made with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Yet, investors keep piling into the heavily-shorted name.\nIn the past few weeks, Bank of America has been identifying the potential up-and-coming WallStreetBets targets by analyzing for clients how many mentions each stock gets on Reddit, among other things like short interest – that is, the number of shares that have been sold short by investors.\nThe Wall Street firm gave clients an updated list of the top small- to mid-cap stocks to watch during the return of the meme stock craze. The listed names have the most mentions on Reddit and short interest above the 5% average for the S&P 500 in the past week.\nTake a look at the list here.\nSource: Bank of America\nAMC remains No. 1 on the meme stocks list. WallStreetBets mentions have continued to rise for the third week for the movie theater stock with more than 5,000 comments since Wednesday, May 26. Mentions are at their highest levels since February, in the aftermath of GameStop’s epic short squeeze.\nBank of America told clients AMC’s more than 2,000% rally in 2021 could start losing steam.\n“AMC exhibits all three signposts that its rally could be nearing an end (acceleration in price and stock volume, increase in volatility, and a turn lower in the call-to put volume ratio),” Bank of America equity and quant strategist Jill Carey Hall told clients in a note.\nGameStop is still the second most-mentioned stock on Reddit. However, online comments continue to tick down. The stock had more than 3,600 mentions two weeks ago and about 2,670 comments in the past week.\nGameStop and AMC still have 21% of their float shares sold short, according to Bank of America, compared with an average of 5% short interest in a typical U.S. stock.\nNew members on the list are online real estate marketplace Zillow Group and retailer Bed Bath and Beyond.\nZillow got 50 mentions and Bed Bath and Beyond got 24 mentions on Reddit in the past week. Plus, Zillow has 13% and Bed Bath & beyond has 32% of their float shares sold short, according to Bank of America.\n“Among those with high short interest, Zillow (Z) made our top 20 screen for the first time in our dataset since August. And Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – one of January’s ‘up-crash’ stocks, made the top 20 for the first time since early Feb. and shares have begun to surge again this week,” said Hall.\nShares of Bed Bath & Beyond are up about 25% this week.\nCommercial spaceflight company Virgin Galactic is the third most-mentioned name on Reddit. The stock has 24% of its float shares sold short, according to Bank of America.\nBeyond Meat, whichBank of America flagged as a new stock to watch a week ago, saw mentions continue to rise and now ranks number four. Shares of Beyond Meat are up about 12% this quarter.\nOther names like Athene Holding,Plug Power,Antero Midstream,Academy Sports and Outdoors and Clean Energy Fuels appeared on the list.\nAmerican Airlines,Gladstone Commercial and Natus Medical also earned spots on Bank of America’s Reddit stock list.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166373302,"gmtCreate":1623994040306,"gmtModify":1703826022265,"author":{"id":"3574298320598911","authorId":"3574298320598911","name":"WendyOng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1792bea39c80c228138ff9b4444c7360","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574298320598911","authorIdStr":"3574298320598911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dun see liao","listText":"Dun see liao","text":"Dun see liao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166373302","repostId":"1131310015","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131310015","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623987347,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131310015?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131310015","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pul","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>\n <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>\n <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>\n <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p>\n<p>Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p>\n<p>Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p>\n<p><b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p>\n<p>I start with the key assumptions:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p>\n<p><i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p>\n<p><b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p>\n<p><b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p>\n<p><b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p>\n<p><b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p>\n<p>We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>\n <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p>\n<p>We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p>\n<p><i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p>\n<p><b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p>\n<p>Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p>\n<p>Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p>\n<blockquote>\n “[\n <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Pretty clever, no? No:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Uh oh. What now?</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Ouch.</p>\n<p><b>Buyers beware</b></p>\n<p>As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 11:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131310015","content_text":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.\nSell before the other speculators do.\n\nRgStudio/E+ via Getty Images\nWhat are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer forThe Wall Street Journal, and John Brooks, author of “Business Adventures”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.\nInvestor vs. trader vs. speculator\nJason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021Wall Street Journalcolumn:\n\n “\n Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”\n\nSo why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assetsnevercame up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.\nMr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.\nA 2022 AMC earnings forecast\nI start with the key assumptions:\n\nMy time frame for reference is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.\nThe national box officeis the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.\nAMC market share.I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.\nAdmissions gross margin.This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.\nFood expenses as a percent of sales.I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs andmultiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.\nFood and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.\nOperating expensesare the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.\nWe’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:\n\nThe ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:\n\nDepreciation/amortizationis a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.\nInterest expenseshould decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.\n\nThe gravitational pull of earnings\nWe arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.\nThe bottom line - no support for investors.AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words ofTrading Places, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”\nThe speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale\nMillennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The bookBusiness Adventuresby John Brooks,published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.\nShorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:\n\n “\n Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…”\n\nThe sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.\n\n “\n He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”\n\nToday we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.\n\n “\n One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.”\n\nSomething to think about. What was Saunders to do?\n\n “[\n Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments.”\n\nPretty clever, no? No:\n\n “\n At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”\n\nUh oh. What now?\n\n“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller & Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”\n\nOuch.\nBuyers beware\nAs Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?\nAMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. 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